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The Wounded Unicorns Of Fintech

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For EBusiness & Channel Strategy Professionals<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Wounded</strong> <strong>Unicorns</strong> <strong>Of</strong> <strong>Fintech</strong><br />

Falling Valuations Don’t Mean You Should Give Up On Financial Technology<br />

August 1, 2016<br />

<strong>Fintech</strong> <strong>Unicorns</strong> Are <strong>Wounded</strong><br />

<strong>The</strong> tech industry has been giddy with investment. Betting on massive shifts in consumer and business<br />

spending from traditional to new digital companies, private investors poured $127 billion into tech<br />

startups between 2012 and 2015. 1 Financial technology has been no different, with sky-high valuations<br />

of public and private fintech companies and the emergence of more than a dozen unicorns — private<br />

tech companies that investors valued at more than $1 billion (see Figure 1). 2 But now, devaluations and<br />

post-stock collapses are affecting startups in (see Figure 2):<br />

››<br />

Lending. Peer-to-peer (P2P) lending platform Lending Club was valued at $5.4 billion in its<br />

December 2014 initial public offering (IPO). 3 At one point, the company’s value rose above $10<br />

billion. 4 By June 2016, worries about regulatory clampdown, the drying up of institutional finance,<br />

and internal control issues had reduced the value of the company to $1.9 billion and cost the CEO<br />

his job. 5 Similarly, shares of small business lender OnDeck have plunged by nearly 80% since its<br />

IPO in November 2014. 6 Online lenders Lufax in China and Elevate, LoanDepot, and SoFi in the US<br />

have all postponed their IPOs in response. 7<br />

››<br />

Payments. Mobile point-of-sale pioneer Square went public in November 2015, although the<br />

firm’s debut market cap of $4.3 billion fell short of expectations — Square’s last private funding<br />

round had suggested a $6 billion valuation. 8 By June 2016, the firm’s market cap was only $3<br />

billion. 9 Stripe, another highly valued US payments startup, has yet to go public despite its $5<br />

billion valuation. 10<br />

› › Insurance. Zenefits — which offers businesses cloud-based software to manage payroll, health<br />

insurance, and other benefits — was valued at $4.5 billion in May 2015. 11 Since then, Fidelity,<br />

which led the funding round, has written down the value of its investment. 12 Fidelity now estimates<br />

Zenefits’s share price at $5.60 — down from $14.90 a year earlier. 13<br />

© 2016 Forrester Research, Inc. Unauthorized copying or distributing is a violation of copyright law.<br />

Citations@forrester.com or +1 866-367-7378<br />

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