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DZ Bank Roadshow (Munich) - Deutsche Post DHL

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<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong><br />

<strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong><br />

Florian Bumberger - Investor Relations<br />

Daniel Stengel - Investor Relations<br />

<strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012


Groundwork laid for profitable growth<br />

Legacy homework done<br />

• Disposals/closure of<br />

underperforming <strong>DHL</strong><br />

operations (e.g. US<br />

Express domestic)<br />

• <strong>Post</strong>bank transaction<br />

• Clean-up of business<br />

portfolio<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

� � �<br />

Building our track record<br />

• Strong operational<br />

performance (2011 EBIT<br />

of € 2.4bn)<br />

• Continuous improvement<br />

in cash generation<br />

• Dividend increased to<br />

€0.70<br />

Profitable growth focus<br />

• MAIL: stabilization of<br />

EBIT at ~EUR 1bn, key<br />

driver parcel growth<br />

• <strong>DHL</strong>: Further leverage<br />

growth and margin<br />

potential of our strong<br />

global footprint: 13–15%<br />

EBIT CAGR in 2010–15<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

2


<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> at a Glance<br />

2011 key figures Group: Sales: EUR 52,829mn; EBIT: EUR 2,436mn; Employees 1) : 423,348<br />

Domestic German Mail<br />

and Parcel<br />

Sales: EUR 13,973mn<br />

EBIT: EUR 1,107mn<br />

Empl. 1) : 147,434<br />

The postal service<br />

for Germany<br />

1) Average FTEs FY 2011<br />

International and<br />

Domestic Express<br />

Sales: EUR 11,766mn<br />

EBIT: EUR 927mn<br />

Empl. 1) : 86,100<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Global Air, Ocean and<br />

Road Freight<br />

Sales: EUR 15,044mn<br />

EBIT: EUR 429mn<br />

Empl. 1) : 42,847<br />

The logistics company for the world<br />

Corporate Center / Other: Sales: EUR 1,260mn; EBIT 1) : EUR -389mn<br />

Global Supply<br />

Chain Solutions<br />

Sales: EUR 13,223mn<br />

EBIT: EUR 362mn<br />

Empl. 1) : 133,615<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

3


Agenda<br />

Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />

Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />

<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />

Express<br />

Global Forwarding, Freight<br />

Supply Chain<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

4


Investment of Choice<br />

Dividend development since introduction of new finance policy<br />

88%<br />

0.60<br />

2009<br />

Dividend increased to EUR 0.70<br />

Underlying Payout Ratio 1)<br />

0.65<br />

59%<br />

1) Adjusted for <strong>Post</strong>bank effects as well as non-recurring items booked in 2009 and 2010<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

0.70<br />

58%<br />

2010 2011<br />

• Increase of the dividend of 7.7%<br />

to EUR 0.70<br />

• Adjusted for <strong>Post</strong>bank effects<br />

and non-recurring items this<br />

reflects a payout ratio of 58%<br />

(2010: 59%)<br />

• In line with our dividend policy:<br />

target payout ratio of 40 – 60%<br />

and commitment to dividend<br />

continuity<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

5


Full-year 2012 Guidance Confirmed<br />

2012 EBIT guidance: Mail stabilization and double-digit growth in <strong>DHL</strong><br />

Group<br />

Mail<br />

<strong>DHL</strong> divisions<br />

Corp. Center/<br />

Other<br />

EUR 2.5–2.6bn<br />

EUR 1.0–1.1bn<br />

~ EUR 1.9bn<br />

~ EUR -0.4bn<br />

1) Even excluding positive <strong>Post</strong>bank effects of EUR186m in Q1 2012<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Confirmed<br />

• Capex of ~ EUR 1.8bn<br />

• Tax rate expected at around 27%<br />

• Net profit 1) to improve in line with<br />

operating business<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

6


2015 Targets confirmed – Mail EBIT stabilization,<br />

13-15% growth in <strong>DHL</strong> EBIT to EUR 2.7-2.9bn<br />

1) 2012 Guidance<br />

Group EBIT of € 3,350 to 3,550m in 2015<br />

MAIL<br />

<strong>DHL</strong><br />

Corporate<br />

Centre/Other<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

• EBIT stable at a minimum of € 1bn<br />

– <strong>DHL</strong> EBIT, in €bn –<br />

1.45<br />

1.7<br />

CAGR 13-15%<br />

~1.9 1)<br />

2010 2011 2012 2013<br />

• Improvement to € -350m by 2015<br />

2014<br />

2.7-2.9<br />

2015<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

7


Finance Policy revisited<br />

Target / maintain rating BBB+<br />

1) €0,60/ €0,65/ €0,70 per share for the years 2009, 2010, 2011<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

External cash usage<br />

• Dividend payout ratio to remain between 40–60% of<br />

net profit (continuity and Cash Flow position<br />

considered)<br />

- € 2.4bn1) paid out since January 2010 with dividend<br />

CAGR of 8%<br />

• Excess liquidity will be used for<br />

– Stepwise pension funding<br />

– Share buybacks and/or extraordinary dividends<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

8


Cash conversion<br />

DP<strong>DHL</strong> transitioning to high Cash Flow generation<br />

EBIT<br />

Performance<br />

Mail<br />

<strong>DHL</strong><br />

�Level<br />

of Capex<br />

�Level<br />

of M&A<br />

�Restr. cash<br />

requirement<br />

Special<br />

factors<br />

1998–2007 2008–2010<br />

2011–2013<br />

2014–2015<br />

High, but<br />

decreasing<br />

Low<br />

Average<br />

Very high<br />

Low<br />

State aid (–)<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

High, but<br />

decreasing<br />

Improving<br />

Low<br />

Very low<br />

Very high<br />

State aid (+)<br />

<strong>Post</strong>bank sale (+)<br />

Stable<br />

Strong<br />

improvement<br />

High<br />

Very low<br />

Low<br />

State aid (–)<br />

VAT (–) ?<br />

Stable<br />

High<br />

Average<br />

Very low<br />

Very low<br />

State aid (+) ?<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

9


Agenda<br />

Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />

Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />

<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />

Express<br />

Global Forwarding, Freight<br />

Supply Chain<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

10


Governing hypothesis: Declining mail volumes will be<br />

compensated by parcel growth<br />

While slow Mail decline<br />

is under control ...<br />

1<br />

2<br />

Keeping effects of esubstitution<br />

under control<br />

Exploiting new pricing and<br />

regulatory options<br />

Improving network and<br />

labor flexibility/<br />

productivity<br />

3 6<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

... Parcel will grow<br />

strongly ...<br />

4<br />

5<br />

! We<br />

Shaping and benefiting<br />

from e-commerce<br />

Upgrading parcel<br />

network and services<br />

Boosting parcel<br />

market shares<br />

... resulting in stable<br />

performance<br />

EBIT ≥ EUR 1 bn<br />

compensate Mail decline with<br />

growth in Parcel<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

11


Compared to other markets, mail volumes in Germany are<br />

stabilizing<br />

Addressed mail volume<br />

Percent,<br />

2005 = 100%<br />

110<br />

105<br />

100<br />

95<br />

90<br />

85<br />

80<br />

75<br />

70<br />

Global<br />

economic crisis<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />

USA UK Netherlands<br />

France Austria Germany<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

98<br />

86<br />

79<br />

Rate of e-substitution in Germany is<br />

lower than in other countries<br />

• High quality:<br />

Over 95% D+1 in Germany,<br />

(91% in UK and 85% in France)<br />

• Excellent customer orientation: 95%<br />

satisfaction1) (93% in 2010)<br />

• Many volumes already substituted<br />

• Different mail structure:<br />

volumes in Germany determined by<br />

stable number of households (vs. e.g.<br />

mailed checks in the US)<br />

! Effects of e-substitution<br />

are manageable<br />

Source: Regulatory authorities; USPS; Royal Mail; Austria <strong>Post</strong>, estimate for Austria 2005 (2005 = 2006); figures Germany 2011: internal estimate; 1) Kundenmonitor study 2011: private<br />

mail customers<br />

1<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

12


The new price-cap formula offers opportunities for future<br />

price increase<br />

The new price-cap formula …<br />

• Price-cap = inflation – x-factor<br />

x-factor reduced from 1.8% to 0.6%<br />

• Reference period 1) brought forward<br />

by 6 months<br />

• Regulation valid until<br />

December 31, 2013<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

… provides opportunities for<br />

potential future price increases<br />

No price increase for 2012 – instead<br />

buffer of 1.2% carried over to 2013 2)<br />

Opportunity to increase prices by 0.6 ppt. above<br />

inflation rate in 2013<br />

3.6<br />

3.54) Example : revenue impact based on 2011 revenue<br />

when inflation is 2.2%<br />

EUR billions<br />

3)<br />

+2.8%<br />

! 1) For relevant CPI = German Consumer Price Index; 2) 1.2% = 1.8% inflation rate minus 0.6% x-factor; based on arithmetic average of the monthly CPI values from July 2010 - June<br />

2011; 3) 2,2% inflation rate - 0.6% x-factor + 1.2% carryover = 2.8% price increase; reference period for revenue impact is July 2011 - June 2012;4) 2011 revenues affected by under<br />

price-cap regime<br />

After 15 years, we have the opportunity to compensate<br />

volume decreases also by increasing prices<br />

2<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

13


We are continuously adapting our operations to the<br />

development of mail volumes by increasing efficiency<br />

Sorting<br />

Transport<br />

&<br />

Delivery<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

We are improving our letter mail operations …<br />

• Increase automation rate with state-of-the-art sorting technology (up<br />

to 95% of mail volumes)<br />

• Flexible rerouting and reduction of sorting capacity during lowvolume<br />

periods<br />

• Ongoing reduction of delivery districts and personnel<br />

(17% reduction since 2002)<br />

• Increase of packed and sequenced mail directly transported to<br />

delivery districts (from 70% to over 90%)<br />

• Preventive healthcare measures, new delivery equipment to<br />

significantly reduce sickness rate (currently 4.8%)<br />

• Flexible workforce: over 4,000 employees on call at short notice;<br />

over 9,000 employees on short term contract<br />

… resulting in ample cost flexibility<br />

! We have numerous cost reduction<br />

and optimization levers in place<br />

3<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

14


We have laid the foundation for further increase in labor<br />

productivity<br />

Labor flexibility and productivity Employee satisfaction<br />

Long-term union agreement<br />

New wage agreement<br />

• Starting wages 1) reduced by 4%<br />

• Historic Generations pact:<br />

– Innovative pre-retirement<br />

worktime model<br />

– Over 7,000 applications for<br />

worktime accounts since Jan<br />

2012<br />

• Continued outsourcing<br />

– 990 parcel delivery districts<br />

– 1,000 external<br />

transport drivers<br />

Source: Long-term union agreement (October 6, 2011); wage agreement (January 12, 2012, valid for 15 months); 1) for new employees;<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

! We<br />

• Moderate wage increase of 4%<br />

after 2 years of pay freeze<br />

• One-time payment of<br />

EUR 400 in December 2011<br />

• Commitment to<br />

avoid layoffs for<br />

business<br />

reasons extended<br />

until 2015<br />

have considerable flexibility to<br />

adjust our factor costs<br />

3<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

15


With <strong>DHL</strong> Parcel we are shaping a dynamically growing<br />

market environment<br />

E-commerce is growing strongly ...<br />

E-commerce sales<br />

EUR billions 1)<br />

2011<br />

2020<br />

32<br />

50<br />

+5% p.a.<br />

Share of retail spending<br />

Percent 2)<br />

= 32 bn €<br />

20<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

8<br />

+11% p.a.<br />

= 80 bn €<br />

• Convenience as a key driver for e-commerce:<br />

– 3 out of 4 online shoppers believe<br />

e-commerce has improved their quality of life<br />

– Over 40% claim they save time<br />

... and is driving parcel volumes<br />

German parcel market:<br />

growth of 5-7% p.a. until 2015<br />

! We<br />

1) Bundesverband des Versandhandels; 2) TNS Infratest und MRSC, “Einkaufen 4.0”, Gesellschaft für Konsumforschung<br />

• B2C growth 11-13% p.a.<br />

by e-commerce adoption<br />

independent of GDP development<br />

• B2B growth 3-5% p.a.<br />

depending on GDP and export<br />

development<br />

are profiting from a<br />

fast growing market<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

4<br />

16


Therefore, we are significantly upgrading our parcel network<br />

and business …<br />

We are simplifying our services ...<br />

Network upgrade "Paket 2012"<br />

• Faster, better, more<br />

(capacity up by 40%)<br />

MeinPaket.de<br />

• Top 5 shopping portal<br />

Convenience logistics and Paket.de<br />

• Simplified online shopping solutions<br />

! We<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

... and satisfying our customers<br />

• 79% satisfied B2C customers<br />

(75% in 2010)<br />

• 10 million online shoppers (30%)<br />

insist on delivery by<br />

<strong>DHL</strong> Parcel<br />

• Delivering on customer needs with<br />

<strong>DHL</strong>-Fulfillment &<br />

<strong>DHL</strong> Check-out<br />

• 14% volume increase<br />

(Q1 2012)<br />

are well positioned to benefit from the growing<br />

parcel market and will grow above market average<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

5<br />

17


... to increase our market shares and secure growth rates<br />

above market averages<br />

No. of registered customers …<br />

Millions<br />

0.4<br />

2006<br />

1.5<br />

10<br />

Simplified services …<br />

5.0<br />

Target<br />

2015<br />

• Network upgrade “Paket 2012”<br />

• <strong>DHL</strong>-Fulfillment<br />

• <strong>DHL</strong>-checkout<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

… will boost our<br />

B2C market share<br />

Percent<br />

Parcel<br />

Other<br />

53<br />

47 40<br />

2010<br />

2015<br />

… will help to grow our B2B<br />

market share<br />

Percent<br />

Parcel<br />

Other<br />

19<br />

20-25<br />

81 75<br />

2010<br />

55-60<br />

2015<br />

! Parcel<br />

revenue increase<br />

above market growth<br />

<strong>DHL</strong><br />

2010<br />

2015<br />

Germany is a<br />

solid growth story<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

6<br />

18


Conclusion – we are well on the way to reaching our strategy<br />

2015 targets<br />

EBIT<br />

EUR billions<br />

Customer<br />

satisfaction<br />

Employee<br />

satisfaction<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Halfway through the Strategy 2015, we are on the right<br />

track, despite major challenges!<br />

2009 10 11 12 13 14 2015<br />

Results<br />

1.4 1.1 1.1<br />

93% 93% 95%<br />

66% 74% 76%<br />

Targets<br />

1.0 - 1.1<br />

80%<br />

Targets<br />

≥ 1.0<br />

95% ≥ 95%<br />

! Homework<br />

≥ 90%<br />

done –<br />

we are delivering!<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

19


Agenda<br />

Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />

Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />

<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />

Express<br />

Global Forwarding, Freight<br />

Supply Chain<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

20


Leveraging our strong global footprint<br />

<strong>DHL</strong> revenue development since last Capital Markets Day<br />

Revenue (€m)<br />

EXPRESS<br />

9,917<br />

2009<br />

+19%<br />

11,111<br />

2010<br />

11,766<br />

2011<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

FORWARDING/<br />

FREIGHT SUPPLY CHAIN<br />

11,243<br />

+34%<br />

14,341<br />

15,044<br />

2009 2010 2011<br />

12,183<br />

2009<br />

+9%<br />

13,061<br />

2010<br />

Benefits of economic recovery have outweighed adverse effects from disposals,<br />

portfolio clean-ups and exchange rate changes<br />

13,223<br />

2011<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

21


Continuously improving EBIT margin<br />

<strong>DHL</strong> profitability development since last Capital Markets Day<br />

EBIT margin by division<br />

EXPRESS<br />

2.4%<br />

2009<br />

+550 bp<br />

7.1%<br />

2010<br />

7.8%<br />

2011<br />

Remarks: Figures 2009 and 2010: underlying EBIT margin; bp= basis points<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

FORWARDING/<br />

FREIGHT SUPPLY CHAIN<br />

2.4%<br />

2009<br />

+50 bp<br />

2.7%<br />

2010<br />

2.9%<br />

2011<br />

-1.1%<br />

2009<br />

+380 bp<br />

2.1%<br />

2010<br />

EBIT margin increase driven by streamlined business and contract portfolio,<br />

better capacity utilization and improved internal processes<br />

2.7%<br />

2011<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

22


<strong>DHL</strong> – The Leading International Logistics Player in China<br />

Market<br />

position<br />

<strong>DHL</strong><br />

growth<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

• World´s economic growth engine<br />

• Shift from export- to domestic-driven economy<br />

EXPRESS FORWARDING SUPPLY CHAIN<br />

• Market leader in TDI<br />

• Market share > 30%<br />

• Pioneer in the market<br />

(since 1980)<br />

• 50% JV with Sinotrans<br />

• Disposal of Domestic<br />

Express<br />

• Market Leader in Air<br />

freight<br />

• Top 2 player in Ocean<br />

freight, very close to<br />

market leader<br />

• Top 3 international<br />

player<br />

• Very fragmented<br />

market<br />

• With wide variety of<br />

business models,<br />

service and quality<br />

TDI shipments/day CAGR Volume CAGR Organic revenue CAGR<br />

2011<br />

2011 2011<br />

2011<br />

2009<br />

+14%<br />

+7%<br />

+11%<br />

2009 2009<br />

OFR (TEU) AFR (tons)<br />

+28%<br />

2009<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

23


<strong>DHL</strong> – The Leading International Logistics Player in India<br />

Population:<br />

• 3 times the US population<br />

• 15 times the GER population<br />

GDP Growth 1)<br />

• 3 times US<br />

• 2.5 times GER<br />

Area: 3,287,263 sq km<br />

• One third of US area<br />

• 9 times of GER area<br />

GDP (nominal) 1)<br />

• < 10 % of US GDP<br />

• Half of Germany’s<br />

GDP<br />

Source: DP<strong>DHL</strong> market intelligence, IHS Global; 1) OECD 2010 GDP data<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

International<br />

1,551 employees<br />

25,714 locations<br />

Domestic<br />

7,108 employees<br />

25,646 locations<br />

~ 1,100 employees<br />

~ 32 locations<br />

~ 700 employees<br />

360,000 m 2<br />

2010 Market<br />

Position & Share<br />

# 1<br />

> 40%<br />

# 1<br />

Air > 40%<br />

Ground ~ 9%<br />

# 1<br />

AFR ~ 20 %<br />

OFR ~ 4%<br />

# 1<br />

~ 2%<br />

2009-11<br />

revenue<br />

CAGR<br />

+22%<br />

+25%<br />

+20%<br />

+30%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

24


Agenda<br />

Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />

Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />

<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />

Express<br />

Global Forwarding, Freight<br />

Supply Chain<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

25


<strong>DHL</strong> EXPRESS – 2015 EBIT target and key levers<br />

€ 785m<br />

€ 288m<br />

€ 497m<br />

1)<br />

2)<br />

2010<br />

Business<br />

stabilization<br />

1) Underlying EBIT; 2) Reported EBIT<br />

€ 927m<br />

2011<br />

Invest for growth<br />

2012<br />

Market share<br />

growth<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Key growth and margin levers<br />

1. Be strong in fastest growing regions<br />

2. Focus on TDI<br />

+13-15% CAGR<br />

3. Further improve customer satisfaction<br />

4. Continue investments in network<br />

and service<br />

5. Leverage cross BU opportunities<br />

6. Manage cost through operating leverage<br />

7. Increase brand awareness<br />

2013<br />

Margin<br />

acceleration<br />

2014<br />

Convergence<br />

2015<br />

Renewal<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

26


<strong>DHL</strong> EXPRESS – Time Definite International focus<br />

What?<br />

Who?<br />

Why?<br />

• Documents (e.g.<br />

contracts)<br />

• Parcels (e.g. spare parts,<br />

samples)<br />

• Full pallets and even nonconveyable<br />

• Business customers with<br />

B2B shipments<br />

• Growing B2C through<br />

international eCommerce<br />

• Time criticality<br />

• Guaranteed delivery<br />

• Full track and trace<br />

• Insured high value<br />

• Supported customs<br />

handling<br />

• “Exotic” destination<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

• Scheduled express network<br />

• Time definite products (e.g. pre 9, pre 12, next day<br />

delivery) supported by industry specific solutions<br />

(e.g. Medical Express, Collect and Return)<br />

• International door-to-door coverage<br />

• Customs expertise<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

27


The most international company in the world<br />

Presence in over 220 countries and territories, pioneering<br />

Express business in many locations<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

28


Strong presence in fastest growing regions<br />

External research underlines <strong>DHL</strong> EXPRESS’ TDI leadership<br />

across all regions outside the Americas<br />

Americas [€ 5,387m]<br />

UPS<br />

32%<br />

<strong>DHL</strong><br />

13%<br />

Others<br />

4%<br />

EEMEA [€ 544m]<br />

Others<br />

18%<br />

TNT<br />

17%<br />

UPS<br />

12%<br />

FedEx<br />

51%<br />

FedEx<br />

6%<br />

Source: Market Intelligence 2011 (FY 2010 data, MRSC); Scope: BE, CH, DE, ES, FR, IT, NL, PL, SE, UK, IE; AE, RU, TR, ZA; AU, CN, HK, IN, JP, KR, SG, TW; US, CA, MX, BR<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Europe [€ 5,788m]<br />

FedEx<br />

11%<br />

TNT<br />

16%<br />

<strong>DHL</strong><br />

47%<br />

Others<br />

12%<br />

Asia Pacific [€ 5,429m]<br />

Others<br />

27%<br />

TNT<br />

6%<br />

UPS<br />

10%<br />

UPS<br />

23%<br />

<strong>DHL</strong><br />

38%<br />

FedEx<br />

21%<br />

<strong>DHL</strong><br />

36%<br />

<strong>DHL</strong><br />

EXPRESS‘<br />

global<br />

market share<br />

TDI of 30%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

29


Focus on TDI<br />

Express strategy to focus on TDI is crucial to further drive EBIT<br />

and margin development<br />

Revenue contribution<br />

by product (FY 2011)<br />

Other;<br />

26%<br />

TDD;<br />

11%<br />

Positive TDI<br />

revenue share<br />

development<br />

1) ACS: Air Capacity Sales<br />

TDI;<br />

63%<br />

Other,<br />

42%<br />

TDI<br />

TDD<br />

Other<br />

(incl. DDI, DDD,<br />

ACS 1) Same Day)<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

> Above <strong>DHL</strong> Express average < At or below <strong>DHL</strong> Express average<br />

Product<br />

2009<br />

TDI;<br />

58%<br />

Margin<br />

><br />

><br />

<<br />

Aspiration<br />

Other,<br />

39%<br />

2010<br />

TDI;<br />

61%<br />

Comment<br />

• Complementary offer<br />

Focus Strategy<br />

• Core competence with dedicated<br />

scheduled network<br />

• Volume shift to TD platform<br />

• Opportunistic offer for additional<br />

cost recovery<br />

• Divest over time<br />

Other,<br />

37%<br />

2011<br />

TDI;<br />

63%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

30


Manage cost through operating leverage<br />

Our overall network setup as well as concrete programs support the<br />

translation of volumes into additional EBIT<br />

Overhead cost<br />

Save >1%<br />

of revenue<br />

• Reduction of Sales, general and<br />

admin expenses as % of revenue<br />

– IT Convergence<br />

– E-Com Tools<br />

– Improved span of control<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

PuD and handling<br />

Save 2.5%<br />

per move p.a.<br />

• NOEP (Network Optimization and<br />

Efficiency Program) to reduce<br />

ground handling cost<br />

• Re-fleeting with shelf vehicles<br />

optimize processes and reduce<br />

fuel and emissions<br />

• Fuel price volatility: Industry wide transparent fuel surcharge mechanism<br />

• FX rate exposure: Global currency portfolio as natural hedge on currency volatility<br />

One virtual airline<br />

Stabilize<br />

• Capacity management to<br />

stabilize CpK (Cost per Kilo)<br />

• Reduction of commercial air<br />

capacity by improved forecasting<br />

• Flexible leasing arrangements<br />

• Modernization of fleet to reduce<br />

fuel and carbon emissions<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

31


Agenda<br />

Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />

Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />

<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />

Express<br />

Global Forwarding, Freight<br />

Supply Chain<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

32


Our Global Forwarding, Freight strategy is designed to<br />

improve key levers and therefore have positive impact on EBIT<br />

€ 383m<br />

€ 429m<br />

2010 2011<br />

2015<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Key levers with impact on EBIT 2012-2015<br />

+13-15% CAGR<br />

Volume & GP Improvement<br />

� Volume growth due to exposures to emerging<br />

markets<br />

� GP margin improvement due to enhanced IT<br />

(enhanced buying due to better transparency)<br />

Cost Improvements<br />

� Productivity gains due to economies of scale<br />

� Indirect costs savings due to optimization of<br />

regional and country organizational structures<br />

� Efficiency gains due to new IT<br />

Road Freight<br />

+13%-15%<br />

CAGR<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

33


Sustainable growth: clear ambition to further strengthen<br />

our leadership<br />

Source: Official company publications/ estimates (2011)<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Overall, we are well positioned in the industry.<br />

However, our aspiration is to be the undisputed<br />

market leader!<br />

Situation: Good market position Aspiration: Great market position Our growth approach<br />

Air Freight No. 1 (2011)<br />

1,149<br />

1,073<br />

848<br />

2,447<br />

Ocean Freight No. 2 (2011)<br />

1,763<br />

1,310<br />

(in K tons)<br />

3,274<br />

2,724<br />

(in K TEUs)<br />

VS.<br />

Air Freight No. 1<br />

�DGF has<br />

a larger<br />

lead over<br />

competitors<br />

Ocean Freight No. 1<br />

�DGF<br />

grows<br />

faster than<br />

competitors<br />

to take the<br />

lead<br />

• Focus on profitable business in<br />

DGF’s core products<br />

• Emerging markets – grow intraregional<br />

lanes, BRICM, Next 11<br />

• Improved sales force<br />

effectiveness<br />

• More global multinational<br />

customers with new sales channel<br />

expansion plan<br />

• More SME customers served by a<br />

new telesales channel, targets to<br />

reduce churn<br />

• Improve service quality and<br />

increase customer satisfaction<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

34


Maximized profitability: direct operating expense is key lever<br />

for EBIT conversion improvement<br />

DGFF Gross Profit to EBIT conversion 2011<br />

(in €m)<br />

3,522<br />

Gross<br />

Profit<br />

2,991<br />

65%<br />

5%<br />

30%<br />

DOE +<br />

SLA 1<br />

Staff<br />

Costs<br />

Travel &<br />

Telecom<br />

Other<br />

101<br />

Depr.<br />

1) SLA = Service Level Agreement, DOE = Direct Operating Expense<br />

429<br />

EBIT<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Maximizing profit by cost management focus<br />

• In 2011 Sales Direct Operating Expense<br />

(DOE) reduced in reaction to slowdown in<br />

market volumes<br />

• Executed optimization of head offices<br />

organizational structures to reduce costs<br />

and to better position DGFF for growth<br />

• Further streamlining through country<br />

alignment program under way, which is<br />

expected to bring cost benefits<br />

• Special management focus on turn around<br />

of underperforming countries<br />

• Staff costs represent the largest part of DOE<br />

but significant productivity gains without<br />

automation will not be possible<br />

• Therefore, DGFF needs better IT platform to<br />

bring productivity on new level and DGFF is<br />

investing in a transformational program –<br />

New Forwarding Environment<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

35


New Forwarding Environment (NFE) –<br />

Thinking today about tomorrow<br />

Innovation will drive<br />

top-line revenue<br />

growth<br />

NFE program will<br />

underpin profitable<br />

growth for <strong>DHL</strong><br />

Global Forwarding<br />

Timeline?<br />

• Forerunner pilots ongoing; full IT pilots Q2 2013<br />

• Roll-out by 2014/ 2015<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

NFE is the business<br />

transformation program of<br />

<strong>DHL</strong> Global Forwarding to<br />

underpin its market<br />

position as industry leader<br />

Standardization and<br />

industrialization allows significant<br />

bottom-line cost reductions<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

36


Agenda<br />

Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />

Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />

<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />

Express<br />

Global Forwarding, Freight<br />

Supply Chain<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

37


<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain is uniquely positioned to benefit from key<br />

market trends<br />

1<br />

2<br />

3<br />

Continued<br />

outsourcing<br />

Emergence<br />

of a global<br />

market<br />

Broader<br />

solutions<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Increasing trend towards outsourcing with<br />

larger players winning bigger deals,<br />

especially with first time outsourcing clients<br />

Transforming from a local business into a<br />

global industry, beneficial for truly<br />

international providers<br />

Customers are demanding broader scope<br />

of service provision from fewer providers<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 38


<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain is resilient to economic downturn<br />

<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain resilience factors<br />

• Long term contracts<br />

• Asset light business<br />

• Flexible cost base<br />

• No exposure to fuel price volatility<br />

• Appropriate share of open book<br />

contracts<br />

• Stable outsourcing trend, also in<br />

times of crisis<br />

• Broad diversification<br />

Details<br />

following<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 39


Balanced revenue portfolio by service<br />

Revenue 2011 by service Comments<br />

Warehousing<br />

49%<br />

Value Added Services<br />

• Increasing share<br />

of Value Added<br />

Services<br />

– New products<br />

and solutions<br />

–Attractive<br />

growth rates<br />

– Superior<br />

margins<br />

– Increased<br />

customer<br />

retention<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 40<br />

11%<br />

11%<br />

29%<br />

Williams Lea<br />

Transport


Our strategic programs are delivering<br />

continuous margin improvement<br />

EBIT 1)<br />

€ 272m<br />

Continuous<br />

Improvement<br />

€ 362m<br />

2010 2011<br />

2015<br />

1) “Like for Like” EBIT mainly excluding restructuring<br />

Profitable<br />

Growth<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

+13-15% CAGR<br />

Contract Lifecycle Management<br />

Standardization & Replication<br />

Sector Focus<br />

Quarterly EBIT % has increased<br />

over the previous year for the<br />

last 11 quarters 1)<br />

+13%-15% CAGR<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 41


Contract Lifecycle Management<br />

Continuous feedback loops improve project selection,<br />

design, execution and overall performance<br />

Rigorous<br />

Opportunity<br />

Assessment<br />

Contract<br />

Renewal<br />

Project Selection<br />

& Solution Design<br />

Account<br />

Management<br />

Approval<br />

~1,000+<br />

projects per<br />

year<br />

Implementation &<br />

Operational<br />

Execution<br />

<strong>Post</strong> Contract<br />

Review<br />

Contract Lifecycle Management<br />

Standardization & Replication<br />

Continued Sector Focus Profitable Growth<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 42


Standardization & Replication of global products<br />

Global products development Overview of global products<br />

Assess<br />

Develop<br />

Grow<br />

Identify solutions with<br />

potential for growth and<br />

differentiation<br />

Define standards and<br />

leverage best practice<br />

globally<br />

Focus on target<br />

customers, enable teams,<br />

and grow the product<br />

globally<br />

Co-Packing<br />

Lead Logistics<br />

Provider<br />

Marketing<br />

Solutions<br />

Technical Services<br />

Airline Business<br />

Solutions<br />

Life Sciences &<br />

Healthcare Platform<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 43


Continued profitable growth through Sector Focus<br />

Consumer Energy & Chemicals<br />

Automotive<br />

Retail<br />

Life Sciences & Healthcare<br />

Technology<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

• Differentiation through sector<br />

specific solutions<br />

• Truly global sector expert<br />

communities, speaking the<br />

language of customers<br />

Standardization & Replication<br />

• Leverage sector expertise to<br />

drive growth, especially in first<br />

time outsourcing and in Emerging<br />

Markets<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 44


Corporate Center / Other<br />

Aiming to reduce cost of Corporate Center / Other activities<br />

to € -350m by 2015<br />

CC / Other cost structure, 2011<br />

Investments into<br />

growth & crossdiv.<br />

initiatives<br />

(e.g. “Go”<br />

initiatives,<br />

Smart Truck,<br />

Cold Chain)<br />

100% = € ~400m 1)<br />

~20%<br />

~25%<br />

~50%<br />

~55%<br />

~25%<br />

Core Corporate Center costs, e.g.<br />

• Group Finance, e.g. Internal Audit,<br />

Treasury, Tax<br />

• Corporate Communications<br />

• Corporate Development<br />

• Corporate Executive HR<br />

• …<br />

1) excluding gains/losses from central FX hedging measures<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Corporate<br />

bodies (e.g.<br />

CB, SVB)<br />

and legal<br />

obligations/<br />

foundations<br />

Reduction to € -350m by 2015<br />

2011 1) 2015 1)<br />

€ -400m<br />

€ -350m<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

45


Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />

SUMMARY<br />

Focus on organic profitable growth in structurally growing markets<br />

• Strong start into 2012<br />

• Mail EBIT stabilization levers materializing; benefits from<br />

strong growth in parcel and digital services<br />

• Logistics industry driven by growth in global trade<br />

• <strong>DHL</strong> is market leader in Asia and other growth regions<br />

• Further margin potential due to operating leverage<br />

and efficiency improvements<br />

• Well on track towards Strategy 2015 goals<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

46


Agenda<br />

Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />

Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />

<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />

Appendix<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

47


Q1 2012 Highlights<br />

Strategic and Financial Performance Trends intact<br />

Key growth trends<br />

Parcel Germany volumes<br />

Express TDI volumes<br />

Forwarding, Freight revenue<br />

Supply Chain revenue<br />

<strong>DHL</strong>, Q1 EBIT margin by Division<br />

4.2%<br />

2010<br />

yoy change<br />

+13.6%<br />

+9.6%<br />

+2.4%<br />

+6.0%<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>DHL</strong> emerging markets sales growth<br />

Asia Pacific<br />

Latin America<br />

Africa / Middle East<br />

revenue, yoy change<br />

Express Forwarding, Freight Supply Chain<br />

7.8%<br />

7.6%<br />

2011 2012<br />

1.7%<br />

2.4%<br />

2.0% 1.8%<br />

2010 2011 2012<br />

2010<br />

2.4%<br />

2011<br />

+12.1%<br />

+11.9%<br />

+15.1%<br />

2.7%<br />

2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

48


Group P&L Q1 2012<br />

Continued strong performance<br />

EUR m<br />

Revenue<br />

EBIT<br />

t/o Mail<br />

t/o <strong>DHL</strong><br />

Financial result<br />

Taxes<br />

Consolidated<br />

net profit 1)<br />

EPS (in EUR)<br />

Q1<br />

2011<br />

12,807<br />

629<br />

373<br />

363<br />

-161<br />

-117<br />

325<br />

0.27<br />

1) Attributable to <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> AG shareholders<br />

Q1<br />

2012<br />

13,364<br />

691<br />

393<br />

409<br />

76<br />

-207<br />

533<br />

0.44<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Chg.<br />

4.3%<br />

+9.9%<br />

+5.4%<br />

+12.7%<br />

NA<br />

-76.9%<br />

64.0%<br />

63.0%<br />

• Revenue increase of +4.3% driven by all<br />

divisions with <strong>DHL</strong> Express showing<br />

strongest growth. Organic growth of +3.5%<br />

• EBIT improved strongly in the <strong>DHL</strong> divisions<br />

while MAIL also grew supported by solid<br />

business performance and one additional<br />

working day<br />

• Financial result was impacted by final<br />

<strong>Post</strong>bank accounting effect of EUR 186m<br />

compared to EUR -56m last year<br />

• Tax rate at 27%<br />

• Consolidated net profit and EPS improved<br />

strongly due to underlying earnings growth<br />

as well as the deconsolidation effect of<br />

<strong>Post</strong>bank<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

49


<strong>Post</strong>bank Transaction Successfully Completed<br />

Focus on core competencies in mail and global logistics businesses<br />

1) Projected<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

• Sale of <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong>bank announced September 2008<br />

P&L<br />

effect<br />

Cash<br />

effect<br />

2009 2010 2011 2012 1)<br />

4.9bn – – –<br />

∑ EUR<br />

1,095m 1,569m -301m 186m 2.5bn<br />

4.9bn<br />

Transaction completed on 28 February 2012<br />

Expected final P&L effect of EUR 186m to be booked in Q1 12<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

50


Highlights Mail Q1 2012<br />

Strong parcel growth accelerates even further into the year<br />

Milestones<br />

• Parcel Germany continues to grow strongly<br />

• Mail Communication volume decline in line<br />

with expectations (-2.7% per working day)<br />

• Global Mail: optimization of business<br />

portfolio begins to pay off<br />

• Wage increase effective only as<br />

of April 1, 2012<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Mail communication volumes<br />

m units<br />

2.047<br />

Parcel volumes<br />

m units<br />

206<br />

1.842<br />

194<br />

-1.1%<br />

1.861<br />

205<br />

2.059<br />

265<br />

2.024<br />

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12<br />

+13.6%<br />

234<br />

Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

51


Mail – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />

Strong parcel growth supports top and bottom line<br />

EUR m<br />

Revenue<br />

EBIT<br />

Operating Cash<br />

Flow<br />

Capex<br />

Q1<br />

2011<br />

3,520<br />

373<br />

-148<br />

48<br />

Q1<br />

2012<br />

3,557<br />

393<br />

-206<br />

35<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Chg.<br />

1.1%<br />

5.4%<br />

-39.2%<br />

-27.1%<br />

• Revenue growth reflects parcel<br />

performance and one additional working<br />

day in Q1 2012<br />

yoy working days in Germany<br />

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4<br />

+1 -1 -1 -2<br />

• EBIT improved due to strong parcel<br />

business and continued cost control<br />

• Operating cash flow contains annual<br />

cash contribution to civil servants pension<br />

fund (EUR 530m) and working capital<br />

effect from discontinuation of a factoring<br />

program (EUR 139m)<br />

• Capex below last year´s level due to<br />

timing effects<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

52


All business departments contribute to the successful<br />

stabilization and show excellent performance<br />

Mail<br />

Parcel<br />

Dialogue<br />

Marketing<br />

Global Mail<br />

Volume<br />

billion pieces<br />

2010 2011<br />

7.8<br />

0.8<br />

10.4<br />

6.0<br />

2010<br />

7.8<br />

0.9<br />

10.2<br />

3.0<br />

2011<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

0%<br />

+10%<br />

-1%<br />

-50%<br />

Market share in<br />

Germany<br />

Percent<br />

64 1)<br />

40<br />

14<br />

! Our stable development is exemplary<br />

Volume development<br />

2010-11, percent<br />

Unaddressed Addressed<br />

1<br />

-4<br />

DP<br />

0<br />

10<br />

-5<br />

Int. Peers 2)<br />

-4<br />

6<br />

-4<br />

NL and UK shut down<br />

Focus today<br />

Effects of<br />

e-substitution<br />

under control<br />

E-commerce<br />

boosts<br />

volumes<br />

stable and<br />

profitable<br />

revenues<br />

1) relevant segment: business customers only; 36% of business mail is placed with competitors; final delivery of all letter mail by <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong>: 87%; 2) incl. USPS, <strong>Post</strong> NL, Swiss<br />

<strong>Post</strong>, la <strong>Post</strong>e, Royal Mail and ÖPAG<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

53


Alongside e-commerce, we are developing additional digital<br />

services that will contribute to mid- and long-term growth<br />

We are driving<br />

e-commerce<br />

• MeinPaket.de<br />

• Top 5 shopping portal<br />

• 4,000 traders<br />

• 4.5 million articles<br />

• 550,000 customers<br />

• Paket.de<br />

• Online payment systems<br />

• Easy shipment tracing<br />

• Routing<br />

1) German Online-Marketing market 2011 at EUR ~4 billion EUR, growing >10% p.a.<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

We are shaping secure<br />

digital communication<br />

E-<strong>Post</strong>brief<br />

• "trusted transactions online"<br />

• 1 million private customers<br />

• Development of<br />

online identification,<br />

e-payment, etc.<br />

to penetrate B2C market<br />

! We<br />

We are enabling growth<br />

in online marketing 1)<br />

Digital business models<br />

• Display advertising<br />

• Build up of crossmedia and<br />

multi-channel services<br />

are successfully expanding into<br />

the digital arena<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

54


Express – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />

Robust business development across all regions<br />

EUR m<br />

Revenue<br />

EBIT<br />

Operating Cash<br />

Flow<br />

Capex<br />

Q1<br />

2011<br />

2,750<br />

214<br />

133<br />

82<br />

Q1<br />

2012<br />

3,020<br />

231<br />

-45<br />

127<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Chg.<br />

9.8%<br />

7.9%<br />

NA<br />

54.9%<br />

• Revenues increased primarily due to strong<br />

TDI volume performance driven by positive<br />

development in all regions<br />

• EBIT development slightly below<br />

revenue due to incremental aviation<br />

network investment<br />

• Operating cash flow below last year due to<br />

working capital development and timing of<br />

restructuring cash-out (EUR 88m)<br />

• Higher Capex due to air network investments<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

55


Continue investment into network and service quality<br />

Continuous network enhancements improve our service quality<br />

and secure the competitive advantage<br />

Hong Kong<br />

(HKG)<br />

Building of<br />

Shanghai hub:<br />

US$175m<br />

Los Angeles<br />

(LAX)<br />

• One day transit time from<br />

AP to US<br />

• Latest pick-up cut-off from<br />

US West Coast to Europe<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Expansion of<br />

Cincinnati hub:<br />

US$47m<br />

Cincinnati<br />

(CVG)<br />

New round the world flight as of March 2012<br />

Leipzig<br />

(LEJ)<br />

Bahrain<br />

(BAH)<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 56


Leverage cross business unit opportunities<br />

Leverage of one <strong>DHL</strong> helps to manage risks and recover high<br />

investments for network expansion<br />

Intercon. capacity – utilization – DGF contribution<br />

CAGR +30%<br />

1.5<br />

Capacity million Tons<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

1) Including regional capacities<br />

WLF: 70%<br />

2009<br />

WLF: 79%<br />

2010<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

WLF: 75%<br />

2011<br />

Weight Load Factor<br />

(Core TDI & Non Core (ACS) Volumes)<br />

• DGF contributes<br />

continuously around 18% to<br />

our overall cargo loads 1)<br />

• DGF is our no. 1 ACS<br />

customer<br />

• For DGF we improved from<br />

no. 8 in 2010 to the no. 3<br />

supplier in Q1 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

57


Increase brand awareness<br />

Successful advertising will continue, supported by selected<br />

sponsorships<br />

TV<br />

Print<br />

OOH &<br />

Online<br />

@<br />

TV spot aired approx.<br />

83,000 times on more than<br />

280 TV stations<br />

Radio spot aired approx. 39,000<br />

times on over 210 radio stations<br />

1,300 Ads in approx.<br />

400 Magazines, Newspapers &<br />

Trade Press<br />

3.5 billion online banner<br />

impressions & more than<br />

5 million clicks<br />

Rolled out in 44 countries in<br />

25 languages worldwide<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Results<br />

• <strong>DHL</strong> EXPRESS maintained highest<br />

global advertising awareness (69%)<br />

of all EXPRESS providers and<br />

improved the prior levels by 3%<br />

• Creative execution well received with<br />

79% likeability for the TV commercial<br />

and above benchmark image<br />

perception for all executions<br />

• Brand awareness is industry-leading<br />

at 92% globally with AP (95%) and<br />

EU (94%) exceeding the global score<br />

• The campaign has a strong positive<br />

influence in shaping the perception<br />

of the <strong>DHL</strong> EXPRESS image as<br />

TDI provider<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

58


Global Forwarding, Freight – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />

EBIT conversion improved despite volatile market environment<br />

EUR m<br />

Revenue<br />

EBIT<br />

Operating Cash<br />

Flow<br />

Capex<br />

Q1<br />

2011<br />

3,599<br />

71<br />

121<br />

21<br />

Q1<br />

2012<br />

3,686<br />

87<br />

125<br />

32<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Chg.<br />

2.4%<br />

22.5%<br />

3.3%<br />

52.4%<br />

• Modest revenue growth reflects the mixed<br />

volume development<br />

• EBIT increase driven by gross profit growth<br />

and 100bp improvement in GP/EBIT<br />

conversion reflecting increased efficiency<br />

• Cash flow remains on the strong level of<br />

last year<br />

• Capex increase reflects ongoing investments<br />

in IT environment<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

59


Maximized profitability: GP on product level reflects our size<br />

advantage and product portfolio<br />

24.2%<br />

19.9%<br />

DGF<br />

comparable1) DGF<br />

20.7%<br />

18.9%<br />

DGF<br />

comparable1) DGF<br />

Gross Profit margin 2011<br />

(in %, Air Freight)<br />

23.4%<br />

21.6%<br />

Gross Profit margin 2011<br />

(in %, Ocean Freight)<br />

20.6%<br />

21.6%<br />

21.0%<br />

19.0%<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

• Performance benchmarking on product<br />

level is impacted by differences in<br />

accounting – key DGF competitors<br />

allocate value added services to AFR<br />

or OFR<br />

• DGF has chosen to account for VAS<br />

separately under category called ‘Others’.<br />

This allows to measure true performance on<br />

product level<br />

• When relevant VAS (customs, handling,<br />

cartage) are allocated to AFR & OFR to<br />

improve comparability, DGF’s GP margin<br />

is in line with peers<br />

• GP margin in AFR benefits from DGF’s<br />

large scale, while OFR reflects its share of<br />

uncontrolled volumes<br />

What about fuel costs?<br />

Fuel costs have not a significant impact on DGF<br />

as they are pass through costs<br />

1) Including value-added services; Note: GP margin absolute level not fully comparable due to different revenue recognition principles across competitors<br />

Source: Official company publications<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

60


NFE is a holistic transformation program, game changing for<br />

our industry<br />

Current limitation/<br />

Industry trend<br />

Focus on value<br />

added services<br />

Strong network<br />

capabilities with<br />

higher<br />

transparency<br />

Boundaries for<br />

further DOE<br />

efficiency in<br />

current IT<br />

landscape<br />

From …<br />

Heterogeneous<br />

and complex<br />

pricing and<br />

contracting<br />

procedures<br />

Local and<br />

suboptimal,<br />

mostly<br />

historically<br />

driven, routing<br />

Manual and<br />

reactive<br />

processes<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

To…<br />

Modular product offering<br />

Transparent adaptable<br />

product and tariff structure<br />

designed to market needs<br />

Transparent routing<br />

decisions<br />

IT-supported routing<br />

decisions based on global<br />

data transparency<br />

Active event management<br />

Industrialized processes,<br />

incident management, and<br />

proactive notification<br />

• NFE is being financed almost entirely via P&L<br />

• Significant costs for NFE booked in 2011 and planned for 2012–2014<br />

• First benefits of program evident in reduced IT run costs<br />

Strategy pillar<br />

Sustainable<br />

Growth<br />

Customer/<br />

Operational<br />

Excellence<br />

Maximized<br />

Profitability<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

61


Supply Chain – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />

Operational improvements contribute to EBIT increase<br />

EUR m<br />

Revenue<br />

EBIT<br />

Operating Cash<br />

Flow<br />

Capex<br />

New gains<br />

Q1<br />

2011<br />

3,216<br />

78<br />

56<br />

60<br />

Contracts won – Annualized revenue<br />

320<br />

Q1<br />

2012<br />

3,409<br />

91<br />

39<br />

65<br />

190<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Chg.<br />

6.0%<br />

16.7%<br />

-30.4%<br />

8.3%<br />

• Revenue above last year due to increased<br />

volumes and new contracts. Organic revenue<br />

growth at 5.7%<br />

• The EBIT rose primarily due to the higher<br />

revenues, further contract mix optimization<br />

and continued cost efficiencies from<br />

operational and overhead leverage<br />

• Operating cash flow comparison influenced<br />

by timing effects on pension cash-outs<br />

• Capex reflects investments in new contracts<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

62


Strong cash generating business with negative working capital<br />

Organic revenue growth<br />

-5.7%<br />

2009<br />

Operating cash flow, €m<br />

3.4%<br />

2010<br />

+230 bp<br />

5.7%<br />

2011<br />

EBIT 1) , €m<br />

Revenue € 12,183m €13,061m €13,223m Margin<br />

424<br />

2009<br />

-19% +15%<br />

343<br />

2010<br />

1) “Like for Like” EBIT mainly excluding restructuring<br />

394<br />

2011<br />

Asset mix<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 63<br />

182<br />

2009<br />

1.5%<br />

Intangible Assets<br />

(mainly customer lists)<br />

Operating Assets<br />

(mainly fixed assets)<br />

Goodwill<br />

+49%<br />

15%<br />

272<br />

2010<br />

+33%<br />

362<br />

2011<br />

2.1% 2.7%<br />

(100% = € 3.1bn)<br />

17%<br />

68%<br />

ROCE up 310 bps from 2010 to 2011


Contract Logistics is a large and growing market with<br />

<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain being number 1 by far<br />

Total market size, €bn Top 3 market shares, 2011<br />

Outsourced Contract Logistics<br />

In house Logistics<br />

969<br />

155<br />

813<br />

2011<br />

1,178<br />

203<br />

975<br />

2015<br />

CAGR<br />

5%<br />

Largest providers<br />

Other<br />

88% ~12%<br />

~12%<br />

Largest<br />

providers<br />

CEVA<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 64<br />

7.7%<br />

2.4%<br />

2.1%<br />

DSC<br />

K+N


Balanced revenue portfolio by customer size<br />

Revenue 2011 by account size Comments<br />

> €200m<br />

€100-200m<br />

19%<br />

22%<br />

15%<br />

€50-100m<br />

< €15m<br />

€15-50m<br />

• Broad customer<br />

portfolio across<br />

all size clusters<br />

• Double digit<br />

growth from<br />

global top<br />

customers<br />

• Many of our top<br />

customers are<br />

distributed across<br />

all regions<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 65<br />

22%<br />

22%


Balanced revenue portfolio by sector<br />

Revenue 2011 by sector Comments<br />

Energy & Other<br />

Auto<br />

Tech<br />

7%<br />

9%<br />

12%<br />

Williams Lea<br />

9%<br />

17%<br />

Life Sciences &<br />

Healthcare<br />

(details to follow)<br />

Retail<br />

26%<br />

• Balanced industry<br />

sector coverage<br />

• Dedicated global<br />

sector teams<br />

• Deep sector<br />

expertise<br />

including to sub<br />

sector level<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 66<br />

20%<br />

Consumer


Sector example: Life Sciences & Healthcare – <strong>DHL</strong> offering<br />

Life Sciences & Healthcare<br />

market position<br />

• World-wide number 1 logistics<br />

provider<br />

• Global network of more than 30<br />

dedicated competence centers<br />

• Over 150 LS&HC facilities worldwide<br />

• Community of >4,000 dedicated and<br />

trained experts in over 40 countries<br />

• Dedicated industry solutions,<br />

leveraging all <strong>DHL</strong> divisions and<br />

transport modes<br />

Cross <strong>DHL</strong> customers<br />

Standardization & Replication<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 67


Sector example: Life Sciences & Healthcare – DSC footprint<br />

<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain LS&HC footprint<br />

• € 2.2bn revenues 1)<br />

• >20 countries<br />

• ~100 sites with ~1m sqm warehouse<br />

capacity<br />

3%<br />

7%<br />

19%<br />

71%<br />

Other<br />

Medical Devices<br />

Pharmaceuticals<br />

Healthcare Services 1)<br />

1) Including procurement business in UK for NHS, the national public health services provider<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Offering<br />

Standardization & Replication<br />

• Fully compliant warehouses<br />

• Distribution and transport management<br />

• Value added services, e.g.<br />

– Clinical trials<br />

– Kitting<br />

– Direct to pharmacy<br />

– Reverse logistics<br />

Video example<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 68


Main investment themes 2011-2013<br />

Temporarily high investment levels, but with significant current and future<br />

benefits<br />

Mail<br />

Express<br />

Forwarding,<br />

Freight<br />

Supply Chain<br />

Investments<br />

• Parcel sorting<br />

• E-initiatives<br />

• Aviation network<br />

• AP&P<br />

• Training<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Investment types<br />

Capex<br />

Capex / Opex<br />

Capex / Opex<br />

Opex<br />

Opex<br />

Benefits<br />

Revenue growth Productivity gain<br />

• NFE Capex / Opex X X<br />

• Investment in<br />

new growth<br />

X<br />

X<br />

X<br />

X<br />

X<br />

Capex / Opex X<br />

X<br />

X<br />

X<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

69


Cash conversion – FY 2011<br />

Cash consumption between EBITDA and Free Cash Flow driven<br />

by Capex, provision utilization and taxes<br />

+2,436<br />

EBIT<br />

+1,274<br />

Depreciation<br />

+3,710<br />

EBITDA<br />

–897<br />

–455<br />

• e.g.:<br />

• Pensions -346 m€<br />

• Restructuring -259 m€<br />

Changes<br />

in<br />

provisions<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

+13<br />

Taxes paid Others<br />

incl.<br />

changes<br />

in W/C<br />

+2,371<br />

OCF<br />

–1,505<br />

Net Capex<br />

–26<br />

Net M&A<br />

–91<br />

Interest<br />

paid<br />

in € m<br />

+749<br />

FCF<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

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Pensions – Impact from change in IAS 19<br />

No direct cash impact by accounting change to IAS 19 expected<br />

Plan assets<br />

(rounded)<br />

Unrecognized<br />

gains/losses<br />

Net pension<br />

provision<br />

Total Defined Benefit<br />

Obligation (DBO): € 13,257m<br />

€ 7,367m<br />

€ 1,896m<br />

€ 3,992m<br />

Current approach<br />

using the corridor<br />

method<br />

1) Actual charge to equity has to be seen at date of implementation<br />

€ 7,367m<br />

€ 5,890 m<br />

Future approach:<br />

OCI method 1)<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Plan assets<br />

(rounded)<br />

Net pension<br />

provision<br />

• No direct cash impact by<br />

accounting change<br />

• Small positive P&L effects 1)<br />

– Staff cost reduction<br />

– Increase of EBIT<br />

– Increase of interest cost<br />

• Equity will decrease by € 1.9 bn 1)<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

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Mail: Long-term Union Agreement<br />

Comprehensive package, agreed until 2015<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

New flexible model for age-based working solutions<br />

• Option to pay proportion of current salary into worktime account<br />

• Partial-retirement program supplemented by working-time<br />

accounts and a demographic fund<br />

Extension of no compulsory redundancy until 2015<br />

Continued outsourcing<br />

• 990 parcel-delivery districts handled by sub-contractors<br />

• Outsourcing of transportation extended by 1,000 drivers<br />

Agreed salary/working condition changes<br />

• 4% lower entry wage for new Mail employees<br />

• New vacation policies based on company service, not age<br />

• Renewal of non-chargeable overtime, work days and<br />

short breaks agreements<br />

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Mail: New Price Cap Set at CPI-0.6%<br />

New price cap regime offering more headroom<br />

1) Federal Network Agency = Bundesnetzagentur; 2) CPI = German Consumer Price Index<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

• <strong>Post</strong>al price cap decision of Federal Network Agency 1)<br />

– New formula: x-factor reduced from 1.8 to 0.6%<br />

– Reference period for relevant CPI2) brought<br />

forward by six months<br />

– Regulation valid until 31 Dec. 2013<br />

• Conclusions for <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />

– No price increase for 2012<br />

– Buffer of +1.2% carried over to 2013 (1.8% inflation rate<br />

minus 0.6% x-factor)<br />

Directly impacted Mail revenues of EUR 3.5bn<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

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Parcel Germany: Strategic Focus<br />

Parcel Germany is shaping eCommerce as the leading<br />

service provider<br />

• DP<strong>DHL</strong> only postal organization<br />

world-wide to offer nation-wide 24/7<br />

access to all shipping needs<br />

– 13,500 retail outlets<br />

– 1,000 Parcel Boxes for 24/7 drop-off<br />

– 2,500 automatic PACKSTATIONs<br />

to drop-off, frank, or use as<br />

delivery address<br />

– Online Franking of all parcel products<br />

– iPhone and Android apps for<br />

all services<br />

Source: Europäisches Handelsinstitut<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

• To date 2mn registered Packstation<br />

customers<br />

• 83% check whether vendor ships to<br />

Packstation before purchase<br />

• 36% increase their online spend<br />

after registration for Packstation<br />

• Target group in age segment 25–50<br />

years with high online affinity<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

74


Ruling by European Commission on State Aid to <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

• EU Commission’s decision unjustified<br />

– Clear contradiction to earlier EU decision and results of<br />

similar proceedings<br />

– Unprecedented reach into national regulation<br />

• DP<strong>DHL</strong> to file an appeal with the European Court<br />

of Justice<br />

• Financial treatment<br />

– Payment to be recorded only in balance sheet for 2012<br />

– No effect on company earnings for 2011 and beyond<br />

– Company liquidity / balance sheet remain solid<br />

• No further state aid proceedings involving<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> pending at EU Commission<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

75


<strong>Post</strong>al Market Liberalization in Germany has been a Success<br />

Domestic mail communication<br />

market for business customers<br />

2011 Market volume: EUR 4.3 bn 1)<br />

63.7%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />

Source: Company estimate<br />

36.3%<br />

Competition<br />

(incl. consolidator<br />

volumes)<br />

1) Ca. 90% of overall mail communication market<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Leading service and infrastructure level for<br />

customers<br />

• Excellent service quality<br />

– 6-day delivery<br />

– Next-day delivery for 95% of all standard mail<br />

(over-delivery against full postal service obligation)<br />

– Best-in-class service and quality level in Europe<br />

• Prices among the most favorable in Europe<br />

– No price increase for standard letters in 15 years<br />

(last increase in Sept. 1997)<br />

– Average postal services expenditure for German<br />

households below € 5<br />

• State-of-the-art infrastructure<br />

– 20,000 retails outlets and sales points<br />

– EUR 420mn investment in new mail sorting<br />

technology since 2009<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

76


MAIL: Securing Sustainable Profitability<br />

EUR 1bn EBIT secures Mail as a self-financing unit within the group<br />

Beyond 2011<br />

EBIT<br />

stabilize at<br />

~ EUR 1bn level<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

Why EUR 1bn?<br />

Cash<br />

generation<br />

D&A<br />

~ EUR 0.2 bn<br />

EBIT<br />

~ EUR 1bn<br />

Funding<br />

requirements<br />

Share of:<br />

Corp. costs,<br />

tax, dividend, etc<br />

Pensions in excess<br />

of EBIT expenses<br />

Investments<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

77


Disclaimer<br />

This presentation contains certain statements that are neither reported results nor other historical<br />

information. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause<br />

actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Many of these<br />

risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> AG’s ability to control or estimate<br />

precisely, such as future market and economic conditions, the behavior of other market participants, the<br />

ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses and achieve anticipated synergies and the actions of<br />

government regulators. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking<br />

statements, which apply only as of the date of this presentation. <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> AG does not undertake<br />

any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or<br />

circumstances after the date of this presentation.<br />

This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or buy<br />

any security, nor shall there be any sale, issuance or transfer of the securities referred to in this<br />

presentation in any jurisdiction in contravention of applicable law.<br />

Copies of this presentation and any documentation relating to the Offer are not being, and must not be,<br />

directly or indirectly, mailed or otherwise forwarded, distributed or sent in or into or from Australia, Canada<br />

or Japan or any other jurisdiction where to do so would be unlawful.<br />

This document represents the Company‘s judgment as of date of this presentation.<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

78


Investor Relations Contacts<br />

Martin Ziegenbalg, Head of Investor Relations<br />

• +49 228 182 63000<br />

• E-mail: m.ziegenbalg@deutschepost.de<br />

Robert Schneider<br />

• +1 212 672 1729<br />

• E-mail: robert.schneider1@deutschepost.de<br />

Sebastian Slania<br />

• +49 228 182 63203<br />

• E-mail: sebastian.slania@deutschepost.de<br />

Florian Bumberger<br />

• +49 228 182 63208<br />

• E-mail: florian.bumberger@deutschepost.de<br />

Daniel Stengel<br />

• +49 228 182 63202<br />

• E-mail: daniel.stengel@deutschepost.de<br />

Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />

79

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