DZ Bank Roadshow (Munich) - Deutsche Post DHL
DZ Bank Roadshow (Munich) - Deutsche Post DHL
DZ Bank Roadshow (Munich) - Deutsche Post DHL
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<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong><br />
<strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong><br />
Florian Bumberger - Investor Relations<br />
Daniel Stengel - Investor Relations<br />
<strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012
Groundwork laid for profitable growth<br />
Legacy homework done<br />
• Disposals/closure of<br />
underperforming <strong>DHL</strong><br />
operations (e.g. US<br />
Express domestic)<br />
• <strong>Post</strong>bank transaction<br />
• Clean-up of business<br />
portfolio<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
� � �<br />
Building our track record<br />
• Strong operational<br />
performance (2011 EBIT<br />
of € 2.4bn)<br />
• Continuous improvement<br />
in cash generation<br />
• Dividend increased to<br />
€0.70<br />
Profitable growth focus<br />
• MAIL: stabilization of<br />
EBIT at ~EUR 1bn, key<br />
driver parcel growth<br />
• <strong>DHL</strong>: Further leverage<br />
growth and margin<br />
potential of our strong<br />
global footprint: 13–15%<br />
EBIT CAGR in 2010–15<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
2
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> at a Glance<br />
2011 key figures Group: Sales: EUR 52,829mn; EBIT: EUR 2,436mn; Employees 1) : 423,348<br />
Domestic German Mail<br />
and Parcel<br />
Sales: EUR 13,973mn<br />
EBIT: EUR 1,107mn<br />
Empl. 1) : 147,434<br />
The postal service<br />
for Germany<br />
1) Average FTEs FY 2011<br />
International and<br />
Domestic Express<br />
Sales: EUR 11,766mn<br />
EBIT: EUR 927mn<br />
Empl. 1) : 86,100<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Global Air, Ocean and<br />
Road Freight<br />
Sales: EUR 15,044mn<br />
EBIT: EUR 429mn<br />
Empl. 1) : 42,847<br />
The logistics company for the world<br />
Corporate Center / Other: Sales: EUR 1,260mn; EBIT 1) : EUR -389mn<br />
Global Supply<br />
Chain Solutions<br />
Sales: EUR 13,223mn<br />
EBIT: EUR 362mn<br />
Empl. 1) : 133,615<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
3
Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Express<br />
Global Forwarding, Freight<br />
Supply Chain<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
4
Investment of Choice<br />
Dividend development since introduction of new finance policy<br />
88%<br />
0.60<br />
2009<br />
Dividend increased to EUR 0.70<br />
Underlying Payout Ratio 1)<br />
0.65<br />
59%<br />
1) Adjusted for <strong>Post</strong>bank effects as well as non-recurring items booked in 2009 and 2010<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
0.70<br />
58%<br />
2010 2011<br />
• Increase of the dividend of 7.7%<br />
to EUR 0.70<br />
• Adjusted for <strong>Post</strong>bank effects<br />
and non-recurring items this<br />
reflects a payout ratio of 58%<br />
(2010: 59%)<br />
• In line with our dividend policy:<br />
target payout ratio of 40 – 60%<br />
and commitment to dividend<br />
continuity<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
5
Full-year 2012 Guidance Confirmed<br />
2012 EBIT guidance: Mail stabilization and double-digit growth in <strong>DHL</strong><br />
Group<br />
Mail<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> divisions<br />
Corp. Center/<br />
Other<br />
EUR 2.5–2.6bn<br />
EUR 1.0–1.1bn<br />
~ EUR 1.9bn<br />
~ EUR -0.4bn<br />
1) Even excluding positive <strong>Post</strong>bank effects of EUR186m in Q1 2012<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Confirmed<br />
• Capex of ~ EUR 1.8bn<br />
• Tax rate expected at around 27%<br />
• Net profit 1) to improve in line with<br />
operating business<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
6
2015 Targets confirmed – Mail EBIT stabilization,<br />
13-15% growth in <strong>DHL</strong> EBIT to EUR 2.7-2.9bn<br />
1) 2012 Guidance<br />
Group EBIT of € 3,350 to 3,550m in 2015<br />
MAIL<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
Corporate<br />
Centre/Other<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
• EBIT stable at a minimum of € 1bn<br />
– <strong>DHL</strong> EBIT, in €bn –<br />
1.45<br />
1.7<br />
CAGR 13-15%<br />
~1.9 1)<br />
2010 2011 2012 2013<br />
• Improvement to € -350m by 2015<br />
2014<br />
2.7-2.9<br />
2015<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
7
Finance Policy revisited<br />
Target / maintain rating BBB+<br />
1) €0,60/ €0,65/ €0,70 per share for the years 2009, 2010, 2011<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
External cash usage<br />
• Dividend payout ratio to remain between 40–60% of<br />
net profit (continuity and Cash Flow position<br />
considered)<br />
- € 2.4bn1) paid out since January 2010 with dividend<br />
CAGR of 8%<br />
• Excess liquidity will be used for<br />
– Stepwise pension funding<br />
– Share buybacks and/or extraordinary dividends<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
8
Cash conversion<br />
DP<strong>DHL</strong> transitioning to high Cash Flow generation<br />
EBIT<br />
Performance<br />
Mail<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
�Level<br />
of Capex<br />
�Level<br />
of M&A<br />
�Restr. cash<br />
requirement<br />
Special<br />
factors<br />
1998–2007 2008–2010<br />
2011–2013<br />
2014–2015<br />
High, but<br />
decreasing<br />
Low<br />
Average<br />
Very high<br />
Low<br />
State aid (–)<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
High, but<br />
decreasing<br />
Improving<br />
Low<br />
Very low<br />
Very high<br />
State aid (+)<br />
<strong>Post</strong>bank sale (+)<br />
Stable<br />
Strong<br />
improvement<br />
High<br />
Very low<br />
Low<br />
State aid (–)<br />
VAT (–) ?<br />
Stable<br />
High<br />
Average<br />
Very low<br />
Very low<br />
State aid (+) ?<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
9
Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Express<br />
Global Forwarding, Freight<br />
Supply Chain<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
10
Governing hypothesis: Declining mail volumes will be<br />
compensated by parcel growth<br />
While slow Mail decline<br />
is under control ...<br />
1<br />
2<br />
Keeping effects of esubstitution<br />
under control<br />
Exploiting new pricing and<br />
regulatory options<br />
Improving network and<br />
labor flexibility/<br />
productivity<br />
3 6<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
... Parcel will grow<br />
strongly ...<br />
4<br />
5<br />
! We<br />
Shaping and benefiting<br />
from e-commerce<br />
Upgrading parcel<br />
network and services<br />
Boosting parcel<br />
market shares<br />
... resulting in stable<br />
performance<br />
EBIT ≥ EUR 1 bn<br />
compensate Mail decline with<br />
growth in Parcel<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
11
Compared to other markets, mail volumes in Germany are<br />
stabilizing<br />
Addressed mail volume<br />
Percent,<br />
2005 = 100%<br />
110<br />
105<br />
100<br />
95<br />
90<br />
85<br />
80<br />
75<br />
70<br />
Global<br />
economic crisis<br />
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011<br />
USA UK Netherlands<br />
France Austria Germany<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
98<br />
86<br />
79<br />
Rate of e-substitution in Germany is<br />
lower than in other countries<br />
• High quality:<br />
Over 95% D+1 in Germany,<br />
(91% in UK and 85% in France)<br />
• Excellent customer orientation: 95%<br />
satisfaction1) (93% in 2010)<br />
• Many volumes already substituted<br />
• Different mail structure:<br />
volumes in Germany determined by<br />
stable number of households (vs. e.g.<br />
mailed checks in the US)<br />
! Effects of e-substitution<br />
are manageable<br />
Source: Regulatory authorities; USPS; Royal Mail; Austria <strong>Post</strong>, estimate for Austria 2005 (2005 = 2006); figures Germany 2011: internal estimate; 1) Kundenmonitor study 2011: private<br />
mail customers<br />
1<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
12
The new price-cap formula offers opportunities for future<br />
price increase<br />
The new price-cap formula …<br />
• Price-cap = inflation – x-factor<br />
x-factor reduced from 1.8% to 0.6%<br />
• Reference period 1) brought forward<br />
by 6 months<br />
• Regulation valid until<br />
December 31, 2013<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
… provides opportunities for<br />
potential future price increases<br />
No price increase for 2012 – instead<br />
buffer of 1.2% carried over to 2013 2)<br />
Opportunity to increase prices by 0.6 ppt. above<br />
inflation rate in 2013<br />
3.6<br />
3.54) Example : revenue impact based on 2011 revenue<br />
when inflation is 2.2%<br />
EUR billions<br />
3)<br />
+2.8%<br />
! 1) For relevant CPI = German Consumer Price Index; 2) 1.2% = 1.8% inflation rate minus 0.6% x-factor; based on arithmetic average of the monthly CPI values from July 2010 - June<br />
2011; 3) 2,2% inflation rate - 0.6% x-factor + 1.2% carryover = 2.8% price increase; reference period for revenue impact is July 2011 - June 2012;4) 2011 revenues affected by under<br />
price-cap regime<br />
After 15 years, we have the opportunity to compensate<br />
volume decreases also by increasing prices<br />
2<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
13
We are continuously adapting our operations to the<br />
development of mail volumes by increasing efficiency<br />
Sorting<br />
Transport<br />
&<br />
Delivery<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
We are improving our letter mail operations …<br />
• Increase automation rate with state-of-the-art sorting technology (up<br />
to 95% of mail volumes)<br />
• Flexible rerouting and reduction of sorting capacity during lowvolume<br />
periods<br />
• Ongoing reduction of delivery districts and personnel<br />
(17% reduction since 2002)<br />
• Increase of packed and sequenced mail directly transported to<br />
delivery districts (from 70% to over 90%)<br />
• Preventive healthcare measures, new delivery equipment to<br />
significantly reduce sickness rate (currently 4.8%)<br />
• Flexible workforce: over 4,000 employees on call at short notice;<br />
over 9,000 employees on short term contract<br />
… resulting in ample cost flexibility<br />
! We have numerous cost reduction<br />
and optimization levers in place<br />
3<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
14
We have laid the foundation for further increase in labor<br />
productivity<br />
Labor flexibility and productivity Employee satisfaction<br />
Long-term union agreement<br />
New wage agreement<br />
• Starting wages 1) reduced by 4%<br />
• Historic Generations pact:<br />
– Innovative pre-retirement<br />
worktime model<br />
– Over 7,000 applications for<br />
worktime accounts since Jan<br />
2012<br />
• Continued outsourcing<br />
– 990 parcel delivery districts<br />
– 1,000 external<br />
transport drivers<br />
Source: Long-term union agreement (October 6, 2011); wage agreement (January 12, 2012, valid for 15 months); 1) for new employees;<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
! We<br />
• Moderate wage increase of 4%<br />
after 2 years of pay freeze<br />
• One-time payment of<br />
EUR 400 in December 2011<br />
• Commitment to<br />
avoid layoffs for<br />
business<br />
reasons extended<br />
until 2015<br />
have considerable flexibility to<br />
adjust our factor costs<br />
3<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
15
With <strong>DHL</strong> Parcel we are shaping a dynamically growing<br />
market environment<br />
E-commerce is growing strongly ...<br />
E-commerce sales<br />
EUR billions 1)<br />
2011<br />
2020<br />
32<br />
50<br />
+5% p.a.<br />
Share of retail spending<br />
Percent 2)<br />
= 32 bn €<br />
20<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
8<br />
+11% p.a.<br />
= 80 bn €<br />
• Convenience as a key driver for e-commerce:<br />
– 3 out of 4 online shoppers believe<br />
e-commerce has improved their quality of life<br />
– Over 40% claim they save time<br />
... and is driving parcel volumes<br />
German parcel market:<br />
growth of 5-7% p.a. until 2015<br />
! We<br />
1) Bundesverband des Versandhandels; 2) TNS Infratest und MRSC, “Einkaufen 4.0”, Gesellschaft für Konsumforschung<br />
• B2C growth 11-13% p.a.<br />
by e-commerce adoption<br />
independent of GDP development<br />
• B2B growth 3-5% p.a.<br />
depending on GDP and export<br />
development<br />
are profiting from a<br />
fast growing market<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
4<br />
16
Therefore, we are significantly upgrading our parcel network<br />
and business …<br />
We are simplifying our services ...<br />
Network upgrade "Paket 2012"<br />
• Faster, better, more<br />
(capacity up by 40%)<br />
MeinPaket.de<br />
• Top 5 shopping portal<br />
Convenience logistics and Paket.de<br />
• Simplified online shopping solutions<br />
! We<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
... and satisfying our customers<br />
• 79% satisfied B2C customers<br />
(75% in 2010)<br />
• 10 million online shoppers (30%)<br />
insist on delivery by<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> Parcel<br />
• Delivering on customer needs with<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>-Fulfillment &<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> Check-out<br />
• 14% volume increase<br />
(Q1 2012)<br />
are well positioned to benefit from the growing<br />
parcel market and will grow above market average<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
5<br />
17
... to increase our market shares and secure growth rates<br />
above market averages<br />
No. of registered customers …<br />
Millions<br />
0.4<br />
2006<br />
1.5<br />
10<br />
Simplified services …<br />
5.0<br />
Target<br />
2015<br />
• Network upgrade “Paket 2012”<br />
• <strong>DHL</strong>-Fulfillment<br />
• <strong>DHL</strong>-checkout<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
… will boost our<br />
B2C market share<br />
Percent<br />
Parcel<br />
Other<br />
53<br />
47 40<br />
2010<br />
2015<br />
… will help to grow our B2B<br />
market share<br />
Percent<br />
Parcel<br />
Other<br />
19<br />
20-25<br />
81 75<br />
2010<br />
55-60<br />
2015<br />
! Parcel<br />
revenue increase<br />
above market growth<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
2010<br />
2015<br />
Germany is a<br />
solid growth story<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
6<br />
18
Conclusion – we are well on the way to reaching our strategy<br />
2015 targets<br />
EBIT<br />
EUR billions<br />
Customer<br />
satisfaction<br />
Employee<br />
satisfaction<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Halfway through the Strategy 2015, we are on the right<br />
track, despite major challenges!<br />
2009 10 11 12 13 14 2015<br />
Results<br />
1.4 1.1 1.1<br />
93% 93% 95%<br />
66% 74% 76%<br />
Targets<br />
1.0 - 1.1<br />
80%<br />
Targets<br />
≥ 1.0<br />
95% ≥ 95%<br />
! Homework<br />
≥ 90%<br />
done –<br />
we are delivering!<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
19
Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Express<br />
Global Forwarding, Freight<br />
Supply Chain<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
20
Leveraging our strong global footprint<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> revenue development since last Capital Markets Day<br />
Revenue (€m)<br />
EXPRESS<br />
9,917<br />
2009<br />
+19%<br />
11,111<br />
2010<br />
11,766<br />
2011<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
FORWARDING/<br />
FREIGHT SUPPLY CHAIN<br />
11,243<br />
+34%<br />
14,341<br />
15,044<br />
2009 2010 2011<br />
12,183<br />
2009<br />
+9%<br />
13,061<br />
2010<br />
Benefits of economic recovery have outweighed adverse effects from disposals,<br />
portfolio clean-ups and exchange rate changes<br />
13,223<br />
2011<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
21
Continuously improving EBIT margin<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> profitability development since last Capital Markets Day<br />
EBIT margin by division<br />
EXPRESS<br />
2.4%<br />
2009<br />
+550 bp<br />
7.1%<br />
2010<br />
7.8%<br />
2011<br />
Remarks: Figures 2009 and 2010: underlying EBIT margin; bp= basis points<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
FORWARDING/<br />
FREIGHT SUPPLY CHAIN<br />
2.4%<br />
2009<br />
+50 bp<br />
2.7%<br />
2010<br />
2.9%<br />
2011<br />
-1.1%<br />
2009<br />
+380 bp<br />
2.1%<br />
2010<br />
EBIT margin increase driven by streamlined business and contract portfolio,<br />
better capacity utilization and improved internal processes<br />
2.7%<br />
2011<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
22
<strong>DHL</strong> – The Leading International Logistics Player in China<br />
Market<br />
position<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
growth<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
• World´s economic growth engine<br />
• Shift from export- to domestic-driven economy<br />
EXPRESS FORWARDING SUPPLY CHAIN<br />
• Market leader in TDI<br />
• Market share > 30%<br />
• Pioneer in the market<br />
(since 1980)<br />
• 50% JV with Sinotrans<br />
• Disposal of Domestic<br />
Express<br />
• Market Leader in Air<br />
freight<br />
• Top 2 player in Ocean<br />
freight, very close to<br />
market leader<br />
• Top 3 international<br />
player<br />
• Very fragmented<br />
market<br />
• With wide variety of<br />
business models,<br />
service and quality<br />
TDI shipments/day CAGR Volume CAGR Organic revenue CAGR<br />
2011<br />
2011 2011<br />
2011<br />
2009<br />
+14%<br />
+7%<br />
+11%<br />
2009 2009<br />
OFR (TEU) AFR (tons)<br />
+28%<br />
2009<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
23
<strong>DHL</strong> – The Leading International Logistics Player in India<br />
Population:<br />
• 3 times the US population<br />
• 15 times the GER population<br />
GDP Growth 1)<br />
• 3 times US<br />
• 2.5 times GER<br />
Area: 3,287,263 sq km<br />
• One third of US area<br />
• 9 times of GER area<br />
GDP (nominal) 1)<br />
• < 10 % of US GDP<br />
• Half of Germany’s<br />
GDP<br />
Source: DP<strong>DHL</strong> market intelligence, IHS Global; 1) OECD 2010 GDP data<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
International<br />
1,551 employees<br />
25,714 locations<br />
Domestic<br />
7,108 employees<br />
25,646 locations<br />
~ 1,100 employees<br />
~ 32 locations<br />
~ 700 employees<br />
360,000 m 2<br />
2010 Market<br />
Position & Share<br />
# 1<br />
> 40%<br />
# 1<br />
Air > 40%<br />
Ground ~ 9%<br />
# 1<br />
AFR ~ 20 %<br />
OFR ~ 4%<br />
# 1<br />
~ 2%<br />
2009-11<br />
revenue<br />
CAGR<br />
+22%<br />
+25%<br />
+20%<br />
+30%<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
24
Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Express<br />
Global Forwarding, Freight<br />
Supply Chain<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
25
<strong>DHL</strong> EXPRESS – 2015 EBIT target and key levers<br />
€ 785m<br />
€ 288m<br />
€ 497m<br />
1)<br />
2)<br />
2010<br />
Business<br />
stabilization<br />
1) Underlying EBIT; 2) Reported EBIT<br />
€ 927m<br />
2011<br />
Invest for growth<br />
2012<br />
Market share<br />
growth<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Key growth and margin levers<br />
1. Be strong in fastest growing regions<br />
2. Focus on TDI<br />
+13-15% CAGR<br />
3. Further improve customer satisfaction<br />
4. Continue investments in network<br />
and service<br />
5. Leverage cross BU opportunities<br />
6. Manage cost through operating leverage<br />
7. Increase brand awareness<br />
2013<br />
Margin<br />
acceleration<br />
2014<br />
Convergence<br />
2015<br />
Renewal<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
26
<strong>DHL</strong> EXPRESS – Time Definite International focus<br />
What?<br />
Who?<br />
Why?<br />
• Documents (e.g.<br />
contracts)<br />
• Parcels (e.g. spare parts,<br />
samples)<br />
• Full pallets and even nonconveyable<br />
• Business customers with<br />
B2B shipments<br />
• Growing B2C through<br />
international eCommerce<br />
• Time criticality<br />
• Guaranteed delivery<br />
• Full track and trace<br />
• Insured high value<br />
• Supported customs<br />
handling<br />
• “Exotic” destination<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
• Scheduled express network<br />
• Time definite products (e.g. pre 9, pre 12, next day<br />
delivery) supported by industry specific solutions<br />
(e.g. Medical Express, Collect and Return)<br />
• International door-to-door coverage<br />
• Customs expertise<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
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The most international company in the world<br />
Presence in over 220 countries and territories, pioneering<br />
Express business in many locations<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
28
Strong presence in fastest growing regions<br />
External research underlines <strong>DHL</strong> EXPRESS’ TDI leadership<br />
across all regions outside the Americas<br />
Americas [€ 5,387m]<br />
UPS<br />
32%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
13%<br />
Others<br />
4%<br />
EEMEA [€ 544m]<br />
Others<br />
18%<br />
TNT<br />
17%<br />
UPS<br />
12%<br />
FedEx<br />
51%<br />
FedEx<br />
6%<br />
Source: Market Intelligence 2011 (FY 2010 data, MRSC); Scope: BE, CH, DE, ES, FR, IT, NL, PL, SE, UK, IE; AE, RU, TR, ZA; AU, CN, HK, IN, JP, KR, SG, TW; US, CA, MX, BR<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Europe [€ 5,788m]<br />
FedEx<br />
11%<br />
TNT<br />
16%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
47%<br />
Others<br />
12%<br />
Asia Pacific [€ 5,429m]<br />
Others<br />
27%<br />
TNT<br />
6%<br />
UPS<br />
10%<br />
UPS<br />
23%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
38%<br />
FedEx<br />
21%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
36%<br />
<strong>DHL</strong><br />
EXPRESS‘<br />
global<br />
market share<br />
TDI of 30%<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
29
Focus on TDI<br />
Express strategy to focus on TDI is crucial to further drive EBIT<br />
and margin development<br />
Revenue contribution<br />
by product (FY 2011)<br />
Other;<br />
26%<br />
TDD;<br />
11%<br />
Positive TDI<br />
revenue share<br />
development<br />
1) ACS: Air Capacity Sales<br />
TDI;<br />
63%<br />
Other,<br />
42%<br />
TDI<br />
TDD<br />
Other<br />
(incl. DDI, DDD,<br />
ACS 1) Same Day)<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
> Above <strong>DHL</strong> Express average < At or below <strong>DHL</strong> Express average<br />
Product<br />
2009<br />
TDI;<br />
58%<br />
Margin<br />
><br />
><br />
<<br />
Aspiration<br />
Other,<br />
39%<br />
2010<br />
TDI;<br />
61%<br />
Comment<br />
• Complementary offer<br />
Focus Strategy<br />
• Core competence with dedicated<br />
scheduled network<br />
• Volume shift to TD platform<br />
• Opportunistic offer for additional<br />
cost recovery<br />
• Divest over time<br />
Other,<br />
37%<br />
2011<br />
TDI;<br />
63%<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
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Manage cost through operating leverage<br />
Our overall network setup as well as concrete programs support the<br />
translation of volumes into additional EBIT<br />
Overhead cost<br />
Save >1%<br />
of revenue<br />
• Reduction of Sales, general and<br />
admin expenses as % of revenue<br />
– IT Convergence<br />
– E-Com Tools<br />
– Improved span of control<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
PuD and handling<br />
Save 2.5%<br />
per move p.a.<br />
• NOEP (Network Optimization and<br />
Efficiency Program) to reduce<br />
ground handling cost<br />
• Re-fleeting with shelf vehicles<br />
optimize processes and reduce<br />
fuel and emissions<br />
• Fuel price volatility: Industry wide transparent fuel surcharge mechanism<br />
• FX rate exposure: Global currency portfolio as natural hedge on currency volatility<br />
One virtual airline<br />
Stabilize<br />
• Capacity management to<br />
stabilize CpK (Cost per Kilo)<br />
• Reduction of commercial air<br />
capacity by improved forecasting<br />
• Flexible leasing arrangements<br />
• Modernization of fleet to reduce<br />
fuel and carbon emissions<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
31
Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Express<br />
Global Forwarding, Freight<br />
Supply Chain<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
32
Our Global Forwarding, Freight strategy is designed to<br />
improve key levers and therefore have positive impact on EBIT<br />
€ 383m<br />
€ 429m<br />
2010 2011<br />
2015<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Key levers with impact on EBIT 2012-2015<br />
+13-15% CAGR<br />
Volume & GP Improvement<br />
� Volume growth due to exposures to emerging<br />
markets<br />
� GP margin improvement due to enhanced IT<br />
(enhanced buying due to better transparency)<br />
Cost Improvements<br />
� Productivity gains due to economies of scale<br />
� Indirect costs savings due to optimization of<br />
regional and country organizational structures<br />
� Efficiency gains due to new IT<br />
Road Freight<br />
+13%-15%<br />
CAGR<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
33
Sustainable growth: clear ambition to further strengthen<br />
our leadership<br />
Source: Official company publications/ estimates (2011)<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Overall, we are well positioned in the industry.<br />
However, our aspiration is to be the undisputed<br />
market leader!<br />
Situation: Good market position Aspiration: Great market position Our growth approach<br />
Air Freight No. 1 (2011)<br />
1,149<br />
1,073<br />
848<br />
2,447<br />
Ocean Freight No. 2 (2011)<br />
1,763<br />
1,310<br />
(in K tons)<br />
3,274<br />
2,724<br />
(in K TEUs)<br />
VS.<br />
Air Freight No. 1<br />
�DGF has<br />
a larger<br />
lead over<br />
competitors<br />
Ocean Freight No. 1<br />
�DGF<br />
grows<br />
faster than<br />
competitors<br />
to take the<br />
lead<br />
• Focus on profitable business in<br />
DGF’s core products<br />
• Emerging markets – grow intraregional<br />
lanes, BRICM, Next 11<br />
• Improved sales force<br />
effectiveness<br />
• More global multinational<br />
customers with new sales channel<br />
expansion plan<br />
• More SME customers served by a<br />
new telesales channel, targets to<br />
reduce churn<br />
• Improve service quality and<br />
increase customer satisfaction<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
34
Maximized profitability: direct operating expense is key lever<br />
for EBIT conversion improvement<br />
DGFF Gross Profit to EBIT conversion 2011<br />
(in €m)<br />
3,522<br />
Gross<br />
Profit<br />
2,991<br />
65%<br />
5%<br />
30%<br />
DOE +<br />
SLA 1<br />
Staff<br />
Costs<br />
Travel &<br />
Telecom<br />
Other<br />
101<br />
Depr.<br />
1) SLA = Service Level Agreement, DOE = Direct Operating Expense<br />
429<br />
EBIT<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Maximizing profit by cost management focus<br />
• In 2011 Sales Direct Operating Expense<br />
(DOE) reduced in reaction to slowdown in<br />
market volumes<br />
• Executed optimization of head offices<br />
organizational structures to reduce costs<br />
and to better position DGFF for growth<br />
• Further streamlining through country<br />
alignment program under way, which is<br />
expected to bring cost benefits<br />
• Special management focus on turn around<br />
of underperforming countries<br />
• Staff costs represent the largest part of DOE<br />
but significant productivity gains without<br />
automation will not be possible<br />
• Therefore, DGFF needs better IT platform to<br />
bring productivity on new level and DGFF is<br />
investing in a transformational program –<br />
New Forwarding Environment<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
35
New Forwarding Environment (NFE) –<br />
Thinking today about tomorrow<br />
Innovation will drive<br />
top-line revenue<br />
growth<br />
NFE program will<br />
underpin profitable<br />
growth for <strong>DHL</strong><br />
Global Forwarding<br />
Timeline?<br />
• Forerunner pilots ongoing; full IT pilots Q2 2013<br />
• Roll-out by 2014/ 2015<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
NFE is the business<br />
transformation program of<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> Global Forwarding to<br />
underpin its market<br />
position as industry leader<br />
Standardization and<br />
industrialization allows significant<br />
bottom-line cost reductions<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
36
Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Express<br />
Global Forwarding, Freight<br />
Supply Chain<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
37
<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain is uniquely positioned to benefit from key<br />
market trends<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
Continued<br />
outsourcing<br />
Emergence<br />
of a global<br />
market<br />
Broader<br />
solutions<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Increasing trend towards outsourcing with<br />
larger players winning bigger deals,<br />
especially with first time outsourcing clients<br />
Transforming from a local business into a<br />
global industry, beneficial for truly<br />
international providers<br />
Customers are demanding broader scope<br />
of service provision from fewer providers<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 38
<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain is resilient to economic downturn<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain resilience factors<br />
• Long term contracts<br />
• Asset light business<br />
• Flexible cost base<br />
• No exposure to fuel price volatility<br />
• Appropriate share of open book<br />
contracts<br />
• Stable outsourcing trend, also in<br />
times of crisis<br />
• Broad diversification<br />
Details<br />
following<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 39
Balanced revenue portfolio by service<br />
Revenue 2011 by service Comments<br />
Warehousing<br />
49%<br />
Value Added Services<br />
• Increasing share<br />
of Value Added<br />
Services<br />
– New products<br />
and solutions<br />
–Attractive<br />
growth rates<br />
– Superior<br />
margins<br />
– Increased<br />
customer<br />
retention<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 40<br />
11%<br />
11%<br />
29%<br />
Williams Lea<br />
Transport
Our strategic programs are delivering<br />
continuous margin improvement<br />
EBIT 1)<br />
€ 272m<br />
Continuous<br />
Improvement<br />
€ 362m<br />
2010 2011<br />
2015<br />
1) “Like for Like” EBIT mainly excluding restructuring<br />
Profitable<br />
Growth<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
+13-15% CAGR<br />
Contract Lifecycle Management<br />
Standardization & Replication<br />
Sector Focus<br />
Quarterly EBIT % has increased<br />
over the previous year for the<br />
last 11 quarters 1)<br />
+13%-15% CAGR<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 41
Contract Lifecycle Management<br />
Continuous feedback loops improve project selection,<br />
design, execution and overall performance<br />
Rigorous<br />
Opportunity<br />
Assessment<br />
Contract<br />
Renewal<br />
Project Selection<br />
& Solution Design<br />
Account<br />
Management<br />
Approval<br />
~1,000+<br />
projects per<br />
year<br />
Implementation &<br />
Operational<br />
Execution<br />
<strong>Post</strong> Contract<br />
Review<br />
Contract Lifecycle Management<br />
Standardization & Replication<br />
Continued Sector Focus Profitable Growth<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 42
Standardization & Replication of global products<br />
Global products development Overview of global products<br />
Assess<br />
Develop<br />
Grow<br />
Identify solutions with<br />
potential for growth and<br />
differentiation<br />
Define standards and<br />
leverage best practice<br />
globally<br />
Focus on target<br />
customers, enable teams,<br />
and grow the product<br />
globally<br />
Co-Packing<br />
Lead Logistics<br />
Provider<br />
Marketing<br />
Solutions<br />
Technical Services<br />
Airline Business<br />
Solutions<br />
Life Sciences &<br />
Healthcare Platform<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 43
Continued profitable growth through Sector Focus<br />
Consumer Energy & Chemicals<br />
Automotive<br />
Retail<br />
Life Sciences & Healthcare<br />
Technology<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
• Differentiation through sector<br />
specific solutions<br />
• Truly global sector expert<br />
communities, speaking the<br />
language of customers<br />
Standardization & Replication<br />
• Leverage sector expertise to<br />
drive growth, especially in first<br />
time outsourcing and in Emerging<br />
Markets<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 44
Corporate Center / Other<br />
Aiming to reduce cost of Corporate Center / Other activities<br />
to € -350m by 2015<br />
CC / Other cost structure, 2011<br />
Investments into<br />
growth & crossdiv.<br />
initiatives<br />
(e.g. “Go”<br />
initiatives,<br />
Smart Truck,<br />
Cold Chain)<br />
100% = € ~400m 1)<br />
~20%<br />
~25%<br />
~50%<br />
~55%<br />
~25%<br />
Core Corporate Center costs, e.g.<br />
• Group Finance, e.g. Internal Audit,<br />
Treasury, Tax<br />
• Corporate Communications<br />
• Corporate Development<br />
• Corporate Executive HR<br />
• …<br />
1) excluding gains/losses from central FX hedging measures<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Corporate<br />
bodies (e.g.<br />
CB, SVB)<br />
and legal<br />
obligations/<br />
foundations<br />
Reduction to € -350m by 2015<br />
2011 1) 2015 1)<br />
€ -400m<br />
€ -350m<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
45
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
SUMMARY<br />
Focus on organic profitable growth in structurally growing markets<br />
• Strong start into 2012<br />
• Mail EBIT stabilization levers materializing; benefits from<br />
strong growth in parcel and digital services<br />
• Logistics industry driven by growth in global trade<br />
• <strong>DHL</strong> is market leader in Asia and other growth regions<br />
• Further margin potential due to operating leverage<br />
and efficiency improvements<br />
• Well on track towards Strategy 2015 goals<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
46
Agenda<br />
Delivering strong performance across all divisions<br />
Mail: strategic levers for EBIT stabilization in place<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>: strong positioning in structural growth markets<br />
Appendix<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
47
Q1 2012 Highlights<br />
Strategic and Financial Performance Trends intact<br />
Key growth trends<br />
Parcel Germany volumes<br />
Express TDI volumes<br />
Forwarding, Freight revenue<br />
Supply Chain revenue<br />
<strong>DHL</strong>, Q1 EBIT margin by Division<br />
4.2%<br />
2010<br />
yoy change<br />
+13.6%<br />
+9.6%<br />
+2.4%<br />
+6.0%<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> emerging markets sales growth<br />
Asia Pacific<br />
Latin America<br />
Africa / Middle East<br />
revenue, yoy change<br />
Express Forwarding, Freight Supply Chain<br />
7.8%<br />
7.6%<br />
2011 2012<br />
1.7%<br />
2.4%<br />
2.0% 1.8%<br />
2010 2011 2012<br />
2010<br />
2.4%<br />
2011<br />
+12.1%<br />
+11.9%<br />
+15.1%<br />
2.7%<br />
2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
48
Group P&L Q1 2012<br />
Continued strong performance<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT<br />
t/o Mail<br />
t/o <strong>DHL</strong><br />
Financial result<br />
Taxes<br />
Consolidated<br />
net profit 1)<br />
EPS (in EUR)<br />
Q1<br />
2011<br />
12,807<br />
629<br />
373<br />
363<br />
-161<br />
-117<br />
325<br />
0.27<br />
1) Attributable to <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> AG shareholders<br />
Q1<br />
2012<br />
13,364<br />
691<br />
393<br />
409<br />
76<br />
-207<br />
533<br />
0.44<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Chg.<br />
4.3%<br />
+9.9%<br />
+5.4%<br />
+12.7%<br />
NA<br />
-76.9%<br />
64.0%<br />
63.0%<br />
• Revenue increase of +4.3% driven by all<br />
divisions with <strong>DHL</strong> Express showing<br />
strongest growth. Organic growth of +3.5%<br />
• EBIT improved strongly in the <strong>DHL</strong> divisions<br />
while MAIL also grew supported by solid<br />
business performance and one additional<br />
working day<br />
• Financial result was impacted by final<br />
<strong>Post</strong>bank accounting effect of EUR 186m<br />
compared to EUR -56m last year<br />
• Tax rate at 27%<br />
• Consolidated net profit and EPS improved<br />
strongly due to underlying earnings growth<br />
as well as the deconsolidation effect of<br />
<strong>Post</strong>bank<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
49
<strong>Post</strong>bank Transaction Successfully Completed<br />
Focus on core competencies in mail and global logistics businesses<br />
1) Projected<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
• Sale of <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong>bank announced September 2008<br />
P&L<br />
effect<br />
Cash<br />
effect<br />
2009 2010 2011 2012 1)<br />
4.9bn – – –<br />
∑ EUR<br />
1,095m 1,569m -301m 186m 2.5bn<br />
4.9bn<br />
Transaction completed on 28 February 2012<br />
Expected final P&L effect of EUR 186m to be booked in Q1 12<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
50
Highlights Mail Q1 2012<br />
Strong parcel growth accelerates even further into the year<br />
Milestones<br />
• Parcel Germany continues to grow strongly<br />
• Mail Communication volume decline in line<br />
with expectations (-2.7% per working day)<br />
• Global Mail: optimization of business<br />
portfolio begins to pay off<br />
• Wage increase effective only as<br />
of April 1, 2012<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Mail communication volumes<br />
m units<br />
2.047<br />
Parcel volumes<br />
m units<br />
206<br />
1.842<br />
194<br />
-1.1%<br />
1.861<br />
205<br />
2.059<br />
265<br />
2.024<br />
Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12<br />
+13.6%<br />
234<br />
Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
51
Mail – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />
Strong parcel growth supports top and bottom line<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT<br />
Operating Cash<br />
Flow<br />
Capex<br />
Q1<br />
2011<br />
3,520<br />
373<br />
-148<br />
48<br />
Q1<br />
2012<br />
3,557<br />
393<br />
-206<br />
35<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Chg.<br />
1.1%<br />
5.4%<br />
-39.2%<br />
-27.1%<br />
• Revenue growth reflects parcel<br />
performance and one additional working<br />
day in Q1 2012<br />
yoy working days in Germany<br />
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4<br />
+1 -1 -1 -2<br />
• EBIT improved due to strong parcel<br />
business and continued cost control<br />
• Operating cash flow contains annual<br />
cash contribution to civil servants pension<br />
fund (EUR 530m) and working capital<br />
effect from discontinuation of a factoring<br />
program (EUR 139m)<br />
• Capex below last year´s level due to<br />
timing effects<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
52
All business departments contribute to the successful<br />
stabilization and show excellent performance<br />
Mail<br />
Parcel<br />
Dialogue<br />
Marketing<br />
Global Mail<br />
Volume<br />
billion pieces<br />
2010 2011<br />
7.8<br />
0.8<br />
10.4<br />
6.0<br />
2010<br />
7.8<br />
0.9<br />
10.2<br />
3.0<br />
2011<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
0%<br />
+10%<br />
-1%<br />
-50%<br />
Market share in<br />
Germany<br />
Percent<br />
64 1)<br />
40<br />
14<br />
! Our stable development is exemplary<br />
Volume development<br />
2010-11, percent<br />
Unaddressed Addressed<br />
1<br />
-4<br />
DP<br />
0<br />
10<br />
-5<br />
Int. Peers 2)<br />
-4<br />
6<br />
-4<br />
NL and UK shut down<br />
Focus today<br />
Effects of<br />
e-substitution<br />
under control<br />
E-commerce<br />
boosts<br />
volumes<br />
stable and<br />
profitable<br />
revenues<br />
1) relevant segment: business customers only; 36% of business mail is placed with competitors; final delivery of all letter mail by <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong>: 87%; 2) incl. USPS, <strong>Post</strong> NL, Swiss<br />
<strong>Post</strong>, la <strong>Post</strong>e, Royal Mail and ÖPAG<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
53
Alongside e-commerce, we are developing additional digital<br />
services that will contribute to mid- and long-term growth<br />
We are driving<br />
e-commerce<br />
• MeinPaket.de<br />
• Top 5 shopping portal<br />
• 4,000 traders<br />
• 4.5 million articles<br />
• 550,000 customers<br />
• Paket.de<br />
• Online payment systems<br />
• Easy shipment tracing<br />
• Routing<br />
1) German Online-Marketing market 2011 at EUR ~4 billion EUR, growing >10% p.a.<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
We are shaping secure<br />
digital communication<br />
E-<strong>Post</strong>brief<br />
• "trusted transactions online"<br />
• 1 million private customers<br />
• Development of<br />
online identification,<br />
e-payment, etc.<br />
to penetrate B2C market<br />
! We<br />
We are enabling growth<br />
in online marketing 1)<br />
Digital business models<br />
• Display advertising<br />
• Build up of crossmedia and<br />
multi-channel services<br />
are successfully expanding into<br />
the digital arena<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
54
Express – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />
Robust business development across all regions<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT<br />
Operating Cash<br />
Flow<br />
Capex<br />
Q1<br />
2011<br />
2,750<br />
214<br />
133<br />
82<br />
Q1<br />
2012<br />
3,020<br />
231<br />
-45<br />
127<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Chg.<br />
9.8%<br />
7.9%<br />
NA<br />
54.9%<br />
• Revenues increased primarily due to strong<br />
TDI volume performance driven by positive<br />
development in all regions<br />
• EBIT development slightly below<br />
revenue due to incremental aviation<br />
network investment<br />
• Operating cash flow below last year due to<br />
working capital development and timing of<br />
restructuring cash-out (EUR 88m)<br />
• Higher Capex due to air network investments<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
55
Continue investment into network and service quality<br />
Continuous network enhancements improve our service quality<br />
and secure the competitive advantage<br />
Hong Kong<br />
(HKG)<br />
Building of<br />
Shanghai hub:<br />
US$175m<br />
Los Angeles<br />
(LAX)<br />
• One day transit time from<br />
AP to US<br />
• Latest pick-up cut-off from<br />
US West Coast to Europe<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Expansion of<br />
Cincinnati hub:<br />
US$47m<br />
Cincinnati<br />
(CVG)<br />
New round the world flight as of March 2012<br />
Leipzig<br />
(LEJ)<br />
Bahrain<br />
(BAH)<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 56
Leverage cross business unit opportunities<br />
Leverage of one <strong>DHL</strong> helps to manage risks and recover high<br />
investments for network expansion<br />
Intercon. capacity – utilization – DGF contribution<br />
CAGR +30%<br />
1.5<br />
Capacity million Tons<br />
1.0<br />
0.5<br />
0.0<br />
1) Including regional capacities<br />
WLF: 70%<br />
2009<br />
WLF: 79%<br />
2010<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
WLF: 75%<br />
2011<br />
Weight Load Factor<br />
(Core TDI & Non Core (ACS) Volumes)<br />
• DGF contributes<br />
continuously around 18% to<br />
our overall cargo loads 1)<br />
• DGF is our no. 1 ACS<br />
customer<br />
• For DGF we improved from<br />
no. 8 in 2010 to the no. 3<br />
supplier in Q1 2012<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
57
Increase brand awareness<br />
Successful advertising will continue, supported by selected<br />
sponsorships<br />
TV<br />
Print<br />
OOH &<br />
Online<br />
@<br />
TV spot aired approx.<br />
83,000 times on more than<br />
280 TV stations<br />
Radio spot aired approx. 39,000<br />
times on over 210 radio stations<br />
1,300 Ads in approx.<br />
400 Magazines, Newspapers &<br />
Trade Press<br />
3.5 billion online banner<br />
impressions & more than<br />
5 million clicks<br />
Rolled out in 44 countries in<br />
25 languages worldwide<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Results<br />
• <strong>DHL</strong> EXPRESS maintained highest<br />
global advertising awareness (69%)<br />
of all EXPRESS providers and<br />
improved the prior levels by 3%<br />
• Creative execution well received with<br />
79% likeability for the TV commercial<br />
and above benchmark image<br />
perception for all executions<br />
• Brand awareness is industry-leading<br />
at 92% globally with AP (95%) and<br />
EU (94%) exceeding the global score<br />
• The campaign has a strong positive<br />
influence in shaping the perception<br />
of the <strong>DHL</strong> EXPRESS image as<br />
TDI provider<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
58
Global Forwarding, Freight – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />
EBIT conversion improved despite volatile market environment<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT<br />
Operating Cash<br />
Flow<br />
Capex<br />
Q1<br />
2011<br />
3,599<br />
71<br />
121<br />
21<br />
Q1<br />
2012<br />
3,686<br />
87<br />
125<br />
32<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Chg.<br />
2.4%<br />
22.5%<br />
3.3%<br />
52.4%<br />
• Modest revenue growth reflects the mixed<br />
volume development<br />
• EBIT increase driven by gross profit growth<br />
and 100bp improvement in GP/EBIT<br />
conversion reflecting increased efficiency<br />
• Cash flow remains on the strong level of<br />
last year<br />
• Capex increase reflects ongoing investments<br />
in IT environment<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
59
Maximized profitability: GP on product level reflects our size<br />
advantage and product portfolio<br />
24.2%<br />
19.9%<br />
DGF<br />
comparable1) DGF<br />
20.7%<br />
18.9%<br />
DGF<br />
comparable1) DGF<br />
Gross Profit margin 2011<br />
(in %, Air Freight)<br />
23.4%<br />
21.6%<br />
Gross Profit margin 2011<br />
(in %, Ocean Freight)<br />
20.6%<br />
21.6%<br />
21.0%<br />
19.0%<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
• Performance benchmarking on product<br />
level is impacted by differences in<br />
accounting – key DGF competitors<br />
allocate value added services to AFR<br />
or OFR<br />
• DGF has chosen to account for VAS<br />
separately under category called ‘Others’.<br />
This allows to measure true performance on<br />
product level<br />
• When relevant VAS (customs, handling,<br />
cartage) are allocated to AFR & OFR to<br />
improve comparability, DGF’s GP margin<br />
is in line with peers<br />
• GP margin in AFR benefits from DGF’s<br />
large scale, while OFR reflects its share of<br />
uncontrolled volumes<br />
What about fuel costs?<br />
Fuel costs have not a significant impact on DGF<br />
as they are pass through costs<br />
1) Including value-added services; Note: GP margin absolute level not fully comparable due to different revenue recognition principles across competitors<br />
Source: Official company publications<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
60
NFE is a holistic transformation program, game changing for<br />
our industry<br />
Current limitation/<br />
Industry trend<br />
Focus on value<br />
added services<br />
Strong network<br />
capabilities with<br />
higher<br />
transparency<br />
Boundaries for<br />
further DOE<br />
efficiency in<br />
current IT<br />
landscape<br />
From …<br />
Heterogeneous<br />
and complex<br />
pricing and<br />
contracting<br />
procedures<br />
Local and<br />
suboptimal,<br />
mostly<br />
historically<br />
driven, routing<br />
Manual and<br />
reactive<br />
processes<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
To…<br />
Modular product offering<br />
Transparent adaptable<br />
product and tariff structure<br />
designed to market needs<br />
Transparent routing<br />
decisions<br />
IT-supported routing<br />
decisions based on global<br />
data transparency<br />
Active event management<br />
Industrialized processes,<br />
incident management, and<br />
proactive notification<br />
• NFE is being financed almost entirely via P&L<br />
• Significant costs for NFE booked in 2011 and planned for 2012–2014<br />
• First benefits of program evident in reduced IT run costs<br />
Strategy pillar<br />
Sustainable<br />
Growth<br />
Customer/<br />
Operational<br />
Excellence<br />
Maximized<br />
Profitability<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
61
Supply Chain – Divisional Results Q1 2012<br />
Operational improvements contribute to EBIT increase<br />
EUR m<br />
Revenue<br />
EBIT<br />
Operating Cash<br />
Flow<br />
Capex<br />
New gains<br />
Q1<br />
2011<br />
3,216<br />
78<br />
56<br />
60<br />
Contracts won – Annualized revenue<br />
320<br />
Q1<br />
2012<br />
3,409<br />
91<br />
39<br />
65<br />
190<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Chg.<br />
6.0%<br />
16.7%<br />
-30.4%<br />
8.3%<br />
• Revenue above last year due to increased<br />
volumes and new contracts. Organic revenue<br />
growth at 5.7%<br />
• The EBIT rose primarily due to the higher<br />
revenues, further contract mix optimization<br />
and continued cost efficiencies from<br />
operational and overhead leverage<br />
• Operating cash flow comparison influenced<br />
by timing effects on pension cash-outs<br />
• Capex reflects investments in new contracts<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
62
Strong cash generating business with negative working capital<br />
Organic revenue growth<br />
-5.7%<br />
2009<br />
Operating cash flow, €m<br />
3.4%<br />
2010<br />
+230 bp<br />
5.7%<br />
2011<br />
EBIT 1) , €m<br />
Revenue € 12,183m €13,061m €13,223m Margin<br />
424<br />
2009<br />
-19% +15%<br />
343<br />
2010<br />
1) “Like for Like” EBIT mainly excluding restructuring<br />
394<br />
2011<br />
Asset mix<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 63<br />
182<br />
2009<br />
1.5%<br />
Intangible Assets<br />
(mainly customer lists)<br />
Operating Assets<br />
(mainly fixed assets)<br />
Goodwill<br />
+49%<br />
15%<br />
272<br />
2010<br />
+33%<br />
362<br />
2011<br />
2.1% 2.7%<br />
(100% = € 3.1bn)<br />
17%<br />
68%<br />
ROCE up 310 bps from 2010 to 2011
Contract Logistics is a large and growing market with<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain being number 1 by far<br />
Total market size, €bn Top 3 market shares, 2011<br />
Outsourced Contract Logistics<br />
In house Logistics<br />
969<br />
155<br />
813<br />
2011<br />
1,178<br />
203<br />
975<br />
2015<br />
CAGR<br />
5%<br />
Largest providers<br />
Other<br />
88% ~12%<br />
~12%<br />
Largest<br />
providers<br />
CEVA<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 64<br />
7.7%<br />
2.4%<br />
2.1%<br />
DSC<br />
K+N
Balanced revenue portfolio by customer size<br />
Revenue 2011 by account size Comments<br />
> €200m<br />
€100-200m<br />
19%<br />
22%<br />
15%<br />
€50-100m<br />
< €15m<br />
€15-50m<br />
• Broad customer<br />
portfolio across<br />
all size clusters<br />
• Double digit<br />
growth from<br />
global top<br />
customers<br />
• Many of our top<br />
customers are<br />
distributed across<br />
all regions<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 65<br />
22%<br />
22%
Balanced revenue portfolio by sector<br />
Revenue 2011 by sector Comments<br />
Energy & Other<br />
Auto<br />
Tech<br />
7%<br />
9%<br />
12%<br />
Williams Lea<br />
9%<br />
17%<br />
Life Sciences &<br />
Healthcare<br />
(details to follow)<br />
Retail<br />
26%<br />
• Balanced industry<br />
sector coverage<br />
• Dedicated global<br />
sector teams<br />
• Deep sector<br />
expertise<br />
including to sub<br />
sector level<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 66<br />
20%<br />
Consumer
Sector example: Life Sciences & Healthcare – <strong>DHL</strong> offering<br />
Life Sciences & Healthcare<br />
market position<br />
• World-wide number 1 logistics<br />
provider<br />
• Global network of more than 30<br />
dedicated competence centers<br />
• Over 150 LS&HC facilities worldwide<br />
• Community of >4,000 dedicated and<br />
trained experts in over 40 countries<br />
• Dedicated industry solutions,<br />
leveraging all <strong>DHL</strong> divisions and<br />
transport modes<br />
Cross <strong>DHL</strong> customers<br />
Standardization & Replication<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012 <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 67
Sector example: Life Sciences & Healthcare – DSC footprint<br />
<strong>DHL</strong> Supply Chain LS&HC footprint<br />
• € 2.2bn revenues 1)<br />
• >20 countries<br />
• ~100 sites with ~1m sqm warehouse<br />
capacity<br />
3%<br />
7%<br />
19%<br />
71%<br />
Other<br />
Medical Devices<br />
Pharmaceuticals<br />
Healthcare Services 1)<br />
1) Including procurement business in UK for NHS, the national public health services provider<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Offering<br />
Standardization & Replication<br />
• Fully compliant warehouses<br />
• Distribution and transport management<br />
• Value added services, e.g.<br />
– Clinical trials<br />
– Kitting<br />
– Direct to pharmacy<br />
– Reverse logistics<br />
Video example<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page 68
Main investment themes 2011-2013<br />
Temporarily high investment levels, but with significant current and future<br />
benefits<br />
Mail<br />
Express<br />
Forwarding,<br />
Freight<br />
Supply Chain<br />
Investments<br />
• Parcel sorting<br />
• E-initiatives<br />
• Aviation network<br />
• AP&P<br />
• Training<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Investment types<br />
Capex<br />
Capex / Opex<br />
Capex / Opex<br />
Opex<br />
Opex<br />
Benefits<br />
Revenue growth Productivity gain<br />
• NFE Capex / Opex X X<br />
• Investment in<br />
new growth<br />
X<br />
X<br />
X<br />
X<br />
X<br />
Capex / Opex X<br />
X<br />
X<br />
X<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> | Page<br />
69
Cash conversion – FY 2011<br />
Cash consumption between EBITDA and Free Cash Flow driven<br />
by Capex, provision utilization and taxes<br />
+2,436<br />
EBIT<br />
+1,274<br />
Depreciation<br />
+3,710<br />
EBITDA<br />
–897<br />
–455<br />
• e.g.:<br />
• Pensions -346 m€<br />
• Restructuring -259 m€<br />
Changes<br />
in<br />
provisions<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
+13<br />
Taxes paid Others<br />
incl.<br />
changes<br />
in W/C<br />
+2,371<br />
OCF<br />
–1,505<br />
Net Capex<br />
–26<br />
Net M&A<br />
–91<br />
Interest<br />
paid<br />
in € m<br />
+749<br />
FCF<br />
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Pensions – Impact from change in IAS 19<br />
No direct cash impact by accounting change to IAS 19 expected<br />
Plan assets<br />
(rounded)<br />
Unrecognized<br />
gains/losses<br />
Net pension<br />
provision<br />
Total Defined Benefit<br />
Obligation (DBO): € 13,257m<br />
€ 7,367m<br />
€ 1,896m<br />
€ 3,992m<br />
Current approach<br />
using the corridor<br />
method<br />
1) Actual charge to equity has to be seen at date of implementation<br />
€ 7,367m<br />
€ 5,890 m<br />
Future approach:<br />
OCI method 1)<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Plan assets<br />
(rounded)<br />
Net pension<br />
provision<br />
• No direct cash impact by<br />
accounting change<br />
• Small positive P&L effects 1)<br />
– Staff cost reduction<br />
– Increase of EBIT<br />
– Increase of interest cost<br />
• Equity will decrease by € 1.9 bn 1)<br />
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Mail: Long-term Union Agreement<br />
Comprehensive package, agreed until 2015<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
New flexible model for age-based working solutions<br />
• Option to pay proportion of current salary into worktime account<br />
• Partial-retirement program supplemented by working-time<br />
accounts and a demographic fund<br />
Extension of no compulsory redundancy until 2015<br />
Continued outsourcing<br />
• 990 parcel-delivery districts handled by sub-contractors<br />
• Outsourcing of transportation extended by 1,000 drivers<br />
Agreed salary/working condition changes<br />
• 4% lower entry wage for new Mail employees<br />
• New vacation policies based on company service, not age<br />
• Renewal of non-chargeable overtime, work days and<br />
short breaks agreements<br />
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Mail: New Price Cap Set at CPI-0.6%<br />
New price cap regime offering more headroom<br />
1) Federal Network Agency = Bundesnetzagentur; 2) CPI = German Consumer Price Index<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
• <strong>Post</strong>al price cap decision of Federal Network Agency 1)<br />
– New formula: x-factor reduced from 1.8 to 0.6%<br />
– Reference period for relevant CPI2) brought<br />
forward by six months<br />
– Regulation valid until 31 Dec. 2013<br />
• Conclusions for <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />
– No price increase for 2012<br />
– Buffer of +1.2% carried over to 2013 (1.8% inflation rate<br />
minus 0.6% x-factor)<br />
Directly impacted Mail revenues of EUR 3.5bn<br />
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Parcel Germany: Strategic Focus<br />
Parcel Germany is shaping eCommerce as the leading<br />
service provider<br />
• DP<strong>DHL</strong> only postal organization<br />
world-wide to offer nation-wide 24/7<br />
access to all shipping needs<br />
– 13,500 retail outlets<br />
– 1,000 Parcel Boxes for 24/7 drop-off<br />
– 2,500 automatic PACKSTATIONs<br />
to drop-off, frank, or use as<br />
delivery address<br />
– Online Franking of all parcel products<br />
– iPhone and Android apps for<br />
all services<br />
Source: Europäisches Handelsinstitut<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
• To date 2mn registered Packstation<br />
customers<br />
• 83% check whether vendor ships to<br />
Packstation before purchase<br />
• 36% increase their online spend<br />
after registration for Packstation<br />
• Target group in age segment 25–50<br />
years with high online affinity<br />
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Ruling by European Commission on State Aid to <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
• EU Commission’s decision unjustified<br />
– Clear contradiction to earlier EU decision and results of<br />
similar proceedings<br />
– Unprecedented reach into national regulation<br />
• DP<strong>DHL</strong> to file an appeal with the European Court<br />
of Justice<br />
• Financial treatment<br />
– Payment to be recorded only in balance sheet for 2012<br />
– No effect on company earnings for 2011 and beyond<br />
– Company liquidity / balance sheet remain solid<br />
• No further state aid proceedings involving<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> <strong>DHL</strong> pending at EU Commission<br />
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<strong>Post</strong>al Market Liberalization in Germany has been a Success<br />
Domestic mail communication<br />
market for business customers<br />
2011 Market volume: EUR 4.3 bn 1)<br />
63.7%<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong><br />
Source: Company estimate<br />
36.3%<br />
Competition<br />
(incl. consolidator<br />
volumes)<br />
1) Ca. 90% of overall mail communication market<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Leading service and infrastructure level for<br />
customers<br />
• Excellent service quality<br />
– 6-day delivery<br />
– Next-day delivery for 95% of all standard mail<br />
(over-delivery against full postal service obligation)<br />
– Best-in-class service and quality level in Europe<br />
• Prices among the most favorable in Europe<br />
– No price increase for standard letters in 15 years<br />
(last increase in Sept. 1997)<br />
– Average postal services expenditure for German<br />
households below € 5<br />
• State-of-the-art infrastructure<br />
– 20,000 retails outlets and sales points<br />
– EUR 420mn investment in new mail sorting<br />
technology since 2009<br />
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MAIL: Securing Sustainable Profitability<br />
EUR 1bn EBIT secures Mail as a self-financing unit within the group<br />
Beyond 2011<br />
EBIT<br />
stabilize at<br />
~ EUR 1bn level<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
Why EUR 1bn?<br />
Cash<br />
generation<br />
D&A<br />
~ EUR 0.2 bn<br />
EBIT<br />
~ EUR 1bn<br />
Funding<br />
requirements<br />
Share of:<br />
Corp. costs,<br />
tax, dividend, etc<br />
Pensions in excess<br />
of EBIT expenses<br />
Investments<br />
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Disclaimer<br />
This presentation contains certain statements that are neither reported results nor other historical<br />
information. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause<br />
actual results to differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. Many of these<br />
risks and uncertainties relate to factors that are beyond <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> AG’s ability to control or estimate<br />
precisely, such as future market and economic conditions, the behavior of other market participants, the<br />
ability to successfully integrate acquired businesses and achieve anticipated synergies and the actions of<br />
government regulators. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking<br />
statements, which apply only as of the date of this presentation. <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Post</strong> AG does not undertake<br />
any obligation to publicly release any revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or<br />
circumstances after the date of this presentation.<br />
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or buy<br />
any security, nor shall there be any sale, issuance or transfer of the securities referred to in this<br />
presentation in any jurisdiction in contravention of applicable law.<br />
Copies of this presentation and any documentation relating to the Offer are not being, and must not be,<br />
directly or indirectly, mailed or otherwise forwarded, distributed or sent in or into or from Australia, Canada<br />
or Japan or any other jurisdiction where to do so would be unlawful.<br />
This document represents the Company‘s judgment as of date of this presentation.<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
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Investor Relations Contacts<br />
Martin Ziegenbalg, Head of Investor Relations<br />
• +49 228 182 63000<br />
• E-mail: m.ziegenbalg@deutschepost.de<br />
Robert Schneider<br />
• +1 212 672 1729<br />
• E-mail: robert.schneider1@deutschepost.de<br />
Sebastian Slania<br />
• +49 228 182 63203<br />
• E-mail: sebastian.slania@deutschepost.de<br />
Florian Bumberger<br />
• +49 228 182 63208<br />
• E-mail: florian.bumberger@deutschepost.de<br />
Daniel Stengel<br />
• +49 228 182 63202<br />
• E-mail: daniel.stengel@deutschepost.de<br />
Investor Relations, <strong>DZ</strong> <strong>Bank</strong> <strong>Roadshow</strong>, <strong>Munich</strong> - May 30, 2012<br />
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