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OECD<br />

Tax Policy Studies<br />

Tax Burdens<br />

<strong>ALTERNATIVE</strong> MEASURES<br />

<strong>TAX</strong>ATION<br />

«<br />

<strong>No</strong>. 2


© OECD, 2000.<br />

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OECD Tax Policy Studies<br />

<strong>No</strong>. 2<br />

Tax Burdens:<br />

<strong>ALTERNATIVE</strong> MEASURES<br />

ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT


ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION<br />

AND DEVELOPMENT<br />

Pursuant to Article 1 of the Convention signed in Paris on 14th December 1960, and which came into<br />

force on 30th September 1961, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)<br />

shall promote policies designed:<br />

<strong>–</strong> to achieve the highest sustainable economic growth and employment and a rising standard of<br />

living in Member countries, while maintaining financial stability, and thus to contribute to the<br />

development of the world economy;<br />

<strong>–</strong> to contribute to sound economic expansion in Member as well as non-member countries in the<br />

process of economic development; and<br />

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became Members subsequently through accession at the dates indicated hereafter: Japan<br />

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takes part in the work of the OECD (Article 13 of the OECD Convention).<br />

Publié en français sous le titre:<br />

Mesurer les charges fiscales<br />

QUELS INDICATEURS POUR DEMAIN ?<br />

N° 2<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

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© OECD 2000<br />

FOREWORD<br />

This is the second issue in a new series of Tax Policy Studies launched by the OECD. The series aims<br />

to disseminate to a larger audience work undertaken by the OECD Fiscal Affairs Secretariat in the areas<br />

of tax policy and tax administration.<br />

Over the years, in response to growing demand by policy-makers, various measures to assess tax<br />

burdens have been developed. The present study reviews some of the most common measures used to<br />

gauge tax burdens of corporations and households. In addition, it provides some illustrative numbers<br />

from various sources on tax rates and tax burdens in OECD Member countries. The study concludes that<br />

all current measures reviewed have at least some important shortcomings. Results based on these measures<br />

should therefore be interpreted with their limitations in mind, and judged with due caution when<br />

used to address policy questions. Also, the study announces further work in this area to be undertaken<br />

by the Working Party on Tax Policy Analysis and Tax Statistics of the OECD Committee on Fiscal Affairs.<br />

This study was prepared by the Working Party on Tax Policy Analysis and Tax Statistics. The project<br />

was led by Flip de Kam and W. Steven Clark of the OECD Fiscal Affairs Secretariat. The study is published<br />

under the responsibility of the Secretary-General.<br />

3


© OECD 2000<br />

TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />

Chapter 1. Measuring Tax Burdens........................................................................................................................................ 7<br />

Introduction.......................................................................................................................................................................... 7<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal tax rates................................................................................................................................................................. 7<br />

Tax-to-GDP ratios ................................................................................................................................................................ 8<br />

Average tax rates ................................................................................................................................................................. 9<br />

Marginal effective tax rates ..............................................................................................................................................10<br />

Structure of the report ......................................................................................................................................................11<br />

Chapter 2. <strong>No</strong>minal Income Tax Rates ................................................................................................................................13<br />

Introduction........................................................................................................................................................................ 13<br />

The structure of personal income tax rates....................................................................................................................13<br />

“All-in” rates of taxes on personal income .....................................................................................................................15<br />

High implicit tax rates for the poor .................................................................................................................................17<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal top rates by type of income .............................................................................................................................18<br />

The structure of corporate income tax rates ..................................................................................................................19<br />

Corporate income tax and shareholder taxation...........................................................................................................22<br />

<strong>No</strong>tes...................................................................................................................................................................................25<br />

Chapter 3. Tax-to-GDP Ratios................................................................................................................................................27<br />

Introduction........................................................................................................................................................................ 27<br />

Tax expenditures versus direct expenditures .................................................................................................................28<br />

Tax treatment of social security benefits........................................................................................................................29<br />

The relationship between tax base and GDP, and economic cycle effects ...............................................................30<br />

Revisions to the measurement of GDP ..........................................................................................................................31<br />

<strong>No</strong>tes...................................................................................................................................................................................32<br />

Chapter 4. Average Tax Rates and the Need for Micro-Data..........................................................................................33<br />

Introduction........................................................................................................................................................................ 33<br />

Two frameworks for assessing corporate tax burdens .................................................................................................. 34<br />

Implicit ATRs ......................................................................................................................................................................35<br />

Backward-looking (adjusted profit-based) ATRs...........................................................................................................40<br />

<strong>No</strong>tes...................................................................................................................................................................................43<br />

Chapter 5. Marginal Effective Tax Rates.............................................................................................................................47<br />

Introduction........................................................................................................................................................................ 47<br />

Defining marginal effective tax rates ..............................................................................................................................48<br />

Analysis of the no-tax case ...............................................................................................................................................49<br />

Analysis of a simple corporate income tax.....................................................................................................................51<br />

Analysis of targeted corporate tax instruments.............................................................................................................53<br />

Limitations of METR analysis...........................................................................................................................................56<br />

<strong>No</strong>tes...................................................................................................................................................................................63<br />

5


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

6<br />

Chapter 6. Policy Relevance of Alternative Tax Burden Measures ................................................................................ 65<br />

Introduction........................................................................................................................................................................ 65<br />

Some illustrative results................................................................................................................................................... 65<br />

Assessing the tax burden on “old” versus “new” capital.............................................................................................. 68<br />

Assessing the corporate tax burden, from an equity perspective.............................................................................. 69<br />

Assessing the impact of corporate taxation on investment incentives...................................................................... 71<br />

Conclusion.......................................................................................................................................................................... 73<br />

<strong>No</strong>tes................................................................................................................................................................................... 74<br />

Annexes to Chapters<br />

2.A. Measuring the Overall Statutory Corporate Income Tax Rate in Japan..................................................................... 77<br />

2.B. The effects of dividend taxation and integration relief .............................................................................................. 79<br />

4.A. The OECD Classification of Taxes .................................................................................................................................. 81<br />

4.B. Illustration of Application of Micro-Data....................................................................................................................... 83<br />

6.A. Backward- and Forward-Looking Corporate Tax Rate Results ................................................................................... 87<br />

6.B. Implicit Average Tax Rates <strong>–</strong> Illustration of the Effect of Treatment of Interest....................................................... 88<br />

6.C. Statement on the Usefulness of METR Analysis for Tax Policy Purposes................................................................. 89<br />

References ................................................................................................................................................................................ 91<br />

List of Boxes<br />

1.A. Why nominal rates may be deceptive............................................................................................................................. 8<br />

1.B. When nominal rates matter .............................................................................................................................................. 8<br />

1.C. Why tax-GDP ratios can be deceptive............................................................................................................................. 9<br />

2.A. How OECD Countries Provide Basic Personal Tax Relief............................................................................................ 14<br />

2.B. High implicit tax rates for the poor................................................................................................................................ 18<br />

2.C. Franking Systems ............................................................................................................................................................. 23<br />

2.D Equalisation tax................................................................................................................................................................ 24<br />

3.A. Tax expenditure, or not? ................................................................................................................................................. 28<br />

3.B. How tax expenditures reduce the tax-to-GDP ratio .................................................................................................... 28<br />

3.C. How the tax treatment of social benefits impacts on the tax-to-GDP ratio.............................................................. 29<br />

3.D How a revision of GDP can lower the tax-to-GDP ratio ............................................................................................... 31<br />

List of Tables<br />

2.1. Rate schedules of central government personal income tax (single person, no dependants), January 1998 ............ 15<br />

3.1. Tax and spending ratios: an illustrative example (% of GDP)..................................................................................... 29<br />

List of Charts<br />

2.1. Highest Tax Rates in Wage Income, 1998 ...................................................................................................................... 17<br />

2.2. Highest “all-in” Tax Rates, 1998...................................................................................................................................... 19<br />

2.3. Statutory Corporate Income Tax Rates (January 1, 1998) ............................................................................................ 20<br />

5.1. Return on investment on the no-tax case..................................................................................................................... 50<br />

5.2. Return on investment with a simple corporate income tax........................................................................................ 52<br />

5.3. Return on investment in the net capital import case.................................................................................................. 55<br />

5.4. Return on investment in the net capital export case .................................................................................................. 55<br />

6.1. Backward-looking Corporate Tax Rate Measures, 1995............................................................................................... 66<br />

6.2. Forward-looking Corporate Tax Rate Measures, 1998 ................................................................................................. 67<br />

© OECD 2000


Introduction<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Chapter 1<br />

MEASURING <strong>TAX</strong> <strong>BURDENS</strong><br />

In all OECD Member countries, the rapid integration of national economies forces policy-makers to<br />

critically re-examine existing tax systems. It is in the context of this policy debate that policymakers and<br />

others seek to better grasp the impact of taxation on domestic investment, employment growth and overall<br />

economic performance. Policy-makers are concerned that present tax systems may discourage economic<br />

activity and destroy jobs, but face limitations on the amount of tax relief they can deliver, given<br />

the need to finance government expenditure. Thus, efficiency, competitiveness and revenue concerns<br />

are at stake. At the same time, increased difficulty in taxing income from capital resulting from the<br />

increasing mobility of capital may create pressures for a gradual shifting of the tax burden away from capital<br />

onto labour and consumption, raising equity and efficiency concerns.<br />

In response to growing demand, policy-analysts have developed various measures to assess tax burdens<br />

and the impact of taxes on economic activity. This study reviews the most common measures to<br />

gauge tax burdens:<br />

i) nominal tax rates (Section 1.2);<br />

ii) tax-to-GDP ratios (Section 1.3);<br />

iii) average tax rates (Section 1.4);<br />

iv) marginal effective tax rates (Section 1.5).<br />

The study is factual and comparative. It does not offer judgement on specific tax systems or any particular<br />

tax reform proposals. In addition, the study provides some illustrative numbers on impacts of tax<br />

systems of OECD Member countries, drawing from recent academic research and supplemented by<br />

OECD Secretariat data and calculations. In the latter case, national authorities have provided the data on<br />

macroeconomic aggregates and on details of national tax systems used to prepare the tables concerned.<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal tax rates<br />

The most basic and often-cited measures of tax burdens are nominal or “statutory” tax rates. The<br />

OECD annually updates its Tax Database containing detailed information on personal and corporate<br />

income tax systems of the twenty-nine Member countries, including data on the nominal rates of income<br />

taxes. Chapter 2 of this study discusses rates of taxes on personal and corporate income. In 1998, in OECD<br />

economies combined top nominal rates of all taxes on personal income ranged from 33 per cent (New<br />

Zealand) to 66 per cent (Belgium). Chapter 2 also documents the spread in nominal rates of the corporate<br />

income tax, ranging from 28 per cent (Finland and Sweden) to 57 per cent (Germany).<br />

Such nominal rates are relevant, because they have an important signal function, partly determine<br />

the value of tax concessions and are commonly an important factor in decision making on new investment.<br />

As many would be quick to point out, however, nominal tax rates tell an incomplete story, because<br />

effective tax rates will usually be lower than nominal rates suggest. The reason being that household<br />

income and corporate profits determined in accordance with standard accounting practices may be<br />

reduced by specific provisions in the tax legislation before nominal rates are applied to a significantly<br />

7


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

8<br />

smaller tax base (taxable income, profits). For example, under most tax systems individuals can defer taxation<br />

on part of their income set aside for old age, and in many cases imputed rent of home-owners goes<br />

untaxed while interest expenses are partly and <strong>–</strong> in rather exceptional cases <strong>–</strong> even fully deductible. Similarly,<br />

corporate profits determined following standard accounting practices may be reduced by specific<br />

provisions in the tax legislation, such as generous depreciation schemes and tax incentives to promote<br />

investment aimed at R&D or particular regions, reserve provisions for tax purposes and because of international<br />

tax planning (see Box 1.A).<br />

Clearly, nominal tax rates will more closely indicate effective tax burdens where taxpayers have limited<br />

opportunities to reduce the tax base below earned income and book profits using such specific tax<br />

reliefs. It follows that the effective tax burden of households or corporations <strong>–</strong> on an individual basis or<br />

for households or corporations as a group <strong>–</strong> can only be measured by expressing taxes actually paid as a<br />

percentage of some adjusted measure of income or profits. *<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal rates as applied to taxable income or profit are relevant to tax planning incentives, since<br />

they generally determine the value of tax deductions <strong>–</strong> e.g., deduction of interest payments (see Box 1.B)<br />

<strong>–</strong> and income inclusions <strong>–</strong> relevant to transfer pricing incentives and thin capitalisation.<br />

Tax-to-GDP ratios<br />

Box 1.A. Why nominal rates may be deceptive<br />

Assume accounting profit amounts to 100 units and the nominal corporate tax rate is 35 per cent. If taxable<br />

profit of this firm is only 60 units, the corporate tax bill of 21 units reflects the nominal rate of 35 per<br />

cent applied to taxable profit of 60. The effective average tax rate in this case is much lower, i.e., 21 per cent:<br />

21 units paid in tax over 100 in accounting profits.<br />

Box 1.B. When nominal rates matter<br />

If the nominal corporate tax rate in a country is 35 per cent, the value of deducting one additional currency<br />

unit of interest is 0.35 currency units. In the context of a multinational corporation considering where<br />

to book additional interest expense for tax purposes, the relevant comparison between jurisdiction A and<br />

B is thus a comparison of nominal corporate income tax rates in both jurisdictions.<br />

A second way to approach the tax burden of the household or corporate sector of the economy is to<br />

express total revenue from taxes paid by that sector as a percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP).<br />

As discussed in Chapter 3 of this study, tax-to-GDP ratios must be interpreted with great caution.<br />

* This alternative approach produces average tax rates, to be discussed in greater detail in Chapter 4. As noted in<br />

Section 4.3, certain adjustments to accounting or book profit are required for an accurate measure of the corporate<br />

tax burden (e.g., adjustments for inflation, losses, foreign profits).<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Measuring Tax Burdens<br />

Indeed, ratios of aggregate tax over GDP provide only limited information on the tax burden of the<br />

household or corporate sector, as may be demonstrated by a closer analysis of the ratio of corporate<br />

income tax (CIT) to GDP. First, such CIT-to-GDP ratios mask changes in corporate tax as a percentage of<br />

corporate profit. To see this, note that corporate tax relative to GDP is determined by the product of two<br />

ratios:<br />

1. corporate tax divided by pre-tax corporate profit; and<br />

2. pre-tax corporate profit as a share of GDP.<br />

The first ratio, which is an average corporate income tax measure, will vary with changes in the nominal<br />

corporate tax rate and with changes in the corporate tax base. Changes in this ratio therefore reflect<br />

primarily changes in tax policy, the efficiency of the tax administration, compliance and tax planning <strong>–</strong> the<br />

way corporations respond to existing legal provisions. The second ratio, pre-tax corporate profits relative<br />

to GDP, will vary with fluctuations in the share of corporate profits in aggregate value-added in the economy.<br />

Holding tax policy constant <strong>–</strong> i.e., assuming the rules determining corporate tax rates and the tax base<br />

are fixed <strong>–</strong> and assuming unchanged tax practice (administration, compliance), a drop in corporate profit<br />

over GDP would cause the corporate tax-to-GDP ratio to decline. This outcome could be mistakenly interpreted<br />

as indicating a reduction in corporate tax on corporate profits, when in fact this value is unchanged<br />

(see example in Box 1.C).<br />

A second limitation of CIT-to-GDP ratios is that they include only one of several taxes corporations<br />

pay out of earnings. In a number of countries, other taxes paid by corporations may be important. In particular,<br />

taxes on capital, taxes on financial transactions and payroll taxes can be significant.<br />

A third problem is that such ratios include negative profits (i.e., losses) in the denominator (GDP),<br />

which should be excluded when measuring the effective average tax rate on profitable firms.<br />

Finally, CIT-to-GDP ratios may include corporate-level taxes on distributed earnings (i.e., equalisation<br />

taxes), which many would argue represent pre-payments of personal level taxes shareholders must<br />

pay and should therefore not be included in the measurement of corporate tax burdens.<br />

Average tax rates<br />

Box 1.C. Why tax-GDP ratios can be deceptive<br />

Assume the ratio of corporate income tax revenues to the value of GDP in countries A and B is 2.5 per cent<br />

and 5 per cent, respectively. This suggests that tax burdens are higher in country B. However, this need not be<br />

the case. If corporate earnings in countries A and B constitute 10 per cent and 20 per cent of GDP, respectively,<br />

the average effective tax rate for the corporate sector is 25 per cent in both cases since in country A corporations<br />

pay 2.5 per cent of GDP on their profits equal to 10 per cent of GDP, and corporations in country B pay<br />

relatively twice as much in taxes on profits that in relative terms are twice as high as in country A.<br />

Average tax rates (ATR) are a third way to assess tax burdens of households or corporations. Taking<br />

recourse to ATR measures partially overcomes the limitations associated with a comparison of nominal<br />

rates and tax-to-GDP ratios. Their main advantage, relative to nominal tax rates, is that they take into<br />

account actual taxes paid. They also use a more narrowly defined (targeted) measure of tax base in comparison<br />

to tax-to-GDP ratios.<br />

9


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

10<br />

To calculate an average tax rate for an individual household, all relevant taxes paid are divided by a<br />

measure of household income, defined as the sum of consumption plus the change in net wealth of that<br />

particular household during a given time period (i.e., an economic definition of income) or, alternatively,<br />

measured following some legal definition of income.<br />

ATRs are mainly used in practice to analyse tax burdens on corporations, or the business sector as a<br />

whole (including unincorporated business) where, as noted, included in the denominator is a more narrow<br />

measure of aggregate business surplus than is total GDP. Average corporate tax rates take into<br />

account the impact of special relief (e.g., investment tax allowances, credits, enhanced depreciation provisions,<br />

donations to reserves to cover future risks) on marginal and infra-marginal investment, taxplanning<br />

and other factors determining final tax liabilities. Thus, the limitations inherent to tax burden<br />

measures such as nominal rates and tax-to-GDP ratios are partly lifted. Important differences may be<br />

observed, however, in the choice of the relevant tax base (denominator of the average tax ratio).<br />

To calculate an average tax rate for a corporation, the standard approach is to relate total taxes actually<br />

paid out of corporate earnings to an adjusted measure of corporate financial profit, with adjustments<br />

to corporate financial (book) profit made to arrive at a measure of true (economic) income. To calculate<br />

an average rate for all corporations, total taxes actually paid out of corporate earnings are related, under<br />

the so-called “implicit” tax rate approach, to the “operating surplus” of the economy. The operating surplus<br />

of the corporate sector is a measure of domestic value-added at the corporate level accruing to suppliers<br />

of capital [gross output at producer’s prices less the sum of intermediate and fixed capital<br />

consumption, wage costs (including employer social security contributions), and indirect taxes net of<br />

subsidies]. Viewed another way, corporate operating surplus captures domestic source income of capital<br />

suppliers generated at the corporate level and realised in the form of interest, rents, royalties, dividends<br />

and retained earnings. National Accounts also report separately (for most countries) the operating surplus<br />

of unincorporated business.<br />

Total operating surplus of the economy will differ from aggregate commercial and true economic<br />

profits of corporations and unincorporated enterprises on account of a number of factors. One of the main<br />

differences is the inclusion in operating surplus of interest income paid (directly or indirectly) to households<br />

(savers). This renders implicit corporate tax rates of questionable relevance, and suggests that the<br />

implicit tax rate approach be limited to analyses of average tax rates on income from capital (which factor<br />

returns to debt and equity capital in the denominator, with both corporate and personal tax on these<br />

amounts included in the numerator). The implication is that more conventional average corporate tax rate<br />

measures relating corporate income taxes paid to corporate profit are called for.<br />

However, as discussed in Chapter 4, profit-based average tax rates derived from aggregate or firmlevel<br />

data may suffer from a number of shortcomings, for example the inclusion in the denominator of<br />

negative profits of loss-making firms, and the inclusion in the numerator of net domestic tax on foreign<br />

source income (excluded from the denominator). Ideally, detailed micro-data should be used to enable<br />

a proper match of taxes actually paid on adjusted corporate profit at the firm level for a representative<br />

sample of firms. Adjustments to corporate book profit figures are necessary to improve consistency<br />

between numerator and denominator amounts, and to move towards a true definition of economic<br />

income. This micro-data set would allow one to determine measurement errors in average tax rates<br />

derived using aggregate data, and to establish average tax rates by sector, by firm size (small and<br />

medium-sized enterprises versus multinational corporations), and so on.<br />

The OECD is currently doing some work in this area but it will take time to produce relevant results,<br />

part of the problem being that many countries are presently not able to provide the required data sets<br />

for a representative sample of firms.<br />

Marginal effective tax rates<br />

Yet another way to analyse tax burdens is to calculate the “wedge” that taxes drive between pre-tax<br />

and after-tax rates of return at the margin, that is, on the last currency unit invested where the marginal<br />

benefit of the investment just covers it marginal cost. The resulting marginal effective tax rates (METRs)<br />

can be calculated assuming a specific type or mix of investments (buildings, machinery, inventories), a<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Measuring Tax Burdens<br />

specific or mixed source of finance (retained earnings, new equity, debt), and with reference to historic<br />

rates of inflation.<br />

In sum, METRs are computed by deriving, for a representative group of investors and firms, the<br />

wedge that taxation creates between pre-tax and after-tax rates of return at the margin, taking into<br />

account nominal tax rates and basic rules determining tax deductions and tax credits. In theory, METRs<br />

measure the impact of taxation on required rates of return and thus investment incentives at the margin.<br />

METRs may be compared across investment projects, investor groups, methods of finance, and across<br />

countries. In 1991, the OECD published a study Taxing Profits in a Global Economy that included comprehensive<br />

work in this area.<br />

As stressed in Chapter 5, results of METR analysis <strong>–</strong> a highly theoretical construct <strong>–</strong> must be interpreted<br />

with due caution, bearing in mind the simplifying assumptions behind the neo-classical theory of<br />

investment upon which the methodology is based. Also, when calculating METRs only a part of the tax<br />

system is taken into account, for example possibilities to form reserves and common tax-planning techniques<br />

are neglected. And finally the METR calculations assume that investors pay tax according to the<br />

nominal rates. It was already explained that taxpayers often pay lower effective rates, largely for reasons<br />

not included in METR calculations.<br />

Structure of the report<br />

The structure of the report is as follows. Chapter 2 begins with nominal or “headline” statutory tax<br />

rates, which are the simplest tax burden measures, yet convey limited information about the overall<br />

impact of tax systems. Tax rate structures are reviewed, and figures are given for “all-in” personal and corporate<br />

statutory income tax rates in OECD countries. Integration considerations are also briefly<br />

addressed.<br />

Chapter 3 is devoted to a consideration of tax-to-GDP ratios, which are widely quoted in the popular<br />

press and used to make cross-country tax burden comparisons. Yet as the text explains, these measures<br />

are potentially misleading indicators, and the various sources of bias must be remembered when using<br />

such statistics to analyse the impact of taxation over time and across countries.<br />

Chapter 4 considers a number of “backward-looking” average tax rate measures, which may be constructed<br />

at the aggregate economy, industry, or firm level. The analysis of so-called implicit corporate tax<br />

rates, derived using National Accounts data, finds these measures to be highly imprecise indicators of tax<br />

burden. A preference is shown for average tax rate measures derived using economic profit as the relevant<br />

denominator (tax base), with a call for the need for micro- (firm-level) data to enable warranted tax<br />

base adjustments. Work in this area, underway by the Working Party <strong>No</strong>. 2 in collaboration with OECD<br />

countries, will serve to illustrate the varying importance of the adjustments across countries and thereby<br />

assist in making cross-country comparisons of tax levels.<br />

Chapter 5 then turns to consider “forward-looking” tax burden measures, which include average tax<br />

rates derived for hypothetical (discrete) investment projects, which many would argue are most relevant<br />

to the analysis of corporate locational decisions. A special focus is given in Chapter 5 to marginal effective<br />

tax rate analysis given the now widespread use of this framework, with the objective of laying out clearly<br />

its basic underpinnings and limitations for tax policy analysis purposes.<br />

Chapter 6 concludes with a discussion of the usefulness of these various measures in addressing<br />

common tax policy questions involving equity considerations (is the corporate sector paying its fair<br />

share?) and efficiency concerns with tax systems (is taxation discouraging corporate investment?) which<br />

are increasingly confronting policy makers. The final sub-section briefly concludes and points towards<br />

further work in this area by the Working Party on Tax Policy Analysis and Tax Statistics of the OECD Committee<br />

on Fiscal Affairs.<br />

11


Introduction<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Chapter 2<br />

NOMINAL INCOME <strong>TAX</strong> RATES<br />

Comparisons of different tax systems tend to begin by looking at nominal top rates of income taxes<br />

imposed by central government. However, concentrating on these “headline” rates can lead to misleading<br />

conclusions. This chapter first compares the structure of personal income tax rates in 1998, using information<br />

from the OECD Tax Database. The focus is on top marginal rates: the highest percentage of tax<br />

levied on one additional dollar, yen or franc of taxable income (Section 2.2). Most studies compare only<br />

the top rates of personal income tax imposed by central government. However, in twenty-two out of the<br />

twenty-nine OECD Member countries sub-central governments also levy taxes on personal income.<br />

Clearly, these should be taken into account to get the full picture of top rates on income (Section 2.3).<br />

Perhaps most surprisingly, it is in many cases not the rich who at the margin <strong>–</strong> that is, on one additional<br />

unit of income) are exposed to the highest rates (Section 2.4). In Section 2.5 it is shown that, within a given<br />

country, nominal top rates may vary significantly, depending on the type of income. 1<br />

The discussion then turns to a consideration of nominal corporate income tax rates. The statutory<br />

corporate tax rate structure is shown to exhibit a considerable degree of diversity across OECD countries<br />

(Section 2.6). Rate schedules may be flat or graduated and may include a temporary or permanent surcharge/surtax.<br />

In certain federal countries, an additional layer of taxation may be found at the state, provincial<br />

or cantonal level. Moreover, tax rates may differ depending on the type of business income,<br />

whether income is retained or distributed to shareholders, and even according to the capitalisation of<br />

the firm, although this distinction is rare.<br />

This chapter also examines the so-called “integration” problem that arises with the co-existence of<br />

both corporate- and shareholder-level income taxation (Section 2.7). Various techniques may be used to<br />

avoid the double taxation that otherwise occurs when income that is subject to tax at the corporate level<br />

is subject to tax again at the personal level when distributed to individual shareholders as dividends.<br />

This consideration has implications for the proper measurement of the tax burden on income from capital.<br />

If, however, imputation credits are recognised as providing relief to shareholder level taxation, they<br />

may be ignored in assessing corporate tax burdens, which for the most part are the focus of this study.<br />

The structure of personal income tax rates<br />

The fundamental structure of personal income taxes imposed by federal or central governments is<br />

highly similar in every OECD country. A certain amount of income may be exempted from tax; this is the<br />

personal exemption. In some countries, the first slice of income is not exempted, but instead taxed at<br />

zero per cent, to the same effect (zero band). The alternative is that all income is taxed, but that taxpayers<br />

are entitled to a reduction of their tax bill by means of a basic tax credit.<br />

To gauge how much these basic tax reliefs may reduce the tax bill, they can be expressed as a percentage<br />

of the gross wage of an average production worker in each OECD country. On this measure,<br />

Greece exempts only 3 per cent of the average worker’s wage, Korea 7 per cent, the Netherlands 14 per<br />

cent, France 20 per cent, the United Kingdom and the United States 24 per cent. In Sweden, an average<br />

production worker pays no income tax to the central government, because the tax allowance exceeds his<br />

13


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

14<br />

wage by ten per cent. The associated tax reduction for individual taxpayers is determined by applying<br />

their marginal tax rate to the amount of the personal exemption or zero band (see Box 2.A).<br />

With the exception of Germany, which applies several tax formulae, income in excess of the personal<br />

exemption or zero-rated band is sliced into “brackets”. The number of brackets ranges from one<br />

(Sweden) or two (Iceland and Ireland) to eight or more (Luxembourg, Mexico, Spain and Switzerland). All<br />

of the taxable income within a bracket is taxed at the same rate. The rate applied to the income in successive<br />

brackets increases. The result is a progressive tax: as total taxable income rises, a growing share<br />

thereof is <strong>–</strong> at least in principle <strong>–</strong> paid in tax. Under a progressive income tax, the value to taxpayers of<br />

the personal exemption or a zero-rated first band increases as they move into higher taxed brackets. In<br />

contrast, the value of tax credits is independent of the taxpayers’ income level (see Box 2.A). In 1998, nine<br />

OECD countries used basic tax credits: Austria, Canada, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Mexico, New Zealand,<br />

Poland and Portugal.<br />

Box 2.A. How OECD Countries Provide Basic Personal Tax Relief<br />

Basic relief for income-taxpayers can be structured in different ways. Suppose that countries A and B have<br />

an identical rate structure consisting of four brackets. The first 20 000 units of income are taxed at 20 per cent,<br />

the next 20 000 units at 30 per cent, the next 20 000 units at 40 per cent and any income over 60 000 at the<br />

top rate of 50 per cent. In country A, taxpayers are entitled to a personal exemption of 10 000 (before the<br />

rates are applied). The tax bill of low-income earners in the first bracket is thus reduced by 2 000, since they<br />

save 20 per cent of 10 000 (their exemption) in tax. The tax bill for those in the highest taxed bracket is<br />

slashed by 5 000, since they forego 50 per cent of 10 000 in tax. The example serves to illustrate how tax<br />

relief increases with income and is determined by the marginal rate applicable to the last 10 000 units of<br />

income. In country B, all taxpayers can claim a credit of 3 000 against income tax due. Here, the value of the<br />

tax relief is the same for each individual, regardless of the level of income. If the credit is “non-wastable”,<br />

the tax collector hands out the excess of the credit over tax due. The result is a negative income tax.<br />

How progressive a given rate schedule is depends not only on the amount of basic tax relief, but also<br />

on the width of the respective brackets, and the marginal rates applied to the income in each bracket.<br />

Income taxes imposed by central governments exhibit remarkable variety in bracket lengths and marginal<br />

rates, reflecting national views on what <strong>–</strong> given existing revenue needs <strong>–</strong> constitutes an equitable<br />

distribution of the tax burden.<br />

Income in the first bracket of personal income tax schedules is taxed at a low 0.8 per cent in Switzerland,<br />

at 25.8 per cent in Belgium, and at 27.4 per cent in Iceland. Top marginal rates of personal income tax levied<br />

by central government range from 25 per cent (Sweden) and 33 per cent (New Zealand) to as much as<br />

60 per cent (the Netherlands). In Ireland and New Zealand, taxpayers at the income level of an average<br />

production worker are already exposed to the top marginal rate of 48 per cent and 33 per cent, respectively.<br />

In Austria, Belgium, Canada, Finland, France, Germany, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom<br />

workers must earn about twice the average before they start paying the top rate. On the other hand, Swiss<br />

and American employees are only confronted by the top rate if their salaries exceed ten times the average<br />

production worker’s wage. In Turkey the top rate does not apply until taxable income is twenty-nine<br />

times the average wage and more. Table 2.1 summarises the rate structure of the personal income tax levied<br />

by central governments in all OECD countries.<br />

Before drawing any firm conclusions from this panoply of income tax schedules, three points should<br />

be borne in mind. First, the actual tax bill of individual taxpayers also reflects the impact of various<br />

deductions <strong>–</strong> for example, for mortgage interest and employee contributions to occupational pension<br />

plans <strong>–</strong> and exemptions <strong>–</strong> for example, for capital gains or interest received. This means that effective tax<br />

© OECD 2000


Table 2.1. Rate schedules of central government personal income tax (single person, no dependants),<br />

January 1998 a<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Type of basic<br />

tax relief<br />

Tax relief as proportion<br />

of APW b<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal Income Tax Rates<br />

burdens in countries with lower nominal rates but little in the way of basic relief, deductions and exemptions,<br />

could well be higher than effective rates in countries which combine higher nominal rates with more<br />

generous exemptions and deductions.<br />

The second point is one made at the start of this Chapter, namely that in most OECD countries there<br />

are other taxes to pay on income, beyond that owed to central government.<br />

Finally, national tax systems are often characterised by minor peculiarities, which while perhaps<br />

complicating matters slightly, do not have a major bearing on the general picture outlined here.<br />

“All-in” rates of taxes on personal income<br />

Lowest<br />

standard rate<br />

Number of tax<br />

brackets<br />

Highest<br />

standard rate<br />

Highest rate starts<br />

at (proportion of<br />

APW wage)<br />

Australia PE/ZR 0.15 20 4 47 1.4<br />

Austria TC 0.03 10 5 50 2.3<br />

Belgium PE/ZR 0.19 25.75 7 56.65 2.2<br />

Canada TC 0.03 17.51 4 31.3 1.8<br />

Czech Rep. PE/ZR 0.23 15 5 40 5.9<br />

Denmark PE/ZR 0.12 8 3 29 1.1<br />

Finland PE/ZR 0.33 6 6 38 2.2<br />

France PE/ZR 0.20 10.5 6 54 2.2<br />

Germany PE/ZR 0.21 formula 4 53 2.1<br />

Greece PE/ZR 0.03 5 4 40 2.5<br />

Hungary TC 0.09 20 6 42 2.0<br />

Iceland TC 0.18 29.31 2 34.31 1.8<br />

Ireland PE/ZR 0.20 26 2 48 0.7<br />

Italy TC 0.02 c<br />

19 5 46 3.5<br />

Japan PE/ZR 0.09 10 5 50 7<br />

Korea PE/ZR 0.07 10 4 30 5.5<br />

Luxembourg PE/ZR 0.25 61 7 46 2.4<br />

Mexico TC 0.08 c<br />

3 8 35 7.5<br />

Netherlands PE/ZR 0.14 8.85 3 60 1.9<br />

New Zealand n.a. 0.00 15 3 33 1<br />

<strong>No</strong>rway PE/ZR 0.13 18.8 3 32.5 1.1<br />

Poland TC 0.03 19 3 40 4.7<br />

Portugal TC 0.03 15 4 40 4.5<br />

Spain PE/ZR 0.21 17 8 47.6 4.6<br />

Sweden PE/ZR 1.10 25 1 25 1.1<br />

Switzerland PE/ZR 0.20 0.77 10 11.5 10.4<br />

Turkey PE/ZR 0.13 25 7 55 28.5<br />

UK PE/ZR 0.24 20 3 40 1.8<br />

USA PE/ZR 0.24 15 5 39.6 9.7<br />

n.a. = not applicable.<br />

APW = average production worker.<br />

PE/ZR = personal exemption or zero rate band.<br />

TC = tax credit.<br />

a) Deductions or allowances related to specific income sources are not included.<br />

b) Figures in Columns PE/ZR and TC are not directly comparable (see Box A).<br />

c) The tax credit is a decreasing function of personal income. This percentage considers the level of the tax credit which corresponds to the APW<br />

income.<br />

For several reasons, households in most OECD countries are often confronted by higher marginal<br />

rates than is suggested by regularly cited headline or “standard” rates of the personal income tax as<br />

shown in Table 2.1. Central governments sometimes impose temporary increases on the income tax, such<br />

as the “austerity surcharge” in Belgium and the German “solidarity surcharge”. Such surcharges jack up<br />

the total income tax bill.<br />

Also, households may have to pay local, regional, provincial or state income taxes on top of the central<br />

government income tax. This is the case in Belgium, Canada, Iceland, Japan, Korea, the <strong>No</strong>rdic countries,<br />

Spain, Switzerland and the United States. Within a given country, rates of income taxes levied by<br />

15


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

16<br />

local and state government often show substantial variety. The OECD Tax Data Base reports both the<br />

highest and the lowest state/provincial and local rates found anywhere in a given country, and also a “typical”,<br />

average value. This average rate of income taxes levied by sub-central levels of government is identical<br />

to that reported in the annual OECD publication on the Tax/Benefit Position of Employees. 2 Here,<br />

these average rates are used.<br />

In a few OECD countries income taxes imposed by sub-central levels of government are quite significant.<br />

To illustrate, in Sweden the typical top rate of provincial and local income taxes is 31.7 per cent,<br />

which means it exceeds the 25 per cent income tax rate levied by central government.<br />

In some countries, state, regional or local income taxes paid constitute a deductible item, inasmuch<br />

as the amount paid in such taxes may be deducted when calculating taxable income for the central or federal<br />

government income tax. For the presentation of “all-in” tax rates in Chart 2.1, the deductibility of noncentral<br />

government income taxes of course has been taken into account.<br />

Another feature to note, particularly in Europe, is the tax some national governments impose on<br />

income on behalf of the state church. This church tax features in the tax system of Austria, Germany, the<br />

<strong>No</strong>rdic countries 3 and Switzerland. In Table 2.1, the church tax is included only in the cases of Denmark<br />

and Switzerland. Some will question whether the church tax really is a “tax” as defined by OECD and other<br />

international organisations, in the sense of being a compulsory, unrequited payment to general government.<br />

Here, “unrequited” means that benefits provided by government to taxpayers are not normally in<br />

proportion to their payments. In fact, this should be decided on a case-by-case basis, taking into account<br />

specific institutions existing in the countries concerned.<br />

Likewise, it is sometimes difficult to define the status of social security contributions <strong>–</strong> are they really<br />

taxes or are they payments for some form of social protection? In part, the answer will depend on the<br />

degree to which these payments are directly linked to the value of the benefits they offer. Social security<br />

programmes come in two basic forms. In some the revenue is earmarked to finance programmes that<br />

essentially cover the whole population. Here, the tax base may be identical to <strong>–</strong> or closely resemble <strong>–</strong><br />

that for the personal income tax. However, in contrast to the rate structure of the income tax, a ceiling or<br />

“cap” often applies and income above that ceiling is not subject to further contributions.<br />

In addition to programmes covering the whole population, most European countries run social insurance<br />

programmes which only protect workers, or at least important sections of them. The tax base to<br />

finance such employee social insurance is wage income, usually up to a ceiling, which in turn is related<br />

to the maximum amount of wages insured against the risks of unemployment and disability. Furthermore,<br />

in a few instances such payments can be made into individual accounts such as pension plans, in which<br />

cases the relatively strong tie between contributions and benefits makes them even less “tax-like”.<br />

Of course, when considering top marginal rates, social security contributions are only relevant if they<br />

are not “capped”. Contributions <strong>–</strong> where they are imposed <strong>–</strong> are usually deductible for personal income<br />

tax purposes, though this is not the case, for example, in Hungary, <strong>No</strong>rway and the United Kingdom. When<br />

calculating marginal “all-in” rates, the OECD Secretariat takes into account the deductibility of social<br />

security contributions <strong>–</strong> where applicable.<br />

Since the income tax and social contributions are quite similar in terms of the tax base they use and<br />

of their economic impacts, both are included in the calculations underlying Chart 2.1 which compares the<br />

standard top rate of central government personal income tax with “all-in” top rates. These include the<br />

combined effect of temporary increases of the central government income tax, income taxes levied at<br />

local, regional and state levels, the church tax4 and employee social security contributions. <strong>No</strong>t included<br />

here are social security contributions directly paid by employers, even though these may eventually be<br />

borne by labour through tighter wage deals. Conversely, when labour is much in demand, employees may<br />

be able to shift part of their income taxes and employee contributions back onto employers by successfully<br />

demanding additional wage increases. That said, this chapter <strong>–</strong> in only considering nominal rates of<br />

taxes, which the law requires employees to pay <strong>–</strong> neglects any shifting of taxes on wages.<br />

One lesson from the previous analysis is that gaps at the margin between top income earners domiciled<br />

in various OECD countries are narrower than often imagined and certainly not as wide as the head-<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal Income Tax Rates<br />

“All-in” rate Standard rate<br />

% %<br />

70<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

line rates of the personal income tax imposed by central governments seem to suggest. In fact, after<br />

including all taxes on personal income, the marginal top rate in most countries rises substantially,<br />

exceeding 60 per cent in France and Turkey (both 61 per cent), Denmark and Sweden (62 per cent), Japan<br />

(65 per cent) 5 and Belgium (66 per cent). The highest all-in rates for taxpayers in the United States fall in<br />

the 40-48 per cent range, depending on the State where they are resident. That puts the gap with their<br />

counterparts in Sweden, which most people would see as the quintessential welfare state, in some cases<br />

at as low as nine percentage points. But it is important to point out that taxpayers in Sweden and most<br />

other OECD countries are already confronted with top rates at much lower income levels than are taxpayers<br />

in the United States.<br />

High implicit tax rates for the poor<br />

Chart 2.1. Highest Tax Rates in Wage Income, 19981 Chart 2.1. Highest Tax Rates in Wage Income, 19981 Belgium Belgium<br />

Japan Japan<br />

Denmark Denmark<br />

Finland Finland<br />

France France<br />

Turkey Turkey<br />

Sweden Sweden<br />

Spain Spain<br />

Germany Germany<br />

Canada Canada<br />

Switzerland<br />

Switzerland<br />

Italy Italy<br />

Ireland Ireland<br />

<strong>No</strong>rway <strong>No</strong>rway<br />

Iceland Iceland<br />

Australia Australia<br />

Czech Czech Republic Republic<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Portugal Portugal<br />

United United States States<br />

Korea Korea<br />

Hungary Hungary<br />

1. The chart shows only those (22) OECD countries where the “all in” rate of taxes on wage income differs from the highest standard rate of<br />

personal income tax imposed by central government. From left to right, countries are ranked by decreasing “all-in” rate.<br />

Source: OECD.<br />

It is not necessarily individuals in the highest income groups who always pay the highest marginal<br />

rates. In some countries, the rate structure of the personal income tax may show one or more “humps”. In<br />

such cases, individuals in the low- or middle-income range are exposed to higher marginal rates than are<br />

the very rich. For example, “all-in” rate humps can arise when the combined marginal rate of income tax<br />

and capped social security contributions exceeds the income tax rate applicable to income above the<br />

ceiling set for those contributions.<br />

Under exceptional circumstances, the standard personal income tax rate may also feature a “camel<br />

back” structure. In the second half of the 1980s, the US federal income tax had such a rate structure for a<br />

few years. At the time, income in the first bracket was taxed at 15 per cent, income in the top bracket at<br />

28 per cent. As a result, tax relief for high-income earners was almost twice the tax relief for low-income<br />

earners. To recoup the higher tax relief for well-off taxpayers, lawmakers enacted a 33 per cent bracket<br />

that was sandwiched between the first and the top bracket. The rates of the federal income tax in<br />

Switzerland still show a hump.<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

17


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

18<br />

Rather surprisingly, low-income earners may also be confronted with very high marginal rates, in<br />

exceptional cases even exceeding 100 per cent. The reason is that the poorly paid not only contribute<br />

more tax when their income goes up, but in many cases also lose part of their means-tested tax relief,<br />

subsidies and benefits, which has the effect of an “implicit” tax (see Box 2.B). Workers with an implicit<br />

marginal tax rate over 100 per cent are only rational if they reduce the number of hours worked. Their<br />

gross wage will now of course be lower, but they pay less tax and receive higher tax relief and benefits.<br />

As a result, their net disposable income may increase while they put in less hours.<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal top rates by type of income<br />

Box 2.B. High implicit tax rates for the poor<br />

The following example illustrates how high implicit tax rates may go. If the head of a one-earner couple<br />

with two young children finds a low-paid job after five years of unemployment, net income in and out of work<br />

is the same in Finland and Sweden. In other words, the implicit tax rate is 100 per cent, because each unit<br />

of income earned is washed out by a unit of benefits lost. In the case of Denmark and the Czech Republic,<br />

the implicit rate is almost 100 per cent; in Germany and the United Kingdom it is about 80 per cent, in<br />

France and the United States it is about 50 per cent. Once in employment, low-wage earners may be<br />

exposed to similar implicit tax rates, as means-tested benefits are cut further with every (small) wage<br />

increase.<br />

Source: OECD, Benefit Systems and Work Incentives, 1998 edition, p. 35<br />

As Chart 2.2 demonstrates, the “all-in” top rates of taxes on personal income may also vary by type<br />

of income. Generally speaking, labour income is more heavily taxed, especially so if it is subject to contributions<br />

earmarked to finance employee social insurance. On the other hand, over the past fifteen years<br />

a growing number of OECD countries introduced lower, flat rates for certain types of capital income, notably<br />

interest and dividend, e.g. Belgium, the Czech Republic, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Poland and the<br />

<strong>No</strong>rdic countries. The introduction of lower flat rates for capital income is often interpreted as a response<br />

to growing pressures from tax competition between nations. Financial capital, being highly mobile, tends<br />

to flow to those jurisdictions where it is taxed at the lowest rates. To address capital flight, tax policy-makers<br />

may decide to reduce the domestic tax burden on capital income. Flat rates for capital income can<br />

reduce the overall progressivity of the income tax and they may compromise the redistributive impact of<br />

the tax. In some countries, the moves were also part of a more general strategy designed to lower the efficiency<br />

costs of taxation by reducing rates, while at the same time taxing larger shares of the capital<br />

income tax base.<br />

Lastly, it is important to note that many high-income earners escape paying the top statutory rates<br />

shown in Chart 2.1. First, because in a number of OECD countries capital income <strong>–</strong> often an important<br />

income component of the well-off <strong>–</strong> is not taxed at progressive rates but subject to lower, flat rates (see<br />

Chart 2.2). Second, the self-employed tend to be over-represented among higher-income earners. Compared<br />

to other groups of taxpayers, the self-employed may be in a better position to limit their tax obligations,<br />

legally (by using tax reliefs for business) and illegally (by under-reporting income).<br />

More generally, tax planning often takes the bite out of high rates. For example, in countries where<br />

the corporation income tax rate is substantially lower than the top personal income tax rate, the selfemployed<br />

may have a strong incentive to incorporate their business and pay themselves a limited director’s<br />

fee. To illustrate this point, in the Netherlands the gap between both rates is 25 percentage points<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal Income Tax Rates<br />

% %<br />

70<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

(35 instead of 60 per cent). In countries that do not tax capital gains, taxpayers will be advised to transform<br />

taxable capital income into tax-exempt capital gains. As a result of successful tax planning, highincome<br />

earners often see their taxable income shrink and tax bills reduced.<br />

The structure of corporate income tax rates<br />

Chart 2.2. Highest “all-in” Tax Rates, 19981 Chart 2.2. Highest “all-in” Tax Rates, 19981 Chart 2.2. Highest “all-in” Tax Rates, 19981 Chart 2.2. Highest “all-in” Tax Rates, 19981 Chart 2.2. Highest “all-in” Tax Rates, 19981 Wage income Dividend income<br />

Interest from bank deposits<br />

Austria Austria Austria Austria Austria<br />

Belgium Belgium Belgium Belgium Belgium<br />

Czech Czech Czech Czech Czech Republic Republic Republic Republic Republic<br />

Denmark Denmark Denmark Denmark Denmark<br />

Finland Finland Finland Finland Finland<br />

France France France France France<br />

Greece Greece Greece Greece Greece<br />

Hungary Hungary Hungary Hungary Hungary<br />

Iceland Iceland Iceland Iceland Iceland<br />

Ireland Ireland Ireland Ireland Ireland<br />

Italy Italy Italy Italy Italy<br />

Japan Japan Japan Japan Japan<br />

Korea Korea Korea Korea Korea<br />

Mexico Mexico Mexico Mexico Mexico<br />

<strong>No</strong>rway <strong>No</strong>rway <strong>No</strong>rway <strong>No</strong>rway <strong>No</strong>rway<br />

Poland Poland Poland Poland Poland<br />

Portugal Portugal Portugal Portugal Portugal<br />

Sweden Sweden Sweden Sweden Sweden<br />

Switzerland<br />

Switzerland<br />

Switzerland<br />

Switzerland<br />

Switzerland<br />

Turkey Turkey Turkey Turkey Turkey<br />

United United United United United States States States States States<br />

1. The chart shows only those (21) OECD countries where the “all in” rate on wage income differs from the “all-in” rate on dividend or/and interest<br />

income.<br />

Source: OECD.<br />

For a number of reasons, OECD countries tax corporate profits at the corporate level, and not just at<br />

the personal level when profits are distributed to individual shareholders. One of the main reasons for<br />

this legal structure is to counteract tax deferral possibilities that would otherwise exist, an issue considered<br />

separately below. Chart 2.3 sets out the basic statutory corporate income tax rates applicable in<br />

OECD countries as of January 1, 1998.<br />

In taxing corporate profits, a number of approaches may be observed. First, differences exist in the<br />

determination of taxable income, as in the case of the taxation of business and investment income at the<br />

personal level. Depreciable assets (e.g., machinery, buildings) used to earn business income may be written-off<br />

or depreciated for tax purposes on a straight-line or declining-balance basis at rates exceeding<br />

rates used for financial accounting purposes (or more generally at rates exceeding physical depreciation),<br />

in order to encourage investment activity. Interest expense on debts may be deductible in full or only in<br />

part, subject to limits under thin-capitalisation rules. 6<br />

Furthermore, dividends received from resident corporations may be deductible, on the basis that<br />

corporate tax has been paid at source by the distributing company, or partial inclusion may be required.<br />

Foreign dividends may be exempt or taxed with a foreign tax credit, depending on whether the dividends<br />

represent a portfolio or significant (direct) equity interest, and whether the country of residence of the<br />

taxpayer operates a territorial (source) based tax system or not. International treaties to eliminate or limit<br />

“double taxation” will also impact on the tax finally paid.<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

19


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

20<br />

Australia<br />

Austria<br />

Belgium<br />

Canada<br />

Czech Republic<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

Greece<br />

Hungary<br />

Iceland<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Japan<br />

Korea<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Mexico<br />

Netherlands<br />

New Zealand<br />

<strong>No</strong>rway<br />

Poland<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Sweden<br />

Switzerland<br />

Turkey<br />

United Kingdom<br />

United States<br />

Chart 2.3. Statutory Corporate Income Tax Rates (January 1, 1998)<br />

Per cent<br />

19.2<br />

36.0<br />

34.0<br />

35.0<br />

34.0<br />

Capital gains may or may not be taxed, and if taxed, may be subject to a reduced inclusion rate<br />

(i.e., less than full inclusion), or special rollover provisions may apply that defer corporate taxation of<br />

gains on assets if used in a similar business activity, for example. These and other provisions are relevant<br />

to the determination of taxable income from one country to the next in respect of various business activities.<br />

As noted below, some of these differences in the determination of the corporate tax base are captured<br />

in various measures of effective (as distinct from nominal) corporate income tax rates.<br />

Second, the nominal rate structure applied to taxable profits shows a considerable degree of diversity<br />

across OECD countries. Rate schedules may be flat or graduated, with or without a surtax. Federal (as distinct<br />

from unitary) countries create the possibility of taxation at the state, provincial or cantonal level. And<br />

under scheduler approaches, different tax rates may apply to different categories of business income. Dis-<br />

28.0<br />

32.0<br />

38.0<br />

37.0<br />

30.8<br />

37.5<br />

34.0<br />

35.0<br />

33.0<br />

28.0<br />

36.0<br />

37.4<br />

35.0<br />

28.0<br />

27.8<br />

<strong>No</strong>tes: Chart shows “all-in” basic nominal corporate income tax rates, including central and sub-central taxes and surtaxes. Special targeted (as<br />

opposed to basic) corporate tax rates, applicable in certain countries to small business income (e.g., Canada, United Kingdom), manufacturing<br />

income (e.g. Ireland), financial services income, etc. are not shown (see main text). The German rate shown is that applicable to retentions,<br />

while the rate shown for Italy excludes reductions in the basic rate resulting from the dual income tax and also excludes the regional (expenditurebased)<br />

production tax IRAP (see text.)<br />

Source: OECD Tax Data Base.<br />

31.0<br />

40.2<br />

40.0<br />

40.0<br />

41.7<br />

44.6<br />

44.0<br />

46.4<br />

56.7<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal Income Tax Rates<br />

tributed income may be taxed at a different statutory rate than retained income, and preferential rates have<br />

also been introduced in favour of income derived from equity as opposed to debt capital.<br />

While most countries have adopted a flat corporate income tax rate <strong>–</strong> meaning a fixed rate, invariant to<br />

the level of corporate taxable income <strong>–</strong> others have graduated tax structures in place, with the low bracket<br />

rate often coined the “small business” tax rate. In Canada, the first C$ 200 000 in active business income is<br />

subject to a reduced 12 per cent federal corporate tax rate as compared with a basic federal rate of 28 per<br />

cent, and similarly in the UK the first £300 000 in profits are taxed at a reduced “small business” tax rate of<br />

21 per cent versus 31 per cent, as of January 1, 1999. 7 The US federal corporate tax rate structure is also graduated<br />

with a top tax rate of 35 per cent applying to taxable income in excess of $10 million. 8 On top of flat<br />

or graduated statutory rate structures, many systems include a surtax (i.e., a tax on corporate tax, as distinct<br />

from a tax on corporate taxable income) introduced often as a temporary measure, but in practice, with continued<br />

application year after year, taking on more or less a permanent status.<br />

Another important aspect is that a number of OECD Member countries have federal systems, creating<br />

the possibility of a second layer of taxation at the sub-central intermediate level (e.g., state, province<br />

or canton.) For example, most states in the US and each province in Canada levy corporate income tax.<br />

State income tax is deductible for federal tax purposes in the US as are cantonal (and municipal) income<br />

taxes in Switzerland. In Canada, provincial income taxes are not deductible from the federal base.<br />

Instead, the basic Canadian federal corporate tax rate is reduced by 10 percentage points to allow “tax<br />

room” to the provinces, and provide corporations with tax relief in respect of provincial income taxation.<br />

In Germany, local government imposes a business trade tax (Gewerbesteuer) on a base similar to taxable<br />

income (and deductible) for federal income tax purposes subject to certain adjustments. 9 In contrast, in<br />

other federal countries including Australia, Austria, Belgium and Mexico, only the federal (central) government<br />

imposes income tax.<br />

Sub-central taxation is also observed in a number of unitary countries at the local level. Hungary and<br />

Luxembourg also impose a deductible local business tax at a fixed rate. In Japan, corporate income tax<br />

consists of the national (central government) corporation tax, the local government business tax and the<br />

prefectural and municipal inhabitant taxes. The local business tax rate is graduated, and while local governments<br />

typically adhere to a (common) standard rate structure, the rates applicable to each income<br />

band may be increased up to a maximum level (with the ceiling set by the central government, and with<br />

such increases leading to a reduction in federal transfers). The 46.37 per cent tax rate shown in Chart I is<br />

the overall standard rate, which takes into account the linkages between the applicable tax bases across<br />

years (as explained in Annex 2.A). A non-deductible expenditure-based local tax called the Regional Production<br />

Tax (IRAP) is found in Italy, replacing the previous income-based local corporate tax (ILOR).<br />

In certain cases, special corporate tax rates apply to different types of business income. Typically,<br />

this is effected by way of a special deduction from the corporate tax base, which generates a special nominal<br />

tax rate for the relevant income (some would prefer to call such a rate an effective rate). For example,<br />

while the basic federal corporate tax rate in Ireland is 32 per cent, a special 10 per cent rate applies to<br />

income from manufacturing industry and income of companies licensed to operate in the International<br />

Financial Services Centre (IFSC) in Dublin and in the Shannon Free Airport Zone, as well as income from<br />

other targeted activities. 10 Profits derived from such activities are in the first instance subject to tax at the<br />

32 per cent basic rate, and then relief is claimed to bring the effective rate down to 10 per cent. Similarly,<br />

a manufacturing and processing deduction in Canada lowers the applicable federal tax rate by 7 percentage<br />

points below the basic rate. A number of other OECD countries have similar regimes targeted at a<br />

range of activities, from manufacturing to finance activities. The tax rates in Chart 2.3 show the basic statutory<br />

tax rates applicable to non-targeted business activities.<br />

The application of nominal tax rates may also vary depending on the distribution policy of firms. In<br />

Germany, the basic central government corporate income tax rate is 45 per cent on retentions, while<br />

30 per cent on distributions. This split-rate regime requires the separation of income into three main<br />

pools or reserves <strong>–</strong> income taxed at the retention rate (EK45), income taxed at the distribution rate<br />

(EK30), and finally tax-exempt income (EK0). Domestic and taxable foreign source income is allocated<br />

between EK45 and EK 30, or EK30 and EK0 depending on the effective corporate tax rate on the income<br />

21


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

22<br />

being allocated. An equalisation tax is imposed at the rate (30/70) on distributions out of the tax-exempt<br />

pool EK0 (certain exceptions apply) to bring the effective tax rate up to 30 per cent, while refunds are<br />

provided at the rate of (15/55) on distributions out of EK45 to bring the effective tax rate down to the 30<br />

per cent rate. This ensures that distributions are taxed at a uniform 30 per cent rate, which is used as the<br />

basis for the taxation of distributions at the personal shareholder level (including the granting of imputation<br />

tax credits, as discussed in Section 2.7).<br />

Last to consider is the application of a differential rate depending on the capitalisation of the firm,<br />

as one finds in the Italian system where the basic corporate income tax (IRPEG) rate is 37 per cent (a central<br />

government tax). A Dual Income Tax (DIT), aimed at encouraging the equity capitalisation of companies,<br />

reduces the basic CIT (IRPEG) to 19 per cent on the portion of taxable income corresponding to a<br />

notional return of 7 per cent on the net increase in equity of the company over the net equity shown in<br />

the companies balance sheet relating to the accounting period in force as of September 30, 1996. (i.e., a<br />

reduced IRPEG rate of 19 per cent applies to notional profit earned on a net increase in equity.) A minimum<br />

average IRPEG rate of 27 per cent applies (i.e., in any period, the average of the 37 per cent and<br />

19 per cent IRPEG rates may not be less than 27 per cent (excluding IRAP)). The notional return (“ordinary<br />

yield”) is set each March 31 by the Ministry of Finance. 11<br />

Corporate income tax and shareholder taxation<br />

Among the possible roles of a corporate income tax, a central one is its withholding function, requiring<br />

that corporations pay tax on behalf of their shareholders on income earned at the firm level. Without<br />

a corporate income tax, individuals could retain earnings in a corporation as a way to defering, perhaps<br />

indefinitely avoiding being subject to tax at the personal level on (the distribution of) such income.<br />

However the existence of both corporate and shareholder level income taxation raises an “integration”<br />

problem. In the absence of mechanisms to integrate the corporate income tax and the personal<br />

income tax, income from equity capital invested in the corporate sector is subject to double taxation.<br />

That is, income that is subject to tax at the corporate level is subject to tax again at the personal level<br />

when distributed to individual shareholders as dividends.<br />

The double taxation of income can lead to a number of distortions in the economy. It may encourage<br />

individuals to forego the business advantages of incorporation, which can result in efficiency losses. It<br />

may also depress the level of savings and the level of corporate investment, with negative implications<br />

for job creation. Integration measures designed to alleviate the double taxation of income can operate<br />

to offset or remove these distortions (for a discussion of the effects of dividend taxation and relief from<br />

double taxation, see Annex 2.B).<br />

Proponents of integration argue that tax relief provided at the shareholder level in respect of corporate<br />

tax underlying a dividend distribution can lower the after-corporate tax rate of return that a corporation<br />

must earn to attract shareholders and provide them a competitive after-tax rate of return on their<br />

investment. The degree to which integration is successful in encouraging investment in a project may<br />

depend on a number of factors, including the design features of the integration system, the taxcharacteristics<br />

of the existing or new shareholders supplying the investment capital, and the type of<br />

funds used to finance the investment project (e.g., retained corporate earnings, capital from newly issued<br />

corporate shares, debt capital). The relative importance of these factors can differ according to one’s<br />

“view” of the impact of dividend taxation and measures designed to relieve the double taxation of distributed<br />

income.<br />

Moreover, the double taxation of corporate distributions may distort a corporation’s decision of how<br />

to finance an investment project, and how to distribute earnings to shareholders. In general, the double<br />

taxation of dividend income may increase the cost of new share issues as a source of finance relative to<br />

the cost of retained earnings and debt. Integration relief may lower the cost of issuing new shares (i.e., can<br />

lower the after-corporate tax rate of return required by new shareholders) and thus operate to remove<br />

the tax-bias away from this method of finance. Integration methods that lower the effective tax rate on<br />

distributed income may also reduce the tax-induced bias to flow corporate earnings to shareholders by<br />

way of share redemption rather than by distribution. 12<br />

© OECD 2000


Integration systems in OECD countries<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal Income Tax Rates<br />

Integration systems can be differentiated on the basis of whether they partially or fully relieve the<br />

burden of corporate income tax at the corporate level, or at the shareholder level. An example of the<br />

former is a dividend deduction system that gives a corporate income tax deduction in respect of corporate<br />

tax on distributed earnings. Systems that provide relief at the shareholder level can be differentiated<br />

according to whether they simply exempt from personal tax distributed income (e.g., dividend<br />

exclusion system), or instead include distributed income in shareholders’ taxable income, but provide<br />

them with a tax credit that partially or fully offsets corporate-level tax (e.g., shareholder imputation or<br />

integration systems).<br />

Within the latter class of systems, a number of possibilities exist. As noted, the tax relief granted may<br />

be partial or full. Australia, Finland, France, Germany, Mexico, New Zealand and <strong>No</strong>rway all operate full<br />

imputation systems. Systems may be in place to ensure consistency between shareholder-level tax relief<br />

and corporate income tax actually paid on a distribution. Franking systems in place in Australia and<br />

New Zealand (Box 2.C) may be contrasted with equalisation tax systems found in Finland, France<br />

Box 2.C. Franking Systems<br />

Under Australia's full imputation tax system, Australian companies are required to maintain a franked<br />

(i.e., tax-paid) income account to record income that has been subject to corporate-level tax <strong>–</strong> a company’s<br />

account is increased whenever it pays tax (or receives a tax-paid or “franked” dividend from another resident<br />

company), and is decreased whenever the company pays a franked dividend. Additions to a company's<br />

franking account in respect of Australian corporate income tax that the company has paid are<br />

determined by multiplying the amount of tax paid by a factor (1 <strong>–</strong> u)/u, where u = 0.36 is Australia’s (flat)<br />

corporate income tax rate. Upon the distribution of D units of dividends paid out of the franking account,<br />

individual shareholders must include in taxable income the amount of dividends grossed-up by the imputation<br />

tax credit accompanying the dividend. In other words, the inclusion in taxable income is given by:<br />

D(1 + (u/(1 <strong>–</strong> u)) = D/(1 <strong>–</strong> u)<br />

where u/(1-u) is the imputation tax credit rate measuring the amount of corporate tax underlying D units of<br />

dividends. The final personal tax liability is given by:<br />

m(D/(1 <strong>–</strong> u)) <strong>–</strong> D(u/(1 <strong>–</strong> u)) = D(m <strong>–</strong> u)/(1 <strong>–</strong> u)<br />

where m denotes the shareholder’s marginal personal income tax rate. The net effect is that the individual<br />

pays personal tax on the amount of distributed income measured before corporate tax, while receiving full<br />

credit for the amount of tax already paid on the distribution at the corporate level. Under the Australian system,<br />

the tax credit is fully refundable if there is insufficient personal income tax liability to fully absorb the<br />

credit. The <strong>No</strong>rwegian system is akin to the Australian system, with the difference that the shareholder’s<br />

(flat) nominal personal income tax rate at 28 per cent exactly equals the flat nominal corporate income tax<br />

rate (m = u), implying no additional tax liability at the personal level.<br />

and the United Kingdom (Box 2.D). Other differences (e.g., whether shareholder tax credits are<br />

refundable or not) are also found.<br />

Other systems providing partial tax relief include systems in Portugal, Spain and Canada. These systems<br />

are also similar in that no equalisation tax applies to ensure corporate level taxation at the shareholder<br />

tax credit rate. Under the Portuguese system, withholding tax applies at a 25 per cent rate and the<br />

taxpayer has the option of treating the withholding tax as a final tax on the distribution, or including in<br />

taxable income the dividend gross of withholding tax and imputation relief and claiming a credit for both.<br />

A withholding tax system also applies in Spain. In Canada, no equalisation or withholding tax is imposed<br />

on distributions to resident shareholders who are granted a dividend tax credit at the rate of 25 per cent<br />

23


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

24<br />

Box 2.D. Equalisation tax<br />

The integration systems in Finland and France also provide for full integration, but rather than relying<br />

on a franking account, rely on an equalisation tax (“compensatory” tax in Finland, and “précompte mobilier”<br />

in France) to ensure that distributions are taxed at the corporate level at a rate corresponding to integration<br />

credits granted at the individual shareholder level. The equalisation tax is creditable (deductible) against<br />

basic corporate income tax liability to avoid double taxation, while at the same time ensuring that distributed<br />

income has been taxed at the basic statutory corporate tax rate.<br />

The U.K. system provides for partial rather than full integration relief. In particular, the imputation tax<br />

credit per unit of dividends is 0.25, as determined by (u s /(1 <strong>–</strong> u s )) where u s is the small company tax rate of<br />

20 per cent. As under the above-noted systems, individuals are required to include in taxable income dividends<br />

measured gross of imputation credits. An individual liable to tax at the lower personal tax rate of<br />

20 per cent would not pay any additional tax on a dividend (with personal tax liability offset exactly by the<br />

imputation tax credit), while taxpayers subject to tax at the top rate would bear an additional tax burden.<br />

An equalisation tax known as the Advance Corporate Tax (ACT) is payable at a 20 per cent rate on distributions,<br />

creditable against mainstream (basic) corporate tax, ensuring taxation at the corporate level at a rate<br />

matching the degree of imputation relief.<br />

per unit of qualifying dividends. The credit rate corresponds to a 20 per cent notional combined federal<br />

and provincial small business tax rate.<br />

In contrast, other OECD countries including Austria, Belgium, Hungary, Japan, Luxembourg, the<br />

Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Switzerland and the US operate classical tax systems that deny imputation<br />

relief. Under these systems, income is taxed at the corporate level, and distributions of after-tax income<br />

are then taxed again at the personal level with no direct relief for underlying corporate income tax on the<br />

distribution. 13 Sometimes, a limited exemption for dividend income under the personal income tax<br />

applies, as in the case of the Netherlands. The advantages and disadvantages of providing full, partial or<br />

no integration relief are the subject of ongoing debate.<br />

Accounting for integration relief in tax burden measures<br />

As noted above, imputation tax credits provide for a reduction in tax at the personal level in respect<br />

of income tax paid at the corporate level on dividends distributed to shareholders. How imputation tax<br />

credits should be treated for tax burden measurement purposes depends on one’s view of the role of the<br />

corporate tax system. Under the view that corporate income tax has as its primary role a withholding tax<br />

function, then when measuring tax burdens on individuals versus firms, the amount of corporate tax on<br />

distributed income that is deemed to be a prepayment of personal tax <strong>–</strong> that is, the imputation credit<br />

amount <strong>–</strong> should be treated as part of the personal income tax burden. Thus personal income tax measured<br />

on a cash-flow basis net of imputation credits, plus imputation credits earned on distributed<br />

income, would together give the personal income tax burden. The corporate tax burden would then be<br />

measured by subtracting the same amount of imputation credits from corporate income tax revenues.<br />

If however one views corporate tax as a levy on corporations to pay for the public goods and services<br />

that corporations consume, then integration relief should be treated as a reduction in the personal tax<br />

burden. Under this view, corporate tax on distributed earnings is not to be regarded as a prepayment of<br />

personal tax, but a levy on corporations in its own right. The view is also consistent with providing relief<br />

for corporate tax to shareholders by way of imputation tax credits to mitigate the distortionary effects of<br />

double taxation (i.e., to lower the cost of capital, encourage savings).<br />

When measuring the total tax burden on income from capital, which includes both corporate-and shareholder-level<br />

taxation, of course there is no need to label imputation credits as an offset to one level of tax or<br />

the other. However, when measuring the corporate tax burden separately, the issue does arise. Most<br />

approaches either ignore this complication, or implicitly treat all corporate tax as a levy on corporations in its<br />

own right, and make no offsetting adjustment to corporate taxes paid in respect of integration relief.<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

NOTES<br />

<strong>No</strong>minal Income Tax Rates<br />

1. Sections 2.1-2.5 are based on De Kam and Bronchi (1998).<br />

2. See: OECD, The Tax/Benefit Position of Employees, 1998-1999 (Table 2.5). Paris, 1999.<br />

3. With the exception of <strong>No</strong>rway.<br />

4. Only in the cases of Denmark and Switzerland.<br />

5. In the course of 1998, the top rate in Japan was reduced to 50 per cent.<br />

6. Differences in statutory corporate income tax rates across countries encourage firms operating in more than one<br />

jurisdiction to book interest expenses (and other tax deductible amounts) in high-tax countries in order to minimize<br />

the amount of profit taxed at high rates. In response to this tax-planning incentive to shift taxable profit<br />

out of high-tax (into low-tax) countries, “thin-capitalisation” rules may be introduced which limit the amount of<br />

debt (in relation to equity or assets) that may be booked by a multinational in a given (high-tax) jurisdiction, with<br />

tax deductions denied for interest on any excess debt.<br />

7. The reduced Canadian rate, referred to as the small business rate, applies only to the first C$ 200 000 of active<br />

business income earned by Canadian-controlled private companies. Thus foreign-controlled companies and all<br />

public companies (those listed on prescribed stock exchanges) are denied the tax relief.<br />

8. The first $50 000 in taxable income is taxed at 15 per cent; the band $15 001 to $75 000 is taxed at 25 per cent;<br />

the band $75 001 to $10 million is taxed at 34 per cent, while taxable income in excess of $10 million is taxed at<br />

35 per cent. A additional tax of 5 per cent is imposed on taxable income between $100 000 and $335 000 (implying<br />

a total rate of 39 per cent on taxable income in this band) which operates to phase out the benefits of graduated<br />

rates below 34 per cent for corporations with taxable income in excess of $100 000.<br />

9. The adjustments include certain expenses which may be deducted for federal corporate income tax purposes,<br />

but not for local business tax purposes, and vice versa (e.g., 50 per cent of interest payments on long-term loans<br />

may not be deducted for business tax purposes.)<br />

10. These targeted activities include a range of grant-aided export-oriented service industries; ship repairing, certain<br />

engineering design activities, grant-aided computer services including software development, and qualifying<br />

shipping activities.<br />

11. Net equity is increased by injections of capital in cash (i.e., excluding contributions in kind), capital contributions,<br />

transfers of current profits to reserves and increases of new reserves constituted by premiums paid in connection<br />

with the issuance of new shares. Net equity is reduced by voluntary reductions in net equity which result in a<br />

decrease of both the capital and/or the reserves (e.g., distribution of dividends); consequently, the losses of the<br />

financial periods would not reduce the amount of the capital increase.<br />

12. Integration measures may also influence cross-border portfolio savings decisions. A distinguishing feature of the<br />

tax systems of many OECD countries is that while the home country tax system offers resident individual shareholders<br />

some degree of double taxation relief in respect of corporate tax on distributed domestic source income,<br />

such relief is not provided by the home country in the case of portfolio foreign source dividend income. This<br />

would suggest that on the basis of tax factors alone, individuals in such countries would generally prefer to place<br />

savings in domestic shares, rather than foreign shares, even if they are able to completely offset foreign withholding<br />

tax by claiming foreign tax credits. However, this assumes that after-corporate tax (pre-personal tax) rates<br />

of return are the same on both investments. A discussion of this issue is beyond the scope of the current study.<br />

13. Classical tax systems limit tax relief to a tax deduction for corporate tax paid. That is, personal tax is imposed not<br />

on the full amount of pre-corporate tax income underlying a distribution, but rather on the after-corporate tax<br />

amount. Consider a distribution measured by Y(1 <strong>–</strong> u), where Y denotes pre-corporate tax earnings and u<br />

denotes the corporate income tax rate. Under classical tax systems, personal tax is imposed on Y(1 <strong>–</strong> u) and not<br />

on Y (i.e., a deduction for corporate income tax in the amount of uY is provided.<br />

25


Introduction<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Chapter 3<br />

<strong>TAX</strong>-TO-GDP RATIOS<br />

The tax-to-GDP ratio <strong>–</strong> showing the share of total tax revenues in gross domestic product <strong>–</strong> is the main<br />

aggregate indicator used in the annual OECD Revenue Statistics publication to measure the significance<br />

of taxes in Member countries. Despite the attraction of expressing tax revenues as a percentage of aggregate<br />

income (value-added) in a given economy, this indicator has some important limitations as a comparative<br />

measure of the tax burden and role of government across countries and over time. Similarly, the<br />

share of aggregate public outlays of general government in GDP is an indicator that must be interpreted<br />

with care.<br />

Factors that can affect the level and trend of tax-to-GDP ratios, and which may vary across countries<br />

and therefore affect comparability of results, include the following:<br />

i) the extent to which countries provide social or economic assistance via tax expenditures, rather<br />

than direct government spending; 1<br />

ii) whether or not social security benefits are subject to tax;<br />

iii) the relationship between the tax base and GDP, and the economic cycle;<br />

iv) the measurement of GDP;<br />

v) the amounts of tax evaded and the size of the underground economy, the latter being usually<br />

incompletely reflected in GDP figures; and<br />

vi) time lags between tax accruals and receipts, particularly in the case of corporate income tax.<br />

At the same time, when interpreting tax-to-GDP ratios it must be remembered that countries may<br />

adopt policies <strong>–</strong> for example, enact regulations <strong>–</strong> that have similar goals as tax-financed expenditure programmes<br />

and create similar economic incentives and disincentives as compared to taxes and spending,<br />

but that may have different implications for the size of the government sector as measured by the ratio<br />

of tax revenues or public outlays to GDP.<br />

Assessing tax burdens and the role of government in an economy also requires that a longer-term<br />

view be taken. This is especially the case in a situation with an ageing population, as a single year snapshot<br />

may not reveal the extent of future tax liabilities. <strong>No</strong>tably, as compared to countries with pay-as-yougo<br />

financed pensions, countries with funded pension plans in place as a rule defer taxation on deductible<br />

or exempted contributions, and on returns earned by the pension fund/insurer (resulting in lower current<br />

tax revenues) until the pension is paid into the hands of pensioners (resulting in higher future tax<br />

receipts).<br />

This chapter discusses how the first four factors noted above, listed under items i)-iv), can partially<br />

explain structural differences in tax-to-GDP ratios which need not represent genuine differences in the<br />

underlying burden of tax on the economy. The fifth factor is not discussed because it necessarily involves<br />

consideration of “dark numbers” where true values are uncertain. The sixth factor particularly affects single-year<br />

comparisons of tax levels. In addition to these factors, it is also important to recognise that different<br />

taxes have different economic effects, and no single aggregate indicator is likely to reflect the<br />

economic costs associated with tax.<br />

27


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

28<br />

Tax expenditures versus direct expenditures<br />

In addressing a range of economic and social objectives, government may intervene in the market<br />

through public spending. An alternative instrument is tax concessions, as a substitute for direct public<br />

spending. “Tax expenditures” are defined as expenditures made through the tax system. The tax expenditure<br />

concept was developed in recognition of the fact that the tax system can be used to achieve similar<br />

goals as public spending programs, but that accounting for the costs and benefits of tax measures is often<br />

less rigorous, regular and observable than for direct expenditure. 2<br />

Currently, a tax expenditure list is included in the annual budget documents of more than ten OECD<br />

countries. Although the notion of tax expenditures is now well-accepted, definitions of exactly what constitutes<br />

a “benchmark” tax system <strong>–</strong> used to identify tax expenditures as deviations from the benchmark<br />

<strong>–</strong> are controversial. Indeed, the implicit or explicit benchmarks (the “normal” structure of the tax) against<br />

which countries measure tax expenditures vary considerably (See Box 3.A).<br />

Box 3.A. Tax expenditure, or not?<br />

If a special deduction is offered which lowers the effective tax rate on income earned by small businesses<br />

below the basic nominal corporate income tax rate, should the small business tax rate be considered<br />

a tax expenditure or as being part of the benchmark tax rate structure? Different approaches to such questions<br />

mean that country practices in presenting tax expenditure accounts differ. This is one important reason<br />

why amounts involved in spending through the tax system are not directly comparable across countries.<br />

Apart from problems associated with defining a “benchmark” tax system, there are several other reasons<br />

why cross-country comparisons of tax expenditure figures may be misleading, even if confined to a<br />

particular sector or activity. A full discussion of such pitfalls may be found in section V of the report on Tax<br />

Expenditures which the OECD released in 1996.<br />

As is explained in Box 3.B, a country that prefers tax expenditures over direct government expenditures<br />

will <strong>–</strong> all other things equal <strong>–</strong> have a lower tax-to-GDP ratio than countries opting for direct spending<br />

programmes.<br />

Box 3.B. How tax expenditures reduce the tax-to-GDP ratio<br />

The following hypothetical example illustrates how the substitution of tax expenditures for direct public<br />

expenditure can affect the tax-to-GDP ratio. Assume that total public outlays in country A equal 50 per<br />

cent of GDP and that one-tenth of the budget is spent on investment incentives aimed at private firms. To<br />

stimulate private investment, instead of tax-exempt direct subsidies, country B uses tax incentives equally<br />

worth 5 per cent of GDP. As a consequence, in net terms investors in country B receive in financial assistance<br />

from the government the same share in GDP (5 per cent) as do investors in country A. However, the overall<br />

spending and tax levels in country B are measured as being 5 per cent of GDP below those in country A. It<br />

follows that country A could reduce its tax and spending ratios by moving from direct subsidy spending to<br />

introducing equivalent tax reliefs. Although direct spending on investment incentives is discontinued,<br />

investors would receive the same government assistance as before because they pay 5 per cent of GDP less<br />

in taxes on income and profits. So in both cases, private firms as a group receive exactly the same financial<br />

support from the government.<br />

© OECD 2000


Tax treatment of social security benefits<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Tax-to-GDP Ratios<br />

The tax treatment of social security benefits also impacts on tax-to-GDP ratios, with the result that<br />

differences in this policy area influence differentially tax-to-GDP ratios across countries. Tax concessions,<br />

as an alternative to transfer payments or subsidies, may be used to help cover private health costs, stimulate<br />

investment in housing, and promote educational opportunities. For example, exempting social<br />

security benefits from taxation, as some countries do, is one way of increasing the after-tax benefits provided<br />

by such programmes. But because not all countries adopt this approach, tax-to-GDP ratio comparisons<br />

are affected (see Box 3.C).<br />

Box 3.C. How the tax treatment of social benefits impacts on the tax-to-GDP ratio<br />

The following example serves to illustrate how the tax treatment of social security benefits can affect<br />

the tax-to-GDP ratio. Assume that total public outlays in country A equal 50 per cent of its GDP and are fully<br />

tax-financed. The wages of public servants claim one-quarter of the public budget. Government spending<br />

on goods and services produced by the private sector absorbs a further one-quarter of budget allocations.<br />

The remaining half of the budget (equal to 25 per cent of GDP) is paid out as transfer income to benefit<br />

recipients in whose hands it is taxed at an average rate of 20 per cent.<br />

In this example, as a group, benefit recipients contribute one-tenth of aggregate tax revenues (5 per<br />

cent of GDP). Country B is recorded as having a smaller public sector, with tax and spending levels at 45 per<br />

cent of GDP. However, a closer look at its public budget and th.e relevant public programs reveals that in<br />

terms of the (net) impact of the public sector on the private sector, both countries are in exactly the same<br />

position. Country B spends 5 per cent of GDP less on income transfers, but it does not tax such income in<br />

the hands of recipients. As a consequence, in net terms benefit recipients living in country B receive the<br />

same share in GDP (20 per cent) as is the case in country A. But the overall spending and tax levels in country<br />

B are measured as being 5 per cent of GDP lower than in country A. It follows that country A could reduce<br />

its tax and spending ratios by 5 per cent of GDP, solely by switching to exempting transfer income from tax.<br />

The budget item for transfers would shrink by 5 per cent of GDP, without benefit recipients experiencing a<br />

reduction in their net disposable income. Gross benefit amounts would be lower, but since transfer income<br />

would now be tax-exempt, benefit recipients could spend the same amount on goods and services as<br />

before. Table 3.1 below summarises the preceding argument.<br />

The impact of the tax treatment of social security benefits can be illustrated by taking as an example<br />

government support to families with children. Such may be provided in four different ways: 1) as taxable<br />

child benefit; 2) as tax-exempt child benefit; 3) as a credit against personal income tax; and 4) as a personal<br />

income tax allowance. The tax-to-GDP ratio will be highest in the first case and lowest in the last case, with<br />

net disposable household income the same in all cases. Data suggest that significant amounts may be at<br />

stake. As an example, in the case of Germany, the change from child benefits to tax credits in 1996 involved<br />

DM 20 billion (about 0.5 per cent of GDP).*<br />

Table 3.1. Tax and spending ratios: an illustrative example (% of GDP)<br />

Country A B<br />

Public wages and purchases from the private sector 25 25<br />

Spending on transfer incomes 25 20<br />

Total spending, tax/GDP ratio 50 45<br />

Taxes on transfers 5 0<br />

Total spending, tax/GDP ratio after correction for taxes on transfers 45 45<br />

Net spending on transfer incomes after taxes 20 20<br />

* Under the German reform the previously untaxed child benefit (DM 20 billion) and the child allowance (DM 18 billion)<br />

were merged into a more generous tax credit programme involving DM 49 billion (1997 figures).<br />

29


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

30<br />

In practice, the role of direct taxes and social contributions varies substantially between countries.<br />

For example, a recent study by the OECD showed that in 1995 income tax and social contributions paid<br />

by benefit recipients equalled roughly 5 to 6 per cent of GDP in Denmark, the Netherlands and Sweden,<br />

whereas in Australia, Ireland, the UK and the US they paid less than 0.5 per cent of GDP in such taxes. 3<br />

For Belgium, Germany, Italy and <strong>No</strong>rway taxes paid by this group lay in the middle range (0.5 to 3 per cent<br />

of GDP). These differences in direct taxes contributed by benefit recipients reflect the scale of social<br />

expenditures, the extent to which these expenditures are targeted on those with low incomes, and how<br />

far benefits are exempted from income tax and social contributions. Also, if benefits are tax-exempt <strong>–</strong><br />

making for a smaller aggregate tax base <strong>–</strong> then social security contributions to finance the public programs<br />

concerned are in a number of countries not deductible <strong>–</strong> making for a broader income tax base than<br />

would otherwise be the case <strong>–</strong> and vice versa, although there are important exceptions to this rule. In the<br />

former case, the base erosion produced by the tax exemption of benefits may be largely offset by the<br />

non-deductibility of contributions to finance social security.<br />

The large increase in unemployment in a number of continental European countries together with<br />

the gradual ageing of populations has put upward pressure on the level of social security outlays. As the<br />

amount of income redistributed through the social security system has expanded, so probably have the<br />

budgetary and statistical impact of the different tax treatment of social security transfers.<br />

The relationship between tax base and GDP, and economic cycle effects<br />

Another key consideration is that differences in tax-to-GDP ratios do not necessarily reflect differences<br />

in tax policies, across countries or over time. To illustrate this point, first note that the aggregate tax-to-GDP<br />

ratio consists of a number of component taxes entering the numerator. 4 Consider one of these component<br />

parts, for example the corporate income tax (CIT) to-GDP ratio. This ratio can be expressed as follows:<br />

(CIT/GDP) = (CIT/Π) x (Π/GDP) (1.a)<br />

where Π denotes economic profit. If τ * denotes the effective average corporate tax burden on corporate<br />

economic profit, so that CIT = τ * x Π, the ratio CIT-to-GDP may be written as follows:<br />

(CIT/GDP) = τ * x (Π/GDP) (1.b)<br />

This expression reveals that differences in measured values of CIT-to-GDP over time and across<br />

countries can arise not only due to changes in tax policy over time and between countries <strong>–</strong> as captured<br />

by differences in τ * <strong>–</strong> but also as a result of differences in the ratio of economic profit to GDP over time<br />

and across countries. It follows that differences in the CIT-to-GDP ratio, and more generally differences<br />

in the aggregate tax-to-GDP ratio over time and between countries, cannot be taken immediately as<br />

indicative of differences in tax policy.<br />

In particular, the contribution of capital to GDP as captured by the ratio (Π/GDP) can change over<br />

time, and thus (CIT/GDP) will be observed to change over time even with tax policy held constant. The share<br />

of GDP that is effectively subject to corporate income taxation may vary as an economy moves through<br />

the business cycle, because firms claim a varying amount of tax incentives, or as a consequence of intensified<br />

tax planning activity. The ratio (Π/GDP) can differ across countries at a given point in time, and thus<br />

(CIT/GDP) can be observed to differ across countries on account of similar considerations.<br />

Another important factor is that the build-up of corporate tax loss pools carried forward and used to<br />

offset corporate tax liabilities will differ both over time, and across countries at any given point in time.<br />

These differences will impact on the CIT-to-GDP ratio <strong>–</strong> (in terms of the breakdown shown above, will<br />

cause differences across countries and over time in τ * ) <strong>–</strong> that are reflective more of past policy decisions<br />

(e.g., the prior use of tax incentives) than of current tax policy priorities.<br />

More generally, aggregate tax-to-GDP ratios and other component ratios relying on aggregate tax and<br />

GDP data (e.g., corporate tax-to-GDP ratios) mask important distinctions between the tax treatment of the<br />

relevant tax bases, and the relationship of those bases with gross value-added in the economy as measured<br />

by GDP. The implication is that variations in tax-to-GDP ratios over time and across countries in fact may say<br />

little about differences in tax policy. Only a closer examination of the component parts of ratios derived from<br />

aggregate data can shed light on factors contributing to observed dynamics of such measures.<br />

© OECD 2000


Revisions to the measurement of GDP<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Tax-to-GDP Ratios<br />

The measurement of GDP can differ across countries and time, making comparisons of tax-to-GDP<br />

ratios difficult. First, the degree of accuracy with which GDP is measured by the statistical agencies of different<br />

countries would appear to vary considerably. Second, the scale of the so-called “black” or underground<br />

economy, which is recorded in GDP only sketchily, differs between countries and is thought to be<br />

large in a number of countries. To the extent that no tax is collected on such activities, however, this may<br />

not be a large source of measurement error. Third, GDP figures are subject to numerous revisions, including<br />

the revision and updating of estimates, not necessarily for all countries at the same time, reflecting<br />

better data sources and estimation procedures. Generally, these revisions have also a rather limited<br />

impact on tax ratios.<br />

Occasionally, however, GDP figures may change in a more fundamental way when internationally<br />

agreed guidelines to measure the value of gross domestic product are structurally adjusted. This<br />

occurred in the mid-1990s, when the System of National Accounts 1993 (hereafter: 1993 SNA) began to<br />

gradually replace its predecessor, the System of National Accounts 1968 (1968 SNA).<br />

In computing their gross domestic product, the fifteen Member States of the European Union (EU)<br />

are bound to adhere to the European System of Integrated Economic Accounts (ESA), which is primarily<br />

an elaboration of System of National Accounts, though differing from it in several aspects. 5 Following the<br />

current revision of the System of National Accounts, the 1979 ESA has been replaced by the 1995 ESA.<br />

Considering for example the 1999 edition of Revenue Statistics, eight out of the fourteen OECD countries<br />

that are not part of the European Union still report gross domestic product following the 1968 SNA.<br />

Australia, Canada and <strong>No</strong>rway, the Czech Republic and Hungary however report their GDP on the basis<br />

of the 1993 SNA. By mid-1999, eleven EU member States had implemented the 1995 ESA to measure their<br />

GDP. The GDP estimates available for four EU member countries <strong>–</strong> Austria, Greece, Luxembourg and<br />

Portugal <strong>–</strong> are still based on the 1968 SNA/1979 ESA framework, as is the case for Switzerland which is not<br />

a member of the EU. The impact on tax ratios in moving from “old” to “new” GDP measures can be significant.<br />

The case of Denmark offers a good illustration (see Box 3.D).<br />

Box 3.D. How a revision of GDP can lower the tax-to-GDP ratio<br />

The recent revision implementing the revised SNA/ESA framework to compute the value of gross<br />

domestic product increased the Danish 1997 GDP by 5.0 per cent. The isolated effect of this GDP revision<br />

was to lower the tax ratio by roughly 2.5 percentage points.* Thus the GDP revision may explain to a large<br />

extent why Denmark in 1997 <strong>–</strong> different from the situation in 1994-1996 <strong>–</strong> no longer heads the list when OECD<br />

countries are ranked by decreasing tax-to-GDP ratio.<br />

* The differences are not only due to the move from the old to the new System of National Accounts. The 1968 SNA data<br />

is not revised so the differences partly reflect the move from 1968 SNA to 1993 SNA and partly the revisions to the<br />

1997 data which would be expected to show up between the data reported on the questionnaires returned in 1998<br />

and those sent back in the second quarter of 1999.<br />

Over the next few years, as an increasing number of OECD Member countries implement the revised<br />

SNA/ESA framework to compute the value of gross domestic product, and make revisions for a period<br />

reaching back farther into the past, the comparability of tax ratios between countries and over time will<br />

improve. However, consequences of the recent structural one-off revision of GDP figures should be kept<br />

in mind when analysing tax ratios reported in the 1999 edition of Revenue Statistics and constitute one<br />

more argument why tax-to-GDP ratios should be interpreted with due caution. 6<br />

31


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

32<br />

NOTES<br />

1. See Annex II to Revenue Statistics in OECD Member countries 1965-1979 (Paris, 1980) for an analysis of the borderline<br />

problems involved.<br />

2. If countries exempt certain income components from tax <strong>–</strong> for example, the first 5,000 currency units of interest<br />

income earned, transfer income received or the imputed rent of owner-occupied houses <strong>–</strong> or if countries allow<br />

certain deductions in computing taxable income <strong>–</strong> for example, for exceptional health costs and charitable donations<br />

<strong>–</strong> such exemptions and deductions typically qualify as tax expenditures, special provisions which represent<br />

government expenditures made through the tax system to achieve economic and social objectives. See: OECD,<br />

Tax Expenditures <strong>–</strong> A review of the issues and country practices (Paris, 1984) and OECD, Tax Expenditures: Recent experiences<br />

(Paris, 1996) for a general discussion of the conceptual issues involved.<br />

3. Adema (1999) p. 30.<br />

4. In particular, the aggregate tax-to-GDP ratio, which we can denote as T/GDP, can be broken down as follows:<br />

(T/GDP) = (PIT/GDP) + (CIT/GDP) + (X/GDP) where PIT measures personal income tax revenues, CIT measures<br />

corporate income tax revenues, and X measures all other tax revenues (i.e., other component taxes including<br />

social security contributions, taxes on payroll and workforce, taxes on property, consumption taxes, etc.).<br />

5. These differences are not pertinent to tax/GDP comparisons as reported in OECD Revenue Statistics.<br />

6. See the special feature S.3 in OECD (1999), pp. 34-38.<br />

© OECD 2000


Introduction<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Chapter 4<br />

AVERAGE <strong>TAX</strong> RATES AND THE NEED FOR MICRO-DATA<br />

As noted in Chapter 1, tax burden measures linking taxes paid by households and/or firms to economic<br />

concepts of income generally offer a much more informative indicator of the burden and impact of<br />

tax systems than a simple reliance on nominal (statutory) tax rates. Similarly, such measures offer greater<br />

insight than figures expressing tax revenue as a percentage of GDP.<br />

Continued interest in the calculation of average tax rates on capital income, labour income and other<br />

aggregates can be traced to at least four considerations. First, other tax measures of policy interest,<br />

including nominal tax rates and marginal effective tax rates, provide less than full consideration of the<br />

factors determining tax burdens and incentive effects. <strong>No</strong>minal tax rates, while potentially relevant to<br />

investment and work incentives, do not give any account of other equally (possibly more) important tax<br />

considerations. 7 Similarly, marginal effective tax rates (METRs), while taking into account a number of factors<br />

thought relevant to investment and work incentives, may in certain cases yield misleading indicators<br />

of the incentive effects of the tax system (see Chapter 5).<br />

Average tax rates (ATRs), on the other hand, by including the actual amount of tax collected in the<br />

numerator, implicitly take into account the combined effect of nominal income tax rates, tax deductions<br />

and tax credits. ATRs also take into account the effects on the domestic tax base of tax planning, as well<br />

as tax relief available from lax or discretionary administrative practice. Thus, ATRs, if properly measured,<br />

generally will give much better measures of overall tax burdens. Moreover, ATRs may be useful in explaining<br />

behavioural effects of taxation, and in certain cases may be better indicators than METR statistics. 8<br />

Second, there is a view, perhaps mistaken, that average tax rates analysis is intrinsically a simpler<br />

exercise than other types of tax analysis, for example METR analysis. In particular, there is no need to<br />

delve into the detailed rules that go into the determination of capital cost allowances, tax credits, the cost<br />

of financial capital, and so on, that must be encoded in a METR formula. The net effect of these and other<br />

rules on tax burdens is captured in the measurement of the final tax revenue amount.<br />

Third, policy makers often want to know how the tax system is impacting on the economy and its<br />

agents <strong>–</strong> for example, the take-up rate of special tax concessions by various socio-economic strata; the<br />

degree of income redistribution across households brought about by a progressive personal income tax<br />

rate schedule. Indeed, policymakers and the public alike are keenly interested in assessing fairness in<br />

the application of specific tax programmes as well as equity in the tax system in general. For example,<br />

questions arise concerning how the tax burden is shared among individuals and corporations, across<br />

labour and capital, and how this balance has changed over time. People also want to better understand<br />

whether the tax system impedes, encourages, or is neutral towards investment and job creation, with<br />

often a special interest in the tax treatment of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Equity and<br />

efficiency concerns are raised if small business profits are judged over-taxed, depressing after-tax<br />

retained earnings, the main source of finance for SMEs.<br />

Fourth, it is recognised that, whatever the relative strengths or weaknesses of ATR statistics, such<br />

numbers will be generated, quoted, interpreted and used to influence tax policy debate. Given this, an<br />

interest emerges in developing a better understanding of what goes into the making of such statistics,<br />

what can be made of them, and what can not.<br />

33


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

34<br />

A focus on corporate taxation<br />

An area of interest that has dominated much of the recent public debate on the role of taxes concerns<br />

the taxation of business. Given the increased competitive pressures on business accompanying the liberalisation<br />

of trade and investment flows, multinationals often warn of the need to lower corporate tax<br />

rates to attract foreign direct investment and discourage domestic capital flight. On the other hand, a perceived<br />

gradual shifting of the tax burden onto less mobile factors of production, including low-skilled<br />

labour, and consumption has fuelled demands that corporate tax burdens be increased, in order to<br />

ensure that firms pay their fair share of taxes in support of public programs.<br />

This debate has heightened calls for reliable measures of corporate tax burdens to enable comparisons<br />

across factors of production, countries and time. Many would argue that such demands are off the<br />

mark as corporate tax burdens calculations are artificial, given that corporations are merely legal forms<br />

through which individuals may conduct business. Thus, the focus should be on measuring tax burdens on<br />

capital, taking into account not only corporate taxes on income received at the corporate level, but also<br />

personal tax on the returns to individual capital suppliers. As noted below, determining personal tax on<br />

investment income is not a straightforward exercise, and recourse must be made to micro-data for reliable<br />

estimates. However, aside from this, interest in separate corporate tax burden measures may not<br />

diminish, and in fact may grow, given the distinction made by many between taxes on individuals versus<br />

taxes on corporations, and the continued pressure by business to keep corporate rates low, and by labour<br />

to ensure corporations pay their fair share.<br />

As becomes clear from the discussion, none of the approaches reviewed to tackle these and other<br />

tax burden questions are without shortcomings, whether relying on publicly available aggregate or firmlevel<br />

data. The problems posed by aggregate data in general, namely those related to an inability to<br />

make necessary adjustments to ensure consistency in the approach <strong>–</strong> in this case, consistency between<br />

numerator and denominator amounts <strong>–</strong> are found here as well. And publicly-available firm-level data,<br />

while in principle offering this advantage, raises its own problems related to both the numerator (the<br />

amount of taxes paid) and the denominator (profit). Taxes paid may partly concern profits earned in other<br />

years and are thus not necessarily connected to profits of the current year. Also, published accounts of<br />

individual firms may not separately show all relevant taxes paid. As regards the denominator, profits<br />

reported in annual accounts reflect national accounting practices which hampers international comparability<br />

of tax rates based on firm-level data. Moreover, the sample of firms may cover only specific sectors<br />

of the economy, and some years. Average tax rates calculated for one sector of the economy need not be<br />

representative of the tax burden on other sectors. And one may be interested in examining the trend in<br />

tax burdens over a longer period than that for which detailed firm-level data are available. Absent a<br />

detailed, representative firm-level data set covering the main sectors of the economy over the time<br />

period of interest, policy-analysts must turn to other data and estimating techniques. Some of the main<br />

options available are reviewed below.<br />

Two frameworks for assessing corporate tax burdens<br />

Average tax rates (ATRs) derived for incorporated businesses may be calculated (with a lag, allowing<br />

for the gathering, compilation of required data) as the ratio of corporate income tax divided by some<br />

measure of pre-tax corporate profit or surplus. Typically, the focus is on domestic corporate income tax<br />

(i.e., foreign tax on foreign source income is ignored) imposed on resident corporations, regardless of<br />

(domestic versus foreign) ownership. In principle, actual corporate tax paid should be included in the<br />

numerator, however several studies deriving ATRs at the firm level, relying on data gathered from financial<br />

accounts, use tax liabilities as reported for book purposes. Economic profit (as opposed to book or<br />

taxable income) should enter the denominator, which may call for inflation adjustments to financial<br />

income, the exclusion of loss firms and special consideration of loss-carryovers, and possibly other<br />

adjustments to ensure a matching of numerator and denominator amounts. 9<br />

In assessing effective tax burdens, two types of frameworks can be distinguished <strong>–</strong> backward-looking<br />

measures, and forward-looking measures.<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Average Tax Rates and the Need for Micro-Data<br />

Backward-looking corporate average tax rate measures assess the average rate of corporate tax on<br />

income derived from previously acquired (i.e., existing/installed) capital of firms. Such frameworks are<br />

“backward-looking” in the sense that they assess current tax liabilities on profit generated from capital<br />

stock accumulated in the past. 10 Within the category of backward-looking ATRs, one can distinguish<br />

between approaches that that rely on aggregate (economy-wide) data, including so-called implicit tax rates,<br />

and those that rely on firm-specific(micro) data (publicly-available or confidential). Firm-level data offers<br />

the advantage that it can be aggregated to generate size- or sector-specific rates.<br />

Alternatively, one can consider forward-looking corporate average tax rates that assess corporate taxes<br />

as a percentage of pre-tax profit on a prospective investment. While backward-looking measures may be the<br />

most appropriate indices, if measured properly, to address the equity concerns with the tax system, they<br />

may have limited value for inferring how the current tax system is impacting on investments in new productive<br />

capacity. In order to address the latter concern, this second approach of measuring tax burdens<br />

on new investment is in order. Within the forward-looking category, one may distinguish between projectanalysis<br />

ATRs and marginal effective tax rates (METRs). Project-analysis ATRs consider a discrete investment<br />

project and measure corporate taxes payable as a percentage of economic profit for a given discrete<br />

(lump-sum) amount of capital invested. In contrast, METR analysis assesses tax burdens at the margin,<br />

on the last currency unit invested, using theoretical models that characterise optimal investment behaviour.<br />

These forward-looking measures are addressed in Chapter 5.<br />

We begin below by first considering so-called “implicit” tax rate analysis. Such measures have been<br />

the subject of much scrutiny in the recent past, at least in the European context. Their appeal can be<br />

explained to a large extent by the fact that they may be derived using publicly-available data (taken from<br />

the OECD Revenue Statistics, and National Accounts data). Yet they may be highly misleading indicators of<br />

tax burden, particularly in the case of corporate implicit tax rates, as discussed below.<br />

The following sections consider backward-looking average tax rates derived using aggregate data,<br />

and results derived using micro-data. As regards the use of micro-data, while results derived using financial<br />

accounting information are suggestive, we argue that recourse should be taken to use confidential<br />

data compiled by central governments. Only this data is sufficiently rich in detail to permit the types of<br />

refinements that should be made in principle to arrive at internally-consistent corporate ATRs, and measures<br />

of tax burden on income from capital and labour.<br />

Implicit ATRs<br />

Like profit-based ATR measures, implicit corporate tax rates derived for the economy as a whole<br />

include aggregate revenues from taxes on corporate income in the numerator. However, corporate operating<br />

surplus as reported in the National Accounts enters the denominator. 11 Different from accounting<br />

definitions of business profit, operating surplus is measured gross of (including) interest, rent and royalties<br />

paid by corporations. 12 For this reason, and several others, variations in corporate implicit tax rates<br />

over time and across countries cannot be readily interpreted as indicative of changes in tax policy or<br />

investment incentives, with implications for its usefulness as a policy tool.<br />

This following discussion addresses potential difficulties with the measurement of “implicit” average<br />

tax rates for the following categories of income and factors of production:<br />

3. personal income (sub-section 4.3.1);<br />

4. corporate income (sub-section 4.3.2);<br />

5. capital (sub-section 4.3.3); and<br />

6. labour (sub-section 4.3.4).<br />

The following section (4.4) suggests how micro-data might be used to address the problems identified. 13<br />

In considering these four implicit average tax rates, formulae are presented to facilitate the discussion.<br />

While it is recognised that variants to these formulae may be applied, the problem areas identified generally<br />

are common to all alternative formulations, allowing in most cases reference to a single representation.<br />

We choose here to use the formulae found in Mendoza et al. (1994), unless otherwise indicated.<br />

35


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

36<br />

Personal income average tax rates<br />

The average tax rate on personal income may be expressed as follows:<br />

tP = PIT1100 /(W + PEI + OSPUE) (1)<br />

where PIT1100 measures taxes on income, profits and capital gains of individuals (Revenue Statistics category<br />

1100), W measures wages and salaries in cash and kind paid to employees gross of employee social security<br />

contributions, PEI measures property and entrepreneurial income received by households, and<br />

OSPUE measures the operating surplus of private unincorporated enterprises. 14<br />

Treatment of capital gains<br />

Category 1100 includes personal tax on (net) capital gains. However, the denominator excludes the<br />

corresponding tax base (realised net capital gains), implying an inconsistency between the measurement<br />

of the numerator and denominator of the personal ATR. This inconsistency could be eliminated in principle<br />

by subtracting from the numerator personal tax on net capital gains. 15 However, this approach would<br />

remove a potentially significant personal tax component. Another option might be to add to the denominator<br />

realised net capital gains of resident individuals on the sale/disposition of domestic property. This<br />

information generally would be provided on individual tax returns in countries that impose this tax<br />

although information available at the Secretariat suggests that few countries have compiled this data. It<br />

seems unlikely that information on realised net capital gains would be available in countries that do not<br />

tax gains, and comparability across countries would require that the adjustment to the denominator be<br />

made for all countries.<br />

However, for countries that do tax individuals on net capital gains, it would be useful to determine<br />

the importance, in quantitative terms, of the omission of net realised capital gains from the denominator<br />

of the personal income ATR.<br />

Accounting for integration relief<br />

Imputation credits offering shareholders double taxation relief in respect of underlying corporate<br />

income tax on dividends received are usually captured in Revenue Statistics under category 1100. Some<br />

would argue that the personal tax burden on dividend income is properly measured gross of imputation<br />

relief, as corporate-level tax on distributions is, in effect, a pre-payment of personal tax liabilities on such<br />

amounts. This argument is particularly forceful in systems where an equalisation tax is imposed on distributions<br />

at the corporate level, and where the distributions tax is creditable against regular corporate<br />

income tax, with the rate providing a match with the imputation relief provided at the individual shareholder<br />

level.<br />

Adjusting ATRs in respect of integration relief would involve increasing aggregate personal income<br />

tax revenues PIT1100 by a notional amount equal to total imputation credits claimed at the personal<br />

shareholder level (and, in the measurement of the corporate income ATR (see below), reducing aggregate<br />

corporate income tax revenues (category 1200) by the same amount). Following the principle of cashbasis<br />

reporting, figures shown in Revenue Statistics are not adjusted in this way.<br />

Aggregate shareholder imputation credits are not reported separately in Revenue Statistics. 16 However,<br />

this amount (or a rough estimate of it) could in principle be drawn from individual taxpayer-level<br />

data, in some cases requiring simplifying assumptions regarding the carry-over of unused credits. Information<br />

on the magnitude of the required adjustment would be another useful contribution of micro-data<br />

analysis.<br />

Personal tax on foreign source income<br />

Both categories, wages and salaries paid to employees (W) and property and entrepreneurial<br />

income (receipts) of households (PEI) capture amounts paid to households by resident producers. For<br />

countries that tax resident individuals on their worldwide income, the personal income tax measure<br />

PIT 1100 in the numerator of the personal ATR includes not only domestic tax on domestic source property,<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Average Tax Rates and the Need for Micro-Data<br />

entrepreneurial and wage income, but also net domestic tax on foreign source property, entrepreneurial<br />

and wage income. 17 This raises the question of how significant the distortion is to the ATR introduced by<br />

this measurement asymmetry. Where micro-data is available that identifies separately foreign source<br />

income, the net amount of domestic tax on these amounts could be estimated in principle and subtracted<br />

from the numerator. This would permit gauging how significant a factor this is.<br />

Corporate income average tax rates<br />

The implicit average tax rate on corporate income may be expressed as follows:<br />

tC = CIT1200 /OSC (2a)<br />

where CIT1200 measures taxes on income, profits, capital gains of corporations, and OSC measures the<br />

operating surplus of the corporate sector (equal to the total operating surplus of domestic producer units<br />

OS, less the operating surplus of private unincorporated enterprises, OSPUE).<br />

Concept of operating surplus too broad<br />

The surplus amount OS C in the denominator of (2a), while measured net of wages and salaries, is<br />

gross of interest expense, rents, royalties and other amounts deductible for book income or accounting<br />

purposes. The base in equation (2a) is therefore broader than what might be considered appropriate<br />

when considering a corporate income average tax rate. Therefore, it would be informative to consider an<br />

alternative base which nets from OSC amounts deductible for book purposes (including interest expense,<br />

rents, royalties) paid to the household sector and to non-residents. Defining this adjusted book income<br />

measure ABYC , the corporate income ATR could be measured alternatively as:<br />

tC^ = CIT1200 /ABYC (2b)<br />

Figures generated by equation (2b) <strong>–</strong> adjusted to exclude loss firms and corporate tax on foreign<br />

source income (as discussed below) <strong>–</strong> could be more accurately identified as average corporate income<br />

tax rates. 18<br />

Treatment of losses<br />

National Accounts production and income data cover both profitable and non-profitable firms. The<br />

inclusion of non-profitable firms tends to lower aggregate operating surplus in the economy. 19 As firms in<br />

a loss position typically do not pay tax, the inclusion of loss firms generally would have no impact on the<br />

numerator of the corporate ATR, while reducing its denominator. The net effect is an increase in the ATR<br />

over what would be observed if loss firms were excluded.<br />

Some would argue that an ATR that properly reflects the corporate tax burden would exclude firms<br />

in a loss position. 20 Or in other words, the inclusion of such firms tends to overstate the correct corporate<br />

ATR reflecting the average tax burden on profitable firms. Using micro-data, non-profitable firms could<br />

be removed from the sample, allowing a corporate ATR to be derived for profitable firms.<br />

Variation in ATRs by industry<br />

One major drawback of corporate ATRs derived from aggregate data is that they are unable to reveal<br />

the variation in corporate income tax burdens across industries. This inability stems from the fact that<br />

Revenue Statistics data do not breakdown corporate income tax revenue by industry. <strong>No</strong>r do National<br />

Accounts data provide the necessary breakdown. 21<br />

Average tax rates by industry may however be derived using micro-data on a representative sample<br />

of corporations categorised by industrial classification number. When deriving corporate ATRs by industry,<br />

the use of corporate OS in the denominator clearly would not be appropriate. 22 Instead, an adjusted<br />

book (accounting) profit measure should be used, as discussed above and represented in equation (2b).<br />

With ATR figures derived using this approach, it would be interesting to observe whether relatively low<br />

ATRs are found in industries or sectors that involve business activities that are believed to be generally<br />

more mobile than others (e.g., financial institutions sector versus manufacturing sector). 23<br />

37


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

38<br />

Corporate tax on foreign source income<br />

For countries taxing resident corporations on their foreign income <strong>–</strong> including foreign branch income,<br />

dividends received from foreign affiliates, and other foreign source investment income <strong>–</strong> the corporate<br />

income tax measure CIT1200 in the numerator of the corporate ATR will be broader in coverage than the<br />

denominator, which includes only the operating surplus generated by resident producer units. As in the<br />

personal ATR case, this raises the question of how significant the inconsistency between the measurement<br />

of numerator and denominator amounts is.<br />

It would also be interesting to know whether this measurement bias has increased over time, as one<br />

might expect given increased relative interest in cross-border investment activity. Again, micro-data<br />

could be usefully applied to address this question.<br />

Labour income average tax rates<br />

The implicit average tax rate on labour may be expressed as follows:<br />

t L = (t P (W) + SSC2000) + PAY3000)/(W + SSC F 2200) (3)<br />

where tP is the average tax rate on (overall) personal income as noted under item (a). SSC2000 measures<br />

the sum of social security contributions of employees (SSCE 2100 ), employers (SSCF2200 ), the selfemployed<br />

and others such as benefit recipients (SSCPUE 2300 ), plus contributions that are unallocable<br />

between these three categories (SSCOTH 2400 ). Lastly, PAY3000 measures taxes on payroll and workforce.24<br />

Personal tax on wage income<br />

The common approach when using aggregate data to measure an average tax rate on labour is to estimate<br />

the amount of personal tax collected on wage and salary income (W) using the average tax rate on<br />

personal income t P . Even where labour and capital income are pooled for tax purposes at the individual<br />

taxpayer level, such an approach may be criticised where aggregate labour income is believed to be subject<br />

<strong>–</strong> on average across taxpayers <strong>–</strong> to a significantly different average tax burden than capital income.<br />

Generally, capital income will tend to be concentrated in the hands of high-income individuals and<br />

therefore, under a progressive rate structure, be subject to higher marginal and average tax rates as compared<br />

to labour income. On the other hand, special concessions or tax breaks may apply to income from<br />

capital, so that the average tax rate for capital income might not be significantly different from that for<br />

labour income. Forcing this assumption on the exercise, as the ATR model does when based on aggregate<br />

data, is however a shortcoming of the framework.<br />

Using micro-level data <strong>–</strong> that is, tax data collected at the individual taxpayer level <strong>–</strong> it should be possible<br />

to generate more accurate measures of the personal average tax rates on separate items of income,<br />

including wages and salaries, taxable income from capital, as well as transfers (if taxable), and to examine<br />

how such measures compare with those derived using aggregate data. This should be possible where the<br />

data set includes, for individual taxpayers in the sample, separate reported figures for the items of<br />

income for which tax ratios are being calculated. Annex 4.B considers how micro-data might be used for<br />

this purpose, and considers three possible systems for illustrative purposes:<br />

i) progressive taxation of combined labour and capital income (global taxation);<br />

ii) system i) with a 50 per cent inclusion rate for capital income; and<br />

iii) a dual tax system with separate taxation of labour and capital income.<br />

As illustrated in annex 4.B, rather than using tP in equation (3), an average personal rate on total wage<br />

and salary income could be derived from a representative sample of taxpayers as follows:<br />

tW = ∑j (Wj /W)*(PITj /Yj ) = ∑jwj *tP j (4)<br />

where Wj measures the wage and salary income of the j th taxpayer in a sample of n individuals (j=1,..,n)<br />

and where W = ∑jWj measures aggregate wages and salaries in the sample. PITj measures the final personal<br />

income tax liability of the j th taxpayer on his total net income of Yj. Equation (4) therefore measures<br />

the average personal tax rate on wage income t W as a weighted average of each individual taxpayer’s aver-<br />

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Average Tax Rates and the Need for Micro-Data<br />

age personal tax rate tP j , with the weights wj = (Wj /W) attached to these individual tax rates reflecting the<br />

distribution of total wages and salaries across taxpayers.<br />

Using micro-data to generate a more precise estimate of the amount of average personal tax rate on<br />

wage and salary income would address a central defect with ATR analysis based on aggregate data.<br />

Capital income average tax rates<br />

The average tax rate on capital may be expressed as follows: 25<br />

tC = (tP (PEI + OSPUE) + CIT1200 + TIMP4100 + TFT4400 )/OS (5)<br />

where TIMP4100 measures recurrent taxes on immovable property, TFT4400 measures taxes on financial<br />

and capital transactions, and with the other variables tP , PEI, OSPUE, OS and CIT1200 as defined above.<br />

Personal tax on property and self-employed income<br />

The common approach to generating an average tax rate for capital is to group corporations and unincorporated<br />

enterprises together and estimate personal tax on income from capital, including domestic<br />

source property income received by households and self-employment income, using an overall average<br />

tax rate on personal income (tP ). This methodology has been criticised on at least two grounds. First, as<br />

noted in relation to the labour ATR, a potential measurement error is introduced when using an average<br />

tax rate on personal income derived using aggregate data to estimate personal tax on specific categories<br />

of personal income.<br />

Second, treating the operating surplus of unincorporated enterprises (OSPUE) as solely a return to<br />

capital, and the tax imposed on it as entirely a tax on capital, has been criticised as biasing the results,<br />

as this surplus amount is in fact a return to both capital and labour supplied by the self-employed. 26<br />

While an attempt could be made to apportion OSPUE and the tax imposed on it in part to labour and in<br />

part to capital, it is recognised that splitting OSPUE into labour and capital components will always<br />

remain a rather arbitrary exercise.<br />

An alternative approach would be to treat unincorporated enterprises separately and to calculate an<br />

average tax rate for the combined returns to owners of unincorporated enterprises. It then becomes<br />

unnecessary to ascribe OSPUE to the (unknown) combination of factor inputs. 27 Under this option, and<br />

using micro-data, an average personal tax rate on OSPUE could be derived as a weighted average of<br />

(j=1,…n) individual average personal tax rates t P j with the weights zj = (Zj/Z) reflecting the distribution of<br />

total self-employment income Z = ∑jzj across taxpayers, as follows (see also equation (4)):<br />

tUE = ∑jzj *tP j (6)<br />

The following reasons can be given in support of treating unincorporated enterprises separately.<br />

First, the analysis along these lines avoids potentially biasing the results from rather arbitrarily splitting<br />

OSPUE into its component parts. To the extent that the final average tax rate results are more robust, their<br />

informational content may be increased rather than decreased. Second, where a policy interest in measuring<br />

average tax rates arises out of equity concerns over the sharing of the tax burden between workers<br />

and investors, it is unnecessary to artificially split the return to owners of PUEs into returns to labour and<br />

capital, as the worker and the investor in this case are one and the same.<br />

If this latter approach is adopted, a capital ATR could be measured excluding unincorporated enterprises,<br />

with operating surplus of incorporated enterprises OSC appearing in the denominator:<br />

t C = ((t PEI ·PEI) + CIT1200 + TIMP4100 + TW4200 + TFT4400 + TOTH6000 )/OS C (7a)<br />

or alternatively, using an adjusted book income figure for the corporate sector (ABYC ):<br />

tC^ = ((tPEI ·PEI) + CIT1200 + TIMP4100 + TW4200 + TFT4400 + TOTH6000 )/ABYC (7b)<br />

The capital ATRs shown in equation set (7) differ from the ATR shown in equation (5) in several<br />

respects. First, as noted, they exclude the unincorporated sector. Second, they include recurrent taxes<br />

on net wealth TW4200, taxes on financial and capital transactions TFT4400, and other taxes TOTH6000, which<br />

arguably should be included in a comprehensive capital ATR measure. 28 Third, rather than using an over-<br />

39


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

40<br />

all average tax rate on personal income (tP ) to estimate the amount of personal tax on income from property<br />

(PEI), equation (7) uses an average personal rate on income from property which could be derived<br />

as a weighted average of individual taxpayer’s average personal tax rate tP j , with the weights vj = (PEIj /PEI)<br />

reflecting the distribution of property income across taxpayers.<br />

tPEI = ∑jvj *tP j (8)<br />

Yet another possibility would be to create a new ATR for “business” that, like the capital ATR shown<br />

in (5), would group together incorporated and unincorporated enterprises. In the numerator one would<br />

include corporate income tax, as well as personal tax on self-employment income (the numerator would<br />

thus include personal tax on the returns to labour and capital provided by the self-employed).<br />

Treating OSPUE in this way avoids the difficulties associated with attempting to split the returns<br />

between labour and capital. A candidate business ATR measure might be:<br />

t B = (t UE ·(OSPUE <strong>–</strong> SSC PUE 2300) + CIT1200 + TIMP4120 + TW4220 + TFT 4400 + TOTH6000)/(OS <strong>–</strong> SSC PUE 2300) (9a)<br />

The business ATR is broader than the corporate ATR shown in equation (2), including OS rather than<br />

OSC =(OS-OSPUE) in the denominator, and including personal tax on OSPUE rather than just CIT1200 in the<br />

numerator. Moreover, it includes other taxes on business including recurrent taxes on immovable property<br />

TIMP4120 , recurrent taxes on net wealth TW4220 , taxes on financial and capital transactions TFT4400 ,<br />

and other taxes TOTH6000 .<br />

A narrower business income base (denominator amount), measuring adjusted book income of incorporated<br />

and unincorporated enterprises denoted below by ABY, could also be considered:<br />

tB^ = (tUE ·(OSPUE <strong>–</strong> SSCPUE 2300 ) + CIT1200 + TIMP4120 + TW4220 + TFT4400 + TOTH6000 )/ABY (9b)<br />

Finally, note that both equations benefit from the use of a tax rate on self-employment income t UE<br />

derived from micro-data using equation (6), rather than using an overall aggregate average personal tax<br />

rate t p .<br />

Corporate tax on foreign source income<br />

In countries with residence-based tax systems, CIT 1200 will include some amount of net domestic tax<br />

on foreign source income, with the corresponding surplus excluded from the denominator, as noted<br />

above. Again, micro-data may reveal how important this consideration is.<br />

<strong>No</strong>n-resident withholding tax on domestic source income<br />

Another matter to investigate is the treatment of operating surplus paid to non-resident investors.<br />

Most countries include non-resident withholding tax on payments of interest, dividends, rents and royalties<br />

in category 1200. However, other countries report this amount separately in category 1300 (taxes on<br />

income, profits, capital gains that are not allocable between 1100 and 1200). For example, in Canada and<br />

Hungary, category 1300 reports non-resident withholding tax. In the case of New Zealand, non-resident<br />

withholding tax, which is included as one of several entries in category 1300, is significant <strong>–</strong> roughly onethird<br />

as large as total corporate income tax revenues reported under heading 1200. In Denmark and<br />

Greece, the components of category 1300 are not explicitly identified, but again the amounts are large,<br />

roughly one-half the size of total corporate income tax revenues. For those countries that report non-resident<br />

withholding tax in the Revenue Statistics, this amount should be included in the corporate ATR.<br />

Backward-looking (adjusted profit-based) ATRs<br />

As is clear from the preceding sub-section, reliance on aggregate operating surplus data to measure<br />

an average tax rate for the corporate sector is fundamentally flawed. The construction of meaningful<br />

(interpretable) measures requires that corporate income taxes paid be determined as a percentage of<br />

economic profit, with consistency sought between numerator and denominator amounts as regards the<br />

treatment of interest, and other factors including the treatment of losses and foreign source income.<br />

Proper measurement therefore requires access to sufficiently detailed firm-level data.<br />

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Average Tax Rates and the Need for Micro-Data<br />

Similarly, calls for separate tax burden measures for different categories of taxpayer (e.g., low- versus<br />

high-income, small business versus large), different factors of production (e.g., capital versus labour), special<br />

business activities (e.g., research & development, manufacturing, financing activities) and across different<br />

regions and countries require more detailed information and analysis than that offered by nominal<br />

tax rates and rates derived using aggregate tax and surplus figures. Typically, such (confidential) data is<br />

only compiled by and accessible to government officials.<br />

This section briefly reviews a number of considerations relevant to measuring profit-based corporate<br />

ATRs, and then considers two recent studies that have relied on financial statement data to generate<br />

average corporate tax rates in the European Union. The section concludes by underlining the need for<br />

detailed micro-data to properly address the corporate tax burden question. 29<br />

Matching corporate (economic) profit and corporate tax paid<br />

Adjustments to arrive at a proper measure of economic profit for inclusion in the denominator could<br />

include consideration of the following points. First, in order to arrive at a measure of the tax burden on<br />

profitable firms, non-profitable firms (i.e., firms making an economic business or non-capital loss) should<br />

be excluded from the sample (and thus not enter the denominator, being excluded from the numerator).<br />

The consideration was raised in section 4.3 in the implicit tax rate context.<br />

Second, attempts could be made to establish whether business cycle effects are distorting results.<br />

As noted above, current period claims from large loss-carryforward pools (following a downturn in the<br />

economy) may give misleadingly low ATR figures. Similar considerations arise as regards current claims<br />

from large pools of other tax allowance and tax credits built-up over time and carried forward to the current<br />

year due to low prior-year taxable profits. One possibility in such cases is to derive, for a representative<br />

sample of firms and using micro-simulation models, notional corporate taxes payable under<br />

restricted loss claims. Many countries have such models at the central government (Ministry of Finance/<br />

Revenue) level permitting an assessment of corporate income tax liabilities under alternative assumptions<br />

regarding, for example, revised tax rates, thresholds, and claims from discretionary tax pools. 30 If<br />

trend/normal loss utilisation rates cannot be determined and factored into revised (notional) corporate<br />

tax estimates, ATRs arguably should be calculated over a multi-year period and averaged to arrive at<br />

results that smooth out business cycle effects, however the choice of which years to average over may not<br />

be obvious. Clearly, the usefulness of this estimate will be reduced when there is instability in the tax<br />

code over the sample period.<br />

Third, in adjusting financial (book) income to arrive at a measure of true economic income generated<br />

in the corporate sector, consideration may be given to adjusting profits for inflationary effects. These<br />

include a capital consumption adjustment (i.e., adjusting book profits down to reflect the fact that actual<br />

capital depreciation (replacement) costs will exceed those measured using historic purchase prices) and<br />

similarly an inventory valuation adjustment (tending to reduce profit). Other possible adjustments<br />

include those for corporate debt (i.e., reflecting the decline in real debt burdens accompanying (unanticipated)<br />

inflation), tending to increase the measure of economic profit), and similarly an adjustment for<br />

losses on non-interest-bearing financial assets including cash and demand deposits (tending to reduce<br />

profit). 31<br />

Fourth, book deductions for current and deferred taxes should be added back to financial profits,<br />

including any deductible state or local taxes. Dividend income (both domestic and foreign) should also<br />

be netted out, as should other foreign investment income and foreign branch profits. Domestic dividend<br />

receipts should be netted out so as to not double-count domestic profits that are distributed (as recognized<br />

under inter-corporate dividend deduction tax provisions). The inclusion of dividends in the<br />

denominator would result in an overestimate of domestic economic profit and an underestimate of the<br />

true average corporate tax rate. Similarly, foreign dividends should be netted out, as their inclusion<br />

would require including in the numerator foreign indirect (corporate) tax on the income underlying the<br />

dividend, for which information generally would not be compiled. Moreover, public interest in corporate<br />

tax burden measures generally is limited to domestic tax considerations. For a similar reason, foreign<br />

branch profits should be excluded.<br />

41


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

42<br />

Recent corporate ATR results<br />

As noted above, ideally profit-based corporate ATRs should be measured using in the denominator<br />

adjusted corporate profits which may differ (potentially significantly) from book or financial profits on<br />

account of a number of adjustments in respect of inflation, losses, foreign source income and possibly<br />

other factors. In practice, available data typically is not sufficiently rich to permit these adjustments, and<br />

so approximate measures are derived. Examples are measures constructed with the help of Compustat<br />

data (for Canadian and U.S. firms) or the BACH database of the European Commission. Generally, such<br />

studies have found that corporate ATRs are lower than is indicated by nominal rates.<br />

A recent study commissioned by the Dutch ministry of Finance illustrates the gap between nominal<br />

rates of the corporate income tax and the average percentage of profits firms actually pay in tax. The study<br />

is based on the annual accounts of nearly 3 000, mainly listed, manufacturing companies located in all EU<br />

Member states. It shows that the EU manufacturing sector in 1990-1996 paid 27 per cent in tax on its profits,<br />

nearly ten percentage points below the average of statutory rates (36.5 per cent). For German companies,<br />

the study reports a gap of 11.5 points, and an effective rate of 38.5 per cent. This is still the highest<br />

effective rate found for any EU country, but the gap with other economies has become much smaller than<br />

a comparison of nominal rates would suggest: the average rate reported for Italy is 35 per cent, for France<br />

33 per cent, for the Netherlands 32 per cent and for the UK 29 per cent.<br />

It should be noted that the study commissioned by the Dutch Ministry of Finance focuses on the<br />

manufacturing sector and does not cover other sectors of the economy, such as banking and insurance<br />

that are often thought to pay less tax. Also, earnings figures were taken from annual accounts as published<br />

by the firms concerned, reflecting differences in national accounting practices. This is especially relevant<br />

in the case of countries such as Germany where in many cases a significant part of earnings is added to<br />

(hidden) reserves, reducing the denominator which pushes up the average tax rate shown. 32 Indeed, in<br />

a recent report the Bundesbank has warned that cross-country comparisons <strong>–</strong> even if based on harmonised<br />

annual accounts <strong>–</strong> are subject to considerable problems, notably stemming from institutional differences<br />

in corporate financing, different national accounting regulations as well as statistical and<br />

methodological discrepancies in the corporate balance sheet data. 33<br />

The Bundesbank publishes statistics on corporations and the taxes they pay, based on the annual<br />

accounts of some 60,000 firms. For recent years, this statistics shows an average tax rate of about 35 per<br />

cent. 34 Since earnings figures used reflect German accounting principles, this average tax rate is much<br />

higher than in the case where profit taxes actually paid are related to aggregate business income earned<br />

in Germany. The same conclusion seems to apply to other research analysing “tax ratios” of large German<br />

companies, as cited in the recent study by the Bundesministerium der Finanzen. 35<br />

Current ATR project using micro-data<br />

In this chapter it is argued that the calculation of average tax rates using aggregate data drawn from<br />

Revenue Statistics and National Accounts raises several potentially significant methodological problems.<br />

The Working Party on Tax Policy Analysis and Tax Statistics of the OECD Committee on Fiscal Affairs has<br />

commissioned academic researchers with the calculation, verification and comparison of various average<br />

tax rates already published by Eurostat (1997), Mendoza et al. (1994) and Jarass and Obermair (1997).<br />

Their findings are to be published in a subsequent paper in the OECD Tax Policy Study series.<br />

Delegates to the Working Party have also concluded that micro-level data on individual taxpayers<br />

might be usefully applied to assess some of the potential pitfalls or “problem areas” with average tax rate<br />

analysis based on aggregate data and firm-level data drawn from financial statements which does not<br />

contain sufficient detail to permit careful measurement of numerator and denominator amounts. At the<br />

time of writing of this report, a number of Delegates are working together with the Secretariat in developing<br />

a better understanding of the informational content of ATRs derived for various broad categories<br />

of income.<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

NOTES<br />

Average Tax Rates and the Need for Micro-Data<br />

7. This problem is particularly acute in the case of capital, where tax base and/or tax credit adjustments tied to the<br />

use/purchase of capital may figure prominently in investment decisions and more generally in determining the<br />

overall tax burden on capital. Similarly, tax credits linked to earned income or, on the demand side, to payroll<br />

may be important considerations in determining employment activity and the tax burden on labour.<br />

8. For example, corporate ATRs, if properly constructed, may be better indicators of the impact of corporate-level<br />

tax on investment activity (e.g., locational decisions) if economic rents are being earned.<br />

9. Tax-to-GDP ratios are also backward-looking. Apart from their general limitations discussed in Chapter 3, ratios<br />

of corporate income tax (CIT) over GDP provide only limited information on the tax burden of the corporate sector.<br />

In particular, such ratios mask changes in corporate tax as a percentage of corporate profit, and changes in<br />

corporate profit as a percentage of GDP. See Section 1.3 where it is noted that corporate tax relative to GDP is<br />

determined by the product of two ratios: 1) corporate tax divided by pre-tax corporate profit; and 2) pre-tax<br />

corporate profit divided by GDP. The first ratio, an average effective corporate tax rate, will vary with changes in<br />

the nominal corporate tax rate and with changes in the corporate tax base. Changes in this ratio therefore reflect<br />

changes in tax policy, administration, tax planning and compliance. The second ratio, pre-tax corporate profits<br />

relative to GDP, will vary with fluctuations in the contribution of corporate profit to aggregate value-added in the<br />

economy. Holding tax policy constant (i.e., assuming the rules determining corporate tax rates and tax base are<br />

fixed), a drop in corporate profit over GDP would cause the corporate tax-to-GDP ratio to decline. This outcome<br />

could be mistakenly interpreted as indicating a reduction in corporate tax on corporate profits, when in fact this<br />

value is unchanged.<br />

10. Backward-looking tax rate measures are “average”, as opposed to “marginal”, in the sense that they are not theoretically-based<br />

on equilibrium conditions equating marginal benefits and costs, and they consider tax effects<br />

on infra-marginal capital units (where economic rents may be earned), and not just tax effects at the margin<br />

(where rents are fully exhausted.) Furthermore, they are often termed “effective” as they capture a variety of provisions<br />

in addition to the basic statutory tax rate bearing on tax liability.<br />

11. While a number of variants exist, a corporate implicit AETR is measured as: AETR c (OS) = CIT AGG /OS C where<br />

CITAGG measures aggregate corporate income tax revenues collected in the year in the economy (as reported<br />

under category 1200 in Revenue Statistics, OECD), and where OS C measures the operating surplus of the corporate<br />

and quasi-corporate sector.<br />

12. In the case of Germany, figures are only available for the operating surplus of the corporate sector plus the unincorporated<br />

sector. In this case taxes on profits of the whole business sector can be expressed as a percentage of<br />

the total operating surplus of the national economy.<br />

13. Micro-data sets <strong>–</strong> in particular, personal and corporate income tax databases <strong>–</strong> which may be used to determine<br />

more precise estimates of ATRs on various forms of income, generally offer no guidance to refining estimates of<br />

the ATR on consumption. Given the focus in this Chapter on the application of these micro-data sets, we ignore<br />

consumption ATRs.<br />

14. The remainder of this chapter follows the practice of indicating the relevant Revenue Statistics tax category number<br />

as a subscript to the tax variable. For a list of Revenue Statistics tax categories, see Annex 4.A.<br />

15. For a number of countries, this adjustment could be made using Revenue Statistics data. In particular, Denmark,<br />

France, Hungary, Italy, Ireland, Korea, Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, the UK and the US all report separately<br />

under category 1120 personal tax on (net) capital gains. However, other countries that tax individuals on net capital<br />

gains (e.g., Canada) do not separately report this amount, implying that use of micro-data would be required.<br />

16. This data is reported for certain countries in footnotes to the country tables.<br />

17. We assume here an interest in measuring a “source-based” average tax rate, as opposed to a “residence-based”<br />

average tax rate. A source-based average tax rate would measure domestic tax on domestic source income,<br />

including income paid abroad. In countries that tax their residents on their world-wide income, in principle<br />

domestic tax on foreign source income should be netted out of personal and corporate income tax in the numerator<br />

of the average tax rate. <strong>No</strong>te that a source-based average tax rate would not take account of the total amount<br />

of tax imposed on domestic value added, as income paid abroad generally is subject to foreign tax. However,<br />

43


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

44<br />

given the interest in average tax rate analysis in assessing domestic taxation, as opposed to overall taxation,<br />

ignoring foreign tax on domestic source income arguably is appropriate. (<strong>No</strong>te finally that under a residencebased<br />

average tax rate, one would want to include in the denominator domestic surplus net of amounts paid<br />

abroad, plus foreign surplus receivable by resident taxpayers; in the numerator, the corresponding entries would<br />

include domestic corporate tax net of the amount imposed on corporate profit paid/accruing to non-residents,<br />

plus domestic tax on foreign source income.)<br />

18. At the same time, results from equation (2a) may be useful to those interested in the average amount of income<br />

tax paid by corporations on the surplus generated in the corporate sector (with the bulk of the remainder of tax<br />

imposed directly on that surplus (flow) captured in the personal income ATR).<br />

19. Where, for example, the wages and salaries paid by a firm exceed its gross revenue, its operating surplus would<br />

be negative <strong>–</strong> adding this amount to the operating surplus of profitable firms would lower aggregate operating<br />

surplus.<br />

20. The general principle to follow is that losses should be factored out, unless the losses of one business activity<br />

can be transferred to offset tax on the profits of another business activity. This would include the exclusion, for<br />

ATR purposes, of corporations in an overall loss position (whose losses cannot be transferred to a separate corporate<br />

entity). <strong>No</strong>te that where a single firm has both a profitable business activity and a non-profitable one, and<br />

combines its income for tax purposes, thereby transferring its losses, the effect of those losses would enter the<br />

denominator (lowering OS C ) and the numerator (lowering CIT1200 ) symmetrically, and on this basis the losses<br />

should not be carved out. Also note that, of the group of profitable firms (positive book/accounting profits), one<br />

may distinguish between tax-paying and non-tax-paying firms. The latter group may be non-taxpaying on<br />

account of accelerated write-offs or tax credits, for example. These firms should not be carved out of the sample.<br />

21. While National Accounts figures are reported showing the distribution of total operating surplus (including incorporated<br />

and unincorporated enterprises) across industries, the corresponding breakdown for OSPUE is in some<br />

cases not provided, implying that the allocation of corporate operating surplus cannot be backed out from these<br />

numbers.<br />

22. To see this, recall that operating surplus is measured gross of interest, rent and royalty payments (except for royalties<br />

on depreciable tangible property which are treated in the same fashion as depreciation costs and subtracted<br />

from gross revenues in arriving at operating surplus), and that such payments are taxed in the hands of<br />

the suppliers of the underlying (financial or real) property. Therefore, when measuring an ATR for industry A, if<br />

financial or real property used in industry A is supplied by industry B or by the household sector, the numerator<br />

of the ATR derived for industry A will exclude tax on surplus paid out in the form of interest/rent/royalty, included<br />

in the denominator of the ATR for industry A (with such income taxed in industry B, or in the household sector),<br />

implying a mismatch between numerator and denominator amounts. When deriving an aggregate ATR for the<br />

domestic corporate sector as a whole that aggregates surplus across all domestic corporations in the denominator,<br />

and all the corporate tax thereon in the numerator, this particular problem, at least in relation to rental and<br />

royalty payments, generally would not arise, assuming that the suppliers of the underlying property are other<br />

domestic corporations. However, the problem will arise in the context of interest payments to households, intermediated<br />

by the financial sector, as such income will be subject to personal income tax (excluded from the<br />

numerator of the corporate ATR).<br />

23. For countries with residence-based systems, it may be useful to consider an ATR for each sector that includes<br />

foreign source income and the domestic tax thereon (i.e., one where the denominator includes foreign branch<br />

profit, foreign dividends, interest, rents royalties, and the numerator includes domestic tax on such income). To<br />

the extent that such foreign source income bears little/no foreign tax, the ATR may be a close approximation to<br />

the overall ATR on such income.<br />

24. The inclusion of social security contributions (SSC F 2200 ) and payroll taxes (PAY3000 ) paid by employers in the<br />

numerator of the labour ATR (an approach which rests on the assumption that such taxes are shifted onto labour)<br />

means that the ATR is not a pure “first incidence” measure (i.e., some tax shifting is incorporated).<br />

25. Arguably, categories 4210 and 4220 measuring “recurrent taxes on net wealth” (individual and corporate), which<br />

can be denoted by TW4200 , and category 6000 measuring “other taxes” which can be denoted by TOTH6000 and<br />

which includes taxes on financial institutions and stamp fees, should be included in the capital tax ATR. <strong>No</strong>te<br />

that TOTH6000 is particularly important for countries including Austria, where the tax on financial institutions is<br />

roughly one-quarter of corporate income tax (1200); in Japan where TOTH6000 is roughly one-third of corporate<br />

income tax; and in Turkey where it is roughly two-thirds of personal income tax and three times corporate income<br />

tax.<br />

26. This approach is adopted by Mendoza et al. (1994) and in an internal study by the European Commission (1997).<br />

27. <strong>No</strong>te that the taxation of labour income of employees (as distinct from owners) of unincorporated enterprises<br />

would be captured in the average tax rate on labour income of employees.<br />

28. As a result of the inclusion of taxes on stocks (property and wealth) and certain transactions, these ATRs are not<br />

strictly average income tax rate measures, and for this reason, a preference for using an adjusted accounting<br />

income measure (ABY C ) over a broader operating surplus measure (OS C ) may not be as strong.<br />

© OECD 2000


Average Tax Rates and the Need for Micro-Data<br />

29. The use of micro- or taxpayer-level data collected by tax authorities is also not free of problems and limitations.<br />

For example, often information on tax-exempt income components is not compiled. Such amounts include taxexempt<br />

capital gains and returns earned by pension funds for participants in occupational pension plans. In such<br />

cases it is impossible to determine household income following an economic definition of income. Surveys to<br />

address this omission are vulnerable because households often misstate income and tax data, or because they<br />

are reluctant to provide such information to interviewers.<br />

30. By the term “discretionary tax pools” we refer to pools (unclaimed balances) of prior-year losses, tax allowances<br />

(e.g., depreciation allowances) and tax credits, where the timing of the tax claims on these pools is at the discretion<br />

of the taxpayer (typically with restrictions limiting the amount of time such claims can be carried from one<br />

tax period to the next, before expiring).<br />

31. For a discussion of adjusting financial (book) income for inflation effects, see Holland and Myers (1979).<br />

32. Handelsblatt, 4 May 1999.<br />

33. The Bank compared corporate profitability in Germany, France and the United States over the period 1990<strong>–</strong>1995,<br />

using the BACH database of the EU Commission, concluding that “the informative value of such cross-country<br />

comparisons of profitability is much more limited <strong>–</strong> for methodological reasons <strong>–</strong> than is commonly assumed”.<br />

See: Deutsche Bundesbank, Monthly Report, October 1997, 33-43.<br />

34. Bundesministerium der Finanzen (1999), pp. 10-11.<br />

35. Op. cit., 12-14.<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

45


Introduction<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Chapter 5<br />

MARGINAL EFFECTIVE <strong>TAX</strong> RATES<br />

As reviewed in Chapter 4, an important distinction can be drawn between backward-looking and forward-looking<br />

tax rate measures. Within the forward-looking group, one may consider project-analysis corporate<br />

average tax rates and/or marginal effective tax rates which, in principle, are better suited than<br />

backward-looking measures in assessing the impact of taxation on investment incentives. This is because<br />

investment decisions are inherently forward-looking, based on expectations of future streams of after-tax<br />

distributed profits from investment, discounted at a rate reflecting the marginal shareholder’s opportunity<br />

cost of funds. Looked at another way, prior-year tax on profits generated on capital acquired in the<br />

past may not be representative of tax burdens on a prospective investment. This holds even where tax<br />

rules remain unchanged from one year to the next, given the dependency of tax payments on depreciation<br />

and loss carryover claims which in turn depend on business cycle and other (non-tax) events.<br />

Project-analysis average tax rates (ATRs) are determined by calculating, for a hypothetical investment<br />

project, pre- and post-tax corporate profits (losses) in each period over the life of that project. 1<br />

Alternative project-types and corresponding income streams may be analysed, including net additions<br />

to existing capital stock, and new capital projects involving initial start-up costs yielding negative income<br />

in early years. Different project assumptions draw out different tax attributes. For example, in the latter<br />

case the tax treatment of loss-carryforwards would be important. In both cases pre- and post-tax corporate<br />

profits are discounted to the current period (typically using a discount rate equal to a weightedaverage<br />

of the cost of debt and equity capital) to convert the future stream of net profits and taxes<br />

thereon into comparable present value amounts. Pre- and post-tax profits on a present value basis are<br />

differenced to give the net present value corporate tax burden. Dividing this amount by the present<br />

value of pre-tax profits yields a corporate ATR for the given project. 2 The corporate tax system influences<br />

the corporate ATR through its determination of post-tax profits for a given pre-tax profit stream. Changes<br />

in tax law that reduce the present value of after-tax profits (i.e., increase the present value of corporate<br />

taxes payable) would increase the measured value of the ATR, indicating reduced investment incentives. 3<br />

Marginal effective tax rates (METRs), another forward-looking tax rate measure, assess the impact of<br />

taxation at the margin. In analysing the impact of capital taxation, this means the impact of taxation on<br />

the last unit of capital invested. In the context of analysing the impact of labour taxation, the focus is on<br />

the impact of taxation on the last unit of labour hired. Following the focus of the previous chapter, we<br />

focus here on corporate marginal effective tax rates (METR©).<br />

Corporate marginal effective tax rates (METR©) are used to assess the impact of corporate taxation<br />

on new investment by measuring the magnitude of the tax wedge driven between rates of return pre and<br />

post corporate tax. 4 Corporate METRs factor in the nominal corporate tax rate applied to business profits,<br />

and in addition may factor in certain special incentives delivered through the tax law in support of the<br />

purchase of capital. METR© statistics also address the effect of taxation on the cost of finance (the cost<br />

of debt and/or equity funds used to purchase capital), taking into account the tax-deductibility of interest<br />

expenses, and incorporate either explicitly or implicitly assumptions regarding the influence (or not) of<br />

shareholder-level taxation (e.g., imputation relief, capital gains taxes) on the setting of the firm”s discount<br />

rate used to discount future income streams and net tax liabilities tied to the last unit of capital acquired.<br />

47


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

48<br />

To those not familiar with the neo-classical investment paradigm from which METR© statistics are<br />

derived, the interpretation of METR statitistics may not be readily apparent. Indeed, too often studies<br />

using this form of tax rate analysis tend to obscure rather than clarify the underlying assumptions and<br />

model structure. This chapter attempts to explain METR© analysis in a step-by-step “user friendly” fashion<br />

in an effort to shed light on the basic concepts and address the “black box” reputation of such measures.<br />

The technical analysis is followed by a review of key underlying assumptions and data limitations,<br />

to be kept in mind when interpreting METR results, especially when used to influence policy debate.<br />

Defining marginal effective tax rates<br />

A marginal effective tax rate derived for income from capital is a measure of the distortion imposed<br />

by the income tax system on a “marginal investment”, defined as one that generates a return that is just<br />

enough to cover all the costs associated with the investment, and no more. In general, the marginal effective<br />

tax rate on income from capital used in production (e.g., plant, machinery, equipment) is derived as<br />

follows:<br />

METR = (Rg <strong>–</strong> Rn)/Rg (1)<br />

where Rg denotes the before-corporate tax real rate of return (net-of-depreciation) on a marginal investment,<br />

and Rn denotes the after-personal tax real rate of return on savings used to finance that investment.<br />

The term (Rg <strong>–</strong> Rn) is referred to as a marginal tax wedge (MTW.) This wedge measures the divergence<br />

between pre-tax and post-tax returns imposed by corporate and personal income taxation. More specifically,<br />

the wedge measures the difference between the real before-tax, net-of-depreciation rate of return<br />

earned by the firm on the last unit of capital installed, and the real after-tax rate of return to the saver<br />

measured after all corporate and personal income tax payable on that return. Dividing this wedge by the<br />

pre-tax rate of return determines the marginal effective tax rate. For example, if the pre-tax return on the<br />

last dollar of capital installed is $0.10, and the corresponding after-tax return to the saver is $0.06 implying<br />

a tax wedge of $0.04, then the marginal tax rate is 0.4.<br />

The METR measure in equation (1) assesses the combined impact of the corporate and personal tax<br />

systems on domestic investment incentives. In the closed-economy case, where domestic investment<br />

funds are provided by domestic savers alone, it is not (strictly) possible to measure separately the incentive<br />

effect of the domestic corporate tax system and the domestic personal tax system on domestic investment.<br />

This inability to isolate the incentive effect of the corporate tax system on investment arises<br />

because the cost of financing investment depends on the personal tax system in the closed-economy<br />

case, given that domestic savers are the sole source of finance <strong>–</strong> equilibrium is established only when<br />

domestic saving equals domestic investment.<br />

The small open-economy case<br />

In the small open-economy case, where firms have unfettered access to international capital markets,<br />

the investment incentive effect of the corporate tax system can be assessed independently of personal<br />

tax considerations (which affect savings alone). In particular, the marginal tax wedge (MTW) can be<br />

broken down into two parts:<br />

MTW = (Rg <strong>–</strong> R) + (R <strong>–</strong> Rn) (2)<br />

where Rg and Rn are defined as above, and R denotes the real “world interest rate” at which firms can<br />

access financial capital on international capital markets, taken to be the real before-personal-tax rate of<br />

return available to domestic savers. The first term in equation (2) calculates the tax-wedge created by the<br />

corporate tax system, which measures the investment incentive effect of the domestic tax system. The<br />

second term calculates the tax-wedge created by the personal tax system, which measures the savings<br />

incentive effect of the domestic tax system.<br />

This chapter focuses on the small open-economy case and reviews the determinants of the wedge<br />

created by the corporate income tax system (Rg <strong>–</strong> R), divided by the pre-tax return Rg, in measuring the<br />

corporate marginal effective tax rate:<br />

METR© = (Rg <strong>–</strong> R)/Rg (3)<br />

© OECD 2000


where the METR© value has the following interpretation:<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

METR© value Impact on investment<br />

METR© < 0 Encouraged<br />

METR© = 0 <strong>No</strong> impact (neutral)<br />

METR© > 0 Discouraged<br />

Marginal Effective Tax Rates<br />

In the case where METR© < 0, the tax system on balance subsidises capital investment. This occurs<br />

where the present value of tax deductions and credits earned on investment exceeds the purchase price<br />

of the asset. In the case of a non-zero METR©, the greater is the absolute value of the METR© (i.e., the<br />

greater the deviation of METR© from zero), the greater is the inferred impact of the tax system on investment.<br />

In principle, there are a large number of marginal effective tax rates that one may want to calculate,<br />

varying by type and size of firm, type of investment decision, source of finance, and type of saver. Since<br />

it is not feasible to calculate a separate rate for all the possible margins that may exist in the economy,<br />

some aggregation is inevitable. Firms are generally aggregated at least to broad industry categories (e.g.,<br />

manufacturing, trade, services, etc.), capital goods are usually aggregated to machinery, building and<br />

inventories, while sources of finance may or may not be aggregated.<br />

Before examining the construct of a METR© that takes into account various corporate tax parameters<br />

impacting on the net benefits and costs of investment at the margin, it is useful to first consider the basic<br />

underpinnings of the model in the no-tax case. The analysis considered below calculates the METR© for<br />

depreciable capital (e.g., machinery, buildings) under the small-open economy assumption that domestic<br />

investment has no influence on the rates at which funds can be obtained, and the firm’s financial cost of<br />

capital is determined independently of personal tax rates. After analysing the no-tax case in Section 5.3,<br />

the behavioural impact of a simplified corporate income tax system is considered in Section 5.4 in order<br />

to isolate the basic underpinnings of the tax-inclusive METR model. In Section 5.5 a METR© is derived<br />

for a more generalised corporate income tax system that includes two stimulative corporate tax instruments.<br />

Analysis of the no-tax case<br />

Absent a corporate income tax, it can be shown that in the small open-economy case and under conditions<br />

of perfect competition, a profit-maximising firm will adjust its physical capital stock each period<br />

to ensure that net revenues from installed capital at the margin (as measured by Fk) are sufficient to cover<br />

the cost of financing that capital (measured by Rf) and the cost of replacing the fraction worn out or depreciated<br />

during production (measured by δ):<br />

Fk = (Rf + δ). (4)<br />

It is important to note that while the firm just breaks even on the last unit of installed capital, economic<br />

rent (profit) may be earned on infra-marginal units. Under the equilibrium condition given by<br />

equation (4), the firm would not choose to expand its capital stock beyond the break-even point (to avoid<br />

losses on further investment).<br />

In the no-tax case the firm’s real cost of funds Rf equals the real required rate of return on equity<br />

demanded by shareholders R,<br />

Rf = R = i <strong>–</strong> π. (5)<br />

The required rate of return that firms must pay shareholders in order to induce them to hold the<br />

firm”s equity, measured by R, is given by the nominal interest rate on an alternative investment (e.g.,<br />

bonds) of equivalent risk, denoted by i, less the general inflation rate π.<br />

49


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

50<br />

The equilibrium condition (4) is intuitive and states, as noted above, that it is optimal for a firm to<br />

invest in physical capital just up to the point where the marginal net revenue from an additional unit of<br />

installed capital (Fk) equals the marginal cost measured by (Rf + δ) and more formally referred to as the<br />

user cost of capital. 5 The user cost of capital, which is the implicit rental cost of using a currency unit<br />

(e.g., dollar) of capital for one period consists of two parts <strong>–</strong> the first part is the real cost of finance Rf which<br />

results from the payments the firm must make on funds raised to purchase the physical asset, and the<br />

second is the capital consumption cost (δ) which results from the loss in value of the capital asset due to<br />

depreciation. 6<br />

<strong>No</strong>te that the required before-corporate tax, net-of-depreciation, real rate of return earned by a firm<br />

on a marginal investment, denoted by Rg, is determined by the following:<br />

Rg = Fk <strong>–</strong> δ (6)<br />

where Fk measures the increase in net revenues (revenues less operating costs) generated by a unit<br />

increase in its physical capital stock denoted by k. A key assumption in the analysis is that Fk declines<br />

as the capital stock increases. Fk is measured indirectly from theoretical conditions characterising the<br />

investment behaviour of a profit-maximising firm which suggest that investment is carried out just up to<br />

the point where the marginal benefit of a dollar’s worth of capital per period equals the cost of holding<br />

the dollar of capital for a period (see equation (4)).<br />

Part of Fk is absorbed to maintain the real value of the physical capital stock, which is assumed to<br />

depreciate (i.e., decline) in value due to wear and tear, and obsolescence7 <strong>–</strong> the symbol δ denotes the<br />

exponential (declining-balance) rate of economic depreciation. In the closed-economy case, part of the<br />

residual given by (Fk <strong>–</strong> δ) goes to the revenue authorities in the form of corporate and personal income<br />

tax (as measured by (Rg <strong>–</strong> Rn)), and the rest goes to the saver (as measured by Rn). In the open-economy<br />

case, part of the residual given by (Fk <strong>–</strong> δ) goes to the revenue authorities in the form of corporate income<br />

tax (as measured by (Rg <strong>–</strong> R)), and the rest goes to the domestic or foreign saver (as measured by R).<br />

Market equilibrium in the no-tax case is illustrated in Graph 5.1, at E0. The investment schedule Ia<br />

shows the net of depreciation rate of return (Fk <strong>–</strong> δ) at different investment levels. The schedule is downward-sloping<br />

under the assumption that Fk decreases as the capital stock increases. The investment<br />

schedule is derived from the neo-classical theory of the firm, which assumes that the firm”s managers will<br />

undertake an investment only if it increases the market value of the firm’s equity. This assumption is satisfied<br />

if the incremental unit of capital, when added to the firm’s productive capacity, provides a stream<br />

of real net returns that is sufficient to cover all of the costs associated with the investment.<br />

Source: OECD.<br />

Rg, R<br />

Rg = R<br />

Chart 5.1. Return on investment in the no-tax case<br />

E0<br />

I0<br />

Ia<br />

I<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Marginal Effective Tax Rates<br />

The supply of funds schedule, horizontal at the real world interest rate Rf, illustrates the small openeconomy<br />

assumption that capital requirements of the domestic economy are too small to influence the<br />

market rate R at which domestic firms acquire capital. Market equilibrium is established at E0 where Ia<br />

intersects the supply of funds schedule. The following tables summarise the rates of return at E0.<br />

As regards the calculation of the marginal effective tax rate, from equations (3)-(6):<br />

METR© = (Rg <strong>–</strong> R)/Rg = (Rf <strong>–</strong> R)/Rf = 0 (7)<br />

The following table summarises the relevant rates of return and the obvious finding of a zero marginal<br />

effective corporate tax rate in the no-tax case.<br />

Analysis of a simple corporate income tax<br />

Summary of statistics (no-tax case)<br />

User cost of capital (Rf + δ) where Rf = R<br />

Gross rate of return, net of depreciation (Rg) Rf<br />

Saver’s required real rate of return (real cost of funds) R<br />

METR© 0<br />

Consider now introducing a corporate income tax into the framework, where corporate profits are<br />

taxed at rate (u) and physical capital can be depreciated (written-off) for tax purposes at a decliningbalance<br />

rate (α) equal to the physical depreciation rate (δ) and depreciable costs are indexed to the general<br />

rate of inflation. In the presence of such a corporate tax system, it can be shown that the representative<br />

firm will adjust its capital stock each period up to the point where:<br />

Fk(1 <strong>–</strong> u) = (Rf + δ)(1 <strong>–</strong> uδ/(Rf + δ)) (8)<br />

To understand the last term in this equation, consider the following table which shows the stream of<br />

capital cost allowances associated with a dollar investment in period t, depreciated for tax purposes at a<br />

declining-balance rate (α), assumed to equal the economic depreciation rate δ. In the table, UCC denotes<br />

the undepreciated amount of capital cost for tax purposes.<br />

Period Beginning period UCC<br />

Illustration of value of capital cost allowance stream<br />

Capital cost allowance<br />

(CCA)<br />

Tax value<br />

of CCA<br />

Present value at beginning of t<br />

of stream of CCA<br />

End of period<br />

UCC<br />

t<br />

t + 1<br />

1<br />

(1 <strong>–</strong> α)<br />

α<br />

α (1 <strong>–</strong> α)<br />

uα<br />

uα (1 <strong>–</strong> α)<br />

uα/(1 + Rf)<br />

uα (1 <strong>–</strong> α)/(1 + Rf)<br />

(1 <strong>–</strong> α)<br />

2<br />

(1 <strong>–</strong> α) 2<br />

t + 2 (1 <strong>–</strong> α) 2<br />

α (1 <strong>–</strong> α) 2<br />

uα (1 <strong>–</strong> α) 2<br />

uα (1 <strong>–</strong> α) 2 /(1 + Rf) 3<br />

(1 <strong>–</strong> α) 3<br />

t + 3 (1 <strong>–</strong> α) 3<br />

α (1 <strong>–</strong> α) 3<br />

uα (1 <strong>–</strong> α) 3<br />

uα (1 <strong>–</strong> α) 3 /(1 + Rf) 4<br />

(1 <strong>–</strong> α) 4<br />

Etc.<br />

Summing the cells in the fifth column of the above table gives the following expression for the<br />

present value to the firm, at the beginning of period t, of the stream of capital cost allowances associated<br />

with a dollar investment made in period t:<br />

PVt = uα Σt (1 <strong>–</strong> α) x <strong>–</strong> t /(1 + Rf) x <strong>–</strong> t + 1 (9a)<br />

The summation term in equation (9a) reduces to (1/(Rf + α)). If the depreciation rate for tax purposes<br />

(α) equals the economic depreciation rate δ, the present value term equals:<br />

PVt = uδ/(Rf + δ) (9b)<br />

51


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

52<br />

The discount rate (Rf + δ) includes the real cost of funds (Rf) rather than the nominal cost of funds<br />

(Rf + π), where π measures the general rate of price inflation, under the assumption that the capital cost<br />

allowance system is indexed to inflation. If the capital cost allowance system is not indexed, the discount<br />

rate would be (Rf + π + δ) which exceeds (Rf + δ) by the amount of the inflation rate, capturing<br />

the fact that the present value to the firm of capital cost allowances in a non-indexed system falls as<br />

the rate of inflation increases. <strong>No</strong>te finally that the discount rate includes the capital cost allowance<br />

depreciation rate, which captures the fact that the pool of capital cost allowances generated by a dollar<br />

of investment declines over time, at the declining-balance rate, as capital cost allowances are claimed<br />

(used up).<br />

The investment equilibrium condition given by equation (8) differs from that given by equation (4)<br />

for the no-tax case, in two important respects. First, because the income from the sale of output is taxed<br />

at rate u, the after-tax benefit to the firm from employing an additional unit of capital falls from Fk to<br />

Fk(1 <strong>–</strong> u). Second, with the firm able to deduct from its taxable income, over future periods, a stream of<br />

capital cost allowances on its investment, the cost to the firm of an additional dollar’s worth of capital falls<br />

by (uδ/(Rf + δ)) dollar/cents, equal to the present discounted value of the capital cost allowance deductions<br />

associated with the capital expenditure.<br />

In Graph 5.2 which illustrates this case, the investment schedule Ia shows the pre-corporate tax rate<br />

of return (Fk + δ) at different investment levels, while the investment schedule Ib shows the aftercorporate<br />

tax rate of return (Fk + δ)(1 <strong>–</strong> u) at different investment levels. The METR© in this stylised case<br />

can be explained as follows. In order to pay shareholders their required rate of return R, the firm must<br />

earn a before-corporate-tax rate of return of Rf/(1 <strong>–</strong> u) where Rf = R, of which (u/(1 <strong>–</strong> u))Rf is paid in corporate<br />

income tax, leaving Rf = R dollars in the hands of the shareholders. With the introduction of the corporate<br />

income tax, only domestic investment is reduced. Domestic savings are unaffected under the<br />

small open-economy assumption that the capital market can clear without domestic investment being<br />

equal to domestic savings.<br />

Source: OECD.<br />

Chart 5.2. Return on investment with a simple corporate income tax<br />

Rg, R<br />

Rg<br />

R<br />

E1<br />

Il<br />

The following table summarises the relevant rates of return, and the corporate-tax wedge METR© at<br />

the new equilibrium E1 in which domestic investment is reduced, while domestic savings (not shown)<br />

remain unchanged.<br />

E0<br />

Ib<br />

Ia<br />

I0 I<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Summary of statistics (simple corporate income tax case)<br />

User cost of capital (Rf + δ)(1 <strong>–</strong> uδ/(Rf + δ)) = Rf + δ(1 <strong>–</strong> u)<br />

where Rf = R<br />

Gross rate of return, net of depreciation (Rg) Rf/(1 <strong>–</strong> u)<br />

Saver’s required real rate of return (real cost of funds) R<br />

METR© u<br />

Marginal Effective Tax Rates<br />

Analysis of targeted corporate tax instruments<br />

<strong>No</strong>w consider an extended version of the small open-economy METR© model that includes both<br />

debt and equity finance, as well as two possible stimulative tax instruments <strong>–</strong> an investment tax credit,<br />

and an accelerated capital cost allowance.<br />

Special corporate tax instruments<br />

<strong>–</strong> an investment tax credit on purchases of physical capital, earned at rate ψ;<br />

<strong>–</strong> an accelerated declining-balance depreciation allowance, claimed at rate α > δ <strong>–</strong> the capital cost<br />

allowance system is not indexed to inflation.<br />

The real cost of financial capital is first derived below. Then the optimal investment condition is characterised<br />

in the presence of the investment tax credit and accelerated capital cost allowance.<br />

Measuring the cost of finance Rf<br />

In order to purchase a physical capital asset, a firm can raise financing from two main sources: debt<br />

finance (borrowing, issuing bonds), and equity finance (retained earnings, new equity shares.) Let the<br />

nominal rates of return payable to savers on corporate debt and equity, as determined on world capital<br />

markets, be denoted by i and ρ, implying a real weighted-average rate of return to savers of:<br />

R = βi + (1 <strong>–</strong> β)ρ <strong>–</strong> π (10)<br />

where the weights (β) and (1 <strong>–</strong> β) correspond to the fraction of capital raised through debt and equity<br />

respectively, and π is the general inflation rate. Given the deductibility of nominal interest payments<br />

from taxable income, the firm”s real after-tax cost of financial capital can be expressed as: 8<br />

Rf = βi(1 <strong>–</strong> u) + (1 <strong>–</strong> β)ρ <strong>–</strong> π (11)<br />

where u is the nominal corporate income tax rate.<br />

Analysis of investment equilibrium<br />

The availability of an investment tax credit and accelerated capital cost allowance reduce the cost of<br />

acquiring physical capital, and thus influence the value of Rg. The investment tax credit reduces the purchase<br />

price of a dollar of capital to (1 <strong>–</strong> ψ) dollars. Consider now th present value to the firm of tax deductions<br />

generated by a (non-inflation adjusted) accelerated capital cost allowance system:<br />

(1 <strong>–</strong> ψ)uα/(Rf + π + α) (12)<br />

where the stream is discounted at a nominal funds rate (Rf + π) rather than the real rate Rf, due to the nonindexation<br />

of the capital cost allowance system. The (1 <strong>–</strong> ψ) term in equation (12) reflects the assumption<br />

that the firm is only allowed to write-off the cost of the investment measured net of the tax credit earned<br />

on the purchase (on the principle that the investment tax credit reduces the effective acquisition price<br />

to the firm of a dollar’s worth of capital to (1 <strong>–</strong> ψ) dollars.) Where only the historic (purchase) dollar value<br />

of an asset can be depreciated for tax purposes (non-inflation adjusted tax depreciation system), the real<br />

value of the permitted deduction declines at the rate of inflation π. The combination of the investment<br />

tax credit and accelerated capital cost allowance reduces the effective acquisition price, measured in dollars<br />

(or other currency units), from one to:<br />

(1 <strong>–</strong> ψ <strong>–</strong> (1 <strong>–</strong> ψ)(uα/(Rf + π + α)) (13)<br />

53


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

54<br />

Given the cost of finance and the corporate income tax structure outlined above, it can be shown that<br />

the representative firm will adjust its capital stock k each period up to the point where:<br />

Fk(1 <strong>–</strong> u) = (Rf + δ)(1 <strong>–</strong> ψ)(1 <strong>–</strong> uα/(Rf + π + α)) (14)<br />

The user cost of capital, shown on the right side of the expression, gives the cost to the firm of holding<br />

a (constant) dollar of capital for one period <strong>–</strong> this cost equals the real financial and economic depreciation<br />

cost of holding a dollar’s worth of capital for one period, given by (Rf + δ), multiplied by the after-tax cost<br />

of acquiring a dollar’s worth of capital, as given by (1 <strong>–</strong> ψ)(1 <strong>–</strong> uα/(Rf + π + α)). Dividing by (1 <strong>–</strong> u) and subtracting<br />

δ gives the required before-corporate-tax rate of return to capital:<br />

Rg = ((Rf + δ)(1 <strong>–</strong> ψ)(1 <strong>–</strong> uα/(Rf + π + α))/(1 <strong>–</strong> u)) <strong>–</strong> δ (15)<br />

The following table summarises the rates of return determining the METR© statistic that measures the<br />

corporate tax wedge determining the investment distortion in the extended small open-economy case.<br />

Summary of statistics (extended small open-economy model)<br />

User cost of capital (Rf + δ)(1 <strong>–</strong> ψ)(1 <strong>–</strong> uα/(Rf + π + α))<br />

where Rf = βi(1 <strong>–</strong> u) + (1 <strong>–</strong> β)ρ <strong>–</strong> π<br />

Gross rate of return, net of depreciation ((Rf + δ)(1 <strong>–</strong> ψ)(1 <strong>–</strong> uα/(Rf + π + α))/(1 <strong>–</strong> u)) <strong>–</strong> δ<br />

Saver”s required real rate of return R = βi + (1 <strong>–</strong> β)ρ <strong>–</strong> π<br />

METR© (Rg <strong>–</strong> R)/Rg<br />

The METR© framework incorporates into a single summary statistic the competing influences that<br />

these corporate tax considerations have on the incentive to invest, as summarised below.<br />

Assessing the impact of corporate tax incentives targeted at investment<br />

Increase in tax parameter Transmission mechanism<br />

Impact on Rg<br />

and METR©<br />

Impact on investment<br />

Corporate tax rate (u) Decreases net return on business profits Increases Decreases<br />

Decreases cost of debt finance Decreases Increases<br />

Increases value of capital cost allowance Decreases Increases<br />

Capital cost allowance rate (α) Decreases effective cost of physical capital Decreases Increases<br />

Investment tax credit rate (ψ) Decreases effective cost of physical capital Decreases Increases<br />

These METR results are dependent on the small open-economy assumptions that 1) investment decisions<br />

of domestic firms are influenced by corporate income tax provisions; 2) are not influenced by personal<br />

income tax provisions; and 3) that savings decisions of domestic householders are influenced by personal<br />

income tax, but not by corporate income tax. The level of savings and investment in the small openeconomy<br />

case are depicted in Graph 5.3 for the case where the economy is a net importer of capital.<br />

Graph 5.4 considers the net capital export case. In the net capital import case, and absent any tax with the<br />

level of investment in the economy given by I0 and the level of savings S0, the difference between<br />

domestic investment and domestic savings in the amount of (I0-S0) is financed by inflows of foreign capital.<br />

With the introduction of a corporate tax, investment declines from I0 to I1 (under the assumption that<br />

the pre-tax rate of return Rg exceeds the world interest rate R). 9 However, domestic savings are not<br />

affected because domestic households can continue to earn the same rate of return on their savings. With<br />

the introduction of personal tax (not considered in Graph 5.3), domestic savings would decline below S0,<br />

but domestic investment would not be affected, since the reduction in savings could be made up through<br />

an increased net inflow of capital.<br />

© OECD 2000


Source: OECD.<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Rg<br />

Chart 5.3. Return on investment in the net capital import case<br />

R<br />

S0 = S1<br />

E1<br />

I1<br />

Marginal Effective Tax Rates<br />

For the net capital export case illustrated in Graph 5.4, in the no-tax situation investment is again<br />

given by I0, savings is S0, and the excess of domestic savings over domestic investment (S0-I0) represents<br />

savings invested in foreign assets. Investment falls from I0 to I1 with the imposition of a corporate<br />

tax (assuming again that Rg exceeds R), and savings are not affected. Introducing a personal tax in this<br />

case (not shown) would reduce savings below S0, but domestic investment would not be affected, as<br />

firms could continue to acquire financing at international rates.<br />

Source: OECD.<br />

Rg<br />

R<br />

S(R)<br />

E0<br />

I(Rg)a<br />

I(Rg)b<br />

I0 I,S<br />

Chart 5.4. Return on investment in the net capital export case<br />

E1<br />

I1<br />

E0<br />

I(Rg)b<br />

I(Rg)a<br />

S(R)<br />

I0 S0 = S1<br />

I,S<br />

55


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

56<br />

Limitations of METR analysis<br />

This Section considers marginal effective tax rate analysis, with an eye towards critically assessing its<br />

usefulness as a guide to the formulation of tax policy. The focus here is on METRs applicable to (physical)<br />

capital investment. 10<br />

METRs have enjoyed considerable support as summary statistics of the combined interaction of a<br />

range of tax parameters linked to investments decisions, and as indicators of how tax provisions compare<br />

over time, across industries and across countries. This widespread interest has encouraged many specialists<br />

to devote time and effort to measuring, cataloguing and promoting METRs as benchmark statistics to<br />

guide tax policy making. Given this development, it is important to reflect on the many caveats linked to<br />

the underlying framework, in order that METR results and their use can be placed in proper perspective.<br />

The issues reviewed below suggest that METR analysis can be helpful if not pushed beyond its limits.<br />

METRs should be seen as rough proxy variables that summarise at a broad level the interaction of various<br />

tax rules relating to capital investment. METRs also provide a useful framework for identifying the various<br />

channels through which tax policy might be expected to influence investment behaviour <strong>–</strong> through the taxation<br />

of returns from investment; through the impact of tax deductions and credits on the effective purchase<br />

price of additional units of capital; and through the possible effects of corporate and shareholder-level taxation<br />

on the cost of funds (financial capital).<br />

However, METRs do not offer a definitive assessment of the impact of tax policies on actual investment<br />

flows or capital stocks. A number of the key assumptions typically invoked are untenable in many<br />

instances, thus making comparisons across sectors or countries difficult. Also, the measurement of METRs<br />

is typically fraught with data and aggregation problems, so that even if the underlying assumptions hold,<br />

the resulting statistics may be off the mark. Moreover, owing to the static partial equilibrium framework<br />

from which METR statistics are derived, METR analysis by itself is incapable of assessing investment and<br />

capital stock responses to tax changes, factor substitution possibilities, timing issues, distributional<br />

effects, tax-planning responses, and a host of other areas that must be addressed when assessing alternative<br />

tax policy settings. Careful consideration of the range of conceptual and data problems touched<br />

on in this chapter suggests that METR statistics and comparisons across sectors or countries cannot be<br />

used confidently as an indicator of the influence of taxation on investment or as a guide to the setting of<br />

tax policy.<br />

The goal of this Chapter is to provide background material on some of the caveats associated with<br />

METR analysis in order to assist in the development of a consensus on the usefulness of METR statistics<br />

as guides to assessing tax policy positions and options. The development of a consensus view is important<br />

to ensure that accurate and consistent weight be attached to such measures in discussions of tax policy<br />

within and outside the OECD.<br />

The following Subsection 5.6.1 reviews key assumptions that underlie conventional METR analysis,<br />

and questions whether these assumptions can be assumed to hold in all cases. To the extent that they<br />

cannot, caution must be exercised in relying on METR statistics as a basis for comparing the net influence<br />

of tax policy on investment incentives across sectors and countries. In Subsection 5.6.2 a range of problems<br />

imposed by data limitations and aggregation techniques is surveyed, which further caution against<br />

the use of METR statistics for tax policy analysis purposes.<br />

Robustness of underlying assumptions<br />

This subsection critically reviews six assumptions underlying METR analysis.<br />

Perfect competition and absence of economic rent<br />

Most models used to calculate marginal effective tax rates assume that the representative firm operates<br />

in perfectly competitive markets, and takes output prices as given. While this assumption may hold<br />

in certain sectors, and in some countries, it will not hold in most cases most of the time. Firms often enjoy<br />

a degree of monopoly power, for example. This suggests inclusion in the denominator of the METR statistic<br />

of a measure of the elasticity of the representative firm’s investment demand schedule. 11 However,<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Marginal Effective Tax Rates<br />

data on this elasticity, and how it varies across sectors, countries and time would require access to<br />

detailed firm data which are generally unavailable to analysts.<br />

The model also assumes that firms invest in capital up to the point where the after-tax marginal benefit<br />

from the last unit of installed capital just equals the after-tax marginal cost. This result is based on the<br />

assumption first that the firm’s investment plans are generated by the managerial goal of maximising shareholder<br />

equity, and second that investment capital is infinitely divisible. In a number of cases, a firm’s investment<br />

plans may not be driven by value-maximising behaviour. Other management objectives may be at<br />

work, and/or a firm may be earning significant (pure) economic rents <strong>–</strong> owing to barriers to entry into the<br />

industry or other factors <strong>–</strong> such that investment plans are not pushed up to the margin where project net<br />

benefits equal net costs at the margin. Moreover, investment projects will usually be “lumpy” (i.e., not infinitely<br />

divisible). In such cases, investment in capital may proceed up to a point where economic rents are<br />

being earned at the margin (and these rents are not realised, as the acceptance of an additional investment<br />

project, requiring a large discrete increase in the capital stock, may push net project benefits below net<br />

project costs). In such cases where economic rents are earned at the margin, (relatively small) variations in<br />

METRs <strong>–</strong> generated by variations in income tax rates, investment tax credits, and/or other METR parameters<br />

<strong>–</strong> would not be expected to influence the level of investment as conventional METR analysis assumes.<br />

Declining marginal productivity of capital<br />

The neo-classical investment theory underlying METR analysis assumes that the marginal product of<br />

capital, that is the additional amount of output generated from an additional unit of installed capital,<br />

declines as the size of the overall capital stock increases. This yields an equilibrium result where firms<br />

invest just up to the point where the after-tax value of additional output generated by investment at the<br />

margin just equals its after-tax cost. The assumption of decreasing returns at the margin is adopted in<br />

most METR models examining investments in real physical capital, R&D and human capital.<br />

However, this assumption may not hold across all sectors, countries and time. New insights from<br />

recent work in growth theory, for example, characterise knowledge capital as generating increasing<br />

returns in the production of output at the margin. 12 Inputs of physical and human capital generate knowledge,<br />

and knowledge helps produce additional human capital. The possibility that the rate of return on<br />

capital may increase rather than decrease with increases in the capital stock, in this case knowledge capital,<br />

suggests that the extension of METR analysis to investments in knowledge capital may be inappropriate<br />

and provide a misleading indicator of tax effects. 13<br />

Financial structure and market arbitrage conditions<br />

One of the most difficult and contentious areas in METR analysis involves the choice of the financial<br />

market arbitrage assumption to employ in the determination of the representative firm’s cost of funds (r).<br />

Complications arise because income tax systems treat different types of finance differently, and different<br />

types of savers differently. Moreover, empirical uncertainty surrounds the extent to which tax burdens (or<br />

tax relief) tied to financial returns are borne by firms versus savers, and the extent, manner and timing in<br />

which differential tax treatment of financial assets is arbitraged away at the corporate or individual investor<br />

level. These are very much unresolved empirical issues, and one would expect that the answers vary<br />

depending on the time period, the country and even the sector being examined.<br />

Many arbitrage assumptions have been used in the literature. While these will not be exhaustively<br />

reviewed here, a brief consideration of possible arbitrage assumptions under the so-called “fixed-r”<br />

approach is illuminating. 14 The fixed-r approach assumes all projects earn the same after-corporate tax<br />

rate of return. For any given saver, this means that all (domestic) projects yield the same after-personal<br />

tax rate of return. Differences in the tax treatment of investment income across different investors imply<br />

that after-personal tax rates of return will vary across savers.<br />

Within the fixed-r framework, several possibilities exist. One approach is to assume that arbitrage at<br />

the level of the firm equates the after-tax cost of debt finance with the (non-deductible) cost of equity<br />

finance, without distinguishing between retained earnings and new share issues. 15 Another is to assume<br />

57


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

58<br />

that dividends have some intrinsic value to shareholders (perhaps offer a signalling function), and that<br />

firms trade off these intrinsic benefits against the tax cost of dividends compared with share repurchases,<br />

increasing dividend pay-out until they are indifferent at the margin between new share issues and<br />

retained earnings as a source of finance. 16<br />

Yet another approach is to assume that rates of return on retained earnings and new share issues are<br />

derived such that each alternative yields the same after-personal tax rate of return as that available on debt.<br />

Where tax treatment differs across shareholders, as for example between resident and non-resident shareholders,<br />

it is necessary to identify a “marginal shareholder” whose tax treatment is relevant in the determination<br />

of the after-corporate tax cost of funds. The identification of such a shareholder is not always evident.<br />

Having chosen a representative shareholder, one might appeal to the “new view” of dividend taxation (see<br />

Annex 2.B) which posits that dividend taxes are irrelevant to the determination of the cost of capital.<br />

Instead, one could use retained earnings to represent the marginal source of equity finance. Or one might<br />

choose to use a weighted average of the costs of retained earnings and new share issues.<br />

In these latter cases, one typically assumes that the after-tax return on bonds should be used as the<br />

benchmark opportunity cost. However, even under this assumption, one must choose a given bond and corresponding<br />

interest rate, recognising that bond rates will vary by term and risk, with theory offering little guidance.<br />

Another complicating factor is that firms, to varying degrees across different sectors and countries, are<br />

relying increasingly on new financial (derivative) products, while most METR studies account only for conventional<br />

bonds and equity, thus missing the most active part of financial markets. Moreover, the factors used to<br />

weight different costs of finance (either in the determination of an overall cost of funds, or in weighting individual<br />

METRs each based on a single financing instrument) are typically based on historic average data, which<br />

in certain cases may be unrepresentative for forward-looking marginal investment projects.<br />

Choosing a particular arbitrage assumption and holding it fixed across different METR calculations is not<br />

problematic if the exercise is one of attempting to summarise differences in the tax treatment of different<br />

investment projects, under the given set of arbitrage and other assumptions. However, as with the other<br />

assumptions and parameters entering a METR statistic, results that suggest that investment incentives in one<br />

project-type are more or less tax-distorted than those in another project-type are only as robust as the underlying<br />

assumptions themselves. This follows from the fact that the presence (or not) of various tax parameters<br />

in the cost of funds expression depends uniquely on the arbitrage assumption. Where the correct arbitrage<br />

condition varies across time, or by country or by sector, METR statistics that use a fixed arbitrage assumption<br />

across cases will produce inaccurate investment incentive comparisons across time, countries and sectors.<br />

Loss offsetting<br />

METR analysis implicitly assumes that tax systems treat revenues and losses symmetrically, or in other<br />

words provide full or perfect loss offsetting. For this symmetry to hold, governments must provide taxpayers<br />

with full refundability of negative tax liabilities (or some equivalent, such as a carry-forward of tax losses and<br />

unused tax credits with interest). In practice, this is never the case. Tax systems generally provide only imperfect<br />

loss offsetting. While most corporate tax systems contain carry-back and carry-forward provisions for<br />

losses, these typically have a limited duration, and the carry-forward of losses is without interest. Moreover,<br />

the corporate tax rate applicable to a carry-back or carry-forward may differ from the current corporate rate.<br />

In principle, capital cost allowance and investment tax credit parameters used to determine the net cost<br />

of physical capital should be adjusted to account for tax loss situations so that they reflect the (expected)<br />

present discounted value of the tax relief they represent. Similarly, interest deductions should be discounted<br />

in arriving at the cost of debt finance. On the revenue side, the corporate tax rate applicable to marginal revenues<br />

should be discounted in loss carry-forward situations. 17 These adjustments work in opposite directions,<br />

and therefore a priori it is uncertain whether imperfect loss offsetting increases or decreases effective tax rates.<br />

Failure to account for imperfect loss offsetting means that METRs will be biased, either positively or negatively,<br />

and to a degree which will vary across sectors, countries and over time as the tax loss position of firms<br />

(including the build-up of pools of tax losses) varies across sectors, countries and over time. Loss positions<br />

will be influenced by a host of factors including the percentages of firms in start-up versus mature states, differences<br />

in the timing of business cycles and exposure to economic shocks, and differences in current and past<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Marginal Effective Tax Rates<br />

availability of investment tax incentives (which in many countries largely account for tax losses). Another<br />

source of bias stems from the fact that countries differ in terms of their rules governing loss transfers within<br />

corporate groups. The limited amount of information on such factors suggests that the net effect of these distortions<br />

could be significant. For example, in the mid-1980s, it is estimated that Canada had a much higher<br />

proportion of companies not paying taxes as compared with the United States. 18 In particular, roughly 50 per<br />

cent of investment in Canada and 80 per cent of investment in the United States was conducted by firms that<br />

were fully taxpaying during that period, with the amounts varying significantly across different industry sectors.<br />

Treatment of risk (uncertainty)<br />

Closely related to the issue of loss-offsetting is the treatment of risk. METR analysis often employs<br />

static expectations and assumes perfect certainty. This assumes that firms expect that the future values<br />

of all parameters in the METR expression, including tax rates, will remain unchanged from their current<br />

values, and that these values are expected with certainty. Many would agree that these assumptions are<br />

counter-factual. Frequent changes to the tax code attest to the fact of the non-static nature of tax rates<br />

and parameters, and moreover future tax changes are often announced. Also, future movements of output<br />

and input prices, and interest rates and inflation rates are generally uncertain, suggesting that firms<br />

would consider a range of probable values for these parameters, rather than assigning a fixed single value<br />

to them, when assessing their investment incentives. This is particularly the case when the project is<br />

longer term and the capital commitments are not easily reversible; more on the issue of capital irreversibility<br />

in what follows.<br />

The literature suggests that METR analysis should distinguish between different types of risk, including<br />

income risk and capital risk. 19 Income risk refers to uncertainty regarding future net revenues arising<br />

from the stochastic movement of output and current input prices or demand faced by the firm. Capital risk<br />

refers to uncertainty regarding the economic rate of depreciation of installed capital, due either to an<br />

unknown future purchase price of capital or to a stochastic rate of physical depreciation or obsolescence.<br />

If the tax system grants full loss offsets or its treatment approaches that, it may not be necessary to<br />

adjust METR expressions for income risk, as the government in this case shares equally in the profits and<br />

losses of the company <strong>–</strong> for example sharing 35 per cent of the profits and 35 per cent of the income risk,<br />

assuming a 35 per cent corporate income tax rate. The cost of bearing income risk is thus implicitly fully<br />

deducted under a full loss offset tax system, with no additional tax distortions being introduced for<br />

income-risky investments versus comparable riskless investments.<br />

The situation is however different for capital-risky investments. In most countries, tax depreciation<br />

allowances are based on the original cost of the asset, and thus do not change with unanticipated changes<br />

in the market value of installed capital, as can occur with unanticipated technological change or unanticipated<br />

tax changes. The implication is that, even where negative taxes are refunded, the tax system does<br />

not provide deductions of the full cost of bearing capital risk and thus the METR expression should take<br />

into account this tax distortion on risky assets.<br />

Capital risk may be accounted for in theory by increasing the economic rate of depreciation (without<br />

an equivalent increase in the tax depreciation rate.) However, in practice it is difficult to measure the risk<br />

premium associated with capital risk. Some have argued that a firm’s market value equals its asset value,<br />

and so fluctuations in market value reflect changes in the value of underlying assets. 20 This view suggests<br />

that capital asset pricing models (CAPMs) could be used to assess capital risk premium. However, other<br />

work has shown that it is the correlation between the economic cost of depreciation and consumption<br />

that is relevant, and that this correlation could be negative, implying that CAPM estimates for capital risk<br />

premiums would be inappropriate. 21<br />

Capital irreversibility<br />

In addition to ignoring the complications introduced by uncertainty, most METR analysis implicitly<br />

assumes that capital investments are reversible in full and without cost. This characterisation is clearly<br />

inappropriate for most types of capital. Capital will often be task or industry specific, and where it is not,<br />

59


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

60<br />

the costs of removing it from a given installation and transferring it to another may be significant. If the<br />

conversion of capital to alternative uses is extremely costly, if not impossible, then the capital investment<br />

is said to be irreversible.<br />

Relatively little research has been undertaken to determine the implications of irreversibility for the<br />

measurement of capital demand and METRs, despite the apparent importance of this factor. 22 The available<br />

evidence examining the implications of capital irreversibility suggests that the METR on irreversible<br />

capital can be significantly higher than that on fully reversible capital, depending on the level and type<br />

of risk, and is generally increasing in income and capital risk. 23 The implication is that ignoring this feature<br />

would tend to bias cross-sector or cross-country METR results, as a result of different risk characteristics<br />

across different investment cases.<br />

Data limitations<br />

The preceding subsection reviewed conceptual problems associated with METR analysis. This section<br />

discusses limitations to METR analysis arising from data problems.<br />

Perhaps the most central data problem encountered arises from the fact that many of the required<br />

variables are unobservable due to the forward-looking nature of investment decisions. Another is the<br />

modelling uncertainty over underlying production technologies of the “representative” firm. Yet another<br />

arises from the fact that aggregation is inevitable, given that firm-level data are generally not available.<br />

The following briefly reviews some of the difficulties in obtaining representative values for key parameters<br />

in standard METR equations for capital investment.<br />

Corporate-level tax parameters<br />

METR expressions for capital investment generally include a corporate income tax rate and a term<br />

measuring the present value of tax depreciation allowances claimed on a unit of investment at the margin.<br />

Investment tax credit rate(s) may also enter, if applicable. Typically, current nominal corporate tax<br />

rates, capital cost allowance and investment tax credit rates are applied, despite the fact that expectations<br />

over the future values of these rates may not be static, and full loss offsetting generally is not provided.<br />

The problem facing the model builder is that the tax (and price) parameter values entering the<br />

METR equation should be the ones expected by investment decision-makers. The difficulty is that<br />

underlying expectation formation processes (which one would expect to vary between investment cases)<br />

are generally unknown. Similarly, detailed information on the past and expected future loss positions of<br />

firms are unknown, thus making the task of adjusting parameter values to account for imperfect loss offsetting<br />

highly uncertain <strong>–</strong> and therefore often ignored.<br />

The appropriate rate at which to discount future capital cost allowances is also less than clear. In the<br />

case where tax depreciation is not indexed for inflation, there is agreement that a nominal rate should be<br />

used. But should the nominal rate correspond to the real cost-of-finance term entering the METR equation<br />

directly, or should it be the nominal rate on government bonds in light of the fact that, at least for a<br />

taxable firm, the stream of tax relief is more-or-less certain? Alternatively, investment managers may use<br />

some other (unknown) rate.<br />

Another complication related to discounting tax parameters in recognition of imperfect lossoffsetting<br />

is how to account for tax-planning opportunities. Where incentives exist for taxpayers to shift<br />

domestic profits offshore, through transfer-pricing techniques and tax-motivated financial structures for<br />

example, the use of the nominal corporate income tax rate in the METR equation will tend to overstate<br />

the rate at which investment income is taxed at the margin. But the question arises of how to accurately<br />

account for this effect. In particular, to what extent should the corporate income tax rate be reduced below<br />

its statutory value? The answer might vary across sectors and countries, and would be expected to change<br />

over time as the percentage of firms in the domestic economy with global operations (and global taxplanning<br />

opportunities) increases, and as the array of sophisticated tax-planning techniques evolves.<br />

Moreover, the ability of firms to tax-plan around the nominal rate depends on the existence (or not) and<br />

© OECD 2000


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Marginal Effective Tax Rates<br />

the strength of provisions aimed at protecting the domestic income tax base (e.g., transfer pricing rules<br />

and enforcement, thin-capitalisation rules).<br />

Moreover, for certain (inbound) investment projects, foreign corporate tax rates will influence<br />

domestic investment plans, meaning that the use of domestic corporate tax rates to explain domestic<br />

investment incentives may be misleading. In general, foreign tax rates will matter where foreign<br />

(inbound) investors are taxed in their home country on their foreign source income at tax rates in excess<br />

of domestic (host country) tax rates. The importance of taking into account foreign investors and their tax<br />

position will vary across sectors, countries and time. Historical data on patterns of inbound investment<br />

would generally provide an unreliable indicator of the importance of inbound investment, and (forwardlooking)<br />

information on the domestic investment plans of offshore investors is typically unavailable.<br />

Moreover, modelling the interaction of domestic and foreign tax systems accurately would require<br />

detailed knowledge of the global operations of inbound investors in order to establish tax-planning<br />

opportunities. A simplifying approach that is often implicitly used is to assume that domestic (host) country<br />

tax rates exceed those in the home country of foreign investors. But even if this were the case, the<br />

domestic statutory tax rate may overstate the rate at which domestic source profits are taxed to the extent<br />

that significant amounts of domestic profit can be shifted to low or zero-tax rate jurisdictions.<br />

Shareholder-level tax parameters<br />

Personal income tax rates also enter METR analysis, both in the determination of the net return to<br />

savers and, depending on the arbitrage assumption, in the calculation of the firm’s cost of funds. Relevant<br />

personal tax rates generally include an (ordinary) income tax rate, a dividend tax rate, and an effective<br />

(accrual) capital gains tax rate.<br />

Different tax wedges may be measured for different groups of savers, and for different types of<br />

investment returns (interest, retained earnings, new share issues). Given the number of possible combinations,<br />

METRs are usually derived for broad groups of savers (e.g., domestic households, tax-exempt<br />

institutions). For the domestic (taxable) household group, a weighted-average income tax rate is generally<br />

called for. If available, information on the distribution in prior years of investment income across taxable<br />

income classes is used to derive the weights. These may be appropriate in the calculation of a<br />

historic (backward-looking) METR series, but may be misleading for the purpose of deriving a current<br />

period or forward-looking METR. Similarly, where the net return to savers is measured as a weighted average<br />

of returns on interest, retained earnings and new share issues, a weighting scheme that relies on historic<br />

data may misrepresent the actual distribution of returns on funds used to finance current or future<br />

investment at the margin.<br />

A number of expressions found in the literature to measure the net return to savers include a capital<br />

gains tax rate term. A data complication encountered here arises out of the fact that while in practice capital<br />

gains are subject to tax on a realisation basis, the METR model assumes that they are taxed on an<br />

accrual basis. Thus a representative effective accrual-equivalent capital gains tax rate must be derived.<br />

In order to convert a statutory (realisation-based) capital gains tax rate to its accrual equivalent, one must<br />

make assumptions regarding the expected holding period of equity shares. METR modellers typically<br />

must rely on historic information on the average holding period of some basket of shares, which may generate<br />

an unreliable estimate of the average expected holding period of shares in firms in a given sector,<br />

country and time. For example, optimal holding periods required for preferential tax treatment will vary<br />

between countries and over time. An appropriate discount rate must also be chosen. The approach is<br />

inevitably ad hoc and subject to measurement error.<br />

As noted above, shareholder-level tax rates may also factor into the formula for the firm’s cost of<br />

finance. Because different taxpayer groups <strong>–</strong> such as domestic households, financial institutions, taxexempts,<br />

non-resident investors <strong>–</strong> are subject to different tax treatment, a choice must be made to identify<br />

the “marginal” shareholder or “tax-clientele” whose tax treatment is relevant to the determination of the<br />

cost of funds (i.e., capitalised into share prices). One would not expect that the identity of the marginal<br />

shareholder group would hold consistently across different sectors, given the varying importance of investor<br />

groups (e.g., domestic households, financial institutions, tax-exempts and non-residents) across sectors,<br />

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Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

62<br />

countries and time. Yet, typically, insufficient information is available to identify marginal shareholder<br />

groups, and an arbitrary choice is made and assumed to consistently hold across all (domestic) cases.<br />

Economic depreciation<br />

One of the key parameters entering METR expressions for depreciable capital is the (true) rate of<br />

economic depreciation. 24 This rate generally cannot be observed and must be inferred. Often secondhand<br />

markets do not exist for many types of capital goods, and even where they do, information on the<br />

prices at which these goods are transacted is typically unavailable to METR modellers. The typical<br />

approach taken is to use reported (and often dated) information on service lives, and to make some arbitrary<br />

assumption about the depreciation profile (e.g., exponential).<br />

A key problem in measuring economic depreciation, and one that is often ignored, is that the term<br />

should take into account not only physical wear and tear, but also expected relative price changes (i.e.,<br />

the change in the capital goods price index relative to the output price index). Expected relative price<br />

changes can occur as a result of a number of considerations. For example, news of the imminent release<br />

of new capital technology that will render currently installed capital obsolete would reduce the value of<br />

the latter. Similarly, an announcement of an investment tax credit targeted at capital expenditures made<br />

after some future date would depress the value of capital stock installed today. A range of such factors<br />

could influence investment decisions, yet information on these factors is generally unknown and not<br />

taken into account by the METR modeller.<br />

Required rates of return<br />

A number of conceptual problems associated with the choice of the appropriate arbitrage assumption<br />

and financial structure were already considered. At a minimum, it is generally necessary to choose a<br />

representative interest rate, and depending on the arbitrage (or non-arbitrage) assumption, some independent<br />

measure of the cost of equity may be required as well.<br />

In measuring the cost of debt finance, the choice of an appropriate interest rate is generally arbitrary.<br />

Interest rates vary according to the term of maturity of debt, and the market’s risk assessment, which generally<br />

will be a function of the borrowing firm’s financial position and the value of its property. In principle,<br />

some weighted-average interest rate should be used, but typically very little information is available to<br />

guide the choice over which interest rates to include and what weights to use.<br />

Where equity rates of return are measured independently (rather than being assumed to be determined<br />

according to some arbitrage condition), one of a number of estimating approaches may be taken.<br />

For example, one may use (reciprocals of) adjusted price-earnings ratios, which are reported for various<br />

stock indexes. However, this approach and others suffer from the fact that they are essentially backwardlooking,<br />

reflecting past earnings performance rather than expected future performance, and therefore<br />

may provide unreliable indicators of expected required rates of return.<br />

Inflation rate<br />

Another key term in the METR equation is the expected inflation rate, which is subtracted from the<br />

nominal cost of funds to arrive at a real cost of funds estimate. As with other parameters, it is the expected<br />

value of this rate, and not necessarily its current period value, which is relevant. However, the manner in<br />

which investment managers form expectations over this rate is unclear. Static expectations may apply in<br />

some cases, or alternatively various forecasting techniques may be used. An average METR statistic<br />

would in principle then involve some average of these estimation techniques, which of course are<br />

unknown.<br />

Often METR analysis proceeds by simply assuming an expected inflation rate, and showing through sensitivity<br />

analysis that the METR results will differ significantly depending on the expected inflation rate chosen.<br />

If the intention is simply to aggregate into a summary statistic the combined effect of various tax parameters<br />

thought to influence investment, and to compare this effect across different investment cases as a useful indicator<br />

of differential tax treatment, then such an approach generally would not be problematic.<br />

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NOTES<br />

Marginal Effective Tax Rates<br />

1. In general, pre-tax profit (losses) are derived on the basis of estimated revenues, wage, depreciation and interest<br />

costs associated under fixed or variable capital structures. Tax liabilities are derived by applying statutory<br />

tax rate and rules governing the determination of tax base, tax credits, treatment of losses, and other relevant<br />

tax provisions.<br />

2. A project-analysis corporate ATR is measured by the ratio ATR c (PROJ) = PV(CIT)/PV(Y) where the present value at<br />

time (t) of net corporate tax liabilities is given by PV(CIT) = PV(Y) <strong>–</strong> PV(Y * ), where PV(Y) measures the present<br />

value of pre-tax corporate profit PV(Y) = Σn s = 1(Ys/(1 + Rf) s ), PV(Y * ) measures the present value of after-tax corporate<br />

profit PV(Y * ) = Σn s = 1 (Y* s /(1 + Rf)s ), where Ys and Y * s denote pre- and post-tax corporate profits in periods<br />

(s ≥ t), and Rf denotes the firm”s cost of funds (discount rate).<br />

3. <strong>No</strong>te that reduced investment incentives can also be captured in corresponding internal rate of return (IRR) calculations.<br />

In particular, a reduced internal rate of return (Rf) would accompany an increase in the present value<br />

of corporate tax payments (i.e., the Rf value in the IRR calculation {NPV = 0 = <strong>–</strong>X + Σs (Y * )/(1 + Rf * ) s } would decline,<br />

with NPV measuring the net present value of the project with an initial investment of X currency units).<br />

4. Tax wedges and corresponding marginal tax rates may also be derived taking account of shareholder-level taxation,<br />

measuring the percentage wedge between pre-corporate tax and after-personal tax rates of return (an overall<br />

METR.) <strong>No</strong>te also that one can derive average marginal effective tax rates. An average METR is a weightedaverage<br />

of separate METRs, with each individual METR derived for an investment of a given type <strong>–</strong> characterised<br />

by type of asset (machinery, building, inventories, etc.), type of finance (debt, retained earnings, new equity), or<br />

type of saver (individual, parent company, tax-exempt, and so on).<br />

5. Some use the term cost of capital to refer to the user cost of capital <strong>–</strong> this can create confusion, since the term cost of<br />

capital is also used loosely to refer to the financial cost of capital, which is the cost to the firm of obtaining financing<br />

(note that the financial cost of capital R f is a component of the user cost of capital).<br />

6. More generally, the capital consumption cost also includes the change in the value of the capital asset due to<br />

changes in the price of the capital asset relative to the general price index <strong>–</strong> we ignore this consideration in our<br />

analysis.<br />

7. This study ignores changes in the real value of the capital stock due to changes in its relative purchase price<br />

(changes in its purchase price relative to changes in the general price index (i.e., real capital gains on holding<br />

physical capital)).<br />

8. Throughout this paper, it is assumed that the representative firm always has sufficient corporate taxable income<br />

against which to deduct interest and capital cost allowances.<br />

9. If investment incentives (e.g., investment tax credits, capital cost allowances) in the corporate tax system are sufficiently<br />

rich that the value of Rg in the presence of the tax system is below the value of Rg in the no tax case,<br />

I1 would exceed I0. Savings would continue to be unaffected.<br />

10. While taxes of various sorts impinge upon a variety of resource allocation decisions that firms and households<br />

take, this note focuses on the limitations of METR analysis as applied to investments in capital (of which there<br />

are a number of types, including physical, R&D and human), given that most METR efforts and complexities are<br />

concentrated in this area.<br />

11. In particular, assuming the monopolist maximises profits, the term (1-(1/h)) should appear in the denominator,<br />

where h is the elasticity of demand (positive for a downward sloping demand curve).<br />

12. Knowledge capital itself is taken to be the product of research investment which exhibits diminishing returns at<br />

the margin (i.e., doubling amounts invested in research in the pursuit of knowledge, holding other factors constant,<br />

will not double the amount of new knowledge produced). However, increments in knowledge capital generate<br />

increased amounts of output at the margin (due to partially appropriatable spillover effects).<br />

13. See for example works by Romer (1989, 1994) who treats knowledge capital as non-rivalrous (i.e., can be shared<br />

with others at zero opportunity cost) and as being at least partly excludable.<br />

14. As described in the text, the “fixed-r” approach treats the after-corporate tax rate of return as fixed across all<br />

investment projects. In contrast, the “fixed-p” approach treats pre-corporate tax rates of return as fixed across<br />

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Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

64<br />

projects. The latter approach is not viewed as an arbitrage assumption of how financial markets work, but rather<br />

as one technique for assessing how a particular project would be taxed under alternative tax and financing<br />

regimes. Arbitrage assumptions are still required under the fixed-p approach. Where METRs are calculated for<br />

each source of finance separately, for example as in King and Fullerton (1984), the fixed-p approach assumes that<br />

firms face the same after-tax cost of debt and equity finance (equal to the common cost of funds (r)).<br />

15. This might occur, for example, if the interest rate on debt rises with the amount borrowed (due, for example, to<br />

increased bankruptcy risk), so that firms continue to rely on cheaper debt finance (with deductible interest) up<br />

to the point where the costs of debt and equity are equated. See for example, Bradford and Fullerton (1981).<br />

16. See Poterba (1987).<br />

17. In the case of a loss carry back, no adjustment generally would be required. The value of the reduction in the<br />

loss carry-back caused by the additional revenue from a marginal investment is determined by the current corporate<br />

tax rate (assuming that the current corporate tax rate and that applicable in the carry back period are the<br />

same).<br />

18. See Mintz (1988) and Altshuler and Auerbach (1990).<br />

19. See Auerbach (1983), Gordon (1985), Bulow and Summers (1984), and Gordon and Wilson (1989).<br />

20. See Bulow and Summers (1984).<br />

21. See Gordon and Wilson (1989).<br />

22. Exceptions include Bertola and Caballero (1991) and McKenzie (1992). Pindyck (1991) provides a review of earlier<br />

research.<br />

23. Bertola and Caballero (1991) present a model which generalises the derivation of the Jorgenson user cost of capital<br />

to an environment with irreversible capital and risk. MacKenzie (1992) uses the same approach to examine<br />

the implications of irreversibility and different sources of risk for the measurement of METRs.<br />

24. This depreciation parameter, along with the real cost of finance, determines the flow cost of holding a currency<br />

unit’s worth of capital for one period.<br />

© OECD 2000


Chapter 6<br />

<strong>POLICY</strong> RELEVANCE OF <strong>ALTERNATIVE</strong> <strong>TAX</strong> BURDEN MEASURES<br />

Introduction<br />

This final chapter compares alternative measures of corporate tax burdens and offers some guidance<br />

on their suitability for policy analysis. The two policy questions addressed are the tax burden on the<br />

stock of capital held in the corporate sector, important to assessing equity in the tax system and in particular<br />

the sharing of the tax burden; and an assessment of the tax burden on newly acquired capital, relevant<br />

to assessing investment incentives, questions regarding efficient resource allocation and related<br />

policy goals. In making this assessment, the chapter compares:<br />

<strong>–</strong> nominal (statutory) corporate income tax rates, including surtaxes and profit/business taxes<br />

imposed by sub-central levels of government), denoted STAT;<br />

<strong>–</strong> corporate income tax-to-GDP ratios, denoted ATR(GDP);<br />

<strong>–</strong> corporate implicit average tax rates, denoted ATR(implicit);<br />

<strong>–</strong> average (historic) corporate tax rates derived using firm-specific data, denoted ATR(firm);<br />

<strong>–</strong> project-analysis average corporate tax rates, denoted ATR(proj); and<br />

<strong>–</strong> corporate marginal effective tax rates, denoted METR.<br />

For illustrative purposes, Section 6.2 presents values for each of the above measures, with coverage<br />

limited to ten OECD countries that are Member states of the European Union. The figures exhibit considerable<br />

variation, both across EU countries and across the various measures calculated for each country.<br />

As explained below, unlike the nominal tax rates which are fixed by statute, and the tax-to-GDP ratios<br />

which are also derived ex-post from fixed numbers, the values for the other measures will depend critically<br />

on the assumptions made and, of course, on the taxes included. This highlights the importance of<br />

thoroughly checking tax rate figures against these considerations when comparing values across countries<br />

or sectors, particularly when using tax rate comparisons for policy purposes.<br />

In making the assessment of corporate income tax burdens on firms operating in a given country, a<br />

key distinction is between the tax burden on existing capital assets, as compared to the burden on prospective<br />

investment. The measured tax burden on existing capital may be a highly misleading indicator<br />

of the tax burden on prospective investment, and vice versa (Section 6.3). Of potential measures, in general<br />

the best indicators of the corporate income tax burden on existing capital are average tax rates, derived<br />

using firm-level or aggregate data. Such figures require certain adjustments and should be interpreted<br />

taking into consideration that they are “first incidence” measures that do not account for possible shifting<br />

of corporate tax liabilities (Section 6.4). Section 6.5 considers the usefulness of forward-looking tax rates,<br />

with a focus on the commonly-used marginal effective tax rate framework for tax policy analysis purposes.<br />

Section 6.6 briefly concludes.<br />

Some illustrative results<br />

Chart 6.1 shows nominal corporate income tax rates and three backward-looking corporate tax burden<br />

measures. The nominal tax rates, the corporate tax-to-GDP ratios, and the corporate implicit average<br />

tax rates are for 1995, while firm-level (historic) average tax rate figures are an average for the period<br />

1990-1996. Given the reliance of backward-looking tax rates on actual (measured) tax liabilities, such<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

65


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

66<br />

EU-average<br />

Sweden<br />

Spain<br />

Italy<br />

Ireland<br />

France<br />

Belgium<br />

Austria<br />

Netherlands<br />

United Kingdom<br />

Germany<br />

Chart 6.1. Backward-looking Corporate Tax Rate Measures, 1995<br />

STAT<br />

ATR (firm) ATR (implicit) ATR (GDP)<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60<br />

Sources: STAT (1995); OECD Tax Data Base; ATR (firm) [average for 1990-1996]: Buijink, Janssen and Schols, 1999; ATR (implicit) [1995]: De<br />

Haan and Volkerink, 2000 (forthcoming) ATR (GDP) [1995]: Revenue Statistics, OECD, 1998.<br />

measures become available with a lag, in contrast to forward-looking tax rates based on current information<br />

on tax and financial parameters. Also, the implicit tax rate for Germany includes in the numerator not<br />

only corporate income tax, but also an estimate of personal tax and business tax on self-employment<br />

income. 1 (The underlying figures for Charts 6.1 and 6.2 are reported in Annex 6.A.)<br />

Among the ten EU economies shown in Chart 6.1, Germany posted the highest nominal rate of corporate<br />

income tax, including the business tax (over 56 per cent), followed by Belgium and Ireland. At the<br />

same time, Germany is shown to have the lowest corporate tax-to-GDP ratio, at just over 1 per cent. This<br />

result is explained largely by the importance of the unincorporated business sector in Germany, in contrast<br />

to the other jurisdictions where the incorporated sector dominates. Thus while corporate tax on corporate<br />

profit is much lower than what the statutory tax rate would suggest for Germany, its position at the<br />

bottom of a corporate tax-to-GDP ranking is driven by the relatively lower contribution of corporate profit<br />

to German GDP. For the other countries as well, the corporate-tax-to-GDP ratio is not representative of<br />

the actual tax burden on income from capital at the corporate level, for the reasons set out in Section 3.4.<br />

The historic (backward-looking) average corporate tax rates derived using manufacturing firmspecific<br />

data serve to illustrate the effect of special allowances, deductions, and tax credits, as well as tax<br />

planning, in lowering the effective rate of corporate tax below that indicated by the statutory tax rate. This<br />

measure also illustrates that the importance of these considerations varies considerably across countries.<br />

In particular, the spread between the nominal and profit-based tax rates differs markedly, ranging from<br />

just half of one percentage point in Sweden, to 24 percentage points in Ireland, and 19 and 18 points in<br />

Belgium and Germany respectively. In the case of the UK and France, a 4 point spread is found while in<br />

the Netherlands the gap is just over 3 points. The unweighted average spread between the nominal and<br />

profit-based tax rates in the EU countries is 9.6 points.<br />

It is also striking that both in the case of Italy and the UK, the implicit tax rate is shown to be higher<br />

than the statutory rate. This result highlights the potential for inconsistencies between the numerator and<br />

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Policy Relevance of Alternative Tax Burden Measures<br />

denominator amounts of the sort explained in Section 4.4 that render such measures of questionable relevance,<br />

a point to which we return below.<br />

Chart 6.2 shows nominal corporate tax rates for the ten countries in 1998, and compares these with<br />

two forward-looking measures, project-analysis average corporate tax rates and corporate marginal effective<br />

tax rates respectively, also computed for 1998.<br />

For most countries, with the exception of France and Spain, the marginal effective tax rates are shown<br />

to be well below statutory rates, reflecting the existence of special tax rules providing preferential tax<br />

relief. Similarly, for new investment assessed on a (discrete) project basis, the average tax rates are below<br />

statutory rates, with German and French firms subject to the highest average corporate tax rates (over<br />

45 per cent).<br />

For certain countries, the project-based tax rates are well below the statutory rates, reflecting the<br />

existence of special tax rules providing preferential tax relief. The exception is France, where the projectbased<br />

rate is above the statutory corporate income tax rate. The reason is that the project-based tax rate<br />

calculation factors in a local business tax in France with a different base than that used for corporate<br />

income tax purposes. 2 Indeed, the spread in possible tax rates in both charts indicates the scope for<br />

interest groups and policy-makers to select those tax burden measures that best reflect their assessment<br />

of the current tax system and how it should evolve.<br />

This remainder of this chapter addresses two main policy questions in relation to the taxation of<br />

income from capital at the corporate level, and considers the relative strengths and weaknesses of the<br />

measures reviewed in the preceding section when addressing these issues. The two policy areas that we<br />

focus on are:<br />

<strong>–</strong> the corporate tax burden on existing capital, relevant to equity concerns (Section 6.3); and<br />

<strong>–</strong> the corporate tax burden on newly acquired capital, relevant to investment behaviour and efficiency<br />

concerns (Section 6.4).<br />

EU-average<br />

Spain<br />

Ireland<br />

Belgium<br />

Netherlands<br />

Germany<br />

Chart 6.2. Forward-looking Corporate Tax Rate Measures, 1998<br />

STAT<br />

ATR (proj.) METR<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60<br />

Sources: Statutory rates: OECD Tax Data Base; ATR (proj.); Price Waterhouse Coopers 1998; METR: Baker and McKenzie, Amsterdam 1999.<br />

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Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

68<br />

Assessing the tax burden on “old” versus “new” capital<br />

The assessment of the corporate income tax burden on firms operating in a given country essentially<br />

involves an analysis of the taxation of income earned on assets held at the corporate level <strong>–</strong> including<br />

financial capital (cash, bonds, stocks), physical capital (buildings, machinery and equipment), land,<br />

inventory capital, and intangible capital (patents, trademarks). 3 In making this assessment, a key distinction<br />

is between the income tax burden on existing capital assets, as compared to the burden on a prospective<br />

investment. This distinction between tax burdens on “old” versus “new” capital is critical for<br />

policy analysis purposes on account of two considerations. First, an assessment of the tax burden on<br />

existing or “old” capital is particularly relevant to tax policy questions concerning equity in the tax system,<br />

whereas an assessment of the tax burden on “new” capital is particularly relevant to analysing<br />

investment incentives and related policy goals. Second, the measured income tax burden on the existing<br />

capital stock will often differ significantly from that on newly acquired capital.<br />

The differential tax burden on “old” versus “new” capital arises as the existing capital stock in the<br />

corporate sector consists of a mix of financial and non-financial assets of varying types, vintages and taxattributes<br />

acquired in the past. Consider first the fact that corporate tax owing in the current period on<br />

income derived from that existing capital stock will depend on the particular mix of assets held. Thus so<br />

too will the amount of corporate tax payable per unit of income generated. Therefore, historic average tax<br />

rates measured as corporate tax liabilities as a percentage of economic profit will differ from the effective<br />

corporate tax rate on capital acquired at the margin (or a weighted average of such marginal tax rates) to<br />

the extent that the prospective investment (or a weighted average of prospective investments) consists<br />

of a different asset mix subject to varying tax treatment, including particular tax subsidies. Tax depreciation<br />

rates vary across capital asset classes, certain types of income may be drawn into the tax base at different<br />

inclusion rates, different rules will typically apply to income earned on domestic versus foreignsource<br />

income, and so on.<br />

An assessment of the tax burden on the existing capital stock may provide a misleading indicator of<br />

the tax burden on newly acquired capital on account of other provisions that operate to link one tax<br />

period to the next. One of the most important factors in this respect is the tax treatment of losses. Most<br />

tax systems allow businesses to carry non-capital (business) losses forward to offset tax payable in future<br />

years, in recognition of the fact that the tax year (i.e., a 12-month assessment period) is an artificial construct.<br />

4 To illustrate, assume a firm has a business loss (negative taxable income) in one year, but records<br />

a profit in the following year. The firm pays no tax in the first year, but is taxable in the second. In principle,<br />

tax liabilities should be determined by allowing the loss incurred in the first year to be carried forward<br />

(with interest) to offset positive taxable income in the following year, to give a tax result similar to that<br />

which would have occurred had the tax period not been constrained to a single one-year period. In any<br />

given year, the existing stock of losses carried forward from prior years and available to offset current<br />

period taxable income will depend, among other factors, on the timing of that year over the economic<br />

(business) cycle. Loss carryforward pools would be relatively large following a downturn in the economy,<br />

for example. Therefore, the tax burden on existing capital measured in a year when relatively large loss<br />

carryforwards are claimed (i.e., in a year when corporate tax payments are relatively low), may provide an<br />

underestimate of the tax burden on newly acquired capital.<br />

A similar consideration is that systems that provide investment tax credits often allow unused credits<br />

to be carried forward to offset tax in future years. Research and development tax credits, for example,<br />

are often earned by firms that have not yet developed and taken a product to market, and so have no<br />

current tax liabilities on profits against which to claim a credit. Tax credit carryforwards may be introduced<br />

to ensure a stimulative effect. Patterns of tax credit carryover claims, like loss claims, will depend on business<br />

cycle effects, which tend to expand and contract profits and tax base. Therefore, in the presence of<br />

carryforward provisions, a tax burden measure based on current period corporate tax payable may be a<br />

misleading indicator of the tax burden on newly capital.<br />

Another consideration is that corporate tax assessed on realised net capital gains, while relevant to the<br />

tax burden on existing corporate assets, may not be relevant to assessing the tax burden on investment at<br />

the margin. An adjustment to market interest (discount) rates or expectations over future earnings of exist-<br />

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© OECD 2000<br />

Policy Relevance of Alternative Tax Burden Measures<br />

ing capital, causing an adjustment in asset prices with capital gain or loss effects, will affect current period<br />

tax liabilities on dispositions of capital where such gains/losses are drawn into tax, as they are in many systems.<br />

While changes in asset prices may affect investment decisions, the potential impact of capital gains<br />

taxation on investment behavior may differ significantly from that captured by average corporate tax rates<br />

influenced by capital gains/losses on current dispositions of previously acquired capital.<br />

The above noted factors arise even where tax policy is held constant over time. Differences in tax<br />

burdens on old versus new capital tend to be even more pronounced where tax policy changes over time,<br />

as it often does. Consider for example the implications of a reform where accelerated depreciation schedules<br />

are replaced with rates that more closely reflect economic depreciation, in which case the tax reducing<br />

effects of the old depreciation regime would tend to understate the tax burden on new investment.<br />

The tax burden measurement for income derived from depreciable capital purchased in prior years, written-off<br />

for tax purposes at rates that differ markedly from depreciation rates applied to capital purchased<br />

in the current period, would not be representative of the tax burden on new investment. 5<br />

In short, the fact that the income tax liability of a corporation, or a group of corporations, in a given<br />

year is an amalgam of tax considerations relevant to income generated on existing capital stock <strong>–</strong> which<br />

may differ for a number of reasons from the tax considerations relevant to a prospective investment <strong>–</strong><br />

means that corporate tax liabilities measured in a prior year (or even in the current year) relative to<br />

(adjusted) financial profit may be a highly misleading indicator of the tax burden on “new” capital, and<br />

vice-versa. These points are taken up and elaborated below in Sections 6.4 and 6.5, which address the<br />

choice among alternative tax burden measures for tax analysis purposes.<br />

Assessing the corporate tax burden, from an equity perspective<br />

The design of corporate tax policy often involves a balancing of revenue, equity, efficiency and “competitiveness”<br />

and perhaps other considerations (e.g., simplicity), with different groups holding different<br />

views over what the appropriate balance is, how that balance should be achieved, and how the resulting<br />

corporate tax burden should be measured. Virtually all would agree that corporations should bear at least<br />

part of the tax burden. Corporate-level taxation is necessary to avoid tax deferral possibilities that would<br />

otherwise exist. And equity considerations recognise that corporate entities, not just individuals, benefit<br />

from public expenditures including infrastructure development and costs in administering legal and regulatory<br />

frameworks. Furthermore, corporate taxation permits source country taxation in the case of taxexempt<br />

and non-resident investors who might otherwise avoid contributing their share towards public<br />

expenditure in support of business activities.<br />

In measuring the corporate tax burden to address equity concerns that the corporate sector is currently<br />

paying its “fair share”, the approach generally taken is to determine corporate income tax liabilities<br />

as a percentage of (adjusted) corporate-level profit derived from the existing corporate capital stock. The<br />

particular asset mix that gives rise to current period tax liabilities is generally irrelevant, with a focus only<br />

on the total amount of corporate tax paid in relation to corporate profit <strong>–</strong> in the sense that a “buck is a<br />

buck” raised from the corporate sector. 6 Given the lags with which corporate tax and profit data are compiled<br />

and made available, reference generally must be made to data measured in prior years (e.g., the<br />

most recent year in which the requisite data is available).<br />

Turning to a consideration of possible tax measures, it is clear that the nominal corporate tax rate<br />

cannot be used in isolation to assess the tax burden on corporations. This stems from the basic fact that<br />

the tax liability of a corporate entity and of the corporate sector as a whole depends on a range of provisions<br />

impacting on the tax base, in addition to the nominal rate. 7<br />

Aggregate tax-ratios are a common yardstick by which tax systems are assessed. Since they were<br />

published for the first time in 1973, the OECD Revenue Statistics have consistently reported aggregate tax<br />

revenues as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP.) Also shown are corporate taxes as a percentage<br />

of GDP, personal taxes as a percentage of GDP, and similar ratios for other broad tax aggregates. However,<br />

tax-to-GDP ratios may provide misleading indicators of tax burdens. As reviewed in Chapter 3,<br />

corporate tax-to-GDP ratios are problematic, as the ratio fluctuates with changes in the share of corporate<br />

profits in GDP, even with the share of corporate tax in corporate profit held constant (Section 3.4). More-<br />

69


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

70<br />

over, overall tax-to-GDP are misleading indicators of net tax burdens across countries, as they do not<br />

address tax expenditures and the fact that countries vary in their relative reliance on direct and tax<br />

expenditures (Section 3.2). Tax ratios are also under the influence of the tax treatment of social benefits<br />

(Section 3.3).<br />

Backward-looking (historic) average tax rates derived using actual firm-level or aggregate data on<br />

actual taxes paid and (adjusted) financial profits earned, however, may be robust indicators of the income<br />

tax burden on corporations. Such measures incorporate the effects of both current and past tax provisions,<br />

including nominal rate(s), depreciation allowances, the treatment of reserves, the treatment of<br />

losses (i.e., carryover provisions for non-capital, capital and tax incentive losses, complex group relief provisions),<br />

tax credits and related carryover provisions, other tax laws and regulations, tax-planning, and tax<br />

adjustments/relief provided on a discretionary basis by tax administrators. Proper measurement of average<br />

tax rates requires that firms with negative business income (loss companies) be excluded and inflation<br />

adjustments be made, as noted in Chapter 5.<br />

Profit-based measures using actual taxes paid in the numerator of course require access to such data,<br />

which typically is only available to Ministry of Finance or Revenue analysts. Taxes reported in financial<br />

statements may not give a true account of tax liabilities. The central reason for this is that taxes shown in<br />

financial statements reflect the amount of tax notionally owing on financial (book) profits, which may differ<br />

from taxable profits. One of the main reasons for this difference concerns the treatment of depreciation.<br />

Where capital is depreciated for tax purposes on an accelerated basis, depreciation claims for tax<br />

purposes will exceed depreciation charges for financial accounting purposes based on the estimated<br />

economic lives of assets. Also, taxpayers typically have discretion over the timing of their depreciation<br />

claims (as well as claims made from unclaimed loss carryforward pools and perhaps unclaimed investment<br />

tax credits.) To the extent that the offsets to tax taken into account in the calculation of taxes payable<br />

for financial reporting purposes differ from claims actually made for tax purposes, differences<br />

between financial accounting and actual tax payments will arise.<br />

This problem with relying on taxes payable as reported in financial statements has led policy analysts<br />

outside government to search for other methods. One such method is the implicit tax rate approach<br />

relying on aggregate figures linking taxes actually paid in the year, as available in Revenue Statistics, to<br />

National Accounts reporting of operating surplus. However, implicit average tax rates are highly uncertain<br />

indicators of the tax burden on capital at the corporate level, for mainly three reasons. First, operating<br />

surplus, which appears in the denominator of corporate implicit ATRs, includes interest, rent and royalty<br />

income taxed in the hands of individual savers. As the numerator only includes corporate income tax,<br />

there is a mismatch between numerator and denominator amounts. 8 This mismatch renders implicit ATRs<br />

unreliable estimators of corporate tax burdens and corporate investment incentives. Second, in countries<br />

that tax resident companies on their foreign source income, an additional mismatch between numerator<br />

and denominator amounts is introduced, as operating surplus includes only domestic profit <strong>–</strong> i.e., foreign<br />

income is excluded from the denominator, while net domestic tax on this amount is included in the<br />

numerator. Third, the inclusion in operating surplus of firms with negative business income causes an<br />

upward bias in corporate implicit ATRs. An accurate corporate ATR measure should exclude such firms,<br />

but this adjustment is not possible when relying on National Accounts data.<br />

Forward-looking project-based average tax rates and marginal effective tax rates (METRs) provide<br />

limited information on the tax burden on capital employed in the corporate sector, for primarily two reasons.<br />

First, both measures assess tax liabilities on newly-acquired capital only. The resulting tax rate<br />

measures will probably misrepresent the tax burden on previously installed or “old” capital, for the reasons<br />

noted in Section 6.3. Second, ATRs derived from project analysis and METRs derived from equilibrium<br />

conditions reflect the tax burden tied to a set of assumptions (e.g., relating to rates of return,<br />

financing and distribution policy, loss carryover/utilisation rates, expected inflation and interest rates)<br />

that may not be representative of actual values determining past (or current) period profit levels, investment<br />

patterns and taxes paid. Also, the choice over the weights used to obtain an average of individual<br />

project ATRs or METRs (each derived for a different mix of assets and industry), representative of the tax<br />

burden on capital at corporate level for the economy as a whole, would necessarily be an arbitrary exer-<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Policy Relevance of Alternative Tax Burden Measures<br />

cise. Moreover, such measures typically overlook possible tax-planning techniques that in practice may<br />

lower the tax burden far below that implied simple financial structure assumptions. Despite the fact that<br />

such models can be run under alternative sets of assumptions on key variables, they provide a highlystylised<br />

and therefore limited measure of the actual tax burden on firms, which can only be fully captured<br />

with reference to actual corporate taxes paid.<br />

In summary, of these potential measures, in general the best indicators of the income tax burden on<br />

corporations are backward-looking profit-based ATRs, derived using firm-level or aggregate data on<br />

actual taxes paid. The measures are more reliable where profits are adjusted to correct for accounting<br />

practices which open up a gap between profits reported in book accounts and true economic profits, and<br />

where profits are further adjusted to ensure consistency between numerator and denominator amounts<br />

(primarily in relation to the treatment of losses and foreign source income) and to correct for inflation.<br />

Such figures should be interpreted taking into consideration the fact that they are “first incidence” measures<br />

that do not account for the possible shifting of corporate tax liabilities onto consumers (through<br />

higher prices) and workers (through lower wages).<br />

Assessing the impact of corporate taxation on investment incentives<br />

Policy-makers have long been aware of the possible impediments to investment created by capital<br />

income taxation. Indeed, a main policy objective of tax reforms undertaken in a number of OECD countries<br />

during the 1985-1989 period was a reduction in tax-induced distortions to the allocation of capital<br />

across assets, industries and sources of finance. The 1990s witnessed a partial reversal of this trend with<br />

a number of countries introducing special investment tax incentives and preferential tax regimes to<br />

attract a larger share of increasingly mobile investment capital.<br />

While nominal corporate income tax rates are often cited as important in those cases where tax actually<br />

impacts on investment decisions, they are typically considered along with other tax factors (e.g., special<br />

investment incentives) determining final tax liabilities on a prospective investment. 9 Indeed, it is<br />

often said that the nominal corporate income tax rate itself typically does not influence the location of<br />

real (i.e., productive) capital, but rather steers the choice over debt-versus equity financing (financing<br />

structure) and income-shifting strategies including transfer pricing. In particular, for investments in manufacturing<br />

facilities and other business activities where non-tax factors dominate locational choices,<br />

financing structures and transfer prices are increasingly being used to leave as little profit (i.e., as much<br />

cost) as possible in high-tax jurisdictions to minimise the firm’s global tax bill.<br />

Backward-looking (historic) ATRs may be imprecise indicators of investment incentives. As noted,<br />

implicit corporate tax rates are highly imprecise measures due largely to the fact operating surplus is<br />

measured gross of interest expense (see Annex 6.B for a discussion of the implications vis-à-vis judging<br />

investment incentives). As regards profit-based ATRs, last year’s tax as a percentage of last year’s income<br />

may be a good measure of the corporate tax burden in that year, but needs to say little about the impact<br />

of the tax system on newly-installed capital. Moreover, the same reasons that make backward-looking<br />

profit-based ATRs useful indicators of the tax burden on both “old” and “new” capital, may render such<br />

measures misleading indicators of the impact of taxation on new investment. This is because investment<br />

decisions, based on the expected present value of future after-tax revenues and costs, are fundamentally<br />

forward-looking. Even where tax rules have remained stable for a number of years, current year claims<br />

from pools of un-depreciated capital costs, which incorporate the effects of depreciation provisions and<br />

investment patterns in earlier years, may not be representative of current and future deprecation claims<br />

on planned investment. Similar considerations apply with respect to investment tax credits and other<br />

provisions that carryover tax reductions from one year to the next.<br />

Forward-looking project-based ATRs, which assess the after-tax benefits and costs of investment on<br />

prospective investment, in principle may be useful indicators of the drag that income taxes impose on<br />

investment. Recent work has emphasized the importance of ATR analysis in the context of foreign direct<br />

investment decisions, or more generally in analyzing investment behavior where investors must choose<br />

between two or more competing projects (due for example to financing or demand constraints limiting<br />

total capital commitments) and expect to earn economic rent (i.e., rates of return in excess of minimum<br />

71


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

72<br />

required rates). 10 Such measures, however, are typically derived under a simplified set of market and<br />

financing assumptions, and therefore omit various considerations that impact materially on actual tax liabilities<br />

<strong>–</strong> notably complex tax provisions, tax planning, discretion exerted by the tax administration that<br />

may not be accurate or representative, and therefore may not adequately capture the overall impact of<br />

taxation.<br />

Similar problems arise with the use of METRs. For example, financing structures assumed in both<br />

domestic and cross-border variants of METR models typically ignore the use of financing vehicles (e.g.,<br />

holding companies) in offshore jurisdictions and treaty structures that are critical to the determination of<br />

the costs of funds. The task of determining the relevant financing structures that would underlie prospective<br />

investments in each sector of the economy of a given country is an enormous task, and for this reason<br />

is not incorporated in the reported figures. However, a gross mischaracterization of this central feature of<br />

investment renders the resulting statistics of little real relevance. This problem is becoming more important<br />

over time as an increasing number of firms and a growing part of total investment, both direct and<br />

portfolio, are structured offshore <strong>–</strong> both in the context of investment by domestic entities and foreign<br />

investors.<br />

Additionally, the relevance of other assumptions to industry estimates, typically held constant<br />

across countries and time, must be questioned. A discussion of the range of difficulties in modelling<br />

investment behaviour and addressing data measurement problems is found in Chapter 5 of this study.<br />

In summary, forward-looking measures of the tax burden on corporations derived from project/economic<br />

models cannot be used in isolation to analyse the impact of taxation on investment. Recourse must<br />

be made to other sources of information, including survey-based information.<br />

Chapter 5 reviewed the concept of marginal effective tax rates and discussed a number of problems<br />

associated with this particular tax measure as a reminder of the limits of METR analysis to offering useful<br />

tax policy guidance. Sections 5.5 and 5.6 present a rather long list of conceptual and data problems associated<br />

with the marginal effective tax rates framework. The present section rounds out the discussion by<br />

considering the usefulness of METR models for tax policy analysis purposes in cases where the underlying<br />

assumptions are believed to hold and where the required data is at hand. It turns out that even in<br />

this rather unlikely event, the ability of METR analysis to offer a useful guide to the setting of tax policy<br />

is limited, on at least three counts.<br />

First, METR analysis says nothing about the amount by which investment expenditures actually<br />

respond to tax incentives (or disincentives.) In order to gauge the investment response, an understanding<br />

of the underlying production technologies is required. In other words, the first-order conditions from<br />

which the METR equations are derived do not explain the elasticity or sensitivity of investment demand<br />

with respect to changes in the (user) cost of capital (a comparative static analysis involving specification<br />

of the production technology is required). A lower corporate income tax rate, or a higher capital cost<br />

allowance rate or investment tax credit rate will generate a reduced tax wedge. But the METR model is<br />

silent on the timing as well as the magnitude of the investment response, and thus the ultimate impact<br />

on the capital stock. This shortcoming is fundamental, as the impact of taxation on capital formation is the<br />

essential concept for assessing the influence of taxation on aggregate demand and economic growth.<br />

Second, when used to assess incentives for R&D and human capital investment <strong>–</strong> areas in which theory<br />

would suggest the use of positive tax incentives (negative tax wedges) to address market failure (i.e.,<br />

under-investment due to unpriced spillover effects) <strong>–</strong> the METR framework provides no guidance on how<br />

large the tax incentive should be. This point (related to the one above) stems from the fact that the METR<br />

framework offers no explanation of the underlying determinants of the corresponding capital stocks, let<br />

alone their optimal values. Without this framework, too often METR modelers are tempted to point to the<br />

METR statistic in a given country that signals the most generous tax support, and to hold this value out<br />

as the benchmark or target METR to which other countries should strive. Such reasoning is hollow, however,<br />

as the degree of tax support may be excessive relative to the unmeasured optimum.<br />

Third, the partial equilibrium framework is unable to address the impact of tax policy changes on<br />

other factor demands (e.g., labour) and prices. <strong>No</strong>r does it consider distributional or transitional effects.<br />

<strong>No</strong>r does it consider the linkage between the setting of tax parameters and revenues, and thus the bud-<br />

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© OECD 2000<br />

Policy Relevance of Alternative Tax Burden Measures<br />

getary impact of tax policies. In short, many of the key issues that confront tax policymakers when assessing<br />

tax policy are simply left unaccounted for. This fact is potentially the most problematic, given the<br />

need to address a wide range of issues when recommending tax policy change.<br />

This rather discouraging note begs the question: Why has METR analysis generated so much interest?<br />

One might argue that this interest grew out of the relative simplicity with which the framework could<br />

be used to incorporate the interaction of tax provisions thought to influence investment behaviour, and<br />

to capture this net influence in a single summary statistic. Tax rules and regulations are often a messy<br />

affair, particularly for non-tax experts, and the prospect of encapsulating their net effect into a single summary<br />

statistic is obviously attractive. However, in reality, neither the operation of tax systems, nor the<br />

determinants of investment behaviour (nor the interaction of the two) are so simple.<br />

Indeed, after reviewing the strengths and weaknesses of marginal effective tax rate analysis, the<br />

Working Party on Tax Policy Analysis and Tax Statistics of the Committee on Fiscal Affairs at its 58th Meeting<br />

in May 1999 formulated a statement emphasising the need to exercise caution when using METR analysis<br />

for policy purposes. The statement acknowledges that METR analysis offers a convenient framework<br />

for summarising at a broad level the interaction of tax rules relating to capital investment, and for identifying<br />

the various channels through which tax policy might be expected to influence investment behaviour.<br />

However, many difficult conceptual and data problems are encountered in the use of METRs. See Annex 6.C<br />

for a reproduction of the statement.<br />

Conclusion<br />

Over the years, in response to growing demand by policy-makers, various measures to assess tax<br />

burdens have been developed. The present study has reviewed some of the most common measures<br />

used to measure tax burdens of taxpayers, focusing primarily on corporations. In addition, it has provided<br />

some illustrative numbers from various sources on tax rates and tax burdens in ten OECD Member countries.<br />

More specifically, over the past fifteen years economic analysis of the economic impacts of taxation<br />

has increasingly relied on calculated marginal effective tax rates (METRs). However, careful consideration<br />

of the range of conceptual and data problems reviewed in Chapter 5 suggests that METR statistics and<br />

comparisons across sectors in countries have to be used cautiously as indicators of the influence of taxation<br />

on investment or as a guide to the setting of tax policy.<br />

The study concludes that all current measures reviewed have at least some important shortcomings.<br />

Results based on these and other tax burden measures should therefore be interpreted with their limitations<br />

in mind, and judged with due caution when used to address policy questions. Further work in this<br />

area will be undertaken by the Working Party on Tax Policy Analysis and Tax Statistics of the OECD Committee<br />

on Fiscal Affairs.<br />

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Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

74<br />

NOTES<br />

1. As explained in Chapter 4, an implicit corporate average tax rate includes in the denominator corporate operating<br />

surplus, taken from National Accounts, and corporate income tax in the numerator. In the case of Germany,<br />

National Accounts data report only total operating surplus (of the incorporated and unincorporated business<br />

sector), making it necessary to include in the numerator an estimate of the personal tax collected on unincorporated<br />

business income (social security contributions paid by the self-employed have been excluded). The ATR<br />

for Germany may be referred to as a business income ATR.<br />

2. The business tax is levied on a base which includes the rental value of buildings and equipment plus a percentage<br />

of payroll, but is capped to a certain percentage of value added which varies with the amount of turnover<br />

realised by the company.<br />

3. Full consideration of the tax burden on income from capital includes not only an assessment of corporate taxation<br />

of corporate earnings, but also shareholder-level taxation of that income, taking account of provisions (if any)<br />

that integrate the two tax layers. Policymakers are however also interested in the narrower question of the corporate<br />

tax burden, the focus of this paper.<br />

4. Certain countries also allow businesses to carry losses back to offset tax in previous years. Carryback relief is in<br />

general more advantageous than carryforward relief unless losses may be carried forward with interest (due to<br />

the time value of money).<br />

5. In most tax systems, tax depreciation (or depletion) rates applicable to capital acquired in prior years continue<br />

to apply to undepreciated capital stocks even when new depreciation rates are introduced. This avoids unanticipated<br />

capital gains/losses on existing capital following the introduction of new tax treatment.<br />

6. While the final incidence of the corporate income tax is uncertain (i.e., some uncertain partial shifting of the tax<br />

to labour via wage reductions, and to consumers through price increases), provided that shareholders actually<br />

bear some portion of the tax, increased corporate income tax will mean an increased percentage tax burden on<br />

corporate owners/shareholders.<br />

7. Similarly, personal income tax comparisons limited to rate structures of central governments systems are misleading,<br />

because three out of four OECD countries levy additional taxes on personal income. Social security contributions<br />

and church tax may push marginal top rates of taxes on income still higher (Section 2.3). It is also shown<br />

that high-income earners are not lonely at the top. In fact, many low-income earners are exposed to marginal<br />

rates of up to 100 per cent and <strong>–</strong> in exceptional cases <strong>–</strong> even more, because after an increase of their income they<br />

not only pay more tax but also stand to lose means-tested benefits (Section 2.3).<br />

8. The mismatch between numerator and denominator amounts in an ATR which uses operating surplus in the<br />

denominator can be addressed by including in the numerator, together with corporate income tax, an estimate of<br />

personal income tax on investment income (in which case the ATR is no longer a purely corporate tax measure).<br />

9. Tax considerations including statutory tax rates and preferential tax incentives are often cited as determining<br />

location decisions in relation to highly mobile business activities (i.e., those that can locate at alternative sites<br />

at little differential non-tax cost), such as those of administrative and distribution centres.<br />

10. See for example Devereux and Griffith (1998).<br />

© OECD 2000


ANNEXES TO CHAPTERS


Annex 2.A.<br />

MEASURING THE OVERALL STATUTORY CORPORATE INCOME <strong>TAX</strong> RATE IN JAPAN<br />

Consider the following approach to derive the effective overall corporate income tax rate in Japan. Define the<br />

following variables:<br />

t = effective overall corporate tax rate<br />

u c = national corporate income tax rate<br />

up = combined prefectoral and municipal surtax rate<br />

ub = (deductible) enterprise business tax (EBT) rate<br />

The computation considered below will use the following values in effect January 1, 1998:<br />

Consider a ¥ 1 increase in business income in year t. This generates a tax burden in year t equal to the following:<br />

uc (1 + u p ) + u b (1)<br />

However, the enterprise business tax (EBT) is deductible in the following year, t + 1. This impact on taxable<br />

income in year t + 1, given by (<strong>–</strong>u b ), reduces the tax bases of the national, prefectoral, municipal and EBT taxes in<br />

year t + 1. The causal effect spills over to subsequent years as well. In particular, since the EBT in year t + 1 is deductible<br />

in year t + 2, the reduction in EBT in year t + 1 causes an increase in taxable income in year t + 2 (i.e., a smaller EBT<br />

deduction), which in turn implies increased national, prefectoral, municipal and EBT taxes in year t + 2. The increased<br />

EBT in year t + 3 means reduced tax bases in the following year, and so on, with the effect in each subsequent year<br />

following year t declining over time.<br />

This effect can be illustrated as follows. Let u* denote the combined national, prefectoral and municipal income<br />

tax rate (i.e., u* equals u c (1 + up )) to simplify the notation. The overall tax effect of a ¥ 1 increase in business income<br />

in year t is given by the following:<br />

t = (u* + ub )∆Xt + (u* + ub )∆Xt + 1 + (u* + ub )∆Xt + 2 + (u* + ub )∆Xt + 3 +(u* + ub )∆Xt + 4 … etc. (2)<br />

where ∆Xs measures the change in taxable income in a particular year, as given by<br />

∆Xt = +1<br />

∆Xt + 1 = <strong>–</strong>ub∆Xt = <strong>–</strong>ub ∆Xt + 2 = <strong>–</strong>ub∆Xt + 1 = <strong>–</strong>ub (<strong>–</strong>ub ) = (ub ) 2<br />

∆Xt + 3 = <strong>–</strong>ub∆Xt + 2 = <strong>–</strong>ub (ub ) 2 = <strong>–</strong>(ub ) 3<br />

∆Xt + 4 = <strong>–</strong>u b ∆Xt + 3 = <strong>–</strong>u b (<strong>–</strong>u b ) 3 = (u b ) 4 ... etc.<br />

Substituting these values into equation (2) gives the following:<br />

t = (u* + u b )(1) + (u* + ub )(<strong>–</strong>ub ) + (u* + ub )(ub ) 2 + (u* + ub )(<strong>–</strong>ub ) 3 + (u* + ub )(ub ) 4 + … etc (3)<br />

which simplifies to the following<br />

t = (u* + ub )(1 <strong>–</strong> u b + (u b ) 2 <strong>–</strong> (u b ) 3 + (u b ) 4 + … etc. (4)<br />

or more compactly,<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

National corporation income tax rate u c<br />

0.345<br />

Prefectoral income tax rate (standard) 0.051<br />

Municipal income tax rate (standard)<br />

Combined prefectoral + municipal rate u<br />

0.123<br />

p<br />

Enterprise business tax rate u<br />

0.173<br />

b<br />

0.111<br />

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Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

78<br />

t = (u* + u b )Z (5)<br />

where<br />

Z = 1 <strong>–</strong> u b + (u b ) 2 <strong>–</strong> (u b ) 3 + (u b ) 4 + … etc. (6a)<br />

To solve for the value of Z, consider multiplying Z by the factor (<strong>–</strong>u b ). This gives:<br />

Z(<strong>–</strong>u b ) = <strong>–</strong>u b + (u b ) 2 <strong>–</strong> (u b ) 3 + (u b ) 4 + … etc. (6b)<br />

<strong>No</strong>w subtracting equation (6b) from equation (6a) gives:<br />

Z(1 + u b ) = 1 (6c)<br />

Dividing by (1 + u b ) gives the following value for Z:<br />

Z = 1/(1 + u b ) (6d)<br />

Substituting this solution into (5) gives the following expression for the combined statutory national, prefectoral,<br />

municipal and enterprise business income tax rate :<br />

t = (u* + u b )/(1 + u b ) (7)<br />

Substituting the values given above in the table/box yields a value of 0.4637.<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Annex 2.B.<br />

THE EFFECTS OF DIVIDEND <strong>TAX</strong>ATION AND INTEGRATION RELIEF<br />

The policy question of the impact of dividend taxation on corporate investment, and conversely the impact of<br />

integration measures relieving the double taxation of distributed income, has been the subject of considerable analysis<br />

and debate. A number of competing theories have been advanced and tested, and the evidence suggests that<br />

the impact of dividend taxation (or alternatively, relieving dividend tax) is not uniform across all cases, but rather<br />

depends on a number of factors that may vary from one case to another.<br />

The “traditional” view<br />

Under the so-called “traditional” view, the double taxation of income from equity capital significantly reduces<br />

corporate investment levels, and the introduction of integration measures to alleviate double taxation can be<br />

expected to positively impact on capital formation and economic growth. This view rests on the assumption that the<br />

payment of dividends has some intrinsic value, apart from being a means to allocate earnings to shareholders. For<br />

example, dividends may serve as a signal to shareholders that the distributing company is performing well (Miller<br />

and Rock 1985). Moreover, shareholders who may be uncertain over whether managers act in their best interest may<br />

look to earnings distribution as a means to place a limit on managerial discretion over the use of the earnings of the<br />

corporation (Jensen 1986).<br />

Proponents of the traditional view argue that these considerations mean that shareholders will accept a lower<br />

after-tax return on shares in corporations with higher dividend payout ratios. However, an increased reliance on dividends,<br />

as opposed to share repurchases, as an alternative means to allocate corporate earnings to shareholders,<br />

imposes a tax cost on shareholders. This is because dividend income is generally taxed at a higher effective rate than<br />

capital gains income. Thus a corporation could be expected to increase its dividend payout ratio just up to the point<br />

where the intrinsic (non-tax) benefits from increased dividends at the margin are offset by the net tax burden from<br />

an additional one dollar distribution of earnings. This net tax burden is equal to the difference between the shareholder”s<br />

effective personal income tax rate on dividends and his effective (accrual) tax rate on capital gains. Therefore,<br />

under the traditional view, an increase in the effective tax rate on dividends would lead to a reduction in<br />

dividend pay-out and a resulting increase in the firm’s cost of equity finance. Dividend tax relief through the adoption<br />

of an integration measure would lower the firm’s cost of capital, leading to increased investment.<br />

The “new” view (or “tax capitalisation” view)<br />

Proponents of the so-called “new” view or “tax capitalisation” view argue that dividend taxation has no impact<br />

on the investment decisions of “mature” firms that finance their investment at the margin using retained earnings.<br />

The new view, unlike the traditional view, does not assume that the transfer of earnings to shareholders by way of<br />

dividend distribution has some intrinsic value (i.e., dividends and capital gains are perfect substitutes) and assumes<br />

that firms cannot repurchase shares.<br />

Dividend taxes do not discourage investment financed out of retained earnings because the cost of retained<br />

earnings is independent of the dividend tax rate, under the assumption that the dividend tax rate is expected to<br />

remain constant. This result follows from the (arbitrage) assumption that the shareholder cannot avoid dividend taxation<br />

on earnings within the firm <strong>–</strong> these earnings will be subject to dividend taxation if distributed in the period<br />

when earned and invested in an alternative asset, or if instead the earnings are retained in the firm and distributed<br />

later. The present value of the tax burden is the same under both options (assuming that the effective dividend tax<br />

rate remains constant). In this sense, equity is “trapped” within the corporation. The new view therefore posits that<br />

dividend taxes, which get capitalised into the price of equity shares, impact on the price of shares but have no impact<br />

on investment. Integration measures should not be expected to encourage corporate investment, but rather result<br />

only in a windfall gain to existing shareholders. It must be emphasised that the new view as summarised above<br />

applies to “mature” firms that are able to finance their investment expenditures entirely out of retained earnings,<br />

and need not rely on new share issues which generally are a more expensive form of equity finance.<br />

Dividend taxes, and relief therefrom, can however be expected to impact on the investment decisions of newly<br />

established or rapidly expanding “immature” firms whose investment capital needs outstrip available retained earn-<br />

Annex 2<br />

79


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

80<br />

ings and require new equity infusion. Unlike retained earnings, the cost of new share capital increases with the rate<br />

of dividend taxation, as owners of capital outside the firm can avoid dividend taxation by investing this capital in an<br />

alternative asset, say bonds, not subject to this tax. Thus, in situations where investment is financed at the margin by<br />

new share issues, measures providing double taxation relief can be expected to lower the cost of equity finance, and<br />

thereby increase corporate investment, a result consistent with that under the traditional view.<br />

The “tax-clientele” view<br />

The “tax-clientele” view emphasises the variability of effective dividend and capital gains tax rates across different<br />

investors, with the result that investors with certain tax characteristics are more likely to hold certain assets compared<br />

with investors with other tax characteristics. Investors subject to relatively low dividend tax rates, for example,<br />

would tend to favour stocks with relatively high dividend payouts, whereas investors subject to high dividend tax<br />

rates would tend to favour “growth” stocks with low dividend payouts. Risk preferences and transaction costs may<br />

also vary from one investor group to another.<br />

In this setting, one group of investors that enjoys a relatively more favourable tax treatment on the returns from<br />

a particular equity investment, and may demonstrate a preference for that investment for non-tax (i.e., risk-preference)<br />

reasons, may outbid other investors and emerge as the “marginal” shareholder of the company”s equity. Importantly,<br />

it is the dividend tax rate applicable to the marginal shareholder that is factored into the determination of the cost<br />

of equity of the firm and thereby influences the level of investment that it undertakes, as well as the market value of<br />

its equity.<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Annex 4.A.<br />

THE OECD CLASSIFICATION OF <strong>TAX</strong>ES<br />

1000 Taxes on income, profits and capital gains<br />

1100 Taxes on income, profits and capital gains of individuals<br />

1110 On income and profits<br />

1120 On capital gains<br />

1200 Corporate taxes on income, profits and capital gains<br />

1210 On income and profits<br />

1220 On capital gains<br />

1300 Unallocable as between 1100 and 1200<br />

2000 Social security contributions<br />

2100 Employees<br />

2200 Employers<br />

2300 Self-employed or non-employed<br />

2400 Unallocable as between 2100, 2200 and 2300<br />

3000 Taxes on payroll and workforce<br />

4000 Taxes on property<br />

4100 Recurrent taxes on immovable property<br />

4110 Households<br />

4120 Other<br />

4200 Recurrent taxes on net wealth<br />

4210 Individual<br />

4220 Corporate<br />

4300 Estate, inheritance and gift taxes<br />

4310 Estate and inheritance taxes<br />

4320 Gift taxes<br />

4400 Taxes on financial and capital transactions<br />

4500 Other non-recurrent taxes on property<br />

4510 On net wealth<br />

4520 Other non-recurrent taxes<br />

4600 Other recurrent taxes on property<br />

5000 Taxes on goods and services<br />

5100 Taxes on production, sale, transfer, leasing and delivery of goods and rendering of services<br />

5110 General taxes<br />

5111 Value added taxes<br />

5112 Sales taxes<br />

5113 Other general taxes on goods and services<br />

5120 Taxes on specific goods and services<br />

5121 Excises<br />

5122 Profits of fiscal monopolies<br />

5123 Customs and import duties<br />

5124 Taxes on exports<br />

5125 Taxes on investment goods<br />

5126 Taxes on specific services<br />

5127 Other taxes on international trade and transactions<br />

5128 Other taxes on specific goods and services<br />

5130 Unallocable as between 5110 and 5120<br />

Annex 4<br />

81


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

82<br />

5200 Taxes on use of goods, or on permission to use goods or perform activities<br />

5210 Recurrent taxes<br />

5211 Paid by households in respect of motor vehicles<br />

5212 Paid by others in respect of motor vehicles<br />

5213 Other recurrent taxes<br />

5220 <strong>No</strong>n-recurrent taxes<br />

5300 Unallocable as between 5100 and 5200<br />

6000 Other taxes<br />

6100 Paid solely by business<br />

6200 Paid by other than business or unidentifiable<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Annex 4.B.<br />

ILLUSTRATION OF APPLICATION OF MICRO-DATA<br />

This annex illustrates how micro-data (data on individual taxpayers) could be used to generate more accurate<br />

measures of personal tax collected on separate items of income (e.g., wages and salaries, taxable income from capital,<br />

transfers). This information would allow one to examine how labour and capital ATRs (see Subsection 4.4.3 and Subsection<br />

4.4.4) derived using micro-data compare with those derived using aggregate data. The exercise should be<br />

possible where the data set includes, for individual taxpayers in the sample, separate reported figures for the items<br />

of income for which tax ratios are being calculated.<br />

Case (1): Progressive taxation of combined labour and capital income (global approach)<br />

Consider a simplified case consisting of a sample of three taxpayers, two with identical earnings consisting<br />

mostly of wages and salaries, and the third earning substantially more investment income. Assume further that the<br />

domestic tax system applies the following progressive personal income tax (PIT) rate structure:<br />

Statutory PIT rate structure<br />

Income band ($) 0-5 5-25 25 and over<br />

Tax rate 0 0.20 0.30<br />

The following table provides micro-data showing the wages and salaries and investment income of the three taxpayers<br />

and their tax payable, and also computes their average and marginal tax rates. Aggregate figures are also<br />

shown. The shaded part of the table shows the aggregate data that would be available from National Accounts and<br />

OECD Revenue Statistics reports in this simplified example.<br />

The results show that roughly two-thirds of wages and salaries is found to be taxed in the hands of individuals<br />

with an average personal income tax rate of 15 per cent. Investment income is found to accrue mainly to taxpayers<br />

with a higher average tax rate of 21 per cent. Knowing the distribution of wages and salaries across taxpayers allows<br />

to compute a weighted average of these individual rates, with the weights reflecting the percentage distribution of<br />

labour income across taxpayers.<br />

Similarly, a weighted average rate for taxable investment income can be derived. Moreover, the micro-data<br />

allows to observe the rates at which these income flows are taxed in the hands of individuals at the margin, so that a<br />

weighted average marginal tax rate for each category of income may be calculated. Table 2 compares these findings<br />

with those available from aggregate data and serves to illustrate the increased information made possible by the<br />

micro-data.<br />

Annex 4<br />

83


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

84<br />

Case (1) Micro- and aggregate data<br />

Wages and salaries Investment income Combined income<br />

Individual 1<br />

Income 18 2 20<br />

Tax (0.2)15 = 3<br />

Average tax rate 0.15 0.15 (3/20) = 0.15<br />

Marginal tax rate<br />

Individual 2<br />

0.20 0.20<br />

Income 18 2 20<br />

Tax (0.2)15 = 3<br />

Average tax rate 0.15 0.15 (3/20) = 0.15<br />

Marginal tax rate<br />

Individual 3<br />

0.20 0.20<br />

Income 20 20 40<br />

Tax (0.2)20 + (0.3)15 = 8.5<br />

Average tax rate 0.21 0.21 (8.5/40) = 0.213<br />

Marginal tax rate<br />

Aggregate Figures<br />

0.30 0.30<br />

Income 56 24 80<br />

Tax 14.5<br />

Average tax rate (36/56)0.15 + (20/56)0.213 (4/24)0.15 + (20/24)0.213 (14.5/80) = 0.181<br />

Ave. marginal tax rate (36/56)0.20 + (20/56)0.30 (4/24)0.20 + (20/24)0.30<br />

(Shaded block shows available data at aggregate level.)<br />

Case (1) Comparison of results<br />

Aggregate data (m ave ) Micro-data (m W and m I )<br />

Average tax rates<br />

Wages and salaries 0.181 0.173<br />

Investment income 0.181 0.203<br />

Average marginal tax rates<br />

Wages and salaries n.a. 0.236<br />

Investment income n.a. 0.283<br />

The following case (2) (see below) is identical to the first, but assumes a 50 per cent inclusion rate for capital<br />

income, while case (3) (also below) considers a dual income tax system.<br />

In the results shown in cases (2) and (3), the average tax rate results derived using the aggregate data are found<br />

to be not significantly different from those derived using micro-data. These findings are of course only illustrative,<br />

and indicate that the exercise is intended only as a check on the accuracy of average tax rate analysis based on<br />

National Accounts and Revenue Statistics data. If progressive tax rates applied to labour income reached the 50-60<br />

per cent range at relatively low levels of taxable income, the discrepancy between average tax rates determined<br />

using aggregate data versus micro-data would be significantly greater.<br />

© OECD 2000


Case (2): Progressive taxation of combined labour and capital income (global approach), 50% inclusion rate for<br />

capital income<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Statutory PIT rate structure<br />

Income band ($) 0-5 5-25 25 and over<br />

Tax rate 0 0.20 0.30<br />

Wages and salaries Investment income Combined income<br />

Individual 1<br />

Income 18 2 20<br />

Taxable income 18 1 19<br />

Tax (0.2)19 = 2.8<br />

Average tax rate 0.14 0.14 (2.8/20) = 0.14<br />

Marginal tax rate<br />

Individual 2<br />

0.20 0.10<br />

Income 18 2 20<br />

Taxable income 18 1 19<br />

Tax (0.2)19 = 2.8<br />

Average tax rate 0.14 0.14 (2.8/20) = 0.14<br />

Marginal tax rate<br />

Individual 3<br />

0.20 0.10<br />

Income 20 20 40<br />

Taxable income 20 10 30<br />

Tax (0.2)20 + (0.3)5 = 5.5<br />

Average tax rate 0.138 0.138 (5.5/40) = 0.138<br />

Marginal tax rate<br />

Aggregate Figures<br />

0.30 0.15<br />

Income 56 24 80<br />

Taxable income 56 12 68<br />

Tax 11.1<br />

Average tax rate (36/56)0.14 + (20/56)0.138 (4/24)0.14 + (20/24)0.138 (11.1/80) = 0.139<br />

Ave. marginal tax rate (36/56)0.20 + (20/56)0.30 (4/24)0.10 + (20/24)0.15<br />

(Shaded block shows available data at aggregate level.)<br />

Comparison of Case (2) results:<br />

Aggregate data (m ave ) Micro-data (m W and m I )<br />

Average tax rates<br />

Wages and salaries 0.139 0.139<br />

Investment income 0.139 0.138<br />

Average marginal tax rates<br />

Wages and salaries n.a. 0.236<br />

Investment income n.a. 0.142<br />

Annex 4<br />

85


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

86<br />

Case (3): Dual tax system (separate taxation of labour and capital income)<br />

Statutory PIT rate structure<br />

Income band ($) 0-5 5-25 25 and over<br />

Tax rate on labour 0 0.30 0.30<br />

Tax rate on capital 0.20 0.20 0.20<br />

Wages and salaries Investment income Combined income<br />

Individual 1<br />

Income 18 2 20<br />

Tax (0.3)13 = 3.9 (0.2)2 = 0.4 4.3<br />

Average tax rate (3.9/18) = 0.217 (0.4/2) = 0.20 (4.3/20) = 0.215<br />

Marginal tax rate<br />

Individual 2<br />

0.30 0.20<br />

Income 18 2 20<br />

Tax (0.3)13 = 3.9 (0.2)2 = 0.4 4.3<br />

Average tax rate (3.9/18) = 0.217 (0.4/2) = 0.20 (4.3/20) = 0.215<br />

Marginal tax rate<br />

Individual 3<br />

0.30 0.20<br />

Income 20 20 40<br />

Tax (0.3)15 = 4.5 (0.2)20 = 4 8.5<br />

Average tax rate (4.5/20) = 0.225 (4/20) = 0.20 (8.5/40) = 0.213<br />

Marginal tax rate<br />

Aggregate Figures<br />

0.30 0.20<br />

Income 56 24 80<br />

Tax 8.4 4.8 17.1<br />

Average tax rate (12.3/56)=0.22 (4.8/24)=0.20 (17.1/80)=0.214<br />

Ave. marginal tax rate (36/56)0.30 + (20/56)0.30 (4/24)0.20 + (20/24)0.20 (36/80)0.3 + (20/80)0.3 +<br />

(4/80)0.2 + (20/80)0.2<br />

(Shaded block shows available data at aggregate level.)<br />

Comparison of Case (3) results<br />

Aggregate data (m ave ) Micro-data (m W and m I )<br />

Average tax rates<br />

Wages and salaries 0.214 0.22<br />

Investment income 0.214 0.20<br />

Average marginal tax rates<br />

Wages and salaries n.a. 0.3<br />

Investment income 0.2 0.2<br />

© OECD 2000


Annex 6.A.<br />

BACKWARD- AND FORWARD-LOOKING CORPORATE <strong>TAX</strong> RATE RESULTS<br />

The following tables provide the figures underlying Charts 6.1 and 6.2 found in Chapter 6.<br />

© OECD 2000<br />

Figures to Chart 6.1. Backward-looking Corporate Tax Rate Measures, 1995<br />

STAT ATR (firm) ATR (implicit) ATR (GDP)<br />

Germany 56.7 38.5 17.6 1.1<br />

UK 33.0 29.0 40.6 3.3<br />

Netherlands 35.0 31.8 22.2 3.3<br />

Austria 34.0 17.7 7.6 1.6<br />

Belgium 40.2 21.0 29.5 3.0<br />

France 36.7 32.8 21.0 1.6<br />

Ireland 38.0 13.9 na 2.9<br />

Italy 37.0 35.3 51.4 3.6<br />

Spain 35.0 24.1 20.5 1.9<br />

Sweden 28.0 27.5 28.2 3.0<br />

EU-average 36.5 26.9 26.3 2.9<br />

Source: Statutory corporate income tax rates STAT are taken from the OECD Tax Data Base (1995). ATR rates based<br />

on firm-level data ATR(firm), showing averages over 1990-1996, are taken from Buijink, Janssen and Schols<br />

(1999). Implicit corporate tax rates ATR (implicit) are taken from De Haan and Volkerink (2000), while the<br />

corporate tax-to-GDP rates ATR (GDP) are derived using OECD Revenue Statistics, 1998.<br />

Figures to Chart 6.2. Forward-looking Corporate Tax Rate Measures, 1998<br />

STAT (1998) ATR (proj) METR<br />

Germany 56.7 47.2 37.0<br />

UK 31.0 30.3 22.3<br />

Netherlands 35.0 31.8 23.2<br />

Austria 34.0 35.0 27.0<br />

Belgium 40.2 31.8 23.5<br />

France 41.7 47.5 40.7<br />

Ireland 32.0 21.8 22.3<br />

Italy 41.3 40.6 17.7<br />

Spain 35.0 33.1 32.8<br />

Sweden 28.0 21.0 17.2<br />

EU-average 36.4 32.1 24.3<br />

Source: Project-based ATRs are taken from a 1998 study prepared by the firm PriceWaterhouseCoopers, commissioned<br />

by the Ministry of Finance, the Netherlands. The METR statistics are taken from a 1999 study prepared<br />

by the firm Baker & McKenzie, also commissioned by the Ministry of Finance, the Netherlands.<br />

Annex 6<br />

87


Tax Burdens: Alternative Measures<br />

88<br />

Annex 6.B.<br />

IMPLICIT AVERAGE <strong>TAX</strong> RATES <strong>–</strong> ILLUSTRATION OF THE EFFECT<br />

OF TREATMENT OF INTEREST<br />

Implicit average effective tax rates (ATRs) include operating surplus in the denominator, which is measured gross<br />

of interest, rent and royalty payments. This annex illustrates the implications of including operating surplus, rather<br />

than profit (measured net of these expenses) in the denominator, with a focus on the implications of the treatment<br />

of interest.<br />

The two scenarios considered in the table below differ in that the assumed interest rate on debt is 10 per cent<br />

in the first case, compared with 15 per cent in the second (on the same level of debt of 400 currency units). Because<br />

interest expense is tax deductible, corporate income tax is lower in scenario 2 compared with scenario 1. Operating<br />

surplus is the same between the two cases, being measured gross of interest. Therefore, the corporate implicit ATR<br />

measured by corporate tax divided by operating surplus is lower in scenario 2.<br />

Observing corporate implicit ATRs alone, one might conclude that corporate tax policy differs between the two<br />

cases, and in particular that the effective corporate tax rate is lower in scenario 2, when in fact corporate tax policy is<br />

unchanged. One might also (erroneously) conclude that investment incentives would be greater in scenario 2 with<br />

the lower implicit ATR, when in fact a rate of return (ROR) calculation finding reduced profitability on account of<br />

higher interest expense in scenario 2, suggests that investment incentives are in fact reduced, not increased. These<br />

misconceptions stem from the reliance on operating surplus, taken from National Accounts data (which do not report<br />

separately profit figures.)<br />

Scenario 1 Scenario 2<br />

Assets 1000 1000<br />

Debt 400 400<br />

Equity 600 600<br />

Revenues 200 200<br />

Less wages, depreciation (100) (100)<br />

= Operating surplus 100 100<br />

Less interest (40) (@10%) (60) (@15%)<br />

= Profit 60 40<br />

CIT (@40%) (24) (16)<br />

After-tax Profit 36 24<br />

ROR on equity 6% (36/600) 4% (24/600)<br />

Corporate Implicit AETR 24% (24/100) 16% (16/100)<br />

Corporate Profit AETR 40% (24/60) 40% (16/40)<br />

© OECD 2000


© OECD 2000<br />

Annex 6.C.<br />

STATEMENT ON THE USEFULNESS OF METR ANALYSIS<br />

FOR <strong>TAX</strong> <strong>POLICY</strong> PURPOSES<br />

Working Party <strong>No</strong>. 2 of the Committee on Fiscal Affairs at its 58 th Meeting in May 1999 formulated the following<br />

statement which emphasises the need to use extreme care when using METR analysis for policy purposes.<br />

“An important area of economic analysis concerns efficiency considerations tied to capital income taxation and<br />

policy changes that might improve the allocation of factors of production <strong>–</strong> including physical, R&D and knowledge<br />

capital <strong>–</strong> and thus minimise the dead-weight loss or excess burden of taxation.<br />

Marginal effective tax rate (METR) analysis and the closely related concept of the user cost of capital have provided<br />

an important intellectual impetus to thinking in this area. METR analysis provides a useful framework for identifying<br />

the various channels through which tax policy might influence investment behaviour <strong>–</strong> through the taxation of<br />

returns from investment; through the impact of tax allowances and credits on the effective purchase price of capital;<br />

and through the possible effects of corporate and shareholder-level taxation on the cost of funds (financial capital).<br />

METRs also provide a convenient way of summarising at a broad level the interaction of key tax parameters relevant<br />

to the taxation of capital income, and for comparing the treatment under the tax code of different investment<br />

activities, and how this treatment compares across industries, countries and over time.<br />

Given the attractiveness of its ability to generate summary statistics for the tax-adjusted price of capital, METR<br />

analysis has been widely used by academics, private researchers and policy-makers alike to analyse the effects of<br />

taxation on investment. Indeed, METR analysis provided much of the intellectual support to tax reforms in many<br />

OECD countries introduced over the mid-to-late 1980s which broadened the tax base and lowered tax rates on<br />

income from various types of capital in order to secure efficiency gains. Moreover, many analysts continue to rely on<br />

this methodology, with ongoing interest, application and review leading to useful modifications that better capture<br />

and measure the effect of taxation on capital prices.<br />

While recognising the usefulness of METR analysis, many analysts advise caution in light of observations that for<br />

certain investment decisions, the results generated may provide unreliable indicators of investment incentives and<br />

the effect of taxation on those incentives. METR analysis, like other forms of economic analysis, makes a number of<br />

simplifying assumptions which may not hold in certain cases. These calls for caution highlight the need to assess the<br />

strength of the underlying assumptions when interpreting the results. This need is obviously critical where METR statistics<br />

are considered as a guide to the design of tax policy.”<br />

Annex 6<br />

89


© OECD 2000<br />

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