Evacuation of passenger ships: challenges and research ... - Ifremer
Evacuation of passenger ships: challenges and research ... - Ifremer
Evacuation of passenger ships: challenges and research ... - Ifremer
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© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
<strong>Evacuation</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>passenger</strong> <strong>ships</strong>:<br />
<strong>challenges</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>research</strong> activities<br />
11/05/2011<br />
4th International Workshop on Technologies for Search And<br />
Rescue <strong>and</strong> other Emergency Marine Operations<br />
Philippe Corrignan, Antoine Breuillard, Pierre Maurier –<br />
Research Department
Contents<br />
► Background on evacuation <strong>and</strong> rescue <strong>of</strong> <strong>passenger</strong>s<br />
Statistical analysis <strong>of</strong> accidents on <strong>passenger</strong> <strong>ships</strong> leading to evacuation<br />
<strong>Evacuation</strong> <strong>and</strong> rescue <strong>of</strong> <strong>passenger</strong>s: a global process<br />
Regulatory framework: equipment <strong>and</strong> procedures<br />
► Challenges <strong>and</strong> Bureau Veritas R&D activities<br />
Risk analysis <strong>of</strong> the MAR process<br />
► Conclusions<br />
© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
2
© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
Background on evacuation <strong>and</strong> rescue <strong>of</strong> <strong>passenger</strong>s<br />
Statistical analysis <strong>of</strong> accidents on <strong>passenger</strong> <strong>ships</strong><br />
leading to evacuation
General statistics on <strong>passenger</strong> <strong>ships</strong><br />
► General statistics on <strong>passenger</strong> <strong>ships</strong>’ fleet<br />
Ro-Pax: 2/3 <strong>of</strong> the fleet, 65% <strong>of</strong> <strong>passenger</strong> transport capacity<br />
Cruise <strong>ships</strong>: 12% <strong>of</strong> the fleet, 22% <strong>of</strong> the <strong>passenger</strong><br />
transport capacity<br />
“Others” includes non-SOLAS <strong>ships</strong>, High Speed Crafts etc.<br />
Most <strong>of</strong> them are less than 120m long.<br />
► The accident analysis concentrated on<br />
Ro-pax <strong>and</strong> other <strong>passenger</strong> <strong>ships</strong> having a length larger<br />
than 120m<br />
► LRFP <strong>and</strong> LMIU database<br />
Period analysed: last 10 years<br />
© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
72%<br />
Keywords sought for such as “assembl”, “ab<strong>and</strong>on”, “rescue”,<br />
“muster” etc: gave 171 accidents among which 135 pertinent<br />
cases<br />
4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
Ship Type<br />
Capacity <strong>of</strong> Passengers Cruise <strong>ships</strong> Ro-pax Others Total<br />
NC 13 270 212 495<br />
1. [0;100] 69 66 15 150<br />
2. [100;250] 56 151 52 259<br />
3. [250;500] 28 461 201 690<br />
4. [500;1000] 57 595 138 790<br />
5. [1000;2500] 82 440 57 579<br />
6. [2500;5000] 79 37 1 117<br />
7. [5000;10000] 1 1<br />
Total 385 2020 676 3081<br />
Cruise <strong>ships</strong> Ro-pax Others<br />
Total Capacity 474 535 1 372 871 266 999<br />
In percent 22% 65% 13%<br />
Ship Type<br />
Length Category (m) Cruise <strong>ships</strong> Ro-Pax Others Total<br />
1. [0;60] 2938 99532 124271 226741<br />
2. [60;120] 11037 567757 90375 669169<br />
3. [120;180] 36849 488097 52353 577299<br />
4. [180;240] 81763 215685 0 297448<br />
5. [240;300] 284253 1800 0 286053<br />
6. [300;360] 51335 0 0 51335<br />
7. [360;420] 6360 0 0 6360<br />
Total 474535 1372871 266999 2114405<br />
4
Accident statistics on <strong>passenger</strong> <strong>ships</strong><br />
► Statistics showed that<br />
~50% <strong>of</strong> casualties leading to<br />
ab<strong>and</strong>onment are related to fire or<br />
grounding events<br />
~50% <strong>of</strong> casualties lead to<br />
disembarkation at sea<br />
Fire at 50% <strong>of</strong> the time leads to<br />
disembarkation at sea<br />
Grounding leads (logically) to an<br />
evacuation at sea at 70% <strong>of</strong> the time<br />
Other events (collisions, steering,<br />
machinery problems) lead to<br />
disembarkation in port 70% to 90% <strong>of</strong> the<br />
time<br />
A mustering phase is not clearly stated in<br />
the database, but it is suspected in most<br />
<strong>of</strong> the cases (88%)<br />
30% <strong>of</strong> the cases mustered had proven or<br />
suspected listing conditions<br />
19% had proven or suspected smoke<br />
conditions<br />
© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
Casualty Basic Retrieval Ab<strong>and</strong>on at sea Disembark<br />
Group<br />
(by any means) at berth Total<br />
Collision 1% 10% 11%<br />
Contact 2% 11% 13%<br />
Fire / Explosion 12% 13% 25%<br />
Foundered 4% 0% 4%<br />
Hull / Machinery damage 2% 15% 17%<br />
Wrecked / Str<strong>and</strong>ed 21% 8% 30%<br />
Total 45% 55% 100%<br />
Suspicion <strong>of</strong> list MUSTER<br />
0 64%<br />
1 6%<br />
2 10%<br />
3 20%<br />
Suspicion <strong>of</strong> smoke<br />
spread MUSTER<br />
0 78%<br />
1 4%<br />
2 7%<br />
3 12%<br />
5
Accident Analysis Reports<br />
Vincenzo Florio 2004<br />
© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
Lisco Gloria 2010<br />
Explorer 2007<br />
4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
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© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
Background on evacuation <strong>and</strong> rescue <strong>of</strong> <strong>passenger</strong>s<br />
<strong>Evacuation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Rescue <strong>of</strong> <strong>passenger</strong>s: a global process
Mustering, Ab<strong>and</strong>onment <strong>and</strong> Rescue route<br />
Assembly to muster stations<br />
© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
At sea<br />
Transfer to embarkation station<br />
Clearing <strong>of</strong>f the vessel<br />
Embarkation in LSAs / launching <strong>of</strong> LSAs<br />
Waiting for rescue<br />
4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
Onboard<br />
vessel<br />
Rescue<br />
8
Assembly to MS <strong>and</strong> transfer to embarkation station<br />
► Procedure<br />
Crew search<br />
<strong>passenger</strong><br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone 11<br />
Zone 11<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone 12<br />
Zone 12<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone<br />
Zone<br />
13<br />
13<br />
Crew count <strong>and</strong><br />
report to control<br />
station<br />
Sweeping phase<br />
Group movement to assembly stations<br />
1st 1 Assembly<br />
point n°1<br />
st Assembly<br />
point n°1<br />
© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone 1i<br />
Zone 1i<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone 21<br />
Zone 21<br />
Crew count <strong>and</strong><br />
report to control<br />
station<br />
Assembly<br />
Station<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone 2i<br />
Zone 2i<br />
1st 1 Assembly<br />
point n°2<br />
st Assembly<br />
point n°2<br />
1st 1 Assembly<br />
point n°j<br />
st Assembly<br />
point n°j<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone 22<br />
Zone 22<br />
Crew guide<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone<br />
Zone<br />
41<br />
41<br />
1st 1 Assembly<br />
point n°4<br />
st Assembly<br />
point n°4<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone<br />
Zone<br />
43<br />
43<br />
1st 1 Assembly<br />
point n°3<br />
st Assembly<br />
point n°3<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone<br />
Zone<br />
31<br />
31<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone<br />
Zone<br />
44<br />
44<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone<br />
Zone<br />
42<br />
42<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone<br />
Zone<br />
i<br />
i<br />
Sweeping<br />
Sweeping<br />
Zone 32<br />
Zone 32<br />
LSA 1<br />
LSA 2<br />
LSA 3<br />
4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
Crew count <strong>and</strong><br />
report to control<br />
station<br />
Embarkation<br />
area n°1<br />
G11<br />
G12<br />
G21<br />
G22<br />
Crew gather<br />
<strong>passenger</strong> in<br />
LSA groups<br />
G13<br />
G14<br />
G23<br />
G24<br />
G15<br />
G16<br />
G25<br />
G26<br />
Crew guide<br />
Embarkation<br />
area n°3<br />
Embarkation<br />
area n°2<br />
LSA 12<br />
LSA 11<br />
LSA 13<br />
Regrouping into LSA groups<br />
Group transfer to LSAs<br />
In parallel: preparation <strong>of</strong><br />
LSAs<br />
+ various life-vest retrieving<br />
procedures (at MS, on way to<br />
LSA, go back in cabins)<br />
9
Different life-vest retrieving procedures<br />
Public<br />
spaces<br />
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Procedure B<br />
Cabins<br />
Public<br />
spaces<br />
Assembly<br />
Station<br />
Procedure A<br />
LSA 12<br />
Assembly<br />
Station<br />
4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
Assembly<br />
Station<br />
Procedure C<br />
Cabins<br />
Public spaces<br />
10
Embarkation in LSAs / launching <strong>of</strong> LSAs<br />
► Procedure<br />
Launching <strong>of</strong> LSA before or after<br />
embarkation depending on LSA type<br />
Davit launched Lifeboats:<br />
• Embarkation<br />
• Lowering<br />
Marine <strong>Evacuation</strong> Systems (MES)<br />
• Chutes & rafts deployment<br />
• Going down chutes<br />
• Transfer from platform to rafts<br />
Release LSAs<br />
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4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
Max = 1 m<br />
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Clearing <strong>of</strong>f the vessel <strong>and</strong> waiting for rescue<br />
► Procedure<br />
For rafts: attach towing line to lifeboats<br />
<strong>and</strong>/or rescue boats<br />
Sail away from ab<strong>and</strong>oned vessel<br />
Wait for rescue<br />
© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
RNLI relief Severn class all-weather<br />
lifeboat towing the large 100-man liferaft in<br />
Portl<strong>and</strong> Harbour. Photo credit RNLI<br />
FASSMER partially-enclosed Lifeboat<br />
(FP6/SAFECRAFTS)<br />
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Rescue<br />
► Procedure<br />
No st<strong>and</strong>ardized procedure; depends on<br />
SAR appliances availability (so on<br />
location <strong>of</strong> evacuation zone)<br />
MRCC boats<br />
Helicopters<br />
Passing (re-routed) <strong>ships</strong><br />
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© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
Background on evacuation <strong>and</strong> rescue <strong>of</strong> <strong>passenger</strong>s<br />
Regulatory framework: equipment <strong>and</strong> procedures
Regulations / Life Saving Appliances<br />
► LSA:<br />
SOLAS Ch III<br />
Life-Saving Appliances code<br />
► Alternative design & arrangement for LSAs:<br />
SOLAS Ch III Reg.38<br />
MSC.1/Circ.1212<br />
© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
A.689(17)<br />
MSC.81(70)<br />
A.520(13)<br />
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Regulations / Mustering & Ab<strong>and</strong>onment<br />
► Design:<br />
Means <strong>of</strong> escape SOLAS Ch II-2 Reg. 13:<br />
• 2 widely separated means <strong>of</strong> escape, door opened in the way <strong>of</strong> escape, direct access to stairway<br />
enclosure, lightings, locking systems <strong>of</strong> doors…<br />
• FSS Chap 13: design <strong>of</strong> h<strong>and</strong>rails, width <strong>of</strong> escapes, l<strong>and</strong>ings, assembly stations…<br />
• ROPAX: Clear escapes, fixed furniture, max +/- 2 decks to climb, cabin safety instructions, load<br />
bearing h<strong>and</strong>rails, evacuation analysis (MSC Circ. 1238 Guidelines for evacuation analysis)<br />
► Procedures:<br />
Procedure, drills <strong>and</strong> exercises (ISM Code Sec. 7&8, IMO Resolution A.852(20), Circ. 1238)<br />
Passengers identified (number, gender, age, disabilities, …) SOLAS Ch.III Reg.27<br />
Safety instructions to <strong>passenger</strong>s<br />
• Muster List (SOLAS Chapter III Reg. 37)<br />
• Muster for instructions must take place within 24h after embarkation (SOLAS Chapter III Reg. 8.2<br />
<strong>and</strong> 8.4)<br />
• Drills weekly (SOLAS Chapter III Reg. 19)<br />
• Announcements (IMO A.691(17), Circ. 699<br />
Officers<br />
• Emergency procedures (STCW Code Section AII, MERSAR)<br />
• Crisis management (STCW Code Section AV)<br />
Decision Support System (SOLAS Ch.III Reg. 29)<br />
Launching within 30 min from ab<strong>and</strong>on ship signal (SOLAS Chapter III Reg. 21.1.3)<br />
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Regulations / Rescue<br />
► Design:<br />
No specific requirement<br />
► Procedures:<br />
Information on <strong>passenger</strong>s to be readily available to SAR services in case <strong>of</strong> undesirable<br />
event (SOLAS Ch.III Reg.27)<br />
Procedures for alerting SAR Authorities (MSC/Circ.892)<br />
Crew should send daily report to their company (MSC/Circ.1043)<br />
Helicopter onboard facilities <strong>and</strong> l<strong>and</strong>ing areas (IMO Res. A.855(20), MSC/Circ.895)<br />
Co-operation plans between SAR <strong>and</strong> Passengers <strong>ships</strong> (IMO MSC/Circ.1079<br />
COMSAR/Circ.31, IAMSAR Manual)<br />
Recommendations to coastal states to provide SAR services (UNCLOS)<br />
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Regulations / Safe Return to Port<br />
► Safe Return To Port<br />
SOLAS Chap II-2 Reg 21 - Casualty threshold, safe return to port <strong>and</strong> safe areas<br />
SOLAS Chap II-1 Reg 8-1 System capabilities after a flooding casualty on <strong>passenger</strong> <strong>ships</strong><br />
MSC.1/Circ.1214 – Performance st<strong>and</strong>ards for the systems <strong>and</strong> services to remain operational on <strong>passenger</strong><br />
<strong>ships</strong> for safe return to port <strong>and</strong> orderly evacuation <strong>and</strong> ab<strong>and</strong>onment after a casualty<br />
Fire or flooding but casualty<br />
threshold not exceeded<br />
Pax directed to<br />
safe areas<br />
Ship able to return to port:<br />
.1 the safe area(s)<br />
.2 providing all occupants with the basic<br />
services to ensure that the health <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>passenger</strong>s <strong>and</strong> crew is maintained:<br />
.3 ventilation design shall reduce the risk<br />
that smoke <strong>and</strong> hot gases could<br />
affect the use <strong>of</strong> the safe area(s); <strong>and</strong><br />
.4 means <strong>of</strong> access to life-saving<br />
appliances shall be provided from<br />
each area identified or used as a safe<br />
area, taking into account that a main<br />
vertical zone may not be available for<br />
internal transit.<br />
© - Copyright Bureau Veritas<br />
Casualty but casualty<br />
threshold exceeded<br />
Pax directed to<br />
Assembly Stations<br />
Pax directed to<br />
LSA<br />
Ship able to be evacuated <strong>and</strong> ab<strong>and</strong>oned orderly.<br />
Emergency systems capable <strong>of</strong> operation > 3h in<br />
the remaining zones:<br />
.1 fire main;<br />
Decision to start<br />
ab<strong>and</strong>onment<br />
.2 internal communications (in support <strong>of</strong> fire-fighting<br />
<strong>and</strong> evacuation);<br />
.3 means <strong>of</strong> external communications;<br />
.4 bilge systems for removal <strong>of</strong> fire-fighting water;<br />
.5 lighting along escape routes, at assembly stations <strong>and</strong><br />
at embarkation stations <strong>of</strong> life-saving appliances; <strong>and</strong><br />
.6 guidance systems for evacuation shall be available.<br />
4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
Ab<strong>and</strong>onment<br />
LSA separated<br />
18
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Challenges <strong>and</strong> Bureau Veritas R&D activities<br />
Risk analysis <strong>of</strong> the MAR process
Risks associated with the MAR process<br />
► From start <strong>of</strong> mustering process until <strong>passenger</strong>s are embarking LSAs:<br />
The critical issue is a time issue: people should evacuate before being harmed by fire<br />
heat <strong>and</strong> emissions or before the ship founders/capsizes.<br />
Performance st<strong>and</strong>ard = comparison <strong>of</strong> fire progression / ship stability degradation with<br />
the time required to embark all people from the start <strong>of</strong> the mustering (e.g. Required<br />
Safe Egress Time vs Available Safe Egress Time).<br />
► From embarkation in LSA until rescue:<br />
A series <strong>of</strong> hazards can be identified, that will progressively degrade the health status <strong>of</strong><br />
people along the rescue route.<br />
The duration <strong>of</strong> the process is less important, but still remains to be considered for the<br />
time <strong>of</strong> exposure to adverse climate/motion conditions.<br />
Performance st<strong>and</strong>ard = human health status<br />
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Risk Analysis / Mustering process <strong>and</strong> embarkation<br />
► Fire <strong>and</strong> <strong>Evacuation</strong> simulations (FP6/MarNIS, FP7/SAFEGUARD):<br />
► Enrichment <strong>of</strong> current Circ.1238 scenarii for evacuation simulations<br />
(FP7/SAFEGUARD) :<br />
Congestion criterion, degraded cases in accordance with SRTP concept<br />
Life vest retrieval, group movement, disembarkation at berth, people demographics,<br />
simulation <strong>of</strong> assembly + embarkation in LSAs<br />
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Risk Analysis / Mustering process <strong>and</strong> embarkation<br />
► Identification <strong>of</strong> prioritised functions for an emergency response system to<br />
improve the mustering <strong>and</strong> embarkation process (FP6/MarNIS):<br />
Priority Function<br />
1<br />
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Gathering assembly<br />
station<br />
Objectives<br />
o Count <strong>and</strong> give name <strong>of</strong> <strong>passenger</strong>s entering the Assembly Station.<br />
2 Embarking LSA o Count <strong>and</strong> give name <strong>of</strong> <strong>passenger</strong>s entering the LSA<br />
3<br />
Find people requiring<br />
care<br />
4 Ship sweeping phase<br />
5<br />
Travel from sweeping<br />
zone assembly point to<br />
AS<br />
6 Travel from AS to EA<br />
7<br />
Normal safety groups<br />
gathering<br />
o Give name <strong>and</strong> location <strong>of</strong> people permanently identified as<br />
requiring specific care, as soon as danger is identified.<br />
o Detect presence <strong>of</strong> people in sweeping zones<br />
o Provide detected persons locations (optional)<br />
o Analyse detected persons behaviour to detect abnormal behaviour<br />
(optional)<br />
o Provide pax <strong>and</strong> crew location <strong>and</strong> name<br />
o Analyse individual pax <strong>and</strong> crew behaviour<br />
o Provide pax <strong>and</strong> crew location <strong>and</strong> name<br />
o Analyse individual pax <strong>and</strong> crew behaviour<br />
o Provide position <strong>and</strong> name <strong>of</strong> safety groups’ crewmembers<br />
anywhere on the ship<br />
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Risk Analysis / Mustering process <strong>and</strong> embarkation<br />
► Time to embark<br />
mockup tests performed by FASSMER in FP6/SAFECRAFTS<br />
XXL-Series 250 persons<br />
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23
Risk Analysis / Ab<strong>and</strong>onment <strong>and</strong> Rescue<br />
► Risk based study performed in<br />
FP6/SAFECRAFTS (development <strong>of</strong> an<br />
engineering analysis method to<br />
demonstrate equivalency <strong>of</strong> Alternative<br />
Design <strong>and</strong> Arrangements <strong>of</strong> Lifesaving<br />
Appliances)<br />
► Rescue route divided in phases,<br />
elements <strong>and</strong> obstacles<br />
► Degradation <strong>of</strong> “Human Health Status”<br />
assessed while passing each obstacle<br />
Category<br />
Good Health<br />
(GH)<br />
Moderate Injury<br />
(MI)<br />
Severe Injury<br />
(SI)<br />
Deceased<br />
(D)<br />
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Description<br />
Good physical <strong>and</strong><br />
mental health<br />
Superficial scratches<br />
Moderate bleeding<br />
Fractures <strong>and</strong>/or<br />
trauma<br />
Fatal injury<br />
Related mobility<br />
Good mobility<br />
Mobility degraded<br />
Mobility requiring<br />
assistance<br />
No mobility<br />
Phases<br />
Recovery<br />
4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
1<br />
2<br />
3<br />
Elements<br />
Deployment<br />
Boarding<br />
Lowering<br />
Release<br />
Clear ship<br />
At sea<br />
Impossible<br />
Malfunction<br />
Fail to start engine<br />
Mobility failure<br />
Premature release<br />
Impact hull / structural failure<br />
Impact hull / injuries<br />
Fail to release<br />
Injuries / slamming<br />
Fail manoeuvring<br />
Capsizing<br />
Obstacles<br />
Seasickness / hypothermia<br />
Being tossed around<br />
Climbing pilot ladder<br />
24
Risk Analysis / Ab<strong>and</strong>onment <strong>and</strong> Rescue<br />
► Relative contribution <strong>of</strong> individual obstacles to the overall degradation <strong>of</strong> the<br />
Success Rate = identification <strong>of</strong> critical areas for improvements<br />
► Sea State 0-1, Ab<strong>and</strong>oned vessel in beam seas with list 0°<strong>and</strong> trim 0°<br />
► Davit launched lifeboat<br />
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Critical areas for<br />
improvements<br />
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25
Risk Analysis / Ab<strong>and</strong>onment <strong>and</strong> Rescue<br />
► Relative contribution <strong>of</strong> individual obstacles to the overall degradation <strong>of</strong> the<br />
Success Rate = identification <strong>of</strong> critical areas for improvements<br />
► Sea State 6, Ab<strong>and</strong>oned vessel in beam seas with list 20°<strong>and</strong> trim 10°<br />
► Davit launched lifeboat<br />
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4th Internal SAR workshop, Brest, 10h-12th May 2011<br />
Critical areas for<br />
improvements<br />
26
Risk Analysis / Ab<strong>and</strong>onment <strong>and</strong> Rescue<br />
► Project FP7/FLOODSTAND:<br />
Assessment <strong>of</strong> the risk level <strong>of</strong> the whole MAR process <strong>and</strong> comparison with the<br />
assessment <strong>of</strong> the risk associated with remaining onboard in case <strong>of</strong> flooding event<br />
Improvement <strong>of</strong> the rescue phase risk assessment: rescue phase duration simulation;<br />
example: Rescue <strong>of</strong> 1000 people in the Cap Gris-Nez region<br />
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Risk Analysis / Ab<strong>and</strong>onment <strong>and</strong> Rescue<br />
Number <strong>of</strong> people<br />
1200<br />
1000<br />
800<br />
600<br />
400<br />
200<br />
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People at sea People in transportation People arrived onshore<br />
0<br />
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900<br />
Time (min)<br />
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All people<br />
recovered<br />
from<br />
LSAs<br />
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Conclusions
Conclusions<br />
► MAR process risk analysis<br />
Difficult exercise because <strong>of</strong> many components, phenomena, including Human Element<br />
This can be an issue for risk based approval <strong>of</strong> LSA Alternative Design studies<br />
Risk analysis shows that areas <strong>of</strong> improvement concern situations when LSAs are close<br />
to the ab<strong>and</strong>oned or rescue <strong>ships</strong>:<br />
• LSA maneuvering/powering capabilities in adverse weather condition<br />
• LSA lowering <strong>and</strong> release<br />
• Transfer <strong>of</strong> people from LSA to rescuing ship (no st<strong>and</strong>ard for rescue equipment<br />
onboard all <strong>ships</strong>)<br />
► Needs for future <strong>research</strong> activities:<br />
Better consideration for procedures in evacuation models<br />
Human behaviour in emergency situations ?<br />
Decision Support Systems<br />
Prediction <strong>of</strong> damaged (flooded) <strong>passenger</strong> vessels time-to-survive in sailing condition<br />
(Safe Return To Port)<br />
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