20.04.2013 Views

Revenues - Deutsche Bahn AG

Revenues - Deutsche Bahn AG

Revenues - Deutsche Bahn AG

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

June 2004: Frankfurt Amsterdam Paris Madrid Milan Zurich London Edinburgh


<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group:<br />

2003 Highlights and Strategy<br />

Diethelm Sack<br />

Chief Financial Officer


DB Group<br />

Group portfolio overview<br />

DB Group<br />

DB <strong>AG</strong> acts as<br />

management holding<br />

Vertically integrated<br />

Group structure<br />

Rating: Aa1 / AA<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

(€ mn)<br />

Op. Income aft.<br />

Interest (€ mn)<br />

EBITDA (€ mn)<br />

Gross Capex<br />

(€ mn)<br />

Total Assets<br />

(€ mn)<br />

Employees<br />

(Dec 31, 2003)<br />

28,228<br />

-172<br />

3,092<br />

9,121<br />

47,647<br />

242,759<br />

Passenger Transport Transport & Logistics<br />

# 1 in European rail<br />

passenger transport<br />

# 1 in European<br />

public urban transp.<br />

# 1 in German bus<br />

transport<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

(€ mn)<br />

Op. Income aft.<br />

Interest (€ mn)<br />

EBITDA (€ mn)<br />

Gross Capex<br />

(€ mn)<br />

ICE-Fleet ICE fleet<br />

Locomotives<br />

11,157<br />

# 1 in European rail<br />

freight transport<br />

# 1 in European land<br />

transport<br />

# 3 in sea freight<br />

# 5 in airfreight<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

(€ mn)<br />

Op. Income aft.<br />

Interest (€ mn)<br />

EBITDA (€ mn)<br />

Gross Capex<br />

(€ mn)<br />

Freight cars<br />

Locomotives<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

-34<br />

997<br />

1,304<br />

215<br />

2,400<br />

10,804<br />

288<br />

694<br />

537<br />

109,000<br />

3,200<br />

Infrastructure Services<br />

Largest rail track<br />

infrastructure in<br />

Europe<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

(€ mn)<br />

Op. Income aft.<br />

Interest (€ mn)<br />

EBITDA (€ mn)<br />

Gross Capex<br />

(€ mn)<br />

Length of lines<br />

operated (km)<br />

Passenger<br />

Stations<br />

522<br />

-269<br />

921<br />

6,884<br />

35,593<br />

5,665<br />

Supporting service<br />

functions<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

(€ mn)<br />

Op. Income aft.<br />

Interest (€ mn)<br />

EBITDA (€ mn)<br />

Gross Capex<br />

(€ mn)<br />

259<br />

119<br />

384<br />

245<br />

Data as of Financial Year 2003<br />

3


DB Group<br />

2003 highlights<br />

Operational Improvements vs. 2002<br />

Productivity: +3.5%<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong> (comparable): +2.0%<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong>: +51.1%<br />

EBITDA before special burden<br />

compensation: € +1,071 mn<br />

Operating income<br />

after interest: € +282 mn<br />

Successful integration of Stinnes<br />

Continued high-level capital<br />

expenditure activities<br />

Roll-out of traveler information<br />

system started<br />

Launch of RhineNeckar S-<strong>Bahn</strong> (metro)<br />

and Rodgau S-<strong>Bahn</strong> (metro)<br />

First -<br />

rate<br />

railway<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Market and Competition<br />

Passenger transport<br />

Market share gains in shrinking market<br />

Transport performance below previous year (-0.4%)<br />

Logistics (Schenker):<br />

further growth<br />

Rail freight • Wachstumschancen transport (Railion) durch<br />

Slight market<br />

Geschäftsausweitung<br />

share gains<br />

Focus on<br />

Transport<br />

insbesondere<br />

performance<br />

im<br />

increase<br />

Personen-<br />

(+2.4%)<br />

value<br />

generation<br />

verkehr sowie Logistik<br />

Further portfolio consolidation<br />

(sale of Brenntag, Stinnes-Interfer)<br />

Refocusing of real estate activities (sale<br />

of major real estate portfolio to Aurelis)<br />

Reorganization of Group Passenger Transport<br />

division and new Group divisions Transport and<br />

Logistics and Services<br />

Major Events Group Portfolio<br />

4


DB Group<br />

Progress since start of German Rail Reform<br />

EBITDA before compensation payments<br />

(€ million)<br />

2003 vs. 2002: € +1.1 bn<br />

since 1994: € +5.1 bn<br />

Gross capital expenditures (€ million)<br />

35<br />

427<br />

1,264<br />

1,433<br />

- 445<br />

- 910<br />

-1,520<br />

-2,014<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

2003 vs. 2002: -8.7%<br />

7,128<br />

7,329<br />

7,771<br />

7,136<br />

7,660<br />

8,372<br />

6,892<br />

7,110<br />

2,021<br />

9,994<br />

3,092<br />

9,121<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Productivity - rail (thousand ptkm per employee)<br />

2003 vs. 2002: +3.5%<br />

since 1993: +163%<br />

328<br />

413 468 533 603 656 699<br />

Transport<br />

and Logistics<br />

4%<br />

Passenger<br />

Transport<br />

19%<br />

Passenger<br />

Stations<br />

5%<br />

Other<br />

9%<br />

798<br />

840 833 862<br />

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

Capital expenditure structure 1994 - 2003 (%)<br />

since 1994:<br />

approx. € 79 bn<br />

Track<br />

Infrastructure<br />

63%<br />

5


DB Group<br />

Strategic goals and value management<br />

Strategic Goals<br />

„DB Campaign“<br />

Restructuring<br />

Performance<br />

Growth<br />

+<br />

Intensive capex and modernization<br />

programs in FY 2001-03<br />

Completion of German Rail Reform<br />

in FY 2004<br />

Readiness for IPO<br />

Operating loss due to<br />

modernization program in<br />

FY 2001-03<br />

Return to positive figures in FY<br />

2004<br />

Operating income after interest:<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Profitability Value Management<br />

232 247 327<br />

273<br />

171<br />

-87<br />

199<br />

-204<br />

-454<br />

-172<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005ff<br />

Value management system (ROCE)<br />

and target ratios implemented in FY<br />

1999<br />

Low ROCE in FYs 2001-03<br />

Mid-term goal: 10%<br />

1.6% 1.5%<br />

0.4% 0.1%<br />

WACC (9%)<br />

Target rate (10%)<br />

10%<br />

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Midterm<br />

6


DB Group<br />

Internationalization strategy driven by business characteristics<br />

Current position of Group divisions (GD)<br />

Global / international<br />

business<br />

GD Transport and Logistics<br />

Schenker<br />

Freight Logistics<br />

Intermodal<br />

Railion<br />

Mainly domestic business GD Passenger Transport<br />

Long-Distance<br />

Regional<br />

Urban<br />

Domestic business GD Passenger Stations<br />

GD Track Infrastructure<br />

GD Services<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Further potential for internationalization<br />

Focus: further strengthening of network and<br />

logistics competence<br />

Selective additions in core business<br />

segments (mainly acquisitions)<br />

JV Railion as open platform for additional<br />

partners; further supplements through<br />

international cooperations<br />

Focus: business optimization + defending<br />

our dominant domestic market position<br />

Selective internationalization in longdistance,<br />

regional and urban transport<br />

Focus: optimization of domestic business<br />

Increasing attractiveness of stations<br />

Elimination of bottlenecks and<br />

modernization of command and control<br />

technology<br />

Cost reductions in GD Services<br />

7


Group Passenger Transport Division<br />

Overview<br />

#1 in European rail passenger<br />

transport (2003 / most recent, € bn)<br />

DB Group<br />

SNCF (F)<br />

FS (I)*<br />

SBB (CH)<br />

NS Group (NL)<br />

Highlights<br />

1.6<br />

1.2<br />

2.0<br />

11.2<br />

10.9<br />

*as of FY 2000<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Air<br />

Rail<br />

Public<br />

transp.<br />

Car<br />

1%<br />

8%<br />

9%<br />

82%<br />

DB<br />

97 %<br />

=70 bn<br />

pkm<br />

Other 3%<br />

Dominant position in domestic rail passenger market - major player in Europe<br />

Full-range services with 3 business units:<br />

Market share, domestic<br />

(2003, %, pkm)<br />

long-distance transport<br />

regional transport<br />

urban transport<br />

Market share growth from 7.1% to 8.1% since 1993<br />

Defending our dominant market position in long-distance / regional transport,<br />

growth opportunities in urban transport sector<br />

Growth of transport market in<br />

Germany since 1993 (%, pkm)<br />

Air<br />

Rail (DB)<br />

Car<br />

Public<br />

transp.<br />

-6%<br />

-5%<br />

€ 11,157 million<br />

Regional +<br />

Urban<br />

73%<br />

+11%<br />

+38%<br />

Market: -4.1%<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

Long-distance<br />

27%<br />

8


Group Passenger Transport Division<br />

Long-distance transport unit<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Mainly domestic business - cross-border services through cooperations;<br />

dominant market position in Germany (intramodal >95%)<br />

Targets: organic growth + defending our market position<br />

FY 2003: net loss due to weak economy and tough competition from market<br />

entries of low-cost airlines<br />

Integration into mobility chains; special value-added services, such as lounges<br />

and CityTicket<br />

Improved services, yield management / selective price adjustments<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

€ 2,993 million<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability Value drivers<br />

New pricing system („EconomyPrices“, „<strong>Bahn</strong>Card“) + programs, e.g.<br />

“Surf&Rail“<br />

Optimization of marketing / distribution system<br />

Ongoing efficiency improvements and overhead optimization<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

ICE<br />

50%<br />

Transport performance,<br />

specific revenues<br />

Transport performance,<br />

utilization rate<br />

Cost of operations<br />

IC/EC/IR/D<br />

27%<br />

Other<br />

23%<br />

Multiple ways to access ticketing,<br />

cost of distribution systems<br />

9


Group Passenger Transport Division<br />

Regional transport unit<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Mainly domestic business - #1 in Europe (revenues, pkm)<br />

Dominant position in domestic market (intramodal >90%)<br />

Target: maintain intra- / intermodal market position<br />

Protecting market position by long-term ordered-services agreements (federal<br />

states with “Public interest obligations”) and superior quality of services<br />

Stable revenue base through ordered-service agreements<br />

Further fleet modernization<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

Optimization of service offerings and yield management<br />

Modernization and standardization of fleet<br />

Gaining of new long-term ordered-services agreements<br />

Ongoing efficiency improvements + further overhead optimization<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

€ 6,427 million<br />

Orderedservice<br />

agreements<br />

66%<br />

Value drivers<br />

Passenger fares<br />

34%<br />

Passenger fare level, transport<br />

performance, utilization rate<br />

Cost of operations<br />

Reliability of capex decisions,<br />

optimization of production<br />

Cost of operations,<br />

personnel expenses<br />

10


Group Passenger Transport Division<br />

Urban transport unit<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Mainly domestic business - Business unit established in Jan 2004 (bus<br />

companies + Berlin/Hamburg metro systems)<br />

# 1 position in regional bus and metro transport; market share of approx. 12%<br />

in highly fragmented (bus) market<br />

Target: gaining further market share during market consolidation phase<br />

Service offerings complementary to long-distance / regional transport services<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

Further organic growth<br />

Optimization of local services (independent / with other local companies)<br />

Acquisitions to strengthen business portfolio<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure (%)<br />

€ 1,737 million<br />

Orderedservice<br />

agreements<br />

17%<br />

Bus<br />

62%<br />

Value drivers<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong>, utilization rate<br />

Cost of operations<br />

Passenger<br />

fares metro<br />

21%<br />

11


Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />

Overview<br />

#1 in European land<br />

transport<br />

Schenker<br />

DHL<br />

Geodis<br />

DSV/DFDS<br />

Dachser<br />

Highlights<br />

1.1%<br />

1.0%<br />

1.0%<br />

2.3%<br />

2.1%<br />

(revenues,<br />

%, 2003)<br />

#1 in European rail<br />

freight transport<br />

Railion<br />

SNCF (F)<br />

PKP (PL)<br />

FS (I)<br />

ÖBB (A)<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

17<br />

23<br />

46<br />

50<br />

80<br />

(2002 / 2001,<br />

tkm bn)<br />

Integrated provider of transport and logistics services with global network<br />

Market-focused organizational structure with 4 business units:<br />

Schenker<br />

Freight Logistics<br />

Intermodal<br />

Railion<br />

Process optimization / further development of product portfolio / systematic<br />

expansion of networks / further strengthening of logistics operations<br />

#3 in global sea transport #5 in global air freight<br />

K&N<br />

DPWN<br />

Schenker<br />

Panalpina<br />

Exel<br />

1.9%<br />

2.7%<br />

2.6%<br />

3.7%<br />

4.7%<br />

(TEU,<br />

%, 2003)<br />

€ 10.8 bn<br />

Schenker<br />

63%<br />

DPWN<br />

Panalpina<br />

Exel<br />

K&N<br />

Schenker<br />

2.9%<br />

2.5%<br />

3.9%<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

Railion<br />

28%<br />

5.4%<br />

Freight<br />

Logistics<br />

8%<br />

6.6%<br />

(freight volume,<br />

%, 2002)<br />

Intermodal +<br />

Other<br />

1%<br />

12


Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />

Business units<br />

bulk goods<br />

Freight Logistics unit Schenker unit<br />

Intermodal unit Railion unit<br />

NCS 2)<br />

1) net of capital goods<br />

2) existing investment<br />

Coal and steel<br />

Construction<br />

materials<br />

Chemicals / BTT<br />

Commodities 1)<br />

Retail business<br />

packaged goods<br />

Land Operations/<br />

Logistics<br />

Air & Sea /<br />

Logistics<br />

Railog 2)<br />

Schenker Automotive<br />

RailNet GmbH<br />

ATG 2)<br />

STINNES <strong>AG</strong><br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Sales<br />

combined rail/road<br />

transport operator<br />

Combined rail/road<br />

transport<br />

Sales Railion<br />

Rail freight transport<br />

Railion Deutschland<br />

Railion Nederland<br />

Railion Danmark<br />

13


Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />

Schenker unit<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Global business<br />

Market leader in European land transport, strong position in global air and<br />

sea freight<br />

In addition warehousing, value added services and special-purpose logistics,<br />

industrial fair and Olympic Games logistics<br />

Targets: maintain and strengthen market position / continued enhancement of<br />

product and network quality as well as extension of logistics competence<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

€ 6,856 million<br />

Air + Sea<br />

Freight<br />

national<br />

9%<br />

Air + Sea<br />

Freight<br />

international<br />

33%<br />

Value drivers<br />

Further organic growth <strong>Revenues</strong>, transport volume<br />

Land<br />

Transport<br />

international<br />

45%<br />

Land Transport<br />

national<br />

13%<br />

Network extension and acquisitions in key markets Market share, economies of scale<br />

Restructuring of processes and IT systems Productivity, cost structure<br />

14


Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />

Railion unit<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Growing European business; international<br />

expansion based on domestic strength<br />

#1 in European rail freight transport<br />

Railion as an open platform; cooperations<br />

with other railways<br />

Refocused on carrier function<br />

Participation in market growth/ongoing<br />

liberalization in Europe<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

Growth of transport market in<br />

Germany since 1993 (%, tkm)<br />

Trucking<br />

Rail (DB)<br />

Ship<br />

Railion<br />

(total)<br />

+24%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

+1%<br />

+15%<br />

Restructuring / optimization of production processes, in particular restructuring<br />

of single freight car business (e.g. Project PRP)<br />

Improved cooperation among Railion subsidiaries in different countries<br />

Continuation of cost cutting measures (operative and overheads)<br />

+83%<br />

Market:<br />

+54.7%<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

€ 2,987 million<br />

Railion<br />

Nederland<br />

5%<br />

Railion<br />

Danmark<br />

2%<br />

Value driver<br />

Productivity, cost structure,<br />

utilization rate<br />

Traffic points served,<br />

cost structure, productivity<br />

Product campaign in unit train transport and in single freight car business Production processes<br />

Railion<br />

Deutschland<br />

93%<br />

15


Group Track Infrastructure Division<br />

Overview<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Domestic business<br />

Non-discriminatory access since 1994<br />

Europe-wide synchronized timetables;<br />

mutual activities of European railways to<br />

improve interoperability<br />

Modernization/optimization of infrastructure<br />

Capex focus on existing network/<br />

command and control technology<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

Network size<br />

(2002, thousand km)<br />

Efficiency improvements incl. headcount adjustments resulting from<br />

modernization programs<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure incl.<br />

intra-Group revenues 2003 (%)<br />

€ 3,774 million<br />

Regional +<br />

Urban<br />

57%<br />

Railion<br />

17%<br />

Other<br />

1%<br />

Third-party<br />

railways<br />

7%<br />

Long-distance<br />

18%<br />

Cost structure, in particular,<br />

personnel expenses<br />

Optimization of track infrastructure for future transport needs Maintenance expenses<br />

Continuation of cost-cutting efforts (operating and overhead costs)<br />

Value drivers<br />

Implementation of GSM-R (Global Standard of Mobile Communication, Rail) Cost of operations<br />

DB<br />

SNCF /<br />

RFF (F)<br />

FS (I)<br />

RENFE (E)<br />

CD (CZ)<br />

9.5<br />

12.3<br />

16.0<br />

29.4<br />

35.8<br />

16


Group Passenger Stations Division<br />

Overview<br />

Key characteristics<br />

Domestic business<br />

Open non-discriminatory access for non-Group railroads since 1994<br />

Target: increasing attractiveness and profitability of passenger stations<br />

Capex / Modernization initiative in cooperation with federal government and<br />

federal states<br />

Immediate action program: cleanliness, safety and customer satisfaction<br />

Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />

Increasing rental income from existing portfolio and additional income from<br />

completion of newly-built / modernized stations<br />

Overall efficiency programs / optimized energy management<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure incl.<br />

intra-Group revenues 2003 (%)<br />

€ 852 million<br />

Long-distance<br />

11%<br />

Rental<br />

30%<br />

Value drivers<br />

Other<br />

2%<br />

Rental income,<br />

reduction of vacancies<br />

Portfolio-management for optimization of concourse buildings Maintenance expenses<br />

Regional +<br />

Urban<br />

52%<br />

Third-party<br />

5%<br />

17


Outlook<br />

DB Group - on track for IPO<br />

German Rail Reform 1 st stage:<br />

incorporation of DB <strong>AG</strong><br />

1994 1999<br />

Establishing entrepreneurial<br />

structures, roll-out<br />

Achievements:<br />

Sustainable participation in<br />

market growth<br />

Significant efficiency<br />

improvements (since 1994 a<br />

total of € 5.1 billion)<br />

Benefit to German taxpayers<br />

compared to structures prior to<br />

German Rail Reform > € 108<br />

billion<br />

German Rail Reform 2 nd stage:<br />

transparent structures<br />

“DB 2001 Campaign” - Restructuring,<br />

Performance, Growth<br />

Strategic direction:<br />

“DB Campaign” - restructuring,<br />

performance, growth: improved<br />

competitiveness and portfolio<br />

focus on profitable business<br />

segments<br />

Increased capital expenditures<br />

and enhanced modernization<br />

efforts<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

2004<br />

Completion of<br />

German Rail Reform<br />

2004<br />

2005/2006<br />

Readiness for IPO<br />

Leading international mobility,<br />

transport and logistics provider<br />

Generating further growth:<br />

Sound growth prospects for<br />

relevant market segments<br />

Strengthening of Stinnes´ position<br />

as a leading global transport and<br />

logistics player<br />

Positioning as a leading<br />

European player in passenger<br />

transport<br />

18


<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group:<br />

Financial Situation and Capital Markets Activities<br />

Wolfgang Reuter<br />

Group Treasurer


Financial Year 2003<br />

General remarks<br />

Economic<br />

environment<br />

Third-party<br />

infrastructure<br />

utilization<br />

Comparability<br />

to previous<br />

financial year<br />

Ongoing economic slow-down in domestic core market,<br />

Germany as well as in Euro zone<br />

Postponement of trucking toll until beginning of<br />

2005/2006<br />

Increasing third-party utilization of DB infrastructure<br />

First-time full-year inclusion of Stinnes<br />

Reporting of non core activities: Brenntag / Interfer FY 2003 under segment Other,<br />

divestiture in FY 2004<br />

Transfer of non-core real estate assets to Aurelis<br />

In 2002 expiration of federal compensation payments (last payment in 2002, € 443 mn)<br />

Segment reporting reflects current corporate structure<br />

Group Transport and Logistics division: consolidation of former Group division<br />

Freight Transport with Stinnes / Schenker<br />

Group Services division: bundling of all major service companies / business units<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

D GDP 2002 2003<br />

Germany 0.2% -0.1%<br />

Euro zone 0.9% 0.4%<br />

TOCs*<br />

Number 260 280<br />

Train-path km (mn) 50.2 70.4<br />

* train operating companies (third-party)<br />

20


Financial Year 2003<br />

Development of transport performance<br />

Growth rates, passenger transport in Germany<br />

(%)<br />

Rail (DB)<br />

Air<br />

(domestic)<br />

Car<br />

Public<br />

transport<br />

Rail passenger transport (pkm billion)<br />

69.8<br />

-3.0<br />

-0.4<br />

69.5<br />

2002 2003<br />

+0.5<br />

Total market<br />

2003 vs. 2002: -2.4%<br />

2003 vs. 2002: -0.4%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

+5.0<br />

DB market share intermodal: 8%<br />

DB market share intramodal: >95%<br />

Growth rates, freight transport in Germany (%)<br />

Rail (DB)<br />

Trucking<br />

Ship<br />

Rail freight tansport (tkm billion)<br />

78.0<br />

-9.0<br />

79.9<br />

2002 2003<br />

+2.1<br />

+2.0<br />

Total market<br />

2003 vs. 2002: +1.0%<br />

2003 vs. 2002: +2.4%<br />

DB market share intermodal: 16%<br />

DB market share intramodal:~93%<br />

21


Financial Year 2003<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong><br />

<strong>Revenues</strong> (€ million)<br />

18,685<br />

15,575 15,890<br />

2002 2003<br />

total<br />

comparable<br />

28,228<br />

total<br />

comparable<br />

Change: +51.1%<br />

Comparable: +2.0%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />

( ) previous year<br />

Passenger<br />

Transport<br />

40%<br />

(60%)<br />

Other*<br />

19%<br />

(8%)<br />

Services<br />

1%<br />

(1%)<br />

Transport<br />

and<br />

Logistics<br />

38%<br />

(29%)<br />

Passenger<br />

Stations<br />

1%<br />

(1%)<br />

Track Infrastructure<br />

1%<br />

(1%)<br />

* other activities including Benntag/Interfer and consolidation: € 5,486 million<br />

22


Financial Year 2003<br />

Gross capital expenditures<br />

Gross capital expenditures<br />

(€ million)<br />

9,994<br />

9,054*<br />

9,121<br />

2002 2003<br />

total<br />

comparable<br />

total<br />

* in 2002 non-recurring item, repurchase of<br />

telecommunication assets of Arcor (€ 940 million)<br />

Change: -8.7%<br />

Comparable: +0.7%<br />

Gross capex / revenues: 32.3%<br />

Break down (%)<br />

( ) previous year<br />

Other<br />

1%<br />

(


Financial Year 2003<br />

Operating income after interest<br />

Operating income after interest<br />

(€ million)<br />

-454<br />

-172<br />

2002 2003<br />

Change: € +282 million<br />

-34<br />

Passenger<br />

Transport<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Performance of Group divisions* (€ million)<br />

= change year on year<br />

- 259 +222 +256 +222<br />

288<br />

Transport<br />

and<br />

Logistics<br />

38<br />

Passenger<br />

Stations<br />

-307<br />

Track Infrastructure<br />

* other activities including Benntag / Interfer and consolidation: € -276 million (previous<br />

year: € -139 million)<br />

- 22<br />

119<br />

Services<br />

24


Financial Year 2003<br />

Balance sheet structure<br />

Balance sheet structure (as of Dec 31, 2003)<br />

Assets Equity and Liabilities<br />

Fixed<br />

assets<br />

(+4.0%)<br />

86.8%<br />

41.4<br />

Current<br />

assets (-0.0%) 12.9% 6.1<br />

Prepay./Acc. Inc.* (+38.3%) 0.3% 0.1<br />

Total<br />

(± 2002)<br />

(+3.5%)<br />

(±%) = relative change to previous year<br />

share<br />

100.0%<br />

€ billion<br />

47.6<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

Equity 5.1<br />

Interest-free<br />

loans<br />

Provisions<br />

Interest-bearing<br />

debt<br />

Other<br />

liabilities<br />

Acc./Def. Inc.*<br />

Total<br />

*incl. rounding differences<br />

(± 2002)<br />

(-11.1%)<br />

(-1.0%)<br />

(+3.5%)<br />

share<br />

30.8%<br />

1.8%<br />

100.0%<br />

€ billion<br />

(-2.8%) 15.8% 7.5<br />

14.7<br />

(+15.2%) 26.7% 12.7<br />

(+17.1%)<br />

(-4.7%)<br />

10.7%<br />

14.2%<br />

6.8<br />

0.8<br />

47.6<br />

25


Financial Year 2003<br />

Equity and interest-bearing debt<br />

Equity (€ million)<br />

5,708<br />

5,076<br />

2002 2003<br />

Change:<br />

Ziel-ROCE Kapitalkosten<br />

-11.1%<br />

in % of total assets 2003: 10.7%<br />

Interest-bearing debt (€ million)<br />

11,051<br />

2002 2003<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

12,731<br />

Change:<br />

Ziel-ROCE Kapitalkosten<br />

+15.2%<br />

in % of total assets 2003 : 26.7%<br />

Notes<br />

Change in equity:<br />

Decline through negative<br />

net income and offset of<br />

goodwill<br />

Interest-bearing debt:<br />

Capital market activities,<br />

fund raising € 2.1 bn<br />

Development as scheduled:<br />

Current performance in<br />

accordance with plan<br />

announced in 2001<br />

Target: Improvement of ratios in<br />

upcoming years<br />

26


Financial Year 2003<br />

Value management<br />

ROCE (%)<br />

0.1%<br />

1.5%<br />

10%<br />

2002 2003 Target<br />

Redemption coverage (%)<br />

11.0%<br />

12.6%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

30%<br />

2002 2003 Target<br />

Gearing (%)<br />

Ziel-ROCE<br />

EBIT<br />

Kapitalkosten<br />

Operating cash flow<br />

Ziel-Tilgungsdeckung<br />

Net financial debt<br />

Ziel für Gearing<br />

Capital Employed<br />

Net financial debt incl. leasing Book value equity<br />

257%<br />

320%<br />

100%<br />

2002 2003 Target<br />

27


Development Since Start of German Rail Reform<br />

Productivity<br />

Productivity - rail (thousand ptkm / employee)<br />

328<br />

127<br />

388<br />

413<br />

135<br />

327<br />

299<br />

603<br />

261<br />

533 239<br />

468<br />

140<br />

139<br />

144<br />

145<br />

656<br />

221<br />

+ 163%<br />

699<br />

144<br />

206<br />

798<br />

155<br />

194<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

840 833<br />

862<br />

184 177 173<br />

155 148 149<br />

1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

ptkm (billion) Employees - rail (thousand, annual average) Productivity<br />

Notes<br />

163% productivity<br />

increase since<br />

beginning of German<br />

Rail Reform<br />

Transport<br />

performance:<br />

pkm: +11%<br />

tkm: +24%<br />

Employees rail:<br />

-215,000 (-55%)<br />

28


Development Since Start of German Rail Reform<br />

EBITDA before compensation payments<br />

EBITDA (€ million)<br />

1,248<br />

-2,014<br />

1,401<br />

-1,520<br />

1,658<br />

-910<br />

1,920<br />

-445<br />

1,997<br />

3,262 2,921 2,568 2,365 1,962<br />

427<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

35<br />

€ +5.1 bn<br />

2,036<br />

2,492<br />

1,264<br />

2,271<br />

1,433<br />

2,464<br />

2,021<br />

3,092<br />

1,609 1,228 838 443 0<br />

EBITDA before compensation payments<br />

Compensation payments<br />

EBITDA after compensation payments<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />

Notes<br />

Reduction of<br />

government<br />

compensation<br />

payments in the<br />

amount of € 3.3 bn<br />

Increase of EBITDA<br />

before compensation<br />

payments of<br />

€ 5.1 bn or<br />

approx. € 0.6 bn p.a.<br />

EBITDA margin<br />

improved from<br />

-13.6% to +11.0%<br />

Increase of EBIT of<br />

€ 3.5 bn or<br />

€ 385 million p.a.<br />

29


Financial Year 2004 / 1 st Quarter<br />

General remarks<br />

Economic<br />

environment<br />

Regulatory<br />

environment<br />

Activities<br />

Slight recovery in German home market<br />

Competitive environment in mobility, transport and<br />

logistics markets<br />

Further increase in transport performance of thirdparty<br />

TOCs on DB infrastructure expected for 2004<br />

Close focus on core business<br />

Brenntag / Stinnes-Interfer: sale to Bain Capital (Jan 1, 2004)<br />

MITROPA <strong>AG</strong>: sale to Compass Group (April 1, 2004)<br />

Service and Quality as main focus in FY 2004, in particular increasing punctuality<br />

Efficient capital allocation through refocusing capital expenditures<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

D GDP Q1 04*<br />

Germany 0.4%<br />

* vs. previous year<br />

TOCs**<br />

Train-path km (mn) 21<br />

** train operating companies (third-party)<br />

Decline of federal infrastructure funding in the amount of € 0.6 billion in FY 2004<br />

and further decline until 2008<br />

Premature repayment of interest-free loans of approx. € 2 billion (nominal value) planned<br />

30


Financial Year 2004 / 1 st Quarter<br />

Key data<br />

Transport performance (ptkm bn)<br />

35.6<br />

19.2<br />

16.4<br />

21.0<br />

16.6<br />

1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />

Gross capital expenditures (€ million)<br />

1,327<br />

37.6<br />

1,280<br />

1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />

Passenger transport: +1.2%<br />

Rail freight transport: +9.4%<br />

Rail freight transport<br />

Passenger transport<br />

Change: -3.5%<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

<strong>Revenues</strong> (€ million)<br />

6,919<br />

5,513<br />

Operating income after interest (€ million)<br />

-120<br />

5,727<br />

1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />

-82<br />

1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />

Change: -17.2%<br />

Comparable: +3.9%<br />

total<br />

comparable<br />

Change: € +38 million<br />

31


Future Capex and Financing<br />

Financing requirements<br />

Financing requirements and cash flow 2004 - 08 (€ bn)<br />

1.3<br />

1.1<br />

0.2<br />

-1.1<br />

1.0<br />

1.6<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

0.7<br />

1.9<br />

1.5<br />

2004 P 2005 P 2006 P 2007 P 2008 P<br />

1.2<br />

Redemption of interest-free federal loans<br />

(present value)<br />

Financing requirements<br />

Expiring debt instruments<br />

Cash flow after capex<br />

* Cash flow after capex = income before taxes + depreciation + change in pension provisions - capex funded by DB<br />

Notes<br />

Capital markets<br />

activities<br />

2004<br />

supplement to<br />

self-financing and<br />

redemption of interestfree<br />

federal loans<br />

2006 - 2008<br />

partial refinancing of<br />

bonds, depending on<br />

dividend and earnings<br />

retention policy<br />

DB will continue to tap<br />

the capital markets<br />

32


Financing 2004 - 08<br />

Rating and refinancing structure<br />

Current rating<br />

Excellent rating:<br />

Moody´s: Aa1 / stable<br />

S&P: AA / stable<br />

Interest bearing debt<br />

(as of 31 Dec, 2003)<br />

€ 12.7 bn<br />

Bonds MTN<br />

40%<br />

Other<br />

16%<br />

Other bonds<br />

29%<br />

EUROFIMA<br />

15%<br />

Major refinancing activities in 2003 / 2004<br />

Duplication of debt issuance and CP program to € 10 bn and € 2 bn, respectively<br />

Issue 2003: 12 year bond: initial offering € 500 mn / € 200 mn increase<br />

Issue 2003: 15 year bond: initial offering € 500 mn / € 200 mn increase<br />

€ 400 m EIB loan to DB Netz <strong>AG</strong><br />

Issue 2004: 7 year bond: $ 250 mn and 10 year bond: ¥ 5 bn<br />

Maturity profile bonds / EUROFIMA (€ billion)<br />

as of Dec 31, 2003<br />

in 2004<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

< 0.1<br />

0.7<br />

1.6<br />

1.2<br />

2.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.3<br />

as of Dec 31, 2003 bonds<br />

and EUROFIMA with<br />

together € 10.6 bn represent<br />

83.5 % of total interestbearing<br />

debt<br />

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018<br />

1.1<br />

0.8<br />

0.5<br />

0.7<br />

1.0<br />

Currency structure of<br />

MTN program (%)<br />

€ 5.3 bn<br />

as of May 31, 2004<br />

Other<br />

4%<br />

JPY<br />

2%<br />

EUR<br />

59%<br />

USD<br />

15%<br />

CHF<br />

20%<br />

33


DB Group<br />

Focus on preserving our rating<br />

Very good<br />

rating<br />

Obligations of<br />

federal and<br />

state<br />

governments<br />

No. 1 mobility<br />

service<br />

provider<br />

Operating<br />

performance<br />

Rating: Moody´s (Aa1) / S&P (AA)<br />

Intention to maintain strong business and financial profile<br />

Obligations of the federal Republic of Germany as defined under Art. 87e of the Basic Law<br />

„Infrastructure obligations“: Funding of infrastructure capex, approx. € 3 bn p.a.<br />

„Public interest obligations“: supply of funds to federal states for ordering local<br />

passenger transport services, approx. € 6.7 bn p.a.<br />

Privatization hurdle of 49.9% shares (majority shareholding)<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> is the principal provider of mobility in Germany and the largest transport<br />

and logistics company in Europe with extensive global transport activities<br />

Stable cash flows due to long-term service contracts with federal states (revenue share in<br />

2003: 16%)<br />

Vertical integration a major business success factor<br />

Productivity increased by 163%, EBITDA before special burden compensation<br />

payments increased by € 5.1 bn and EBIT increased by € 3.5 bn since beginning of<br />

German Rail Reform<br />

Sound financing structure and conservative funding strategy<br />

<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />

34

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!