Revenues - Deutsche Bahn AG
Revenues - Deutsche Bahn AG
Revenues - Deutsche Bahn AG
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June 2004: Frankfurt Amsterdam Paris Madrid Milan Zurich London Edinburgh
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group:<br />
2003 Highlights and Strategy<br />
Diethelm Sack<br />
Chief Financial Officer
DB Group<br />
Group portfolio overview<br />
DB Group<br />
DB <strong>AG</strong> acts as<br />
management holding<br />
Vertically integrated<br />
Group structure<br />
Rating: Aa1 / AA<br />
<strong>Revenues</strong><br />
(€ mn)<br />
Op. Income aft.<br />
Interest (€ mn)<br />
EBITDA (€ mn)<br />
Gross Capex<br />
(€ mn)<br />
Total Assets<br />
(€ mn)<br />
Employees<br />
(Dec 31, 2003)<br />
28,228<br />
-172<br />
3,092<br />
9,121<br />
47,647<br />
242,759<br />
Passenger Transport Transport & Logistics<br />
# 1 in European rail<br />
passenger transport<br />
# 1 in European<br />
public urban transp.<br />
# 1 in German bus<br />
transport<br />
<strong>Revenues</strong><br />
(€ mn)<br />
Op. Income aft.<br />
Interest (€ mn)<br />
EBITDA (€ mn)<br />
Gross Capex<br />
(€ mn)<br />
ICE-Fleet ICE fleet<br />
Locomotives<br />
11,157<br />
# 1 in European rail<br />
freight transport<br />
# 1 in European land<br />
transport<br />
# 3 in sea freight<br />
# 5 in airfreight<br />
<strong>Revenues</strong><br />
(€ mn)<br />
Op. Income aft.<br />
Interest (€ mn)<br />
EBITDA (€ mn)<br />
Gross Capex<br />
(€ mn)<br />
Freight cars<br />
Locomotives<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
-34<br />
997<br />
1,304<br />
215<br />
2,400<br />
10,804<br />
288<br />
694<br />
537<br />
109,000<br />
3,200<br />
Infrastructure Services<br />
Largest rail track<br />
infrastructure in<br />
Europe<br />
<strong>Revenues</strong><br />
(€ mn)<br />
Op. Income aft.<br />
Interest (€ mn)<br />
EBITDA (€ mn)<br />
Gross Capex<br />
(€ mn)<br />
Length of lines<br />
operated (km)<br />
Passenger<br />
Stations<br />
522<br />
-269<br />
921<br />
6,884<br />
35,593<br />
5,665<br />
Supporting service<br />
functions<br />
<strong>Revenues</strong><br />
(€ mn)<br />
Op. Income aft.<br />
Interest (€ mn)<br />
EBITDA (€ mn)<br />
Gross Capex<br />
(€ mn)<br />
259<br />
119<br />
384<br />
245<br />
Data as of Financial Year 2003<br />
3
DB Group<br />
2003 highlights<br />
Operational Improvements vs. 2002<br />
Productivity: +3.5%<br />
<strong>Revenues</strong> (comparable): +2.0%<br />
<strong>Revenues</strong>: +51.1%<br />
EBITDA before special burden<br />
compensation: € +1,071 mn<br />
Operating income<br />
after interest: € +282 mn<br />
Successful integration of Stinnes<br />
Continued high-level capital<br />
expenditure activities<br />
Roll-out of traveler information<br />
system started<br />
Launch of RhineNeckar S-<strong>Bahn</strong> (metro)<br />
and Rodgau S-<strong>Bahn</strong> (metro)<br />
First -<br />
rate<br />
railway<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Market and Competition<br />
Passenger transport<br />
Market share gains in shrinking market<br />
Transport performance below previous year (-0.4%)<br />
Logistics (Schenker):<br />
further growth<br />
Rail freight • Wachstumschancen transport (Railion) durch<br />
Slight market<br />
Geschäftsausweitung<br />
share gains<br />
Focus on<br />
Transport<br />
insbesondere<br />
performance<br />
im<br />
increase<br />
Personen-<br />
(+2.4%)<br />
value<br />
generation<br />
verkehr sowie Logistik<br />
Further portfolio consolidation<br />
(sale of Brenntag, Stinnes-Interfer)<br />
Refocusing of real estate activities (sale<br />
of major real estate portfolio to Aurelis)<br />
Reorganization of Group Passenger Transport<br />
division and new Group divisions Transport and<br />
Logistics and Services<br />
Major Events Group Portfolio<br />
4
DB Group<br />
Progress since start of German Rail Reform<br />
EBITDA before compensation payments<br />
(€ million)<br />
2003 vs. 2002: € +1.1 bn<br />
since 1994: € +5.1 bn<br />
Gross capital expenditures (€ million)<br />
35<br />
427<br />
1,264<br />
1,433<br />
- 445<br />
- 910<br />
-1,520<br />
-2,014<br />
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />
2003 vs. 2002: -8.7%<br />
7,128<br />
7,329<br />
7,771<br />
7,136<br />
7,660<br />
8,372<br />
6,892<br />
7,110<br />
2,021<br />
9,994<br />
3,092<br />
9,121<br />
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Productivity - rail (thousand ptkm per employee)<br />
2003 vs. 2002: +3.5%<br />
since 1993: +163%<br />
328<br />
413 468 533 603 656 699<br />
Transport<br />
and Logistics<br />
4%<br />
Passenger<br />
Transport<br />
19%<br />
Passenger<br />
Stations<br />
5%<br />
Other<br />
9%<br />
798<br />
840 833 862<br />
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />
Capital expenditure structure 1994 - 2003 (%)<br />
since 1994:<br />
approx. € 79 bn<br />
Track<br />
Infrastructure<br />
63%<br />
5
DB Group<br />
Strategic goals and value management<br />
Strategic Goals<br />
„DB Campaign“<br />
Restructuring<br />
Performance<br />
Growth<br />
+<br />
Intensive capex and modernization<br />
programs in FY 2001-03<br />
Completion of German Rail Reform<br />
in FY 2004<br />
Readiness for IPO<br />
Operating loss due to<br />
modernization program in<br />
FY 2001-03<br />
Return to positive figures in FY<br />
2004<br />
Operating income after interest:<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Profitability Value Management<br />
232 247 327<br />
273<br />
171<br />
-87<br />
199<br />
-204<br />
-454<br />
-172<br />
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005ff<br />
Value management system (ROCE)<br />
and target ratios implemented in FY<br />
1999<br />
Low ROCE in FYs 2001-03<br />
Mid-term goal: 10%<br />
1.6% 1.5%<br />
0.4% 0.1%<br />
WACC (9%)<br />
Target rate (10%)<br />
10%<br />
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Midterm<br />
6
DB Group<br />
Internationalization strategy driven by business characteristics<br />
Current position of Group divisions (GD)<br />
Global / international<br />
business<br />
GD Transport and Logistics<br />
Schenker<br />
Freight Logistics<br />
Intermodal<br />
Railion<br />
Mainly domestic business GD Passenger Transport<br />
Long-Distance<br />
Regional<br />
Urban<br />
Domestic business GD Passenger Stations<br />
GD Track Infrastructure<br />
GD Services<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Further potential for internationalization<br />
Focus: further strengthening of network and<br />
logistics competence<br />
Selective additions in core business<br />
segments (mainly acquisitions)<br />
JV Railion as open platform for additional<br />
partners; further supplements through<br />
international cooperations<br />
Focus: business optimization + defending<br />
our dominant domestic market position<br />
Selective internationalization in longdistance,<br />
regional and urban transport<br />
Focus: optimization of domestic business<br />
Increasing attractiveness of stations<br />
Elimination of bottlenecks and<br />
modernization of command and control<br />
technology<br />
Cost reductions in GD Services<br />
7
Group Passenger Transport Division<br />
Overview<br />
#1 in European rail passenger<br />
transport (2003 / most recent, € bn)<br />
DB Group<br />
SNCF (F)<br />
FS (I)*<br />
SBB (CH)<br />
NS Group (NL)<br />
Highlights<br />
1.6<br />
1.2<br />
2.0<br />
11.2<br />
10.9<br />
*as of FY 2000<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Air<br />
Rail<br />
Public<br />
transp.<br />
Car<br />
1%<br />
8%<br />
9%<br />
82%<br />
DB<br />
97 %<br />
=70 bn<br />
pkm<br />
Other 3%<br />
Dominant position in domestic rail passenger market - major player in Europe<br />
Full-range services with 3 business units:<br />
Market share, domestic<br />
(2003, %, pkm)<br />
long-distance transport<br />
regional transport<br />
urban transport<br />
Market share growth from 7.1% to 8.1% since 1993<br />
Defending our dominant market position in long-distance / regional transport,<br />
growth opportunities in urban transport sector<br />
Growth of transport market in<br />
Germany since 1993 (%, pkm)<br />
Air<br />
Rail (DB)<br />
Car<br />
Public<br />
transp.<br />
-6%<br />
-5%<br />
€ 11,157 million<br />
Regional +<br />
Urban<br />
73%<br />
+11%<br />
+38%<br />
Market: -4.1%<br />
Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />
Long-distance<br />
27%<br />
8
Group Passenger Transport Division<br />
Long-distance transport unit<br />
Key characteristics<br />
Mainly domestic business - cross-border services through cooperations;<br />
dominant market position in Germany (intramodal >95%)<br />
Targets: organic growth + defending our market position<br />
FY 2003: net loss due to weak economy and tough competition from market<br />
entries of low-cost airlines<br />
Integration into mobility chains; special value-added services, such as lounges<br />
and CityTicket<br />
Improved services, yield management / selective price adjustments<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
€ 2,993 million<br />
Programs / Measures to improve profitability Value drivers<br />
New pricing system („EconomyPrices“, „<strong>Bahn</strong>Card“) + programs, e.g.<br />
“Surf&Rail“<br />
Optimization of marketing / distribution system<br />
Ongoing efficiency improvements and overhead optimization<br />
Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />
ICE<br />
50%<br />
Transport performance,<br />
specific revenues<br />
Transport performance,<br />
utilization rate<br />
Cost of operations<br />
IC/EC/IR/D<br />
27%<br />
Other<br />
23%<br />
Multiple ways to access ticketing,<br />
cost of distribution systems<br />
9
Group Passenger Transport Division<br />
Regional transport unit<br />
Key characteristics<br />
Mainly domestic business - #1 in Europe (revenues, pkm)<br />
Dominant position in domestic market (intramodal >90%)<br />
Target: maintain intra- / intermodal market position<br />
Protecting market position by long-term ordered-services agreements (federal<br />
states with “Public interest obligations”) and superior quality of services<br />
Stable revenue base through ordered-service agreements<br />
Further fleet modernization<br />
Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />
Optimization of service offerings and yield management<br />
Modernization and standardization of fleet<br />
Gaining of new long-term ordered-services agreements<br />
Ongoing efficiency improvements + further overhead optimization<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />
€ 6,427 million<br />
Orderedservice<br />
agreements<br />
66%<br />
Value drivers<br />
Passenger fares<br />
34%<br />
Passenger fare level, transport<br />
performance, utilization rate<br />
Cost of operations<br />
Reliability of capex decisions,<br />
optimization of production<br />
Cost of operations,<br />
personnel expenses<br />
10
Group Passenger Transport Division<br />
Urban transport unit<br />
Key characteristics<br />
Mainly domestic business - Business unit established in Jan 2004 (bus<br />
companies + Berlin/Hamburg metro systems)<br />
# 1 position in regional bus and metro transport; market share of approx. 12%<br />
in highly fragmented (bus) market<br />
Target: gaining further market share during market consolidation phase<br />
Service offerings complementary to long-distance / regional transport services<br />
Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />
Further organic growth<br />
Optimization of local services (independent / with other local companies)<br />
Acquisitions to strengthen business portfolio<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Revenue structure (%)<br />
€ 1,737 million<br />
Orderedservice<br />
agreements<br />
17%<br />
Bus<br />
62%<br />
Value drivers<br />
<strong>Revenues</strong>, utilization rate<br />
Cost of operations<br />
Passenger<br />
fares metro<br />
21%<br />
11
Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />
Overview<br />
#1 in European land<br />
transport<br />
Schenker<br />
DHL<br />
Geodis<br />
DSV/DFDS<br />
Dachser<br />
Highlights<br />
1.1%<br />
1.0%<br />
1.0%<br />
2.3%<br />
2.1%<br />
(revenues,<br />
%, 2003)<br />
#1 in European rail<br />
freight transport<br />
Railion<br />
SNCF (F)<br />
PKP (PL)<br />
FS (I)<br />
ÖBB (A)<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
17<br />
23<br />
46<br />
50<br />
80<br />
(2002 / 2001,<br />
tkm bn)<br />
Integrated provider of transport and logistics services with global network<br />
Market-focused organizational structure with 4 business units:<br />
Schenker<br />
Freight Logistics<br />
Intermodal<br />
Railion<br />
Process optimization / further development of product portfolio / systematic<br />
expansion of networks / further strengthening of logistics operations<br />
#3 in global sea transport #5 in global air freight<br />
K&N<br />
DPWN<br />
Schenker<br />
Panalpina<br />
Exel<br />
1.9%<br />
2.7%<br />
2.6%<br />
3.7%<br />
4.7%<br />
(TEU,<br />
%, 2003)<br />
€ 10.8 bn<br />
Schenker<br />
63%<br />
DPWN<br />
Panalpina<br />
Exel<br />
K&N<br />
Schenker<br />
2.9%<br />
2.5%<br />
3.9%<br />
Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />
Railion<br />
28%<br />
5.4%<br />
Freight<br />
Logistics<br />
8%<br />
6.6%<br />
(freight volume,<br />
%, 2002)<br />
Intermodal +<br />
Other<br />
1%<br />
12
Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />
Business units<br />
bulk goods<br />
Freight Logistics unit Schenker unit<br />
Intermodal unit Railion unit<br />
NCS 2)<br />
1) net of capital goods<br />
2) existing investment<br />
Coal and steel<br />
Construction<br />
materials<br />
Chemicals / BTT<br />
Commodities 1)<br />
Retail business<br />
packaged goods<br />
Land Operations/<br />
Logistics<br />
Air & Sea /<br />
Logistics<br />
Railog 2)<br />
Schenker Automotive<br />
RailNet GmbH<br />
ATG 2)<br />
STINNES <strong>AG</strong><br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Sales<br />
combined rail/road<br />
transport operator<br />
Combined rail/road<br />
transport<br />
Sales Railion<br />
Rail freight transport<br />
Railion Deutschland<br />
Railion Nederland<br />
Railion Danmark<br />
13
Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />
Schenker unit<br />
Key characteristics<br />
Global business<br />
Market leader in European land transport, strong position in global air and<br />
sea freight<br />
In addition warehousing, value added services and special-purpose logistics,<br />
industrial fair and Olympic Games logistics<br />
Targets: maintain and strengthen market position / continued enhancement of<br />
product and network quality as well as extension of logistics competence<br />
Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />
€ 6,856 million<br />
Air + Sea<br />
Freight<br />
national<br />
9%<br />
Air + Sea<br />
Freight<br />
international<br />
33%<br />
Value drivers<br />
Further organic growth <strong>Revenues</strong>, transport volume<br />
Land<br />
Transport<br />
international<br />
45%<br />
Land Transport<br />
national<br />
13%<br />
Network extension and acquisitions in key markets Market share, economies of scale<br />
Restructuring of processes and IT systems Productivity, cost structure<br />
14
Group Transport and Logistics Division<br />
Railion unit<br />
Key characteristics<br />
Growing European business; international<br />
expansion based on domestic strength<br />
#1 in European rail freight transport<br />
Railion as an open platform; cooperations<br />
with other railways<br />
Refocused on carrier function<br />
Participation in market growth/ongoing<br />
liberalization in Europe<br />
Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />
Growth of transport market in<br />
Germany since 1993 (%, tkm)<br />
Trucking<br />
Rail (DB)<br />
Ship<br />
Railion<br />
(total)<br />
+24%<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
+1%<br />
+15%<br />
Restructuring / optimization of production processes, in particular restructuring<br />
of single freight car business (e.g. Project PRP)<br />
Improved cooperation among Railion subsidiaries in different countries<br />
Continuation of cost cutting measures (operative and overheads)<br />
+83%<br />
Market:<br />
+54.7%<br />
Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />
€ 2,987 million<br />
Railion<br />
Nederland<br />
5%<br />
Railion<br />
Danmark<br />
2%<br />
Value driver<br />
Productivity, cost structure,<br />
utilization rate<br />
Traffic points served,<br />
cost structure, productivity<br />
Product campaign in unit train transport and in single freight car business Production processes<br />
Railion<br />
Deutschland<br />
93%<br />
15
Group Track Infrastructure Division<br />
Overview<br />
Key characteristics<br />
Domestic business<br />
Non-discriminatory access since 1994<br />
Europe-wide synchronized timetables;<br />
mutual activities of European railways to<br />
improve interoperability<br />
Modernization/optimization of infrastructure<br />
Capex focus on existing network/<br />
command and control technology<br />
Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />
Network size<br />
(2002, thousand km)<br />
Efficiency improvements incl. headcount adjustments resulting from<br />
modernization programs<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Revenue structure incl.<br />
intra-Group revenues 2003 (%)<br />
€ 3,774 million<br />
Regional +<br />
Urban<br />
57%<br />
Railion<br />
17%<br />
Other<br />
1%<br />
Third-party<br />
railways<br />
7%<br />
Long-distance<br />
18%<br />
Cost structure, in particular,<br />
personnel expenses<br />
Optimization of track infrastructure for future transport needs Maintenance expenses<br />
Continuation of cost-cutting efforts (operating and overhead costs)<br />
Value drivers<br />
Implementation of GSM-R (Global Standard of Mobile Communication, Rail) Cost of operations<br />
DB<br />
SNCF /<br />
RFF (F)<br />
FS (I)<br />
RENFE (E)<br />
CD (CZ)<br />
9.5<br />
12.3<br />
16.0<br />
29.4<br />
35.8<br />
16
Group Passenger Stations Division<br />
Overview<br />
Key characteristics<br />
Domestic business<br />
Open non-discriminatory access for non-Group railroads since 1994<br />
Target: increasing attractiveness and profitability of passenger stations<br />
Capex / Modernization initiative in cooperation with federal government and<br />
federal states<br />
Immediate action program: cleanliness, safety and customer satisfaction<br />
Programs / Measures to improve profitability<br />
Increasing rental income from existing portfolio and additional income from<br />
completion of newly-built / modernized stations<br />
Overall efficiency programs / optimized energy management<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Revenue structure incl.<br />
intra-Group revenues 2003 (%)<br />
€ 852 million<br />
Long-distance<br />
11%<br />
Rental<br />
30%<br />
Value drivers<br />
Other<br />
2%<br />
Rental income,<br />
reduction of vacancies<br />
Portfolio-management for optimization of concourse buildings Maintenance expenses<br />
Regional +<br />
Urban<br />
52%<br />
Third-party<br />
5%<br />
17
Outlook<br />
DB Group - on track for IPO<br />
German Rail Reform 1 st stage:<br />
incorporation of DB <strong>AG</strong><br />
1994 1999<br />
Establishing entrepreneurial<br />
structures, roll-out<br />
Achievements:<br />
Sustainable participation in<br />
market growth<br />
Significant efficiency<br />
improvements (since 1994 a<br />
total of € 5.1 billion)<br />
Benefit to German taxpayers<br />
compared to structures prior to<br />
German Rail Reform > € 108<br />
billion<br />
German Rail Reform 2 nd stage:<br />
transparent structures<br />
“DB 2001 Campaign” - Restructuring,<br />
Performance, Growth<br />
Strategic direction:<br />
“DB Campaign” - restructuring,<br />
performance, growth: improved<br />
competitiveness and portfolio<br />
focus on profitable business<br />
segments<br />
Increased capital expenditures<br />
and enhanced modernization<br />
efforts<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
2004<br />
Completion of<br />
German Rail Reform<br />
2004<br />
2005/2006<br />
Readiness for IPO<br />
Leading international mobility,<br />
transport and logistics provider<br />
Generating further growth:<br />
Sound growth prospects for<br />
relevant market segments<br />
Strengthening of Stinnes´ position<br />
as a leading global transport and<br />
logistics player<br />
Positioning as a leading<br />
European player in passenger<br />
transport<br />
18
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group:<br />
Financial Situation and Capital Markets Activities<br />
Wolfgang Reuter<br />
Group Treasurer
Financial Year 2003<br />
General remarks<br />
Economic<br />
environment<br />
Third-party<br />
infrastructure<br />
utilization<br />
Comparability<br />
to previous<br />
financial year<br />
Ongoing economic slow-down in domestic core market,<br />
Germany as well as in Euro zone<br />
Postponement of trucking toll until beginning of<br />
2005/2006<br />
Increasing third-party utilization of DB infrastructure<br />
First-time full-year inclusion of Stinnes<br />
Reporting of non core activities: Brenntag / Interfer FY 2003 under segment Other,<br />
divestiture in FY 2004<br />
Transfer of non-core real estate assets to Aurelis<br />
In 2002 expiration of federal compensation payments (last payment in 2002, € 443 mn)<br />
Segment reporting reflects current corporate structure<br />
Group Transport and Logistics division: consolidation of former Group division<br />
Freight Transport with Stinnes / Schenker<br />
Group Services division: bundling of all major service companies / business units<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
D GDP 2002 2003<br />
Germany 0.2% -0.1%<br />
Euro zone 0.9% 0.4%<br />
TOCs*<br />
Number 260 280<br />
Train-path km (mn) 50.2 70.4<br />
* train operating companies (third-party)<br />
20
Financial Year 2003<br />
Development of transport performance<br />
Growth rates, passenger transport in Germany<br />
(%)<br />
Rail (DB)<br />
Air<br />
(domestic)<br />
Car<br />
Public<br />
transport<br />
Rail passenger transport (pkm billion)<br />
69.8<br />
-3.0<br />
-0.4<br />
69.5<br />
2002 2003<br />
+0.5<br />
Total market<br />
2003 vs. 2002: -2.4%<br />
2003 vs. 2002: -0.4%<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
+5.0<br />
DB market share intermodal: 8%<br />
DB market share intramodal: >95%<br />
Growth rates, freight transport in Germany (%)<br />
Rail (DB)<br />
Trucking<br />
Ship<br />
Rail freight tansport (tkm billion)<br />
78.0<br />
-9.0<br />
79.9<br />
2002 2003<br />
+2.1<br />
+2.0<br />
Total market<br />
2003 vs. 2002: +1.0%<br />
2003 vs. 2002: +2.4%<br />
DB market share intermodal: 16%<br />
DB market share intramodal:~93%<br />
21
Financial Year 2003<br />
<strong>Revenues</strong><br />
<strong>Revenues</strong> (€ million)<br />
18,685<br />
15,575 15,890<br />
2002 2003<br />
total<br />
comparable<br />
28,228<br />
total<br />
comparable<br />
Change: +51.1%<br />
Comparable: +2.0%<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Revenue structure 2003 (%)<br />
( ) previous year<br />
Passenger<br />
Transport<br />
40%<br />
(60%)<br />
Other*<br />
19%<br />
(8%)<br />
Services<br />
1%<br />
(1%)<br />
Transport<br />
and<br />
Logistics<br />
38%<br />
(29%)<br />
Passenger<br />
Stations<br />
1%<br />
(1%)<br />
Track Infrastructure<br />
1%<br />
(1%)<br />
* other activities including Benntag/Interfer and consolidation: € 5,486 million<br />
22
Financial Year 2003<br />
Gross capital expenditures<br />
Gross capital expenditures<br />
(€ million)<br />
9,994<br />
9,054*<br />
9,121<br />
2002 2003<br />
total<br />
comparable<br />
total<br />
* in 2002 non-recurring item, repurchase of<br />
telecommunication assets of Arcor (€ 940 million)<br />
Change: -8.7%<br />
Comparable: +0.7%<br />
Gross capex / revenues: 32.3%<br />
Break down (%)<br />
( ) previous year<br />
Other<br />
1%<br />
(
Financial Year 2003<br />
Operating income after interest<br />
Operating income after interest<br />
(€ million)<br />
-454<br />
-172<br />
2002 2003<br />
Change: € +282 million<br />
-34<br />
Passenger<br />
Transport<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Performance of Group divisions* (€ million)<br />
= change year on year<br />
- 259 +222 +256 +222<br />
288<br />
Transport<br />
and<br />
Logistics<br />
38<br />
Passenger<br />
Stations<br />
-307<br />
Track Infrastructure<br />
* other activities including Benntag / Interfer and consolidation: € -276 million (previous<br />
year: € -139 million)<br />
- 22<br />
119<br />
Services<br />
24
Financial Year 2003<br />
Balance sheet structure<br />
Balance sheet structure (as of Dec 31, 2003)<br />
Assets Equity and Liabilities<br />
Fixed<br />
assets<br />
(+4.0%)<br />
86.8%<br />
41.4<br />
Current<br />
assets (-0.0%) 12.9% 6.1<br />
Prepay./Acc. Inc.* (+38.3%) 0.3% 0.1<br />
Total<br />
(± 2002)<br />
(+3.5%)<br />
(±%) = relative change to previous year<br />
share<br />
100.0%<br />
€ billion<br />
47.6<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
Equity 5.1<br />
Interest-free<br />
loans<br />
Provisions<br />
Interest-bearing<br />
debt<br />
Other<br />
liabilities<br />
Acc./Def. Inc.*<br />
Total<br />
*incl. rounding differences<br />
(± 2002)<br />
(-11.1%)<br />
(-1.0%)<br />
(+3.5%)<br />
share<br />
30.8%<br />
1.8%<br />
100.0%<br />
€ billion<br />
(-2.8%) 15.8% 7.5<br />
14.7<br />
(+15.2%) 26.7% 12.7<br />
(+17.1%)<br />
(-4.7%)<br />
10.7%<br />
14.2%<br />
6.8<br />
0.8<br />
47.6<br />
25
Financial Year 2003<br />
Equity and interest-bearing debt<br />
Equity (€ million)<br />
5,708<br />
5,076<br />
2002 2003<br />
Change:<br />
Ziel-ROCE Kapitalkosten<br />
-11.1%<br />
in % of total assets 2003: 10.7%<br />
Interest-bearing debt (€ million)<br />
11,051<br />
2002 2003<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
12,731<br />
Change:<br />
Ziel-ROCE Kapitalkosten<br />
+15.2%<br />
in % of total assets 2003 : 26.7%<br />
Notes<br />
Change in equity:<br />
Decline through negative<br />
net income and offset of<br />
goodwill<br />
Interest-bearing debt:<br />
Capital market activities,<br />
fund raising € 2.1 bn<br />
Development as scheduled:<br />
Current performance in<br />
accordance with plan<br />
announced in 2001<br />
Target: Improvement of ratios in<br />
upcoming years<br />
26
Financial Year 2003<br />
Value management<br />
ROCE (%)<br />
0.1%<br />
1.5%<br />
10%<br />
2002 2003 Target<br />
Redemption coverage (%)<br />
11.0%<br />
12.6%<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
30%<br />
2002 2003 Target<br />
Gearing (%)<br />
Ziel-ROCE<br />
EBIT<br />
Kapitalkosten<br />
Operating cash flow<br />
Ziel-Tilgungsdeckung<br />
Net financial debt<br />
Ziel für Gearing<br />
Capital Employed<br />
Net financial debt incl. leasing Book value equity<br />
257%<br />
320%<br />
100%<br />
2002 2003 Target<br />
27
Development Since Start of German Rail Reform<br />
Productivity<br />
Productivity - rail (thousand ptkm / employee)<br />
328<br />
127<br />
388<br />
413<br />
135<br />
327<br />
299<br />
603<br />
261<br />
533 239<br />
468<br />
140<br />
139<br />
144<br />
145<br />
656<br />
221<br />
+ 163%<br />
699<br />
144<br />
206<br />
798<br />
155<br />
194<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
840 833<br />
862<br />
184 177 173<br />
155 148 149<br />
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />
ptkm (billion) Employees - rail (thousand, annual average) Productivity<br />
Notes<br />
163% productivity<br />
increase since<br />
beginning of German<br />
Rail Reform<br />
Transport<br />
performance:<br />
pkm: +11%<br />
tkm: +24%<br />
Employees rail:<br />
-215,000 (-55%)<br />
28
Development Since Start of German Rail Reform<br />
EBITDA before compensation payments<br />
EBITDA (€ million)<br />
1,248<br />
-2,014<br />
1,401<br />
-1,520<br />
1,658<br />
-910<br />
1,920<br />
-445<br />
1,997<br />
3,262 2,921 2,568 2,365 1,962<br />
427<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
35<br />
€ +5.1 bn<br />
2,036<br />
2,492<br />
1,264<br />
2,271<br />
1,433<br />
2,464<br />
2,021<br />
3,092<br />
1,609 1,228 838 443 0<br />
EBITDA before compensation payments<br />
Compensation payments<br />
EBITDA after compensation payments<br />
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003<br />
Notes<br />
Reduction of<br />
government<br />
compensation<br />
payments in the<br />
amount of € 3.3 bn<br />
Increase of EBITDA<br />
before compensation<br />
payments of<br />
€ 5.1 bn or<br />
approx. € 0.6 bn p.a.<br />
EBITDA margin<br />
improved from<br />
-13.6% to +11.0%<br />
Increase of EBIT of<br />
€ 3.5 bn or<br />
€ 385 million p.a.<br />
29
Financial Year 2004 / 1 st Quarter<br />
General remarks<br />
Economic<br />
environment<br />
Regulatory<br />
environment<br />
Activities<br />
Slight recovery in German home market<br />
Competitive environment in mobility, transport and<br />
logistics markets<br />
Further increase in transport performance of thirdparty<br />
TOCs on DB infrastructure expected for 2004<br />
Close focus on core business<br />
Brenntag / Stinnes-Interfer: sale to Bain Capital (Jan 1, 2004)<br />
MITROPA <strong>AG</strong>: sale to Compass Group (April 1, 2004)<br />
Service and Quality as main focus in FY 2004, in particular increasing punctuality<br />
Efficient capital allocation through refocusing capital expenditures<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
D GDP Q1 04*<br />
Germany 0.4%<br />
* vs. previous year<br />
TOCs**<br />
Train-path km (mn) 21<br />
** train operating companies (third-party)<br />
Decline of federal infrastructure funding in the amount of € 0.6 billion in FY 2004<br />
and further decline until 2008<br />
Premature repayment of interest-free loans of approx. € 2 billion (nominal value) planned<br />
30
Financial Year 2004 / 1 st Quarter<br />
Key data<br />
Transport performance (ptkm bn)<br />
35.6<br />
19.2<br />
16.4<br />
21.0<br />
16.6<br />
1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />
Gross capital expenditures (€ million)<br />
1,327<br />
37.6<br />
1,280<br />
1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />
Passenger transport: +1.2%<br />
Rail freight transport: +9.4%<br />
Rail freight transport<br />
Passenger transport<br />
Change: -3.5%<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
<strong>Revenues</strong> (€ million)<br />
6,919<br />
5,513<br />
Operating income after interest (€ million)<br />
-120<br />
5,727<br />
1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />
-82<br />
1Q 2003 1Q 2004<br />
Change: -17.2%<br />
Comparable: +3.9%<br />
total<br />
comparable<br />
Change: € +38 million<br />
31
Future Capex and Financing<br />
Financing requirements<br />
Financing requirements and cash flow 2004 - 08 (€ bn)<br />
1.3<br />
1.1<br />
0.2<br />
-1.1<br />
1.0<br />
1.6<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
0.7<br />
1.9<br />
1.5<br />
2004 P 2005 P 2006 P 2007 P 2008 P<br />
1.2<br />
Redemption of interest-free federal loans<br />
(present value)<br />
Financing requirements<br />
Expiring debt instruments<br />
Cash flow after capex<br />
* Cash flow after capex = income before taxes + depreciation + change in pension provisions - capex funded by DB<br />
Notes<br />
Capital markets<br />
activities<br />
2004<br />
supplement to<br />
self-financing and<br />
redemption of interestfree<br />
federal loans<br />
2006 - 2008<br />
partial refinancing of<br />
bonds, depending on<br />
dividend and earnings<br />
retention policy<br />
DB will continue to tap<br />
the capital markets<br />
32
Financing 2004 - 08<br />
Rating and refinancing structure<br />
Current rating<br />
Excellent rating:<br />
Moody´s: Aa1 / stable<br />
S&P: AA / stable<br />
Interest bearing debt<br />
(as of 31 Dec, 2003)<br />
€ 12.7 bn<br />
Bonds MTN<br />
40%<br />
Other<br />
16%<br />
Other bonds<br />
29%<br />
EUROFIMA<br />
15%<br />
Major refinancing activities in 2003 / 2004<br />
Duplication of debt issuance and CP program to € 10 bn and € 2 bn, respectively<br />
Issue 2003: 12 year bond: initial offering € 500 mn / € 200 mn increase<br />
Issue 2003: 15 year bond: initial offering € 500 mn / € 200 mn increase<br />
€ 400 m EIB loan to DB Netz <strong>AG</strong><br />
Issue 2004: 7 year bond: $ 250 mn and 10 year bond: ¥ 5 bn<br />
Maturity profile bonds / EUROFIMA (€ billion)<br />
as of Dec 31, 2003<br />
in 2004<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
< 0.1<br />
0.7<br />
1.6<br />
1.2<br />
2.0<br />
1.0<br />
0.3<br />
as of Dec 31, 2003 bonds<br />
and EUROFIMA with<br />
together € 10.6 bn represent<br />
83.5 % of total interestbearing<br />
debt<br />
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018<br />
1.1<br />
0.8<br />
0.5<br />
0.7<br />
1.0<br />
Currency structure of<br />
MTN program (%)<br />
€ 5.3 bn<br />
as of May 31, 2004<br />
Other<br />
4%<br />
JPY<br />
2%<br />
EUR<br />
59%<br />
USD<br />
15%<br />
CHF<br />
20%<br />
33
DB Group<br />
Focus on preserving our rating<br />
Very good<br />
rating<br />
Obligations of<br />
federal and<br />
state<br />
governments<br />
No. 1 mobility<br />
service<br />
provider<br />
Operating<br />
performance<br />
Rating: Moody´s (Aa1) / S&P (AA)<br />
Intention to maintain strong business and financial profile<br />
Obligations of the federal Republic of Germany as defined under Art. 87e of the Basic Law<br />
„Infrastructure obligations“: Funding of infrastructure capex, approx. € 3 bn p.a.<br />
„Public interest obligations“: supply of funds to federal states for ordering local<br />
passenger transport services, approx. € 6.7 bn p.a.<br />
Privatization hurdle of 49.9% shares (majority shareholding)<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> is the principal provider of mobility in Germany and the largest transport<br />
and logistics company in Europe with extensive global transport activities<br />
Stable cash flows due to long-term service contracts with federal states (revenue share in<br />
2003: 16%)<br />
Vertical integration a major business success factor<br />
Productivity increased by 163%, EBITDA before special burden compensation<br />
payments increased by € 5.1 bn and EBIT increased by € 3.5 bn since beginning of<br />
German Rail Reform<br />
Sound financing structure and conservative funding strategy<br />
<strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bahn</strong> Group Road Show Europe 2004<br />
34