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Financial Results for the year ended 30 June 2011 - Optimum Coal

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<strong>Financial</strong> <strong>Results</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong> <strong>ended</strong> <strong>30</strong> <strong>June</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

25 August <strong>2011</strong>


2<br />

“<strong>Optimum</strong> <strong>Coal</strong> has had a good operational <strong>year</strong>. Our coal mines are maturing and our life of mine extension<br />

projects have gained positive momentum during <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong>. Our overall safety per<strong>for</strong>mance has been<br />

commendable and we remain focussed on achieving zero harm targets.<br />

Although <strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries has had various production challenges during <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong>, we have restructured <strong>the</strong><br />

management team and have commenced various exposure, extraction and yield initiatives. Production at <strong>the</strong><br />

Boschmanspoort underground section has now stabilised and <strong>the</strong> critical Kwagga North life extension project<br />

is progressing well.<br />

<strong>Coal</strong> production at Koornfontein Mines has exceeded our expectations and we are delighted with its<br />

operational per<strong>for</strong>mance during <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong>. Additionally, <strong>the</strong> acquisition of <strong>the</strong> TNC reserves will ensure that<br />

Koornfontein Mines returns to being a long life, high quality export coal operation, <strong>the</strong>reby enabling us to<br />

optimise our overall coal portfolio.<br />

Export railing logistics remain challenging, however with TFR‟s expansion program approved and underway,<br />

and with increased TFR rail rates now implemented, an improvement in TFR‟s railings per<strong>for</strong>mance is<br />

reasonably expected in <strong>the</strong> coming <strong>year</strong>.<br />

We remain well placed to benefit from strong international coal prices and from an increasing local demand <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>rmal coal”<br />

Mike Teke<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> <strong>Coal</strong> CEO


3<br />

AGENDA<br />

Overview – Mike Teke<br />

FY<strong>2011</strong> results – Doug Gain, Riaan du Plooy<br />

– <strong>Financial</strong> review<br />

– Operational review<br />

Outlook <strong>for</strong> FY2012 – Mike Teke<br />

– Market review<br />

– Group outlook <strong>for</strong> FY2012<br />

– Eskom<br />

– Transnet Freight Rail<br />

Delivering on our group strategy – Mike Teke<br />

Discussion / Q&A – Mike Teke


Overview<br />

Mike Teke


5<br />

Our achievements during <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong> to <strong>June</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

Improvement in safety statistics. No fatal accidents during <strong>the</strong> past 18 months<br />

Revenue increased by 57% to R5 289 million<br />

EBITDA generated of R1 200 million<br />

Profit generated of R460 million<br />

Group run-of-mine coal production up 21% to 17.1 million tons<br />

Group saleable coal production up 26% to 13.6 million tons. Export coal production up 28% to 6.8<br />

million tons<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries management team restructured. Kwagga North opencast extension project on track<br />

Acquisitions agreed <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> TNC and Remhoogte (1) prospecting rights<br />

Cash on hand of R567 million and net debt of R77 million as at <strong>30</strong> <strong>June</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

Special dividend of R75.5 million declared (<strong>30</strong> cps)<br />

(1) Remhoogte agreement signed in August <strong>2011</strong>


6<br />

HSEC per<strong>for</strong>mance<br />

Safety<br />

‒ No fatalities<br />

‒ Reducing CIFR (1) (5%) and TRIFR (2) (11%)<br />

Health<br />

‒ Voluntary HIV testing ongoing<br />

‒ Continuous monitoring of occupational and non-<br />

occupational illnesses<br />

‒ Continued compliance to Mine Health and Safety<br />

Council Milestones<br />

Environment<br />

‒ Reduction in rehabilitation liability (additional ground<br />

levelling and water management initiatives)<br />

‒ Water supply from Water Reclamation Plant to<br />

STLM (3) commenced at up to 5 Ml per day<br />

(1) Classified injury frequency rate<br />

(2) Total recordable injury frequency rate<br />

(3) Steve Tshwete Local Municipality<br />

CIFR<br />

2.5<br />

2.0<br />

1.5<br />

1.0<br />

0.5<br />

0.0<br />

TRIFR<br />

6.0<br />

5.0<br />

4.0<br />

3.0<br />

2.0<br />

1.0<br />

0.0<br />

2.03<br />

4.81<br />

32%<br />

5%<br />

1.38 1.31<br />

FY2009 FY2010 FY<strong>2011</strong><br />

25%<br />

11%<br />

3.60 3.19<br />

FY2009 FY2010 FY<strong>2011</strong>


<strong>Financial</strong> Per<strong>for</strong>mance<br />

Doug Gain


8<br />

Group financial overview<br />

(Rm, unless o<strong>the</strong>rwise indicated)<br />

Revenue<br />

Mining and related cash costs<br />

- Mining costs<br />

- Logistics costs<br />

- O<strong>the</strong>r costs<br />

EBIT<br />

(1) Earnings be<strong>for</strong>e interest, taxation, depreciation, amortisation and environmental provision releases<br />

(2) Calculated on 199 million shares in issue after consolidation of <strong>the</strong> 52 million shares owned by Trusts <strong>for</strong> IFRS purposes<br />

(3) Calculated on a total of 251 million shares in issue ignoring any IFRS Trust consolidation effects<br />

57%<br />

28%<br />

31%<br />

26%<br />

(69%)<br />

Profit <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> period 460 229 101%<br />

Cash generated/(utilised) by operations<br />

Capex<br />

5 289 3 359<br />

4 089 3 193<br />

3 397<br />

670<br />

22<br />

2 590<br />

EBITDA (1) 1 200 166 623%<br />

EBITDA margin (%) 22.7% 4.3%<br />

EPS – IFRS (2) (cps)<br />

HEPS – IFRS (2) (cps)<br />

EPS – Normalised (3) (cps)<br />

HEPS – Normalised (3) (cps)<br />

FY <strong>2011</strong> FY 2010 % change<br />

532<br />

71<br />

794 412<br />

941 (7)<br />

692 881<br />

2<strong>30</strong> 132<br />

203 29<br />

183 100<br />

162 22<br />

93%<br />

(21%)<br />

74%<br />

605%<br />

83%<br />

636%


9<br />

Group EBITDA<br />

EBITDA variance<br />

Rm<br />

2 000<br />

1 800<br />

1 600<br />

1 400<br />

1 200<br />

1 000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

0<br />

166<br />

1 070<br />

FY10 Volume<br />

(tonnages)<br />

(524)<br />

Volume<br />

(cash costs)<br />

1 143<br />

<strong>Coal</strong> price<br />

(API#4)<br />

(283)<br />

Exchange rate<br />

(R/$)<br />

(147)<br />

(86)<br />

Inflation Additional cost<br />

escalation (cash<br />

costs)<br />

(139)<br />

Rail & export<br />

costs<br />

1 200<br />

FY11


10<br />

Group net debt<br />

Net debt variance<br />

Rm<br />

1 050<br />

900<br />

750<br />

600<br />

450<br />

<strong>30</strong>0<br />

150<br />

0<br />

(150)<br />

(<strong>30</strong>0)<br />

(450)<br />

(600)<br />

(70)<br />

Opening balance<br />

FY10<br />

941 (692)<br />

Cash generated by<br />

operations<br />

(299) 44 (77)<br />

Acquisition of PPE Interest and tax O<strong>the</strong>r Closing balance<br />

FY11<br />

Currently in process of evaluating debt re-financing proposals from various lenders<br />

The new corporate debt facility will materially increase <strong>the</strong> group‟s ability to utilise debt <strong>for</strong><br />

general corporate purposes including capital expenditure, working capital requirements and<br />

acquisitions.


11<br />

Group balance sheet<br />

(Rm, unless o<strong>the</strong>rwise indicated)<br />

Non-current assets<br />

- Property plant and equipment<br />

- Restricted rehabilitation investment<br />

- O<strong>the</strong>r non-current assets<br />

- Cash and cash equivalents<br />

- O<strong>the</strong>r assets<br />

TOTAL ASSETS<br />

9 989 9 819<br />

6 356<br />

1 276<br />

2 357<br />

6 375<br />

1 184<br />

2 260<br />

Current Assets 1 473 1 405<br />

5%<br />

567<br />

906<br />

751<br />

654<br />

11 462 11 224<br />

2%<br />

(1%)<br />

8%<br />

4%<br />

(25%)<br />

Total Equity 6 892 6 268<br />

10%<br />

Non-current liabilities 3 722 3 525<br />

8%<br />

- Environmental liability provision<br />

- O<strong>the</strong>r liabilities<br />

- Loans and borrowings<br />

- O<strong>the</strong>r liabilities<br />

As at <strong>30</strong><br />

<strong>June</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

1 774<br />

1 948<br />

150<br />

698<br />

As at <strong>30</strong><br />

<strong>June</strong> 2010<br />

1 899<br />

1 626<br />

Current liabilities 848 1 431<br />

(46%)<br />

7<strong>30</strong><br />

701<br />

% change<br />

38%<br />

2%<br />

(7%)<br />

24%<br />

(90%)<br />

Total liabilities 4 570 4 956<br />

(8%)<br />

TOTAL EQUITY AND LIABILITIES 11 462 11 224<br />

2%<br />

4%


Operational per<strong>for</strong>mance<br />

Riaan du Plooy


13<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> <strong>Coal</strong> (Group) statistics<br />

ROM production (Mt)<br />

- <strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries<br />

- Koornfontein Mines (1)<br />

Saleable product (Mt)<br />

- Export and inland – <strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries<br />

- Export – Koornfontein Mines (1)<br />

- Eskom – <strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries<br />

- Eskom and inland – Koornfontein Mines (1)<br />

Railed to RBCT (Mt)<br />

Realised export revenue per ton (R/t)<br />

- Average API#4 price ($/ton)<br />

- Average R/$<br />

FY <strong>2011</strong> FY 2010<br />

14.1<br />

13.1<br />

1.0<br />

10.8<br />

4.7<br />

0.6<br />

5.1<br />

0.4<br />

5.1<br />

559.40<br />

73.80<br />

% change<br />

21%<br />

7%<br />

210%<br />

26%<br />

4%<br />

217%<br />

8%<br />

225%<br />

Realised inland revenue per ton (R/t) 549.56 594.54<br />

(8%)<br />

Capex (Rm)<br />

- <strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries<br />

- Koornfontein Mines (1)<br />

- Exploration projects<br />

17.1<br />

14.0<br />

3.1<br />

13.6<br />

4.9<br />

1.9<br />

5.5<br />

1.3<br />

6.4<br />

701.17<br />

100.02<br />

7.01<br />

692<br />

566<br />

115<br />

11<br />

(1) 4 months‟ attributable results from Koornfontein Mines have been included with effect from 1 March 2010.<br />

7.58<br />

891<br />

848<br />

33<br />

10<br />

25%<br />

25%<br />

36%<br />

(8%)<br />

(22%)<br />

(33%)<br />

248%<br />

10%


14<br />

Managing our operations – <strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries<br />

Operations mature and LOM extension projects gaining momentum<br />

Opencast<br />

Pullenshope O/C – YoY improvement in production,<br />

scaling down in FY2012 with dragline moving to Kwagga<br />

North<br />

Eikeboom O/C – Reduced production in-line with LOM<br />

plan, dragline activity reduced accordingly, long term life<br />

ahead, albeit at lower production rate<br />

Kwagga Central O/C – YoY improvement in production<br />

despite increasing strip ratios<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries ROM production profile<br />

20 000<br />

15 000<br />

10 000<br />

5 000<br />

0<br />

2672<br />

1808<br />

4472 4<strong>30</strong>6<br />

7568 7517<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

439<br />

1697<br />

4127<br />

6336<br />

2009<br />

2553<br />

1672<br />

4644<br />

1354<br />

5201<br />

4208 4338<br />

2010<br />

<strong>30</strong>73<br />

<strong>2011</strong><br />

3400<br />

956<br />

360<br />

1058<br />

4637<br />

6441<br />

2012F<br />

3780<br />

3600<br />

7195<br />

2013F<br />

3780 3780 3780 3780<br />

720<br />

952<br />

720<br />

795<br />

1522 1750<br />

9814 9718<br />

2014F<br />

2015F<br />

1470 1575<br />

736 810<br />

10695 10274<br />

2016F<br />

2017F<br />

3780<br />

3780<br />

1575<br />

835<br />

3780<br />

1575<br />

837<br />

2310<br />

771<br />

438<br />

2310<br />

715<br />

2310<br />

673<br />

9326 9636 9905 9573 9868<br />

2018F<br />

2019F<br />

Kwagga North O/C – <strong>Coal</strong>ing ramping up, additional<br />

dragline from Pullenshope will increase production,<br />

infrastructure project progressing well, (commissioning<br />

early calendar 2012)<br />

Underground<br />

Boschmanspoort U/G – increasing pit-room creating<br />

additional flexibility, recent per<strong>for</strong>mance positive and<br />

production ramping up well (see slide 15)<br />

kt Boschmanspoort UG<br />

2020F<br />

2021F<br />

2022F<br />

2310<br />

723<br />

8477<br />

2023F<br />

2200<br />

2281 800<br />

795 785 749<br />

6288 6700 7088<br />

2024F<br />

2025F<br />

2026F<br />

3500<br />

753<br />

3856<br />

2027F<br />

Pullenshope UG<br />

Eikeboom OC<br />

Pullenshope OC<br />

Kwagga OC<br />

3500<br />

402<br />

1500<br />

2950<br />

1000<br />

0 1100<br />

200 0<br />

2028F<br />

2029F<br />

20<strong>30</strong>F


15<br />

Managing our operations – Boschmanspoort<br />

Boschmanspoort production ramp-up is gaining good momentum<br />

Per<strong>for</strong>mance<br />

Production ramp-up achieved during <strong>June</strong> <strong>2011</strong>, on<br />

track to achieve 3.4 million tons <strong>for</strong> FY2012<br />

<strong>Coal</strong>cor (underground contractor) in wage negotiations<br />

Improved production resulted from a number of<br />

initiatives:<br />

‒ Section 2 moved from eastern to western mining<br />

area where geological conditions are less<br />

challenging<br />

‒ Engineering availability on continuous haulage<br />

improved significantly due to changes done on chain<br />

system<br />

‒ Cutting time improved with increased overtime<br />

production<br />

ktpa<br />

320<br />

270<br />

220<br />

170<br />

120<br />

Boschmanspoort monthly production<br />

(annualised production in brackets)<br />

(2 796)<br />

(2 976)<br />

(2 880)<br />

233 248 240<br />

(3 528)<br />

294<br />

Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10<br />

Boschmanspoort infrastructure and high wall


16<br />

Managing our operations – Kwagga North<br />

Kwagga North project development tracking on time and within budget<br />

Development progress<br />

Design work <strong>for</strong> 20 000 tonne bunker in final stage<br />

Conveyor construction progressing well<br />

Bosmanspruit bridge 80% complete<br />

Electrical orders already placed<br />

Good progress on civil work on <strong>the</strong> ROM tip<br />

Community re-location progressing and issues being<br />

addressed<br />

Immediate focus areas<br />

Earth works <strong>for</strong> civil work to be completed<br />

Bridge work to be completed<br />

ROM Tip to be completed<br />

Installation of overland conveyors to continue<br />

Conveyor belt construction<br />

Bosmanspruit bridge


17<br />

Managing our operations – Koornfontein Mines<br />

Koornfontein Mines<br />

Koornfontein Mines‟ operations mature and in steady<br />

state<br />

Koornfontein discard reclamation to continue <strong>for</strong><br />

ano<strong>the</strong>r 3 <strong>year</strong>s<br />

Upside to railing export capacity due to strategic<br />

positioning of Koornfontein rapid load-out infrastructure<br />

Various Eskom supply opportunities currently being<br />

negotiated<br />

TNC reserves will extend life of high value product by<br />

12 <strong>year</strong>s<br />

Expected Koornfontein Mines ROM production profile<br />

kt<br />

5 000<br />

4 000<br />

3 000<br />

2 000<br />

1 000<br />

0<br />

1391<br />

2791 2849<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

3217<br />

2009<br />

2936 3129 2872 2676 2760<br />

2010<br />

<strong>2011</strong><br />

2012F<br />

2013F<br />

2014F<br />

1600<br />

1389<br />

2015F<br />

2800<br />

2016F<br />

Gloria 2-seam TNC O<strong>the</strong>r reserves<br />

Koornfontein Mines and TNC<br />

3500 3500 3500 3500 3500 3500 3500 3500 3400 3<strong>30</strong>0<br />

2017F<br />

2018F<br />

2019F<br />

2020F<br />

2021F<br />

2022F<br />

2023F<br />

2024F<br />

2025F<br />

2026F


Outlook <strong>for</strong> FY2012<br />

Mike Teke


19<br />

Market Review<br />

Export coal demand Export growth driven by Asian markets<br />

RBCT export destinations<br />

‒ Indian demand fur<strong>the</strong>r increasing as a result of<br />

west-coast coal-fired power generation growth<br />

‒ Fur<strong>the</strong>r growth in China (9% in GDP) boosted<br />

by economic growth and restricted local<br />

production supportive of increased South<br />

African demand<br />

‒ Growth in o<strong>the</strong>r Asian countries supportive of<br />

South African export coal demand<br />

API#4 coal price history<br />

Peak coal price in 2008 was over $150/ton<br />

Steady recovery in API#4 price since 2009<br />

continued to current trading levels of<br />

approximately $118/ton<br />

<strong>Coal</strong> dynamics remain favourable <strong>for</strong> price<br />

support<br />

Mt<br />

100%<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

RBCT Export Destinations (calendar <strong>year</strong>s)<br />

0.8<br />

3.6<br />

10.3<br />

53.4<br />

0.5<br />

2.3<br />

10.5<br />

51.7<br />

43.1<br />

1.0 1.5 1.0<br />

3.5 4.3 6.1<br />

8.7 6.9 1.4<br />

9.8 9.8<br />

17.6<br />

8.2<br />

10.0 5.5<br />

7.3<br />

20.4<br />

4.5<br />

11.0<br />

38.1<br />

26.8<br />

8.2<br />

3.2<br />

2.6 1.1<br />

14.9<br />

2.6<br />

6.0<br />

1.2<br />

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 <strong>2011</strong><br />

YTD<br />

Americas Europe Africa & Middle East India China Rest of Asia<br />

Source: RBCT<br />

API#4 coal price and ZAR/USD rate<br />

200<br />

160<br />

120<br />

80<br />

40<br />

0<br />

API#4 (USD / mt) USD / ZAR - rhs<br />

Source : Rand Merchant Bank, FICC<br />

2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0


20<br />

Group Outlook <strong>for</strong> FY2012<br />

Group Outlook – FY2012<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> <strong>Coal</strong> is on track to produce 7 - 7.2 million tons of saleable export coal in FY2012 as well<br />

as fulfill its supply commitments to Eskom. 350ktpa of exportable coal committed under inland<br />

contractual arrangements<br />

Opencast and underground operating diversification has reduced operating risk across <strong>the</strong> group<br />

Export coal stock of 503kt tons on hand at group operations as at <strong>30</strong> <strong>June</strong> <strong>2011</strong> (20 day TFR<br />

maintenance shutdown in <strong>June</strong> <strong>2011</strong>) – stocks now reducing and rail tempo normalising<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries Outlook<br />

Kwagga North ramp up on target and project<br />

scheduled <strong>for</strong> completion during FY2012<br />

Boschmanspoort ROM initiatives implemented and<br />

delivering results<br />

Targeting 5.3 – 5.5mt export production and 5.5mt<br />

Eskom production in FY2012<br />

Completion of fixed price contract with BECSA by<br />

December <strong>2011</strong>. 510kt exports at $87/ton to be<br />

delivered between July and December <strong>2011</strong><br />

Koornfontein Mines Outlook<br />

Continued mining of Gloria 2 seam at current run<br />

rates and reclamation of discard to produce additional<br />

middlings product<br />

Targeting 1.7mt export production and 1.0mt Eskom/<br />

middlings production in FY2012<br />

Continued work on 4 seam development feasibility<br />

Advance project development work on <strong>the</strong> TNC<br />

reserve.


21<br />

Eskom<br />

Eskom arbitration<br />

Eskom arbitration in respect of Hendrina Power<br />

Station supply dispute now resolved<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries will continue to supply 5.5mtpa to<br />

<strong>the</strong> adjacent Hendrina Power Station until December<br />

2018 under new pricing and penalty arrangements<br />

Opportunities<br />

Discussions with Eskom have commenced on <strong>the</strong><br />

following supply opportunities<br />

Koornfontien middlings<br />

Koornfontein 4 seam<br />

Schoonoord<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r green-fields resources<br />

“New” Eskom contracts will require profitable pricing to<br />

justify investment decisions<br />

Eskom looking to double generation capacity to<br />

80 000MW by 2026. Much of this growth will be coalfired<br />

generation.<br />

Mines Located Close to Power Stations<br />

Hendrina<br />

Power Station<br />

Komati<br />

Koornfontein<br />

Power Station<br />

Koornfontein<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong><br />

<strong>Optimum</strong><br />

Schoonoord<br />

Overvaal<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> <strong>Coal</strong> Assets Power Stations<br />

Mpumalanga<br />

Vlakfontein<br />

Mpumalanga<br />

Arnot<br />

Power Station<br />

Vlakfontei<br />

Camden<br />

Power Station<br />

Overva


22<br />

Transnet Freight Rail (“TFR”) Challenges<br />

TFR per<strong>for</strong>mance<br />

General TFR coal industry per<strong>for</strong>mance has been<br />

disappointing during <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong> under review<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries and Koornfontein Mines enjoy<br />

<strong>the</strong> benefit of rapid loading and have collectively<br />

railed 6.44mt to RBCT during <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong><br />

26% rail price increase implemented from April<br />

<strong>2011</strong>. Long term contract negotiations yet to be<br />

concluded<br />

20 day rail maintenance shutdown in May and<br />

<strong>June</strong> <strong>2011</strong> has resulted in 503kt of export coal on-<br />

mine at <strong>year</strong> end available <strong>for</strong> railing to RBCT.<br />

Post <strong>year</strong> – end, railings have normalised and on<br />

mine stocks are reducing<br />

TFR is committed to upgrading RBCT coal line to<br />

transport 81mtpa by 2015 through rolling stock<br />

and locomotive upgrades as well as efficiency<br />

improvements. RBCT railings <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e expected<br />

to improve into FY2012<br />

TFR railings per<strong>for</strong>mance to RBCT<br />

An 8000 ton TFR train being loaded at <strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries<br />

be<strong>for</strong>e routing to RBCT


Delivering on our group strategy<br />

Mike Teke


24<br />

Delivering on our group strategy<br />

Operations maturing and life of mine projects on track<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries<br />

Boschmanspoort & water treatment projects completed<br />

on time and within budget<br />

Completion of Kwagga North opencast project scheduled<br />

<strong>for</strong> <strong>June</strong> 2012 – on time and on budget - already coaling.<br />

Key driver of unit cost efficiencies going <strong>for</strong>ward<br />

New organisational structure in place to ensure delivery of<br />

targets<br />

Schoonoord brownfield reserve to be developed pending<br />

agreed off-take with Eskom<br />

Boschmanspoort underground mine high wall,<br />

conveyor and stock pile infrastructure<br />

Koornfontein Mines<br />

Gloria 2 seam currently being mined at commendable run<br />

rates – expected to be mined until ~ FY15<br />

TNC acquisition sets foundation <strong>for</strong> Koornfontein to return to a<br />

long life, high export quality mine. Acquisition expected to<br />

close H1, FY12.<br />

Development of 4 - seam project likely to depend on<br />

agreement on a definitive off-take with Eskom<br />

Water Reclamation Plant with lined discharge dams<br />

in <strong>the</strong> background<br />

Kwagga North tip construction progressing well


25<br />

Delivering on our strategy (continued)<br />

Looking Consolidate <strong>for</strong>ward our BEE - Optimising coal plat<strong>for</strong>m our portfolio and achieving capital and cost efficiencies<br />

Project capability increased and all projects accordingly being<br />

advanced<br />

No 1. priority is to develop TNC resource to extend Koornfontein‟s<br />

high value export product life by 12 <strong>year</strong>s<br />

Both <strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries and Koornfontein Mines now expected to<br />

use <strong>the</strong>ir full RBCT entitlement over <strong>the</strong> next 10 <strong>year</strong>s (≤ 8mtpa)<br />

Capital discipline within <strong>the</strong> group requires all projects to be<br />

ranked amidst <strong>the</strong> 2 key constraints of<br />

‒ RBCT entitlement and<br />

‒ Eskom contracts<br />

Disposal of platinum prospecting rights <strong>for</strong> R121m gross. R75.5m<br />

to be returned to shareholders through special dividend.<br />

Consolidating our BEE coal plat<strong>for</strong>m<br />

Currently considering o<strong>the</strong>r acquisitions, specifically<br />

operations and resources being disposed by o<strong>the</strong>r coal<br />

majors<br />

Remhoogte prospecting right acquisition signed in August<br />

<strong>2011</strong>, improving quality of export coal growth portfolio<br />

Ongoing review of export coal resource and RBCT<br />

opportunities<br />

South African BEE coal champion – deliver tonnage safely<br />

at competitive cost to ensure sustainable growth<br />

Sale of 26%<br />

in Afarak<br />

Platinum<br />

Recapitalise<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong><br />

Collieries<br />

IPO<br />

Acquisition of<br />

Koornfontein Mines<br />

Acquisition of<br />

Remhoogte<br />

prospecting<br />

rights<br />

Acquisition of<br />

TNC to extend<br />

Koornfontein<br />

LOM


26<br />

Growth Projects<br />

Growth pipeline intact<br />

Robust pipeline of brown and greenfields<br />

projects<br />

Timing of development project pipeline being<br />

evaluated<br />

― Capital optimisation<br />

― Product mix and production optimisation<br />

― Market requirements<br />

Brownfield projects<br />

― Kwagga North<br />

― TNC<br />

― Schoonoord<br />

― Koornfontein 4-seam<br />

Greenfield projects<br />

― Overvaal (mining right to be submitted Q2, FY12)<br />

― Vlakfontein (awaiting award of mining right)<br />

― Remhoogte (pre-feasibility work commenced)<br />

― Mpefu (to be divested)<br />

High quality growth projects<br />

Evaluation of timing of project development on-going<br />

Capital efficient projects enjoy higher ranking<br />

Project considerations to include Eskom off-take<br />

agreements, RBCT entitlement and TFR railing efficiencies<br />

Indicative project pipeline<br />

Exploration<br />

Mpefu<br />

Concept<br />

Eikeboom<br />

Pillars<br />

Remhoogte<br />

Brownfield coal projects<br />

Prefeasibility<br />

TNC<br />

Greenfield coal projects<br />

(1) Acquisitions remain subject to conditions precedent<br />

(1)<br />

(1)<br />

Feasibility<br />

Pullenshope<br />

Underground<br />

Eikeboom <strong>Coal</strong> Fines<br />

Koornfontein <strong>Coal</strong><br />

Fines<br />

Koornfontein<br />

2,4-seam<br />

Schoonoord<br />

Vlakfontein<br />

Overvaal<br />

Implementation<br />

Kwagga<br />

North<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> <strong>Coal</strong> LOM projects


27<br />

Remhoogte acquisition<br />

High export quality green-fields project<br />

Acquisition agreements signed with BHP Billiton<br />

in August <strong>2011</strong>. Consideration of R235 million<br />

will be settled in cash from own available cash<br />

resources and/ or re-financed debt facilities post<br />

completion of transaction conditions<br />

Inferred resource of <strong>30</strong>2mt based on C upper<br />

and C lower seams<br />

Mine design<br />

Underground bord and pillar<br />

4mt ROM per <strong>year</strong> over 16 <strong>year</strong> LOM life<br />

2.5mt exports (6000kcal) and 0.4mtpa<br />

middlings<br />

Timing of development will depend on portfolio<br />

ranking. Conceptually, an ideal replacement <strong>for</strong><br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> Colliery‟s export saleable production<br />

in <strong>the</strong> medium to long term, although market<br />

conditions and an improvement in export<br />

logistics could result in <strong>the</strong> development of <strong>the</strong><br />

project being expedited<br />

Situated close to RBCT railway line


QUESTIONS


Appendices


<strong>30</strong><br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries – Statistics<br />

ROM production (Mt)<br />

- Kwagga O/C<br />

- Kwagga North O/C<br />

- Pullenshope O/C<br />

- Eikeboom O/C<br />

- Boschmanspoort U/G<br />

Saleable product (Mt)<br />

- Export and inland<br />

- Eskom<br />

Railed to RBCT (Mt)<br />

Realised export revenue per ton (R/t)<br />

- Average API#4 price ($/ton)<br />

- Average R/$<br />

Capex (Rm)<br />

- Development (Rm)<br />

- Sustaining (Rm)<br />

FY <strong>2011</strong> FY 2010<br />

14.0 13.1<br />

6.9%<br />

(9.1%)<br />

9.5%<br />

13.0%<br />

(17.6%)<br />

19.2%<br />

3.1%<br />

4.3%<br />

2.0%<br />

2.2%<br />

26.9%<br />

37.4%<br />

(7.6%)<br />

Realised inland revenue per ton (R/t) 568.02 598.01 (5.0%)<br />

2.0<br />

2.3<br />

5.2<br />

1.4<br />

3.1<br />

4.9<br />

5.2<br />

2.2<br />

2.1<br />

4.6<br />

1.7<br />

2.6<br />

10.1 9.8<br />

699.14<br />

99.73<br />

4.7<br />

5.1<br />

4.7 4.6<br />

7.01<br />

566<br />

273<br />

293<br />

550.73<br />

72.56<br />

7.59<br />

848<br />

711<br />

137<br />

% change<br />

(33%)<br />

(62%)<br />

114%


31<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries – Cash Cost Structure<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> Collieries costs Cash cost reconciliation<br />

On-mine cash cost per saleable ton (ZAR/ton)<br />

<strong>30</strong>0.00<br />

250.00<br />

200.00<br />

150.00<br />

100.00<br />

50.00<br />

0.00<br />

Contractor fees<br />

38%<br />

259.88 259.68<br />

FY<strong>2011</strong> FY2010<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> on-mine cash cost structure<br />

Utilities<br />

4%<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r<br />

(4)%<br />

Labour<br />

23%<br />

Consumables<br />

39%<br />

ZAR MM, t’000 FY<strong>2011</strong> FY2010<br />

On-mine cash costs 2 703 2 539<br />

Rail and port costs 494 480<br />

Total cash costs 3 197 3 019<br />

ROM tons 13 966 13 627<br />

On-mine cash cost per ROM ton 193.53 186.29<br />

Saleable tons 10 400 9 775<br />

Sales tons 10 288 9 667<br />

On-mine cash cost per saleable ton 259.88 259.68<br />

Total cash costs 3 197 3 019<br />

Eskom sales revenue (532) (397)<br />

Total cash costs net of Eskom revenue 2 665 2 622<br />

Export saleable tons 4 904 4 721<br />

Export Sales tons 4 798 4 610<br />

All-in cash cost per export saleable ton 543.55 555.51<br />

All-in cash cost per export sales ton 555.55 568.69


32<br />

Koornfontein Mines – Statistics (1)<br />

ROM production (Mt)<br />

- Gloria U/G<br />

- Blinkpan U/G<br />

Saleable product (Mt)<br />

- Export<br />

- Eskom and inland<br />

Railed to RBCT (Mt)<br />

Realised export revenue per ton (R/t)<br />

- Average API#4 price ($/ton)<br />

- Average R/$<br />

Capex (Rm)<br />

- Development (Rm)<br />

- Sustaining (Rm)<br />

FY <strong>2011</strong> FY 2010<br />

2.9<br />

2.9<br />

-<br />

3.0<br />

1.8<br />

1.2<br />

1.7<br />

545.26<br />

71.90<br />

7.58<br />

6.9%<br />

6.9%<br />

Discard reclaimed 2.9 2.7 7.4%<br />

120<br />

22<br />

98<br />

-<br />

6.6%<br />

5.5%<br />

8.3%<br />

0%<br />

<strong>30</strong>.1%<br />

40.7%<br />

(7.9%)<br />

Realised inland revenue per ton (R/t) 138.67 133.78 3.7%<br />

3.1<br />

3.1<br />

-<br />

3.2<br />

1.9<br />

1.3<br />

1.7<br />

709.21<br />

101.17<br />

7.01<br />

115<br />

22<br />

93<br />

% change<br />

(4.2%)<br />

0%<br />

(5.1%)<br />

(1) The above analysis shows <strong>the</strong> operating data <strong>for</strong> Koornfontein mines <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> relevant financial <strong>year</strong>s. Koornfontein Mines was however only<br />

consolidated into <strong>the</strong> Group operations with effect from 1 March 2010 and provided 4 months attributable production in <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong> to <strong>June</strong> „10


33<br />

Koornfontein Mines – Cash Cost Structure<br />

Koornfontein Mines costs Cash cost reconciliation<br />

On-mine cash cost per saleable ton (ZAR/ton)<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

211.50<br />

Koornfontein on-mine cash cost structure<br />

Contractor fees<br />

19%<br />

Utilities<br />

6%<br />

O<strong>the</strong>r<br />

8%<br />

Consumables<br />

22%<br />

192.10<br />

FY<strong>2011</strong> FY2010<br />

Labour<br />

45%<br />

ZAR MM, t’000 FY<strong>2011</strong> FY2010<br />

On-mine cash costs 672 584<br />

Rail and port costs 176 187<br />

Total cash costs 848 771<br />

ROM tons 3 129 2 936<br />

On-mine cash cost per ROM ton 214.61 198.88<br />

Discard reclaimed 2 9<strong>30</strong> 2 679<br />

Saleable tons 3 175 3 040<br />

Sales tons 3 163 2 923<br />

On-mine cash cost per saleable ton 211.50 192.10<br />

Total cash costs 848 771<br />

Eskom sales revenue (184) (132)<br />

Total cash costs net of Eskom revenue 664 639<br />

Export saleable tons 1 872 1 806<br />

Export sales tons 1 719 1 664<br />

All-in cash cost per export saleable ton 354.53 353.82<br />

All-in cash cost per export sales ton 386.09 384.31


34<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> <strong>Coal</strong> – Group Cash Cost Structure<br />

Group costs Cash cost reconciliation<br />

Koornfontein Mines was acquired on 1 March<br />

2010 and <strong>the</strong> has been fully consolidated into <strong>the</strong><br />

group with effect from this date<br />

The table on <strong>the</strong> right shows <strong>the</strong> actual group<br />

cash cost structure <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong> ending <strong>30</strong> <strong>June</strong><br />

<strong>2011</strong> and <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>oretical cost structure had<br />

Koornfontein Mines been wholly-owned <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> full<br />

FY2010 period<br />

Group costs<br />

On-mine cash cost per saleable ton (ZAR/ton)<br />

<strong>30</strong>0<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

251.81 245.42<br />

FY<strong>2011</strong> FY2010<br />

ZAR MM, t’000 FY<strong>2011</strong> FY2010<br />

On-mine cash costs 3 418 3 145<br />

Rail and port costs 670 667<br />

Total cash costs 4 089 3 812<br />

ROM tons 17 095 16 563<br />

On-mine cash cost per ROM ton 199.96 189.88<br />

Discard reclaimed 2 9<strong>30</strong> 2 679<br />

Saleable tons 13 575 12 815<br />

On-mine cash cost per saleable ton 251.81 245.42<br />

Total cash costs 4 089 3 812<br />

Eskom sales revenue (716) (529)<br />

Total cash costs net of Eskom revenue 3 373 3 283<br />

Export saleable tons 6 776 6 527<br />

Export sales tons 6 517 6 274<br />

All-in cash cost per export saleable ton 497.83 502.99<br />

All-in cash cost per export sales ton 517.61 523.27


35<br />

Reconciliation of Headline Earnings<br />

(Amounts Rm, unless o<strong>the</strong>rwise indicated)<br />

Adjusted <strong>for</strong><br />

- Loss on sale of plant and equipment<br />

- Gain from business combination (1)<br />

- Fair value gain on available <strong>for</strong> sale financial assets<br />

transferred to profit or loss on disposal<br />

- Profit on sale of platinum investments<br />

- Tax effects of above adjustments (2)<br />

- Bargain purchase gain<br />

FY<strong>2011</strong> FY2010<br />

Profit attributable to equity holders 459 215<br />

IFRS<br />

(52) (168)<br />

16<br />

-<br />

-<br />

(74)<br />

6<br />

-<br />

Headline earnings 407 47<br />

Total share in issue („000 shares)<br />

Effect of own shares held (3) („000 shares)<br />

Share issued during <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong><br />

Weighted no. of share o/s at <strong>year</strong> end (4) („000 shares)<br />

EPS (IFRS) (cps)<br />

HEPS (IFRS) (cps)<br />

Normalised<br />

Total share in issue („000 shares)<br />

Share issued during <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong><br />

Weighted no. of share o/s at <strong>year</strong> end (4) („000 shares)<br />

Normalised EPS (cps)<br />

Normalised HEPS (cps)<br />

251 786<br />

(52 000)<br />

-<br />

199 786<br />

2<strong>30</strong><br />

203<br />

251 786<br />

-<br />

251 786<br />

183<br />

162<br />

25<br />

(95)<br />

(88)<br />

-<br />

5<br />

(15)<br />

200 000<br />

(52 000)<br />

15 566<br />

163 566<br />

132<br />

29<br />

200 000<br />

15 566<br />

215 566<br />

100<br />

22<br />

Notes<br />

(1) Achieved in stages<br />

(2) Gain from business combination and<br />

bargain purchase gain are deemed to be<br />

permanent differences <strong>for</strong> taxation<br />

purposes and <strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e do not have tax<br />

adjustment effects<br />

(3) 52 000 000 shares collectively owned by<br />

<strong>the</strong> Employee, Community and Executive<br />

Share Incentive Trusts are deemed to be<br />

under <strong>the</strong> control of <strong>the</strong> Company and are<br />

<strong>the</strong>re<strong>for</strong>e excluded from <strong>the</strong> calculation of<br />

shares outstanding <strong>for</strong> IFRS purposes.<br />

(4) Weighted average number of shares<br />

outstanding during <strong>the</strong> <strong>year</strong>


36<br />

Disclaimer<br />

This document including, without limitation, those statements concerning <strong>the</strong> outlook, <strong>Optimum</strong><br />

<strong>Coal</strong>'s expansion projects and its capital resources and expenditure, contain certain <strong>for</strong>wardlooking<br />

views. By <strong>the</strong>ir nature, <strong>for</strong>ward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty and<br />

although <strong>Optimum</strong> <strong>Coal</strong> believes that <strong>the</strong> expectations reflected in such <strong>for</strong>ward-looking statements<br />

are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct.<br />

Accordingly, results could differ materially from those set out in <strong>the</strong> <strong>for</strong>ward-looking statements as a<br />

result of, among o<strong>the</strong>r factors, changes in economic and market conditions, success of business<br />

and operating initiatives, changes in <strong>the</strong> regulatory environment and o<strong>the</strong>r government action and<br />

business and operational risk management.<br />

While <strong>Optimum</strong> <strong>Coal</strong> takes reasonable care to ensure <strong>the</strong> accuracy of <strong>the</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation presented,<br />

<strong>Optimum</strong> <strong>Coal</strong> accepts no responsibility <strong>for</strong> any direct, indirect, consequential, special and/or<br />

incidental damages, whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>for</strong>eseeable or un<strong>for</strong>eseeable, based on claims arising out of<br />

misrepresentation or negligence arising in connection with a <strong>for</strong>ward-looking statement. This<br />

document is not int<strong>ended</strong> to contain any profit <strong>for</strong>ecasts or profit estimates, and <strong>the</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />

published in this document is unaudited.

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