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Prime Morning Notes - Zawya

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Indices Close Ch (%)<br />

PEMI 1,214.26 ▲ 0.43% ▲ 38.00%<br />

DFMGI 1,759.21 ▲ 1.35% ▲ 7.51%<br />

ADI 2,699.07 ▲ 0.20% ▲ 12.93%<br />

ESM 2,722.25 ▲ 0.51% ▲ 7.59%<br />

Market Statistics ADX<br />

Traded Value (AED mn) 136.87<br />

Total Volume (mn) 53.62<br />

No. of Transactions 1,721<br />

Issues Advanced 17<br />

Issues Declined 10<br />

Issues Unchanged 6<br />

Market Statistics DFM<br />

Traded Value (AED mn) 457.43<br />

Total Volume (mn) 221.16<br />

No. of Transactions 5,322<br />

Issues Advanced 16<br />

Issues Declined 8<br />

Issues Unchanged 4<br />

Top Gainers Price<br />

<strong>Prime</strong> <strong>Morning</strong> <strong>Notes</strong><br />

YTD (%)<br />

Abu Dhabi National Insurance 8.21 ▲ 9.47<br />

RAK Ceramics 1.48 ▲ 7.25<br />

National Marine Dredging Co 8.20 ▲ 6.49<br />

Methaq 3.34 ▲ 6.37<br />

Top Losers Price<br />

Hits Telecom Holding 1.34 ▼ -7.59<br />

Al Madina For Finance 1.01 ▼ -4.72<br />

Al Salam Bank - Sudan 2.37 ▼ -3.27<br />

Gulf Pharmaceutical - JULPHAR 1.60 ▼ -3.03<br />

%<br />

%<br />

Top by Value Price AED<br />

Emaar Properties 3.67 253,730,000<br />

Dubai Financial Market 1.83 76,145,700<br />

AL Dar Properties 5.03 49,754,670<br />

Arabtec Holding Company 2.23 43,369,300<br />

AED Billions Market Cap. Market Cap./<br />

GDP<br />

DFM 160.59 17.10%<br />

ADX 306.73 32.67%<br />

Today’s Headlines<br />

UAE<br />

December 27, 2009<br />

Drake & Scull International PJSC (DSI.DU) BoD approved on Thursday 24th December<br />

2009, the acquisition of “Drake & Scull International for Electrical Contracting”, a prominent<br />

player in Mechanical Electrical and Plumbing (MEP) contracting in Kuwait owned by Drake &<br />

Scull Group and Kuwait Holding Company. With this acquisition DSI will own 75% of Drake &<br />

Scull International for Electrical Contracting.<br />

1,230<br />

1,225<br />

1,220<br />

1,215<br />

1,210<br />

PEMI Index Intraday<br />

1,205<br />

10.00 10.30 11.00 11.30 12.00 12.30 13.00 13.30 14.00<br />

DFM Commentary<br />

The DFM General Index gained 1.35% (23.51 points) to close at 1,759.21 points after<br />

trading AED457 million worth of shares, which left 16 stocks up, 8 down and 4 unchanged.<br />

Emaar Properties was the most traded stock capturing AED254 million of the<br />

total gaining 2.23% to AED3.67. DFM followed trading AED76 million rising 2.24% to<br />

AED1.83, then Arabtec trading AED43 million advancing 2.29% to AED2.23 and Air Arabia<br />

trading AED10 million closing unchanged at AED0.91. Ekttitab Holding Co. traded<br />

AED10 million rising 2.94% to AED0.7, Al-Madina for Finance & Investment traded AED9<br />

million losing 4.72% to AED1.01 and Drake & Scull Intl. traded AED7 million to close<br />

2.33% higher at AED0.88. Deyaar was next trading AED6 million advancing 1.75% to<br />

AED0.58, then Dubai Islamic Bank trading AED6 million up 1.35% to AED2.26 and Union<br />

Properties trading AED5 million to end the day 1.52% higher at AED0.67. Other gainers<br />

included Aramex rising 1.28% to AED1.58, Emirates NBD gaining 2.08% to AED2.95,<br />

Dubai Investments Co. advancing 2.11% to AED0.97 and Gulf Navigation climbing<br />

3.51% to AED0.59. Hits Telecom Holding was also among the losers dropping 7.59% to<br />

AED1.34 as was Gulf General Investment Co., sliding 0.91% to AED1.09.<br />

ADX Commentary<br />

The AD General Index gained 0.2% (5.26 points) to close at 2,699.07 points after trading<br />

AED137 million worth of shares, which left 19 stocks up, 10 down and 6 unchanged.<br />

ALDAR Properties was the most traded stock capturing AED50 million of the total losing<br />

0.4% to AED4.95. Sorouh Real Estate followed trading AED27 million falling 0.39% to<br />

AED2.54, then AD National Hotels trading AED14 million advancing 0.57% to AED3.54<br />

and Etisalat trading AED14 million closing unchanged at AED10.65. Dana Gas traded<br />

AED8 million falling 1.08% to AED0.91, Aabar Investments traded AED5 million losing<br />

0.45% to AED2.19 and RAK Properties traded AED5 million to close 1.75% higher at<br />

AED0.58. Waha Capital PJSC was next trading AED3 million unchanged at AED0.8, then<br />

First Gulf Bank trading AED3 million unchanged at AED16 and AD Islamic Bank trading<br />

AED2 million to end the day 0.35% higher at AED2.84. Other gainers included Methaq<br />

Takaful Insurance rising 6.37% to AED3.39, RAK Cement gaining 1.03% to AED0.97, AD<br />

Commercial Bank advancing 3.87% to AED1.62 and Sharjah Cement climbing 2.36% to<br />

AED1.3. AD National Energy was also among the losers dropping 2.42% to AED1.21 as<br />

was Bank of Sharjah, sliding 0.99% to AED2.<br />

Tables Sources: DFM, ADX, ESM, Reuters, <strong>Prime</strong> Estimates<br />

<strong>Prime</strong> Research 1


<strong>Prime</strong> <strong>Morning</strong> <strong>Notes</strong><br />

Corporate News<br />

Drake & Scull International PJSC (DSI.DU) BoD approved on<br />

Thursday 24th December 2009, the acquisition of “Drake & Scull International<br />

for Electrical Contracting”, a prominent player in Mechanical<br />

Electrical and Plumbing (MEP) contracting in Kuwait owned by Drake &<br />

Scull Group and Kuwait Holding Company. With this acquisition DSI will<br />

own 75% of Drake & Scull International for Electrical Contracting. It is<br />

also in step with DSI declaration since its IPO that the company would<br />

actively pursue acquisition negotiations in Kuwait, Qatar and Saudi<br />

Arabia. Last month, DSI acquired 82% of Passavant-Roediger – a<br />

global specialist in wastewater and sludge treatment with operations<br />

across 13 countries.<br />

Source: DFM<br />

International Latest Previous<br />

1 GBP 5.86 5.87 ▼ 0.01<br />

1 Euro 5.29 5.27 ▲ 0.02<br />

1 USD 3.67 3.67 0.00<br />

1 CHF 3.55 3.53 ▲ 0.02<br />

Currency Boards<br />

Change<br />

Money Market Indicators<br />

Company Event Date<br />

Union National Bank 29/12/09 BOD<br />

Regional Latest Previous<br />

Change<br />

1 KWD 12.80 12.8 0.00<br />

1BD 9.74 9.74 0.00<br />

1SR 0.98 0.98 0.00<br />

1OR 9.54 9.54 0.00<br />

UAE IBOR 1 Week ∆ BPS 3 Months ∆ BPS 6 Months<br />

UAE<br />

December 27, 2009<br />

AED 0.57 ▲ 2.00 1.91 ▲ 2.00 2.14 ▲ 1.00<br />

USD 0.35 ▲ 15.00 0.60 ▲ 30.00 0.45 ▼ 10.00<br />

GBP 0.57 ▼ 11.00 0.71 ▼ 17.00 0.98 ▼ 13.00<br />

EURO 0.32 ▼ 3.00 0.63 ▲ 14.00 0.89 ▲ 7.00<br />

SR 0.45 ▲ 14.00 0.80 ▲ 49.00 0.74 ▼ 26.00<br />

Corporate Calendar<br />

Macro News<br />

Central banks of 4 Gulf countries will halt their lending operations next<br />

week in line with their landmark agreement to launch the world's second<br />

major monetary union, a Saudi newspaper reported. Saudi Arabia,<br />

Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain, members of the GCC, will ask their central<br />

bank to completely stop lending from the beginning of 2010, when<br />

their monetary union is commissioned. The move is in line with an<br />

agreement by the heads of state of the four signatories at the GCC<br />

summit in Kuwait in mid-December. "The 4 members will begin at the<br />

start of 2010 implementing their summit decision, which bans their<br />

central bank from lending," the paper said.<br />

Source: <strong>Zawya</strong><br />

Oil traded little changed after a government report on Thursday<br />

showed a larger-than-expected decline in U.S. stockpiles, signaling a<br />

recovery in fuel demand in the world’s largest energy consumer. U.S.<br />

crude inventories fell for a third straight week, dropping to the lowest<br />

level since January, according to yesterday’s report. Crude oil for February<br />

delivery fell 17 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $76.50 a barrel in electronic<br />

trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Pumping has<br />

restarted through Iraq’s 450,000 barrel-a-day oil export pipeline to<br />

Turkey after an explosion forced its closure on Dec. 20, Turkey’s Energy<br />

Ministry said. Volume through the link should return to normal in<br />

a few days, a ministry official in Ankara said today, speaking on condition<br />

of anonymity.<br />

Source: Bloomberg<br />

<strong>Prime</strong> Research 2<br />

Note<br />

∆ BPS


<strong>Prime</strong> <strong>Morning</strong> <strong>Notes</strong> Market Scan December 27, 2009<br />

Indices Last Open High Low Volume Value D/D Change* YTD Change<br />

Abu Dhabi (ADX)<br />

Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank 1.62 1.55 1.63 1.55 418,400 673,635 ▲4.5% ▼9.0%<br />

Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank 2.84 2.86 2.87 2.80 568,227 1,606,918 ▲0.7% ▲9.2%<br />

First Gulf Bank 16.00 16.10 16.10 16.00 192,100 3,076,980 ▲0.0% ▲74.9%<br />

Arkan Building Materials 2.19 2.35 2.35 2.19 86,202 197,170 ▼3.5% ▼63.6%<br />

Waha Capital 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.80 4,041,466 3,273,987 ▼1.2% ▲45.5%<br />

Abu Dhabi National Energy Co. 1.21 1.20 1.22 1.20 968,543 1,168,112 ▼2.4% ▲18.6%<br />

Dana Gas 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.90 8,607,947 7,920,229 ▼2.2% ▲54.2%<br />

Ras Al Khaimah Cement Co. 0.97 0.97 1.00 0.95 718,277 706,235 ▲0.0% ▲19.8%<br />

Emirates Telecom Etisalat 10.65 10.70 10.85 10.65 1,298,406 13,985,933 ▼0.9% ▲7.3%<br />

Aldar 4.95 5.02 5.13 4.94 9,886,218 49,754,669 ▼2.0% ▲24.7%<br />

Aabar 2.19 2.18 2.25 2.18 2,213,358 4,898,477 ▼1.4% ▲23.0%<br />

RAK Properties 0.58 0.57 0.59 0.56 8,231,851 4,796,948 ▲1.8% ▲11.5%<br />

Sorouh Real Estate Co. 2.54 2.51 2.60 2.47 10,397,836 26,573,800 ▼1.2% ▼19.6%<br />

Dubai (DFM)<br />

Emirates National Bank of Dubai 2.95 2.90 2.97 2.90 1,291,400 3,825,543 ▲2.1% ▼3.3%<br />

Dubai Investment Co. 0.97 0.95 0.98 0.95 3,492,018 3,370,536 ▲2.1% ▼4.0%<br />

Dubai Islamic Bank 2.26 2.22 2.29 2.19 2,500,268 5,639,197 ▲1.3% ▲36.1%<br />

DU 2.77 2.77 2.81 2.71 312,414 872,826 ▼0.4% ▲27.6%<br />

Gulf Navigation 0.59 0.57 0.59 0.57 2,885,049 1,666,073 ▲3.5% ▼7.8%<br />

Dubai Financial Market 1.83 1.80 1.87 1.76 41,524,673 76,145,736 ▲2.2% ▲46.4%<br />

Islamic Arabic Insurance Company 0.86 0.86 0.88 0.84 5,144,960 4,435,416 ▲0.0% ▲10.3%<br />

Aramex 1.58 1.56 1.62 1.53 2,692,939 4,294,889 ▲1.3% ▲81.6%<br />

Arab Technical Construction Co. 2.23 2.15 2.24 2.13 19,688,084 43,369,308 ▲2.3% ▼1.3%<br />

National Central Cooling Tabreed 0.79 0.79 0.81 0.78 4,359,577 3,467,094 ▲0.0% ▲51.9%<br />

Emaar Properties 3.67 3.60 3.76 3.53 69,216,472 253,729,668 ▲2.2% ▲62.4%<br />

Union Properties 0.67 0.66 0.68 0.65 7,682,296 5,144,046 ▲1.5% ▼6.9%<br />

Deyaar Properties 0.58 0.57 0.59 0.56 10,807,280 6,240,605 ▲1.8% ▲16.0%<br />

Air Arabia 0.91 0.90 0.92 0.90 10,843,956 9,888,937 ▲0.0% ▲2.2%<br />

Source: Reuters<br />

*D/D change calculated on today's last price vs. previous day closing price<br />

<strong>Prime</strong> Research 3<br />

3


<strong>Prime</strong> <strong>Morning</strong> <strong>Notes</strong><br />

UAE Research Outputs<br />

UAE<br />

December 27, 2009<br />

Sector Title Equity RIC Report Type Target Prices AED<br />

Banking Sector<br />

1H09 Update Emirates NBD ENBD.DU Results Update 5.23<br />

1H09 Update National Bank of Abu Dhabi NBAD.AD Results Update 12.31<br />

1H09 Update<br />

Abu Dhabi Commercial<br />

Bank<br />

ADCB.AD Results Update 2.11<br />

1H09 Update First Gulf Bank FGB.AD Results Update 20.31<br />

1H09 Update Union National Bank UNB.AD Results Update 4.56<br />

Initiation of Coverage Dubai Islamic Bank DISB.DU Initiation of Coverage 3.20<br />

Initiation of Coverage Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank ADIB.AD Initiation of Coverage 4.40<br />

Macro Report “Redefining Regional Rules, Roles & Rewards” *N/A *N/A Annual Update *N/A<br />

Service Sector<br />

UAE Real Estate<br />

Sector<br />

Abu Dhabi Real<br />

Estate Sector<br />

Dubai Real Estate<br />

Sector<br />

1H09 Update<br />

National Central Cooling Co.<br />

- Tabreed<br />

TABR.DU Results Update 1.18<br />

1H09 Update Air Arabia AIRA.DU Results Update 1.33<br />

FY08 Update Aramex ARMX.DU Results Update 1.70<br />

“Visions of a Grandeur” *N/A<br />

"New Leadership, New Vision" *N/A<br />

Initiation of Sector<br />

Coverage<br />

Initiation of Sector<br />

Coverage<br />

‘Perfectly Poised’ to offer Value? Sorouh Real Estate SOR.AD Initiation of Coverage **13.18<br />

Initiation of Coverage Al Dar Real Estate ALDR.AD Initiation of Coverage 5.80<br />

“Redefining Real Estate as a Strategic Priority” Union Properties UPRO.DU Results Update **5.95<br />

“Replicating the Dubai Miracle Abroad” Emaar Properties EMAR.DU Initiation of Coverage **13.51<br />

Construction FY08 Update Arabtec Holding Company ARTC.DU Results Update 6.19<br />

Telecommunication<br />

Cement Sector<br />

Investment and<br />

Financial Service<br />

Sector<br />

Insurance Sector 1H09 Update<br />

FY08 Update Etisalat ETEL.AD Results Update 15.7<br />

1H09 Update Du DU.DU Results Update 3.37<br />

9M08 Update Gulf Cement GCEM.AD Results Update 4.79<br />

9M08 Update Union Cement UCC.AD Results Update 3.97<br />

FY08 Update RAK Cement RKCC.AD Results Update 1.98<br />

1H09 Update Dubai Financial Market DFM.DU Results Update 1.76<br />

Initiation of Coverage Dubai Investments DINV.DU Initiation of Coverage 1.65<br />

Islamic Arab Insurance Co.<br />

(Salama)<br />

<strong>Prime</strong> Research 4<br />

*N/A<br />

*N/A<br />

IAIC.DU Results Update 1.31<br />

Consumer Sector Initiation of Coverage Agthia Group AGTH.AD Initiation of Coverage 1.75<br />

Oil and Gas Sector 1Q09 Update Dana Gas DANA.AD Results Update 1.22<br />

** Currently under review<br />

1H09 Update Abu Dhabi National Energy TAQA.AD Results Update 2.11<br />

Qatar Research Outputs<br />

Sector Title Equity RIC Report Type Target Prices QAR<br />

Banking Sector<br />

Service Sector Initiation of Coverage<br />

1H09 Update Qatar National Bank QNBK.QA Results Update 153.48<br />

1H09 Update Commercial Bank of Qatar COMB.QA Results Update 82.01<br />

Qatar Gas Transport Co.<br />

(Nakilat)<br />

QGTS.QA Initiation of Coverage 30.5<br />

Telecom Sector 1H09 Update Qatar Telecom QTEL.QA Results Update 153.70<br />

Industrial Sector Initiation of Coverage Industries Qatar IQCD.QA Initiation of Coverage 103.00<br />

Utilities Sector Initiation of Coverage<br />

Qatar Electricity & Water<br />

Company<br />

QEWC.QA Initiation of Coverage 136.90


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<strong>Prime</strong> Research 5

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