Prime Morning Notes - Zawya
Prime Morning Notes - Zawya
Prime Morning Notes - Zawya
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Indices Close Ch (%)<br />
PEMI 1,214.26 ▲ 0.43% ▲ 38.00%<br />
DFMGI 1,759.21 ▲ 1.35% ▲ 7.51%<br />
ADI 2,699.07 ▲ 0.20% ▲ 12.93%<br />
ESM 2,722.25 ▲ 0.51% ▲ 7.59%<br />
Market Statistics ADX<br />
Traded Value (AED mn) 136.87<br />
Total Volume (mn) 53.62<br />
No. of Transactions 1,721<br />
Issues Advanced 17<br />
Issues Declined 10<br />
Issues Unchanged 6<br />
Market Statistics DFM<br />
Traded Value (AED mn) 457.43<br />
Total Volume (mn) 221.16<br />
No. of Transactions 5,322<br />
Issues Advanced 16<br />
Issues Declined 8<br />
Issues Unchanged 4<br />
Top Gainers Price<br />
<strong>Prime</strong> <strong>Morning</strong> <strong>Notes</strong><br />
YTD (%)<br />
Abu Dhabi National Insurance 8.21 ▲ 9.47<br />
RAK Ceramics 1.48 ▲ 7.25<br />
National Marine Dredging Co 8.20 ▲ 6.49<br />
Methaq 3.34 ▲ 6.37<br />
Top Losers Price<br />
Hits Telecom Holding 1.34 ▼ -7.59<br />
Al Madina For Finance 1.01 ▼ -4.72<br />
Al Salam Bank - Sudan 2.37 ▼ -3.27<br />
Gulf Pharmaceutical - JULPHAR 1.60 ▼ -3.03<br />
%<br />
%<br />
Top by Value Price AED<br />
Emaar Properties 3.67 253,730,000<br />
Dubai Financial Market 1.83 76,145,700<br />
AL Dar Properties 5.03 49,754,670<br />
Arabtec Holding Company 2.23 43,369,300<br />
AED Billions Market Cap. Market Cap./<br />
GDP<br />
DFM 160.59 17.10%<br />
ADX 306.73 32.67%<br />
Today’s Headlines<br />
UAE<br />
December 27, 2009<br />
Drake & Scull International PJSC (DSI.DU) BoD approved on Thursday 24th December<br />
2009, the acquisition of “Drake & Scull International for Electrical Contracting”, a prominent<br />
player in Mechanical Electrical and Plumbing (MEP) contracting in Kuwait owned by Drake &<br />
Scull Group and Kuwait Holding Company. With this acquisition DSI will own 75% of Drake &<br />
Scull International for Electrical Contracting.<br />
1,230<br />
1,225<br />
1,220<br />
1,215<br />
1,210<br />
PEMI Index Intraday<br />
1,205<br />
10.00 10.30 11.00 11.30 12.00 12.30 13.00 13.30 14.00<br />
DFM Commentary<br />
The DFM General Index gained 1.35% (23.51 points) to close at 1,759.21 points after<br />
trading AED457 million worth of shares, which left 16 stocks up, 8 down and 4 unchanged.<br />
Emaar Properties was the most traded stock capturing AED254 million of the<br />
total gaining 2.23% to AED3.67. DFM followed trading AED76 million rising 2.24% to<br />
AED1.83, then Arabtec trading AED43 million advancing 2.29% to AED2.23 and Air Arabia<br />
trading AED10 million closing unchanged at AED0.91. Ekttitab Holding Co. traded<br />
AED10 million rising 2.94% to AED0.7, Al-Madina for Finance & Investment traded AED9<br />
million losing 4.72% to AED1.01 and Drake & Scull Intl. traded AED7 million to close<br />
2.33% higher at AED0.88. Deyaar was next trading AED6 million advancing 1.75% to<br />
AED0.58, then Dubai Islamic Bank trading AED6 million up 1.35% to AED2.26 and Union<br />
Properties trading AED5 million to end the day 1.52% higher at AED0.67. Other gainers<br />
included Aramex rising 1.28% to AED1.58, Emirates NBD gaining 2.08% to AED2.95,<br />
Dubai Investments Co. advancing 2.11% to AED0.97 and Gulf Navigation climbing<br />
3.51% to AED0.59. Hits Telecom Holding was also among the losers dropping 7.59% to<br />
AED1.34 as was Gulf General Investment Co., sliding 0.91% to AED1.09.<br />
ADX Commentary<br />
The AD General Index gained 0.2% (5.26 points) to close at 2,699.07 points after trading<br />
AED137 million worth of shares, which left 19 stocks up, 10 down and 6 unchanged.<br />
ALDAR Properties was the most traded stock capturing AED50 million of the total losing<br />
0.4% to AED4.95. Sorouh Real Estate followed trading AED27 million falling 0.39% to<br />
AED2.54, then AD National Hotels trading AED14 million advancing 0.57% to AED3.54<br />
and Etisalat trading AED14 million closing unchanged at AED10.65. Dana Gas traded<br />
AED8 million falling 1.08% to AED0.91, Aabar Investments traded AED5 million losing<br />
0.45% to AED2.19 and RAK Properties traded AED5 million to close 1.75% higher at<br />
AED0.58. Waha Capital PJSC was next trading AED3 million unchanged at AED0.8, then<br />
First Gulf Bank trading AED3 million unchanged at AED16 and AD Islamic Bank trading<br />
AED2 million to end the day 0.35% higher at AED2.84. Other gainers included Methaq<br />
Takaful Insurance rising 6.37% to AED3.39, RAK Cement gaining 1.03% to AED0.97, AD<br />
Commercial Bank advancing 3.87% to AED1.62 and Sharjah Cement climbing 2.36% to<br />
AED1.3. AD National Energy was also among the losers dropping 2.42% to AED1.21 as<br />
was Bank of Sharjah, sliding 0.99% to AED2.<br />
Tables Sources: DFM, ADX, ESM, Reuters, <strong>Prime</strong> Estimates<br />
<strong>Prime</strong> Research 1
<strong>Prime</strong> <strong>Morning</strong> <strong>Notes</strong><br />
Corporate News<br />
Drake & Scull International PJSC (DSI.DU) BoD approved on<br />
Thursday 24th December 2009, the acquisition of “Drake & Scull International<br />
for Electrical Contracting”, a prominent player in Mechanical<br />
Electrical and Plumbing (MEP) contracting in Kuwait owned by Drake &<br />
Scull Group and Kuwait Holding Company. With this acquisition DSI will<br />
own 75% of Drake & Scull International for Electrical Contracting. It is<br />
also in step with DSI declaration since its IPO that the company would<br />
actively pursue acquisition negotiations in Kuwait, Qatar and Saudi<br />
Arabia. Last month, DSI acquired 82% of Passavant-Roediger – a<br />
global specialist in wastewater and sludge treatment with operations<br />
across 13 countries.<br />
Source: DFM<br />
International Latest Previous<br />
1 GBP 5.86 5.87 ▼ 0.01<br />
1 Euro 5.29 5.27 ▲ 0.02<br />
1 USD 3.67 3.67 0.00<br />
1 CHF 3.55 3.53 ▲ 0.02<br />
Currency Boards<br />
Change<br />
Money Market Indicators<br />
Company Event Date<br />
Union National Bank 29/12/09 BOD<br />
Regional Latest Previous<br />
Change<br />
1 KWD 12.80 12.8 0.00<br />
1BD 9.74 9.74 0.00<br />
1SR 0.98 0.98 0.00<br />
1OR 9.54 9.54 0.00<br />
UAE IBOR 1 Week ∆ BPS 3 Months ∆ BPS 6 Months<br />
UAE<br />
December 27, 2009<br />
AED 0.57 ▲ 2.00 1.91 ▲ 2.00 2.14 ▲ 1.00<br />
USD 0.35 ▲ 15.00 0.60 ▲ 30.00 0.45 ▼ 10.00<br />
GBP 0.57 ▼ 11.00 0.71 ▼ 17.00 0.98 ▼ 13.00<br />
EURO 0.32 ▼ 3.00 0.63 ▲ 14.00 0.89 ▲ 7.00<br />
SR 0.45 ▲ 14.00 0.80 ▲ 49.00 0.74 ▼ 26.00<br />
Corporate Calendar<br />
Macro News<br />
Central banks of 4 Gulf countries will halt their lending operations next<br />
week in line with their landmark agreement to launch the world's second<br />
major monetary union, a Saudi newspaper reported. Saudi Arabia,<br />
Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain, members of the GCC, will ask their central<br />
bank to completely stop lending from the beginning of 2010, when<br />
their monetary union is commissioned. The move is in line with an<br />
agreement by the heads of state of the four signatories at the GCC<br />
summit in Kuwait in mid-December. "The 4 members will begin at the<br />
start of 2010 implementing their summit decision, which bans their<br />
central bank from lending," the paper said.<br />
Source: <strong>Zawya</strong><br />
Oil traded little changed after a government report on Thursday<br />
showed a larger-than-expected decline in U.S. stockpiles, signaling a<br />
recovery in fuel demand in the world’s largest energy consumer. U.S.<br />
crude inventories fell for a third straight week, dropping to the lowest<br />
level since January, according to yesterday’s report. Crude oil for February<br />
delivery fell 17 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $76.50 a barrel in electronic<br />
trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Pumping has<br />
restarted through Iraq’s 450,000 barrel-a-day oil export pipeline to<br />
Turkey after an explosion forced its closure on Dec. 20, Turkey’s Energy<br />
Ministry said. Volume through the link should return to normal in<br />
a few days, a ministry official in Ankara said today, speaking on condition<br />
of anonymity.<br />
Source: Bloomberg<br />
<strong>Prime</strong> Research 2<br />
Note<br />
∆ BPS
<strong>Prime</strong> <strong>Morning</strong> <strong>Notes</strong> Market Scan December 27, 2009<br />
Indices Last Open High Low Volume Value D/D Change* YTD Change<br />
Abu Dhabi (ADX)<br />
Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank 1.62 1.55 1.63 1.55 418,400 673,635 ▲4.5% ▼9.0%<br />
Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank 2.84 2.86 2.87 2.80 568,227 1,606,918 ▲0.7% ▲9.2%<br />
First Gulf Bank 16.00 16.10 16.10 16.00 192,100 3,076,980 ▲0.0% ▲74.9%<br />
Arkan Building Materials 2.19 2.35 2.35 2.19 86,202 197,170 ▼3.5% ▼63.6%<br />
Waha Capital 0.80 0.82 0.84 0.80 4,041,466 3,273,987 ▼1.2% ▲45.5%<br />
Abu Dhabi National Energy Co. 1.21 1.20 1.22 1.20 968,543 1,168,112 ▼2.4% ▲18.6%<br />
Dana Gas 0.91 0.93 0.93 0.90 8,607,947 7,920,229 ▼2.2% ▲54.2%<br />
Ras Al Khaimah Cement Co. 0.97 0.97 1.00 0.95 718,277 706,235 ▲0.0% ▲19.8%<br />
Emirates Telecom Etisalat 10.65 10.70 10.85 10.65 1,298,406 13,985,933 ▼0.9% ▲7.3%<br />
Aldar 4.95 5.02 5.13 4.94 9,886,218 49,754,669 ▼2.0% ▲24.7%<br />
Aabar 2.19 2.18 2.25 2.18 2,213,358 4,898,477 ▼1.4% ▲23.0%<br />
RAK Properties 0.58 0.57 0.59 0.56 8,231,851 4,796,948 ▲1.8% ▲11.5%<br />
Sorouh Real Estate Co. 2.54 2.51 2.60 2.47 10,397,836 26,573,800 ▼1.2% ▼19.6%<br />
Dubai (DFM)<br />
Emirates National Bank of Dubai 2.95 2.90 2.97 2.90 1,291,400 3,825,543 ▲2.1% ▼3.3%<br />
Dubai Investment Co. 0.97 0.95 0.98 0.95 3,492,018 3,370,536 ▲2.1% ▼4.0%<br />
Dubai Islamic Bank 2.26 2.22 2.29 2.19 2,500,268 5,639,197 ▲1.3% ▲36.1%<br />
DU 2.77 2.77 2.81 2.71 312,414 872,826 ▼0.4% ▲27.6%<br />
Gulf Navigation 0.59 0.57 0.59 0.57 2,885,049 1,666,073 ▲3.5% ▼7.8%<br />
Dubai Financial Market 1.83 1.80 1.87 1.76 41,524,673 76,145,736 ▲2.2% ▲46.4%<br />
Islamic Arabic Insurance Company 0.86 0.86 0.88 0.84 5,144,960 4,435,416 ▲0.0% ▲10.3%<br />
Aramex 1.58 1.56 1.62 1.53 2,692,939 4,294,889 ▲1.3% ▲81.6%<br />
Arab Technical Construction Co. 2.23 2.15 2.24 2.13 19,688,084 43,369,308 ▲2.3% ▼1.3%<br />
National Central Cooling Tabreed 0.79 0.79 0.81 0.78 4,359,577 3,467,094 ▲0.0% ▲51.9%<br />
Emaar Properties 3.67 3.60 3.76 3.53 69,216,472 253,729,668 ▲2.2% ▲62.4%<br />
Union Properties 0.67 0.66 0.68 0.65 7,682,296 5,144,046 ▲1.5% ▼6.9%<br />
Deyaar Properties 0.58 0.57 0.59 0.56 10,807,280 6,240,605 ▲1.8% ▲16.0%<br />
Air Arabia 0.91 0.90 0.92 0.90 10,843,956 9,888,937 ▲0.0% ▲2.2%<br />
Source: Reuters<br />
*D/D change calculated on today's last price vs. previous day closing price<br />
<strong>Prime</strong> Research 3<br />
3
<strong>Prime</strong> <strong>Morning</strong> <strong>Notes</strong><br />
UAE Research Outputs<br />
UAE<br />
December 27, 2009<br />
Sector Title Equity RIC Report Type Target Prices AED<br />
Banking Sector<br />
1H09 Update Emirates NBD ENBD.DU Results Update 5.23<br />
1H09 Update National Bank of Abu Dhabi NBAD.AD Results Update 12.31<br />
1H09 Update<br />
Abu Dhabi Commercial<br />
Bank<br />
ADCB.AD Results Update 2.11<br />
1H09 Update First Gulf Bank FGB.AD Results Update 20.31<br />
1H09 Update Union National Bank UNB.AD Results Update 4.56<br />
Initiation of Coverage Dubai Islamic Bank DISB.DU Initiation of Coverage 3.20<br />
Initiation of Coverage Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank ADIB.AD Initiation of Coverage 4.40<br />
Macro Report “Redefining Regional Rules, Roles & Rewards” *N/A *N/A Annual Update *N/A<br />
Service Sector<br />
UAE Real Estate<br />
Sector<br />
Abu Dhabi Real<br />
Estate Sector<br />
Dubai Real Estate<br />
Sector<br />
1H09 Update<br />
National Central Cooling Co.<br />
- Tabreed<br />
TABR.DU Results Update 1.18<br />
1H09 Update Air Arabia AIRA.DU Results Update 1.33<br />
FY08 Update Aramex ARMX.DU Results Update 1.70<br />
“Visions of a Grandeur” *N/A<br />
"New Leadership, New Vision" *N/A<br />
Initiation of Sector<br />
Coverage<br />
Initiation of Sector<br />
Coverage<br />
‘Perfectly Poised’ to offer Value? Sorouh Real Estate SOR.AD Initiation of Coverage **13.18<br />
Initiation of Coverage Al Dar Real Estate ALDR.AD Initiation of Coverage 5.80<br />
“Redefining Real Estate as a Strategic Priority” Union Properties UPRO.DU Results Update **5.95<br />
“Replicating the Dubai Miracle Abroad” Emaar Properties EMAR.DU Initiation of Coverage **13.51<br />
Construction FY08 Update Arabtec Holding Company ARTC.DU Results Update 6.19<br />
Telecommunication<br />
Cement Sector<br />
Investment and<br />
Financial Service<br />
Sector<br />
Insurance Sector 1H09 Update<br />
FY08 Update Etisalat ETEL.AD Results Update 15.7<br />
1H09 Update Du DU.DU Results Update 3.37<br />
9M08 Update Gulf Cement GCEM.AD Results Update 4.79<br />
9M08 Update Union Cement UCC.AD Results Update 3.97<br />
FY08 Update RAK Cement RKCC.AD Results Update 1.98<br />
1H09 Update Dubai Financial Market DFM.DU Results Update 1.76<br />
Initiation of Coverage Dubai Investments DINV.DU Initiation of Coverage 1.65<br />
Islamic Arab Insurance Co.<br />
(Salama)<br />
<strong>Prime</strong> Research 4<br />
*N/A<br />
*N/A<br />
IAIC.DU Results Update 1.31<br />
Consumer Sector Initiation of Coverage Agthia Group AGTH.AD Initiation of Coverage 1.75<br />
Oil and Gas Sector 1Q09 Update Dana Gas DANA.AD Results Update 1.22<br />
** Currently under review<br />
1H09 Update Abu Dhabi National Energy TAQA.AD Results Update 2.11<br />
Qatar Research Outputs<br />
Sector Title Equity RIC Report Type Target Prices QAR<br />
Banking Sector<br />
Service Sector Initiation of Coverage<br />
1H09 Update Qatar National Bank QNBK.QA Results Update 153.48<br />
1H09 Update Commercial Bank of Qatar COMB.QA Results Update 82.01<br />
Qatar Gas Transport Co.<br />
(Nakilat)<br />
QGTS.QA Initiation of Coverage 30.5<br />
Telecom Sector 1H09 Update Qatar Telecom QTEL.QA Results Update 153.70<br />
Industrial Sector Initiation of Coverage Industries Qatar IQCD.QA Initiation of Coverage 103.00<br />
Utilities Sector Initiation of Coverage<br />
Qatar Electricity & Water<br />
Company<br />
QEWC.QA Initiation of Coverage 136.90
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<strong>Prime</strong> Research 5