to download PDF of full document - SPARC Nigeria
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Medium Term<br />
The Logic Chain<br />
Sec<strong>to</strong>r Strategy<br />
Inputs Activities Outputs Outcomes Impacts<br />
Ongoing Ongoing Short-Term Medium-Term Long-Term<br />
Assumptions Assumptions<br />
Medium-Term<br />
Objectives<br />
Assumptions<br />
30<br />
Assumptions<br />
Long Term<br />
Strategic Plan<br />
Longer-Term<br />
Goals<br />
We make assumptions at each stage that a link will occur – the “Logic<br />
Chain” that underpins the Results Chain. The one in red is <strong>of</strong>ten the<br />
most unreliable link, <strong>of</strong>ten leading <strong>to</strong> unintended consequences, rather<br />
than the desired policy outcome.<br />
“Backcasting” the Results Chain<br />
The Results Chain is normally a forecast <strong>of</strong> future<br />
events / results. But it can be used the other way<br />
round, starting with Outcomes and arguing back <strong>to</strong> what<br />
outputs would be needed <strong>to</strong> generate the outcomes<br />
(plus assumptions), then what activities and inputs<br />
would be needed <strong>to</strong> produce these outputs.<br />
This is the normal technique when “tracing your way<br />
backwards” and is needed a lot in M&E planning.