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Why is it important and how to participate? Mark Keese, OECD - CMI

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PIAAC<br />

Programme for the International Assessment of Adult Competencies<br />

PIAAC: a new window on adult skills<br />

<strong>Mark</strong> <strong>Keese</strong><br />

(mark.keese@oecd.org)<br />

World Bank Seminar on “Enhancing Qualifications Frameworks <strong>and</strong> Qual<strong>it</strong>y Assurance in MENA”,<br />

Marseille, 14-15 June 2010


Outline<br />

What <strong>is</strong> PIAAC <strong>and</strong> what progress has<br />

been made?<br />

<strong>Why</strong> do we need PIAAC?<br />

How can MENA be involved?


What <strong>is</strong> PIAAC <strong>and</strong> what progress has been made?


PIAAC’s scope:<br />

What <strong>is</strong> PIAAC?<br />

The most comprehensive international survey of adult skills ever<br />

undertaken<br />

Measures the skills <strong>and</strong> competencies needed for individuals <strong>to</strong><br />

<strong>participate</strong> in society <strong>and</strong> for economies <strong>to</strong> prosper<br />

Will help governments better underst<strong>and</strong> <strong>how</strong> education <strong>and</strong> training<br />

systems <strong>and</strong> other labour market policies can nurture these skills<br />

How will <strong>it</strong> be carried out?<br />

A collaboration between governments, an international consortium of<br />

organ<strong>is</strong>ations <strong>and</strong> the <strong>OECD</strong><br />

It will take place in 28 <strong>OECD</strong> <strong>and</strong> partner countries in 2011-2012 w<strong>it</strong>h<br />

results publ<strong>is</strong>hed in 2013<br />

Based on a household-based survey of adults (minimum of 5000<br />

respondents per country)


Measures of l<strong>it</strong>eracy,<br />

numeracy & problemsolving<br />

skills<br />

o Direct assessment<br />

What does PIAAC measure?<br />

Measures of generic<br />

skills used at work<br />

o Job Requirements<br />

Approach (JRA)<br />

Measures of skill<br />

formation & outcomes<br />

o Background questions<br />

on adult learning, labourmarket<br />

status, earnings,<br />

health …


Direct assessment module<br />

Objective: To provide assessment of adult l<strong>it</strong>eracy in the<br />

information age, covering 4 broad domains of competency<br />

L<strong>it</strong>eracy Numeracy L<strong>it</strong>eracy<br />

component skills<br />

Problem solving in<br />

an IT context<br />

L<strong>it</strong>eracy defined as “interest, att<strong>it</strong>ude <strong>and</strong> abil<strong>it</strong>y of individuals <strong>to</strong><br />

appropriately use socio-cultural <strong>to</strong>ols, including dig<strong>it</strong>al technology <strong>and</strong><br />

communication <strong>to</strong>ols, <strong>to</strong> access, manage, integrate <strong>and</strong> evaluate<br />

information, construct new knowledge, <strong>and</strong> communicate w<strong>it</strong>h others in<br />

order <strong>to</strong> <strong>participate</strong> effectively in society”<br />

Involves a 60-minute test


Generic workplace skills covered by PIAAC<br />

Cogn<strong>it</strong>ive skills<br />

Reading, Wr<strong>it</strong>ing,<br />

Maths, IT,<br />

Problem Solving<br />

Key<br />

workplace<br />

skills<br />

Interaction/social skills<br />

Physical skills Learning skills<br />

Stamina, Strength,<br />

Dexter<strong>it</strong>y<br />

Influence, Selfdirection,<br />

Horizontal<br />

interaction, Client<br />

interaction<br />

Required <strong>to</strong> learn<br />

things, Keep up <strong>to</strong><br />

date, Help others<br />

learn


Progress w<strong>it</strong>h PIAAC<br />

Survey instruments have been developed<br />

Field trial now underway in most participating countries<br />

A large scale exerc<strong>is</strong>e involving 1500 respondents in each country<br />

Will be used <strong>to</strong> validate instruments <strong>and</strong> test survey procedures<br />

May-July<br />

2010<br />

July 2011-<br />

Feb 2012<br />

Sep 2013<br />

PIAAC Timeline<br />

• Field trial<br />

• Full survey <strong>to</strong> take place<br />

• First PIAAC international<br />

report <strong>to</strong> be released


<strong>Why</strong> do we need PIAAC?


10<br />

Key areas where PIAAC will tell us more<br />

Outcomes<br />

of skills<br />

International<br />

benchmarking<br />

PIAAC<br />

results<br />

Skill<br />

acqu<strong>is</strong><strong>it</strong>ion<br />

D<strong>is</strong>tribution<br />

of skills


International benchmarking<br />

Key policy <strong>is</strong>sues:<br />

Are there clear differences in country performance in the cogn<strong>it</strong>ive<br />

assessment (even allowing for differences in GDP per cap<strong>it</strong>a, etc.)<br />

which point <strong>to</strong> better performing education <strong>and</strong> training systems?<br />

How well <strong>is</strong> each country doing in adapting <strong>it</strong>s skill development policies<br />

<strong>to</strong> a technology-rich environment <strong>and</strong> increasing international trade?<br />

Have l<strong>it</strong>eracy <strong>and</strong> numeracy skills improved over time in line w<strong>it</strong>h<br />

changes in education <strong>and</strong> training systems?


PISA reading score (mean)<br />

600<br />

550<br />

500<br />

450<br />

400<br />

350<br />

300<br />

250<br />

Benchmarking<br />

KOR<br />

FIN<br />

CAN HKG<br />

NZL AUS<br />

POL<br />

SWE IRL<br />

EST<br />

JPN BEL<br />

NLD CHE<br />

SVN DEU DNK<br />

HRV HUN CZE<br />

GBR USA*<br />

FRA<br />

LVA AUT<br />

GRC<br />

ISL<br />

LTU<br />

SVK<br />

PRT ITA<br />

TUR<br />

ESP<br />

CHL RUS<br />

ISR<br />

THA<br />

URY<br />

JOR<br />

SRB BGR MEX<br />

BRA MNE<br />

IDN COL ROM<br />

TUN ARG<br />

KGZ<br />

PISA mean reading scores <strong>and</strong> GDP per cap<strong>it</strong>a, 2006*<br />

AZE<br />

ISL<br />

LUX<br />

y = 63.015ln(x) - 157.58<br />

R² = 0.7178<br />

0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000<br />

GDP per cap<strong>it</strong>a ($US in PPPs)<br />

* 2003 score for the Un<strong>it</strong>ed States.<br />

Source: <strong>OECD</strong> for PISA scores <strong>and</strong> World Bank for GDP per cap<strong>it</strong>a.


Key policy <strong>is</strong>sues:<br />

D<strong>is</strong>tribution of skills<br />

Are education <strong>and</strong> training inst<strong>it</strong>utions failing <strong>to</strong> give some groups<br />

adequate skills for economic <strong>and</strong> social success?<br />

What <strong>is</strong> the relative importance of education versus socioeconomic<br />

background in determining skills that adults have <strong>and</strong> use? Do some<br />

countries do better than others in terms of leveling the playing field?


Skill acqu<strong>is</strong><strong>it</strong>ion (<strong>and</strong> loss)<br />

Key policy <strong>is</strong>sues:<br />

How well are countries performing in imparting youths w<strong>it</strong>h essential<br />

cogn<strong>it</strong>ive skills <strong>and</strong> ensuring smooth labour-market entry?<br />

What <strong>is</strong> the role of education/training, work experience <strong>and</strong> work<br />

organ<strong>is</strong>ation?


Skill acqu<strong>is</strong><strong>it</strong>ion (<strong>and</strong> loss)<br />

What <strong>is</strong> the contribution of further education <strong>and</strong> work experience <strong>to</strong><br />

skill acqu<strong>is</strong><strong>it</strong>ion?<br />

Share of adults w<strong>it</strong>h high l<strong>it</strong>eracy levels by age<br />

Source: Cascio, Clark <strong>and</strong> Gordon (2008) based on IALS data.


Key policy <strong>is</strong>sues:<br />

Outcomes of skills<br />

Is there a pay-off <strong>to</strong> investments in education <strong>and</strong> training, <strong>and</strong> in which<br />

skills <strong>and</strong> for whom? What <strong>is</strong> the role of broader inst<strong>it</strong>utional settings?<br />

PIAAC will be able <strong>to</strong> go much further at looking at returns <strong>to</strong> education <strong>and</strong><br />

skills by including analys<strong>is</strong> of filed of education, assessed skills <strong>and</strong> a broad<br />

range of skills used at work<br />

In our modern IT world, <strong>how</strong> <strong>important</strong> are computer <strong>and</strong> problemsolving<br />

skills? What other skills matter <strong>and</strong> why?<br />

Is over-education <strong>important</strong> <strong>and</strong> why do countries differ? Does<br />

education m<strong>is</strong>match mean a skills m<strong>is</strong>match?


100%<br />

Skills m<strong>is</strong>match<br />

Provides measures of both education <strong>and</strong> skills m<strong>is</strong>match<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Proportion of workers over-qualified highest in Korea but relatively fewer<br />

over-skilled workers<br />

In Australia <strong>and</strong> Korea, over-qualifications (under-qualifications) are<br />

associated w<strong>it</strong>h a large earnings penalty (premium)<br />

Source: <strong>OECD</strong> JRA Pilot Study (general sample).<br />

Education <strong>and</strong> skill match<br />

A. Education match B. Skill match<br />

% of workers by match category % of workers by match category<br />

Over-qualified Matched Under-qualified<br />

Australia France Greece Korea<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Over-skilled Matched Under-skilled<br />

Australia France Greece Korea


How can MENA be involved?


A special assessment round<br />

A special assessment round could be carried out for MENA <strong>and</strong><br />

other add<strong>it</strong>ional countries:<br />

Based on the PIAAC methodology <strong>and</strong> giving comparable results w<strong>it</strong>h those from<br />

the first round<br />

The cogn<strong>it</strong>ive assessment (of l<strong>it</strong>eracy, numeracy, etc.) would be carried out by<br />

“pencil <strong>and</strong> paper” <strong>and</strong> include add<strong>it</strong>ional <strong>it</strong>ems as necessary<br />

Some adaptation of the background questionnaire <strong>to</strong> individual country<br />

circumstances would be possible<br />

Infrastructure <strong>to</strong> support implementation of the survey (e.g. engage international<br />

contrac<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> develop survey <strong>and</strong> oversee <strong>it</strong>s implementation) would be<br />

establ<strong>is</strong>hed in partnership w<strong>it</strong>h the <strong>OECD</strong> <strong>and</strong> World Bank


Roles <strong>and</strong> responsibil<strong>it</strong>ies<br />

International level by project contrac<strong>to</strong>r:<br />

Prepare survey instruments <strong>and</strong> survey design<br />

Carry out central<strong>is</strong>ed translation of survey instruments <strong>and</strong> training manuals<br />

Prepare <strong>and</strong> provide training<br />

Survey support <strong>and</strong> qual<strong>it</strong>y control<br />

Analys<strong>is</strong>, cleaning <strong>and</strong> scaling of survey results<br />

Provide data products for analys<strong>is</strong> <strong>and</strong> d<strong>is</strong>semination of results<br />

National level by participating countries:<br />

Adapting survey instruments <strong>to</strong> national context <strong>and</strong> verifying translation<br />

Appointment of National Project Manager (NPM) <strong>and</strong> project team<br />

Attending NPM meetings<br />

Admin<strong>is</strong>tration of field trial <strong>and</strong> main survey<br />

Preparation <strong>and</strong> cleaning of national data files


Possible timeline for MENA participation in PIAAC<br />

End of 2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

End 2015<br />

• Final<strong>is</strong>e country participation <strong>and</strong> funding<br />

arrangements<br />

• Adaptation <strong>and</strong> final<strong>is</strong>ation of instruments<br />

• Preparation for field trial<br />

• Undertake field trial<br />

• Analys<strong>is</strong> of field trial results<br />

• Rev<strong>is</strong>ion of instruments <strong>and</strong> procedures<br />

• Preparation for main data collection<br />

• Main data collection<br />

• Data preparation <strong>and</strong> analys<strong>is</strong><br />

• Release of report on results


How much will <strong>it</strong> cost?<br />

For international costs, in<strong>it</strong>ial estimate of 6 million euros for 6<br />

countries plus 390K euros for add<strong>it</strong>ional countries, spread over 5<br />

years<br />

For national costs, the main element would be the cost of<br />

carrying out a household survey of around 3500-4000 individuals


Conclusions<br />

PIAAC will open a new window on adult skills<br />

Participation in PIAAC would give each MENA country valuable<br />

insights in<strong>to</strong> where more can be done <strong>to</strong> improve skills based on<br />

internationally comparable data<br />

It will help identify which skills are essential, who has them <strong>and</strong><br />

where there are skill gaps<br />

Investing in training <strong>and</strong> skills <strong>is</strong> costly <strong>and</strong> PIAAC can help<br />

ensure that th<strong>is</strong> money <strong>is</strong> well spent<br />

For further details on PIAAC, see:<br />

www.oecd.org/piaac

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