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Staying Competitive in Today's Homebuilding Industry.

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<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s<br />

Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong>.<br />

U.S. Homebuilder Survey


<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

A Survey of Homebuilders<br />

by Deloitte and<br />

McGraw-Hill Construction<br />

Deloitte & McGraw-Hill Construction conducted a study of<br />

homebuilders with the goal of highlight<strong>in</strong>g the dynamics and<br />

challenges that large and small residential construction companies<br />

face. Our survey reveals how homebuilders are navigat<strong>in</strong>g a strong<br />

hous<strong>in</strong>g market - not only to drive sales and expand marg<strong>in</strong>s - but<br />

to keep current on market trends, devise strategies to deal with an<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly constricted land supply, and adapt bus<strong>in</strong>ess models to<br />

susta<strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>dustry’s growth.<br />

Highlights<br />

The hous<strong>in</strong>g market has been <strong>in</strong> a susta<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

growth pattern s<strong>in</strong>ce 1992. Perhaps the<br />

most notable aspect of this expansion is that,<br />

<strong>in</strong>stead of decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g dur<strong>in</strong>g an economic<br />

recession, homebuild<strong>in</strong>g, home sales,<br />

and home remodel<strong>in</strong>g helped susta<strong>in</strong> the<br />

economy dur<strong>in</strong>g the recent downturn. The<br />

contribut<strong>in</strong>g factor to this unusual resilience<br />

was a drop <strong>in</strong> mortgage <strong>in</strong>terest rates to<br />

46-year lows.<br />

The momentum cont<strong>in</strong>ued through the<br />

first half of 2005. Both new home starts<br />

and pric<strong>in</strong>g rates cont<strong>in</strong>ued on a positive<br />

trajectory. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the National<br />

Association of Realtors, 4.8 million exist<strong>in</strong>g<br />

homes changed hands through August<br />

2005, sett<strong>in</strong>g the stage for the market to<br />

sell a record 7.3 million homes by the end of<br />

2005. And, while the <strong>in</strong>dustry’s profit marg<strong>in</strong>s<br />

have shown no signs of contract<strong>in</strong>g recent<br />

fluctuations <strong>in</strong> materials and fuel costs, as<br />

well as other economic uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties may<br />

lead to slower growth.


In the midst of impressive <strong>in</strong>dustry growth it is difficult to take the<br />

doom and gloom of a bust too seriously, especially when <strong>in</strong>terest<br />

rates cont<strong>in</strong>ue to rema<strong>in</strong> historically low. Still, some analysts<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> that a comb<strong>in</strong>ation of rapidly ris<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>ventory of new<br />

homes and records for hous<strong>in</strong>g starts would <strong>in</strong>dicate the bubble’s<br />

impend<strong>in</strong>g rupture.<br />

The follow<strong>in</strong>g chart shows strong stock prices ga<strong>in</strong>s for<br />

homebuilders over the last several years.<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Oct-95<br />

Apr-96<br />

Oct-96<br />

Apr-97<br />

Oct 97<br />

Apr-98<br />

Oct-98<br />

Apr-99<br />

Oct-99<br />

Apr-00<br />

Oct-00<br />

Apr-01<br />

Oct-01<br />

Apr-02<br />

Oct-02<br />

Apr-03<br />

<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Oct-03<br />

Apr-04<br />

Oct-04<br />

Apr-05<br />

Oct-05<br />

len tol kbh hov phm ctx bzh dhi ryl<br />

*NOTE: The Clos<strong>in</strong>g Price, Day’s High, Day’s Low, and Day’s Volume have been adjusted to account for any stock splits and/or<br />

dividends which may have occurred for this security s<strong>in</strong>ce the date shown above.<br />

<strong>Industry</strong> analysts th<strong>in</strong>k hurricane Katr<strong>in</strong>a’s<br />

impact on build<strong>in</strong>g is temporary, despite<br />

a spike <strong>in</strong> nationwide market prices for<br />

lumber and plywood. Homebuilders see<br />

transportation costs likely to rise because<br />

of oil price <strong>in</strong>creases and a tight labor pool<br />

should workers relocate when the Gulf Coast<br />

cities start to rebuild.<br />

Hous<strong>in</strong>g starts over the past five years have<br />

been runn<strong>in</strong>g slightly below the rate set <strong>in</strong><br />

the 1970s, when the U.S. population was 30<br />

percent lower and immigration rates were<br />

50 percent less than what they are today. In<br />

the current climate, a moderate slowdown<br />

<strong>in</strong> certa<strong>in</strong> regions of the U.S. hous<strong>in</strong>g market<br />

appears more probable than a deep-seated<br />

recession <strong>in</strong> the general hous<strong>in</strong>g market.<br />

What are the key questions that<br />

homebuilders are ask<strong>in</strong>g themselves<br />

as they relish the boom and dispel<br />

concerns about the bust?<br />

1. What is our plan for growth?<br />

2. As the <strong>in</strong>dustry consolidates, will we be<br />

acquir<strong>in</strong>g or acquired?<br />

3. What is the best way for us to keep<br />

abreast of what is happen<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> our<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry?<br />

4. How do we use technology to improve<br />

our efficiency and competitiveness <strong>in</strong><br />

the marketplace?<br />

5. How can we take advantage of<br />

outsourc<strong>in</strong>g services to reduce costs?<br />

6. How do we deal with issues that delay<br />

production?<br />

7. When land supply is an issue, how do<br />

we adjust our project development?<br />

8. Are we spend<strong>in</strong>g too much on land<br />

development?<br />

9. How do we reduce our build<strong>in</strong>g cycle<br />

time, budget variance, and defects?<br />

10. What operational issues can we address<br />

to <strong>in</strong>crease our efficiency?<br />

11. Do we need to look elsewhere for home<br />

design ideas?<br />

12. Where <strong>in</strong> our supply cha<strong>in</strong> can we f<strong>in</strong>d<br />

additional cost sav<strong>in</strong>gs?<br />

13. Are we prepared for the affect of GAAP<br />

report<strong>in</strong>g under FIN 46?<br />

14. Which market<strong>in</strong>g approaches will drive<br />

the most sales?<br />

15. How do we respond to customer desires<br />

relat<strong>in</strong>g to home customizations and<br />

the environment?


<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong> –<br />

Susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the Recent Success<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to data reported by the Bureau of Census and the National Association of Realtors, there are approximately 120 million<br />

homes <strong>in</strong> the U.S., and about 1.5 million new s<strong>in</strong>gle-family homes are added to the stock each year.<br />

In 2004, there were 1.6 million s<strong>in</strong>gle-family homes started (versus 1.2 million sold), and 350,000 multifamily starts. The median price for new<br />

s<strong>in</strong>gle-family homes reached $221,000 <strong>in</strong> 2004, compared with $184,000 for exist<strong>in</strong>g homes. The average size of a home cont<strong>in</strong>ues to grow<br />

steadily, reach<strong>in</strong>g a median square footage of 2,162 <strong>in</strong> 2004, compared with 1,535 <strong>in</strong> 1975.<br />

<strong>Industry</strong>’s Significant Factors<br />

The key driver <strong>in</strong> homebuild<strong>in</strong>g is the<br />

level and direction of <strong>in</strong>terest rates. Other<br />

significant factors that drive cycles with<strong>in</strong> the<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry are supply and demand, pric<strong>in</strong>g, and<br />

the availability of rental units. The market<br />

is also impacted by employment trends,<br />

consumer confidence levels, and hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />

prices. The availability of mortgage capital<br />

also plays an important role <strong>in</strong> susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />

consumer demand.<br />

Although <strong>in</strong>terest rates and the number<br />

of new hous<strong>in</strong>g starts are among the<br />

most visible factors shap<strong>in</strong>g demand, the<br />

structure of the <strong>in</strong>dustry itself is the most<br />

salient determ<strong>in</strong>ant of economic value.<br />

Indisputably, the homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry<br />

structure is becom<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly attractive.<br />

Fundamental long-term demand for hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />

rema<strong>in</strong>s strong. Population growth, real<br />

<strong>in</strong>come levels, and the age of households<br />

are among the prom<strong>in</strong>ent variables likely to<br />

positively <strong>in</strong>fluence the homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry<br />

over the next few years. Less visible trends<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude <strong>in</strong>tensify<strong>in</strong>g barriers to <strong>in</strong>dustry entry.<br />

Complexity of development and economies<br />

of scale <strong>in</strong> capital access and materials<br />

procurement are mak<strong>in</strong>g it more difficult for<br />

new players to enter the market. The rivalry<br />

among exist<strong>in</strong>g competitors is also <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Not only are large builders ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g market<br />

share, they are compet<strong>in</strong>g head-to-head <strong>in</strong> a<br />

grow<strong>in</strong>g number of markets.<br />

Land is the Differentiator<br />

Land is the most important commodity <strong>in</strong> the<br />

homebuild<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess. Land is becom<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly scarce, especially <strong>in</strong> hot markets,<br />

and correspond<strong>in</strong>gly, land is becom<strong>in</strong>g more<br />

important to the buyer than the features of<br />

the new house alone. The result of these<br />

trends is superior profitability <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>dustry,<br />

especially for large regional and national<br />

builders. Despite strong consumer demand<br />

for hous<strong>in</strong>g, the supply of land for home<br />

build<strong>in</strong>g is limited. Builders are fac<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

critical shortage of developable land. As a<br />

result, the cost of land has soared <strong>in</strong> many<br />

regions of the country. Builders are locked<br />

<strong>in</strong> bidd<strong>in</strong>g wars. Local governments are<br />

promulgat<strong>in</strong>g more and more land use<br />

regulation as they attempt to foster “smart<br />

growth.” Governments are lengthen<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the permit approval process, preserv<strong>in</strong>g<br />

land for conservation, and m<strong>in</strong>imiz<strong>in</strong>g<br />

residential growth by impos<strong>in</strong>g moratoriums<br />

on development. In some markets, threefourths<br />

of home price appreciation growth<br />

can be attributed to land-use regulations,<br />

accord<strong>in</strong>g to Fisher Center for Real Estate<br />

and Urban Economics Chairman Kenneth<br />

Rosen. Regulations are limit<strong>in</strong>g the amount of<br />

developable land and <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the costs of<br />

that land<br />

<strong>Industry</strong> Consolidation<br />

– Threat or Opportunity?<br />

In addition to limitations on the supply of<br />

land, bus<strong>in</strong>ess growth and the prospect<br />

of consolidation are major issues for<br />

homebuilders. When growth is limited<br />

<strong>in</strong> currently served markets due to land<br />

restra<strong>in</strong>ts or competition, one way to grow is<br />

to expand <strong>in</strong> new markets, by either seek<strong>in</strong>g<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>in</strong> a new geographic area or by<br />

tak<strong>in</strong>g over another firm <strong>in</strong> a different region.<br />

For dozens of years now, large public builders<br />

have been devour<strong>in</strong>g smaller private builders<br />

<strong>in</strong> an effort to susta<strong>in</strong> pric<strong>in</strong>g power and<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease their supply of buildable land. The<br />

trend toward consolidation shows no sign of<br />

abat<strong>in</strong>g any time soon.<br />

The follow<strong>in</strong>g summarizes the critical issues<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>formation gathered from our survey<br />

of homebuilders and lot developers, as<br />

well as our cont<strong>in</strong>uous monitor<strong>in</strong>g of the<br />

real estate markets.


Who We Surveyed <br />

• Homebuilders or lot developers<br />

97% of our respondents<br />

• Privately held companies<br />

94% of our respondents<br />

• Annual revenues of greater than $100M<br />

34% of our respondents<br />

• Build more than 250 homes per year<br />

29% of our respondents<br />

Respondents by Profession<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Revenue Distribution of Respondents


<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

What They Build<br />

How Many They Build<br />

Residential Builds By Type<br />

Residential Construction by Respondents, by Type<br />

<br />

Starter<br />

22%<br />

Luxury<br />

11%<br />

Other<br />

4%<br />

Move–Up<br />

63%<br />

<br />

Number of New Homes Built <strong>in</strong> 2004 by Respondents


Percent of Homes Pre-Sold<br />

<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Where They Build<br />

2004 Total New Home Construction by Region<br />

The U.S. hous<strong>in</strong>g market is <strong>in</strong>herently<br />

regional, and our survey results reflect the<br />

broader nationwide statistics on hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />

construction. Respondents are build<strong>in</strong>g<br />

more units <strong>in</strong> the south and southwest.<br />

Hot markets <strong>in</strong>clude Phoenix, Las Vegas,<br />

California, and Florida.<br />

Percent of Builders Pre-Sell What Percent of Homes<br />

Percentage of New Homes Pre-Sold by Respondents<br />

% of Builders<br />

# Units<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Respondents’ 2004 Total New Home Construction by Region<br />

16,000<br />

14,000<br />

12,000<br />

10,000<br />

8,000<br />

6,000<br />

4,000<br />

2,000<br />

Less than<br />

75%<br />

0<br />

Southwest<br />

75 to<br />

80%<br />

80 to<br />

85%<br />

Southeast<br />

85 to<br />

90%<br />

% of Homes Pre-Sold<br />

Midwest<br />

90 to<br />

95%<br />

Northeast<br />

Over<br />

95%<br />

Northwest


<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

The Price of New Homes<br />

New homes along the east and west coasts are more expensive than <strong>in</strong> other areas of the country, regardless of the type of home, whether it is a<br />

starter, move-up, or luxury home.<br />

National<br />

Average<br />

Northeast California<br />

Starter $188,022 $266,250 $358,333<br />

Move Up $304,792 $420,667 $535,125<br />

Luxury $855,074 $995,000 $1,596,667<br />

Among our respondents, not surpris<strong>in</strong>gly, customization occurs at the high-end of the home spectrum. Nearly 70% of move-up, luxury, and<br />

retirement homes were custom built, compared to 52% of vacation homes and only 26% of starter homes.<br />

Average Price Per Region by Build Type<br />

Region Starter Move-Up Luxury<br />

California $358,333 $535,125 $1,596,667<br />

Northeast $266,250 $420,667 $995,000<br />

Nat’l Average $188,022 $304,792 $855,074<br />

Midwest $172,143 $284,647 $502,727<br />

Northwest $167,600 $261,000 $650,000<br />

Southwest $141,167 $207,429 $945,000<br />

Florida $136,667 $298,889 $743,750<br />

Texas $131,400 $203,875 $468,000<br />

Southeast $130,615 $226,706 $939,444


Rid<strong>in</strong>g out the Boom<br />

What is our plan for growth?<br />

The hous<strong>in</strong>g market rema<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong> the thick of an<br />

upturn that began more than a decade ago.<br />

Consumer demand – fueled by low <strong>in</strong>terest<br />

rates, accessible credit, and m<strong>in</strong>imal <strong>in</strong>flation<br />

– rema<strong>in</strong>s strong. The convergence of<br />

favorable economics and <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

wherewithal sets the stage for nearly every<br />

type of home builder to benefit from positive<br />

demographic and f<strong>in</strong>ancial trends.<br />

The demand for hous<strong>in</strong>g rema<strong>in</strong>s on an<br />

upward trajectory, with demographers<br />

estimat<strong>in</strong>g an average annual addition of<br />

1.5 million households <strong>in</strong> the United States<br />

for the next 15 years.<br />

• Baby Boomers, the demographic sector<br />

that has shaped the home-build<strong>in</strong>g market<br />

at each stage of their lives, are expected to<br />

create a significant <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> demand for<br />

hous<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> retirement and age-restricted<br />

communities. Younger Baby Boomers (<strong>in</strong><br />

their 40s) are mov<strong>in</strong>g up to larger, pricier<br />

primary homes, and many are purchas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

second or vacation homes as well.<br />

• Children of Baby Boomers, or Echo<br />

Boomers, are just beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g to enter the<br />

hous<strong>in</strong>g market and are expected to drive<br />

demand even further.<br />

<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

• Accord<strong>in</strong>g to the U.S. Census Bureau, more<br />

than one million immigrants flock <strong>in</strong>to the<br />

U.S. each year. In fact, immigration levels<br />

have been much higher than estimates<br />

projected by the National Association of<br />

Homebuilders. The unanticipated rise <strong>in</strong><br />

immigration levels coupled with a trend<br />

for immigrants to purchase homes sooner<br />

upon relocation to the U.S. is cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

fuel new home demand.<br />

• In sum, Echo Boomers and immigrants are<br />

the two demographic segments expected<br />

to lead overall growth <strong>in</strong> the number of<br />

households over the next decade. Both<br />

groups are also likely to afford a secure<br />

market for older homeowners to sell their<br />

first homes and move up to higher-priced<br />

second and luxury homes.


<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g Acquisitive Action<br />

As the <strong>in</strong>dustry consolidates, will we be acquir<strong>in</strong>g or will we be<br />

acquired?<br />

Consolidation is affect<strong>in</strong>g the structure of<br />

the homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry. Homebuilders<br />

concerned about growth are f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

best way to expand successfully and meet a<br />

nearly <strong>in</strong>satiable consumer demand for new<br />

homes is to acquire other builders. Large<br />

homebuilders enjoy materials and labor<br />

cost advantages relative to small builders, <strong>in</strong><br />

addition to superior access to capital. Recently<br />

announced deals <strong>in</strong>clude Lennar Corp.’s plans<br />

to acquire the Lamplight Homes division of<br />

Las Vegas-based Car<strong>in</strong>a Corp. and Hovnanian<br />

Enterprises, Inc.’s acquisition of Oster Homes.<br />

Technical Olympic USA, Inc. also completed<br />

its acquisition of the homebuild<strong>in</strong>g assets and<br />

operations of Transeastern Properties, Inc.<br />

Accord<strong>in</strong>g to Mergerstat, there were over two<br />

dozen acquisitions <strong>in</strong> 2004 and another 18 so<br />

far <strong>in</strong> 2005.<br />

Rank<br />

Top U.S.<br />

Home Builders<br />

2004<br />

Revenue<br />

($ mil)<br />

1 Pulte Homes, Inc. 11,711.2<br />

2 D.R. Horton Inc. 10,840.8<br />

3 Lennar Corporation 10,504.9<br />

4 Centex Corporation 10,363.4<br />

5 KB Home 7,052.7<br />

6 NVR, Inc. 4,327.7<br />

7 Hovnanian Enterprises 4,160.4<br />

8 M.D.C. Hold<strong>in</strong>gs, Inc. 4,009.1<br />

9 The Ryland Group 3,951.8<br />

10 Beazer Homes USA, Inc. 3,907.1<br />

Source: OneSource<br />

More than a dozen acquisitions dur<strong>in</strong>g 2003<br />

resulted <strong>in</strong> the top 10 builders <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g their<br />

total U.S. market share from 10% <strong>in</strong> 1995 to<br />

20% <strong>in</strong> 2004.<br />

The top 100 builders now control<br />

approximately 65 percent of the market.<br />

Some pundits estimate that the top 20<br />

builders will account for 75% of new<br />

construction by 2011.<br />

Small, local and regional builders number <strong>in</strong><br />

thousands across the U.S. While consolidation<br />

has led to expanded territories and revenue<br />

base for the big builders, small, privately held<br />

firms cont<strong>in</strong>ue to lose market share. Critics<br />

contend that the result has been disruption of<br />

local community and market dynamics, and<br />

generic look<strong>in</strong>g homes. Despite the criticism,<br />

the consolidation trend will cont<strong>in</strong>ue. As the<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustry structure becomes more attractive,<br />

homebuilder profitability will favor large<br />

multi-regional players that can leverage<br />

economies of scale <strong>in</strong> materials procurement<br />

and provide greater <strong>in</strong>ventory discipl<strong>in</strong>e.


Keep<strong>in</strong>g up With the Trends<br />

Respondents rely primarily on trade literature<br />

to help them identify and react to develop<strong>in</strong>g<br />

trends <strong>in</strong> the hous<strong>in</strong>g market, with many<br />

respondents us<strong>in</strong>g trade publications<br />

<strong>in</strong>tensively to keep current on <strong>in</strong>dustry news<br />

and trends.<br />

Work<strong>in</strong>g directly with customers and<br />

respond<strong>in</strong>g to their needs and requests<br />

Keep<strong>in</strong>g Current<br />

had the second highest number of positive<br />

responses from our builders.<br />

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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

What is the best way to keep abreast of what is happen<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

our <strong>in</strong>dustry?<br />

Keep<strong>in</strong>g Current<br />

Respondents<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Trade<br />

Literature &<br />

Publications<br />

Customer<br />

Requests<br />

In-house/External<br />

Market<br />

Research<br />

Attend<strong>in</strong>g trade shows and conduct<strong>in</strong>g<br />

or us<strong>in</strong>g market research studies were<br />

identified as somewhat less desirable ways<br />

for respondents to keep current with <strong>in</strong>dustry<br />

news and trends. Ostensibly, these two<br />

methods represent the greatest cost <strong>in</strong> terms<br />

of both builders’ time and money.<br />

Trade<br />

Shows<br />

0


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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Comparison of Current Trends Growth<br />

When asked to identify the fastest grow<strong>in</strong>g practices <strong>in</strong> hous<strong>in</strong>g construction, respondents picked the burgeon<strong>in</strong>g selection of<br />

<strong>in</strong>terior amenities as the number one growth area.<br />

Comparison of Current Trends Growth<br />

Respondents<br />

100% Grow<strong>in</strong>g/<br />

Fast Growth<br />

80%<br />

60%<br />

40%<br />

20%<br />

0%<br />

High-End<br />

Kitchen<br />

Materials<br />

Tile<br />

Floor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Wood<br />

Floor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Panelized<br />

Home<br />

Modular<br />

Home<br />

Steel<br />

Fram<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Not Grow<strong>in</strong>g/<br />

Slow Growth<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g advantage of abundant selections of wood and tile floor<strong>in</strong>g and higher-end kitchen materials selection were by far the<br />

most quickly develop<strong>in</strong>g practices.


Us<strong>in</strong>g Technology<br />

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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

How can we use technology to improve our efficiency and<br />

competitiveness <strong>in</strong> the marketplace?<br />

Use of Technology<br />

Despite the cost of <strong>in</strong>vestment, technology is a key factor <strong>in</strong> achiev<strong>in</strong>g operational effectiveness. In fact, all respondents claimed to use<br />

technology to support some aspect of their bus<strong>in</strong>ess. The most popular applications <strong>in</strong>clude f<strong>in</strong>ancial report<strong>in</strong>g software, and technology-based<br />

systems to support corporate purchas<strong>in</strong>g and project management operations.<br />

Use of Technology<br />

Respondents<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

Report<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Purchas<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Project<br />

Management<br />

Operational<br />

Management<br />

Sales<br />

Management<br />

Lead<br />

Track<strong>in</strong>g


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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

General operational management systems<br />

are used by more then 50% of survey<br />

respondents. Most builders utilize systems to<br />

support f<strong>in</strong>ancial operations as part of their<br />

firm’s <strong>in</strong>frastructure. Software applications<br />

that are typically considered “back office”<br />

functions – purchas<strong>in</strong>g and project and<br />

operational management – are used to<br />

vary<strong>in</strong>g degrees by more than half of the<br />

respondents.<br />

Other technical-support systems, such as<br />

sales management and lead track<strong>in</strong>g, are less<br />

commonly used by respondents. This may<br />

speak to the strength of the market and the<br />

ability of builders to readily sell their hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />

product, but recent research by J.D. Power &<br />

Associates, another unit of the McGraw-Hill<br />

Companies, found that home builders are<br />

realiz<strong>in</strong>g the benefits of repeat and referral<br />

bus<strong>in</strong>ess from satisfied customers.<br />

With competition fierce among builders, large<br />

builders, especially, are turn<strong>in</strong>g to customer<br />

relationship management systems (CRM)<br />

to support market<strong>in</strong>g and bus<strong>in</strong>ess<br />

development efforts.<br />

Use of Enterprise Resource Plann<strong>in</strong>g (ERP)<br />

systems is an area of great potential for<br />

the <strong>in</strong>dustry as a whole. Only eight of<br />

our respondents were currently us<strong>in</strong>g ERP<br />

systems. These respondents were all identified<br />

as large national builders. While the national<br />

players benefit from ERP systems that help<br />

them keep track of widespread operations<br />

and the distribution of large materials to<br />

many locations, smaller homebuilders, who<br />

often have grown from a sole proprietorship,<br />

may not yet have acquired the scope of<br />

operations or technical <strong>in</strong>frastructure to<br />

harness the advantages of an ERP system.<br />

When it comes to measur<strong>in</strong>g satisfaction with<br />

current technical systems, only 41% of the<br />

respondents agreed that their current systems<br />

were serv<strong>in</strong>g their immediate purposes<br />

“pretty well,” while another 31% said<br />

the systems served their long-term needs<br />

“fairly well.”


Outsourc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

How can we take advantage of outsourc<strong>in</strong>g services to reduce costs?<br />

Use of Outsourc<strong>in</strong>g Services<br />

When asked about outsourc<strong>in</strong>g technology services, both hardware and software are outsourced by about 30% of our respondents. In addition<br />

to technology, mortgage orig<strong>in</strong>ation and sales support rank among the most popular avenues for outsourc<strong>in</strong>g among respondents.<br />

Use of Outsourc<strong>in</strong>g Services<br />

Mortgage Orig<strong>in</strong>ation<br />

Technology: Hardware Mgt.<br />

Technology: Software Mgt.<br />

Sales<br />

Market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Warranty Work<br />

Other<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70<br />

# Respondents


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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Exam<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g New Home Costs<br />

& Sell<strong>in</strong>g Value Cha<strong>in</strong><br />

Site Acquisition<br />

Key Components of Site Acquisition<br />

• Identify attractive markets<br />

• Buy or secure land<br />

• Procure entitlements and permits<br />

• Prepare land for homebuild<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Site Acquisition<br />

Sales & Market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Home Design<br />

Construction<br />

For the on-site builder, the first step <strong>in</strong> the<br />

new build<strong>in</strong>g process is choos<strong>in</strong>g an attractive<br />

geographic area and secur<strong>in</strong>g the land or lots<br />

(land which has been developed for build<strong>in</strong>g).<br />

At this stage, the builder must obta<strong>in</strong><br />

environmental and other regulatory approvals.<br />

In the case of a builder construct<strong>in</strong>g a planned<br />

community, approvals also have to be obta<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

for roads, dra<strong>in</strong>age facilities, and sewers.<br />

Builders work closely with local government<br />

officials, and utility officials. The builder usually<br />

buys the land outright, but more builders are<br />

tak<strong>in</strong>g advantage of roll<strong>in</strong>g lot option contracts<br />

which give them the right to buy land at<br />

specified prices on a flexible schedule. This<br />

allows them to pay a smaller amount up front.<br />

Purchase Materials<br />

Account<strong>in</strong>g & F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

With respect to the approval process,<br />

restrictive zon<strong>in</strong>g and no-growth or slowgrowth<br />

ord<strong>in</strong>ances can reduce supplies of<br />

available lots for development <strong>in</strong> many metro<br />

markets, driv<strong>in</strong>g up land prices and the<br />

overall cost of homes. In some high-growth<br />

markets, the cost of a developed lot - raw<br />

land and improvements plus fees for basic<br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure such as schools, roads, and<br />

sewer systems - now accounts for as much as<br />

30% of the new-home price.


Production Roadblocks<br />

How do we deal with issues that delay production?<br />

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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Both the availability of developable land and land-related delays <strong>in</strong> commenc<strong>in</strong>g development are viewed as the most significant barriers to<br />

production. Restrictive Perceived zon<strong>in</strong>g practices Impediments and no-growth to or slow-growth Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g ord<strong>in</strong>ances can Production<br />

dim<strong>in</strong>ish the supplies of available lots for development <strong>in</strong><br />

many metro areas, driv<strong>in</strong>g up land prices as well as the overall cost of homes. In most high growth markets, the cost of a developed lot, which<br />

is def<strong>in</strong>ed as the raw land and improvements plus fees for basic <strong>in</strong>frastructure, such as schools, roads, and sewer systems, may reach as much as<br />

30% of the overall home price.<br />

Perceived Impediments to Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g Production<br />

Masterplan Developers<br />

Material Availability<br />

Build<strong>in</strong>g Codes<br />

Cost of Insurance<br />

Environmental Groups<br />

Local Zon<strong>in</strong>g Restrictions<br />

Government Fees<br />

Infrastructure Support<br />

Land Development Delays<br />

Supply of Developable Land<br />

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5<br />

Not important Very important<br />

Average Rat<strong>in</strong>g on 1-5 scale<br />

Many municipalities and local governments<br />

also tack on “impact fees,” <strong>in</strong> addition to<br />

build<strong>in</strong>g permits, to cover the impact of<br />

additional population density on the local<br />

<strong>in</strong>frastructure. These extra fees are <strong>in</strong>tended<br />

to compensate for street and road expansion<br />

and repair, l<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g new construction to utility,<br />

water, and sewer systems as well as provid<strong>in</strong>g<br />

for local schools, police and fire coverage and<br />

other municipal services.<br />

Impact fees, which started nearly 30 years<br />

ago with the passage of Proposition 13 <strong>in</strong><br />

California, have been grow<strong>in</strong>g over time and<br />

now the Chicago-based American Plann<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Association puts the national average for<br />

cumulative impact fees at $14,441 per<br />

dwell<strong>in</strong>g unit. These fees can range from just<br />

a few hundred dollars <strong>in</strong> some areas to more<br />

than $100,000 <strong>in</strong> some parts of California.<br />

One study by the U.S. Department of Hous<strong>in</strong>g<br />

and Urban development estimated that<br />

additional fees have added to the cost of new<br />

homes by nearly 35% <strong>in</strong> some areas.


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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

The Cost of Land<br />

When land supply is an issue, how do we adjust our project<br />

development?<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ished Land Cost<br />

The cost of land as a percentage of the f<strong>in</strong>al home price is fairly consistent across different types of new homes. The land costs range from 24%<br />

to 28% among starter, move-up, and luxury homes. Not surpris<strong>in</strong>gly, the regions with the highest cost of land, as a percentage of the f<strong>in</strong>al<br />

sale price, <strong>in</strong>clude the Northeast and the Midwest, as well as the states of Florida and California. In all four areas, the cost of land accounts for<br />

approximately 33% of the f<strong>in</strong>ished home cost.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ished Land Cost<br />

Midwest<br />

Northeast<br />

California<br />

Southeast<br />

National Average<br />

Southwest<br />

Florida<br />

Texas<br />

Northwest<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40<br />

% F<strong>in</strong>al Home Price<br />

Luxury<br />

Move-Up<br />

Starter


Respondents<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

New multifamily homes constructed by<br />

respondents demonstrated a similar land-tototal<br />

cost ratio. Starter multifamily properties<br />

averaged 24% of total cost to land. For<br />

“move-up” properties, land costs were 26%<br />

of total costs. For luxury properties, land<br />

accounted for 29% of the total f<strong>in</strong>ished<br />

home cost and land for custom-built luxury<br />

homes could reach as much as 50% of the<br />

cost of the f<strong>in</strong>ished home.<br />

When Land Supply is Challenged<br />

When Land Supply is Challenged<br />

Higher<br />

Density<br />

One<br />

Family<br />

Smaller<br />

Lot<br />

Size<br />

Reuse<br />

or<br />

Infill<br />

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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Dur<strong>in</strong>g a hous<strong>in</strong>g boom, builders typically<br />

pass costs associated with land constra<strong>in</strong>ts<br />

along to their buyers; however, there is<br />

concern that as <strong>in</strong>terest rates rise, buyers<br />

will no longer be able to shoulder this<br />

burden. In survey<strong>in</strong>g our respondents about<br />

the limitations on land supply, the majority<br />

suggest that build<strong>in</strong>g larger homes can<br />

compensate for a decrease <strong>in</strong> land availability.<br />

Build<strong>in</strong>g higher density one-family homes or<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g smaller lots were the two most popular<br />

alternatives to tight supply, followed by reuse<br />

or <strong>in</strong>fill.<br />

Higher<br />

Density<br />

Attached<br />

Alter<br />

Geo<br />

Focus


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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Rais<strong>in</strong>g Profits<br />

Are we spend<strong>in</strong>g too much on land development?<br />

The cost of land and land development costs top the Impact list of factors on that negatively Profitability impact profitability. The ease <strong>in</strong> purchas<strong>in</strong>g land and the ability<br />

to control costs <strong>in</strong> the subsequent development of that land are critical factors <strong>in</strong> both the production of new homes and the homebuilder’s<br />

bottom l<strong>in</strong>e. It is <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g to note that while <strong>in</strong>surance costs ranked third <strong>in</strong> terms of their squeeze on profits, respondents viewed these costs<br />

as hav<strong>in</strong>g less impact on actual homebuild<strong>in</strong>g production.<br />

Costs Impact on Profitability<br />

Property Tax Rate<br />

F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Workers’ Compensation<br />

Availability of Qualified Subcontractors<br />

Materials<br />

Permits & Fees<br />

Insurance<br />

Land Development<br />

Land<br />

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5<br />

Very Infrequently Very Frequently<br />

Average Rat<strong>in</strong>g on 1-5 scale


Reduc<strong>in</strong>g Cycle Time<br />

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How do we reduce our build<strong>in</strong>g cycle time, budget variance, and<br />

defects?<br />

The average build time for a s<strong>in</strong>gle-family house was three to six months accord<strong>in</strong>g to 64% of our respondents. About 22% of our respondents<br />

considered a time frame of six to 12 months as average for construction of a s<strong>in</strong>gle-family residence.<br />

Average Build Time for S<strong>in</strong>gle Family Home<br />

Respondents<br />

Average Build Time For S<strong>in</strong>gle Family Home<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Less than 3<br />

3 to 6<br />

Months<br />

6 to 12<br />

More than 12<br />

0


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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Operat<strong>in</strong>g Efficiently<br />

What operational issues can we address to <strong>in</strong>crease our efficiency?<br />

Importance of Operational Issues<br />

Importance of Operatonal Issues<br />

Topp<strong>in</strong>g the list of important operational issues for homebuilders was the ability to acquire developable land at a reasonable price. Ris<strong>in</strong>g raw<br />

material costs ranked second <strong>in</strong> importance. The cont<strong>in</strong>ued expansion of new home developments and significant events, such as the recent<br />

disaster <strong>in</strong> New Orleans which has created a surge <strong>in</strong> lumber prices, put additional pressure on homebuilders’ marg<strong>in</strong>s.<br />

Secur<strong>in</strong>g F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Sell<strong>in</strong>g Cycle<br />

Build<strong>in</strong>g Cycle Time<br />

Deal<strong>in</strong>g with Government<br />

Hir<strong>in</strong>g Qualified Employees<br />

Ris<strong>in</strong>g Raw Material Costs<br />

Acquir<strong>in</strong>g Land<br />

Build<strong>in</strong>g cycle time is affected by a host of<br />

factors, especially the efficiency of permitt<strong>in</strong>g<br />

processes, timely availability of materials and<br />

supply of qualified employees. In an effort to<br />

prevent <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> build cycle time, some<br />

builders opt to create speculative <strong>in</strong>ventories.<br />

This type of <strong>in</strong>ventory is used to lure wouldbe<br />

buyers who do not want to wait for a<br />

home to be built.<br />

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5<br />

Not important Very important<br />

Average Rat<strong>in</strong>g on 1-5 scale<br />

“Spec” homes are available for immediate<br />

purchase and are ready for buyers to move<br />

<strong>in</strong> quickly. The downside of the speculative<br />

<strong>in</strong>ventory approach is an <strong>in</strong>ventory glut if the<br />

local market cools. Risk-averse builders typically<br />

suspend any construction on a new home<br />

until a purchase contract, notice of mortgage<br />

approval, or customer deposit is <strong>in</strong> place.<br />

Another approach to alleviat<strong>in</strong>g operational<br />

pressure is to develop an <strong>in</strong>ventory of land<br />

for future use. Almost half of the surveyed<br />

respondents reta<strong>in</strong> an <strong>in</strong>ventory of three or<br />

more years of developable land. Another<br />

27% of builders carry a two-year lot <strong>in</strong>ventory<br />

that can be tapped for future development.


Home Design<br />

Design<strong>in</strong>g the Home<br />

Do we need to look elsewhere for home design ideas?<br />

Of paramount importance <strong>in</strong> the new homebuild<strong>in</strong>g<br />

value cha<strong>in</strong> is meet<strong>in</strong>g home buyer<br />

needs. This means creat<strong>in</strong>g homes with<br />

features that are <strong>in</strong> keep<strong>in</strong>g with the tastes<br />

and <strong>in</strong>come levels of the region. A home<br />

that is out-of-step with the surround<strong>in</strong>g<br />

demographics is at risk of not be<strong>in</strong>g sold.<br />

Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g Designs by Source<br />

% of Respondents Us<strong>in</strong>g Source<br />

If a builder is confident <strong>in</strong> its ability to gauge<br />

the needs of the local market, it may choose<br />

to work its own designs. A builder who<br />

is expand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to a new area, however, is<br />

more likely to hire local architects, <strong>in</strong>terior<br />

designers, and consultants to make sure the<br />

local orientation is captured.<br />

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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Percentage of Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g Designs by Source<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Contracted<br />

Architect<br />

Internal<br />

Architect<br />

Other Third<br />

Party<br />

Our builders <strong>in</strong>dicate on average that more<br />

than 70% of their house designs are supplied<br />

by either <strong>in</strong>-house or external architects, or<br />

an architectural firm under contract.<br />

Home Buyer or<br />

Personal Architect


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Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Purchase Materials<br />

Buy<strong>in</strong>g the Materials<br />

Where is our supply cha<strong>in</strong> can we f<strong>in</strong>d additional sav<strong>in</strong>gs?<br />

Builders are typically responsible for<br />

purchas<strong>in</strong>g materials for new home<br />

construction, even if subcontractors are used to<br />

perform the actual work. Major raw materials<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude drywall, concrete, and lumber. Other<br />

essential materials such as w<strong>in</strong>dows, heat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

and cool<strong>in</strong>g systems, and fixtures, are also<br />

customarily purchased by the builder. Nearly<br />

all large builders procure materials through a<br />

centralized purchas<strong>in</strong>g department.<br />

from suppliers. Large homebuilders are still<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

The advantage of this method is the ability<br />

to purchase quantities <strong>in</strong> bulk, thereby<br />

command<strong>in</strong>g lower prices and better deals<br />

<strong>in</strong> the early stages of captur<strong>in</strong>g their full<br />

advantages <strong>in</strong> procurement.<br />

About half of our surveyed builders ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><br />

corporate-wide contracts with specific<br />

build<strong>in</strong>g product manufacturers for such<br />

items as appliances, cab<strong>in</strong>ets, roof<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

<br />

<br />

floor<strong>in</strong>g and fram<strong>in</strong>g. Respondents were<br />

more likely to contract for <strong>in</strong>termediate<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ished goods like appliances and plumb<strong>in</strong>g<br />

fixtures. Raw build<strong>in</strong>g products, such as sid<strong>in</strong>g<br />

and lumber, were secured under contract by<br />

less then 50% of the respondents. HVAC<br />

systems are the only <strong>in</strong>termediate f<strong>in</strong>ished<br />

system that is contracted by less then 50% of<br />

respondents.<br />

Percentage of Respondents Who Purchase Direct From Manufacturer


Account<strong>in</strong>g & F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Account<strong>in</strong>g for It<br />

GAAP FIN 46<br />

Regulatory changes now require builders to<br />

consider the implications of FIN 46(R), when<br />

evaluat<strong>in</strong>g jo<strong>in</strong>t ventures and land bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

arrangements. Builders must determ<strong>in</strong>e if<br />

the entity or arrangement would be required<br />

to be consolidated - or “put on the books”<br />

along with the related debt. Previously,<br />

jo<strong>in</strong>t ventures were evaluated under a<br />

different set of rules and there were no<br />

specific requirements cover<strong>in</strong>g land bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

arrangements, although certa<strong>in</strong> non-specific<br />

rules applied.<br />

FIN 46 requires a builder to first determ<strong>in</strong>e<br />

whether a jo<strong>in</strong>t venture or land bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

arrangement is considered a variable<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest entity (VIE). Jo<strong>in</strong>t ventures may or<br />

may not be so, depend<strong>in</strong>g on the structure<br />

and underly<strong>in</strong>g bus<strong>in</strong>ess. Land bank<strong>in</strong>g<br />

arrangements are almost always considered a<br />

VIE, due to the <strong>in</strong>herent structure, although<br />

some ultimately get scoped out. Once a<br />

builder determ<strong>in</strong>es that a jo<strong>in</strong>t venture or<br />

land bank<strong>in</strong>g arrangement is a VIE, it must<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>e who is the primary beneficiary.<br />

This process can get quite complicated and<br />

often <strong>in</strong>volves the builder develop<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

specific model to make the determ<strong>in</strong>ation.<br />

If the builder is the primary beneficiary, then<br />

consolidation is necessary.<br />

Public companies were required to adopt<br />

FIN 46 <strong>in</strong> 2004. Private companies had to<br />

adopt for new or modified arrangements <strong>in</strong><br />

2004 and for exist<strong>in</strong>g arrangements <strong>in</strong> 2005.<br />

Private companies seem less concerned about<br />

the impact from consolidation s<strong>in</strong>ce their<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial results are not be<strong>in</strong>g analyzed <strong>in</strong> the<br />

public doma<strong>in</strong>.<br />

When asked whether recent changes relat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

to GAAP report<strong>in</strong>g under FIN 46(R) would<br />

affect builders’ use of subsidiary entities to<br />

purchase land for development, the majority<br />

of respondents believed the new requirement<br />

would not <strong>in</strong>duce them to change their<br />

processes at all.<br />

About 25% of respondents said they would<br />

buy more land directly. When it came<br />

to the cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g use of jo<strong>in</strong>t ventures,<br />

renegotiat<strong>in</strong>g new agreements, as well as<br />

the use of land banks, more than 40%<br />

of respondents said they were “not at all<br />

likely” to make a change based on the new<br />

regulations.<br />

<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Are we prepared for the affect of gaap report<strong>in</strong>g under FIN 46?<br />

These numbers were enhanced <strong>in</strong> each<br />

category by an additional 20%-25% who<br />

said these changes were simply “not likely.”<br />

A solid group took the middle ground<br />

on these issues. Between 20%-30% of<br />

respondents said they “may” make some<br />

changes along these l<strong>in</strong>es. Respondents who<br />

were “somewhat” or “very likely” to make a<br />

change were <strong>in</strong> the s<strong>in</strong>gle digit percent range,<br />

mean<strong>in</strong>g less then 10% of respondents <strong>in</strong><br />

any category were likely to do anyth<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong><br />

response to these regulatory changes.<br />

Warranty Expense<br />

The computation of warranty expenses is<br />

another area of account<strong>in</strong>g concern. Our<br />

respondents were generally split <strong>in</strong> how they<br />

compute expenses, with 42% suggest<strong>in</strong>g that<br />

they charge a percent of the price or cost,<br />

while another 43% charge a fixed cost per<br />

home sold.


<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Sales & Market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Market<strong>in</strong>g and Sell<strong>in</strong>g the Home<br />

Which market<strong>in</strong>g approaches will drive the most sales?<br />

Market<strong>in</strong>g Approaches<br />

Respondents<br />

100%<br />

90%<br />

80%<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Signage<br />

This phase of the value cha<strong>in</strong> is different for<br />

builders who create a speculative <strong>in</strong>ventory<br />

rather than wait until they have a commitment<br />

from the buyer. The two major methods that<br />

builders use to sell residences <strong>in</strong>clude employ<strong>in</strong>g<br />

an <strong>in</strong>-house sales force and us<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dependent<br />

real estate brokers. Other popular market<strong>in</strong>g<br />

tactics <strong>in</strong>clude advertis<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> newspapers and<br />

magaz<strong>in</strong>es, on billboards, and via direct mail.<br />

Market<strong>in</strong>g Approaches<br />

Local Consumer<br />

Newspaper Publication<br />

“Parade<br />

of<br />

Homes”<br />

Direct<br />

Mail<br />

Virtual<br />

Tour<br />

Customer referrals or detailed builder web<br />

sites are other ways to f<strong>in</strong>d prospective<br />

buyers. On average, respondents <strong>in</strong>dicated<br />

that their market<strong>in</strong>g and advertis<strong>in</strong>g costs<br />

were less than three percent of sales revenue.<br />

Showcas<strong>in</strong>g a builder’s wares through<br />

development of model homes represents<br />

another popular way to sell new homes.<br />

Use Frequently/Use<br />

Never/Seldom Use<br />

Targeted to fit the tastes of the local market,<br />

model homes are ideal for would-be buyers<br />

who are concerned about gett<strong>in</strong>g as much<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation – as well as a first-hand look<br />

and feel – about the builder’s product before<br />

mak<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>in</strong>vestment. Some model homes<br />

display extra features, such as master bedroom<br />

fireplaces and high-end cab<strong>in</strong>ets, which<br />

consumers can select for an additional cost.


SG&A Costs as a Percent of Sales<br />

SG&A Costs as a Percent of Total Sales<br />

Respondents<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

Less than 6<br />

6.1 to 8<br />

8.1 to 10<br />

% of Total Sales<br />

<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

10.1 to 12<br />

12.1 to 14<br />

Associated with this aspect of the builder’s bus<strong>in</strong>ess management cycle are sell<strong>in</strong>g, general, and adm<strong>in</strong>istrative costs. Most of<br />

our respondents were able to keep SG&A costs between 6%–10% of total sales.


<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Deal<strong>in</strong>g With Cancellations<br />

Reasons for Buyer Cancellations<br />

Buyer Not Qualified<br />

Cont<strong>in</strong>gency Exercised<br />

Change M<strong>in</strong>d<br />

Other Reason<br />

Cancel After Loan Approval<br />

Once a prospective buyer has placed an<br />

order on a house, the builder often helps the<br />

buyer obta<strong>in</strong> a mortgage. Be<strong>in</strong>g able to offer<br />

competitive f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g to the buyer is often<br />

a key factor <strong>in</strong> mak<strong>in</strong>g a sale, and as a result<br />

many large builders now operate their own<br />

mortgage bank<strong>in</strong>g units.<br />

Reasons for Buyer Cancellations<br />

1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5<br />

Not important Very important<br />

Average Rat<strong>in</strong>g on 1-5 Scale<br />

Builders who do not have their own f<strong>in</strong>ancial<br />

services units also commonly assist buyers<br />

<strong>in</strong> obta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g. Many builders also<br />

provide clos<strong>in</strong>g services for their customers, as<br />

well as title <strong>in</strong>surance.<br />

Once their loan approvals are received, more<br />

than 95% of buyers complete the purchase<br />

of their newly constructed home. Despite<br />

favorable <strong>in</strong>terest rates and a plethora of<br />

f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g options, cancellations are still an<br />

eventuality for some transactions. Top reasons<br />

usually <strong>in</strong>volve issues with a home buyer’s<br />

f<strong>in</strong>ancial situation.


<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Respond<strong>in</strong>g to Customer Needs<br />

How do we respond to customer desires relat<strong>in</strong>g to home<br />

customization and the environment?<br />

Despite mount<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> design<strong>in</strong>g, build<strong>in</strong>g, and occupy<strong>in</strong>g more environmentally sensitive homes, only n<strong>in</strong>e percent of our respondents<br />

considered “green features” to be very important Top to home Green buyers. In Features fact, almost half Offered<br />

our respondents viewed green features as not important<br />

to potential home buyers.<br />

However, the top environmentally friendly features offered by respondents <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong>sulation and w<strong>in</strong>dow glaz<strong>in</strong>g options. Recycled materials<br />

and roof options were offered by the fewest number of respondents.<br />

Top Green Features Offered<br />

Insulation<br />

W<strong>in</strong>dow Glaz<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Energy Star HVAC<br />

Energy Star Appliance<br />

Air Infiltration Barriers<br />

Roof<strong>in</strong>g Options<br />

Recycled Content/Materials<br />

Other<br />

0 10 20 30 40 50 60<br />

% Respondents


<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

Conclusion<br />

Tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the<br />

Big Picture


<strong>Stay<strong>in</strong>g</strong> <strong>Competitive</strong> <strong>in</strong> Today’s Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>Industry</strong><br />

Deloitte and McGraw-Hill Construction • U.S. Homebuilder Survey<br />

When Growth is Good, Return on Invested Capital is Superior<br />

In the f<strong>in</strong>al analysis, the goal of any homebuilder – large or small – is to create economic value. Command<strong>in</strong>g prices that are greater than the full<br />

costs of produc<strong>in</strong>g homes is only part of the value equation; the other part is achiev<strong>in</strong>g superiority <strong>in</strong> long-term return on <strong>in</strong>vestment.<br />

Despite a positive outlook for new hous<strong>in</strong>g demand and favorable capital market discipl<strong>in</strong>e, our survey underscores fundamental shifts that are<br />

harb<strong>in</strong>gers of future <strong>in</strong>dustry change:<br />

Land is <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly scarce <strong>in</strong> desirable markets.<br />

Land use regulation is limit<strong>in</strong>g the amount of developable land <strong>in</strong> many major markets and creat<strong>in</strong>g an <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>gly capital <strong>in</strong>tensive, complex,<br />

and lengthy process for entitlement, <strong>in</strong> addition to driv<strong>in</strong>g up the cost of land.<br />

Local is still important <strong>in</strong> terms of scale but regional and national<br />

procurement is grow<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Materials procurement is becom<strong>in</strong>g more regional and national, not just local, which means that large homebuilders are reap<strong>in</strong>g strong<br />

advantages <strong>in</strong> procurement. This is a trend that is mount<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> scope and effect across the <strong>in</strong>dustry.<br />

As large builders ga<strong>in</strong> economic advantages <strong>in</strong> procur<strong>in</strong>g materials, access<strong>in</strong>g capital and atta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g developable land, their profitability and<br />

prom<strong>in</strong>ence will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to expand at the expense of small builders.<br />

Consolidation is a sure bet.<br />

The homebuild<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry is <strong>in</strong> the throes of consolidation. Large builders will cont<strong>in</strong>ue to <strong>in</strong>crease market share by acquir<strong>in</strong>g local and regional<br />

builders. The merg<strong>in</strong>g of large mid-level builders could further alter the landscape and br<strong>in</strong>g new behemoths <strong>in</strong>to the game. In the end, without<br />

an eas<strong>in</strong>g of new home appeal, home builders have little choice but to grow <strong>in</strong> order to meet demand.<br />

Contact<br />

Deloitte & Touche LLP McGraw-Hill Construction<br />

Paul Prescott<br />

National Tax Manag<strong>in</strong>g Pr<strong>in</strong>cipal,<br />

Homebuild<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Deloitte Tax LLP<br />

(714) 436-7148<br />

pprescott@deloitte.com<br />

Pete Cull<strong>in</strong>ey<br />

Real Estate Research<br />

Deloitte Services LP<br />

(212) 436-5039<br />

pcull<strong>in</strong>ey@deloitte.com<br />

Burleigh Morton<br />

Senior Director<br />

McGraw-Hill Construction<br />

Research and Analytics<br />

(781)860-6842<br />

burleigh_morton@mcgraw-hill.com<br />

Anita Gryan<br />

Director of Operations<br />

McGraw-Hill Construction<br />

Research and Analytics<br />

(781) 860-6434<br />

anita_gryan@mcgraw-hill.com<br />

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