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Insurance-Linked Securities Report 2008 - Aon

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While transaction volumes have fallen, the market remains strong. The total number<br />

of tranches issued increased in the year ending June 30, <strong>2008</strong>, totaling 49 versus 47<br />

in 2007. Interestingly, the number of deals declined in <strong>2008</strong> from 32 to 22, indicating<br />

that transactions are being subdivided to reach more classes of investors and more<br />

investors overall.<br />

CATASTROPHE BOND ISSUANCE BY YEAR AND PERIL (Years ending June 30)<br />

Notional Limit Issued by Peril<br />

8000<br />

7000<br />

6000<br />

5000<br />

4000<br />

3000<br />

2000<br />

1000<br />

0<br />

420 441 301<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

All told, there has been more than $15 billion in new risk transfer in the last three<br />

years. It is also interesting to note that the $5.8 billion volume in the 12 months<br />

ending June 30, <strong>2008</strong> was nearly double that of the same period ending two years<br />

earlier. The rapid growth in this market over the past two years is a clear indication<br />

that we can expect greater transaction volume than the $1.1 billion issued in 2005,<br />

regardless of the measurement method or date used.<br />

Hurricane North American Quake Euro Wind Japan Quake Asia Paci�c Other<br />

476<br />

2004<br />

Hurricane North American Quake Euro Wind Japan Quake Asia Pacific Other<br />

The market continues to focus on U.S. earthquake and wind risks, yet European<br />

wind and Japanese earthquake transactions maintain a steady presence. Indeed, the<br />

on-risk volumes for European wind and Japanese earthquake in <strong>2008</strong> exceed those<br />

of just a few years ago. It is also encouraging to note the increase in bond issuance<br />

covering other perils in <strong>2008</strong>, including tornado, hail, wildfire, and winter storm.<br />

As an aside, market participants periodically debate the relative merits of singleperil<br />

and multi-peril bonds. Comparing 2007 and <strong>2008</strong> to the years immediately<br />

preceding Hurricane Katrina, we find the percentage splits are the same. As such,<br />

the issue of single- or multi-peril has less relevance in <strong>2008</strong> than, for example, the<br />

rise of indemnity structures.<br />

646<br />

2005<br />

1,038<br />

2006<br />

2,328<br />

2007<br />

<strong>Aon</strong> Capital Markets<br />

1,669<br />

<strong>2008</strong><br />

7

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