UCM 2012 Delegate Fi.. - MUCM

mucm.ac.uk

UCM 2012 Delegate Fi.. - MUCM

C H E C K I N & R E G I S T R A T I O N

L O C A T I O N & M A P S

REGISTRANT FINAL INFORMATION

Please find below final delegate details for the UCM 2012 Conference. Should you have any questions or

concerns, please do not hesitate to get in touch with Jo Green.

Kenwood Hall is located 1 mile from Sheffield city centre on Kenwood Road, Sheffield, S7 1NQ. If you are arriving in

Sheffield via the train station, there is a taxi rank directly outside the station to take you to Kenwood Hall.

Please see following sheets:

Kenwood Hall Information Factsheet including “At a Glance” and “How to find us”

Kenwood Hall Venue Layout

Kenwood House Floor Plan

For more extensive travel options, please visit : http://www.shef.ac.uk/visitors/mapsandtravel (please note that these

give directions to the University and not Kenwood Hall, however, they are useful for getting to Sheffield from other areas/countries)

Monday 2 nd July 2012 From To Location

Registration & Check In 09:30 11:00 Kenwood Suite

Conference commences at 11:00 with lunch from 13:40-14:40

Late Registration 11:00 13:00 Kenwood Suite

Late Check in 11:00 Onwards Main Reception

Room Key Collection 13:40 14:40 Main Reception

On any other day, hotel check in will be from 14:00 on the day of arrival.

Upon registration and check in, your bags will be labelled and taken by Kenwood Hall staff and placed in your

room by 14:00pm.

Once registered, welcome refreshments will be available upstairs in the Wolstenholme Room (staircase

adjacent to the registration desks).

Session 1 of the conference ends at 13:40, followed by lunch in the Tempus restaurant. During/after lunch you

will be able to collect your room key from the main hotel reception.

Please do not bring suitcases/luggage into the conference meeting room (Kenwood Suite).

Late arrivals (After 11:00): Please identify and alert one of the organisers (yellow name badges) as to your

arrival and check in with the hotel at the main reception. Mrs Jo Green, the main organiser of the conference,

will be based at the venue throughout the conference, predominantly either within the Kenwood Suite or in

the Kenwood House Conference Centre Organiser’s Office (en-route from the hotel reception towards the

conference centre)

Please see the attached Kenwood Hall Layout Map for directions around the hotel, from the main hotel

reception to the Kenwood Suite where the conference talks will take place.

The Kenwood Suite is a building separate from the main hotel

The Kenwood House Conference Centre is housed within the main hotel building

Lunches will take place in the Tempus Restaurant situated behind the main reception

Bedrooms are located throughout the hotel, but most are up the main staircase from reception

The leisure suite is located up the main staircase from reception and down the corridor to the right

Please note that in order to minimise waste at the conference, we will be handing out a nominal Delegate Pack

containing only the Programme, Talk/Poster titles and a Contact List, together with your name badge. Other

information can be found within this Information Pack and on the website. The venue will have notepads and

pens available to delegates.

UCM 2012 CONFERENCE (Uncertainty in Computer Models 2012) 2 nd – 4 th July 2012, Kenwood Hall, Sheffield, UK


C H E C K O U T & D E P A R T U R E

O U T L I N E P R O G R A M M E

Monday 2 nd July

Tuesday 3 rd July

Wednesday 4 th July

REGISTRANT FINAL INFORMATION

Wednesday 4 th July 2012 From To Location

Check Out Anytime 11:10 Hotel Main Reception

Conference commences at 09:20 with a break between 10:40 and 11:10

Baggage Collection 16:00 onwards Hotel Main Reception

On any other day, hotel check out will be before 10:00 on the day of departure.

Upon check out, please check out at the main hotel reception where your bags will be labelled and taken by

Kenwood Hall staff and securely stored until your departure.

All personal expense accounts must be settled upon check out.

As Session 6 of the conference ends at 16:00/16:30 on Wednesday 4 th July, you will be able to collect your

luggage from the main hotel lobby/reception area.

Please do not bring suitcases/luggage into the conference meeting room (Kenwood Suite).

Taxis can be ordered from the hotel reception prior to your departure time.

Departure refreshments will be served in the Wolstenholm Room (Kenwood Suite) from 16:00 until 16:30

11:00 Conference Opens Day 1 Kenwood Suite

13:40 Lunch 1810 Restaurant

14:40 Conference talks Kenwood Suite

16:00 Break Wolstenholm Room

16:30 Conference talks Kenwood Suite

17:30 Poster Spotlight Session Kenwood Suite

18:00 Close of Day 1 Kenwood Suite

19:00 Informal Dinner Tempus Restaurant

20:00 Drinks Reception & Poster Session Kenwood House Conference Centre

09:20 Conference Opens Day 2 Kenwood Suite

10:40 Break Wolstenholm Room

11:40 Conference talks Kenwood Suite

12:50 Lunch Tempus Restaurant

13:50 Continuation of Poster Session Kenwood House Conference Centre

15:00 Conference talks Kenwood Suite

16:00 Break Wolstenholm Room

16:30 Conference talks Kenwood Suite

17:30 Close of Day 2 Kenwood Suite

20:00 Formal Conference Dinner Kenwood Suite

09:20 Conference Opens Day 3 Kenwood Suite

10:40 Break & check out Wolstenholm Room/Reception

11:10 Conference talks Kenwood Suite

12:10 Lunch Tempus Restaurant

13:10 Conference talks Kenwood Suite

14:30 Break Wolstenholm Room

15:00 Conference Talks Kenwood Suite

16:10 Departure Refreshments Wolstenholm Room

16:30 Baggage Collection & Departure Main Reception

A detailed programme can be downloaded at: http://mucm.ac.uk/UCM2012/Programme.html

UCM 2012 CONFERENCE (Uncertainty in Computer Models 2012) 2 nd – 4 th July 2012, Kenwood Hall, Sheffield, UK


R O O M S S U M M A R Y

C O N T A C T S

T A L K S

P O S T E R P R E S E N T A T I O N S

REGISTRANT FINAL INFORMATION

Activity Location Room

Registration & Check In Kenwood Suite Foyer Registration Desks

Late Check In Kenwood Hall Hotel Main Reception

Check Out & Baggage Collection Kenwood Hall Hotel Main Reception

Conference Meeting/Talks Kenwood Suite Main Function Room

Poster Session Kenwood House Conf. Centre Drawing Room & Terrace Room

Refreshment Breaks Kenwood Suite Wolstenholm Room

Lunches Kenwood Hall Hotel Tempus Restaurant

Drinks Reception Monday 2 nd Kenwood House Conf. Centre Library

Informal Dinner Monday 2 nd Kenwood Hall Hotel Tempus Restaurant

Conference Dinner Tuesday 3 rd Kenwood Suite Banqueting Room

A contact list will be given out at the conference with names, affiliations and email addresses of delegates and

organisers.

Should you encounter any problems in the few days prior to the conference, please email jo.green@sheffield.ac.uk .

Should you need to contact us urgently on the day the conference starts, please telephone the venue directly.

Kenwood Hall, Kenwood Road, Sheffield, S7 1NQ Tel: 0114 258 3811 Fax: 0114 255 4744

kenwood@principal-hayley.com http://www.principal-hayley.com/locations/kenwood-hall.aspx

Invited Talks should be 45 minutes

Contributed Talks should be 25 minutes

There will also be a short discussion time at the end of each talk.

A laptop, overhead projector/screen as well as a microphone/speaker system will be provided for talks.

If you have not already emailed your slides to Jo Green, you must bring your file on a memory stick for uploading

prior to the conference start – please arrive in plenty of time for this to be done.

Poster boards stand 6ft tall and 4ft wide (183x122cm) so posters should fit within these dimensions (suggest A0

size).

Upon registration, you will be asked to leave your poster with the organisers and this will be allocated a display

board and set up for you prior to the wine reception and poster session starting on the evening of the 2 nd .

Poster Spotlight Session:

There will be a poster spotlight session at the end of Day 1. This will involve each poster presenter giving a 1 minute

overview of their poster topic using just one presentation slide (using the laptop/overhead projector/screen

provided).

Due to time constraints and organisation of slides into one seamless presentation, only those delegates who have

already emailed their poster spotlight slide to Jo Green will be included within this session.

UCM 2012 CONFERENCE (Uncertainty in Computer Models 2012) 2 nd – 4 th July 2012, Kenwood Hall, Sheffield, UK


A B S T R A C T S

REGISTRANT FINAL INFORMATION

A list of abstracts is below which, together with full abstracts, can be downloaded from the UCM2012 website.

Nigel Fox Some challenges to meet the needs of Earth Observation and Climate

Omar Ghattas Uncertainty Quantification for Large Scale Inverse Problems, with Applications to Seismic Inverse Problems

David Ginsbourger Some new classes of kernels for Gaussian Process modelling

Grant Reinman

Design For Variation at Pratt & Whitney: A Large Scale Aerospace Implementation of Probabilistic Methods in Design and

Development

Jonty Rougier Two modes of science: The challenge of uncertainty assessment in complex systems

David Steinberg Characterizing Uncertainty for Modelling Response to Treatment

Brian Williams Sequential Importance Sampling for Rare Event Estimation with Computer Experiments

Ioannis Andrianakis

Super parameterisation of ocean convection using emulators.

Hannah Arnold Reliably predicting uncertainty in weather and climate forecasts

Pierre Barbillon Bounding rare event probabilities in computer experiments

Alexis Boukouvalas Optimal Design for Stochastic Emulation with Heteroscedastic Gaussian Process Models

Peter Challenor Emulators for Extremes Estimated From Numerical Simulators

Clément Chevalier Multipoint sampling criteria for the identification of an excursion set

Jonathan Cumming Emulating expensive decision choices with application to computer models of complex physical systems

Vladimir Fonoberov Global Sensitivity-Based Calibration of Computer Models

John Paul Gosling Multilevel modelling of an oil reservoir simulator: probabilistic Bayesian and Bayes linear approaches to history matching

James Holloway Assessing Uncertainties in Radiative Shock Modeling

Lindsay Lee Sensitivity analysis of a complex global aerosol model to quantify parametric uncertainty

Pascal Pernot Managing uncertain branching ratios in chemical models

Mark Strong Computing the expected value of model improvement in the context of health economic decision making.

Jarno Vanhatalo Probabilistic calibration of 3D-ecosystem model in Gulf of Finland

Ian Vernon Emulation and Efficient History Matching of Stochastic Systems Biology Models

Richard Wilkinson Diagnostic plots for dynamical systems

Ben Youngman Bayesian calibration of multivariate stochastic computer models

Carlos Almeida

Dynamical emulators for ice age dynamics

François Bachoc

Cross Validation and Maximum Likelihood estimations of hyper-parameters of Gaussian processes with model

misspecification

Remi Barillec Direct quantile emulation for stochastic computer models

Robert J Barthorpe Uncertainty propagation for structural health monitoring using an emulation approach

Jakub Bijak Simple uncertainty analysis for an agent-based model of population dynamics

Nabila Bounceur Global sensitivity analysis of climate response to astronomical forcing, CO2 and ice sheet variations

Jenny Brynjarsdottir The importance of model discrepancy for calibration and prediction from computer models

Evgeny Burnaev Extraction of the most sensitive directions via Gaussian process modelling

Stephen Chick Value of Information Methods for Pairwise Sampling with Correlations

Loic Coquelin Estimation of the aerosol size distribution from measurement with a SMPS through Bayesian Model Averaging

Nicolas Durrande Covariance kernels for efficient model based sensitivity analysis

Wouter Edeling Towards estimating turbulence modelling discrepancy in RANS with Bayesian inference

Javon Evanoff Evaluating new technologies in complex stress-strength models in the presence of random and systematic uncertainties

Peter Frazier Parallel Global Optimization Using An Improved Multi-points Expected Improvement Criterion

Jana Fruth A new variance-based total sensitivity index for the decomposition of functions with high order interaction

John C. P. Hemmings Calibration and assessment of marine plankton models in the presence of environmental uncertainty

Alice Hubenko Novel sensitivity analysis method for biochemical network models

Aparna Huzurbazar Quantification of Margins and Uncertainties in Complex Systems

Momchil Ivanov An EGO-type Algorithm based on Kernel Interpolation

Le Gratiet Loic Regularity dependence of the rate of convergence of the BLUP in a noisy kriging framework

Doug McNeall Emulating the Greenland Ice Sheet

Thomas Muehlenstaedt A space filling design of experiment approach for simulations with functional and real number input

Jeremy Oakley The MATCH elicitation tool

Oluwole Oyebamiji Predicting terrestrial biospheric response to climate change

Pascal Pernot Statistical approaches to forcefield calibration and prediction uncertainty in molecular simulation

Ullrika Sahlin

Reliability in Predictive Models under Alternative Treatments of Predictive Uncertainty – QSPRs in Chemical Safety

Assessments

Andria Sarri Statistical emulation of a tsunami model for sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification

Sabine Spiessl

Performance of Three Sampling Methods for Global Sensitivity Analysis on the Basis of a Performance Assessment Model for

a Generic HLW Repository in Clay

Erica Thompson Dynamical aspects of uncertainty in climate projections: The Hawkmoth Effect

Ben Timmermans Uncertainty analysis for a global wind-wave model using Gaussian process emulators

Sean Tulloch Gaussian Process Emulators with Categorical Inputs

William Usher Incorporating uncertainty into models of long-term energy transitions.

Kevin Wilson Uncertainty modelling on coupled models using minimum information methods

UCM 2012 CONFERENCE (Uncertainty in Computer Models 2012) 2 nd – 4 th July 2012, Kenwood Hall, Sheffield, UK

C O N T R I B U T E D T A L K S

INVITED TALKS

C O N T R I B U T E D P O S T E R P R E S E N T A T I O N S


Information factsheet

Kenwood Hall, Sheffield

The ideal choice for business

and pleasure with City appeal

with the country feel.

Set in 12 acres of attractive parklands, yet only one mile from

the city centre, Kenwood Hall (formerly known as the Marriott

Sheffi eld Hotel) matches period charm with modern facilities.

Perfect for events from 2-250 guests, many of the function

rooms have views of the grounds and the lake, making

Kenwood Hall the ideal setting – both indoors and out for

meetings, events, conferences, training, teambuilding, private

dinners, banquets, wedding receptions and celebrations.

With 114 guest bedrooms, each traditionally decorated and

furnished and complete with high-speed internet access,

Kenwood Hall can guarantee a relaxing stay. Kenwood Hall

is equipped with an indoor leisure facility inclusive of gym,

swimming pool for that all important daily fi tness routine.

Despite its peaceful setting, this popular and spacious hotel sits

a convenient mile from Sheffi eld’s vibrant city centre with its

wealth of shops, restaurants and lively nightlife. The regions main

attractions are all easily accessible from the hotel.

At a Glance…

Bedrooms 114

Meeting & Training rooms 12

Maximum capacity

Theatre 250

Classroom 120

Boardroom 60

‘U’ Shape 60

Cabaret 120

Banquet 240

Dinner Dance 200

Technology WiFi available

Check-in From 2.00pm

Check-out Before 10.00am

Restaurant/Bar Restaurant and Bar

Grounds 12 acres

Recreational facilities On-site leisure club with

indoor swimming pool,

gymnasium, sauna and

jacuzzi

Also available Clay pigeon/laser shooting,

archery, team building,

themed nights

Close-by Horse riding, bowling, horse

racing, paint balling, fi shing,

golf, night clubs, theatres,

off-roading with quad bikes,

tanks and landrovers,

climbing and outdoor action

adventure centre

Local attractions Chatsworth House, Don

Valley Stadium, The Lyceum

Theatre, The Crucible,

Sheffi eld’s renowned

‘Ecclesall Road’, The Peak

District, Magna Science

Adventure Centre,

Sheffi eld Meadowhall

Shopping Centre,

Sheffi eld Hallam FM Arena

www.principal-hayley.com


Information factsheet

Just one mile from Sheffield city centre, Kenwood Hall is easily accessible by road, rail and air. The idyllic,

secluded location with 12 acres of stunning grounds, belies the convenience of its urban location.

W

N

S

E

How to find us…

Nearest town Sheffield, 1 mile

Air Kenwood Hall is located less than 1 hour

from four main airports:

Manchester Airport, 49 miles/50 mins

East Midlands Airport, 47 miles/50 mins

Robin Hood Doncaster

Sheffield Airport 30 miles/45mins

Leeds/Bradford Airport 47 miles/50mins.

Rail Sheffield, 1 mile

Kenwood Hall is a short taxi ride from the

Sheffield Railway Station – we will happily

arrange this for you, on request at the

time of booking. We recommend

www.thetrainline.com for train schedules

and tickets to/from your destination.

SatNav 53.364075, -1.489774 (S7 1NQ)

Parking Parking is extensive and complimentary

for guests of the hotel, conference venue

and leisure club.

Kenwood Hall, Kenwood Road, Sheffield S7 1NQ

Telephone 0114 258 3811 | Fax 0114 255 4744 | kenwood@principal-hayley.com

By road

From the M1, junction 33:

Head for Sheffield City Centre, take the A61 south onto Sheath

Street. Follow the road round and up to Bramall Lane roundabout,

and go straight across. Turn left onto London Road, at the first

set of traffic lights turn right onto Cemetery Road. Carry straight

on across lights taking the second exit on roundabout into

Kenwood Hall.

From the M1, junction 36:

At roundabout take the third exit onto the A61 (signposted

Sheffield). At roundabout take the second exit onto the A61

(signposted Sheffield – North). At roundabout take the second

exit onto the A61 (signposted City Centre). At roundabout take

the second exit onto the A6134 (signposted Chesterfield).

At roundabout take the third exit onto the A625 (signposted

Castleton). Branch left, then merge onto Summerfield Street.

Turn right onto Cemetery Road. At roundabout take the second

exit onto Kenwood Road.

To Whaleybridge

To Glossop & Manchester

A625

Ecclesall Road

Western Bank

Kenwood

Bank

Waitrose

Psalter Lane Cemetery Road

Kenwood Road

A57

Upper Handover St

Sheffield

City Centre

Handover Way St Mary’s Road

London Road

Baan Thai

St Mary’s

Church

Sheaf

Square

Shoreham St

A61

Ponds

Forge

To M1 Junction 33

A61

Midland

Railway

Station

A630

Queens Road Suffolk Road Sheaf Street Sheffield Parkway


Kenwood

Suite

Entrance

Route from Conference

Centre to Kenwood Suite

External route from

Reception to Conference

Centre

Kenwood Suite

(Registration &

Conference)

Kenwood

House

Entrance

Internal route from

Reception to Conference

Centre

Organiser’s

Office Leisure

Facilities

Kenwood House

Conference Centre

(Poster Session)

From Sheffield

City Centre

Tempus

Restaurant

Main Hotel

Entrance &

Reception

Main

Bedroom

Wing

Car Park


KENWOOD SUITE

FINDING YOUR WAY AROUND

THE CONFERENCE VENUE

KENWOOD ROAD

Registration : Kenwood Suite

Conference Meetings : Kenwood Suite

Poster Session : Kenwood House

Lunches & Informal Dinner : Tempus Restaurant

Formal Conference Dinner : Kenwood Suite

Departure/Luggage Collection : Kenwood Hall Reception

KENWOOD HOUSE

CONFERENCE

ORGANISERS

OFFICE

Bedrooms



LEISURE FACILITIES

KENWOOD HALL RECEPTION

TEMPUS RESTAURANT

CAR PARK


THE TERRACE ROOM

Poster Session

THE LIBRARY BAR


Drinks/Bar




Door

Main Hotel/

Restaurant

Bedrooms

Conference

Organisers

Office

KENWOOD HOUSE

CONFERENCE CENTRE LAYOUT


Bedrooms

Door Door

Toilets


THE DRAWING ROOM

Poster Session

LOUNGE AREA

Door

External

Entrance/Exit

THE PARLOUR

Poster Session

FROM

KENWOOD SUITE

Kenwood

House

Poster Session

Monday 2 nd July

8pm onwards

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