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11 IMSC Session Program<br />

Orbital climate theory and Hurst-Kolmogorov dynamics<br />

Tuesday - Poster Session 10<br />

Y. Markonis, D. Koutsoyiannis and N. Mamassis<br />

Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Civil<br />

Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, Zographou, Greece<br />

Orbital climate theory, based mainly on the work of Milankovitch, is used to explain<br />

some features of long-term climate variability, especially those concerning the icesheet<br />

extent. The paleoclimatic time series, which describe the climate-orbital<br />

variability relationship, exhibit Hurst-Kolmogorov dynamics, also known as longterm<br />

persistence. This stochastic dynamics provides an appropriate framework to<br />

explore the reliability of statistical inferences, based on such time series, about the<br />

consistency of suggestions of the modern orbital theory. Our analysis tries to shed<br />

light on some doubts raised from the contradictions between the orbital climate theory<br />

and paleoclimatic data.<br />

Abstracts 119

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