final_program_abstracts[1]

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11 IMSC Session Program Paleoclimate extremes in proxy data Tuesday - Parallel Session 3 Elizabeth Mannshardt-Shamseldin, Peter Craigmile and Martin Tingley There is often interest in determining which year in a proxy reconstruction was warmest, coldest, or otherwise extreme. For example, using proxy data to address questions such as “Were the 1990s the warmest decade of the last millennium?”, “Is there evidence that the extreme events of recent decades are more extreme than previous decades?” The methodology of extreme value theory has not been widely applied to this problem. What can the statistics of extremes offer? Are there temporal trends among the extreme temperature values in proxy data? What can be learned by examining the behavior of the extreme value distributions for proxies themselves versus those for reconstructions and observed data? There is also interest in determining how these reconstructions compare to the observed climate. This leads to possible calibration with climate model output, with models run under different greenhouse gas assumptions. Abstracts 133
11 IMSC Session Program CORDEX: Developing an ensemble of high-resolution Regional Climate Change projections for the majority of land regions on the globe Tuesday - Parallel Session 5 Colin Jones Rossby Centre, SMHI, Sweden CORDEX (Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment) is a WCRP sponsored activity whereby the international downscaling community is coming together in order to generate a coordinated set of Regional Climate projections based on the CMIP5 GCM simulations. This presentation will motivate the need for an ensemble approach to Regional Climate Change Assessment, explain the main aims of the CORDEX initiative and present some initial results from Regional Climate Simulations made for the present day climate over the CORDEX Africa domain. Abstracts 134
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11 IMSC Session Program Multi-model
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11 IMSC Session Program Climate var
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11 IMSC Session Program Reconstruct
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11 IMSC Session Program Variational
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11 IMSC Session Program Intercompar
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11 IMSC Session Program Reconstruct
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11 IMSC Session Program A new monso
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11 IMSC Session Program Are current
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11 IMSC Session Program Uncertainty
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11 IMSC Session Program Verifying e
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11 IMSC Session Program The metaver
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11 IMSC Session Program An intercom
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11 IMSC Session Program Use of hidd
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11 IMSC Session Program A comparati
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11 IMSC Session Program Forecast en
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11 IMSC Session Program On the stat
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11 IMSC Session Program The limited
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11 IMSC Session Program Prediction
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11 IMSC Session Program Trends in E
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11 IMSC Session Program Shift of se
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11 IMSC Session Program Implication
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11 IMSC Session Program Bottom-up v
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11 IMSC Session Program Attributing
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11 IMSC Session Program Monitoring
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11 IMSC Session Program Anthropogen
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11 IMSC Session Program Variability
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11 IMSC Session Program An analysis
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11 IMSC Session Program Estimating
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11 IMSC Session Program The limits
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11 IMSC Session Program Comparison
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11 IMSC Session Program Modelling e
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11 IMSC Session Program European we
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11 IMSC Session Program Regression
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11 IMSC Session Program 3 Keef, C.,
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11 IMSC Session Program New indices
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11 IMSC Session Program Detection a
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11 IMSC Session Program Comparing t
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11 IMSC Session Program Ocean heat
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11 IMSC Session Program Observation
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