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49<br />

<strong>SCIENTIFIC</strong> <strong>EXPLANATION</strong><br />

<strong>george</strong> <strong>gale</strong><br />

1. INTRODUCTION<br />

The great French philosopher-historian of science Emile Meyerson (1859–1933)<br />

began his 1929 Encyclopedia Britannica article ‘Explanation’ with the following<br />

words:<br />

What is meant by explaining a phenomenon? There is no need to insist on the importance<br />

of this question. It is obvious that the entire structure of science will necessarily depend<br />

upon the reply given. (Meyerson 1929: 984)<br />

Meyerson’s conclusion would be difficult to overstate: the structure of any given<br />

science – indeed, of science itself – is developed around the ideal of explanation<br />

peculiar to it. Explanations in physics differ formally and materially from those<br />

in biology; and both differ from explanations provided by geologists and sociologists;<br />

even more generally, explanations in science differ widely from those<br />

given in, say, law or religion.<br />

2. MEYERSON ON THE TWO MODES OF <strong>EXPLANATION</strong><br />

From the publication of the 1908 first edition (of three) of his monumental<br />

Identité et Realité (Identity and Reality) until his death in 1933, Emile Meyerson<br />

was not only France’s dominant philosopher of science, he was one of the<br />

most important philosophers of science throughout the Western world. In the<br />

opening chapter of Identity and Reality, Meyerson speaks of two sharply opposed<br />

modes of explanation: the ‘mode of law’, and the ‘mode of cause’. Each mode has<br />

ancient philosophical roots. Law-explanations may with some justice be traced<br />

to Heraclitus’s dictum that everything changes except the law of change itself.<br />

Cause-explanations, according to Meyerson, trace back through atomic theory<br />

all the way to Parmenides’s notion of the unchanging self-identity of being.<br />

In his own era, Meyerson identified himself with the philosophical lineage<br />

that espoused cause-explanations; as his opposition he identified most especially<br />

606


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Scientific explanation 607<br />

Comte, Mach, and their followers in positivism, among whom he numbered<br />

his contemporary Pierre Duhem and the members of the Vienna Circle.<br />

To speak very roughly, the two forms of explanation may be characterised<br />

as follows. Law-explanations show that phenomena are related in dependable<br />

patterns. Meyerson quotes Berkeley’s view as paradigmatic:<br />

For the laws of nature being once ascertained, it remains for the philosopher to show<br />

that each thing necessarily follows in conformity with these laws; that is, that every<br />

phenomenon necessarily results from these principles. (Berkeley 1901: §37)<br />

Taine puts it even more simply: ‘A stone tends to fall because all objects tend<br />

to fall’ (Taine 1897: 403–4). An adequate law-explanation, then, is produced<br />

by showing that some target phenomenon is a consequence of an accepted<br />

rule, or, best, of a well-established law of nature. For the most part, French<br />

philosophers of our period – with the exception of Duhem and also Poincaré –<br />

were not legalistes (supporters of law-explanations). It was among the Anglo-<br />

Saxons, including Russell, Bridgeman, Carnap, and others of the Vienna Circle,<br />

that the law-explanation was brought to its highest perfection, as we will see<br />

below.<br />

Meyerson links modern cause-explanation to Leibniz’s principle of sufficient<br />

reason, most especially its dynamical statement that ‘the whole effect can reproduce<br />

the entire cause or its like’ (Leibniz 1860: 439). Underlying this, Meyerson<br />

notes, ‘we see that the principle of Leibniz comes back to the well-known formula<br />

of the scholastics, causa aequat effectum’ (Meyerson 1908 [1930]: 29). Thus,<br />

‘the principle of causality is none other than the principle of identity applied to<br />

the existence of objects in time’ (Meyerson 1908 [1930]: 43). Although murky as<br />

here stated, when cashed out in practice the principle is clear enough: ‘according<br />

to the causal principle’, in an adequate explanation ‘the original properties plus<br />

the change of conditions must equal the transformed properties.’ (Meyerson<br />

1908 [1930]: 41). In other words, an adequate cause-explanation necessarily entrains<br />

an object or objects, and describes how these objects preserve relevant<br />

aspects of their identity throughout the change. Prototypical examples of this<br />

type of explanation would include chemical equations which exhibit the conservation<br />

of mass and energy at the level of the atom, ion, or molecule. Since<br />

Meyerson was a trained chemist, his choice of prototype is not in the least odd.<br />

Underlying Meyerson’s distinction between the two forms of explanation<br />

is his analysis of the goals of science. Science, he says, has two separate and<br />

distinct goals. The first is a utilitarian one, namely, science serves to make our<br />

lives easier, or better, or, in some cases, possible at all. This it does through<br />

prediction: ‘foresight is indispensable for action’ and ‘action for any organism<br />

of the animal kingdom is an absolute necessity’ (Meyerson 1962: 22). Thus,


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608 George Gale<br />

the dog, when pursuing the rabbit, is able to foresee – to predict – the path of<br />

his quarry. Humanity’s science, according to proponents of law-explanation, is<br />

nothing less than an exquisite means to satisfy this necessity. Meyerson quotes<br />

Poincaré with satisfaction: ‘“Science” as H. Poincaré has so well said, “isarule<br />

of action which succeeds”’ (Meyerson 1908 [1930]: 20; Poincaré 1902a: 265).<br />

Proponents of law-explanation justify their choice by arguing that science’s goal<br />

is prediction alone.<br />

On the other hand, underlying cause-explanation is the deeply human need<br />

to understand: Meyerson again cites Poincaré, who ‘says: “In my view knowledge<br />

is the end, and action is the means [and] Aristotle had already said: ‘All<br />

men by nature are actuated by the desire for knowledge’.”’ (Meyerson 1908<br />

[1930]: 42; Poincaré 1902a: 266). Referring again to Leibniz’s version of the<br />

principle of cause-explanation, Meyerson remarks: ‘wherever we establish it,<br />

the phenomenon becomes rational, adequate to our reason: we understand it<br />

and we can explain it. This thirst for knowledge, for understanding, is felt by<br />

each one of us’ (Meyerson 1908 [1930]: 42).<br />

Scientific reasoning, indeed, scientific rationality, is not in principle different<br />

from ordinary, common sense, human reasoning and rationality. In ordinary<br />

reasoning, a phenomenon is made understandable, ‘rational’, when it has been<br />

linked to an object, its properties, and its behaviour. Science, according to<br />

Meyerson, is nothing more than the extension of ‘common sense’ into new<br />

domains: in this role, science creates, invents, discovers new sorts of objects<br />

which can act as the causes of phenomena which are beyond ordinary experience.<br />

Thus, the ordinary concept of ‘boiling’ and an object’s ‘boiling point’ is<br />

linked to the disappearance of a spot of a new substance, gasoline (Meyerson<br />

1908 [1930]: 45).<br />

3. OTHER EPISTEMOLOGISTES<br />

Léon Brunschvicg (1869–1944) was not a philosopher of science in the same<br />

measure as Meyerson: although Brunschvicg based his thought in the history of<br />

science (as well as in the history of Western philosophy), his focus upon science<br />

was as means, and not as end. Brunschvicg’s goal was to understand how reason<br />

contributed to human experience, and, in so doing, became ever more conscious<br />

of itself over time. Since, like Meyerson, Brunschvicg believed that the history<br />

of science captured some of the finest examples of the powers and behaviours of<br />

human reason at work, analysis of the history of science would serve his goal of<br />

understanding reason and its works. Brunschvicg, again like Meyerson, believed<br />

that the mind itself made a significant contribution to the world as it was finally<br />

known: ‘Positive science goes from the mind to matter, and not from matter


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Scientific explanation 609<br />

to the mind’ (Brunschvicg 1931: 144). Yet, his idealism was not unalloyed; in<br />

the end knowledge was a product both of the mind and of matter, working<br />

together, in an essentially dialectical interaction. Most importantly, Brunschvicg<br />

viewed science as a dynamic process, an open-ended creative action, that not<br />

only exhibited the speculative freedom of the mind, but also assured humanity’s<br />

practical liberty.<br />

Brunschvicg’s ideas about scientific theorising and explanation were less dramatic.<br />

A hypothesis or explanation was true just in case it was intelligible. Over<br />

time, the dialectic between scientific reasoning and matter ‘gives to thought<br />

an increasing approximation to reality’ (Brunschvicg 1905: 12). It is evident<br />

that both the spirit of Brunschvicg’s thought, as well as some of its particular<br />

doctrines, were influential during the period between the wars. After all,<br />

he occupied the chair of general philosophy at the Sorbonne for thirty years:<br />

1909–39. One philosopher of science who came especially under his influence<br />

was Gaston Bachelard.<br />

Bachelard (1884–1962) was a late bloomer: he started his work life as a postman;<br />

later, in 1913, he got a teaching certificate and taught secondary-school<br />

science for fourteen years. Then, in 1927, he got his doctorate and in 1930<br />

became professor of philosophy in Dijon. His experiences as a science teacher<br />

directly affected his philosophy of science. At the time when he was teaching,<br />

the ministry of education kept extremely tight reins on what would be taught in<br />

science, and how. In particular, the strictures forced an ontology-free positivism:<br />

‘One was directed not to speak the word “atom”. One always thought about<br />

it; but one could never speak about it. Some authors . . . gave a short history<br />

of atomist doctrines, but always after a totally positivist exposition’ (Bachelard<br />

1933: 93). As far as Bachelard was concerned, this was all wrong: ‘In actual fact,<br />

as Meyerson has proved, science usually postulates a reality’ (Bachelard 1969: 13;<br />

Jones 1991: 24). But, except for the usual focus upon the knower, and agreement<br />

about foundations in history of science, this was one of the few points where<br />

Bachelard’s philosophy agreed with that of his older colleague, Meyerson.<br />

From Brunschvicg, Bachelard got the idea of the open-endedness of the task<br />

of scientific reasoning. He communicates this notion in a particularly evocative<br />

way: ‘The scientist leaves his laboratory in the evening with a program of work<br />

in mind, and he ends the working day with this expression of faith, which is<br />

daily repeated: “Tomorrow, I shall know”’ (Bachelard 1973: 177; Jones 1991:<br />

59). Bachelard’s doctoral thesis was entitled Essai sur la connaissance approchée<br />

(Essay on the Approach on Knowledge) (1969); this connotes (at least in French) the<br />

notion of knowledge as approximate, ‘being approached only as a limit’, perhaps<br />

even, ‘under construction’. Again, the root of the idea is found in Brunschvicg:<br />

knowledge is a product, a synthesis produced by the mutual interaction between


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610 George Gale<br />

the mind and the world. Although Bachelard himself does not use the term<br />

‘dialectic’ to refer to this interaction, Brunschvicg would not have so hesitated;<br />

neither should we: knowledge is produced by two compelling, albeit contradictory,<br />

impulses: ‘rationalism’ and ‘realism’. In practice, these two metaphysics<br />

play out simply enough: ‘if scientific activity is experimental, then reasoning will<br />

be necessary; if it is rational, then experiment will be necessary’ (Bachelard 1973: 7;<br />

Jones 1991: 48). Obviously, what is involved here is mutual interaction between<br />

mind and matter in producing knowledge. But mutuality is not equality: in<br />

the end, at least in post-Einsteinian science, it is the rationality of mathematics<br />

which will prove most significant over against the matter of experimental<br />

reality:<br />

Mathematical realism, in some shape, form, or function, will sooner or later come along<br />

and give body to thought, making it psychologically permanent, ...revealing, here as<br />

everywhere else, the dualism of the subjective and the objective. (Bachelard 1973: 8;<br />

Jones 1991: 49; author’s italics)<br />

This remark shows two important ways in which Bachelard differs from<br />

Meyerson. In the first place, Bachelard believed that Einstein’s relativity theory<br />

represented so great a divergence from earlier theories – mostly because it raised<br />

to an unprecedented level the ontological creative power of mathematicisation –<br />

that it required a ‘break’ (= rupture) in philosophy of science, a rupture of the<br />

classical from the modern. Meyerson argued, in opposition, that relativity theory<br />

in fact represented the triumph of classical mechanics. The two thinkers<br />

fought it out in book-length form: Meyerson’s La Déduction relativiste 1925 versus<br />

Bachelard’s La Valeur inductive de la relativité (1929). The opposition between<br />

Meyerson’s ‘deduction’ and Bachelard’s ‘induction’ in their respective book-titles<br />

is especially salient: after Einstein, Bachelard believed, all attempts to use deductive<br />

logic in scientific explanations are fruitless. Meyerson believed precisely the<br />

opposite.<br />

The second issue dividing the two men follows directly on the first. According<br />

to Meyerson, scientific reasoning – most particularly, scientific explanation –<br />

is not different in kind from reasoning in ordinary common affairs. Reason’s<br />

activities were then, are now, and will always be the same. Bachelard denied this<br />

flat out. Because post-relativity scientific thinking mathematicises the world in<br />

an entirely new way, the world as newly mathematicised reaches back into the<br />

thinking apparatus and re-shapes it; thus the new explanatory achievements<br />

produce a psychologically ‘permanent’ change, an epistemological rupture in<br />

the manner of thinking itself (Bachelard 1973: 59). It follows from this that<br />

scientific thinking in general, and scientific explaining in particular, is different<br />

from what it once was; most especially, it is and can no longer be, deductive.


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It is obvious from even this short discussion that these French thinkers have<br />

had enormous influence throughout the twentieth century. Meyerson’s historical<br />

approach, plus his conclusion that scientific theories and explanations necessarily<br />

include ontologies, were taken up intact by Kuhn, as he himself admitted.<br />

Brunschvicg and Bachelard adopted historical approaches as well, and added<br />

to Meyerson’s thinker-centred idealism the notion of the open-ended ‘project’<br />

of constructing scientific knowledge. This latter view is now, sixty years later,<br />

one of the major themes in end-of-the-century science studies. Clearly, the<br />

French causalistes held significance far beyond their own times. But France did<br />

not hold a monoply on cause-explanation proponents.<br />

4. NORMAN CAMPBELL<br />

Norman Campbell (1880–1949) was an English physicist who, after reflecting<br />

deeply upon his practice, developed and propounded an influential philosophy of<br />

science. Like Meyerson, he believed that explanation in science was contiguous<br />

with explanation in ordinary life; moreover, again similarly to Meyerson, he<br />

held that explanations necessarily entrained causes: objects, their properties,<br />

and interactions. Finally, writing of the positivists, and most certainly Mach in<br />

particular, he wrote: ‘I cannot understand how anybody can find any interest<br />

in science, who thinks that its task is completed with the discovery of laws’<br />

(Campbell 1921: 89).<br />

Laws, of course, are part of a scientific theory. But, thought Campbell, they<br />

are not the important part; indeed, almost invariably, discoverers of laws ‘have<br />

no claim to rank among the geniuses of science’ (Campbell 1921: 92). On the<br />

other hand, every important explanatory theory ‘is associated with some man<br />

whose scientific work was notable apart from that theory’ either because of<br />

other important discoveries or because of their ‘greatly above average work’<br />

(Campbell 1921: 92). Explanations do their work by reducing the unfamiliar to<br />

the ‘familiar’ (Campbell 1921: 77). The reduction takes place when the objects,<br />

properties, or interactions in the unfamiliar system are placed in analogy with<br />

objects, properties, or interactions in a familiar system:<br />

The explanation offered by a theory . . . is always based on an analogy and the system<br />

with which an analogy is traced is always one of which the laws are known. (Campbell<br />

1921: 96)<br />

Moreover, the familiar system ‘is always one of those systems which form part<br />

of that external world’ which science studies (Campbell 1921: 96). Analogies,<br />

therefore, inevitably make claims about what exists in the external world.


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612 George Gale<br />

Campbell’s prototypical case involves gases. The laws of the behaviour of<br />

gases – Boyle’s Law and Gay-Lussac’s Law are his examples – are well known.<br />

But what makes these laws intelligible, what provides an explanation, is the<br />

Dynamical Theory of Gases: ‘a gas consists of an immense number of very<br />

small particles, called molecules, flying about in all directions, colliding with<br />

each other and with the wall of the containing vessel ...etc.’ (Campbell 1921:<br />

81). The phenomena described by the two laws – pressure, for example – are<br />

explained by the movements and interactions of the molecules. But the reason<br />

this explanation succeeds is simply the fact that the movements of the molecules<br />

are analogous to motions in the ordinary world:<br />

the behaviour of moving solid bodies is familiar to every one; every one knows roughly<br />

what will happen when such bodies collide with each other or with a solid wall ...Movement<br />

is just the most familiar thing in the world...Andsobytracing a relation between<br />

the unfamiliar changes which gases undergo when their temperature or volume is altered,<br />

and the extremely familiar changes which accompany the motions and mutual reactions<br />

of solid bodies, we are rendering the former more intelligible; we are explaining them.<br />

(Campbell 1921: 84)<br />

With Campbell we reach the last cause-explanation advocate of the period from<br />

1915 to 1945. We now turn to an examination of the other side of the controversy<br />

and examine the views of those who argued that scientific explanations are<br />

provided by applications of laws, those philosophers called positivists.<br />

5. POSITIVISM<br />

positivism began as a reform movement, an attempt to bring philosophical salvation<br />

to wayward science (Gale 1984: 491). Two names are especially associated<br />

with the origins of positivism, those of the French mathematician and social<br />

scientist Auguste Comte (1798–1857), and the German physicist Ernst Mach<br />

(1838–1916). As all reform movements must, positivism contained both an attack<br />

upon a perceived evil, and a manifesto proclaiming the correct way forward. The<br />

attack focused upon the metaphysical proclivities of then-contemporary science.<br />

Explanatory hypotheses such as atomic theory and, for Mach especially, energy,<br />

and absolute space and time, were taken to be speculative excesses, unverifiable<br />

postulates about forever-hidden structures of Reality. The problem with<br />

causal explanations, according to positivism, is that they tend to be wrong, and,<br />

once new theories are proposed, old hypotheses must be discarded along with<br />

the commitments of the scientists who believe them. A major case in point<br />

was Lavoisier’s revolution in chemistry, during which the substance ‘phlogiston’


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Scientific explanation 613<br />

went out of existence, only to be replaced by the substance ‘oxygen’. Science,<br />

according to the positivists, simply had no need to become involved with such<br />

illusory entities.<br />

What behoved science was to stick to its ‘positive’ (hence the name) contributions:<br />

the well-verified laws which tended to remain constant even through<br />

a drastic revolution, such as Lavoisier’s. Moreover, according to the positivists,<br />

laws satisfied the most important goal of science, its utilitarian promise to provide<br />

prevision, prediction, of the future course of events. Although elimination<br />

of cause-explanation would leave unattained humankind’s desire for intellectual<br />

satisfaction – the goal of science according to Meyerson, Bachelard, et al. –<br />

law-explanation and its attendant prediction was a safe and eminently satisfiable<br />

goal.<br />

Underlying the safety of law-explanation and prediction was a thoroughgoing<br />

empiricism, a commitment to exclude from science all notions, concepts, and<br />

words which could not, one way or another, be tied to entities apparent to<br />

the senses. Thus, following Hume, in order for a term to have any meaning at<br />

all, it must be tied to some observable entity. For example, ‘pressure of a gas’<br />

could be tied to the felt elasticity of a balloon, or, perhaps, the visible reading<br />

of a manometer. But since ‘an atom’ provided no such empirically observable<br />

concomitant, the term had no meaning at all; hence the concept, and its verbal<br />

expression, must be discarded from science. The ultimate sought-for goal was the<br />

reformulation of all scientific theories in meaningful terms, terms with direct ties<br />

to empirical observation. This would be accompanied by the elimination of all<br />

meaningless terms, that is, all those terms such as ‘atom’, ‘energy’, and ‘absolute<br />

space and time’, which referred to entities hidden or otherwise unavailable to<br />

empirical observation.<br />

Two French thinkers added significant elements to the positivist tradition.<br />

These are the physicists Henri Poincaré(1854–1912) and Pierre Duhem (1861–<br />

1916). For both men the only acceptable theory is one which is strictly mathematical;<br />

this because, as Poincare notes, the sole end of theory ‘is to co-ordinate<br />

the physical laws which experience makes known to us, but which, without<br />

the help of mathematics, we could not even state’ (Poincaré 1889: 1). Duhem,<br />

Meyerson remarks, ‘affirms in the same way that the mathematical theory is<br />

not an explanation, but a system of mathematical propositions; it classifies laws’<br />

(Meyerson 1962: 52). Duhem was a genuinely talented historian of physics; he<br />

knew full well that ‘several of the geniuses to whom we owe modern physics<br />

have constructed their theories in the hope of giving an explanation of natural<br />

phenomena’ (Duhem 1906: 46). Yet, as Meyerson remarks, Duhem’s ‘own ideas<br />

are diametrically opposed to this manner of thinking’ (Meyerson 1908 [1930]:


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614 George Gale<br />

53). Duhem’s heroically steadfast rejection of metaphysics, directly in the face of<br />

his own thorough grounding in the history of his subject, served as an inspiration<br />

to later positivists.<br />

Poincaré’s contribution was more direct. Although both he and Duhem were<br />

strictly committed to mathematicised theories in physics, just as Mach before<br />

them, this commitment, when carefully examined, represented a sharp<br />

challenge to their equally strict empiricist beliefs. Although ‘pressure of a gas’<br />

and ‘volume of a gas’ are concepts which can be cashed in via empirical observations,<br />

what can be made of the mathematical operations contained in, say,<br />

Boyle’s law that the pressure multiplied by the volume of a given container of<br />

gas has a constant product throughout changes in either? That is, what is one to<br />

make of the ‘×’ and the ‘=’ in the law p1 × v1 = p2 × v2? At least prima facie,<br />

multiplication signs and equal signs do not signify anything genuinely empirical.<br />

Poincaré made a very sensible response to this difficulty. He proposed that<br />

mathematical operations referred to the behaviour of physicists; that is, through<br />

convention, physicists had come to agree to use multiplication and equality<br />

as procedures during instances of Boyle’s Law applications. Thus, if one were<br />

to observe a physicist doing a Boyle’s Law application, one would observe the<br />

physicist measuring the pressure of the gas, then measuring the volume of the gas<br />

and then multiplying the measurements. The physicists’ ‘multiplying the measurements’<br />

is just as empirically observable as their ‘measuring the volume’.<br />

This conventionalist analysis extended to all mathematical operations; indeed,<br />

as we shall see, it applied to all formal manipulations, including those of formal<br />

logic.<br />

Poincaré’s solution became a permanent part of the positivist view. At about<br />

the same time, however, a development of equal significance to the development<br />

of positivism was taking place in England. I refer, of course, to Russell and<br />

Whitehead’s development of symbolic logic (Whitehead and Russell 1910–13).<br />

6. ADDING LOGIC TO POSITIVISM<br />

Philosophical concern to impose logical methods on scientific thinking is an<br />

ancient and honorable endeavour. It was Aristotle himself who laid it down<br />

that deductive logical structure is a necessary condition for any discipline to call<br />

itself ‘scientific’. Descartes and Leibniz reaffirmed this demand during the early<br />

stages of modern science. But none of these projects fully succeeded. What was<br />

missing was a sufficiently rich, powerful, and precise logical apparatus. Deductive<br />

syllogisms produced from the syntax and semantics of everyday speech just<br />

could not do the job capturing the richness of scientific language. Whitehead<br />

and Russell’s axiomatic system for symbolic logic, the logic of quantifiers and


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predicates with identity, made available for the first time a language which<br />

seemed to offer the potential to allow the empiricist re-formulation so desired<br />

by the positivists. Thus did the positivists become the ‘logical’ positivists (or, in<br />

some camps, and for obvious reasons, the ‘logical’ empiricists).<br />

Rudolf Carnap (1891–1970) presented the first mature interpretation of logical<br />

positivism in his 1928 Der logische Aufbau der Welt. Carnap, true to Mach’s<br />

empiricism, employs as his central concept Zurückführbarkeit, or‘reducibility’, a<br />

process through which one concept is reformulated in terms of other(s). A concept<br />

x is said to be reducible to a set of concepts Y if every sentence concerning<br />

x can be reformulated in sentences concerning concepts belonging to Y, with<br />

no loss of truth. The reformulation is carried out according to a ‘constitutional<br />

definition’, one side of which is ultimately – perhaps through more reformulations<br />

– linked to a ‘basis’, a set of basic objects. For Carnap, at this stage of<br />

development staying close and true to Mach’s sensationalism, the basic objects<br />

were mental objects: a certain kind of experience. During the reformulation<br />

process, the number of, and number of kinds of, concepts was sizeably reduced,<br />

with the result that the final product, the concepts of the basis, would be both<br />

simplest and minimum in number.<br />

Carnap’s basic concepts got their meaning by being cashed into statements<br />

about mental experiences. Although this procedure certainly satisfies most<br />

empiricist criteria of meaning (including the very one Carnap used, which<br />

he called ‘Wittgenstein’s principle of verifiability’), it did not satisfy Carnap’s<br />

Vienna Circle colleagues, in particular, Otto Neurath, who was a thoroughgoing<br />

physicalist. After some argument, Neurath convinced Carnap that basic concepts<br />

should be defined in physicalist terms, that is, by reference to quantitative descriptions<br />

of events occurring at definite spatio-temporal locations. Neurath preferred<br />

this physicalist language because it allowed for agreement among observers<br />

about the occurrence or non-occurrence of the event referred to (Neurath<br />

1932). Moreover, since the language symbolised the events of physics, it would<br />

serve to capture all other sciences which, presumably, would be reducible to<br />

physics. Thus, for example, theories in chemistry or biology would be formulatable<br />

in terms of the physicalist basis concepts.When fully implemented, the<br />

physicalist basis would accomplish once and for all that long-sought Holy Grail of<br />

all empiricist proponents of law-explanation, the elimination from science of the<br />

metaphysical excesses hypothesised by the cause-explainers. This achievement<br />

was duly announced by Carnap in his article ‘Überwindung der Metaphysik<br />

durch logische Analyse der Sprache’ (‘The Elimination of Metaphysics through<br />

the Logical Analysis of Language’) (Carnap 1932).<br />

A final fillip was added to physicalist empiricism by the Nobel-prize-winning<br />

American physicist: W. Bridgman (1882–1961). Bridgman held that Einstein’s


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616 George Gale<br />

brilliant achievement in discovering relativity theory did not come through a<br />

disclosure of facts or by showing something new about nature. Rather, Einstein’s<br />

discovery dramatically highlighted the value of sound conceptual analysis: after<br />

an analysis of then-current notions of time, and the operations used in measuring<br />

it, Einstein, according to Bridgman, saw that the concept of time, as generally<br />

understood, was severely flawed (Bridgman 1936).<br />

For example, Einstein saw that there was no possible way to measure whether<br />

two spatially separated events were simultaneous or not. Hence ‘simultaneity<br />

of occurrence’ was a temporal concept that could not be given a meaning in<br />

terms of a measuring operation. But since this very concept was fundamental in<br />

Newtonian theory, Einstein’s analysis suggested that Newtonian theory was fundamentally<br />

flawed, and needed to be replaced. Based upon this case, Bridgman<br />

argued forcefully for elimination from physics of all concepts which could not<br />

be defined in terms of operations, actual measurements, carried out by actual<br />

physicists.<br />

The empiricist bent of this, not to mention its positivist reformational spirit,<br />

will not go unnoticed. Although not all logical positivists adopted Bridgman’s<br />

emendation, many did. Moreover, scientists in psychology (e.g., Skinner) and<br />

linguistics (e.g., Bloomfield) called for operationalist reform. With Bridgman’s<br />

contribution, logical positivism was finally in a position to provide a canonical<br />

formulation of its view on scientific theories. This is what it looked like:<br />

A theory is an axiomatised deductive system formulated in a symbolic language<br />

having the following elements:<br />

1. The theory is formulated in a first-order mathematical logic with equality, L<br />

2. The nonlogical terms or constants of L are divided into three disjoint classes called<br />

vocabularies:<br />

a. The logical vocabulary consisting of logical and mathematical constants.<br />

b. The observation vocabulary, V0 containing observation terms.<br />

c. The theoretical vocabulary, VT containing theoretical terms.<br />

3. The terms in V0 are interpreted as referring to directly observable physical objects or<br />

directly observable attributes of physical objects.<br />

4. There is a set of theoretical postulates T whose only nonlogical terms are from VT.<br />

5. The terms in VT are given an explicit definition in terms of V0 by correspondence rules<br />

C – that is, for every term ‘F’ in VT, there must be a definition for it of the form<br />

‘(∀x)(Fx ≡ Ox)’ where ‘Ox’ is an expression of L containing symbols only from V0<br />

and possibly the logical vocabulary.<br />

(But it must be kept in mind that various aspects of the positivist view on theories<br />

were in nearly constant change from the first moment of their publication<br />

in 1928; most of the changes concerned clauses 2 and 5, particularly where their<br />

content involved the logic of the conditional.)


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Scientific explanation 617<br />

An example of this approach applied to the theory of metals might look<br />

something like this:<br />

Observation vocabulary, Vo:<br />

conducts electricity, is ductile, expands, is heated<br />

Theoretical vocabulary, VT:<br />

is a metal<br />

In accordance with clause 5, the predicate ‘is a metal’ would thus be introduced<br />

by a correspondence rule, in this case:<br />

(∀x)[x is a metal ≡ (x is ductile &xconducts electricity)]<br />

that is, metals are things which are ductile and conduct electricity. Laws of<br />

Nature presumably would be postulates (or, in some cases, axioms or theorems)<br />

of the theory. The following might be taken to be a plausible example of a Law<br />

of Nature:<br />

(∀x)[(x is a metal &xisheated) → x expands]<br />

i.e. metals expand when heated.<br />

7. PREDICTION, <strong>EXPLANATION</strong> AND<br />

THE COVERING-LAW MODEL<br />

As noted earlier, law-explainers typically take prediction to be science’s goal.<br />

For the most part, the logical positivists agree with this position, but with a<br />

very interesting twist. The logical positivist account of explanation is embedded<br />

in the view of theories and laws given just now, and one of its features is the<br />

symmetry of explanation and prediction. According to this view, an explanation<br />

and a prediction have exactly the same logical form, but with reversed timesignatures.<br />

Thus, an explanation is a ‘prediction’ of the past (sometimes called a<br />

‘retrodiction’), and a prediction is an ‘explanation’ of the future! What lies at the<br />

center of the doctrine is the single logical form which serves both explanations<br />

and predictions; let us therefore examine the logical form of explanations.<br />

In this account, L stands for a suitable Law; and C stands for an initial (factual)<br />

condition. The form of an explanation is:<br />

L1,...,Ln, C1,...,Cn (Explanans)<br />

E (Explanandum)<br />

Thus the Law(s) in conjunction with the initial conditions – the ‘explanans’ –<br />

are sufficient to imply logically the explanandum, that is, the phenomenon<br />

needing to be explained. The name ‘covering law model’ of explanation comes


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618 George Gale<br />

from the fact that laws are used to ‘cover’ all the cases needing explanation. Here<br />

is a simple example:<br />

Phenomenon / Query: ‘Why did the copper penny (p) expand when heated?’<br />

Explanans:<br />

Law: (∀x) [(x is a metal & x is heated) → x expands]<br />

Conditions: p is a metal & p was heated<br />

Explanandum:<br />

p expands<br />

It is clear that such explanations function as deductive arguments. In justifying<br />

a prediction exactly the same form would obtain, but the initial query and the<br />

verb tense would be different:<br />

Query: What would happen if I heated this copper penny?<br />

Prediction: Given that this copper penny is metal, if it were heated it would<br />

expand.<br />

It should be noted that the account presented here was never given as such<br />

by any particular logical positivist thinker, especially as regards its rendering in<br />

logical symbols. However, given what many of these thinkers stated, remarked,<br />

and argued at various time during the 25-year history of this model, they would<br />

be hard put to provide an account materially different from that presented here.<br />

8. CONCLUSION<br />

After a brief hiatus during the Second World War, philosophers of science resumed<br />

work on the problems of scientific explanation. For the most part, the<br />

Anglophone community counted itself among the legalistes, more particularly,<br />

especially in America, as logico-empirico-positivists. Yet opposition from the<br />

causalistes never entirely disappeared. By the 1960s, the legalist model of explanation<br />

was under serious attack, from both within and without. Harré and Hesse,<br />

for example, continued the Meyersonian-Campbellian tradition of emphasis<br />

upon the role of analogies and models, with their attendant causal ontologies.<br />

Indeed, Hesse’s (1966) dialogue featured a legalist called ‘The Duhemist’ pitted<br />

against a causalist called, naturally enough, ‘The Campbellian’. Kuhn, with explicit<br />

reference to Meyerson, opposed an historical methodology to the logical<br />

perspective of the positivists, with devastating results.<br />

In the end, what is perhaps surprising is that the entire century’s agenda<br />

for philosophical controversy about scientific explanation was effectively set, in<br />

France, by the argument in 1908 between Poincaré and Duhem – the legalists –<br />

and Meyerson – the causalist. In a very real sense, much of the following ninetytwo<br />

years of philosophical controversy are footnotes to that argument.

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