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Binomial Distribution

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Bernoulli Trials<br />

• For Bernoulli process, just two event classes (e.g., coin<br />

flip)<br />

– p = success<br />

– q = failure = 1-p<br />

– stationary versus non-stationary<br />

– not all orders are equally probable (depends on p)<br />

– for independent stationary, the probability of a particular<br />

(ordered) sequence of N trials<br />

• prqN-r , where r is number of successes<br />

• same probability for all orders giving with this number of successes<br />

– often we want to know the probability of r successes, regardless<br />

of order<br />

⎛N⎞ ⎜ ⎟ pq<br />

⎝ r ⎠<br />

• multiply by the number of orders r N−r

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