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US TRADING ROUNDTABLE<br />

LESSONS FROM MARKET CHANGE:<br />

WHO WINS, WHO LOSES IN THE<br />

NEW TRADING PARADIGM?<br />

Photograph © <strong>FTSE</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Markets</strong>, supplied July 2012.<br />

Attendees<br />

(From left to right)<br />

CURT ENGLER, quant and automated trading, JPMorgan Asset Management<br />

JOSE MARQUES, global head of electronic equity trading, <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bank</strong><br />

ROB KAROFSKY, global head of trading at Alliance Bernstein<br />

MIRANDA MIZEN, head of equities research, TABB group<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE, director, <strong>FTSE</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Markets</strong><br />

F T S E G L O B A L M A R K E T S • J U LY / A U G U S T 2 0 1 2<br />

Supported by:<br />

55


56<br />

TRADING ROUNDTABLE<br />

WORKING IN A NEW PARADIGM &<br />

HOW BEST TO FIND LIQUIDITY<br />

JOSE MARQUES, GLOBAL HEAD OF ELECTRONIC<br />

EQUITY TRADING, DEUTSCHE BANK: The markets<br />

today are as challenging as I’ve ever seen in my career, not just<br />

from a pure execution and quality of execution perspective, but<br />

in really understanding the liquidity landscape and how to<br />

navigate it in a way that allows my clients to really exploit the<br />

limited liquidity resources that are out there, and how as a<br />

broker we can create value for them in that process.<br />

CURT ENGLER, HEAD OF QUANTITATIVE AND<br />

AUTOMATED TRADING, JPMORGAN ASSET MAN-<br />

AGEMENT: We are focused on optimising the trading<br />

process. That includes understanding the portfolio manager’s<br />

process and researching the trade data which allows us to<br />

automate a significant amount of our flow. That also means we<br />

have to monitor both the macro and micro segments of the<br />

market, to better understand what is going on with volume<br />

and volatility. Many of our automated strategies are in house<br />

algorithms that we can tune to specific portfolio managers as<br />

well as market conditions. For us business is now about having<br />

to be on top of the portfolio manager’s process, the characteristics<br />

of the orders, and the market conditions.<br />

ROB KAROFSKY, GLOBAL HEAD OF TRADING AT<br />

ALLIANCE BERNSTEIN: There is also another element in<br />

play: that is, the trader is getting closer to the investment<br />

decision-making process in a world where liquidity has<br />

become a scarce resource. The ability to react quickly is<br />

dependent upon understanding which way your portfolio<br />

manager is going to zig and which they’re going to zag. It is<br />

about taking the trading and execution business directly<br />

into the investment process; and this trend is relevant and<br />

essential because of the difficulty of finding liquidity. In a<br />

highly volatile and highly correlated environment there’s a<br />

tremendous amount of alpha that can be extracted through<br />

the trading desk.<br />

We are in a new paradigm and I don’t think that it is<br />

necessarily cyclical. Certainly, it is unlikely that we will<br />

revert back to the 9bn shares a day that we used to trade<br />

in the United States. In part, this is because everything<br />

we’re living through now is a by-product of the two crises<br />

that have occurred during the last three or four years. In<br />

part, it is a function of a trend where equities as an investible<br />

asset class are out of favour. Year to date, we have<br />

seen in excess of $70bn in outflows and it is a continuing<br />

theme and this money is moving into fixed income. When<br />

you have global monetary authorities telling you that rates<br />

will be low through 2014, it’s an issue that will keep us out<br />

of equilibrium for some period of time, whether it’s artificial<br />

or not. Moreover, it is destructive to the liquidity in the<br />

equity markets. For that reason, I don’t believe that<br />

liquidity in the marketplace (and hence volumes) will pick<br />

up until money begins to flow back into the equity asset<br />

class. That will only happen when rates, particularly short<br />

rates, begin to rise and force people out of fixed income<br />

and into equities.<br />

MIRANDA MIZEN, HEAD OF EQUITIES RESEARCH,<br />

TABB GROUP: Our role is to look across the industry as<br />

objective observers. We spend an enormous amount of time<br />

talking to the market practitioners that make up the marketplace.<br />

We see a huge amount of changes are both currently<br />

visible and some that may happen that will change the<br />

makeup of the market and liquidity patterns. Regulation<br />

and technology have both become equally challengers and<br />

facilitators in the market and are both developing at a very<br />

fast pace but the hunt for liquidity is not getting any easier.<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: One more thing: if you look over the last<br />

several years, the absence of retail in equity trading has significantly<br />

exacerbated the situation. If the retail component<br />

is gone and if you’re talking about liquidity between one<br />

large asset manager selling and another buying, it is like<br />

ships passing in the night. You then are dependent upon<br />

finding that other large institutional holder on the other side<br />

of the trade if you will; it makes the problem of sourcing<br />

liquidity that much more complicated. So once again I say,<br />

we are living in a new paradigm and this paradigm will<br />

remain for the next couple of years, at least.<br />

JOSE MARQUES: There has been a lot of press over the last<br />

couple of years about the role of liquidity providers in the<br />

market. There used to be specialists who were clearly identifiable.<br />

You could walk down to the exchange and if you didn’t<br />

like the other side of a transaction, you could challenge the<br />

person directly. Nowadays, liquidity has become much more<br />

anonymous. When we talk about liquidity, it really is about the<br />

ability to convert cash into securities and securities back into<br />

cash and how quickly and how fungible that process is.<br />

In that regard, the role of the liquidity provider is greatly misunderstood<br />

in today’s marketplace. When you look closely at<br />

the dynamics of what’s going on, a buy side to buy side natural<br />

match happens with such small frequency that it’s almost de<br />

minimus. If there really was a buy side to buy side relationship<br />

then platforms such as Liquidnet would have huge market<br />

share. In reality though, this does not happen, simply because<br />

if one buy side institution wants to sell, it doesn’t automatically<br />

mean that there is a buy side institution that is willing to buy.<br />

Instead there is an entire ecosystem of liquidity providers<br />

that have evolved in the marketplace and they collect a toll<br />

for their services. Having continuous liquidity has never<br />

been free and it is certainly not free today. What you see on<br />

the shortest horizons are the high frequency market makers,<br />

and they are intermediating those trades a couple hundred<br />

shares at a time and taking a tiny slice out of those trades.<br />

Next on the horizon are the statistical arbitrage traders, who<br />

are in fact intermediating the high frequency guys and they’ll<br />

take inventory and keep it in mid-air for anywhere between<br />

a few minutes to a few days. Then there are the slightly<br />

longer horizon players, which include the hedge fund<br />

community, which in turn will keep inventory in suspended<br />

animation until a long-term player on the other side shows<br />

up who perhaps wants to do the whole process in reverse.<br />

It is this ecosystem that provides the liquidity and ultimately<br />

intermediates a long-term buyer and a long-term<br />

seller, which can show up hours, days, weeks, even months<br />

J U LY / A U G U S T 2 0 1 2 • F T S E G L O B A L M A R K E T S


Jose Marques, global head of electronic equity trading, <strong>Deutsche</strong> <strong>Bank</strong>.<br />

Photograph © <strong>FTSE</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Markets</strong>, supplied July 2012.<br />

apart in time. Certainly, from a regulatory market structure<br />

perspective, we need to understand how this works. We<br />

need to know what the cost of this liquidity really is and<br />

what structures ultimately make the markets more efficient<br />

and maximise the amount of instantaneous liquidity<br />

available for everyone. One interesting point is that the very<br />

richness of equities as an asset class that drives the diversity<br />

the ecosystem which in turn delivers the tremendous<br />

amount of continuous liquidity we see.<br />

CURT ENGLER: We have had such an interesting period of<br />

a rather volatile macro environment; when volatility comes<br />

down, liquidity is going to come down. At the same time, we<br />

have had such deleveraging out of a lot of strategies that<br />

were called more intermediate term—as Jose explained—<br />

that everyone used to be leveraged a lot higher than they are,<br />

particularly as banks are also lowering their leverage ratios.<br />

Whether this really is or is not a new paradigm, I cannot say.<br />

I don’t know what the headlines are going to be tomorrow<br />

that might completely change this set up.<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: This is an interesting point, that volume<br />

and volatility are linked. Volatility goes up, and volumes<br />

obviously increase and as we have seen, a larger percentage<br />

of that increase is going into ETFs and not individual stocks.<br />

When (and if) we do get into a better paradigm where<br />

volumes pick up, we need to see that link between volumes<br />

and volatility break. Would you agree? We need to achieve<br />

healthy volumes without market volatility.<br />

CURT ENGLER: You would have a lot of happier people in<br />

the industry rather than the other way around. It is certainly<br />

better than the alternative where volatility spikes and<br />

volumes remain low; that’s a double whammy.<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: Actually, we do have that.<br />

CURT ENGLER: Liquidity can still be fleeting in the shortterm<br />

if you are too much of a liquidity demander and that’s<br />

going to lead to higher costs. If all else is equal, volumes stay<br />

the same and volatility goes up, leading to higher costs. So,<br />

if we could ever get that sweet spot where volatility stays relatively<br />

constant and volumes start picking up, then correspondingly<br />

trading costs should come down all else being<br />

equal and I would welcome that. The question of course<br />

hangs around how we make that happen.<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: As I look at the world, I see would look<br />

for the signal that assets (or money) are flowing into equity<br />

assets and equity risk premiums are coming down, which<br />

correlates with your comment about volatility. People will<br />

have to feel much more comfortable in the equity space<br />

and once that happens you can have volumes without the<br />

volatility. We would, in that instance, turn the corner.<br />

JOSE MARQUES: Another way of looking at this is correlation.<br />

In the current high correlation environment you’re seeing<br />

F T S E G L O B A L M A R K E T S • J U LY / A U G U S T 2 0 1 2<br />

people coming into the market demanding macro equity<br />

exposure. But they come in one day and they leave the next day<br />

and, at the same time, you’re seeing a lot less of a stock<br />

selection process happening. So you get exactly what you see.<br />

MIRANDA MIZEN: Last year the combination of higher<br />

volatility and the higher volume also resulted in a higher<br />

percentage of high frequency trading. If we have lower level<br />

of volatility and if we see assets coming back into the market,<br />

we should see the participation rates of some of the participants<br />

in the market change proportionally.<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: Well, it increases the odds in a lower<br />

volatility environment of two ships hitting each other when<br />

they pass through at night.<br />

JOSE MARQUES: The data there is pretty straightforward.<br />

About 30% of liquidity is found within broker pools in general<br />

or dark venues overall. You see that in the TRF volumes for the<br />

US. The rest is found in the broad markets. The underlying<br />

question there seems to be: do we need 48 different dark pools<br />

and 17-plus lit venues? Clearly not. On the other hand, the<br />

technology has gotten cheap enough and robust enough that<br />

connectivity between venues is not the hurdle that it used to<br />

be and in some sense, it has gotten cheaper.<br />

One of the underlying benefits of our highly decentralised<br />

marketplace is a tremendous amount of robustness in our<br />

markets. It used to be front page news whenever NYSE had<br />

a system outage and stocks could not trade for a whole<br />

afternoon. When was the last time you saw a headline like<br />

that, aside from May 6th 2010? There have been real benefits<br />

to the fragmented structure, but like anything you can overdo<br />

it and there is a selection process underway. Even so, the costs<br />

are not outrageous; at least not for most participants.<br />

MARKET EVOLUTION: HOW FAST &<br />

DEEP IS THE RATE OF CHANGE?<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: Miranda, has TABB Group<br />

undertaken any research that looks at how the overall<br />

market structure will look in a few years time? As Rob highlights<br />

there is a paradigm shift in play. Surely, that must test<br />

existing structures and institutions and firms to the limit.<br />

How might it play out over the long term?<br />

MIRANDA MIZEN: We have undertaken a number of big<br />

studies around this theme, talking to long only asset<br />

managers and hedge funds, both here and in Europe. In<br />

January this year, we talked to 51 hedge funds and found a<br />

perhaps surprising level of optimism in the market. Many<br />

were thankful last year was over as they had found that<br />

volatility around volumes was extremely testing. There was<br />

a certain relief they had managed to survive a brutal trading<br />

environment and ventured that (overall) this year would be<br />

better, that early election fever would reinvigorate the market<br />

and that commission wallets would increase. However, that<br />

was early in the year and as the months have passed, that<br />

optimism has not played out.<br />

There are a number of trends coming in play as a function<br />

of lower trading volume. Low commission wallets mean<br />

there is not always enough to go round and broker lists are<br />

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TRADING ROUNDTABLE<br />

being scrutinized, especially as you look down the length of<br />

the tail. There is not a major change in commission concentration<br />

levels at the top. But brokers who are sitting on lists<br />

and haven’t seen order flow from their client for a year are<br />

very vulnerable and in some cases tails are being chopped<br />

quite aggressively.<br />

Asset managers are also re-examining some of the tools<br />

they’re using and how they want to access the market. If it’s<br />

obvious where liquidity is concentrating, the decision is how<br />

to interact with that liquidity. But especially in the dark,<br />

liquidity may be so scattered it’s hard to know if there’s<br />

another ship out there, let alone if it’s passing you in the dark.<br />

So there’s a constant demand for better tools such as those<br />

that combine block trading with algorithms and that can<br />

interact with the different types of liquidity, and duck and dive<br />

electronically in the market like the traders do. But tools<br />

aside, low volume markets and shifting liquidity patterns<br />

due to both trading styles and investment decisions require<br />

a re-think with regard to how to approach the market.<br />

We have this paradigm shift and although we all hope<br />

volumes will rise again, it doesn’t look likely in the short term,<br />

particularly in Europe where the outlook remains poor and the<br />

regulatory environment is undergoing a major upheaval.<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: Jose what is the role of the<br />

sell side in easing everyone’s pain?<br />

JOSE MARQUES: In today’s environment, the role between<br />

a broker and the buy side has turned back to the fundamental<br />

value propositions brokers traditionally have offered. In<br />

other words, if you ask: what is the role of the broker in the<br />

marketplace? It is to source and aggregate liquidity for the<br />

buy side and provide it to them in a cost effective way. By cost<br />

effective, I am not talking about commission rates; that’s<br />

really the total impact of trading. A good broker is going to<br />

deliver execution, and not leak information; a good broker is<br />

going to be able to provide you liquidity in whatever it is<br />

you’re looking for in the cheapest way possible. Then if he<br />

does it well, you’re going to reward him.<br />

Over the last couple of years, there’s been a lot of angst<br />

around the new electronic market structure and the problems<br />

this structure has created for participants that haven’t yet<br />

invested in the latest and fastest technology, whether that be<br />

co-location, or the whole techno-parlance of the new world.<br />

Ultimately, we have a pretty simple message to these folks,<br />

which is: if you don’t like your executions, get another broker.<br />

At the end of the day, the broker’s role is to provide technology<br />

and smart, intelligent execution, to control information<br />

and give clients a buffer on those hard to trade trades. If your<br />

broker is not effective, you must find someone who will<br />

move your business accordingly.<br />

CURT ENGLER: There’s a lot in this conversation to synthesise.<br />

I guess I’ll start by piggy-backing on two of the<br />

comments Jose made about the broker’s role and (as well)<br />

the trader’s job to understand the investment process better.<br />

Both those comments were spot on. Certainly, as markets<br />

evolve the buy side trader will increasingly be tasked with<br />

being more strategic in the whole investment process. In any<br />

case, it is incumbent on the buy side trader to better under-<br />

Curt Engler, quant and automated trading, JPMorgan Asset<br />

Management. Photograph © <strong>FTSE</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Markets</strong>, supplied July 2012.<br />

stand the importance of the overall investment strategy that<br />

determines his trades as well as to be more proactive with<br />

regard to sourcing liquidity so that, if one of those ships does<br />

show up, the buy side trade should to be able to filter that<br />

trade in a way that is better for the portfolio manager.<br />

On the electronic side, given that we make the effort to<br />

better understand the portfolio manager’s process—whether<br />

it is what factors they use for stock selection, or their portfolio<br />

construction criteria—and understanding that process to<br />

the point where the broker’s role is going to evolve further.<br />

I actually think the broker’s role will become more difficult<br />

and complex in future; particularly as technology is now one<br />

more level of disintermediation of the sell side to the point<br />

where we can now make all of our own order placements,<br />

rather than just placing it one scheduled algorithm and<br />

work on the basis of the anticipated outcome of that.<br />

MARKET FRAGMENTATION: GET<br />

OVER IT OR UNDER IT?<br />

JOSE MARQUES: Execution and portfolio implementation<br />

costs have come down over the last ten years. Over<br />

the last six months, they’ve probably bottomed out and<br />

maybe ticked up a little bit because of t`he dramatic fall off<br />

in overall market volumes and liquidity. However, market<br />

structure changes have driven a great deal of that drop in<br />

terms of real trade implementation costs with tangible<br />

benefits to investors.<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: Hasn’t there been an<br />

attendant cost in terms of connectivity, technology, investment<br />

in new processes and linkages with brokers and<br />

trading venues?<br />

JOSE MARQUES: Collectively the sell side spends<br />

hundreds of millions of dollars to develop and maintain its<br />

technology, for sure.<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: As the world has become far more<br />

reliant and dependent on technology, both sides (and it is a<br />

relative spend) have had to spend on technology and<br />

become aware of measured tools and things like that. So that<br />

the explicit costs that Jose mentioned have been coming<br />

down and perhaps bottoming is true. Also, the costs of<br />

being able to navigate the 40-plus dark venues and 17 or so<br />

lit exchanges has also been an offsetting cost.<br />

JOSE MARQUES: Yes, costs elsewhere in the system have<br />

also emerged. TV cameras used to pan around the heavily<br />

populated floor of the New York Stock Exchange, where in<br />

the mid-1990s you could barely walk through the crowd. It’s<br />

a very different picture today and that is the very real impact<br />

technology has had. Of course, this has occurred at all levels<br />

through the markets and in the trading process. We used to<br />

J U LY / A U G U S T 2 0 1 2 • F T S E G L O B A L M A R K E T S


have tens of thousands of people to clear trades. As an<br />

industry, those numbers have come down. There are efficiencies<br />

that have been extracted, even though the technology<br />

costs and people resourcing around technology have gone<br />

up considerably.<br />

WHERE DO YOU FIND ADDED<br />

VALUE AS MARKETS CHANGE?<br />

MIRANDA MIZEN: A major area of differentiation that is<br />

being highlighted over the last six to twelve months is<br />

coverage. Take algorithms, the most commoditised area of<br />

trading. You often hear the buy side grumble there’s little real<br />

difference between many of them. In fact there is, both in<br />

terms of the algorithmic environment and liquidity accessed<br />

as well as in the surrounding services. It isn’t necessarily<br />

someone coming with a new algorithm that’s really going to<br />

make the difference; it may be the coverage person stopping<br />

by, taking off his jacket, sitting down with the client and<br />

talking about how they access the markets and talking<br />

through how they trade their orders, the kinds of algorithms<br />

they need and are comfortable using, how individual algorithms<br />

work with certain market conditions. Increasingly,<br />

coverage combines both elements of high touch and low<br />

touch services.<br />

A major factor is trust, because there’s no way in a highly<br />

volatile, fast-moving market that someone is going to use an<br />

algorithm if he doesn’t know how it performs and exactly<br />

what to expect. Partly this is a function of understanding<br />

both the market dynamics and the technology and having<br />

transaction cost analysis tools, but equally, there is also a<br />

level of human interaction, in terms of providing the<br />

knowledge to use those tools very efficiently. It’s the same on<br />

the high touch side; you have to be able to trust the person<br />

at the other end of the telephone if you’re doing a trade.<br />

The buy side is demanding greater insight into how the algorithms<br />

are working. Not everybody wants to look under<br />

the hood and know where the fan belt is, but in terms of<br />

order placement logic that Rob mentioned earlier, if the<br />

order is being exposed in the dark, where is it being exposed<br />

and to whom? In other words, I want to know where it<br />

traded, but I also want to know where it is going and what<br />

level of exposure goes with it. Who am I trading with and<br />

what is the quality of liquidity at the other end of the order<br />

that may help or not help my order flow? This transparency<br />

is partly coverage, partly product. Ultimately though, they are<br />

two halves of the same whole.<br />

CURT ENGLER: If the buy side is going to make the effort<br />

to understand what the portfolio manager’s process is (and<br />

that the technology is available) we are doing our fiduciary<br />

role to own the order execution process as well. We’re the<br />

ones putting the fixed tags in place, because we want this<br />

many shares placed at this location for this amount of time,<br />

for example. In this regard, the buy side has been the biggest<br />

winner on the transparency front to actually understand<br />

that logic as well as then mine any resulting analytical data<br />

for relevant analysis of orders. People may or may not want<br />

F T S E G L O B A L M A R K E T S • J U LY / A U G U S T 2 0 1 2<br />

to get into that minutia, but once you do, you learn from how<br />

orders are placed at various venues, and where the margins<br />

are made; understanding that entire process is now integral<br />

to doing our job well.<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: Is that typical though of all<br />

buy side trading desks? Or, is that typical of large buy side<br />

trading desks of the magnitude of your firm, and that of<br />

Rob’s trading desk? It is easy for you, you have resources, and<br />

you are huge asset gatherers, are you not?<br />

CURT ENGLER: You are right, scale certainly plays into it.<br />

We traded $250bn last year and a basis point matters on that<br />

volume. If you’re a smaller asset manager there are likely<br />

different investment strategies and other business considerations<br />

involved. In that instance, the effort required may be<br />

too onerous or high a hurdle. Even so, technology is almost<br />

ubiquitous enough now and in that sense there is a really<br />

low entry level that will allow you to do some of these things<br />

quite easily.<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: Jose, in this environment and<br />

with that minute detail required, knowing your client very well<br />

indeed is vital to a successful business strategy, isn’t it?<br />

JOSE MARQUES: Absolutely, knowing your client as well<br />

as every detail of their trading processes and trading technology<br />

is essential. As Curt acknowledged, access to modern<br />

trading technology is very democratic, even for small buy<br />

side firms or even retail participants, due to the massive investments<br />

made by the sell side. The key is helping clients<br />

apply the appropriate technologies to their specific trading<br />

problems. It’s not all about speed either. Some of the most<br />

important technologies are all about quantitative processes,<br />

down to the microstructure level, involving how you place<br />

trades, how you read that order book, which venues you go<br />

to and when, and understanding the intention behind that<br />

order when it was sent.<br />

Moving up the value chain, one of the things that both<br />

Curt’s and Rob’s firms do extremely well is understand the<br />

alpha of the portfolio manager and how to modulate trading<br />

to maximize alpha capture. These are things that the sell side<br />

can absolutely provide for all clients and do so by modulating<br />

the behaviour of algorithms based on who’s trading on<br />

the other side and the portfolio manager’s intentions. This is<br />

becoming a very important part of the business because<br />

capturing a few extra mills here and there adds up to percentage<br />

points of incremental returns.<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: Rob, there’s probably not<br />

much any sell side trader can teach you. So where do you<br />

look for value-add from your sell side provider?<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: Actually, it is complicated navigating the<br />

marketplace. Both Curt and Jose mentioned basis point<br />

matters on a lot of notional trade and that’s absolutely true.<br />

It is how you capture that basis point. Plus, to me that’s the<br />

interesting part. It is not just being a liquidity provider versus<br />

taking liquidity when you’re executing electronically. Where<br />

the sell side truly helps us is in understanding when to<br />

trade with more urgency and understanding when to trade<br />

more slowly. It is taking advantage of liquidity when it comes<br />

to your doorstep and trying to understand where the alpha<br />

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TRADING ROUNDTABLE<br />

is embedded in your order flow if by definition if it is a<br />

value order and in that instance you should trade more<br />

slowly. It is about helping us understand the subtleties and<br />

complexion of the market.<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: Is that a conversation that<br />

happens before the trade or in real time?<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: It happens in real time and it is ongoing<br />

and it speaks directly to an initiative that many firms<br />

on the sell side are taking where they’re trying to combine<br />

both the electronic and high touch points and deliver<br />

something to clients that hasn’t necessarily been delivered<br />

up to this point. Now, you could argue that this has<br />

happened through daily dialogue in the past. However,<br />

there has been a sea-change; there is now a more<br />

concerted effort by the sell side to be part and parcel of the<br />

process. I am working slowly, trying to have minimal<br />

impact in a particular situation, but if something larger<br />

comes along, I am interested. It is about effectively<br />

combining those different approaches that people are attempting<br />

to achieve now.<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: Can you measure the<br />

efficacy of this approach in numerical terms?<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: It is difficult to capture 100% of the<br />

dialogue, the relationship that you have on a daily basis, but<br />

it shows up in your performance and we’re constantly evaluating<br />

how we’re doing. We evaluate it every day. And we<br />

can directly attribute it to brokers that help us achieve the<br />

numbers, whether it is through their trading pipes or<br />

whether it is through a piece of liquidity that comes through<br />

their high touch area.<br />

JOSE MARQUES: At the end of the day, realised portfolio<br />

performance matters. From the moment that a portfolio<br />

manager decides he wants to buy or sell a security, at that<br />

instant prevailing market prices are the most relevant<br />

benchmark. Often arrival price, the prevailing market price<br />

when the order is received by the sell side desk is used as a<br />

proxy. When you look at the newest and most creative ideas<br />

we have implemented, they are around creating opportunistic<br />

liquidity-seeking algorithms that really go after alpha<br />

directly and minimizing slippage to arrival price. When the<br />

liquidity is there at an excellent price, clients take all they can,<br />

and when it is not there, they fade the trade and become<br />

patient. Doing that effectively is important.<br />

Now that’s what we do at the end of the value chain, but<br />

there is also an important piece in the middle of the value<br />

chain - between the portfolio manager and the sell side - and<br />

that’s the role of the buy side trader to finesse. We don’t have<br />

complete transparency as to the alpha of an individual<br />

portfolio manager. We have some if it is provided to us, but we<br />

can’t pick up the phone and call the portfolio manager and ask<br />

him: do you want me to be more urgent with this order?<br />

That’s the role of the buy side trader who is to understand his<br />

portfolio managers and what their liquidity needs really are.<br />

I would say it is when all three parties are working<br />

together on this value chain that delivers the best outcome.<br />

A portfolio manager has to be sensitive to his own process<br />

and know when he should be aggressive and communicate<br />

that to his desk, and then the buy side desk can give the appropriate<br />

signalling to their sell side counterparts. The<br />

process works in reverse too. If you look at a portfolio optimisation<br />

process, there are some implicit costs that go into<br />

doing the optimisation. If all of the sudden I can offer a big<br />

chunk of liquidity at a very cheap cost, the portfolio manager<br />

might look at that and say: yes, that’s attractive if I can get<br />

it on the cheap. Otherwise, he might not have done that<br />

marginal trade. So, pushing that information back is very<br />

important too. That speaks to the hybrid model Rob was<br />

talking about, where we combine the smarts of the electronic<br />

world with the sensitivity of the high touch world where we<br />

really know the client; then we will be able to push that<br />

alpha back the other way.<br />

BROADENING THE SKILL SET:<br />

ASSETS OTHER THAN EQUITIES<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: All this understanding is<br />

well and good. However, there are big macro forces in play<br />

right now. As buy side trading desks, you’re at the forefront<br />

really of the movement out of equities and into fixed income.<br />

How, in turn, are these changes in asset allocation changing<br />

the way that the buy side trading desk operates?<br />

CURT ENGLER: Our desk definitely has a broader skill set<br />

now than before. Historically I guess everybody would’ve<br />

had experience on the single stock side, whereas now we<br />

have two quantitative analysts that are on the desk full-time<br />

now that are the ones who are helping craft the trading<br />

strategies and fine tuning the strategy given the market<br />

dynamics. Along the lines of having people who can speak<br />

the language of the portfolio manager, we have three (CFAs)<br />

involved too, all the while still having very experienced<br />

traders we have hired either from buy side or the sell side on<br />

the desk. However, I would say we have broadened the skill<br />

sets on the desk considerably in response to the market<br />

rather than any sort of shift in what asset class is in favour<br />

or not So having that mix of those different and differentiated<br />

skill sets has been the direction we have taken.<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: I’d say two things. One based on what<br />

I initially said about being in a new paradigm, there’s been<br />

a shift, from the sell side to the buy side in terms of understanding<br />

how to price assets better and how to source<br />

liquidity. We’re definitely seeing that shift. It is a scarce good,<br />

if you will, and the onus is on us to develop expertise in that<br />

area. So, we have certainly moved in that direction and what<br />

that means is staffing the desk appropriately with people<br />

that have that type of experience.<br />

The second thing in terms of dealing with the overall environment<br />

as far as asset flows, that we absolute need to<br />

scale our desks appropriately given the global volumes that<br />

we have experienced and that we probably will experience.<br />

That’s a similar exercise that’s happening on the sell side as<br />

well. We have seen a lot of capacity come out and my guess<br />

is we’ll continue to see more capacity come out.<br />

As far as expertise across asset classes toes, the worlds are<br />

correlated, more so than they’ve ever been. If you’re trading<br />

J U LY / A U G U S T 2 0 1 2 • F T S E G L O B A L M A R K E T S


Rob Karofsky, global head of trading at Alliance Bernstein. Photograph<br />

© <strong>FTSE</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Markets</strong>, supplied July 2012.<br />

equities and you don’t have that vital understanding of how<br />

credit markets will impact equities, you’re missing an<br />

important step. Therefore, if the world is going to be more<br />

correlated, you need to have an understanding of how commodities<br />

and credit and things of that nature are going to<br />

impact idiosyncratic moves in stocks.<br />

One of the things that we have done is we have moved all<br />

of our trading capabilities onto one floor to help enhance<br />

that connectivity. It is important than having one person<br />

trade multiple thing. Given our size, it is not realistic. With<br />

smaller hedge funds or smaller asset managers, it is more<br />

that they aren’t dealing with as many transactions so perhaps<br />

it is more achievable, but I still think, at the larger institutions,<br />

that you need a certain amount of specialisation in<br />

order to effectively executive and more importantly become<br />

embedded in the investment process.<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: How much analytical work,<br />

Miranda, is being or has been done on the long-term impact<br />

of these changes in the way that buy side trading operations<br />

are structured and the increased skill sets that are being<br />

imported into the buy side? What ultimately might this<br />

mean for the definition of sell side services?<br />

MIRANDA MIZEN: As an average over the last couple of<br />

years on the buy side, and taking in the biggest and the<br />

smallest firms into account, we haven’t seen a huge amount<br />

of change in terms of sheer numbers of people per desk. But<br />

obviously the markets are a lot more complex so each person<br />

is doing a lot more. The point Rob made about having to worry<br />

about credit risk as well as credit markets is true. There is a far<br />

greater need for and awareness of the influence of other asset<br />

classes on equity trading or geographical influences. May the<br />

6th Flash Crash was a classic example: one minute the events<br />

in Greece were being played out on the television, the next<br />

minute they were unravelling on our own trading doorstep.<br />

To stay on top of so many different things going on has led<br />

to investment in seamless toolsets on the desktop, reducing<br />

any manual handoffs in the execution chain and expanding<br />

and improving the capabilities of execution management<br />

systems on the desk. There will never be a one size fits all<br />

solution going forward, that’s for sure. There needs to be flexibility<br />

and there are very few systems that do absolutely<br />

everything extremely well that everyone needs. Nonetheless,<br />

there is a very high attention being paid to how the tools<br />

interact, both from the execution and into the order management<br />

systems and back into all the way back up to portfolio<br />

managers. Some of that is being driven by regulation and the<br />

need to have new compliance procedures, reduce risk, add<br />

new reporting standards and make sure that there aren’t<br />

manual processes and file transfers that introduce risk<br />

because it’s a break in the chain.<br />

F T S E G L O B A L M A R K E T S • J U LY / A U G U S T 2 0 1 2<br />

While the trading desk size hasn’t changed significantly,<br />

the scope of what some buy side firms trade has. A small<br />

hedge fund for example may have a trading desk of two<br />

people; trading the US markets is one thing, but it is a<br />

different story when branching out to trade markets on the<br />

other side of the world in search of alpha. While larger<br />

houses have local offices and have the choice of building<br />

their own technology, most rely on their brokers for the<br />

combination of access, information and execution tools.<br />

JOSE MARQUES: A few years ago there was a lot of talk<br />

about multi asset class convergence - where in the future<br />

you’d stack every asset known to mankind, working with<br />

geniuses who would be able to trade everything all the<br />

time and never sleep. That’s simply not realistic in the real<br />

world. The role of the specialist in asset classes isn’t going<br />

away. There are a lot of idiosyncrasies, market microstructure<br />

issues, regulatory issues that vary dramatically across<br />

the asset classes. So what we’re doing and what you’ll see<br />

broadly is that the specialisation function, both on the buy<br />

side and the sell side, will remain and what is happening is<br />

a convergence of tools and trading techniques across<br />

different asset classes even as regulators drive for uniformity<br />

of market structures. For instance, now algorithms are<br />

applied to FX trades. Liquidity seeking algorithms that<br />

have been developed in equities are certainly directly applicable<br />

to other asset classes that are traded on exchanges or<br />

exchange-like structures. Moreover, it allows them also to<br />

find that liquidity or assess its relative value and then decide<br />

whether they take it or not. In that regard, you’re seeing a<br />

lot more sharing of tools and techniques and understanding.<br />

We also able to link together some of the more esoteric<br />

bits of what happens in other markets and how they affect<br />

equities and vice versa. Therefore, I would say that there is<br />

definitely convergence of understanding underway; but, at<br />

the end of the day, there still has to be specialisation, which<br />

will remain for quite some time.<br />

CHANGING ECONOMICS in THE<br />

BUY SIDE/SELL SIDE RELATIONSHIP<br />

FRANCESCA CARNEVALE: Is there a new understanding<br />

of the need to pay for consumption and resources in such<br />

a complex and changing trading environment?<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: Yes, absolutely and speaking for our<br />

firm, more so than ever. As liquidity is scarce, so are some<br />

sell side resources. I truly believe that we all make money<br />

together in this industry and we all lose money together in<br />

this industry, meaning that obviously there are divergences.<br />

In general though we’re all going through a difficult time and<br />

the sell side will have to do some hard facing of facts in its<br />

efforts to try to figure out an effective business model and,<br />

at the same time, how to scale their operations to provide<br />

and service varying levels of volume and volatility which are<br />

key drivers of revenues. Moreover, as we are about to deal<br />

with massive regulatory change which could at some point<br />

also cut off some key drivers of revenues for the sell side, I<br />

wouldn’t be surprised if we get to a model where the sell side<br />

61


62<br />

TRADING ROUNDTABLE<br />

are demanding some sort of operating margin with their buy<br />

side clients, which is something that we may have to deal<br />

with at some point soon in the future. The days of subsidising<br />

one business for another business are, given current circumstances,<br />

going to be far and few between. We are very<br />

well aware that there’s no free business anymore. We have<br />

bills to pay and we need to make sure that we’re paying the<br />

people. We are very focused on it right now and our list has<br />

shrunk, which if everyone is working in this way, ultimately<br />

has important consequences for the market. I think it is inevitable<br />

that people at the top of the food chain will, overall,<br />

take more business because of these changes.<br />

That being said, we need to be relevant to people that we<br />

believe add value to us and deliver resources that help us<br />

make money, period. Miranda was talking about broker lists<br />

and things like that. Yes, we are becoming very aware about<br />

whom we’re doing business with and why we’re doing<br />

business with them and how we are paying those people. It<br />

is an important initiative that’s going on at our firm and I<br />

would imagine right now that it is an important initiative<br />

going on at every firm.<br />

MIRANDA MIZEN: It is absolutely true that the buy side<br />

needs to know who they’re paying and why they’re paying<br />

them. We have already seen broker lists being curtailed, and<br />

similarly brokers have to make decisions about the client<br />

segments they want to service. This looks set to continue in<br />

the current environment, and some of those consequences<br />

will be positive. Do we need, for instance, so many dark<br />

pools? Well, if we don’t and liquidity continues to form in only<br />

some of them, then others might naturally fall by the wayside.<br />

Natural competition might solve some issues of fragmentation<br />

and cost. So many people are electronically connected.<br />

Those connections cost money even if it is not in a pure<br />

payment form. Even so, they still accrue maintenance costs.<br />

Inevitably then, there is a lot of attention being paid to those<br />

hidden costs of doing business, of just having these connections<br />

and how you deploy your resources within the company,<br />

which then dictates what you’ve got left for some of those<br />

more innovative and discretionary and interesting projects,<br />

other than just trying to meet the next regulatory deadline. So<br />

much more is now visible in a way that it wasn’t five or six<br />

years ago in terms of explicit and implicit costs, in terms of<br />

bundling and unbundling, in terms of the way things are<br />

allocated, who they’re allocated to, why they’re allocated.<br />

CURT ENGLER: Obviously, there are implicit and explicit<br />

costs. Tackling implicit costs will always be a battle. As for<br />

explicit costs, clearly the sell side is under some considerable<br />

pressures, given the backdrop of the market. That said it is<br />

not sustainable to have 100% loss ratios or have the sell side<br />

not earning a return. With that in mind, what’s in store for<br />

the future? It could range anywhere from a cost plus type<br />

model where if we have fixed tags that we know exactly the<br />

cost implication if we’re adding or taking liquidity. That’s a<br />

significant swing in the profitability of execution on the<br />

explicit side. Then again there is the whole range of services<br />

that the sell side provides. It is just determining, accurately,<br />

what is that actually worth? If in practice it was easy to just<br />

Miranda Mizen, head of equities research, TABB group. Photograph ©<br />

<strong>FTSE</strong> <strong>Global</strong> <strong>Markets</strong>, supplied July 2012.<br />

come up with a ledger of the costs involved and the revenue<br />

needed to cover those costs, it would all be simple. Life unfortunately<br />

isn’t that simple. Now there could be a whole<br />

host of other unintended consequences from applying a<br />

cost plus model, but to me it makes sense.<br />

What’s happening in the trading world and in financial<br />

services in general, in this post 2008 period, is really not all<br />

that different from what’s happening in just about every<br />

other industry in our economy; whether it is automobile<br />

manufacturing or airline seats. Technology has been a highly<br />

disruptive influence, margins have collapsed for a lot of<br />

reasons and there is a fundamental restructuring going on<br />

in the marketplace, and it is happening both on the buy side<br />

and sell side. Buy side desks are much smaller and more<br />

efficient than they’ve ever been and the sell side is working<br />

aggressively to become more efficient as well. This is part of<br />

the natural evolution of things and trading desks have to face<br />

this issue and deal with it.<br />

ROB KAROFSKY: The sell side equity business model has<br />

always been inefficient and that’s why they talk about specialisation.<br />

The sell side has layers and layers of specialisation.<br />

If you look at touch points, it is electronic, it is<br />

programme, it is cash, it is derivatives, it is research sales, it<br />

is speciality sales; it is just on and on and on and on. And this<br />

in a business that is 100% about picking up pennies and you<br />

need to do everything to pick up that penny! As Jose<br />

mentioned, this environment could provide the catalyst to<br />

finally change the business model and help evolve it and<br />

move it on to the next level. There’s always been a concern<br />

and I’m guilty as well, of moving ahead of your clients, the<br />

people that are paying you. It has always been a concern. We<br />

may be at a point now where you have to take that risk of<br />

changing your approach and business model in order to<br />

preserve or drive profitability over the longer term. Change<br />

is coming firms that are facing up to that change and<br />

respond to it as Jose describes, will be the winners.<br />

JOSE MARQUES: These changes are gut-wrenching<br />

whenever they happen. As Rob says, there will be clear<br />

winners and losers. But the story is the same in other industries.<br />

They have had to make wholesale changes and they are<br />

now benefitting from those changes. In the 1980s you could<br />

hardly get me to rent an American car, let alone own one.<br />

Now American cars are fantastic; cars coming out of Detroit<br />

are now on par with anything being produced anywhere in<br />

the world. Similarly in our industry, we are now forced to<br />

look hard at what we do and why we do it. What you’ll ultimately<br />

see is a much, much more efficient, better and more<br />

transparent trading environment. Though it may be a few<br />

more years for this play out fully, change is a reality. ■<br />

J U LY / A U G U S T 2 0 1 2 • F T S E G L O B A L M A R K E T S

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