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Traffic Impact Analysis of New Baltimore Costco - Fauquier County

Traffic Impact Analysis of New Baltimore Costco - Fauquier County

Table

Table of Contents Executive Summary…………………………………………...... Page 1 1. Introduction…………………………………………................... Pages 2-3 A. Site Location and Study Area B. Existing and Proposed Site Uses C. Existing and Proposed Nearby Uses D. Existing Roadways and Programmed Improvements 2. Analysis of Existing Conditions…………………….................... Pages 4-7 A. Daily and Peak Hour(s) Traffic Volumes B. Capacity Analyses and Level of Service 3. Analysis of 2012 Conditions without Development……………. Pages 8-14 A. Daily and Peak Hour(s) Traffic Volumes B. Capacity Analyses and Level of Service 4. Trip Generation……….…………………………….................... Page 15 5. Site Traffic Distribution and Traffic Assignments……………… Pages 15-19 6. Analysis of 2012 Conditions with Development…………….. Pages 20-24 A. Future Daily and Peak Hour(s) Traffic Volumes B. Capacity Analyses and Level of Service 7. Conclusions. …………………………………………………... Page 25-26 Appendix Scoping Document HCS+ Worksheets Traffic Counts

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Patton Harris Rust & Associates (PHR+A) has prepared this document to present the traffic impacts associated with the proposed New Baltimore Costco development to be located in the southeast quadrant of the intersection of Route 29/15 (Lee Highway)/Route 600 (Broad Run Church Road), in Fauquier County, Virginia. Access to the development will be provided via a proposed Cross Creek Site-Driveway, opposite the existing Cross Creek Drive; which will connect Route 29/15 to the north and Route 600 to the south. The proposed development east of proposed Cross Creek Site-Driveway will consist of 33,000 square feet of retail, 154,000 square feet of discount club, two (2) 4,900 square foot restaurants, a 3,200 square foot fast-food restaurant without drive-thru, a 1,400 square foot and a 3,200 square foot fast-food restaurants with drive-thru and a 12-pumps gas station. The proposed development west of the proposed Cross Creek Site-Driveway will consist of 32,000 square feet of retail, 14,000 square feet of pharmacy store with drive-thru, a 6,400 square foot drive-in bank, a 4,900 square foot restaurant and a 5,000 square foot automated car wash. Build-out is anticipated to occur by the Year 2012 over one transportation phase. PHR+A conducted Weekday AM/PM peak hour and Saturday mid-day peak hour manual turning movement counts at the intersections of Route 29/15 (Lee Highway)/Route 600 (Broad Run Church Road), Route 29/15 (Lee Highway)/Route 676 (Riley Road), Route 215 (Vint Hill Road)/Route 600 (Broad Run Church Road), Route 600 (Broad Run Church Road)/Route 676 (Riley Road), Route 29/15 (Lee Highway)/Cross Creek Drive, Route 29/15 (Lee Highway)/Commerce Court and Route 600 (Broad Run Church Road)/Kelly Road. PHR+A also conducted 24-hour counts at three locations in October 2006 to determine the ADT (Average Daily Traffic) along the study area roadway links. Based on these counts, a “k” factor (the ratio of Weekday AM/PM peak hour traffic volumes to 24-hour traffic volumes) of 6.7%, 9.1%, and 11.7% was determined for Route 29/15, Route 600 and Route 676, respectively. In addition, a “k” factor of 8.4% was utilized based upon traffic data published by the Virginia Department of Transportation (VDOT) to determine the ADT along Route 215. A “k” factor of 8.5% for Route 29/15, Route 676 and Route 215 and 8.1% for Route 600 was assumed to determine Saturday ADT. PHR+A then grew the existing traffic volumes along all the study area roadways by four percent (4%) per year for the first two (2) years and by three percent (3%) per year for the remaining years to 2012. Highway Capacity Analysis software (HCS+) was used to analyze all the study area intersections. The traffic impacts associated with the proposed New Baltimore Costco development are acceptable and manageable. Assuming suggested improvements, all the intersections will maintain overall levels of service “C” or better during 2012 build-out conditions. A Traffic Impact Analysis of New Baltimore Costco PHR+A Project # 15116-1-0 April 17, 2007 Page 1

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