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Inventory and Needs Assessment - Fayette County Government

Inventory and Needs Assessment - Fayette County Government

2.2 Population &

2.2 Population & Demographic Trends 2.2.1 County Population and Growth Trends Fayette County is one of the faster-growing counties in the Atlanta region, refl ecting more recent overall growth in the southern Atlanta metropolitan area. Its current offi cial population of 91,000 from the 2000 Census is a nearly 45 percent increase over its 1990 population. Indeed, the population has more than tripled since 1980. Between 2000 and 2030, ARC has projected that the County’s population will increase to nearly 161,000, or by 76 percent. Of note, however, is that 2007 Census population estimates show a slowing rate of growth, suggesting that the County’s available residential lands are being developed and that remaining opportunities for development and population growth are in more remote parts of the County. This is particularly noteworthy given that Peachtree City, Fayette County’s large master-planned community, has largely been constructed and is accommodating its projected build-out population. The County understands that continued residential growth will likely not greatly increase population beyond current levels due to limited availability of developable land and the County’s current land development policies (see Section 2.2.2 of this report for a discussion of future land use policies). While there remains available land for development, it will not develop at intensities currently seen in Fayetteville or Peachtree City. Nonetheless, additional growth is expected and the County’s population, based on estimates in its comprehensive growth plan, could reach 150,000 by 2030. When considered hand-in-hand with the County’s future land use policies, this growth implies an increased need for connection to Fayette County’s commercial and employment centers, most of which are located along the major arterial thoroughfares. Table 2.2.1 Fayette County Population Growth Trends Year Population Percent Growth Regional Population Percent Growth 1960 8,199 N/A 1,312,474 N/A 1970 11,364 38.6% 1,500,823 14.4% 1980 29,043 155.6% 1,896,182 26.3% 1990 62,415 114.9% 2,557,800 34.9% 2000 91,263 46.2% 3,429,379 34.1% 2008 (ARC Estimate) 106,000 15.5% 4,099,600 19.5% Data Sources: Atlanta Regional Commission, United States Census. Note that ARC’s regional population is a composite of the 10-county core region, not a population of the entire Atlanta MSA per the Census. Fayette Forward Inventory & Needs Assessment Chapter 2 22

Maps 2.2.1A Fayette County Population Growth Trends 1956 1970 1980 1990 2000 The maps above track Fayette County s historical growth through the second half of the twentieth century. Depicting parcels by their centroids, the maps illustrate when a structure on a parcel was first built to estimate overall development and growth in the county. Peachtree City s first major development happened in the 1960s and its master plan had largely been completed by 2000. Fayetteville, due in part to its proximity to Hartsfield-Jackson Airport, began to expand in the 1980s. Today the bulk of available land for development is in the south and northern-central portions of the County. Fayette Forward Inventory & Needs Assessment Chapter 2 23

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