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Rediscovering social investment in developmental welfare state ...

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R E D I S C O V E R I N G S O C I A L I N V E S T M E N T I N D E V E L O P M E N T A L W E L F A R E S T A T E P O L I C I E S :<br />

B A C K T O T H E F U T U R E<br />

<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g the policy relevance of the former and ref<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the disparate nature of the latter. F<strong>in</strong>ally, it<br />

aimed to support future research by develop<strong>in</strong>g a pr<strong>in</strong>ciple-based theoretical framework that is<br />

flexible enough to accommodate additional <strong>developmental</strong>ist policy dimensions beyond those that I<br />

associated with the <strong>social</strong> <strong><strong>in</strong>vestment</strong> function of the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> <strong>in</strong> my analysis. 2<br />

While touch<strong>in</strong>g on several of these areas, my focus <strong>in</strong> this paper is primarily on summariz<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

third conceptual contribution of the dissertation. This paper will attempt to demonstrate how it is<br />

possible to reconceptualize <strong>developmental</strong>ism, currently a loose collection of ideas, and apply it to<br />

th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g predictively about comparative <strong>social</strong> policy (CPS), and especially policy that is<br />

simultaneously protective and productive. Additionally, I will briefly summarize the tentative<br />

empirical f<strong>in</strong>d<strong>in</strong>gs from the dissertation, which were based on a relatively simplistic test of whether<br />

the policies that I believe reflect <strong>developmental</strong>ist pr<strong>in</strong>ciples are <strong>in</strong> fact associated with lower poverty<br />

posttax/transfer as well as market poverty.<br />

The history of the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>, and its study, has been marked by a series of transitions from one<br />

phase to another. Regardless of the periodization one applies, this pattern of sequential or<br />

generational th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g is discernible. The most recent and ongo<strong>in</strong>g stage arguably began with the EU<br />

slogan of <strong>social</strong> protection as a productive factor and marches on under the banner of <strong>social</strong><br />

<strong><strong>in</strong>vestment</strong>, among related labels (Morel, Palier, & Palme, 2012). Unlike develop<strong>in</strong>g world <strong>welfare</strong><br />

<strong>state</strong>s, the progress of whose <strong>social</strong> policy systems has oscillated—expand<strong>in</strong>g and contract<strong>in</strong>g with<br />

economic exigencies such as procyclical pressures <strong>in</strong> Lat<strong>in</strong> America (Kim, 2010) or chang<strong>in</strong>g<br />

authoritarian political priorities as <strong>in</strong> the case of Ch<strong>in</strong>a (L<strong>in</strong>, 2010)—the fate of <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>s <strong>in</strong><br />

developed nations has been more evolutionary, cont<strong>in</strong>uous and cumulative, where path dependency<br />

tends to prevail. Study of the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> has been driven by the historical circumstances<br />

confront<strong>in</strong>g it. The need to justify the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> marks a stark challenge to the slow mov<strong>in</strong>g<br />

theoretical world of regime typologies and path dependency. Much of this legacy of gradualism is<br />

owed to the fact that the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> emerged through complex and successive <strong>social</strong> and political<br />

processes rather than result<strong>in</strong>g from plann<strong>in</strong>g (Arts & Gelissen, 2002).<br />

Amenta (2003) offers a compell<strong>in</strong>g explanation for the historical progress and possible problem now<br />

confront<strong>in</strong>g the field: ―the literature on <strong>social</strong> policy has advanced as far as it has partly because<br />

there was relative agreement on what was to be expla<strong>in</strong>ed, while there was disagreement over the<br />

possible explanations‖ (p. 114). In this context, the cont<strong>in</strong>ued focus on normative issues of<br />

redistribution and <strong>in</strong>equality and reliance on measures of effort (that lack conceptual coherence),<br />

highlights the limitations of us<strong>in</strong>g old theoretical and empirical tools to address press<strong>in</strong>g new<br />

problems. The problems now confront<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> are not addressed by the two major<br />

questions on which, accord<strong>in</strong>g to Esp<strong>in</strong>g-Andersen (2004), <strong>welfare</strong> comparisons have focused: (1)<br />

What expla<strong>in</strong>s national differences <strong>in</strong> <strong>welfare</strong> effort and <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> type? and (2) What are the<br />

distributional consequences of <strong>social</strong> policy variations? The central theoretical question is no longer<br />

about why <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong>s emerged and persisted but rather what they produce; specifically, <strong>in</strong> terms of<br />

the productive consequences of distribution. The promise of recent scholarship is hampered by the<br />

absence of a coherent conceptual framework for develop<strong>in</strong>g predictions about <strong>social</strong> policies that<br />

are simultaneously protective and productive.<br />

2 The term function is used here <strong>in</strong> order to recognize that much of the <strong><strong>in</strong>vestment</strong> impact of the <strong>welfare</strong> <strong>state</strong> may be<br />

implicit or un<strong>in</strong>tended and therefore <strong>in</strong> need of discovery and explanation.<br />

C E N T E R F O R S O C I A L D E V E L O P M E N T<br />

W A S H I N G T O N U N I V E R S I T Y I N S T . L O U I S<br />

2

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