10 - JAIF 日本原子力産業協会

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10 - JAIF 日本原子力産業協会

International Symposium

on Climate Change

Keynote Speech: Ms. Koike Nov 17, 2008

The Path Toward

A Low Carbon Society

KOIKE YURIKO

November 17,2008


World Population Growth













8.9 Billion in 2050 (Prediction)

6.6 Billion in 2007

6.1 Billion in 2000

2.5 Billion in 1950

Industrial Revolution



Reference: UN Population Division, 2004


Variation in Atmospheric CO2 Concentration

Source: IPCC, 2007; WG1-AR4


World Population & CO2 Concentration

























Reference: UN Population Division, 2004; IPCC, 2007


Global Climate Change

Source: IPCC, 2007; WG1-AR4


Global CO2 Emissions in 2005

Other

31.8%

22.1%

USA

India

4.3%

4.8%

6.0%

Japan

Russia

26.5 billion

tons - CO2

12.8%

18.1%

EU-15

China

Reference: The Energy Data and Modelling Center, 2007


Prediction of CO2 Emissions







Developing countries

Developed countries



Reference: Kainuma et al., Climate Policy Assessment, 2002


2020CO2


Hybrid Car

Solar System

Heat Pump System

ECO CUTE


• 20201990

2050199080



100


101500


CO22010551010

202525

500



4



2015150/100




• G8+5

G8+5


Total GHG emission has increased by 8.7%in 2007

Japan has to reduce 9.3% GHG Emission




CO 2


126,100


2.4%

2.4%

4.3%

6.1%

5.4%

5.8%

0.34kg- CO 2

/kWh



0.34kg-CO 2

/kWh

134,000

+6.3%

5.0%

+1.3%

137,100 2.3%

8.7%

8.3%

+0.5%

126,700



125,400


-0.6%

118,600


-6%

9.3%

(0.34kg-CO 2

/kWh

)

1.1%

3.8%

1.6%





1990

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

2007


GHG Emission in 2007 +8.7%

Japan has to reduce 9.3% GHG Emission

(0.34kg-CO 2

/kWh1.1%)

Emissio

n100million

tCO 2




126,100


2.4%

2.4%

4.3%

6.1%

5.4%

5.8%

0.34kg- CO 2

/kWh



0.34kg-CO 2

/kWh

134,000

+6.3%

5.0%

+1.3%

137,100 2.3%

8.7%

8.3%

+0.5%

126,700



125,400


-0.6%

118,600


-6%

9.3%

(0.34kg-CO 2

/kWh

)

1.1%

3.8%

1.6%





1990

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

2007


Spirit Technology System


In the 20 th century, , , ( predicted in1901 )

Wireless telegraphy and telephones will enable

the easier communication between Tokyo,

London and New York.


Color photos taken in Europe will appear in the

next day’s s Japanese News Paper.


The around-the world-trip in 80 days in the 19th

century will be shortened to only 7 days in the

20th century.7

)


In the 20 th century, , ,

( predicted in1901)

Warships will fly in the sky and cannons float in

the air.

Air-conditioner will make life comfortable in

summer and winter.(

You will be able to buy goods in the distance

by phone with pictures.

Cars will take the place of ox-drawn carriages.

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