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Conservation and Sustainable Use of the Biosphere - WBGU

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The biosphere between forest <strong>and</strong> desert: a simulation F 2.2<br />

219<br />

Figure F 2.2-1<br />

a) Global hydrological cycle<br />

in 10 12 m 3 year -1<br />

b) energy levels over l<strong>and</strong> as<br />

a proportion <strong>of</strong> solar<br />

irradiation (100 per cent =<br />

341.3W m -2 ) for climate<br />

simulations with <strong>and</strong><br />

without vegetation control<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> processes on <strong>the</strong> l<strong>and</strong><br />

surface: ‘Global Desert’<br />

scenario (upper figure),<br />

‘Global Forest’ scenario<br />

(middle figure) <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

difference between <strong>the</strong> two<br />

(in per cent, lower figure).<br />

At maximum biospheric<br />

control, evapotranspiration<br />

is three times as high,<br />

precipitation on l<strong>and</strong> is twice<br />

as high <strong>and</strong> temperatures<br />

close to <strong>the</strong> surface are<br />

reduced over l<strong>and</strong> by 1.2°C.<br />

Source: after Fraedrich et al,<br />

1999<br />

a)<br />

b)<br />

100.0<br />

100.0<br />

0%<br />

421<br />

410<br />

-3%<br />

38.9<br />

36.0<br />

-8%<br />

26<br />

27<br />

+4%<br />

Ocean<br />

464<br />

443<br />

-5%<br />

68.2<br />

66.3<br />

-3%<br />

Atmosphere<br />

Water vapour content in kg m -3<br />

37<br />

28<br />

-24%<br />

Space<br />

71<br />

137<br />

+93%<br />

16<br />

21<br />

+31%<br />

L<strong>and</strong><br />

31<br />

108<br />

-248%<br />

Atmosphere<br />

55.6<br />

46.6<br />

-16%<br />

18.9<br />

8.6<br />

-55%<br />

111.1<br />

106.9<br />

-4%<br />

89.3<br />

91.6<br />

+3%<br />

36.7<br />

37.9<br />

+3%<br />

21.9<br />

15.3<br />

-30%<br />

L<strong>and</strong><br />

6.6<br />

2.2<br />

-67%<br />

5.2<br />

18.0<br />

+248%<br />

Short-wave<br />

radiation<br />

Long-wave<br />

radiation<br />

Sensible<br />

heat flux<br />

Latent<br />

heat flux<br />

desert comes about as a result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> increased ability<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> soils to store humidity <strong>and</strong> release it in drier<br />

times. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>the</strong> increased radiation<br />

balance at <strong>the</strong> surface that is available for evapotranspiration<br />

(Milly <strong>and</strong> Dunne, 1994; Eltahir, 1998).<br />

The differences between <strong>the</strong> two extremes can be<br />

understood through <strong>the</strong> mechanisms described<br />

above as a direct consequence <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> change in evapotranspiration.<br />

They are particularly striking in<br />

regions <strong>and</strong> in times <strong>of</strong> maximum solar radiation<br />

(summer) (Fig. F 2.2-2c).<br />

Atmospheric circulation is influenced considerably<br />

by increased levels in <strong>the</strong> hydrological cycle:<br />

Increased evapotranspiration increases <strong>the</strong> Hadley<br />

circulation in <strong>the</strong> Tropics (tropical cell in which warm<br />

air masses rise at <strong>the</strong> Equator <strong>and</strong> lower in <strong>the</strong> Subtropics)<br />

<strong>and</strong> leads to a general warming <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> mid<br />

troposphere in <strong>the</strong> sub-tropics (by around 5°C). The<br />

increase in <strong>the</strong> North-South temperature gradient<br />

associated with that phenomenon increases <strong>the</strong><br />

intensity <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> mid-latitude West wind drift. Consequently,<br />

<strong>the</strong> East-West asymmetry is reduced in <strong>the</strong><br />

quasi-permanent high <strong>and</strong> low-pressure areas. These<br />

global changes in atmospheric circulation cause<br />

regional <strong>and</strong> seasonal weakening <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Aleutian<br />

Depression, warming in Eastern Asia <strong>and</strong> cooling in<br />

Alaska (Fig. F 2.2-3). Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> influence <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> forest on <strong>the</strong> snow albedo leads to large-scale<br />

warming in <strong>the</strong> boreal regions during <strong>the</strong> Spring that<br />

is in part compensated by Summer cooling. Overall, a<br />

warming is noted in certain extra-tropical regions in<br />

<strong>the</strong> middle <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> year.<br />

Maximum influence <strong>of</strong> vegetation on <strong>the</strong><br />

CO 2<br />

-induced greenhouse effect<br />

The atmospheric greenhouse effect is weaker in <strong>the</strong><br />

Global Forest scenario than in <strong>the</strong> Global Desert<br />

scenario because <strong>the</strong> layers <strong>of</strong> near surface air cool<br />

<strong>of</strong>f more <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> troposphere is more stable. The<br />

greenhouse effect can be quantified by calculating<br />

<strong>the</strong> difference in terrestrial net radiation between <strong>the</strong><br />

upper <strong>and</strong> lower borders <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> atmosphere (l<strong>and</strong>

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