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ORLEN Capital Group – company overview - PKN Orlen

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<strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Capital</strong> <strong>Group</strong> <strong>–</strong> <strong>company</strong> <strong>overview</strong><br />

November 2011<br />

1


Agenda<br />

<br />

Company <strong>overview</strong><br />

Key segments<br />

New businesses entry<br />

Summary<br />

2


Leading refining & petchem <strong>company</strong> operating in the biggest market in CEE<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>–</strong> POLISH KEY PLAYER IN CEE<br />

Strategically located on key pipeline network. Access to<br />

the crude oil terminals in Gdańsk (Poland) and Butinge<br />

(Lithuania).<br />

Operates 7 refineries in Poland, Lithuania and the Czech<br />

Republic, including the largest and highly advanced one.<br />

Capable to process any kind of crude oil in all refineries.<br />

Currently the most economic is REBCO processing.<br />

Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining<br />

part.<br />

Operates ca. 2 700 retail sites in Poland, the Czech<br />

Republic, Germany and Lithuania.<br />

LEADING DOWNSTREAM COMPANY<br />

SHAREHOLDERS STRUCTURE<br />

27,52%<br />

State Treasury<br />

KEY FACTS<br />

PRODUCTION:<br />

Refining<br />

Petrochemical<br />

ca. 31.0 mt/y<br />

ca. 4.1 mt/y<br />

Free float<br />

72,48%<br />

FINANCIALS IN YEAR 2010:<br />

Revenues<br />

EBITDA<br />

Net profit<br />

PLN 83.5 bn<br />

PLN 5.5 bn<br />

PLN 2.5 bn<br />

3


The strategy for 2009-2013 assumes further core business development,<br />

divestment of non-core assets and entry into new segements<br />

MAIN OBJECTIVES OF <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> GROUP<br />

PRIORITIES<br />

Debt<br />

reduction<br />

Efficiency<br />

improvement<br />

and key<br />

investments<br />

execution<br />

Entry into<br />

new<br />

business areas<br />

Release of capital employed through<br />

working capital optimisation, assets<br />

disinvestment in chemical segment,<br />

solving the issue of obligatory reserves<br />

Efficiency improvement as well as<br />

development and extension of the<br />

value chain in core areas of activity -<br />

refining, retail and petrochemical<br />

segments<br />

Diversification of activities,<br />

strengthening the <strong>Group</strong> by limiting<br />

the downstream contribution to the<br />

business<br />

2009 <strong>–</strong> 2010<br />

Preparation for further<br />

growth: actions to<br />

improve financial<br />

performance, increase<br />

efficiency, reduce debt<br />

and finalize investments in<br />

core areas of activity<br />

2011 <strong>–</strong> 2013<br />

Further efficiency of<br />

core assets,<br />

investments in new<br />

segments in order<br />

to increase the<br />

<strong>company</strong> value<br />

4


Agenda<br />

<br />

Company <strong>overview</strong><br />

Key segments<br />

New businesses entry<br />

Summary<br />

5


Refining segment<br />

ASSETS<br />

NELSON COMPLEXITY<br />

Supersite (Plock)<br />

Mazeikiu (10.2; 10.3)<br />

Gold<br />

Silver (MN, Litvinov)<br />

Litvinov (5.5, 7.0)<br />

Kralupy (3.4; 8.1)<br />

Paramo (1.0)<br />

Plock<br />

(16.3; 9.5)<br />

Trzebinia (0.5)<br />

Jedlicze (0.1)<br />

Bronze (Kralupy)<br />

Niche<br />

Trader<br />

Speciality (Paramo)<br />

Closure-Candidate<br />

N/A (Trzebinia, Jedlicze)<br />

Refinery (production capacity mt /y; Nelson complexity index)<br />

Refinery classification according to Wood Mackenzie (2007)<br />

KEY FACTS<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> processing capacity: ca. 31 mt/y (Plock plant in Poland <strong>–</strong> 16.3 mt/y, Unipetrol <strong>–</strong> 5.1 mt/y and <strong>ORLEN</strong> Lietuva<br />

<strong>–</strong> 10.2 mt/y).<br />

Market share*: gasoline (PL: 62%, CZ: 33%, LT: 85%) and diesel (PL: 55%, CZ: 33%, LT: 89%).<br />

Nelson complexity index: Plock 9.5, Kralupy 8.1, Litvinov 7.0, <strong>ORLEN</strong> Lietuva 10.3.<br />

Flexibility to process many kinds of crude oil.<br />

Fuel production in line with 2009 Euro standards in all refineries.<br />

* As of 30.09.2011<br />

6


Petrochemical segment<br />

ASSETS<br />

CORE BUSINESS <strong>–</strong> GROWTH DRIVERS<br />

PX/PTA<br />

Polyolefins<br />

NON CORE BUSINESS - EXIT<br />

Strengthening position through full<br />

integration with refinery.<br />

Europe’s most advanced petrochemical<br />

PX/PTA complex launched.<br />

Building regional leader position.<br />

PVC<br />

Fertilizers<br />

Limited synergies with refining activity.<br />

Release of capital employed through<br />

Anwil sale.<br />

KEY FACTS<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> production capacity: ca. 4.1 mt/y (Plock - 2.5 mt/y, Unipetrol - 1.6 mt/y).<br />

Full integration of petrochemical assets with refining facilities.<br />

Depending on the product we have between 40% to 100% market share in domestic consumption.<br />

Polyolefins sales within Basell network.<br />

PX/PTA production capacities: 400 th t of PX (paraxylene) and 600 th t of PTA (purified terephtalic acid) per annum,<br />

reflecting 20% of European production. Sales of PTA since 2Q2011.<br />

7


Retail segment<br />

ASSETS<br />

OPERATING DATA<br />

EBIT<br />

PLN m<br />

2008<br />

641<br />

2009 2010<br />

- 6%<br />

880 825<br />

Sales volumes<br />

th t<br />

6 229<br />

6 713<br />

+ 5%<br />

7 025<br />

KEY FACTS<br />

Biggest retail network (no of filling stations)*: Poland - 1738, Germany - 564, Czech Republic - 336, Lithuania - 35.<br />

Market share*: Poland - 32%, Czech Republic - 14%, Lithuania - 4% and Northern Germany - 9%.<br />

Two-tier branding strategy (premium and economy)<br />

„FLOTA POLSKA” & DKV/<strong>ORLEN</strong> fleet card for corporate customers; and „VITAY” loyalty card for individual<br />

customers <strong>–</strong> ca. 8,5 m participants*<br />

* As of 30.09.2011<br />

8


Agenda<br />

<br />

Company <strong>overview</strong><br />

Key segments<br />

New businesses entry<br />

Summary<br />

9


„Multi-utility” is a foundation for further <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> value growth<br />

STRATEGIC RATIONALES<br />

CONCEPT OF „MULTI- UTILITY”<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> faces serious barriers for the<br />

further dynamic growth in the oil sector...<br />

The dynamic growth through acquisitions and<br />

geographic expansion in 2002-2006<br />

Focus on organic development and efficiency<br />

improvement<br />

Strong competitive pressure and high volatility in<br />

margins<br />

…hence the perceived growth opportunities in<br />

the new areas of growth…<br />

Higher profitability<br />

Stable cash flows<br />

Strong competitive pressure and high volatility in<br />

margins<br />

Operational synergies and diversification of activities<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s security<br />

New<br />

segments<br />

Current <strong>PKN</strong><br />

<strong>ORLEN</strong>’s<br />

areas of<br />

activities<br />

Upstream (E&P)<br />

Electric power<br />

generation<br />

Refining<br />

Petrochemicals<br />

Logistics<br />

Sales of fuel and<br />

petrochemicals<br />

Integrated fuel - energy<br />

<strong>company</strong><br />

10


Growth of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> in upstream segment is based on three pillars<br />

Regional<br />

focus<br />

Organic and<br />

inorganic growth<br />

Cooperation with<br />

partners<br />

Examples Targets<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Limitation of (mostly geopolitical) risks<br />

Building capabilities in stable<br />

environment<br />

Adjustment of activities to the<br />

available budget<br />

Central and Eastern Europe<br />

North Africa<br />

North America<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Gradual development of diversified<br />

assets portfolio<br />

Acquisition of mainly minority equity<br />

stakes<br />

Current exploration and production<br />

projects<br />

<br />

<br />

Opportunity for rapid growth of<br />

know-how and competencies<br />

Participation in existing projects,<br />

including cooperation with external<br />

partners<br />

Limitation of<br />

project risk<br />

Focus on most<br />

prospective assets<br />

11


UPSTREAM<br />

Organic projects<br />

Polish lowland<br />

Latvian shelf<br />

Lublin region<br />

1. Latvian shelf<br />

Off-shore project on Baltic shelf (Latvia) on one of the biggest oil fields in the Baltic Sea.<br />

Project is being realized in cooperation with Kuwait Energy.<br />

Large hydrocarbon reserves: 250m bbl.<br />

Project’s status:<br />

Analysis of newly obtained 3D seismic data and choice of holes locations is in progress.<br />

The drill is planned in 1 half of 2012.<br />

2. Lublin region<br />

On-shore E&P project in Poland (Lublin area).<br />

Exploration activities in the region conducted also by the biggest oil companies: Chevron<br />

and ExxonMobil.<br />

Project’s status:<br />

Data analysis and choice of drills’ locations is in progress.<br />

The drill is planned in 2012.<br />

3. Polish lowland<br />

On-shore E&P project in Poland (Sieraków area) - JV with PGNiG.<br />

The most prospective exploration area in Poland, next to the largest discovered reserves of<br />

oil and gas in Poland.<br />

Exploitable resources of ca. 26m bbl.<br />

Project’s status:<br />

Exploratory drill is in realization.<br />

Next 2 appraisal drills are planned <strong>–</strong> realization in 2012.<br />

12


UPSTREAM<br />

Shale gas<br />

Shale gas exploration licenses<br />

1. Licenses<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> has 8 exploration licenses in Poland in the most<br />

prospective areas: 6 licenses in Lublin region (BełŜyce, Garwolin,<br />

Lubartów, Lublin, Wierzbica, Hrubieszów) and 2 licenses in central<br />

Poland (Łódź, Sieradz).<br />

Projects’ status:<br />

Lublin region (Wierzbica)<br />

First wildcat exploration vertical well started in October 2011.<br />

<br />

Horizontal wells and multi-stage hydraulic fracturing in June 2012 after<br />

positive findings of samples.<br />

Lublin region (Lubartów)<br />

First wildcat exploration vertical well is planned in December 2011.<br />

2. Cooperation with experienced partners<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> aims to engage with an experienced partner for further<br />

exploration (letters of intent already signed with about 15 companies).<br />

Potential shale gas area<br />

3. Shale gas deposits<br />

5.3 trillion m3 of unconventional gas stretching across northern and<br />

central Poland is estimated by Energy Information Administration<br />

(USA).<br />

Poland’s annual gas consumption is ca. 14 bn m3 (of which 2bn m3<br />

by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>), 72% of gas is imported.<br />

13


ENERGY<br />

New projects and efficiency increase of existing assets<br />

Strategy’s directions<br />

Achieving maximum synergies<br />

Assurance of energy safety of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong><br />

Modernization of current infrastructure for further development and<br />

adaptation for environmental requirements<br />

NEW PROJECTS<br />

1. Construction of gas power plant in Wloclawek<br />

Advanced preparation of investment: the environmental decision,<br />

agreement for connection to the energy network and the<br />

permission to build energy block.<br />

Agreement signed with GAZ-SYSTEM for building a gas pipeline and<br />

connection to gas network. CAPEX ca. PLN 22m, <strong>PKN</strong> will cover 25%.<br />

Advanced stage of tender for building a block with infrastructure.<br />

Decision about the selection of the contractor in 1Q 2012.<br />

Block building is planned for 2012.<br />

Planned start-up in 2014.<br />

Estimated CAPEX in the amount of PLN 1,5 bn.<br />

2. Potentially additional unit in Plock<br />

EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT OF EXISTING ASSETS<br />

1. Modernization of power plant in Plock<br />

Investment program at the level of PLN 1 bn within 2-3 years.<br />

Target is to meet environmental standards (emitted emissions are to<br />

be reduced by ~ 90%) and to the increase in power capacities (up till<br />

2017 planned 20% increase in electricity production capacities and 7%<br />

in thermal power).<br />

Decision about the selection of the contractor to be made in 1Q2012.<br />

Start-up in 2015.<br />

2. Restructuring and modernization of energy<br />

assets in Unipetrol<br />

3. Optimization in other foreign assets<br />

14


Agenda<br />

<br />

Company <strong>overview</strong><br />

Key segments<br />

New businesses entry<br />

Summary<br />

15


<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> is an attractive investment<br />

STRENGTHS<br />

DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES<br />

<br />

Attractive market of new EU countries with growth<br />

potential.<br />

<br />

Efficiency improvements through operational<br />

excellence and integration of assets.<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Leading position in the Central and Eastern EU<br />

region in the downstream refining and<br />

petrochemical.<br />

World class refinery assets integrated with<br />

petrochemical business.<br />

The largest retail network.<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Further development in the core business and<br />

value chain extension.<br />

Release of capital employed through the sale of<br />

non core assets.<br />

Development of new segments through<br />

cooperation with sector partners.<br />

<br />

Strategically located on key pipeline network.<br />

Access to the crude oil terminal in Gdańsk<br />

(Poland) and Butinge (Lithuania).<br />

We take pole position for further growth<br />

16


Thank You for Your attention<br />

For more information on <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>, please contact<br />

Investor Relations Department:<br />

telephone: + 48 24 256 81 80<br />

fax: + 48 24 367 77 11<br />

e-mail: ir@orlen.pl<br />

www.orlen.pl<br />

17


Agenda<br />

<br />

Supporting slides<br />

18


From domestic leader to EU regional player<br />

Domestic Business to 2002 „Internationalization” 2002-2005 Regional Business 2006+<br />

Lithuania<br />

Estonia<br />

Latvia<br />

Lithuania<br />

Estonia<br />

Latvia<br />

Lithuania<br />

Estonia<br />

Latvia<br />

Germany<br />

Poland<br />

Germany<br />

Poland<br />

Germany<br />

Poland<br />

Czech Republic<br />

Czech Republic<br />

Czech Republic<br />

1999<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

2000<br />

<br />

Merger of Petrochemia Plock (Polish<br />

largest refinery) with CPN (Polish largest<br />

retailer) created <strong>PKN</strong>.<br />

IPO of 30% of equity on Warsaw Stock<br />

Exchange and London Stock Exchange.<br />

Introduction of the new brand <strong>ORLEN</strong>.<br />

Second public offer of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> on<br />

WSE and LSE increased free float up to<br />

72%.<br />

2002<br />

<br />

Expansion into German retail market.<br />

Joint venture with Basell <strong>–</strong><br />

Basell <strong>Orlen</strong> Polyolefins.<br />

2005<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Acquisition of majority stake in Unipetrol<br />

(Czech holding).<br />

Introduction and start of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong><br />

Retail Sales Development Plan for<br />

Poland.<br />

Introduction and start of Unipetrol<br />

Partnership Program.<br />

2006 +<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Acquisition of Lithuanian refinery - Mazeikiu<br />

Nafta (from 2009 <strong>ORLEN</strong> Lietuva).<br />

Implementation of segmental management.<br />

Implementation of two-tier branding<br />

strategy in retail segment in Poland and the<br />

Czech Republic.<br />

Strategy of <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Capital</strong> <strong>Group</strong> for 2009-<br />

2013.<br />

<br />

<br />

CAPEX, OPEX, working capital and<br />

headcount optimization.<br />

Launch of petrochemical PX/PTA complex.<br />

19


Supply Routes Diversification<br />

Sea Oil Terminals in Gdansk and Butinge Guarantee Alternative Supply Routes<br />

<br />

Sea terminal [capacity]<br />

Oil pipeline [capacity]<br />

Projected Oil pipeline<br />

Refinery of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />

Refinery (capacity m tonnes p.a.;<br />

Nelson complexity index)<br />

Holborn<br />

(3.8; 6.1)<br />

Ingolstadt<br />

(5.2; 7.5)<br />

Bayernoil<br />

(12.8; 8.0)<br />

Harburg<br />

(4.7; 9.6)<br />

Leuna<br />

(11.0; 7.1)<br />

Rostock <br />

Schwedt Gdansk<br />

(10.7; 10.2) (10.5; 10.0)<br />

(70) Primorsk<br />

<br />

Kirishi<br />

(18) Ventspils<br />

<br />

Butinge<br />

DRUZHBA<br />

(14) Mazeikiai<br />

Naftoport (10.2; 10.3) Novopolotsk<br />

(30) <br />

(8.3; 7.7)<br />

[Ca 27]<br />

[Ca 30]<br />

[Ca 22]<br />

[Ca 18]<br />

DRUZHBA<br />

[Ca 34]<br />

Mozyr<br />

(15.7; 4.6)<br />

[Ca 55]<br />

Plock<br />

(16.3; 9.5)<br />

Litvinov (5.5, 7.0)<br />

Kralupy Trzebinia Jedlicze<br />

Drogobich<br />

(3.4; 8.1) (0,5) (0,1)<br />

Brody<br />

IKL [Ca 10]<br />

(3.8; 3.0)<br />

Bratislava<br />

Burghausen [Ca 9]<br />

[Ca 20]<br />

DRUZHBA<br />

(6.0; 12.3)<br />

(3.5; 7.3)<br />

[Ca 3,5]<br />

[Ca 9]<br />

Tiszaojvaro<br />

Schwechat<br />

(10.2; 6.2)<br />

Duna<br />

s<br />

Petrotel Rafo<br />

ADRIA (8.1, 10.6) (2.6; 7.6) (3.4; 9.8)<br />

Rijeka<br />

Petrobrazi<br />

Triest <br />

(4.4; 5.7) ADRIA Novi Sad (3.4; 7.3)<br />

Sisak<br />

(4.0; 4.6) Arpechim<br />

<br />

(3.9; 4.1)<br />

(3.6; 7.3)<br />

Pancevo<br />

(4.8; 4.9)<br />

[Ca 34]<br />

[Ca 22]<br />

[Ca 60]<br />

[Ca 25]<br />

Yuzhniy<br />

Odessa<br />

(ex 4)<br />

(3.8; 3.5)<br />

(ex 12)<br />

Petromidia<br />

(5.1; 7.5)<br />

Neftochim<br />

(5.6; 5.8)<br />

[Ca 80]<br />

[Ca 78]<br />

[Ca 45]<br />

[Ca 120]<br />

[ Ca 24]<br />

Kremenchug<br />

(17.5; 3.5)<br />

Kherson<br />

(6.7; 3.1)<br />

[ Ca 29]<br />

Yaroslavi<br />

<br />

Novorossiys<br />

k<br />

(ex 45)<br />

Lisichansk<br />

(8.5; 8.2)<br />

Elefsis<br />

(4.9; 1.0)<br />

Thessaloniki<br />

(3.2; 5.9)<br />

Aspropyrgos<br />

(6.6; 8.9)<br />

Corinth<br />

(4.9; 12.5)<br />

Izmir<br />

(10.0; 6.4)<br />

Izmit<br />

(11.5; 6.2)<br />

Kirikkale<br />

(5.0; 5.4)<br />

Batman<br />

(1.1; 1.9)<br />

Source: Oil & Gas Journal, <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>Orlen</strong> own calculations, Concawe,Reuters, WMRC, EIA, NEFTE Compass, Transneft.ru<br />

20


<strong>ORLEN</strong> Lietuva - maximizing the possessed potential<br />

ASSETS<br />

Sea terminal<br />

Ventspils<br />

(20,0 mt/y)<br />

(14,3 m t/y)<br />

Latvia<br />

Sea terminal<br />

Butinge<br />

(14,0 mt/y)<br />

Klaipeda<br />

(9,0 mt/y)<br />

(14,,0 m t/y)<br />

Mažeikių<br />

Nafta<br />

(16,4 mt/y)<br />

Joniskis<br />

<strong>Orlen</strong> Lietuva<br />

Refinery<br />

Lithuania<br />

Biržai<br />

Illukste<br />

Polock<br />

Pump station<br />

Terminal<br />

Storage depot<br />

Crude pipeline<br />

Products pipeline<br />

Rail transport<br />

KEY FACTS<br />

<strong>ORLEN</strong> Lietuva manages ca. 500 km of pipelines in the territory of Lithuania (both crude oil and product pipelines).<br />

Crude oil deliveries via sea to terminal in Butinge.<br />

Products supply within Lithuania is managed by use of railway or tankers.<br />

The potential product pipeline to Klaipeda would improve logistics of final products.<br />

Costs optimization and improvement of operating parameters.<br />

Postponing the date of advisor’s report on recommendation for the request of potential partners, for more detail analysis<br />

of the Company.<br />

21


Unipetrol <strong>–</strong> continuation of operating efficiency improvement<br />

ASSETS<br />

ethylene<br />

Litvínov<br />

5.5 mt/y<br />

IKL<br />

Pipeline<br />

10 mt/y<br />

Kralupy<br />

3.2 mt/y<br />

Pardubice<br />

1.0 mt/y<br />

KEY FACTS<br />

Druzhba<br />

pipeline<br />

9 mt/y<br />

Mero Crude oil pipelines<br />

CEPRO production pipelines<br />

CEPRO depots<br />

Positive free cash flow as a result of ongoing strict cost control.<br />

Continuation of the long-term trend in staff reduction.<br />

Steadily growing market share in Czech retail from below 10% in 2005 to over 14% in 2011.<br />

Revival of demand since 2010 allow to look optimistically to polyolefins market.<br />

22


Relatively low rate of energy consumption per capita and need for new power<br />

plants indicates high potential for growth in the energy generation sector<br />

ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE, 2000-2007<br />

FORECAST FOR SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR PEAK<br />

POWER IN POLAND, 2005-2020, GW<br />

Developed<br />

countries 1<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s<br />

markets 2<br />

Rest<br />

Demand<br />

Supply<br />

Electricity consumption<br />

CAGR 2000-2007, %<br />

4,1<br />

2,1<br />

1,5<br />

Electricity consumption<br />

per capita, 2007, ths. KWh<br />

6,8<br />

3,9<br />

2,7<br />

38<br />

36<br />

34<br />

32<br />

30<br />

28<br />

26<br />

24<br />

2005 2010 2015 2020<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Currently energy consumption per capita on <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s market is by ~ 40% lower than in developed countries 1. Forecasts indicate 2-3% increase in<br />

the electricity demand in Poland until 2030 p.a.<br />

The profitability of the sector is increasing in the result of the expected imbalance between supply and demand<br />

44% of existing power plants in Poland is over 30 years. Old units of 11-15 GW (~30-40% existing capacity) have been planned to be closed. Power<br />

capacities increase planned until 2020 of ~20 GW (includes both modernization of existing and construction of new plants). Top Polish energy companies<br />

(i.e. PGE, Tauron, Enea, Energa) have announced plans of extensive capital investments into increase of capacities, summing up to ~90 bn PLN<br />

Despite the current economic slowdown, an increase in the wholesale electricity prices is expected in the coming years<br />

1)<br />

Developed countries comprise: EU-15, Norway, Switzerland and Slovenia. 2) <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>Orlen</strong>’s markets comprise: Poland, Czech Republic, Baltics)<br />

Source: EIA, IMF, <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> analysis<br />

23


New power plants are mostly required in the northern Poland<br />

EXISTING AND PLANNED GENERATION CAPACITY UNTIL 2015<br />

Concentration of<br />

generation sources<br />

Cable from<br />

Sweden<br />

El. Szczecin<br />

(800-1000 MW)<br />

PGE (800 MW)<br />

Dolna Odra<br />

PGE ZEDO<br />

Włocławek<br />

Power Plant Gdańsk (Lotos, PGNiG, Energa)<br />

(200 MW)<br />

El. Opalenie<br />

(1600 MW)<br />

Energa<br />

Ostrołęka Ostroleka<br />

Energa<br />

(1000 MW)<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong><br />

PAK<br />

Płock refinery<br />

PAK<br />

Enea<br />

PGE Kozienice<br />

Kozienice<br />

(833 MW)<br />

PGE Belchatów<br />

PGE<br />

Bełchatów<br />

Electrabel<br />

Turów (500 MW) BOT<br />

Połaniec Polaniec<br />

PGE Opole<br />

Tauron Tauron<br />

PGE Turów<br />

(2000 MW) PKE PKE<br />

Blachownia<br />

Opole Blachownia<br />

PGE<br />

Łagisza Lagisza<br />

(920 MW) Halemba Halemba Siersza Siersza<br />

Jaworzno Jaworzno<br />

Łaziska Laziska<br />

EdF Rybnik /EnBW<br />

Rybnik<br />

CEZ Skawina<br />

Rybnik<br />

(900-1000 MW)<br />

Skawina CEZ<br />

(400 MW)<br />

RWE<br />

(800 MW)<br />

Enea<br />

(2000 MW)<br />

Tauron<br />

Stalowa Wola<br />

TauronWola<br />

(400 MW)<br />

PGE<br />

(1600 MW)<br />

Jamal gas pipeline<br />

<br />

<br />

<br />

Brown coal power stations<br />

Hard coal power stations<br />

Planned capacity<br />

Planned LNG terminal<br />

Northern Poland has a<br />

historical power deficit.<br />

The current production capacity<br />

is concentrated mainly in the<br />

south of the country.<br />

Some of the planned<br />

greenfield capacities are<br />

located north, near Anwil plant<br />

in Włocławek.<br />

24


Dividend policy:<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> aims to pay dividends equal or higher than 50% of FCFE<br />

Net profit<br />

+ amortization<br />

Reference point for dividend policy <strong>–</strong> <strong>PKN</strong><br />

<strong>ORLEN</strong> investment goals and opportunities:<br />

Capex<br />

Net working<br />

capital change<br />

Debt structure<br />

adjusting to optimal level<br />

FCFE<br />

taking into account mergers and<br />

acquisitions<br />

allowing for maintaining the optimal<br />

capital structure determined by the<br />

following ratios:<br />

Covenant: Net Debt/EBITDA max.<br />

3.5<br />

Gearing: Net Debt / Equity of 30% -<br />

40%<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

3,3 3,0<br />

Dividend payout ratio 1999 - 2010 Dividend per share 1999 - 2010<br />

20,3<br />

15,4<br />

30,0<br />

40,0<br />

0,0<br />

0,0<br />

25,1<br />

0,0<br />

0,0<br />

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009<br />

0,0<br />

3<br />

2,5<br />

2<br />

1,5<br />

1<br />

0,5<br />

0<br />

2,13<br />

1,62<br />

0,65<br />

0,12 0,14<br />

0,05 0,05 0 0 0 0<br />

1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009<br />

0<br />

25


Polkomtel<br />

Non-core investment of significant value<br />

Shareholders’ structure<br />

Dividends<br />

21.83%<br />

24.39%<br />

24.39%<br />

24.39%<br />

4.99%<br />

Dividend for<br />

the year:<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

Paid in:<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2008/09<br />

2009/10<br />

PLN m<br />

202<br />

245<br />

305<br />

137<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong><br />

KGHM<br />

PGE<br />

Vodafone<br />

Węglokoks<br />

Cash inflow of PLN 3,7 bn for <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> from sale of stake in Polkomtel in November 2011<br />

Polish Office of Competition and Consumer Protection approved the transaction in October.<br />

Preliminary agreement signed in June for the sale of 100% shares to Spartan <strong>Capital</strong> Holdings Sp. z o.o., including the<br />

entire 24,39% shareholding owned by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>.<br />

The total transaction consideration implies an Enterprise Value of PLN 18,1 bn.<br />

After deductions attributable to debt and dividend the net proceeds amount to PLN 15,1 bn.<br />

<strong>Capital</strong> profit before tax will amount to PLN 2,5 bn.<br />

2010<br />

2010/11<br />

373<br />

26


Effective execution of two-tier branding strategy as a response to market<br />

polarization<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> branding strategy<br />

Poland<br />

Successful rebranding of heritage network of<br />

mixed brands into premium <strong>ORLEN</strong> and<br />

economical BLISKA networks.<br />

PREMIUM<br />

ECONOMICAL<br />

Market research is to help to determine the final<br />

branding strategy.<br />

Czech Republic<br />

Lithuania<br />

Building a solid foundation for the future<br />

development of high quality <strong>ORLEN</strong> network.<br />

Germany<br />

Focus on economical STAR network with<br />

competitive prices and superior customer service.<br />

27


Disclaimer<br />

This presentation (“Presentation”) has been prepared by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> S.A. (“<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>” or “Company”). Neither the Presentation nor any copy hereof may be copied,<br />

distributed or delivered directly or indirectly to any person for any purpose without <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s knowledge and consent. Copying, mailing, distribution or delivery of this<br />

Presentation to any person in some jurisdictions may be subject to certain legal restrictions, and persons who may or have received this Presentation should familiarize<br />

themselves with any such restrictions and abide by them. Failure to observe such restrictions may be deemed an infringement of applicable laws.<br />

This Presentation contains neither a complete nor a comprehensive financial or commercial analysis of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> and of the <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Group</strong>, nor does it present its<br />

position or prospects in a complete or comprehensive manner. <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> has prepared the Presentation with due care, however certain inconsistencies or omissions might<br />

have appeared in it. Therefore it is recommended that any person who intends to undertake any investment decision regarding any security issued by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> or its<br />

subsidiaries shall only rely on information released as an official communication by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> in accordance with the legal and regulatory provisions that are binding for <strong>PKN</strong><br />

<strong>ORLEN</strong>.<br />

The Presentation, as well as the attached slides and descriptions thereof may and do contain forward-looking statements. However, such statements must not be understood as<br />

<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s assurances or projections concerning future expected results of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> or companies of the <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Group</strong>. The Presentation is not and shall not be<br />

understand as a forecast of future results of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> as well as of the <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Group</strong>.<br />

It should be also noted that forward-looking statements, including statements relating to expectations regarding the future financial results give no guarantee or assurance that<br />

such results will be achieved. The Management Board’s expectations are based on present knowledge, awareness and/or views of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s Management Board’s<br />

members and are dependent on a number of factors, which may cause that the actual results that will be achieved by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> may differ materially from those discussed in<br />

the document. Many such factors are beyond the present knowledge, awareness and/or control of the Company, or cannot be predicted by it.<br />

No warranties or representations can be made as to the comprehensiveness or reliability of the information contained in this Presentation. Neither <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> nor its directors,<br />

managers, advisers or representatives of such persons shall bear any liability that might arise in connection with any use of this Presentation. Furthermore, no information<br />

contained herein constitutes an obligation or representation of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>, its managers or directors, its Shareholders, subsidiary undertakings, advisers or representatives of<br />

such persons.<br />

This Presentation was prepared for information purposes only and is neither a purchase or sale offer, nor a solicitation of an offer to purchase or sell any securities or financial<br />

instruments or an invitation to participate in any commercial venture. This Presentation is neither an offer nor an invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities in any<br />

jurisdiction and no statements contained herein may serve as a basis for any agreement, commitment or investment decision, or may be relied upon in connection with any<br />

agreement, commitment or investment decision.<br />

28


For more information on <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>, please contact<br />

Investor Relations Department:<br />

telephone: + 48 24 256 81 80<br />

fax + 48 24 367 77 11<br />

e-mail: ir@orlen.pl<br />

www.orlen.pl<br />

29

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