ORLEN Capital Group – company overview - PKN Orlen
ORLEN Capital Group – company overview - PKN Orlen
ORLEN Capital Group – company overview - PKN Orlen
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
<strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Capital</strong> <strong>Group</strong> <strong>–</strong> <strong>company</strong> <strong>overview</strong><br />
November 2011<br />
1
Agenda<br />
<br />
Company <strong>overview</strong><br />
Key segments<br />
New businesses entry<br />
Summary<br />
2
Leading refining & petchem <strong>company</strong> operating in the biggest market in CEE<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>–</strong> POLISH KEY PLAYER IN CEE<br />
Strategically located on key pipeline network. Access to<br />
the crude oil terminals in Gdańsk (Poland) and Butinge<br />
(Lithuania).<br />
Operates 7 refineries in Poland, Lithuania and the Czech<br />
Republic, including the largest and highly advanced one.<br />
Capable to process any kind of crude oil in all refineries.<br />
Currently the most economic is REBCO processing.<br />
Petrochemical assets fully integrated with the refining<br />
part.<br />
Operates ca. 2 700 retail sites in Poland, the Czech<br />
Republic, Germany and Lithuania.<br />
LEADING DOWNSTREAM COMPANY<br />
SHAREHOLDERS STRUCTURE<br />
27,52%<br />
State Treasury<br />
KEY FACTS<br />
PRODUCTION:<br />
Refining<br />
Petrochemical<br />
ca. 31.0 mt/y<br />
ca. 4.1 mt/y<br />
Free float<br />
72,48%<br />
FINANCIALS IN YEAR 2010:<br />
Revenues<br />
EBITDA<br />
Net profit<br />
PLN 83.5 bn<br />
PLN 5.5 bn<br />
PLN 2.5 bn<br />
3
The strategy for 2009-2013 assumes further core business development,<br />
divestment of non-core assets and entry into new segements<br />
MAIN OBJECTIVES OF <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> GROUP<br />
PRIORITIES<br />
Debt<br />
reduction<br />
Efficiency<br />
improvement<br />
and key<br />
investments<br />
execution<br />
Entry into<br />
new<br />
business areas<br />
Release of capital employed through<br />
working capital optimisation, assets<br />
disinvestment in chemical segment,<br />
solving the issue of obligatory reserves<br />
Efficiency improvement as well as<br />
development and extension of the<br />
value chain in core areas of activity -<br />
refining, retail and petrochemical<br />
segments<br />
Diversification of activities,<br />
strengthening the <strong>Group</strong> by limiting<br />
the downstream contribution to the<br />
business<br />
2009 <strong>–</strong> 2010<br />
Preparation for further<br />
growth: actions to<br />
improve financial<br />
performance, increase<br />
efficiency, reduce debt<br />
and finalize investments in<br />
core areas of activity<br />
2011 <strong>–</strong> 2013<br />
Further efficiency of<br />
core assets,<br />
investments in new<br />
segments in order<br />
to increase the<br />
<strong>company</strong> value<br />
4
Agenda<br />
<br />
Company <strong>overview</strong><br />
Key segments<br />
New businesses entry<br />
Summary<br />
5
Refining segment<br />
ASSETS<br />
NELSON COMPLEXITY<br />
Supersite (Plock)<br />
Mazeikiu (10.2; 10.3)<br />
Gold<br />
Silver (MN, Litvinov)<br />
Litvinov (5.5, 7.0)<br />
Kralupy (3.4; 8.1)<br />
Paramo (1.0)<br />
Plock<br />
(16.3; 9.5)<br />
Trzebinia (0.5)<br />
Jedlicze (0.1)<br />
Bronze (Kralupy)<br />
Niche<br />
Trader<br />
Speciality (Paramo)<br />
Closure-Candidate<br />
N/A (Trzebinia, Jedlicze)<br />
Refinery (production capacity mt /y; Nelson complexity index)<br />
Refinery classification according to Wood Mackenzie (2007)<br />
KEY FACTS<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> processing capacity: ca. 31 mt/y (Plock plant in Poland <strong>–</strong> 16.3 mt/y, Unipetrol <strong>–</strong> 5.1 mt/y and <strong>ORLEN</strong> Lietuva<br />
<strong>–</strong> 10.2 mt/y).<br />
Market share*: gasoline (PL: 62%, CZ: 33%, LT: 85%) and diesel (PL: 55%, CZ: 33%, LT: 89%).<br />
Nelson complexity index: Plock 9.5, Kralupy 8.1, Litvinov 7.0, <strong>ORLEN</strong> Lietuva 10.3.<br />
Flexibility to process many kinds of crude oil.<br />
Fuel production in line with 2009 Euro standards in all refineries.<br />
* As of 30.09.2011<br />
6
Petrochemical segment<br />
ASSETS<br />
CORE BUSINESS <strong>–</strong> GROWTH DRIVERS<br />
PX/PTA<br />
Polyolefins<br />
NON CORE BUSINESS - EXIT<br />
Strengthening position through full<br />
integration with refinery.<br />
Europe’s most advanced petrochemical<br />
PX/PTA complex launched.<br />
Building regional leader position.<br />
PVC<br />
Fertilizers<br />
Limited synergies with refining activity.<br />
Release of capital employed through<br />
Anwil sale.<br />
KEY FACTS<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> production capacity: ca. 4.1 mt/y (Plock - 2.5 mt/y, Unipetrol - 1.6 mt/y).<br />
Full integration of petrochemical assets with refining facilities.<br />
Depending on the product we have between 40% to 100% market share in domestic consumption.<br />
Polyolefins sales within Basell network.<br />
PX/PTA production capacities: 400 th t of PX (paraxylene) and 600 th t of PTA (purified terephtalic acid) per annum,<br />
reflecting 20% of European production. Sales of PTA since 2Q2011.<br />
7
Retail segment<br />
ASSETS<br />
OPERATING DATA<br />
EBIT<br />
PLN m<br />
2008<br />
641<br />
2009 2010<br />
- 6%<br />
880 825<br />
Sales volumes<br />
th t<br />
6 229<br />
6 713<br />
+ 5%<br />
7 025<br />
KEY FACTS<br />
Biggest retail network (no of filling stations)*: Poland - 1738, Germany - 564, Czech Republic - 336, Lithuania - 35.<br />
Market share*: Poland - 32%, Czech Republic - 14%, Lithuania - 4% and Northern Germany - 9%.<br />
Two-tier branding strategy (premium and economy)<br />
„FLOTA POLSKA” & DKV/<strong>ORLEN</strong> fleet card for corporate customers; and „VITAY” loyalty card for individual<br />
customers <strong>–</strong> ca. 8,5 m participants*<br />
* As of 30.09.2011<br />
8
Agenda<br />
<br />
Company <strong>overview</strong><br />
Key segments<br />
New businesses entry<br />
Summary<br />
9
„Multi-utility” is a foundation for further <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> value growth<br />
STRATEGIC RATIONALES<br />
CONCEPT OF „MULTI- UTILITY”<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> faces serious barriers for the<br />
further dynamic growth in the oil sector...<br />
The dynamic growth through acquisitions and<br />
geographic expansion in 2002-2006<br />
Focus on organic development and efficiency<br />
improvement<br />
Strong competitive pressure and high volatility in<br />
margins<br />
…hence the perceived growth opportunities in<br />
the new areas of growth…<br />
Higher profitability<br />
Stable cash flows<br />
Strong competitive pressure and high volatility in<br />
margins<br />
Operational synergies and diversification of activities<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s security<br />
New<br />
segments<br />
Current <strong>PKN</strong><br />
<strong>ORLEN</strong>’s<br />
areas of<br />
activities<br />
Upstream (E&P)<br />
Electric power<br />
generation<br />
Refining<br />
Petrochemicals<br />
Logistics<br />
Sales of fuel and<br />
petrochemicals<br />
Integrated fuel - energy<br />
<strong>company</strong><br />
10
Growth of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> in upstream segment is based on three pillars<br />
Regional<br />
focus<br />
Organic and<br />
inorganic growth<br />
Cooperation with<br />
partners<br />
Examples Targets<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Limitation of (mostly geopolitical) risks<br />
Building capabilities in stable<br />
environment<br />
Adjustment of activities to the<br />
available budget<br />
Central and Eastern Europe<br />
North Africa<br />
North America<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Gradual development of diversified<br />
assets portfolio<br />
Acquisition of mainly minority equity<br />
stakes<br />
Current exploration and production<br />
projects<br />
<br />
<br />
Opportunity for rapid growth of<br />
know-how and competencies<br />
Participation in existing projects,<br />
including cooperation with external<br />
partners<br />
Limitation of<br />
project risk<br />
Focus on most<br />
prospective assets<br />
11
UPSTREAM<br />
Organic projects<br />
Polish lowland<br />
Latvian shelf<br />
Lublin region<br />
1. Latvian shelf<br />
Off-shore project on Baltic shelf (Latvia) on one of the biggest oil fields in the Baltic Sea.<br />
Project is being realized in cooperation with Kuwait Energy.<br />
Large hydrocarbon reserves: 250m bbl.<br />
Project’s status:<br />
Analysis of newly obtained 3D seismic data and choice of holes locations is in progress.<br />
The drill is planned in 1 half of 2012.<br />
2. Lublin region<br />
On-shore E&P project in Poland (Lublin area).<br />
Exploration activities in the region conducted also by the biggest oil companies: Chevron<br />
and ExxonMobil.<br />
Project’s status:<br />
Data analysis and choice of drills’ locations is in progress.<br />
The drill is planned in 2012.<br />
3. Polish lowland<br />
On-shore E&P project in Poland (Sieraków area) - JV with PGNiG.<br />
The most prospective exploration area in Poland, next to the largest discovered reserves of<br />
oil and gas in Poland.<br />
Exploitable resources of ca. 26m bbl.<br />
Project’s status:<br />
Exploratory drill is in realization.<br />
Next 2 appraisal drills are planned <strong>–</strong> realization in 2012.<br />
12
UPSTREAM<br />
Shale gas<br />
Shale gas exploration licenses<br />
1. Licenses<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> has 8 exploration licenses in Poland in the most<br />
prospective areas: 6 licenses in Lublin region (BełŜyce, Garwolin,<br />
Lubartów, Lublin, Wierzbica, Hrubieszów) and 2 licenses in central<br />
Poland (Łódź, Sieradz).<br />
Projects’ status:<br />
Lublin region (Wierzbica)<br />
First wildcat exploration vertical well started in October 2011.<br />
<br />
Horizontal wells and multi-stage hydraulic fracturing in June 2012 after<br />
positive findings of samples.<br />
Lublin region (Lubartów)<br />
First wildcat exploration vertical well is planned in December 2011.<br />
2. Cooperation with experienced partners<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> aims to engage with an experienced partner for further<br />
exploration (letters of intent already signed with about 15 companies).<br />
Potential shale gas area<br />
3. Shale gas deposits<br />
5.3 trillion m3 of unconventional gas stretching across northern and<br />
central Poland is estimated by Energy Information Administration<br />
(USA).<br />
Poland’s annual gas consumption is ca. 14 bn m3 (of which 2bn m3<br />
by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>), 72% of gas is imported.<br />
13
ENERGY<br />
New projects and efficiency increase of existing assets<br />
Strategy’s directions<br />
Achieving maximum synergies<br />
Assurance of energy safety of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong><br />
Modernization of current infrastructure for further development and<br />
adaptation for environmental requirements<br />
NEW PROJECTS<br />
1. Construction of gas power plant in Wloclawek<br />
Advanced preparation of investment: the environmental decision,<br />
agreement for connection to the energy network and the<br />
permission to build energy block.<br />
Agreement signed with GAZ-SYSTEM for building a gas pipeline and<br />
connection to gas network. CAPEX ca. PLN 22m, <strong>PKN</strong> will cover 25%.<br />
Advanced stage of tender for building a block with infrastructure.<br />
Decision about the selection of the contractor in 1Q 2012.<br />
Block building is planned for 2012.<br />
Planned start-up in 2014.<br />
Estimated CAPEX in the amount of PLN 1,5 bn.<br />
2. Potentially additional unit in Plock<br />
EFFICIENCY IMPROVEMENT OF EXISTING ASSETS<br />
1. Modernization of power plant in Plock<br />
Investment program at the level of PLN 1 bn within 2-3 years.<br />
Target is to meet environmental standards (emitted emissions are to<br />
be reduced by ~ 90%) and to the increase in power capacities (up till<br />
2017 planned 20% increase in electricity production capacities and 7%<br />
in thermal power).<br />
Decision about the selection of the contractor to be made in 1Q2012.<br />
Start-up in 2015.<br />
2. Restructuring and modernization of energy<br />
assets in Unipetrol<br />
3. Optimization in other foreign assets<br />
14
Agenda<br />
<br />
Company <strong>overview</strong><br />
Key segments<br />
New businesses entry<br />
Summary<br />
15
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> is an attractive investment<br />
STRENGTHS<br />
DEVELOPMENT OPPORTUNITIES<br />
<br />
Attractive market of new EU countries with growth<br />
potential.<br />
<br />
Efficiency improvements through operational<br />
excellence and integration of assets.<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Leading position in the Central and Eastern EU<br />
region in the downstream refining and<br />
petrochemical.<br />
World class refinery assets integrated with<br />
petrochemical business.<br />
The largest retail network.<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Further development in the core business and<br />
value chain extension.<br />
Release of capital employed through the sale of<br />
non core assets.<br />
Development of new segments through<br />
cooperation with sector partners.<br />
<br />
Strategically located on key pipeline network.<br />
Access to the crude oil terminal in Gdańsk<br />
(Poland) and Butinge (Lithuania).<br />
We take pole position for further growth<br />
16
Thank You for Your attention<br />
For more information on <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>, please contact<br />
Investor Relations Department:<br />
telephone: + 48 24 256 81 80<br />
fax: + 48 24 367 77 11<br />
e-mail: ir@orlen.pl<br />
www.orlen.pl<br />
17
Agenda<br />
<br />
Supporting slides<br />
18
From domestic leader to EU regional player<br />
Domestic Business to 2002 „Internationalization” 2002-2005 Regional Business 2006+<br />
Lithuania<br />
Estonia<br />
Latvia<br />
Lithuania<br />
Estonia<br />
Latvia<br />
Lithuania<br />
Estonia<br />
Latvia<br />
Germany<br />
Poland<br />
Germany<br />
Poland<br />
Germany<br />
Poland<br />
Czech Republic<br />
Czech Republic<br />
Czech Republic<br />
1999<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
2000<br />
<br />
Merger of Petrochemia Plock (Polish<br />
largest refinery) with CPN (Polish largest<br />
retailer) created <strong>PKN</strong>.<br />
IPO of 30% of equity on Warsaw Stock<br />
Exchange and London Stock Exchange.<br />
Introduction of the new brand <strong>ORLEN</strong>.<br />
Second public offer of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> on<br />
WSE and LSE increased free float up to<br />
72%.<br />
2002<br />
<br />
Expansion into German retail market.<br />
Joint venture with Basell <strong>–</strong><br />
Basell <strong>Orlen</strong> Polyolefins.<br />
2005<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Acquisition of majority stake in Unipetrol<br />
(Czech holding).<br />
Introduction and start of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong><br />
Retail Sales Development Plan for<br />
Poland.<br />
Introduction and start of Unipetrol<br />
Partnership Program.<br />
2006 +<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Acquisition of Lithuanian refinery - Mazeikiu<br />
Nafta (from 2009 <strong>ORLEN</strong> Lietuva).<br />
Implementation of segmental management.<br />
Implementation of two-tier branding<br />
strategy in retail segment in Poland and the<br />
Czech Republic.<br />
Strategy of <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Capital</strong> <strong>Group</strong> for 2009-<br />
2013.<br />
<br />
<br />
CAPEX, OPEX, working capital and<br />
headcount optimization.<br />
Launch of petrochemical PX/PTA complex.<br />
19
Supply Routes Diversification<br />
Sea Oil Terminals in Gdansk and Butinge Guarantee Alternative Supply Routes<br />
<br />
Sea terminal [capacity]<br />
Oil pipeline [capacity]<br />
Projected Oil pipeline<br />
Refinery of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Group</strong><br />
Refinery (capacity m tonnes p.a.;<br />
Nelson complexity index)<br />
Holborn<br />
(3.8; 6.1)<br />
Ingolstadt<br />
(5.2; 7.5)<br />
Bayernoil<br />
(12.8; 8.0)<br />
Harburg<br />
(4.7; 9.6)<br />
Leuna<br />
(11.0; 7.1)<br />
Rostock <br />
Schwedt Gdansk<br />
(10.7; 10.2) (10.5; 10.0)<br />
(70) Primorsk<br />
<br />
Kirishi<br />
(18) Ventspils<br />
<br />
Butinge<br />
DRUZHBA<br />
(14) Mazeikiai<br />
Naftoport (10.2; 10.3) Novopolotsk<br />
(30) <br />
(8.3; 7.7)<br />
[Ca 27]<br />
[Ca 30]<br />
[Ca 22]<br />
[Ca 18]<br />
DRUZHBA<br />
[Ca 34]<br />
Mozyr<br />
(15.7; 4.6)<br />
[Ca 55]<br />
Plock<br />
(16.3; 9.5)<br />
Litvinov (5.5, 7.0)<br />
Kralupy Trzebinia Jedlicze<br />
Drogobich<br />
(3.4; 8.1) (0,5) (0,1)<br />
Brody<br />
IKL [Ca 10]<br />
(3.8; 3.0)<br />
Bratislava<br />
Burghausen [Ca 9]<br />
[Ca 20]<br />
DRUZHBA<br />
(6.0; 12.3)<br />
(3.5; 7.3)<br />
[Ca 3,5]<br />
[Ca 9]<br />
Tiszaojvaro<br />
Schwechat<br />
(10.2; 6.2)<br />
Duna<br />
s<br />
Petrotel Rafo<br />
ADRIA (8.1, 10.6) (2.6; 7.6) (3.4; 9.8)<br />
Rijeka<br />
Petrobrazi<br />
Triest <br />
(4.4; 5.7) ADRIA Novi Sad (3.4; 7.3)<br />
Sisak<br />
(4.0; 4.6) Arpechim<br />
<br />
(3.9; 4.1)<br />
(3.6; 7.3)<br />
Pancevo<br />
(4.8; 4.9)<br />
[Ca 34]<br />
[Ca 22]<br />
[Ca 60]<br />
[Ca 25]<br />
Yuzhniy<br />
Odessa<br />
(ex 4)<br />
(3.8; 3.5)<br />
(ex 12)<br />
Petromidia<br />
(5.1; 7.5)<br />
Neftochim<br />
(5.6; 5.8)<br />
[Ca 80]<br />
[Ca 78]<br />
[Ca 45]<br />
[Ca 120]<br />
[ Ca 24]<br />
Kremenchug<br />
(17.5; 3.5)<br />
Kherson<br />
(6.7; 3.1)<br />
[ Ca 29]<br />
Yaroslavi<br />
<br />
Novorossiys<br />
k<br />
(ex 45)<br />
Lisichansk<br />
(8.5; 8.2)<br />
Elefsis<br />
(4.9; 1.0)<br />
Thessaloniki<br />
(3.2; 5.9)<br />
Aspropyrgos<br />
(6.6; 8.9)<br />
Corinth<br />
(4.9; 12.5)<br />
Izmir<br />
(10.0; 6.4)<br />
Izmit<br />
(11.5; 6.2)<br />
Kirikkale<br />
(5.0; 5.4)<br />
Batman<br />
(1.1; 1.9)<br />
Source: Oil & Gas Journal, <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>Orlen</strong> own calculations, Concawe,Reuters, WMRC, EIA, NEFTE Compass, Transneft.ru<br />
20
<strong>ORLEN</strong> Lietuva - maximizing the possessed potential<br />
ASSETS<br />
Sea terminal<br />
Ventspils<br />
(20,0 mt/y)<br />
(14,3 m t/y)<br />
Latvia<br />
Sea terminal<br />
Butinge<br />
(14,0 mt/y)<br />
Klaipeda<br />
(9,0 mt/y)<br />
(14,,0 m t/y)<br />
Mažeikių<br />
Nafta<br />
(16,4 mt/y)<br />
Joniskis<br />
<strong>Orlen</strong> Lietuva<br />
Refinery<br />
Lithuania<br />
Biržai<br />
Illukste<br />
Polock<br />
Pump station<br />
Terminal<br />
Storage depot<br />
Crude pipeline<br />
Products pipeline<br />
Rail transport<br />
KEY FACTS<br />
<strong>ORLEN</strong> Lietuva manages ca. 500 km of pipelines in the territory of Lithuania (both crude oil and product pipelines).<br />
Crude oil deliveries via sea to terminal in Butinge.<br />
Products supply within Lithuania is managed by use of railway or tankers.<br />
The potential product pipeline to Klaipeda would improve logistics of final products.<br />
Costs optimization and improvement of operating parameters.<br />
Postponing the date of advisor’s report on recommendation for the request of potential partners, for more detail analysis<br />
of the Company.<br />
21
Unipetrol <strong>–</strong> continuation of operating efficiency improvement<br />
ASSETS<br />
ethylene<br />
Litvínov<br />
5.5 mt/y<br />
IKL<br />
Pipeline<br />
10 mt/y<br />
Kralupy<br />
3.2 mt/y<br />
Pardubice<br />
1.0 mt/y<br />
KEY FACTS<br />
Druzhba<br />
pipeline<br />
9 mt/y<br />
Mero Crude oil pipelines<br />
CEPRO production pipelines<br />
CEPRO depots<br />
Positive free cash flow as a result of ongoing strict cost control.<br />
Continuation of the long-term trend in staff reduction.<br />
Steadily growing market share in Czech retail from below 10% in 2005 to over 14% in 2011.<br />
Revival of demand since 2010 allow to look optimistically to polyolefins market.<br />
22
Relatively low rate of energy consumption per capita and need for new power<br />
plants indicates high potential for growth in the energy generation sector<br />
ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION IN EUROPE, 2000-2007<br />
FORECAST FOR SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR PEAK<br />
POWER IN POLAND, 2005-2020, GW<br />
Developed<br />
countries 1<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s<br />
markets 2<br />
Rest<br />
Demand<br />
Supply<br />
Electricity consumption<br />
CAGR 2000-2007, %<br />
4,1<br />
2,1<br />
1,5<br />
Electricity consumption<br />
per capita, 2007, ths. KWh<br />
6,8<br />
3,9<br />
2,7<br />
38<br />
36<br />
34<br />
32<br />
30<br />
28<br />
26<br />
24<br />
2005 2010 2015 2020<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Currently energy consumption per capita on <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s market is by ~ 40% lower than in developed countries 1. Forecasts indicate 2-3% increase in<br />
the electricity demand in Poland until 2030 p.a.<br />
The profitability of the sector is increasing in the result of the expected imbalance between supply and demand<br />
44% of existing power plants in Poland is over 30 years. Old units of 11-15 GW (~30-40% existing capacity) have been planned to be closed. Power<br />
capacities increase planned until 2020 of ~20 GW (includes both modernization of existing and construction of new plants). Top Polish energy companies<br />
(i.e. PGE, Tauron, Enea, Energa) have announced plans of extensive capital investments into increase of capacities, summing up to ~90 bn PLN<br />
Despite the current economic slowdown, an increase in the wholesale electricity prices is expected in the coming years<br />
1)<br />
Developed countries comprise: EU-15, Norway, Switzerland and Slovenia. 2) <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>Orlen</strong>’s markets comprise: Poland, Czech Republic, Baltics)<br />
Source: EIA, IMF, <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> analysis<br />
23
New power plants are mostly required in the northern Poland<br />
EXISTING AND PLANNED GENERATION CAPACITY UNTIL 2015<br />
Concentration of<br />
generation sources<br />
Cable from<br />
Sweden<br />
El. Szczecin<br />
(800-1000 MW)<br />
PGE (800 MW)<br />
Dolna Odra<br />
PGE ZEDO<br />
Włocławek<br />
Power Plant Gdańsk (Lotos, PGNiG, Energa)<br />
(200 MW)<br />
El. Opalenie<br />
(1600 MW)<br />
Energa<br />
Ostrołęka Ostroleka<br />
Energa<br />
(1000 MW)<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong><br />
PAK<br />
Płock refinery<br />
PAK<br />
Enea<br />
PGE Kozienice<br />
Kozienice<br />
(833 MW)<br />
PGE Belchatów<br />
PGE<br />
Bełchatów<br />
Electrabel<br />
Turów (500 MW) BOT<br />
Połaniec Polaniec<br />
PGE Opole<br />
Tauron Tauron<br />
PGE Turów<br />
(2000 MW) PKE PKE<br />
Blachownia<br />
Opole Blachownia<br />
PGE<br />
Łagisza Lagisza<br />
(920 MW) Halemba Halemba Siersza Siersza<br />
Jaworzno Jaworzno<br />
Łaziska Laziska<br />
EdF Rybnik /EnBW<br />
Rybnik<br />
CEZ Skawina<br />
Rybnik<br />
(900-1000 MW)<br />
Skawina CEZ<br />
(400 MW)<br />
RWE<br />
(800 MW)<br />
Enea<br />
(2000 MW)<br />
Tauron<br />
Stalowa Wola<br />
TauronWola<br />
(400 MW)<br />
PGE<br />
(1600 MW)<br />
Jamal gas pipeline<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Brown coal power stations<br />
Hard coal power stations<br />
Planned capacity<br />
Planned LNG terminal<br />
Northern Poland has a<br />
historical power deficit.<br />
The current production capacity<br />
is concentrated mainly in the<br />
south of the country.<br />
Some of the planned<br />
greenfield capacities are<br />
located north, near Anwil plant<br />
in Włocławek.<br />
24
Dividend policy:<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> aims to pay dividends equal or higher than 50% of FCFE<br />
Net profit<br />
+ amortization<br />
Reference point for dividend policy <strong>–</strong> <strong>PKN</strong><br />
<strong>ORLEN</strong> investment goals and opportunities:<br />
Capex<br />
Net working<br />
capital change<br />
Debt structure<br />
adjusting to optimal level<br />
FCFE<br />
taking into account mergers and<br />
acquisitions<br />
allowing for maintaining the optimal<br />
capital structure determined by the<br />
following ratios:<br />
Covenant: Net Debt/EBITDA max.<br />
3.5<br />
Gearing: Net Debt / Equity of 30% -<br />
40%<br />
50<br />
40<br />
30<br />
20<br />
10<br />
0<br />
3,3 3,0<br />
Dividend payout ratio 1999 - 2010 Dividend per share 1999 - 2010<br />
20,3<br />
15,4<br />
30,0<br />
40,0<br />
0,0<br />
0,0<br />
25,1<br />
0,0<br />
0,0<br />
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009<br />
0,0<br />
3<br />
2,5<br />
2<br />
1,5<br />
1<br />
0,5<br />
0<br />
2,13<br />
1,62<br />
0,65<br />
0,12 0,14<br />
0,05 0,05 0 0 0 0<br />
1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009<br />
0<br />
25
Polkomtel<br />
Non-core investment of significant value<br />
Shareholders’ structure<br />
Dividends<br />
21.83%<br />
24.39%<br />
24.39%<br />
24.39%<br />
4.99%<br />
Dividend for<br />
the year:<br />
2006<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2009<br />
Paid in:<br />
2007<br />
2008<br />
2008/09<br />
2009/10<br />
PLN m<br />
202<br />
245<br />
305<br />
137<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong><br />
KGHM<br />
PGE<br />
Vodafone<br />
Węglokoks<br />
Cash inflow of PLN 3,7 bn for <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> from sale of stake in Polkomtel in November 2011<br />
Polish Office of Competition and Consumer Protection approved the transaction in October.<br />
Preliminary agreement signed in June for the sale of 100% shares to Spartan <strong>Capital</strong> Holdings Sp. z o.o., including the<br />
entire 24,39% shareholding owned by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>.<br />
The total transaction consideration implies an Enterprise Value of PLN 18,1 bn.<br />
After deductions attributable to debt and dividend the net proceeds amount to PLN 15,1 bn.<br />
<strong>Capital</strong> profit before tax will amount to PLN 2,5 bn.<br />
2010<br />
2010/11<br />
373<br />
26
Effective execution of two-tier branding strategy as a response to market<br />
polarization<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> branding strategy<br />
Poland<br />
Successful rebranding of heritage network of<br />
mixed brands into premium <strong>ORLEN</strong> and<br />
economical BLISKA networks.<br />
PREMIUM<br />
ECONOMICAL<br />
Market research is to help to determine the final<br />
branding strategy.<br />
Czech Republic<br />
Lithuania<br />
Building a solid foundation for the future<br />
development of high quality <strong>ORLEN</strong> network.<br />
Germany<br />
Focus on economical STAR network with<br />
competitive prices and superior customer service.<br />
27
Disclaimer<br />
This presentation (“Presentation”) has been prepared by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> S.A. (“<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>” or “Company”). Neither the Presentation nor any copy hereof may be copied,<br />
distributed or delivered directly or indirectly to any person for any purpose without <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s knowledge and consent. Copying, mailing, distribution or delivery of this<br />
Presentation to any person in some jurisdictions may be subject to certain legal restrictions, and persons who may or have received this Presentation should familiarize<br />
themselves with any such restrictions and abide by them. Failure to observe such restrictions may be deemed an infringement of applicable laws.<br />
This Presentation contains neither a complete nor a comprehensive financial or commercial analysis of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> and of the <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Group</strong>, nor does it present its<br />
position or prospects in a complete or comprehensive manner. <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> has prepared the Presentation with due care, however certain inconsistencies or omissions might<br />
have appeared in it. Therefore it is recommended that any person who intends to undertake any investment decision regarding any security issued by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> or its<br />
subsidiaries shall only rely on information released as an official communication by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> in accordance with the legal and regulatory provisions that are binding for <strong>PKN</strong><br />
<strong>ORLEN</strong>.<br />
The Presentation, as well as the attached slides and descriptions thereof may and do contain forward-looking statements. However, such statements must not be understood as<br />
<strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s assurances or projections concerning future expected results of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> or companies of the <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Group</strong>. The Presentation is not and shall not be<br />
understand as a forecast of future results of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> as well as of the <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> <strong>Group</strong>.<br />
It should be also noted that forward-looking statements, including statements relating to expectations regarding the future financial results give no guarantee or assurance that<br />
such results will be achieved. The Management Board’s expectations are based on present knowledge, awareness and/or views of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>’s Management Board’s<br />
members and are dependent on a number of factors, which may cause that the actual results that will be achieved by <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> may differ materially from those discussed in<br />
the document. Many such factors are beyond the present knowledge, awareness and/or control of the Company, or cannot be predicted by it.<br />
No warranties or representations can be made as to the comprehensiveness or reliability of the information contained in this Presentation. Neither <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong> nor its directors,<br />
managers, advisers or representatives of such persons shall bear any liability that might arise in connection with any use of this Presentation. Furthermore, no information<br />
contained herein constitutes an obligation or representation of <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>, its managers or directors, its Shareholders, subsidiary undertakings, advisers or representatives of<br />
such persons.<br />
This Presentation was prepared for information purposes only and is neither a purchase or sale offer, nor a solicitation of an offer to purchase or sell any securities or financial<br />
instruments or an invitation to participate in any commercial venture. This Presentation is neither an offer nor an invitation to purchase or subscribe for any securities in any<br />
jurisdiction and no statements contained herein may serve as a basis for any agreement, commitment or investment decision, or may be relied upon in connection with any<br />
agreement, commitment or investment decision.<br />
28
For more information on <strong>PKN</strong> <strong>ORLEN</strong>, please contact<br />
Investor Relations Department:<br />
telephone: + 48 24 256 81 80<br />
fax + 48 24 367 77 11<br />
e-mail: ir@orlen.pl<br />
www.orlen.pl<br />
29