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EPR<br />
<strong>Emory</strong> Political Review<br />
Volume VIII, <strong>Issue</strong> 2<br />
INSIDE<br />
What Health Care Boils Down To<br />
Why Hamas is so successful in Palestine<br />
The Daily Show, The Colbert Report, and Politics<br />
2009 Year in Review<br />
The Future of U.S. Power
2<br />
EPR<br />
Volume VIII, No. 2<br />
Editors-in-Chief<br />
Executive Editor<br />
Senior Copy<br />
Editor<br />
Copy Editors<br />
Senior Layout<br />
Editor<br />
Story Editors<br />
Website<br />
Christina Yang<br />
Lilly Zhong<br />
Grant Wallensky<br />
Andrew Hull<br />
Amanda L. Carey<br />
Kristin Bielling<br />
Lindsey Bomnin<br />
Sara Hagey<br />
Monroe Hammond<br />
James Hamraie<br />
Elizabeth Janszky<br />
Eddie Lopez-Lugo<br />
Kathryn Madison<br />
Victor Rudo<br />
Hali Michele Stokes<br />
Laura D. Withers<br />
Gregoire E. Taillet<br />
Monroe Hammond<br />
David Michaels<br />
Anuj Panday<br />
Peter Rasmussen<br />
Mishal Ali<br />
Shalini Ramachandran<br />
Letter from the Editors<br />
Well, there goes another year. 2009 will be remembered as<br />
the year the death of Michael Jackson united the world, whilst<br />
the murder of abortionist Dr. George Tiller divided our nation.<br />
While Iran filled its streets with protestors decked in green, the<br />
People’s Republic of China celebrated its 60th anniversary in<br />
a haze of red and yellow. Although South Carolina Governor<br />
Mark Sanford made extramarital affairs international, Tiger<br />
Woods reintroduced the word “harem” to the 21st century. To<br />
say the least, it’s been quite a year for the average American,<br />
the politician, and the celebrity.<br />
The year started off with a bang. It brought us our first African<br />
American president, our first Hispanic Supreme Court Justice,<br />
and the real possibility of redeeming America’s image in the<br />
eyes of the international community. But the positives were<br />
soon overshadowed by such problems as rising unemployment,<br />
growing international security threats, and the relentless<br />
worldwide recession. Indeed, no place was left untouched by<br />
the headlines of 2009, including our own <strong>Emory</strong> <strong>University</strong>.<br />
Students dealt with rising tuition, cuts in club funding, and the<br />
“Swine ‘09.”<br />
This issue covers everything from the U.S. as a world power to<br />
the prospects of democracy in Iraq to the new possibilities the<br />
FIFA World Cup brings to South Africa. And though we may<br />
not have as many articles as Tiger Woods has mistresses, we<br />
hope that the articles we do have will provide you, the reader,<br />
with a greater understanding of some of our world’s important<br />
happenings.<br />
With the onset of 2010, <strong>Emory</strong> Political Review — along with<br />
the rest of the world — is looking to revamp itself. We are<br />
launching our new and refurbished website, in which we hope<br />
to incorporate new media forms (think Huffington Post and<br />
Twitter feeds). To make up for budget cuts, we are looking into<br />
advertising. And of course, we always welcome new writers,<br />
new stories, and new readers. Here’s to 2010.<br />
- Christina and Lilly<br />
This issue’s layout was done by<br />
Christina Yang<br />
Editor’s Note: Unless otherwise noted, art is either<br />
created by C. Yang or taken from Photos.com, Google<br />
Images or Wikipedia. All art from Wikipedia is part of<br />
the public domain and is used under fair use.
january 2010<br />
<strong>Current</strong> Affairs<br />
4-5 Dissecting Health Care<br />
Spotlight<br />
6<br />
Democracy in Iraq?<br />
Nation<br />
7<br />
8<br />
9<br />
Should We End the Fed?<br />
The Future of Global<br />
Non-Proliferation<br />
The Scope of Executive Power<br />
14-15 America’s Failed War on Drugs<br />
16-17<br />
The Right to Bear Arms:<br />
McDonald v. Chicago<br />
Cover Story<br />
10-13 U.S. Hegemony Challenged?<br />
Foreign Affairs<br />
18-19<br />
20-21<br />
22-23<br />
24<br />
25<br />
Special<br />
26-27<br />
The Impact of War and<br />
Terror on Pakistan<br />
Russia Resurgent<br />
The Hearts and Minds of<br />
Palestine<br />
2010 FIFA World Cup:<br />
More than Just a Game<br />
Comedy in Compaigns<br />
Year in Review
<strong>Current</strong> Affairs<br />
EPR<br />
By: Lilly Zhong and Christina Yang<br />
Health Care<br />
Starting from the beginning of<br />
2009, plans for a major overhaul<br />
of the American health care system<br />
have rumbled onward, gaining steam and<br />
momentum toward the end of the year.<br />
Democrats and Republicans have argued<br />
vigorously over health care reform, with<br />
the two sides bearing almost irreconcilable<br />
views. Democrats view health care<br />
reform as a major step in giving millions<br />
of uninsured Americans coverage and in<br />
cutting the costs of health care overall. Republicans<br />
staunchly oppose the government<br />
playing such a large role in the health care<br />
system, claiming that the proposed reforms<br />
will weaken the insurance coverage of those<br />
who already have it. However, as debates over<br />
the public option, “death panels,” and abortion<br />
coverage rage on, President Obama has<br />
remained true to his campaign promise to push<br />
for universal health care, and results are coming<br />
in. Despite almost unanimous opposition<br />
by the Republicans, what began as—and still<br />
remains—a hotly debated topic has finally been<br />
consolidated into a concrete form. On November<br />
7, 2009, a version of the health care bill passed<br />
the House, with a 220 to 215 vote. On December<br />
24, 2009, the Senate also passed a version of<br />
health care reform, albeit with some differences<br />
from the House edition and along party lines, in<br />
the first Christmas Eve Senate vote since 1895.<br />
So what now? The next step is for two<br />
versions of the bill to go to a conference committee,<br />
in which the House and the Senate must combine<br />
the two forms and agree on a final version. Though<br />
some major disparities (e.g. the public option)<br />
exist, the current outlines contain some common<br />
stipulations. To expand coverage, a greater number<br />
of low-income people would become eligible for<br />
Medicaid, and subsidies would be provided to some<br />
middle-income individuals to help them buy insurance.<br />
Insurance companies would be prohibited from<br />
denying coverage to individuals based on preexisting<br />
conditions, and insurance exchanges, where people and<br />
small businesses can essentially “shop” for insurance,<br />
would be created. Individuals who are currently under<br />
employer insurance (about 160 million) would remain<br />
that way, and almost everyone would be required to get<br />
insurance or else face certain penalties. To help decipher<br />
the ins and outs of health care reform, here’s a look at the<br />
specifics of what may be in the final version of the bill.<br />
Information taken by the New York Times<br />
4 • EPR Winter 09-10 •
EPR<br />
Now...what’s the difference?<br />
Cost<br />
Public Option<br />
Individual<br />
Requirements<br />
Employer<br />
Requirements<br />
<strong>Issue</strong> House Senate<br />
Would cost $1.1 trillion over a decade,<br />
which surpasses Obama’s $900 billion<br />
decade spending cap.<br />
Includes a government-run insurance<br />
program that offers plans competitive with<br />
the private market. The government would<br />
negotiate rates with health care providers.<br />
Requires the majority of people to get<br />
health insurance or pay a penalty of up to<br />
2.5 percent of their income. In addition to<br />
subsidies for the poor, this plan extends<br />
coverage to approximately 36 million<br />
Americans.<br />
Employers are required to contribute to<br />
health insurance for employees. However,<br />
businesses with payrolls under $500,000<br />
are exempt, which is approximately 86<br />
percent of all American businesses.<br />
Would cost $871 billion over a decade, reducing the deficit<br />
by $132 billion, and possibily an additional reduction of<br />
approximately $1.3 trillion over the second decade, according<br />
to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office.<br />
Does not include a public option. Instead, the Office of<br />
Personnel Management, which supervises health plans for<br />
federal workers, would oversee national plans offered in<br />
the health insurance exchanges.<br />
Requires most people to either have health insurance or<br />
pay a penalty, which begins at $95 in 2014 and increases<br />
to $750 two years later.<br />
Employers are not required to provide health insurance.<br />
However, companies with over 50 employees will be<br />
charged with a penalty for any employee whose health<br />
insurance the government ends up subsidizing.<br />
Financial Assistance<br />
New Taxes<br />
Abortion<br />
Medicare Changes<br />
Includes subsidies to help those making<br />
up to 400 percent of the federal poverty<br />
level pay for health insurance premiums.<br />
Medicaid eligibility would be expanded<br />
for low-income families and individuals,<br />
as well as cover new preventive services,<br />
and increase payments for check-ups.<br />
The wealthiest Americans (individuals<br />
making over $500,000 and families<br />
making above $1 million) would pay a<br />
surcharge on a portion of their income.<br />
The new public option does not cover<br />
abortion except in cases of rape, incest, or<br />
threat to the life of the pregnant woman.<br />
Also bans people from using government<br />
subsidies to purchase private plans with<br />
abortion coverage.<br />
Reduces Medicare spending by approximately<br />
$440 billion over a decade by<br />
reducing payments to private insurance<br />
plans that serve Medicare patients and by<br />
requiring hospitals and other health care<br />
providers to operate more efficiently. The<br />
plan also includes several new benefits for<br />
seniors, including more preventive care<br />
services.<br />
Includes subsidies to help cover those making up to 400<br />
percent of the federal poverty level (presently, $88,000/<br />
year for a family of four) and expands Medicaid to include<br />
those making 133 percent of the federal poverty level.<br />
Imposes a 40 percent tax on high-cost insurance plans<br />
(valued over $8,500 per individual and $23,000 per family).<br />
A 10 percent tax on indoor tanning services will be<br />
enacted, which is expected to raise $2.7 billion in the first<br />
decade. Also increases Medicare payroll taxes from 1.45<br />
to 2.35 percent on individuals earning $200,000 a year and<br />
couples earning $250,000.<br />
Creates a “firewall” to prevent federal subsidies from going<br />
toward abortion coverage. In plans covering abortion,<br />
beneficiaries would have to pay for it separately, and those<br />
funds would have to be kept in a separate account from<br />
taxpayer money.<br />
Reduces Medicare spending by approximately $395 billion<br />
over ten years, including cuts to private insurance<br />
plans. In 2010, Medicare beneficiaries will also receive<br />
$500 towards paying for prescription drugs not currently<br />
covered because of cost, falling into the so-called “doughnut<br />
hole.”<br />
Information supplied by the National Public Radio<br />
(http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=120068329)<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
5
Spotlight<br />
Since the fall of the Ottoman Empire, the Arab<br />
states have been a breeding ground for autocracies<br />
and illiberal democracies. With one<br />
or two exceptions in the Middle East, a democracy<br />
resembling those of Western Europe or the United<br />
States has not even been considered by Arab leaders,<br />
in spite of a globalizing international community<br />
that is beginning to reflect its “Americanism.” But<br />
why has the Arab world been so reluctant to adopt<br />
a system of government that can potentially grant<br />
its citizens’ personal freedoms and opportunities for<br />
prosperity? Theorists such as Michael Ross place<br />
blame on the method in which Arab states spend their<br />
oil revenues. Others like Alfred Stepan believe that<br />
the biggest obstacle is not Islam, but rather something<br />
“Arab,” since there are states, such as Indonesia<br />
and Pakistan, that have developed and consolidated<br />
democracies in spite of an overwhelmingly Muslim<br />
population. However, this examination’s focus is on<br />
Iraq, a state recently freed from a tyrannical regime,<br />
which has raised many questions, not only about the<br />
date for U.S. withdrawal but also the date for the consolidation<br />
of a democratic system.<br />
Is democracy even fit for Iraq? At the<br />
moment, the answer is no. Despite the progress its<br />
parliamentary government has made, Iraq still has<br />
many issues to resolve. Although problems such as<br />
guerilla-style insurgency and the established animosity<br />
between ethnic and religious groups still exist but<br />
can be solved, people may forget about the challenges<br />
remaining after the violence has quelled. Democracy<br />
will not be suitable for the developing state if the potential<br />
for disproportional representation continues to<br />
exist, if the issue of “stateness” still thrives, and if<br />
Iraq remains the oil-dependent state that it is. This investigation<br />
will explain why the development of this<br />
democracy can breakdown altogether on account of<br />
these issues.<br />
According to Oxford <strong>University</strong>’s Zhidas<br />
Daskalovski, a “stateness problem” is a complication<br />
in politics and society where groups quarrel over<br />
where a region’s boundaries are drawn, who gets what<br />
resources, and which inhabitants can become citizens.<br />
A wide array of languages, religions, and ethnicities<br />
EPR<br />
DEMOCRACY IN<br />
By: Robert “Bobby” Santos<br />
IRAQ?<br />
6 • EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
can be the cause of this complication. Thus, Iraq<br />
has a stateness problem. To begin with, Iraq is a<br />
multi-ethnic and heterogeneous country consisting<br />
of Arabs, Kurds, and other minority groups<br />
who aim to conquer one another for the control<br />
of resources and power. Northwestern <strong>University</strong>’s<br />
Edward Gibson claims that even when<br />
Iraq is rid of all violence, the consolidation of<br />
democracy would still be in jeopardy because of<br />
the renewal of constituents’ hostile attitudes towards<br />
one another. The reason being is that the<br />
government has to decide who is a citizen and<br />
who is an outsider to Iraq. Although the obvious<br />
answer would be to just make everyone living<br />
within the borders a naturalized citizen, in reality<br />
it is not that simple. While Iraq is known to<br />
be an Arab-dominated state, the Kurds struggle<br />
to be a small, but crucial minority. The two<br />
groups have engaged in not only a psychological<br />
and cultural war, but also in a war over competition<br />
for water, fertile land (Iraq is 50-60%<br />
desert), and oil. So what would happen when<br />
their parliament is seated by a huge majority of<br />
Pan-Arabic nationalists or pro-Kurdish policymakers?<br />
Clearly, the politicians in Baghdad will<br />
do what they can to support their own ethnic or<br />
religious groups, however, what will become of<br />
those groups that are not represented at all in<br />
government? The democratization is threatened<br />
when civil liberties and representation are not<br />
granted to some of the state’s inhabitants.<br />
Iraq also has a Shiite Islamic majority<br />
that thrives on the idea of transforming the state<br />
in order to resemble an Iranian theocracy. Even<br />
after Saddam Hussein’s execution, many Shiite<br />
extremist groups continue to resort to violent<br />
measures in retaliation for their religious oppression<br />
under Hussein’s regime. Furthermore,<br />
these measures are caused by numerous factors,<br />
such as the fear of being subjected to a Sunnidominated<br />
government, the embracement of<br />
secularism, or the idea that democratizing-Iraq<br />
is a puppet of an American and imperialistic foreign<br />
policy. It is important that these extremist<br />
groups receive a voice in government. Doing so<br />
can be the solution to the violence presently being<br />
encountered.<br />
Iraq also has an oil problem. As mentioned<br />
earlier, UCLA professor and political scientist<br />
Michael Ross claims in “Does Oil Hinder<br />
Democracy?” that oil has been sustaining the<br />
existence of authoritarian regimes. Even when a<br />
democratic system is being experimented with,<br />
Iraqi officials are responsible for re-distributing<br />
these massive oil revenues not only to the development<br />
of the state, but also to the micro-development<br />
of the people. With all of the corruption<br />
discovered in almost all bureaucratic levels<br />
of government, responsible redistribution will<br />
continue to be an ongoing challenge. The global<br />
demand for oil causes the Iraqi government<br />
to lease out its petroleum-rich land to foreign<br />
companies in exchange for massive revenues.<br />
However, because the government depends on<br />
only these revenues and not the tax revenues of<br />
its citizens, it chooses to remain independent<br />
of that sovereign authority citizens have over<br />
their democratic governments. Therefore, without<br />
any taxes for citizens to pay, there are no<br />
means of obtaining representation or accountability<br />
from the higher authorities. Furthermore,<br />
a government without any responsibilities to the<br />
people is free to subjugate any social or political<br />
movements that call for a change from the<br />
status quo. Policymakers can also choose not to<br />
acknowledge a minority or majority’s need for<br />
representation without any penalty of law. For<br />
the sake of democracy’s consolidation, the Iraqi<br />
government must find new ways to obtain revenues<br />
and new ways to spend those revenues instead<br />
of relying on an unstable commodity, like<br />
oil.<br />
An established democracy in Iraq is<br />
not going to be possible under current conditions.<br />
The apparent ethnic and religious schisms<br />
in its society are what drive the corruption, repression,<br />
and exploitation levels beyond control.<br />
The constant acts of violence must be put to end<br />
before the government can responsibly spend<br />
for the betterment of its citizens rather than on<br />
its defense budget. It is also time to diversify<br />
Iraq’s income with not only oil, but also with tax<br />
revenues and the capital gained from exports.<br />
When the government re-distributes the wealth<br />
to the people, both the government and citizens<br />
will also develop. Once Iraqi society modernizes,<br />
the middle-classes can also begin demanding<br />
accountability and representation. Despite<br />
their long history of clashing, ethno-religious<br />
groups must share the valuable resources impartially<br />
divided by the government in order to rid<br />
themselves of the stateness problem. One way<br />
to do this is to establish an equality in the political<br />
arena where diverse groups can compromise<br />
with each other over what would be proportionally<br />
fair due to the scarcity of resources and the<br />
irregular ratios of one ethnic/religious group to<br />
another. If all ends well here, then perhaps in<br />
the near future other Arab states can follow by<br />
example. EPR<br />
Robert “Bobby” Santos is a junior in<br />
the College and majoring in Political<br />
Science
Nation<br />
EPR<br />
Should<br />
We End<br />
the Fed?<br />
By: Ted Keast<br />
When the American economy collapsed<br />
at the end of 2008, many<br />
experts, as well as then-President<br />
George W. Bush, blamed Wall Street for its<br />
greed, claiming that they “got drunk” with power.<br />
In response, economist and current Senate<br />
candidate Peter Schiff was quoted, “Of course<br />
they got drunk. Wall Street got drunk, Main<br />
Street got drunk, the whole country was drunk.<br />
But who gave them the alcohol?” Schiff, who<br />
is vying for a Republican nomination to oppose<br />
Senator Chris Dodd in Connecticut, is one of the<br />
leaders of the End the Fed Movement, a growing<br />
protest of the Federal Reserve’s involvement<br />
in the United States economy. The answer to his<br />
question of who encouraged corporations to<br />
hedge risky bets and individuals to overextend<br />
themselves, is the U.S. Federal Reserve. But<br />
what causes Schiff and many others to question<br />
the Federal Reserve’s policies? After all,<br />
the media, as well as the current administration,<br />
claimed that corporate greed coupled with<br />
bad economic policies of the Bush era were<br />
primary causes for the depression, while Ben<br />
Bernanke’s, Chairman of the Federal Reserve<br />
System, and the Federal Reserve’s roles in the<br />
crisis went relatively unquestioned. Bernanke<br />
was reappointed by President Barack Obama<br />
to continue the policies that were partly responsible<br />
for the nation’s economic crisis.<br />
So, what was it about Bernanke’s policies<br />
that were so detrimental to the U.S. economy?<br />
And if they were so detrimental, why was<br />
he rewarded with Obama’s reappointment? Part<br />
of the role of the Fed is to influence the United<br />
State’s monetary and credit policies by controlling<br />
interest rates. This is done by either selling<br />
U.S. securities to decrease the money supply,<br />
or by buying them to increase it. Before the financial<br />
crisis, the Allen Greenspan-led Federal<br />
Reserve had been encouraging credit spending<br />
by keeping U.S. interest rates artificially low for<br />
years. This encouraged borrowing rather than<br />
saving, creating a credit economy that does not<br />
encourage real growth. Only a small number<br />
of politicians and economists have acknowledged<br />
the Federal Reserve’s role in creating<br />
credit bubbles. This included the housing market<br />
bubble which, when it burst in 2008, helped<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
to cause the already troubled economy to spiral<br />
downward.<br />
The artificially low interest rates<br />
encouraged the private sector to take risky investments,<br />
and the same people who set those<br />
interest rates are currently in charge of restoring<br />
our economy. The remedy to our economic<br />
problems that Bernanke has given is to keep the<br />
low interest rates. Obama has also echoed the<br />
idea that the key to restoring our economy lies in<br />
restoring the credit system in the United States.<br />
However, if the United States’ interest rates remain<br />
close to zero, the Federal Reserve’s target,<br />
we run into the same problems that caused<br />
the recession in the first place: a system that is<br />
based too much on credit wealth rather than actual<br />
wealth. Low interest rates and Bernanke’s<br />
policies actually encourage reckless spending<br />
and bubble growth, rather than meaningful economic<br />
growth through saving.<br />
If the Federal Reserve’s actions are so<br />
harmful, why does the United States keep such<br />
a system? And if Bernanke and Greenspan’s<br />
policies have adversely affected the economy,<br />
why did they hold their jobs for so long? Part<br />
of the reason lies in the longevity of the Federal<br />
Reserve. Established in 1913 to prevent bank<br />
runs, the Federal Reserve is more or less universally<br />
accepted as the national bank of the United<br />
States. Economists are accustomed to the system,<br />
and its policies are rarely questioned. To<br />
question its establishment or its policies after<br />
nearly one hundred years would be similar to<br />
questioning the Supreme Court or the Congress—only<br />
the Federal Reserve is not a branch<br />
of government. Another reason that Bernanke<br />
has been one of the staff members in Washington<br />
who lasted through the Bush administration<br />
is because the Federal Reserve’s policies are<br />
popular. Because it is not politically acceptable<br />
for interest rates to go sky high, which would<br />
certainly occur if the free market would determine<br />
interest rates in a country where saving<br />
money is discouraged, it is not advisable for<br />
the Federal Reserve to change policies. There<br />
are few politicians who want to encourage the<br />
American people to spend less, which is what<br />
would be most advantageous for the economy.<br />
The original intent of the Federal Reserve was<br />
to make it a non-politicized institution. The<br />
president’s right to appoint the chairman was<br />
designed to keep the Federal Reserve free from<br />
the political process. However, the reappointment<br />
of Ben Bernanke by Obama, even after<br />
his failed policies during the Bush era, shows<br />
that the Federal Reserve has in fact become<br />
politicized. Because Bernanke came out of the<br />
crisis relatively blame-free, and even praised by<br />
some economists, it was a politically safe move<br />
to keep him as chairman. Obama would rather<br />
keep Bernanke as chairman than put himself under<br />
scrutiny for appointing a new chairman.<br />
Finally, what should be the solution to<br />
the problems of the Federal Reserve? If the free<br />
market is allowed to wholly determine interest<br />
rates, economic growth in the United States will<br />
be stifled. However, under the status quo, the<br />
Federal Reserve is encouraging more economic<br />
bubbles that will eventually pop, and the country<br />
will be doomed to face recessions in the future<br />
that could be potentially worse than the current<br />
crisis. So, is it time to “End the Fed,” as many<br />
people are starting to say? Probably not. Many<br />
of the consequences of such an action would be<br />
too uncertain. However, the United States faces<br />
the need to call into question the policies of an<br />
economic interventionist institution that has become<br />
too politicized, and whose policies aided<br />
in causing the current recession. EPR<br />
Ted Keast is a junior and majoring in<br />
Finance at the Business School.<br />
7
Nation<br />
One of the most controversial parts of<br />
the global arms control agenda has<br />
been the Comprehensive Nuclear Test<br />
Ban Treaty (CTBT), an international agreement<br />
that prohibits nuclear explosion tests. More than<br />
a decade after the United States Senate failed to<br />
approve the treaty, the growing perils of modernizing<br />
arsenals and the spread of nuclear materials<br />
to state and non-state actors has increased<br />
radically. The CTBT is a valuable tool in the<br />
global non-proliferation strategy because without<br />
testing nuclear weapons, states would have<br />
no confidence in the success of the weapons<br />
they were developing, slowing down or even<br />
halting the horizontal and vertical spread of<br />
nuclear weapons. However, despite adoption by<br />
the United Nations General Assembly in 1996,<br />
resistance from previously neutral states on this<br />
topic has prevented the test ban from entering<br />
into force.<br />
Although approximately 150 states<br />
have ratified the treaty, several nations referred<br />
to as “key hold-out states,” whose ratification<br />
is deemed as the last obstacle to treaty’s global<br />
adoption, have refrained from jumping on board<br />
the global non-testing regime. These nations are<br />
the United States, China, Indonesia, Iran, North<br />
Korea, India, Pakistan, Israel, and Egypt. While<br />
United States’ ratification would not directly<br />
cause the treaty system to immediately go into<br />
effect (known as “entry into force”), its ratification<br />
would lead to a domino effect in the international<br />
community, creating pressure to get the<br />
remaining hold-out states to ratify it. Indonesia,<br />
EPR<br />
The Future of Global Non-Proliferation<br />
By: Marta Chlistunoff and<br />
Elena R. Kuenzel<br />
for example, has publicly declared that it will<br />
ratify the treaty as soon as the U.S. does. In the<br />
case of China, many believe that security concerns<br />
over nuclear parity with the United States<br />
prevent China’s ratification. However, if the<br />
U.S. decides to ratify, it could represent a concrete<br />
commitment to non-testing, which could<br />
give China confidence that their own ratification<br />
would not put them at any sort of geopolitical<br />
disadvantage. Similarly, U.S. ratification could<br />
put strong pressure on India, Iran, North Korea<br />
and the others to sign.<br />
Luckily, even if entry into force<br />
doesn’t occur in the short term, U.S. ratification<br />
would still yield substantial benefits. While<br />
Obama’s speeches on security are full of resolve<br />
for stopping the proliferation of weapons of<br />
mass destruction, it is impossible to solve proliferation<br />
without cooperation from the international<br />
community. Without ratifying the test ban,<br />
this cooperation will be difficult to achieve. The<br />
2005 Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT)<br />
Review Conference established thirteen steps<br />
that the international community could take<br />
to bolster the NPT. First and foremost among<br />
these was the entry into force of the CTBT. Recent<br />
statements by sixteen non-nuclear weapon<br />
states that will be taking part in the 2010 Review<br />
Conference reflect that this first step is still<br />
a relevant concern in assuring these non-nuclear<br />
nations that the nuclear weapon states will limit<br />
the expansion of their nuclear arsenals. In fact,<br />
Obama’s overall non-proliferation promises<br />
look hollow and hypocritical to the rest of the<br />
world in light of not also ratifying the CTBT.<br />
The U.S. is essentially asking other nations to<br />
not build up and instead relinquish their nuclear<br />
arsenals, while the U.S. actively retains the legal<br />
right to test and improve its nuclear stockpile<br />
if need be. This nuclear hypocrisy shatters<br />
global non-proliferation cooperation since the<br />
U.S. is not seen as a credible partner. It prevents<br />
countries from working with the United States<br />
on important actions like ramping up sanctions<br />
against Iran or North Korea or working to reshape<br />
the nuclear fuel cycle by strengthening<br />
safeguards of the International Atomic Energy<br />
Agency.<br />
Another equally important benefit<br />
is the effect that U.S. ratification of the CTBT<br />
would have on the International Monitoring<br />
System (IMS). Absent entry into force, ratification<br />
of the test ban would ensure an increase in<br />
funding the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty Organization,<br />
which uses its funding to sustain and<br />
expand mechanisms that monitor seismic activity<br />
and detect nuclear testing. The benefit of this<br />
is two-fold. First, due to its supreme monitoring<br />
8 • EPR Winter 09-10 •
capabilities which allow for differentiation between<br />
the seismic activity observed during an<br />
earthquake and the activity felt during a nuclear<br />
explosion test, the system allows CTBT signatories<br />
to effectively verify compliance with the<br />
tenets of the treaty and take counter-measures<br />
against nations who try to proliferate. Second,<br />
the increase in support and funding for the IMS<br />
would also facilitate the early detection of natural<br />
disasters. Scientists involved in the development<br />
of IMS have indicated that due to the<br />
high level of sensitivity enjoyed by the system,<br />
seismic activity created by an imminent natural<br />
disaster, such as a tsunami or a volcanic eruption,<br />
could easily be identified and action could<br />
be taken much more quickly to evacuate the area<br />
and limit the monumental amount of life that<br />
could be lost. Such developments become readily<br />
important in the face of intensifying weather<br />
fluctuations and the increased incidence of large<br />
tropical storms that have been experienced in<br />
recent years.<br />
Despite all of these benefits to U.S.<br />
ratification of the CTBT, significant domestic<br />
political obstacles remain. During the first attempt<br />
to achieve U.S. ratification in 1992, the<br />
treaty received substantial opposition from<br />
members of Congress who resisted the treaty<br />
due to their suspicions that it did not have sufficient<br />
and credible verification mechanisms.<br />
Over the past seventeen years, some of the concerns<br />
about the implementation of the treaty’s<br />
standards have been alleviated as the IMS has<br />
been strengthened, and new technology for<br />
monitoring has been developed. Unfortunately,<br />
in spite of these advancements, a substantial<br />
number of lawmakers still maintain a united<br />
front against this non-proliferation measure because<br />
of ideological reasons.<br />
Congressional focus on maintaining a<br />
credible deterrent via nuclear modernization is<br />
bolstered by retaining the right to legally test.<br />
This attitude has subsisted even though a moratorium<br />
on nuclear testing has been in place for<br />
over a decade. Regrettably for United States’<br />
non-proliferation goals, this moratorium is not<br />
legally binding in the same way that CTBT<br />
ratification would be and does not preclude the<br />
ability to test without adverse reactions from<br />
the international community. Nevertheless it appears<br />
likely that if the CTBT comes up for vote<br />
in the Senate in 2009, opposition may remain as<br />
strong as it was in the 1992. In order to create<br />
momentum for passage, Obama and Secretary<br />
of State Hillary Clinton have indicated that they<br />
plan to delay introduction until after the Nuclear<br />
Posture Review, which is to be held within the<br />
next year. They hope that this will result in further<br />
support of Obama’s non-proliferation initiatives,<br />
including the CTBT. EPR<br />
Freshman Marta Chlistunoff is an International<br />
Studies and Chemistry double<br />
major. Elena R. Kuenzel is a freshman<br />
and double majoring in International and<br />
Women’s Studies major<br />
EPR<br />
The Scope of Executive<br />
By: Stephanie J. Bennett<br />
When the executive branch uses national<br />
security threats as an excuse<br />
to impose unilateral action, how<br />
much power should the president really have?<br />
From President Ronald Reagan’s 1983 invasion<br />
of Grenada to President George H. W. Bush’s<br />
deployment of troops to Panama in 1989, the<br />
scope of the executive branch’s power has<br />
grown far beyond what the framers of the<br />
Constitution intended. Even before Abraham<br />
Lincoln’s blockade of federal ports, presidents<br />
have sought to increase their power, especially<br />
in regard to the commitment of troops and the<br />
imposition of unilateral action. The U.S. Constitution<br />
provides for a separation of powers<br />
between branches, and shared influence over<br />
foreign and domestic actions. Presidents have<br />
used numerous reasons to justify bypassing<br />
the legislative branch. Whether those reasons<br />
are valid or<br />
detrimental<br />
to the wellbeing<br />
of the<br />
A m e r i c a n<br />
people remains<br />
in<br />
q u e s t i o n .<br />
During times<br />
of perceived<br />
threats to the<br />
security of<br />
the United<br />
States, many<br />
p r e s i d e n t s<br />
have used<br />
their title of<br />
Commander<br />
in Chief of the Army and Navy to deliberately<br />
further their pursuit for power. Presidents<br />
have maintained over time that they are able<br />
to act quickly and efficiently during a national<br />
security emergency. Executive orders<br />
allow decisions to fall into the hands of one<br />
man, instead of the 435 men and women of<br />
Congress. Additionally, the executive branch<br />
typically acts swiftly, a trait Congress often<br />
fails to possess due to legislative obstacles,<br />
such as the review of legislation by committees<br />
and voting in both the House of Representatives<br />
and the Senate. The president’s<br />
ability to act quickly lends itself to possible,<br />
and likely, violations of the War Powers Resolution.<br />
Especially during the responses to perceived<br />
national security threats, the President<br />
may violate the War Powers Resolution or, in<br />
some cases, precipitate the wrath of Congress.<br />
The War Powers Resolution requires<br />
that “the president in every possible instance<br />
shall consult with Congress before introducing<br />
United States Armed Forces into hostilities<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
POWER<br />
or into situations where imminent involvement<br />
in hostilities is clearly indicated by the circumstances”<br />
(§ 1542). It also requires reporting and<br />
consultation by the president to Congress. Especially<br />
in a time when national security threats<br />
prevail on the minds of U.S. citizens, it is vital<br />
that the president and Congress work together for<br />
the benefit and protection of the United States.<br />
Recently, Presidents have violated the<br />
War Powers Resolution in numerous ways. President<br />
Bill Clinton launched a missile attack in<br />
1993 against the Iraq Intelligence Headquarters<br />
without the consent of Congress. Additionally,<br />
some have argued that President George W. Bush<br />
violated the War Powers Resolution by using the<br />
assumption that Iraq contained weapons of mass<br />
destruction as a reason to invade, even when that<br />
postulation was later determined to be incorrect.<br />
The framers intended for the Constitution<br />
to<br />
separate the<br />
legislative,<br />
judicial, and<br />
e x e c u t i v e<br />
b r a n c h e s .<br />
When the<br />
p r e s i d e n t<br />
o v e r s t e p s<br />
his inherent<br />
powers and<br />
challenges<br />
the Constitution,<br />
he<br />
risks other<br />
b r a n c h e s<br />
ex c e e d i n g<br />
their boundaries<br />
as well. If branches become concerned<br />
with gaining and consolidating power, they may<br />
disregard the well-being of the American people.<br />
While it is true that the president is more<br />
efficient in dealing with a national security<br />
emergency than Congress, where should we,<br />
as American citizens, draw the line of executive<br />
privilege? The Constitution does not offer<br />
much help in this matter, especially considering<br />
its ambiguities, and the courts have been reluctant<br />
to intervene in struggles of power between<br />
the president and Congress, often holding that<br />
the issues raised are political, and not judicial<br />
in nature. Citizens of the United States must<br />
decide when the president has gone too far and<br />
transformed our democracy into a dictatorship.<br />
We, as citizens, have the ability, through voting<br />
and demanding action by our legislators, as<br />
well as judicial means, to ensure the sanctity of<br />
legislation and the United States Constitution.<br />
Senior Stephanie Bennett is a double<br />
major in International Studies and<br />
English.<br />
EPR<br />
9
Cover Story<br />
EPR<br />
U.S. Hegemony<br />
Challenged?<br />
Point/Counterpoint<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •
U.S. Hegemony is<br />
Sustainable<br />
By: Anuj Panday<br />
EPR<br />
Has the American Era ended? Intellectual<br />
commentators, government officials,<br />
and the media elite seem to think so.<br />
Frightening prophecies pervade the headlines.<br />
Last year, a New York Times Magazine cover<br />
story, titled “Waving Goodbye to U.S. Hegemony,”<br />
argued that the United States’ “standing<br />
in the world remains in steady decline.”<br />
Roger Altman, a former deputy secretary of the<br />
Treasury, has written that the financial crisis<br />
“has inflicted profound damage on...[the United<br />
States’] standing in the world.” This recent<br />
scare is characterized by stories of the “rise of<br />
the rest” that focuses on the diffusion of economic<br />
power outside of the U.S. to rising powers,<br />
such as China and India. This argument,<br />
however, overestimates the degree to which<br />
this is happening and overlooks the enormous<br />
inequality of power between the U.S. and others.<br />
With a leading position in all indicators of<br />
power, the United States will remain the world’s<br />
lone superpower for a long time to come.<br />
Declinism, a recently developed term<br />
for this phenomenon, is not new. Proponents<br />
of this theory have been vocal since the U.S.<br />
inherited its coveted status in the post-World<br />
War II era. In the 1950s, Sputnik spurred the<br />
collapse myths. In the 60s, it was the “missile<br />
gap.” The 70s saw unprecedented challenges:<br />
oil shocks, failure in Vietnam, deep recessions,<br />
and victories by Soviet-endorsed regimes in<br />
Africa, Asia, and Latin America. The 80s saw<br />
rapid growth in the Japanese economy along<br />
with what historian Paul Kennedy called “imperial<br />
overstretch,” where the economic burdens<br />
and security interests of an expanding empire<br />
eventually outstrip its capacity to manage those<br />
burdens or defend its interests. Each of these<br />
scares was well-founded and potentially indicated<br />
the coming of real change in the power<br />
distribution. At the end of each period, however,<br />
the United States emerged in a position with its<br />
power even further entrenched. According to<br />
Dartmouth Professor Wohlforth, “It is impossible<br />
to know for sure whether or not the scare<br />
is for real this time — shifts in the distribution<br />
of power are notoriously hard to forecast.”<br />
The problem lies in the confusion of<br />
what constitutes leadership. Defining power as<br />
the ability to resolve any global dilemma guarantees<br />
frequent alarmism. The more powerful<br />
the United States becomes, the greater the<br />
number of problems in the international arena<br />
it is expected to solve. The result is a perpetually<br />
elevating standard for what it takes to be<br />
the dominant power. It must be understood that<br />
no empire is impervious to errors. The United<br />
States failed in Vietnam and failed to overthrow<br />
Fidel Castro, yet seems to have maintained its<br />
leadership status in spite of those failures. Britain<br />
at the height of its power could not stop<br />
the loss of the American colonies. Alexander<br />
the Great failed in Afghanistan, but created a<br />
massive empire nonetheless. Failure in Iraq or<br />
Afghanistan does not forecast complete doom.<br />
What makes the odds even better<br />
for the United States than any previous power<br />
is that all the fundamental aspects of national<br />
power are concentrated in the United States to a<br />
degree never before experienced in history. The<br />
U.S. spends close to four percent of its gross<br />
domestic product (GDP) on the military and<br />
“Our power,<br />
shaped in part<br />
by our adaptability,<br />
will<br />
allow us to<br />
weather the<br />
crisis better<br />
than other nations.”<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
accounts for 47 percent of the world’s military<br />
spending. The U.S. has invested large sums in<br />
institutional capital, technological capacity, and<br />
military research and development, all of which<br />
give us great qualitative and quantitative edges<br />
in military superiority. The U.S. will remain the<br />
only nation that can project its military power<br />
in any area of the world due to its uncontested<br />
supremacy on land, sea, and in air. Previously,<br />
no other country has had such unchallenged<br />
dominance of these areas. Established military<br />
presence in all regions of the globe cements<br />
U.S. influence everywhere — it allows for responsiveness<br />
and elasticity to deal with multiple<br />
contingencies simultaneously. It is this military<br />
supremacy, combined with an extraordinary<br />
economic capacity that gives the United States<br />
its unique advantage. Over time, the U.S. has<br />
achieved an ever-increasing amount of economic<br />
power with arguably more natural resources,<br />
developed industry and infrastructure, and intellectual<br />
capital than any other nation. These<br />
capabilities create extraordinary flexibility and<br />
large, untapped pools of power. In the instance<br />
of a peer competitor, the U.S. can increase its<br />
capabilities by devoting more resources to<br />
military primacy. Despite all the talk about the<br />
current economic crisis eroding our economic<br />
power, in 2008 our share of the world product,<br />
as documented by the International Monetary<br />
Fund (IMF), was 27 percent. In that year, the<br />
United States had a quarter of the world’s economic<br />
power and the world’s most competitive<br />
industries. Our power, shaped in part by our<br />
adaptability, will allow us to weather the crisis<br />
better than other nations. China and Russia have<br />
experienced worse economic slowdowns than<br />
the U.S., and leaders such as Gordon Brown<br />
and Angela Merkel are looking to the United<br />
States for more guidance through the recession.<br />
Declinists, proponents of the declinism<br />
theory, also point to the increasing deficit<br />
and the decline of the dollar. Neither is much<br />
of a problem for the United States. The dollar<br />
will remain the world’s reserve currency and<br />
we will serve as the lender of last resort for a<br />
long time to come. The federal budget deficit is<br />
fixable: increasing taxes and controlling costs<br />
can put the budget back on track. Increased<br />
spending during the Great Depression helped<br />
to solve the financial crisis of that time and<br />
prepared the U.S. for World War II, in a time<br />
when budget deficits were a larger percent of<br />
the GDP than now. The deficit lies partially<br />
outside of the United States’ control. China<br />
and Japan hold a large portion of the debt and<br />
are dependent on exports to the United States.<br />
They must continue purchasing dollars to ensure<br />
their currencies are weak against it, thereby<br />
maintaining competitive export potential.<br />
Indeed, globalization strengthens, not<br />
weakens, U.S. power. American universities<br />
attract the best minds from all over the world,<br />
creating the foundation for an innovative and<br />
adaptive society. We have remained the head<br />
of the world’s most popular political philosophy,<br />
democracy, which is widely viewed as<br />
the most legitimate form of leadership. Even<br />
powerful autocratic nations must at least pay<br />
lip service to democratic ideals such as voting<br />
and human rights. We also remain at the center<br />
of the world’s institutional system. The United<br />
States plays central roles in many world organizations,<br />
such as the World Trade Organization<br />
(WTO), the United Nations (UN), and the<br />
North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO).<br />
As extensions of American ideology and values,<br />
they serve to enhance and channel U.S.<br />
authority. For example, the WTO has dispute<br />
mechanisms for facilitating free trade, which<br />
is consistent with American ideals and is the<br />
cornerstone for American economic growth.<br />
No other empire in history has had the advantages<br />
that multilateral institutions provide.<br />
Institutions also legitimize U.S.<br />
leadership. These mechanisms for global gov-<br />
11
EPR<br />
ernance create a benign face for U.S. power<br />
because others believe in the United States’<br />
commitment to common rules and norms.<br />
Even President George W. Bush’s aggressive<br />
unilateralism did not permanently damage the<br />
U.S. image. President Barack Obama offers<br />
a fresh start and can help redefine America’s<br />
reputation and show the world that we have<br />
renounced Bush’s exceptionalism. Robert Kagan,<br />
senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment<br />
for International Peace, has repeatedly argued<br />
that the rise of great power autocracies pushes<br />
strong democracies back in the direction of<br />
the United States. Allies are pursuing policies<br />
that reflect great concern about Russia’s and<br />
China’s increasing influence. Strengthened alliances<br />
allow the United States to rely on allies,<br />
economize forces, and share burdens.<br />
There is no one country that can take<br />
the place of the United States. Although there<br />
is much buzz about the so-called BRIC (Brazil,<br />
Russia, India, China) nations growing in development<br />
and power, no one has the economic or<br />
technological capabilities to replace the United<br />
States. Looming on the horizon is the rapidly<br />
growing eastern powerhouse: China. Its economy<br />
is growing, inequality is decreasing, it holds<br />
a large chunk of U.S. debt, and it is modernizing<br />
its military rapidly. China is predicted to<br />
become a peer competitor to the United States<br />
in terms of economic leverage by 2020. If these<br />
predictions hold true, China is likely to have<br />
half the world product of the United States, as<br />
calculated by American political scientists. The<br />
problem here is that economic trends are an ineffective<br />
way to predict power transitions. Japan<br />
was projected to outstrip U.S. economic production<br />
given projections in 1989, but it is now<br />
only just recovering from its economic downturn<br />
in the early 1990s. In fact, between 2007<br />
and 2009, Chinese economic growth has halved<br />
from 12 percent to 6 percent, proving that its<br />
incredible growth is dependent on foreign<br />
economies. Benjamin Joffe, a noted consultant<br />
in China, declares, “China is a place where<br />
the rest of the world essentially rents workers<br />
and workspace at deflated prices and distorted<br />
exchange rates. The Chinese economy is extremely<br />
dependent on exports — they amount<br />
to two-fifths of China’s GDP — and hence vulnerable<br />
to global economic downturns.” China<br />
is still plagued by massive amounts of poverty,<br />
fractured infrastructure, domestic upheavals,<br />
pollution, disease problems, and an aging population<br />
that can significantly alter the trajectory<br />
of economic growth rates. These problems will<br />
put new pressures on government spending<br />
and will create new social upheavals. Costly<br />
fixes will restrict spending on the military and<br />
constrain modernization efforts. India faces<br />
similar problems along with massive corruption,<br />
colossal linguistic barriers and tremendous<br />
ethnic fragmentation. Russia appears to be fading<br />
into irrelevance. Its nuclear stockpile is antiquated<br />
and its military forces are crumbling.<br />
Its economy relies on oil exports, which makes<br />
it too vulnerable to the unpredictable swings in<br />
global oil prices. Brazil, while no doubt experiencing<br />
significant growth and development,<br />
still lags far behind the United States in military<br />
power, per capita GDP and industrial output.<br />
Indeed, the United States, even if it weakens a<br />
little bit, remains far more powerful than any<br />
other country, therefore ensuring dominance.<br />
The United States will see many more<br />
years at the helm of the international system.<br />
Lots of things can and will go wrong. But no<br />
one failure internationally is enough to topple<br />
the gigantic lead in power that the United States<br />
possesses both militarily and economically. The<br />
demand for U.S. leadership has never been higher;<br />
the United States has pacified any fears of its<br />
potentially threatening stature by exporting a<br />
culture of transparency and benevolence. As the<br />
only country capable of leading such a chaotic<br />
world, the U.S. will remain the sole superpower.<br />
Anuj Panday is a sophomore in the<br />
EPR<br />
College and majoring in International<br />
Studies<br />
12 • EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
U.S. Hegemony is<br />
Unsustainable<br />
By: James Hamraie<br />
The election of President Barack Obama,<br />
the withdrawal of troops from forward<br />
deployment in Iraq, and the mending<br />
of ties with foreign nations that were alienated<br />
during the War on Terror, have helped to create<br />
an atmosphere of optimism for the continued<br />
primacy of the United States as the leading nation<br />
in the international arena. This optimism,<br />
however, is premature. Despite the perceptual<br />
stability of U.S. dominance over the past two<br />
decades, the continuation of its primacy will inevitably<br />
decline.<br />
This claim is neither extreme nor unprecedented.<br />
History is ripe with examples that<br />
show that all great empires collapse. The fall of<br />
Rome, Britain, the Mongols, the Han Dynasty,<br />
and the Byzantine Empire show that changes<br />
in the balance of power are quite frequent. An<br />
analysis of the structure of unipolarity combined<br />
with a focus on recent events shows that a
number of issues in all sectors of power, including<br />
economic, military, and diplomatic sectors,<br />
limit the ability of the United States to prevent<br />
counter-balancing and the weakening of power<br />
projection, eventually causing a shift to a world<br />
where the United States shares the stage with<br />
rising powers.<br />
Economic woes have affected the<br />
ability of the United States to maintain its supremacy.<br />
The recent financial crises, the erosion<br />
of U.S. competitiveness in business and education,<br />
and the declining purchasing power of the<br />
dollar have created domestic turmoil and dented<br />
the leading view of U.S. dominance among international<br />
allies. These factors, coupled with<br />
dependence on foreign oil and energy resources,<br />
are weakening U.S. flexibility and allowing foreign<br />
nations with exploding economies, such as<br />
China and India, to close the gap. For example,<br />
if China’s booming growth continues, then China’s<br />
total GDP would be 2.5 times that of the<br />
United States. A weaker economy has high domestic<br />
dissatisfaction contributing to a greater<br />
urgency to focus on national issues instead of<br />
international affairs. It is essential for the United<br />
States to maintain its flexibility in international<br />
EPR<br />
involvement and conflict resolution because it<br />
lends the impression that the U.S. does not have<br />
its hands tied and that the U.S. military is still<br />
extremely powerful. A strong economy also<br />
lessens the amount of domestic spending on<br />
social services and foundation-level economic<br />
stimulus and allows for greater allocation of resources<br />
into research and development of new<br />
military technologies and upkeep of military<br />
supplies. Both of these factors are essential for<br />
conventional combat readiness and warfare, and<br />
allow the U.S. armed forces to sustain their lead<br />
over other nations.<br />
Diplomatic woes arise from the United<br />
States’ diminished image. Although the War<br />
on Terror initially forged alliances and international<br />
sympathy, the unilateral policy decisions,<br />
human rights abuses, and exceptionalism<br />
that followed transformed the perception of the<br />
United States from a benevolent world power to<br />
an international bully willing to neglect multilateral<br />
solutions in favor of ad-hoc cowboy diplomacy.<br />
The abuses of Abu Ghraib, arguments<br />
over the Kyoto Protocol and global warming,<br />
and the invasion of Iraq are only a few examples<br />
of policies that have spurred heavy disdain and<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
lasting animosity with both allies and hostile<br />
nations. Although Obama’s election has caused<br />
many foreign countries to begin changing their<br />
attitude towards the United States and public<br />
polls have illustrated a stronger approval rating<br />
of the United States, there are still major issues<br />
that need to be settled. The U.S. has failed to<br />
take concrete action on a majority of issues that<br />
the international community has been asking the<br />
United States to follow through on for over a decade.<br />
These include the ratification of the Comprehensive<br />
Test Ban Treaty, the Law of the Sea<br />
Treaty, and the Rome Statute of the International<br />
Criminal Court. Being a world leader requires<br />
more than raw power. Sustaining alliances and<br />
goodwill with other nations is essential. Additionally,<br />
if the United States can convince other<br />
nations to comply with its wishes, it can lower<br />
the costs of shaping the global stage to reflect<br />
its interests. This arrangement, coupled with the<br />
evolving balance of power, can cause other nations<br />
to support the U.S. and oppose its potential<br />
challengers. For instance, the changing security<br />
dynamics in East Asia show that self-interest is<br />
spurring countries to be less willing to oppose<br />
neighbors on important issues or strategic circumstances.<br />
This is due to a fear of losing economic<br />
and trading ties, despite a long history<br />
of cooperation and positive relations with the<br />
United States.<br />
Imperial overstretch, domestic costs<br />
of forward deployment, fighting capability,<br />
and overburdening security and humanitarian<br />
commitments has caused a decline in military<br />
power, the lifeline of U.S. global dominance.<br />
The growing strength of foreign militaries exacerbates<br />
the effect of these problems. The<br />
post-Cold War apex of American power has<br />
begun to erode while other nations with larger<br />
populations are training substantial military<br />
forces with increasingly sophisticated technology.<br />
Recent events illustrate the implication of<br />
these factors on the decline of U.S. power and<br />
the growing strength of potential global rivals.<br />
India and China are economic powerhouses,<br />
whose growth has allowed for greater modernization.<br />
Despite the military edge currently<br />
held by the U.S., domestic sentiment has drifted<br />
away from an overwhelming focus on defense<br />
spending since the invasion of and subsequent<br />
public backlash from Operation Iraqi Freedom.<br />
Additionally, China’s expanding naval forces,<br />
such as the nuclear-armed submarines, are<br />
lessening the effect of U.S. nuclear supremacy<br />
and first-strike leverage. Furthermore, in other<br />
important global regions, Brazil is vying for regional<br />
hegemony, China is building security and<br />
economic ties with African nations, and Russia<br />
is legitimizing interventionist policies with the<br />
invasion of Georgia and fiery rhetoric over national<br />
expansion and national missile defense. EPR<br />
James Hamraie is a sophomore in the<br />
College and majoring in International<br />
Studies.<br />
13
Nation<br />
EPR<br />
America’s Failed War on Drugs<br />
By: David Michaels<br />
It is no secret that the “War on Drugs” in<br />
the United States has been an abysmal failure.<br />
Since its birth during Richard Nixon’s<br />
presidency, and its escalation under the Reagan<br />
administration, the federal government’s crackdown<br />
on narcotics has morphed into a modern<br />
day battle against our own lower class. Liberals<br />
are not the only ones calling out its faults;<br />
instead, observers on both sides of the spectrum<br />
have come to grips with its ineffectiveness.<br />
Conservative minds have admitted that our drug<br />
policy is neither cost-effective nor a deterrent<br />
of abuse, including the late William F. Buckley,<br />
who conceded the merits and inevitability<br />
of legalization of marijuana in a 1996 issue of<br />
National Review.<br />
In May, President Barack Obama’s<br />
Director of National Drug Control Policy, Gil<br />
Kerlikowske, finally became one the first highranking<br />
officials to publicly speak out against<br />
the idea of labeling federal policy as a “War on<br />
Drugs.” His emphasis on rehabilitation rather<br />
than incarceration is an idea that should have<br />
been acknowledged long ago.<br />
While it is a relief to finally hear those<br />
words from the administration, it remains difficult<br />
to be optimistic about real change when the<br />
federal government alone will spend $22 billion<br />
in 2009 to enact the same ineffective policies<br />
as before. That is an absurd amount, especially<br />
given the record budget deficit, and threatens<br />
more important expenditures, such as education.<br />
For all of our spending on the drug war, the<br />
United States still has one of the highest rates<br />
of narcotic consumption in the world for nearly<br />
every illicit drug, according to the United Nations’<br />
World Drug Report in 2009. And of the<br />
$64 billion worth of narcotics sold in the U.S.<br />
in any given year, less that 1 percent of that is<br />
ever seized by the Drug Enforcement Administration.<br />
One of the most visible problems with<br />
our current drug policy is its contribution to the<br />
overcrowding of our prisons. Approximately<br />
one in every 31 U.S. adults is in a community-based<br />
corrections facility that is focused on<br />
rehabilitation, and one out of every 100 is incarcerated<br />
in a county jail or state prison. To give<br />
a better idea of how this measures against other<br />
nations, The United States contains five percent<br />
of the world population but has 25 percent of<br />
the world’s prisoners. That is the highest incarceration<br />
rate in the world. This overcrowding<br />
strains our tax dollars and law enforcement<br />
resources, while additionally increasing prison<br />
violence. But more importantly, it reduces the<br />
effectiveness of our corrections process.<br />
The increase in prison overcrowding<br />
has many causes, but it is certainly correlated to<br />
the drug war. Approximately<br />
20 percent of state prisoners<br />
and over 50 percent of federal<br />
prisoners are incarcerated for<br />
drug charges. Additionally,<br />
those that are prosecuted for<br />
drug offenses are overwhelmingly<br />
involved in drugs at the<br />
less potent end of the spectrum.<br />
In 1998, a whopping 79<br />
percent of all DEA convictions<br />
involved either marijuana or<br />
cocaine.<br />
Given the state of<br />
our corrections system, it is<br />
absurd to waste limited resources<br />
on incarcerating nonviolent<br />
drug offenders. And<br />
in states with “three strikes<br />
laws,” a person with three<br />
felony drug offenses can face<br />
up to life in prison. Not only is<br />
this warranted, but does it really<br />
do anything to fix the drug<br />
problem?<br />
Over-incarceration<br />
creates problems that go beyond<br />
prison overcrowding.<br />
Our eagerness to lock-up drug<br />
offenders leads to an endless<br />
cycle where the judicial system<br />
does nothing to help inner-city<br />
kids who are caught in<br />
drug use and the dealing trade<br />
at an early age. These children<br />
are arrested and processed<br />
through the system at a young<br />
age, and are then released on<br />
the street without an education<br />
or job training, just a criminal<br />
record. Such a system does<br />
nothing to address the issue<br />
that one out of every 15 African-Americans<br />
is incarcerated,<br />
and that 44.8 percent of drug<br />
offenders in state prisons are black.<br />
Our drug policy continues to attack<br />
users and lower-level dealers, but it does nothing<br />
to address the institutional problems in our<br />
corrections process that encourage the drug<br />
trade and incarcerate the same people again and<br />
again. It is illogical to imprison the individual<br />
players in the drug trade without doing anything<br />
to fix the conditions that allow these players to<br />
enter the game in the first place. While Kerlikowske’s<br />
words give hope for a change in attitude,<br />
the Obama administration has yet to put<br />
its money where its mouth is. One campaign<br />
promise that Obama has gone back on is to use<br />
federal funding for a needle exchange program.<br />
The program would drastically reduce the risk<br />
of HIV and AIDS among drug users by allowing<br />
them to exchange used syringes for clean<br />
ones. Despite Obama’s pledge of support for<br />
the program, no funding for it showed up in<br />
his budget proposal. By simplistically viewing<br />
drugs as taboo, the government is abandoning<br />
its own struggling citizens by prioritizing senseless<br />
ethical concerns over the own well-being of<br />
its citizens.<br />
A different approach needs to be<br />
taken. The U.S. needs to actually focus on re-<br />
14 • EPR Winter 09-10 •
habilitating drug users instead of just talking<br />
about change. The first step is in this process<br />
is to decriminalize drug possession. Instead of<br />
wasting money on prosecuting and jailing nonviolent<br />
offenders, they should be sent to rehab<br />
facilities to curb their addiction. This course of<br />
policy was adopted by Portugal in 2001. The<br />
government eliminated all criminal penalties<br />
for individual drug possession, and the results<br />
have been extremely successful. In its first five<br />
years, drug use rates declined significantly, especially<br />
among teenagers. All drug use in seventh<br />
to ninth graders dropped from 14.1 percent<br />
EPR<br />
to 10.6 percent. Overall marijuana use in all<br />
people over the age of 15 is down to 10 percent,<br />
which is the lowest rate in the European<br />
Union and nearly a quarter of what that rate<br />
is in the U.S. Additionally, the HIV infection<br />
rate in Portugal’s drug users has declined by 17<br />
percent. Meanwhile, the number of individuals<br />
that were treated for drug addiction doubled.<br />
Additionally, the U.S. needs to explore<br />
more unconventional treatment methods<br />
that have been proven to work better than our<br />
current rehabilitation methods. A current study<br />
in Great Britain has discovered that one of the<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
best ways to treat heroin addicts is to remove the<br />
drug users from the streets and give them supervised<br />
daily injections in a medical clinic. The<br />
program has drastically reduced illegal heroin<br />
use by 75 percent and eliminated two-thirds of<br />
heroin related crime. This new treatment approach,<br />
which also includes addiction counseling,<br />
is only about one-third of the amount that it<br />
annually costs to place these individuals in jail.<br />
A program such as this could have great success<br />
in America, but it will never develop as long as<br />
we let our fear of reform cloud our judgment.<br />
While it is important to improve<br />
treatment, it is even more essential to focus on<br />
eliminating the black market created by the drug<br />
trade. Just as prohibition in the 1920s led to a<br />
rise in organized crime and mob violence, our<br />
drug policy has created a culture of gangs that<br />
wreak havoc on urban society. As economists<br />
like Milton Friedman have pointed out, the<br />
black market violence results from a simple case<br />
of reducing drug supply to a much lower level<br />
than the demand. The reality is, when taking into<br />
account the gang wars that result from the underground<br />
drug economy, more people die from<br />
the effects of the war on drugs than are actually<br />
dying from drug use itself.<br />
Critics of drug policy reform will<br />
claim that making harmful drugs more widely<br />
available to the public will create more drug<br />
addicts. However, historical precedence shows<br />
that this is not the case. After prohibition, the<br />
amount of alcohol purchases as a percentage of<br />
total national consumption increased for three<br />
years before steadily declining over the next 50<br />
years to nearly half the level it was at when the<br />
18th Amendment was repealed. Whether drugs<br />
are illegal or not, those that want to use drugs<br />
will be able to access them one way or another.<br />
The novelty of their legalization would only be<br />
a short-term effect.<br />
Loosening our drug regulation reduces<br />
black market violence both domestically and<br />
in nations such as Mexico, where cartel violence<br />
has led to thousands of murders and police corruption.<br />
This violence spills across our borders<br />
and into hub cities, such as Atlanta, where drug<br />
traffickers have been tied to increases in murder<br />
and kidnapping cases. Additionally, cutting off<br />
black market drugs reduces funds for the Taliban<br />
and other corrupt groups in Afghanistan, the nation<br />
where over 90 percent of the world’s supply<br />
of heroin comes from.<br />
It is important to note that by decriminalizing<br />
drugs, the government is not advocating<br />
drug use in any way. But the strength of the<br />
black market combined with the factors of overcrowded<br />
prisons and urban decay makes it obvious<br />
that our current stance on drugs has failed.<br />
It is time to wave the white flag on a war that<br />
has ripped apart our own communities, and reform<br />
our drug policy from mindless punishment<br />
to sensible, safe, and effective treatment that is<br />
accessible to everyone. EPR<br />
Sophomore David Michaels is a double<br />
major in Political Science and Journalism.<br />
15
Nation<br />
EPR<br />
The Right to<br />
Bear Arms:<br />
McDonald v. Chicago<br />
By: Andrew Hull<br />
With the monumental decision of D.C.<br />
v. Heller being determined by a 5-4<br />
vote in the U.S. Supreme Court, it<br />
would seem like the guns rights activists have<br />
won their constitutional battle. The District of<br />
Columbia’s gun ban was performed in an area<br />
under the exclusive governance of the federal<br />
government; its overturning indirectly implied<br />
that the federal government is constitutionally<br />
forbidden to abridge an individual’s right to bear<br />
arms.<br />
What about a city like Chicago,<br />
though? The question now facing the Supreme<br />
Court in the case McDonald v. Chicago, concerning<br />
the constitutionality of a handgun ban in<br />
Chicago, is whether or not the Second Amendment<br />
applies to the states. It looks like the proponents<br />
of an individual’s right to bear arms<br />
16 • EPR Winter 09-10 •
have only finished half the race.<br />
Although the Second Amendment as<br />
first drafted does not protect the right<br />
from the states, there can be a constitutional<br />
argument made for the right being<br />
indeed saved from the states. The argument<br />
is known “incorporation” and it<br />
finds its basis in two different parts of<br />
the 14th Amendment: the Privileges or<br />
Immunities Clause (§1, Cl. 2) and the<br />
adjacent Due Process Clause (§1, Cl. 3).<br />
Incorporation, as broadly defined, is the<br />
extension of the rights written in the Bill<br />
of Rights against the states.<br />
It would appear that the<br />
Privileges or Immunities Clause would<br />
be the best basis for this incorporation,<br />
as it says, “No State shall make or enforce<br />
any law which shall abridge the<br />
privileges or immunities of citizens of<br />
the United States.” It seems to imply the<br />
barring of creating a law that abridges<br />
the rights of a citizen as found in the Bill<br />
of Rights. This view is probably given<br />
its best defense by Justice Hugo Black<br />
in his dissenting opinion in Adamson v.<br />
California in which he includes an exhaustive<br />
list of excerpts from congressional<br />
debate during the drafting the<br />
14th Amendment supporting this interpretation.<br />
This robust sounding<br />
clause, however, has been curiously<br />
dormant in constitutional law for most<br />
of the clause’s existence. In 1873, the<br />
Supreme Court dispelled this reading of<br />
§1, Cl. 2. “Slaughterhouse Cases”. Instead,<br />
the Supreme Court has preferred<br />
to use the much more controversial and<br />
legally complex Due Process Clause,<br />
which reads, “…nor shall any State<br />
deprive any person of life, liberty, or<br />
property, without due process of law.”<br />
The phrase “due process” has a long<br />
and complex history stretching back to<br />
the Magna Carta. Without becoming<br />
too bogged down in legal history, it means that<br />
a legal system has to respect certain rights of a<br />
person while prosecuting them for a crime.<br />
The easiest example of due process is<br />
that in order to be convicted of a crime, a person<br />
has to be found guilty by a jury of his or her<br />
peers. The Supreme Court has used this clause<br />
to selectively incorporate the Bill of Rights<br />
against the states. Rather than broadly applying<br />
the Bill of Rights to the states, like the Supreme<br />
Court would have done under the Immunities<br />
Clause, it instead decides each of the individual<br />
rights contained in the first ten amendments on<br />
a case-by-case basis. In order for a right to be<br />
incorporated, the right has to be “implicit in<br />
the concept of ordered liberty,” a “fundamental<br />
right,” according to the Supreme Court’s ruling<br />
in the 1968 case Duncan v. Louisiana. Until this<br />
point, most of the rights in the Bill of Rights<br />
have been considered “fundamental rights”<br />
EPR<br />
and have been applied to states through a long<br />
patchwork of cases. The exception is the Second<br />
Amendment, which is why McDonald v.<br />
Chicago is such an important case.<br />
McDonald v. Chicago is actually one of several<br />
cases that were spawned post-Heller as a test<br />
case for incorporation. Other similar cases include<br />
NRA v. Chicago, Guy Montag Doe v. San<br />
Francisco Housing Authority, Nordyke v. King,<br />
and Maloney v. Rice. What makes McDonald<br />
unique as well as a potentially landmark case<br />
is that it explicitly calls for the overturning of<br />
the Slaughterhouse Cases and the restoration of<br />
the “full meaning” of the Privileges or Immunities<br />
Clause. McDonald’s Petition for Certiorari<br />
states:<br />
More critically, owing to the Fourteenth Amendment’s<br />
plain text, original purpose, and original<br />
public meaning, this Court should also hold the<br />
Second Amendment is incorporated through the<br />
Fourteenth Amendment’s Privileges or Immunities<br />
Clause. Although consensus regarding this<br />
provision’s full meaning will likely remain elusive,<br />
there is now near uniform agreement that<br />
this Court’s decision in The Slaughter-House<br />
Cases, 83 U.S. (16 Wall.) 36 (1873), which all<br />
but eviscerated the Privileges or Immunities<br />
Clause, was wrongly decided. Given the profound<br />
scope of Slaughter-House’s error, and the<br />
confusion it has spawned in Fourteenth Amendment<br />
jurisprudence, overruling Slaughter-House<br />
remains imperative. The unique interplay between<br />
the Second and Fourteenth Amendments<br />
makes this the ideal case in which to do so (17).<br />
Ruling in favor of McDonald, then, could not<br />
only incorporate the Second Amendment to<br />
the states, but also overturn the Slaughterhouse<br />
Cases. This would be a reversal of monumental<br />
proportions because the Privileges and Immunities<br />
Clause could then be used, with one<br />
broad stroke, to incorporate the entirety of the<br />
first eight amendments of the Bill of Rights. The<br />
wish of Black, who championed this totalistic<br />
or “mechanical” incorporation, would finally be<br />
fulfilled. The process of selective incorporation,<br />
which uses rather vague and undemanding criteria,<br />
would become obsolete, as a right would not<br />
have to be considered “fundamental” to qualify<br />
for incorporation. This ramification has resulted<br />
in the support of many liberal legal theorists,<br />
who have interests in other rights aside from<br />
those included in the Second Amendment.<br />
The reevaluation, though perhaps not the rejuvenation<br />
that Black supported, of the Privileges<br />
and Immunities Clause also has the support of<br />
many conservatives, most notably Justice Clarence<br />
Thomas who lamented on the state of the<br />
clause in his dissent in Saenz v. Roe:<br />
“ As The Chief Justice points out, ante at 1, it<br />
comes as quite a surprise that the majority relies<br />
on the Privileges or Immunities Clause at all in<br />
this case. That is because, as I have explained supra,<br />
at 1-2, The Slaughter-House Cases sapped<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
the Clause of any meaning. … Because I believe<br />
that the demise of the Privileges or Immunities<br />
Clause has contributed in no small part to the<br />
current disarray of our Fourteenth Amendment<br />
jurisprudence, I would be open to reevaluating<br />
its meaning in an appropriate case.”<br />
An issue remains, however, if McDonald were<br />
to win his case: the status of the Fourteenth<br />
Amendment’s Due Process clause, the clause<br />
originally used to facilitate incorporation. Both<br />
the Immunities and the Due Process clauses<br />
would then be interpreted to protect the rights<br />
of people against the states, with the Immunities<br />
Clause being far stronger in this case. The Due<br />
Process clause would then seem to be redundant<br />
and utterly useless given the Due Process<br />
clause in the Fifth Amendment, but this may not<br />
be the case. While the Fifth Amendment’s Due<br />
Process clause protects the same abstract right<br />
as the 14th Amendment’s Due Process Clause,<br />
the Fifth Amendment’s meaning would be restricted<br />
when incorporated through the Privileges<br />
and Immunities Clause to protecting only<br />
citizens. This is because the objects protected<br />
in the Immunities Clause are “citizens,” not the<br />
broader noun “persons” that is in both of the<br />
Due Process Clauses. The Fourteenth Amendment’s<br />
Due Process Clause, however, protects<br />
all persons’ due process rights explicitly against<br />
the states. This makes it broader than the Fifth<br />
Amendment’s Due Process Clause as incorporated<br />
through the Immunities Clause.<br />
It then appears that a ruling in favor<br />
of McDonald would accomplish several constitutional<br />
progressions. The Supreme Court<br />
would first, with even the narrowest ruling, finally<br />
incorporate the Second Amendment and<br />
overturn a century and a half of contradicting<br />
case law. At its most ambitious, it would restore<br />
the Privileges and Immunities Clause from the<br />
constitutional gutting it received during the<br />
Slaughterhouse Cases. This would result in the<br />
automatic incorporation of not only the Second<br />
Amendment, but also all other rights that have<br />
not yet been formally incorporated: The right<br />
to petition for redress of grievances in the First<br />
Amendment, the right to indictment by a grand<br />
jury in the Fifth Amendment, the protection<br />
against excessive bails and fines in the Eighth<br />
Amendment, and the entirety of the Third and<br />
Seventh Amendments. McDonald v. Chicago<br />
is a case that, while at first glance is simply<br />
the next constitutional step after the individual<br />
rights reading of the Second Amendment in<br />
D.C. v. Heller. However, it could also be something<br />
of a new beginning in the Supreme Court’s<br />
jurisprudence. Black’s vision for the Privileges<br />
and Immunities clause, more than 60 years in<br />
the making, may finally be realized through Mc-<br />
Donald v. Chicago. EPR<br />
Andrew Hull is a sophomore in the College<br />
and a double major in Philosophy<br />
and Classical Civilization<br />
17
Foreign affairs<br />
EPR<br />
The Impact of<br />
War and Terror<br />
on Pakistan<br />
By: Mishal M. Ali<br />
Situated between Afghanistan, a country<br />
torn apart by war, and India, a longtime<br />
enemy allied with the United States, Pakistan<br />
has been an enigmatic actor in South Asian<br />
politics over the last decade. Since the U.S.<br />
invasion of Afghanistan in 2001, Pakistan has<br />
been scrutinized by the international community,<br />
which has offered both praise and admonishment<br />
for its role in the conflict. This article<br />
looks at the impact of the war on Pakistan’s civil<br />
society by exploring public attitudes towards the<br />
United States and Islamic extremism.<br />
The Beginning<br />
Pakistan has been a volatile actor<br />
in South Asia since its founding in 1947. Post<br />
independence, it has seen multiple upheavals<br />
- from dictatorial and military governments to<br />
parliamentary democracy and everything in between.<br />
In Pakistan, political power is divided<br />
into three main sectors. The first sector is the<br />
civilian government, led by Asif Ali Zardari<br />
since September of 2008. The second sector is<br />
the military, which many argue holds the most<br />
political influence. The third branch of power is<br />
the Pakistani Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI).<br />
The power of the ISI, like the Central Intelligence<br />
Agency in the United States, is hard to<br />
measure due to its secrecy.<br />
The inability of Western governments<br />
to understand Pakistani politics is a reflection<br />
of the complexity of Pakistani society. On one<br />
hand, Pakistan has never been able to become a<br />
major economic player in the region in the way<br />
India has. On the other hand, it has been noticed<br />
for obtaining nuclear weapons. Many Pakistani<br />
people are willing to support the United States<br />
in exchange for economic and strategic aid, but<br />
Pakistanis have not forgotten that the U.S. lent<br />
support to the Mujahedeen during the Afghan-<br />
Soviet War. In the eyes of many Pakistanis, the<br />
United States has had a longtime unwelcome<br />
hand in their country’s politics by supporting repressive<br />
governments, such as that of Muhammad<br />
Zia-Ul-Haq, and in attempting to affect<br />
election outcomes in other cases.<br />
Prior to 9/11, the main political problem<br />
that Pakistan faced was the dispute with<br />
India over control of Kashmir, a territory that<br />
spans the northern borders of both countries, as<br />
well as southern China. The international border<br />
between India and Pakistan in this region<br />
has been disputed since the partition of India<br />
and Pakistan in 1947. Before 9/11, Pakistan’s<br />
ISI was also accused of supporting the Taliban<br />
in Afghanistan—an accusation that gained enormous<br />
political significance for the country in response<br />
to the 9/11 terrorist attacks.<br />
The Response to 9/11 and the War on Terror<br />
After 9/11, Pakistani President Musharraf<br />
reluctantly aligned himself with the United<br />
States, pledging that he would cooperate with<br />
U.S. efforts to eradicate the Taliban. Many communities<br />
were incensed by the government’s<br />
stance. The Pashtun ethnic community in Pakistan,<br />
most of which resides near the border with<br />
Pakistan, has extensive social links with Afghani<br />
Pashtuns. The Pashtuns understood Musharaf to<br />
say that he would stand for the killing of many<br />
of their brothers and relatives. Other Pakistanis,<br />
particularly those from non-Pashtun ethnic<br />
groups, viewed their country’s partnership with<br />
the United States as essential.<br />
Maybe the most telling statement<br />
about U.S.-Pakistani relations at the time came<br />
from a memoir recently written by Musharraf<br />
titled, In the Line of Fire. In the book Musharraf<br />
alleges that the day after the attacks he received<br />
a phone call from U.S. Secretary of State Colin<br />
Powell and was told, “you are either with<br />
us or against us.” The next day, according to<br />
Musharaff’s account, Deputy Secretary Richard<br />
Armitage “told the director general [of the ISI]<br />
not only that we had to decide whether we<br />
were with America or with the terrorists, but<br />
that if we chose the terrorists, then we should<br />
be prepared to be bombed back to the Stone<br />
Age.” If Musharraf’s allegations are true, it<br />
is easy to see why many Pakistanis see the<br />
United States in a negative light.<br />
Impact of Afghanistan War on Pakistan<br />
Although Pakistan has been politically<br />
unstable since its founding, the amount<br />
of internal violence it has suffered since the<br />
beginning of the U.S. war on terrorism is unprecedented<br />
in the country’s history. This is<br />
due to the increasing influence of Al Qaeda in<br />
Pakistan.<br />
A concise summary of the problems<br />
Pakistan faces as a result of the U.S. intervention<br />
in Afghanistan comes from noted Pakistani<br />
scholar M. Nasrullah Mirza who states,<br />
“An influx of millions of Afghan refugees [has]<br />
resulted in small arms proliferation, drug trafficking<br />
and increased sectarianism. Furthermore,<br />
foreign militants have been able to infiltrate<br />
through Pakistan’s porous borders.”<br />
The political problems identified by<br />
Mirza have resulted in intensified public attitudes<br />
about religious extremism and foreign<br />
policy. In a 2009 study by the non-partisan International<br />
Republican Institute, 90 percent of<br />
Pakistanis agreed that religious extremism is<br />
a major problem in Pakistan, whereas only 63<br />
percent agreed with the same statement in 2007.<br />
In 2006, the study found that 43 percent of Pakistanis<br />
had a favorable opinion of U.S.-Pakistani<br />
cooperation in fighting terrorism, as compared<br />
with 18 percent in 2009.<br />
The annual terrorism report published<br />
by the U.S. State Department notes that there<br />
were 1,839 terrorist incidents in 2008—a fourfold<br />
increase from 2006. Although most of these<br />
incidents took place near the border with Afghanistan,<br />
many others, like the assassination of<br />
former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto and the<br />
18 • EPR Winter 09-10 •
EPR<br />
attacks on the Sri Lankan national cricket team,<br />
happened in the eastern part of the country, distant<br />
from conflict zones.<br />
So, what does this mean? First, it<br />
means that Al Qaeda and other sympathetic<br />
organizations are attacking with greater sophistication<br />
and finding many civilians who are<br />
sympathetic to their cause. What is less obvious<br />
is the role of local police and the ISI in these attacks.<br />
Pakistan is notoriously corrupt, and many<br />
of these attacks cannot happen without bribes<br />
and favors. For example, Pakistan is still facing<br />
corruption on a national level today. In a report<br />
given to Zardari by Pakistan’s Auditor General,<br />
the Ministry of Foreign Affairs was identified<br />
as having financial irregularities of $5 million<br />
(U.S.) in 2007-2008. Pakistani corruption is<br />
not only a problem at the national level but also<br />
stems down to the local level where police are<br />
often paid off to “keep quiet” about illegal activities.<br />
Proposed Solutions to the problem<br />
Experts have proposed different ways<br />
of helping Pakistan combat its growing threats.<br />
Mustafa Malik, writing in Middle East Policy,<br />
agrees that the Obama administration’s decision<br />
to send Pakistan $1.5 billion in aid over the next<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
five years will only help reduce violence if it is<br />
distributed in a way that targets the lower economic<br />
classes of society. Even if aid is distributed<br />
properly, Malik also contends the money will<br />
do nothing to reduce anti-American sentiment<br />
in the region. To do that, he says, the U.S. must<br />
withdraw its troops from Afghanistan. Along<br />
with the economic aid, the legislation itself<br />
requires that President Barack Obama inform<br />
Congress in detail of his Pakistani strategy. It<br />
also requires Secretary of State Hillary Clinton<br />
to update him on progress of the strategy every<br />
six months.<br />
Nasreen Akthar, a Pakistani lecturer<br />
and scholar suggests that “building a safe society,<br />
functional state institutions, and reviving<br />
the economy of Afghanistan would bring tremendous<br />
benefit to all its neighbors” because<br />
of the potential for economic integration with<br />
Afghanistan. Many experts have suggested that<br />
resolving the Kashmir dispute with India will<br />
benefit both countries economically and free up<br />
resources that are spent on the conflict.<br />
The most important thing the Pakistani<br />
government can do for itself is to convince<br />
its people that this is their war. Pakistan is a very<br />
weak state, and many believe that Pakistan will<br />
not have the institutional capacity to handle extremist<br />
organizations if the United States were<br />
to withdraw from Afghanistan. Without the support<br />
of Pakistani citizens, whether they are from<br />
the Sindh province in southern Pakistan or from<br />
the northwest Frontier Province, the government’s<br />
efforts will be stymied.<br />
The only way for the Pakistani government<br />
to find its way out of its current situation<br />
is to establish transparency and accountability<br />
in all three of its main power sectors. This will<br />
be difficult, given that all three branches have<br />
a long tradition of corruption. If Pakistan is to<br />
become a stable state, it will need help from its<br />
regional neighbors—India included. Pakistan<br />
needs to make a meaningful attempt to end the<br />
Kashmir conflict and show India that greater security<br />
in Pakistan will lead to a more secure India,<br />
as well as a more stable South Asia. While<br />
Pakistan has been seen as an enigmatic actor, its<br />
actions may be the difference between winning<br />
and losing the battle against Islamic extremism<br />
in South Asia. EPR<br />
Mishal M. Ali is a senior in the College and<br />
a Political Science and Economics double<br />
major.<br />
19
Foreign Affairs<br />
Russia<br />
Resurgent?<br />
EPR<br />
By: Peter Wolf (with special thanks to<br />
Prof. T.F. Remington)<br />
A<br />
little over ten years ago, Russia<br />
was regarded as the “sick man” of<br />
Europe. It was a Pandora’s box of<br />
problems: ethnic strife, crippling<br />
poverty, a tortured economy, soaring rates of<br />
alcoholism, drug use, and AIDS, and an ineffective<br />
government fraught with endemic corruption.<br />
One could hardly believe it to be the same<br />
country that had once so strongly contended for<br />
world dominance.<br />
But when we look at Russia today,<br />
one word continues to crop up, over and over<br />
again: “Resurgent.” And indeed, the adjective<br />
is well-deserved. Russia has emerged from the<br />
dark, uncertain days of the post-Soviet collapse<br />
as a vigorous and, prior to the recent economic<br />
downturn, economically dynamic country determined<br />
to reassert its role as a major player<br />
on the world stage. This reality is nowhere more<br />
apparent than in the realm of European affairs.<br />
Yet, for all of this newfound strength, clout, and<br />
wealth, this resurrected bear may not be as sturdy<br />
as many might believe.<br />
To fully understand the future of Russo-European<br />
relations, one must look at these<br />
blocks’ rather complicated past. Like most other<br />
countries, Russia’s foreign policy is dictated by<br />
its national interest, yet never before in history<br />
have these interests been more opaque. Under<br />
both the tsars and Soviets, the cornerstone of<br />
Russian foreign policy had a common theme:<br />
dominance: dominance over what Russia refers<br />
to as its “near-abroad,” the independent<br />
states that emerged after the collapse of the<br />
USSR. Justification for Russian dominance has<br />
come in many guises throughout history: Pan-<br />
Slavism, the defense of the Orthodox faith, dubious<br />
claims of continuity with the Byzantine<br />
Empire, and, in more recent memory, Russia’s<br />
self-anointed role as the leader of International<br />
Communism.<br />
Today, each of these dogmas has been<br />
largely discredited and for once, Russia faces<br />
the realm of global politics without the backing<br />
of an ideology with internationalist appeal. Yet<br />
as early as 2001, despite the manifold weakness<br />
of his country at the time, President Vladimir<br />
Putin asserted Russia’s right to have major influence<br />
in its “near abroad,” declaring the region<br />
to be within his country’s “sphere of influence.”<br />
20 • EPR Winter 09-10 •
EPR<br />
Too many European countries that once lay under<br />
direct Russian control, Putin’s words, while<br />
by no means novel, were nonetheless worrisome.<br />
In 2004, the traditionally Russophobic<br />
Baltic republics of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania<br />
joined both NATO and the European Union,<br />
a move which may very well have been partly<br />
motivated by the protection these organizations<br />
offer against any possible Russian aggression.<br />
Yet Europe in general has so far been unsure of<br />
how to respond to this new Russia. It is unused<br />
to a Kremlin that no longer desires dominance,<br />
but rather influence instead. Moreover, Russia<br />
now also has firm control over Europe’s energy<br />
supplies: the European Union (EU) presently<br />
imports nearly half of its natural gas and 30 percent<br />
of its oil from Russia, and Russia has been<br />
far from shy in taking advantage of this fact. In<br />
a report issued by the Swedish Defense Agency<br />
in 2007, 55 incidents involving Russian energy<br />
suppliers, including cut-offs, explicit threats,<br />
coercive price policy, and certain takeovers,<br />
were listed since 1991, most of which were determined<br />
to have “both political and economic<br />
underpinnings.”<br />
Along with showcasing its formidable<br />
skills at this game of petropolitics, Russia has<br />
also proven itself very adept at playing EU members<br />
off of one another. Italy and Germany, two<br />
of Russia’s largest trading partners, have consistently<br />
defended Russian actions, even over such<br />
issues as blatant as Russia’s “accidental” shutoff<br />
of EU gas supplies after a row with Ukraine over<br />
gas transport earlier this year. France has also<br />
begun to take a more conciliatory tone towards<br />
Moscow. During the controversial 2008 South<br />
Ossetia War, the United Kingdom was the only<br />
Western European nation to condemn both Russia’s<br />
overly-aggressive response and Georgia’s<br />
recklessness, while Germany, Italy, and others<br />
issued statements critical of Georgia and largely<br />
sympathetic to Russia. This instance is perhaps<br />
one of the most visible illustrations of the EU’s<br />
disjointed stance towards Russia.<br />
Many could take, and have taken,<br />
these circumstances as proof that Russia has reemerged<br />
as a neo-imperialist power bent on a<br />
policy of coercion and adventurism. The reality<br />
of the situation, however, is vastly different. Far<br />
from seeing itself as a reborn superpower, Russia<br />
is vividly aware of the distrust with which<br />
it is seen by other countries, and it knows what<br />
sort of alarms the idea of Russian expansionism<br />
sets off in the rest of the world. When South Ossetia<br />
and Abkhazia asked to be absorbed into<br />
Russia in the wake of the Georgian War, they<br />
were instantly denied. The breakaway republics<br />
of Transnistria and Nagorno-Karabakh were<br />
met with the same icy dismissal when they too<br />
asked for integration into the Russian Federation.<br />
These so-called “frozen conflicts” have no<br />
foreseeable end, largely due to the fact that it is<br />
in Russia’s best interest to keep them alive so<br />
that they may be used as pressure points whenever<br />
Russian interest calls for it.<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
In recent years, this intense selfawareness<br />
has been coupled with increased<br />
Russian anxiety regarding its neighbors. Although<br />
they are both members of the Shanghai<br />
Cooperation Organization (a sort of Eurasian<br />
NATO), Russia has become wary of China and<br />
its efforts to dominate the security pact, since<br />
Central Asia is an area of high Russian focus as<br />
well. There, Russia must compete with China,<br />
and to some degree the United States as well,<br />
for power and influence amongst the newlyindependent,<br />
savvy, and immensely energy-rich<br />
republics of Central Asia.<br />
However, this situation does not mean<br />
that Russia has turned its back on Europe. Far<br />
from it, since the Ukraine is an ever-present<br />
concern to Russia. The Kremlin believes that<br />
Ukrainian admission to the EU or NATO would<br />
severely jeopardize Russian national security<br />
and is actively working to prevent any such<br />
event from occurring.<br />
The Ukraine has become more and<br />
more a source of contention in the years following<br />
the Orange Revolution of 2004-2005. Since<br />
2008, the government has become cripplingly<br />
polarized, with Viktor Yushchenko’s flagging<br />
pro-Western faction competing with the increasingly-popular<br />
blocs led by Yulia Tymoshenko<br />
and Viktor Yanukovych, both of which favor<br />
rapprochement with Russia.<br />
Political quagmire aside, Ukraine also<br />
faces a crisis of national unity. Ukrainians in the<br />
eastern part of the country much more readily<br />
identify with Russia and Russian culture than<br />
with that of their homeland. This situation is<br />
especially true in the strategically vital Crimea,<br />
which has flirted with secession, wherein 58<br />
percent of the populace is ethnically Russian<br />
and 77 percent report Russian as their native<br />
language. Of particular note is the fact that the<br />
Russian government has been distributing passports<br />
to Ukrainians in the south and east. This<br />
act is especially ominous not only because of<br />
Russia’s declared policy of militarily intervening<br />
to protect Russian citizens abroad, but also<br />
because many South Ossetians were issued Russian<br />
passports in the months leading up to the<br />
Georgian War.<br />
It is undeniable that the future holds<br />
great potential for conflict between Russia and<br />
the West. The reality of the situation, however,<br />
is not that Russia has reemerged to bully<br />
and browbeat its way to supremacy, but rather<br />
it is trying to find its place in a rapidly changing<br />
world. Its attempts have so far been at once<br />
clumsy and deft, promising and suspicious. The<br />
bear has reawakened to a world much changed<br />
from the one it left. It is defensive, anxious, and,<br />
above all, unsure; therefore, we must treat it<br />
with caution. EPR<br />
Peter Wolf is a freshman in the college<br />
and is undeclared.<br />
21
Foreign Affairs<br />
EPR<br />
The Hearts and Minds of<br />
Palestine<br />
22 • EPR Winter 09-10 •
By: Jonathan Silberman<br />
EPR<br />
For years, Hamas has been labeled a terrorist<br />
organization by the European<br />
Union and the United States, among<br />
others. The group’s own charter says that it is<br />
waiting to “obliterate [Israel]” and that there is<br />
no solution except, “…jihad. Initiatives, proposals<br />
and international conferences are all a waste<br />
of time and vain endeavors.” Yet Hamas won a<br />
2006 democratic, parliamentary election, and<br />
polls conducted by the Palestinian Center for<br />
Policy and Survey Research as late as March<br />
2009 showed the organization winning 47 percent<br />
of the vote if an election were held at that<br />
time.<br />
How has an organization labeled by<br />
the outside world as a terrorist organization<br />
gained popularity? It is easy to dismiss Hamas’<br />
popularity, but it is much harder to take a step<br />
back and try to figure out why Hamas has<br />
gained the support of ordinary, everyday Palestinian<br />
people.<br />
Hamas’ first and most resonant message<br />
in its 2006 campaign was that it would end<br />
the corruption that has plagued the Palestinian<br />
Authority (PA). The Fatah Party had run the<br />
entire PA until its defeat in the 2006 elections,<br />
where corruption was a substantial reason for<br />
it’s loss. The Fatah leader, Mahmoud Abbas, is<br />
a great example of this; he lives in a stone mansion<br />
with extensive security. This, of course, is<br />
nothing compared to the $1.3 billion net-worth<br />
of Hamas’ former leader Yasser Arafat at the<br />
time of his death. Most of that fortune was made<br />
by transferring funds designated to help the<br />
people living inside the PA into his own private<br />
accounts. Even though 47 percent of the West<br />
Bank and 80 percent of the Gaza strip live on<br />
under $2 a day, Fatah’s oldest leaders made a<br />
fortune creating monopolies, draining aid, grabbing<br />
properties, and making protection rackets.<br />
Perhaps even more alarming was that while all<br />
government workers received full pay under Fatah,<br />
20 percent did not show up to work.<br />
Hamas’ promises in 2006 were simple<br />
and effective. The organization agreed to<br />
require all government institutions and departments<br />
to open their records, including financial<br />
records, which had been private under Fatah.<br />
It promised that all institutions would keep accurate<br />
records of their actions. Hamas also said<br />
it would set up complaint departments for each<br />
department of Government that worked with the<br />
Attorney General’s office. Hamas has not been<br />
as effective in fighting corruption, as its promises<br />
would make it appear. Many problems have<br />
arisen within its government. However, Hamas<br />
is still seen as less corrupt than Fatah.<br />
As a result of Fatah’s corruption,<br />
money that should have been spent on public<br />
services was not, and among other things,<br />
the health infrastructure was underdeveloped.<br />
Hamas stepped up and filled the void to the best<br />
of its abilities by creating the Scientific Medical<br />
Association in 1997. The Scientific Medical<br />
Association coordinates the activities of various<br />
medical centers and blood bank that Hamas has<br />
set up in the Palestinian Authority. These medical<br />
centers are willing to treat anyone at lower<br />
rates than other medical clinics, or for free if<br />
a person is unable to pay. The medical centers<br />
are also popular because the doctors are “good<br />
Muslims” and are trusted by some of the more<br />
religious Palestinians. One example of a medical<br />
facility is the Jaffa Medical Center. It is a<br />
five-story hospital with three floors devoted to<br />
outpatient clinics. There is a dental facility, a<br />
large x-ray room, two operating rooms, and surgical<br />
and medical wards, among other services<br />
for men and women. One-third of the doctors<br />
there are female, so female patients can be treated<br />
by doctors of the same sex. Another example<br />
“Hamas has been<br />
successful at social<br />
services because<br />
they see<br />
what the people<br />
need and try to<br />
provide it.”<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
of a clinic is the Al Quds clinic in the southern<br />
part of the Gaza strip. This clinic contains pediatrics,<br />
maternal, orthodontics, and post-surgical<br />
care, and now reaches 400 people a month.<br />
Another service that was lacking in<br />
the PA was providing food for those who cannot<br />
afford it. Hamas is willing to give food and cash<br />
to anyone who asks for it. Hamas and its affiliated<br />
organizations operate dozens of food banks<br />
and soup kitchens. In 2001, one Hamas-affiliated<br />
charity provided 33 percent of total food and<br />
cash assistance, while its umbrella organization<br />
provided another 21 percent. In the alleys near a<br />
refugee camp, families receive $40 to $100 per<br />
month, along with beans, flour, eggs, and other<br />
essential foods. One Palestinian-Christian said<br />
that Hamas was so popular because you would<br />
wake up and “find a box of [food] staples like<br />
oil and sugar here on the sidewalk.” Hamas provided<br />
food baskets for people shortly before the<br />
2006 elections. More recently, it has provided<br />
free iftar, the meal that breaks the Ramadan fast,<br />
to some residents of East Jerusalem. Hamas also<br />
provided cash to people who were hurt during<br />
Israel’s recent operation in the Gaza strip.<br />
Hamas has been successful at social<br />
services because they see what the people need<br />
and try to provide it. While Hamas’ latest outreach<br />
effort may seem surprising, even astonishing,<br />
to some, it is just another example of<br />
Hamas providing a needed social service. The<br />
group has now entered into matchmaking. In<br />
the conservative Islamic community of the Gaza<br />
strip, women are supposed to marry young and<br />
are matched to husbands through their mothers.<br />
However, many women in their mid-twenties,<br />
who are old by Gaza’s standards, are still single<br />
and their families have given up trying to find<br />
matches. So Hamas has set up a service, Tayseer<br />
Association for Marriage and Development,<br />
where single women can apply to be matched<br />
with a suitable husband. Men and women both<br />
fill out a questionnaire and then apply to Tayseer<br />
to be matched. Tayseer tries to find similar<br />
matches on the questionnaires and then sets<br />
up a meeting for the couple through employers<br />
or mutual friends. If the meeting goes well, the<br />
man will tell his family to visit the woman’s<br />
family and hopefully the two can be married.<br />
Hamas has arranged at least 40 marriages in the<br />
two years since it first opened the Tayseer Association.<br />
Despite its social work, Hamas is a<br />
terrorist organization and should be stopped.<br />
As Harvard Law Professor Allan Dershowitz<br />
wrote, “Hamas leaders have echoed the mantra<br />
of Hassan Nasrallah, the leader of Hezbollah<br />
that, ‘we are going to win because they love<br />
life and we love death.’” Hamas launches rockets<br />
from schools, playgrounds, and hospitals in<br />
the Gaza strip at Israeli schools, playgrounds,<br />
and hospitals; they hides rockets, missiles, and<br />
other weapons in mosques and other civilian locations;<br />
Hamas militants do not wear uniforms<br />
so they cannot be distinguished from civilians;<br />
Hamas’ actions are intended to increase the<br />
deaths of Israelis and to create a situation where<br />
any response from Israel would create as many<br />
dead Palestinian civilians as possible, which<br />
Hamas considers to be good publicity; Hamas<br />
uses summer camps to indoctrinate hate of Israel,<br />
militancy, and support for themselves; the<br />
camp teaches skills that will prepare children<br />
to kill Israelis; Hamas’ schools refuse to teach<br />
what happened during the Holocaust, and instead<br />
teach that it is a Jewish fabrication and a<br />
political issue.<br />
Elections are now overdue in Palestine,<br />
as they were scheduled for January 2010<br />
but are likely to be delayed. Hamas is losing in<br />
current polls and has declared that they will take<br />
action against anyone trying to vote in the Gaza<br />
strip. Meanwhile, Fatah’s leader Mahmoud Abbas<br />
has claimed he will not run for re-election<br />
and will soon step down as leader of the PA.<br />
Other top Fatah officials are talking of resigning<br />
because the peace process has still failed to create<br />
a Palestinian state. These are very uncertain<br />
times in the Palestinian Administration, but we<br />
can be certain of one thing: that Hamas’ role as<br />
a central player in Palestinian politics will continue<br />
to make it a major power in the Middle<br />
East for years to come. EPR<br />
Freshman Jonathan Silberman is a<br />
Political Science major in the College.<br />
23
Foreign Affairs<br />
EPR<br />
2010 FIFA World Cup:<br />
More than Just a Game<br />
By: Amanda Mac<br />
Next June, South Africa will make history by<br />
becoming the first African country to host<br />
soccer’s most prestigious tournament: the<br />
FIFA World Cup. Hosting a first-class international<br />
event represents a chance for the world to witness a<br />
special part of Africa that is normally overshadowed<br />
by headlines about war, disease, and poverty.<br />
Positive news about Africa is largely absent<br />
from news media reports. This is not because<br />
positive news does not exist, but because it is not<br />
covered. For example, the media constantly reports<br />
discouraging HIV/AIDS statistics but overlooks<br />
stories such as Namibia’s massive improvements<br />
in providing antiretroviral therapy (coverage is up<br />
from just 1 percent in 2003 to 88 percent in 2007).<br />
Although reports on violence and human suffering<br />
in Africa bring awareness to a misunderstood<br />
and underrepresented continent,<br />
many journalists sensationalize<br />
these problems. Positive change in<br />
Africa does not happen overnight, but<br />
journalists tend to focus on timely controversies<br />
over gradual improvements.<br />
For instance, Mozambique, a formerly<br />
war-torn country in southern Africa,<br />
has averaged an impressive eight percent<br />
growth rate for nearly a decade.<br />
This news, however, remarkable as it<br />
is, will probably never make headlines.<br />
Africa is not just huts and<br />
warriors, nor is it a static, unchanging<br />
place. People often forget that many<br />
African nation-states are still quite<br />
young and face a unique set of problems<br />
that are both directly and indirectly tied to the<br />
continent’s colonial past. Gaining independence was<br />
a messy process for many African states.<br />
When the imperial powers decolonized in<br />
a hurry, the newly-independent states had few tools<br />
to deal with the consequences of years of destruction.<br />
Neocolonialism and the lingering effects of<br />
colonialism were some of the greatest obstacles to<br />
development in Africa. Groups like the International<br />
Monetary Fund (IMF) now echo the domination and<br />
coercion tactics practiced by some colonial powers.<br />
Rather than criticizing development failures, people<br />
should consider the enormity of the challenges facing<br />
Africa today. Of the 25 lowest ranked countries<br />
on the United Nations Human Development Index<br />
rankings, all but two are African nations. With such<br />
enormous development gaps to close, it will take patience<br />
and dedication to make the necessary changes<br />
to improve these countries’ standings. We must reform<br />
our thinking and realize that although there are<br />
many challenges for the citizens in Africa, there are<br />
also many opportunities.<br />
Contemporary Africa is as modern and<br />
diverse in its social, cultural and political environments<br />
as any other country. People often forget that<br />
many of the activities we consider to be staple<br />
parts of our culture are not solely ours. Music,<br />
film, and sports are not exclusively Western<br />
forms of entertainment. The universality of arts<br />
and sports brings together people of many different<br />
backgrounds and environments. A group<br />
of teenagers in London can listen to the same<br />
music as a group of teenagers in Shanghai. Likewise,<br />
a game of soccer played in an American<br />
neighborhood is the same as a game played in<br />
South Africa.<br />
Bringing the World Cup to South Africa<br />
is an extremely expensive undertaking that<br />
will cost billions of dollars. However, this massive<br />
expenditure comes with promise of a high<br />
return on the money invested in development.<br />
Stadiums, roads, and railroads are investments<br />
24 • EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
for South Africa’s future that will remain for<br />
many years after the World Cup ends.<br />
As with any other important international<br />
event, there has been some controversy<br />
around the 2010 World Cup. This past July, for<br />
instance, stadium construction workers went<br />
on strike, demanding better compensation and<br />
benefits. Additionally, other protestors have<br />
accused the South African government of putting<br />
too much focus on spending on World Cup<br />
preparations while neglecting important social<br />
issues like health care. Human rights groups<br />
have alleged that evictions related to World Cup<br />
construction are a thinly veiled attempt to hide<br />
poverty from visitors who will attend the tournament.<br />
One major controversy, for example,<br />
involves the South African government’s plan to<br />
move approximately 20,000 residents from the<br />
Joe Slovo Informal Settlement in Cape Town<br />
to a housing district in the impoverished Delft<br />
Township on the outskirts of the city. South Africa<br />
has so far dealt with these problems tactfully<br />
and insisted that preparations will be completed<br />
on time.<br />
Next year’s World Cup also presents<br />
an opportunity for change outside of the political<br />
realm. People often forget that anyone can<br />
drive social change, not just politicians. Lawmaking<br />
is not the only way of problem-solving.<br />
The indispensable, but sometimes subtle, power<br />
of the people is too often overshadowed by political<br />
muddle. Although officials and administrators<br />
brought the World Cup to South Africa,<br />
ordinary people from inside the country will<br />
bring a special and profound meaning to the<br />
tournament itself.<br />
Hosting the World Cup is a first for<br />
South Africa, but the idea of using sports to<br />
unite people is not new. In 1995, only a year after<br />
the end of apartheid, Nelson Mandela made a<br />
decision to try to bring the Rugby World Cup to<br />
his country. For him, it was not only an opportunity<br />
to turn the international community’s eyes<br />
on the new, democratic South Africa, but it was<br />
also a chance to take a major step in bringing<br />
together a once broken country. Rugby in South<br />
Africa was a symbol of white power during<br />
the Apartheid days, so the decision to host the<br />
rugby World Cup was a major turning point in<br />
post-Apartheid reconstruction. Mandela viewed<br />
the tournament as an opportunity to reconcile<br />
South Africa’s whites and blacks, urging<br />
people of all colors to support the<br />
Springboks under the mantra, “One<br />
Team, One Nation.”<br />
As the Springboks claimed<br />
more and more victories, public support<br />
for the team skyrocketed. At the final,<br />
South Africans eagerly watched the<br />
Springboks play a fierce game against<br />
New Zealand where they finally won in<br />
overtime. As the entire stadium erupted<br />
in excitement, South Africa’s first black<br />
President made his way onto the field.<br />
With the crowd chanting, “Nelson,<br />
Nelson!” he mounted the platform and<br />
turned to face the people of South Africa.<br />
When Mandela presented the trophy<br />
to Springbok team captain Francois<br />
Pienaar, the captain replied, “No, Mr. President.<br />
Thank you for what you have done,” a sign of<br />
the unifying power of the game. Beyond the stadium,<br />
in townships and villages all across South<br />
Africa, blacks and whites joined each other in<br />
celebration of their country’s win. When asked<br />
at the trophy ceremony what he thought of the<br />
fans cheering in the stadium, team captain, Pienaar<br />
said that the 65,000 South Africans in the<br />
stadium were only a fraction of the 43 million<br />
South Africans who stood behind them on that<br />
day.<br />
In 2010, the international community<br />
will get a chance to witness an even greater,<br />
more advanced, and more unified South Africa<br />
than it saw in 1995. People will see the progress<br />
the country has made and get a glimpse of the<br />
bright future that is possible for the region. It is<br />
time for the world to revolutionize its thinking<br />
on Africa and developing nations. We must stop<br />
thinking of Africa only in terms of what sets us<br />
apart from it and instead think of what unites us.<br />
EPR<br />
Sophomore Amanda Mac is an International<br />
Studies and Global Health double major.
Pop Culture<br />
EPR<br />
Comedy in Campaigns<br />
By: Rui Zhong<br />
It can be said quite ironically that the media’s<br />
fixation on politics is old news. However, an<br />
emerging trend in the world of politics is not<br />
what the media focuses on, but how it is able to<br />
change the game of politics itself.<br />
For many years, politicians have always<br />
been attempting to develop methods in<br />
capturing one particularly slippery demographic<br />
during national elections: the youth vote. Thus,<br />
in recent years, the shows of late-night comedians,<br />
such as The Colbert Report and The Daily<br />
Show have begun to exert influence over the<br />
game of campaigning, most notably over young<br />
voters, as well as the entire American political<br />
culture.<br />
Although The Daily Show and The<br />
Colbert Report both help attract attention to<br />
campaigns, news, and politics, for their niche<br />
audience of under-30s, their formats and messages<br />
about politics differ.<br />
Jon Stewart of The Daily Show focuses<br />
on news events and the media’s approach<br />
on politics. With a format imitating those of<br />
prime-time news networks, he and his motley<br />
team of correspondents face elections, scandals,<br />
and policies with a sarcastic edge that is light on<br />
political correctness and heavy on<br />
the uncomfortable truth.<br />
Contrasting the wisecracking<br />
Stewart is the blustery,<br />
self-centered persona of Stephen<br />
Colbert. In his show, The Colbert<br />
Report, Colbert delves into the aspect<br />
of personality and charisma<br />
in politics, parodying a blowhard<br />
conservative pundit with very<br />
skewed world views and a stereotypical<br />
American stubbornness<br />
against facts. He instead works by<br />
the idea of “truthiness”, favoring<br />
gut instinct and stale jingoisms to<br />
solve essentially any problem that<br />
America faces.<br />
Although these comedians<br />
assure the media from time to<br />
time that their primary business is<br />
funny, there is inevitable influence<br />
stemming from these Comedy<br />
Central programs into real-world<br />
politics. Both Colbert and Stewart<br />
regularly host interviews with<br />
hopeful politicians and activists;<br />
their evening shows are booked<br />
with Senators, prominent political<br />
authors, and candidates for key<br />
elections.<br />
During the 2008 election<br />
season, Stewart was able to host both<br />
presidential candidates, Senator John McCain<br />
and then-Senator Barack Obama to voice viewpoints,<br />
while Colbert had Democratic presidential<br />
candidates then-Senator Hillary Clinton and<br />
then-Senator John Edwards during the fierce<br />
three-way Democratic primary in the spring and<br />
summer of 2007. As the general election of November<br />
2008 approached, Colbert and Stewart<br />
had their say in situations such as the introduction<br />
of Sarah Palin as the Vice-Presidential Candidate<br />
for the Republican Party, the Presidential<br />
and Vice-Presidential Debates, and finally their<br />
joint coverage of the historic election night itself,<br />
of which Barack Obama emerged president-elect.<br />
2008’s election season is shown primarily<br />
as a season in which the youth vote was<br />
significant in determining results. With shows<br />
such as The Daily Show and The Colbert Report<br />
spurring the interests of recently enfranchised<br />
voters, information is far more accessible to the<br />
young voter than it has been in the past, working<br />
in tandem but not cooperatively with efforts<br />
such as MTV’s “Rock the Vote.”<br />
What differentiates the strategy of<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
these new pseudo-pundits than past efforts to get<br />
young voters out to the polls? The answer lies<br />
in the idea of entertainment. Although the idea<br />
of 73-year old Senator and former presidential<br />
candidate John McCain speaking to 20-somethings<br />
in a New York studio seems ineffective<br />
and dry, comedy can simultaneously be effective<br />
in drawing attention to issues and keeping them<br />
on the issues. During the 2008 season, one particularly<br />
striking moment is Stewart’s interview<br />
of McCain, when he discussed the politicians’<br />
changing tactics in regards to his traditional role<br />
as a ‘maverick’ of the Republican Party. When<br />
the moment calls for it, there is seriousness in<br />
the policies and politics that he discusses.<br />
In the case of Colbert, a similar trend<br />
of mobilization occurs. His exaggerated approach<br />
to campaigns and policies in effect<br />
humanizes the veritable flaws of politicians<br />
and pundits, providing a simultaneously lighthearted<br />
yet poignant observation of the quirks<br />
of news and politics.<br />
The impact that comedians can have<br />
on the American political culture, especially<br />
popular culture, is to reformat it to be approachable<br />
by the public, especially the youth. Although<br />
the observations made on shows such as<br />
the Daily Show and the Colbert Report are first<br />
and foremost funny, they can be, at the same<br />
time, meaningful in stirring interest in public<br />
policy. EPR<br />
Rui Zhong is a freshman in the College.<br />
She is double majoring in Political Science<br />
and East Asian Studies.<br />
25
Special<br />
EPR<br />
“King of Pop”<br />
Michael Jackson<br />
dies (50)<br />
25<br />
EPR<br />
2009 YEAR<br />
2<br />
G20 Summit<br />
$500 billion made available<br />
to IMF, $100 billion to World<br />
Bank; G20 to move against<br />
territorially-based tax havens<br />
Noted abortionist Dr. George<br />
Tiller is shot and killed at the<br />
31<br />
Reformation Lutheran Church in<br />
Wichita, Kansas<br />
GM declares<br />
bankruptcy<br />
1<br />
Swearing in of<br />
44th President,<br />
20<br />
Barack Obama<br />
in REVIEW<br />
By: Grant Wallensky<br />
Compiled by: Lilly Zhong and Christina Yang<br />
30<br />
Chrysler declares Chapter<br />
11 Bankruptcy<br />
The first of the “Big Three”<br />
to declare bankruptcy after<br />
bailouts fail to sustain it, its<br />
equity ownership is now split<br />
between U.S. and Canadian<br />
governments, Fiat, and the<br />
United Auto Workers Union<br />
retiree medical fund.<br />
Sen. Ensign<br />
admits affair<br />
16<br />
Gov.<br />
Sanford<br />
24<br />
admits<br />
affair<br />
Jan. Feb. March April May June<br />
15<br />
29<br />
Milorad<br />
Blagojevich<br />
removed<br />
as Illinois<br />
Governor<br />
Isreali<br />
Election<br />
Benjamin<br />
Netanyahu<br />
of Likud<br />
appointed<br />
Prime<br />
Minister<br />
10<br />
14<br />
Stimulus Bill signed<br />
into law<br />
The American Recovery<br />
and Reinvestment Act is<br />
nominally valued at $787<br />
billion.<br />
American International<br />
Group (AIG) bonus<br />
controversy15<br />
American journalists<br />
Arlen Spector<br />
Euna Lee and Laura<br />
17<br />
(Senator-PA)<br />
Ling are detained by<br />
switches party 28<br />
North Korea<br />
affiliation<br />
In June, they are sentenced<br />
to 12 years of hard labor.<br />
On August 5th, Kim Jong-il<br />
pardoned the two women after<br />
former president Bill Clinton<br />
publicly arrived in North Korea<br />
unanncounced.<br />
2<br />
Hijacking of Maersk<br />
Alabama by Somali<br />
Pirates<br />
Ship, crew and captain<br />
rescued by April 12;<br />
attempted hijacking<br />
Nov. 18 is repulsed<br />
successfully<br />
North Korean Second<br />
Nuclear Test (underground)<br />
25<br />
Bernard Madoff<br />
sentenced to 150 years<br />
in prison<br />
Waxman-Markey<br />
passes House<br />
Cap-and-Trade bill<br />
currently stalled in<br />
Senate<br />
Iranian election and<br />
“Twitter Revolution”<br />
12<br />
Ahmadinejad wins<br />
another term in office,<br />
opposition candidate<br />
Mousavi cries foul,<br />
protests and worldwide<br />
condemnation of the<br />
use of violence against<br />
protestors lasts a few<br />
weeks<br />
26<br />
29<br />
26 • EPR Winter 09-10 •
Cash 4 Clunkers<br />
claims processing<br />
24<br />
begins<br />
7<br />
Al Franken<br />
assumes office<br />
Sarah Palin steps down<br />
as Minnesota<br />
as Alaskan Governor<br />
Senator 26<br />
EPR<br />
July August Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec.<br />
17<br />
Barack Obama calls arrest of<br />
Gates “teachable moment”<br />
22<br />
Broadcast journalist<br />
and CBS Evening<br />
News anchorman<br />
Walter Cronkite dies<br />
(92)<br />
8<br />
Sotomayor sworn in<br />
The Supreme Court’s<br />
first Hispanic justice<br />
and third female justice<br />
11<br />
30<br />
Founder of<br />
Special Olympics<br />
Eunice Shriver<br />
dies (88)<br />
60th Anniversary of<br />
People’s Republic of<br />
China<br />
Japanese Election<br />
Yukio Hatoyama’s Democratic<br />
Party of Japan defeats Liberal<br />
Democratic Party, the latter’s<br />
second defeat since 1955.<br />
Actor Patrick<br />
Swayze dies (57)<br />
14<br />
1<br />
9<br />
24<br />
Dubai defaults<br />
Dubai World<br />
26<br />
announces intention<br />
to delay<br />
debt payments;<br />
all markets<br />
decline briefly.<br />
Chicago eliminated<br />
from the first ballot in<br />
2<br />
IOC voting.<br />
Announcement<br />
that Khalid Sheik<br />
13<br />
Mohammed to be<br />
tried in NYC<br />
Exchange of fire off<br />
Korean peninsula<br />
10<br />
Gubernatorial United States Elections<br />
Republicans win gubernatorial elections in<br />
VA, NJ; Democrats claim victory in NY-23<br />
President Obama declares<br />
H1N1 (swine) flu a national<br />
emergency<br />
As of Nov. 14, the CDC<br />
estimates that in the U.S.<br />
alone there had been<br />
9,820 deaths caused by<br />
swine flu<br />
3<br />
Saudi Arabia<br />
and Iran begin<br />
proxy war<br />
Fort Hood<br />
Shootings<br />
5<br />
5<br />
President Obama wins 2009<br />
Nobel Peace Prize<br />
Strategic<br />
Arms<br />
Reduction<br />
Treaty<br />
extended<br />
5<br />
1<br />
1<br />
Afghanistan troop<br />
surge<br />
President Obama<br />
calls for 30,000<br />
more troops<br />
CA mammogram<br />
subsidies for middle<br />
aged women ends<br />
Landmark health<br />
care bill passed<br />
(60-39) 24<br />
Tiger Woods<br />
involved in<br />
27<br />
early-morning car<br />
accident Diane Sawyer<br />
is the new<br />
21<br />
ABC World<br />
News anchor<br />
Perpetrator of the 2002 D.C.<br />
Beltway Sniper Attacks,<br />
claiming 10 lives, John Allen<br />
Muhammed is executed (48)<br />
Abu Dhabi bails<br />
14 out Dubai<br />
United States Senator<br />
Edward “Ted” Kennedy<br />
dies (77)<br />
25<br />
United States<br />
scraps Missile<br />
Defense System 17<br />
for E. Europe<br />
“PelosiCare”<br />
passes House 7<br />
Environmental<br />
Protection Agency<br />
7<br />
classifies CO2 as<br />
pollutant<br />
“The Godfather of<br />
neo-conservatism”<br />
18<br />
Irving Kristol dies<br />
(89)<br />
“Balloon Boy Hoax”<br />
15<br />
17<br />
19<br />
Federal Reserve<br />
Transparency<br />
Act<br />
“ClimateGate”<br />
The Climactic<br />
Research Unit in the<br />
<strong>University</strong> of East<br />
Anglia is hacked,<br />
its data released;<br />
climate skeptics<br />
immediately accuse<br />
the CRU of data<br />
manipulation<br />
• EPR Winter 09-10 •<br />
27
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