gas for energy IGRC 2014 (Vorschau)
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03–<strong>2014</strong><br />
www.<strong>gas</strong>-<strong>for</strong>-<strong>energy</strong>.com<br />
ISSN 2192-158X<br />
<strong>energy</strong><br />
<strong>gas</strong><strong>for</strong><br />
Magazine <strong>for</strong> Smart Gas Technologies,<br />
Infrastructure and Utilisation<br />
<strong>IGRC</strong> <strong>2014</strong><br />
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PATGED<strong>2014</strong>
EDITORIAL<br />
Dear Readers,<br />
Technological innovation is the lifeblood of the <strong>energy</strong> industry.<br />
Continuing commercial pressures following the global<br />
economic downturn coupled with the imperative of meeting<br />
rigorous environmental standards mean that all fuels, including<br />
all <strong>for</strong>ms of natural <strong>gas</strong>, need to develop new technologies and<br />
push the bounds of best practice. Energy prices are a serious<br />
issue <strong>for</strong> the viability of industrial and commercial projects,<br />
af<strong>for</strong>dability <strong>for</strong> residential customers, the fuel choice <strong>for</strong> power<br />
generators, the next phase of low emission transportation<br />
vehicles and other <strong>energy</strong> uses. In these days of pressure on<br />
fuel costs, an efficiency improvement of a few percent or the<br />
reduction of emissions can make the difference between economic<br />
failure and commercial success.<br />
The whole <strong>gas</strong> chain is involved in this process, and sufficient<br />
R&D funding is needed from ‘drill bit to burner tip’ to keep <strong>gas</strong><br />
technologies and industry best practices at the <strong>for</strong>efront of a<br />
highly competitive <strong>energy</strong> market. In addition, more demanding<br />
social and regulatory requirements have increased the challenges<br />
on market participants throughout the <strong>gas</strong> industry.<br />
Conventional natural <strong>gas</strong> is the backbone of the <strong>gas</strong> business<br />
and I expect that on a global basis it will remain so <strong>for</strong> many<br />
years to come. In several national situations or local applications<br />
however, unconventional natural <strong>gas</strong> from tight or shale<br />
rock <strong>for</strong>mation, methane from coal beds or even <strong>gas</strong> produced<br />
as a biofuel can become a significant <strong>energy</strong> source and in<br />
some local cases the dominant fuel. There are both similarities<br />
and differences in the technologies that we need as the <strong>gas</strong><br />
family expands to embrace these new relatives.<br />
Gas innovations are already inspiring the development and<br />
implementation of a wide range of clean <strong>energy</strong> applications.<br />
For the International Gas Union, sharing in<strong>for</strong>mation on best<br />
practices and encouraging technology transfer are important<br />
objectives. The <strong>gas</strong> industry has already developed a wide<br />
range of well-proven technology that provides efficient<br />
<strong>energy</strong> solutions that would deliver significant economic and<br />
environmental benefits if widely applied throughout the<br />
world. But even as the least polluting fossil fuel <strong>gas</strong> cannot be<br />
complacent about its position in the <strong>energy</strong> mix. The economic<br />
challenge is ever present and it is only by investing in<br />
efficiently focussed Research, Development and Technology<br />
Application that the <strong>gas</strong> industry will enhance its position in<br />
the future as a perfect partner of a wide range of renewable<br />
<strong>energy</strong> sources and a sustainable part of the global <strong>energy</strong><br />
solution.<br />
I would commend to you both this publication and the <strong>IGRC</strong> in<br />
Copenhagen. These exemplify the exciting prospects <strong>for</strong> natural<br />
<strong>gas</strong> as the industry takes clean <strong>energy</strong> innovation to new<br />
heights. There are many challenges ahead to ensure that technology<br />
is developed and knowledge transfer can take place<br />
throughout the world. With sufficient investment now I believe<br />
that natural <strong>gas</strong>, and indeed the whole <strong>gas</strong> industry, will be<br />
well placed and ready <strong>for</strong> the decades to come.<br />
Yours sincerely,<br />
The <strong>energy</strong> business is dynamic and increasingly <strong>gas</strong> is an in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />
business. Vast amounts of data are gathered and processed<br />
in finding and exploiting new sources of <strong>gas</strong> supply, in<br />
transporting and trading <strong>gas</strong> to optimise deliveries to customers<br />
and in enabling consumers themselves to have access to<br />
smart meter technology, social in<strong>for</strong>mation systems and<br />
increasingly rapid customer switching processes.<br />
Torstein Indrebø<br />
Secretary General<br />
International Gas Union
TABLE OF CONTENTS 3 – <strong>2014</strong><br />
6 TRADE AND INDUSTRY<br />
Pipe supply starts <strong>for</strong> Power of<br />
Siberia GTS construction<br />
16 INTERVIEW<br />
with Soren Juel Hansen, head of<br />
development Energinet.dk<br />
© Tivoli Congress Center.<br />
18 I G R C<br />
The IGU invites the global <strong>gas</strong> society<br />
to the <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> in Copenhagen<br />
Reports<br />
GAS PIPELINE<br />
22 Doability of Trans-Caspian Pipeline and deliverability<br />
of Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> to Turkey & EU<br />
by O. Akyener<br />
GAS PIPELINE<br />
30 Stress with buried <strong>gas</strong> pipelines in subsidence areas<br />
by Z. Chen, Ch. Qin and Y. Zhang<br />
LNG<br />
38 Onshore LNG receiving terminal – risk analysis<br />
by B. Majcen and M. Valiak<br />
MICRO-CHP<br />
44 Practical experience in the placement of mCHP<br />
by M. Opačak<br />
GAS MARKET<br />
48 Flexibility prices in Germany<br />
by A. Pustišek and M. Karasz<br />
GAS MARKET<br />
54 The Austrian Gas Market Model<br />
by W. Ziehengraser<br />
2 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
3 – <strong>2014</strong> TABLE OF CONTENTS<br />
22 R E P O R T<br />
Doability of Trans-Caspian Pipeline<br />
and deliverability of Turkmen <strong>gas</strong><br />
38 R E P O R T<br />
Onshore LNG receiving terminal –<br />
risk analysis<br />
60 PROFILE<br />
Danish Gas Technology Centre<br />
– <strong>for</strong> a greener <strong>energy</strong> future<br />
Interview<br />
16 Gas <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> has interviewed Soren Juel Hansen, head of<br />
development and <strong>for</strong>mer head of infrastructure,<br />
preparedness and tariffs in Energinet.dk<br />
Pro fil e<br />
60 Danish Gas Technology Centre<br />
visit us at our website:<br />
www.<strong>gas</strong>-<strong>for</strong>-<strong>energy</strong>.com<br />
News<br />
6 Trade & Industry<br />
11 Personal<br />
13 Events<br />
18 <strong>IGRC</strong> Special<br />
62 Associations<br />
64 Products & Services<br />
Columns<br />
1 Editorial<br />
4 Hot Shot<br />
21 Diary<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 3
HOT SHOT
HOT SHOT<br />
The combined heat and power station<br />
Avedøre utilises up to 94 % of<br />
the <strong>energy</strong> in the fuels and provides<br />
voltage to the power grid, which is<br />
needed to transmit power from wind<br />
turbines to the customers.<br />
Source: Dong Energy A/S
TRADE & INDUSTRY<br />
Growing number of TSOs at PRISMA attracts new<br />
plat<strong>for</strong>m participants<br />
The rising number of TSOs participating in the European<br />
capacity plat<strong>for</strong>m PRISMA has attracted a number<br />
of new <strong>gas</strong> trading companies to the plat<strong>for</strong>m over<br />
the past year. PRISMA had a total of 376 registered <strong>gas</strong><br />
trading companies in July <strong>2014</strong>, up 49 % compared to<br />
the number of shippers registered at the launch of its<br />
plat<strong>for</strong>m in April 2013. This translates into a total of 123<br />
new trading companies that have registered to the<br />
PRISMA plat<strong>for</strong>m over the period. Out of the 376 registered<br />
trading companies, 81 % have been actively trading<br />
on the plat<strong>for</strong>m. The rise in the number of participants<br />
at PRISMA comes as a result of the market’s constantly<br />
growing interest towards the services offered<br />
which enable users, amongst other things, to easily<br />
acquire interconnection capacity between the main<br />
European hubs.<br />
British Gas chooses Elster as partner <strong>for</strong> advanced<br />
<strong>gas</strong> metering to support their business customers<br />
Elster announced today that British Gas Business (BGB),<br />
the UK’s largest non-domestic <strong>gas</strong> supplier, has<br />
selected the metering firm as its primary partner <strong>for</strong> the<br />
provision of advanced <strong>gas</strong> metering. The agreement sees<br />
Elster, Europe’s largest provider of non-domestic meters,<br />
supplying up to 100,000 advanced Commercial and<br />
Industrial <strong>gas</strong> meters over the next three years to a significant<br />
proportion of BGB’s UK customer base.<br />
Under this arrangement Elster will provide its next<br />
generation range of themis diaphragm <strong>gas</strong> meters, with<br />
flexible embedded GPRS communications and Zone 0<br />
ATEX accreditation. Elster will also supply its RABO range<br />
of rotary meters with encoder communications. Both of<br />
these technologies are aimed at improving the accuracy<br />
and frequency of data which BGB is able to provide to its<br />
business customers, enabling them to more easily understand<br />
and manage their <strong>energy</strong>.<br />
This extensive deployment programme will be undertaken<br />
on behalf of BGB by its chosen Meter Asset Management<br />
(MAM) partners, Energy Assets Plc and Smart<br />
Metering Systems Plc, both of whom have long and<br />
proven working relationships with Elster.<br />
EnBW to buy Eni stake in the <strong>gas</strong> joint venture<br />
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG acquires the<br />
50 %stake owned by Eni group, Rome, in EnBW Eni<br />
Verwaltungsgesellschaft mbH, Stuttgart, and thus indirectly<br />
50 % of Gasversorgung Süddeutschland GmbH<br />
(GVS) and 50 % of terranets bw GmbH. EnBW and Eni<br />
established the joint venture in 2002. GVS supplies distributors<br />
and industrial customers<br />
in Germany, Austria and Switzerland.<br />
In 2013 the company generated<br />
sales of € 1.6 billion on a <strong>gas</strong><br />
sales volume of 56 TWh with a<br />
work<strong>for</strong>ce of 88 employees.<br />
Terranets bw is an independent<br />
transmission system operator<br />
(ITO) which ensures non-discriminatory<br />
transportation of natural <strong>gas</strong> through its nearly<br />
2,000 kilometer network and guarantees technically reliable<br />
supply <strong>for</strong> its customers. More than two-thirds of all<br />
cities and communities in Baden-Württemberg and parts<br />
of Switzerland, Vorarlberg and the Principality of Liechtenstein<br />
are connected to terranets bw’s network. Additionally<br />
the northern Black Forest <strong>gas</strong> pipeline is under<br />
construction since the beginning of the year. Moreover<br />
terranets bw owns a 2,000 kilometer telecommunication<br />
network and offers a variety of technical services. In 2013,<br />
the company generated sales of € 105 million with a<br />
work<strong>for</strong>ce of 190 employees.<br />
The acquisition is subject to approval by the relevant<br />
antitrust authorities. Both parties agreed contractually<br />
not to disclose the purchase price.<br />
6 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
product<br />
product<br />
TRADE & INDUSTRY<br />
Enagás-Odebrecht consortium to build 1,000-km<br />
South Peru Gas Pipeline<br />
The consortium made up of Enagás (25 %) and Odebrecht<br />
(75 %) has been awarded the project <strong>for</strong> the<br />
South Peru Gas Pipeline put out to tender by the Peruvian<br />
government.<br />
The award covers the construction and subsequent<br />
operation and maintenance of a 1,000-km-long <strong>gas</strong> pipeline,<br />
which is key <strong>for</strong> safeguarding supply in Peru. The<br />
pipeline is scheduled to be brought on stream <strong>for</strong> commercial<br />
use in 56 months and the concession is <strong>for</strong> 34<br />
years. This transaction is in line with the criteria laid out in<br />
Enagás’ Strategic Update <strong>for</strong> 2013-2015, as well as with the<br />
company’s core business and its target profitability and<br />
debt-level figures. During the construction, Enagás will<br />
invest around $ 250 Mn in the project, which will be<br />
funded through a project finance structure. The take-orpay<br />
contracts of the infrastructure enable revenue stability<br />
to be ensured.<br />
Map of the South Peru Gas Pipeline project.<br />
© <strong>2014</strong> Enagás.<br />
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TRADE & INDUSTRY<br />
Gate terminal to build new facilities <strong>for</strong> distribution<br />
of LNG via vessels and barges<br />
Gasunie and Royal Vopak announced that their joint<br />
venture, Gate terminal, has taken the final investment<br />
decision to add LNG break bulk infrastructure and<br />
services to the terminal. The new facility in the port of<br />
Rotterdam is expected to boost the use of liquefied natural<br />
<strong>gas</strong> (LNG) as a transportation fuel in the Netherlands<br />
and Northwest Europe.<br />
Highlights<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Construction is scheduled to start this year; commissioning<br />
and commencement of the first services are<br />
scheduled <strong>for</strong> H1 2016<br />
Terminal will be expanded with an additional harbour<br />
basin to enable LNG distribution <strong>for</strong> small scale<br />
use with a maximum capacity of 280 berthing slots<br />
per year<br />
Shell has been contracted as launching customer<br />
Open Grid Europe to boost north-to-south<br />
<strong>gas</strong> transmission capacity in Bavaria<br />
Open Grid Europe started preparations including<br />
surveying work <strong>for</strong> a new natural <strong>gas</strong> transmission<br />
pipeline from Schwandorf to Forchheim. The<br />
work is needed to include details of the proposed<br />
pipeline route in the planning permission documents.<br />
The regional planning process is due to start in early<br />
June. The documents will then be made available <strong>for</strong><br />
public inspection in the towns and municipalities<br />
affected.<br />
■■<br />
New infrastructure enables distribution of low emission<br />
fuel alternative to transporters all over Europe<br />
Break bulk (or small-scale) services aim to split up largescale<br />
LNG shipments into smaller quantities. This enables<br />
the distribution of LNG as a fuel <strong>for</strong> maritime vessels, ferries,<br />
trucks and industrial applications. The use of LNG as a fuel<br />
is expected to grow substantially following the introduction<br />
of stringent new emission regulations (SECA) <strong>for</strong> the<br />
marine sector in the North Sea and in the Baltic Sea from<br />
2015. By using LNG as a fuel, barges, coasters, ferries, as well<br />
as heavy trucks, can reduce their carbon dioxide (CO 2)<br />
emissions by up to 20 %, their nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions<br />
by up to 85 %, while reducing sulphur and particle<br />
emissions to almost zero. For these reasons, the Dutch<br />
government and the European Union encourage the<br />
development of LNG as a transportation fuel.<br />
Following the completion of the regional planning<br />
process and the planning permission procedure in the<br />
next two years, construction will start from 2016 onwards.<br />
Commissioning of the 62 km pipeline with a diameter of<br />
one metre is scheduled <strong>for</strong> 2017.<br />
The need <strong>for</strong> this large <strong>gas</strong> pipeline was identified as<br />
part of the 2013 <strong>gas</strong> network development plan (NDP). It<br />
will increase transmission capacity in Bavaria from the<br />
north to the south to meet tomorrow’s demand.<br />
Report of Gassco on new <strong>gas</strong> transport and<br />
processing facilities<br />
Resources in the Barents Sea could play a key role in<br />
maintaining Norwegian <strong>gas</strong> output in the 2020s and<br />
beyond, according to a Gassco report on new <strong>gas</strong> transport<br />
and processing facilities.<br />
Planned exploration activity up to 2017 is expected to<br />
double the resource base in Norway’s Barents Sea sector,<br />
and the study shows that developing <strong>gas</strong> discoveries<br />
there could provide substantial value from a socioeconomic<br />
perspective. However, getting started on developing<br />
<strong>gas</strong> infrastructure from the region will be a<br />
demanding business. No single licence is likely to be able<br />
to bear the necessary cost alone – either <strong>for</strong> new liquefaction<br />
capacity or <strong>for</strong> a pipeline solution.<br />
Gassco concludes that feasibility studies must be<br />
launched as early as next year if new <strong>gas</strong> infrastructure is<br />
to be operational from 2022. The coming 12 months will<br />
be important <strong>for</strong> updating analyses based on discoveries<br />
and <strong>for</strong> looking at the organisation of transport and processing<br />
facilities from the Barents Sea in order to underpin<br />
decision-taking by the players.<br />
8 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
TRADE & INDUSTRY<br />
Pipe supply starts <strong>for</strong> Power of Siberia GTS construction<br />
First pipes <strong>for</strong> the Power of Siberia <strong>gas</strong> transmission<br />
system (GTS) were delivered to Lensk (Yakutia). The<br />
first batch consists of 260 1,420-mm pipes with a 21.7 mm<br />
wall thickness and the total weight of some 2.4 thousand<br />
tons. The pipes are currently stocked at the temporary<br />
storage; they will be used <strong>for</strong> constructing the GTS section<br />
from the Chayandinskoye field to Lensk. All in all,<br />
in <strong>2014</strong> it is planned to deliver over 120.000 t of pipe products.<br />
The domestically manufactured pipes are delivered<br />
to Ust-Kut (Irkutsk Region) via the railway and further<br />
to Lensk by barge. In order to arrange and manage the<br />
goods traffic, a united logistic center was set up in Ust-<br />
Kut. Between <strong>2014</strong> and 2018 it is planned to deliver over<br />
1,700 t of pipes.<br />
Wintershall selects 8over8’s ProCon<br />
to support its capital deployment strategy<br />
Wintershall Holding GmbH, has selected 8over8®<br />
Limited’s contract management plat<strong>for</strong>m to<br />
underpin its global capital development strategy. Wintershall<br />
has recently acquired a number of licences and<br />
fields in the Norwegian North Sea. The company currently<br />
invests half of its global exploration budget in the<br />
Total signs a long-term agreement<br />
to supply LNG to Pavilion Energy<br />
Total signed a 10-year LNG sale and purchase agreement<br />
with Pavilion Gas, a subsidiary of Pavilion Energy, <strong>for</strong> the<br />
supply of 0.7 million tonnes per year of liquefied natural <strong>gas</strong><br />
to Asia, including Singapore, starting in 2018. In addition,<br />
several LNG cargoes will be supplied prior to 2018. This LNG<br />
will be sourced from Total’s global LNG Portfolio.<br />
region, making it one of the Norway’s largest licence<br />
holders. Wintershall is implementing 8over8’s industry<br />
leading solution ProCon, which drives recognised<br />
commercial discipline into major capital projects by<br />
ensuring standardisation and increasing internal and<br />
external collaboration.<br />
Total is active in most of the major LNG producing<br />
regions as well as in the main LNG markets and continues<br />
to develop LNG as a key component of its growth strategy.<br />
The Group is involved in LNG plants in Indonesia,<br />
Nigeria, Norway, Oman, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates,<br />
Yemen, Angola, Australia and Russia.<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 9
TRADE & INDUSTRY<br />
Norwegian prime minister Erna Solberg<br />
and Statoil CEO Helge Lund were<br />
greeted by Gudrun plat<strong>for</strong>m manager<br />
Ole Martin Bakken. Photo: Harald Pettersen.<br />
Gudrun officially opened<br />
Norwegian prime minister Erna Solberg officially opened<br />
the Gudrun plat<strong>for</strong>m in the North Sea. This is the first new<br />
Statoil-operated plat<strong>for</strong>m on the Norwegian continental<br />
shelf (NCS) since Kristin in 2005. Gudrun is the first in a<br />
long line of new field developments operated by Statoil,<br />
and there<strong>for</strong>e it represents a new era on the NCS. The<br />
next in line is Valemon, which is scheduled <strong>for</strong> start-up<br />
later this year. Gina Krog and Johan Sverdrup on the Utsira<br />
High are next in the North Sea.<br />
Gudrun is the result of a global development strategy.<br />
The jacket has been delivered by Kværner Værdal in mid-<br />
Norway, and the living quarters by Apply Leirvik at Stord in<br />
western Norway. The topside was provided by Aibel with<br />
sub-supplies from Thailand, Poland and from Haugesund<br />
in Western Norway. The helideck was constructed in China.<br />
Gudrun has been put on stream on time and below the<br />
cost estimate of the plan <strong>for</strong> development and operation<br />
(PDO). The global puzzle has helped keep the costs down.<br />
E.ON and RasGas agree supply contract<br />
E<br />
.ON and Qatar’s RasGas have signed a three-year deal<br />
<strong>for</strong> the supply of LNG to the UK. The medium-term<br />
flexible contract could potentially supply up to two billion<br />
cubic metres (bcm) over its term, according to both<br />
firms. The LNG from Qatar will be transported by ship to<br />
the Isle of Grain in the UK. E.ON sees Qatar, which has the<br />
world’s third largest <strong>gas</strong> reserve, as a pivotal player in the<br />
growth of its LNG business model, including short and<br />
long-term supply agreements. RasGas currently exports<br />
to countries across Asia, Europe and the Americas with a<br />
total LNG production capacity of approximately 37 million<br />
t per annum.<br />
German government supports advancement<br />
of clean and efficient fuel cells<br />
FuelCell Energy Solutions GmbH (FCES), which manufactures,<br />
sells, operates and services reliable fuel cell power<br />
plants, announced the issuance of nearly € 5 million in<br />
awards by Germany’s Federal Ministry <strong>for</strong> Economic Affairs<br />
and Energy to support a three year research and development<br />
project between FCES and joint venture partner<br />
Fraunhofer IKTS. The project targets further enhancements<br />
to the Direct FuelCell®(DFC®) technology by increasing<br />
power density and operating life of the fuel cells, leading to<br />
lower costs. The research is being per<strong>for</strong>med in Germany<br />
by FCES at an existing facility in Ottobrunn and by Fraunhofer<br />
IKTS at a facility located in Dresden.<br />
10 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
PERSONAL<br />
NDT Global appoints Gunther H. Blitz as<br />
new Chief Executive Officer<br />
NDT Global, a leading supplier of ultrasonic pipeline<br />
inspection and integrity services, announced<br />
Gunther H. Blitz as Chief Executive Officer of NDT<br />
Global Europe. Mr. Blitz has held various positions in<br />
the pipeline and plastics industry and has worked in<br />
several senior management positions. NDT Global has<br />
embarked on a steady growth course with significant<br />
investments in inspection tools, engineering capacity<br />
and skilled work<strong>for</strong>ce. The company’s<br />
focus on long-term strategic<br />
development and international<br />
expansion has already<br />
resulted in framework contracts<br />
with major oil and <strong>gas</strong> companies<br />
and new offices in<br />
Malaysia and Russia.<br />
GasTerra CEO Gertjan Lankhorst is President of Euro<strong>gas</strong><br />
The General Assembly of the European branch<br />
organisation Euro<strong>gas</strong>, meeting in Venice, has<br />
elected Gertjan Lankhorst, CEO of GasTerra, as its<br />
new President. He succeeds Frenchman Jean-François<br />
Cirelli who has headed Euro<strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> the last four<br />
years. The Euro<strong>gas</strong> Presidency is an ancillary position,<br />
Mr Lankhorst will continue in his post as CEO of Gas-<br />
Terra.<br />
Euro<strong>gas</strong> brings together a total of 45 <strong>gas</strong> sector companies<br />
and organisations, dealing in <strong>gas</strong> trading, distribution<br />
and retail, from 25 different countries. It is responsible <strong>for</strong><br />
protecting the sector’s common interests in Brussels.<br />
Messe<br />
NetworkiNg<br />
koNgress<br />
FACHForeN<br />
europAs FüHreNde eNergieFACHMesse<br />
e-world eNergy & wAter<br />
10. - 12.2.2015<br />
esseN, gerMANy<br />
www.e-world-essen.com<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 11
PERSONAL<br />
New Vice-President of GAZ-SYSTEM S.A.<br />
he General Meeting of GAZ-SYSTEM S.A.<br />
Tappointed Mr. Dariusz Bogdan to the post of<br />
Vice-President of the company’s Management<br />
Board. Mr. Dariusz Bogdan graduated from the<br />
Faculty of Mechatronics at the Warsaw Univer-<br />
sity of Technology, followed by postgraduate<br />
studies in Telecommunications, Computer<br />
Science and Management at the Faculty<br />
of Electronics and In<strong>for</strong>mation<br />
Technology at the Warsaw University of<br />
Technology. From December 2007 to June <strong>2014</strong>, he was<br />
Undersecretary of State at the Ministry of the Economy.<br />
He has also held the post of Chairperson of the Offset<br />
Agreements Committee, Chairperson of the Supervisory<br />
Board of the Polish Agency <strong>for</strong> Enterprise Development,<br />
member of the Council <strong>for</strong> Computerization of<br />
the State and of the Committee of the Council of Ministers<br />
on In<strong>for</strong>mation Technology and Communications.<br />
He was previously the Director of the IT Office in<br />
the Agricultural Market Agency.<br />
Personnel changes at Wintershall<br />
Wintershall’s strategy is to expand exploration and<br />
production of oil and <strong>gas</strong>. To reflect this strategic<br />
orientation more strongly, the following organizational<br />
changes will be made effective September 1, <strong>2014</strong>:<br />
■ Mario Mehren, who has been in charge of Wintershall’s<br />
Russian business, will also assume responsibility<br />
<strong>for</strong> the core regions of South America and North<br />
Africa.<br />
■ Martin Bachmann will manage the core business in<br />
Europe, with the production regions Germany, the<br />
Netherlands and Norway. Bachmann will also build<br />
our operations in the development region of the Middle<br />
East.<br />
■ Chief Financial Officer Ties Tiessen will take over<br />
responsibility <strong>for</strong> natural <strong>gas</strong> transport and transit<br />
pipelines, including the Nord Stream, South Stream<br />
and OPAL/NEL projects.<br />
Dr. Gerhard König, Dr. Ties Tiessen, Dr. Rainer Seele,<br />
Martin Bachmann, Mario Mehren (from left).<br />
■<br />
Rainer Seele will remain Chairman of the Board of<br />
Executive Directors.<br />
As part of the asset swap agreed between BASF and<br />
Gazprom in December 2013, Wintershall will exit the natural<br />
<strong>gas</strong> trading and storage business the two have jointly<br />
run <strong>for</strong> many years. When the transaction is completed,<br />
the responsible board member, Gerhard König, will join<br />
the Gazprom Group and continues as chairman of WIN-<br />
GAS. It is expected to be completed in the fall of <strong>2014</strong>.<br />
There will also be changes at the top of some operating<br />
companies (OPCOs) of Wintershall effective September<br />
1, <strong>2014</strong>:<br />
■ Andreas Scheck, up to now Head of the Operations<br />
department in Germany, will take charge of Wintershall<br />
Deutschland in Barnstorf. Joachim Pünnel will<br />
take over management of a new division at headquarters<br />
in Kassel.<br />
■ Robert Frimpong, previously Vice President Technology,<br />
will assume responsibility <strong>for</strong> the Business Unit<br />
Netherlands in Rijswijk. His predecessor Gilbert van<br />
den Brink stays Managing Director of Wintershall Nederland<br />
B.V.<br />
■ Thilo Wieland, up to now Vice President Strategy and<br />
Portfolio Management, will become General Manager<br />
of Wintershall Libya. He succeeds Uwe Salge, who will<br />
move to Abu Dhabi as Head of Wintershall Middle<br />
East. Klaus Langemann, to date General Manager in<br />
Middle East, will take charge of a new unit at headquarters<br />
in Kassel.<br />
12 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
EVENTS<br />
29 th European Autumn Gas Conference<br />
World of Energy Solutions<br />
The World of Energy Solutions Conference will attract<br />
experts from industry, research and practice to Stuttgart<br />
from October 6 to 8, <strong>2014</strong>. The over 100 speakers will<br />
provide insights into their daily work, business models,<br />
technologies and long-term trends. A total of more than<br />
800 delegates from Asia, North America and Europe are<br />
European <strong>energy</strong> industry leaders are due to attend<br />
and debate the future <strong>for</strong> European natural <strong>gas</strong> at a<br />
major summit this October, being held in St Paul’s, central<br />
London. With the Russian-Ukrainian crisis having dramatically<br />
underlined the fragility of Europe’s strategic bargaining<br />
position with Russia due to <strong>energy</strong> dependency, the<br />
summit will examine the diversification of, and continued<br />
security of supply issues relating to the future use <strong>for</strong><br />
natural <strong>gas</strong> within the union.<br />
Leading industry figures including Jean-Francois Cirelli,<br />
President of the world’s largest utility company, GDF<br />
SUEZ, will debate Europe’s <strong>energy</strong> future at the 29 th<br />
annual European Autumn Gas Conference with other key<br />
consumers, suppliers and regulators of <strong>gas</strong>. As European<br />
utilities continue to struggle to keep costs of <strong>energy</strong> <strong>for</strong><br />
their customers down, the critical role <strong>for</strong> natural <strong>gas</strong> in<br />
the face of increasingly-demanding carbon emissions<br />
tightening by the EU, means decisions made now about<br />
<strong>energy</strong> diversity will impact on all member states over<br />
the coming decades. As Europe faces growing competition<br />
<strong>for</strong> fuels such as <strong>gas</strong> and coal from<br />
rapidly-expanding consumer regions<br />
such as Asia, the race is on to secure<br />
long-term stability, fair pricing and<br />
diversity of supply to ensure Europe’s<br />
<strong>energy</strong> demands continue to be met.<br />
Many Chief Executives and board-level members of<br />
key organisations will be present and making their contributions<br />
to the <strong>energy</strong> debate, including Phillippe Sauquet,<br />
President of Total Gas & Power, Marcelino Oreja<br />
Arburúa, Chief Executive Officer of ENAGAS, Sean Waring,<br />
Managing Director of Interconnector, Jean-Marc Leroy,<br />
Chief Executive Officer of Storengy, and Jogchum Brinksma,<br />
Managing Director of Citigroup Global Commodities.<br />
The 29 th European Autumn Gas Conference takes<br />
place between 28-30 October at the Grange St Paul’s<br />
Hotel, City of London.<br />
www.theeagc.com<br />
expected to attend the Conference. The focal points of<br />
the Conference will be technological and economic<br />
aspects of international future-oriented developments of<br />
integrated <strong>energy</strong>, storage and mobility solutions.<br />
www.world-of-<strong>energy</strong>-solutions.de<br />
PTC 2015 - Call <strong>for</strong> Papers<br />
Interested speakers are invited to submit an abstract<br />
(max. 300 words) describing the main ideas of their<br />
paper together with the presenter’s CV (max. 200 words).<br />
Abstracts should not focus on company presentation but<br />
on technical/managerial classifications, R&D, new technologies<br />
or recent case studies. Joint presentations<br />
between pipeline operators and technology providers<br />
are welcome.<br />
Each speaker gets a presentation time of 20 minutes.<br />
The presented papers will be published in the conference<br />
proceedings and distributed to the conference attendees.<br />
All abstracts and papers will also be published<br />
in the abstract database. Speakers from<br />
the private industry are requested to register as<br />
normal delegate. All other confirmed speakers<br />
attend free-of-charge. Conference language is<br />
English.<br />
■■<br />
Deadline <strong>for</strong> abstract submission: 30 November <strong>2014</strong><br />
■■<br />
Notification of abstract acceptance: 15 January 2015<br />
■■<br />
Final conference paper due: 31 March 2015<br />
www.pipeline-conference.com/call-<strong>for</strong>-papers<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 13
EVENTS<br />
7 th International Gas Turbine Conference –<br />
“The Future of Gas Turbine Technology”<br />
The International Gas Turbine Conference, organised<br />
biennially, aims to highlight the role that <strong>gas</strong> turbine<br />
technology could play in the future and raise the awareness<br />
of <strong>gas</strong> turbine (GT) technology development needs<br />
– from both oil & <strong>gas</strong> and power generation operators’<br />
perspectives. The conference will also provide the opportunity<br />
to meet and exchange ideas with policy makers,<br />
high level executives and GT experts from the whole<br />
value chain attending from Europe, North and South<br />
America, Middle East, and Asia. The conference will highlight<br />
and discuss the <strong>energy</strong> market outlook in Europe<br />
and globally, as well as to present recent developments<br />
and on-going R&D activities <strong>for</strong> flexible, efficient and<br />
environmentally sound <strong>gas</strong> turbines.<br />
The 7 th International Gas Turbine Conference (IGTC-14)<br />
take place October 14-15 in Brussels Belgium and will will<br />
focus on the required future GT technology developments<br />
from a user’s and a political point of view.<br />
www.etn-<strong>gas</strong>turbine.eu<br />
3 rd annual Gas Asia Summit<br />
Across Europe and Asia, many pose the question –<br />
what role will natural <strong>gas</strong> play in the future <strong>energy</strong><br />
mix in relation to coal, oil, natural <strong>gas</strong>, renewables and<br />
nuclear? In the recent years, natural <strong>gas</strong> has slowly started<br />
to increase its share in the <strong>energy</strong> mix within many countries.<br />
It has become a favoured fossil fuel choice over coal<br />
and oil due to its lower carbon emissions and also higher<br />
fuel efficiency - but at what price point does natural <strong>gas</strong><br />
become a less attractive option?<br />
These concerns will be addressed at the 3 rd annual<br />
Gas Asia Summit (GAS) in Singapore this October.<br />
Mr Varro will join Dr Anthony Barker, General Manager<br />
<strong>for</strong> BG Singapore Gas Marketing, and Ken Koyama, Managing<br />
Director and Chief Economist, Charge of Strategy<br />
Research Unit <strong>for</strong> the Institute of Energy Economics,<br />
Japan (IEEJ) to discuss whether <strong>gas</strong> is displacing coal in<br />
the <strong>energy</strong> mix, the drive towards cleaner fuels, and the<br />
role nuclear will play in the coming decade.<br />
The agenda <strong>for</strong> this year’s Summit has been developed<br />
around the theme “Multilateral Cooperation to Connect<br />
Gas Markets”.<br />
GAS will be held from 29 to 31 October as part of the<br />
annual Singapore International<br />
Energy Week (SIEW)<br />
organised by the Energy<br />
Market Authority (EMA) of<br />
Singapore. Over 250 international<br />
and regional VIPs and<br />
C-level executives attend<br />
the Summit each year.<br />
www.<strong>gas</strong>asiasummit.com<br />
South East Europe Oil & Gas Exhibition and<br />
Conference<br />
Officially supported by the Ministry of Environment,<br />
Energy and Climate Change, the South East Europe Oil &<br />
Gas Exhibition and Conference will take place on 25 - 27<br />
November <strong>2014</strong> at the Metropolitan Expo in Athens,<br />
Greece. This event will focus on developments in Albania,<br />
Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Greece, Cyprus,<br />
Hungary, Moldova, Montenegro, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia,<br />
Fyrom, Israel, Italy and Turkey, all which will be connected<br />
to the host country, Greece, via existing and<br />
planned pipeline projects.<br />
www.oil<strong>gas</strong>-seeurope.com<br />
14 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
EVENTS<br />
LNG Roadmap - LNG as a driving <strong>for</strong>ce <strong>for</strong> crossborder<br />
cooperation within the EU<br />
Gas- und Wärme-Institut Essen e. V. (GWI) as an institute<br />
<strong>for</strong> applied research in the area of fuel <strong>gas</strong> technologies<br />
provides scientific and technical support <strong>for</strong> the introduction<br />
of LNG into the German markets. For this purpose, GWI can<br />
draw from its own experience as well as that of its German<br />
and international partners and the respective industries.<br />
A favorable geographic location offers an advantage<br />
to both the state of North Rhine-Westphalia as well as<br />
Germany as a whole to implement a LNG infrastructure<br />
which underlines the crucial role of the cross-border<br />
cooperation <strong>for</strong> this process.<br />
To further discussions as well as an exchange of experience,<br />
GWI and EnergieAgentur.NRW jointly hosted the<br />
workshop “LNG Roadmap - LNG as a driving <strong>for</strong>ce <strong>for</strong><br />
cross-border cooperation within the EU”, which took<br />
place on July 3 rd , <strong>2014</strong> in the Maritim Hotel Dusseldorf.<br />
Among the Dutch partners were the Netherlands<br />
Organization <strong>for</strong> Applied Scientific Research TNO, the<br />
Energy Valley Foundation and the Arnhem Nijmegen City<br />
Region. The Development Centre <strong>for</strong> Ship Technology<br />
and Transport Systems at the University of Duisburg-<br />
Essen was a German event partner.<br />
Source: GWI<br />
About 100 experts from Germany, the Netherlands,<br />
Great Britain, Norway, Switzerland, Austria, France and<br />
Belgium attended the workshop and discussed the<br />
launch of the LNG as a fuel <strong>gas</strong>. Amongst the participants<br />
were relevant parties from <strong>gas</strong> trading, plant and appliance<br />
manufacturers and operators, shipping companies,<br />
shipyards, consulting companies and political and municipal<br />
representatives.<br />
The workshop “LNG Roadmap” enjoyed a very high<br />
interest of the German and European <strong>energy</strong> and transport<br />
economy sectors. This event constitutes a <strong>for</strong>um in<br />
which an exchange of views and experiences in the area<br />
of the cross-border LNG infrastructure development can<br />
be discussed. Gas- and Wärme-Institut Essen e. V. and the<br />
EnergieAgentur.NRW announced a follow-up workshop<br />
<strong>for</strong> the first half of 2015.<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 15
INTERVIEW<br />
Søren Juel Hansen<br />
Natural <strong>gas</strong> as part of a<br />
future more renewable EU<br />
<strong>energy</strong> solution<br />
“<strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong>” has interviewed Søren Juel Hansen, head of development<br />
and <strong>for</strong>mer head of infrastructure, preparedness and tariffs in Energinet.dk.<br />
The European <strong>gas</strong> market has become more dynamic<br />
in recent years. Do you have a vision <strong>for</strong> the future of<br />
the European <strong>gas</strong> market?<br />
Hansen: I would like to see the <strong>gas</strong> system and the European<br />
<strong>gas</strong> market as backbone <strong>for</strong> European clean growth.<br />
Energy planners, researchers, demonstrators and producers<br />
of bio<strong>gas</strong>, re<strong>gas</strong> and power2<strong>gas</strong> all over Europe have<br />
shown us that it is possible to make <strong>gas</strong> based on renewables<br />
and electricity and thus to convert the <strong>gas</strong> system and<br />
the <strong>gas</strong> market from fossil to renewable. The electricity system<br />
is allready a long way down the renewable path with<br />
sun and wind but it needs transport<br />
capacity, flexibility and storage<br />
capacity. Gas on the other<br />
hand is flexible and has huge<br />
transport capacities, flexibility<br />
and storage capacities several<br />
times larger than e.g. the transport<br />
capacity of the current electricity<br />
grid and the capacity of the EU hydro power storages.<br />
I there<strong>for</strong>e see <strong>gas</strong> as an obvious partner <strong>for</strong> a future more<br />
renewable and electricity based European <strong>energy</strong> market. I<br />
thus see <strong>gas</strong> as the current cleanest fossil and the future<br />
renewable backbone fuel and system <strong>for</strong> a more renewable<br />
and electricity based <strong>energy</strong> system.<br />
What do you think are the main challenges to the <strong>gas</strong><br />
industry / <strong>gas</strong> infrastructure?<br />
Hansen: Ohhh ... We have several.<br />
First and biggest challenge is to wake up and understand<br />
the surrounding society's needs: Until around 2005,<br />
the European <strong>gas</strong> industry got its growth all by it selves.<br />
There<strong>for</strong>e, the <strong>gas</strong> industry just focused on supplying the<br />
ever increasing demand with of shelf solutions and did not<br />
pay sufficient attention to the current and future needs of<br />
the surrounding society and <strong>energy</strong> systems. Accordingly,<br />
“Challenges <strong>for</strong> the <strong>gas</strong><br />
industry are there<strong>for</strong>e to<br />
listen carefully to the<br />
society’s needs.”<br />
the <strong>gas</strong> industry's ability to position it selves and develop<br />
the <strong>gas</strong> sector to serve the current and future <strong>energy</strong> Market<br />
is weak. Challenges <strong>for</strong> the <strong>gas</strong> industry are there<strong>for</strong>e to<br />
listen carefully to the society’s needs and set sail <strong>for</strong> further<br />
market integration and renewable <strong>gas</strong> and to provide flexibility<br />
and storage <strong>for</strong> other renewables and clean solutions<br />
<strong>for</strong> the transport sector. In basic, we have to listen to society’s<br />
needs and provide the solutions society request.<br />
Second, under the previous Ukraine crisis, we learned of<br />
the need <strong>for</strong> Security of Supply in all of Europe and not just<br />
Northwest Europe. We have now secured a robust EU preparedness<br />
set-up and many<br />
reverse flow capacities but we<br />
still have not integrated the markets<br />
in Southern and Eastern<br />
Europe well enough with the<br />
now super liquid Northwest<br />
European spot <strong>gas</strong> Market and<br />
we still need some liquidity on<br />
the <strong>for</strong>ward market. This is especially a pity <strong>for</strong> the regional<br />
markets still suffering from local domination but also <strong>for</strong> the<br />
decoupling of <strong>gas</strong> prices from oil prices and <strong>for</strong> the common<br />
European purchasing power towards Russia and other big<br />
suppliers. So we still have a market integration job to do!<br />
Another and just as important market integration challenge<br />
is to secure a European green <strong>gas</strong> market. We have<br />
access <strong>for</strong> bio<strong>gas</strong>, re<strong>gas</strong> and power2<strong>gas</strong> in some national<br />
markets and bio<strong>gas</strong> certificates are also in place or under<br />
development some places but it is not coordinated nor<br />
positioned as a tool to reach e.g. EU renewable transport<br />
targets. I there<strong>for</strong>e see a huge challenge in facilitating this<br />
and making <strong>gas</strong>, the <strong>gas</strong> system and the <strong>gas</strong> market part of<br />
a future more renewable EU <strong>energy</strong> solution.<br />
Good news is that <strong>gas</strong> is needed <strong>for</strong> flexibility and <strong>gas</strong><br />
can be converted to economic, clean and <strong>energy</strong> effi-<br />
cient renewable solutions.<br />
16 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Søren Juel Hansen<br />
INTERVIEW<br />
Establishing a 100% carbon-neutral <strong>gas</strong> supply in<br />
Denmark to 2050, what are the main measures to<br />
succeed in this plans?<br />
Hansen: Danish politicians have picked wind as the prime<br />
solution towards 2020 to reach a 2050 fully renewable<br />
Danish <strong>energy</strong> supply. Like sun, wind means electricity.<br />
Well functioning electricity systems and markets and<br />
a variety of other flexible renewable supply sources are<br />
there<strong>for</strong>e keys in the Danish plan.<br />
Wind and other renewables are available as the wind<br />
blows, sun shines, pigs … and the electricity system has<br />
to balance every second. The electricity system there<strong>for</strong>e<br />
needs increased capacity and flexibility to absorb this.<br />
New electricity infrastructure, flexible producers and<br />
consumers and electricity connections to Norway, Sweden,<br />
Germany and more coming up and can add some<br />
further flexibility. But still the capacity of e.g. all Denmark’s<br />
current electricity connections to Germany, Sweden and<br />
Norway together only corresponds to the capacity of our<br />
recently upgraded <strong>gas</strong> connection to Germany. The huge<br />
transport capacity muscle of the <strong>gas</strong> system which can<br />
transport huge volumes of <strong>energy</strong> over long distances<br />
without <strong>energy</strong> loss can thus help with transport capacity.<br />
Bio<strong>gas</strong> is right now developing all over Denmark<br />
and the government wants this to cover 3% of the sup-<br />
ply within few years. Re<strong>gas</strong>ification of e.g. biomass and<br />
power2<strong>gas</strong> are still technologies to be further<br />
matured but the government also<br />
have an eye on these as the possibility<br />
to turn renewable power<br />
in to <strong>gas</strong> is highly needed to<br />
absorb the increasing volumes<br />
of wind power.<br />
Other elements in the<br />
Danish vision are better utilisation<br />
of excess heat.<br />
Although some district heating<br />
systems loose 20 % or more<br />
of the <strong>energy</strong> in transport, district<br />
heating is a sure winner in<br />
all the cases where you have<br />
excess heat from e.g. production<br />
of goods, electricity or conversion<br />
from e.g. electricity to <strong>gas</strong>.<br />
Efficent integration of renewables,<br />
<strong>energy</strong> usage, electricity, <strong>gas</strong><br />
and heat systems is thus a key element<br />
in the Danish plans and visions.<br />
What could the position of <strong>gas</strong> be in a Danish 2050<br />
renewable scenario?<br />
Hansen: Gas has the potential to become the renewable<br />
backbone of the future fully renewable and more electricity<br />
based Danish Energy system. Gas is thus a key element.<br />
Moreover, <strong>gas</strong> can also contribute in shipping and<br />
heavy transport where it can reduce current large emissions<br />
of both CO 2 and particles.<br />
What will your company´s most important<br />
innovation/project be? (concerning this scenario)<br />
Hansen: Being a transmission system operator, we are<br />
just a facilitator. I there<strong>for</strong>e do not expect the innovation<br />
to come from us - but rather that we support the<br />
innovators with:<br />
■ vision, technical and commercial sparring<br />
■ liquid easy accessible markets and flexibility<br />
■ EU recognised green certificates to secure the green<br />
value can be traded<br />
Having said this, creating one European <strong>gas</strong> market with<br />
sufficient security of supply <strong>for</strong> all and promoting a European<br />
recognised and tradeable green <strong>gas</strong> certificate is<br />
our current prime project.<br />
Mr. Hansen, thank you very much <strong>for</strong> the interview.<br />
INFO<br />
Søren Juel Hansen is head of development<br />
and <strong>for</strong>mer head of infrastructure,<br />
preparedness and tariffs in Energinet.dk.<br />
Søren is responsible <strong>for</strong> new business<br />
development and public affairs activities.<br />
In his past 13 years with the <strong>gas</strong> sector<br />
Søren has been responsible <strong>for</strong> Energinet.<br />
dk’s Open Season 2009 and the EU-recovery<br />
programme funded investment decisions<br />
<strong>for</strong> the German-Danish interconnection<br />
point in Ellund, the Danish preparedness-setup<br />
<strong>for</strong> both electricity and <strong>gas</strong><br />
and the rules <strong>for</strong> the 2004 liberalisation of<br />
the Danish <strong>gas</strong> market. Current focus is on<br />
securing the role of green <strong>gas</strong> in the<br />
<strong>energy</strong> mix and on integrating the upmid-<br />
and downstream <strong>gas</strong> value chain.
<strong>IGRC</strong> <strong>2014</strong> in Copenhagen<br />
Every three years the International Gas Union (IGU) invites<br />
the global <strong>gas</strong> society to the worlds most recognized <strong>gas</strong><br />
R&D conference – the <strong>IGRC</strong>.<br />
This years conference – <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> - takes place in<br />
Copenhagen, Denmark, 17-19 September, <strong>2014</strong> in the<br />
state-of-the-art Tivoli Congress Center centrally located in<br />
the city. The conference is hosted by the Danish Gas<br />
Technology Center. The conference theme is Gas Innovations<br />
Inspiring Clean Energy.<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Jérôme Ferrier, President of IGU will give the Opening<br />
Speech on “The Importance of R&D and Innovation”.<br />
Rasmus Helveg Petersen, Danish Minister <strong>for</strong> Climate,<br />
Energy- and Building will welcome the delegates to<br />
“Green Denmark”.<br />
Peder Ø. Andreasen, CEO, Energinet.dk will talk about<br />
“Gas and power synergies in a clean <strong>energy</strong> future”.<br />
Ulco Vermeulen, Managing Director, Gasunie will chair a<br />
panel debate on “How innovations change the <strong>gas</strong> market”.<br />
Jérôme Ferrier.<br />
Rasmus Helveg Petersen.<br />
© Tivoli Congress Center.<br />
CALL FOR PAPERS SETS NEW<br />
ALL-TIME RECORD<br />
<strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> received a total of 771 abstracts from 44 countries.<br />
These are all-time records in the history of <strong>IGRC</strong><br />
starting in 1980.<br />
Such impressive figures of course reflect the current<br />
high interest in <strong>gas</strong> technology; and the understanding<br />
that <strong>gas</strong> will play an increasing role in the future <strong>energy</strong><br />
mix, and that technology will be the key to the future<br />
business model <strong>for</strong> <strong>gas</strong> growth.<br />
All the abstracts have been reviewed by members of<br />
the International Paper Committee established under the<br />
auspices of IGU.<br />
It has been a tough job <strong>for</strong> the committee members<br />
to score all abstracts and select the 400 papers that will<br />
constitute the <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> programme. Out of these, approx.<br />
100 papers will be presented in oral sessions/workshop sessions<br />
and 300 in poster sessions.<br />
TOP ENERGY PEOPLE OPEN <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong><br />
The <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> Opening Plenary Wednesday, September<br />
17, <strong>2014</strong> will feature key <strong>energy</strong> executives from the Danish<br />
and global <strong>energy</strong> world:<br />
Peder Ø. Andreasen.<br />
Gerald Linke.<br />
Marc Florette.<br />
Ulco Vermeulen.<br />
Jack Lewnard.<br />
David Carroll.<br />
18 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
The Opening Plenary will offer the delegates a cultural<br />
experience when Harlequin and Columbine from the<br />
Tivoli Pantomime Theatre will per<strong>for</strong>m the pantomime<br />
“Gas Innovations Inspiring Clean Energy”. The pantomime<br />
will be specially created <strong>for</strong> the <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> and will not be<br />
shown again elsewhere.<br />
TECHNOLOGY IS THE KEY TO A<br />
GROWING GAS MARKET<br />
In addition to the opening plenary, <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> features three<br />
exciting plenaries discussing different aspects of the role of<br />
technology in the development of the future <strong>gas</strong> market:<br />
What is the business case <strong>for</strong> R&D?<br />
Chaired by Gerald Linke, Senior Managing Director,<br />
DVGW, GERMANY<br />
What could be the important technology game changers?<br />
Chaired by Jack Lewnard, Vice President, Chesapeake Utility,<br />
USA<br />
Important messages from the world of <strong>gas</strong> technology<br />
Chaired by Marc Florette, Digital Director, GDF Suez<br />
Research and Innovation, FRANCE and including a presentation<br />
by IGU Vice President David Carroll<br />
28 TECHNICAL SESSIONS<br />
The technical programme comprises 28 oral and workshop<br />
sessions and 10 poster sessions covering the entire<br />
<strong>gas</strong> chain from wll-head to burner-tip.<br />
Session titles are:<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Will <strong>gas</strong> heat pumps find their place in the market?<br />
The expansion of the <strong>gas</strong> market with advanced<br />
technologies<br />
Domestic fuel cells - latest developments<br />
Gas quality - implications <strong>for</strong> <strong>gas</strong> use<br />
From appliances to a system of prosumers<br />
Advanced syn<strong>gas</strong> technology and environmental<br />
awareness<br />
Towards lowest emissions<br />
Efficiency increase through heat recovery<br />
Optimizing industrial processes<br />
Future Mobility - driven by natural <strong>gas</strong><br />
Improving the pipeline integrity of your <strong>gas</strong><br />
infrastructure by monitoring and detection<br />
Optimize the use and replacement of your assets to<br />
reduce costs<br />
Monitoring and tracking of <strong>gas</strong> quality<br />
Evaluation of Polyethylene and Polyamide <strong>gas</strong> pipes<br />
Maintenaince and replacement technologies<br />
Diversifaction of LNG in the transportation sector<br />
Production mangement and optimisation<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Underground <strong>gas</strong> storage in the modern <strong>energy</strong><br />
market<br />
Per<strong>for</strong>mance improvements of natural <strong>gas</strong> dehydration<br />
processes<br />
Improvements in shale <strong>gas</strong> productivity<br />
■■<br />
New frontiers in the removal of CO 2<br />
■■<br />
Bio<strong>gas</strong> as part of the renewable future<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Reducing carbon footprint of natural <strong>gas</strong><br />
Power to <strong>gas</strong> - the next revolution<br />
Advances in <strong>gas</strong> processing<br />
How new <strong>gas</strong> resources impact national <strong>energy</strong><br />
systems<br />
Power-to-Gas - national or European topic<br />
Green Gas - economics and integration<br />
ENERGY BATTLE COPENHAGEN<br />
The NRG Battle Copenhagen will be part of <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong>.<br />
International teams of talents will gather from all over the<br />
world to work jointly on real-life <strong>energy</strong> cases under the<br />
supervision of leading <strong>energy</strong> executives.<br />
The NRG Battle - World Edition will take place on the<br />
premises of the Tivoli Congress Center, and teams will<br />
pitch the solutions to a jury of CEOs and experts who will<br />
determine the winner. The teams will be working on<br />
cases relating to the <strong>gas</strong> and <strong>energy</strong> industry overall, and<br />
the winners, as always, will get the tickets to travel around<br />
the world!<br />
GERG ACADEMIC NETWORK<br />
The European Gas Research Group (GERG) has decided to<br />
hold its annual Academic network event in conjunction<br />
with <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong>.<br />
Some 20 young researchers have been selected to<br />
present their research as posters at <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong>.<br />
PRESTEGIOUS AWARDS<br />
The conference organisers are pleased to offer two prestigious<br />
<strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> awards:<br />
■■<br />
The Dan Dolenc Award (10.000 €) will be given to an<br />
outstanding paper selected amongst all presented<br />
papers. (Dan Dolenc was a dedicated <strong>IGRC</strong> pioneer<br />
who organised a series of very successful <strong>IGRC</strong> conferences<br />
<strong>for</strong> the Gas Research Institute (GRI) in USA.)<br />
■■<br />
The Young Researchers Prize (3.500 €) will be given to<br />
a high quality paper by an author under the age of 35<br />
in <strong>2014</strong>.<br />
The award winners are selected by the Paper Committee<br />
Chairmanship and the IGU Presidency. Both awards are<br />
handed over to the winners at the <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> Closing Plenary<br />
Friday, September 19 at 12.30 hrs.<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 19
www.<strong>gas</strong>-<strong>for</strong>-<strong>energy</strong>.com<br />
Order now!<br />
A close up view of<br />
the international<br />
<strong>gas</strong> business<br />
This magazine <strong>for</strong> smart <strong>gas</strong> technologies, infrastructure and<br />
utilisation features technical reports on the European natural<br />
<strong>gas</strong> industry as well as results of research programmes and innovative<br />
technologies. Find out more about markets, enterprises,<br />
associations and products of device manufacturers.<br />
Each edition is completed by interviews with major company<br />
leaders and interesting portraits of key players in the European<br />
business.<br />
READ MORE ABOUT<br />
Gas applications Grid infrastructure Measurement<br />
Gas quality issues Pipeline construction Regulation<br />
Bio<strong>gas</strong> injection Corrosion protection Smart metering<br />
EXHIBITION<br />
In addition to the technical conference programme,<br />
<strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> will feature an exhibition of <strong>gas</strong> technology<br />
equipment and services from <strong>gas</strong> companies and manufacturers<br />
around the world.<br />
TECHNICAL TOURS<br />
<strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> offers 3 alternative technical tours in the Copenhagen<br />
area in addition to the conference programme.<br />
Avedøre Power Station – One of the top power stations<br />
in the world<br />
Avedøre Power Station is situated less than 10 km from<br />
the centre of Copenhagen and is one of the best Combined<br />
Heat and Power Plants in the world. Avedøre<br />
Power Station has a total capacity of about 825 MW and<br />
supplies 200,000 households with heat. It produces about<br />
30% of the total electricity use in Zealand, which is about<br />
1.3 million household’s yearly electricity consumption.<br />
Copenhagen Gasworks which produces 30 %<br />
CO 2-neutral <strong>gas</strong><br />
Kløvermarken Gasworks uses natural <strong>gas</strong>, bio<strong>gas</strong><br />
and air to produce town<strong>gas</strong> to the city of Copenhagen.<br />
The visit to the <strong>gas</strong>works will also include a visit<br />
to the wastewater treatment plant Lynetten where<br />
the production and treatment of the bio<strong>gas</strong> takes<br />
place.<br />
<strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> is published by DIV Deutscher Industrieverlag GmbH, Arnulfstr. 124, 80636 München, Germany<br />
The future heating system – <strong>gas</strong>-fired heat pump<br />
At the art gallery “Gl. Holtegaard”, situated north of<br />
Copenhagen, there is a heating system consisting of a<br />
stand-alone ground-source <strong>gas</strong>-fired heat pump <strong>for</strong> heating<br />
the indoor areas. The tour will include a technical part<br />
(<strong>gas</strong> heat pump installation) and a cultural part (visit to<br />
the art gallery, www.holtegaard.org).<br />
ATTRACTIVE PROGRAMME FOR<br />
ACCOMPANYING PERSONS<br />
Copenhagen – the capital of Denmark - is safe, pleasant<br />
and reliable. It is easy to get to from all over the<br />
world and easy to move around in. And Copenhagen is<br />
the ideal hub <strong>for</strong> visiting other parts of Scandinavia.<br />
<strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong> offers a very attractive programme dedicated<br />
to accompanying persons including meals, special<br />
sessions and tours.<br />
See the detailed programme on<br />
www.igrc<strong>2014</strong>.com<br />
KNOWLEDGE FOR THE<br />
FUTURE<br />
20 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
DIARY<br />
• <strong>IGRC</strong> International Gas Union Research Conference<br />
17.–19.9.<strong>2014</strong>, Copenhagen, Denmark<br />
www.igrc<strong>2014</strong>.com<br />
• gat/wat <strong>2014</strong><br />
29.9.–1.10.<strong>2014</strong>, Karlsruhe, Germany<br />
www.dvgw.de<br />
• InOGE<br />
7.–9.10.<strong>2014</strong><br />
www.inoge-expo.com<br />
• Renexpo<br />
9.–12.10.<strong>2014</strong>, Augsburg<br />
www.renexpo.de<br />
• 3 rd Annual Small Scale LNG Forum<br />
5.–6.11.<strong>2014</strong>, Rotterdam, Netherlands<br />
http://oil<strong>gas</strong>.flemingeurope.com/small-scale-lng-<strong>for</strong>um<br />
• KIOGE <strong>2014</strong><br />
7.–11.10.<strong>2014</strong>, Almaty, Kazakstan<br />
www.kioge.com<br />
• EAGC European Autumn Gas Conference<br />
28.–30.10.<strong>2014</strong>, London, U.K.<br />
www.theeagc.com<br />
• South East Europe Oil & Gas Exhibition and Conference<br />
25.–27.11.<strong>2014</strong>, Athen, Greece<br />
www.oil<strong>gas</strong>-seeurope.com<br />
• European Gas Conference<br />
27.–29.1.2015, Vienna, Austria<br />
www.european<strong>gas</strong>-conference.com<br />
• E-world of <strong>energy</strong> & water<br />
10.–12.2.2015, Essen, Germany<br />
www.e-world-essen.com<br />
• Gas Transport and Storage Summit<br />
23.–24.3.2015, Munich, Germany<br />
www.gtsevent.com<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 21
REPORTS<br />
Gas pipeline<br />
Doability of Trans-Caspian<br />
Pipeline and deliverability of<br />
Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> to Turkey & EU<br />
by Oğuzhan Akyener<br />
Due to increasing demand, <strong>gas</strong> supply is one of the most strategic <strong>energy</strong> security issues <strong>for</strong> huge importers. By<br />
taking this into consideration, Caspian region -where important <strong>gas</strong> supply potentials exist- is directly related with<br />
the huge importers’ <strong>energy</strong> security issues, mainly which are EU, China, India and Turkey. As an important <strong>gas</strong> supplier<br />
country locating in Caspian Region, Turkmenistan and her future <strong>gas</strong> supplies are becoming more important<br />
<strong>for</strong> the importers mentioned above. As a result, each importer is preparing long term plans and developing new<br />
projects to import the <strong>gas</strong> resources from Turkmenistan. One of the most popular projects -related with Turkmen<br />
<strong>gas</strong> resources- is Trans Caspian <strong>gas</strong> pipeline, which is planned to transport Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> through Caspian Sea to<br />
Azerbaijan and then with other available pipelines to Turkey and Europe. Naturally, this pipeline is an important<br />
<strong>energy</strong> security issue <strong>for</strong> Turkey-Azerbaijan and EU. However, there are important political, technical and economic<br />
challenges to overcome. In this study, after a short outlook into the <strong>gas</strong> politics in the Caspian Region -mainly Turkmenistan<br />
related issues-; importance of Trans Caspian <strong>gas</strong> pipeline project will be described. Then, doability of this<br />
popular project will be evaluated from the technical-political and economic perspectives. Additionally, Iran’s claim<br />
to transport Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> through Iran to Turkey instead of Trans Caspian project will economically be compared.<br />
1. CASPIAN REGION GAS POLITICS &<br />
IMPORTANCE OF TURKMENISTAN<br />
After oil and coal, natural <strong>gas</strong> is the most important<br />
<strong>energy</strong> resource in the world. Moreover, since being clean<br />
& easy to use and shale <strong>gas</strong> effect on prices, natural <strong>gas</strong> is<br />
expected to be the second world’s leading consumed<br />
fuel in the future.<br />
Caspian, involving Russia-Turkmenistan-Kazakhstan-<br />
Uzbekistan-Azerbaijan-Iran, is the most important<br />
region according to her proved <strong>gas</strong> reserves potential<br />
in the world (% 46,7 of world share [1]). Moreover, due<br />
to the geographical properties (locating in the middle<br />
of the important consumers; China-India-EU &<br />
Turkey), importance of Caspian region <strong>for</strong> world <strong>gas</strong><br />
politics is increasing.<br />
Table 1. Energy statistics of the main <strong>energy</strong> players in Caspian region.<br />
Proved Gas<br />
Reserves<br />
Azerbaijan<br />
Turkmenistan<br />
Uzbekistan<br />
Kazakhstan<br />
Iran Russia India China EU TR<br />
tcm 0,9 17,5 1,1 1,3 33,6 32,9 1,3 3,1 1,9 0,006<br />
Gas Production bcma 15,6 64,4 56,9 19,7 160,5 592,3 40,2 107,2 153 0,6<br />
Gas<br />
Consumption<br />
Demand<br />
Volume<br />
1 year prod/<br />
Reserves<br />
bcma 8,5 23,3 47,9 9,5 156,1 416,2 54,6 146,6 456 39<br />
-7,1 -41,1 -9 -10,2 -4,4 -176,1 14,4 39,4 303 38,4<br />
0,017 0,004 0,052 0,015 0,005 0,018 0,031 0,035 0,081 0,100<br />
RESULT SUPPLY SUPPLY SUPPLY SUPPLY SUPPLY SUPPLY DEMAND DEMAND DEMAND DEMAND<br />
22 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas pipeline<br />
REPORTS<br />
Table 2. 2035 Gas supply-demand potentials of main <strong>energy</strong> players in Caspian region.<br />
Azerbaijan Turkmenistan Uzbekistan Kazakhstan Iran Russia India China EU TR<br />
Gas Supply bcma 40 140 80 60 No Est. 350<br />
Gas Demand bcma 250 650 640 85<br />
Table 1 below gives numerical in<strong>for</strong>mation about the<br />
reserves-production & consumption values of Caspian<br />
and Caspian <strong>gas</strong> demanding countries.<br />
From the table above, it is observed that; there is an<br />
important volume of <strong>gas</strong> supply potential (such as<br />
250 bcma) in Caspian region and an important demand<br />
volume (such as 400 bcma) in nearby areas.<br />
Due to difficulties faced during transportation, storage<br />
and marketing procedures of natural <strong>gas</strong>, long term<br />
plans and <strong>for</strong>ecasts are much more important than any<br />
other <strong>energy</strong> resource. That’s why, <strong>for</strong> coherent <strong>gas</strong> politics,<br />
long term estimations are very important. Forecasts<br />
<strong>for</strong> the 2035 supply and demand potentials of these<br />
countries are given in the table above (table 2).<br />
In this scenario to focus on Turkmenistan; she has the<br />
3 rd important <strong>gas</strong> reserves and 2 nd (except Iran-no logical<br />
estimations due to sanctions) supply potential <strong>for</strong> the<br />
demand markets. Besides, India-China-Turkey and EU are<br />
the possible future buyers.<br />
A brief insight into the Turkmenistan <strong>energy</strong> market:<br />
■■<br />
An important <strong>gas</strong> exporter in the region (2 nd ).<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Today has an oil exporting capacity more than<br />
100 000 bbld.<br />
Today has a <strong>gas</strong> exporting capacity more than<br />
40 bcma.<br />
Lacks of sufficient <strong>for</strong>eign investment.<br />
Locating too far from the important markets (China-<br />
India-EU-TR).<br />
Lacks of sufficient oil export pipeline infrastructure.<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Majority of <strong>gas</strong> is exported to Russia and some portion<br />
of <strong>gas</strong> is exported to China and Iran.<br />
Important portion of <strong>gas</strong> reservoirs are high pressure<br />
and temperature reservoirs and have high percentages<br />
of H2S and CO 2; means not easy to develop due<br />
to economical & technical aspects.<br />
Due to important <strong>gas</strong> reserves attract all other players<br />
in the region.<br />
Main <strong>energy</strong> security targets are<br />
■■<br />
To get attraction of new <strong>for</strong>eign investors and<br />
develop more <strong>gas</strong> fields.<br />
■■<br />
To continue to securely access to Russia, Iran and<br />
China <strong>gas</strong> markets.<br />
■■<br />
To increase the capacity of transportation to access<br />
China <strong>gas</strong> markets.<br />
■■<br />
To access Pakistan, India and European <strong>gas</strong> markets<br />
via planned pipelines.<br />
■■<br />
To complete the construction of these relevant pipelines<br />
(TAPI & Trans Caspian).<br />
■■<br />
To reach <strong>gas</strong> export capacity of 230 bcma in 2035<br />
(expected to be more than 140 bcma).<br />
■■<br />
To reach oil export capacity over 1 million bbld in<br />
2035 (expected to be more than 250 000 bbld (due to<br />
expected increasing condensate production; but<br />
new infrastructures <strong>for</strong> transportation will be needed).<br />
■■<br />
To complete East-West pipeline inside Turkmenistan<br />
and have the ability to transport South East resources<br />
to the Caspian Sea markets (Then from Trans Caspian<br />
to EU).<br />
Table 3. Gas export pipelines of Turkmenistan.<br />
GAS EXPORT PIPELINES<br />
Name of Pipeline<br />
From<br />
(Supply Country)<br />
Through<br />
(Countries)<br />
To (Markets)<br />
CAC TURKMENISTAN TURK-UZB-KAZ RUSSIA 100<br />
Capacity<br />
(bcma)<br />
TURKMENISTAN<br />
EXISTING<br />
FUTURE<br />
KORPEZHE KK TURKMENISTAN TURK IRAN 13<br />
DAULETABAT-KANGIRAN TURKMENISTAN TURK IRAN 6<br />
CENTRAL ASIA-CHINA TURKMENISTAN TURK-UZB-KAZ CHINA 40<br />
BUKHARA-URALS TURKMENISTAN TURK-UZB-KAZ RUSSIA 20<br />
EAST-WEST TURKMENISTAN TURK CASPIAN 30<br />
TAPI TURKMENISTAN TURK-AFG-PAK INDIA 34<br />
TRANSCASPIAN TURKMENISTAN AZ TURKEY-EU 30<br />
CENTRAL ASIA-CHINA X UZBEKISTAN UZB CHINA +18<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 23
REPORTS<br />
Gas pipeline<br />
■■<br />
To solve conflicting claims over the maritime and seabed<br />
boundaries of Caspian Sea with Iran & Azerbaijan.<br />
Note that, items 4-5-8 & 9 are directly related with the<br />
trans caspian pipeline project.<br />
2. GAS EXPORT INFRASTRUCTURE OF<br />
TURKMENISTAN<br />
Table 3 summarizes existing and planned <strong>gas</strong> export<br />
infrastructure of Turkmenistan. As highlighted with yellow,<br />
Trans-Caspian <strong>gas</strong> pipeline project is the planned<br />
infrastructure to transport Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> to TR and EU.<br />
3. TRANS-CASPIAN GAS PIPELINE<br />
PROJECT<br />
3.1 Introduction<br />
The idea to transport Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> to Europe continues to<br />
be popular since the independence days of Turkmenistan.<br />
This idea has developed as the Trans-Caspian <strong>gas</strong><br />
pipeline project. Many changes in the structure and strategies<br />
of this pipeline occurred. For instance, the plan<br />
used to include NABUCCO and SCPX pipeline however<br />
political and commercial decision makers have changed<br />
the roots and projects.<br />
With the last updates, Trans-Caspian <strong>gas</strong> pipeline is planned<br />
to run under the Caspian Sea from Türkmenbaşy to the Sangachal<br />
Terminal (see Figure 1), then to connect to EU and Turkey<br />
via SCPFX and TANAPX and will carry 30 bcma <strong>gas</strong> annually.<br />
Figure 1. Proposed Trans-Caspian pipeline [2].<br />
3.2 Milestones of the project<br />
Be<strong>for</strong>e the investment decision of Trans-Caspian pipeline<br />
project, there are important milestones and risks to be<br />
considered. If these milestones cannot be overcomed<br />
then this project will not be realized.<br />
3.2.1 Political<br />
The sea border conflict between Caspian countries negatively<br />
affects the investment possibilities in the region. As<br />
seen from the map below Turkmenistan has disagreements<br />
with both Azerbaijan and Iran. But Trans-Caspian<br />
pipeline project is directly affected by the conflicts<br />
between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan. This is the first<br />
issue that has to be overcomed (Figure 2).<br />
This issue is also related with the sharing of some<br />
important oil and <strong>gas</strong> fields around the borders such as<br />
ACG & Kepez, there<strong>for</strong>e the solution will not be easy (also<br />
EU & US supports to have a solution).<br />
3.2.2 Commercial<br />
Commercial milestones may be the most difficult steps to<br />
overcome. Hence, the commerciality of a pipeline is<br />
directly related with the commerciality of <strong>gas</strong> production<br />
projects. Not increasing or decreasing <strong>gas</strong> prices (due to<br />
the changes in agreement types and shale <strong>gas</strong> affects);<br />
huge tariffs are the main elements <strong>for</strong> <strong>gas</strong> development<br />
projects to be commercial.<br />
Trans Caspian <strong>gas</strong> pipeline is planning to transport<br />
Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> to EU & TR markets. For this pipeline to be<br />
reasonable, production costs of the fields, tariffs of the<br />
related pipelines, EU & TR <strong>gas</strong> market prices are important.<br />
If a more economical way is found <strong>for</strong> transportation<br />
of Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> (such as India-china or Russia) then there<br />
will be no way <strong>for</strong> Trans-Caspian pipeline project.<br />
3.2.3 Market related<br />
Hence <strong>gas</strong> and pipeline projects needs long term plans<br />
and projections be<strong>for</strong>e development investment decision,<br />
<strong>for</strong> evaluation of Trans-Caspian pipeline’s referred markets<br />
(TR & EU) earliest 2035 projections have to be studied.<br />
Figure 3 shows extra <strong>gas</strong> supply & demand potentials<br />
of the related countries in 2035. According to these estimations<br />
there seems enough market potential in EU & TR <strong>for</strong><br />
30 bcma (max. capacity of Trans-Caspian) <strong>gas</strong> of Turkmenistan.<br />
However, market potential can change due to other<br />
supply possibilities such as Russia – Iran – Iraq and Western<br />
Mediterranean. The most deterministic factor in the market<br />
share will be the <strong>gas</strong> prices. Naturally, Azeri <strong>gas</strong> is one<br />
step <strong>for</strong>ward than the Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> in the struggle due to<br />
less tariff costs. Moreover, if the political situations and<br />
sanctions in Iran changes, then due to average <strong>gas</strong> production<br />
unit costs and <strong>gas</strong> quality para meters; Iran and Iraq will<br />
be one step <strong>for</strong>ward than the Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> in TR & EU markets.<br />
As a result, market is another risky milestone <strong>for</strong> the<br />
doability of Trans Caspian pipeline project.<br />
3.2.4 Financial<br />
The owner of the project will probably be Turkmenistan and<br />
the project is supported by EU-US. This shows that both Turkmenistan<br />
can finance such an investment with her own<br />
24 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas pipeline<br />
REPORTS<br />
resources or easily find credit from western funds. As a result,<br />
financial milestones do not contain risk <strong>for</strong> the project.<br />
Note: Azerbaijan may possibly be a partner of this<br />
project but this is a weak probability due to SOCAR’s<br />
investment projections around the region<br />
3.2.5 Technical<br />
Technical milestones are not too crucial to overcome. Caspian<br />
Sea and the planned Trans-Caspian pipeline root’s water depth<br />
is not so much (i.e. maximum 300 meter in the deepest point).<br />
Also the geographical structures and climate effects are not so<br />
difficult to overcome. As a result, there are no important technical<br />
and technological milestones to overcome.<br />
After the Azerbaijan/Shangachal Terminal point, the<br />
transportation of Turkmenistan <strong>gas</strong> will be another question<br />
and will technically and commercially be evaluated again.<br />
Hence, SCPX, which is going to transport SD2 <strong>gas</strong> to TR, and<br />
TANAP (through Turkey to EU) capacities and extension possibilities<br />
have to be technically and commercially studied.<br />
Figure 2. Caspian sea border problems.<br />
3.3 Evaluation of these milestones<br />
As described in the previous chapter, financial and technical<br />
milestones of the project are not obstacles <strong>for</strong> the<br />
doability of Trans Caspian <strong>gas</strong> pipeline project.<br />
To evaluate the political & commercial and market<br />
issues, initially some technical aspects of the pipeline and<br />
the other possible roots those will be used to reach TR &<br />
EU markets have to be studied.<br />
3.3.1 Technical properties of transcaspian<br />
(estimation)<br />
■ Start Point: Turkmenbasy / Turkmenistan<br />
■ End Point: Shangachal Terminal / Baku / Azerbaijan<br />
■ Total Length: 338 km<br />
■ Max. Water Depth: 300 m<br />
■ Operating Capacity: 30 bcma<br />
■ Inlet Pressure: 10 bar<br />
■ Outlet Pressure: 90 bar<br />
■ Pipe Diameter: 60”<br />
■ Thermal Isolation Material Quality: Middle Quality<br />
■ Estimated CAPEX (MOD): 7 billion USD<br />
■ Estimated Tariff (MOD) (%10 IRR based): 75 USD/1000 m 3<br />
3.3.2 Possible roots <strong>for</strong> turkmen <strong>gas</strong> after<br />
shangachal terminal<br />
3.3.2.1 From az to tr<br />
Hence Azerbaijan is not a market <strong>for</strong> Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> and all <strong>gas</strong><br />
will have to be transported to TR and then some portion to<br />
EU, 30 bcma <strong>gas</strong> will directly be transported to Turkish border.<br />
Figure 3. EU-TR-Caspian-Middle East 2035 <strong>gas</strong> supply & demand potentials.<br />
The only <strong>gas</strong> transportation facility from Azerbaijan to<br />
Turkey is SCP and new extended looped version SCPX<br />
pipeline. Total capacity of SCP & SCPX is around 26 bcma<br />
and with some extension works capacity can be<br />
increased. However, <strong>for</strong> 30 bcma <strong>gas</strong> transportation, a<br />
new standalone pipeline will be a better solution. Moreover,<br />
Azerbaijan estimated to have extra <strong>gas</strong> supply potential<br />
<strong>for</strong> SCPX after 2025. So, <strong>for</strong> any SCPFX option, Azerbaijan<br />
is going to use that capacity.<br />
From Shangachal Terminal to Turkish border a new<br />
standalone <strong>gas</strong> pipeline is planned to be constructed.<br />
With technical properties;<br />
■ Start Point: Shangachal Terminal<br />
■ End Point: Turkish Border<br />
■ Total Length: 690 km<br />
■ Operating Capacity: 30 bcma<br />
■ Inlet Pressure: 90 bar<br />
■ Outlet Pressure: 10 bar<br />
■ Pipe Diameter: 58”<br />
■ Thermal Isolation Material Quality: Middle Quality<br />
■ Estimated CAPEX (MOD): 8 billion USD<br />
■ Estimated Tariff (MOD) (%10 IRR based): 85 USD/1000 m 3<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 25
REPORTS<br />
Gas pipeline<br />
3.3.2.1 From TR to EU<br />
In the Turkish border there are 2 options;<br />
First: due to commercial and political issues %40<br />
of 30 bcma <strong>gas</strong> is sold in Turkey and %60 is<br />
transported to EU.<br />
Second: all <strong>gas</strong> sold in TR market or transported and<br />
sold in EU market.<br />
3.3.2.1.1 TR to EU option 1<br />
12 bcma is transported & distributed inside TR market via<br />
BOTAŞ’s own facilities and other 18 bcma is transported to<br />
EU via looped TANAPFX. (However, today BOTAŞ do not have<br />
enough capacity to accept 12 bcma <strong>gas</strong> in the eastern border<br />
of Turkey, so BOTAŞ also has to make an investment <strong>for</strong> such an<br />
option. Moreover, TANAP is going to be constructed with an<br />
operating capacity of 23 bcma. Then in 2026 this capacity is<br />
planned to be extended (TANAPX) up to 31 bcma. And this<br />
extra volume will be devoted <strong>for</strong> extra Azerbaijan <strong>gas</strong> supply<br />
potential. So, this option will not be the most probable choice.)<br />
■■<br />
Start Point: Western Turkish Border<br />
■■<br />
End Point: Eastern Turkish Border<br />
■■<br />
Total Length: 1000 km<br />
■■<br />
Operating Capacity: 18 bcma<br />
■■<br />
Inlet Pressure: 90 bar<br />
■■<br />
Outlet Pressure: 10 bar<br />
■■<br />
Loop Pipe Diameter: 54”<br />
■■<br />
Thermal Isolation Material Quality: Middle Quality<br />
■■<br />
Estimated CAPEX (MOD): 10 billion USD<br />
■■<br />
Estimated Tariff (MOD) (% 10 IRR based): 110 USD/1000 m 3<br />
3.3.2.1.2 TR to EU option 2<br />
Similar to TANAP a new 30 bcma capacity standalone <strong>gas</strong><br />
pipeline is constructed and TR’s portion is transported to<br />
the western Turkey and EU’s portion is transported to western<br />
Turkish border. This seems the most probable scenario.<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Start Point: Western Turkish Border<br />
End Point: Eastern Turkish Border<br />
Total Length: 2000 km<br />
Operating Capacity: 30 bcma<br />
Inlet Pressure: 90 bar<br />
Outlet Pressure: 10 bar<br />
■■<br />
Pipe Diameter: 48”<br />
■■<br />
Thermal Isolation Material Quality: Middle Quality<br />
■■<br />
Estimated CAPEX (MOD): 12 billion USD<br />
■■<br />
Estimated Tariff (MOD) (% 10 IRR based): 130 USD/1000 m 3<br />
3.3.2.1.3 TR to EU option 3<br />
All <strong>gas</strong> is sold to Turkey. For this option all <strong>gas</strong> is planned<br />
to be sold to BOTAS in the Turkish border and all inside<br />
Turkey transportation investments will belong to Turkey.<br />
However, situation of Turkish market, demand potential<br />
and BOTAŞ’s infrastructure are other unknowns those<br />
make this choice non-probable.<br />
3.3.2.1.4 TR to EU option 4<br />
All <strong>gas</strong> is sold to EU. Similar to TANAP a new 30 bcma<br />
capacity standalone <strong>gas</strong> pipeline will be constructed all <strong>gas</strong><br />
is transported to EU. Technically this option is similar with<br />
the second option, only the average tariff is estimated as<br />
5 USD less (due to transportation all volume up to the western<br />
point of Turkey)<br />
■■<br />
Start Point: Western Turkish Border<br />
■■<br />
End Point: Eastern Turkish Border<br />
■■<br />
Total Length: 2000 km<br />
■■<br />
Operating Capacity: 30 bcma<br />
■■<br />
Inlet Pressure: 90 bar<br />
■■<br />
Outlet Pressure: 10 bar<br />
■■<br />
Pipe Diameter: 48”<br />
■■<br />
Thermal Isolation Material Quality: Middle Quality<br />
■■<br />
Estimated CAPEX (MOD): 12 billion USD<br />
■■<br />
Estimated Tariff (MOD) (% 10 IRR based): 125 USD/1000 m 3<br />
3.3.3 Evaluation<br />
3.3.3.1 Political evaluation<br />
While transportation of Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> to EU contains market<br />
and commercial risks and this volume of <strong>gas</strong> is not a<br />
vital issue <strong>for</strong> EU <strong>energy</strong> security strategies, political border<br />
conflict between Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan cannot<br />
be solved only <strong>for</strong> Trans-Caspian pipeline project.<br />
Azerbaijan’s aim to be a <strong>gas</strong> transit country is understandable.<br />
However, hence the solution of the border<br />
Table 4. Evaluation of commerciality – netback prices of the scenarios.<br />
TRANSCASPIAN AZ-TR PIPELINE<br />
OPTIONS<br />
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 OPTION 3 OPTION 4<br />
75 85 110 130 0 125<br />
REVENUE 420 420 450 400<br />
NETBACK 0 -55 60 -5<br />
* All values are USD/1000m 3 MOD prices<br />
26 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas pipeline<br />
REPORTS<br />
Table 5. Evaluation of commerciality – netback prices of the scenarios (more optimistic scenario).<br />
TRANSCASPIAN AZ-TR PIPELINE<br />
OPTIONS<br />
OPTION 1 OPTION 2 OPTION 3 OPTION 4<br />
75 85 110 130 0 125<br />
REVENUE 432 432 450 420<br />
NETBACK 42 -13 90 45<br />
* All values are USD/1000m 3 MOD prices<br />
conflict affects the share of the offshore oil & <strong>gas</strong> fields<br />
such as ACG and Kepez, this aim (being a <strong>gas</strong> transit<br />
country) will not be so much exciting <strong>for</strong> Azerbaijan.<br />
Moreover, Turkmenistan may have other more commercial<br />
options to sell her own <strong>gas</strong> (as India & China)<br />
Russia - Iran’s effect <strong>for</strong> the solution of this border<br />
problem in the Caspian Sea is also important. They may<br />
not let such a solution which will be in favor of EU.<br />
3.3.3.2 Market evaluation<br />
Due to higher estimated tariff and unit production costs,<br />
Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> cannot compete with other <strong>gas</strong> suppliers in<br />
Turkish and EU <strong>gas</strong> markets. All Azeri – Russia – Iraq – Iran<br />
<strong>gas</strong> supplies will be cheaper <strong>for</strong> those markets. And the<br />
supply potentials of these countries are estimated to<br />
meet the demand in these markets.<br />
3.3.3.3 Commercial evaluation<br />
To start the commercial evaluation, an average <strong>gas</strong> production<br />
cost <strong>for</strong> western Turkmenistan region has to be<br />
estimated. Hence important portion of <strong>gas</strong> reservoirs are<br />
in western Turkmenistan are high pressure and temperature<br />
reservoirs and have high percentages of H 2S and<br />
CO 2; the unit costs to develop and produce the fields will<br />
be high. That’s why an average of 150 USD / 1000 m 3 will<br />
be taken as the unit cost.<br />
Condensate & <strong>gas</strong> ratios and condensate sales will not<br />
be included into the estimations. Hence usually in condensate<br />
rich <strong>gas</strong> reservoirs, condensate sales are more<br />
profitable then <strong>gas</strong> and sometimes it may be better to<br />
inject <strong>gas</strong> to produce more condensate, so this issue is<br />
not included into the scenarios.<br />
For average commercial evaluations, all values are MOD.<br />
For average market prices; <strong>for</strong> EU: 400 USD /1000 m 3<br />
and <strong>for</strong> TR 450 USD / 1000 m 3 is estimated.<br />
The calculated netback prices <strong>for</strong> only <strong>gas</strong> sales are<br />
given in the table below;<br />
As seen from the Table 4 the only commercial option is<br />
option 3 which will not be possible due to Turkish market<br />
demand profiles. The most probable scenario’s, which is<br />
option 2, net back value is -55 USD/1000 m 3 <strong>gas</strong> sales. This<br />
means it is better to inject <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> more condensate production<br />
or to find another market or not to make any investment.<br />
A more optimistic scenario:<br />
If the average <strong>gas</strong> prices <strong>for</strong> EU is taken as 420 USD / 1000 m 3<br />
and the unit <strong>gas</strong> production cost <strong>for</strong> western Turkmenistan<br />
is taken as 120 USD / 1000m 3 , without changing the<br />
tariffs (hence the total investment costs of each pipeline<br />
are already optimistic values); then the new commercial<br />
summary table is given above. According to the results<br />
given in the Table 5, netback values are better than the<br />
previous scenario however, <strong>for</strong> an investor it seems better<br />
to take part in a pipeline project instead of an E&P project.<br />
Moreover, <strong>for</strong> the most probable option (option 2),<br />
again netback is minus. This means no positive decision<br />
<strong>for</strong> investment of Trans-Caspian.<br />
3.3.3.4 Results of the evaluation<br />
As a result the doability of Trans Caspian pipeline is not<br />
possible while the <strong>gas</strong> prices and EU demand will increase<br />
unexpected levels.<br />
4. TRANS-CASPIAN VS. TRANS-IRAN<br />
PIPELINE<br />
As seen in the chapter above, doability of Trans Caspian<br />
<strong>gas</strong> pipeline project is not possible due to commercialpolitical<br />
and market related obstacles in the current projections<br />
(Figure 4). However, some Iranian specialists claim<br />
that transportation of Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> through Iran to Turkey<br />
instead of Trans Caspian project will have better economics.<br />
In this chapter this claim will briefly be evaluated.<br />
4.1 Technical properties of trans-iran pipeline<br />
(estimation)<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Start Point: Turkmenbasy / Turkmenistan<br />
End Point: Agrı / Turkey<br />
Total Length: 1442 km<br />
Operating Capacity: 30 bcma<br />
Inlet Pressure: 10 bar<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 27
REPORTS<br />
Gas pipeline<br />
Figure 4. Trans Caspian and Trans Iran pipelines from Turkmenistan.<br />
■ Outlet Pressure: 90 bar<br />
■ Pipe Diameter: 56”<br />
■ Thermal Isolation Material Quality: Middle Quality<br />
■ Estimated CAPEX (MOD): 16 billion USD<br />
■ Estimated Tariff (MOD) (%10 IRR based): 180 USD/1000 m 3<br />
4.2. Commercial comparison<br />
Hence the unit <strong>gas</strong> production prices in Turkmenistan<br />
and scenarios after the eastern border of Turkey are the<br />
same, total tariff values and total investments will be<br />
enough <strong>for</strong> comparison.<br />
As the calculation shown in the Table 6, Iranian transit<br />
of Turkmenistan <strong>gas</strong> will not be the economic choice.<br />
4.3 Political-market-technical-finacial<br />
comparisons<br />
On the other side, due to sanctions on Iran all political,<br />
financial and market related issues will be more risky and<br />
problematic than the trans-Caspian scenario. Only the<br />
technical milestones may be easier.<br />
SUMMARY<br />
As described in the related chapters, <strong>gas</strong> politics and Caspian<br />
<strong>gas</strong> resources are very important <strong>energy</strong> security issues<br />
<strong>for</strong> huge consumers around the region. Turkmenistan by<br />
having the 3 rd reserves potential and 2 nd supply potential is<br />
the shining star of the region. That’s why all huge consumers<br />
are planning and developing projects to meet some<br />
part of their <strong>gas</strong> demand from Turkmenistan resources.<br />
Such as extension of CAC Pipeline Project of China, TAPI<br />
Pipeline Project of India and Trans-Caspian Project of EU.<br />
For such huge pipeline project investments, long<br />
term projections, commerciality, politics, market views,<br />
and etc. are very important items to consider.<br />
There may be <strong>gas</strong> resources; however, if those resources<br />
cannot be transported to the market via a safe, sustainable<br />
and commercial way then, those resources do not mean<br />
anything up to the changes in the current conditions.<br />
That’s why in this paper, with the risks and milestones,<br />
doability of the popular Trans-Caspian pipeline project is<br />
evaluated and as well as an alternative route to transport<br />
Turkmen <strong>gas</strong> to TR and EU through Iran is also compared.<br />
As a result, <strong>for</strong> the current situation, Trans Caspian pipeline<br />
project does not seem to be a logical choice <strong>for</strong> investment.<br />
REFERENCES<br />
[1] BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2013<br />
[2] Wikipedia<br />
ABBREVATIONS<br />
TR Turkey<br />
EU European Union<br />
CAC Central Asia China<br />
TAPI Turkmenistan Afghanistan Pakistan India<br />
CAPEX Capital Expenditures<br />
IRR Internal Rate of Return<br />
ACG Azeri Chirag Guneshli Oil Field<br />
MOD Money of the Day<br />
TANAP Trans Anatolia Pipeline<br />
TANAPX Trans Anatolia Pipeline Extension<br />
TANAPFX Trans Anatolia Pipeline Forward Extension<br />
SCP South Caucasus Pipeline<br />
SCPX South Caucasus Pipeline Extension<br />
SCPFX South Caucasus Pipeline Forward Extension<br />
First published in ptj pipeline technology journal May <strong>2014</strong><br />
Table 6. Evaluation of commerciality – netback prices of the scenarios.<br />
Tariff @ TR Eastern Border<br />
(USD/1000m 3 )<br />
Total CAPEX @ TR Eastern<br />
Border (bUSD)<br />
TRANS-Iran Pipeline<br />
Trans-Caspian +<br />
AZ-TR Pipeline<br />
180 75+85=160<br />
16 7+8=15<br />
AUTHOR<br />
Oğuzhan Akyener<br />
Technical Manager<br />
TPAO Azerbaijan<br />
Baku | Azerbaijan<br />
Email: oakyener@tpao.gov.tr<br />
28 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
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PAGFE<strong>2014</strong>
REPORTS<br />
Gas pipeline<br />
Stress within buried <strong>gas</strong><br />
pipelines in subsidence areas<br />
by Zhiguang Chen, Chaokui Qin and Yangjun Zhang<br />
Ground subsidence resulting from high-rise buildings became a potential risk to buried natural <strong>gas</strong> pipelines.<br />
When a 130m-long <strong>gas</strong> pipeline in the neighborhood of the tallest building in China was replaced, a series of<br />
strain-foils was installed to monitor stresses within pipelines. The stress was calculated from subsidence data<br />
through elastic foundation beam approach. The calculated stresses at different times and locations were compared<br />
with measured values directly read from installed monitoring equipment and good agreement was found.<br />
1. INTRODUCTION<br />
Figure 1. Road crevice in the neighbor of<br />
Shanghai Center.<br />
Shanghai is located in the estuary of Yangze River and the<br />
city originated from an alluvial plain. One of its geological<br />
features is soft soil. In recent years ground subsidence<br />
resulting from high-rise buildings (both the construction<br />
process and the building itself) becomes more and more<br />
serious, especially accompanied with rapid urban constructions.<br />
Statistics showed that high-rise buildings<br />
(taller than 24 m) in Shanghai increased to more than<br />
25,000 by the end of 2012[1]. The densely distributed<br />
high-rise buildings caused road surface to subside to various<br />
extent. Correspondingly the concern as whether<br />
buried <strong>gas</strong> pipeline would be influenced became urgent.<br />
On the other hand Shanghai was one of the earliest cities<br />
where <strong>gas</strong> was supplied through pipes, and by 2012 there<br />
are more 24,000 kms of distribution pipelines, 21,000 kms<br />
of which distribute natural <strong>gas</strong>[1].<br />
In the financial center of Shanghai (Lujiazui area), there<br />
are more than 40 buildings (taller than 100 m) within<br />
1.7 km 2 and the average ground subsidence amounted<br />
up to 15 mm per year. The will-be tallest building in<br />
China, Shanghai Center, with 124 floors above ground<br />
and 632 m height, had a huge foundation pit 34,960 m 2<br />
with depth of 31.2 m. During the construction of Shanghai<br />
Center serious ground subsidence had been observed<br />
and reported (as shown in Figure 1). In order to ensure<br />
safe operation of neighboring <strong>gas</strong> networks, it was<br />
decided that a DN300 <strong>gas</strong> pipe located to the west of its<br />
foundation pit should be renovated in the middle of 2011.<br />
With sponsorship of Shanghai Gas Pudong Sales Corp., a<br />
research project was initiated to measure stresses within<br />
buried <strong>gas</strong> pipelines. Another initiative was to establish a<br />
technical approach as how to calculate stress by means<br />
of subsidence measurement. Since there are so many<br />
pipelines buried in similar environment, it would be<br />
highly essential to validate the feasibility of proposed<br />
approach.<br />
A set of monitoring system composed of strain-foils,<br />
battery, remote communications was established to provide<br />
reliable readings of stresses at different locations and<br />
times. Some subsidence markers tightly attached to the<br />
30 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas pipeline<br />
REPORTS<br />
Figure 2. Layout of stress and subsidence monitoring system.<br />
(a) (b) (c)<br />
Figure 3. Strain-foils: (a) illustration, (b) wiring connections, (c) anti-corrosion windings.<br />
<strong>gas</strong> pipe were added to provide subsidence data by<br />
human labour periodically. A theoretical model in which<br />
buried <strong>gas</strong> pipe was treated as an elastic foundation<br />
beam was established. The subsidence data was input<br />
into the numeric model to predict stresses. Comparison<br />
between measured stress and predicted values revealed<br />
quite good agreement, suggesting it is technically feasible<br />
to determine stresses by means of subsidence measurement.<br />
2. ON-SITE FACILITIES INVOLVED<br />
The tested <strong>gas</strong> pipe was of 8 mm-thick Q235 steel pipe<br />
and its total length was 130 m, consisting of several<br />
12m-long standard pipes and 11 test sections inserted.<br />
The 11 test sections (labelled as 1#~6#, and 8#~12# in<br />
Figure 2) were equipped with strain-foils, with interval of<br />
about 12 m from one another. Meanwhile 14 subsidence<br />
markers were arranged, labelled as RR1~RR14 in Figure 2.<br />
The burial depth of the pipe was 1 m. All the welded<br />
connections were nondestructively examined and anticorrosion<br />
protection measures were carried according to<br />
related standards. 50 cm thick layer of sand were backfilled<br />
under and above the <strong>gas</strong> pipes, respectively.<br />
In order to correctly measure the stresses within <strong>gas</strong><br />
pipes, strain-foils must be directly fixed onto the pipe<br />
surface. For buried pipelines two additional issues had to<br />
be taken into consideration, namely corrosion from<br />
underground water, and high temperature resulting from<br />
on-site welding. After some calculations, it was finally<br />
decided the test sections would be first finished in the<br />
laboratory to ensure that strain-foils were fixed onto the<br />
surface freely and firmly. For each test section 4 sets of<br />
strain-foils were uni<strong>for</strong>mly arranged along circumference<br />
to record stress on left, right, top and bottom side of the<br />
pipe (as shown in Figure 3). A stainless steel sleeve was<br />
designed to protect against underground water. Furthermore<br />
an enough thick layer of inorganic anti-corrosion<br />
material was tightly packaged outside the sleeve, by<br />
winding plastic film. All measured data from strain-foils<br />
were transmitted to on-site stations first, and then to central<br />
station through GPRS. The transmission frequency<br />
was set to once a day to save electricity power.<br />
Prior to on-site installation a piece of test section was<br />
calibrated in laboratory to achieve coefficient between<br />
installed strain-foils and standard foil. A 200-ton hydraulic<br />
jack was used to compress test section axially. The incremental<br />
loading was 30kN and the total loading <strong>for</strong>ce was<br />
600kN. On the surface of test section the standard strainfoil<br />
were arranged at the same location as the installed<br />
foils. Illustrated in Figure 4 were calibration process and<br />
relationship between installed foils and standard foil.<br />
Almost linear relationship suggested that coefficient can<br />
be taken as 0.5636. Then the stress can be directly calculated<br />
according to calibration <strong>for</strong>mula and theoretical<br />
analysis.<br />
In <strong>gas</strong> pipeline engineering a common practice to estimate<br />
subsidence is to directly measure road subsidence.<br />
In this research the subsidence of buried <strong>gas</strong> pipe (rather<br />
than ground subsidence) at different locations was<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 31
REPORTS<br />
Gas pipeline<br />
direct contact with these structures. For example there<br />
was a bending point between RR9 and RR10 test section<br />
(Figure 2).<br />
3. MEASUREMENT RESULTS<br />
3.1 Gas pipe subsidence data<br />
Figure 4. Calibration of installed strain-foils in Lab.<br />
Figure 5. Subsidence marker.<br />
measured in order to understand the shape of <strong>gas</strong> pipe<br />
more accurately. 14 subsidence markers were installed<br />
during <strong>gas</strong> pipe renovation process. The subsidence<br />
marker consisted of annular collar, stainless steel pillar,<br />
protection sleeve and on-road cover (Figure 5). The<br />
annular collar was tightly fixed onto pipe surface and<br />
asphalt layer was pasted onto its outer surface. The<br />
stainless steel pillar <strong>for</strong> subsidence measurement was<br />
firmly welded to annular collar and extended upwards<br />
to the road level. The subsidence pillar was located in<br />
the center of protection sleeve, and the clearance<br />
between pillar and sleeve was filled with sand and<br />
wooden meal. Theoretically the more number of subsidence<br />
markers the better to know actual state of <strong>gas</strong><br />
pipe. Un<strong>for</strong>tunately too many subsidence markers<br />
would make it difficult to finish road construction. Finally<br />
14 markers were installed. The installation was finished<br />
on 15 th of November, 2011.<br />
It must be pointed out that the <strong>gas</strong> pipe did not take a<br />
straight line due to limitation from underground environment.<br />
The vertical clearance from underground structure<br />
even deceased to 5cm at certain points, leading to a possibility<br />
that subsidence monitoring maybe influence by<br />
Shown in Figure 6 are subsidence data of 14 markers<br />
until August 2013. In this paper all subsidence data were<br />
taken with respect to the original position exactly after<br />
finish of construction, and the negative means subsidence<br />
downwards and positive means float upwards.<br />
Apparent subsidence could be found. Basically the subsidence<br />
of <strong>gas</strong> pipe can be classified into three stages:<br />
foundation pit construction, soil rebound, and stable<br />
subsidence. Be<strong>for</strong>e February 2012, the foundation pit of<br />
Shanghai Center was closed to finish, the <strong>gas</strong> pipe was<br />
proved to subside rapidly as a result of pit operation and<br />
water drainage. From February 2012 to April 2012, the<br />
construction within pit finished and level of underground<br />
water increased. The <strong>gas</strong> pipe was found to<br />
float to some extent, and subsidence decreased.<br />
Some monitored points even gave positive values,<br />
suggesting that the <strong>gas</strong> pipe rose to a taller position<br />
than finished. From April 2012 on, the subsidence were<br />
found to decrease gradually since only impact of<br />
building load remained. In addition, the <strong>gas</strong> pipe was<br />
found to float a little bit during July-September, 2012,<br />
the rainy days. By August 2013, the deepest subsidence<br />
was 17 mm.<br />
3.2 Stress data<br />
As mentioned above, at each monitoring section 4 sets<br />
of strain-foils were uni<strong>for</strong>mly arranged along circumference<br />
to record stress on left, right, top and bottom side<br />
of the pipe. Suffix -a, -b, -c, -d was designated to<br />
describe the following location: “-a” denotes top, “-b”<br />
denotes close to Shanghai Center, “-c” denotes bottom,<br />
and “-d” denotes away from Shanghai Center. The<br />
measured stress data at “-a” and “-b” directions were<br />
illustrated in Figure 7.<br />
From Figure 7a it can be found that measured<br />
stresses along <strong>gas</strong> pipe changes in a regular pattern.<br />
From December 2011 the measured stresses were found<br />
to increase gradually and reached the maximum values<br />
(12 MPa) in March, 2012. Afterwards the stresses<br />
decreased to negative values and reached -35 MPa.<br />
Compared with allowable maximum 235 MPa, the <strong>gas</strong><br />
pipe can be considered as safe and sound up to<br />
now. The Figure 7b suggested that horizontal<br />
movement appeared to be more radical than vertical<br />
subsidence, leading to quite appreciable stresses.<br />
32 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas pipeline<br />
REPORTS<br />
Figure 6. Subsidence data by 10-Aug-2013.<br />
(a) Position "-a"<br />
Figure 7. Measured time-dependent stress data at different positions.<br />
(b) Position "-b"<br />
3.3 Theoretical approaches<br />
3.3.1 Mechanics subjected by <strong>gas</strong> pipe<br />
The shape change of <strong>gas</strong> pipe subjected to ground<br />
subsidence is a combination of axial stretching (or<br />
compressing) and bending effect. If axial <strong>for</strong>ce and<br />
flexural moment can be deduced the stress at any<br />
longitudinal location can be calculated. Most of <strong>for</strong>ce<br />
and stress analysis <strong>for</strong> buried pipes available are based<br />
upon elastic foundation beam [5, 6], taking into consideration<br />
the interaction between pipe and soil. With<br />
reference to Winkler’s model [7], the flexural moment<br />
and <strong>for</strong>ces can be calculated from change of pipe<br />
shape. Theoretically the pipe was treated as a foundation<br />
beam supported by a serial of springs attached<br />
4<br />
to rigid anchors. When a <strong>for</strong>ce exerted EI upon yd + ky a = certain ( )xq<br />
4<br />
dx<br />
point on the pipe, subsidence happens only within this<br />
point.<br />
The buried <strong>gas</strong> pipe can be considered as a beam within<br />
elastic foundations. There<strong>for</strong>e following equation which<br />
describes relationship between displacement and load can<br />
be deduced under elastic foundation beam theory [8]:<br />
4<br />
EI yd + ky = ( )xq<br />
4<br />
dx<br />
M<br />
Q =<br />
2<br />
−= EI<br />
θ −= EI<br />
2<br />
dx dx<br />
(1)<br />
3<br />
yd<br />
−= EI<br />
3<br />
dx<br />
d 4 y<br />
EI ky q<br />
4<br />
( x)<br />
dM<br />
dx<br />
d<br />
yd<br />
Where: EI---bending rigidity of beam cross-section;<br />
k---foundation coefficient; y--- displacement of the<br />
dx + pipe<br />
(namely, subsidence); q--- load applied to the pipe. =<br />
If the shape of beam can be achieved, following equation<br />
Where: can be EI---bending used to determine rigidity flexural of moment beam and cross-section; k---foundat<br />
shearing<br />
displacement<br />
<strong>for</strong>ce at<br />
of<br />
any<br />
the<br />
location:<br />
pipe (namely, subsidence); q --- load applied to the pipe.<br />
2<br />
If the shape d of beam yd can be achieved, following equation can be used<br />
M −= EI<br />
θ −= EI<br />
2<br />
moment and dx shearing dx <strong>for</strong>ce at any location: (2)<br />
3<br />
dM yd<br />
Q = −= EI<br />
2<br />
3<br />
dθ<br />
d y⎫<br />
dx dx<br />
M =− EI =−EI<br />
2<br />
dx dx<br />
⎪ ⎪⎬⎪<br />
3<br />
dM d y<br />
d 4 y Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> Q = <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> =−EI<br />
33 3<br />
EI ky q ( x<br />
4<br />
) dx dx ⎪⎭<br />
dx + = (1)<br />
From Eqn(2) it can been that if displacement (e.g. subsidence) at different
REPORTS<br />
Gas pipeline<br />
(a) 2011/12/19 (b) 2012/05/09<br />
(c) 2012/12/04 (d) 2013/05/20<br />
Figure 8. Subsidence data and fitting curves.<br />
From Eqn(2) it can been that if displacement (e.g. subsidence)<br />
at different locations can be input to determine the<br />
shape of buried pipe, flexural moment and shearing can<br />
also be derived from derivatives. There<strong>for</strong>e stress can be<br />
determined as well.<br />
3.3.2 Subsidence data fitting<br />
The discreteness of pipe subsidence data from on-site<br />
measurement cannot represent the actual shape of buried<br />
pipe. In addition Eqn(2) requires that input shape<br />
curve should be mathematically smooth and continuous.<br />
According to Ref [9] 6-order polynomial was fitted from<br />
discrete subsidence data, and stresses were calculated.<br />
Given in Figure 8 are comparison between measured<br />
subsidence data (solid dot) and fitted curve (blue curve)<br />
<strong>for</strong> 19-December-2011, 09-May-2012, 04-December-2013,<br />
20-May-2013, respectively.<br />
Figure 8 reveals that much bigger subsidence happen<br />
to the left sections (50-60m) compared with both ends. In<br />
fact the left section located exactly close to edge of the<br />
foundation pit. Furthermore the bending section<br />
between RR9 and RR10 contributed to the discrepancy to<br />
some extent.<br />
3.3.3 Comparison of calculated and measured<br />
stresses<br />
To input fitted curve into Eqn(2) can give stress along<br />
longitudinal axis. Shown in Figure 9 are comparison<br />
between calculated stresses and measured stress (from<br />
monitoring system) at different locations, <strong>for</strong> some specific<br />
dates.<br />
Quite good agreement can be found from the comparisons,<br />
suggesting the technical approach that determines<br />
stress from subsidence measurement seem feasible<br />
enough. However the calculated stresses were a bit<br />
smaller than measured values. This can be attributed to<br />
traffic load, soil frictions, etc, all of which had been<br />
neglected in above model. Furthermore the bending<br />
section between RR9 and RR10 has some impact upon<br />
the prediction accuracy in the neighboring area.<br />
34 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas pipeline<br />
REPORTS<br />
Figure 9. Comparison of calculated stresses with measured stresses.<br />
The technical approach which determines stress<br />
within buried <strong>gas</strong> pipe from least square regressive<br />
curve can give quite reasonable agreement with<br />
measured values. Because measured subsidence data<br />
contain errors inevitably the regressed curve cannot<br />
represent the shape of buried pipe completely. In<br />
particular more discrepancy was found to exist at both<br />
ends.<br />
4. RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS<br />
The impact of soil subsidence resulting from high-rise<br />
buildings upon buried <strong>gas</strong> pipes was investigated. An<br />
on-site measurement system was established in the<br />
neighborhood of Shanghai Center to directly supervise<br />
pipe stress by means of telecommunications. A theoretical<br />
model based upon elastic foundation beam was<br />
incorporated to calculate stress at different locations. The<br />
calculated stresses were compared with measured data.<br />
1. The on-site measurement data showed that test<br />
section was seriously influenced by the construction<br />
of Shanghai Center. Three stages, namely construction<br />
of foundation pit, soil rebound, and stable subsidence,<br />
can be observed. During the last stage the <strong>gas</strong> pipe<br />
were found to subside gradually, but some float were<br />
observed due to underground water movement.<br />
2. The measured stress values are found to be increased<br />
gradually. Analysis of four strain-foil at the same<br />
cross-sections suggested that <strong>gas</strong> pipe was subjected<br />
to both axis <strong>for</strong>ce and bending effect. Meanwhile<br />
horizontal displacement happens together with<br />
vertical subsidence.<br />
3. The measured subsidence data were input to fit the<br />
pipe curve, then to calculate stress according to elastic<br />
foundation beam. Good agreement between calculated<br />
stresses and measured stresses suggested the<br />
feasibility of proposed approach. But the number of<br />
subsidence markers should be increased to minimize<br />
error resulting from polynomial fitting processes<br />
The subsidence of buried pipeline is an essentially threedimensional<br />
movement. For the measurement of specific<br />
locations and time, horizontal movement seemed to be<br />
more critical than vertical subsidence. In this paper only a<br />
two dimensional model was established <strong>for</strong> the sake of<br />
simplicity. Although good agreement was found between<br />
calculated stress and measured stress, a more appropriate<br />
measure is to take a three dimensional model <strong>for</strong><br />
prediction. In addition soil subsidence resulting from<br />
high-rise buildings has been proved to be a long, slow<br />
effect. Up to now subsidence data and stress data show<br />
that it is just at the beginning stage of gradual subsidence.<br />
The absolute values <strong>for</strong> stress were much lower<br />
than maximum allowable. The calculation method proposed<br />
remains to be checked and validated in the long<br />
run.<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 35
REPORTS<br />
Gas pipeline<br />
REFERENCES<br />
[1] Shanghai Municipal Statistics Bureau. Shanghai Statistics<br />
Annual 2013 [M]. Beijing: China statistics press.<br />
[2] Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development of<br />
PRC. Technical Specification <strong>for</strong> Retaining and Protection<br />
of Building Foundation Excavations (JGJ 120-99)<br />
[S]. Beijing: China architecture & building press, 1999.<br />
[3] Wu Bo, Gao Bo: 3D numerical simulation on effect of<br />
tunnel construction on adjacent pipeline [J].Chinese<br />
Journal of Rock Mechanics and Engineering, 2002,<br />
21(S2): 2451-2456<br />
[4] Wu Bo, Gao Bo, Suo Xiaoming,etc.: Study on influence<br />
of metro tunnel excavation on buried pipelines [J].<br />
Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2004, 25(4): 657-662.<br />
[5] Liu Shi’ao, Pu Hongyu, Liu Shuwen, et al.: Stress analysis<br />
method of buried pipeline [J]. Oil& Gas Storage and<br />
Transportation, 2012(4): 274-278<br />
[6] Yang Zhao, Xu Jiancong, Yu Jun: Application of Elastic Foundation<br />
Timoshenko Beam Element in ABAQUS [J]. Journal<br />
of Huaqiao University(Natural Science), 2010(4): 448-452.<br />
[7] Long Yuqiu: Calculation of elastic foundation beam[M].<br />
People’s Education Press, 1981.<br />
[8] Zhang Tuqiao, Wu Xiaogang: Initial analysis of<br />
longitudinal stress in pipeline under vertical load [J].<br />
China Municipal Engineering, 2001(4): 43-47<br />
[9] Mao Chaohui: Study on Back Analysis <strong>for</strong> Bending<br />
Moment of Retaining Wall and Safety Evaluation Based<br />
on Monitoring Data[D]. Shanghai: Tongji University, 2006.<br />
AUTHORS<br />
Assistant Professor Zhiguang Chen<br />
School of Mechanical Engineering, Tongji<br />
University<br />
Shanghai | PR China<br />
Phone: +86 69 58 38 02<br />
E-mail: czg05_1999@126.com<br />
Professor, Dr. Eng. Chaokui Qin<br />
School of Mechanical Engineering, Tongji<br />
University<br />
Shanghai | PR China<br />
Phone: +86 69 58 38 02<br />
E-mail: chkqin@tongji.edu.cn<br />
Ph.D Candidate Yangjun Zhang<br />
School of Mechanical Engineering, Tongji<br />
University<br />
Shanghai | PR China<br />
Phone: +86 69 58 38 02<br />
E-mail: zyjtongji@163.com<br />
MEDIA<br />
Book review<br />
Natural Gas Engineering and Safety Challenges<br />
Downstream Process, Analysis, Utilization and Safety<br />
Providing a critical and extensive compilation of the<br />
downstream processes of natural <strong>gas</strong> that involve the<br />
principle of <strong>gas</strong> processing, transmission and distribution,<br />
<strong>gas</strong> flow and network analysis, instrumentation and<br />
measurement systems and its utilisation, this book also<br />
serves to enrich readers understanding of the business<br />
and management aspects of natural <strong>gas</strong> and highlights<br />
some of the recent research and innovations in the field.<br />
Featuring extensive coverage of the design and pipeline<br />
failures and safety challenges in terms of fire and<br />
explosions relating to the downstream of natural <strong>gas</strong> technology,<br />
the book covers the needs of practising engineers<br />
from different disciplines, who may include project and<br />
operations managers, planning and design engineers as<br />
well as undergraduate and postgraduate students in the<br />
field of <strong>gas</strong>, petroleum and chemical engineering.<br />
This book also includes several case studies to illustrate<br />
the analysis of the downstream process in the <strong>gas</strong><br />
and oil industry. Of interest to researchers is the field of<br />
flame and mitigation of explosion: the fundamental processes<br />
involved are also discussed, including outlines of<br />
contemporary and possible future research and challenges<br />
in the different fields.<br />
Nasr, G.G., Connor, N.E.,<br />
Springer <strong>2014</strong>, XXVIII, 402 p.<br />
239 illus., 28 illus. in color.<br />
Hardcover: 169,99 €,<br />
eBook: 142,79 €<br />
ISBN 978-3-319-08948-5<br />
36 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
The Gas Engineer’s<br />
Dictionary<br />
Supply Infrastructure from A to Z<br />
The Gas Engineer’s Dictionary will be a standard work <strong>for</strong> all aspects of construction,<br />
operation and maintenance of <strong>gas</strong> grids.<br />
This dictionary is an entirely new designed reference book <strong>for</strong> both engineers with<br />
professional experience and students of supply engineering. The opus contains the world<br />
of supply infrastructure in a series of detailed professional articles dealing with main<br />
points like the following:<br />
• bio<strong>gas</strong> • compressor stations • conditioning<br />
• corrosion protection • dispatching • <strong>gas</strong> properties<br />
• grid layout • LNG • odorization<br />
• metering • pressure regulation • safety devices<br />
• storages<br />
Editors: Klaus Homann, Rainer Reimert, Bernhard Klocke<br />
1 st edition 2013<br />
452 pages, 165 x 230 mm<br />
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ISBN: 978-3-8356-3214-1<br />
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PATGED<strong>2014</strong>
REPORTS<br />
LNG<br />
Onshore LNG receiving terminal<br />
- risk analysis<br />
by Boris Majcen and Marino Valjak<br />
European Union member countries were obliged to harmonize their national legal framework with the “Directive<br />
of the EU Council no. 2008/114/EC on the identification and designation of European critical infrastructures<br />
and the assessment of the need to improve their protection”. Among these critical infrastructures are onshore<br />
LNG receiving terminals, involving specific LNG-related hazards. Properly identified hazards represent a basis <strong>for</strong><br />
risk analysis, and <strong>for</strong> subsequent determination of risk reduction measures to ensure safe and reliable operation<br />
of the terminal. This report gives an overview of relevant hazards, risks and risk management strategy <strong>for</strong> the<br />
planned onshore LNG receiving terminal “Adria LNG” in Omišalj, on Krk island, Croatia.<br />
1. INTRODUCTION<br />
Industrial risks are managed trough a systematic<br />
approach to design, production, construction, operation<br />
and maintenance, within the framework of EU law and<br />
harmonized standards. In the designing of any complex<br />
industrial facility, risk management is a comprehensive<br />
challenge, given the large number of different systems<br />
contained within the facility, each involving specific<br />
demands, as well as the interactions of these systems.<br />
The size of such a facility implies potentially severe consequences<br />
in case of accident realization. This report gives<br />
an overview of relevant hazards, risks and risk management<br />
strategy <strong>for</strong> the planned onshore LNG receiving<br />
terminal “Adria LNG” in Omišalj, on Krk island, Croatia [1],<br />
[2] (Figure 1).<br />
F igure 1. Planned onshore LNG receiving terminal. “Adria LNG” -<br />
Omišalj, Croatia.<br />
2. LEGAL FRAMEWORK<br />
European Union member states determine and manage<br />
their critical infrastructures in accordance with the Directive<br />
of the EU Council no. 2008/114/EC [3]. Critical infrastructures<br />
according to [4], are systems, networks and<br />
objects of national importance, whose shutdown or disruption<br />
of functioning can seriously affect national security,<br />
health and life quality of the population, damage<br />
property or the environment, affect economic stability and<br />
the uninterrupted functioning of government. Among<br />
these critical infrastructures are onshore LNG receiving terminals.<br />
Owners i.e. operators of such infrastructures are<br />
responsible <strong>for</strong> their proper functioning in all circumstances,<br />
including the obligatory development of an Operational<br />
Risk Analysis and a Safety Plan based thereupon.<br />
LNG terminals also belong in the scope of the Seveso<br />
Directives [5], [6], [7], which determine operator obligations<br />
regarding major industrial accidents: risk reduction,<br />
prevention of major accidents, and limitation of their<br />
impact on people, property and the environment. The<br />
directive also stipulates detailed procedures of responding<br />
to a major accident, reducing its impacts, as well as<br />
procedures <strong>for</strong> internal and external communication.<br />
Risk management is addressed by standard ISO 31000<br />
- Risk Management [8], [9], [10], which provides general<br />
guidance <strong>for</strong> the design, implementation and maintenance<br />
of risk management systems within a company.<br />
The main standard related to onshore LNG facilities is<br />
EN 1473:2007 [11], which includes requirements <strong>for</strong> the<br />
design, construction and operation of all onshore LNG<br />
facilities, including liquefaction, storage, evaporation, and<br />
38 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
LNG<br />
REPORTS<br />
processing plants. This standard also addresses the subject<br />
of risk management specific to onshore LNG facilities.<br />
3. MAIN RISKS ON THE LNG RECEIVING<br />
TERMINAL<br />
The term risk indicates a degree to which a particular<br />
event is undesirable. Risk is a resultant of two components:<br />
the probability of the event to occur, and the<br />
severity of the event’s consequences.<br />
Risk analysis begins with the process of identifying<br />
hazards - potential causes of damage. Various accident<br />
scenarios are then developed based on the identified<br />
hazards. For each scenario the probability of its occurrence<br />
and the severity of its consequences is assessed,<br />
resulting in the risk level of that particular scenario. Each<br />
risk is then evaluated as either acceptable, or unacceptable.<br />
An unacceptable risk leads to the introduction of risk<br />
reduction measures and repeated analysis of all scenarios<br />
affected by these measures.<br />
Hazards are very numerous and versatile, and mainly<br />
related either to natural phenomena or to human activity<br />
– the latter including technological hazards. Technological<br />
hazards essentially emerge from systems, devices or<br />
equipment, which contain significant <strong>energy</strong> and/or dangerous<br />
substances, but human error could also be<br />
regarded as a technological hazard itself.<br />
The standard EN 1473:2008 [11] provides a basis <strong>for</strong><br />
hazard identification. It contains, inter alia, a list of all<br />
external initial events that could cause dangerous events<br />
within an LNG terminal. Individual external initial events<br />
are eliminated from this comprehensive list if they are found<br />
to be impossible at the specific location of the project.<br />
3.1 External hazards<br />
According to the standard [11], the main groups of external<br />
initial events with select examples are as follows:<br />
External hazards related to natural causes:<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Hazards related to the loss of utilities:<br />
––<br />
Electricity – shutdown of terminal – pressure rise<br />
due to LNG warming;<br />
––<br />
Sea water – LNG downstream of evaporators;<br />
––<br />
Instrument & service air – actuators of control<br />
valves inoperable;<br />
––<br />
Nitrogen – inability to purge LNG tanker unloading<br />
arms;<br />
––<br />
Communication network – human errors, alerting<br />
not possible;<br />
––<br />
Rainwater drainage clogging – local flooding.<br />
Hazards related to exceptional climatic conditions and<br />
atmosphere phenomena:<br />
––<br />
Strong winds (location specific) – structural damage,<br />
flying debris, power outage;<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
––<br />
Solar radiation and high temperatures – increased<br />
boil-off, storage tank pressure rise, equipment failure,<br />
damage or deterioration of certain materials;<br />
––<br />
Extremely low temperature – buildup of snow or<br />
ice (such occurrences have been recorded on<br />
Island Krk) – additional loads on structures and<br />
equipment, power lines short-circuit;<br />
––<br />
Lightning – ignition source, electromagnetic interference.<br />
Hazards related to earthquakes – the Omišalj LNG terminal<br />
location is in the vicinity of a regional fault line,<br />
with high seismic activity. Earthquakes are addressed<br />
according to standard EN 1473:2008 [11], as well as<br />
“Eurocode” structural design standards.<br />
Hazards related to sea proximity:<br />
– Intense corrosion in salty atmosphere;<br />
– Unloading LNG tanker during extreme tides or<br />
waves;<br />
– Tsunami caused by an undersea earthquake or a<br />
large landslide into the sea – locally this is<br />
extremely unlikely.<br />
Hazards related to <strong>for</strong>est fire:<br />
––<br />
Heat radiation on personnel and equipment /<br />
structures;<br />
––<br />
Wind-driven burning particles – ignition source;<br />
––<br />
Smoke – loss of visibility;<br />
––<br />
Impact of <strong>for</strong>est fires is dependent on local vegetation<br />
and climate (temperature, humidity, winds).<br />
External hazards not related to natural causes:<br />
■■<br />
Main hazards emerging from the neighboring DINA<br />
petrochemical plant – necessary analysis of interaction<br />
with LNG terminal in case of toxic chemicals<br />
release, major fire and/or explosion (thermal radiation<br />
and possible projectiles).<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Main hazards emerging from the JANAF oil terminal<br />
at a distance of 2 km – necessary analysis of interaction<br />
with LNG terminal in case of major fire or<br />
explosion at crude oil and oil product tanks, pumping<br />
facilities (thermal radiation and possible projectiles).<br />
Hazards related to malicious human action - sabotage,<br />
theft and similar actions are addressed according to<br />
valid security standards and are not part of the technological<br />
risk analysis.<br />
Hazards related to traffic:<br />
––<br />
Public roads in proximity of the terminal - access<br />
restriction to be considered;<br />
––<br />
Rijeka international airport is located 3 km northeast<br />
of the LNG terminal. Air corridors <strong>for</strong> takeoff<br />
and landing do not go over the terminal, no-fly<br />
zone above the industrial facilities;<br />
––<br />
Maritime transport – tanker collision/grounding<br />
during approach and berthing - route through<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 39
REPORTS<br />
LNG<br />
Figure 2. LNG flash fire and pool fire.<br />
narrow passage between island Cres and the<br />
Istrian peninsula, ship traffic in the bay of Rijeka;<br />
––<br />
Internal traffic – vehicle impact into storage tanks<br />
or equipment under pressure, traffic accident with<br />
fire – ignition source.<br />
3.2 Technological hazards<br />
Technological hazards associated with the processes on<br />
the terminal arise from:<br />
■■<br />
Substances used at the terminal (e. g. flammability,<br />
low temperature…);<br />
■■<br />
Equipment and machinery used at the terminal (e. g.<br />
rotating parts, leaks from equipment under pressure …);<br />
■■<br />
Operations that are carried out with substances and<br />
equipment.<br />
The main substance within the LNG terminal – liquefied<br />
natural <strong>gas</strong> - is by far more significant than all other substances<br />
(e. g. lubricating oil, nitrogen) in terms of quantity,<br />
specific <strong>energy</strong> and complexity of handling. All the main<br />
risks are there<strong>for</strong>e associated with LNG.<br />
Due to its characteristics (cryogenic temperature,<br />
composition etc.), LNG involves a series of specific hazardous<br />
phenomena:<br />
■■<br />
Leakage and spreading of LNG from pipelines or<br />
equipment.<br />
––<br />
As LNG draws heat from the environment, part of<br />
the discharged liquid instantly turns to vapor,<br />
■■<br />
while the rest falls to the ground, with possible<br />
<strong>for</strong>mation of an LNG pool. Evaporation from an<br />
LNG pool has a constant rate which depends on<br />
environmental temperature and type of ground.<br />
––<br />
“Rapid phase transition” can occur if LNG is poured<br />
into water (e. g. sea water), Water temperature is<br />
above the LNG superheating temperature, heat<br />
exchange is very intense so LNG is rapidly superheated<br />
and evaporates abruptly causing overpressure<br />
similar to an explosion, but without ignition<br />
(cold explosion).<br />
Dispersion of LNG vapor<br />
––<br />
Evaporating LNG <strong>for</strong>ms a cloud of cold vapor,<br />
which grows in volume while remaining close to<br />
the ground or water surface. Over time, the vapor<br />
cloud absorbs heat from the ambient air, becomes<br />
lighter and disperses. The dispersion process is<br />
accelerated in windy conditions.<br />
––<br />
Condensation of air moisture due to low temperature<br />
of LNG vapor makes the vapor cloud visible.<br />
With relative air humidity above 55 % (which is<br />
typical <strong>for</strong> coastal areas), both the upper and lower<br />
flammability limits are within the visible cloud,<br />
making the cloud a reliable indicator of the location<br />
of flammable LNG vapors.<br />
■■<br />
Ignition of LNG vapor (Figure 2).<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
––<br />
Ignition of LNG vapors can occur within a certain<br />
range of concentrations in the air, i.e. it can occur<br />
only at a certain distance from the LNG leak. The<br />
flame front creates a flash fire. by spreading<br />
through the vapor cloud at an average speed of 4<br />
m/s towards the source of the cloud - the LNG<br />
pool.<br />
––<br />
Ignition of the vapor above the pool increases its<br />
evaporation rate, providing additional fuel to the<br />
fire. Air is drawn into the fire sideways due to a funnel<br />
effect. LNG pool fires are a source of very high<br />
thermal radiation, up to 200 kW/m 2 in immediate<br />
vicinity of the fire.<br />
––<br />
Jet fires can occur in case leaks from high pressure<br />
equipment are ignited, <strong>for</strong>ming a several meters<br />
long jet of flame.<br />
LNG vapor explosion<br />
––<br />
Due to slow flame propagation, vapor cloud explosions<br />
are possible only in confined or congested<br />
spaces where obstacles build up pressure and<br />
accelerate the flame front. Explosions occur in the<br />
<strong>for</strong>m of a deflagration, i. e. with subsonic flame<br />
propagation and moderate pressure surge up to 7<br />
bar(g). Detonations, explosions with supersonic<br />
flame propagation and a high pressure shock, are<br />
unlikely to occur.<br />
Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosion (BLEVE)<br />
(Figure 3).<br />
40 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
LNG<br />
REPORTS<br />
■■<br />
––<br />
If LNG is boiled inside a pressure vessel to a supercritical<br />
temperature, as the vessel ruptures the<br />
pressure abruptly drops causing intense evaporation<br />
and expansion within milliseconds. The<br />
release of <strong>energy</strong> is intense, causing high pressure<br />
shocks and possibly projectiles (high speed pressure<br />
vessel fragments).<br />
Other LNG related hazards<br />
––<br />
LNG vapors are non toxic but can cause anoxia<br />
and suffocation.<br />
––<br />
The low temperature of LNG or its vapors can<br />
cause frostbite and brittle fracture to structures.<br />
––<br />
LNG roll-over is a specific phenomenon during<br />
which a sudden mixing of different density LNG<br />
layers occurs within a storage tank, releasing large<br />
amounts of boil-off <strong>gas</strong>. Preventing the <strong>for</strong>mation<br />
of layers inside tanks prevents LNG roll-over.<br />
3.3 Preliminary risk assessment<br />
Most hazards specific <strong>for</strong> the LNG terminal revolve around<br />
leakage of LNG or NG. Accident scenarios are elaborated<br />
<strong>for</strong> various locations, intensities and types of leakage, taking<br />
into account environmental conditions, type of<br />
ground, nearby structures and equipment, <strong>for</strong>eseen mitigation<br />
measures and safety systems, etc.<br />
In general, each accident scenario includes the following<br />
elements:<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Identification of critical events (points of no return),<br />
their preceding events (causes) and subsequent events;<br />
Identification of preventive, limiting and reducing<br />
measures <strong>for</strong> any hazardous event, as well as protective<br />
measures <strong>for</strong> surrounding objects;<br />
Probability assessment based on industry records;<br />
Consideration of the kinetics of events (e. g., discharge<br />
quantity through a leak and its duration, fire spreading<br />
rate and similar.);<br />
Determining of possible damages to objects, given<br />
the envisaged protection measures;<br />
Risk assessment based on findings from the previous<br />
steps.<br />
Figure 3. Boiling Liquid Expanding Vapor Explosion - BLEVE.<br />
The probabilities of hazardous events are typically<br />
divided into categories, as well as the consequences of<br />
events, regarding expected casualties or material damage.<br />
For example, the standard [6] defines seven classes<br />
of occurrence frequency and five classes of consequence<br />
severity. Events <strong>for</strong> which the frequency and severity is<br />
determined are places in the “risk matrix” (Table 1).<br />
Unacceptable risks require measures that reduce the<br />
probability of the associated hazardous event (preventive<br />
measures), and/or reduce the severity of its consequences<br />
(mitigation and protection measures). The aim of these<br />
measures is reduce risk to As Low As Reasonably Possible<br />
(“ALARP”) meaning that the implementation of all practical<br />
and economically feasible measures have been considered,<br />
and this has lead to a satisfyingly low risk.<br />
Risk reduction strategies give priority to preventive<br />
measures, especially inherently safe design – attempting<br />
to eliminate or reduce potential hazards at their source<br />
Table 1. Typical risk matrix.<br />
Probability<br />
"Likely<br />
(>10 -2 /year)"<br />
"Unlikely<br />
(10 -4
REPORTS<br />
LNG<br />
(e. g. distance between tanks and equipment, buried<br />
tanks). If preventive measures are inapplicable or insufficient,<br />
measures are introduced to prevent the start of a<br />
sequence of events leading to a critical event, followed<br />
by mitigation measures to prevent a dangerous escalation<br />
of the critical event (e. g. pressure relief valves, bund<br />
walls, foam generators to cover spilled LNG <strong>for</strong> controlled<br />
pool fire burnout). Finally, the least preferred are protective<br />
measures to reduce damage to surrounding objects<br />
(e. g. water screens).<br />
4. CONCLUSION<br />
Risk management is a complex field with constant progress<br />
and ever increasing demands. Nevertheless, one<br />
should always keep in mind that risk management takes<br />
place in an economic context. Within this context arises<br />
the concept of “acceptable risk”, the risk <strong>for</strong> which the<br />
price of its further reduction is too large compared to the<br />
price of its acceptance. The question when exactly the<br />
cost of further risk reduction is too big has no arbitrary<br />
answer. Instead, the answer lies in the hands of legislators<br />
to set the standards, in the hands of experts that design<br />
the plants and operate them to apply the standards and<br />
surpass them. But ultimately the answer lies in the hands<br />
of the individual and his morals. As risk management<br />
essentially implies uncertainty, even perfect implementation<br />
of all safety measures is no guarantee of absolute<br />
safety; it merely means the risks are not higher than<br />
planned.<br />
With hazards that could occur regularly, the approach<br />
is rather clear, and revolves around the discipline of consistently<br />
implementing well-known safety measures and<br />
optimizing them. However, some robustness should<br />
always be retained, keeping in mind the sensitivity of any<br />
highly optimized system – any discrepancy between<br />
design and practice could render the whole system useless.<br />
As it is unacceptable <strong>for</strong> a major accident to occur<br />
even once, engineers have another task more contrary to<br />
intuition – to address such hazards whose likelihood is<br />
very small, if they have potentially serious consequences.<br />
An occurrence frequency of “once in a million years” does<br />
not mean that such an event will not happen tomorrow.<br />
It rather means that safety measures associated with such<br />
an event should be especially carefully thought trough to<br />
balance cost and effectiveness.<br />
With LNG facilities the key risks arise from the large<br />
amount of <strong>energy</strong> they contain, and mainly from its sudden<br />
release in the <strong>for</strong>m of a catastrophic fire. The LNG<br />
industry so far has an above average safety record with<br />
only a few major accidents. However, keeping it this way<br />
is no small challenge.<br />
REFERENCES<br />
[1] Elektroprojekt Consulting Engineers, Adria LNG terminal<br />
conceptual design, Y2-K79.00.01-S01.1, revision<br />
1, Zagreb, 2010.<br />
[2] Ekonerg d.d. and partners - Environmental Impact<br />
Study <strong>for</strong> the Adria LNG terminal on the Island of Krk,<br />
Zagreb, 2010<br />
[3] Council Directive 2008/114/EC of 8 December 2008<br />
on the identification and designation of European<br />
critical infrastructures and the assessment of the<br />
need to improve their protection (OJ L 345 of<br />
23.12.2008)<br />
[4] Croatian Law on critical infrastructures, OG 56/13<br />
[5] Seveso I: Council Directive 82/501/EEC on the majoraccident<br />
hazards of certain industrial activities (OJ No<br />
L 230 of 5 August 1982)<br />
[6] Seveso II: Council Directive 96/82/EC and 2003/105/<br />
EC on the control of major-accident hazards involving<br />
dangerous substances<br />
[7] Seveso III: Directive 2012/18/EU of the European Parliament<br />
and of the Council of 4 July 2012 on the control<br />
of major-accident hazards involving dangerous<br />
substances, amending and subsequently repealing<br />
Council Directive 96/82/EC Text with EEA relevance<br />
[8] ISO 31000:2009 - Risk Management - Principles and<br />
guidelines<br />
[9] IEC/ISO 31010:2009/ EN 31010:2010 - Risk management<br />
- Risk assessment techniques<br />
[10] ISO/IEC Guide 73:2002 - Risk management -- Vocabulary<br />
-- Guidelines <strong>for</strong> use in standards<br />
[11] EN 1473:2007 Installation and equipment <strong>for</strong> liquefied<br />
natural <strong>gas</strong> – Design of onshore installations<br />
AUTHORS<br />
Boris Majcen, mag.ing.mech.<br />
Design engineer<br />
Elektroprojekt Consulting Engineers<br />
Zagreb | Croatia<br />
Phone: + 385(0)1 63 07 866<br />
E-mail: boris.majcen@elektroprojekt.hr<br />
Marino Valjak, mag.ing.mech.<br />
Design engineer<br />
Elektroprojekt Consulting Engineers<br />
Zagreb | Croatia<br />
Phone: + 385(0)1 63 07 867<br />
E-mail: marino.valjak@elektroprojekt.hr<br />
42 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
South East Europe<br />
Oil & Gas<br />
Forum<br />
25-27<br />
November<br />
<strong>2014</strong><br />
Athens • Greece<br />
www.oil<strong>gas</strong>-seeurope.com<br />
SECURING AND DIVERSIFYING<br />
EUROPE’S ENERGY SUPPLY<br />
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7596 5004 Email: og@ite-events.com<br />
London • Moscow • Almaty • Baku • Tashkent • Atyrau • Aktau • Istanbul • Hamburg • Beijing • Poznan • Dubai
REPORTS<br />
Micro-CHP<br />
Practical experience in the<br />
placement of mCHP<br />
Micro combined heat and power appliances (mCHP) on<br />
the Slovenian and Croatian market<br />
by Mario Opačak<br />
Micro combined heat and power appliances represent the next step in increasing the <strong>energy</strong> efficiency and<br />
rational <strong>energy</strong> production and consumption. This distributed mode of electricity production brings many<br />
advantages <strong>for</strong> the entire society. However, <strong>for</strong> the mass deployment of these appliances, the key is financial and<br />
economic interest of investors. What are the experiences of Vaillant Company in this field exemplified by sales of<br />
ecoPOWER appliances on the Slovenian and Croatian market?<br />
1. GENERAL INFORMATION ABOUT THE<br />
MCHP APPLIANCES<br />
The topic of mCHP appliances is relatively unknown in<br />
the markets of Slovenia and Croatia, but that does not<br />
mean that the very principle is unknown. For quite some<br />
time now there are a number larger facilities with installed<br />
CHP appliances, but the application of appliances with<br />
less power – mCHP started only recently.<br />
The reason is not only the fact that the investors are<br />
insufficiently in<strong>for</strong>med, but also many obstacles that have<br />
impeded and obstruct the realization of such projects.<br />
First of all, this refers to a complex administrative procedure<br />
that made the installation and connection of these<br />
appliances to the distribution network complicated to<br />
the extent that the most of potential investors eventually<br />
gave up on the idea. Due to the situation of getting permits<br />
and approvals, the height of feed-in tariff was totally<br />
irrelevant, and the offer of mCHP appliances on these<br />
markets was very limited.<br />
In the last two years, the number of necessary approvals<br />
and permits has been substantially reduced and the<br />
process of obtaining them extremely simplified. This fact<br />
almost overnight awoke interest of the investors and the<br />
offer of mCHP appliances on the market started to grow.<br />
The Vaillant Company also got included into the process<br />
and last August offered on these two markets its<br />
appliance called the ecoPOWER.<br />
It is a <strong>gas</strong> engine with variable number of revolutions<br />
powered by natural or liquefied <strong>gas</strong>, producing 12.5 kW<br />
of heat and 4.7 kW of electricity in an hour. Like all CHP<br />
appliances, the ecoPOWER also primarily produces heat,<br />
while the produced electricity in fact is a by-product.<br />
This operation principle also represents a significant<br />
limiting factor in the selection of the facility <strong>for</strong> installation.<br />
Namely, if we want to achieve the maximum efficiency,<br />
it is necessary to enable the largest possible number<br />
of operating hours. In the winter period almost each<br />
facility can consume the produced 12 kW/h, but a problem<br />
arises in the part of the year when there is no need<br />
<strong>for</strong> central heating. There<strong>for</strong>e, optimal facilities <strong>for</strong> the<br />
installation of mCHP appliances are those with a constant<br />
and increasing demand <strong>for</strong> hot water. Smaller hotels, restaurants,<br />
car washes and similar commercial buildings<br />
have proven to ideal facilities <strong>for</strong> the installation, while<br />
among facilities <strong>for</strong> private purposes the most appropriate<br />
are the ones with a pool heated throughout the year.<br />
Guided by the a<strong>for</strong>esaid, the ecoPOWER appliance was<br />
offered at the same time and price on the Slovenian and<br />
Croatian market, but with completely different results.<br />
2. PRACTICAL EXPERIENCE IN<br />
SLOVENIA AND CROATIA<br />
In the first six months in Slovenia were sold and installed<br />
8 ecoPOWER appliances. The units were installed in a dif-<br />
44 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Micro-CHP<br />
REPORTS<br />
ferent type of facilities, from hotels, restaurants and office<br />
buildings to tourist facilities with apartments. Interest and<br />
response of investors was equal on the entire territory of<br />
Slovenia, that is, in parts of the market with the <strong>gas</strong> network.<br />
All eight cases involved the modernization of the old<br />
boiler rooms. Taking into consideration the fact that the<br />
ecoPOWER is designed <strong>for</strong> basic heat load and that the<br />
peak heat load requires the installation of backup appliances,<br />
the experts from Vaillant designed these systems<br />
with the application of ecoPOWER unit, wall mounted<br />
high-power condensing appliances and mandatory use<br />
of a buffer storage which makes an indispensable part of<br />
the system and guarantees its proper and high quality<br />
operation (see Figure 1).<br />
The example of first installed ecoPOWER appliance<br />
used at Tabor Hotel in Maribor shows the terms of<br />
re ference and the way the solution was carried out (see<br />
Figure 2).<br />
Tabor Hotel was built in the mid-60s and has a capacity<br />
of 125 beds in 55 rooms. The hotel heating consisted<br />
in a heating oil-powered boiler with the power of 130 kW,<br />
carrying out as well the preparation of hot sanitary water<br />
through two 500 liter storages. The terms of reference of<br />
the investors were to modernize the existing heating system<br />
and switch to <strong>gas</strong> as a cheaper and more ecofriendly<br />
<strong>energy</strong> source.<br />
The experts from Vaillant designed the system with<br />
mCHP appliance ecoPOWER 4.7, wall mounted highpower<br />
condensing appliance of 120 kW - ecoTEC Plus<br />
VU 1206/5-5 and domestic hot water storage of 1000<br />
liters - allSTOR VPS 1000/3-5, while the management of<br />
the overall system was entrusted to Vaillant’s control<br />
VRS 620/3. The scheme of this system is shown in<br />
(Figure 3).<br />
Figure 1. ecoPOWER unit and buffer storage allSTOR.<br />
Figure 2. Hotel Tabor in Maribor.<br />
3. RESULTS OF THE SYSTEM<br />
OPERATION<br />
This system was installed during the August of 2013 and<br />
commissioned on August 30, 2013.<br />
For the purpose of analysis, the results of system<br />
operation were collected on February 11, <strong>2014</strong>, i.e., after<br />
little less than 5 and half months of its operation.<br />
In this period of 165 days, the ecoPOWER achieved<br />
2.650 operating hours, which is a high 67% of the total<br />
possible number.<br />
In this period, the system generated 32.3 MWh of<br />
thermal <strong>energy</strong> and 11.4 MWh of electricity, consuming<br />
4,770 m 3 of <strong>gas</strong>. With the <strong>gas</strong> price of 49 cents per m 3 , <strong>for</strong><br />
the production of 32.3 MWh of thermal <strong>energy</strong> and<br />
11.4 MWh of electricity was spent € 2,337, while the produced<br />
electricity was delivered to the distribution network<br />
and charged according to the feed-in tariff of € 0.21/kWh in<br />
the amount of € 2,394. Simple math shows that <strong>for</strong> investors<br />
the total thermal <strong>energy</strong> of 32.3 MWh was free and<br />
accompanied with the profit of € 57.<br />
If we assume that 32.2 kWh of the obtained thermal<br />
<strong>energy</strong> was produced using the condensing appliance,<br />
<strong>for</strong> that purpose would have been spent approximately<br />
3,620 m 3 of <strong>gas</strong> which, combined with the listed price of<br />
0.49 €/ m 3 , would have amounted € 1,774. There<strong>for</strong>e,<br />
applying the ecoPOWER only in 165 days the investor<br />
saved € 1,831. With these results it is easy to make a calculation<br />
according to which the investor will realize a return<br />
on investment in less than four years.<br />
Similar results, although due to the shorter time<br />
period between commissioning and reading the results<br />
<strong>for</strong> the analysis, were achieved in other implemented<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 45
REPORTS<br />
Micro-CHP<br />
Figure 3. Hotel Tabor system sheme.<br />
projects like the restaurant “Ruski Car” in Ljubljana (see<br />
Figure 4), or the business building “Tames” in Ptuj (see<br />
Figure 5).<br />
4. ANALYSIS OF SUCCESS AND FAILURE<br />
FACTORS<br />
Figure 4. Restaurant “Ruski car”.<br />
At the same time in Croatia was not implemented a single<br />
project, despite being offered on the market in the<br />
same manner and at the same price. This fact has initiated<br />
a more detailed analysis of environmental factors<br />
in order to identify the causes of such differences in<br />
sales results. The analysis showed that the difference in<br />
amount of feed-in tariff is the key and deciding factor<br />
that makes the installation of mCHP more or less attractive<br />
to investors.<br />
In order to illustrate, we shall use the comparison<br />
made in (Table 1).<br />
We have already shown that the Slovenian investor<br />
made a profit of € 57 <strong>for</strong> 32.3 MWh of obtained thermal<br />
<strong>energy</strong>.<br />
46 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
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REPORTS<br />
Table 1. Comparison of success and failure factors.<br />
Data on the operation of the ecoPOWER appliance:<br />
Time period: August 30, 2013 – November 2, <strong>2014</strong><br />
Generated thermal <strong>energy</strong>: 32.300 kWh<br />
Generated electricity: 11.400 kWh<br />
Gas consumption: 4,770 m 3 Slovenia Croatia<br />
Electricity price 0.164 €/kWh 0.14 €/kWh<br />
Electricity purchase price (feed-in tariff) 0.21 €/kWh 0.07 €/kWh<br />
Gas price 0.49 €/m 3 0.48 €/m 3<br />
Price of consumed <strong>gas</strong> 2,337 € 2,290 €<br />
Purchased electricity 2,394 € 798 €<br />
Cost of the appliance operation -57 € 1,492 €<br />
Assuming that the same appliance operated <strong>for</strong> the<br />
same time period and with an equivalent effect somewhere<br />
in Croatia, with current <strong>gas</strong> prices and purchase<br />
price of electricity in Croatia, the same amount of thermal<br />
<strong>energy</strong> would represent a cost of € 1,492.<br />
Using the same methodology can be made a comparison<br />
in terms of savings achieved by installing the<br />
ecoPOWER in relation to the use of condensing appliance<br />
only. The example from Slovenia showed that the savings<br />
in the first 165 days amounted € 1,831, while in the<br />
Croatian example the savings would be only € 236, or<br />
7.75 times lower. Consequently, the return on investment<br />
which in the Slovenian case was less than four years, in<br />
Croatia would be extended to 30 years.<br />
5. CONCLUSION<br />
In order to successfully place mCHP appliances on the<br />
market, the right choice of the facility or proper system<br />
sizing are not enough, and also the price of appliance is<br />
not crucial. The key factor <strong>for</strong> successful placement is<br />
the expected payback period which highly and directly<br />
depends on the purchase price of electricity - feed in<br />
tariff.<br />
Figure 5. “Tames” business building.<br />
AUTHOR<br />
Mario Opačak<br />
Country Manager |<br />
Vaillant d.o.o. |<br />
HR - Zagreb |<br />
Phone +385 1 6064 387 |<br />
E-mail: mario.opacak@vaillant.hr<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 47
REPORTS<br />
Gas market<br />
Flexibility prices in Germany<br />
by Andrej Pustišek and Michael Karasz<br />
Neither the term “flexibility” itself nor its pricing principles are well defined and commonly accepted. Flexibility<br />
shall be defined by using the hourly, daily, monthly, quarterly, seasonal and annual quantity restrictions defined<br />
in supply or storage contracts.<br />
The flexibility prices can currently be only deducted from other market prices/indicators. Both of them<br />
decreased during the last years. This is confirmed by analysis of results of storage capacity auctions.<br />
Assuming an increase of the European natural <strong>gas</strong> markets’ liquidity the quotation of derivatives, particularly<br />
options, on natural <strong>gas</strong> is recommended – plugging the gap and putting a price tag on flexibility.<br />
1. INTRODUCTION<br />
1.1 Motivation and Definition<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
facilitate and ensure comparability of different flexibility<br />
tools, and<br />
comply with intuition.<br />
The title may suggest that the term “flexibility” itself and<br />
its pricing principles are well defined in a clearly defined<br />
region, i.e. the German natural <strong>gas</strong> market. Neither of<br />
these assumptions holds.<br />
In addition, also the tools, the elements, the value<br />
drivers and even the unit of flexibility or its price(s) require<br />
further investigation.<br />
As a starting point and by focusing subsequently on<br />
volume flexibility, it is assumed that what shall be defined<br />
as flexibility shall be “assembled” from hourly, daily,<br />
monthly, quarterly, seasonal and annual quantity restrictions<br />
defined in supply or storage contracts, subsequently<br />
called “elements” of flexibility. Such contractual<br />
restrictions are clearly defined minimum and maximum<br />
quantities <strong>for</strong> each of the periods mentioned 1 .<br />
The elements have to be distinguished from tools,<br />
which provide flexibility and the parameters influencing<br />
the value of flexibility, the “value drivers”. In addition, it<br />
has to be observed that flexibility is a distinctly different<br />
concept from capacity, structure of deliveries or load.<br />
However, just by identifying the elements of flexibility<br />
the concept is not yet defined. Any definition of<br />
flexibility shall:<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
take into consideration all flexibility elements,<br />
be operational and unambiguous,<br />
help quantifying flexibility,<br />
aggregate the numbers of single flexibility components<br />
to one single measure,<br />
1 E.g. the hourly flexibility component shall be the difference between the<br />
maximum hourly quantity and the minimum hourly quantity. Others are<br />
defined analogously.<br />
Under due consideration of these requirements a “flexibility<br />
index” is defined in order to provide such “measure” <strong>for</strong> volume<br />
flexibility. This index describes essentially the cumulated<br />
degrees of freedom provided by a flexibility tool. In<br />
other words, the flexibility index is the sum of the differences<br />
of the maximal and the minimal supply- or storage utilization<br />
patterns 2 divided by the total supply volumes.<br />
The flexibility index can be visualized as the entire<br />
area between the outer boundary functions (which in<br />
turn depend on the inner ones) shown in Figure 1.<br />
Hence, all elements and, equally important, their interdependencies<br />
are included 3 .<br />
1.2 Tools<br />
Sources of flexibility, i.e. tools, are “devices” <strong>for</strong> the “production”<br />
of flexibility. These include:<br />
■■<br />
natural <strong>gas</strong> production 4 ,<br />
■■<br />
short-, mid- and long-term storage; including<br />
––<br />
caverns,<br />
––<br />
depleted fields,<br />
––<br />
aquifers,<br />
2 More general, any flexibility tool’s utilization pattern. The ‘maximal supplyor<br />
storage utilization pattern’ shall be the pattern describing the off-take or<br />
withdrawal resulting in the maximum cumulated quantities at each point<br />
in time during the period. The ‘minimal supply- or storage utilization pattern’<br />
shall be the pattern describing the off-take or injection resulting in<br />
the minimum cumulated quantities at each point in time during the<br />
period.<br />
3 For further explanation and a more rigorous definition see [1].<br />
4 The distinction between long distance production and short distance production<br />
applied by some authors shall not be adapted in this study; see e.g. [2].<br />
48 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas market<br />
REPORTS<br />
F igure 1. Example <strong>for</strong> the definition of the flexibility index.<br />
– LNG storage,<br />
– small scale compressed natural <strong>gas</strong> and<br />
– line-pack,<br />
and<br />
■ utilization of other <strong>energy</strong> sources.<br />
This implies that contractual tools require a physical back<br />
up. There<strong>for</strong>e, contracts cannot be regarded as sources or<br />
sinks of flexibility. In this context “utilization of other <strong>energy</strong><br />
sources” is reflected by interruptible delivery contracts.<br />
Flexibility is provided by other sources of <strong>energy</strong>, different<br />
from natural <strong>gas</strong>. This also implies that natural <strong>gas</strong> hubs are<br />
not flexibility tools, even if prices quoted at hubs are and<br />
will be indispensable <strong>for</strong> the valuation of flexibility 5 .<br />
2. PRICING FLEXIBILITY<br />
There is no generally accepted market place where a<br />
“price <strong>for</strong> flexibility” is quoted. A <strong>for</strong>tiori, there is not even a<br />
commonly accepted unit <strong>for</strong> the price of flexibility. Hence,<br />
such price has to be deducted, preferably by choosing<br />
appropriate, necessarily market based indicators in units<br />
used in the market. Currently available indicators are:<br />
■ Published tariffs of storage system operators (SSOs) 6<br />
■ By considering flexibility to be an option:<br />
– Summer/winter-spreads of <strong>for</strong>ward prices of natural<br />
<strong>gas</strong> at hubs indicate the intrinsic value and<br />
– The development of the volatility of such prices<br />
may indicate the time value of the option.<br />
■ Other market-based approaches may use results of<br />
storage capacity auctions.<br />
These approaches are (at least partly) independent of<br />
costs <strong>for</strong> the supply of flexibility. Hence such costs are not<br />
considered.<br />
Flexibility prices are commonly expressed in [€/MWh].<br />
Even if a more appropriate unit would be of the <strong>for</strong>m<br />
[€/(kWh/h)/a=€/kW/a], as flexibility is time dependent,<br />
the subsequent description will use the commonly<br />
accepted unit [€/MWh].<br />
5 See also: “Note that we do not consider the Dutch <strong>gas</strong> market (TTF) as an<br />
additional source of physical flexibility. At the point of delivery, a purchase<br />
of <strong>gas</strong> on the TTF must always be provided by one of the underlying physical<br />
sources of <strong>gas</strong> flexibility listed above. While the TTF helps allocate flexibility<br />
sources among buyers in an efficient way, it does not provide a net<br />
contribution to flexibility supply.”[3].<br />
6 Other than some neighbouring countries in the EU storage tariffs are not<br />
regulated in Germany. On the one hand, this results in a wide range of<br />
available products and tariffs. On the other hand, a transparent (albeit<br />
regulated) indication of the value of flexibility is missing.<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 49
REPORTS<br />
Gas market<br />
10,00<br />
8,00<br />
4,00<br />
2,00<br />
0,00<br />
-2,00<br />
realize due to future movements of prices. The total<br />
option value is the sum of the intrinsic and time value.<br />
In cases where the option is part of a portfolio a (positive)<br />
portfolio effect might occur, i.e. the overall value of a<br />
portfolio consisting of (contractual or physical) options<br />
might be higher than the sum of the values of the individual<br />
options. This portfolio value refers to and reflects<br />
the individual company’s overall asset position.<br />
Such option based methods <strong>for</strong> the valuation of flexibility<br />
can, however, only be applied under the following,<br />
restrictive assumptions 7<br />
■ there is a perfectly liquid not distorted traded market 8 ,<br />
■ there are no transaction costs,<br />
■ there is non-discriminatory access to this market, and<br />
■ players maximize profits and show rational behaviour.<br />
2008/09 SW-Spread<br />
2012/13 SW-Spread<br />
2009/10 SW-Spread<br />
2013/14 SW-Spread<br />
2010/11 SW-Spread<br />
<strong>2014</strong>/15 SW-Spread<br />
2011/12 SW-Spread<br />
2015/16 SW-Spread<br />
2.1.1 Intrinsic Value<br />
F igure 2. Development of the Summer-Winter-Spread at Germany´s<br />
NCG Market Area (Data based on [16]).<br />
60%<br />
50%<br />
40%<br />
30%<br />
0%<br />
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 <strong>2014</strong> 2015 2016 2017<br />
F igure 3. Development of Volatility (Annual EEX-Futures).<br />
2.1 Option-Based Valuation Approaches<br />
Valuation of flexibility is based on the idea that flexible<br />
contracts (storage or delivery) or flexibility tools are<br />
equivalent to options. The intrinsic value is the value of<br />
such an asset that can readily be realized at a given point<br />
in time. Hence, it is the price differential the contract<br />
owner can realize given the <strong>for</strong>ward prices at a certain<br />
point in time, i.e. principally the spread between winter<br />
and summer <strong>gas</strong> prices. The (positive) time value is the<br />
potential additional value the contract owner expects to<br />
The differential between <strong>for</strong>ward prices <strong>for</strong> summer and<br />
winter delivery is one of the fundamental drivers of the<br />
value of flexibility, determining the intrinsic value of a flexibility<br />
tool 9 .<br />
Hence, comparing <strong>for</strong>ward prices <strong>for</strong> the six-month<br />
summer period with the six-month winter period is used<br />
to determine the intrinsic value of a (physical or contractual<br />
storage) asset that allows <strong>for</strong> one (ideally six-month<br />
lasting) injection period and one (ideally six-month lasting)<br />
withdrawal period. As soon as the storage asset<br />
allows <strong>for</strong> faster injection or withdrawal other (differently<br />
defined) spreads might be more appropriate.<br />
Figure 2 shows the development of summer/winter<br />
spreads in the German Net Connect Germany (NCG) market<br />
area since summer/winter 2008/09 based on the European<br />
Energy Exchange’s (EEX) quarterly and seasonal futures 10 .<br />
Obviously, a clear trend is visible. Spreads decreased from<br />
nearly 8 €/MWh down to nearly 1 €/MWh. They have fallen to<br />
historical lows in 2013, but increased again starting in late 2013.<br />
2.1.2 Time Value 11<br />
The time value is the positive value of a contractual or<br />
physical asset that might be realized in future. Such time<br />
value is always positive during the time to expiration of<br />
the option as there is always a (positive) likelihood of the<br />
option going (deeper) into the money.<br />
7 See e.g. [5], p. 2. For an overview of valuation methods see [1].<br />
8 One example discussing explicitly illiquidity is: [6]. See also similar reference<br />
in the USA market at the beginning of the 2000s: [7].<br />
9 In this context, the question arises: What is the ‘summer’ and ‘winter’? The<br />
commonly applied definition of winter = October to March and summer =<br />
April to September is used here, too. Nevertheless, others may be reasonable<br />
in a different context.<br />
10 The summer/winter spreads have been calculated as difference of the future<br />
prices between Q4 and Q1 and the future prices of the preceding Q2 and Q3.<br />
11 Sometimes also referred to as “extrinsic” value.<br />
50 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas market<br />
REPORTS<br />
The time value primarily depends on the volatility of<br />
commodity prices in the market 12 , giving customers the<br />
opportunity to create additional value. In connection with<br />
storages, the use of short-term flexibility components is<br />
facilitated by higher cycling rates in cavern storages and<br />
there<strong>for</strong>e, their time values are higher than time values of<br />
aquifers and depleted fields.<br />
In European natural <strong>gas</strong> markets, often contrary to<br />
market participants’ expectations, the volatility decreased<br />
during the last years 13 . As depicted in Figure 3 the historical<br />
volatility of the annual EEX-NCG futures shows a<br />
clear downward trend 14 . One of the reasons is assumed<br />
to be the existence of oil-product-indexed prices agreed<br />
upon in long-term natural <strong>gas</strong> delivery contracts, acting<br />
as a ceiling on market prices.<br />
2.2 Published Storage Tariffs/Prices<br />
€/MWh (WGC)<br />
10<br />
9<br />
8<br />
7<br />
6<br />
5<br />
4<br />
3<br />
2<br />
1<br />
-<br />
0<br />
F igure 4. Merit Order Curve (working <strong>gas</strong> capacity based prices) <strong>for</strong><br />
Germany NCG (incl. Haidach and 7 Fields).<br />
Despite the value of flexibility being determined by the<br />
optionality of the commodity, storage tariffs still play a<br />
vital role in the European and German natural <strong>gas</strong> market.<br />
At least they can serve as a marker, i.e. a first indication of<br />
the magnitude of the flexibility price.<br />
Published storage prices are primarily defined by the<br />
following three components 15 :<br />
■ injection rate,<br />
■ withdrawal rate, and<br />
■ working <strong>gas</strong> capacity,<br />
€/MWh<br />
4,60<br />
2,91<br />
5,85<br />
3,21<br />
2,26<br />
Hence, any storage price can be regarded as a threedimensional<br />
quantity.<br />
Storage system operators, however, do not offer<br />
unbundled products only, i.e. each of the above mentioned<br />
components “separately”, but also storage bundles<br />
(standard bundled units = SBUs), i.e. products<br />
where the three components and consequently the<br />
relations between them are fixed <strong>for</strong> predefined absolute<br />
prices.<br />
Notwithstanding the European guidelines 16 , tariffs<br />
<strong>for</strong> storage vary considerably throughout and sometimes<br />
even within the different natural <strong>gas</strong> markets in<br />
12 Volatility shall be defined as normalized standard deviation of the relations<br />
of logarithmic values of a parameter in equidistant successive periods.<br />
See <strong>for</strong> a <strong>for</strong>mal definition e.g. [8].<br />
13 See [9], p. 4 (following).<br />
14 A similar trend applies <strong>for</strong> monthly, quarterly, or seasonal futures as well<br />
as <strong>for</strong> other European hubs.<br />
15 Further elements of storage prices include:<br />
service fees,<br />
penalties,<br />
annual, seasonal, quarterly or monthly discounts or adjustment factors,<br />
cycling rates,<br />
minimum flow requirements, or<br />
interruptibility discounts.<br />
The diversity and number of these elements complicates or even hinders<br />
comparability of tariffs (see e.g. [2], p. 35 following).<br />
16 According to Article 19 of the European Union Gas Directive the Member<br />
States can implement negotiated or regulated access to storage capacity.<br />
January-12 March-12 March-12 December-12 February-13 November-13 December-13<br />
Figure 5. Selected Storage Auction Results – Prices based on working<br />
<strong>gas</strong> capacity.<br />
the European Union 17 . For Germany (NCG market area)<br />
the wide spread of published tariffs is shown in Figure 4<br />
where the minimal price offered by different storage<br />
system operators <strong>for</strong> a seasonal product with a working<br />
<strong>gas</strong> capacity of 10 million Nm³, a withdrawal rate of<br />
2500 Nm³/h and an injection rate of as well 2500 Nm³/h<br />
is illustrated in a merit order curve 18 .<br />
17 For an overview see e.g. [2].<br />
18 This merit order curve is sketched by reducing the three-dimensional tariff<br />
to the working <strong>gas</strong> component. Similar ones could be shown with reference<br />
to the withdrawal rate or the injection rate. For further analysis see [1].<br />
0,99<br />
1,15<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 51
REPORTS<br />
Gas market<br />
2.3 Capacity Charges in Delivery Contracts<br />
Some delivery contracts include clauses <strong>for</strong> capacity<br />
charges 19 which can be regarded as an alternative to purchasing<br />
storage capacity. They are paid <strong>for</strong> the maximum<br />
20 hourly (or daily) <strong>gas</strong> volume taken or expected to<br />
be taken under the contract during a contract year. As<br />
such, they reflect a payment <strong>for</strong> the volume flexibility.<br />
Similar to storage prices, capacity charges are usually<br />
quoted in [€/(kWh/h)/a=€/kW/a] and they are applied to a<br />
maximum (hourly) delivery volume. As relevant capacity<br />
charges are not published, they are not suited to be<br />
included in the analysis of the flexibility price in the market.<br />
2.4 Auctions<br />
Trivially, the value of any good is determined by the price<br />
actually paid <strong>for</strong> in the market. In recent years auctions of<br />
storage capacity have been conducted in several European<br />
markets 21 . The products and SBUs sold in auction<br />
procedures are in many cases similar to the products<br />
offered directly by SSOs. Yet, only the minority of auction<br />
results is published.<br />
Prices recently found in auctions are geared to summer<br />
/ winter price spreads and there<strong>for</strong>e quite low compared to<br />
the ones published. Some auctions resulted in prices below<br />
1 €/MWh and others even failed due to too low prices 22 .<br />
In summary the analysis of auctions, the development<br />
of summer-winter-spreads as well as the development of<br />
volatility during the last years reveals that the value of<br />
flexibility in the German market <strong>for</strong> the seasonal product<br />
described above was slightly below 2 €/MWh at the<br />
beginning of <strong>2014</strong>. Trivially, if the elements of flexibility, as<br />
e.g. hourly, monthly or seasonal restrictions are modified,<br />
such value of flexibility will, of course, alter.<br />
3. CONCLUSION<br />
The transparent and fairly liquid commodity market <strong>for</strong><br />
natural <strong>gas</strong> is certainly an important constituent <strong>for</strong> the<br />
competitiveness. Nonetheless, no natural <strong>gas</strong> delivery<br />
can be valued properly without putting a price tag on<br />
flexibility, too. To this, market participants seem to rely<br />
increasingly on option based approaches. The intrinsic<br />
value serves as starting point defining the minimum<br />
minimorum, but a comprehensive and complete flexibility<br />
valuation requires an estimate of future volatility. This<br />
can be deducted from the analysis of traded options. The<br />
19 In the past, these contracts have been by far more common than today.<br />
20 In order to avoid too high capacity payments some delivery contracts stipulate<br />
<strong>for</strong> flattening these maximum volumes by e.g. using rolling averages.<br />
21 For auctioning storage capacities mostly English auctions are applied.<br />
22 See e.g.: [10], [11], [12], [13], or [14].<br />
options’ price helps to determine the implicit volatility.<br />
Such options on natural <strong>gas</strong> are currently traded in the US<br />
market but not in Continental Europe. Liquidity of natural<br />
<strong>gas</strong> options is quite high at CME 23 and often exceeds the<br />
one of crude oil options 24 – signalling a high reliability of<br />
these option prices.<br />
In theory, auction results should reflect the sum of<br />
intrinsic and extrinsic values at a given point in time, but<br />
auction procedures and conditions as well as lack of<br />
“liquidity” might bias results.<br />
As a consequence of the above, it is proposed that not<br />
only trading of commodity options but also of capacity is<br />
introduced in the market. This would foster the transparent<br />
and market based valuation of flexibility.<br />
REFERENCES<br />
[1] Karasz, M.; Pustišek, A.: Flexibility – Germany and Austria<br />
– A multi-client study, 2 nd edition, May <strong>2014</strong>, <strong>for</strong><br />
further reference: www.flexibility-study.com<br />
[2] Energy Charter Secretariat (2010): The Role of Underground<br />
Gas Storage <strong>for</strong> Security of Supply and Gas<br />
Markets, published at: http://www.encharter.org/fileadmin/user_upload/Publications/Gas_Storage_ENG.<br />
pdf, access: May 2013<br />
[3] Harris, D.; García, J. A.; Popescu, I.: Research into Gas Flexibility<br />
Services –Method Decision Flexibility Services,<br />
Public Version, The Brattle Group, 2011 United Kingdom<br />
[4] Leroy, J.-M.: Underground Gas Storage: What are the<br />
latest developments? Is it a resilient business?, Presentation<br />
held during FLAME 2011 Conference,<br />
Amsterdam, 11 May 2011<br />
[5] Barbieri, A.; Garman, M. B.: Understanding the Valuation<br />
of Swing Contracts; Financial Engineering and<br />
Associates, Inc., published at: http://www.fea.com/<br />
resources/a_understanding_valuation_swing.pdf,<br />
access: February 2013<br />
[6] Felix, B.; Woll, O.; Weber, Ch.: Gas Storage valuation<br />
under limited market liquidity: an application in Germany,<br />
EWL Working Paper No. 5, Chair <strong>for</strong> Management<br />
Sciences and Energy Economics, 2009 University<br />
of Duisburg-Essen<br />
[7] Gray, J.; Khandelwal, P.: Towards a Realistic Gas Storage<br />
Model, Commodities Now, June 2004<br />
[8] Hull, J.: Introduction to futures and options markets,<br />
2 nd edition. Prentice Hall International Editions, 1995<br />
Englewood Cliffs, NJ<br />
[9] Alterman, S.: Natural Gas Price Volatility in the UK and<br />
North America, The Ox<strong>for</strong>d Institute <strong>for</strong> Energy Stud-<br />
23 The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) is part of CME Group.<br />
24 See [16]. Prerequisite <strong>for</strong> such high liquidity of natural <strong>gas</strong> options is a<br />
high liquidity in the underlying market – natural <strong>gas</strong> commodity prices<br />
quoted at Henry Hub.<br />
52 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas market<br />
REPORTS<br />
ies, NG 60, published at: http://www.ox<strong>for</strong>d<strong>energy</strong>.<br />
org/wpcms/wp-content/uploads/2012/02/NG_60.<br />
pdf, access: August 2013<br />
[10] Energate (2012-12-18): Eon Gas Storage vermarktet<br />
Speicher Kraak<br />
[11] Energate (2013-02-19): Gasspeicher: Eon Ruhr<strong>gas</strong><br />
erzielt Preise von 1,90 Euro/MWh<br />
[12] Energate (2013-02-20): Gazprom mit zweiter Speicherauktion<br />
erfolglos<br />
[13] Energate (2013-03-22): Eon vermarktet 7 Fields erfolgreich<br />
[14] Energate (2013-03-26): Stadtwerke München versteigern<br />
Speicher<br />
[15] Energate (<strong>2014</strong>): Marktdaten Gas, EEX NCG, published at:<br />
http://www.energate.de/markt/preise, access: July <strong>2014</strong><br />
[16] CME Group (<strong>2014</strong>): Monthly Energy Review, A Global<br />
Trading Summary of Energy Markets, May <strong>2014</strong><br />
AUTHORS<br />
Dr. Dr. Andrej Pustišek<br />
2Pi-Energy GmbH |<br />
Stuttgart | Germany |<br />
Email: andrej.pustisek@2pi-<strong>energy</strong>.com<br />
Hochschule für Technik |<br />
Stuttgart | Germany |<br />
Email: andrej.pustisek@hft-stuttgart-de<br />
Michael Karasz<br />
THE ENERGY HOUSE GmbH |<br />
Munich | Germany |<br />
Email: karasz@the-<strong>energy</strong>-house.eu<br />
20 EUROFORUM–Annual Conference<br />
4 to 6 November <strong>2014</strong><br />
Pullman Berlin Schweizerhof, Berlin [Germany]<br />
<strong>gas</strong> <strong>2014</strong><br />
Meet the decision makers of the European <strong>gas</strong> industry!<br />
A selection of the experts panel …<br />
The European Gas Market<br />
4 November <strong>2014</strong><br />
The German Gas Market<br />
5 and 6 November <strong>2014</strong> [Conference Language: German]<br />
Ali Arif Aktürk,<br />
NaturGaz Natural<br />
Gas Import &<br />
Export Co. Inc.<br />
Ton Floors,<br />
Vopak LNG<br />
Holding B.V.<br />
Stephan Kamphues,<br />
ENTSO-G<br />
Thor Otto Lohne,<br />
GASSCO<br />
Presentations planned from the<br />
following countries:<br />
Jayesh Parmar,<br />
Baringa Partners<br />
Dr. Wolfgang Peters,<br />
RWE Supply &<br />
Trading CZ<br />
Beate Raabe,<br />
euro<strong>gas</strong><br />
Jens Schumann,<br />
Gasunie Deutschland<br />
www.erd<strong>gas</strong>-<strong>for</strong>um.com/programme<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 53<br />
Infoline: +49 (0) 2 11/96 86–35 96 [Murat Öncü]
REPORTS<br />
Gas market<br />
The Austrian Gas Market Model<br />
Design and Operation<br />
by Wolfgang Ziehengraser<br />
The third Energy Package was implemented in Austria on January 1 st , 2013, through an amendment to the Gas<br />
Act 2011, a consequent Market Model Ordinance, various so-called market rules and the General Terms and Conditions<br />
of various market actors. The new Market Model unifies the domestic and the transit system and introduces<br />
– in addition to the “balancing zone manager” - new „system administrators“ at transmission system level.<br />
The transport regime changed from transports along contracted paths to an Entry-Exit-System. Corresponding<br />
to this change, the calculation of grid tariffs had to be adapted. Entry and exit capacity can be booked separately.<br />
Entry from any point gives access to the Virtual Trading Point, from which in turn any exit point can be<br />
supplied. The balance group regime is now effective on the transmission system level. Balancing happens in<br />
two stages: At the market-area-level (interconnected transmission and distribution networks), the market area<br />
manager (MAM) balances the system ex ante based on nominations and transport schedules (“Fahrplan”). These<br />
must match (“ex ante balancing”) on a daily basis. On the DSO-level, the distribution area manager (DAM) balances<br />
all distribution system(s) in a market area on an hourly basis. The new Gas Market Model has been operative<br />
<strong>for</strong> more than one year. Results are mixed.<br />
Since the beginning of 2013 a new market model has<br />
been in <strong>for</strong>ce <strong>for</strong> the Austrian <strong>gas</strong> market. The market<br />
model pre-empts many features of a European model <strong>for</strong><br />
the internal <strong>gas</strong> market favoured by regulators.<br />
1. LEGAL FRAMEWORK<br />
The third <strong>energy</strong> package of 2009 1 and in particular the<br />
provisions relating to the <strong>gas</strong> market were transposed into<br />
Austrian law in the Gas Act of 2011 (GWG 2011 and amendments),<br />
in the Gas Market Model bye-law (GMMO-VO 2012<br />
as amended), other bye-laws and so-called Market Rules. 2<br />
2. ENTRY-EXIT: DESIGN AND CAPACITY<br />
ALLOCATION<br />
Austria comprises three market areas, East (MA-E), the<br />
Tyrol, and Vorarlberg (MA-TV). The areas in the west <strong>for</strong>m<br />
1 Directive 2009/72/EC 13 July 2009 concerning common rules <strong>for</strong> the internal market<br />
in electricity and repealing Directive 2003/54/EC, Directive 2009/73/EC of<br />
13 July 2009 concerning common rules <strong>for</strong> the internal market in natural <strong>gas</strong> and<br />
repealing Directive 2003/55/EC , Regulation (EC) No 713/2009 of 13 July 2009 establishing<br />
an Agency <strong>for</strong> the Cooperation of Energy Regulators, Regulation (EC) No<br />
714/2009 of 13 July 2009 on conditions <strong>for</strong> access to the network <strong>for</strong> cross-border<br />
exchanges in electricity and repealing Regulation (EC) No 1228/2003, Regulation<br />
(EC) No 715/2009 of 13 July 2009 on conditions <strong>for</strong> access to the natural <strong>gas</strong> transmission<br />
networks and repealing Regulation (EC) No 1775/2005 <br />
2 The relevant laws, bye-laws etc. can be found on the homepage of the<br />
regulator: www.e-control.at<br />
a market area with the adjoining market area Net Connect<br />
Germany (NCG). (Figure 1). The following remarks<br />
refer to the Market Area East only. A short description of<br />
the operation of the other two market areas follows in<br />
section 4.3.<br />
The major change from the previous to the current<br />
system has been to replace the point-to-point transport<br />
regime with an entry-exit system. Entry and exit capacities<br />
can be booked and traded independently of each<br />
other. Suppliers and traders have to book capacity at<br />
the entry points to be able to transport <strong>gas</strong> in a transmission<br />
system of a market-area to the Virtual Trading<br />
Point (VTP). Transporting <strong>gas</strong> from the VTP to customers<br />
(in the distribution grid) or into storage requires availability<br />
of exit capacity from the transmission system. The<br />
VTP is not allocated to any specific entry or exit point. At<br />
the VTP, <strong>gas</strong> can be traded without booking entry or<br />
exit capacities.<br />
The Executive Board of E-Control Austria has<br />
approved the below entry and exit points (“relevant<br />
points” according to Annex 1 of Regulation (EC) No<br />
715/2009). In future, all in<strong>for</strong>mation relevant <strong>for</strong> bookings<br />
in the market area pursuant to that regulation will<br />
be made available through the market area manager’s<br />
online plat<strong>for</strong>m in accordance with section 39 Natural<br />
Gas Act 2011. Relevant points of Gas Connect Austria<br />
GmbH:<br />
54 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas market<br />
REPORTS<br />
Figure 1. Market areas.<br />
■<br />
■<br />
Entry points:<br />
– Baumgarten GCA<br />
– Überackern ABG<br />
– Überackern SUDAL<br />
Exit points:<br />
– Mosonmagyaróvár<br />
– Murfeld<br />
– Petrzalka<br />
– Überackern ABG<br />
– Überackern SUDAL<br />
Relevant points of BOG GmbH:<br />
■ Entry points:<br />
– Baumgarten BOG<br />
– Oberkappel<br />
■ Exit points:<br />
– Baumgarten BOG<br />
– Oberkappel<br />
Relevant points of TAG GmbH:<br />
■ Entry points:<br />
– Baumgarten TAG<br />
– Arnoldstein<br />
■ Exit points:<br />
– Arnoldstein<br />
Suppliers and buyers can contract capacity <strong>for</strong> each of<br />
these points and pay a specific tariff in relation to the<br />
contracted capacity. Only the DAM (distribution area<br />
manager) may book (and pays <strong>for</strong>) exit-capacity into the<br />
distribution grid. Furthermore, only storage system operators<br />
managing natural <strong>gas</strong> storage facilities may book<br />
capacity on lines that connect storage facilities to the<br />
transmission grid. Because of that, these connection<br />
points do not constitute “relevant points” as defined in<br />
Annex 1 (Guidelines) of Regulation (EC) No 715/2009.<br />
For relevant points, Transmission System Operators<br />
(TSOs) have to offer firm and interruptible capacity. The<br />
rights to capacity acquired by system users are tradable,<br />
either on an on-line capacity plat<strong>for</strong>m, or in the secondary<br />
market on the exchange. Since April 1 st , 2013, capacity<br />
at entry and exit points is allocated by auction. Capacity<br />
products and lead times have to con<strong>for</strong>m to those specified<br />
by the ENTSOG Capacity Allocation Mechanism network<br />
code (CAM code) 3 . Gas Connect Austria, TAG and<br />
BOG are members of PRISMA, a European capacity auction<br />
plat<strong>for</strong>m that started operations in April 2013. 4<br />
3. MARKET AREA AND MARKET<br />
PLAYERS<br />
The main actors in the market are the Balance Group Representative,<br />
the Market Area Manager, the Distribution<br />
Area Manager, and the Balance Group Coordinator<br />
3 ACER, Framework Guidelines on Capacity Allocation Mechanisms <strong>for</strong> the<br />
European Gas Transmission Network, FG-2011-G-001, 3 August 2011<br />
4 https://www.prisma-capacity.eu/web/start/<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 55
REPORTS<br />
Gas market<br />
3.1 Market Area Manager (MAM)<br />
Monitors and maintains system balance in the market<br />
area based on schedules and nominations. Responsibilities<br />
and competences comprise:<br />
■ Monitoring and balancing nominations on the transmission<br />
system, organisation of the settlement of<br />
imbalances<br />
■ Formation of, securing access to and cooperation<br />
with the VTP<br />
■ Formal administration of the Balancing Groups (BGs)<br />
operating in the market area<br />
■ Maintaining the technical stability of the transmission<br />
system, in particular through utilisation of line-pack<br />
with a view to keeping the level of physical balancing<br />
<strong>energy</strong> at a minimum.<br />
■ Compiling a uni<strong>for</strong>m method <strong>for</strong> the determination of<br />
capacities at entry and exit points and the presentation<br />
thereof, as well as organising an online-plat<strong>for</strong>m<br />
<strong>for</strong> the trading of these capacities.<br />
■ Forecasting demand <strong>for</strong> transport capacity and infrastructure<br />
requirements in cooperation with other market<br />
players – coordinated network development plan.<br />
3.2 Distribution Area Manager (DAM)<br />
Monitors and balances flows in the distribution grid(s).<br />
Responsibilities and competences comprise:<br />
■ Exclusively holds exit capacity from transmission system<br />
to distribution grids.<br />
■ Manages all entry and exit capacities between distribution<br />
and transmission grid as well as capacity in the<br />
high-pressure distribution grid.<br />
■ Dealing with requests <strong>for</strong> and organising access to the<br />
grid.<br />
■<br />
■<br />
■<br />
■<br />
Administration of nominations at the exit points from<br />
transmission to distribution grid.<br />
Processing transport schedules.<br />
Maintaining the technical stability of the distribution<br />
system with a view to keeping the level of physical<br />
balancing <strong>energy</strong> at a minimum. Buying and selling<br />
balancing <strong>energy</strong> in the name and <strong>for</strong> the account of<br />
the Balance Group Coordinator primarily at the VTP.<br />
Forecasting demand <strong>for</strong> transport capacity and infrastructure<br />
requirements in cooperation with other<br />
market players and drawing up corresponding longterm<br />
plans.<br />
3.3 Balance Group Coordinator (BGC)<br />
The main responsibilities of the BGC are 1) the calculation,<br />
allocation, and settlement of balancing <strong>energy</strong> in distribution<br />
grids (focus on end consumers) and 2) the administration<br />
of balancing groups with access to end consumers<br />
in organisational and clearing matters. This requires a<br />
considerable amount of data and correspondingly necessitates<br />
entering into a large number of contracts with<br />
various market participants.<br />
3.4 Balancing Group (BG)<br />
All users of the grid have to be members of a BG. A Balance<br />
Group Representative (BGR) <strong>for</strong>ms and changes a<br />
BG acting on behalf of the BG members. Responsibilities<br />
and competences comprise:<br />
■ Preparing schedules and communicating these to<br />
MAM, DAM and BGC.<br />
■ Nominations at the entry and exit points of the transmission<br />
grids – except nominations at the exit points<br />
to the distribution grids – and the nomination of trade<br />
transactions at the VTP.<br />
■ Balancing injections and withdrawals of their BG.<br />
■ Commercial responsibility<br />
4. NETWORK ACCESS<br />
4.1 Distribution Network – Market Area East<br />
Figure 2. The access process <strong>for</strong> producers and storage operators is<br />
analogous.<br />
Access to the distribution network <strong>for</strong> customers, producers<br />
or storage operators is organised according to the<br />
same general pattern: the prospective network user concludes<br />
a Network Access Contract with the distribution<br />
system operator (DSO) to whose system the consumption,<br />
production or storage site is connected. This contract<br />
defines the terms and conditions of service as well<br />
as the maximum capacity at the disposal of the network<br />
user. The DSO in turn has concluded a Network Operator<br />
contract with the DAM, which defines in particular the<br />
in<strong>for</strong>mation and data flows between the entities. Based<br />
56 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas market<br />
REPORTS<br />
Figure 3. Contractual relations eastern market area.<br />
on the results of the Long Term Plan the DAM books<br />
maximum firm capacities on the exit points from the<br />
transmission to the distribution system with the relevant<br />
TSOs.<br />
Differences in the access regime between consumers<br />
and other network users exist with regard to portability<br />
of the contracted capacity. If an end-user / consumer<br />
switches supplier the capacity contracted at the connection<br />
point – and extending to the VTP – moves with the<br />
contract (so-called “rucksack” / “backpack”). (Figure 2).<br />
Figure 3 depicts the contractual relations in the MA-E<br />
between the various market participants.<br />
4.3 COSIMA - Market area Tyrol and Vorarlberg<br />
Austrian legislation in certain circumstances provides <strong>for</strong><br />
the possibility to <strong>for</strong>m market areas comprising networks<br />
in different member states. The COSIMA area (“Cross-border<br />
Operating Strongly Integrated Market Area”) interlinks<br />
the market areas in the Tyrol and Vorarlberg with the Ger-<br />
4.2 Transmission Network<br />
As already mentioned above, TSOs have to offer firm and<br />
interruptible capacity contracts. Firm contracts generally<br />
have to be – to the maximum extent possible - freely allocable,<br />
i.e. not restricted to certain entry or exit points or a<br />
combination thereof. The Austrian TSOs use the European<br />
online plat<strong>for</strong>m PRISMA as instrument to auction<br />
the available capacities on their systems in the primary<br />
and secondary market. As can be seen in Figure 4, the<br />
procedures to access the transmission network are less<br />
elaborate than those at the level of distribution are.<br />
Figure 4. Network access transmission system.<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 57
REPORTS<br />
Gas market<br />
Figure 5. Market area Tyrol/Voralberg – market area NCG.<br />
man NCG market area. Suppliers do not need to book<br />
cross-border capacity, instead the DAM books all the<br />
capacity needed to supply customers in the Tyrol and<br />
Vorarlberg. Market players operating in COSIMA have to<br />
have corresponding BGs there and in the NCG market.<br />
Gas destined to supply the Tyrol or Vorarlberg has to be<br />
nominated at the VTP of the NCG area. The nominated<br />
volumes are allocated to the Austrian mirror BGs of the<br />
German BGs (Figure 5).<br />
5. BALANCING<br />
There are two types of balancing:<br />
■■<br />
At the market-area-level the MAM balances the system<br />
ex ante based on nominations and transport<br />
schedules (“Fahrplan”). These must match on a daily<br />
basis. Mismatches at the end of day are settled by the<br />
MAM in the name and <strong>for</strong> the account of the balancing<br />
group (BG) concerned. For hourly intraday balances,<br />
the MAM levies a fee on the BG not in balance<br />
and balances the market area buying or selling <strong>energy</strong><br />
in his own name and <strong>for</strong> his own account.<br />
■■<br />
The parameters <strong>for</strong> the calculation of daily imbalances<br />
per BG are as following:<br />
––<br />
plus/ minus hourly trades on the VTP<br />
––<br />
plus / minus allocated nominations <strong>for</strong> Entries/Exits<br />
from the transmission systems into the market area<br />
■■<br />
––<br />
plus / minus inflows/off-takes to / from distribution<br />
area (incl. production, storage and local cross border<br />
trade)<br />
––<br />
minus Declared end-consumer schedules<br />
––<br />
plus / minus carry <strong>for</strong>ward account D-2<br />
At the DSO-level the distribution area manager (DAM)<br />
balances the distribution system(s) in a market area on<br />
an hourly basis. If needed, the DAM enters into transactions<br />
on the VTP in the name and <strong>for</strong> the account of<br />
the Balance Group Coordinator (BGC). Users who have<br />
contracted more than 10.000 kWh/h per entry, exit, or<br />
delivery point have to be balanced on an hourly basis.<br />
Users metered online and with contracted capacities<br />
of between 10.000 and 50.000 kWh/h can opt <strong>for</strong><br />
hourly or daily balancing. The BGC in turn calculates<br />
the imbalances between the schedules (Fahrplan) <strong>for</strong><br />
the supply of end consumers and the actual consumption<br />
of the individual BGs on an hourly or daily<br />
basis <strong>for</strong> the groups mentioned above. This is done<br />
monthly <strong>for</strong> every day or hour, respectively (1 st clearing).<br />
After 14 months the whole period is rolled up<br />
again (2 nd clearing).<br />
6. CONCLUDING REMARKS<br />
At the current moment, it is difficult to disentangle the<br />
effects of the new market model on the <strong>gas</strong> market from<br />
58 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas market<br />
REPORTS<br />
general market trends. There<strong>for</strong>e, a few general observations<br />
must suffice. The system has become very elaborate<br />
and complicated and, in consequence, considerably<br />
more expensive and arguably more prone to hiccups.<br />
The introduction of daily instead of hourly balancing <strong>for</strong><br />
small consumers seems to have attracted new suppliers<br />
into the market, increasing competition in the market<br />
place.<br />
Some of the consequences of the new regime seem<br />
to run counter to the proclaimed policies of intensifying<br />
competitive <strong>for</strong>ces in the <strong>energy</strong> sector through unbundling<br />
and prices determined on the market. For example,<br />
the inclusion of grid charges into the commodity price<br />
has introduced an all-in element into the previously transparent<br />
separation of grid and <strong>gas</strong> costs. There are too<br />
many prices <strong>for</strong> balancing <strong>energy</strong> in the system (marginal<br />
price, synthetic prices <strong>for</strong>med through premiums and<br />
discounts on exchange prices, daily average price etc.),<br />
which do not incentivise behaviour contributing to system<br />
stability.<br />
The new system has further weakened the incentives<br />
<strong>for</strong> suppliers to invest into security of supply measures.<br />
On previous occasions, new <strong>energy</strong> legislation at EU-level<br />
was already discussed be<strong>for</strong>e the EU rules in <strong>for</strong>ce at the<br />
time had been fully transposed into national law or had<br />
been effective <strong>for</strong> a sufficiently long time. We hope that<br />
this time we will be able to gather evidence on the operation<br />
of the new market model long enough to enable us<br />
to arrive at sound conclusions with regard to future<br />
amendments.<br />
AUTHOR<br />
Wolfgang Ziehengraser<br />
Mag., Consultant, Fachverband der Gas-<br />
und Wärmeversogungsunternehmen,<br />
Wien | Austria<br />
Phone: +43 1 513 1588–38<br />
Email: ziehengraser@<strong>gas</strong>waerme.at<br />
bio<strong>gas</strong><br />
expo & congress<br />
22. + 23. Oct. <strong>2014</strong><br />
Exhibition Center Offenburg<br />
Messe Offenburg-Ortenau GmbH · Schutterwälder Str. 3 · 77656 Offenburg<br />
FON +49 (0)781 9226-54 · FAX +49 (0)781 9226-77 · bio<strong>gas</strong>@messe-offenburg.de · www.bio<strong>gas</strong>-offenburg.de<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 59
PROFILE<br />
Danish Gas Technology<br />
Centre – moving towards a<br />
greener <strong>energy</strong> future<br />
ABOUT DGC<br />
DGC is a consultancy and development company in the<br />
fields of <strong>energy</strong> and environment within <strong>gas</strong> and <strong>gas</strong> utilisation.<br />
DGC conducts analyses, measurements, laboratory<br />
experiments and tests, verifications, field assignments,<br />
and certification <strong>for</strong> the <strong>gas</strong> industry and other<br />
<strong>energy</strong> players.<br />
DGC’s laboratory is accredited under DANAK (The<br />
Danish Accreditation and Metrology Fund) <strong>for</strong> <strong>gas</strong> analyses<br />
and <strong>for</strong> environmental approvals and safety testing of<br />
<strong>gas</strong> equipment and installations. The Green Gas Test Centre<br />
conducts analyses and measurements of e. g. bio<strong>gas</strong>,<br />
<strong>gas</strong>ification <strong>gas</strong> and hydrogen. DGC is Notified Body <strong>for</strong><br />
<strong>gas</strong> boilers and other <strong>gas</strong>-fired appliances. DGC carries<br />
out verification of CO 2 emission from cogeneration<br />
plants.<br />
DGC conducts environmental measurements <strong>for</strong> customers<br />
with <strong>gas</strong> engines, <strong>gas</strong> turbines and <strong>gas</strong> boilers.<br />
DGC’S BUSINESS AREAS<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
■■<br />
Domestic boilers and small <strong>gas</strong> appliances<br />
Gas <strong>for</strong> transportation purposes<br />
CHP and large boiler plants<br />
CE certification<br />
Environment and combustion<br />
Gas quality and the <strong>gas</strong> grid<br />
Hydrogen, bio<strong>gas</strong> and other renewables<br />
Safety<br />
FUTURE DEMANDS<br />
DGC is accredited <strong>for</strong> <strong>gas</strong> analyses, environmental<br />
approvals, and safety testing of <strong>gas</strong> equipment and<br />
installations.<br />
The transition to an <strong>energy</strong> system that is independent of<br />
fossil fuels calls <strong>for</strong> new ways of utilising technologies and<br />
development of new qualifications. DGC is actively taking<br />
part in the development and demonstration of solutions<br />
<strong>for</strong> coping with future demands. Energy conversion and<br />
storage are important areas where DGC is participating in<br />
projects. We analyse and test various systems and technologies<br />
<strong>for</strong> converting RE electricity from wind into<br />
60 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
PROFILE<br />
hydrogen, which is injected into the <strong>gas</strong> grid. In this way,<br />
the <strong>gas</strong> grid acts as a storage facility <strong>for</strong> renewable <strong>energy</strong>.<br />
In <strong>2014</strong> DGC is carrying out many projects related to<br />
bio<strong>gas</strong> and other green <strong>gas</strong>es. The projects involve new<br />
applications of <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> e. g. heavy transport and new flexible<br />
use of the infrastructure and the integration of electricity,<br />
<strong>gas</strong> and heating. Core activities, such as consultancy<br />
services, measurement and verification in the areas<br />
of <strong>gas</strong> utilisation, <strong>gas</strong> quality, <strong>gas</strong> safety and the environment,<br />
are still expected to constitute a significant part of<br />
the company’s activities – as the more service oriented<br />
assignments carried out by DGC’s Green Gas Test Centre<br />
are expected to increase with the green transition of the<br />
<strong>gas</strong> system.<br />
CE CERTIFICATION<br />
DGC issues CE certificates <strong>for</strong> <strong>gas</strong> appliances and<br />
<strong>gas</strong>/oil boilers according to the Gas Appliances<br />
Directive (GAD) 2009/142/EC and the Boiler Efficiency<br />
Directive (BED) 92/42/EEC.<br />
DGC’s Notified Body Number is 1506. In addition,<br />
DGC’s laboratory carries out CE type-examination<br />
of <strong>gas</strong> appliances and boilers and operates the<br />
Danish <strong>energy</strong> labelling scheme.<br />
INTERNATIONAL GAS UNION RESEARCH<br />
CONFERENCE<br />
Last, but not least, in September <strong>2014</strong> DGC will host the<br />
<strong>IGRC</strong> conference, International Gas Union Research Conference,<br />
in Copenhagen. <strong>IGRC</strong><strong>2014</strong>’s mission is to facilitate a<br />
dialogue between leading players in the international <strong>gas</strong><br />
sector on the development of the future <strong>energy</strong> system. It<br />
will be a unique opportunity <strong>for</strong> DGC – and <strong>for</strong> Denmark –<br />
to set the agenda of the discussion on new <strong>gas</strong> applications,<br />
new technologies, the future <strong>gas</strong> system and its<br />
interaction with and position in the entire <strong>energy</strong> mix.<br />
CEO at DGC, Thea Larsen.<br />
Contact:<br />
Danish Gas Technology Centre,<br />
Thea Larsen, CEO,<br />
Dr. Neergaards Vej 5B,<br />
DK – 2970 Hørsholm, Denmark,<br />
Phone: +45 2016 9600,<br />
E-mail: tla@dgc.dk,<br />
www.dgc.eu<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 61
ASSOCIATIONS<br />
TSOs of the South-North Corridor Region publish their<br />
Gas Regional Investment Plan <strong>2014</strong> - 2023<br />
The TSOs of the South - North Corridor Region released<br />
the second edition of their Gas Regional Investment<br />
Plan (SC GRIP <strong>2014</strong>-2023), in line with Art. 12 (1) of the<br />
Regulation (EC) No 715/2009.<br />
SNC GRIP provides an updated and detailed overview<br />
of the <strong>gas</strong> hubs in the Region as well as the existing and<br />
planned Regional infrastructure. The plan also assesses<br />
demand, supply and capacity developments and identifies<br />
current and future investment needs in the SNC<br />
Region. The Region covers five countries (Belgium,<br />
France, Germany, Italy and Switzerland) and involves nine<br />
TSOs (Fluxys Belgium S.A., GRTgaz, Fluxys Tenp GmbH,<br />
terranets bw GmbH and Open Grid Europe GmbH, Snam<br />
Rete Gas S.p.A. and Infrastrutture Trasporto Gas S.p.A.,<br />
Swiss<strong>gas</strong> and FluxSwiss Sagl).<br />
In this 2 nd SNC GRIP, which has been jointly coordinated<br />
by Fluxys Belgium S.A. and Snam Rete Gas S.p.A.,<br />
special attention has been paid to stakeholder feedback<br />
on the first edition of the plan. In this edition several<br />
enhancements have been introduced, and in particular:<br />
■ A deeper study of demand components, including<br />
future trends, additional <strong>gas</strong> hub in<strong>for</strong>mation, and an<br />
■<br />
analysis of the relevant Interconnection Points in the<br />
Region.<br />
The inclusion of two completely new sections: a first<br />
one regarding power generation, and a second one<br />
related to simulations and network modeling studies<br />
tailored on South-North Corridor evolutions.<br />
The TSOs of the South – North Corridor Region are confident<br />
that the SNC GRIP will provide useful in<strong>for</strong>mation to<br />
all stakeholders fostering awareness about the development<br />
of the <strong>gas</strong> infrastructure projects and the European<br />
<strong>gas</strong> market. The SNC GRIP is available on the websites of<br />
ENTSOG (link) and the Region’s TSOs.<br />
GIE launches security risk assessment<br />
methodology <strong>for</strong> <strong>gas</strong> infrastructure<br />
The <strong>gas</strong> infrastructure is a network without national<br />
boundaries, which means that a failure of one portion<br />
of the network could propagate to other areas, potentially<br />
involving several countries. Thus the European Commission<br />
has identified the <strong>gas</strong> Infrastructure as a critical<br />
infrastructure.<br />
GIE fully acknowledges the strategic importance of<br />
the <strong>gas</strong> infrastructure system <strong>for</strong> Europe. GIE takes into<br />
account the necessity to create standards to ensure a<br />
level playing field. Security risk identification helps to provide<br />
value across the <strong>energy</strong> infrastructure.<br />
The GIE Security Risk Assessment Methodology is a<br />
common and integrated approach amongst the European<br />
<strong>energy</strong> infrastructure operators. With this methodology<br />
a next major and important step to further increase<br />
security and resilience of the <strong>gas</strong> infrastructure network<br />
in Europe has been achieved. It is another example <strong>for</strong><br />
the active participation and contribution of <strong>gas</strong> infrastructure<br />
operators to EPCIP, the European Program <strong>for</strong><br />
Critical Infrastructure Protection.<br />
The GIE Security Risk Assessment Methodology is<br />
accessible to all GIE members, ENTSO-G (the European<br />
Network of Transmission System Operators <strong>for</strong> Gas) and<br />
all other stakeholders interested in this field. It was presented<br />
to representatives of the European Commission<br />
and introduced to ENTSO-E, the European Network of<br />
Transmission System Operators <strong>for</strong> Electricity.<br />
The GIE Security Risk Assessment Methodology is<br />
published on the GIE website <strong>for</strong> further spread and<br />
knowledge exchange.<br />
http://www.gie.eu/index.php/publications/gie<br />
62 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
ASSOCIATIONS<br />
OGP publishes study “Energy taxation subsidies in Europe”<br />
Oil and <strong>gas</strong> contribute hundreds of<br />
billions of euros to European government<br />
revenues every year, a new<br />
study shows, highlighting how the<br />
industry – far from being subsidised –<br />
crucially boosts public finances in the<br />
European Union and Norway.<br />
Energy taxation and subsidies in<br />
Europe, a study commissioned by the International Association<br />
of Oil & Gas Producers (OGP) and carried out by<br />
independent consultant NERA Economic Consulting,<br />
sheds new light on the financial contributions and subsidies<br />
in the European <strong>energy</strong> sector.<br />
OGP has commissioned the research in a bid to show<br />
the facts about European government subsidies to<br />
<strong>energy</strong> industries, as the issue is intensely debated, with<br />
conflicting numbers and complicated methodologies.<br />
The consumption of one barrel of oil generates $124<br />
(around €90) in government revenue. This contrasts with<br />
the consumption of an equivalent amount of <strong>energy</strong><br />
generated by renewables, which in some cases can cost<br />
tax payers over $700 (or more than €500), the study<br />
shows.<br />
Oil and <strong>gas</strong> contributed €433 billion to the EU and<br />
Norwegian government treasuries in the reference year<br />
2011 (the latest year <strong>for</strong> which comprehensive data was<br />
available) and received €0.6 billion, making it a net contribution<br />
of €432 billion. These numbers are in contrast to<br />
the prevailing assertion that oil and <strong>gas</strong> received billions<br />
of euros in subsidies across the EU in 2011.<br />
Instrument <strong>for</strong> imaging paraffin wax and asphaltene<br />
depositions in oil and <strong>gas</strong> pipelines<br />
PRODUCTS & SERVICES<br />
Flowrox, a global leader in heavy-duty industrial valve,<br />
pumps and instrumentation manufacturing and service,<br />
is releasing to the Oil & Gas market the Flowrox Deposition<br />
Watch – a new instrument designed to enhance the<br />
monitoring of pipelines and related flow-process equipment<br />
affected by paraffin wax and asphaltene depositions.<br />
The Flowrox Deposition Watch is a predictive device<br />
allowing its operators to address deposition issues well<br />
be<strong>for</strong>e these reach critical levels that can cause downtime<br />
or costly damage.<br />
Crude oil contains a variety of molecular substances<br />
that challenge the Oil & Gas companies with the buildup<br />
of paraffin wax when it crystallizes into a solid deposition<br />
on the pipe wall – along with the accumulation of asphaletene<br />
– which can altogether reduce the fluid flow or<br />
plug pipes and valves.<br />
The deposition of paraffin wax and asphaltenes is a<br />
common reason <strong>for</strong> a major decrease in production and<br />
revenue in oil wells as it affects valves, pumps and pipelines,<br />
along with other pipeline components critical to<br />
the fluid control process.<br />
The device was developed specifically <strong>for</strong> use in the<br />
Oil & Gas industry since this instrument will allow customers<br />
to generate real-time images of any depositions<br />
affecting a piping system – without ever having to open<br />
up the pipeline and slow down production.<br />
The Flowrox Deposition Watch utilizes electrical capacitance<br />
tomography (ECT) to create real time images of the<br />
inside of the piping and uses electrical capacitance tomography<br />
to detect the differences in permittivity of the various<br />
substances found in the piping system. In addition, it<br />
utilizes a patented algorithm that creates a 3D image of the<br />
process fluid in the piping and generates trend data as well<br />
as show free volume inside the pipe and the growth rate of<br />
the deposition growth over time. Ultimately, the Deposition<br />
Watch can show its operators the deposition thickness,<br />
deposition profile, growth rates over time, composition,<br />
and free flow volume – all of which allow engineers to<br />
understand areas where pipes are prone to these damaging<br />
deposits.<br />
Contact:<br />
Flowrox<br />
www.flowrox.us<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 63
PRODUCTS & SERVICES<br />
Modular <strong>gas</strong> analyser <strong>for</strong> the bio<strong>gas</strong> market<br />
Eaton has launched a new ‘next generation’ MTL<br />
GIR6000 bio<strong>gas</strong> analyser to help ensure reliable, accurate<br />
measurement of <strong>gas</strong>es in bio<strong>gas</strong> production. The<br />
MTL GIR6000 <strong>gas</strong> analyser is the first modular bio<strong>gas</strong><br />
analyser, requiring minimal maintenance and enabling<br />
process engineers and bio<strong>gas</strong> plant managers to reduce<br />
downtime and improve their processes.<br />
The analyser uses an innovative modular concept that<br />
makes it user-serviceable and<br />
reduces lifetime service costs<br />
through quick and easy maintenance<br />
procedures that require no special<br />
tools or training. As a result, service<br />
engineer site visits are largely<br />
avoided with the guidance of the<br />
built-in self-diagnostic routines and<br />
pre-configured intelligent sensor<br />
modules. The <strong>gas</strong> sensor modules<br />
can be individually replaced. The<br />
analyser can measure up to six <strong>gas</strong>es,<br />
including methane, oxygen and<br />
hydrogen sulphide, and is designed<br />
with dedicated sensor modules and<br />
long-life, established sensor technology<br />
to provide continuous, accurate<br />
and reliable readings. The integrated plat<strong>for</strong>m concept<br />
makes it easy to upgrade the MTL GIR6000 analyser to<br />
meet future demands as the plant’s measurement needs<br />
evolve.<br />
The MTL GIR6000 analyser is designed to be secure<br />
and reliable. It requires key-lock access and PIN-codes to<br />
change the key parameters making the data safe. Setting<br />
up the unit on-site is facilitated by the large bright 7-inch<br />
LCD display and rugged keypad as well as an intuitive<br />
menu-driven structure. The display provides a clear visual<br />
warning when there is a system fault or when a sensor is<br />
reaching the end of its life-cycle, allowing users to predict<br />
or plan maintenance requirements. Data is transmitted to<br />
the plant host system through a number of communication<br />
methods, allowing live real-time data to be monitored<br />
remotely.<br />
The MTL GIR6000 analyser is an integrated IP65 weatherproof<br />
solution and is ATEX approved <strong>for</strong> Zone 2 Hazardous<br />
Areas <strong>for</strong> installation flexibility around the bio<strong>gas</strong><br />
plant.<br />
Contact:<br />
Eaton<br />
www.eaton.com<br />
Comprehensive CWD instrument series<br />
To cope with varying <strong>gas</strong> properties<br />
when supplying heat to processes, a<br />
suitable <strong>gas</strong> measuring technology<br />
is needed, such as the comprehensive<br />
CWD instrument series (Calorimetry,<br />
Wobbe index, specific Density)<br />
offered by UNION Instruments.<br />
With this, calorimetric values such as<br />
the heating value and the Wobbe<br />
index of natural <strong>gas</strong>, bio<strong>gas</strong>, biomethane,<br />
process <strong>gas</strong>es, and the like<br />
can be determined according to the<br />
DVGW (German Technical and Scientific<br />
Association <strong>for</strong> Gas and Water)<br />
worksheets G 260 and G262.<br />
This includes direct measuring of<br />
the Wobbe index through the<br />
<strong>energy</strong> produced when a defined <strong>gas</strong> flow is combusted.<br />
Unknown or unexpected components in the <strong>gas</strong> are also<br />
detected and taken into consideration in the measurement.<br />
This is of utmost importance in the case of rapidly<br />
Contact:<br />
UNION Instruments GmbH<br />
www.union-instruments.com<br />
The calorimeters of the CWD2005<br />
series of UNION Instruments determine<br />
the heating value and Wobbe<br />
index of various <strong>gas</strong> types such as<br />
natural <strong>gas</strong>, bio<strong>gas</strong>, biomethane, and<br />
process <strong>gas</strong>es.<br />
changing <strong>gas</strong> composition of, <strong>for</strong><br />
example, residual <strong>gas</strong>es from chemical<br />
processes or substitute <strong>gas</strong>es in<br />
the steel industry.<br />
The CWD2005 CT calorimeter is<br />
approved as a calorific value measuring<br />
instrument <strong>for</strong> custody transfer.<br />
For use in hazardous areas, the<br />
CWD2005 DP version is available.<br />
64 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
uyer’s guide<br />
A close-up view of the<br />
international <strong>gas</strong> business<br />
Gas transmission and distribution<br />
Gas-pressure control and <strong>gas</strong><br />
measurement<br />
Gas quality and <strong>gas</strong> use<br />
Gas suppliers<br />
Trade and in<strong>for</strong>mation technology<br />
DVGW-certified companies<br />
Please contact<br />
Andrea Schröder<br />
Phone: +49 89 2035366-77<br />
Fax: +49 89 2035366-99<br />
E-mail: schroeder@di-verlag.de<br />
www.<strong>gas</strong>-<strong>for</strong>-<strong>energy</strong>.com
<strong>2014</strong><br />
Gas transmission and distribution<br />
Buyer’s Guide<br />
Pipe penetrations<br />
Pipelines and pipeline accessories<br />
Valves<br />
Please contact<br />
Andrea Schröder<br />
Phone +49 89 2035366-77<br />
Fax +49 89 2035366-99<br />
schroeder@di-verlag.de<br />
66 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
Gas transmission and distribution<br />
<strong>2014</strong><br />
Active corrosion protection<br />
Corrosion protection<br />
Buyer’s Guide<br />
Passive corrosion protection<br />
Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong> <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> 67
<strong>2014</strong><br />
Gas quality and Gas use<br />
Buyer’s Guide<br />
Filtration<br />
Gas preparation<br />
dVGW-certified comPanies<br />
Pipe and pipeline engineering<br />
Filters<br />
68 <strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong> Issue 3/<strong>2014</strong>
IMPRINT AND INDEX OF ADVERTISERS<br />
IMPRINT<br />
<strong>gas</strong> <strong>for</strong> <strong>energy</strong><br />
Magazine <strong>for</strong> Smart Gas Technologies, Infrastructure and Utilisation<br />
Publication of<br />
Farecogaz – Association of European<br />
Manufacturers of Gas Meters, Gas<br />
Pressure Regulators, Safety Devices<br />
and Stations<br />
GERG – Group Europeen de<br />
Recherches Gazieres<br />
GIE – Gas Infrastructure Europe<br />
Marcogaz – Technical Association of<br />
the European Natural Gas Industry<br />
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DIV Deutscher Industrieverlag GmbH<br />
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DIV Deutscher Industrieverlag GmbH<br />
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Buyers Guide 65 - 68
<strong>2014</strong> Conference Programme Highlights:<br />
European Autumn Gas Conference<br />
Grange St Paul’s Hotel London UK<br />
28 - 30 October <strong>2014</strong><br />
EUROPE’S PREMIER EVENT FOR SENIOR GAS PROFESSIONALS<br />
Trading, Finance & Investment In Gas: Is There Anything Left in Europe –<br />
or Shall We All Just Move to Asia…?<br />
Global Market Outlook: Has the Context of European Security of Supply<br />
Totally Changed?<br />
Supplier Strategies: What are the Choices <strong>for</strong> Europe, and Where Will<br />
Supply Come From?<br />
Focus on LNG: All Eyes on LNG: Will Europe Remain a Key Global LNG Market?<br />
Policy & Regulation: An Audience With… the Politicians and the Regulators<br />
Demand-Side Innovation: The Changing Face of Gas Use in Europe<br />
Confirmed speakers include:<br />
Marco Alverà,<br />
Chief Midstream<br />
Officer, Eni<br />
Julio Castro,<br />
Head of Global<br />
Gas & Trading<br />
and Origination,<br />
Iberdrola<br />
Stephen Asplin,<br />
Chief Commercial<br />
Officer, Power &<br />
Gas, E.ON Global<br />
Commodities SE<br />
Jogchum<br />
Brinksma,<br />
Managing Director,<br />
Citigroup Global<br />
Commodities<br />
To find out more about delegate participation, please contact Laurence Allen,<br />
Marketing Manager at laurenceallen@dmgevents.com or call +44(0) 203 615 0390<br />
www.theeagc.com<br />
Gold Sponsor:<br />
Silver Sponsors:<br />
Bronze Sponsors:<br />
Associate Sponsor: