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Figure 2.28 Invisible changes; revenue from the offshore sector as a % of revenue from tourism, 1985 to 1993. 20% T 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 Source: Central Bank of Cyprus. Seen as a whole, foreign exchange earnings have diversified little since the offshore sector increased its contribution to export earnings. The increased contribution of foreign exchange from the offshore sector seems simply to have made up for the losses in visible exports (see Figure 2.29 below). What also can be seen very clearly in Figure 2.29 is the volatility and potential volatility in revenue derived from tourism from which diversification has attempted to insulate the economy. The fall in the proportion of foreign exchange earnings in 1991 and the conséquent rise in the contribution of (mainly) visible exports, were the resuit of the Gulf War. 119
Figure 2.29 The changing composition offoreign exchange earnings, 1985 to 1993. Sä Tourism E3 Exports (FOB) [Il Offshore tncome + + in eludes estimateci earnings f shipping co.s. 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 Source: Central Bank of Cypius. 1992 1993 Following defacto division in 1974, the tourist industry rapidly recovered and grew to dominate the Cypriot economy as it never had before. Subséquent efforts to limit and curtail tourism's dominance, with the development and encouragement of new invisible earning service sector enterprises, have so far proved to have had only limited success. Whilst tourism contributed to a sustained recovery, the extent to which it can continue to contribute to the economy's sustainable development can be questioned in view of its particular sensitivity to politicai instability; in a politically unstable environment there are significant costs associated with such a level of dependence. Conclusion Using IBRD 109 criteria, the Republic of Cyprus joined the rich nations of the world in 1988, when its per capita gross national product (GNP) exceeded the 1990 & 109 Althougk a member of International Bank of Reconstruction and Development (The World Bank) Cyprus is not included in its annual publication of basic economie and social indicators World Development Report (World Bank Publications, New York: OUP) because its population is below a million. 120
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to th
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ABSTRACT This thesis examines the e
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Table Of Contents Page Change in ec
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List Of Figures 2.27 Revenue from t
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List Of Figures 5.25 Main destinati
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List Of Figures 7.8 The degree of o
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List Of Tables 6.7 All island, Gree
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This thesis will examine the econom
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Vassiliou's classic work 5 publishe
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As many questions raised by economi
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Figure 1.1 The structure of recent
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In terms of the topic of this thesi
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political landmark coincides with a
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were the mechanisms which encourage
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however, Chapter 5 concentrates on
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Defining the title The first priori
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such? Is northern Cyprus simply run
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unlike Greece in 1923, were already
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itself as having been literally und
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economic history, Christodoulou's s
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incurred as a resuit of eonfl ict.
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Christodoulou has concentrated his
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any credit for successful economic
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anking technology, administrative c
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(which usually has a regressive imp
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contribution did labour remittances
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having been inspired by Zetter's in
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econstruction also provided a means
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Conclusion In analysing the extent
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he drew distinct analogies with the
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in Cyprus. The main objective is a
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The war proved a watershed in many
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Uruguay, Japan, Trinidad and Tobago
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financial, property and business se
Page 69 and 70: By 1960 exports represented over 20
Page 71 and 72: Table 2.1 Domestic Exports FOB in 1
Page 73 and 74: the period (1960-73), the différen
Page 75 and 76: Figure 2.4 Principal exports as a p
Page 77 and 78: producing 12% of GDP. Tourism (rest
Page 79 and 80: considerably more than Turkey, whos
Page 81 and 82: income. Mining and quarrying (now m
Page 83 and 84: Figure 2.10 Principal exports as a
Page 85 and 86: Figure 2.12 The Destination of the
Page 87 and 88: Figure 2.14 Ambiguous indicators: T
Page 89 and 90: Figure 2.15 Sìze of manufacturing
Page 91 and 92: By 1980 the economy of the Republic
Page 93 and 94: The scale of the disruption in the
Page 95 and 96: Whether taking the optimists approa
Page 97 and 98: financing from financial markets pi
Page 99 and 100: grew rapidly. In the immediate afte
Page 101 and 102: One of the major problems facing th
Page 103 and 104: coming, only concerning policy make
Page 105 and 106: with particular bottlenecks affecti
Page 107 and 108: "We attributed this finding to the
Page 109 and 110: aiding the recovery from the coup a
Page 111 and 112: employment: rapidly rising real ear
Page 113 and 114: Until the intervention of public fi
Page 115 and 116: to pick the Republic of Cyprus as t
Page 117 and 118: of offshore companies registered in
Page 119: Figure 2.27 Revenue from the offsho
Page 123 and 124: The structure of the economy, the c
Page 125 and 126: CHAPTER 3. The foundations of Takis
Page 127 and 128: Famagusta enclaves would be over-ru
Page 129 and 130: The historical context of separate
Page 131 and 132: generally concentrated in the lower
Page 133 and 134: agreed Constitution. Seemingly Clar
Page 135 and 136: séparation of the communities bega
Page 137 and 138: UN. 37 Some additional supplies mus
Page 139 and 140: Seemingly, by 1970 the Nicosia encl
Page 141 and 142: was made on the basis of a fixed in
Page 143 and 144: derived from Turkish transfer payme
Page 145 and 146: Patrick has offered a more complica
Page 147 and 148: spare parts and maintenance materia
Page 149 and 150: Emphasising the growing divisions b
Page 151 and 152: Chamber, Rauf Denktash, said people
Page 153 and 154: Figure 3.2 Thepossible economic eff
Page 155 and 156: produced by them rises significantl
Page 157 and 158: Committee" was the area military co
Page 159 and 160: February 1975 the latter bodies set
Page 161 and 162: The first five-year pian, published
Page 163 and 164: CHAPTER 4. The construction of a Tu
Page 165 and 166: Whilst the Turkish-Cypriot leadersh
Page 167 and 168: of supply, and/or marketing, in key
Page 169 and 170: shipment of 2000 tons of foodstuffs
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Eti still operateci out of Nicosia,
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institutions in northern Cyprus amo
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with multipurpose co-operatives, a
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A few new co-operatives were formed
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loans. Savings Banks do have access
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espectively. The Famagusta branch w
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Cypriot) Government in the 1960s, t
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increasing costs 31 . This is perha
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packages imported raffinate, supply
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a monopoly respectively. Where ther
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Evkaf is an Islamic organisation fo
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Evkaf had a largely obscure economi
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Meanwhile a little noticed phenomen
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After the summer of 1974, the Turki
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monitored Ledra Place check-point,
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the early eighties, when Turkish ar
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Figure 4.3 Number of tourists from
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the situation that had existed prio
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stay arrivais or diminish with the
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competing with the longer establish
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flexibility of family business stru
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Ltd., Turkish-Cypriots eventually g
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dominateci by: textiles, footwear a
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force of national cohésion, change
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Figure 4.9 Main Citrus Exporters in
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Ismail Bozkurt (who secured 32.1% o
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Table 4.9 Citrus exports from north
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Ultimately the failure to act on pr
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CHAFTER 5: Re-establishing economic
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prospects of their respective de fa
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Figure 5.1 Change in Cypriot GDP as
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{0 perceive the de facto situation
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Turkey maintains that her objective
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parliament during the unstable peri
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case study, he argues that given en
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Specifically, it is analysis of nat
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imports (Figure 5.5). The extent to
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(which includes the increasingly im
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If "a leading sector in the process
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Just to put minds at rest that manu
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encouraged private sector action, t
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Figure 5.13 Gross domestic fixed ca
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major economic force, one that was
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they account for around a third of
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dominates international transfer pa
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a "development resource" 54 , rathe
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able to spearhead a revival aided,
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path, policy objectives moved to co
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overwhelming dependence on a genera
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In the difficult times that followe
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independence from total Turkish fin
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Figure 5.20 Orange production as a
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e exchanged for new "TRNC" (or, as
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Unlike the vineyards where most of
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Although not important in the initi
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Having said this, constant improvem
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compensation arrangements in the no
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some of the labour intensive stages
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Figure 5.24 Proportion of citrus ex
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to treat exports from the whole of
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seem more politically motivateci an
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Figure 6.1 Percentage change in GNP
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initially. The more immediate probl
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historical phenomena (large externa
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It has been argued that if politics
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share of National Income to somethi
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Figure 6.6 Communal income in 1980,
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Selecting peers as proxies for pan-
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growth potential to Cyprus in 1960,
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was that compatible data should be
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Figure 6.9 Micro Economies; average
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Figure 6.11 Micro Economies; averag
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Figure 6.13 The level of government
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Figure 6.14 "More Developed Medìte
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Figure 6.17 "More DevelopedMediterr
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Cypriot growth rate, should not dis
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Figure 6.22 Structure of production
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Figure 6.26 Degree of openness in t
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economic growth 49 (variables 6-9:
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implication, developmental différe
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spectrum in 1980 at 38%. Perhaps le
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namely investment rates 54 (in phys
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instruments, the justification for
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Figure 6.28 Average annual growth i
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Figure 6.29 How Cyprusfared in 1980
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Figure 6.30 Total Cypriot income 19
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o.zö; may reveai someimng 01 ine e
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developments elsewhere. The relativ
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unified economy) of 1963, Cyprus is
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CHAPTER 7. Conclusion 348 Comparati
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Turkish-Cypriot economy stagnateci.
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So it is worth looking again at the
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stand out however, revealing enough
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Figure 7.3 Gross domestic investmen
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Figure 7.5 "TRNC netforeign trade a
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Figure 7.8 The degree of openness i
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control. There seems to be ampie ex
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The role of tourism in the economic
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seem to be able to grow in line wit
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Comparisons throughout this thesis
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The Cyprus Mail Hellenic Group. Nic
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I.M.F. International Financial Stat
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1982. Fourth Emergency Economic Act
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"Turkish Federated State of Kibris"
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leadership of the two communities o
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"administrations" and key economic
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Bicak, H.A. (June) 1990. "The Impac
Page 385 and 386:
Hudson, J. and Dyniotou-Jensen M. 1
Page 387 and 388:
Mcdonald, R. 1989. The Problem of C
Page 389 and 390:
Solsten, E. (ed.) 1993. Cvprus: A c
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