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Figure 6.10 Degree ofopenness in the Micro Economies; Imports & exports as<br />

a percentage of GDP, 1951-60.<br />

Malta Trinidad Barbados Fiji* Mauritius Cyprus<br />

Sauree: IBRD, "World Tables 1971".<br />

&<br />

Tobago<br />

*I'ijian data from 1931-3 only<br />

Of the policy indicators, investment rates have long been pereeived in varying<br />

degrees to be strongly correlated with economic growth 41 . In Figure 6.11 below,<br />

which as far as possible uses Summers and Heston's "Penn World Tables", Cyprus<br />

is seen to have the highest investment Ievels of ali the Micro Economies analysed<br />

here. Much of this investment may have had less direct economic potential than<br />

investment elsewhere, as this was the period when Britain built two large bases in<br />

Cyprus to conform with its policy reversai of a "base in Cyprus rather than Cyprus<br />

as a base". However all things being equal, the higher the level of investment, the<br />

higher future growth and, given the fact that some of the investment during the<br />

period contributed to Cypriot economic development, and that Cyprus had<br />

investment levels that compare favourably with this group of peers, future growth<br />

should be as fast as the group's mean growth rate.<br />

41 The World Bank's cross-economy regression results showed investment in physical capital to be the<br />

single strongest policy indicator effecting growth. For every 10% points of GDP of increased<br />

investment, the economy grew by 0.5 %, compared with the second highest single factor, primary<br />

and secondary enrolment rates, where the increase was 0.3 % on the same basis. ("Evidence from<br />

Cross-Economy Regressions of per capita income growth", IBRD. 1993. The Ëast Asian Miracle:<br />

Economic Growth and Public Policv. NY: OUP. pp. 48-54).<br />

311

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