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economic growth 49<br />

(variables 6-9: investment rates, the level of human capital<br />

development, the openness of the economy and the government share of national<br />

income). In the next tables (6.4 and 6.5) the same variables are selected but<br />

background and structural data derive from 1980 and 1990, and growth experience<br />

from 1964-80 and 1981-90 respectively in the peer groups which then exclude the<br />

divided Cyprus.<br />

Table 6.3 shows the coefficients of variation for the three proposed peer group<br />

économies (the Micro-Economies, the "More Developed Mediterranean" économies<br />

and the Régional Sub-Group), for the basic background, performance and policy<br />

indicators up to breakdown of the Cypriot constitution at the end of 1963.<br />

Table 6.3 Group comparisons with a united Cyprus; coefficients of variation<br />

for selected indicators up to 1964.<br />

Micro<br />

Economies<br />

More<br />

Developed<br />

Mediterranean<br />

Regional<br />

Sub-Group<br />

1/. GDP per capita in 1960 0 0 11% O 104<br />

2/. Agriculture as a % of GDP in 1960# 0.486 0.517 0.398<br />

3/. Industry as a % of GDP in 1960# 0.456 0.254 0.274<br />

4L Services as a % of GDP in 1960# 0.168 0.240 0.260<br />

5/. % growth in per capita GDP 1951-63* 0.894 0.273 0.292<br />

61. Average investment as a % of GDP 1950-63 ** 0.516 0.363 0.313<br />

7/. Total gross primary & secondary enrolment ratio in 1960. 0.139 0.273 0.162<br />

8/. Openness; X & M as a % of GDP 51-60## 0.265 0.814 0.742<br />

9/. Govt share of GDP ( %) in 1960 0.531 0.378 0.371<br />

Micro Economies: Cyprus, Barbados, Fiji, Malta, Mauritius, Trinidad & Tobago.<br />

More Developed Mediterranean: Cyprus, Greece, Israel, Malta, Portugal, Turkey, Yugoslavia.<br />

Regional Sub-Group: Cyprus, Greece, Malta, Portugal, Yugoslavia.<br />

Notes:<br />

#Data for Fiji is for 1965 , Value added from utilities in Barbados is included with transport and communications in 1960 (UN Yearbooks<br />

of National Income Accounts, various) so the proportion of GDP derived from the former in 1970 (first available disaggregated year -<br />

IBRD. World Tables 1983) has been subtracted from Transport and Communications in 1960, a relatively insignificant 1.8% of GDP and<br />

used as a rough estimate for the contribution of utilities to GDP in 1960.<br />

*lsraeli and Maltese average growth rate derived from 1954-63 and 1955-63 average respectively, and the Barbadian & Fijian figures from<br />

market exchange rate data 1950-60 & PPP data 1961-63.<br />

**data before 1960 for Barbados, Fiji & Yugoslavia had to be reconstructed using the trend of the différence between PWT & IBRD data,<br />

where both data sets were available, and discounting earlier World Bank estimâtes by the value ofthat trend. Israeli data is from 1953-63<br />

and Maltese data from 1954-63.<br />

##Data for Fiji is from 1951-53, though 1963-67 (the next available data-set) is not very différent.<br />

Sources:<br />

Variables 1,5,6 & 9, Summers & Heston, "Penn World Tables (PWT) version 5.6"; Variables 2-4, UN, 1980 Yearbook of National<br />

Income Accounts. NY; Variables 7, 8, the value of utilities in Barbados (& other market x rate data), IBRD, World Tables (various).<br />

The Micro Economies were expected to have the most similar production structures,<br />

and by some définitions they do (more on that later). In 1960 however, they have<br />

49 IBRD. 1991. World Development-Report 1991. NY: OUP, pp. 1-164; IBRD. 1993. The East<br />

Asian Miracle: .... op. cit., pp. 48-54.<br />

326

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