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The progression from an eeonomy dominateci by a tiny enclave extractive industry and subsistence dry farming to a high income, mass consumption eeonomy, based on a relatively diverse foreign exchange sector, appears to be an example of successful development along neo-classical lines. However, in what sense was war and the de facto division of 1974 a major impetus for change and modernisation? Even by the end of the 1960s the relative importance of the main export components had changed significantly from those at the end of the colonial era (compare Figures 2.3 and 2.5), but there was stili an overwhelming dependence on the primary sector. By the end of the 1960s, agriculture had overtaken minerais as the most important visible export sector, though minerais stili represented a considérable proportion of Cypriot exports (Figure 2.5). The first ten years of independence saw minerais make a contribution to the new State's balance of payments, though the relative importance of minerais subsequently diminished rapidly, though not because of the rapid development of other sectors, effective policy or planning, but mostly due to simple depletion. Turkish military intervention and subséquent occupation removed most of the residuai significance of the sector for the Republic of Cyprus, which was now denied access to most of the remaining resources. Even by 1970, manufactured goods other than tobacco and alcohol produets represented just 4% of exports (Table 2.2). Manufacturing remained small scale, simple and traditional, aimed almost exclusively at a locai domestic market, having increased its share of employment and its contribution to national income very little during the first decade of independence (compare Figures 2.1 and 2.2 with Figures 2.5 and 2.6). 73
Figure 2.4 Principal exports as a proportìon of the total value ofdomestic exports in 1968. Consumer { Iron pyrites Wine & Copper cement Citrus Sources: "Economic Report 1972", pp. 52, 64, & "Slatistics of Importa & Exports", Dee. 1969, p.2. Rep. of Cyprus. Modem manufacturing carne late and grew only slowly, arguably prevented from flourishing earlier because of colonial priorities 24 . A Government of Cyprus report in 1946 said that "...apart from mining... the Island does not present a promising field for major industriai development... " 25 So early manufacturing had to follow the classic, underdeveloped country route of processing locai agricultural produets and other raw materials, usually on a very small scale, with traditional technology and mostly destined for domestic consumption. Even in 1970, 89% of manufacturing output was stili locally consumed. Including beverages and tobacco (by far the largest single components) manufactured goods only represented 16% of exports (Table 2.2). 24 Ckristodoulou D. (November) 1992. Inside The Cyprus Miracle. Minnesota: University Of Minnesota, Modem Greek Studies Yearbook Supplement, Voi. 2, p. 93. 25 Cyprus Govt. 1946. A Ten-Year Programme of Development for Cyprus. Nicosia: Govt. Printing Office, p. 120. 74
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to th
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ABSTRACT This thesis examines the e
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Table Of Contents Page Change in ec
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List Of Figures 2.27 Revenue from t
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List Of Figures 5.25 Main destinati
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List Of Figures 7.8 The degree of o
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List Of Tables 6.7 All island, Gree
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This thesis will examine the econom
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Vassiliou's classic work 5 publishe
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As many questions raised by economi
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Figure 1.1 The structure of recent
Page 23 and 24: In terms of the topic of this thesi
Page 25 and 26: political landmark coincides with a
Page 27 and 28: were the mechanisms which encourage
Page 29 and 30: however, Chapter 5 concentrates on
Page 31 and 32: Defining the title The first priori
Page 33 and 34: such? Is northern Cyprus simply run
Page 35 and 36: unlike Greece in 1923, were already
Page 37 and 38: itself as having been literally und
Page 39 and 40: economic history, Christodoulou's s
Page 41 and 42: incurred as a resuit of eonfl ict.
Page 43 and 44: Christodoulou has concentrated his
Page 45 and 46: any credit for successful economic
Page 47 and 48: anking technology, administrative c
Page 49 and 50: (which usually has a regressive imp
Page 51 and 52: contribution did labour remittances
Page 53 and 54: having been inspired by Zetter's in
Page 55 and 56: econstruction also provided a means
Page 57 and 58: Conclusion In analysing the extent
Page 59 and 60: he drew distinct analogies with the
Page 61 and 62: in Cyprus. The main objective is a
Page 63 and 64: The war proved a watershed in many
Page 65 and 66: Uruguay, Japan, Trinidad and Tobago
Page 67 and 68: financial, property and business se
Page 69 and 70: By 1960 exports represented over 20
Page 71 and 72: Table 2.1 Domestic Exports FOB in 1
Page 73: the period (1960-73), the différen
Page 77 and 78: producing 12% of GDP. Tourism (rest
Page 79 and 80: considerably more than Turkey, whos
Page 81 and 82: income. Mining and quarrying (now m
Page 83 and 84: Figure 2.10 Principal exports as a
Page 85 and 86: Figure 2.12 The Destination of the
Page 87 and 88: Figure 2.14 Ambiguous indicators: T
Page 89 and 90: Figure 2.15 Sìze of manufacturing
Page 91 and 92: By 1980 the economy of the Republic
Page 93 and 94: The scale of the disruption in the
Page 95 and 96: Whether taking the optimists approa
Page 97 and 98: financing from financial markets pi
Page 99 and 100: grew rapidly. In the immediate afte
Page 101 and 102: One of the major problems facing th
Page 103 and 104: coming, only concerning policy make
Page 105 and 106: with particular bottlenecks affecti
Page 107 and 108: "We attributed this finding to the
Page 109 and 110: aiding the recovery from the coup a
Page 111 and 112: employment: rapidly rising real ear
Page 113 and 114: Until the intervention of public fi
Page 115 and 116: to pick the Republic of Cyprus as t
Page 117 and 118: of offshore companies registered in
Page 119 and 120: Figure 2.27 Revenue from the offsho
Page 121 and 122: Figure 2.29 The changing compositio
Page 123 and 124: The structure of the economy, the c
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CHAPTER 3. The foundations of Takis
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Famagusta enclaves would be over-ru
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The historical context of separate
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generally concentrated in the lower
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agreed Constitution. Seemingly Clar
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séparation of the communities bega
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UN. 37 Some additional supplies mus
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Seemingly, by 1970 the Nicosia encl
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was made on the basis of a fixed in
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derived from Turkish transfer payme
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Patrick has offered a more complica
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spare parts and maintenance materia
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Emphasising the growing divisions b
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Chamber, Rauf Denktash, said people
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Figure 3.2 Thepossible economic eff
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produced by them rises significantl
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Committee" was the area military co
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February 1975 the latter bodies set
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The first five-year pian, published
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CHAPTER 4. The construction of a Tu
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Whilst the Turkish-Cypriot leadersh
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of supply, and/or marketing, in key
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shipment of 2000 tons of foodstuffs
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Eti still operateci out of Nicosia,
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institutions in northern Cyprus amo
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with multipurpose co-operatives, a
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A few new co-operatives were formed
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loans. Savings Banks do have access
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espectively. The Famagusta branch w
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Cypriot) Government in the 1960s, t
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increasing costs 31 . This is perha
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packages imported raffinate, supply
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a monopoly respectively. Where ther
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Evkaf is an Islamic organisation fo
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Evkaf had a largely obscure economi
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Meanwhile a little noticed phenomen
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After the summer of 1974, the Turki
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monitored Ledra Place check-point,
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the early eighties, when Turkish ar
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Figure 4.3 Number of tourists from
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the situation that had existed prio
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stay arrivais or diminish with the
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competing with the longer establish
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flexibility of family business stru
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Ltd., Turkish-Cypriots eventually g
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dominateci by: textiles, footwear a
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force of national cohésion, change
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Figure 4.9 Main Citrus Exporters in
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Ismail Bozkurt (who secured 32.1% o
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Table 4.9 Citrus exports from north
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Ultimately the failure to act on pr
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CHAFTER 5: Re-establishing economic
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prospects of their respective de fa
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Figure 5.1 Change in Cypriot GDP as
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{0 perceive the de facto situation
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Turkey maintains that her objective
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parliament during the unstable peri
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case study, he argues that given en
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Specifically, it is analysis of nat
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imports (Figure 5.5). The extent to
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(which includes the increasingly im
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If "a leading sector in the process
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Just to put minds at rest that manu
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encouraged private sector action, t
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Figure 5.13 Gross domestic fixed ca
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major economic force, one that was
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they account for around a third of
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dominates international transfer pa
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a "development resource" 54 , rathe
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able to spearhead a revival aided,
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path, policy objectives moved to co
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overwhelming dependence on a genera
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In the difficult times that followe
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independence from total Turkish fin
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Figure 5.20 Orange production as a
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e exchanged for new "TRNC" (or, as
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Unlike the vineyards where most of
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Although not important in the initi
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Having said this, constant improvem
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compensation arrangements in the no
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some of the labour intensive stages
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Figure 5.24 Proportion of citrus ex
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to treat exports from the whole of
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seem more politically motivateci an
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Figure 6.1 Percentage change in GNP
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initially. The more immediate probl
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historical phenomena (large externa
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It has been argued that if politics
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share of National Income to somethi
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Figure 6.6 Communal income in 1980,
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Selecting peers as proxies for pan-
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growth potential to Cyprus in 1960,
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was that compatible data should be
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Figure 6.9 Micro Economies; average
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Figure 6.11 Micro Economies; averag
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Figure 6.13 The level of government
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Figure 6.14 "More Developed Medìte
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Figure 6.17 "More DevelopedMediterr
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Cypriot growth rate, should not dis
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Figure 6.22 Structure of production
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Figure 6.26 Degree of openness in t
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economic growth 49 (variables 6-9:
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implication, developmental différe
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spectrum in 1980 at 38%. Perhaps le
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namely investment rates 54 (in phys
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instruments, the justification for
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Figure 6.28 Average annual growth i
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Figure 6.29 How Cyprusfared in 1980
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Figure 6.30 Total Cypriot income 19
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o.zö; may reveai someimng 01 ine e
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developments elsewhere. The relativ
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unified economy) of 1963, Cyprus is
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CHAPTER 7. Conclusion 348 Comparati
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Turkish-Cypriot economy stagnateci.
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So it is worth looking again at the
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stand out however, revealing enough
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Figure 7.3 Gross domestic investmen
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Figure 7.5 "TRNC netforeign trade a
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Figure 7.8 The degree of openness i
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control. There seems to be ampie ex
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The role of tourism in the economic
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seem to be able to grow in line wit
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Comparisons throughout this thesis
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The Cyprus Mail Hellenic Group. Nic
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I.M.F. International Financial Stat
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1982. Fourth Emergency Economic Act
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"Turkish Federated State of Kibris"
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leadership of the two communities o
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"administrations" and key economic
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Bicak, H.A. (June) 1990. "The Impac
Page 385 and 386:
Hudson, J. and Dyniotou-Jensen M. 1
Page 387 and 388:
Mcdonald, R. 1989. The Problem of C
Page 389 and 390:
Solsten, E. (ed.) 1993. Cvprus: A c
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