Climate change impact assessment and use of downscaled climate ...

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Lessons from Morocco • What water availability for irrigated crops? • Further improvements: – geographical data – more sophisticated crop model – economic modelling – database and data sharing – processing time
MOSAICC: Methodology • 4 Main parts – Climate data downscaling and interpolation (data from GCM used by IPCC) – Hydrological modelling (STREAM): country-wide evaluation of the water resources – Crop modelling (AMS and AquaCrop): yield projections under climate change scenarios using a crop forecasting approach – Economic model: dynamic general equilibrium model (“Economically what would be the optimal reaction from the economic agents to changing yields under cc scenarios”)
Page 1 and 2: Climate change impact assessment an
Page 3 and 4: Climate science community • Obser
Page 5 and 6: Projected precipitation changes (%)
Page 7 and 8: Impacts on yields - Global • No p
Page 9 and 10: Knowledge and Information Gaps •
Page 11 and 12: Surface warming projections depend
Page 13 and 14: Projected winter & summer precipita
Page 15 and 16: FAO MOSAICC • MOdelling System fo
Page 17: Models
Page 21 and 22: Crop modelling • Simulating the c
Page 23 and 24: Economic modelling • Models the e
Page 25 and 26: Flowchart Modellers Interface IPCC
Page 27 and 28: We chose statistical downscaling ov
Page 29 and 30: The portal has been upgraded for in
Page 31 and 32: Statistical Downscaling: Methods
Page 33 and 34: Country-scale implementation of •
Page 35 and 36: Future Work • Link MOSAICC closel
Page 37 and 38: Rice production loss in Bicol regio
Page 39: www.fao.org/climatechange

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