Ongoing activities related to vulnerability, impact ... - the ENES Portal
Ongoing activities related to vulnerability, impact ... - the ENES Portal
Ongoing activities related to vulnerability, impact ... - the ENES Portal
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<strong>Ongoing</strong> <strong>activities</strong> in Europe <strong>related</strong> <strong>to</strong><br />
climate <strong>impact</strong>s and adaptation projects<br />
Rob Swart<br />
IS-<strong>ENES</strong> General Assembly, Toulouse<br />
28-30 January 2013
Adaptation policy<br />
developments<br />
• Many EU countries have daptation strategy<br />
• Climate-Adapt - European adaptation information platform hosted<br />
by <strong>the</strong> EEA since March 2012<br />
• EEA pan-European <strong>impact</strong> assessment published in November<br />
2012 – based on JRC (incl. PESETA1&2 projects) and o<strong>the</strong>r<br />
input<br />
• EU Adaptation Strategy <strong>to</strong> be released March 2013<br />
• EEA/CIRCLE2 workshop on national climate<br />
(<strong>impact</strong>s/adaptation) platforms planned for June 2013<br />
• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: users/stakeholders
http://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/<br />
Climate data on<br />
“Observations<br />
and scenarios”<br />
page<br />
372 research<br />
and knowledge<br />
projects in<br />
database (FP7,<br />
Interreg, o<strong>the</strong>r)<br />
CLIMATE-
Selected running FP7 ENV projects<br />
• IMPACTS2C – <strong>impact</strong>s 2 degrees climate (lead CSC)<br />
• EUPORIAS - European Provision Of Regional Impacts Assessments<br />
on Seasonal and decadal timescales (lead UK MetOffice)<br />
• ACQWA - Assessing Climate Impacts on <strong>the</strong> Quantity and quality of<br />
WAter (lead University of Geneva)<br />
• organized Workshop on Science and Data Gaps in [30] EU<br />
Water-Related Projects in 2011<br />
• BASE – Bot<strong>to</strong>m-up climate Adaptation Strategies for Europe (lead<br />
University of Aarhus )<br />
• ToPDAd - Tool-supported Policy-Development for regional<br />
Adaptation (lead VTT)<br />
• CLIMRUN – Local Climate Informations <strong>to</strong> Respond <strong>to</strong> Users Needs<br />
(lead ENEA)<br />
• ECLISE – Enabling CLimate Information Services for Europe (lead<br />
KNMI)<br />
Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: Users and<br />
platform coordination
KEY OBJECTIVES<br />
• To develop an <strong>impact</strong> prediction system (2-3 pro<strong>to</strong>types) of ‘end-<strong>to</strong> end’<br />
climate-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>impact</strong>s-<strong>to</strong>-decision-making services operating on <strong>the</strong> Seasonal<br />
and Decadal (S2D) timescales.<br />
• To assess and document key knowledge gaps, vulnerabilities and needs of<br />
important sec<strong>to</strong>rs (e.g. Water, Energy, Transport, Food security, Health, etc.).<br />
• To develop a set of <strong>to</strong>ols tailored <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> needs of stakeholders for calibrating,<br />
downscaling, and modelling sec<strong>to</strong>r-specific <strong>impact</strong>s on S2D timescales.<br />
• To develop a knowledge-sharing pro<strong>to</strong>col necessary <strong>to</strong> promote <strong>the</strong> use of<br />
<strong>the</strong>se technologies.<br />
• To assess <strong>the</strong> current marketability of S2D climate services in Europe
• Stakeholders’ focus and user engagement<br />
• Promote adoption through demonstration<br />
• Final outcome: a few (2 or 3) fully operational end-<strong>to</strong>end<br />
climate services and <strong>the</strong>ir documentation<br />
• The pro<strong>to</strong>types will be identified based on:<br />
» Demonstrated skill in <strong>impact</strong> predictions<br />
» An engaged stakeholder<br />
» A portfolio of relevant decisions
Selected planned FP7 projects<br />
• SPACE-programme<br />
• Access <strong>to</strong> Climate Data and Climate Impact Indica<strong>to</strong>r<br />
Toolbox (for GMES)<br />
• ENV-programme<br />
• Impacts of higher-end scenarios (global average<br />
warming > 2 °C with respect <strong>to</strong> pre-industrial level)<br />
• Atmospheric processes, eco-systems and climate<br />
change<br />
• Land cover and land-use change and climate change<br />
mitigation<br />
• ......<br />
• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: Platform<br />
coordination/users
CIRCLE2 ERA-NET national programmes<br />
on Impacts, <strong>vulnerability</strong> and adaptation<br />
http://infobase.circle-era.eu/
• 4 Working Groups<br />
JPI Climate<br />
• WG1 Seasonal and decadal predictions<br />
• WG2 Climate Services<br />
• WG3 Societal transformations<br />
• WG4 Decision-support methods and <strong>to</strong>ols<br />
• Launch 7 November 2012 in Brussels; CSA 1/1/2013<br />
• 2 nd scoping meeting 1 st call, Paris, 20-22 February<br />
2013<br />
• Collaboration with o<strong>the</strong>r JPIs<br />
• Urban Europe; Water Challenges; Food, Agriculture and<br />
Climate Change; Oceans; Cultural Heritage<br />
• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: potential<br />
cofunding/coordination<br />
http://www.jpi-climate.eu/
JPI CLIMATE Countries<br />
Member Countries: 12 + EC<br />
Observer Countries: 3<br />
Observer Institutions: 4<br />
(CIRCLE2, EEA, ECRA, NordForsk)<br />
Norway<br />
Sweden<br />
Finnland<br />
Es<strong>to</strong>nia<br />
Europe – Countries<br />
Russia<br />
Latvia<br />
Denmark<br />
Lithuania<br />
Ireland<br />
Belarus<br />
Great Britain<br />
Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands<br />
Belgium<br />
Luxembourg<br />
Germany<br />
Poland<br />
Czech<br />
Republic<br />
Slovakia<br />
Moldova<br />
Ukraine<br />
Portugal<br />
Spain<br />
France<br />
Switzer/<br />
land<br />
Italy<br />
Austria<br />
Slovenia<br />
Croatia Bosnia/<br />
Herzegovina<br />
Hungary<br />
Romania<br />
Serbia<br />
Bulgaria<br />
Montenegro<br />
Mace-<br />
donia<br />
Albania<br />
Turkey<br />
Greece<br />
Malta
INTERREG PROJECTS<br />
• Some dozens of projects addressing regional<br />
climate change <strong>impact</strong>s and adaptation<br />
• Involves practitioners, policy makers, scientific<br />
experts at <strong>the</strong> regional scale (transnational)<br />
• Some clustered, e.g. SIC adapt! NWE Strategic<br />
Initiatives Cluster – Adaptation <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> spatial<br />
<strong>impact</strong>s of climate change<br />
• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: large group of potential<br />
stakeholders/users
CLIMATE-KIC<br />
• Climate-KIC drives innovation in climate change through<br />
creative partnerships between business, academia and<br />
public entities<br />
• Theme “Managing climate drivers” - assessing and<br />
forecasting extreme climates <strong>to</strong> develop mitigation and<br />
adaptive solutions<br />
• Climate <strong>impact</strong>s <strong>related</strong> projects<br />
• E3P Extreme Events for Energy Providers (lead CEA)<br />
• OASIS Open access catastrophe modelling (lead Imperial<br />
College)<br />
• CIES Climate Impact Expert System (lead PIK)<br />
• Adaptation Services Platform<br />
• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: users, joint development of IT
ISI-MIP<br />
• ISI-MIP is <strong>the</strong> Inter-Sec<strong>to</strong>ral Impact Model Intercomparison<br />
Project<br />
• To provide fast-track outcomes for <strong>the</strong> IPCC’s AR5<br />
• The <strong>impact</strong>s communities answer <strong>to</strong> CMIP as a longer-term<br />
coordinated <strong>impact</strong> assessment effort, driven by <strong>the</strong> entire<br />
<strong>impact</strong> community, building on WaterMIP and AgMIP<br />
• A community-driven modelling effort with <strong>the</strong> goal of providing<br />
cross-sec<strong>to</strong>ral global <strong>impact</strong> assessments<br />
• Based on <strong>the</strong> newly developed climate [Representative<br />
Concentration Pathways (RCPs)] and socio-economic [Shared<br />
Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs)] scenarios<br />
• Coordinated by PIK with support from IIASA, backing from <strong>the</strong><br />
IPCC Working Groups II and III and funded by Germany until<br />
August 2013<br />
• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: users<br />
http://www.isi-mip.org/
CLIMATE IMPACTS WORLD<br />
CONFERENCE<br />
• To be held in Potsdam, 27-30 May 2013<br />
• To develop a new vision for climate <strong>impact</strong>s<br />
research by laying <strong>the</strong> foundations for regular,<br />
community-driven syn<strong>the</strong>ses of climate change<br />
<strong>impact</strong> analyses<br />
• Visioning document “Climate Impacts Research: A<br />
Vision for <strong>the</strong> Next Decade“<br />
• Includes modelling agenda side event (ISI-MIP<br />
follow-up)<br />
http://www.climate-<strong>impact</strong>s-2013.org/
European Climate Change Adaptation conference<br />
• To be held in Hamburg, 18-20 March 2013<br />
• Conference <strong>the</strong>me: integrating climate in<strong>to</strong> action<br />
• Brings <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r scientists and practitioners working<br />
on adaptation <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>impact</strong>s of climate change<br />
• Co-sponsored by <strong>the</strong> German Federal Ministry of<br />
Education and Research (BMBF), <strong>the</strong> European<br />
Commission, <strong>the</strong> City of Hamburg and <strong>the</strong><br />
University of Hamburg<br />
• An initiative of four EU research projects:<br />
RESPONSES, CLIMSAVE, MEDIATION and<br />
ClimateCost.<br />
http://eccaconf.eu/index.php/page/ECCA
IS-<strong>ENES</strong>1 workshop Climate Impacts<br />
<strong>Portal</strong><br />
Climate data for <strong>impact</strong> studies: ways forward -<br />
Climate Impact <strong>Portal</strong> Development Workshop<br />
11-12 Feruary 2013, Wageningen, The Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands<br />
Day 1: Open workshop climate data access: ways<br />
forward<br />
• Review of <strong>the</strong> current status of climate data access for <strong>impact</strong>s<br />
(including climate services initiatives)<br />
• Challenges in tailored data for <strong>impact</strong>s and responding <strong>to</strong> user<br />
needs (with practical Use Cases)<br />
• The IS-<strong>ENES</strong> experience: <strong>the</strong> climate4<strong>impact</strong> web portal pro<strong>to</strong>type<br />
and its first evaluation<br />
• Ways <strong>to</strong> go forward: upcoming <strong>activities</strong>
IS-<strong>ENES</strong>1 workshop Climate Impacts<br />
<strong>Portal</strong> Climate data for <strong>impact</strong> studies: ways forward -<br />
Climate Impact <strong>Portal</strong> Development Workshop<br />
11-12 Feruary 2013, Wageningen, The Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands<br />
Day 2: IS-<strong>ENES</strong> workshop climate4<strong>impact</strong>.eu<br />
development<br />
IS<strong>ENES</strong> JRA5 / IS<strong>ENES</strong>2 NA4-JRA3<br />
• Review user needs and portal evaluation<br />
• Prioritize development <strong>activities</strong> for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>-2<br />
• The role of Use Case development for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>-2<br />
• Workplan IS-<strong>ENES</strong>-2