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Ongoing activities related to vulnerability, impact ... - the ENES Portal

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<strong>Ongoing</strong> <strong>activities</strong> in Europe <strong>related</strong> <strong>to</strong><br />

climate <strong>impact</strong>s and adaptation projects<br />

Rob Swart<br />

IS-<strong>ENES</strong> General Assembly, Toulouse<br />

28-30 January 2013


Adaptation policy<br />

developments<br />

• Many EU countries have daptation strategy<br />

• Climate-Adapt - European adaptation information platform hosted<br />

by <strong>the</strong> EEA since March 2012<br />

• EEA pan-European <strong>impact</strong> assessment published in November<br />

2012 – based on JRC (incl. PESETA1&2 projects) and o<strong>the</strong>r<br />

input<br />

• EU Adaptation Strategy <strong>to</strong> be released March 2013<br />

• EEA/CIRCLE2 workshop on national climate<br />

(<strong>impact</strong>s/adaptation) platforms planned for June 2013<br />

• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: users/stakeholders


http://climate-adapt.eea.europa.eu/<br />

Climate data on<br />

“Observations<br />

and scenarios”<br />

page<br />

372 research<br />

and knowledge<br />

projects in<br />

database (FP7,<br />

Interreg, o<strong>the</strong>r)<br />

CLIMATE-


Selected running FP7 ENV projects<br />

• IMPACTS2C – <strong>impact</strong>s 2 degrees climate (lead CSC)<br />

• EUPORIAS - European Provision Of Regional Impacts Assessments<br />

on Seasonal and decadal timescales (lead UK MetOffice)<br />

• ACQWA - Assessing Climate Impacts on <strong>the</strong> Quantity and quality of<br />

WAter (lead University of Geneva)<br />

• organized Workshop on Science and Data Gaps in [30] EU<br />

Water-Related Projects in 2011<br />

• BASE – Bot<strong>to</strong>m-up climate Adaptation Strategies for Europe (lead<br />

University of Aarhus )<br />

• ToPDAd - Tool-supported Policy-Development for regional<br />

Adaptation (lead VTT)<br />

• CLIMRUN – Local Climate Informations <strong>to</strong> Respond <strong>to</strong> Users Needs<br />

(lead ENEA)<br />

• ECLISE – Enabling CLimate Information Services for Europe (lead<br />

KNMI)<br />

Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: Users and<br />

platform coordination


KEY OBJECTIVES<br />

• To develop an <strong>impact</strong> prediction system (2-3 pro<strong>to</strong>types) of ‘end-<strong>to</strong> end’<br />

climate-<strong>to</strong>-<strong>impact</strong>s-<strong>to</strong>-decision-making services operating on <strong>the</strong> Seasonal<br />

and Decadal (S2D) timescales.<br />

• To assess and document key knowledge gaps, vulnerabilities and needs of<br />

important sec<strong>to</strong>rs (e.g. Water, Energy, Transport, Food security, Health, etc.).<br />

• To develop a set of <strong>to</strong>ols tailored <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> needs of stakeholders for calibrating,<br />

downscaling, and modelling sec<strong>to</strong>r-specific <strong>impact</strong>s on S2D timescales.<br />

• To develop a knowledge-sharing pro<strong>to</strong>col necessary <strong>to</strong> promote <strong>the</strong> use of<br />

<strong>the</strong>se technologies.<br />

• To assess <strong>the</strong> current marketability of S2D climate services in Europe


• Stakeholders’ focus and user engagement<br />

• Promote adoption through demonstration<br />

• Final outcome: a few (2 or 3) fully operational end-<strong>to</strong>end<br />

climate services and <strong>the</strong>ir documentation<br />

• The pro<strong>to</strong>types will be identified based on:<br />

» Demonstrated skill in <strong>impact</strong> predictions<br />

» An engaged stakeholder<br />

» A portfolio of relevant decisions


Selected planned FP7 projects<br />

• SPACE-programme<br />

• Access <strong>to</strong> Climate Data and Climate Impact Indica<strong>to</strong>r<br />

Toolbox (for GMES)<br />

• ENV-programme<br />

• Impacts of higher-end scenarios (global average<br />

warming > 2 °C with respect <strong>to</strong> pre-industrial level)<br />

• Atmospheric processes, eco-systems and climate<br />

change<br />

• Land cover and land-use change and climate change<br />

mitigation<br />

• ......<br />

• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: Platform<br />

coordination/users


CIRCLE2 ERA-NET national programmes<br />

on Impacts, <strong>vulnerability</strong> and adaptation<br />

http://infobase.circle-era.eu/


• 4 Working Groups<br />

JPI Climate<br />

• WG1 Seasonal and decadal predictions<br />

• WG2 Climate Services<br />

• WG3 Societal transformations<br />

• WG4 Decision-support methods and <strong>to</strong>ols<br />

• Launch 7 November 2012 in Brussels; CSA 1/1/2013<br />

• 2 nd scoping meeting 1 st call, Paris, 20-22 February<br />

2013<br />

• Collaboration with o<strong>the</strong>r JPIs<br />

• Urban Europe; Water Challenges; Food, Agriculture and<br />

Climate Change; Oceans; Cultural Heritage<br />

• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: potential<br />

cofunding/coordination<br />

http://www.jpi-climate.eu/


JPI CLIMATE Countries<br />

Member Countries: 12 + EC<br />

Observer Countries: 3<br />

Observer Institutions: 4<br />

(CIRCLE2, EEA, ECRA, NordForsk)<br />

Norway<br />

Sweden<br />

Finnland<br />

Es<strong>to</strong>nia<br />

Europe – Countries<br />

Russia<br />

Latvia<br />

Denmark<br />

Lithuania<br />

Ireland<br />

Belarus<br />

Great Britain<br />

Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands<br />

Belgium<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Germany<br />

Poland<br />

Czech<br />

Republic<br />

Slovakia<br />

Moldova<br />

Ukraine<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

France<br />

Switzer/<br />

land<br />

Italy<br />

Austria<br />

Slovenia<br />

Croatia Bosnia/<br />

Herzegovina<br />

Hungary<br />

Romania<br />

Serbia<br />

Bulgaria<br />

Montenegro<br />

Mace-<br />

donia<br />

Albania<br />

Turkey<br />

Greece<br />

Malta


INTERREG PROJECTS<br />

• Some dozens of projects addressing regional<br />

climate change <strong>impact</strong>s and adaptation<br />

• Involves practitioners, policy makers, scientific<br />

experts at <strong>the</strong> regional scale (transnational)<br />

• Some clustered, e.g. SIC adapt! NWE Strategic<br />

Initiatives Cluster – Adaptation <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> spatial<br />

<strong>impact</strong>s of climate change<br />

• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: large group of potential<br />

stakeholders/users


CLIMATE-KIC<br />

• Climate-KIC drives innovation in climate change through<br />

creative partnerships between business, academia and<br />

public entities<br />

• Theme “Managing climate drivers” - assessing and<br />

forecasting extreme climates <strong>to</strong> develop mitigation and<br />

adaptive solutions<br />

• Climate <strong>impact</strong>s <strong>related</strong> projects<br />

• E3P Extreme Events for Energy Providers (lead CEA)<br />

• OASIS Open access catastrophe modelling (lead Imperial<br />

College)<br />

• CIES Climate Impact Expert System (lead PIK)<br />

• Adaptation Services Platform<br />

• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: users, joint development of IT


ISI-MIP<br />

• ISI-MIP is <strong>the</strong> Inter-Sec<strong>to</strong>ral Impact Model Intercomparison<br />

Project<br />

• To provide fast-track outcomes for <strong>the</strong> IPCC’s AR5<br />

• The <strong>impact</strong>s communities answer <strong>to</strong> CMIP as a longer-term<br />

coordinated <strong>impact</strong> assessment effort, driven by <strong>the</strong> entire<br />

<strong>impact</strong> community, building on WaterMIP and AgMIP<br />

• A community-driven modelling effort with <strong>the</strong> goal of providing<br />

cross-sec<strong>to</strong>ral global <strong>impact</strong> assessments<br />

• Based on <strong>the</strong> newly developed climate [Representative<br />

Concentration Pathways (RCPs)] and socio-economic [Shared<br />

Socio-Economic Pathways (SSPs)] scenarios<br />

• Coordinated by PIK with support from IIASA, backing from <strong>the</strong><br />

IPCC Working Groups II and III and funded by Germany until<br />

August 2013<br />

• Relevance for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>: users<br />

http://www.isi-mip.org/


CLIMATE IMPACTS WORLD<br />

CONFERENCE<br />

• To be held in Potsdam, 27-30 May 2013<br />

• To develop a new vision for climate <strong>impact</strong>s<br />

research by laying <strong>the</strong> foundations for regular,<br />

community-driven syn<strong>the</strong>ses of climate change<br />

<strong>impact</strong> analyses<br />

• Visioning document “Climate Impacts Research: A<br />

Vision for <strong>the</strong> Next Decade“<br />

• Includes modelling agenda side event (ISI-MIP<br />

follow-up)<br />

http://www.climate-<strong>impact</strong>s-2013.org/


European Climate Change Adaptation conference<br />

• To be held in Hamburg, 18-20 March 2013<br />

• Conference <strong>the</strong>me: integrating climate in<strong>to</strong> action<br />

• Brings <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r scientists and practitioners working<br />

on adaptation <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>impact</strong>s of climate change<br />

• Co-sponsored by <strong>the</strong> German Federal Ministry of<br />

Education and Research (BMBF), <strong>the</strong> European<br />

Commission, <strong>the</strong> City of Hamburg and <strong>the</strong><br />

University of Hamburg<br />

• An initiative of four EU research projects:<br />

RESPONSES, CLIMSAVE, MEDIATION and<br />

ClimateCost.<br />

http://eccaconf.eu/index.php/page/ECCA


IS-<strong>ENES</strong>1 workshop Climate Impacts<br />

<strong>Portal</strong><br />

Climate data for <strong>impact</strong> studies: ways forward -<br />

Climate Impact <strong>Portal</strong> Development Workshop<br />

11-12 Feruary 2013, Wageningen, The Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands<br />

Day 1: Open workshop climate data access: ways<br />

forward<br />

• Review of <strong>the</strong> current status of climate data access for <strong>impact</strong>s<br />

(including climate services initiatives)<br />

• Challenges in tailored data for <strong>impact</strong>s and responding <strong>to</strong> user<br />

needs (with practical Use Cases)<br />

• The IS-<strong>ENES</strong> experience: <strong>the</strong> climate4<strong>impact</strong> web portal pro<strong>to</strong>type<br />

and its first evaluation<br />

• Ways <strong>to</strong> go forward: upcoming <strong>activities</strong>


IS-<strong>ENES</strong>1 workshop Climate Impacts<br />

<strong>Portal</strong> Climate data for <strong>impact</strong> studies: ways forward -<br />

Climate Impact <strong>Portal</strong> Development Workshop<br />

11-12 Feruary 2013, Wageningen, The Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands<br />

Day 2: IS-<strong>ENES</strong> workshop climate4<strong>impact</strong>.eu<br />

development<br />

IS<strong>ENES</strong> JRA5 / IS<strong>ENES</strong>2 NA4-JRA3<br />

• Review user needs and portal evaluation<br />

• Prioritize development <strong>activities</strong> for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>-2<br />

• The role of Use Case development for IS-<strong>ENES</strong>-2<br />

• Workplan IS-<strong>ENES</strong>-2

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