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Investment Research<br />

September 2009<br />

<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

The covered bond handbook of specialist banks in the form<br />

of Société Crédit Foncière and universal banks in France<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong><br />

<strong>Handbook</strong><br />

<strong>2nd</strong> <strong>edition</strong><br />

Welcome to the second <strong>edition</strong> of the <strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong> from the Fixed<br />

Income Research team at <strong>Danske</strong> Markets.<br />

This publication is intended as a reference guide to the <strong>French</strong> covered bond market,<br />

providing an overview of both issuers of legal and common-law based covered bonds.<br />

The publication gives a thorough description of the legislative and contractual framework<br />

in France and it gauges the temperature of the housing market as well as particular<br />

features of the <strong>French</strong> housing market compared with European peers. For the<br />

descriptions of the <strong>French</strong> economic environment, and in particular the housing market,<br />

we would like to thank our colleague Frank Øland Hansen, Senior Analyst.<br />

The table below lists the issuers included in this <strong>edition</strong>. As of today, HSBC France has<br />

announced its common-law based covered bond programmes, but has not issued yet.<br />

However, they are included as the bank is expected to do so within the foreseeable future.<br />

Due to the merger between Group Banque Populaire and Group Caisse d’Epargne only<br />

one joint issuer profile is included in the <strong>edition</strong>.<br />

Table 1. Issuers included in this <strong>edition</strong><br />

Legal based issuers<br />

BNP Paribas SCF<br />

CFF<br />

CIF Euromortgage<br />

CRH<br />

Dexia Municipal Agency<br />

General Electric SCF<br />

Societe Generale SCF<br />

Common-law based issuers<br />

Banques Populaires<br />

BNP Paribas<br />

Caisse dEpargne<br />

CM-CIC<br />

Credit Agricole<br />

HSCB France<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

The legal based covered bonds (Obligations Foncière) are issued by subsidiaries (Société<br />

de Crédit Foncière) of larger universal banks as the specialist banking principle prevails<br />

in France. The banking groups of which these Société de Crédit Foncière are members are<br />

only covered briefly in this covered bond handbook.<br />

The common-law based covered bonds are issued out of the balance sheet of universal<br />

banks while using a SPV approach. Because of this approach the parent banks are<br />

described in more detail.<br />

Finally, CRH – which is a joint funding company owned by a number of large <strong>French</strong><br />

retail banks – is described in detail in line with the Société de Crédit Foncière issuing<br />

Obligations Foncière.<br />

Copenhagen, September 2009<br />

Chief Analyst<br />

Stig Tørnes, CFA<br />

+45 45 12 80 43<br />

sttr@danskebank.dk<br />

Senior Analyst<br />

Christian Riemann-Andersen<br />

+45 45 12 85 65<br />

chande@danskebank.dk<br />

Analyst<br />

Kristian Myrup Pedersen<br />

+45 45 12 85 19<br />

kripe@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Contents<br />

<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong> .................................................................................... 1<br />

Introduction ................................................................................................................................................................ 5<br />

Market maturity and size ................................................................................................................................... 6<br />

State intervention in the <strong>French</strong> banking industry ............................................................................. 6<br />

Overview of issuers in the <strong>French</strong> market .............................................................................................. 8<br />

The Obligation Foncieres (ObF) legal framework .............................................................................. 11<br />

Common-law based programme ................................................................................................................ 12<br />

Legal framework governing CRH operations ...................................................................................... 18<br />

The <strong>French</strong> economy and housing market ........................................................................................... 19<br />

<strong>French</strong> market for housing loans ............................................................................................................... 21<br />

<strong>French</strong> guarantors .............................................................................................................................................. 21<br />

Conclusion ............................................................................................................................................................... 23<br />

Banque Populaires & Caisse d'Epargne ............................................................ 25<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 25<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 25<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 26<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 26<br />

BNP Home Loans CB .............................................................................................................. 27<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 27<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 27<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 28<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 28<br />

BNP Public Sector SCF ......................................................................................................... 29<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 29<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 29<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 30<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 30<br />

CFF .............................................................................................................................................................. 31<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 31<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 31<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 32<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 32<br />

CIF Euromortgage ....................................................................................................................... 33<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 33<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 33<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 33<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 34<br />

CM-CIC .................................................................................................................................................... 35<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 35<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 35<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 36<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 36<br />

Credit Agricole ............................................................................................................................... 37<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 37<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 37<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 38<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 38<br />

2 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

CRH ............................................................................................................................................................ 39<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 39<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 40<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 40<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 40<br />

Dexia Municipal Agency ...................................................................................................... 41<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 41<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 41<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 42<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 42<br />

General Electric SCF ................................................................................................................ 43<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 43<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 43<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 44<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 44<br />

HSBC France ................................................................................................................................... 45<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 45<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 45<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 46<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 46<br />

Societe Generale SCF............................................................................................................. 47<br />

Company profile .................................................................................................................................................... 47<br />

Financial performance...................................................................................................................................... 47<br />

Business model and funding profile ......................................................................................................... 48<br />

Cover pool and asset quality ......................................................................................................................... 48<br />

Cover bond frameworks ...................................................................................................... 49<br />

3 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

4 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Introduction<br />

France is currently one of the largest providers of euro benchmark covered bonds. In<br />

2008 the euro benchmark supply issued out of France reached EUR25bn down from<br />

record high EUR43bn in 2007. Year to date in 2009 the total <strong>French</strong> covered bond<br />

issuance (tap issuance included) has reached close to EUR30bn including no less than<br />

three inaugural issuances from Credit Agricole, BNP SCF and General Electric SCF. This<br />

makes France the largest issuer of public listed covered bonds in 2009.<br />

Just a few years ago this was certainly not on the cards. With annual gross supply of<br />

EUR8-11bn France might have ranked a decent third after Germany and Spain, but in<br />

absolute numbers the gap was significant as Germany typically printed EUR45-50bn a<br />

year and Spain printed a massive EUR65bn in 2006.<br />

However, at end-2006, BNP Paribas revolutionised the market with the launch of a<br />

common-law based covered bond programme that would coexist with the already<br />

established traditional law based Obligation Foncières (ObF). One of the main reasons for<br />

the introduction is found in the composition of the <strong>French</strong> housing loan market. When<br />

three loans were granted two of them would be guaranteed loans and one a traditional<br />

mortgage loan.<br />

There are several explanations (see below), but the main challenge with this composition<br />

was that the ObF legal framework at the time of the introduction of BNP’s covered bond<br />

programme only allowed for 20% guaranteed loans (today 35% is allowed) in a covered<br />

pool. Thus BNP had a large balance of loans not qualified for covered bond funding. This<br />

was solved with the covered bond programme where no restrictions on guaranteed loans<br />

were applied.<br />

A short glance at the balance sheets of other major <strong>French</strong> banking groups revealed that<br />

BNP was far from the only bank that experienced a similar mismatch between cover<br />

assets available and the legal framework of ObF. Thus, it came as no surprise that CM-<br />

CIC, Banque Populaires, Group Caisse d’Epargne, Credit Agricole and HSCB France<br />

joined BNP. All major <strong>French</strong> banks are issuing common-law based covered bonds, with<br />

SocGen the exception that proves the rule.<br />

To some surprise, in 2008, Societe Generale (SocGen) launched an ObF programme<br />

joining the three existing issuers Dexma, CIF Euromortgage and CFF. As SocGen also<br />

intended to fund public loans there was a logical explanation for its choice. In 2009, BNP<br />

Paribas and General Electric followed suit and established SCF-entities to issue ObF and<br />

this trend once again highlighted the complexity of the <strong>French</strong> market. A complexity that<br />

increases if one also takes into account covered bonds issued by special institution Caisse<br />

de Refinancement de l'Habitat (CRH).<br />

In this light we hope that the <strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> handbook will help to give a better<br />

understanding of this rapidly evolving market.<br />

In the following chapters we will give a brief overview of the market in terms of size and<br />

issuers followed by a recap of the recent performance of covered bonds. Thereafter we<br />

will go into detail about the different structural setups that the issuers have applied – i.e.<br />

the ObF legal framework, the special law regulating CRH and finally the common-law<br />

based programmes. Then we take the temperature of the housing market and the <strong>French</strong><br />

economy in general before we give a short explanation of the <strong>French</strong> market for housing<br />

loans including a description of the major housing loan guarantors. Finally, we present<br />

issuer profiles for all current issuers and one potential issuer (HSBC France).<br />

5 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Market maturity and size<br />

Although the first issuer of ObF dates back to 1852 (Credit Foncier de France, CFF), in<br />

line with other mature markets such as Denmark and Germany, the benchmark market is<br />

fairly new, originating in 1999 with the launch of the ObF framework in the form (with<br />

modifications) that we know today.<br />

The annual issuance of euro benchmark ObF ranged between EUR5bn and EUR10bn in<br />

the first years and hit a high in 2003. Thereafter issuance decreased to EUR8bn in 2005.<br />

In 2006, the same year as the common-law based programmes were launched, issuance<br />

picked up in pace again and reached EUR17.5bn. Record supply was reached in 2007<br />

with EUR27bn. In 2008 and 2009, three new ObF issuers have been established, Société<br />

Générale SCF, BNP Paribas SCF and General Electric SCF, which will enlarge the<br />

issuance of ObF.<br />

Alongside the three deeply-rooted ObF issuers and the three newcomers, specialist<br />

institute CRH formed in 1985 operates according to a specific law. In recent years CRH<br />

contributed with a yearly issuance of EUR1.5-3bn up until 2005. In 2006 and 2007,<br />

supply rose significantly as the members of CRH increasingly relied on the specialist<br />

institution as a refinancing vehicle and supply reached about EUR8bn in 2006 and 2007.<br />

In 2008, CRH issuance was down to EUR4.4bn. due to the difficulties in the covered<br />

bond market.<br />

The third leg of the <strong>French</strong> covered bond market was launched in December 2006 with<br />

the first common-law covered bond issuance from BNP Paribas and shortly afterwards,<br />

other banks followed suit. Total issuance reached EUR9bn in 2008, equal to the level<br />

year-to-date in 2009.<br />

In total the annual issuance in 2007 reached EUR43bn and made France the largest issuer<br />

in Europe. Despite market turmoil this was repeated in 2008 with a total issuance of<br />

<strong>French</strong> covered bonds of more than EUR24bn, equivalent to almost a quarter of all<br />

issuance which made France the largest country in these terms ahead of Germany.<br />

Measured on the total amount of euro benchmark outstanding France, however, still lags<br />

former leaders Spain and Germany. France ranks third with 13% of total outstanding<br />

amounts of euro benchmark after Germany (36%) and Spain (30%).<br />

With respect to maturity profile, the <strong>French</strong> credit curve is in general very well spread<br />

across maturities with the majority between one and 10 years. However, longer maturities<br />

are also issued and in 2006, CFF issued a 50-year euro benchmark.<br />

With respect to currencies the euro is of course predominant but in 2002, the first<br />

issuance in US dollars took place. These peaked in 2007 with more than USD7bn and<br />

with a total of USD20bn dollar-denominated ObF outstanding the US dollar is today the<br />

second most important currency, followed by the Swiss franc and sterling.<br />

State intervention in the <strong>French</strong> banking industry<br />

The <strong>French</strong> government has been very successful in supporting the <strong>French</strong> banking<br />

industry by providing the cheapest government guaranteed funding in the euro market.<br />

The <strong>French</strong> authorities decided against a direct guarantee scheme and instead make use of<br />

a structure set-up for this purpose (Société de refinancement des activités des<br />

établissements de crédit (SFEF)), which is the only <strong>French</strong> institution enjoying a state<br />

guarantee. SFEF issues securities guaranteed by the State with a view to making loans to<br />

credit institutions against collateral. The credit institutions pay a premium over and above<br />

the normal market price and will have to make commitments regarding their conduct.<br />

SFEF's activities are limited to five years. Under the law, the guarantee that the <strong>French</strong><br />

Government can provide to SFEF for this purpose may not exceed EUR265bn.<br />

6 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

As of today, SFEF has issued EUR148bn (equivalent) equal to 56% of the maximum<br />

amount. No information is available on how the amount has been split between the<br />

beneficiary banks. Due to the non-existing timely payment risk in the event of bank<br />

default and the high degree of liquidity compared to other single name government<br />

guarantee issuances, SFEF has been printing guaranteed bonds at the tightest spreads in<br />

Europe.<br />

Chart 1. ASW spreads on euro government guaranteed bonds<br />

60<br />

50<br />

UK FR SE PT NL DE DK SP<br />

CurrentASW spreads, EUR, mid, bp<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

-10<br />

-20<br />

-30<br />

-40<br />

19-Oct-08 22-Nov-08 26-Dec-08 29-Jan-09 4-Mar-09 7-Apr-09 11-May-09<br />

Issuance date<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Besides the establishment of SFEF with the purpose of providing funding to the domestic<br />

banks the <strong>French</strong> government has established a state owned company (Société de prise de<br />

participation de l'État (SPPE)) to invest in securities issued by <strong>French</strong> banks. These<br />

securities can take the form of hybrid capital instruments (subordinated debt securities<br />

classified as non-core Tier 1 capital) as well as preferred shares. The securities will be<br />

remunerated at a fixed rate for the first five years and at a variable rate thereafter. The<br />

remuneration, which will average about 8%, will reflect the degree of solvency of each<br />

beneficiary bank via a credit default swap (CDS) component, whereby remuneration is<br />

modulated according to the risk of default. Under the scheme, the intervention of the<br />

<strong>French</strong> authorities is capped at EUR21bn. Especially, Group Caisse d’Epargne and Group<br />

Banque Populaire (EUR7bn) as well as Dexia (EUR3bn) have taken a large share of the<br />

capital injection from the <strong>French</strong> government.<br />

The <strong>French</strong> government participated in a concerted intervention with the Belgian and<br />

Luxembourg government to support Dexia. The <strong>French</strong> state and the state-controlled<br />

financial services company Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations subscribed to EUR3bn<br />

out of the total EUR6.4bn equity capital injection. Further, the <strong>French</strong>, Belgian and<br />

Luxembourg governments jointly committed, from 9 October 2008 to 31 October 2009,<br />

to guarantee new deposits and interbank and institutional financing, as well as new bond<br />

issues for institutional investors (maximum of EUR150bn), with a maturity up to three<br />

years, issued by Dexia SA and a number of subsidiaries hereof.<br />

7 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Table 2. Moody's outlook for <strong>French</strong> banks remains negative (July 2009)<br />

"The <strong>French</strong> banking business model, which is based on universal banking, has provided the<br />

large banking groups with a buffer against the worst effects of the financial crisis. Nonetheless,<br />

<strong>French</strong> banks have not been immune to the global crisis and the business model will need to be<br />

adapted as additional adverse developments on the financial markets are still likely (although<br />

these would probably be of a less severe nature than those seen in 2008) and, more<br />

fundamentally , as the macro-environment is deteriorating and brings with it a negative credit<br />

cycle, says Stéphane Le Priol, Moody's lead analyst for the <strong>French</strong> banking system.<br />

In the medium term, Moody's expects <strong>French</strong> banks to be affected by a reduction in their activity<br />

and hence in revenues. Coupled with an increase in the costs of risks, this is likely to lead to<br />

further pressure on profitability. "We anticipate more structural changes to the <strong>French</strong> banking<br />

system to take place in the coming years", adds Mr Le Priol. However, the changes are likely to<br />

be on a lesser scale than the two major examples to date: BNP Paribas's takeover of Fortis Bank<br />

and the merger between two mutualists, GCE and GBP, forming a new national champion, better<br />

capable of supporting ailing Natixis. In Moody's view, we are more likely to witness additional<br />

integration of "factories" and specialised entities, either within the groups or between groups, as<br />

evidenced by the recently announced merger of SG's and Credit Agricole's asset management<br />

subsidiaries.<br />

Source: Moody's<br />

Overview of issuers in the <strong>French</strong> market<br />

Currently there are 12 issuers of covered bonds in various forms in France and as<br />

mentioned the 13 th , HSBC France, is lined up for inaugural issuance. An overview of the<br />

different issuers, including an overview of ratings, rating scores and recent rating actions,<br />

is given below:<br />

Table 3. Legal based issuers<br />

DEXMA CFF CIFEUR BNPP SCF SG SCF GE SCF CRH<br />

Collateral Public Public<br />

Mortgage Public Public<br />

Mortgage Mortgage<br />

Mortgage<br />

Mortgage<br />

Geography International International International France International France<br />

France<br />

France<br />

Committed O/C 5% 8% 2% 5% 5%<br />

5% 25%<br />

7.5%<br />

Cover pool size EUR71bn EUR96bn EUR17bn EUR1.5 EUR5.5bn EUR1.4bn EUR51bn<br />

Current LTV - 53% 62% - - 74% 55%<br />

Seasoning (months) - - 48 - - 48 -<br />

NPL 0% 0% 0.5% 0% 0% 0% 0%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 4. Common-law based issuers<br />

BNPPCB BPCOV CMCIC GCECB ACACB HSBCCB<br />

Collateral Mortgage Mortgage Mortgage Mortgage Mortgage Mortgage<br />

Geography International France France France France France<br />

Committed O/C 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1% 8.1%<br />

Cover pool size EUR23bn EUR19bn EUR20bn EUR29bn EUR6bn -<br />

Current LTV (indexed) 61% 62% 57% 57% 52% -<br />

Seasoning (months) 44 39 43 44 50 -<br />

NPL 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

8 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Table 5. Rating overview<br />

Issuer<br />

Issuer (parent)<br />

rating<br />

(M/F/S)<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond<br />

rating<br />

(M/F/S)<br />

Fitch<br />

D-factor<br />

Fitch<br />

supporting O/C<br />

Moodys<br />

TPI<br />

Moodys<br />

C-score<br />

ACACB Aa1n/AA-n/AA- Aaae/AAAe/AAAe 22.2% 10.9% - -<br />

BNPPCB Aa1n/AAn/AAn Aaa/AAA/AAA 20.3% 11.1% Probable -<br />

BNPP SCF Aa1n/AAn/AAn Aaa/AAA/AAA 11.8% 6.4%<br />

BPCOV Aa3/A+/ A+ Aaa/-/AAA - - Probable 5.5%<br />

CFF -/A/A+ Aaa/AAA/AAA - - - -<br />

CIFEUR A1n/An/A+n Aaa/AAA/- 9.8% - - -<br />

CMCICB Aa3/A+/AA- Aaa/AAA/AAA 19.8% 12.7% Probable -<br />

CRH -/-/- Aaa/-/AAA 37.9% - - -<br />

DEXMA A1n/A/A+ Aaa/AAA/AAA 13.2% - - -<br />

GCECB Aa3/A+/A+ Aaa/-/AAA - - Probable 5.4%<br />

GE SCF Aa2/AA+/- Aaa/AAA/- - -<br />

HSBCCB Aa3/AA/AA Aaae/AAAe/AAAe - - - -<br />

SG SCF Aa2/AA-/AA- Aaa/AAA/AAA 16.1% 7.0% - 4.5%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

9 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Table 6. Recent rating actions towards <strong>French</strong> banks<br />

Date<br />

Comment<br />

29-09-2008 S&P downgrades ratings on Dexia Group's core entities 'AA-' from 'AA'; outlook remains negative.<br />

30-09-2008 Fitch downgrades the long-term ratings of Dexia and its three core operating subsidiaries incl. Dexia Credit Local, to 'AA-' from 'AA+'. At same time, the<br />

outlooks were revised to Stable from Negative.<br />

01-10-2008 Moody's downgrades the BFSR of Dexia Credit Local to C- (review for possible downgrade), long term rating downgraded to Aa3 from Aa1. Action<br />

reflects potential asset write-downs in relation to current capital levels and significant liquidity gap.<br />

06-10-2008 S&P changes BNP Paribas outlook to negative after Fortis acquisition, 'AA+/A-1+' ratings affirmed.<br />

07-10-2008 S&P revises outlook on BFBP, CNCE, Natixis to negative on weakening profitability; 'AA-/A-1+' affirmed.<br />

07-10-2008 S&P downgrades Dexia entities lowered to 'A+/A-1' from AA-/A-1+' on weakening financial and business profiles, on watch for future development.<br />

08-10-2008 Moody's places on review for possible downgrade the Aaa rating assigned to the covered bonds issued by Dexia Municipal Agency. Action reflects the<br />

downgrade and further review of the long-term rating of Dexia Credit Local.<br />

20-10-2008 Moody's changes the outlook on CNCE's C+ BFSR to negative from stable. The long-term debt and deposit ratings were affirmed at Aa3, with a stable<br />

outlook. Action reflects loss in prop trading as well as general pressure on profitability.<br />

21-10-2008 S&P downgrades long- and short-term ratings to 'A+/A-1' from 'AA-/A-1+' on BFCM and Caisse Centrale du Crédit Mutuel (CCCM) and Compagnie<br />

Financière du Crédit Mutuel (CFCM), all of the outlooks are stable.<br />

27-10-2008 S&P downgrades Natixis to A+/A-1 on lower earnings prospects, outlook stable.<br />

27-10-2008 S&P downgrades BFBP ratings to 'A+/A-1' from 'AA-/A-1+' on weakened financial flexibility, outlook stable.<br />

27-10-2008 S&P downgrades Crédit Foncier de Franceto 'A+/A-1' from 'AA-/A-1+' on CNCE downgrade, still on CreditWatch Negative.<br />

17-12-2008 S&P puts BNP Paribas 'AA+' rating on CreditWatch Negative on concerns over earnings resilience.<br />

17-12-2008 S&P downgrades Crédit Foncier de France to A from 'A+', outlook stable.<br />

19-12-2008 S&P downgrades Dexia entities to 'A' from 'A+' on public finance funding pressure, outlook stable.<br />

19-12-2008 S&P revises outlook on HSBC Holdings PLC and core subsidiaries (incl HSBC France) to negative, ratings affirmed.<br />

22-12-2008 Moody's downgrades Natixis' BFSR to D+ from C<br />

16-01-2009 BNP Paribas put on negative outlook by Moody's due to pressure on profitability<br />

16-01-2009 Fitch revises HSBC Holdings (Incl.HSBC France) outlook to negative, affirms 'AA' rating.<br />

28-01-2009 S&P downgrades long-term rating on BNP Paribas to 'AA' from 'AA+', outlook is negative. The rating action reflects the material negative impact on<br />

BNP Paribas' financial profile of the current market dislocation and rapidly deteriorating global economic cycle.<br />

02-02-2009 Moody's affirms Aa3 long-term of CFF, but downgrades the BFSR of CFF to D+, outlook on all of CFF's ratings is stable. Action reflect large exposure to<br />

commercial real estate and a larger securities portfolio.<br />

03-02-2009 Fitch changes BNP Paribas's (BNPP) Outlook to Negative from Stable and downgrades its Individual rating to 'B' from 'A/B'. Other ratings are affirmed.<br />

Action reflects continued pressure on profitability in the bank's corporate and investment banking division.<br />

03-02-2009 Fitch places Groupe Caisse d'Epargne (GCE), Groupe Banque Populaire (GBP) and Natixis's Long-term Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) of 'A+' respectively<br />

on Rating Watch Negative (RWN). Fitch also downgrades the Individual Ratings of GCE and GBP to 'C/D' from 'C' and downgrades Natixis's Individual<br />

Rating to 'E' from 'D'. Furthermore, the long-term rating on the central bodies, CNCE and BFBP is placed on RWN.<br />

20-02-2009 Moody's changes the outlook to negative from stable on the C BFSR and the A1 long-term ratings of 3CIF. Action reflects the concern that 3CIF's<br />

profitability as well as its wholesale reliant-funding profile will be challenged.<br />

06-03-2009 Moody's downgrades the BFSR of CNCE from C+ to C with a negative outlook. The BFSR of BFBP was affirmed at C+, but its outlook was changed to<br />

negative. Natixis' BFSR of D+ was also affirmed and its outlook changed to negative. Long-term and short-term ratings of CNCE, BFBP and Natixis were<br />

affirmed at Aa3 with a stable outlook.<br />

09-03-2009 Moody's downgrades HSBC France's BFSR to C from C+ but affirms senior unsecured ratings at Aa3. Downgrade due to pressure on profitability<br />

09-03-2009 Moody's downgrades HSBC France's BFSR to C, affirms Aa3 with negative outlook.<br />

01-04-2009 S&P downgrades Caisse Centrale du Crédit Immobilier de France to 'A' from 'A+' on weakened credit risk and profitability, outlook negative.<br />

09-04-2009 Fitch revises the Support Rating Floors assigned to Credit Agricole, BNP Paribas, Societe Generale), Groupe Caisse d'Epargne and Groupe Banque<br />

Populaire to 'A+' from 'A-' (A minus). Fitch simultaneously removes the Rating Watch Negative (RWN) on GCE's, CNCE's, GBP's and BFBP's long-term<br />

ratings of 'A+'.<br />

09-04-2009 Fitch downgrades long-term rating of Dexia Credit Local 'A+' from 'AA-', outlook stable.<br />

14-04-2009 Moody's lowers Societe Generale's BFSR to C+, affirms Aa2 rating. Review of the bank's risk profile prompted by the deteriorating macroeconomic<br />

environment in main markets.<br />

07-05-2009 S&P downgrades Société Générale to 'A+/A-1' from 'AA-/A-1+' on concerns about earnings resilience, outlook revised to stable from negative.<br />

11-05-2009 Fitch downgrades Societe Generale (incl. SG SCF) to 'A+' from 'AA-', stable outlook. Action reflects continued pressure on profitability, further<br />

securities writedowns and mounting asset quality pressure in the loan portfolios, particularly in Central and Eastern Europe and Russia.<br />

25-06-2009 S&P revises Credit Agricole Outlook to negative on concerns about recession impact on profitability, ratings affirmed at 'AA-/A-1+'.<br />

06-07-2009 Moody's reiterates negative outlook for <strong>French</strong> banking sector.<br />

31-07-2009 Fitch assigns Groupe BPCE ratings of long-term 'A+', Short-term IDR 'F1+', Individual 'C/D', Support '1' and Support Rating Floor 'A+'. The Outlook is<br />

Stable. Fitch also affirms and withdraws all ratings on Groupe Caisse d'Epargne (GCE) and Groupe Banque Populaire (GBP).<br />

31-07-2009 S&P assigns 'A+/A-1' ratings to new BPCE, outlook stable.<br />

Source: Ratings agencies<br />

10 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

The Obligation Foncieres (ObF) legal framework<br />

ObF is governed by Articles L.515-13 to L.515-33 and R.515-2 to R.515-14 of the <strong>French</strong><br />

Monetary and Financial Code (Code monétaire et financier). Only Sociétés de Crédit<br />

Foncier (SCF) is entitled to issue Obligations Foncières (ObF).<br />

Holders of ObF benefit from a privilege (priority right) on all the assets and revenues of<br />

the SCF and are allowed to operate in a bankruptcy remote environment.<br />

As a specialist bank a SCF is limited in its possible operations. A SCF may grant or<br />

acquire either secured loans or exposures to public entities or other eligible securities and<br />

issue ObF (or incur other forms of borrowings) to finance these assets. However, a SCF is<br />

also allowed to issue ordinary bonds or raise funds that do not benefit from the priority<br />

right. A SCF may not make any other investments except of substitute assets within a<br />

limit of 15% of the cover pool.<br />

Eligible assets for ObF issuance comprise:<br />

• Secured mortgage and commercial loans.<br />

• Exposures to public entities such as state, central banks, local authorities or stateowned<br />

entities.<br />

• Senior tranches of mortgage-backed securities issued by Fonds Commun de Créances<br />

(<strong>French</strong> securitisation vehicles).<br />

• Promissory note.<br />

Secured loans include first-ranking mortgages (or other real estate security interests that<br />

are equivalent to a first-ranking mortgage) or loans that are guaranteed by a credit<br />

institution or an insurance company (but no in-house guarantees). The property must be<br />

located in France or in the EU/EEA (European economic area) or in a state benefiting<br />

from the best credit level rating. LTV is capped at 60% if both commercial loans and<br />

mortgage loans are used as collateral – if only mortgages are applied LTV can be raised<br />

to 80%. It is also possible to go beyond 60% if the portion up to 80% is financed by<br />

ordinary bonds with no priority right. Finally, LTV of 100% is possible if a guarantee<br />

from the social security fund (FGAS) is applied.<br />

Exposure to public entities such as state, central banks, local authorities or state-owned<br />

entities located within the EEA, in a Member State of the EC or in a State benefiting from<br />

the best credit rating given by a rating agency.<br />

Senior tranches of mortgage-backed-securities (MBS) issued by Fonds Commun de<br />

Créances (FCCs) or other similar vehicles within EU/EEA. Such assets would comprise<br />

at least 90% of eligible assets. It is worth noting that the limit of 20% MBS tranches in<br />

the cover pool stated in CRD is not in effect in France. This regulation is deferred until<br />

end-2010 and it is to be renegotiated before is becomes effective.<br />

Promissory notes (Billet Hypothecaire); these are limited to a maximum of 10%.<br />

In respect of ALM requirements, the law states that the nominal value of the cover pool<br />

including derivatives must exceed the nominal value of outstanding bonds issued,<br />

respectively. Furthermore, the SCFs are obliged to have a risk management system in<br />

place to assess overall interest rate risk and they are obliged to report to the <strong>French</strong> FSA<br />

and external auditors on an ongoing basis. Hedging contracts are allowed to hedge market<br />

risk (interest rate risk, currency risk and liquidity risk) and counterparties to such<br />

contracts have privileged status. The legal framework does not stipulate any limits on<br />

liquidity risk.<br />

No O/C level is required by law. However, any contractual committed O/C will be<br />

available in case of default.<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

The valuation of cover assets must be carried out in a prudent manner and the<br />

assessment must be done by independent surveyors according to guidelines laid down in<br />

the law (L.515-30).<br />

A SCF is under the supervision of a specific controller approved by the <strong>French</strong> banking<br />

authorities. Bankruptcy remoteness is ensured by Article L.515-27, which prohibits the<br />

bankruptcy of the parent bank from being extended to a SCF. In the case of default of the<br />

SCF there is also no recourse to the parent bank. In other words, the double recourse is<br />

limited to the SCF (the issuer) and the cover pool.<br />

In the case of default an insolvency administrator is appointed. The asset segregation is<br />

secured through the cover register. Regarding bankruptcy proceedings the preferential<br />

right to eligible assets as well as non-eligible asset is explicitly stipulated. Hence, in case<br />

of insolvency of the SCF, the bondholders and derivative counter parties have a statutory<br />

preferential right to assets in the cover pool and outside the cover pool. Note, an issuer<br />

default does not prompt an acceleration of covered bonds or a determination of derivative<br />

contracts.<br />

Common-law based programme<br />

As with common-law based programmes issued out of UK (before the legal framework<br />

was implemented) the issuers in France have deliberately endeavoured to apply almost<br />

identical structures. Thus, there is very little differentiating across issuers and in the<br />

following we describe the main characteristics of Banque Populaires’ programme, but the<br />

conclusion is applicable for the other common-law based programmes as well. Only BNP<br />

Paribas diverges from the other issuers, hence non-domestic loans/mortgages are eligible<br />

as cover assets in BNP Paribas’ cover pool.<br />

Eligible assets for common-law based covered bond issuance comprise are secured<br />

mortgages and loans guaranteed by a number of third-party guarantors. The eligibility<br />

criteria are:<br />

• Loan has to be located in France (not in the case of BNP Paribas).<br />

• Loan amount of less than EUR1m with a LTV-ratio not exceeding 100%, yet only<br />

80% is taken into account in the asset coverage test.<br />

• Loan must be denominated in euro or Swiss franc.<br />

• Loan-term to maturity must be less than 30 years with monthly or quarterly payments.<br />

• Loan must not be in arrear or default.<br />

• Borrower does not benefit from a contractual set-up.<br />

Substitution assets are allowed in the cover pool within a limit of 20%. Such assets must<br />

be liquid and secure (i.e. time deposits, government bonds and short term (


<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

The obligations of BFBP are secured under the terms of a “Collateral Security”<br />

agreement. The security is created under <strong>French</strong> law (Article L 431-7-3) of financial<br />

collateral agreements (which implements the EU Collateral Directive). This set-up<br />

ensures that if certain events occur (see list below) prior to an issuer’s insolvency the<br />

security from cover assets will be enforced and legal title to the cover assets will be<br />

transferred to the issuer, BPCB.<br />

An event of default is triggered by one of the following events:<br />

• Failure to make required payment into the collection loss reserve account.<br />

• Failure to comply with obligations to service a home loan.<br />

• Failure to fund the collection loss reserve or the home loan security reserve.<br />

• Failure to enter a hedging agreement following a hedging trigger event.<br />

• Breach of asset coverage test.<br />

• Breach of amortisation test.<br />

As the structure is based on a true sale there will be no doubt regarding transfer of assets<br />

in the event of default. We view the use of the EU collateral directive as a very strong<br />

feature of the <strong>French</strong> contractual covered bond programmes.<br />

The issuer will hereafter continue to pay the covered bonds. If the cover assets transferred<br />

to the issuer from collateral providers (the entities in Banque Populaire cooperative<br />

banking group) should prove insufficient to meet the covered bond holders’ claims, the<br />

issuer has a residual unsecured claim against BFBP (i.e. double recourse). In the event of<br />

an issuer default, the covered bonds will be accelerated. To ensure that funds will be<br />

available to covered bondholders in case of issuer default, the issuer has pledged all assets<br />

and accounts in favour of the Issuer Security Agent (BFBP) to benefit covered<br />

bondholders.<br />

Table 7. Common-law covered bond structure<br />

Source: Banque Populaires and <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

The issuer is supervised by Banque de France but, as mentioned, not under the scope of<br />

the regulations applicable to the issuers of ObF. Therefore, the bonds currently carry a<br />

20% risk weighting (Revised Standard Approach). However, BP’s peer, BNP Paribas, has<br />

requested Banque de France to make a formal review as to whether the covered bonds can<br />

benefit from a preferential 10% weighting, as is the case with CRH. We believe the<br />

decision is subject to a high degree of uncertainty and advise potential investors to act on<br />

the 20% risk weighting.<br />

In line with the UK covered bond programmes, the <strong>French</strong> structures includes an asset<br />

coverage test (ACT) to be performed on a monthly basis to make sure that the issuer can<br />

meet its obligation under the covered bond guarantee. Accordingly, the issuer must ensure<br />

that on each calculation date, the adjusted aggregate loan amount will be in an amount<br />

equal to or in excess of the aggregate principal amount outstanding of the covered bonds<br />

then outstanding from time to time.<br />

If the same has not been remedied on or before the next calculation date, a breach of the<br />

asset coverage test will constitute an issuer event of default, which will entitle the bond<br />

trustee to serve an issuer acceleration notice on the issuer and upon the service of such<br />

notice, the bond trustee shall serve a notice to pay on the issuer under the covered bond<br />

guarantee.<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Table 8. Definition of adjusted aggregated loan amount in the ACT<br />

The adjusted aggregate loan amount of the portfolio is defined according to the<br />

following formula:<br />

A + B + C + D (Y + Z)<br />

A corresponds to the lower of;<br />

(a) The sum for each loan of the lower of;<br />

(i) The actual outstanding current principal balance of the loan; and<br />

(ii) 80% of the indexed valuation relating to the relevant loan secured by a mortgage<br />

or guaranteed by Crédit Logement or another guarantor. Different cut-off<br />

percentages could apply to other types of loans. This reflects the fact that the portion<br />

of each loan that is effectively eligible for covered bond funding only extends up to<br />

80% LTV. This will be determined by using a house price index in relation to<br />

residential properties in France and<br />

(b) The aggregate current principal balance of all loans in the portfolio multiplied by<br />

the asset percentage (92.5%). Multiplication by the asset percentage ensures that,<br />

regardless of the LTV level of the portfolio, a minimum 7.5% credit enhancement will<br />

always be available. In both (a) and (b), the outstanding amount of the loan will be<br />

reduced by any loss caused by a material breach of the servicing procedures. Any<br />

loan within the portfolio that does not comply with the eligibility criteria will be given<br />

no credit for the purpose of calculating the ACT.<br />

B equals the aggregate amount of cash standing to the credit of the cash collateral<br />

account;<br />

C equals the aggregate value of substitute assets. The portion of substitute assets<br />

above 20% of the portfolio value will be given zero credit in the ACT;<br />

D is equal to the aggregate value of all permitted investments. Both substitute<br />

assets and permitted investments will be accounted for at the market value assessed<br />

as at the last business day before an ACT calculation and subject to a further haircut<br />

agreed, from time to time, with Fitch.<br />

Y is an amount intended to cover the potential shortfall in the next following<br />

payment due under the hedging agreements. This item is size based on the period of<br />

time between two interest payment dates plus two months;<br />

Z is an amount intended to address potential negative carry in the transaction<br />

caused by holding funds in the covered bond account and is sized by multiplying the<br />

aggregate covered bond principal outstanding by their weighted average remaining<br />

maturity and by a negative carry factor of 50 basis points.<br />

Source: Fitch<br />

In addition, following service of a notice to pay on the issuer (but prior to an issuer event<br />

of default and service of an issuer acceleration notice), the issuer must ensure that on each<br />

calculation date following an issuer event of default, the amortisation test is passed:<br />

meaning the aggregate loan amount will be in an amount at least equal to the aggregate<br />

principal amount outstanding of the covered bonds then outstanding. The cash manager<br />

will perform the amortisation test on each calculation date. A breach of the amortisation<br />

test will constitute an issuer event of default, which will entitle the bond trustee to serve<br />

an issuer acceleration notice on the issuer declaring the covered bonds immediately due<br />

and repayable.<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Table 9. Definition of adjusted aggregated loan amount in the AMT<br />

The adjusted aggregate loan amount of the portfolio is defined according to the<br />

following formula:<br />

A + B + C + D + E Z<br />

A is the sum for all loans of the lower of:<br />

(i) the loan balance where loans are less than three months in arrears and 70% of the<br />

loan balance where loans are three months or more in arrears; and<br />

(ii) the indexed valuation where loans are less than three months in arrears and 70%<br />

of the loan indexed valuation where loans are three months or more in arrears;<br />

B equals the aggregate amount of cash standing to the credit of the cash collateral<br />

account;<br />

C equals the aggregate value of substitute assets. The portion of substitute assets<br />

above 20% of the portfolio value will be given zero credit in the ACT;<br />

D is equal to the aggregate value of all permitted investments. Both substitute<br />

assets and permitted investments will be accounted for at the market value assessed<br />

as at the last business day before an ACT calculation and subject to a further haircut<br />

agreed, from time to time, with Fitch;<br />

Z is an amount intended to address potential negative carry in the transaction<br />

caused by holding funds in the covered bond account and is sized by multiplying the<br />

aggregate covered bond principal outstanding by their weighted average remaining<br />

maturity and by a negative carry factor of 50 basis points and;<br />

E is equal to the aggregate amount of the cash generated by the cover pool in the<br />

period preceding the amortisation test calculation.<br />

Source: Fitch<br />

In line with the rating agencies in our view, the asset coverage test is strong and sufficient<br />

to ensure a minimum level of over-collateralisation on the covered bonds to protect<br />

bondholders against specific market and liquidity risks. Further, we see the amortisation<br />

test as strong and sufficient enough to ensure covered bonds are adequately collateralised<br />

by the assets in the cover pool at all times, ultimately up to the point of issuer default and<br />

payment acceleration. Furthermore, we see the true sale and the issuer structure as<br />

sufficient to ensure asset segregation. Below we outline the programme terms in the event<br />

of issuer default and ultimately in the case of issuer default. The event of issuer default<br />

will be triggered if the monthly asset cover test fails.<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Table 10. Description of events of default<br />

Event<br />

The asset coverage test<br />

fails<br />

The issuer fails to pay any<br />

interest or principal<br />

amount when due<br />

Initiation of bankruptcy<br />

proceedings against the<br />

issuer<br />

Issuer default<br />

Terms<br />

An issuer acceleration notice and a notice to pay will be<br />

issued to the issuer.<br />

No covered bonds can be issued and the cover pool<br />

becomes static. No new substitution assets will be<br />

included in the cover pool whereas liquidation of mortgage<br />

assets is the only means to pass the amortisation test in<br />

the case of falling house prices. In so far the asset<br />

coverage test is not breached, further covered bond<br />

issuance can occur.<br />

Activation of the covered<br />

bond guarantee<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bondholders submit an unsecured claim against<br />

the issuer and invoke the covered bond guarantee via the<br />

covered bond trust.<br />

The amortisation test fails<br />

The issuer fails to pay any<br />

interest or principal amount<br />

when due<br />

Under the covered bond guarantee the covered<br />

bondholders continue to receive scheduled payments<br />

from the issuer, i.e. no acceleration of payments.<br />

All payments on mortgages in the cover pool are collected<br />

in a GIC account for the benefit of the covered<br />

bondholders.<br />

To the extent the issuer has insufficient funds to repay the<br />

covered bonds in full on the maturity date, the unpaid<br />

amount will automatically be deferred and would be due<br />

and payable a year later. This will only be the case if the<br />

covered bond programme includes a soft bullet structure.<br />

Issuer default<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bondholders enforce their security against the<br />

issuer.<br />

The issuer assets are liquidated for the benefit of covered<br />

bondholders. Proceeds from the liquidation of the assets<br />

are disbursed to covered bondholders on a pro rata basis<br />

at par with all covered bonds ranking pari passu<br />

regardless the maturity of the covered bonds.<br />

In-so-far as assets are inadequate to cover the claims of<br />

covered bondholders, investors maintain an unsecured<br />

claim against the issuer for any unpaid amounts under the<br />

covered bonds<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

17 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Legal framework governing CRH operations<br />

CRH enjoys a unique legal framework only regulating the business of CRH. As for<br />

credit institutions regulated by the ObF framework the provisions for the mortgage<br />

market are regulated by the provisions codified as Sections L.313-42 to L.313-49 of the<br />

Monetary and Financial Code, except privilege for bondholders which is assigned in the<br />

article 13 of act 85-695 of July 1985. The specific framework for CRH is codified in<br />

Article R.313-20 to R.313-25 of the Monetary and Financial Code. In addition to the legal<br />

framework CRH also applies internal rules and regulations.<br />

CRH is a specialist bank restricted in its business. The sole purpose of CRH is to<br />

refinance bank loans for housing purchases. Thus, CRH cannot act as a mortgage bank<br />

lending to individuals. CRH issues bonds and lends the borrowed amount to banks in the<br />

same conditions with respect to interest rate and maturity.<br />

Common to other covered bond legislations the legal framework stipulates priority<br />

claims under all circumstances to the payment of the interest and principal in favour of<br />

bond holders.<br />

Only <strong>French</strong> first lien mortgages or, under certain conditions, guaranteed loans<br />

(maximum 35%) may constitute collateral for CRH issuance. Concerning the LTV ratio<br />

the same rules as for issuers under the ObF framework apply. Therefore, the LTV ratio is<br />

capped at 60% if both commercial loans and mortgage loans are used as collateral. If only<br />

mortgages are applied the LTV ratio can be raised to 80%. A LTV ratio of 100% is<br />

possible if a guarantee from the social security fund (FGAS) is applied.<br />

The cover assets will initially remain on the balance of the participating banks but are<br />

pledged as collateral for CRH loans to banks (in the form of promissory notes). In the<br />

event of default by a borrowing bank, CRH acquires full ownership of the portfolio,<br />

automatically and without formality and notwithstanding any provisions to the contrary. It<br />

may then sell the portfolio and use the proceeds to buy and then cancel the bonds<br />

corresponding to the loan made to the defaulting bank. Furthermore, if a borrowing bank<br />

defaults CRH may also, if required, call on the banks that are its shareholders to provide<br />

cash in an amount up to 5% of its outstanding loans.<br />

The law specifies a minimum O/C of 25%. With respect to ALM-restrictions, the<br />

average life of the portfolio assets must at all times be to a large extent equal to the<br />

residual life of CRH loans, and the average interest rate must equal or exceed that of the<br />

CRH loans (interest rate payments are received five days in advance of coupon<br />

payments). Furthermore, no currency risk is allowed and liquidity risk is limited due to a<br />

5% liquidity facility of borrowed funds.<br />

CRH is subject to specific supervision by the Commission Bancaire and CRH itself<br />

performs oversight of borrowing banks. This includes verification of the lists of pledged<br />

loans and regular audits of these pledged loans, based on sampling, carried out at the<br />

borrowing banks. Should these audits reveal ineligible loans CRH has the mandate to<br />

require the bank in question to increase cover assets to compensate for the shortfall<br />

identified. If the bank’s outstanding loans are insufficient to make up the shortfall, it is<br />

required to immediately acquire the bonds corresponding to the loan granted it and<br />

deliver them to CRH as repayment. Finally, CRH is also subject to audit by its<br />

shareholder banks.<br />

In 2006 CRH received approval from Banque de France to issue bonds that were UCITS<br />

22(4) compliant. As they furthermore are CRD compliant, covered bonds from CRH<br />

enjoy preferential treatment with respect to risk weighting (10% under the Revised<br />

Standard Approach).<br />

18 | 10 September 2009<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

The <strong>French</strong> economy and housing market<br />

The <strong>French</strong> housing market started its boom a decade ago and from 2002 until 2006<br />

prices of existing homes increased 10% or more annually. House prices peaked last<br />

summer and began to decline rapidly in the fourth quarter of 2008 coinciding with the<br />

escalation of the financial crisis.<br />

House price boom and bust<br />

Since its peak level nominal house prices have declined 7.7% for existing houses and<br />

13.5% for new homes in Q1 2009 (latest data available). This brings nominal prices for<br />

existing homes back to their Q2 2006, still 77% above the price level at the beginning of<br />

2002. We project that house prices have declined another 5% since Q1. In real terms<br />

prices on new houses have declined by approximately 10% since their peak level in Q3<br />

2007.<br />

The <strong>French</strong> economy has been relatively resilient to the global crisis. GDP declined just<br />

3.4% from its peak level in Q1 2008 until Q1 2009 and somewhat surprisingly France<br />

already returned to positive growth in Q2 (0.3 % q/q). Industrial production bottomed in<br />

April and <strong>French</strong> manufacturing PMI has increased sharply in recent months. We<br />

anticipate a strong rebound in growth in H2 2009 driven primarily by inventories and<br />

exports – followed by lower, but also more broadly based growth in 2010.<br />

Source: Reuters EcoWin<br />

Housing start slowdown<br />

Unemployment is increasing at a rapid pace and unemployment expectations are still at a<br />

high level. This adds new fuel to the housing market downturn. We expect a stabilisation<br />

of the labour market in early 2010. Consumer confidence has improved, but is still at a<br />

low level.<br />

The housing market is supported by low interest rates, but lending standards have been<br />

tightened significantly during the last year and although the financial crisis now appears<br />

to be receding, financial conditions will still put a brake on the housing market for some<br />

time to come.<br />

Source: Reuters EcoWin<br />

The construction sector has been in decline for a year and this is likely to continue for<br />

quite some time. Construction sector confidence has increased quite sharply in 2009<br />

albeit from historically low levels. The current confidence level still signals contraction.<br />

The decline in construction combined with an increase in the number of new homes sold<br />

resulted in a sharp decline in the stock of new homes for sale in Q1 2009. The stock is<br />

nevertheless still very high – just around 100,000 unsold new homes – and it will take<br />

another year of fast reduction of this pile of unsold homes just to reach the historical<br />

average.<br />

House prices are expected to decline another 10-15% during the next year before a<br />

stabilisation will begin to materialise supported by labour market recovery and a<br />

reduction in housing affordability (house prices relative to household income). The main<br />

risks that may prolong the housing market downturn are a jobless recovery, tight credit<br />

standards and interest rate increases (more charts on next page).<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

PMI signals strong rebound<br />

Consumer confidence<br />

Source: Reuters Ecowin<br />

Source: Reuters Ecowin and Markit<br />

Unemployment increases sharply<br />

The recession is over<br />

Source: Reuters Ecowin and own calculations<br />

Source: Reuters Ecowin and own calculations<br />

Construction sector PMI sends positive signals<br />

A pile of new homes<br />

Source: Reuters Ecowin and own calculations<br />

Source: Reuters Ecowin and own calculations<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

<strong>French</strong> market for housing loans<br />

In contrast to other European countries the most predominant house loan is not a<br />

mortgage but instead a guaranteed loan. Currently the market is split approximately<br />

evenly between mortgage loans and guaranteed loans, but for new loans, almost two out<br />

of three is a guaranteed loan.<br />

<strong>French</strong> home buyers have had, since 1974, the option of taking a guaranteed (but<br />

otherwise unsecured) loan. The guarantee is provided by a third party, usually a mutual<br />

insurance company. In case of default the guarantor undertakes the obligations of the<br />

borrower. In addition the guarantor undertakes the recovery proceeds.<br />

Guaranteed loans are as mentioned very common in France and also qualify as eligible<br />

collateral for issuance of ObF. The popularity of guaranteed loans can be explained by the<br />

high costs of both registering and unregistering a traditional mortgage combined with the<br />

fact that it is a very bureaucratic and time-consuming process. On average the cost of<br />

taking out a traditional mortgage loan is 5% upfront, whereas a guaranteed loan is only 1-<br />

2% upfront. In addition, a part of the fee paid for a guarantee will be repaid at redemption<br />

(provided that it has not been called of course). Also, the risk weight of a guaranteed loan<br />

is lower than of a mortgage (20% vs. 50% under Basel1). Under the Basel2/CRD the<br />

advantage of guaranteed loans is expected to diminish. To sum up guaranteed loans are<br />

more cost efficient and flexible from both the borrower and lender’s point of view.<br />

Defaulting loans (> three month arrears) are physically transferred from the cover pool to<br />

the guarantor who thereafter undertakes the borrower’s payments. In 50% of the cases the<br />

guarantor and the borrower reach an agreement within six months and the loan is<br />

transferred back to the pool. Otherwise final payment under the guarantee can take<br />

anything from six months to two years from the transfer. In comparison, should a<br />

mortgagor fail to pay foreclosure procedures usually take at least three years.<br />

As mentioned guaranteed loans are also eligible for ObF issuance, however they may<br />

only constitute a maximum of 35% (raised in 2007 from 20%) of the cover pool. A<br />

further requirement is that the guarantee is provided by a third party to be eligible for ObF<br />

issuance. Guarantees provided by in-house companies – i.e. any wholly or partly owned<br />

subsidiaries – are not eligible. Most common-law based issuers currently apply in-house<br />

guarantors (see separate descriptions under the respective issuer profiles below); currently<br />

BNP is the only active issuer that does not. In the case of BNP, Crédit Logement provides<br />

the guarantee. Credit Logement is the largest provider of guarantees and currently enjoys<br />

a market share of more than 50%. We also expect HSBC France to rely exclusively on<br />

Credit Logement as a guarantor although we note its covered bond programmes include<br />

an option to use others.<br />

Below we have included a short description of the guarantors of the existing issuers of<br />

covered bonds.<br />

<strong>French</strong> guarantors<br />

The market is split between players with bank status, such as Crédit Logement, CMH and<br />

the SOCAMI and insurance companies such as e.g. SACCEF and CAMCA. The main<br />

difference between the two is a question of prudential requirements. For those with bank<br />

status, there is 100% risk weighting for the guarantees provided and an 8% capital<br />

adequacy ratio, compared with 16-18% of premiums or a percentage of claims for<br />

insurance companies, which is much more favourable.<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Crédit Logement (Aa2 stable/AA stable/--) is the largest guarantor in France with a<br />

market share of some 50% and outstanding commitments of some EUR155bn year-end<br />

2008. Thus, most issuers do to some extent benefit from guaranteed loans from Crédit<br />

Logement. Since 1999, Crédit Logement has been jointly owned by nearly all of the large<br />

<strong>French</strong> banking groups, with its three largest shareholders being Crédit Agricole (33%),<br />

BNP Paribas (16.5%) and Société Générale (13.5%).<br />

All shareholders reconfirm every sixth months the mutual guarantee in proportion of their<br />

outstanding loans guaranteed. The mutual guarantee fond of Crédit Logement stood at<br />

EUR2.6bn at year-end 2008. Crédit Logement enjoys an ultimate support from the <strong>French</strong><br />

banking system and all shareholders have written an explicit guarantee to rebuild mutual<br />

fond should a shareholder default. Should Crédit Logement default the loans guaranteed<br />

can be converted to traditional mortgages.<br />

CMH (Cautionnement Mutuel de l’Habitat) is one of the guarantors of CM-CIC and also<br />

a member of Crédit Mutuel Centre Est Europe (CMCEE). It is therefore relevant to<br />

consider whether guarantees provided by CMH are valid should CMCEE default. The<br />

rating agencies are very clear on this point and Fitch, for example, states that if CMCEE<br />

becomes bankrupt, the same applies to CMH. To address this risk, the programme<br />

stipulates that if BFCM (Banque Fédérative du Crédit Mutual) is downgraded below A- it<br />

must fund a reserve account in the CMCICB’s books representing the cost needed to<br />

register the mortgage on the CMH loans. Should CMCEE be downgraded below BBB,<br />

BFCM will have two months to find a guarantor rated at least A- to guarantee CMH’s<br />

obligations or start to register mortgages on CMH-guaranteed loans. After another two<br />

months, CMH-guaranteed loans will not be taken into account when performing asset<br />

coverage tests.<br />

SOCAMI (Sociétés de Caution Mutuelle) and CASDEN (Aa2 stable/--/A+ stable by<br />

Moody’s/Fitch) provide guarantees for Banque Populaire’s covered bond programme.<br />

Both SOCAMI and CASDEN are both members of BPCE and it is therefore relevant to<br />

consider whether guarantees provided by these entities are valid should BPCE default. In<br />

our opinion, if BPCE becomes bankrupt, the same applies to SOCAMI and CASDEN.<br />

To mitigate this risk, the programme stipulates that if BPCE is downgraded below (A3/A-<br />

) it must fund a reserve account representing the costs needed to register the mortgage on<br />

the loans guaranteed by in-house guarantors. Should the Group be downgraded below<br />

BBB, mortgage registrations or outside group guarantors become compulsory in order to<br />

provide further protection to covered bond investors even though the guarantors have<br />

funds of their own.<br />

SOCAMI is offered to the best customers of the bank and SOCAMI decides whether to<br />

grant guarantee. There is a similar policy for CASDEN. As a consequence, default rates<br />

have historically been much lower in portfolios with SOCAMI or CASDEN guarantees<br />

only, than the average default rate in the global portfolio of the BPCE Group.<br />

CEGC (Compagnie Européenne de Garanties et Cautions, previously SACCEF) rated A+<br />

with stable outlook by S&P, is the second largest provider of guaranteed loans in France<br />

with a total loan commitment end-2008 of EUR53bn. CEGC provides guarantees for<br />

CNCE and benefits from the support of both Groupe Caisse d’Epargne and Groupe<br />

Banque Populaire, as it is 100%-owned by Natixis.<br />

CAMCA (Caisse d'Assurances Mutuelles du Crédit Agricole) is an insurance company<br />

that provides guarantees in favour of home loans from Credit Agricole. Due to the status<br />

as an in-house guarantor Credit Agricole’s covered bond programme has built in a<br />

number of contractual agreements that should mitigate risk arising from this structure<br />

including among others rating triggers and a 50% cap on the amount of CAMCA<br />

guaranteed loans in the cover pool.<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Table 11. Cover pool assets backed by <strong>French</strong> guarantors (% of total cover pool, if available)<br />

BPCOV BNPPCB CMCICB GCECB ACACB HSBCCB<br />

Credit Logement Credit Logement Credit Logement<br />

- Credit Logement Credit Logement*<br />

(4%)<br />

(55%)<br />

n.a<br />

41%<br />

CASDEN<br />

- CMH<br />

SACCEF<br />

CAMCA<br />

-<br />

(27%)<br />

n.a.<br />

(72%)<br />

13%<br />

SOCAMI<br />

(28%)<br />

- - - - -<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets and respective issuers,<br />

*: According to the covered bond programme of HSBCCB Credit Logement is the primary guarantor for HSBC France<br />

Conclusion<br />

The <strong>French</strong> market has undergone significant development in recent years and stands out<br />

as a quite unique market most obviously through the three different structural setups.<br />

Another unique feature for France is the predominant position of guaranteed loans.<br />

The introduction of common-law based covered bonds alongside law-based covered<br />

bonds from SCFs and CRH has prompted nine new issuers since 2006 bringing the total<br />

number of issuers to 13. BNP Paribas is in the unique position to fund itself via covered<br />

bonds through all three channels.<br />

France has thus gone from being a rather inferior player in the European covered bond<br />

market to one of the most dominant countries in terms of issuing activity.<br />

This of course raises a relevant question, namely whether this will lead to supply<br />

pressure. If supply resumes at the previously high level when markets get functional<br />

again, we cannot rule out that the performance of <strong>French</strong> covered bonds will be affected<br />

by new supply. However, we note the presence of a large domestic investor base that will<br />

help absorb new supply.<br />

In the following sections we provide a comprehensive overview of issuer profiles on<br />

existing and upcoming <strong>French</strong> covered bond issuers, law based as well as common-law<br />

based. The issuer profiles contain descriptions on business model, funding profile and<br />

asset quality etc.<br />

With all major <strong>French</strong> banks now issuing common-law based bonds and with guaranteed<br />

loans still being preferred over traditional mortgage loans, a possible revision or<br />

expansion of the <strong>French</strong> legal framework is a relevant issue to bring up in our opinion.<br />

One possibility is an “umbrella” solution similar to that of the UK. The legislative<br />

framework in the UK is designed to provide the necessary underpinning for UCITS<br />

compliance but is not designed to prescribe the complete design and contractual<br />

arrangements for the product. Simply, the legislation provides a principle-based and<br />

outcome-focussed framework with the necessary legal requirements for the regime and its<br />

special public supervision.<br />

If UCITS compliance is ensured current common-law based covered bonds will receive<br />

preferential risk weighting similar to ObF, which will broaden the investor base and thus<br />

enhance the ability of absorbing new supply. That said, currently a legal framework and<br />

UCITS compliance are hardly the main drivers for a spread narrowing for common-law<br />

based covered bonds. On the other hand, it is worth mentioning that the special rule<br />

regarding <strong>French</strong> ObF in CRD (Annex VI) is to expire by the end of 2010. Hence if this<br />

special rule is not reinforced a number of <strong>French</strong> ObFs will lose their preferential risk<br />

weight.<br />

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<strong>French</strong> <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> <strong>Handbook</strong><br />

Anyhow, focus is currently on issuers’ financial performance and indeed the <strong>French</strong><br />

housing market. Banks benefit from their investment banking business, which are<br />

characterised by historically high profit, although some deterioration must be expected<br />

due to the fierce competition. Also banks are generally well capitalised and enjoy<br />

significant loan-loss reserves. However, <strong>French</strong> banks’ high exposure to the housing<br />

market will affect the performance of <strong>French</strong> banks both through lower revenues due to<br />

lower mortgage activity, and higher credit losses. We have already seen a cooling of the<br />

<strong>French</strong> housing market and we forecast the housing market will remain weak in the<br />

coming months in face of a continued deterioration of the economic climate in France. A<br />

softening of the labour market and a tightening of credit standards and increasing interest<br />

rates together pose the greatest risk to the housing market and subsequently the banks<br />

exposed to the market. However, we note that banks in general have adequate loan loss<br />

coverage and that <strong>French</strong> home owners are less indebted than many European peers.<br />

Further, as the prevailing home loan in France is fixed rate, <strong>French</strong> home owners are less<br />

sensitive to interest rate fluctuations.<br />

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Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

Banque Populaires &<br />

Caisse d'Epargne<br />

Common-law covered bonds<br />

Company profile<br />

The issuers Group Caisses d’Epargne <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong>s (GCECB) and Banques Populaires<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> (BPCOV) are <strong>French</strong> credit institutions with limited purpose and are<br />

subject to <strong>French</strong> banking authorities (but not subject to the covered bond legislation in<br />

France).<br />

GCECB is a 95%-owned subsidiary of Caisse Nationale des Caisses d’Epargne (CNCE)<br />

the central body of the Group Caisses d’Epargne. The remaining 5% is owned by<br />

Compagnie de Financement Foncier (CFF). BPCOV (Banques Populaires <strong>Covered</strong><br />

<strong>Bond</strong>), is a 99.99% owned subsidiary of Banque Fédérale des Banques Populaires<br />

(BFBP), which is the central body of the 20 Banques Populaires member banks. GCECB<br />

and BPCOV serve as pure funding vehicles, thus there is no personnel at the entities and<br />

all administration, etc. is subcontracted to the parent company.<br />

With effect 3 August 2009 the central bodies of Groupe Banque Populaire and Groupe<br />

Caisse d’Epargne, CNCE and BFBP merged into BPCE, forming France’s second largest<br />

banking group. BPCE will rely on two autonomous retail banking networks, those of the<br />

17 Caisse d’Epargne banks and the 20 Banque Populaire banks. The merger was a natural<br />

consequence of an already close cooperation on the central level. The new combined<br />

group will have around a 20% market share, 34 million customers, 8,000 branches. BPCE<br />

will be jointly owned by the Banque Populaire Group and the Caisse d’Epargne Group. It<br />

will own the two groups’ retail banking subsidiaries and their production entities (in<br />

particular Natixis). BPCE is mainly a retail-oriented bank (79% of operating income<br />

stems from domestic retail banking), but is also involved in insurance, real estate<br />

development as well as corporate and investment banking via Natixis. BPCE will share a<br />

legally binding cross-guarantee mechanism with the 37 backing regional banks, which<br />

ultimately benefits bondholders as they have recourse to BFBP and CNCE, now BPCE.<br />

BPCE has not released consolidated figures yet, hence in the following we rely on Fitch<br />

Ratings analysis on GCE of 29 June 2009 which includes their pro-forma, unaudited<br />

figures for the new entity. Note that CNCE owns 75% of Crédit Foncier de France (see<br />

issuer profile on CFF).<br />

Financial performance<br />

The 2008-numbers were heavily impacted by poor performance in the investment<br />

banking unit Natixis due to the exposure to CDOs and monoliners. Hence, for the first<br />

time since 1999 both GCE and BP recorded a full-year loss in operating profit mainly<br />

driven by a negative impact from Natixis. An AFS reclassification on EUR18bn only<br />

made a positive contribution of EUR0.3bn in profits and Natixis still carries a EUR60bn<br />

portfolio of troubled or illiquid assets, according to Fitch. On the bright side, all other<br />

business areas besides Natixis recorded positive results (although all significant areas<br />

were down compared with 2007). Of the operating income approx. 79% stemmed from<br />

domestic retail banking (primarily commercial).<br />

Table 12. Rating<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating<br />

Aaa/AAA/-<br />

Issuer rating<br />

Aa3/A+/A+<br />

Fitch D-factor -<br />

Fitch supporting O/C -<br />

Moodys C-score 5.4%/5.5%<br />

Moodys TPI<br />

Probable<br />

S&P Category (expected) 3<br />

Risk weight 20%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets, rating agencies<br />

Table 13. Financial information BPCE<br />

EURm 2008 2007<br />

Net interest income 9,467 8,449<br />

Fees & commissions 7,661 7,560<br />

Net gain/losses -3,814 779<br />

Pre-provision income 548 3,017<br />

Losses & provisions 3,162 820<br />

Operating profit -2,614 2,197<br />

NPL<br />

Loan loss coverage<br />

Cost/income ratio<br />

Core capital ratio<br />

Total capital ratio<br />

Source: Fitch<br />

Table 14. More info<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

CDEE, BPCOV<br />

Website<br />

groupe.caisse-epargne.com<br />

banquepopulaire.fr<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Senior Analyst<br />

Christian Riemann-Andersen<br />

+45 45 12 85 65<br />

chande@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Banque Populaires &<br />

C i d'E<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

To our knowledge no official remarks have been made about the future of the two almost<br />

identical covered bond programmes of CNCE and BFBP, but it would make sense to<br />

merge the programmes as they have recourse to the same entity, the new BPCE<br />

The cover bond programmes of BFBP and CNCE are almost identical. The covered bonds<br />

will be direct, unsecured and unsubordinated obligations of GCECB/BPCOV, <strong>French</strong><br />

credit institutions with limited purpose (similar to ‘LLP’ in the UK). The proceeds from<br />

the covered bond sale will be lent to CNCE/BFBP pursuant to the terms of a “Borrower<br />

facility” agreement. The terms of the loan are identical to the covered bond. As long as<br />

CNCE/BFBP are solvent, they will manage all cash transactions and the day-to-day<br />

management of the issuers including servicing of the covered bonds and the debt between<br />

the bank and the issuer, and the performance of the obligations and the issuer's regulatory<br />

duties. At group level, BPCE’s funding comes primarily from customer retail deposits,<br />

the bond market and equity.<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

The cover pool of GCE currently (as of April 2009) stands at EUR29bn (541,610 loans of<br />

which none are in arrears) and is made up of <strong>French</strong> first-lien residential mortgage loans<br />

(28%, 2008-data) and residential loans with a guarantee (72%, 2008-data). Note that<br />

contrary to BNP Paribas, GCECB only allows <strong>French</strong> collateral and the currency of the<br />

loans granted is limited to euro and Swiss franc. The vast majority of properties are<br />

owner-occupied (93%) but the cover pool also includes buy-to-let (4%) and second<br />

homes (2%).<br />

Guaranteed home loans are guaranteed by Compagnie Européenne de Garanties et<br />

Cautions (previously SACCEF) which is a member of the Group Caisses d’Epargne.<br />

The cover pool of BPCOV currently (as of July 2009) stands at EUR19bn (270,687 loans<br />

of which none is in arrears) and is made up of <strong>French</strong> first-lien residential mortgage loans<br />

(41%) and residential loans with a guarantee (59%). Of the guaranteed loans, in-house<br />

guarantors SOCAMI and CASDEN guarantee 46% and 47%, with the rest guaranteed by<br />

Credit Logement. Note that contrary to BNP Paribas, GCECB only allows <strong>French</strong><br />

collateral and the currency of the loans granted is limited to euro and Swiss franc. The<br />

vast majority of properties are owner-occupied (93%) but the cover pool also includes<br />

buy-to-let (4%) and second homes (2%).<br />

Table 15. Funding profile 2008<br />

Total balance<br />

EUR1,206bn<br />

Deposits 47%<br />

Debt securities 24%<br />

Financial liabilities and deriv.. 18%<br />

Others 8%<br />

Equity 3%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets, Fitch<br />

Table 16. Cover pool info GCE<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 29.3bn<br />

Current O/C<br />

40% (8.1%)<br />

(committed)<br />

Average loan size 54,193<br />

WA LTV 68%<br />

WA Indexed LTV 57%<br />

Seasoning<br />

44 months<br />

NPL 0%<br />

Fixed rate-mortgages 86%<br />

Geography<br />

Only France<br />

-Ile-de-France 19%<br />

- Rhône-Alpes 12%<br />

Asset type<br />

Only residential<br />

- Owner-occupied 93%<br />

-Buy-to-let 4%<br />

-Second home 2%<br />

- Other 0%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets, GCE<br />

Table 17. Cover pool info BP<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 18.5bn<br />

Current O/C<br />

30% (8.1%)<br />

(committed)<br />

Average loan size 68,203<br />

WA LTV 70%<br />

WA Indexed LTV 62%<br />

Seasoning<br />

39 months<br />

NPL 0%<br />

Fixed rate-mortgages 96%<br />

Geography<br />

Only France<br />

-Ile-de-France 19%<br />

- Rhône-Alpes 11%<br />

Asset type<br />

Only residential<br />

- Owner-occupied 90%<br />

-Buy-to-let 8%<br />

-Second home 2%<br />

- Other 0%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets, BP<br />

26 | 10 September 2009<br />

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Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

BNP Home Loans CB<br />

Common-law covered bonds<br />

Company profile<br />

BNP Paribas <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> (BNPPCB) is a <strong>French</strong> credit institution with limited purpose<br />

and is subject to <strong>French</strong> banking authorities (but not subject to the covered bond<br />

legislation in France). BNPPCB is a 99.9%-owned subsidiary of BNP Paribas (BNP)<br />

rated Aa1/AA+/AA by Moody’s/S&P/Fitch (all with negative outlook in connection with<br />

full-year report that showed pressure on profitability). BNPPCB serves as a pure funding<br />

vehicle, thus there is no personnel at BNPPCB and all administration, etc. is<br />

subcontracted to BNP. <strong>Covered</strong> bond investors have full recourse to BNPP in the event of<br />

default.<br />

BNP is a universal bank and ranks second in France after Credit Agricole with high<br />

market share in core products. BNP benefits from a large national network in France with<br />

some 2,200 branches which originate 75% of the loan stock. The residual is originated<br />

through internet and loan brokers. However, regardless of the distribution channel, the<br />

same credit scoring method is performed.<br />

In Europe, BNP ranks fifth measured on equity. Roughly half of revenues (54%) are<br />

generated by retail banking (France and international) with Corporate and Investment<br />

Banking second (28% of revenues) and Asset Management third (18%). BNP has an<br />

international profile and generates 27% of revenues outside Europe, primarily North<br />

America (12%). France is of course BNP’s largest market in Europe accounting for 45%<br />

of total revenues, while Italy ranks second through the acquired Italian retail bank BNL<br />

(16% of revenues). Thus, BNP is very well diversified both geographically and in terms<br />

of business areas. In October 2008, BNP announced the acquisition of Fortis in Belgium<br />

and Luxembourg. Following the acquisition of Fortis Bank, BNP Paribas is now the<br />

number 1 deposit taker in the eurozone (total deposits EUR540bn Q1 2009), highlighting<br />

the systematically importance of the bank.<br />

Table 18. Ratings<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating Aaa/AAA/AAA<br />

Issuer rating<br />

Aa1n/AAn/AAn<br />

Fitch D-factor 20.3%<br />

Fitch supporting O/C 11.1%<br />

Moodys C-score -<br />

Moodys TPI<br />

Probable<br />

S&P Category (expected) 3<br />

Risk weight 20%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 19. Financial information<br />

EURm 2008 2007<br />

Net interest income 14,136 10,342<br />

Fees & commissions 5,859 6,322<br />

Net gain/losses 1,634 8,699<br />

Pre-provision income 8,091 11,256<br />

Losses & provisions 5,752 1,725<br />

Operating profit 2,339 9,531<br />

NPL 3.7 -<br />

Loan loss coverage 76% -<br />

Cost/income ratio<br />

Core capital ratio 7.8% 7.3%<br />

Total capital ratio 11.1% 10.0%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 20. More info<br />

Financial performance<br />

BNPP recorded a sharp decrease in earnings in 2008 mainly due to underperformance in<br />

the CIB unit (only unit to record a loss in operating profit). However, compared with<br />

most major European banks, BNP Paribas has actually weathered the financial storm very<br />

well thanks to a well diversified strategy. The retail business was the least affected unit<br />

although impairment charges lowered the profit compared with 2007. The CIB unit was<br />

similar to <strong>French</strong> peers negatively affected by valuation adjustments and charges against<br />

monoliners, and the exposure to Madoff (EUR345m). As peer banks BNP reclassified a<br />

part of the portfolio to AFS (thereby taking a negative adjustment of some EUR4.7bn<br />

directly on equity). Without this reclassification BNP would have encountered a loss for<br />

the year in operating profit.<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

Website<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

BNPP<br />

bnpparibas.com<br />

Senior Analyst<br />

Christian Riemann-Andersen<br />

+45 45 12 85 65<br />

chande@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


BNP Home Loans CB<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

BNP Paribas has a diversified and integrated business model which is rooted in retail<br />

business, with roughly 50% of revenues coming from retail banking. Historically, retail<br />

deposits have constituted around 30% of BNP Paribas total funding source. After the<br />

acquisition of Fortis BNP is now Europe’s largest deposit taker with total deposits of<br />

EUR540bn (2008). However, due to the large amount of CIB activities (taking up roughly<br />

half of the balance) deposits only constitute approx. 20% of the total balance.<br />

BNP Paribas has a strong capital position with Tier 1 ratio at 7.8% as of end-2008. In the<br />

medium term, BNP Paribas targets a Tier 1 ratio above 7.5%, and it wants to increase<br />

equity by retaining generated earnings. BNP Paribas is a strong European covered bond<br />

issuer with covered bonds constituting roughly 10% of total outstanding debt.<br />

Table 21. Funding profile 2008<br />

Total balance<br />

EUR 2,075bn<br />

Deposits 20%<br />

Interbank funding 15%<br />

Long term funding incl cb 5%<br />

Derivat. & trading liabilities 48%<br />

Other 12%<br />

Equity 2%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

The covered bonds will be direct, unsecured and unsubordinated obligations of BNP<br />

Paribas <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong>s (BNPPCB, the issuer, a 99.9%-owned subsidiary of BNP<br />

Paribas), a <strong>French</strong> credit institution with limited purpose (similar to the UK ‘LLP’). The<br />

proceeds from the covered bond sale will be lent to BNP pursuant to the terms of a<br />

‘borrower facility’ agreement. The terms of the loan are identical to the covered bond. As<br />

long as BNP is solvent, it will manage all cash transactions and the day-to-day<br />

management of the issuer including servicing of the covered bonds and the debt between<br />

the bank and the issuer, and the performance of the obligations and the issuer’s regulatory<br />

duties. Prior to a default of BNP, the collateral is on the balance sheet of BNP.<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

As of 30 May 2009, the cover pool was EUR23bn. The cover pool consists entirely of<br />

self-originated <strong>French</strong> residential home loans, mainly owner-occupied (81%), but also<br />

buy-to-let (14%) and second homes (5%). No substitution assets are included in the cover<br />

pool. Guaranteed home loans make up 55% of the cover pool all of which is guaranteed<br />

by Crédit Logement<br />

As of 30 May 2009 O/C was 32%. There are no NPLs in the cover pool. For BNPP as a<br />

whole, impaired loans in year-end 2008 constituted 3.7% of total loans and receivables.<br />

Table 22. Cover pool info<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 23.3bn<br />

Current O/C<br />

32% (8.1%)<br />

(committed)<br />

Average loan size<br />

EUR96,328-<br />

WA LTV 69%<br />

WA Indexed LTV 61%<br />

Seasoning<br />

44 months<br />

NPL 0%<br />

Fixed rate-mortgages 81%<br />

Geography<br />

Only France<br />

-Ile-de-France 35%<br />

- Rhône-Alpes 7%<br />

Asset type<br />

Only residential<br />

- Owner-occupied 81%<br />

-Buy-to-let 14%<br />

-Second home 5%<br />

- Other 0%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

28 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

BNP Public Sector SCF<br />

Obligation Fonciéres<br />

Company profile<br />

BNP Paribas Public Sector SCF (BNPSCF), a Société de Crédit Foncier (SCF) with the<br />

sole purpose of issuing ObF, is 99.9% owned by BNP Paribas (BNPP) rated<br />

Aa1/AA+/AA by Moody’s/S&P/Fitch (all with negative outlook in connection with fullyear<br />

report that showed pressure on profitability). BNPSCF serves as a pure funding<br />

vehicle, thus there is no personnel at BNPSCF and all administration, etc. is<br />

subcontracted to BNPP. <strong>Covered</strong> bond investors have full recourse to BNPP in the event<br />

of default.<br />

BNPP is a universal bank and ranks second in France after Credit Agricole with high<br />

market share in core products. BNPP benefits from a large national network in France<br />

with some 2,200 branches which originate 75% of the loan stock. The residual is<br />

originated through internet and loan brokers. However, regardless of the distribution<br />

channel, the same credit scoring method is performed.<br />

In Europe, BNPP ranks fifth measured on equity. Roughly half of revenues (54%) are<br />

generated by retail banking (France and international) with Corporate and Investment<br />

Banking second (28% of revenues) and Asset Management third (18%). BNPP has an<br />

international profile and generates 27% of revenues outside Europe, primarily North<br />

America (12%). France is of course BNPP’s largest market in Europe accounting for 45%<br />

of total revenues, while Italy ranks second through the acquired Italian retail bank BNL<br />

(16% of revenues). Thus, BNPP is very well diversified both geographically and in terms<br />

of business areas. In October 2008, BNPP announced the acquisition of Fortis in Belgium<br />

and Luxembourg. Following the acquisition of Fortis Bank, BNP Paribas is now the<br />

number 1 deposit taker in the eurozone (total deposits EUR540bn Q1 2009), highlighting<br />

the systematically importance of the bank.<br />

Table 23. Ratings<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating Aaa/AAA/AAA<br />

Issuer rating<br />

Aa1n/AAn/AAn<br />

Fitch D-factor 11.8%<br />

Fitch supporting O/C 6.4%<br />

Moodys C-score 8.8%<br />

Moodys TPI<br />

Probable-High<br />

S&P Category (expected) 2<br />

Risk weight 10%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 24. Financial information<br />

EURm 2008 2007<br />

Net interest income 14,136 10,342<br />

Fees & commissions 5,859 6,322<br />

Net gain/losses 1,634 8,699<br />

Pre-provision income 8,091 11,256<br />

Losses & provisions 5,752 1,725<br />

Operating profit 2,339 9,531<br />

NPL 3.7 -<br />

Loan loss coverage 76% -<br />

Cost/income ratio<br />

Core capital ratio 7.8% 7.3%<br />

Total capital ratio 11.1% 10.0%<br />

EURm 2008 2007<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Financial performance<br />

BNPP recorded a sharp decrease in earnings in 2008 mainly due to underperformance in<br />

the CIB unit (only unit to record a loss in operating profit). However, compared with<br />

most major European banks, BNP Paribas has actually weathered the financial storm very<br />

well thanks to a well diversified strategy. The retail business was the least affected unit<br />

although impairment charges lowered the profit compared with 2007. The CIB unit was<br />

similar to <strong>French</strong> peers negatively affected by valuation adjustments and charges against<br />

monoliners, and the exposure to Madoff (EUR345m). As peer banks BNPP reclassified a<br />

part of the portfolio to AFS (thereby taking a negative adjustment of some EUR4.7bn<br />

directly on equity). Without this reclassification BNP would have encountered a loss for<br />

the year in operating profit.<br />

Table 25. More info<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

Website<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

BNPP<br />

bnpparibas.com<br />

Chief Analyst<br />

Stig Tørnes, CFA<br />

+45 45 12 80 43<br />

sttr@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


BNP Public Sector SCF<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

As an issuer of ObF under supervision of the <strong>French</strong> FSA, BNP SCF is operating<br />

according to specialist banking principles meaning the sole purpose of BNP SCF is to<br />

fund public loans and substitution assets by issuance of ObFs. This is the reason why the<br />

cover pool which stands at EUR1.5bn is so far funded by the issuance of EUR1bn<br />

covered bonds. In June 2009 BNP SCF made its inaugural covered bond benchmark<br />

issuance with a maturity of 5y.<br />

The public loans (sovereign-backed loans including export and aircraft loans benefiting<br />

from guarantees granted by export credit agencies) funded by BNP SCF are originated by<br />

BNPP. The public loans must oblige to the eligibility criteria stated in the <strong>French</strong> covered<br />

bond act (article L.515-13 of the <strong>French</strong> Monetary Code).<br />

Table 26. Funding profile 2008<br />

Total balance<br />

EUR 2,075bn<br />

Deposits 20%<br />

Interbank funding 15%<br />

Long term funding incl cb 5%<br />

Derivat. & trading liabilities 48%<br />

Other 12%<br />

Equity 2%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

BNP SCF is exposed to some refinancing risk; assets have an average maturity of 7y and<br />

liabilities have an average maturity of 5y. If BNPP is downgraded below a certain rating<br />

threshold, it is committed to contribute cash collateral for an amount equal to the higher<br />

of EUR500m and any amount due under the covered bonds outstanding within the<br />

following 180 business days.<br />

BNP SCF has mitigated any market risk by swapping all cash flows into floating rate euro<br />

cash flow (Euribor plus a margin).<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

The cover pool of BNP Paribas’ Public Sector SCF Programme is composed solely of<br />

loans backed by OECD sovereigns with strong credit ratings. The initial loan portfolio<br />

stands at EUR1.5bn and is guaranteed by France (39.2%), the UK (3.9%), US (44.6%),<br />

and Germany (12.2%). There are neither bonds nor ABSs in the cover pool, and all the<br />

collateral included bears a 0% risk weight. Going forward, loans to sovereigns, central<br />

banks, and public institutions can be included in the cover pool.<br />

The mix between fixed rate and floating rate loans is 29% and 71%, respectively.<br />

The mix between EUR and USD is 30% and 70%, respectively.<br />

In order to enhance credit quality, BNP SCF is contractually committed to maintain a<br />

minimum amount of overcollateralization of 5%.<br />

Table 27. Cover pool info<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 1.5bn<br />

Current O/C<br />

50% (5%)<br />

(committed)<br />

Average loan size<br />

EUR132m-<br />

WA LTV -<br />

WA Indexed LTV -<br />

Seasoning -<br />

NPL 0%<br />

Fixed rate-loans 29%<br />

Geography<br />

France 39%<br />

US 45%<br />

Germany 12%<br />

UK 4%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

30 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

CFF<br />

Obligation Fonciéres<br />

Company profile<br />

Compagnie de Financement Foncier (CFF) dates back to 1852 when Crédit Foncier de<br />

France was established as the first societé de credit foncier to issue obligations fonciéres.<br />

Soon after the establishment Crédit Foncier de France became the leading lender to local<br />

authorities and in the second half of the 20th century CFF became the leading lender<br />

within state-subsidised housing. In 1999 when the legal framework for obligations<br />

fonciéres was revised, Groupe Caisse d’Epargne acquired Crédit Foncier de France and<br />

the same year Compagnie de Financement Foncier (CFF) was founded as a fully-owned<br />

subsidiary.<br />

As of today Groupe Caisse d’Epargne (a savings bank network) is the third-largest<br />

banking group in France with some 26 million clients and 4,770 branches. The central<br />

body of the group is Caisse Nationale des Caisses d’Epargne (CNCE) who owns 75% of<br />

Crédit Foncier de France. The Nexity group (a real estate operator partly owned by<br />

Groupe Caisse d’Epargne) owns the other 25% of Crédit Foncier de France. Groupe<br />

Caisse d’Epargne is involved in retail banking, insurance, real estate development as well<br />

as corporate and investment banking via the 34% ownership of Natixis. With effect 3<br />

August 2009 the central bodies of Groupe Banque Populaire and Groupe Caisse<br />

d’Epargne, CNCE and BFBP merged into BPCE, forming France’s second largest<br />

banking group, see more in issuer profile on BPCE. According to Fitch this merger does<br />

not have any rating impact on covered bonds issued by CFF.<br />

CFF is a leading specialised real estate finance institution in France. Although well<br />

recognised, CFF’s domestic franchise is suffering from declining market share in retail<br />

mortgage lending. At end-2008 market share stood at 5.6%, down from 7.2% at end-<br />

2004. Yet, CFF's franchise has been supported in recent years by a number of legal<br />

mergers.<br />

Financial performance<br />

The 2008-numbers was heavily impacted by poor performance in the investment banking<br />

unit Natixis due to the exposure to CDOs and monoliners. Hence, for the first time since<br />

1999 both GCE and BP recorded a full-year loss in operating profit mainly driven by a<br />

negative impact from Natixis. An AFS reclassification on EUR18bn only made a positive<br />

contribution of EUR0.3bn in profits and Natixis still carries a EUR60bn portfolio of<br />

troubled or illiquid assets, according to Fitch. On the bright side, all other business areas<br />

besides Natixis recorded positive results (although all significant areas were down<br />

compared with 2007). Of the operating income approx. 79% stemmed from domestic<br />

retail banking (primarily commercial).<br />

Table 28. Ratings<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating Aaa/AAA/AAA<br />

Issuer rating<br />

Aa3/A+/AA-<br />

Fitch D-factor 12.9%<br />

Fitch supporting O/C -<br />

Moodys C-score -<br />

Moodys TPI -<br />

S&P Category (expected) 2<br />

Risk weight 10%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 29. Financial information BPCE<br />

EURm 2008 2007<br />

Net interest income 9,467 8,449<br />

Fees & commissions 7,661 7,560<br />

Net gain/losses -3,814 779<br />

Pre-provision income 548 3,017<br />

Losses & provisions 3,162 820<br />

Operating profit -2,614 2,197<br />

NPL<br />

Loan loss coverage<br />

Cost/income ratio<br />

Core capital ratio<br />

Total capital ratio<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 30. More info<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

CFF, CDEE, BPCOV<br />

Website<br />

Foncier.fr<br />

groupe.caisse-epargne.com<br />

banquepopulaire.fr<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Chief Analyst<br />

Stig Tørnes, CFA<br />

+45 45 12 80 43<br />

sttr@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


CFF<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

As an issuer of ObF under supervision of the <strong>French</strong> FSA, CFF is operating according to<br />

specialist banking principles meaning the sole purpose of CFF is to fund mortgages,<br />

public loans and substitution assets by issuance of ObFs. This is the reason why the cover<br />

pool which stands at EUR96bn (at end-2008) is funded by the issuance of EUR80bn<br />

covered bonds. In 2008 CFF’s covered bond issuances totalled EUR8.5bn down from<br />

EUR23.5bn in 2007. Some of this was pre-funding of 2008 which explains the relative<br />

low issuance in 2008: Year-to-date CFF has issued EUR3.6bn of covered bonds (seven<br />

months of 2009) mainly through taps in EUR and CHF. In May 2009, CFF issued a<br />

benchmark covered bond (12y) of EUR1.25bn.<br />

The mortgages funded by CFF are provided by the domestic branch network of Crédit<br />

Foncier de France (200 branches), the banking network of Groupe Caisse d’Epargne<br />

(4,770 branches) and referrals from real estate professionals. Recently, CNCE has set up a<br />

special covered bond vehicle with the sole purpose to issue common-law covered bonds a<br />

la BNP, Banque Populaire, CM-CIC and Credit Agricole. The primary reason for this<br />

new set-up is the increasing share of guaranteed home loans, which are only ObF-eligible<br />

to a maximum limit of 35%.<br />

CFF is only exposed to a minimum of market risk as all assets and liabilities are swapped<br />

into euro floating rates. We believe the only risks to be concerned about are refinancing<br />

risk and prepayment risk. As of today (end 2008) the average maturity mismatch between<br />

assets and liabilities is 0.9 years. However, the liquidity gaps for CFF are limited by its<br />

internal rules stating that the issuer cannot have liquidity shortfall in the following 24<br />

months on a rolling basis. Further, CFF is obliged to maintain sufficient short-term<br />

liquidity to cover its privileged debt commitments for a period of one year under the<br />

unlikely situation wherein no early repayment would accelerate borrowers’ repayments.<br />

Table 31. Funding profile<br />

Total balance<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bonds<br />

Other preferred debt<br />

Unsecured debt<br />

Subordinated debt<br />

Equity<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

EUR 96bn<br />

80bn<br />

3bn<br />

7bn<br />

4bn<br />

1bn<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

The cover pool currently (as of end-2008) stands at EUR96bn and consists of public<br />

sector loans (54%), residential prime mortgages (34%) and substitution assets (13%). The<br />

geographical distribution of the cover pool is as follows; France (64%), Italy (9%), Spain<br />

(8%), the Netherlands (5%), the US (5%), Germany (2%) and others (7%).<br />

CFF benefits from sound asset quality. At end-2008 doubtful loans in the private sector<br />

(excluding loans with a state guarantee) comprised only 0.3% of the total (including<br />

securitisation tranches), close to the industry average of about 0.9%.<br />

The current weighted average LTV of the pool is as low as 53.4% which is well below the<br />

LTV-limit of 75% for residential mortgages. The O/C (over-collateralisation) for the<br />

cover pool stood at 10.8% end-2008.<br />

Moody’s/S&P/Fitch have all assigned triple-A ratings to the covered bond programme.<br />

Table 32. Cover pool info<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 96bn<br />

Mortgage loans<br />

32bn<br />

Public loans<br />

52bn<br />

Other assets and securities<br />

12bn<br />

O/C 11%<br />

Average LTV 53%<br />

Geographical exposure<br />

France 64%<br />

Italy 9%<br />

Spain 8%<br />

Netherlands 5%<br />

Other 14%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

32 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

CIF Euromortgage<br />

Obligation Fonciéres<br />

Company profile<br />

Crédit Immobilier de France (CIF) is a leading institution fully specialised in residential<br />

mortgages in France. The long history (dates back to 1908) has allowed CIF to develop a<br />

unique range of personalised products for its target clientele of middle-income buyers. Its<br />

distribution network is made up with 300 points of sales, through 19 operational<br />

subsidiaries managed by the holding company Crédit Immobilier de France Development<br />

(CIFD).<br />

CIF Euromortgage (CIFEUR), a 100%-owned subsidiary of CIFD, was created in 2000<br />

and is accredited as a Société de Crédit Foncier (SCF) with the sole purpose of issuing<br />

ObF.<br />

The mortgage loans funded by CIFEUR are provided by Crédit Immobilier de France<br />

Développement (CIFD) who is a specialised lender in France and had a market share of<br />

about 5.3% of the <strong>French</strong> housing market in 2008 as well as Banque Patrimoine et<br />

Immobilier (BPI).<br />

Financial performance<br />

CIFD has not yet announced the full-year results for 2008, hence we are only able to<br />

present the financial performance back to 2007. CIFD’s net interest income decreased to<br />

EUR377m in 2007 down from EUR384bn in 2006. A trading gain on the securities<br />

portfolio in 2006 of EUR8m was reduced to a loss of EUR9m in 2007.<br />

Regarding asset quality, the NPL ratio has been quite stable around 1.3% for several<br />

years. The tier 1 ratio stands at 14%, which like the NPL ratio has been stable for several<br />

years.<br />

Table 33. Ratings<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating<br />

Aaa/-/AAA<br />

Issuer rating<br />

A1/A/A+<br />

Fitch D-factor 9.8%<br />

Fitch supporting O/C -<br />

Moodys C-score -<br />

Moodys TPI -<br />

S&P Category (expected) 2<br />

Risk weight 10%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 34. Financial information<br />

EURm 2007 2006<br />

Net interest income 377 384<br />

Fees & commissions 67 65<br />

Net gain/losses -9 8<br />

Pre-provision income<br />

Losses & provisions 10 4<br />

Operating profit 127 163<br />

NPL 1.3% 1.2%<br />

Loan loss coverage<br />

Cost/income ratio<br />

Core capital ratio 13% 13%<br />

Total capital ratio 14% 14%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

In its latest report on CIFD (October 2008) Fitch argues that CIFD plays an important<br />

role in the <strong>French</strong> market for housing finance; hence Fitch believes there is a high<br />

probability that CIFD would be supported by the <strong>French</strong> authorities if needed.<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

As an issuer of ObF under supervision of the <strong>French</strong> FSA, CIFEUR operates according to<br />

specialist banking principles – meaning the sole purpose of CIFEUR is to fund mortgages<br />

and substitution assets by issuance of ObFs. This is the reason why the cover pool, which<br />

stands at EUR19.6bn (in Q1 2009), is funded by issuance of EUR18.8bn covered bonds.<br />

In 2008 CIFEUR covered bond issuances totalled EUR1.4bn and EUR1.7bn in private<br />

placements. Year-to-date, CIFEUR has been able to issue one 5y bench mark covered<br />

bond issuance of EUR2.0bn (seven months of 2009).<br />

Table 35. More info<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

Website<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

CIF<br />

cif-euromortgage.com<br />

Chief Analyst<br />

Stig Tørnes, CFA<br />

+45 45 12 80 43<br />

sttr@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


CIF Euromortgage<br />

The group has set up an internal process of securitising the loans granted by its<br />

subsidiaries. The loans are purchased by two internal SPVs (CIF Assets and BPI Master<br />

Mortgage). These SPVs issue AAA rated units and subordinated units rated A2. The<br />

subsidiaries repurchase the subordinated units to keep the customer risk, and CIFEUR<br />

purchases only the AAA/Aaa units.<br />

To qualify as an eligible asset for an SCF, the securitisation debt must be backed by at<br />

least 90% of eligible loans, as defined by the law. They must be senior units issued by<br />

either an FCC or a similar entity incorporated under the laws of countries in the European<br />

Economic Area (EEA) and ECC. In the case of CIFEUR the two major FCCs supplying<br />

eligible assets to the cover pool are CIF Assets and BPI Master Mortgage.<br />

CIFEUR is only exposed to a minimum of market risk, as all assets and liabilities are<br />

swapped into euro floating rates. The only risks to be concerned about is refinancing risk<br />

and prepayment risk. As of today (Q1 2009) the average maturity mismatch between<br />

assets and liabilities is 1.6 year. However, the liquidity gaps for CIFEUR are limited by<br />

its internal rules stating that the issuer cannot have liquidity shortfall in the following 24<br />

months on a rolling basis.<br />

The business model based on the inclusion of asset-backed securities up to 100% of the<br />

cover pool is not in compliance with CRD. It is worth noting that the limit of 20% MBS<br />

tranches in the cover pool stated in CRD is not in effect in France. This regulation is<br />

deferred until end-2010 and it is to be renegotiated before it becomes effective.<br />

Table 36. Funding profile<br />

Total balance<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bonds<br />

Other debt<br />

Subordinated debt<br />

Equity<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

EUR 19.7bn<br />

18.8bn<br />

0.3bn<br />

0.4bn<br />

0.2bn<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

The cover pool currently (end 2008) stands at EUR17.3bn and consists of securitisation of<br />

loans granted by the CIFD Group (EUR13.6bn, 79%), other AAA-tranches of European<br />

RMBS (EUR1.9bn, 11%), mortgage promissory notes (Billets Hypothécaires)<br />

(EUR1.8bn, 10%) and replacement assets (EUR1.9bn, 11%). The geographical<br />

distribution of the cover pool is as follows; France (90%), Spain (5%), Italy (4%) and<br />

others (1%).<br />

Since May 2007, according to <strong>French</strong> law Billets Hypothécaires (BHs) are eligible for<br />

ObF funding for up to 10% of total assets. CIFD group has decided to use this resource as<br />

a way of refinancing residential loans that are not yet securitised. The BHs are issued by<br />

the regional banks of the CIFD group and secured on a pool of residential loans<br />

(mortgage loans and, for up to 35% of the total, loans guaranteed by an eligible financial<br />

institution or insurance company such as Crédit Logement) with an O/C of 25%. The<br />

repayment of the BHs is guaranteed by 3CIF (a member of the CIF group). The guarantee<br />

is such that 3CIF will pay the BHs immediately should a local bank fail to do so.<br />

Table 37. Cover pool info<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 17bn<br />

Senior units from CIF/BPI<br />

14bn<br />

Mortgage notes<br />

2bn<br />

European RMBS<br />

2bn<br />

O/C 2%<br />

O/C incl. RMBS O/C 14%<br />

Geographical exposure<br />

France 90%<br />

Italy 4%<br />

Spain 5%<br />

Netherlands 1%<br />

Other 0%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Regarding the AAA-tranches of European RMBS, these portfolios do not contain any<br />

exposure to the US or to the subprime markets. No RMBS tranches acquired by CIFEUR<br />

have ever been downgraded. The securitisation tranches include 77% first ranking<br />

mortgages, 10% mortgages supported by state guarantee and 13% guaranteed housing<br />

loans. 82% of the properties are first residence, 16% is buy-to-let and 2% is secondary<br />

housing.<br />

The current weighted average LTV of the pool is 64% on the CIF Asset portfolio and<br />

47% on the BPI Master Mortgage portfolio which is well below the LTV-limit of 75% for<br />

residential mortgages. The average seasoning of the cover pool is above 48 months. The<br />

O/C (over-collateralisation) for the cover pool stood at 2% in Q1 2009.<br />

Moody’s and Fitch have both assigned triple-A ratings to the covered bond programme.<br />

34 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

CM-CIC<br />

Common-law covered bonds<br />

Company profile<br />

The issuer CM-CIC <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong> (CMCICB) is a <strong>French</strong> credit institution with limited<br />

purpose and is subject to <strong>French</strong> banking authorities (but not subject to covered bond<br />

legislation in France). CMCICB is a 99.9%-owned subsidiary of Banque Fédérative du<br />

Crédit Mutuel (BFCM). CMCICB serves as a pure funding vehicle, thus there is no<br />

personnel at CMCICB and all administration, etc. is subcontracted to BFCM. <strong>Covered</strong><br />

bond investors have full recourse to BFCM in the event of default. BFCM is the holding<br />

and financing entity of Crédit Mutuel Centre Est Europe (CMCEE). Besides acting as a<br />

financing vehicle, BFCM also manages liquidity and coordinates CMCEE’s subsidiaries,<br />

of which the most prominent in a covered bond context is the CIC-group (CIC). CIC was<br />

purchased in 1998 and consists of six regional banks with 2,122 branches. It is the entities<br />

in CMCEE and CIC that provide the collateral for covered bond issuance<br />

CMCEE is a <strong>French</strong> cooperative banking group with 709 member banks (total branches<br />

1,393), which has put in place a federal bank, Caisse Federale du Credit Mutuel Centre<br />

Est Europe. CMCEE (including CIC) is a major player in <strong>French</strong> retail banking, with<br />

deposit and loan market shares of 7.7% and 11.4%. respectively (2007 figures). In 2008,<br />

CMCEE acquired Citibank Germany (a network of 339 agencies, 6,092 employees and<br />

3.4 million customers, specialised in consumer loans – balance EUR10.8bn) and<br />

concluded an agreement for the control (in 2009) of Cofidis, the consumer loan subsidiary<br />

of 3 Suisses International. After the inclusion of CM Midi-Atlantique as of January 1,<br />

2009, CMCEE now covers five regional federations and is a sub-section of the Credit<br />

Mutuel Group (composed of 18 regional federations).<br />

The group is well capitalised with a tier 1 ratio of 8.6% year-end 2008 (9.6% on 1<br />

January 2009 owing to the progressive removal of the ceiling on the Basel II ratio).<br />

Financial performance<br />

CMCEE’s consolidated financial result for 2008 was heavily affected by the financial<br />

crisis with operating profit (excluding CM Midi-Atlantique) down to EUR344m from<br />

EUR2,892m in 2007. Of the net banking income of EUR5,795m, which was realised in<br />

2008, 78% stems from domestic operations and 84% relates to the core business, retail<br />

banking and insurance. As for the main subsidiary BFCM (which covered bond investors<br />

ultimately have full recourse to) net income was down to EUR29m from EUR1,464m in<br />

2007. The poor performance was due to significant impairments related to the securities<br />

portfolio and rise in cost of risk (both retail and market activities). Cost of risk in CMCEE<br />

increased to EUR1,064m in 2008, including EUR484m related to the bankruptcy of<br />

Lehman Brothers and EUR65m related to the Icelandic banks. However, by reclassifying<br />

a large part of its securities under IAS39 both CMCEE and BFCM avoided recording a<br />

net loss for the year.<br />

Table 38. Rating<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating: Aaa/AAA/AAA<br />

Issuer rating (parent) Aa3/A+/AA-<br />

Fitch D-factor: 19.8%<br />

Fitch supporting =/C 12.7%<br />

Moodys C-score: 5.7%<br />

Moodys TPI:<br />

Probable<br />

S&P Category:<br />

3 (expected)<br />

Risk weight 20%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 39. Financial information<br />

EURm 2008 2007<br />

Net interest income 2,474 1,093<br />

Fees & commissions 1,833 1,795<br />

Net gain/losses 492 5,614<br />

Pre-provision income 1,409 3,016<br />

Losses & provisions 1,064 124<br />

Operating profit 344 2,892<br />

NPL 3.2% 2.4%<br />

Loan loss coverage 72% 61%<br />

Cost/income ratio - -<br />

Core capital ratio 8.8% 8.8%<br />

Total capital ratio 9.0% 10.8%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 40. More info<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

Website<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Senior Analyst<br />

Christian Riemann-Andersen<br />

+45 45 12 85 65<br />

chande@danskebank.dk<br />

CMCICB<br />

bfcm.creditmutuel.fr<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


CM-CIC<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

Given the retail-oriented focus of CMCEE the majority of funding stems from retail<br />

deposits. Of the total wholesale funding of EUR115bn 54% is short term (primarily<br />

certificates of deposits, commercial paper) and 46% medium- to long-term. The latter<br />

primarily consist of senior unsecured debt (45%) and covered bonds (20%), but CMCEE<br />

has also received funding from SFEF (17%).<br />

The covered bonds will be direct, unsecured and unsubordinated obligations of CMCICB<br />

(the issuer, a 99.9%-owned subsidiary of BFCM), a <strong>French</strong> credit institution with limited<br />

purpose (similar to the UK ‘LLP’). The proceeds from the covered bond sale will be lent<br />

to BFCM pursuant to the terms of a “Borrower facility” agreement. The terms of the loan<br />

are identical to the covered bond. As long as BFCM is solvent, it will manage all cash<br />

transactions and the day-to-day management of the issuer including servicing of the<br />

covered bonds and the debt between the bank and the issuer, and the performance of the<br />

obligations and the issuer's regulatory duties. Prior to a default of BFCM, the collateral is<br />

on the balance sheet of the individual entities in CMCEE.<br />

Table 41. Funding profile 2008<br />

Total balance<br />

EUR441bn<br />

Deposits 43%<br />

Debt securities 23%<br />

Financial liabilities and deriv.. 13%<br />

Others 17%<br />

Equity 4%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Moody’s notes that “the cohesiveness and centralisation within a grouping of federations<br />

such as CM4-CIC is at least as strong – and in many instances stronger – than in the other<br />

<strong>French</strong> mutualist groups” (after the inclusion of CM Midi-Atlantique the group is now<br />

referred to as CM5-CIC group). Moody’s furthermore notes that although BFCM is not<br />

part of the cross-guarantee system within the mutualist group, it “estimates the probability<br />

of support for it as very high, taking into consideration its liquidity management and<br />

funding role within the CM4-CIC group”<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

The cover pool currently (as of May 2009) stands at EUR20bn (238,077 loans of which<br />

none are in arrears) and is made up of 43% <strong>French</strong> first-lien residential mortgage loans<br />

and 57% residential loans with a guarantee. With bonds issued worth EUR14.2bn this<br />

equals an O/C (overcollateralisation) of 43%. CMCICB has committed to maintain a<br />

8.1% O/C at all times and according to Moody’s, an O/C of only 3% is required to<br />

maintain the current rating. Should BFCM be downgraded one notch, Moody’s requires<br />

an O/C of 7%, hence well below the current level as well within the committed level.<br />

Note, CMCICB only allows <strong>French</strong> collateral and the currency of the loans granted is<br />

limited to euro and Swiss franc. The vast majority of properties are owner occupied<br />

(84%), but the cover pool also includes buy-to-let (14%) and second homes (2%). As for<br />

geography there is overweight in the eastern part of France due to the location of the<br />

entities in CMCEE, but otherwise the cover pool is well diversified. CMCEE’s overall<br />

loan book in general is very sound although impaired loans have risen to 3.1% of gross<br />

loans at end-2008 (from 2.2% year-end 2007) and these were 71.6% covered by reserves.<br />

Table 42. Cover pool info<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 20bn<br />

Current O/C (committed) 43% (8.1%)<br />

Average loan size 84,862<br />

WA LTV 69%<br />

WA Indexed LTV 57%<br />

Seasoning<br />

43 months<br />

NPL 0%<br />

Fixed rate-mortgages 82%<br />

Geography<br />

Only France<br />

-Ile-de-France 35%<br />

- Rhône-Alpes 16%<br />

Asset type<br />

Only residential<br />

- Owner-occupied 84%<br />

-Buy-to-let 14%<br />

-Second home 1%<br />

- Other 0%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

36 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

Credit Agricole<br />

Common-law covered bonds<br />

Company profile<br />

The cooperative banking group Crédit Agricole (ACA) is the largest high-street bank in<br />

France, with 39 regional banks spread throughout the whole of France. Together the<br />

regional banks have long-term control over most of Crédit Agricole S.A.’s (the central<br />

body of mutual Credit Agricole network) capital via SAS Rue la Boétie (55.2% of total<br />

shares as of 30 June 2009). Through a joint and several guarantee the regional banks<br />

guarantee all obligations of Credit Agricole S.A. to third parties and cross-guarantee<br />

themselves. Through these mutual support mechanisms, bondholders of ACA are<br />

ultimately protected by the regional banks’ entire capital cushion. It is Credit Agricole<br />

S.A. covered bond holders ultimately have recourse to.<br />

With the acquisition of Crédit Lyonnais (LCL) in 2003, the banking group strengthened<br />

its positions in all business areas. The retail market share of deposits is 29%. 2,573 local<br />

banks form the backbone of the banking group’s mutual organisation. The banking group<br />

serves more than 26 million customers through more than 9,000 branches. ACA also<br />

holds a strong position in retail banking in Europe, primarily Italy and Greece and to a<br />

lesser extent in Portugal, CEE (incl. Ukraine), Africa and Latin America. In terms of<br />

credit risk, France is naturally the largest exposure (62%), followed by other western<br />

Europe (17%). Eastern Europe only constitutes 1.5%. The banking group furthermore has<br />

a leading position within consumer finance and other specialised financial services – life<br />

and non-life insurance, asset management and private banking. The investment bank,<br />

Calyon, is also member of the banking group.<br />

The banking group in 2008 set up Crédit Agricole <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong>s (ACACB), a <strong>French</strong><br />

credit institution with limited purpose, subject to <strong>French</strong> banking authorities (but not<br />

subject to the covered bond legislation in France). First issue from the entity was<br />

executed in January 2009.<br />

ACA is well capitalised with core Tier 1 ratio of 8.4%, up from 7.4% in 2007.<br />

Financial performance<br />

The 2008 results for ACA were heavily impacted by the negative result in the investment<br />

bank unit Calyon, which was heavily exposed to the US subprime sector through CDOs<br />

and monoliners. The poor performance has led management to reduce the risk profile of<br />

Clayon significantly. Furthermore, the deterioration in the overall macroeconomic<br />

situation in ACA’s core markets has prompted significantly loan loss provisioning,<br />

especially in Greece. However, the share of NPLs still remains below the <strong>French</strong> average.<br />

On the plus side, the core business, i.e. retail banking, generates increasing income as net<br />

interest income was up EUR4bn y/y. As many other European banks, ACA reclassified<br />

the balance sheet (EUR12bn), which lifted the income by some EUR500m in 2008.<br />

Table 43. Ratings<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating Aaa/AAA/AAA<br />

Issuer rating<br />

Aa1n/AA-n/AA-<br />

Fitch D-factor 22.2%<br />

Fitch supporting O(C 10.9%<br />

Moodys C-score 5.5%<br />

Moodys TPI<br />

Probable<br />

S&P Category (expected) 3<br />

Risk weight 20%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 44. Financial information<br />

EURm 2008 2007<br />

Net interest income 18,009 13,906<br />

Fees & commissions 9,291 9,521<br />

Net gain/losses -8,615 4862<br />

Pre-provision income 6,593 9,193<br />

Losses & provisions 4,600 2,888<br />

Operating profit 1,993 6,305<br />

NPL 2.9% 2.6%<br />

Loan loss coverage 57%<br />

Cost/income ratio 62% 62%<br />

Core capital ratio 8.4% 7.4%<br />

Total capital ratio 9.9% 9.6%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 45. More info<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

Website<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

ACACB<br />

credit-agricole.com<br />

Senior Analyst<br />

Christian Riemann-Andersen<br />

+45 45 12 85 65<br />

chande@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Credit Agricole<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

Due to strong focus on retail banking the majority of ACA’s funding base stems from<br />

deposits, but the group also has wide access to capital markets through securitisation.<br />

Since 2004, the ratio of customer deposits to total funding base has been under pressure,<br />

but ACA managed to increase the ratio to 62% end-2008 from 48% in 2006. As other<br />

major <strong>French</strong> banks, ACA has access to funding through SFEF (the <strong>French</strong> agency<br />

created as part of the <strong>French</strong> support scheme for banks). ACA’s long and medium term<br />

target for 2009 is EUR30bn (of which 68% was completed in May 2009). ACA enjoys a<br />

very strong liquidity position with more than EUR100bn repo-able assets year-end 2008.<br />

Currently only 10% of the repo potential is utilised. According to Fitch ACA has granted<br />

a total of EUR18bn liquidity lines to four conduits (with EUR15bn of underlying assets at<br />

end‐2008). However, no liquidity line has been used and none of the conduits is<br />

experiencing funding difficulties that would require a consolidation by ACA, according to<br />

Fitch.<br />

Table 46. Funding profile 2008<br />

Total balance<br />

EUR 1,784bn<br />

Deposits 62%<br />

Interbank borrowings 15%<br />

Market funding 16%<br />

- of which covered bonds<br />

Equity 7%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

ACA has chosen to set up a common-law covered bond programme instead of using the<br />

existing legal framework that regulates the issuance of Obligations Foncieres (ObF), even<br />

though the current cover pool composition complies with the ObF-legislation (contrary to<br />

most other common-law issuers). It is our understanding that ACA intends to mirror the<br />

ObF going forward, hence keeping a share of guaranteed loans below 35%.<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

As of 30 May 2009, the cover pool was EUR6.1bn. The total programme constitutes<br />

EUR35bn and these numbers should be viewed in context with a total home-loan business<br />

in ACA of EUR227bn, hence the cover bond programme potential only constitutes 15%<br />

of the total loan book which is the lowest ratio among <strong>French</strong> banks. The cover pool<br />

consists entirely of self-originated <strong>French</strong> residential home loans, mainly owner-occupied<br />

(84%), but also buy-to-let (12%) and second homes (4%). No substitution assets are<br />

included in the cover pool. 54% of the cover pool are traditional mortgage loans, 13% are<br />

mortgage loans with an additional state guarantee (PAS-loans) while the remaining 33%<br />

are guaranteed loans. Of the guaranteed loans, the majority (76%) enjoys a guarantee<br />

from Crédit Logement, while the remainder is guaranteed by the in-house guarantor,<br />

CAMCA (see separate description). Due to the extensive branch network throughout<br />

France the geographical diversification is very high.<br />

As of 30 May 2009 O/C was 122%. There are no NPLs in the cover pool. For ACA as a<br />

whole, impaired loans at year-end 2008 constituted 2.9% of total loans and receivables.<br />

Table 47. Cover pool info<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 6.1bn<br />

Current O/C<br />

122% (8.1%)<br />

(committed)<br />

Average loan size EUR 54,750-<br />

WA LTV 65%<br />

WA Indexed LTV 52%<br />

Seasoning<br />

50 months<br />

NPL 0%<br />

Fixed rate-mortgages 84%<br />

Geography<br />

Only France<br />

-Ile-de-France 21%<br />

- Rhône-Alpes 11%<br />

Asset type<br />

Only residential<br />

- Owner-occupied 84%<br />

-Buy-to-let 12%<br />

-Second home 4%<br />

- Other 0%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

38 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

CRH<br />

Legal-based covered bonds<br />

Company profile<br />

Caisse de Refinancement de l'Habitat (CRH), a credit institution, plays a special role in<br />

the financing of housing in France. The CRH was set up in 1985 as part of the general<br />

reform of mortgage markets decided by the <strong>French</strong> government and so received the<br />

special agreement of the Act dated July 11, 1985 (article 13). Its sole object is to<br />

refinance housing purchasers’ loans, granted by the credit institutions which are its<br />

shareholders. Every borrower is committed to become shareholder of CRH with a part in<br />

CRH’s equity equal to the part of its borrowings in CRH’s global loan amount. The<br />

current breakdown of shareholders is (as of June 2009):<br />

• Credit Agricole SA – Credit Lyonnaise 40%<br />

• Credit Mutuel – CIC 33%<br />

• Societe Generale 13%<br />

• BNP Paribas 9%<br />

• Banque Populaires 5%<br />

• Others 1%<br />

The sole object of CRH is to refinance housing purchasers’ loans, granted by the credit<br />

institutions which are its shareholders, by issuing bonds governed by <strong>French</strong> law.<br />

Refinanced loans are all first mortgages loans or residential guaranteed loans provided<br />

these meet strict standards of security. All the loans comply with the criteria defined by<br />

the law as well as those defined by CRH. CRH funds only housing loans. Therefore,<br />

securitisation funds and RMBS are excluded from CRH’s cover pool.<br />

Table 48. Ratings<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating<br />

Aaa/-/AAA<br />

Issuer rating -/-/-<br />

Fitch D-factor 37.9%<br />

Fitch supporting O/C -<br />

Moodys C-score -<br />

Moodys TPI -<br />

S&P Category (expected) 2<br />

Risk weight 10%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 49. Financial information<br />

2008 2007<br />

Net interest income 8.0 5.7<br />

Fees & commissions<br />

Net gain/losses<br />

Pre-provision income<br />

Losses & provisions<br />

Operating profit 6.1 4.0<br />

NPL<br />

Loan loss coverage<br />

Cost/income ratio<br />

Core capital ratio<br />

Total capital ratio 8.7 8.8<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Its loans are matched by bond issues and secured by a pledged loans portfolio (billets de<br />

mobilisation) equal to 125% of the amount borrowed as regulated by the law. As a result,<br />

CRH acquires ownership of the loan portfolio in the event of a borrower’s default,<br />

without further formality and notwithstanding any provisions to the contrary. In such an<br />

event, CRH may also call on the borrowing banks to provide cash up to 5% of its<br />

outstanding loans. Apart from the special supervisory duties of the Commission Bancaire,<br />

defined by the law, CRH’s audit department makes regular inspections at borrowing<br />

banks, with sample tests to confirm the soundness and proper form of the pledged loans.<br />

Since its founding in 1985, CRH has issued bonds totalling EUR40bn, of which EUR6bn<br />

are guaranteed by the <strong>French</strong> government. No other agency of this type has been created<br />

in France.<br />

CRH has a total capital ratio of 8.7%.<br />

Table 50. More info<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

Website<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

CRH<br />

crh-bonds.com<br />

Chief Analyst<br />

Stig Tørnes, CFA<br />

+45 45 12 80 43<br />

sttr@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


CRH<br />

Financial performance<br />

CRH is run, more or less, as a non-profit organisation as all profit is returned to the<br />

shareholder banks. Net interest income has been increasing for the past couple of years to<br />

EUR8.0m in 2008 up from EUR1.8m in 2004. In the same period of time net income has<br />

increased to EUR3.8m in 2008 up from EUR0.3m in 2004. The assets totalled<br />

EUR38.5bn in 2008 up from EUR17.5bn in 2004. As mentioned earlier, due to the<br />

specialist banking principles prevailing in France, almost all assets are funded by issuance<br />

of covered bonds.<br />

As mentioned no problem loans are eligible for CRH’s asset portfolio.<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

As an issuer of CRH covered bonds under supervision of Commission Bancaire, CRH is<br />

operating according to a specialist banking principle meaning the sole purpose of CRH is<br />

to fund mortgages by issuance of CRH covered bonds. This is the reason why the cover<br />

pool which stands at close to EUR56bn (at end-2008) is funded by issuance of EUR38bn<br />

CRH covered bonds. In 2008 CRH’s covered bond issuances totalled EUR7.4bn and<br />

despite the turmoil in the financial markets CRH has been able to issue year-to-date<br />

EUR1.5bn of covered bonds (seven months of 2009).<br />

The mortgages funded by CRH are provided by the domestic branch network of the<br />

shareholder banks. All the shareholder banks issue ObF or contractual covered bonds on<br />

their own.<br />

Table 51. Funding profile 2008<br />

Total balance<br />

EUR 38bn<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bonds<br />

38bn<br />

Subordinated debt<br />

0,2bn<br />

Equity<br />

0.2bn<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

The lending procedure toward the shareholder banks is as follows: CRH receives<br />

applications for refinancing from its participating banks on a regular basis. After<br />

accepting or limiting these requests and establishing projected financing requirements,<br />

CRH launches a bond issue on the financial market. CRH lends all the proceeds of the<br />

issue to the borrowing banks at the same rates and maturities, without charging a margin<br />

or fees. CRH loans take the form of promissory notes issued by the borrowing banks.<br />

These promissory notes carry the same terms as the CRH bonds. Then, the funds required<br />

to service CRH’s debt are provided in full by the borrowing banks at the bond’s maturity<br />

dates.<br />

CRH is only exposed to a minimum of market risk and contrary to ObF issuers CRH is<br />

not exposed to any prepayment risk. Further, the average maturity mismatch between<br />

assets and liabilities is close to zero.<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

The cover pool currently (as of end-2008) stands at close to EUR56bn and consists of<br />

100% residential prime mortgages backed by 100% <strong>French</strong> properties and to some extent<br />

guaranteed home loans (no more than 35% of the cover pool). Eligible collateral makes<br />

up EUR51bn. CRH is bound by the same LTV-limits as ObF. CRH benefits from very<br />

sound asset quality whereas only mortgages not in arrears are eligible for the cover pool.<br />

Further the mandatory O/C of 25% is outstanding (50% for floating rate loans). The<br />

current O/C (December 2008) is 34% (47% including non-eligible collateral). The current<br />

weighted average LTV of the pool is as low as 55%. Unfortunately CRH does not<br />

disclose any further details on the cover pool.<br />

Moody’s and Fitch have both assigned triple-A ratings to the covered bond programme.<br />

Table 52. Cover pool info<br />

Eligible loans<br />

51bn<br />

Non-eligible loans<br />

5bn<br />

O/C 25%<br />

O/C (incl. non eligible<br />

32%<br />

loans)<br />

NPL<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

40 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

Dexia Municipal Agency<br />

Obligation Fonciéres<br />

Company profile<br />

The Dexia Group dates back to 1996 from the alliance of two top-level operators in local<br />

public sector financing in Europe; Crédit Communal de Belgique and Crédit Local de<br />

France. It was the result of one of the very first cross-border mergers in the European<br />

banking sector and is classified among the twenty largest financial institutions in the<br />

eurozone. It builds its strategy on two pillars: retail banking in Europe (Belgium,<br />

Luxembourg, Slovakia, Turkey); and a world leadership in financial services to the local<br />

public sector and project finance.<br />

Dexia is a retail bank which has 5.5 million customers in Belgium, Luxembourg, Slovakia<br />

and Turkey. Dexia Bank SA and Dexia Banque Internationale à Luxembourg are among<br />

the three largest banks in Belgium and Luxembourg, respectively. In Belgium the client<br />

base includes 4.1 million retail clients (17% market share). The Turkish member of the<br />

group is DenizBank with 2.4 million clients.<br />

The financial crisis has affected DEXMA in different ways through fair value changes,<br />

impairment and losses, which required significant backing from national governments<br />

and the company’s shareholders. There was a capital increase of EUR6bn (announced on<br />

September 30, 2008, and subscribed by the Belgian and <strong>French</strong> States as well as by<br />

DEXMA’s main shareholders), as well as a guarantee of the States for the liabilities of the<br />

Group and the assets in FSA’s Financial Products portfolio.<br />

Dexia enjoys a dominant position in European local government funding and operates<br />

FSA, one of the four leading US-based municipal bond insurers. Although FSA does not<br />

have exposure to the worst-hit structured credit segment, CDOs of ABS, it has insured<br />

USD16bn on nonprime US mortgage-related products (DEXMA is reducing its shares in<br />

FSA to below 25%). Besides, DEXMA also holds six issues of large <strong>French</strong> and Spanish<br />

local governments with credit enhancement by monoline insurer (EUR79m).<br />

Dexia Municipal Agency (DEXMA) is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Dexia Crédit Local<br />

and is accredited as a Société de Crédit Foncier.<br />

Table 53. Ratings<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating Aaa/AAA/AAA<br />

Issuer rating<br />

A1/A/A+<br />

Fitch D-factor 13.2%<br />

Fitch supporting O/C -<br />

Moodys C-score 3.8%<br />

Moodys TPI<br />

Probable high<br />

S&P Category (expected) 2<br />

Risk weight 10%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 54. Financial information<br />

EURm 2008 2007<br />

Net interest income 225 201<br />

Fees & commissions -5 -4<br />

Net gain/losses 3 1<br />

Pre-provision income 162 102<br />

Losses & provisions 0 0<br />

Operating profit 162 120<br />

NPL 0% 0%<br />

Loan loss coverage<br />

Cost/income ratio 36% 41%<br />

Core capital ratio<br />

Total capital ratio<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 55. More info<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

Website<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

DEXMA<br />

dexia-ma.com<br />

Financial performance<br />

As opposed to a number of DEXMA’s <strong>French</strong> peers net interest income has been<br />

increasing for the past couple of years to EUR225m in 2008 from EUR154m in 2004. In<br />

the same period net income has increased to EUR113bn in 2008 from EUR61bn in 2004.<br />

In the same period assets have been increasing as well, totalling EUR87bn in 2008 up<br />

from EUR50bn in 2004. As mentioned earlier, due to the specialist banking principle<br />

prevailing in France almost all of the assets are funded by issuance of ObF.<br />

The cost/income ratio has showed an impressive downward trend to 36% in 2008 down<br />

from 40% in 2004. Taken together these trends have improved ROE. By the end of 2008<br />

ROE stood at 10.3% up from 8.9% in 2004. The asset quality is high and the<br />

problem/gross loans ratio has stood at 0.0% for several years.<br />

Chief Analyst<br />

Stig Tørnes, CFA<br />

+45 45 12 80 43<br />

sttr@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Dexia Municipal Agency<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

As an issuer of ObF under supervision of the <strong>French</strong> FSA, DEXMA is operating<br />

according to specialist banking principles – meaning the sole purpose of DEXMA is to<br />

fund public loans and substitution assets by issuance of ObFs. This is the reason why the<br />

cover pool which stand at EUR62.9bn (at end-2007) is funded by issuance of EUR56.4bn<br />

covered bonds. In 2008 Dexia MA’s covered bond issuances totalled EUR10bn, yet due<br />

to the turmoil in the financial markets EUR 8.7bn hereof was issued in H1 2008. In 2009<br />

Dexia MA has been able to issue two benchmark issues of EUR3.5bn of covered bonds<br />

(in the first seven months of 2009).<br />

Table 56. Funding profile 2008<br />

Total balance<br />

EUR 87bn<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bonds 60<br />

Other preferred debt 1<br />

Debt to DCL 10<br />

Debt to BoF 2<br />

Equity 1<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

The public loans funded by DEXMA are provided by Crédit Local de France.<br />

Traditionally, the public loans business was solely anchored in the <strong>French</strong> market, yet<br />

recently the business area has expanded to include public loans in Austria and Italy.<br />

DEXMA is only exposed to a minimum of market risk as all assets and liabilities are<br />

swapped into euro floating rates. We believe the only risks to be concerned about are<br />

refinancing risk and prepayment risk. As of Q1 09 the average maturity mismatch<br />

between assets and liabilities is 2.9 years.<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

The cover pool currently (as of Q1 2009) stands at EUR71.3bn and consists of EUR54bn<br />

public loans and EUR20.5bn other securities. The geographical distribution of the cover<br />

pool is as follows; France (65%), Italy (10%), Switzerland (6%) and others (19%).<br />

DEXMA has decided to maintain a minimum O/C of 5%, which is considered a safe<br />

margin. In practice, the O/C is generally well above 10%, but it declined significantly in<br />

the beginning of September 2008. Since then, DEXMA has pledged certain assets to<br />

obtain financing from the BoF. These assets are therefore excluded from the calculation<br />

of the O/C. Indeed, realizing the absence of transactions in the covered bond market and<br />

the impossibility to produce new issues, Dexia MA decided to temporarily finance a large<br />

part of its surplus overcollateral (beyond 105%) with funding from the BoF.<br />

DEXMA benefits from sound asset quality. At end-2008 mortgages with more than three<br />

months’ arrears comprised only 0.0% of the total, well below the industry average of<br />

approximately 0.9%.<br />

Table 57. Cover pool info<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 71bn<br />

Public loans<br />

54bn<br />

Other assets and securities<br />

20bn<br />

Assets pledged for BoF<br />

-3bn<br />

O/C 8.5%<br />

Average LTV<br />

Geographical exposure<br />

France 65%<br />

Italy 10%<br />

Switzerland 6%<br />

Belgium 6%<br />

Spain 5%<br />

Other 8%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Moody’s/S&P/Fitch have all assigned triple-A ratings to the covered bond programme.<br />

42 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

General Electric SCF<br />

Obligation Fonciéres<br />

Company profile<br />

General Electric SCF (GE SCF), a Société de Crédit Foncier (SCF) with the sole purpose<br />

of issuing ObF, is 99.9% owned by GE Money Bank that specialises in lending to private<br />

individuals. The US Group GE has selected its <strong>French</strong> subsidiary GE Money Bank for its<br />

entry into the covered bond market. GE SCF is a lending institution governed by <strong>French</strong><br />

law and under supervision of the <strong>French</strong> FSA.<br />

GE SCF was accredited by the CECEI as a SCF in July 2009, thereby becoming the 12th<br />

active issuer in the <strong>French</strong> covered bond market and the first foreign group to issue ObF.<br />

GE SCF benefits from the credit strength of General Electric Capital (GECC) rated<br />

Aa2/AA+ by Moody’s/S&P who acts as sponsor bank guarantor. GECC will guarantee<br />

certain payment obligations of its subsidiary, GE Money Bank.<br />

GE Money, also known as GE Consumer Finance, was established in 1930 as part of the<br />

GE Group and is today the personal finance provider for more than 130 million clients<br />

worldwide. With a global presence across 55 countries, GE Money has a history of<br />

providing financial solutions to consumers as well as businesses and brokers.<br />

Financial performance<br />

GECC’s net interest income was reduced to USD7,464m in 2008 from USD8,248m in<br />

2007 and trading income was almost halved and stood at USD963m compared to<br />

USD1,759m in 2007. An income tax benefit of USD2.3bn in 2008 compared to an<br />

income tax expense of USD700m in 2007 supported 2008 earnings. In line with other<br />

financials GECC faced increasing provisioning in 2008; USD7.5bn up from USD4.5bn in<br />

2007. These trends have put pressure on ROE, which at the end of 2008 stood at 12.2%<br />

down from 19.5% in 2006.<br />

In March 2009 GECC (Aa2/AA+) lost its long-term triple A-ratings from both Moody’s<br />

and S&P. The reason for the downgrades was concern regarding earnings volatility due to<br />

deteriorating asset quality as well as heavy reliance on wholesale funding. Heavy reliance<br />

on wholesale funding made the financial industry as a whole vulnerable during the<br />

financial crisis and consequently GECC has benefitted from the FDIC government<br />

guarantee set-up under which it has issued more than USD50bn (equivalent) of bonds.<br />

Table 58. Ratings<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating<br />

Aaa/AAA/-<br />

Sponsor guarantor rating Aa2/AA+/ -<br />

Fitch D-factor -<br />

Fitch supporting O/C -<br />

Moodys C-score 9.6%<br />

Moodys TPI<br />

Probable<br />

S&P Category (expected) 2<br />

Risk weight 10%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 59. Financial information<br />

USDm 2008 2007<br />

Net interest income 7,464 8,248<br />

Fees & commissions 21,520 21,229<br />

Net gain/losses 963 1,759<br />

Pre-provision income 43,135 44,719<br />

Losses & provisions 7,498 4,488<br />

Operating profit 5,991 12,914<br />

NPL 2.0% 1.3%<br />

Loan loss coverage<br />

Cost/income ratio<br />

Core capital ratio<br />

Total capital ratio<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 60. More info<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

Website<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

GESCF<br />

gemoney.com<br />

Chief Analyst<br />

Stig Tørnes, CFA<br />

+45 45 12 80 43<br />

sttr@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


General Electric SCF<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

As an issuer of ObF under supervision of the <strong>French</strong> FSA, GE SCF is operating according<br />

to specialist banking principles meaning the sole purpose of GE SCF is to fund<br />

mortgages, public loans and substitution assets by issuance of ObFs. This is the reason<br />

why the cover pool which stands at EUR1.4bn is so far funded by the issuance of<br />

EUR1bn covered bonds. In July 2009 GE SCF made its inaugural covered bond<br />

benchmark issuance with a maturity of 5y.<br />

The residential mortgages and guaranteed home loans funded by GE SCF are provided by<br />

the domestic branch network of GE Money Bank (31 branches). The share of guaranteed<br />

home loans which are only ObF-eligible to a maximum limit of 35% is guaranteed by<br />

Compagnie Européenne de Garanties et Cautions (CEGC former known as SACCEF)<br />

which is owned by Natixis which is owned by Banque Populaire and Caisses d’Epargne.<br />

GE SCF is only exposed to a minimum of market risk as all assets and liabilities are in<br />

euro and any future currency mismatch is expected to be hedged. Yet, so far there is no<br />

hedging agreement in place between GE SCF and the sponsor bank regarding interest rate<br />

risk (all assets are floating rate loans whereas all liabilities are fixed rate bonds).<br />

GE SCF has mitigated any liquidity risk by committing itself to a mandatory minimum<br />

O/C of 5%.<br />

Table 61. Funding profile<br />

Total balance<br />

Short term debt<br />

Long term debt<br />

Equity<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

USD637bn<br />

258bn<br />

252bn<br />

58bn<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

The cover pool currently (as of mid-2008) stands at EUR1.4bn and consists of 100%<br />

residential assets (approximately 70% mortgages and 30% guaranteed home loans). The<br />

geographical distribution of the cover pool is as follows; Ile-de-France (33%), Provence-<br />

Alpes-Côte-d’Azur (19%), Nord-Pas-de-Calais (8%), Rhône-Alpes (8%).<br />

GE SCF benefits from sound asset quality. There are no non-performing loans in the<br />

cover pool and the assets are well seasoned (48m). On the other hand, all assets are<br />

floating rate loans and more than one third of the cover pool comprises loans to secondary<br />

housing or buy-to-let housing.<br />

The current indexed average LTV of the pool is 74%, which is above industry average in<br />

France. The O/C (over-collateralisation) for the cover pool is as high as 40% due to the<br />

fact that only one covered bond issuance has been done. The O/C will decline in line with<br />

new covered bond issuances (yet it cannot go below 5%).<br />

Table 62. Cover pool info<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 1.4bn<br />

Residential assets<br />

1.4bn<br />

Public loans<br />

0.0bn<br />

Other assets and securities<br />

0.0bn<br />

O/C 40%<br />

Average indexed LTV 74%<br />

Average seasoning<br />

48m<br />

IO-loans 0%<br />

Floating rate loans 100%<br />

Secondary housing 25%<br />

Buy-to-let housing 10%<br />

Loans in arrear 0%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Moody’s and S&P have assigned triple-A ratings to the covered bond programme.<br />

44 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

HSBC France<br />

Common-law covered bonds<br />

Company profile<br />

HSBC France (HSBC) is the eighth-largest bank in France with a market share of about<br />

3%; thus one of the smaller players in this handbook. However, as a wholly-owned<br />

(99.9%) subsidiary of HSBC Bank plc and an integrated part of HSBC Group, one of the<br />

world’s largest financial institutions, HSBC has access to global synergies in every<br />

banking aspect.<br />

HSBC’s origins date back to 1894 when it was established as Banque Suisse et Française,<br />

later CCF. In 1982 the bank was nationalised, but returned to the private sector in 1987.<br />

In 2000 CCF became a member of the HSBC Group and in November 2005 the bank<br />

changed name and brand, with the former CCF and four out of 10 regional banks in the<br />

group coming together to create what today is known as HSBC France.<br />

Today HSBC is represented throughout France and primarily focuses on an upscale<br />

clientele. The bank has a well-diversified business profile that combines retail banking,<br />

corporate banking, market activities, asset management and private banking.<br />

On February 29, HSBC France announced that it had entered into negotiations with<br />

Groupe Banque Populaire for the sale of seven regional banks of the HSBC France group<br />

operating under their own names. On July 2 the sale was finalised for a total consideration<br />

of EUR2.1bn. The seven banks have 400 branches and represent roughly half of the<br />

network and about 40% of its retail customer base. In terms of lending the seven banks<br />

represent EUR5.4bn of lending, which corresponds to about 10% of total gross loans<br />

year-end 2007. With the sale of the seven regional banks HSBC France has reduced its<br />

focus on retail banking and now relies increasingly on the more volatile corporate and<br />

investment banking.<br />

HSBC is well capitalised with core Tier 1 ratio of 9.5%.<br />

Table 63. Ratings<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating<br />

Issuer rating<br />

Aa2n/AAn/AAn<br />

Fitch D-factor -<br />

Fitch supporting O/C -<br />

Moodys C-score -<br />

Moodys TPI<br />

Probable (exp)<br />

S&P Category (expected) 3<br />

Risk weight 20%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 64. Financial information<br />

EURm 2008 2007<br />

Net interest income -190 179<br />

Fees & commissions 716 964<br />

Net gain/losses 45 -5<br />

Pre-provision income 3,633 3,089<br />

Losses & provisions 127 52<br />

Operating profit 1,744 1,050<br />

NPL 1.2% 0.7%<br />

Loan loss coverage 56% 51%<br />

Cost/income ratio 49% 64%<br />

Core capital ratio 9,5% 8.8%<br />

Total capital ratio 9.6% 9.9%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 65. More info<br />

Financial performance<br />

HSBC generated operating profit in 2008 of EUR1.7bn up from EUR1bn in 2007.<br />

Operating profit was boosted by the sale of the seven regional banks. Pre-provision<br />

income was up 18% but adjusted for the sale of banks, pre-provision income fell by 26%.<br />

The decline was mainly attributable to underperformance in Global Banking and Markets<br />

(down 68% y/y) and Private banking (down 61% y/y). HSBC reported cost efficiency of<br />

48%, but adjusted for one-offs this actually rose to 80% compared with 64% in 2007.<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

Website<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

n.a.<br />

hsbc.com<br />

Senior Analyst<br />

Christian Riemann-Andersen<br />

+45 45 12 85 65<br />

chande@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


HSBC France<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

HSBC enjoys a relative strong liquidity position due to a large portion of customer<br />

deposit base (also after the sale of the seven regional banks) and a substantial amount of<br />

liquid assets. End-2008 deposits made up 36% of total funding with the remainder being<br />

interbank funding (47%), other market funding (17%, including cash securitisations) and<br />

subordinated debt (0.2%). According to Moody’s, the sale of the seven regional banks has<br />

not resulted in a significant shift of HSBC's liquidity positioning, although they had a net<br />

aggregate volume of deposits in excess of their lending.<br />

According to S&P, HSBC receives very little intra-group funding, but S&P expects that<br />

the bank would benefit from liquidity support from its parent if this were necessary.<br />

Table 66. Funding profile 2008<br />

Total balance<br />

EUR266bn<br />

Deposits 16%<br />

Interbank funding 20%<br />

Debt securities 8%<br />

Derivat. & trading liabilities 52%<br />

Other 2%<br />

Equity 2%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

HSBC recently set up HSBC France <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong>s (HSBCCB), a <strong>French</strong> credit<br />

institution with limited purpose and subject to <strong>French</strong> banking authorities (but not subject<br />

to the covered bond legislation in France). However, to date no issuance has been made<br />

from this unit.<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

HSCB has provided no information on cover pool.<br />

Table 67. Cover pool info<br />

Cover pool<br />

EURbn<br />

Current O/C (committed) (8.1%)<br />

Average loan size<br />

WA LTV<br />

WA Indexed LTV<br />

Seasoning<br />

NPL<br />

Fixed rate-mortgages<br />

Geography<br />

Only France<br />

-Ile-de-France<br />

- Rhône-Alpes<br />

Asset type<br />

Only residential<br />

- Owner-occupied<br />

-Buy-to-let<br />

-Second home<br />

- Other<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

46 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research<br />

10 September 2009<br />

Societe Generale SCF<br />

Obligation Fonciéres<br />

Company profile<br />

The issuer Société Générale SCF (SG SCF) is a specialised credit institution, 99.9%-<br />

owned by Société Générale (SocGen). SocGen is one of the largest financial institutions<br />

in the world with total assets of EUR1,130bn.<br />

SocGen is a diversified <strong>French</strong> banking and financial services (including insurance) group<br />

with a considerable international presence (represented in 82 countries in total). Its<br />

activities are split between five major divisions, retail banking in France, international<br />

retail banking, financial services, CIB and global investment management and services.<br />

SocGen provides retail banking and financial services to more than 26 million customers<br />

through approximately 3,000 <strong>French</strong> branches and 2,800 international branches.<br />

International operations focus on EU, Russia (through Rosbank), North Africa and Egypt.<br />

Domestic operations are performed through network and through Credit du Nord, an<br />

80%-owned subsidiary. SocGen has a significant exposure to CEE and Russia (11% of<br />

loan portfolio), which could have an negative impact on capital in a stressed scenario.<br />

Financial services include consumer finance, life insurance and non-life insurance. The<br />

CIB division provides a wide range of services, including corporate banking, futures<br />

broking, commodities business, structured finance, commercial banking and equity<br />

business. SocGen’s asset management division is one of the world’s largest with more<br />

than EUR430bn under management year-end 2007. Going forward, SocGen’s group<br />

strategy for 2008-2010 is to step up development in high potential business areas, that is<br />

to focus on international retail banking, consumer finance, mainly in developing countries<br />

(particularly the BRIC-countries) and private banking (assets under management<br />

expected to grow 50%).<br />

Table 68. Ratings<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bond rating Aaa/AAA/AAA<br />

Issuer rating<br />

Aa2/A+/A+<br />

Fitch D-factor 16.1%<br />

Fitch supporting O/C 7.0%<br />

Moodys C-score 9.6%<br />

Moodys TPI<br />

Probable<br />

S&P Category (expected) 2<br />

Risk weight 10%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Table 69. Financial information<br />

EURm 2008 2007<br />

Net interest income 7,948 2,102<br />

Fees & commissions 7,415 7,528<br />

Net gain/losses 4,770 10,252<br />

Pre-provision income 5,477 6,083<br />

Losses & provisions 2,655 905<br />

Operating profit 4,008 1,886<br />

NPL<br />

Loan loss coverage<br />

Cost/income ratio 72% 69%<br />

Core capital ratio 8.8% 6.6%<br />

Total capital ratio 11.6% 8.9%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

Financial performance<br />

In 2007 and 2008 net income was heavily impacted by writedowns in the CIB division of<br />

SocGen (EUR1.4bn in 2008 and EUR2.3bn in 2007). Hence the net income in 2008 was<br />

EUR2bn down from EUR5.2bn in 2006. In line with other retail banks loan losses and<br />

provisions are increasing and stood at EUR2.6bn in 2008 up from EUR0.9bn in 2007.<br />

The cost/income ratio is high (73%) and increasing (up from 60% in 2005) consequently<br />

ROE dropped to 5.2% in 2008 from 16% in 2005.<br />

Problem-loans-to-gross-loans has been fairly stable for several years and stands currently<br />

at 4.3, yet net interest margins more than tripled to 0.72% in 2008 up from 0.21% in<br />

2007.<br />

SocGen is well capitalised with a Total capital ratio/Tier 1 ratio of 11.6%/8.8%.<br />

Table 70. More info<br />

<strong>Bond</strong> ticker<br />

Website<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

SOCSCF<br />

socgen.com<br />

Chief Analyst<br />

Stig Tørnes, CFA<br />

+45 45 12 80 43<br />

sttr@danskebank.dk<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Societe Generale SCF<br />

Business model and funding profile<br />

As an issuer of ObF under supervision of the <strong>French</strong> FSA, SG SCF is operating according<br />

to specialist banking principles meaning the sole purpose of SG SCF is to fund<br />

mortgages, public loans and substitution assets by issuance of ObFs. There has been some<br />

confusion regarding the structure applied by SocGen. The use of the collateral directive<br />

(Article L.431-7-3) and the fact that for accounting reasons the assets in the inaugural<br />

transaction remained on SocGen’s balance sheet and not on SG SCF’s have prompted<br />

some to make a comparison with <strong>French</strong> structured covered bond programmes.<br />

Anyhow, the SG SCF programme complies fully with the legal framework of Obligations<br />

Foncier stated in Art. L515-13 to L515-33 of the <strong>French</strong> Monetary and Financial Code.<br />

The programme also makes use of the provisions of Art. 431-7-3 of the <strong>French</strong> Monetary<br />

and Financial Code (which incorporates the EU Collateral Directive) to create a security<br />

interest over assets (SocGen uses the same article to transfer title fully the day the assets<br />

are registered as eligible assets). It is important to stress that this option is only applicable<br />

to public assets. Housing loans cannot be transferred via 431-7-3; instead SocGen will<br />

transfer housing loans to a FCC (Fond Commun de Creance, a <strong>French</strong> securitisation unit)<br />

and the AAA tranches will then be transferred to SG SCF (and will be on the balance<br />

sheet of the SCF). SocGen can also transfer housing loans in the form of Billet<br />

Hypothecaire (<strong>French</strong> mortgage backed promissory notes), but they can only amount to a<br />

maximum of 10% of total cover pool assets. In conclusion, the transfers of housing loans<br />

is done in the same way as CIF Euromortgage.<br />

Table 71. Funding profile 2008<br />

Total balance<br />

EUR 1,130bn<br />

Deposits<br />

288bn<br />

Short term debt<br />

273bn<br />

Long term debt<br />

89bn<br />

Equity<br />

41bn<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

SocGen has incorporated several structural enhancements. Most importantly SG SCF is<br />

obliged to maintain a minimum O/C of 5% in respect of public assets and 7.5% in respect<br />

of housing loans. If SocGen later includes public loans from other countries these must<br />

apply to an O/C above 5%. The O/C is protected by law and thus will be available in case<br />

of default. Regarding ALM, SocGen will swap all assets in foreign currencies to euro at<br />

inception and interest rate swaps are used to reduce interest rate risk to a minimum. In<br />

respect of liquidity risk SocGen will provide a liquidity line of EUR5bn to cover any gap<br />

during: 1) 180 days before the final maturity of a bond; or 2) 90 days before each<br />

instalment date.<br />

Since the inaugural benchmark covered bond issuance in May 2008, SG SCF has issued<br />

two further benchmarks of 7y (EUR1.25bn) and 10y (EUR 2.25bn), respectively. The<br />

total covered bond issuance exceeds EUR5bn. For the whole of 2009 SocGen expects to<br />

raise EUR6-8bn via covered bonds by SG SCF or CRH.<br />

Cover pool and asset quality<br />

The cover pool amounts to EUR5.5bn and consists purely of loans to public <strong>French</strong><br />

institutions. However, SocGen plans to add <strong>French</strong> housing loans to the portfolio. SocGen<br />

targets a 50:50 balance between public sector exposure and individual housing loans for<br />

2009-10.<br />

70% of the loan portfolio comprises fixed rate loans and 30% is floating rate (without<br />

cap). Currently, the O/C makes up 19% which is well above the minimum O/C of 5%.<br />

There are no non-performing loans in the cover pool.<br />

93% of the loan portfolio has an IRBA compliant internal rating above 2 (compliant to<br />

Aa3/AA-/AA-) out of which 83 is rated 1.<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bonds issued by SG SCF are rated triple-A by all three rating agencies.<br />

Table 72. Cover pool info<br />

Cover pool<br />

EUR 5.5bn<br />

Mortgages<br />

0bn<br />

Public loans<br />

5.5bn<br />

Other assets<br />

0bn<br />

O/C 19%<br />

NPL 0%<br />

Geographical exposure<br />

(France)<br />

Rhône-Alpes 26%<br />

Ile-de-France (ex. Paris) 20%<br />

Nord-Pas-de-Calais 11%<br />

Provence-Alpes-Côte-dAzur 8%<br />

Haute-Normandie 6%<br />

Pays-de-la-Loire 5%<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

48 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Investment Research General Market Conditions<br />

10 September 2009<br />

Cover bond frameworks<br />

Legal overview<br />

In this appendix, we provide an overview of the covered bond frameworks in the<br />

following countries in Europe and Northern America:<br />

• Canada (individual contracts)<br />

• Denmark (Realkreditobligationer)<br />

• Denmark (Særlig dækkede obligationer/Særligt dækkede realkreditobligationer)<br />

• Finland (Kiineistövakuudellinen joukkovelkkakirjalaina)<br />

• France (Obligations Fonciéres)<br />

• France (individual contracts)<br />

• France (CRH)<br />

• Germany (Pfandbriefe)<br />

• Greece (legal based covered bonds)<br />

• Ireland (Asset <strong>Covered</strong> Securities)<br />

• Italy (Obbligazioni Bancarie Garantite)<br />

• Luxembourg (Lettre de garge)<br />

• Norway (Obligasjoner med fortrinnsrett)<br />

• Portugal (Obrigações)<br />

• Spain (Cédulas)<br />

• Sweden (Säkerställda obligationer)<br />

• The Netherlands (legal based covered bonds, individual contracts)<br />

• UK (Regulated <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong>s, individual contracts)<br />

• US (individual contracts)<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Cover bond frameworks<br />

Canada<br />

Denmark<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bonds<br />

Realkreditobligationer (RO)<br />

Framework Contractual Legal<br />

Type of<br />

Residential<br />

Mixed<br />

covered bonds<br />

Specialist banking No Yes<br />

Cover assets<br />

Residential<br />

Substitution assets (10%)<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (15%)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

On going valuation Subject to bank internal procedures No, only upfront<br />

Required O/C<br />

Subject to the asset percentage from the 8% of RW assets<br />

asset coverage test<br />

Asset segregation<br />

Equitable assignment to guaranteeing vehicle<br />

(GLP).<br />

Segregation, bankruptcy remote per se via capital centres. All assets on<br />

balance are cover assets, including hedging contracts.<br />

Matching requirements Asset coverage tests are performed to<br />

ensure that adjusted value of mortgages more<br />

than covers outstanding principal. Interest<br />

rate and currency hedging on contractual<br />

basis. Soft bullet repayment structure.<br />

Interest rate/currency risk 1/0.1% of capital base respectively. Future<br />

payments to investors must be covered by payments from borrowers received<br />

in advance or the capital base. Callable loans must be funded by callable bonds<br />

with matching cash flows. Interest rate risk is tested in scenarios of yield<br />

curve shifts and yield curve twist of +/- 100bp. (Note: It is assumed that the<br />

specialist banks use the specific principle even though they are allowed to use<br />

the general principle. In practice, they do use the specific principle.)<br />

Post bankruptcy procedures Cover pool becomes static, no acceleration of<br />

payments. A less strict asset coverage test is<br />

performed (amortisation test [nominal<br />

coverage test]). Breach of the test equals<br />

Cover pools become static, no acceleration of payments. A trustee will be<br />

appointed by the FSA to manage all financial transactions. The trustee has the<br />

option to issue mortgage bonds to refinance maturing mortgage bonds and<br />

subordinated debt to raise liquidity.<br />

default of GLP. If GLP defaults bonds are<br />

accelerated.<br />

Treatment of derivatives Termination of contracts would only occur if<br />

GLP defaults. The payment structure of a GLP<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have same<br />

preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

usually ranks derivative counterparts more<br />

senior than bondholders.<br />

LTV residential 80% 80%<br />

LTV commercial - 60%<br />

Accounting of loans in No recognition<br />

Yes<br />

arrears<br />

Fulfils UCITS/CRD No/No Yes/No<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

50 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Cover bond frameworks<br />

Denmark<br />

Finland<br />

Særligt dækkede obligationer & realkreditobligationer (SDRO) Kiineistövakuudellinen joukkovelkkakirjalaina<br />

Framework Legal Legal<br />

Type of<br />

covered bonds<br />

Mixed<br />

Mortgage<br />

Public<br />

Specialist banking No (SDO), yes (SDRO) Yes<br />

Cover assets Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (15%)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial (10%)<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (20% temporary)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

On going valuation Residential: Every third year<br />

Regular valuation check<br />

Commercial: Every year<br />

Required O/C 8% of RW assets (mortgage banks). No O/C required (banks) No O/C required<br />

Asset segregation Segregation, bankruptcy remote per se via capital centres. All<br />

assets on balance are cover assets, including hedging contracts<br />

Cover register (separate registers for public and mortgage)<br />

including hedging contracts.<br />

(specialist banks).<br />

Cover register (separate registers for public and mortgage)<br />

including hedging contracts (banks).<br />

Matching<br />

requirements<br />

The matching requirements depend on 1) whether the covered<br />

bond is a SDO or a SDRO, and 2) whether the issuer uses the<br />

specific or the general principle.<br />

In all cases, however, strict matching requirements apply and<br />

Nominal and NPV coverage is required. The average residual<br />

maturity of the covered bonds cannot exceed the average residual<br />

maturity of the assets. The interest payable in any given 12 month<br />

period to the bondholders must not exceed the interest received<br />

from the assets. Any currency mismatch must be hedged.<br />

several stress/scenario tests regarding interest rate risk,<br />

currency risk, and liquidity risk.<br />

Post bankruptcy<br />

procedures<br />

Cover pools become static, no acceleration of payments. An<br />

administrator will be appointed by the FSA to manage all financial<br />

transactions. The administrator has the option to issue mortgage<br />

Cover pool becomes static, no acceleration of payments. An<br />

administrator will be appointed by the FSA to manage all financial<br />

transactions.<br />

bonds to refinance maturing mortgage bonds and subordinated<br />

debt to raise liquidity.<br />

Treatment of<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have Swap counterparties rank subordinated to covered bondholders.<br />

derivatives<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

LTV residential 80% 60% (loans with higher LTV allowed but only portion up to 60% is<br />

considered eligible). Only one-sixth of the total mortgage pool must<br />

have above 60% LTV.<br />

LTV commercial 60% (70% if sufficient guarantee) 60% (loans with higher LTV allowed but only portion up to 60% is<br />

considered eligible). Only one-sixth of the total mortgage pool must<br />

have above 60% LTV.<br />

Accounting of loans Yes<br />

Yes<br />

in arrears<br />

Fulfils UCITS/CRD Yes/Yes Yes/Yes<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

51 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Cover bond frameworks<br />

France<br />

France<br />

Obligations Fonciéres<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bonds<br />

Framework Legal Contractual<br />

(EU Collateral Directive)<br />

Type of<br />

Mixed<br />

Residential<br />

covered bonds<br />

Specialist banking Yes No<br />

Cover assets<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Public loans<br />

Residential<br />

Substitution assets (20%)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

Substitution assets (15%)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

On going valuation Every year Indexed house price index<br />

Required O/C No O/C required 8.1% (contractual)<br />

Asset segregation Asset segregation, bankruptcy remote subsidiary per se via SCF. Equitable assignment to guaranteeing vehicle (CB).<br />

All assets on SCFs balance are cover assets.<br />

Matching<br />

requirements<br />

Nominal coverage required but otherwise no matching<br />

requirements by law. However, interest, currency and NPV<br />

matching are implemented on a contractual basis.<br />

Asset coverage tests are performed to ensure that adjusted<br />

value of mortgages more than covers outstanding principal.<br />

Interest rate and currency hedging on contractual basis. Hard<br />

bullet repayment structure with a pre-maturity test.<br />

Post bankruptcy<br />

procedures<br />

SCF is bankruptcy remote from parent bank (which acts as asset<br />

originator and servicer). If the SCF is declared bankrupt, the<br />

entire SCF becomes static. No further claim against parent bank<br />

if cover assets prove insufficient to satisfy bondholders claims.<br />

Cover pool becomes static, no acceleration of payments. A less<br />

strict asset coverage test is performed (amortisation test<br />

[nominal coverage test]). Breach of the test equals default of CB.<br />

If LLP defaults bonds are accelerated.<br />

However, if the SCF becomes insolvent and the parent company<br />

is a going concern, the <strong>French</strong> banking regulators might put<br />

pressure on the holding company to provide support.<br />

Treatment of<br />

derivatives<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

Termination of contracts would only occur if CB defaults. The<br />

payment structure of a CB usually ranks derivative counterparts<br />

more senior than bondholders.<br />

LTV residential 60% (80% if 60-80% is<br />

80%<br />

non-privileged debt)<br />

LTV commercial 60% -<br />

Accounting of loans in Yes<br />

No recognition or haircut (30% in the amortisation test)<br />

arrears<br />

Fulfils UCITS/CRD Yes/Yes (until July 1, 2010) No/No<br />

(Yes/Yes expected in 2008)<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

52 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Cover bond frameworks<br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

CRH<br />

Pfandbriefe<br />

Framework Legal Legal<br />

Type of<br />

covered bonds<br />

Residential<br />

Mortgage<br />

Public<br />

Ships<br />

Specialist banking Yes No<br />

Cover assets<br />

Residential<br />

Substitution assets are not allowed<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (20% mortgage, ships)<br />

Substitution assets (10% public)<br />

Hedging contracts (12% NPV basis)<br />

On going valuation Regular inspections by CRH Every two year<br />

Required O/C 25% (plus CRHs equity) 2% on NPV basis<br />

Asset segregation The refinanced housing loans refinanced by CRH remain on the<br />

banks balance sheets. However, in case of a borrower default,<br />

Cover register (separate registers for public and mortgage)<br />

including hedging contracts.<br />

the loans will be transferred to CRH.<br />

Matching<br />

requirements<br />

Direct matching of both average life and present value between<br />

the pledged portfolio and the bonds. Moreover, the average<br />

Coverage by nominal value and NPV coverage is maintained<br />

under either dynamic or static cover pool.<br />

interest rate on the pledged portfolio must at least be equal to<br />

that of the bonds.<br />

Post bankruptcy<br />

procedures<br />

If the pledged portfolio is not enough to cover the liabilities, CRH<br />

has recourse to the borrowing bank (pari passu with the<br />

unsecured creditors). If this is still not enough, CRH defaults and<br />

the bondholders have recourse to CRH.<br />

No acceleration of payments. Special cover pool/covered bond<br />

administrator appointed with authorities to engage in bridge<br />

financing as well as transferring cover pool to another bank<br />

(hereafter cover pool becomes dynamic again).<br />

Treatment of<br />

derivatives<br />

CRH is not allowed to use derivatives as collateral.<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors. Limit of 12%<br />

of NPV.<br />

LTV residential 60% (80% if 60-80% is<br />

60%<br />

non-privileged debt)<br />

LTV commercial - 60%<br />

Accounting of loans in No recognition<br />

Yes<br />

arrears<br />

Fulfils UCITS/CRD Yes/yes Yes/Yes<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

53 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Cover bond frameworks<br />

Greece<br />

The Netherlands<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bonds<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> bonds<br />

Framework Legal Legal (individual contracts)<br />

Type of<br />

Mixed<br />

Residential<br />

covered bonds<br />

Specialist banking No No<br />

Cover assets<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Residential<br />

Substitution assets (10%)<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

On going valuation - Indexed house price index<br />

Required O/C 5.3% 5.5-10.5% (contractual)<br />

Asset segregation 1) Cover register including hedging contracts, or 2) SPV-set up Equitable assignment to guaranteeing vehicle (LLP).<br />

with equitable assignment to guaranteeing vehicle (CB).<br />

Matching<br />

requirements<br />

Nominal value coverage and NPV coverage is required - also<br />

under a 200bp shift in interest rates. Duration of bonds cannot<br />

exceed the duration of the cover assets.<br />

Asset coverage tests are performed to ensure that adjusted<br />

value of mortgages more than covers outstanding principal.<br />

Interest rate and currency hedging on contractual basis. Different<br />

repayment structures (soft/hard bullet bonds). Hard bullet<br />

structure includes pre-maturity test and liquidity buffer.<br />

Post bankruptcy<br />

procedures<br />

In case of issuer insolvency cover pool becomes static, no<br />

acceleration of payments. An administrator is stipulated to take<br />

care of the cover assets.<br />

Cover pool becomes static, no acceleration of payments. A less<br />

strict asset coverage test is performed (amortisation test<br />

[nominal coverage test]). Breach of the test equals default of LLP.<br />

If LLP defaults bonds are accelerated.<br />

Treatment of<br />

derivatives<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

Termination of contracts would only occur if LLP defaults. The<br />

payment structure of a LLP usually ranks derivative counterparts<br />

more senior than bondholders.<br />

LTV residential 80% Generally 80% (loan-to-market-value) or 125% (loan-toforeclosure-value)<br />

LTV commercial 60% -<br />

Accounting of loans in No recognition<br />

No recognition, repurchase or haircut<br />

arrears<br />

Fulfils UCITS/CRD -/- Yes/Yes (but only if the cover pool assets are compliant with<br />

CRD)<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

54 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Cover bond frameworks<br />

Ireland<br />

Italy<br />

Asset <strong>Covered</strong> Securities<br />

Obbligazioni Bancarie Garatite<br />

Framework Legal Legal<br />

Type of<br />

covered bonds<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Mortgage<br />

Public<br />

Public<br />

Specialist banking Yes No<br />

Cover assets<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (15%)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (15%)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

On going valuation Regular valuation check (at least once a year) based on prudent<br />

market value principles<br />

Professional valuer with market value as basis (semi-annual<br />

review)<br />

Required O/C<br />

Residential 3% (nominal basis)<br />

No minimum O/C required by law<br />

Commercial 10% (nominal basis)<br />

Public loans 3% (NPV basis)<br />

Asset segregation Cover register (separate register for public, commercial and Cover register including hedging contracts.<br />

mortgage) including hedging contracts.<br />

Matching<br />

Nominal and NPV coverage is required. Duration of bonds cannot NPV and nominal coverage is required.<br />

requirements<br />

exceed assets. The average residual maturity of the covered<br />

bonds cannot exceed the average residual maturity of the assets.<br />

The interest payable in any given 12-month period to<br />

bondholders must not exceed the interest received from assets.<br />

Post bankruptcy<br />

procedures<br />

Cover pool becomes static, no acceleration of payments. An<br />

administrator will be appointed by the FSA to manage all financial<br />

transactions.<br />

Cover pool becomes static, no acceleration of payments. An<br />

administrator will be appointed by the FSA to manage all financial<br />

transactions.<br />

Treatment of<br />

derivatives<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

LTV residential 75% (loans with higher LTV allowed but capped at 75%,<br />

80%<br />

maximum average LTV 80%).<br />

LTV commercial 60% (loans with higher LTV allowed but capped at 60%,<br />

60%<br />

maximum average LTV 80%)<br />

Accounting of loans in No recognition, substitution indented.<br />

No recognition, substitution indented.<br />

arrears<br />

Fulfils UCITS/CRD Yes/Yes Yes/Yes<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

55 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Cover bond frameworks<br />

Luxembourg<br />

Norway<br />

Lettre de gage<br />

Obligasjoner med fortrinnsrett<br />

Framework Legal Legal<br />

Type of<br />

covered bonds<br />

Mortgage<br />

Public<br />

Mixed<br />

Mortgage<br />

Public<br />

Specialist banking Yes Yes<br />

Cover assets<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (20%)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (20%, up to 30% with the consent of the<br />

supervisor)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

On going valuation Regular valuation check Regular valuation check<br />

Required O/C No O/C required No O/C required<br />

Asset segregation Cover register (separate registers for public and mortgage)<br />

including hedging contracts.<br />

Cover registers (joint registers or separate registers for public,<br />

commercial and mortgage) including hedging contracts.<br />

Matching<br />

requirements<br />

Nominal and NPV coverage is required. The interest payable to<br />

the bond holders must not exceed the interest received from the<br />

assets.<br />

Nominal coverage and NPV coverage. Nominal coverage is<br />

maintained under stress-scenarios (parallel yield curve shifts +/-<br />

100bp and twists. Currency stress tests +/- 10%).<br />

Post bankruptcy<br />

procedures<br />

Cover pools become static, no acceleration of payments. An<br />

administrator will be appointed by the FSA to manage all financial<br />

transactions.<br />

Cover pools become static, no acceleration of payments. An<br />

administrator will be appointed by the FSA to manage all financial<br />

transactions. Further details to be announced.<br />

Treatment of<br />

derivatives<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

LTV residential 60% (loans with higher LTV allowed but only portion up to 60% is 75%<br />

considered eligible).<br />

LTV commercial 60% (loans with higher LTV allowed but only portion up to 60% is 60%<br />

considered eligible).<br />

Accounting of loans in<br />

arrears<br />

Yes<br />

Yes, but only performing loans are included in the matching<br />

calculations.<br />

Fulfils UCITS/CRD Yes/No Yes/Yes<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

56 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Cover bond frameworks<br />

Portugal<br />

Spain<br />

Obrigações<br />

Cédulas<br />

Framework Legal Legal<br />

Type of<br />

covered bonds<br />

Mortgage<br />

Public<br />

Mortgage<br />

Public<br />

Specialist banking Optional No<br />

Cover assets<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (20%)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (5%)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

On going valuation Regular valuation check based on prudent market value<br />

Regular valuation check<br />

principles (residential = every three years, commercial = every<br />

year).<br />

Required O/C<br />

Nominal O/C of 5.26%. Voluntary O/C protected by law in case of<br />

insolvency.<br />

Mortgage 25%<br />

Public 43 %<br />

Asset segregation Cover register including hedging contracts. Cover register including hedging contracts. Investors have a<br />

priority claim over entire mortgage book.<br />

Matching<br />

Nominal and NPV coverage required. On NPV basis the cash flow No matching requirements.<br />

requirements<br />

from the cover pool must exceed that of the covered bonds taking<br />

into accounts stress tests (+/- 200bp). The average residual<br />

maturity of the covered bonds cannot exceed the average<br />

residual maturity of the assets. The interest payable to<br />

bondholders cannot at any point in time exceed the interest<br />

received from assets. Currency risk must be hedged.<br />

Post bankruptcy<br />

procedures<br />

No acceleration of payments, however bonds can accelerate if<br />

two-thirds of bondholders vote in favour. An administrator will be<br />

appointed by the FSA to manage all financial transactions.<br />

No acceleration of payments, cash flows from mortgage loan<br />

book continue to make payments to bondholders. The law does<br />

not specify who will take over administration. For joint-Cédulas, a<br />

liquidity buffer is provided and any potential loss from the default<br />

of one of the participating banks is distributed pro rata among<br />

other participants.<br />

Treatment of<br />

derivatives<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

LTV residential 80% 80% (95% in case of bank guarantee or credit loan insurance).<br />

LTV commercial 60% 60%<br />

Accounting of loans in If arrears > 90 days loan must be replaced.<br />

Yes<br />

arrears<br />

Fulfils UCITS/CRD Yes/Yes Yes/Yes<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

57 | 10 September 2009<br />

www.danskeresearch.com


Cover bond frameworks<br />

Sweden<br />

UK<br />

Säkerställda obligationer<br />

Regulated <strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong>s<br />

Framework Legal Legal (individual contracts)<br />

Type of<br />

Mixed<br />

Mortgage<br />

covered bonds<br />

Specialist banking No No<br />

Cover assets<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial (10%)<br />

Public loans<br />

Substitution assets (20%, can be increased to 30% if approved).<br />

Residential<br />

Commercial<br />

Substitution assets (In most contracts, substitution assets can<br />

constitute up to 10/15%).<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

On going valuation Regular valuation check Indexed house price index<br />

Required O/C No O/C required 7.0-20.5% (contractual)<br />

Asset segregation Cover register (shared register for public and mortgage)<br />

Equitable assignment to guaranteeing vehicle (LLP).<br />

including hedging contracts.<br />

Matching<br />

requirements<br />

Nominal as well as NPV coverage. NPV coverage is maintained<br />

under stress-scenarios (parallel yield curve shifts +/- 100bp and<br />

currency +/- 10%).<br />

Asset coverage tests are performed to ensure that adjusted<br />

value of mortgages more than covers outstanding principal.<br />

Interest rate and currency hedging on contractual basis. Different<br />

repayment structures (soft/hard bullet bonds). Hard bullet<br />

structure includes pre-maturity test and liquidity buffer.<br />

Post bankruptcy<br />

procedures<br />

Cover pool becomes static, no acceleration of payments. An<br />

administrator will be appointed by the FSA to manage all financial<br />

transactions (not a dedicated cover pool administrator). Bridge<br />

financing is not allowed but administrator can sell assets to<br />

Cover pool becomes static, no acceleration of payments. A less<br />

strict asset coverage test is performed (amortisation test [<br />

nominal coverage test]). Breach of the test equals default of LLP.<br />

If LLP defaults bonds are accelerated.<br />

generate liquidity for bond holders.<br />

Treatment of<br />

derivatives<br />

Derivatives used for hedging of interest and currency risk have<br />

same preferential rights as covered bond investors.<br />

Termination of contracts would only occur if LLP defaults. The<br />

payment structure of a LLP usually ranks derivative counterparts<br />

more senior than bondholders.<br />

LTV residential 75% 80%<br />

LTV commercial 60% (70% agricultural) 60%<br />

Accounting of loans in Repurchase if arrears > 60 days<br />

No recognition, repurchase or haircut<br />

arrears<br />

Fulfils UCITS/CRD Yes/Yes Yes/Depends on contracts<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

58 | 10 September 2009<br />

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Cover bond frameworks<br />

US<br />

<strong>Covered</strong> <strong>Bond</strong>s<br />

Framework<br />

Contractual<br />

Type of<br />

Residential<br />

covered bonds<br />

Specialist banking No<br />

Cover assets<br />

Residential<br />

Substitution assets (10%)<br />

Hedging contracts<br />

Ongoing valuation Indexed house price index (15% haircut for indexed valuation).<br />

Required O/C<br />

4.2% (Bank of America)<br />

7.5% (Washington Mutual))<br />

Asset segregation WM/BoA issue covered bonds through statutory trusts. Asset<br />

segregation is achieved by cover registers in the banks own<br />

books.<br />

Matching<br />

Asset coverage tests are performed to ensure that adjusted<br />

requirements<br />

value of mortgages more than covers outstanding principal.<br />

Interest rate and currency hedging on contractual basis. Soft<br />

bullet repayment structure (120 days).<br />

Post bankruptcy Default of the bank does not accelerate payments. But if the<br />

procedures<br />

statutory trust defaults, all payments would be accelerated.<br />

Treatment of<br />

Depending on the contract<br />

derivatives<br />

LTV residential 75% (contractual)<br />

LTV commercial -<br />

Accounting of loans in If arrears > 60 days, loans are not taken into account in the ACT<br />

arrears<br />

Fulfils UCITS/CRD No/No<br />

Source: <strong>Danske</strong> Markets<br />

59 | 10 September 2009<br />

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Cover bond frameworks<br />

Disclosure<br />

This report has been prepared by <strong>Danske</strong> Research, which is part of <strong>Danske</strong> Markets, a division of <strong>Danske</strong> Bank.<br />

<strong>Danske</strong> Bank is under supervision by the Danish Financial Supervisory Authority. The authors of this report are<br />

Stig Tørnes, chief analyst, Christian Riemann Andersen, senior analyst and Kristian Myrup Pedersen, analyst.<br />

<strong>Danske</strong> Bank research reports are prepared in accordance with the Danish Society of Investment Professionals’<br />

Ethical rules and the Recommendations of the Danish Securities Dealers Associations.<br />

<strong>Danske</strong> Bank has established procedures to prevent conflicts of interest and to ensure the provision of high<br />

quality research based on research objectivity and independence. These procedures are documented in the <strong>Danske</strong><br />

Bank Research Policy. Employees within the <strong>Danske</strong> Bank Research Departments have been instructed that any<br />

request that might impair the objectivity and independence of research shall be referred to Research Management<br />

and to the Compliance Officer. <strong>Danske</strong> Bank Research departments are organised independently from and do not<br />

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profitability of <strong>Danske</strong> Bank, which includes investment banking revenues, but do not receive bonuses or other<br />

remuneration linked to specific corporate finance or dept capital transactions.<br />

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securities under coverage in their research sector.<br />

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report.<br />

Please go to www.danskeequities.com for further disclosures and information.<br />

Disclaimer<br />

This publication has been prepared by <strong>Danske</strong> Markets for information purposes only. It has been prepared<br />

independently, solely from publicly available information and does not take into account the views of <strong>Danske</strong><br />

Bank’s internal credit department. It is not an offer or solicitation of any offer to purchase or sell any financial<br />

instrument. Whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure that its contents are not untrue or misleading, no<br />

representation is made as to its accuracy or completeness and no liability is accepted for any loss arising from<br />

reliance on it. <strong>Danske</strong> Bank, its affiliates or staff, may perform services for, solicit business from, hold long or<br />

short positions in, or otherwise be interested in the investments (including derivatives), of any issuer mentioned<br />

herein. The Equity and Corporate <strong>Bond</strong>s analysts are not permitted to invest in securities under coverage in their<br />

research sector. This publication is not intended for retail customers in the UK or any person in the US. <strong>Danske</strong><br />

Markets is a division of <strong>Danske</strong> Bank A/S. <strong>Danske</strong> Bank A/S is authorized by the Danish Financial Supervisory<br />

Authority and subject to limited regulation by the Financial Services Authority (UK). Details on the extent of our<br />

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All rights reserved. This publication is protected by copyright and may not be reproduced in whole or in part<br />

without permission.<br />

60 | 10 September 2009<br />

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