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<strong>IWT</strong>-Studies<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-Observatory<br />

Institute for the Promotion of <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

by Science <strong>and</strong> Technology in Fl<strong>and</strong>ers<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong><br />

Science<br />

Technology<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong>:<br />

Can <strong>Innovation</strong> Incentives make a Difference<br />

<strong>40</strong><br />

Contributions to a Six Countries Programme Conference,<br />

February 28 - March 1, 2002, Brussels<br />

EDITOR: PATRIES BOEKHOLT


COLOFON<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-Studies is published by <strong>IWT</strong>-Vla<strong>and</strong>eren<br />

as part of the work programme of the <strong>IWT</strong>-<br />

Observatory. However, the authors are<br />

personally responsible for the st<strong>and</strong>points<br />

adopted in the development of these studies.<br />

Editors<br />

Ann Van den Bremt (secretariat)<br />

Jan Larosse (co-ordination)<br />

Production<br />

N’lil<br />

Copyright<br />

Reproduction <strong>and</strong> use is permitted subject<br />

to acknowledgement of source<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-Observatory<br />

Jan Larosse, Co-ordinator<br />

Donald Carchon, Information system<br />

Ann Van den Bremt, Secretariat<br />

Henri Delanghe, <strong>Policy</strong> analysis<br />

Bischoffsheimlaan 25<br />

1000 Brussels<br />

Phone: 02/209 09 00<br />

Fax: 02/223 11 81<br />

E-mail: iwt-observatorium@iwt.be<br />

Web-site: http://www.iwt.be<br />

Registration number: D/2002/7037/5<br />

Published in August 2002


<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

CONTENTS<br />

ABSTRACT 4<br />

FOREWORD 7<br />

PART 1: SETTING THE SCENE<br />

Introduction 9<br />

• Position paper (Patries Boekholt <strong>and</strong> Jan Larosse) 11<br />

• <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> environmental policies for sustainable development<br />

(Ken Guy) 19<br />

• Policies for innovation <strong>and</strong> the environment:<br />

toward an arranged marriage (George R. Heaton, Jr.) 29<br />

• An integrated policy for innovation for the environment (René Kemp) 37<br />

PART 2: DOES INNOVATION POLICY MAKE A DIFFERENCE<br />

Introduction 55<br />

• Impact <strong>and</strong> additionality of innovation policy (Luke Georghiou) 57<br />

• The Norwegian systemic approach to impact estimation of R&D subsidies:<br />

focus on additionality <strong>and</strong> the contra-factual problem<br />

(Lasse Bræin, Arild Hervik, Erik Nesset, Mette Rye) 67<br />

• Measuring ‘relative effectiveness’<br />

can we compare innovation policy instruments<br />

(Erik Arnold <strong>and</strong> Patries Boekholt) 87<br />

PART 3: COUNTRY CASES<br />

Introduction 101<br />

SUMMARY<br />

• Green innovation (Jesper Holm, Ole Erik Hansen, Bent Søndergård) 103<br />

• Sustainability research in Austria (Hans-Günther Schwarz) 117<br />

• Stimulation of sustainable technology development in the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s:<br />

the E.E.T. programme (Corine van As, René Wismeijer) 125<br />

• Fl<strong>and</strong>ers’ new scheme of innovation subsidies<br />

for sustainable development (Paul Zeeuwts) 135<br />

• Towards policy-integration (Patries Boekholt) 141<br />

3


ABSTRACT<br />

This volume of <strong>IWT</strong>-Studies brings together<br />

most of the contributions to the Conference<br />

on ‘<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Sustainable</strong><br />

<strong>Development</strong>. Can public incentives make a<br />

difference’ held in Brussels, in February 2002.<br />

The Fl<strong>and</strong>ers 2002 Conference of the Six<br />

Countries Programme (SCP), organised by<br />

<strong>IWT</strong> with the assistance of Technopolis<br />

Group, can be regarded as a follow-up to<br />

the earlier SCP-Conference organised in<br />

1996 by <strong>IWT</strong> in Ghent under the title ‘R&D<br />

subsidies at stake In search of a rationale<br />

for public funding of R&D’. The issue of the<br />

‘additionality’ of innovation policy now has<br />

been enlarged to the contribution to innovation<br />

performance for wider, societal goals<br />

as sustainable development.<br />

The papers are organized in three blocks.<br />

The first, introductory one is on the interplay<br />

between innovation <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

policy. The second one deals with the question<br />

of evaluating the effectiveness of innovation<br />

policy as such: does it ‘make a difference’<br />

(the additionality issue). The third<br />

block presents country case studies of environmentally<br />

sustainable innovation that all<br />

entail a particular kind of integration of<br />

innovation <strong>and</strong> environmental policy. A<br />

summary presents conclusions from this conference<br />

<strong>and</strong> implications for further work.<br />

1. SETTING THE SCENE<br />

The Position Paper by Patries Boekholt <strong>and</strong><br />

Jan Larosse starts from the observation that<br />

the rationale for innovation policy has been<br />

strengthened from a system perspective. It<br />

can meet the agenda of sustainable development<br />

in terms of innovation for societal<br />

objectives. From an economic perspective<br />

the missions of innovation policy -reducing<br />

market failures due to positive externalities<br />

of knowledge production <strong>and</strong> usage- <strong>and</strong> of<br />

environmental policy -reducing the negative<br />

externalities of non-sustainable technologies-<br />

can be combined. On the agenda is<br />

how to operate an horizontal policy that<br />

effectively realizes this goal: is innovation<br />

policy effective as a policy instrument, <strong>and</strong><br />

can it be part of a policy mix that levies<br />

progress to sustainable development<br />

A first series of conference papers was delivered<br />

by the keynote speakers, invited to ‘set<br />

the scene’, <strong>and</strong> introduce the two policy traditions<br />

that are challenged to contribute<br />

together to environmentally sustainable<br />

growth.<br />

Ken Guy starts with drawing some lessons<br />

on the effectiveness of present day innovation<br />

policy from a system perspective.<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> policy is now expected to serve<br />

several masters. Exploring the possibilities of<br />

interaction between innovation <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

policies, he suggests that a beneficial<br />

combination has to answer two different<br />

questions: what can innovation policy<br />

do for sustainable development, <strong>and</strong> what<br />

can environmental policy do for innovation.<br />

Applying a successful broad mix requires<br />

high levels of ‘strategic intelligence’.<br />

The second paper was presented by George<br />

Heaton, who introduced the metaphor of<br />

‘an arranged marriage’ to describe the difficulties<br />

<strong>and</strong> opportunities involved in matching<br />

two parties that have a lot in common,<br />

both are not able to get acquainted without<br />

special commitment <strong>and</strong> special changeagents.<br />

There is a clear under-investment in<br />

next generation technologies by the environmental<br />

industry, but there is a need to<br />

frame these technology developments in<br />

new, transformative technological pathways.<br />

The paper of René Kemp is included in this<br />

introductory series because it outlines the<br />

need for an integrated policy approach<br />

towards innovation for the environment. It<br />

outlines the model of transition management<br />

as a policy approach that can add topdown<br />

elements of system innovation (longterm<br />

ambition) to bottom-up initiatives<br />

(short-term concerns).<br />

2. DOES INNOVATION POLICY MAKE<br />

A DIFFERENCE<br />

The three following papers deal with the<br />

question of additionality - what would have<br />

4


<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

happened if no intervention had taken<br />

place - as a way to establish whether policy<br />

instruments have any effect. Identifying <strong>and</strong><br />

measuring the socio-economic effects <strong>and</strong><br />

impact of innovation policies is high on the<br />

agenda of many OECD countries, as a consequence<br />

of an increased requirement for<br />

accountability in public sector management.<br />

In order to establish the positive externalities<br />

of knowledge production <strong>and</strong> diffusion,<br />

<strong>and</strong> not only the benefits for those directly<br />

involved in a policy programme, we need to<br />

find ways to measure these wider effects.<br />

<strong>Policy</strong> makers are increasingly required to<br />

demonstrate effects of policy instruments in<br />

quantitative terms.<br />

The first paper by Luke Georghiou takes stock<br />

of the progressively broadening approach<br />

towards the key issue of additionality of innovation<br />

policy: from quantitative approaches<br />

<strong>and</strong> effects on R&D investment (flows),<br />

towards behavioural approaches <strong>and</strong> qualitative<br />

effects on capacities in the innovation system<br />

(stocks). The paper explores what the evidence<br />

for the impact of innovation policy has<br />

been so far. Governments can make a difference<br />

in the stimulation of innovation in public<br />

goods. But measures to promote R&D in<br />

general are less a support mechanism than<br />

establishing a public-private partnership to<br />

produce innovations in an area that might not<br />

have benefited.<br />

There is a school of scholars aiming to measure<br />

the longer-term impacts of innovation<br />

policy with the help of econometrics.<br />

Norway has a long tradition of evaluating a<br />

number of innovation policy instruments<br />

using quantitative analytical methods. The<br />

second paper by Lasse Bræin, Arild Hervik,<br />

Erik Nesset <strong>and</strong> Mette Rye discusses these<br />

methods <strong>and</strong> their problems <strong>and</strong> provides<br />

empirical evidence from a number of<br />

Norwegian cases.<br />

The third paper by Erik Arnold <strong>and</strong> Patries<br />

Boekholt discusses how evaluations can help<br />

us deciding whether innovation policy<br />

works. It also discusses what we do not<br />

know because of methodological difficulties.<br />

The paper is based on a large number<br />

of evaluation studies in various countries.<br />

3. COUNTRY CASES<br />

The following country case studies demonstrate<br />

the wide variety of initiatives that are<br />

developed to stimulate innovation for environmental<br />

sustainability, depending on different<br />

development paths <strong>and</strong> different<br />

institutional settings. They illustrate the<br />

importance of a broad range of (complementary)<br />

options in the achievement of the<br />

overall goal.<br />

The Danish study by Jesper Holm et al refers<br />

to evidence from sector specific case studies<br />

on development of new institutional practices<br />

<strong>and</strong> capacity building <strong>and</strong> the development<br />

of green products on the basis of the<br />

win-win philosophy of the predominant<br />

model of ‘ecological modernisation’. It was<br />

possible to start to integrate environmental<br />

<strong>and</strong> business development policies <strong>and</strong> to<br />

create an interactive ‘green’ responsiveness<br />

from business to new regulations <strong>and</strong> programmes<br />

starting from a company focussed<br />

policy view. The success of these reflective<br />

learning processes is based on the interfacing<br />

of different actors <strong>and</strong> the presence of a<br />

social component that enhances the change<br />

in business behaviour.<br />

The Dutch EET programme, presented by<br />

Corine van As <strong>and</strong> René Wismeyer, is an<br />

example of a mission-oriented approach,<br />

coordinating the efforts of three Ministries.<br />

It aims to stimulate breakthroughs in<br />

themes put forward by government to<br />

achieve sustainable development. The latest<br />

version stresses the transition to sustainability<br />

by systemic innovation as the distinctive<br />

objective of funding.<br />

In contrast, the new programme of stimulation<br />

of sustainable environmental technology<br />

development in Fl<strong>and</strong>ers, presented by<br />

Paul Zeeuwts, is an example of a bottom-up<br />

approach, linked to generic technology <strong>and</strong><br />

innovation funding programmes. The aim is<br />

to stimulate a shift in innovation behaviour<br />

towards more environmental benefits in all<br />

projects, by selectivity <strong>and</strong> financial incentives.<br />

The paper by Hans-Günther Schwarz gives<br />

5


an account of the Austrian programme on<br />

Technologies for <strong>Sustainable</strong> development,<br />

in particular the two thematic sub-programmes<br />

on the House <strong>and</strong> the Factory of<br />

Tomorrow. They are not limited to technology<br />

development but include the necessary<br />

complements of demonstration projects <strong>and</strong><br />

knowledge dissemination. The integration<br />

of multiple goals <strong>and</strong> multiple types of innovation<br />

is a characteristic of the programme<br />

design. As in the other cases evaluation<br />

therefore is a rather complex issue.<br />

SUMMARY:<br />

TOWARDS POLICY-INTEGRATION<br />

The Summary of Patries Boekholt attempts<br />

to draw some conclusions referring back to<br />

the objectives of the conference, namely to<br />

see whether a closer integration of innovation<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> environmental policy on<br />

the overlap of innovation for sustainable<br />

development, is feasible. If the effectiveness<br />

of general innovation policy is not clearly<br />

established by direct measurement we do<br />

know that it is the policy mix that works<br />

on the level of innovation systems.<br />

Environmental policies have demonstrated<br />

some effectiveness in changing behaviour in<br />

addressing focussed technological challenges.<br />

The challenge now is to extend these more<br />

targeted approaches towards a systemic<br />

change process affecting the broader business<br />

community. We will need further policy<br />

innovations in the field of policy integration.<br />

6


<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

FOREWORD<br />

What can innovation policy do for <strong>Sustainable</strong><br />

<strong>Development</strong> In particular, can innovation<br />

policy provide incentives to promote<br />

technological solutions for environmental<br />

sustainability<br />

This theme was proposed by <strong>IWT</strong> for the<br />

Spring 2002 Conference of the Six Countries<br />

Programme. The SCP, in which <strong>IWT</strong> has been<br />

participating for several years, is an international<br />

forum for discussions on new policy<br />

developments <strong>and</strong> advanced policy research<br />

in innovation. The Conference in Brussels<br />

brought together representatives of the two<br />

policy communities to investigate the possibilities<br />

of beneficial combination. A lot of<br />

experience has already been accumulated at<br />

the level of environmental technological<br />

policies but the issue of incentives for<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong> from an innovation<br />

policy perspective is still emergent.<br />

For <strong>IWT</strong> this is not an academic discussion<br />

because it was given the task to implement<br />

the policy objectives formulated by the<br />

Flemish Government to promote sustainable<br />

technological development. After thorough<br />

preparations – in which this conference also<br />

played a role – <strong>IWT</strong> proposed a new scheme<br />

for ‘<strong>Sustainable</strong> Technological <strong>Development</strong>’<br />

that was accepted by the Flemish Government<br />

in May 2002. A specific characteristic<br />

of the new <strong>IWT</strong> scheme is its integration into<br />

the general subsidy scheme. All projects in<br />

the ecological existing programmes that<br />

meet specified criteria are given priority <strong>and</strong><br />

can also benefit from a subsidy bonus of<br />

10%. This generic approach is rather unique.<br />

But it is directly linked to the main<br />

challenges of innovation policy.<br />

The first one is the additionality of innovation<br />

policy. If innovation policy wants<br />

to make a difference it is acknowledged<br />

that this should be at the level of behavioural<br />

changes in innovation management.<br />

Incentives should stimulate more <strong>and</strong><br />

better innovation projects. The modalities<br />

of general support thus have been altered<br />

to discriminate in favour of STD-projects.<br />

In addition support is given to introduce<br />

new tools as Life Cycle Analysis in the<br />

project planning.<br />

The second is the complementary interaction<br />

of policy instruments. The <strong>IWT</strong> scheme<br />

is but one of the instruments of the Flemish<br />

government to advance the agenda of<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong>. It is the policy mix<br />

of regulatory change, indirect tax incentives<br />

<strong>and</strong> direct subventions that determines its<br />

success. But <strong>IWT</strong> in its capacity of the technology<br />

agency of the Flemish Government<br />

didn’t stop with the new scheme. Within the<br />

framework of its mission to provide co-ordination<br />

between innovation intermediaries<br />

<strong>IWT</strong> recently inaugurated an ‘Environmental<br />

Technology Platform’ that should improve<br />

relations between ‘supply’ <strong>and</strong> ‘dem<strong>and</strong>’ for<br />

sustainable technology. With these two initiatives<br />

<strong>IWT</strong> contributes to a wider horizontal<br />

policy approach.<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> Technological <strong>Development</strong> is<br />

an important theme for years to come. The<br />

Conference constituted one of the first<br />

attempts to combine innovation <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

policies. In the future these discussions<br />

will be continued on the basis of<br />

evaluation <strong>and</strong> monitoring of the experiences<br />

of the new programmes.<br />

Paul Zeeuwts<br />

President <strong>IWT</strong><br />

7


Part 1<br />

SETTING THE SCENE<br />

><br />

INTRODUCTION<br />

The Position Paper by Patries Boekholt <strong>and</strong><br />

Jan Larosse starts from the observation that<br />

the rationale for innovation policy has been<br />

strengthened from a system perspective. It<br />

can meet the agenda of sustainable development<br />

in terms of innovation for societal<br />

objectives. From an economic perspective<br />

the missions of innovation policy – reducing<br />

market failures due to positive externalities<br />

of knowledge production <strong>and</strong> usage – <strong>and</strong><br />

of environmental policy – reducing the negative<br />

externalities of non-sustainable technologies<br />

– can be combined. On the<br />

agenda is how to operate an horizontal<br />

policy that effectively realizes this goal: is<br />

innovation policy effective as a policy<br />

instrument, <strong>and</strong> can it be part of a policy<br />

mix that levies progress to sustainable<br />

development<br />

A first series of conference papers was delivered<br />

by the keynote speakers, invited to ‘set<br />

the scene’, <strong>and</strong> introduce the two policy traditions<br />

that are challenged to contribute<br />

together to environmentally sustainable<br />

growth.<br />

Ken Guy starts with drawing some lessons<br />

on the effectiveness of present day innovation<br />

policy from a system perspective.<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> policy is now expected to serve<br />

several masters. Exploring the possibilities of<br />

interaction between innovation <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

policies, he suggests that a beneficial<br />

combination has to answer two different<br />

questions: what can innovation policy<br />

do for sustainable development, <strong>and</strong> what<br />

can environmental policy do for innovation.<br />

Applying a successful broad mix requires<br />

high levels of ‘strategic intelligence’.<br />

The second paper was presented by George<br />

Heaton, who introduced the metaphor of<br />

'an arranged marriage' to describe the difficulties<br />

<strong>and</strong> opportunities involved in matching<br />

two parties that have a lot in common,<br />

both are not able to get acquainted without<br />

special commitment <strong>and</strong> special changeagents.<br />

There is a clear under-investment in<br />

next generation technologies by the environmental<br />

industry, but there is a need to<br />

frame these technology developments in<br />

new, transformative technological pathways.<br />

The paper of the third keynote speaker Luke<br />

Georghiou features in Part 2, introducing the<br />

concept of additionality to assess whether<br />

innovation policy makes a difference.<br />

The paper of René Kemp is included in this<br />

introductory series because it stresses the<br />

need for an integrated policy approach<br />

towards innovation for the environment. It<br />

outlines the model of transition management<br />

to work towards sustainability in various<br />

domains. Transition management consists<br />

of a deliberate attempt to bring forth<br />

long-term change in a step-wise manner,<br />

utilising dynamics.<br />

1<br />

9


<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

POSITION PAPER<br />

INNOVATION POLICY AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT<br />

CAN PUBLIC INNOVATION INCENTIVES MAKE A DIFFERENCE<br />

PATRIES BOEKHOLT<br />

JAN LAROSSE<br />

Technopolis<br />

<strong>IWT</strong><br />

Patries Boekholt is founder <strong>and</strong> director of<br />

Technopolis BV in Amsterdam. Before joining<br />

Technopolis she worked for the TNO<br />

Centre for Technology <strong>Policy</strong> Studies since<br />

1989. She has over ten years of experience<br />

working on Research, Technology <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> policies in various countries <strong>and</strong><br />

for international organisations such the<br />

European Commission <strong>and</strong> the OECD. This<br />

includes evaluation studies, strategic advice,<br />

international comparative, benchmark studies<br />

<strong>and</strong> improving policy implementation.<br />

Jan Larosse obtained a MA in Economics <strong>and</strong><br />

a Baccalaureat in Philosophy at the KU of<br />

Leuven. Since 1992 he is Scientific Advisor for<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>, the technology agency of the Flemish<br />

Government. In 1996 the Observatory unit<br />

was started, of which he is the co-ordinator.<br />

His work is mainly directed to innovation<br />

monitoring on the level of indicators <strong>and</strong><br />

databases, <strong>and</strong> to innovation studies covering<br />

themes as the knowledge economy, cluster<br />

analysis <strong>and</strong> innovation systems, innovation<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> additionality.<br />

11


Position paper<br />

><br />

2<br />

See for instance<br />

the OECD:<br />

A new Economy<br />

The changing role<br />

of innovation<br />

<strong>and</strong> information<br />

technology in growth,<br />

2000, Paris.<br />

1. INNOVATION POLICY IN THE<br />

KNOWLEDGE ECONOMY<br />

In the Knowledge Economy permanent<br />

renewal has become the driving engine of<br />

the economic fabric. This pivotal role of<br />

innovation <strong>and</strong> the central position of<br />

knowledge production <strong>and</strong> distribution in<br />

this process are reshaping the institutional<br />

settings of economic development. In the<br />

1990s the interaction between private <strong>and</strong><br />

public actors, networking between firms,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the flow of knowledge between organisations<br />

<strong>and</strong> people, both nationally <strong>and</strong><br />

internationally, have become an important<br />

prerequisite for good performance.<br />

The focus of most recent innovation studies<br />

<strong>and</strong> policy actions has mainly been on the<br />

impact on productivity <strong>and</strong> economic<br />

growth 2 . Public intervention in innovation is<br />

justified if it helps in achieving these goals,<br />

<strong>and</strong> in such a way that would not have happened<br />

if left to market forces. <strong>Policy</strong>makers<br />

have designed <strong>and</strong> implemented a wide<br />

range of incentives <strong>and</strong> schemes to make<br />

this happen, either by improving general<br />

framework conditions for markets to work<br />

or by remediating market failures in particular<br />

domains with important ‘externalities’.<br />

Tax incentives, R&D subsidies, collaborative<br />

R&D schemes, technology transfer agencies<br />

<strong>and</strong> many more type of measures have been<br />

put in place to spur innovation in the private<br />

sector.<br />

To accommodate the ever more wide-ranging<br />

<strong>and</strong> interactive character of innovation<br />

processes the traditional science <strong>and</strong> technology<br />

policy agenda has been enlarged to an<br />

innovation policy agenda that links economic,<br />

industrial <strong>and</strong> research policies. <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

policy has become a horizontal policy that is<br />

playing a vital role in strengthening economic<br />

performance. Its impact is conditioned by the<br />

ability to align a broad spectrum of policy<br />

measures, ranging from a conducive regulatory<br />

<strong>and</strong> macro-economic framework, over a<br />

high quality education, developed risk capital<br />

markets that support start-ups, up to facilities<br />

for R&D partnerships.<br />

Today improving competitiveness <strong>and</strong><br />

growth performance is not the only challenge<br />

for innovation policy. Government<br />

institutions <strong>and</strong> policies are also urged to<br />

make ‘policy innovations’ in order to contribute<br />

to an environmentally sustainable<br />

growth. This challenges innovation policy to<br />

widen its scope even more.<br />

A new kind of ‘innovation paradox’ seems<br />

to arise. At the very moment that public<br />

intervention to stimulate innovation is<br />

challenged to widen its scope, the rationale<br />

of public intervention is under scrutiny.<br />

Success models of technological change like<br />

Silicon Valley have confirmed the central<br />

role of enterprises <strong>and</strong> market forces in<br />

innovation. Does public intervention really<br />

make a difference in stimulating innovation<br />

And how should it operate The correct<br />

answers to these questions will be very<br />

much determining the effectiveness of the<br />

operation of the innovation system as a<br />

whole.<br />

In this context the 2002 6CP will address the<br />

following key questions:<br />

• Should innovation policy, which is primarily<br />

focused on improving competitiveness<br />

<strong>and</strong> growth performance in the private<br />

sector incorporate ‘public goals’ in its<br />

policy instruments, particularly those<br />

goals related to minimising the negative<br />

externalities that accompany economic<br />

growth<br />

• What difference has innovation policy<br />

really made in the last decades Has it<br />

been effective Are we able to measure<br />

this<br />

• In this context which innovation policy<br />

incentives will work to also have a major<br />

contribution to sustainability<br />

The remainder of this position paper will<br />

discuss these questions in more detail. In<br />

section 5 we will discuss what the Brussels<br />

6CP aims to achieve. We have translated this<br />

into a programme structure (section 6)<br />

which addresses these questions in plenary<br />

<strong>and</strong> parallel sessions.<br />

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<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

><br />

2. DEFINING A BROADER RATIONALE<br />

FOR INNOVATION POLICY<br />

Governments are under constant pressure to<br />

justify public interventions in private sector<br />

innovation. <strong>Policy</strong> makers are not only held<br />

accountable for the effects of their instruments,<br />

the rationale for intervention is<br />

under permanent scrutiny <strong>and</strong> needs to be<br />

reassessed with the advancement of innovation<br />

theory as well as the implementation of<br />

good public management practices.<br />

Main stream economics accepts policy<br />

intervention on the level of improving<br />

framework conditions (regulation) <strong>and</strong><br />

factor conditions (e.g. education) stimulating<br />

markets to work <strong>and</strong> to maximise<br />

social welfare. Welfare economics provides<br />

a specific theoretical framework for<br />

policy intervention in the neo-classical<br />

tradition, referring to market failures.<br />

Maximising ‘social returns’ is then the<br />

policy objective that incorporates the<br />

(positive <strong>and</strong> negative) external effects<br />

beyond the scope of private cost-benefit<br />

calculation. An external effect is any value<br />

creation or destruction that is not mediated<br />

through the price system. A narrow<br />

definition will limit these external effects<br />

to ‘non-excludabilities’ <strong>and</strong> ‘non-appropriabilities’<br />

in consumption or production of<br />

private persons, but it can be extended to<br />

any social (non-price) valuation, e.g.<br />

involving strategic objectives of governments<br />

in innovation.<br />

The traditional rationale for public intervention<br />

in knowledge production <strong>and</strong> distribution<br />

is based on the characteristics of<br />

knowledge as a quasi-public good, due to<br />

its spillover effects. They are at the origin<br />

of under-investment in private R&D-activities<br />

compared to the socially desirable<br />

level. Government can compensate for this<br />

market failure by public R&D or financial<br />

incentives to private R&D. The objectives<br />

for policy are mainly focused on increasing<br />

the competitiveness of firms <strong>and</strong> the sectors<br />

they operate in. The market failure<br />

approach is particularly weak in helping to<br />

make policy choices where intervention is<br />

needed <strong>and</strong> at what level.<br />

The evolutionary economists have moved<br />

away from this neo-classical ‘market failure’<br />

approach <strong>and</strong> widened the set of rationales<br />

for innovation policy. The national systems<br />

approach identifies four types of failures<br />

that provide a justification for public<br />

intervention (see Smith 1996):<br />

1. Failures in infrastructural provision <strong>and</strong><br />

investment; e.g. universities, publicly supported<br />

technical institutes, regulatory<br />

agencies, libraries <strong>and</strong> databanks, or even<br />

government ministries.<br />

2. ‘Transition failures’, e.g. serious problems<br />

for firms <strong>and</strong> sectors in adapting to transitions<br />

such as (radical) technological<br />

change. As Smith states many public<br />

policies are in fact aimed at these issues,<br />

frequently without any explicit rationale.<br />

3. Lock-in failures; Just as firms are not able<br />

to switch away from their existing technologies,<br />

so industries <strong>and</strong> indeed the<br />

whole socio-economic system can be<br />

“locked-in” to a particular technological<br />

paradigm. External agencies, with powers<br />

to generate incentives, to develop technological<br />

alternatives, <strong>and</strong> to nurture emerging<br />

technological systems are required.<br />

4. Institutional failures; an integrated set of<br />

public <strong>and</strong> private institutions, regulatory<br />

systems <strong>and</strong> the policy system makes up<br />

an overall context of economic <strong>and</strong> technical<br />

behaviour which shapes the technological<br />

opportunities <strong>and</strong> capabilities of<br />

firms. Failures in this system can form<br />

bottlenecks for innovation act as rationale<br />

for policy action such as a change in the IPR<br />

regulations.<br />

Thus the systems approach has widened the<br />

rationale for public intervention in innovation.<br />

All those different types of ‘failures’ can<br />

be summed-up as ‘system failures’, inhibiting<br />

the interactive process of innovation.<br />

The question is whether these types of<br />

system failures also apply for sustainable<br />

development, given that negative environmental<br />

externalities are already a ground<br />

for policies that encourage internalisation<br />

of these external costs. It is easy to argue in<br />

favour of that: environmentally friendly<br />

products <strong>and</strong> services are difficult to fund<br />

since mass markets need to be stimulated.<br />

13


Position paper<br />

It requires a major transition particularly in<br />

manufacturing practices <strong>and</strong> distribution of<br />

goods. The system is locked in the resource<br />

intensive (mass) production modes that are<br />

low cost but also environmentally damaging,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the institutional system needs to be<br />

made more aware of advantages <strong>and</strong> good<br />

practices of sustainable growth paths.<br />

Thus integrating technology innovation<br />

with environmental sustainability, using the<br />

innovation systems approach will strengthen<br />

the rationale for public policy. Given the<br />

pressure on accountability of public expenditures,<br />

a proper integration of the two policy<br />

goals could not only provide a better justification<br />

for action but also extend the<br />

social impacts of government action.<br />

The basic programme of sustainable development<br />

– in environmental protection - is<br />

the decoupling of economic growth from<br />

the increased usage of materials <strong>and</strong><br />

energy, <strong>and</strong> from pollution. The intervention<br />

of government is based on the public<br />

good nature of the environment, as a common<br />

heritage of mankind, spanning the<br />

generations. The negative externalities of<br />

private economic activity on the stock of<br />

material resources, the climate <strong>and</strong> biodiversity,<br />

have to be corrected <strong>and</strong> prevented<br />

by specific incentives <strong>and</strong> regulations.<br />

Because of the increasing innovation<br />

intensity of economic growth the orientation<br />

of technological innovation is of strategic<br />

importance for the success of a sustainable<br />

development strategy. Two missions<br />

for public intervention are than to be combined:<br />

the promotion of innovation in general<br />

(because of market failures due to the<br />

positive externalities of knowledge production)<br />

<strong>and</strong> the promotion of ecological innovation<br />

in specific (because of market failures<br />

due to the negative externalities of<br />

using non-sustainable technologies). A winwin<br />

situation for innovation <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

policy might be obtained by substituting<br />

technologies of the ‘old’ industrial<br />

economy, characterised by decreasing<br />

returns in the exploitation of its material<br />

resources, by far less material <strong>and</strong> energy<br />

dependent technologies of the ‘new’ economy,<br />

that is characterised by increasing<br />

><br />

returns in the production <strong>and</strong> use of knowledge<br />

as prime resource. In general innovation<br />

policies <strong>and</strong> other public policies that<br />

are linked to other social missions of government<br />

impact each other. To achieve<br />

‘innovation performance’, they need to be<br />

co-ordinated in a horizontal manner. But<br />

the globalisation of the economy has also<br />

spurred the globalisation of the social<br />

agenda. The new mission of sustainable<br />

development has therefore to be translated<br />

in new institutional settings <strong>and</strong> usage of<br />

public incentives that combine innovation<br />

policy with goals of sustainable development,<br />

on a national <strong>and</strong> international scale.<br />

3. INNOVATION POLICY FOR<br />

SOCIETAL OBJECTIVES:<br />

THE CASE OF SUSTAINABLE GROWTH<br />

A broader rationale for public innovation<br />

incentives is a consequence of the pervasiveness<br />

of innovation in public affairs.<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> has become a prime mover in the<br />

achievement of a wide range of societal<br />

goals, in particular summed up by the<br />

agenda of ‘sustainable development’.<br />

Whereas innovation policy is still very much<br />

focused on improving competitiveness, it is<br />

also used as a means to solve a wider set of<br />

issues such as traffic congestion, social<br />

exclusion, security <strong>and</strong> pollution. Very often<br />

the implementation of innovation policies<br />

for these goals has occurred in separate<br />

realms. Whereas the innovation policy community<br />

is mainly dealing with encouraging<br />

applied research, dissemination of technologies,<br />

innovations management for the<br />

private sector, these other policy domains<br />

are developing policy instruments in whole<br />

different policy communities, dealing with<br />

different sometimes conflicting policy<br />

objectives. In the 2000 OECD report<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Environment, Heaton<br />

makes the observation that “[t]he complementarity<br />

between technological change<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental quality is not newly<br />

recognised; nor is the realisation that environmental<br />

<strong>and</strong> innovation policies should<br />

work in t<strong>and</strong>em. But these desiderata are<br />

still far from achieved: environmental <strong>and</strong><br />

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Position paper<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

technology policies are routinely pursued in<br />

separate sphere, <strong>and</strong> environmental technology<br />

is too often lodged outside the<br />

mainstream of industrial innovation.”<br />

The 6CP conference wishes to discuss how<br />

the goals of these policy communities can be<br />

reconciled in order to make more comprehensive<br />

<strong>and</strong> effective policy choices. It does<br />

this mainly from the perspective of innovation<br />

policy: what can innovation policy<br />

instruments contribute to sustainability<br />

A question to be addressed is also whether<br />

‘traditional’ innovation policy can learn from<br />

the experiences with public interventions for<br />

environmental protection. In discussing this<br />

we need also to learn from the experience of<br />

those involved in environmental (technology)<br />

policies. Yukiko Fukasaku argues that<br />

innovation can play crucial role in contributing<br />

to the environmental sustainability of<br />

growth since the latter requires radical<br />

changes in the nature of goods <strong>and</strong> services<br />

that are produced, as well as the way they<br />

are produced, distributed <strong>and</strong> used. He sees<br />

as the main obstacle the diffuse nature of<br />

environmental innovation <strong>and</strong> the difficulties<br />

in defining the boundaries of both environmental<br />

R&D <strong>and</strong> the environmental<br />

goods <strong>and</strong> services industry.<br />

Studies on the innovation effects of environmental<br />

policies mainly discuss regulation as<br />

the key form of public intervention. The most<br />

common response to regulation according to<br />

Kemp (2000) is incremental innovation in<br />

processes <strong>and</strong> products <strong>and</strong> diffusion of existing<br />

knowledge (in the form of end-of-pipe<br />

solutions <strong>and</strong> non-innovative substitutions of<br />

existing substances). Other instruments have<br />

been developed world-wide, including subsidies,<br />

convenants, R&D programmes <strong>and</strong> so<br />

on. The effects of these instruments have also<br />

been modest. A problem that scholars raise is<br />

that these are often end-of-pipe solutions,<br />

repairing damaging effects that occur in the<br />

manufacturing process. The 6CP want to discuss<br />

the possible early integration of policy<br />

objectives aimed at the positive externalities<br />

as well as the negative externalities of technology<br />

development. Will this have an effect<br />

on both competitiveness <strong>and</strong> sustainability<br />

><br />

Or does the experience with environmental<br />

policies show that to have a real effect, environmental<br />

issues should not be tackled<br />

through innovation projects but using other<br />

policy mechanisms<br />

4. HAS INNOVATION POLICY REALLY<br />

MADE A DIFFERENCE SO FAR<br />

If innovation policy claims to contribute to<br />

sustainability we first need to establish<br />

whether the traditional incentives have<br />

made a real difference in its core domain:<br />

competitiveness. The justification for innovation<br />

policy is under scrutiny in many countries,<br />

because despite several decades of policy<br />

instruments, the impact of these policies<br />

on the key policy goals (increasing economic<br />

growth by improving the innovation<br />

performance) has not been established<br />

unambiguously. The systems approach has<br />

widened the rationale for public intervention<br />

in innovation. Most important is the<br />

stimulation of technology diffusion. The<br />

knowledge distribution power of the<br />

national innovation system – basic to the<br />

productivity of the innovation process - has<br />

to be structurally improved through the<br />

enhancement of connectivity or inter-linkages.<br />

The most obvious place for public<br />

intervention is therefore on the interfaces<br />

between different institutions <strong>and</strong> actors.<br />

What does this mean for the portfolio of<br />

policy incentives that have been used over<br />

the past decades Are the traditional R&D<br />

subsidies less effective than for instance<br />

mechanisms to create university-industry<br />

links What empirical evidence do we have<br />

for demonstrating the state-of-the-art in<br />

innovation policy incentives Has the impact<br />

only affected the private level or can we<br />

show the wider social impacts that different<br />

incentives have<br />

The overall assessment of public intervention<br />

in the framework of social returns is<br />

mirrored in the assessment of effectiveness<br />

<strong>and</strong> ‘additionality’ of piecemeal policy<br />

incentives. Do they make a difference compared<br />

to the results of market forces left on<br />

their own Additionality in R&D performance<br />

is defined as a measure of the extent to<br />

15


Position paper<br />

which public support stimulates new R&D<br />

activity as opposed to subsidising what<br />

would have taken place anyway (Cameron,<br />

et al. 1996). It consists of three categories of<br />

effects: input, behavioural <strong>and</strong> output.<br />

Cameron et al. conclude that in considering<br />

the impact of government for R&D on firms’<br />

strategies, additionality is most relevant at<br />

portfolio level. However most evaluations<br />

are performed at individual scheme level.<br />

Additionality can be restricted to a narrow,<br />

quantitative underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the economic<br />

activities to be stimulated, i.e. R&D expenditures,<br />

but can also be broadened to more<br />

qualitative effects, i.e. on the project management<br />

or the propensity to collaborate.<br />

Additionality in the welfare economic sense<br />

is achieved when governments can stimulate<br />

private investors to provide public goods as<br />

new generic knowledge or a healthy environment<br />

(maximising positive externalities<br />

of knowledge production or minimising<br />

negative externalities of pollution <strong>and</strong><br />

depletion of resources). These quasi-public<br />

goods in the realm of innovation policy can<br />

be the consequence of knowledge spillovers<br />

(knowledge products itself). But additionality<br />

in innovation stimulation policies can<br />

also be assessed according to additional<br />

social objectives for innovation, in which<br />

governments have a complementary or<br />

correcting role with respect to market<br />

forces, as the case of sustainable development<br />

demonstrates. This links up with a<br />

systemic approach towards additionality in<br />

which the structural <strong>and</strong> institutional<br />

features of the innovation system are object<br />

of ‘management’.<br />

One question for the debate is whether current<br />

analytic tools are adequate to measure<br />

this wider social impact <strong>and</strong> additionality<br />

Do policy makers have the appropriate<br />

information to decide on effectiveness<br />

Establishing the socio-economic effects <strong>and</strong><br />

impact of innovation policies is high on the<br />

agenda of many OECD countries, as a consequence<br />

of an increased requirement for<br />

accountability in public sector management. In<br />

order to establish the positive externalities of<br />

knowledge production <strong>and</strong> diffusion, <strong>and</strong> not<br />

only the benefits for those directly involved in<br />

a policy programme, but also the social benefits<br />

accruing from their activities, we need to<br />

find ways to measure these first <strong>and</strong> second<br />

order effects. <strong>Policy</strong> makers are more <strong>and</strong><br />

more required to demonstrate effects of policy<br />

instruments in quantified terms.<br />

Can innovation policy be used to achieve other<br />

societal goals or should it be restricted to<br />

innovation as such And if social goals can be<br />

integrated with the traditional innovation policy<br />

incentives, how does this work in practice<br />

Impact analyses suffer from some key<br />

methodological problems, which the evaluation<br />

expert community summarises as<br />

• The attribution problem: how can you isolate<br />

the effect of a policy instrument on<br />

the performance of one firm or a group of<br />

firms, given the many additional factors<br />

that influence that performance The mirror<br />

problem: how to measure <strong>and</strong> evaluate<br />

the impact of the ‘spillovers’ of innovation<br />

activities<br />

• The time lag between research, innovation<br />

<strong>and</strong> economic effects for those directly<br />

involved in the programme <strong>and</strong> even more<br />

for those not participating in the programme.<br />

Years can go by before a commercial<br />

return of investment can be<br />

achieved at the individual firm level. The<br />

effects of technology support programmes<br />

should be measured short, medium <strong>and</strong><br />

long term. The data on the medium <strong>and</strong><br />

long-term effects are usually lacking.<br />

There are few programmes that have a<br />

sufficient long history to be able to analyse<br />

effects in the longer term, which many<br />

experts <strong>and</strong> practitioners estimate at 20<br />

years. (Norway’s user-directed R&D programmes<br />

are unusual in that their effects<br />

on participating firms have been investigated<br />

at periods up to ten years after project<br />

completion.)<br />

• The quantification of the many qualitative<br />

effects that are included in the objectives<br />

of the programme such as networking,<br />

improving the absorptive capacity <strong>and</strong><br />

competences of firms<br />

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Position paper<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

Exercises to develop these methodologies<br />

are currently being undertaken in several<br />

countries <strong>and</strong> international platforms. Has<br />

the innovation policy community achieved<br />

any progress on these matters What is the<br />

state-of-the-art at this moment Can innovation<br />

policy continue to acquire political<br />

support if it does not progress on these<br />

matters Have technology <strong>and</strong> innovation<br />

policies in other domains, such as environmental<br />

policies, achieved better successes in<br />

producing <strong>and</strong> demonstrating effectiveness<br />

<strong>Policy</strong> choices are not only dependent on<br />

the effectiveness <strong>and</strong> additionality of individual<br />

policy measures, they should be<br />

made assessing a whole portfolio of policy<br />

instruments in a systemic way. Only few<br />

countries have developed exercises to evaluate<br />

their policies in a systemic manner. In<br />

those cases multiple methods were used to<br />

come to a conclusion on what worked well<br />

<strong>and</strong> which instruments did not make a difference.<br />

We propose to re-examine the empirical evidence<br />

on the real effects of major policy<br />

choices in perspective of their required (systemic)<br />

‘additionality’. Enhancing the positive<br />

externalities of knowledge production<br />

(<strong>and</strong> also minimising the negative externalities<br />

of environmental damage) <strong>and</strong> enhancing<br />

the provision of public goods of different<br />

nature is thereby a guideline.<br />

The empirical problem is twofold: how can<br />

impact be measured, <strong>and</strong> what is the real<br />

impact of different incentive schemes Is the<br />

impact in line with the policy goals of those<br />

schemes What type of scheme is really<br />

effective for innovation stimulation <strong>and</strong><br />

what doesn’t make a difference How to<br />

measure impact on the level of the innovation<br />

actors (e.g. additional growth of private<br />

R&D) How to measure impact on the level<br />

of the innovation system (e.g. the growth of<br />

total factor productivity) How to measure<br />

the impact on ‘societal returns’ (e.g. knowledge<br />

spillovers, environmental benefits,<br />

employment effects)<br />

On the level of policy co-ordination new<br />

institutional mechanisms need to be created<br />

to cope with the tasks of public authorities<br />

to manage better the public good aspects of<br />

the innovation system. Different sectoral<br />

ministries <strong>and</strong> agencies have to mutually<br />

adjust their policies.<br />

Two preconditions are therefore important<br />

to progress on the road to policy co-ordination:<br />

the establishment of organisational<br />

communication between departments that<br />

are involved in the stimulation of innovation<br />

about their objectives, <strong>and</strong> the availability<br />

of specific indicators that measure the<br />

(interaction) effects of their policy actions to<br />

achieve these objectives. At European level<br />

the need for convergence <strong>and</strong> subsidiarity of<br />

national <strong>and</strong> European level is already well<br />

perceived. The recent advances in scoreboard<br />

<strong>and</strong> benchmarking exercises are producing<br />

instruments for better co-ordination.<br />

In some countries ‘<strong>Innovation</strong> Summits’ (e.g.<br />

Australia) bringing together all actors to formulate<br />

the policy needs spur the co-ordination<br />

efforts of government. Impact on<br />

behaviour of innovation actors very much<br />

depends on anticipations of strategic goals<br />

becoming self-fulfilling.<br />

The cycle of making policy goals explicit <strong>and</strong><br />

assessment of its effect can generate convergence<br />

to effective policy mixes stimulating<br />

innovation on the level of the individual<br />

firm, of clusters or of the innovation system<br />

as a whole. This (self-organising) interaction<br />

of policy objectives, given the ever more<br />

prominent role of innovation policy, has to<br />

be embodied in new governance structures<br />

<strong>and</strong> methods. Impact assessment of the<br />

additionality of different policies should<br />

play a steering role. ‘Additionality’ as an<br />

analytical concept has its roots in the context<br />

of measuring ‘substitution effects’ for<br />

R&D subsidies. Welfare economics indicates<br />

the complementary roles of market <strong>and</strong><br />

government to achieve social goals. The<br />

recent systemic approaches stress the interaction<br />

effects of different institutional levels<br />

<strong>and</strong> the challenge of re-adjusting the<br />

‘linear’ policy instruments in this context.<br />

The policy area, which can provide an excellent<br />

test case for this question, is that of sustainable<br />

development.<br />

17


Position paper<br />

><br />

><br />

5. WHAT WE WOULD LIKE TO ACHIEVE<br />

IN THE CONFERENCE<br />

The Brussels 6CP aims to further the discussion<br />

on the rationale <strong>and</strong> effectiveness of<br />

innovation policy in the context of:<br />

• an increased pressure for accountability<br />

<strong>and</strong> bench-marking of innovation policy<br />

instruments<br />

• the wish to contribute to environmental<br />

sustainability<br />

• the achievements <strong>and</strong> limitations of present<br />

evaluation methodologies to measure<br />

the social impact of policy incentives<br />

• the co-existence of a range of, sometimes<br />

conflicting, policy goals in which innovation<br />

can play a role, which also include<br />

societal goals<br />

• the growing importance of more integrated<br />

policy approaches versus the still<br />

fragmented implementation of policy<br />

instruments leading to sub-optimal results<br />

• the need to bring the existing innovation<br />

policy instruments further<br />

Not only do we want to launch policy<br />

debate, we also hope to discuss these<br />

themes on the basis of cases that provide<br />

empirical evidence <strong>and</strong> practical operational<br />

experiences. For instance examples of policy<br />

measures that have combined the ‘traditional’<br />

innovation policy objectives with sustainability.<br />

Cases of innovation policy programmes<br />

with empirical evidence of their<br />

success in terms of a wider social impact.<br />

SOME REFERENCES<br />

Arthur B., Increasing returns <strong>and</strong> Path<br />

Dependence in the Economy, 1994<br />

Amable B. et al, Les Systèmes d’<strong>Innovation</strong> à<br />

l’ère de la globalisation, Paris, 1997<br />

Cameron, H., Luke Georghiou, Tim Buisseret,<br />

“What difference does it make” Additionality<br />

in the public support of R&D in<br />

large firms., PREST, 1996.<br />

David, P. & Forray D., Accessing <strong>and</strong> Exp<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

the Science <strong>and</strong> Technology Knowledge<br />

Base, in STI Review no 16, 1995.<br />

C. DeBresson, An Entrepreneur Cannot Innovate<br />

Alone; Networks of Enterprises Are<br />

Required, DRUID Conference, Aalborg, 1999.<br />

MERIT, <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> in a Knowledge-<br />

Based Economy, <strong>Innovation</strong> Directorate EC,<br />

June 2000<br />

OECD, Boosting <strong>Innovation</strong>, the Cluster<br />

Approach, 1999<br />

OECD-TIP, New Policies for a New Economy:<br />

Emerging Issues in Public Funding for R&D,<br />

2000a<br />

OECD, <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Environment,<br />

2000b<br />

OECD-TIP, Technological <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong>, 2000c<br />

Smith K., 1996, Systems Approaches to<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong>: Some <strong>Policy</strong> Issues, STEP-Group,<br />

Oslo, Norway.<br />

TAFTIE, Additionality, efficiency <strong>and</strong> quality<br />

of public funding, in TAFTIE Guidelines on<br />

performance indicators for evaluation <strong>and</strong><br />

monitoring, www.taftie.org.<br />

18


<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

INNOVATION AND<br />

ENVIRONMENTAL POLICIES<br />

FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT<br />

KEN GUY<br />

Wise Guys Ltd.<br />

Ken Guy is currently the Director of Wise<br />

Guys Ltd., a flag of convenience which<br />

allows him to continue working with<br />

friends on topics which interest him. After<br />

taking Natural Sciences at Cambridge in the<br />

late 1960’s, Ken Guy’s interest in innovation<br />

policy was stimulated during his postgraduate<br />

days at Manchester University in<br />

the Department which later became PREST.<br />

His interest in environmental policy began<br />

shortly after his first academic appointment<br />

at Clark University, Worcester, Massachusetts,<br />

where he was a Research Fellow for the<br />

Scientific Committee on Problems of the<br />

Environment (SCOPE).<br />

Over the years he has maintained his interest<br />

in both areas, first at the SCOPE/UNEP<br />

Monitoring <strong>and</strong> Assessment Research<br />

Centre (MARC) at the University of London<br />

<strong>and</strong> subsequently at SPRU, University of<br />

Sussex, during the 1980s, where he found-ed<br />

the group concerned with the Evaluation<br />

of Government <strong>and</strong> Industry Strategies for<br />

Technology, <strong>and</strong> at Technopolis, an innovation<br />

policy consultancy which he founded<br />

in 1989.<br />

Recent tasks relevant to his talk today<br />

include evaluations of environment-related<br />

R&D programmes in a number of countries,<br />

jointly authoring an EU report on climate<br />

change <strong>and</strong> the challenge for R&D policy,<br />

<strong>and</strong> involvement in a number of Committees<br />

<strong>and</strong> Panels concerned with the<br />

development of EU innovation policies.<br />

19


1. INTRODUCTION<br />

When I was invited to give the introductory<br />

talk at this conference, I was asked to set the<br />

scene for the next two days by running<br />

through some of the key issues preoccupying<br />

all those concerned with innovation policy,<br />

environmental policy <strong>and</strong> sustainable<br />

development, concentrating in particular on<br />

how innovation <strong>and</strong> environmental policy<br />

might be brought together to promote sustainable<br />

development. Underpinning this<br />

was a desire to reorient innovation policy<br />

such that it could become an effective tool<br />

in the process of attaining sustainable development.<br />

In effect, I was told that the main<br />

aim of the conference was to ask the question:<br />

“What can innovation policy <strong>and</strong> innovation<br />

policymakers do for sustainable<br />

development”.<br />

Any attempt to cover all this ground in<br />

detail would be doomed to failure in the<br />

time allocated for my talk. I shall only<br />

attempt, therefore, to scratch the surface –<br />

leaving it to those who follow to dig deeper<br />

<strong>and</strong> unearth the real treasures. In so doing I<br />

shall touch fleetingly upon the nature of<br />

innovation <strong>and</strong> innovation policy <strong>and</strong> what<br />

we know about the effectiveness of policy in<br />

this sphere. I shall also do the same for environmental<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> environmental technology<br />

policy. I shall then consider their<br />

interaction <strong>and</strong> some of the ways in which<br />

they can be beneficially combined, following<br />

the plot through to ask what innovation<br />

policy can do for sustainable development.<br />

As a twist to the plot, however, I shall<br />

also ask: “What can environmental policy<br />

<strong>and</strong> sustainable development do for innovation”<br />

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><br />

2. POLICY SPHERES<br />

To be sure that we’re all talking <strong>and</strong> thinking<br />

about the same things, I’m going to start<br />

with some simple clarifications <strong>and</strong> definitions.<br />

For example, as the first Exhibit shows,<br />

I shall take innovation policy as a sub-set of<br />

industrial policy; the overlap between industrial<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> environmental policy as the<br />

domain of sustainable development policy;<br />

<strong>and</strong> the overlap with innovation policy as<br />

the area we are most concerned with in this<br />

conference.<br />

<strong>Policy</strong> Spheres<br />

Industrial <strong>Policy</strong><br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong><br />

Environmental <strong>Policy</strong><br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> for<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />

<strong>Policy</strong><br />

It follows immediately from this diagram<br />

that some of the issues we should cover concern<br />

the relative size <strong>and</strong> position of these<br />

spheres, e.g. should environmental policy be<br />

a small adjunct to industrial policy Should<br />

innovation policy dominate industrial policy<br />

Can or should all of innovation policy be<br />

located within the sustainable development<br />

policy domain Should innovation policy<br />

dominate the sustainable development<br />

overlap etc.<br />

><br />

Hopefully we will return to some of these<br />

issues during the course of the conference,<br />

but let’s have the simple definitions first. In<br />

terms of aims <strong>and</strong> objectives, we can take<br />

the aim of industrial policy to be the promotion<br />

of economic ‘well-being’, typically<br />

defined in terms of economic growth <strong>and</strong><br />

the robustness of the economy as a whole.<br />

Similarly, we can take environmental ‘wellbeing’<br />

as the aim of environmental policy,<br />

with actions often resembling remedial<br />

rather than preventative medicine. At the<br />

juncture of these two spheres, we can consider<br />

the aim of sustainable development to<br />

be the maximisation of environmental productivity<br />

<strong>and</strong> efficiency within economic<br />

production processes, i.e. producing more<br />

output from less material resources with the<br />

minimum amount of waste <strong>and</strong> pollution.<br />

For innovation policy, however, a simple definition<br />

is less forthcoming, for the aim of<br />

innovation policy is not simply to promote<br />

more innovation, nor is it simply to promote<br />

economic growth. Although innovation is<br />

one of the key drivers of modern economies,<br />

innovation policy has historically been<br />

applied only when the aim has been to<br />

achieve socially desirable externalities which<br />

would not, or could not, be achieved by the<br />

private sector alone in the absence of public<br />

policy interventions. Frequently these externalities<br />

manifest themselves in terms of economic<br />

benefits, <strong>and</strong> innovation policy does<br />

then become an instrument which enhances<br />

economic growth. But increasingly these<br />

externalities, or expected externalities, have<br />

come to have a broader socio-economic<br />

complexion, which has meant that innovation<br />

policy is now expected to serve other<br />

masters, including the goal of environmental<br />

well-being. This in turn means that innovation<br />

policy is concerned not only with<br />

increasing the absolute amount or rate of<br />

innovation, but also with shaping the course<br />

of scientific <strong>and</strong> technological developments<br />

in ways deemed socially desirable.<br />

3. INNOVATION POLICY<br />

Before examining the consequences of this<br />

broader remit for the attainment of sustainable<br />

development, however, we need to ask<br />

whether innovation policy has fulfilled<br />

expectations apropos of its narrower, historical<br />

economic remit. In other words, has<br />

innovation policy worked <strong>and</strong>, if it has,<br />

what’s the magic formula for success<br />

Broadly speaking, the answer to the first<br />

part of the question is both ‘yes’ <strong>and</strong> ‘don’t<br />

know’. Efforts to evaluate individual innovation<br />

policy mechanisms, ranging from R&D<br />

programmes to tax incentives <strong>and</strong> diffusion<br />

initiatives, have become commonplace over<br />

21


<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Environmental Policies for <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />

the last twenty years, <strong>and</strong> my own general<br />

impression – which I’m sure will be shared by<br />

many of the other professional innovation<br />

policy evaluators in the audience – is that<br />

most single initiatives actually achieve their<br />

immediate, pragmatic goals <strong>and</strong> contribute<br />

to the higher level goals which litter the<br />

rhetoric of their rationales – though to what<br />

extent remains an open question. Also<br />

unknown is the effectiveness of different<br />

combinations of policy instruments – i.e. of<br />

the overall policy mix – vis-à-vis the attainment<br />

of these high-level goals.<br />

All this should come as no surprise, however,<br />

for we are dealing here with complex social<br />

systems, not conducting simple laboratory<br />

experiments or controlled trials. We have<br />

developed fairly crude social science methods<br />

to assess the attainment of the more<br />

directly realisable goals of individual policy<br />

initiatives (e.g. the knowledge, networking<br />

<strong>and</strong> even commercial exploitation goals of<br />

R&D programmes), <strong>and</strong> we have also developed<br />

sets of macro-economic indicators<br />

which allow us to track many aspects of<br />

innovative <strong>and</strong> economic behaviour at the<br />

level of whole economies, but we have not<br />

cracked the problems of causation <strong>and</strong> attribution<br />

which bedevil attempts to link micro<strong>and</strong><br />

macro- phenomena, nor have we managed<br />

to build adequate models of the ways<br />

in which innovation policy initiatives interact<br />

with <strong>and</strong> influence overall economic<br />

behaviour. And neither are we likely to in<br />

the foreseeable future.<br />

Our inability to measure the overall impact of<br />

innovation policies on economic performance,<br />

however, is no argument for their<br />

removal from the armoury of public policymakers.<br />

We cannot measure the effect of<br />

many other individual initiatives on the performance<br />

of complex social systems, but we<br />

persist in their use if they satisfy lesser goals<br />

<strong>and</strong>, more importantly, if theory suggests<br />

that there is a role for them to play even if<br />

the tools to measure overall effectiveness are<br />

inadequate. And this is where developments<br />

over the past twenty years in our underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

of the ways in which ‘innovation systems’<br />

operate come to the rescue, for even a<br />

cursory inspection of current theory provides<br />

a few simple clues concerning the desirability<br />

<strong>and</strong> applicability of innovation policies.<br />

In its simplest form, innovation systems theory<br />

draws upon general systems theory by<br />

defining ‘systems’ in terms of a number of<br />

‘actors’ (often represented diagrammatically<br />

by ‘boxes’) <strong>and</strong> the relationships between<br />

them (which are usually depicted by ‘arrows’<br />

suggesting flows of information, money,<br />

influence etc.). Individual ‘reductionist’ studies<br />

then focus in on the evolving relationships<br />

between specific ‘boxes’ <strong>and</strong> ‘arrows’, while<br />

more ‘holistic’ studies attempt to underst<strong>and</strong><br />

the functioning of the system as a whole,<br />

albeit via an informed appreciation of the<br />

functioning of individual elements <strong>and</strong> often<br />

cavalier theorising about how they combine<br />

<strong>and</strong> evolve. There are many lessons to be<br />

learnt for the formulation of individual policy<br />

instruments from the plethora of reductionist<br />

studies conducted over the years, but there<br />

are also many lessons which stem from more<br />

holistic appraisals.<br />

The first of these is based on our current<br />

underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the complexity of modern<br />

innovation systems, each of which is composed<br />

of many different types of actor (multiple<br />

boxes) interacting in multifarious ways<br />

(multiple arrows). In such systems, system<br />

performance is often determined or regulated<br />

by the weakest node (i.e. the weakest<br />

link in the chain). The implication for policy<br />

formulation, therefore, is that policy interventions<br />

should target the weakest links.<br />

Similarly, attempts to benchmark innovation<br />

systems <strong>and</strong> the impact of policies on system<br />

performance should also concentrate on the<br />

identification <strong>and</strong> characterisation of weakest<br />

links.<br />

A second lesson which stems from the complexity<br />

of innovation systems is that individual<br />

policy instruments applied in isolation<br />

are unlikely to have a dramatic impact on<br />

overall system performance. In theory this is<br />

exactly what could happen if policies are targeted<br />

accurately at extremely critical weak<br />

links, but in practice the ‘strategic intelligence’<br />

required to identify critical nodes is<br />

woefully inadequate. In complex systems,<br />

too, there are likely to be many weak nodes,<br />

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<strong>and</strong> even accurate targeting of an individual<br />

weak link is only likely to produce incremental<br />

improvements if other weak links are<br />

neglected by policymakers.<br />

A corollary of all of this is that successful<br />

attempts by public policymakers to improve<br />

the performance of complex innovation systems<br />

are more likely to consist of the application<br />

of a broad portfolio of policy instruments<br />

than the application of any one<br />

instrument in isolation. In this context it is<br />

salutary <strong>and</strong> dispiriting to note the upsurge<br />

in popularity in countries such as Sweden<br />

(<strong>and</strong>, possibly, the UK) for the unitary application<br />

of policies designed solely to support<br />

the science base rather than the application<br />

of a broad mix of policies across the whole<br />

innovation spectrum. In the context of complex<br />

innovation systems, policies such as these<br />

are very unlikely to bear the expected fruit.<br />

Applying a successful broad mix, however,<br />

again requires high levels of ‘strategic intelligence’<br />

about the existence of weak links<br />

<strong>and</strong> the efficacy <strong>and</strong> appropriateness of individual<br />

policy instruments in particular contexts.<br />

In turn, this emphasises the need for<br />

constant experimentation <strong>and</strong> evaluation in<br />

the use of different instruments <strong>and</strong> combinations<br />

of instruments, with the results of<br />

these assessments continually feeding back<br />

into policy formulation discussions <strong>and</strong><br />

benchmarking exercises.<br />

4. MORE LESSONS<br />

The process of segmenting whole innovation<br />

systems into constituent parts which<br />

interact with each other provides many<br />

more lessons for policymaking <strong>and</strong> benchmarking,<br />

even when the segmentation is<br />

simplistic in the extreme. Exhibit 2 segments<br />

a national innovation system into four constituent,<br />

interacting groups of actors,<br />

defined in terms of their membership of the<br />

public <strong>and</strong> private sectors <strong>and</strong> their roles as<br />

either ‘knowledge creators’ or ‘knowledge<br />

users’. Typical activities conducted by these<br />

different groups are also included in the figure.<br />

In reality the situation is obviously much<br />

more complicated than this, but even this<br />

gross simplification is sufficient to illustrate<br />

some lessons for innovation policy.<br />

One of the first things which current innovation<br />

theory tells us about a system such<br />

as this is that all parts need to interact well<br />

if the system is going to function smoothly.<br />

There is no point in knowledge creation,<br />

for example, if the routes to knowledge use<br />

are blocked (which is precisely the reason<br />

why the funding of basic science will not<br />

lead to improvements in innovation systems<br />

if the weak nodes in the system correspond<br />

to the barriers between knowledge<br />

creation <strong>and</strong> use).<br />

Our knowledge of innovation systems also<br />

tells us that the amounts of money spent by<br />

the private sector on applied R&D <strong>and</strong> product/process<br />

development dwarf the sums<br />

which the public sector has to support civil<br />

innovation generally. Using any of these<br />

funds to subsidise work in the private sector<br />

similar to that already being undertaken by<br />

firms would thus lead only to minor changes<br />

at the margin. In practice, policymakers have<br />

moved away from straightforward subsidy<br />

mechanisms in this area <strong>and</strong> will now only<br />

contemplate direct funding of private sector<br />

R&D if additionality, leverage or catalytic consequences<br />

can be demonstrated.<br />

A Simple Inovation System<br />

Public Sector<br />

Private Sector<br />

Knowledge Universities Intermediate <strong>and</strong> End Consumers<br />

Users S&T Training <strong>and</strong> Education Market for Goods <strong>and</strong> Services<br />

Knowledge<br />

Creators<br />

Universities<br />

Basic Scientific Research<br />

Firms<br />

Applied R&D <strong>and</strong><br />

Product/Process <strong>Development</strong><br />

23


<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Environmental Policies for <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />

It is still arguable, however, that innovation<br />

policies aimed to date at stimulating the<br />

scale of private sector investment in R&D<br />

activity have had limited success – via both<br />

direct funding <strong>and</strong> indirect schemes such as<br />

tax incentives. Given the relative size of<br />

these R&D budgets, however, <strong>and</strong> their critical<br />

role as motors of innovation systems, this<br />

is one of the most important areas for creative<br />

thinking in the whole innovation<br />

policymaking domain.<br />

The importance of S&T education <strong>and</strong> training<br />

within the Knowledge Use/Public Sector<br />

quadrant of the simple innovation system<br />

depicted in Exhibit 2 is emphasised by the<br />

current stress within the innovation theory<br />

literature on concepts such as social capital<br />

<strong>and</strong> absorptive capacity. Without adequate<br />

policies supporting strong scientific <strong>and</strong><br />

technological cadres within the population<br />

<strong>and</strong>, perhaps even more importantly, a population<br />

at large equipped to be ‘knowledge<br />

consumers’ within ‘knowledge societies’, the<br />

prospects for healthy <strong>and</strong> dynamic innovation<br />

systems look bleak.<br />

The importance of adequate links between<br />

all the constituent parts of innovation<br />

systems is probably most easily demonstrated<br />

when considering private sector<br />

links between Knowledge Creators <strong>and</strong><br />

Knowledge Users, for lack of an effective<br />

linkage here would simply mean that firms<br />

were unable to sell their goods <strong>and</strong> services.<br />

It is not surprising, therefore, that many<br />

innovation policies in recent years have<br />

taken the form of ‘bridging’ actions<br />

designed to ensure links are strengthened.<br />

Exhibit 3 uses the simple model of an innovation<br />

system outlined earlier to distinguish<br />

between different types of ‘bridging’ policies<br />

<strong>and</strong> different types of ‘reinforcement’<br />

policies. The latter are aimed at strengthening<br />

or supporting mainstream activities<br />

within each quadrant. In contrast, the former<br />

are specifically designed to link quadrants<br />

together via actions which encourage<br />

or enable the actors in these quadrants to<br />

benefit from increased exposure to each<br />

other. Although the list of mechanisms in<br />

Exhibit 3 is by no means exhaustive, the preponderance<br />

of measures which can be<br />

described as ‘bridging’ measures - especially<br />

between public <strong>and</strong> private sector actors of<br />

all kinds <strong>and</strong> private sector knowledge creators<br />

<strong>and</strong> users - exemplifies their current<br />

importance in the arsenal of modern-day<br />

innovation policymakers.<br />

So is there a magic formula for successful<br />

innovation policy Can consideration of<br />

these simple models point the way forward<br />

All the discussion so far suggests that the<br />

following virtuous steps should be taken<br />

during the policy formulation process:<br />

• Base policy prescriptions on an analysis of<br />

as much ‘strategic intelligence’ as possible,<br />

making every effort to identify weak<br />

nodes within the innovation systems<br />

addressed <strong>and</strong> targeting these first;<br />

• Attempt to construct a policy portfolio<br />

which addresses as many of these weaknesses<br />

as possible, <strong>and</strong> don’t rely on a<br />

single policy instrument;<br />

• Include measures aimed at human<br />

resource development which strengthen<br />

competence <strong>and</strong> lead to increases in social<br />

capital <strong>and</strong> absorptive capacity;<br />

• Include ‘bridging’ measures aimed at<br />

improving knowledge <strong>and</strong> information<br />

flows;<br />

• Experiment, evaluate <strong>and</strong> feedback this<br />

‘strategic intelligence’ into policy formulation.<br />

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A Simple Taxonomy of <strong>Innovation</strong> Policies<br />

PUBLIC SECTOR<br />

PRIVATE SECTOR<br />

KNOWLEDGE<br />

USERS<br />

Reinforcement Policies for<br />

Public Sector<br />

Knowledge Users<br />

• Support for science/technology<br />

educational institutions<br />

• Support for government<br />

‘knowledge workers’<br />

Bridging Initiatives between<br />

Public <strong>and</strong> Private Sector<br />

Knowledge Users<br />

• Public sector bodies<br />

providing technical information<br />

services<br />

• Public sector bodies<br />

providing metrology services<br />

• Public sector bodies providing<br />

patent <strong>and</strong> licence information<br />

• Public sector bodies providing<br />

consultancy advice to firms<br />

• Enhanced public private/<br />

public sector interaction via<br />

proximity on science parks<br />

Reinforcement Policies for<br />

Private Sector<br />

Knowledge Users<br />

• Improved access to venture<br />

capital for ‘knowledge<br />

intensive’ sectors<br />

• Preferential tax regimes for<br />

‘knowledge intensive’ sectors<br />

Bridging Initiatives between<br />

Public Sector<br />

Knowledge Users <strong>and</strong><br />

Knowledge Creators<br />

• ICT network<br />

infrastructure support<br />

Bridging Initiatives between<br />

Public <strong>and</strong> Private Sector<br />

Knowledge Users <strong>and</strong><br />

Creators<br />

• Government procurement<br />

mechanisms<br />

Bridging Initiatives between<br />

Private Sector<br />

Knowledge Users <strong>and</strong><br />

Creators<br />

• Subsidised technology transfer<br />

<strong>and</strong> adoption schemes<br />

• Technology brokerage<br />

schemes<br />

• Support for the growth<br />

of private sector ‘intermediaries’<br />

• Awareness campaigns<br />

• Technology demonstration<br />

initiatives<br />

KNOWLEDGE<br />

CREATORS<br />

Reinforcement Policies for<br />

Public Sector<br />

Knowledge Creators<br />

• Support for research equipment<br />

infrastructure in universities<br />

• Support for government<br />

labs<br />

• Support for basic science<br />

• Support for generic collaborative<br />

research between<br />

universities<br />

• Support for networks of<br />

research excellence<br />

Bridging Initiatives between<br />

Public <strong>and</strong> Private Sector<br />

Knowledge Creators<br />

• Support for targeted<br />

collaborative research<br />

between universities <strong>and</strong><br />

industry<br />

• R&D services provided by<br />

Government labs to industry<br />

• R&D services provided by<br />

universities to industry<br />

• R&D partner search<br />

initiatives<br />

• University/industry<br />

personnel exchange<br />

schemes for R&D staff<br />

Reinforcement Policies for<br />

Private Sector<br />

Knowledge Creators<br />

• Subsidised market-oriented<br />

R&D<br />

• Product development<br />

assistance<br />

• R&D tax incentives<br />

• Government support for<br />

inter-firm R&D collaboration<br />

(e.g. reciprocity agreements)<br />

• <strong>Innovation</strong> credits<br />

• Favourable IPR regimes<br />

• Inward investment schemes<br />

for ‘R&D intensive’ industries<br />

25


<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Environmental Policies for <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />

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1<br />

D. Anderson et al<br />

(2001), <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

the Environment:<br />

Challenges <strong>and</strong> <strong>Policy</strong><br />

Options for the UK,<br />

London: Imperial<br />

College Centre for<br />

Energy <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Technology <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Fabian Society<br />

2<br />

R. Kemp (2000),<br />

‘Technology <strong>and</strong> Environmental<br />

<strong>Policy</strong>: <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

Effects of Past<br />

Policies <strong>and</strong> Suggestions<br />

for Improvement’, in<br />

OECD (2000), <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> the Environment:<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong>,<br />

Paris: OECD<br />

5. ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY<br />

In due course we will return to some of the<br />

generic lessons which innovation systems theory<br />

has for policy formulation <strong>and</strong> implementation.<br />

In the meantime, though, we should turn<br />

our attention to environmental policy, asking<br />

again what works <strong>and</strong> what doesn’t work.<br />

We can begin immediately by narrowing the<br />

focus, for the sphere of environmental policy is<br />

vast <strong>and</strong> the part we are interested in – the interaction<br />

with technological development, innovation<br />

<strong>and</strong> economic well-being – is a relatively<br />

small, if not unimportant, component of the<br />

whole. I shall argue, however, that this domain<br />

could <strong>and</strong> should grow in relative size <strong>and</strong><br />

importance in the future, for technological innovation<br />

is a crucial route to environmental wellbeing,<br />

not only via ‘end-of-pipe’ modifications<br />

to existing technologies, but also via the wholesale<br />

shifts in production paradigms implied via<br />

the concept of sustainable development.<br />

A recent UK report 1 stated that the importance<br />

of technological <strong>and</strong> managerial improvement<br />

in enhancing environmental efficiency is<br />

becoming increasingly accepted. In support of<br />

this claim, it cites two examples of policies<br />

which successfully stimulated technological<br />

developments <strong>and</strong> led to environmental<br />

improvements. Both involved regulatory<br />

changes <strong>and</strong> the subsequent introduction of<br />

best practice technologies to reduce air <strong>and</strong><br />

water pollution, the most striking of which was<br />

the fall in lead tailpipe emissions following the<br />

introduction in 1986 of lead-free petrol in the<br />

UK. Regulatory change helps define markets<br />

<strong>and</strong> can thus be an important stimulus to innovation.<br />

The historical record suggests that<br />

much of this innovation is modest <strong>and</strong> incremental<br />

in nature but, as René Kemp has noted 2 ,<br />

stringent regulatory changes, e.g. product<br />

bans, can induce more radical innovation.<br />

We know too that some traditional innovation<br />

policy instruments also ‘work’ for environmental<br />

technology. Evaluations of environmental<br />

technology R&D programmes in which I have<br />

been personally involved (in Finl<strong>and</strong>, Sweden<br />

<strong>and</strong> the EU generally) all suggest that they are<br />

no more <strong>and</strong> no less successful than R&D programmes<br />

in other technology areas.<br />

><br />

Unfortunately, we also know -– or at least we<br />

strongly suspect – that efforts to stimulate R&D<br />

in these areas are sub-critical given the scale of<br />

the environmental challenges which confront<br />

us. Moreover, there is the additional suspicion<br />

that many of these initiatives need to shift<br />

away from a short-term focus on incremental<br />

technology improvem ents <strong>and</strong> refocus on<br />

more radical solutions to the longer-term<br />

problems posed by phenomena such as climate<br />

change, loss of biodiversity <strong>and</strong> the depletion<br />

of freshwater resources.<br />

We also know that the barriers to successful<br />

innovation are particularly severe in many<br />

environment-related areas. Although there is<br />

scope in theory for innovations which bring<br />

about improvements in environmental productivity<br />

<strong>and</strong> efficiency to be accompanied by cost<br />

reductions, in reality many in industry regard<br />

environmental innovation as an unwanted cost<br />

rather than as an opportunity to reduce costs<br />

in the longer term. Many of the industry sectors<br />

in which environment-friendly technologies<br />

are most needed also have ponderous<br />

technology infrastructures <strong>and</strong> very low rates<br />

of capital stock turnover, making innovation a<br />

slow <strong>and</strong> laborious process.<br />

6. WHAT CAN INNOVATION POLICY DO<br />

FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT<br />

Many of the observations made about innovation<br />

systems <strong>and</strong> the lessons for innovation policy<br />

can be applied to the special case of innovation<br />

policy for sustainable development.<br />

Probably the most important of these is the<br />

proposition that an appropriate policy mix is<br />

likely to be much more effective than the use of<br />

a single, isolated instrument. <strong>Innovation</strong> is a<br />

complex process , different parts of which are<br />

best tackled via different types of instrument –<br />

some of which deal with ‘supply-side’ issues (e.g.<br />

funding for R&D <strong>and</strong> the training of scientific<br />

personnel), while others focus on dem<strong>and</strong>-side<br />

stimulation (e.g. technology adoption incentives)<br />

<strong>and</strong> a whole host of other activities in<br />

between -– including all the ‘bridging’ initiatives<br />

depicted in the earlier Exhibit 3. Combinations<br />

of these instruments, customised to the needs of<br />

different industry <strong>and</strong> technology sectors, are<br />

needed to improve overall system performance.<br />

26


<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Environmental Policies for <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

3<br />

D. Anderson et al<br />

(2001), op. cit.<br />

><br />

This fact was recognised in the UK study mentioned<br />

earlier 3 . The authors recommended combinations<br />

of three types of instrument: target<br />

setting; financial support, including mechanisms<br />

for raising finance; <strong>and</strong> political <strong>and</strong> corporate<br />

leadership. The setting of outcome-based targets<br />

– based on assessments of what innovations can<br />

realistically deliver <strong>and</strong> backed by the promise (or<br />

threat) of legislative or economic enforcement –<br />

constituted the first part of the tripartite scheme.<br />

Next came a series of measures designed to provide<br />

financial support for innovation. These<br />

included public support for environmental R&D<br />

<strong>and</strong> the training of researchers; ‘back-loading<br />

support for innovation, i.e. prizes for technologies<br />

which secured particular environmental<br />

objectives; tax incentives <strong>and</strong> credits for innovation<br />

with beneficial implications for the environment;<br />

<strong>and</strong> the setting up of a National<br />

Environment facility to manage <strong>and</strong> channel<br />

environmental innovation. The third leg of the<br />

scheme envisaged much more efforts at a political<br />

level to provide leadership <strong>and</strong> deliver clear<br />

statements of long-term intent which industry<br />

could use to shape its investment plans.<br />

The second important lesson from our examination<br />

of innovation policy, however, is that<br />

we still don’t know which policy mixes are<br />

appropriate in different settings <strong>and</strong> which are<br />

likely to deliver the most desirable outcomes.<br />

But this is not a recipe for inaction. Rather, it is<br />

a clarion call for more determined efforts to<br />

evaluate <strong>and</strong> assess the performance of individual<br />

instruments, experiment with different<br />

combinations of policies, benchmark the performance<br />

of overall systems <strong>and</strong> slowly but<br />

surely increase our collective underst<strong>and</strong>ing of<br />

how these incredibly complex social <strong>and</strong> physical<br />

systems interact <strong>and</strong> function. The need<br />

here is for the type of ‘strategic intelligence’<br />

which, in the long term, will allow us to<br />

identify <strong>and</strong> rectify weaknesses in particular<br />

innovation systems <strong>and</strong> make more enlightened<br />

<strong>and</strong> informed policy choices.<br />

7. WHAT CAN ENVIRONMENTAL<br />

POLICY DO FOR INNOVATION<br />

So far I have kept to the suggested story-line<br />

but, as promised, here’s a twist to the plot.<br />

Rather than asking what innovation policy can<br />

do for sustainable development, let’s turn the<br />

spotlight on what environmental policy can do<br />

for innovation.<br />

The answer is certainly not trivial. <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

policymakers around the world are still making<br />

strenuous efforts to overcome systemic<br />

<strong>and</strong> context-dependent hurdles to the<br />

improvement of innovation system performance.<br />

In the EU, for example, the informal<br />

seminar of Industry <strong>and</strong> Research Ministers<br />

which took place in S’Agaró-Girona at the<br />

beginning of this month concluded that the<br />

EU still has many barriers to overcome if it is<br />

to achieve the so-called ‘Lisbon objective’ of<br />

becoming the most competitive <strong>and</strong> dynamic<br />

knowledge-based society in the world.<br />

Primary amongst these is the need to close<br />

the existing gaps with its main competitors in<br />

terms of the relative amounts of R&D conducted<br />

in the different settings <strong>and</strong> the efficiency<br />

of its translation into innovation <strong>and</strong>,<br />

ultimately, enhanced economic performance.<br />

Stimulating private sector investment in R&D<br />

is critical to the success of this venture <strong>and</strong><br />

constitutes a very real challenge for innovation<br />

policy. Specific policy measures include<br />

direct measures (e.g. R&D grants <strong>and</strong> subsidies),<br />

indirect measures (e.g. tax incentives),<br />

loan guarantee schemes <strong>and</strong> schemes to make<br />

venture capital available for R&D, but finding<br />

the right policy mix remains an elusive goal.<br />

One suggestion, however, would be to take a<br />

leaf from the environmental policymakers’<br />

h<strong>and</strong>book. Any comparison of the types of<br />

measures used in the two separate domains<br />

of innovation <strong>and</strong> environment policy soon<br />

reveals a glaring disparity. Whereas innovation<br />

policy has historically been dominated by<br />

efforts to improve inputs to the innovation<br />

process, with other actions gaining popularity<br />

only in the recent past, environmental policy<br />

has, in contrast, been dominated by regulatory<br />

measures which shape <strong>and</strong> influence<br />

markets <strong>and</strong> the dem<strong>and</strong> for innovations.<br />

Would it be possible, therefore, to make better<br />

use of regulatory instruments to stimulate<br />

private sector spend on R&D<br />

In many technology spheres this will be neither<br />

possible nor desirable, particularly where<br />

the end goal of innovation policy is to<br />

27


<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Environmental Policies for <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />

enhance competitiveness irrespective of the<br />

nature or type of technology supported.<br />

It does start to make sense, however, when<br />

innovation policy is expected to serve other<br />

socio-economic goals – those related to<br />

health <strong>and</strong> the environment, for instance.<br />

The scale of the problems society will face in<br />

these two areas in the future also suggests<br />

that the markets for innovative products <strong>and</strong><br />

processes in these domains will soar once<br />

successfully stimulated. The trick, therefore,<br />

is to find the correct policy mix, <strong>and</strong> it is<br />

here that combinations of traditional innovation<br />

policy instruments <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

regulatory policies might prove their worth.<br />

Undoubtedly there will be some in the audience<br />

– <strong>and</strong> amongst these I expect to include<br />

my co-speakers this morning, George Heaton<br />

<strong>and</strong> Luke Georghiou – who are not convinced<br />

of the efficacy of regulatory mechanisms, for<br />

such instruments have often lacked teeth in<br />

the past. To my mind, however, the solution is<br />

to complement them with other innovation<br />

policy mechanisms <strong>and</strong> to lobby for their<br />

improvement rather than to dismiss them<br />

wholesale. But enough of my opinions. It’s<br />

time now for others to have their say.<br />

28


<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

POLICIES FOR INNOVATION<br />

AND THE ENVIRONMENT:<br />

TOWARD AN ARRANGED MARRIAGE<br />

GEORGE R. HEATON, JR.<br />

Worcester Polytechnic Institute<br />

Massachusetts (USA)<br />

George R. Heaton is on the faculty at<br />

the Worcester Polytechnic Institute, an<br />

engineering university in Worcester,<br />

Massachusetts (USA), <strong>and</strong> is managing partner<br />

of Technology <strong>Policy</strong> International,<br />

an international consulting group in the<br />

US <strong>and</strong> Japan. Trained as a lawyer,<br />

George Heaton began his career at the<br />

Massachusetts Institute of Technology<br />

(MIT), where he taught in the engineering<br />

<strong>and</strong> management schools <strong>and</strong> undertook<br />

some of the first research focusing on the<br />

relationship between environmental policy<br />

<strong>and</strong> technological change in industry. The<br />

connection between public policy <strong>and</strong> technology<br />

– whether environmental or economic<br />

– is the central focus of his professional<br />

interest. In addition to academic pursuits,<br />

Mr. Heaton has consulted widely to<br />

national <strong>and</strong> international organizations,<br />

including long-term relationships with the<br />

World Resources Institute, the World Bank,<br />

the OECD, USAID, <strong>and</strong> several agencies of<br />

the Japanese government. In the international<br />

context, he has been a visiting professor<br />

at the Wissenschaftzentrum-Berlin<br />

<strong>and</strong> Saitama University in Japan, <strong>and</strong> has<br />

worked extensively on environmental <strong>and</strong><br />

technology policy issues in France, China,<br />

Chile, Germany <strong>and</strong> elsewhere. George<br />

Heaton was rapporteur of the OECD workshop<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Environment.<br />

29


Policies for <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Environment: Toward an Arranged Marriage<br />

><br />

1<br />

A st<strong>and</strong>ard cartoon in<br />

the U.S. shows a man<br />

shaking h<strong>and</strong>s with his<br />

girlfriend’s father,<br />

as she introduces him<br />

with: “Dad, this is<br />

Mike; we’re getting<br />

married.”<br />

2<br />

In Japan, aunts of<br />

a certain age are<br />

stock-character<br />

go-betweens.<br />

So are superiors<br />

at the office.<br />

><br />

1. A MARRIAGE ANALOGY<br />

Different cultures approach marriage differently,<br />

with widely differing results. In my<br />

own country, the United States, arranged<br />

marriages are universally scorned – although<br />

it should be noted that we have the world’s<br />

highest rate of internet-formed couples! In<br />

Japan, the process known as “omiyaikekkon”<br />

(literally, marriage by taking a<br />

look) is a respected institution, employed in<br />

about half of all marriages. The paradigm<br />

assumptions of these two approaches –<br />

“love match” <strong>and</strong> “arranged marriage” –<br />

diverge significantly: in the former, the natural<br />

affinity of the couple is valued above all<br />

else; in the latter, practical considerations<br />

affecting long-term compatibility tend to<br />

take greater weight. Their institutional<br />

mechanisms differ as well. In one case, the<br />

couple finds each other, falls in love <strong>and</strong><br />

announces marriage – independently 1 . In<br />

the other case, intermediaries choose c<strong>and</strong>idates,<br />

offer venues for getting acquainted<br />

<strong>and</strong> smooth the union of two families 2 .<br />

Obviously, each of these approaches has its<br />

virtues <strong>and</strong> drawbacks. But one fact is clear:<br />

the divorce rate in Japan is dramatically<br />

lower than in the U.S.<br />

The argument implicit this analogy is that<br />

environmental policy <strong>and</strong> innovation policy<br />

could make a good arranged marriage. That<br />

they are not an obvious love-match should<br />

be clear after 30 years of parallel co-existence<br />

accompanied by little interaction. But<br />

their compatibility is also certain: the fundamental<br />

goal of each is to put today’s technology<br />

on new trajectories. As with any<br />

arranged marriage, skillful intermediaries<br />

will be needed – to make the case, to make<br />

the contacts <strong>and</strong> to craft the mechanisms.<br />

The attendees at this meeting could well be<br />

in the vanguard of this effort.<br />

2. THE SITUATION OF THE PARTIES<br />

“<strong>Innovation</strong> policy” is a relatively new term<br />

for an older concept. Starting life in the<br />

post-World War II period as “science policy,”<br />

this set of initiatives has focused above all<br />

on increasing the quantity of inputs to the<br />

process of technological change – R&D<br />

funds, skilled personnel <strong>and</strong> technical information.<br />

The goal has been to spur economic<br />

growth through the development of new<br />

technologies that increase productivity <strong>and</strong><br />

offer new functionality. Today’s focus on the<br />

“innovation system” as the locus of policy<br />

concern does not bespeak a change in<br />

purpose, but rather, a new underst<strong>and</strong>ing of<br />

the process of technological change.<br />

Perhaps the central realization has been<br />

captured by this meeting’s Position Paper, in<br />

its assertion that “permanent renewal” is<br />

the driving force in the knowledge economy.<br />

What this means is that all technologies<br />

are constantly challenged <strong>and</strong><br />

improving – except for those that perish.<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> policy has also developed an<br />

impressive infrastructure of expertise – people<br />

<strong>and</strong> institutions abreast of the latest<br />

developments in science <strong>and</strong> technology,<br />

adept at funding good research <strong>and</strong> alert to<br />

possibilities for its commercialization. What<br />

this infrastructure has generally lacked is<br />

much commitment to other societal goals,<br />

of which sustainable development offers but<br />

one example. To a large extent, this “neutrality”<br />

has been conscious <strong>and</strong> deliberate,<br />

often rationalized by the need to keep<br />

science <strong>and</strong> technology free from politicization.<br />

As a practical matter, what this has<br />

meant is that the technology policy community<br />

has largely ignored the environment.<br />

Modern environmental policy is now about<br />

30 years old. In its early years, the primary<br />

energy was placed on curbing the “adverse<br />

effects” of industrial technologies – especially<br />

pollution – via m<strong>and</strong>atory regulatory<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards. More recently, “sustainability”<br />

has become the watchword, <strong>and</strong> economic<br />

incentives <strong>and</strong> other institutional mechanisms<br />

have come more into play as policy<br />

instruments. Nevertheless, the analytical<br />

focus of environmental policy remains overwhelmingly<br />

geared to the identification of<br />

particular environmental problems, with<br />

programmatic actions closely targeted to<br />

ameliorate them.<br />

Environmental policy is rooted in a profound<br />

political consensus. It draws on a<br />

30


Policies for <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Environment: Toward an Arranged Marriage<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

3<br />

This issue is discussed<br />

at length in Heaton,<br />

Repetto <strong>and</strong> Sobin,<br />

Transforming<br />

Technology: An Agenda<br />

for Environmentally<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> Growth in<br />

the 21st Century, World<br />

Resources Institute,<br />

Washington, D.C.,<br />

April 1991.<br />

><br />

4<br />

The 1998-99 edition of<br />

World Resources:<br />

A Guide to the Global<br />

Environment (Oxford<br />

Press, 1998) gives a<br />

good overview of<br />

these issues.<br />

5<br />

Asia’s Clean<br />

Revolution, D. Angel<br />

<strong>and</strong> M. Rock, eds.<br />

Greenleaf Publishing,<br />

Sheffield, UK, 2000.See<br />

articles by editors <strong>and</strong><br />

Heaton <strong>and</strong><br />

Resosudarmo.<br />

large administrative apparatus <strong>and</strong> a high<br />

degree of professionalism, in environmental<br />

science, economics <strong>and</strong> law – all vibrant<br />

fields. This is not to say that environmental<br />

technology is ignored; quite the contrary.<br />

However, the approach to technology has<br />

tended to be reductionist, concentrating on<br />

the application <strong>and</strong> improvement of today’s<br />

“best available technology.” In short, diffusion<br />

<strong>and</strong> incrementalism – rather than radical<br />

innovation or systemic change – occupy<br />

the field. Rare indeed is the environmental<br />

policy-maker with license to focus on the<br />

transformative possibilities 3 of emerging<br />

technologies, much less one equipped with<br />

the tools to promote their realization.<br />

3. WHY A UNION MAKES SENSE<br />

Although environmental <strong>and</strong> innovation<br />

policy both st<strong>and</strong> to benefit from a marriage<br />

of their purposes <strong>and</strong> programs, environmental<br />

policy probably has the more to<br />

gain. This is so for two main reasons. First,<br />

the world’s environmental problems are far<br />

from solved – indeed they may in a number<br />

of respects be getting worse. And second,<br />

the potential of new technology to contribute<br />

to environmental improvement has<br />

been grossly underexploited.<br />

Looking at environmental quality from the<br />

vantage point of a highly developed country<br />

in northern Europe, it is easy enough to feel<br />

momentarily sanguine. The visible battles of<br />

the past – auto emissions, PCBs, <strong>and</strong> CFCS to<br />

name only a few – have been won. Local<br />

environmental indicators – air <strong>and</strong> water<br />

quality, toxic releases, waste streams – have<br />

indeed improved. But there are two less-perceived<br />

trends which cause this optimism to<br />

fall short. One is the shift from the shortterm,<br />

local, toxic-incident paradigm of environmental<br />

threat – which most policies were<br />

designed to combat – to a pattern of longterm,<br />

chronic, global <strong>and</strong> potentially irreversible<br />

environmental damage. It is not to<br />

minimize the gravity of global climate<br />

change <strong>and</strong> loss of biodiversity to say that<br />

other dangers may well loom just as large –<br />

alarming increases in male sterility, immune<br />

system deficiencies <strong>and</strong> continued largescale<br />

destruction of critical ecosystems,<br />

which may all presage global catastrophes<br />

of unprecedented scope 4 .<br />

The second cause for alarm is the ascendancy<br />

of developing countries as the principal<br />

source of environmental damage. It is<br />

not an overstatement to say that the world’s<br />

environmental future lies with the developing<br />

countries, particularly those in Asia –<br />

China, India <strong>and</strong> Indonesia above all – where<br />

rates of rates of increase in the pollutionintensity<br />

of production even outstrip population<br />

growth 5 . This pattern is intimately<br />

related to technology, as it is by <strong>and</strong> large<br />

the consumption patterns of Europe <strong>and</strong><br />

North America that these societies are mimicking,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the accompanying resourceintensive,<br />

dirty technologies that they have<br />

adopted.<br />

Both of these trends suggest that the technology<br />

base on which the world has been<br />

relying is badly flawed. They suggest as well<br />

that the “environmental” technologies of<br />

today – generally “end-of-pipe” – will not<br />

be sufficient to balance the magnitude of<br />

these new threats. This is precisely why environmental<br />

policy needs innovation policy so<br />

much: to move it toward a new generation<br />

of environmentally oriented technologies,<br />

as well as to generate production technologies<br />

that are as environmentally benign as<br />

they are economically superior.<br />

The theoretical case for the expansion of<br />

innovation policy to include an environmental<br />

mission has been well made in the<br />

Position Paper. It positions an environmental<br />

innovation policy securely within the realm<br />

of market failures that justify government<br />

intervention, arguing that both the negative<br />

externalities of environmental degradation<br />

<strong>and</strong> the positive externalities in knowledge<br />

production are persuasive. Clearly this is true.<br />

There is another, partly theoretical, partly<br />

empirical argument to make. It rests on the<br />

perception that there is something very<br />

“wrong” in the innovation process for new<br />

environmental technologies, both in the private<br />

sector <strong>and</strong> in the allocation of public<br />

R&D funds.<br />

31


Policies for <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Environment: Toward an Arranged Marriage<br />

6<br />

See Heaton <strong>and</strong> Banks,<br />

“Toward a New<br />

Generation of<br />

Environmental<br />

Technology: The Need<br />

for Legislative<br />

Reform,”Journal<br />

of Industrial Ecology,<br />

Vol 1, No. 2, 1997.<br />

7<br />

Rene Kemp’s paper,<br />

presented at the OECD<br />

conference on the<br />

Environment <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> in Paris in<br />

June 200, makes this<br />

point for Europe as well:<br />

“Technology <strong>and</strong><br />

Environmental <strong>Policy</strong><br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> Effects of<br />

Past Policies <strong>and</strong><br />

Suggestions for<br />

Improvement.”<br />

8<br />

U.S. Department<br />

of Commerce, Office<br />

of Technology <strong>Policy</strong>,<br />

The U.S. Environmental<br />

Industry,<br />

Washington D.C., 1998.<br />

9<br />

National Science <strong>and</strong><br />

Technology Council,<br />

Technology for<br />

A <strong>Sustainable</strong> Future,<br />

Washington, D.C.,<br />

July 1994.<br />

10<br />

See Heaton <strong>and</strong><br />

Banks, “Toward a New<br />

Generation of Environmental<br />

Technology,” in<br />

Investing in <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

(Branscomb <strong>and</strong><br />

Keller, eds), MIT Press,<br />

Cambridge, MA 1998.<br />

11<br />

This is a figure put<br />

forward by the OECD<br />

in the mid 1990s.<br />

The overwhelming majority of environmental<br />

technologies – like all new technologies -<br />

- will be developed <strong>and</strong> deployed by private<br />

firms. What distinguishes environmental<br />

technology from other sectors, however, is<br />

the degree to which public policy “makes<br />

the market,” through regulatory st<strong>and</strong>ards<br />

<strong>and</strong> other means. If the signals from public<br />

policy are certain <strong>and</strong> strong, then one can<br />

expect innovation to follow. Indeed, private<br />

sector innovation may well lead public<br />

policy if the administrative apparatus is<br />

flexible enough to incorporate these innovations<br />

into its st<strong>and</strong>ards. Unfortunately,<br />

what we have seen in the U.S. suggests that<br />

the reverse is often the case 6, 7 .<br />

The chilling effect of technologically conservative<br />

environmental regulation on innovation<br />

in the private sector is demonstrated by<br />

data on the structure of the industry <strong>and</strong> its<br />

R&D portfolio. For the U.S., at least, we<br />

know that R&D in the environmental industry<br />

is significantly lower than in other<br />

technology-oriented sectors 8 . We have also<br />

come to refer to a “valley of death” for<br />

environmental technologies, in which many<br />

perish for lack of development funds while<br />

waiting to be sure that the market (i.e. regulators)<br />

will accept them 9 . To the extent<br />

that the structure of today’s environmental<br />

markets – throughout the OECD – is a predictor<br />

of tomorrow’s global technology, the<br />

outlook is also bleak. The table appended<br />

afterwards shows environmental industry<br />

revenues in the U.S., Europe <strong>and</strong> Japan.<br />

Most tellingly, one sees that only a trivial<br />

amount – no more than 0.5% – is prevention-oriented.<br />

In all three venues, water<br />

treatment works <strong>and</strong> utilities absorb about<br />

30% of the total. Beyond this, the pattern of<br />

expenditure derives from the regulatory<br />

regimes that are ubiquitously based on pollution<br />

control st<strong>and</strong>ards for individual<br />

media: air, water, waste.<br />

If the environmental industry is “underinvesting”<br />

in R&D for the next generation of<br />

technologies, one would hope that public<br />

investment would fill the void, given that<br />

such a situation offers the classic rationale<br />

for public R&D funding. This does not seem<br />

to be the case. Certainly in the U.S., the<br />

><br />

prospect for any large-scale funding of<br />

environmental technology evaporated with<br />

the failure of the Clinton Administration’s<br />

Environmental Technology Initiative in the<br />

mid-1990s 10 . Environmental science – which<br />

is an entirely different matter – has continued<br />

to do well in terms of funding. What<br />

the situation is globally is difficult to say, as<br />

meaningful funding figures for environmental<br />

technology are hardly to come by – <strong>and</strong><br />

valid international comparisons even more<br />

difficult. The table appended below on patterns<br />

of international R&D expenditures<br />

hardly begins to answer the question –<br />

clearly there is a need for better data on<br />

environmental technology. But the sense<br />

one gets is that its prominence within innovation<br />

policy universally falls woefully short<br />

of the need.<br />

What the above suggests is that there is a<br />

clear “market opportunity” for innovation<br />

policy to exp<strong>and</strong> its focus in the direction of<br />

environmental technology. Beyond the theoretical<br />

rationale, the move would probably<br />

also be good politics, both in the industry<br />

<strong>and</strong> among the general public. There is also<br />

the argument to be made that support for<br />

environmental technology R&D is securely in<br />

line with innovation policy’s consistent focus<br />

on economic competitiveness. The global<br />

environmental industry already garners<br />

more than $<strong>40</strong>0 billion per year 11 . And as<br />

environmental consciousness shows no signs<br />

of abating, it is a good bet that the positive<br />

environmental features of new products,<br />

processes <strong>and</strong> systems will increasingly be a<br />

competitive selling point 12 .<br />

4. AN IDEAL ENVIRONMENTAL<br />

INNOVATION POLICY<br />

Defining an ideal policy to promote environmental<br />

innovation is not terribly difficult.<br />

Almost two years ago, an OECD workshop<br />

put forward the following sensible threepart<br />

framework 13 :<br />

• Combine a flexible, incentive-based environmental<br />

policy – which focuses on the<br />

direction of technological change – with a<br />

technology policy designed to increase the<br />

rate of innovation<br />

32


Policies for <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Environment: Toward an Arranged Marriage<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

12<br />

Stephan<br />

Schmidheiny’s<br />

Changing Course<br />

(MIT Press 1992)<br />

remains as eloquent<br />

a statement of this<br />

point as any.<br />

13<br />

Rapporteur’s Report,<br />

Workshop on the<br />

Environment <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Innovation</strong>,<br />

OECD Directorate for<br />

Science, Technology<br />

<strong>and</strong> Industry,<br />

Paris, June 2000.<br />

14<br />

This is not to be<br />

taken as an<br />

environmental impact<br />

statement requirement<br />

for R&D, which could<br />

be disastrous<br />

<strong>and</strong> unworkable.<br />

15<br />

Of course, this is already<br />

occurring in some<br />

countries. But it is far<br />

from ubiquitous, or<br />

enough.<br />

16<br />

The ETI was actually<br />

developed by Vice<br />

President Gore, <strong>and</strong><br />

was tied closely with<br />

his overall technology<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> the<br />

“Reinventing<br />

Government “plan.The<br />

history of the ETI – as<br />

well as other technology<br />

programs during<br />

the Clinton-Gore years<br />

are reviewed in<br />

Branscomb <strong>and</strong> Keller,<br />

Investing in<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong>, op. cit.<br />

The Heaton/Banks<br />

article covers ETI.<br />

• Embed innovation policy in environmental<br />

policy, by targeting policy instruments<br />

toward technologies that will offer new<br />

means of potential environmental prevention<br />

<strong>and</strong> remediation.<br />

• Embed environmental policy in innovation<br />

policy, by increasing the saliency of<br />

environmental criteria in policies <strong>and</strong><br />

programs that support technology development.<br />

These generalities can also be put into more<br />

concrete terms. The basic idea from the first<br />

bullet is that environmental <strong>and</strong> innovation<br />

policies as they need to adopt a common<br />

complementary mission <strong>and</strong> mindset. But<br />

their separation of function must continue.<br />

For its part, environmental policy needs to<br />

adopt mechanisms that are much more flexible<br />

– economic instruments, incentives to<br />

go beyond compliance, special exemptions<br />

for new technologies <strong>and</strong> the like. But it<br />

needs to do so with a clear view of new trajectories<br />

for technological change in industry,<br />

agriculture, <strong>and</strong> infrastructure that can<br />

move in the direction of sustainability.<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> policy, for its part, can continue<br />

with its traditional mechanisms – R&D funding,<br />

training, technology transfer – that<br />

increase flows through the innovation<br />

pipeline. But it should target a much greater<br />

proportion of these resources explicitly<br />

toward environmental sustainability.<br />

The second <strong>and</strong> third bullets are essentially<br />

expansions of the first. In the case of environmental<br />

policy, we should not expect<br />

its administrative authorities to engage<br />

directly in the development of new environmentally<br />

improved technologies. (I.e.,<br />

the Ministry for the Environment does not<br />

become an R&D agency.) But what can be<br />

dem<strong>and</strong>ed is for environmental policy to<br />

move away from its all-too-frequent preference<br />

for the technological status quo. This<br />

implies developing a capability to envision<br />

possible technological futures <strong>and</strong> work<br />

toward their achievement. It means discarding<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards that do no more than enfranchise<br />

today’s average end-of-pipe pollution<br />

control technology. And it requires taking<br />

on the underlying consumption patterns<br />

that are at the root of the problem.<br />

><br />

In the case of innovation policy, it does not<br />

seem unreasonable to require R&D programs<br />

<strong>and</strong> projects to at least consciously<br />

consider the environmental implications of<br />

their research 14 . Thus, sustainability could<br />

well become an important funding criterion.<br />

It also seems essential to set aside a portion<br />

of the overall public R&D portfolio for the<br />

development of commercially viable environmental<br />

technology 15 . Two caveats need<br />

to be inserted with respect to this: that<br />

generic technology, not science is the goal;<br />

<strong>and</strong> that the development needs to take<br />

place in firms, not government labs.<br />

5. LESSONS FROM REALITY<br />

The U.S. <strong>and</strong> Japan have both made<br />

attempts to integrate some of the traditional<br />

mechanisms for the promotion of<br />

innovation with environmental policy. Their<br />

efforts, which have yielded radically different<br />

results, offer lessons from actual experience<br />

about the design of an environmental<br />

innovation policy.<br />

In the U.S., certain elements in the policy<br />

community – on both the left <strong>and</strong> right --<br />

routinely oppose any government program<br />

to aid industry. Other elements – typically<br />

environmentalists – have tended to oppose<br />

non-regulatory approaches to environmental<br />

policy. These forces have long made it<br />

difficult to enact an environmental innovation<br />

policy; indeed, it was not until the early<br />

years of the Clinton-Gore Administration<br />

that one was proposed 16 . This Environmental<br />

Technology Initiative (ETI) had three main<br />

features: 1) a new program of R&D grants to<br />

companies for the development of innovative<br />

environmental technologies; 2) a broad<br />

regulatory reform movement, with the purpose<br />

of encouraging innovation; <strong>and</strong> 3) various<br />

commercial assistance measures to firms<br />

in the environmental industry. After a few<br />

years’ effort, the ETI was ab<strong>and</strong>oned. The<br />

Congress had been unwilling to create<br />

authority or commit funds for the R&D program;<br />

regulatory reform, though continually<br />

debated was far from consensus; <strong>and</strong> the<br />

promotion of the environmental industry<br />

suffered from lack of a programmatic base.<br />

33


Policies for <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Environment: Toward an Arranged Marriage<br />

17<br />

The ATP gives R&D<br />

grants to industry for<br />

leading edge technologies.It<br />

came to light<br />

during the ETI that a<br />

surprising number of<br />

ATP’s projects had an<br />

important environmental<br />

dimension.But ATP<br />

was never enlisted in<br />

the initiative.<br />

18<br />

In former days<br />

known as MITI,<br />

the Ministry of<br />

International Trade<br />

<strong>and</strong> Industry, METI<br />

now st<strong>and</strong>s for the<br />

Ministry of Economics,<br />

Technology <strong>and</strong><br />

Industry.<br />

Many of the reasons for the ETI’s lack of success<br />

are peculiar to the politics <strong>and</strong> style of<br />

the Clinton era. But others may be more<br />

generalizable. Certainly ETI shows that it is<br />

dangerous to attempt a great deal. The<br />

combination of such large <strong>and</strong> diverse elements<br />

– an R&D program, regulatory reform<br />

<strong>and</strong> export promotion – makes the prospects<br />

for implementation difficult, especially in<br />

times of fiscal stringency. The patterns of<br />

responsibility for various parts of the ETI<br />

puzzle also show that responsibility <strong>and</strong><br />

expertise must be assigned appropriately.<br />

Giving the proposed R&D program to regulators<br />

in the Environmental Protection<br />

Agency gave it neither a naturally receptive<br />

home nor expertise. Establishing an environmental<br />

export promotion program in the<br />

Department of Commerce thrust it into<br />

unfamiliar ground. Oddly enough, however,<br />

it was the Commerce Department’s<br />

Advanced Technology Program that was<br />

best able to show how environmental R&D<br />

could be funded in the general context of<br />

innovation policy 17 .<br />

In Japan, the willingness to create <strong>and</strong><br />

endow new public programs with significant<br />

resources is high in comparison to the U.S.<br />

Often, public spending – in science <strong>and</strong> technology<br />

as well as elsewhere – is employed for<br />

its stimulus effect as well as to respond to<br />

urgent national needs. This may be said to be<br />

the case for NEDO, the New Energy <strong>and</strong><br />

Industrial <strong>Development</strong> Organization, whose<br />

budget has moved up to over $2 billion during<br />

the last decade. NEDO’s initial mission<br />

was almost entirely energy, but its R&D support<br />

has broadened to include a wide range<br />

of critical industrial technologies such as,<br />

most recently, nanotechnology.<br />

Japan’s most focused effort to mount an<br />

environmental innovation policy occurred<br />

during the mid 1990s, with the establishment<br />

of RITE, the Research Institute for<br />

Innovative Technology for the Earth. With<br />

funding on the order of $1 billion per year,<br />

RITE’s projects tend to be basic in nature,<br />

often carried out by university personnel<br />

<strong>and</strong> very long-range. Perhaps the most<br />

remarkable feature of Japan’s posture in<br />

both of these cases is their placement within<br />

><br />

the framework of the industrial development<br />

ministry, METI 18 .<br />

6. BECOMING ENGAGED<br />

At this juncture, environmental policy <strong>and</strong><br />

innovation policy look much like two attractive,<br />

unattached people with a lot in common<br />

– except an acquaintanceship. As they<br />

have different constituencies <strong>and</strong> very different<br />

styles of operating, they are not likely<br />

to combine forces without assistance.<br />

Someone needs to convince them that their<br />

essential missions are basically the same: to<br />

change the course of today’s technology.<br />

The process of arranging this marriage presupposes<br />

the acceptance of a new concept<br />

or mindset: an environmental innovation<br />

policy. In meetings like this one, this concept<br />

may mean something, but to most of the<br />

world it does not. Papers, speeches, symposia<br />

<strong>and</strong> conversation in the relevant policy<br />

communities are needed to disseminate it.<br />

As to the operational side of the equation, in<br />

my judgment, the two parties to the engagement<br />

will continue to need separate domiciles<br />

for the foreseeable future – cohabitation<br />

is not likely to be harmonious. In the case of<br />

environmental policy, I have long been of the<br />

view that it needs a new household organization.<br />

Its administrative apparatus is typically<br />

structured according to the media in<br />

which environmental problems occur – air,<br />

water, waste, <strong>and</strong> so on. This problem-centric<br />

approach may inhibit thought about solutions<br />

– long-term changes to technology <strong>and</strong><br />

the economy. If the agency subunits were<br />

focused on economic functions or sectors –<br />

housing, transport, energy, etc. – a radical<br />

reenvisioning of their technological trajectories<br />

might better be put forward.<br />

Whatever the organization of environmental<br />

policy, envisioning the technological<br />

future is where it could enlist the capabilities<br />

of innovation policy immediately, to<br />

best effect. What might work is a st<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

taskforce of individuals from both environmental<br />

<strong>and</strong> technology agencies, combined<br />

with industrial <strong>and</strong> academic representa-<br />

34


Policies for <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Environment: Toward an Arranged Marriage<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

19<br />

Some experiments<br />

like this have been<br />

tried. “Backcasting”<br />

is a common rubric.<br />

These often focus on<br />

environmentally desirable<br />

futures.What is<br />

suggested here is to<br />

focus on the technological<br />

possibilities of<br />

the future, which is<br />

different.<br />

tives. They would be charged, first, with<br />

charting the technological possibilities for<br />

different sectors, <strong>and</strong> second, with proposing<br />

the policy mechanisms to move down<br />

these trajectories 19 .<br />

It almost goes without saying that new,<br />

flexible policy instruments are needed in environmental<br />

regulation to pave the way for<br />

technological innovation. I am certainly not<br />

against this. But I am certainly not convinced<br />

that a larger, faster flow of the type of environmental<br />

technology that is being produced<br />

today will be enough to wrench the world out<br />

of its current destructive pattern. Again, new<br />

technological pathways hold the key.<br />

For innovation policy, a marriage to environmental<br />

policy will require a new commitment,<br />

new criteria, new or redirected money<br />

– <strong>and</strong> a guest house. By this I mean that<br />

some sort of discrete operation should be<br />

mounted to provide financial support for<br />

the development of environmental technology<br />

in industry. Members of the environmental<br />

policy community should be an integral<br />

part of its decision-making apparatus.<br />

An alternative possibility – the application<br />

of environmental factors as one criterion in<br />

funding decisions throughout the innovation<br />

policy arena – would also make sense.<br />

But it has the drawback of not bringing the<br />

two policy communities together.<br />

One hesitates to recommend study. But in<br />

crafting an environmental innovation policy,<br />

at least one study is desperately<br />

needed: a thorough-going empirical analysis<br />

of environmental technology <strong>and</strong> its<br />

modes of innovation. Some study of the<br />

environmental industry began in the U.S.<br />

Office of Technology Assessment <strong>and</strong> in the<br />

OECD a half dozen years ago; it is my<br />

underst<strong>and</strong>ing that both are defunct. At<br />

the moment, very little is understood about<br />

patterns of environmental R&D – <strong>and</strong><br />

hence we have hardly any idea of what the<br />

next generation of technology will look<br />

like. Flying blind into this future is not the<br />

way to create a fruitful relationship<br />

between these two policy areas.<br />

The last need I would cite is for gobetweens.<br />

The marriage between environmental<br />

<strong>and</strong> innovation policy will not spring<br />

up naturally. A cadre of change-agents<br />

needs to push it forward. Conferences like<br />

this one are the beginning.<br />

Revenues of the Environmental Industry:U.S., Europe, Japan 1996<br />

US Eur. Japan<br />

$bill. (%) $bill. (%) (%) $bill.<br />

Equipment<br />

Water <strong>and</strong> Chemicals 16 9.3 2.7 7.9 9.3 2.7<br />

Air Pollution Control 14 9.0 7.3 5.5 3.3 3.8<br />

Instruments, Info. 1.8 1.0 1.6 1.2 1.0 1.1<br />

Waste Management 10.7 6.2 9.1 6.8 8.6 9.9<br />

Process <strong>and</strong> Prevention 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6<br />

Services<br />

Solid Waste Mgmt. 32.7 19.0 29.5 22.1 29.6 34.0<br />

Hazardous Waste Mgmt. 5.9 3.4 5.2 3.9 3.8 4.4<br />

Consulting, Engineering 14.2 8.3 8.4 6.3 1.1 1.3<br />

Remediation 8.3 4.8 3.7 2.8 1.1 1.3<br />

Analysis 1.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.6<br />

Water Treatment Works 24.6 14.3 21.8 16.3 9.6 11.0<br />

Resources<br />

Water Utilities 27.0 15.7 19.7 14.8 12.2 14.0<br />

Resource Recovery 11.6 6.8 13.6 10.2 9.2 10.6<br />

Environmental Energy 1.4 0.8 1.5 1.1 1.0 1.1<br />

Total 171.7 100% 133.4 100% 87.1 100%<br />

Source:US Department of Commerce, 1998, with data from Environmental Business International<br />

35


Policies for <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the Environment: Toward an Arranged Marriage<br />

Appendix ><br />

Distribution of government R&D budget appropriations, by socloeconomic objective : 1997 or 1998 (percentages)<br />

Country (year of coverage)<br />

Objective US Japan a Germany France UK Italy Canada<br />

(1998) (1997) (1997) (1997) (1997) (1997) (1998)<br />

Total (millions of U.S. dollars b ) 73 569 18 309 15 619 13 178 8 887 6 211 3 395<br />

Agriculture, forestry<br />

<strong>and</strong> fishing 2.1 3.4 2.6 3.6 4.4 2.3 11.7<br />

Industrial developement 0.5 6.6 12.8 5.2 1.8 9.1 13.3<br />

Energy 1,3 20,2 3,5 4,8 0,7 4,0 5,7<br />

Infrastructure 2,5 2,7 1,6 0,6 1,7 0,4 4,2<br />

Transport<br />

<strong>and</strong> telecommunications 2,5 1,4 0,8 NA 0,3 NA 4,2<br />

Urban <strong>and</strong> rural planning 0,1 1,3 0,8 NA 1,4 NA 0,0<br />

Environmental protection 0,8 0,6 3,7 2,0 2,2 2,5 3,3<br />

Health 19,3 4,0 3,4 5,3 14,5 8,5 9,5<br />

Social development<br />

<strong>and</strong> services 1,0 0,9 2,4 0,9 2,0 4,5 3,6<br />

Earth <strong>and</strong> atmosphere 1,3 1,3 2,0 0,7 1,7 1,4 4,9<br />

Advancement of knowledge 5,9 48,2 53,6 35,7 30,3 59,6 27,1<br />

Advancement of research 5,9 10,8 15,6 19,2 11,8 12,1 8,4<br />

General university funds – 37,4 38,1 16,5 18,5 47,4 18,7<br />

Civil Space 11,1 6,3 4,8 11,0 2,7 4,0 9,2<br />

Defense 54,1 5,8 9,6 27,7 37,7 3,5 5,0<br />

Not elsewhere classified 0,0 0,0 0,0 2,4 0,4 0,0 2,6<br />

NA = not separately available but included in subtotal;<br />

– = the United States does not have an equivalent to general university funds<br />

NOTES: Percentage may not add to 100 because of rounding. U.S. data are based on budget authority. For all countries,<br />

because of the inclusion of general university funds <strong>and</strong> slight differences in accounting practices, the distribution of government<br />

among socioeconomic objectives may not completely reflect the actual distribution of government - funded research in<br />

particular fiels.<br />

a<br />

Japanese data are based on science <strong>and</strong> technology budget data, which include items other than R&D. Such items are a small<br />

proportion of the budget; therefore, the data may still be used as an approximate indicator of relative government emphasis<br />

on R&D by objective.<br />

b<br />

Conversions of foreign currencies to U.S. dollars are calculated with OECD purchasing power parity exchange rates. (See<br />

appendix table 2-2)<br />

SOURCES: National Science Foundation, Division of Science Ressources Studies (NSF/SRS), Federal R&D Funding by budget<br />

Function: Fiscal years 1998-2000, NSF 00-303 (Arlington, VA: 2000); Oraganisation for Economic Co-operation <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Development</strong>, Basic Science <strong>and</strong> Technology Statistics (unpublished tabulations).<br />

Science & Engineering Indicators - 2000<br />

36


<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

AN INTEGRATED POLICY<br />

FOR INNOVATION<br />

FOR THE ENVIRONMENT<br />

RENÉ KEMP<br />

Merit<br />

René Kemp (PhD in economics) is senior<br />

research fellow at Maastricht Economic<br />

Research Institute on <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Technology (MERIT) from Maastricht<br />

University in the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>and</strong> former<br />

research director of STEP in Oslo. He has<br />

worked on clean technology adoption,<br />

green innovation policy <strong>and</strong> led several<br />

research projects about environmental policy<br />

<strong>and</strong> innovation. His current work is on<br />

transitions to sustainability, focussing on<br />

how these transitions may be managed (see<br />

www.meritbbs.unimaas.nl/rkemp). He can<br />

be contacted at r.kemp@merit.unimaas.nl<br />

37


An Integrated <strong>Policy</strong> for <strong>Innovation</strong> for the Environment<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

><br />

1<br />

It would be interesting<br />

to investigate the relative<br />

contribution of<br />

environmental technologies<br />

(technologies<br />

that are environmentally<br />

motivated) <strong>and</strong><br />

normal technologies to<br />

environmental improvement<br />

for specific<br />

types of pollution.<br />

Energy saving in manufacturing<br />

has almost<br />

certainly more to do<br />

with energy prices than<br />

with energy covenants.<br />

Energy savings in<br />

consumer devices <strong>and</strong><br />

housing owes probably<br />

more to energy efficiency<br />

regulations <strong>and</strong><br />

subsidies coupled to<br />

energy labels. Greene<br />

(1990) tested the relative<br />

influence of<br />

energy prices <strong>and</strong> CAFE<br />

on automobile fuel efficiency<br />

<strong>and</strong> found that<br />

the regulations were<br />

twice as important<br />

than energy prices.<br />

1. INNOVATION EFFECTS<br />

OF INNOVATION POLICIES<br />

All OECD countries have an innovation policy,<br />

superseding the science <strong>and</strong> research<br />

policies of the past. Such policies are oriented<br />

for the most part to private companies<br />

<strong>and</strong> to economic goals, not environmental<br />

sustainability goals. The goal of the<br />

policies is to help companies innovate. New<br />

technology is also important for environmental<br />

gains. It may alleviate tradeoffs<br />

between economic wellbeing <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

quality (Jaffe <strong>and</strong> Stavins, 1990, p.1)<br />

or produce environmental benefits as a<br />

gratis effect. Advanced technologies often<br />

are more resource efficient <strong>and</strong> generic<br />

technologies such as information <strong>and</strong> communication<br />

technologies may be applied to<br />

environmental purposes. Sensors are a good<br />

example of this. They aid waste management<br />

<strong>and</strong> help to limit pollution by offering<br />

information for process operators. The environmental<br />

benefits from innovations may<br />

thus be accidental, in the sense that the<br />

original research leading to these innovations<br />

was not environmentally motivated or<br />

because the innovation are inherently more<br />

environmentally benign 1 .<br />

This shows that environmental technologies<br />

should not be privileged as the source for<br />

achieving environmental gains (Williams<br />

<strong>and</strong> Markusson, 2002) There are other<br />

sources for obtaining environmental improvement<br />

as well, such as new processes<br />

that are more resource efficient, a shift<br />

towards cleaner industries <strong>and</strong> behavioural<br />

change. This suggests that it is better to talk<br />

about “innovation for the environment”<br />

which includes innovations that are not<br />

environmentally motivated (Berkhout,<br />

2002). There is also second reason for not<br />

privileging environmental technologies<br />

which is that they may lead to a transfer of<br />

environmental problems or add to the costs<br />

of the company. This holds true for end-ofpipe<br />

technologies that cause a waste problem<br />

unless the captured pollution <strong>and</strong><br />

treated emissions are re-used. Whether the<br />

captured or treated pollution is utilized<br />

depends on the existence of markets for<br />

waste <strong>and</strong> the economics of re-use vis-à-vis<br />

the costs of waste disposal. Fly ash is used in<br />

cement production <strong>and</strong> sewage sludge from<br />

communal wastewater treatment plants is<br />

burned in cement kilns.<br />

Environmental technology often is supported<br />

through special innovation programmes.<br />

An example of such a programme<br />

in the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s is the subsidy programme<br />

Milieu en Technologie. In this programme<br />

technical research is subsidised on a project<br />

basis but there are also subsidies for making<br />

a business plan for innovations for the environment.<br />

The programme is a successor of<br />

the “Stimuleringsregeling Milieu-technologie”<br />

(STIR-MT). An important question is:<br />

Did R&D subsidies stimulate firms to undertake<br />

research in environ-mental technology<br />

they would not have done otherwise The<br />

evidence that is available suggests that R&D<br />

subsidies in the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s for environmental<br />

technology have been of limited<br />

effectiveness. According to Olsthoorn,<br />

Oosterhuis <strong>and</strong> Verbruggen (1992, p.18) the<br />

STIR-MT did not elicit new research projects.<br />

This is in line with the observation by de<br />

Jong <strong>and</strong> van der Ven (1985, pp.78-79) that<br />

innovator firms develop environmentally<br />

beneficial technologies not because a subsidy<br />

is available but because they believe a<br />

market exists for the new technology. The<br />

conclusion is at odds with two other evaluation<br />

studies, quoted in Cramer et al. (1990),<br />

that find that of the 10 projects that<br />

received financial support under the Clean<br />

Technology programme in the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s,<br />

five would never have been initiated.<br />

However, it turned out that many of the<br />

projects funded under the programme were<br />

second-rate projects: of the ten projects only<br />

seven were technically successful <strong>and</strong> only<br />

four of them were applied in practice.<br />

The outcomes of the German research programme<br />

of the BMBF for environmental<br />

research <strong>and</strong> environmental technology are<br />

more favourable. A total of 1<strong>40</strong>2 projects<br />

were supported, receiving 646 million<br />

which amounted to an average subsidy<br />

quota of 51 %.<br />

The funds were distributed among various<br />

environmental fields as shown in Figure 1.<br />

Most of the projects consisted of treatment<br />

39


An Integrated <strong>Policy</strong> for <strong>Innovation</strong> for the Environment<br />

2<br />

The weak incentive<br />

for developing technologies<br />

with greater<br />

environmental efficiencies<br />

has to do with the<br />

fact that most regulations<br />

are based on<br />

existing technologies.<br />

Such regulations provide<br />

no incentive to go<br />

beyond existing control<br />

efficiencies, they only<br />

provide an incentive<br />

to develop solutions<br />

that are less expensive<br />

than those in use.<br />

technology, or cleaning technology, keeping<br />

in with the past orientation of environmental<br />

policy towards end-of-pipe solutions.<br />

<strong>40</strong>% of the projects were oriented to water<br />

pollution, 33% to waste management, 6%<br />

to air pollution <strong>and</strong> 15% to clean technologies<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmentally sound products.<br />

The share of 15% for clean technologies <strong>and</strong><br />

environmentally sound products, in which<br />

pollution is prevented rather than dealt<br />

with, is very low.<br />

To what extent did the programme encourage<br />

companies to do research they<br />

would not have done otherwise, or<br />

encourage them to do projects earlier or<br />

in a more elaborated way The findings<br />

from an evaluation study by ISI (Angerer<br />

et al., 1997) are quite positive. 36% of the<br />

projects would not have done without the<br />

support <strong>and</strong> 38% of the projects were<br />

done in a more elaborated way, with<br />

greater scope <strong>and</strong> budget. Only 5% of the<br />

projects would have been done in the<br />

same way (free rider effect). Of course<br />

there is a free rider effect in all projects<br />

that did not depend on the subsidy for<br />

their undertaken.The evaluators noted<br />

that the free rider effect was low compared<br />

to other programmes. The high<br />

additionality of the German programme is<br />

probably caused by the fact that the subsidy<br />

was quite high (51% on average).A<br />

second explanation might be that many of<br />

the projects are end-of-pipe solutions for<br />

which the incentives are less favourable<br />

than for normal innovations 2 .<br />

Figure 1 > Distribution of funds of the German Environmental Technology programme between 1980 <strong>and</strong> 1992 (source: Angerer, 2002)<br />

Water pollution prevention<br />

<strong>and</strong> waste water<br />

treatment<br />

<strong>40</strong><br />

Waste management <strong>and</strong><br />

hazardous waste site<br />

remediation<br />

33<br />

Clean technologies <strong>and</strong><br />

environmetally sound<br />

products<br />

15<br />

Share of total funds in %<br />

Air pollution control<br />

6<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 <strong>40</strong> 45<br />

Figure 2 > The additionality of the German Environmental Technology programme between 1980 <strong>and</strong> 1992 (source: Angerer, 2002)<br />

Project would not be<br />

done without support<br />

36<br />

Project would be done<br />

but with smaler scope<br />

38<br />

Project would be done<br />

over longer period<br />

11<br />

Project would be done at<br />

later date<br />

13<br />

No additionallity at all<br />

5<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 <strong>40</strong><br />

<strong>40</strong>


An Integrated <strong>Policy</strong> for <strong>Innovation</strong> for the Environment<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

3<br />

The project was more<br />

than a subsidy<br />

programme. The<br />

programme brought<br />

together firms with an<br />

environmental problem<br />

<strong>and</strong> firms <strong>and</strong> research<br />

institutes that could<br />

provides solutions to<br />

these problems.<br />

4<br />

EET st<strong>and</strong>s for<br />

Economy, Environment<br />

<strong>and</strong> Technology.<br />

Additionality is just one element to evaluate<br />

programmes. Another criterion is whether<br />

the innovations are used <strong>and</strong> the environmental<br />

benefit connected with their use.<br />

There is no information on the environmental<br />

impact <strong>and</strong> actual use of the innovations<br />

supported by the German programme but<br />

the evaluation study by ISI found that 16%<br />

of the projects had a decisive influence on<br />

the design or implementation of environmental<br />

regulation. A further 20% were supportive<br />

but not decisive to policy changes.<br />

This compares favourably to the experiences<br />

with the <strong>Sustainable</strong> Technology Programme<br />

called DTO in the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s. The additionality<br />

of the programme was very high but<br />

the results were not utilized for policy nor<br />

utilized by industry. DTO is an interdepartmental<br />

research programme for sustainable<br />

technologies, which ran from 1993-1997. The<br />

goal of the programme was to identify <strong>and</strong><br />

work towards technology options offering a<br />

factor 20 improvement in environmental<br />

efficiency while satisfying human needs in<br />

terms of nutrition, transport, housing, <strong>and</strong><br />

water supply <strong>and</strong> protection. Industry was an<br />

important actor in the programme. Industrial<br />

opinion leaders were asked to think about<br />

long-term technological solutions offering<br />

magnitude environmental benefits. They<br />

were selected for their imagination <strong>and</strong> their<br />

position within industry, because the programme<br />

wanted to influence the industrial<br />

research agenda. Many of the industry people<br />

were research directors. In total 25 million<br />

guilders (€11.3 mln) was spent under<br />

the programme by the Dutch government.<br />

The financial contribution from industry was<br />

low, about 10% of the costs of the illustration<br />

projects, in the form of money <strong>and</strong> time.<br />

The DTO programme led to the development<br />

<strong>and</strong> articulation of 14 illustration processes<br />

for sustainability.<br />

The project was successful in tapping people’s<br />

mind <strong>and</strong> imagination <strong>and</strong> led to ideas<br />

for system innovation <strong>and</strong> networks of collaboration<br />

but failed to influence industries’<br />

research agenda in an important way for the<br />

simple reason that the technologies were<br />

not economical. Their use would require a<br />

change in the frame conditions, giving the<br />

sustainable technologies a competitive edge.<br />

A 5 million guilder (€2.3 mln) programme of<br />

knowledge transfer called DTO-KOV followed<br />

the programme but like the first programme<br />

this programme did not address the<br />

root problem of unfavourable frame conditions.<br />

The absence of a pull mechanism frustrated<br />

the further development of these<br />

technologies <strong>and</strong> the occurrence of processes<br />

of co-evolution resulting in transformations<br />

<strong>and</strong> the creation of new systems.<br />

A programme that was very successful in<br />

terms of the immediate utilisation of the<br />

results is the Danish Clean Technology<br />

<strong>Development</strong> Programme, described in<br />

Georg et al. (1992). Under the programme,<br />

industries, private <strong>and</strong> semi-governmental<br />

research institutions could apply for financial<br />

aid for developing <strong>and</strong> implementing clean<br />

technology. The programme was oriented at<br />

stimulating preventive process solutions <strong>and</strong><br />

cooperation among technology suppliers,<br />

research institutes, consultancy firms <strong>and</strong><br />

users. The Danish Environmental Protection<br />

Agency played an active role in selecting<br />

environmentally beneficial projects <strong>and</strong> in<br />

finding the right partner with whom to cooperate.<br />

That is, the agency acted as a match<br />

maker to elicit environmentally innovative<br />

solutions, something that previous subsidy<br />

programmes had failed to do 3 . According to<br />

the authors, the Danish pro-gramme was a<br />

success. In almost all cases, appropriate technical<br />

solutions were found for the environment<br />

problems at h<strong>and</strong>. In more than half of<br />

the projects, substantial environmental<br />

improvements were achieved at low costs.<br />

Some projects led to net economic gains for<br />

the polluting firms.<br />

A quite novel programme is the EET programme<br />

in the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s. EET is a<br />

research programme for breakthrough innovations<br />

offering economic <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

benefits in a time space of 5-20 years 4 .<br />

So far (at the beginning of 2001) 70 projects<br />

have been funded (plus 38 KIEM projects,<br />

technical feasibility studies). An average EET<br />

project has a size of 8 million guilders<br />

(€3.6 million) of which half is funded by<br />

the government (Willems & van den<br />

Wildenberg, 2000). The minimal size is 1 mln<br />

41


An Integrated <strong>Policy</strong> for <strong>Innovation</strong> for the Environment<br />

5<br />

A programme for<br />

sustainable technology<br />

that is less technology<br />

oriented is NIDO<br />

(Nationaal Initiatief<br />

Duurzame<br />

Ontwikkeling). NIDO is<br />

a programme which<br />

supports ‘jump projects’,<br />

initiatives which<br />

offer sustainability<br />

benefits. It is less technology<br />

focussed than<br />

DTO <strong>and</strong> EET <strong>and</strong> more<br />

oriented towards practical<br />

implementation.<br />

The NIDO budget for<br />

2001 is 8.5 million guilders<br />

(3.9 million €).<br />

The private contribution<br />

to these projects is<br />

3.5 million guilders<br />

(1.6 million €). Apart<br />

from supporting the<br />

programmes financially<br />

NIDO helps participating<br />

parties with<br />

obtaining additional<br />

funds <strong>and</strong> the dissemination<br />

of knowledge.<br />

The small size of the<br />

projects <strong>and</strong> short<br />

period of support (2<br />

years) means that for<br />

some type of changes<br />

(such as the shift to an<br />

emission-low energy<br />

system or a different<br />

type of transport systems)<br />

the support from<br />

NIDO will be too little<br />

to have much of an<br />

impact.<br />

6<br />

Transition agendas<br />

are an element of<br />

transition management<br />

for sustainability,<br />

a concept<br />

explained later on.<br />

guilders (€0.45 mln). The total size of the<br />

EET projects funded between 1995 <strong>and</strong> 2001<br />

is 529 million guilders (€2<strong>40</strong> mln) of which<br />

the government paid 280 million guilders.<br />

It is a very large <strong>and</strong> perhaps unique subsidy<br />

programme through its focus on both economic<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental benefits.<br />

EET complements environmental technology<br />

programmes that have a more narrow focus<br />

on environmental benefits <strong>and</strong> that offer little<br />

opportunities for system innovation. The<br />

focus on radical innovation is good, given<br />

the long development times for such innovation<br />

<strong>and</strong> positive spillover effects. It is a<br />

programme for high-risk, high reward projects.<br />

About 10% of the projects are believed<br />

to be economical, but profits from those<br />

projects are estimated at 1 billion € per<br />

annum, giving extremely good value for taxpayers<br />

money. The selection of the projects<br />

is done on the basis of the project’s market<br />

potential <strong>and</strong> environmental benefits, but<br />

the programme is not linked to transition<br />

agendas or to road maps made by industrial<br />

actors. As it st<strong>and</strong>s, the EET programme is<br />

not well-aligned with environmental policy<br />

<strong>and</strong> oriented towards one aspect of system<br />

innovation: technology.<br />

Suggestions for innovation policy for the<br />

environment<br />

The above shows that the experiences of<br />

innovation policy in promoting innovation<br />

for the environment are mixed. Two key<br />

considerations for innovation policy are<br />

additionality of support <strong>and</strong> utilization of<br />

results. One way of making sure that the<br />

results will be utilized is by funding projects<br />

that are close to the market or by reducing<br />

the government share of support. Many<br />

countries have followed this road. But this<br />

disadvantages projects for which no market<br />

yet exists, as is often case for environmental<br />

innovations. The additionality of support for<br />

projects that bound to be economical may<br />

also be low. There is a conflict between<br />

achieving greater additionality of support<br />

<strong>and</strong> commerciability of the results. The first<br />

suggests the support of high-risk, highreward<br />

projects that are unlikely to produce<br />

immediate results, the second just the opposite.<br />

This really suggests the use of multiple<br />

programmes. Especially in the area of environmental<br />

innovation there is a need for a<br />

portfolio of programmes. Most countries<br />

have programmes for environmental technologies<br />

<strong>and</strong> sometimes clean technology.<br />

Few countries have programmes for “factor<br />

10 innovations” (or even factor 20 solutions).<br />

The Netherl<strong>and</strong>s is an exception,<br />

although the programmes are very technology-oriented<br />

5 . Support for radical innovations,<br />

clean technology <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

technologies is probably best organized<br />

through separate programmes. It is hard to<br />

factor in environmental criteria in normal<br />

research programmes because it is hard for<br />

evaluators to assess the environmental merits<br />

(noted by Ken Guy at the 6CP conference<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>and</strong> sustainable development,<br />

Brussels, 28 febr-1 march).<br />

There is also a need for a more integrated<br />

innovation policy for the environment, in<br />

order to increase the usefulness of innovation<br />

research <strong>and</strong> support policies. There are<br />

several ways to do this.<br />

First, innovation policy for the environment<br />

could be targeted to areas in which innovation<br />

is needed. <strong>Innovation</strong> support could<br />

also be informed by sustainability agendas<br />

<strong>and</strong> by transition agendas in which the sustainability<br />

goals are translated into specific<br />

policy goals 6 . Countries without transition<br />

agendas could set up task forces to this end.<br />

Second, the experiences with the Dutch<br />

programme for sustainable technologies<br />

(DTO) suggest that there is a need for support<br />

programmes that go beyond the support<br />

of research. There is a need for programmes<br />

for system innovation such as<br />

integrated mobility or industrial ecology, to<br />

explore visions of sustainability through<br />

research <strong>and</strong> the real use of new technologies<br />

in society. Such support programmes<br />

should be time-limited <strong>and</strong> flexible to prevent<br />

the creation of “white elephants”.<br />

System innovation in the sociotechnical<br />

realm involves changes in sociotechnical<br />

systems beyond a change in (technical)<br />

components. It is associated with new linkages,<br />

new knowledge, different rules <strong>and</strong><br />

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<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

7<br />

A related distinction is<br />

that between sustaining<br />

innovations <strong>and</strong><br />

disrupting innovations<br />

(Christensen, 2000).<br />

8<br />

AThree other<br />

examples, described in<br />

Ashford et al. (2001)<br />

are: biomass-based<br />

chemistry, multiple<br />

sustainable l<strong>and</strong>-use<br />

(the integration of the<br />

agricultural function<br />

with other functions in<br />

rural areas) <strong>and</strong> flexible,<br />

modular manufactured<br />

construction.<br />

9<br />

The factors are<br />

hypothetical <strong>and</strong> will<br />

differ per case. Some<br />

estimates are given in<br />

Weaver et al. (2000).<br />

10<br />

This suggestion is<br />

made by Angerer in<br />

his paper for the<br />

BLUEPRINT workshop<br />

on environmental<br />

innovation systems.<br />

The paper can be<br />

downloaded from<br />

www.<br />

blueprint-network.net<br />

roles, a new ‘logic of appropriateness’, <strong>and</strong><br />

sometimes new organisations 7 . System innovation<br />

usually consists of a combination of<br />

new <strong>and</strong> old components <strong>and</strong> may even consist<br />

of a novel combination of old components,<br />

as in the case of industrial ecology –<br />

the closing of material streams through the<br />

use of waste output from one company by<br />

another 8 .<br />

It is important to have programmes for system<br />

innovation because system innovation<br />

may provide factor 10 improvements in environmental<br />

impact compared to the factor 2<br />

improvements associated with incremental<br />

changes or factor 5 improvements connected<br />

with partial system design. The<br />

hypothesised time path of environmental<br />

benefit for various types of innovation is<br />

shown in figure 3 9 .<br />

System innovation is not about environmental<br />

innovation but about system changes<br />

offering environmental benefits alongside<br />

other types of benefits – economic ones <strong>and</strong><br />

social ones although there may be tradeoffs<br />

especially in the early phase.<br />

Third, more attention should be paid to the<br />

hazards, negative side-effects of new technologies<br />

for the environment <strong>and</strong> society at<br />

large. Part of the budget for innovation support<br />

could be earmarked for environmental<br />

assessment or more generally technology<br />

assessment. The share does not have to be<br />

high, 1% could already suffice 10 .<br />

Fourth, apart from the support for demonstration<br />

projects there should be programmes<br />

for technology experimentation.<br />

Sustainability requires experimentation. The<br />

primary goal of experiments should be to<br />

learn: about the product but also about the<br />

sustainability effects. Technology experimentation<br />

is an important element of programmes<br />

for system innovation. They should<br />

be set up towards the goal of learning <strong>and</strong><br />

not as demonstration projects. In the book<br />

Experimenting for sustainable transport.<br />

The approach of strategic niche management,<br />

analysing 8 experiments with sustainable<br />

transport, it was found that more could<br />

have been learned if they were set up<br />

differently. Little was learned about different<br />

configurations as the design was fixed.<br />

Most of the learning consisted of technical<br />

learning. The projects were largely selfcontained;<br />

they hardly stimulated 2nd order<br />

learning <strong>and</strong> wider learning processes <strong>and</strong><br />

as a result of this contributed little to<br />

processes of co-evolution involving social<br />

change (Hoogma et al., 2002). With one<br />

exception, they were not undertaken from a<br />

long-term sustainability vision, to be<br />

explored through a series of experiments.<br />

Fifth, apart from embedding environmental<br />

policy in innovation policy through the<br />

above policies, there is also a need for<br />

embedding innovation policy in environmental<br />

policy. <strong>Innovation</strong> research findings<br />

about enhanced possibilities to deal with<br />

Figure 3 ><br />

The time path of environmental benefit for various types of innovation (based on Weterings)<br />

Improvement in environmental efficiency<br />

Factor 10<br />

System innovation<br />

= new system<br />

Factor 5<br />

Partial system redesign<br />

Factor 2<br />

System optimisation<br />

5 10 20<br />

Time horizon (years)<br />

43


An Integrated <strong>Policy</strong> for <strong>Innovation</strong> for the Environment<br />

environmental problems technologically<br />

could be used for setting long-term emission<br />

limits – to create a market for new environmental<br />

solutions. Ashford (1994) has argued<br />

for a technology options analysis for environmental<br />

policy, which appears a very good<br />

idea. Of course a challenging environmental<br />

policy will also promote innovation, as<br />

stated by Ashford in various publications,<br />

but it is hard to pull appropriate innovation<br />

through environmental policy. Such policies<br />

can be disruptive in the sense of compromising<br />

user services (such as detergents with<br />

less washing performance) or creating a<br />

large economic cost. The use of catalytic<br />

converters in response to regulation led to a<br />

fuel penalty (an increase in fuel consumption)<br />

of as much as 7 miles per gallon in 1981<br />

(White, 1982), whereas the converters themselves<br />

were ineffective at low temperature<br />

(during the first kilometres), which meant<br />

that they were ineffective at short trips. The<br />

superiority of market-based instruments in<br />

pulling innovation still needs to be demonstrated—which<br />

is one reason why they<br />

should be used, apart from the efficiency<br />

gains associated with their use.<br />

These are some suggestions as to how innovation<br />

policy may be oriented towards environmental<br />

goals <strong>and</strong> sustainability. Let me<br />

recapitulate them.<br />

The first suggestion is to target innovation<br />

policy to areas in which innovation for the<br />

environment is needed.<br />

Suggestion 2 is to have programmes for<br />

system innovation besides programmes for<br />

clean technology <strong>and</strong> environmental technology.<br />

Suggestion 3 is to do environmental assessment<br />

<strong>and</strong> broader system assessment.<br />

Suggestion 4 is to support sociotechnical<br />

experiments for sustainability which are<br />

more than market learning experiments.<br />

Suggestion 5 is to disseminate the findings<br />

from innovation research towards regulators<br />

who may use such findings for setting<br />

future st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>and</strong> goals.<br />

><br />

The next section will deal with the innovation<br />

effects of environmental policy <strong>and</strong><br />

how these may be enhanced.<br />

2. THE INNOVATION EFFECTS OF<br />

ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY<br />

There is much talk about environmental<br />

policies being faulty. Past policies are being<br />

criticised for failing to achieve environmental<br />

goals (the environmentalist complaint),<br />

for being overly expensive (the industrialist<br />

complaint) <strong>and</strong> for failing to encourage<br />

innovation <strong>and</strong> dynamic efficiency (the complaint<br />

of innovation students). In my book<br />

Environmental <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>and</strong> Technical Change I<br />

give an overview of the effects of past environmental<br />

policies on technical change.<br />

I found several examples of environmental<br />

policies that stimulated innovation but the<br />

common technology response is the use of<br />

end-of-pipe solutions <strong>and</strong> incremental<br />

process changes offering limited environmental<br />

gains. Several harmful substances<br />

have been substituted through product bans<br />

but there were few examples of radical<br />

change in response to environmental policy.<br />

This begs the question: why did the policies<br />

fail to promote more radical innovation <strong>and</strong><br />

dynamic efficiency One explanation – wellrecognised<br />

in the economic literature – is<br />

the capture of government policies by special<br />

interests.This indeed is the case.<br />

Companies have an influence on the regulations<br />

to which they will be held <strong>and</strong> the way<br />

in which they are implemented. A second,<br />

complementary, explanation is that regulations<br />

are often based on available solutions.<br />

Sometimes particular solutions are prescribed.<br />

This stifles innovation. There have<br />

been successful attempts though to stimulate<br />

innovation. PCBs have been phased out,<br />

lead has been removed from gasoline, <strong>and</strong><br />

CFCs have been successfully substituted by<br />

HCFCs <strong>and</strong> HFCs. There was innovation in<br />

end-of-pipe technology <strong>and</strong> innovation in<br />

products such as detergents, paints <strong>and</strong> cars<br />

as a direct response to environmental policy<br />

but on the whole environmental policy has<br />

been too unchallenging to provoke innovative<br />

responses.<br />

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Also new policy instruments such as innovation<br />

waivers <strong>and</strong> environmental covenants<br />

failed to bring forth innovative solutions<br />

(Kemp, 2000). Probably more could have<br />

been achieved through better designed<br />

instruments. Perhaps economic instruments<br />

will encourage innovation more by providing<br />

an incentive to go beyond what is required<br />

by law in terms of emission reductions. I am<br />

a bit doubtful whether they will. In order to<br />

stimulate technological innovation, probably<br />

a more focused approach may be needed.<br />

One way of doing this is through R&D programmes<br />

for environ-mental technologies or<br />

more environmentally benign energy technologies.<br />

But as noted with R&D support<br />

there is always the danger that the programmes<br />

promote second-rate technologies<br />

<strong>and</strong> provide windfall gains to the recipients.<br />

Another strategy is by specifying strict environmental<br />

stan-dards that require the development<br />

of new technologies. However, this<br />

should be done only in situations where the<br />

environmen-tal risks are large <strong>and</strong> acute <strong>and</strong><br />

when there is consen-sus about the most<br />

viable technological solution or trajectory. If<br />

there is no such consen-sus there is a danger<br />

that technology-forcing st<strong>and</strong>ards lock<br />

industry into overly expen-sive <strong>and</strong> suboptimal<br />

tech-nical solutions. In such circumstances<br />

there is a need for further research<br />

<strong>and</strong> experiments to learn more about the<br />

technological possibilities, about the disadvantages<br />

of particular solutions (<strong>and</strong> how<br />

they may be overcome), the economic costs<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental gains of the technologies,<br />

<strong>and</strong> their acceptability to society. When<br />

using direct regulation, policy makers should<br />

give careful attention to the actual design<br />

of st<strong>and</strong>ards: their strictness, differentiation,<br />

timing, ad-ministration, flexibility <strong>and</strong><br />

enforcement. The experiences in the US with<br />

innovation waivers <strong>and</strong> tradeable permits<br />

(described in Hahn, 1989) illustrate that the<br />

ways in which the instruments are designed<br />

<strong>and</strong> implemented are important determinants<br />

of the technological responses of<br />

industry. It is important to find a balance<br />

between certainty, stringency <strong>and</strong> flexibility.<br />

Technology compacts, described in Banks<br />

<strong>and</strong> Heaton (1995), appear useful way to<br />

promote technological innovation by setting<br />

an agenda of phased increments of technological<br />

change. But there is the danger of<br />

strategic behaviour on the part of industry<br />

that may claim that it is impossible to<br />

develop technology that is both environmentally<br />

superior <strong>and</strong> economically feasible.<br />

Generally, policy instruments should be<br />

combined with one another to benefit from<br />

synergistic effects (Kemp, 1997; Blazejczak<br />

et al. 1999; Norberg-Böhm, 1999; OECD,<br />

2000). A combination of st<strong>and</strong>ards with<br />

economic instru-ments is particularly useful<br />

by combining effectiveness with efficiency.<br />

A good example of an effective <strong>and</strong> economically<br />

efficient environmental policy are<br />

the US automobile fuel economy st<strong>and</strong>ards<br />

which set progressive fuel economy targets<br />

for automobile manufacturers in the 1979-<br />

85 period under penalty of a fine of $50 per<br />

car sold for each mile per gallon of shortfall.<br />

This worked very well as shown by Greene<br />

(1990). Tradeable pollution permits also<br />

deserve to be used more as they too combine<br />

effectiveness with efficiency. At this moment<br />

a nation-wide market exists for SO2 in the<br />

US where utilities can trade SO2 rights at the<br />

Chicago Board of Trade. According to a<br />

recent evaluation the tradeable permits for<br />

sulphur dioxide emissions reduce the costs<br />

of the 1990 acid rain pro-gramme by 55<br />

percent (Ellerman et al, 2000), quoted in<br />

Cramton, 2000) but this system has failed to<br />

promote innovation (Burtraw, 2000).<br />

In my view there is a need for government<br />

authorities to be explicitly concerned with<br />

technical change (rather than implicitly<br />

through a change in the economic frame<br />

conditions) <strong>and</strong> to be concerned with institutional<br />

arrangements beyond the choice of<br />

policy instruments. Government has to act as<br />

a change agent, making sure that societies’<br />

problem solving capabilities are utilized.<br />

This requires different roles for policy<br />

makers: that of a sponsor, planner, regulator,<br />

matchmaker, alignment actor <strong>and</strong> a ‘creative<br />

game regulator’ who intervenes cleverly in<br />

regulatory games.<br />

I also feel there is a need for policy to be<br />

oriented towards system innovation involving<br />

structural change rather than the develop-<br />

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An Integrated <strong>Policy</strong> for <strong>Innovation</strong> for the Environment<br />

11<br />

The project team<br />

consisted of Jan<br />

Rotmans, Marjolein<br />

van Asselt <strong>and</strong> Kirsten<br />

Molendijk from ICIS,<br />

René Kemp from<br />

MERIT (in Maastricht),<br />

Frank Geels from the<br />

University of Twente<br />

<strong>and</strong> Geert Verbong<br />

from TUE.<br />

12<br />

The idea of development<br />

rounds comes<br />

from Teisman (2000).<br />

><br />

ment <strong>and</strong> diffusion of environmental technologies.<br />

This should be done in a forwardlooking,<br />

reflexive manner. A planning <strong>and</strong><br />

implementation approach won’t work<br />

because apart from practical problems of<br />

implementation it may be insufficiently<br />

responsive to peoples needs <strong>and</strong> wants. In<br />

general one should try to utilize dynamics in<br />

technology <strong>and</strong> markets <strong>and</strong> bottom-up initiatives<br />

with new technology <strong>and</strong> systems<br />

for achieving long-term change that goes<br />

beyond a pale greening of existing systems.<br />

Policies should be used to stimulate both<br />

incremental change <strong>and</strong> step changes. Ideas<br />

about how to do this are worked in a policy<br />

model called transition management.<br />

3. TRANSITION MANAGEMENT<br />

The experiences with the above Dutch programmes<br />

(especially DTO) <strong>and</strong> the continuing<br />

non-sustainability of fossil-based energy<br />

<strong>and</strong> transport systems <strong>and</strong> risk-prone chemistry<br />

<strong>and</strong> food production led Dutch policy<br />

makers to look for a more integrated <strong>and</strong><br />

comprehensive approach to work towards<br />

transitions. Together with others, I was<br />

involved in a project for the 4th National<br />

Environmental <strong>Policy</strong> plan (NMP-4) analysing<br />

the concept of transition <strong>and</strong> the possibilities<br />

for transition management 11 .<br />

Transition management can be defined as<br />

a deliberate attempt to bring about structural<br />

change in a stepwise manner.<br />

Transition management for sustainability is<br />

oriented towards long-term transition<br />

goals but does not attempt to achieve a<br />

particular transition goal at all cost. It is<br />

based on a philosophy of modulation: it<br />

tries to utilise existing dynamics <strong>and</strong> orient<br />

these dynamics to transition goals that are<br />

chosen by society. The policies to further<br />

the goals are periodically adjusted in development<br />

rounds 12 . The goals are not set into<br />

stone but may also change in the course of<br />

time. Existing <strong>and</strong> possible policy actions<br />

are evaluated against two criteria: first, the<br />

immediate contribution to policy goals (for<br />

example in terms of kilotons of CO2 reduction<br />

<strong>and</strong> reduced vulnerability through<br />

climate change adaptation measures), <strong>and</strong><br />

second, the contribution of the policies to<br />

the overall transition process. Policies thus<br />

have a content goal <strong>and</strong> a process goal.<br />

Learning, maintaining variety <strong>and</strong> institutional<br />

change are important policy aims<br />

<strong>and</strong> policy goals are used as means. The use<br />

of development rounds brings flexibility to<br />

the process, without losing a long-term<br />

focus.<br />

A schematic view of transition management<br />

is given in figure 4.<br />

Figure 4 ><br />

Short-term versus long-term policy<br />

Current policy: only short term goals<br />

Political<br />

margins for<br />

change<br />

Transition<br />

goals<br />

State of<br />

development<br />

of solutions<br />

reassessment reassessment reassessment<br />

Transition management:<br />

short term <strong>and</strong> long-term goals <strong>and</strong> re-evaluation<br />

Sustainability<br />

visions<br />

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<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

Figure 5 > Role of the government in various phases of a transition process 13<br />

13<br />

Strategic niche<br />

management is the<br />

exploiting windows of opportunity<br />

creation <strong>and</strong> management<br />

of a niche for an<br />

innovation with the<br />

aim of promoting processes<br />

of co-evolution.<br />

The innovation is<br />

used by real users.<br />

This helps to promote<br />

interactive learning<br />

(between suppliers<br />

<strong>and</strong> users) <strong>and</strong> helps<br />

to build product constituencies<br />

(which<br />

Pre-development phase:<br />

Keeping a wide playing field<br />

Promoting participative discussions<br />

Strategic niche management<br />

Acceleration phase:<br />

Selection of options<br />

Policies for structural change<br />

Monitoring of outcomes<br />

Adjustment<br />

Take off phase:<br />

Mobilizing actors programmes for system innovation quality images<br />

Internalisation of external costs<br />

Stabilisation phase:<br />

Stimulating a new regime (consolidation)<br />

include policy actors).<br />

The approach of SNM<br />

is described in Kemp<br />

et al. (1998a), Kemp et<br />

al. (1998b), Kemp et<br />

al. (2001), Elzen et al.<br />

(2001) <strong>and</strong> Hoogma et<br />

al. (2001). Loiter <strong>and</strong><br />

Norberg-Bohm (1999)<br />

also argue for ‘niche<br />

policies’.<br />

Transition management is based on a twopronged<br />

strategy. It is oriented towards<br />

both system improvement (improvement of<br />

an existing trajectory) <strong>and</strong> system innovation<br />

(representing a new trajectory of development<br />

or transformation). The role of government<br />

differs per transition phase. For<br />

example, in the predevelopment stages<br />

there is a need for social experimentation<br />

<strong>and</strong> creating support for a transition programme.<br />

In the acceleration phase there is a<br />

special need for controlling the side effects<br />

of large-scale application of new technologies.<br />

Throughout the entire transition the<br />

external costs of technologies should be<br />

reflected in prices <strong>and</strong> windows of opportunity<br />

should be utilized. The changing nature<br />

of policy is shown in Figure 5.<br />

Transition management breaks with the<br />

planning <strong>and</strong> implementation model <strong>and</strong><br />

policies aimed at achieving particular outcomes.<br />

It is based on a process-oriented philosophy<br />

of modulation <strong>and</strong> long-term goals.<br />

Both elements help to deal with complexity<br />

<strong>and</strong> uncertainty in a constructive way.<br />

Transition management is a form of process<br />

management against a set of goals set by<br />

society whose problem solving capabilities<br />

are mobilised <strong>and</strong> translated into a transition<br />

programme, which is legitimised<br />

through the political process.<br />

Key elements of transition management are:<br />

• Long-term thinking (at least 25 years) as a<br />

framework for shaping short-term policy<br />

• Thinking in terms of more than one<br />

domain (multi-domain) <strong>and</strong> different<br />

actors (multi-actor) at different scale levels<br />

(multi-level); how developments at one<br />

level with one type of actors gel with<br />

developments in other domains<br />

• A focus on learning <strong>and</strong> a special learning<br />

philosophy (learning-by-doing <strong>and</strong> doingby-learning)<br />

• An orientation towards system innovation<br />

• Learning about a variety of options (which<br />

requires a wide playing field).<br />

Transition management does not aim to<br />

realize a particular path. It may be enough<br />

to improve existing systems;problems may<br />

also turn out to be less severe than at first<br />

thought.<br />

Transition management is not an instrumental<br />

activity. The actual policies are the outcome<br />

of political negotiations <strong>and</strong> processes<br />

of co-evolution which inform further steps,<br />

but the basis steps are:<br />

The transition goal<br />

This consists of a basket of goals. The transition<br />

goal is multi-dimensional <strong>and</strong> should<br />

not be defined in a narrowly technological<br />

sense. The goals should be democratically<br />

chosen <strong>and</strong> based on integrated risk analysis.<br />

This will constitute a radical break with current<br />

practice in environmental policy where<br />

quantitative st<strong>and</strong>ards are set on the basis of<br />

studies of social risk, <strong>and</strong> adjusted for political<br />

expediency. Risk-based target setting is<br />

47


An Integrated <strong>Policy</strong> for <strong>Innovation</strong> for the Environment<br />

Figure 6 ><br />

14<br />

The idea of a policy<br />

corridor is described<br />

<strong>and</strong> applied in<br />

Rotmans <strong>and</strong> den<br />

Elzen (1993).<br />

Optimalisation <strong>and</strong> innovation<br />

Optimalisation<br />

<strong>and</strong> innovation<br />

doomed to fail when many issues are at<br />

stake <strong>and</strong> when the associated risks cannot<br />

easily be expressed in fixed, purely quantitative<br />

objectives. This holds true for climate<br />

change but also for sustainable transport.<br />

Transition management relies on integrated<br />

risk analysis <strong>and</strong> the setting of minimum levels<br />

for certain stocks (e.g. health, ecosystem<br />

diversity <strong>and</strong> capital) <strong>and</strong> aspiration levels.<br />

The estimates of various types of risk are subjective,<br />

since the risks are surrounded by structural<br />

uncertainties, legitimating the incorporation<br />

of various perspectives (van Asselt,<br />

2000). The net result is a policy corridor for<br />

key variables, indicating the margins within<br />

which the risks are considered acceptable 14 .<br />

The use of transition visions<br />

Transition management is based on longterm<br />

visions that function as a framework<br />

<strong>and</strong> a frame for formulating short-term <strong>and</strong><br />

long-term objectives <strong>and</strong> evaluating existing<br />

policy. To adumbrate transitional pathways,<br />

these visions must be appealing <strong>and</strong> imaginative<br />

<strong>and</strong> be supported by a broad range of<br />

actors. Inspiring final visions are useful for<br />

mobilizing social actors (such as ‘underground<br />

transport’ <strong>and</strong> ‘multifunctional l<strong>and</strong><br />

use’), although they should also be realistic<br />

about innovation levels within the social<br />

subsystem in question.<br />

The ‘basket’ of visions can be adjusted as a<br />

result of what has been learned by the players<br />

in the various transition experiments.<br />

The participatory transition process is thus a<br />

goal-seeking process, where both the transition<br />

goals <strong>and</strong> visions change over time. This<br />

differs from so-called ‘blueprint’ thinking,<br />

which operates from a fixed notion of final<br />

goals <strong>and</strong> corresponding visions.<br />

Interim objectives<br />

Figure 6 shows the similarities <strong>and</strong> differences<br />

between current policy-making <strong>and</strong><br />

transition management. In each case,<br />

interim objectives are used. However, in<br />

transition management these are derived<br />

from the long-term objectives (through socalled<br />

‘backcasting’), <strong>and</strong> contain qualitative<br />

as well as semi-quantitative measures. In<br />

other words, the interim transition objectives<br />

contain content objectives (which at<br />

the start can look like the current policy<br />

objectives, but later will increasing appear<br />

to be different), process objectives (quality<br />

of the transition process, perspectives <strong>and</strong><br />

behaviour of the actors concerned, unexpected<br />

developments) <strong>and</strong> learning objectives<br />

(what has been learned from the<br />

experiments carried out, have more options<br />

been kept open, re-adjusting options <strong>and</strong><br />

learning objectives).<br />

Evaluating <strong>and</strong> learning<br />

Transition management involves the use of socalled<br />

‘development rounds’, where what has<br />

been achieved in terms of content, process<br />

dynamics <strong>and</strong> knowledge is evaluated. The<br />

actors who take part in the transition process<br />

evaluate in each interim round the set interim<br />

transition objectives, the transition process<br />

itself <strong>and</strong> the transition experiments.<br />

The set interim objectives are evaluated to<br />

see whether they have been achieved; if this<br />

is not the case, they are analysed to see why<br />

not. Have there been any unexpected social<br />

developments or external factors that were<br />

not taken into account Have the actors<br />

involved not complied with the agreements<br />

that were made<br />

The second aspect of the evaluation concerns<br />

the transition process itself. The set-up<br />

<strong>and</strong> implementation of the transition<br />

process is put under the microscope. How do<br />

the actors concerned experience the partici-<br />

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><br />

pation process Is it dominated by certain<br />

parties (vested interests) Is it too consensual<br />

(too cosy), or is there too little commitment<br />

Are there other actors who should be<br />

involved in the transition process Are there<br />

other forms of participation that must be<br />

tried out<br />

The final issue for evaluation is the amount<br />

of learning or ‘enrichment’ that has taken<br />

place in the previous period. A special point<br />

of attention is what has been learned from<br />

the experiments carried out to stimulate the<br />

transition. What have been the most important<br />

learning moments <strong>and</strong> experiences<br />

Have these led to new knowledge <strong>and</strong> new<br />

circumstances And what does this means<br />

for future policies<br />

Creating public support<br />

A continuing concern is the creation <strong>and</strong><br />

maintenance of public support. This is<br />

important for the process to keep going <strong>and</strong><br />

preventing a backlash, which may occur<br />

when quick results do not materialize <strong>and</strong><br />

setbacks are encountered. One way to<br />

achieve this is through participatory decision-making<br />

<strong>and</strong> the societal choice of goals.<br />

But societal support can also be created in a<br />

bottom-up manner, by engaging in experiences<br />

with technologies in areas in which<br />

there is local support for their use. The experience<br />

may take away fears elsewhere <strong>and</strong><br />

give proponents a weapon. With time solutions<br />

may be found for the problems that<br />

limit wider application. Education too can<br />

allay fears but real experience is probably a<br />

more effective strategy. Through the prudent<br />

use of new technologies in niches, societal<br />

opposition may be circumvented.<br />

4. TRANSITION MANAGEMENT IN<br />

RELATION TO CURRENT POLICY<br />

Transition management should be seen as<br />

an integrative framework for government<br />

policy but also for NGOs <strong>and</strong> business. The<br />

concept of transition places short-term policy<br />

within a time frame of one, two or three<br />

generations (50-100 years) rather than the<br />

maximum of 5-10 years, which is typical of<br />

current policy. It is also oriented towards system<br />

innovation. Perhaps unfortunately, the<br />

fruits of technical fixes will contribute more<br />

quickly to policy objectives in the short term.<br />

An example of this is CO 2 collection <strong>and</strong><br />

storage. Another example is the catalytic<br />

converter which helped to achieve reductions<br />

in automobile NOx emissions but<br />

increased energy use <strong>and</strong> that did not deal<br />

with the many social <strong>and</strong> economic problems<br />

related to car use. Technical fixes are no<br />

solution for complex social problems.<br />

This does not mean that transition management<br />

rejects the improvement of existing systems<br />

as a route towards sustainability. It says<br />

that you must aim for both system optimisation<br />

<strong>and</strong> system innovation instead of one of<br />

the two. It also should be noted that the two<br />

strategies are not necessary mutually exclusive:<br />

cleaner cars can go h<strong>and</strong>-in-h<strong>and</strong> with innovative<br />

public transport systems. System improvements<br />

may thus act as a stepping-stone for system<br />

innovation. An example is organized car<br />

sharing, which facilitates intermodal travel.<br />

A characteristic of transition management<br />

when successful is that structural change is<br />

achieved gradually, without too much<br />

destructive friction in the form of social<br />

resistance or high costs. This is done through<br />

the use of ‘two-world’ technologies <strong>and</strong><br />

exploitation of niches, attractive domains of<br />

application. You do not need centralised<br />

planning for the creation of a new system. It<br />

can also be achieved through in a gradual,<br />

unplanned way, through hybrid technologies<br />

<strong>and</strong> by adding new elements to an<br />

existing system that facilitate further<br />

change (Geels <strong>and</strong> Kemp, 2000).<br />

Transition management tries to utilize the<br />

opportunities for transformation that are<br />

present in an existing system. It joins in<br />

with ongoing dynamics instead of forcing<br />

changes. Transition management also implies<br />

refraining from large-scale investment in<br />

improvement options that only fit into the<br />

existing system <strong>and</strong> that, as a result, create a<br />

‘lock-in’ situation.<br />

The role of government in transition management<br />

is a pluralistic one: facilitator-medi-<br />

49


An Integrated <strong>Policy</strong> for <strong>Innovation</strong> for the Environment<br />

ator-controller-director, depending on the<br />

stage of the transition. The most effective<br />

(but least visible) is the guidance in the predevelopment<br />

phase, <strong>and</strong> to a lesser extent, in<br />

the take-off phase. Much more difficult is the<br />

guidance in the acceleration phase, because<br />

the direction of development in this phase is<br />

mainly determined by reactions that reinforce<br />

(or weaken) each other <strong>and</strong> cause<br />

autonomous dynamics. It is still possible at<br />

this stage to adjust the direction of development,<br />

but it is almost impossible to reverse it.<br />

This paper has described a method for managing<br />

the change process, called transition<br />

management. It is called transition management<br />

because the challenge of sustainability<br />

involves the management of transition problems:<br />

the costs of adaptation, resistance of<br />

vested interests, <strong>and</strong> uncertainty about the<br />

best option. Through transitions environmental<br />

benefits may be achieved, through<br />

systems that are inherently more environmental<br />

benign, but that also may produce<br />

wider sustainability benefits in the form of<br />

health benefits <strong>and</strong> social well-being.<br />

> 5. CONCLUSIONS<br />

Transition management<br />

This paper looked at the experiences with<br />

innovation policy <strong>and</strong> environmental policy<br />

in bringing forth innovations for the environment—innovations<br />

that have environmental<br />

benefit compared to existing products<br />

<strong>and</strong> processes.<br />

The paper offers practical suggestions both<br />

for innovation policy <strong>and</strong> for environmental<br />

policy to stimulate innovations for the environment,<br />

something that is needed because<br />

the current incentives for environmental<br />

innovations are weak. I have made a plea for<br />

programmes for system innovation offering<br />

sustainability benefits, to complement existing<br />

programmes for environmental technology<br />

15 . Programmes for system innovation are<br />

programmes for system changes offering<br />

environmental benefits alongside other<br />

types of benefits. The programmes should<br />

be time-limited <strong>and</strong> flexible. I am thinking<br />

here about programmes for novel protein<br />

foods in which proteins are produced in factories<br />

using biotechnology (to substitute for<br />

meat), <strong>and</strong> programmes for integrated<br />

mobility <strong>and</strong> industrial ecology.<br />

Four other suggestions are:<br />

1. to target innovation policy to areas in<br />

which innovation for the environment is<br />

needed.<br />

2. to do environmental assessment <strong>and</strong><br />

broader system assessment<br />

3. to support technology experiments for<br />

sustainability<br />

4. to embed innovation policy in environmental<br />

policy.<br />

… is a collective, cooperative effort to work<br />

towards a transition in a flexible, stepwise<br />

manner, utilising dynamics <strong>and</strong> visions<br />

… involves a wide range of policies with<br />

their choice <strong>and</strong> timing gauged to the<br />

particular circumstances of a transition<br />

… involves system innovation<br />

<strong>and</strong> system improvement<br />

Although strictly speaking transitions cannot<br />

be managed, one can work towards<br />

them. This is what transition management<br />

attempts to do. Transition management consists<br />

of a deliberate attempt to bring about<br />

structural change in a stepwise manner. It<br />

tries to utilise existing dynamics <strong>and</strong> orient<br />

these dynamics to transition goals that are<br />

chosen by society. The goals <strong>and</strong> policies to<br />

further the goals are constantly assessed <strong>and</strong><br />

periodically adjusted in development round.<br />

Through its focus on long term ambition<br />

<strong>and</strong> its attention to dynamics it aims to overcome<br />

the conflict between long-term ambition<br />

<strong>and</strong> short-term concerns.<br />

Transition management is based on a twopronged<br />

strategy. It is oriented towards<br />

stimulating system improvement <strong>and</strong> system<br />

innovation to meet the transition goals. The<br />

role of government in transition management<br />

is a plural one: facilitator-mediatorcontroller-director,<br />

depending on the stage<br />

of the transition.<br />

The value of transitions management is that<br />

it orients myopic actors to the future <strong>and</strong> to<br />

societal goals, that it helps to create societal<br />

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support for a transition (resulting in a transition<br />

programme which is politically legitimised)<br />

<strong>and</strong> commits societal actors to<br />

change. Transition management provides a<br />

basis for coordination of public <strong>and</strong> private<br />

action. It does not fix a path but explores<br />

various options. It adds a top-down element<br />

to bottom-up initiatives.<br />

In my view, transition management offers a<br />

promising alternative for a planning <strong>and</strong><br />

control approach <strong>and</strong> the use of economic<br />

incentives that both suffer from serious<br />

problems: economic incentives are likely to<br />

be too weak <strong>and</strong> probably too general to<br />

promote system innovation whereas a planning<br />

<strong>and</strong> implementation approach is likely<br />

to be disruptive, by failing to include the<br />

multitude of microconcerns at the decentralized<br />

level.<br />

Transition management involves a change in<br />

policy making, which will be more oriented<br />

toward long-term goals of sustainability<br />

(instead of short-term goals), to system innovation<br />

<strong>and</strong> to new actors. Transition management<br />

is not something consensual.<br />

Transition management does not exclude the<br />

use of control policies, such as the use of<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>and</strong> emission trading. We need<br />

corrective policies besides push policies. The<br />

policies can be chosen <strong>and</strong> legitimised as part<br />

of the transition endeavour or independently<br />

from it. For example the use of CO2<br />

taxes <strong>and</strong> other types of economic incentives<br />

can be legitimised by the economic principle<br />

that says that one should internalise external<br />

costs. Perhaps the commitment to a transition<br />

facilitates their introduction. We’ll see.<br />

Transition management is not a magical tool<br />

but does appear to be a promising perspective.<br />

Dutch authorities think so. It may be<br />

used to achieve a greater coherence in policy<br />

<strong>and</strong> in societal actions for sustainability. It is<br />

a different type of governance model, ained<br />

at modulating dynamics, not an instrument.<br />

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Sept, 2001, Garmisch Partenkirchen, Germany.<br />

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(2000), ‘Transitions <strong>and</strong> Transition Management:<br />

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2002, in Brussels, available from www.blueprint-network.net.<br />

54


Part 2<br />

DOES INNOVATION POLICY<br />

MAKE A DIFFERENCE<br />

The three following papers deal with the<br />

question of additionality – what would have<br />

happened if no intervention had taken place<br />

– as a way to establish whether policy instruments<br />

have any effect. Identifying <strong>and</strong> measuring<br />

the socio-economic effects <strong>and</strong> impact<br />

of innovation policies is high on the agenda of<br />

many OECD countries, as a consequence of an<br />

increased requirement for accountability in<br />

public sector management. In order to establish<br />

the positive externalities of knowledge<br />

production <strong>and</strong> diffusion, <strong>and</strong> not only the<br />

benefits for those directly involved in a policy<br />

programme, we need to find ways to measure<br />

these wider effects. <strong>Policy</strong> makers are increasingly<br />

required to demonstrate effects of policy<br />

instruments in quantitative terms.<br />

The first paper by Luke Georghiou takes<br />

stock of the progressively broadening<br />

approach towards the key issue of additionality<br />

of innovation policy: from quantitative<br />

approaches <strong>and</strong> effects on R&D investment<br />

(flows), towards behavioural approaches<br />

<strong>and</strong> qualitative effects on capacities in the<br />

innovation system (stocks). The paper<br />

explores what the evidence of the impact<br />

of innovation policy has been so far.<br />

Governments can make a difference in the<br />

stimulation of innovation in public goods.<br />

Georghiou argues that measures to stimulate<br />

R&D in a systems context, need to be<br />

designed as public-private partnerships,<br />

rather than as support mechanisms.<br />

There is a school of scholars aiming to measure<br />

the longer-term impacts of innovation<br />

policy with the help of econometrics.<br />

Norway has a long tradition of evaluating a<br />

number of innovation policy instruments<br />

using quantitative analytical methods. The<br />

second paper by Lasse Bræin, Arild Hervik,<br />

Erik Nesset <strong>and</strong> Mette Rye discusses these<br />

methods <strong>and</strong> their problems <strong>and</strong> provides<br />

empirical evidence from a number of<br />

Norwegian cases.<br />

The third paper by Erik Arnold <strong>and</strong> Patries<br />

Boekholt discusses how evaluations can help<br />

us in deciding whether innovation policy<br />

works. It also discusses what we do not<br />

know due to methodological difficulties.<br />

The paper is based on a large number of<br />

evaluation studies in various countries.<br />

2<br />

55


<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

IMPACT AND ADDITIONALITY<br />

OF INNOVATION POLICY<br />

LUKE GEORGHIOU<br />

<strong>Policy</strong> Research in Engineering, Science <strong>and</strong> Technology (PREST),<br />

University of Manchester, United Kingdom<br />

Luke Georghiou (1955) is Professor of<br />

Science <strong>and</strong> Technology <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>and</strong> Management<br />

<strong>and</strong> Director of PREST (Programme<br />

of <strong>Policy</strong> Research in Engineering, Science<br />

<strong>and</strong> Technology) University of Manchester.<br />

He is responsible for management of<br />

research <strong>and</strong> postgraduate institute of 25<br />

staff <strong>and</strong> 28 doctoral researchers. Luke<br />

Georghiou completed his PhD from the<br />

University of Manchester in 1982. The thesis<br />

is called “Technical Characteristics <strong>and</strong> Inter-<br />

Fuel Substitution” <strong>and</strong> was supervised by<br />

of Professor Michael Gibbons. He has published<br />

extensively in the area of technology<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> evaluation. Publications include<br />

numerous invited conference presentations<br />

<strong>and</strong> keynote addresses, academic journal<br />

articles, book chapters <strong>and</strong> reports. Other<br />

activities in the past include Member<br />

Quinquennial Review of the Research<br />

Councils (2001), Chair Advisory Committee<br />

on Evaluation of Science Foundation Irel<strong>and</strong><br />

(2000), Chairman Strategic Review Panel<br />

of EUREKA Initiative <strong>and</strong> Chairman 5 Year<br />

Assessment Panel of EU Framework<br />

Biotechnology Programmes (1996).<br />

57


Impact <strong>and</strong> Additionality of <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong><br />

><br />

><br />

1. INTRODUCTION<br />

The design of innovation policy is both a<br />

practical art <strong>and</strong> one which draws upon current<br />

theories to provide a rationale, a justification<br />

<strong>and</strong> some specific principles of<br />

design. Just as success in innovation itself<br />

comes from the ability to sustain a series of<br />

improvements over time rather than from<br />

an achievement at a fixed point in time, so<br />

the design of innovation policies needs to be<br />

adaptive to circumstances <strong>and</strong> to build on<br />

lessons learned in practical situations.<br />

Informal feedback is always present but<br />

policy evaluation provides the most systematic<br />

approach to learning. In this paper, a key<br />

dimension of evaluation, the additionality<br />

of the intervention, is reviewed <strong>and</strong> linked<br />

to different perspectives on <strong>and</strong> rationales<br />

for innovation policy. This is set in the context<br />

of the evolving behaviour of innovative<br />

firms. Finally some brief conjectures are<br />

drawn about the implications choice of<br />

policy rationale would have for addressing<br />

the issue of sustainability in the context of<br />

innovation policy.<br />

2. ADDITIONALITY<br />

It is tempting for the policymaker to compile<br />

dossiers replete with “success stories” which<br />

may be used to justify continuation or<br />

expansion of the policy measure in question.<br />

Even better if some proxy for rate of return<br />

or economic activity generated can be integrated.<br />

However, it has long been realized<br />

that the critical question that an evaluation<br />

needs to ask must go beyond the level of<br />

effects achieved by the beneficiaries of a<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> pursue the issue of the contribution<br />

to those effects made by the existence<br />

of the public intervention. In an earlier<br />

paper, the author <strong>and</strong> colleagues encapsulated<br />

this question in terms of what difference<br />

is made by the policy, or to use the terminology<br />

of evaluation, the additionality of<br />

the support measure (Buisseret et al, 1995).<br />

Conceptually, additionality appears relatively<br />

simple on superficial examination. It<br />

involves comparison with the null hypothesis<br />

or counterfactual – what would have<br />

happened if no intervention had taken<br />

place. The framework we developed treated<br />

additionality in three manifestations:<br />

a) Input additionality: a concern with<br />

whether resources provided to a firm are<br />

additional, that is to say whether for every<br />

Euro provided in subsidy or other assistance,<br />

the firm spends at least an additional<br />

Euro on the target activity. Two<br />

other scenarios are worthy of note, the<br />

first being that the firm does not increase<br />

its expenditure on the activity in question<br />

by an amount equal to or greater than the<br />

subsidy, thus diverting the public funds to<br />

enhance its profits. This is an outcome easily<br />

possible when a fiscal incentive for R&D<br />

is introduced which allows the whole<br />

spend rather than incremental spend to be<br />

offset against the allowance. The second<br />

scenario is that the firm accepts the subsidy<br />

for an activity that it would have carried<br />

out anyway <strong>and</strong> spends the resources on<br />

another project, thus rendering the subsidy<br />

as “deadweight”. This is a typical scenario<br />

in grant-funding for R&D where it is<br />

very difficult for the policymaker to judge<br />

the firm’s initial intentions. The incremental<br />

spend in R&D may be achieved but the<br />

policymaker is funding a different project<br />

(normally the marginal one which the firm<br />

would have undertaken if additional<br />

resources were available). The advantage<br />

to the firm in a situation of competition for<br />

grants is that it can put forward a more<br />

attractive project which (obviously) promises<br />

higher returns than the marginal<br />

project.<br />

b) Output additionality: At its simplest this<br />

measure concerns the proportion of outputs<br />

which would not have been achieved<br />

without public support. It has appeal for<br />

evaluators as they are more interested in<br />

assessing the achievement of programme<br />

goals than in auditing the expenditure of<br />

participants. However, the evaluator is<br />

faced with two serious impediments in<br />

operationalising this concept. The first is<br />

that the outputs of an innovative project<br />

in receipt of support (say reports, patents,<br />

prototypes, business plans, new partnerships)<br />

are essentially intermediate<br />

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achievements. They do not in themselves<br />

constitute innovation. However, if the<br />

concept is shifted in the direction of outcome<br />

additionality (improved business<br />

performance as a result of new or<br />

improved products, processes or services)<br />

it becomes increasingly difficult to attribute<br />

the effect to the intervention.<br />

Multiple competences need to be applied<br />

to realize an innovation <strong>and</strong> separating<br />

them is non-trivial. Furthermore, if outcome<br />

additionality is the issue in question<br />

then outcomes beyond the economic performance<br />

of the beneficiary become relevant.<br />

These include unintended effects<br />

(including negative ones) <strong>and</strong> all types of<br />

spillovers, Jaffe (1996). The timing of the<br />

assessment is also relevant – there are<br />

many different time-profiles over which<br />

outcomes are manifested. These include<br />

short-term effects which terminate<br />

abruptly in the face of changed market<br />

conditions or corporate strategy. At the<br />

other end of the scale is the “sleeper technology”<br />

which finds its applications some<br />

years later, perhaps because complementary<br />

technologies have been developed or<br />

simply because a new application has<br />

been perceived.<br />

c) Behavioural additionality: this is a category<br />

we introduced following the observation<br />

that a common effect of innovation<br />

policy was not to alter a stop-go decision<br />

by the firm in respect of the project but<br />

rather to modify in some way the way in<br />

which the project was carried out. The UK<br />

Department of Trade <strong>and</strong> Industry has<br />

articulated these changes in three sub-divisions<br />

– scale additionality when the activity<br />

is larger than it would otherwise have<br />

been as a result of government support<br />

(perhaps creating economies of scale);<br />

scope additionality, where the coverage of<br />

an activity is exp<strong>and</strong>ed to a wider range of<br />

applications or markets than would have<br />

been possible without government assistance<br />

(including the case of creating a collaboration<br />

in place of a single-company<br />

effort); <strong>and</strong> acceleration additionality<br />

when the activity is significantly brought<br />

forward in time, perhaps to meet a market<br />

window.<br />

As Bach <strong>and</strong> Matt (2002) have correctly<br />

observed, behavioural additionality has a<br />

further dimension in capturing permanent<br />

or persistent changes in firm behaviour as a<br />

result of the policy intervention. This can be<br />

at the strategic level (incentivising the firm<br />

to move into a new area of activity, or to<br />

alter its business processes) or at the level of<br />

acquired competences. These changes are<br />

potentially more significant in the long run<br />

than the short-term boost to resources<br />

afforded by a subsidy. The two types of<br />

intervention are not wholly separable – support<br />

for collaborative R&D often has a<br />

rationale of overcoming firms’ natural resistance<br />

to collaboration through information<br />

failures or lack of the necessary competences<br />

to manage a partnership.<br />

Bach <strong>and</strong> Matt (2002) have sought to<br />

extend this dimension of additionality by<br />

introducing a further category, that of cognitive<br />

capacity additionality. With this perspective<br />

they see the key question as being<br />

whether the policy action changes the cognitive<br />

capacity of the agent. They argue<br />

that if output additionality reflects a neoclassical<br />

perspective, then cognitive capacity<br />

additionality occupies the equivalent position<br />

in an evolutionary-structuralist perspective.<br />

Since the introduction of the behavioural<br />

concept some further evidence has accumulated<br />

on this topic. Davenport <strong>and</strong> Grimes in<br />

assessing the effects of company support in<br />

New Zeal<strong>and</strong> found that the behavioural<br />

additionality concept provided the best<br />

explanation for their findings. They discuss<br />

how managers <strong>and</strong> policy administrators can<br />

exploit the occurrence of behavioural additionality<br />

to maximize the impact of a<br />

research policy, on the basis that modified<br />

behaviour is likely to strengthen a policy's<br />

latent ability to influence the creation of<br />

output additionality. In such circumstances,<br />

the study suggests that managers <strong>and</strong> policy-makers<br />

should be identifying those interventions<br />

that lead to sustained improvements<br />

in managerial practice, <strong>and</strong> in<br />

competitiveness, <strong>and</strong> should be managing<br />

their diffusion within firms <strong>and</strong> throughout<br />

industries.<br />

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Impact <strong>and</strong> Additionality of <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong><br />

On the other h<strong>and</strong> Luukkonen has criticised<br />

the additionality concept on the grounds<br />

that it is insufficient to reveal the usefulness<br />

of public support. She cites empirical evidence<br />

to show that projects deemed as trivial<br />

by firms at the time of support may in the<br />

long run turn out to have been highly significant<br />

in their impacts, for example<br />

because they may build capacity in areas<br />

where firms have suffered from what<br />

Salmenkaita <strong>and</strong> Salo (2001) have subsequently<br />

labeled “anticipatory myopia”. In<br />

response to this criticism it may be argued<br />

that whether a project is additional or not is<br />

a separate question from that of the success<br />

of a project. Indeed high additionality may<br />

easily be associated with an increased risk of<br />

failure because the intervention has<br />

tempted a firm to move beyond its competences<br />

or to undertake a project which was<br />

more risky than usual. Both of these may be<br />

positive effects overall. There is also the case<br />

of high additionality where the policymaker<br />

incentivised the firm to move in the wrong<br />

direction because the policymaker misjudged<br />

the direction of technology or the<br />

market. Empirical evidence from Hervik<br />

(1997) in a study of successive policies in<br />

Norway found a clear trade-off between<br />

additionality <strong>and</strong> economic impact probably<br />

for the first reason given above.<br />

How can the different types or manifestations<br />

of additionality be reconciled with current<br />

thinking on rationales for innovation<br />

policy The market failure rationale needs<br />

little explanation here. Following Arrow<br />

(1962) the argument follows the general<br />

line of positive spillovers, non-appropriability<br />

<strong>and</strong> uncertainty creating a situation in<br />

which there is under-investment in research<br />

(<strong>and</strong> by implication in other knowledgebased<br />

innovative activities) in comparison<br />

with the socially desirable level. As argued<br />

previously (Metcalfe <strong>and</strong> Georghiou, 1998)<br />

the market failure perspective has been<br />

highly successful in providing a general<br />

rationale for policy intervention but it is<br />

inherently unable to provide specific guidance<br />

on policy prescriptions.<br />

Lipsey <strong>and</strong> Carlaw (1998) in a study aiming<br />

to show that neo-classical <strong>and</strong> structuralist<br />

evolutionary policies lead one to different<br />

conclusions in a technology policy evaluation,<br />

engage in a discussion of how additionality<br />

(or in Canadian terminology, incrementality)<br />

would be assessed under each<br />

perspective. They argue that a neo-classical<br />

approach would insist at least on what they<br />

term a “narrow test of incrementality”<br />

being that “some technology is developed<br />

or installed that would not have been produced<br />

in the absence of the policy or programme<br />

under consideration”. This corresponds<br />

to output additionality as discussed<br />

above. They argue that the neo-classical<br />

approach could also go further to dem<strong>and</strong> a<br />

test of “ideal incrementality” in which the<br />

policy is demonstrated to be an optimal use<br />

of government expenditure. This invokes a<br />

series of tests attributed to the Canadian<br />

economist Dan Usher:<br />

• The project must be the least costly way to<br />

undertake the desired level of R&D investment;<br />

• Social benefits must exceed the subsidy<br />

(including transaction costs, deadweight<br />

<strong>and</strong> other leakages); <strong>and</strong><br />

• Discounted benefits must exceed discounted<br />

costs of intervention.<br />

It is clear that the information requirements<br />

of these test far exceed what is likely to be<br />

available in any practical situation <strong>and</strong> may in<br />

themselves place undue transaction costs<br />

upon the subsidy. The crucial criticism which<br />

Lipsey <strong>and</strong> Carlaw make is that the structuralist/evolutionary<br />

perspective would apply only<br />

a “weak test of incrementality”, defined as<br />

“something the policy makers are trying to do<br />

has happened as a result of their expenditure<br />

of funds”. The difference from the neo-classical<br />

perspective is that, with no attempt at<br />

optimality, the desired effects are less clearly<br />

specified (to allow for inherent variability<br />

between firms) <strong>and</strong> the effects looked for<br />

include structural changes <strong>and</strong> enhancements<br />

of firms’ capabilities. For innovation policies<br />

such as R&D subsidies where the main aim is<br />

to provide resources to the firm it seems reasonable<br />

to expect both kinds of effect to be<br />

evident (the targeted product <strong>and</strong> the longer<br />

term enhancements). However, when we<br />

come to consider innovation policies which do<br />

not involve the provision of finance this distinction<br />

becomes crucial.<br />

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It is noticeable that the operational level for<br />

additionality tests is the firm. Indeed the<br />

whole structure is founded upon conjectures<br />

about firms’ decision-making <strong>and</strong><br />

intentions. This sits comfortably with policies<br />

anchored in market failure but if we<br />

shift to the systems failure rationale for<br />

innovation policy, the level of analysis <strong>and</strong><br />

the range of actors in the frame both<br />

broaden. Consider for example Smith’s<br />

articulation of systems failure (Smith, 2000)<br />

with the four types of manifestation, failure<br />

in infrastructure provision, failure to<br />

achieve transitions to new technological<br />

regimes, failure from lock-in to existing<br />

technological paradigms, <strong>and</strong> institutional<br />

failure (regulation, st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>and</strong> policy culture),<br />

it can be seen the first <strong>and</strong> fourth<br />

exist only at the system level while transition<br />

<strong>and</strong> lock-in failures are manifested at<br />

both firm <strong>and</strong> system levels.<br />

As we have seen, innovation policy also<br />

works both at the systemic level <strong>and</strong> at the<br />

level of the firm. The preceding discussion<br />

of additionality is clearly cast at the level of<br />

the firm. It can be seen that discussions of<br />

input additionality <strong>and</strong> of output additionality<br />

are dealing with the questions raised<br />

in a market failure context. Hence, the policy<br />

measure presumes to correct a failure of<br />

the firm to allocate sufficient resources <strong>and</strong><br />

the additionality question is whether it now<br />

allocates those resources. For output or outcome<br />

additionality the question is whether<br />

the socially desirable innovation has been<br />

achieved.<br />

For behavioural <strong>and</strong> cognitive capacity<br />

evaluation, the issues at the level of the<br />

firm are closer to the systems failure perspective.<br />

A typical goal for a technology<br />

programme is to direct firms towards a<br />

transition (see for example the strenuous<br />

efforts most governments are now pursuing<br />

to stimulate an interest in nanotechnology).<br />

Larger public initiatives, involving<br />

coordination in the establishment of new<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards (for example in mobile communications)<br />

can be seen as directed towards<br />

lock-in failures <strong>and</strong> again are aiming to<br />

modify the firms capabilities <strong>and</strong> behaviour<br />

in a particular direction.<br />

><br />

3. BEHAVIOUR OF INNOVATIVE FIRMS<br />

3.1 The Project Fallacy<br />

The situation for R&D support is further<br />

complicated by what we term the “project<br />

fallacy” whereby the policymaker concludes<br />

a contract with a firm to perform a set of<br />

work packages which it considers to be the<br />

innovation project. The fallacy lies in the<br />

assumption that the contract <strong>and</strong> package<br />

of associated deliverables against which the<br />

firm will be monitored is the real innovation<br />

project. Empirical evidence has established<br />

that for firms, the real project often starts<br />

before the contracted work, continues after<br />

it, <strong>and</strong> integrates the contract work with a<br />

suite of other innovative activities which are<br />

privately funded (or even draw upon other<br />

sources of public support). In effect the firm<br />

reduces its overall innovation costs by scanning<br />

public programmes for funding opportunities<br />

<strong>and</strong> matching relevant parts of its<br />

activities to cause the release of funds. This<br />

situation becomes relevant when evaluations<br />

seek evidence on socio-economic<br />

effects. The project outputs which constitute<br />

the deliverables were never intended to<br />

lead to such effects in isolation. The real<br />

evaluation question is what did the publicly<br />

supported contract contribute to the wider<br />

effort The answer requires a much deeper<br />

underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the strategic positioning<br />

of the project within the firm than would<br />

normally be sought by an evaluation.<br />

While this concept was developed to<br />

describe a situation in large firms, the project<br />

fallacy concept can also be applied to<br />

small firms <strong>and</strong> academic research. A determined<br />

innovator in a small firm can often go<br />

from one source of funding to another to<br />

keep a development programme going,<br />

with successive supporters each believing<br />

that they are supporting the phase before<br />

commercialization. The academic analogue<br />

is the (normal) situation where a researcher<br />

or research team is pursuing a long term<br />

agenda <strong>and</strong> writes proposals to a variety of<br />

sources over time to maintain funding for<br />

the programme through a succession of<br />

shorter term grants. Key findings may only<br />

emerge after several funding rounds.<br />

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Impact <strong>and</strong> Additionality of <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong><br />

3.2 Implications of Trends in Industrial R&D<br />

We have earlier stressed the close link<br />

between policy design, additionality <strong>and</strong><br />

conceptions of how firms make decisions.<br />

Following this argument it is worth asking<br />

what have been the major trends in industrial<br />

R&D <strong>and</strong> what implications have these<br />

for innovation policy <strong>and</strong> its evaluation.<br />

Quantitatively, there has been a forward<br />

surge (35% growth in real terms in OECD<br />

countries between 1993 <strong>and</strong> 1998) <strong>and</strong> companies<br />

are doing their best to maintain R&D<br />

levels during the present economic downturn<br />

(Butler <strong>and</strong> Giles, 2001). The growth was<br />

in part fuelled by a large increase in venture<br />

capital funding in the USA (Sheehan, 2001)<br />

though this has declined dramatically from<br />

its peak in 2000. This increase in R&D could<br />

be ascribed to a range of explanations:<br />

• A wider range of technological opportunities;<br />

• Increases in R&D productivity through<br />

availability of new tools <strong>and</strong> methods;<br />

• Increased competitive pressure to innovate;<br />

greater ability to afford R&D in<br />

favourable economic conditions; <strong>and</strong><br />

• Increased returns from stronger <strong>and</strong><br />

broader intellectual property rights.<br />

All have their advocates but, in a discussion<br />

of R&D policy, few would ascribe a large role<br />

to direct government support which was<br />

generally declining as a proportion of BERD<br />

(from 12.6% in 1993 to 9.9% in 1998 for<br />

OECD countries <strong>and</strong> from 11.3% to 9% of<br />

BERD in the EU). However, qualitative<br />

changes in industrial R&D provide a closer<br />

link to policy. A similar list (Coombs <strong>and</strong><br />

Georghiou, 2002) includes:<br />

• Increased acquisition of technology rich<br />

smaller companies emerging from the venture<br />

capital sector;<br />

• Growth in outsourcing of R&D to specialist<br />

firms <strong>and</strong> universities;<br />

• Globalisation making R&D facilities more<br />

“footloose”; <strong>and</strong><br />

• Continuing high significance of technological<br />

alliances.<br />

All of these trends constitute a changed<br />

industrial ecology. The common factor is<br />

that all stress relationships between companies<br />

or between companies <strong>and</strong> other innovation<br />

actors; put more broadly a distributed<br />

innovation system (Coombs et al,<br />

2001). Even globalisation can be seen as<br />

partly driven by the desire to find more<br />

effective linkages.<br />

Strengthening such relationships <strong>and</strong> providing<br />

the framework conditions in which<br />

they can thrive is nowadays seen as a central<br />

thrust of innovation policy. A list of such<br />

policies includes fostering industry-academic<br />

links, commercialization of public<br />

sector research <strong>and</strong> promotion of venture<br />

capital, particularly in circumstances where<br />

it is perceived to be deficient, notably at the<br />

seed funding stage.<br />

What does the concept of additionality<br />

mean in such circumstances Policies are less<br />

concerned with market failures than with<br />

creating markets for knowledge that did<br />

not previously exist <strong>and</strong> with introducing<br />

innovation actors to new relationships. The<br />

aim of most such policies is not to redress a<br />

temporary problem, the failure to invest in<br />

a given project, but rather to introduce new<br />

capabilities which will, if successful lead to a<br />

self-sustaining cycle of investment in innovation.<br />

Par excellence this is the territory of<br />

behavioural additionality.<br />

3.3 Policies for SMEs <strong>and</strong> Traditional<br />

Industries <strong>and</strong> the Measurement<br />

of Additionality<br />

A similar line of argument can be applied to<br />

innovation policies directed at SMEs <strong>and</strong> at<br />

traditional industries with low levels of innovative<br />

activity. In addition to innovation<br />

financing <strong>and</strong> support for networking, the<br />

policies of the last decade have focused on<br />

the provision of advice, information <strong>and</strong><br />

infrastructure. Government <strong>and</strong> its agents<br />

shift from the role of provider to that of broker<br />

(Metcalfe <strong>and</strong> Georghiou, 1998) with the<br />

aim of guiding firms to suitable partners or<br />

financiers, technology acquisitions or management<br />

capabilities. Broader infrastructural<br />

initiatives address educational deficiencies,<br />

barriers to mobility <strong>and</strong> improvement of reg-<br />

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ulatory frameworks governing innovation.<br />

Such policies certainly consume public financial<br />

resources <strong>and</strong> hence can be <strong>and</strong> are evaluated.<br />

But on which criteria<br />

The desire for evidence-based policy <strong>and</strong> the<br />

current vogue for performance indicators<br />

makes it likely that at least the advisory <strong>and</strong><br />

information schemes will have objectives.<br />

Many of these will be essentially activity<br />

related (eg the number of firms assisted).<br />

<strong>Policy</strong>makers still wish to know what effects<br />

their schemes are having upon the innovative<br />

performance of firms <strong>and</strong> ideally the<br />

relative effectiveness of different measures.<br />

This latter goal is complex to pursue for two<br />

reasons:<br />

• Comparison of widely varying schemes is<br />

highly dependent upon the choice <strong>and</strong><br />

weighting of criteria; <strong>and</strong><br />

• Comparison often presumes independence<br />

when in fact the range of schemes<br />

should be considered as a portfolio, covering<br />

a range of deficiencies in the system<br />

<strong>and</strong> often interacting with each other.<br />

Taking the simpler task of effects at the level<br />

of the firm, the additionality question<br />

becomes hard to pursue by direct investigation.<br />

Reconstruction of the consequences of<br />

an advisory or training input is much harder<br />

than the same process for a large grant.<br />

While the grant will usually involve dedicated<br />

staff <strong>and</strong> a detailed accountability<br />

trail, this is unlikely for the “softer” measures.<br />

Evaluations in this domain tend to rely<br />

on econometric comparisons of matching<br />

samples of companies (see for example<br />

Shapira et al, 1996 for a review of evaluations<br />

of manufacturing extension programmes).<br />

Such approaches have an implicit<br />

model of additionality built into them which<br />

substitutes the counterfactual by presuming<br />

that the matched firm will behave in the<br />

way that the original firm would have without<br />

the intervention. The model is that of<br />

outcome additionality. Leaving aside the<br />

problem of how satisfactory the matching<br />

process is, the concerns which arise are<br />

clearly those of attribution. Findings of this<br />

kind should always be combined with realtime<br />

case study evidence to allow some<br />

insight into the causality mechanisms.<br />

Taking the issue of additionality measurement<br />

more generally there are three main<br />

approaches, all of which have their problems:<br />

• The matched sample approach, as just discussed<br />

always raises questions of just how<br />

similar the firms are. From the early days<br />

of innovation studies Project Sappho illustrated<br />

the difficulties of achieving true<br />

matching.<br />

• The second approach is a variant on the<br />

matched sample, involving the use of<br />

failed applicants for assistance. This is<br />

generally criticized on the grounds that<br />

“failures” are by definition different. This<br />

problem is reduced if there is significant<br />

over-subscription <strong>and</strong> the failures can be<br />

perceived as close equivalents in terms of<br />

the selection criteria. Only r<strong>and</strong>om selection<br />

above a quality threshold would<br />

guarantee this approach. However, this<br />

approach raises another difficulty. Even<br />

Problems in calculating returns to R&D<br />

Timing<br />

Attribution<br />

RESEARCH<br />

EFFECTS<br />

INNOVATION<br />

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Impact <strong>and</strong> Additionality of <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong><br />

><br />

the process of application can be seen as a<br />

policy intervention <strong>and</strong> it is often the case<br />

that raising the issue with the firm, or<br />

causing it to expend thought <strong>and</strong><br />

resources on an application, will lead it to<br />

act in the direction of the policy. The comparison<br />

is then not with an unaffected<br />

state of events.<br />

• The third approach comes closest to the<br />

core of additionality, by asking the firm<br />

directly about the counterfactual – would<br />

it have done the work without assistance<br />

<strong>and</strong> if so how would it have been different.<br />

This presumes that the respondent is<br />

honest (usually they are) but more importantly<br />

that they are capable of performing<br />

the counterfactual analysis themselves.<br />

Ideally the intentions of the firm should<br />

be explored before the decision to apply.<br />

This begins to approach the situation of<br />

the Usher tests where the transaction<br />

costs of evaluative information exceed the<br />

benefit.<br />

CONCLUSIONS<br />

Faced with a barrage of methodological<br />

<strong>and</strong> practical difficulties the policymaker<br />

<strong>and</strong> evaluator are faced with a choice.<br />

Pursuit of input <strong>and</strong> output/outcome additionality<br />

can be treated ex ante as a design<br />

criterion <strong>and</strong> ex post as an area where some<br />

evidence can be collected but where full<br />

measurement may be impossible <strong>and</strong> in any<br />

case is not justified in resource terms (or in<br />

terms of the disruptive effect on intended<br />

beneficiaries).On the other h<strong>and</strong>, if the<br />

behavioural perspective is adopted then a<br />

more pragmatic strategy is possible. Again,<br />

other forms of additionality can be measured<br />

within the bounds of practicality but<br />

the primary interest will be in the qualitative<br />

changes which have been stimulated in<br />

the innovation system. Empirical work then<br />

focuses less upon the events during <strong>and</strong><br />

immediately following a project (a measurement<br />

of flow) <strong>and</strong> instead switches to a<br />

desire to underst<strong>and</strong> the present capacities<br />

of the innovation system <strong>and</strong> the players in<br />

it (a measurement of stock).<br />

This perspective also has implications for a<br />

conference which is interested in exploring<br />

how innovation could be influenced in the<br />

direction of sustainability. A project-based<br />

approach would suggest that efforts should<br />

be targeted on clean technologies. This<br />

would provide incentives to specialists in<br />

the field <strong>and</strong> aim to draw in others to produce<br />

cleaner technologies than they would<br />

otherwise contemplate. A regulatory<br />

approach would set st<strong>and</strong>ards with which<br />

innovations would have to comply. Practical<br />

experience has shown that there are significant<br />

failings possible with this approach.<br />

Evaluation findings have often indicated<br />

that firms (especially small ones) fail at the<br />

commercial stage because they have<br />

wrongly anticipated the level of regulation<br />

(in either direction) (see for example<br />

Ormala et al, 1993).<br />

A systems-perspective would start from a<br />

different position by questioning what<br />

capabilities <strong>and</strong> incentives a firm would<br />

need to engage in sustainable innovation.<br />

This would include better information <strong>and</strong><br />

interaction with regulation, better underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

of the social context in which the<br />

innovation would perform <strong>and</strong> a comm<strong>and</strong><br />

of the necessary technological skills, which<br />

could include a Smith-style transformation<br />

to a new technological regime based on different<br />

materials or processes. A shift of this<br />

kind requires coordination. Measures to<br />

stimulate R&D <strong>and</strong> innovation in this context<br />

need to be designed as public-private<br />

partnerships rather than as support mechanisms.<br />

The partnership element is one in<br />

which both sides contribute <strong>and</strong> both benefit.<br />

Government provides resources <strong>and</strong><br />

information <strong>and</strong> industry produces innovations<br />

in an area which it might not otherwise<br />

have done <strong>and</strong> feeds back into the<br />

information <strong>and</strong> regulatory process. Most<br />

developed societies face a much greater<br />

challenge in stimulating innovation in public<br />

goods <strong>and</strong> services than they have in the<br />

present wave of consumer <strong>and</strong> business<br />

innovations. To address these it is necessary<br />

to employ flexible <strong>and</strong> pragmatic rationales<br />

with the underpinning aim of achieving a<br />

persistent shift in capabilities <strong>and</strong> hence in<br />

behaviour.<br />

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<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

><br />

REFERENCES<br />

Arrow K (1962) Economic welfare <strong>and</strong> the<br />

allocation of resources for invention in<br />

Nelson R (ed), The Rate <strong>and</strong> Direction of<br />

Inventive Activity Princeton: Princeton<br />

University Press<br />

Bach L <strong>and</strong> Matt M (2002) “Rationale for<br />

Science <strong>and</strong> Technology <strong>Policy</strong>” in<br />

Georghiou L, Rigby J <strong>and</strong> Cameron H (eds)<br />

Assessing the Socio-Economic Impacts of the<br />

Framework Programme, Report to DG<br />

Research, http://les.man.ac.uk/PREST/Download/ASIF_report.pdf<br />

Buisseret TJ, Cameron H <strong>and</strong> Georghiou L<br />

(1995) “What difference does it make<br />

Additionality in the public support of R&D in<br />

large firms”, International Journal of<br />

Technology Management, Vol.10, Nos 4/5/6<br />

pp587-600<br />

Butler D <strong>and</strong> Giles J, (2001) Nature 413, 448<br />

Coombs R <strong>and</strong> Georghiou L (2002), A New<br />

“Industrial Ecology”, Science Vol 296, p471,<br />

19th April 2002<br />

Coombs R, Harvey M <strong>and</strong> Tether B (2001)<br />

Analysing Distributed <strong>Innovation</strong> Processes,<br />

CRIC Discussion Paper No 43<br />

http://les.man.ac.uk/CRIC<br />

Davenport S, Grimes C, Davies J (1998)<br />

Research collaboration <strong>and</strong> behavioural<br />

additionality: A New Zeal<strong>and</strong> case study<br />

Technol Anal Strateg 10 (1): 55-67 Mar 1998<br />

Hervik A (1997) Evaluation of user-oriented<br />

research in Norway: the estimation of longrun<br />

economic impacts in Papaconstantinou<br />

G <strong>and</strong> Polt W (eds) <strong>Policy</strong> Evaluation in<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Technology- Towards Best<br />

Practices, OECD<br />

Jaffe AB (1996) Economic Analysis of<br />

Research Spillovers: Implications for the<br />

Advanced Technology Program, NIST, US<br />

Dept. of Commerce Technology Administration<br />

NIST GCR 97-708<br />

Lipsey RG <strong>and</strong> Carlaw K, (1998) Technology<br />

Policies in Neo-Classical <strong>and</strong> Structuralist-<br />

Evolutionary Models, STI Review No. 22<br />

Special Issue on “New Rationale <strong>and</strong><br />

Approaches in Technology <strong>and</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

<strong>Policy</strong>”, OECD Paris<br />

Luukkonen T (2000) Additionality of EU<br />

Framework Programmes Research <strong>Policy</strong> 29<br />

711-724<br />

Metcalfe JS <strong>and</strong> Georghiou L (1998)<br />

Equilibrium <strong>and</strong> Evolutionary Foundations<br />

of Technology <strong>Policy</strong>, STI Review No. 22<br />

Special Issue on “New Rationale <strong>and</strong><br />

Approaches in Technology <strong>and</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

<strong>Policy</strong>”, OECD Paris<br />

Ormala E et al (1993) Evaluation of EUREKA<br />

Industrial <strong>and</strong> Economic Effects, Brussels:<br />

EUREKA Secretariat<br />

Salmenkaita J-P <strong>and</strong> Salo A (2001) Rationales<br />

for Government Intervention in the<br />

Commercialisation of new Technologies,<br />

Helsinki University of Technology, Systems<br />

Analysis Laboratory Research Reports,<br />

September 2001<br />

Shapira, P., J. Youtie, <strong>and</strong> J.D. Roessner, (1996)<br />

“Current Practices in the Evaluation of US<br />

Industrial Modernization Programs.” Research<br />

<strong>Policy</strong>, vol. 25, no. 2 (March 1996): 185-214.<br />

Sheehan J (2001) Changing Business<br />

Strategies for R&D <strong>and</strong> their Implications for<br />

Science <strong>and</strong> Technology <strong>Policy</strong>: OECD<br />

Background <strong>and</strong> Issues paper, OECD document<br />

DTSP/STP(2001)29, OECD Paris<br />

Smith K (2000) <strong>Innovation</strong> as a Systemic<br />

Phenomenon: Rethinking the Role of <strong>Policy</strong><br />

Enterprise <strong>and</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong> Management<br />

Studies, Vol.1, No.1, 73-102<br />

65


<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

THE NORWEGIAN<br />

SYSTEMIC APPROACH<br />

TO IMPACT ESTIMATION<br />

OF R&D SUBSIDIES:<br />

FOCUS ON ADDITIONALITY<br />

AND THE CONTRA-FACTUAL PROBLEM<br />

LASSE BRÆIN<br />

ARILD HERVIK<br />

ERIK NESSET<br />

METTE RYE<br />

Møre Research Molde<br />

Mette Rye worked as a consultant at the<br />

international department of the Central<br />

Bank of Norway (1995-1997). Research<br />

Fellow at Møre Research since 1997 working<br />

mainly with innovation <strong>and</strong> evaluation<br />

research.<br />

Erik Nesset worked as a researcher at the<br />

department of Social Services in 1987.<br />

From 1987-92 he was consultant at the<br />

research department of the Central Bank of<br />

Norway. Research Fellow at Møre Research<br />

since 1992 working mainly with transport<br />

economics, business development, innovation<br />

<strong>and</strong> evaluation research. He is also working<br />

at the Aalesund College since 1992.<br />

Arild Hervik, is professor at Molde College<br />

<strong>and</strong> Research Leader of Møre Research<br />

Molde.<br />

Lasse Ove Bræin worked as a researcher at<br />

Møre Research since 1991, working mainly<br />

with innovation <strong>and</strong> evaluation research.<br />

Managing director of Møre Reserach Molde<br />

since 1997.<br />

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The Norwegian Systemic Approach to Impact Estimation<br />

of R&D subsidies focus on additionality <strong>and</strong> the contra-factual problem<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

> 1. INTRODUCTION<br />

During the last two decades Møre<br />

Research has been involved in the evaluation<br />

of a number of policy instruments<br />

held by what today are the main<br />

institutions responsible for carrying out<br />

Norwegian R&D policy: the Research<br />

Council of Norway (RCN) <strong>and</strong> the State<br />

Industrial <strong>and</strong> Regional Fund (SND).<br />

This paper will focus on our work<br />

related to the evaluation system of the<br />

Research Council of Norway. Møre<br />

Research has been involved in developing<br />

the evaluation system which can be<br />

described in four steps:<br />

1. Selection procedures: PROVIS is a system<br />

of indicators for selecting research projects<br />

for funding where additionality <strong>and</strong><br />

programme relevance are among the<br />

indicators that are rated. This rating is<br />

performed by the RCN agents. This step<br />

was established in 1999.<br />

2. Ex Ante evaluation of projects. Projects<br />

are interviewed upon 1 year after they<br />

have received the funding to register<br />

expectations <strong>and</strong> additionality. This step<br />

was carried out first time in 1995.<br />

3. Ex Post evaluation: Projects are interviewed<br />

upon 3 years after they have<br />

received the funding. This evaluation<br />

focus on reporting preliminary economic<br />

results <strong>and</strong> further expectations on economic<br />

impacts.<br />

4. Long run economic impacts: Projects are<br />

interviewed upon three years after leaving<br />

the RCN system <strong>and</strong> a stronger focus is<br />

put on evaluating along indicators of economic<br />

impacts, spin-offs <strong>and</strong> competence<br />

change. This step is being carried out for<br />

the first time in 2002.<br />

Since R&D projects usually carry a long term<br />

perspective, the system try to evaluate the<br />

effects as they evolve, responding with a<br />

long term system for evaluation.<br />

This paper is based on our data collected on<br />

commission from RCN involving the main<br />

instruments of RCN’s department of Industry<br />

<strong>and</strong> Energy. One of the main instruments is<br />

the User Directed Research Scheme (UDR1).<br />

This instrument was launched in 1990 as a<br />

strategic policy tool for increased innovation.<br />

RCN had two main goals; increase the<br />

share of applied, marked oriented research,<br />

<strong>and</strong> strengthen the competitiveness in the<br />

Norwegian trade <strong>and</strong> industry by developing<br />

the network for more efficient R&D<br />

services (Hervik, 1997). Companies may<br />

apply funding on projects either alone or in<br />

co-operation with other firms or a research<br />

institute. To create good incentives the support<br />

is granted directly to the company<br />

who pays the R&D-institute. The funding is<br />

sorted into sectors based on industrial<br />

branches which each are holding different<br />

programmes. The government has a strategic<br />

say in the matter on what industry<br />

branch the research are focusing on<br />

through the funding available for each sector.<br />

UDR can be characterised as a selective<br />

public measure, as opposed to a general<br />

measure working through the tax system.<br />

The R&D activity in Norway, <strong>and</strong> in<br />

Norwegian industry in particular, is low<br />

compared to the average of the OECD countries.<br />

The Norwegian innovation system is<br />

characterised by a relatively large R&D institute<br />

sector compared to other countries,<br />

accounting for more than 25% of the total<br />

R&D expenditure of the country (RCN,<br />

2001). The Research Council of Norway<br />

(RCN) has been given the strategic responsibility<br />

for the R&D institutes towards the<br />

Ministry. UDR implied a change in policy<br />

that reduced the basic funding to the institutes,<br />

<strong>and</strong> increased the dependence on<br />

customer based funding in the Norwegian<br />

R&D institute sector.<br />

The present study is also based on customer<br />

inquiries of 19 technical institutes that were<br />

carried out during the period of 1996-2000<br />

on commission from the Research Council of<br />

Norway (RCN) as a part of RCN’s overall evaluations<br />

of the institutes. We will also use the<br />

additionality reports of RCN projects<br />

observed through the yearly study performed<br />

by Møre Research on commission<br />

from RCN.<br />

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The Norwegian Systemic Approach to Impact Estimation<br />

of R&D subsidies focus on additionality <strong>and</strong> the contra-factual problem<br />

><br />

2. ADDITIONALITY OF PUBLIC FUNDING<br />

The most obvious guideline for governmental<br />

R&D <strong>Policy</strong> is that one should not subsidise<br />

activities the firms would undertake<br />

themselves without the support. Additionality<br />

is a conceptual framework meant to<br />

capture the intended “catalyst” effects of<br />

public support. It is a critical concept to public<br />

bodies that support/carry out R&D policy<br />

when rationalising the support, since any<br />

benefit arising from a R&D project can only<br />

be credited the public policy if the activity<br />

would not have taken place otherwise.<br />

“More generally the problem of additionality<br />

remains a core issue for evaluation <strong>and</strong><br />

one which reaches the most sensitive areas<br />

of policy, going to the core of whether there<br />

is a rationale for intervention.”<br />

(Georghiou, 1998)<br />

Mistakenly thought of as the only additionality<br />

criteria, the question whether the public<br />

funding has increased the total amount of<br />

R&D investment is just one aspect of the concept.<br />

In addition, the public support has a<br />

wider set of intentions, for instance, to contribute<br />

to the building of R&D networks,<br />

improving the R&D competence <strong>and</strong> managerial<br />

skills in industry, building the national<br />

knowledge base to improve the innovation<br />

capability, etc. The additionality of these elements<br />

is more challenging to measure since<br />

they are more intangible <strong>and</strong> unquantifiable.<br />

To make an operational concept sorting the<br />

different effects, Buisseret et al. (1995) operates<br />

with three different forms of additionality;<br />

input, output <strong>and</strong> behavioural additionality.<br />

The catalyst effect on the<br />

investment decision <strong>and</strong> R&D efforts in terms<br />

of man-hours <strong>and</strong> capital investments represent<br />

the input additionality. This is what traditionally<br />

has been thought of as additionality,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the measure of success has been<br />

whether one unit of currency in R&D support<br />

has lead to at least one additional currency<br />

unit of total company R&D investment. If<br />

not, the public support is crowding out or<br />

replacing private funding.<br />

R&D theory has been focusing on market<br />

failures related to the incentives to invest in<br />

R&D. Another reason for the traditional<br />

focus on input additionality is theory<br />

related to efficiency in public policy means.<br />

One of the main reasons for choosing selective<br />

support of projects as opposed to a<br />

general support system, is that it is less<br />

costly <strong>and</strong> allows for a larger individual support.<br />

Providing funding to projects that<br />

would have been undertaken anyway<br />

makes this policy tool less efficient <strong>and</strong> targeted.<br />

In this perspective input additionality,<br />

<strong>and</strong> especially project input additionality<br />

(whether the project would have been<br />

realised without the public support) are<br />

important indicators of policy efficiency <strong>and</strong><br />

success. However, dem<strong>and</strong>ing full project<br />

input additionality may leave out significant<br />

other additionality aspects, especially<br />

related to behavioural additionality .<br />

Behavioural additionality is a more complex<br />

concept describing the “...change in a company’s<br />

way of underst<strong>and</strong>ing R&D which can<br />

be attributed to policy action” (Buisseret<br />

et.al.1995). This includes the impact on the<br />

strategic behaviour of the firm in terms of for<br />

instance engaging in collaborative research,<br />

or the improvement of the R&D management<br />

skills or R&D absorptive capacity of the firm.<br />

The change of company behaviour is a difficult<br />

task to achieve <strong>and</strong> to measure. As with<br />

output additionality it usually takes time to<br />

develop <strong>and</strong> observe any effects from policy<br />

measures. The time lag involved further complicates<br />

the measuring of impacts.<br />

Often the most interesting aspect from a<br />

policy view, but also quite difficult to measure,<br />

is the output additionality, describing<br />

the additional commercial effects rising<br />

from new products, processes or services due<br />

to the public support. As pointed out by<br />

Georghiou (1998) the return on public<br />

investment approach which presumes a linear/sequential<br />

model of innovation, do not<br />

reflect the realities in how R&D projects<br />

evolve <strong>and</strong> leads to measuring problems.<br />

There is a growing underst<strong>and</strong>ing that innovations<br />

rarely can be subscribed to single<br />

projects within the company, let alone the<br />

selective public support of single projects.<br />

How the public support affects the R&D<br />

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The Norwegian Systemic Approach to Impact Estimation<br />

of R&D subsidies focus on additionality <strong>and</strong> the contra-factual problem<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

strategy <strong>and</strong> links with other firms is therefore<br />

interesting <strong>and</strong> incorporated in the<br />

behavioural additionality.<br />

The focus has traditionally been on the input<br />

<strong>and</strong> output additionality, which coincides<br />

with the development in innovation theory<br />

from a“technology push” model, where it<br />

was believed that developments in science<br />

was driving innovation, to a “dem<strong>and</strong> pull”<br />

model where more focus was put on the<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> in the market for new innovations.<br />

The more complex <strong>and</strong> interactive view of the<br />

innovation process <strong>and</strong> the firm as a learning<br />

organisation have given increased attention<br />

to the behavioural additionality. To get a<br />

deeper underst<strong>and</strong>ing of behavioural additionality,<br />

we need to further develop the theoretical<br />

basis for public intervention, or<br />

sources of market failure, related to firms<br />

behaviour in the R&D market.<br />

To obtain the most reliable data of change in<br />

R&D strategy or orientation a comparative<br />

study through interview studies ex ante <strong>and</strong><br />

ex post is preferable. However, these data are<br />

rarely readily available. In comparative analysis<br />

the self-selection problem should be<br />

adjusted for. For instance, the difference in<br />

behavioural additionality between groups of<br />

firms may be due to inherent differences in<br />

for instance pre-programme attitute towards<br />

R&D co-operation <strong>and</strong> the importance of<br />

R&D for long term survival. We end up measuring<br />

the inherit differences in stead of measuring<br />

the change in behaviour. This is illustrated<br />

in Nesset (2001) where questions<br />

regarding pre-programme R&D attitude are<br />

used as control variables for self-selection.<br />

Questions regarding how the project has<br />

changed the company focus from a short<br />

term to a long term R&D orientation, enabled<br />

larger <strong>and</strong> more resilient R&D projects <strong>and</strong><br />

whether the project has led to higher internal<br />

R&D spending are indicators of behavioural<br />

additionality. He find that increased R&D orientation<br />

has a significant positive effect on<br />

the triggering of new projects in terms of<br />

increased internal R&D spending. However,<br />

he cannot find that changes in R&D support<br />

level has a positive impact on either R&D orientation<br />

or internal R&D spending. He find<br />

that changes in R&D orientation depend<br />

strongly on pre-program R&D attitudes, indicating<br />

that the change in R&D orientation is<br />

due to inherit differences. These questions<br />

are further discussed in chapter 4.<br />

To increase the efficiency of policy instruments<br />

there has been an increasing dem<strong>and</strong><br />

for continous feed-back <strong>and</strong> reports of<br />

ongoing programmes. Both behavioural <strong>and</strong><br />

output additionality is difficult, if possible,<br />

to observe in an ongoing programme<br />

because of the timelags involved in developing<br />

these impacts. The reports of behavioural<br />

<strong>and</strong> output additionality at this stage<br />

may easily be over-optimistic, <strong>and</strong> should be<br />

followed up by ex post studies.<br />

However, evaluations of on-going R&D programmes<br />

also limit the data <strong>and</strong> methods<br />

available in analysing the input additionality.<br />

Therefore, for mid-way evaluation purposes,<br />

the most common method to measure<br />

input additionality is through verbal<br />

reports/questionnaires. The question regarding<br />

project input additionality is typically<br />

posed like this;<br />

Q1: What would have come of the project<br />

without the public support<br />

• Project realised without modifications<br />

• Project realised, but over a longer period<br />

of time.<br />

• Project downsized<br />

• Project Canceled<br />

This way of measuring additionality is quite<br />

common, but criticized for the possibility of<br />

strategic answering <strong>and</strong> that hypothetical<br />

questions are difficult to answer. The hypothetical<br />

question reflects the nature of the<br />

problem as counter factual. Looking at verbal<br />

reports of additionality over the last two<br />

decades in Norway, Rye (2002) could not<br />

find that strategic answering is significantly<br />

reducing the validity of the data.In verbal<br />

reports of additionality timing of the interview<br />

may affect the data. Asking Q1 5 or 10<br />

years after receiving the support, reduce the<br />

reliability of the answers simply because<br />

more time has passed since the project decision<br />

was taken makes it more difficult to<br />

recall the situation <strong>and</strong> answer the hypothetical<br />

about what would have come of the<br />

71


The Norwegian Systemic Approach to Impact Estimation<br />

of R&D subsidies focus on additionality <strong>and</strong> the contra-factual problem<br />

Figure 2.1 ><br />

Additionality RCN supported projects interviewed upon 1 year after receiving support (ex ante interviews).<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

66<br />

Low/no additionality (Done without subsidy)<br />

Medium additionality (Delayed or diminished)<br />

High additionality<br />

Don’t know<br />

66<br />

60<br />

55<br />

55<br />

56<br />

58<br />

50<br />

<strong>40</strong><br />

41<br />

39<br />

42<br />

39<br />

30<br />

31<br />

28<br />

48 49 0<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

0<br />

3 4<br />

2<br />

3 4<br />

1<br />

2<br />

2<br />

3<br />

2<br />

0<br />

1<br />

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001<br />

Figure 2.2 ><br />

Additionality of RCN supported projects interviewed upon 1 year after receiving support (ex ante interviews)<br />

sorted by RCN programmes.<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

Low/no additionality (Done without subsidy)<br />

Medium additionality (Delayed or diminished)<br />

High additionality<br />

Don’t know<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

<strong>40</strong><br />

30<br />

63<br />

33<br />

48<br />

41<br />

50<br />

46<br />

52<br />

48<br />

54<br />

44<br />

68<br />

27<br />

39<br />

61<br />

62<br />

34<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

3<br />

0<br />

Building <strong>and</strong><br />

Construction<br />

(51 pro.)<br />

7<br />

Maritime<br />

(29 pro.)<br />

4 4<br />

New tech<br />

(28 pro.)<br />

0 0 0<br />

Offshore<br />

(21 pro.)<br />

1<br />

1<br />

Progit<br />

(75 pro.)<br />

4<br />

1<br />

prosmat<br />

(85 pro.)<br />

0 0<br />

Service-info<br />

(23 pro.)<br />

2 2<br />

Varp<br />

(44 pro.)<br />

project without public funding. The project<br />

leaders may also have left the company, being<br />

replace by others that don’t know the history.<br />

Figure 2.1 present the verbal reports of projects<br />

interviewed upon 1 year after receiving<br />

supports, i.e. the 1995-additionality reports<br />

are of projects that received funding in 1994,<br />

while the 1996- additionality reports are of<br />

projects that received funding in 1995, etc.<br />

The figure show that the reports of high additionality<br />

tended to increase in the period of<br />

1995-2000, while the report of 2001 show a<br />

“high additionality” share which is in line<br />

with the reports of 1998. This may illustrate<br />

the focus on additionality in the selection procedure<br />

or it may reflect the true variation of<br />

additionality in the different portfolios. As<br />

will be discussed in chapter 4, there is a need<br />

for implementing the effect of RCN selection<br />

procedures/ criteria to increase our underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

of additionality. Figure 4.2 show the<br />

additionality reports of RCN supported projects<br />

interviewed upon 1. year after receiving<br />

support (ex ante interviews) sorted by RCN<br />

programmes. The figure illustrate the difference<br />

between different programmes.<br />

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><br />

3.USE OF CONTROL GROUPS<br />

IN COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS<br />

WHAT TO COMPARE AGAINST<br />

When there are no absolute yardstick, performance<br />

can be observed though a relative<br />

measure, or a comparative analysis. This is<br />

the main method either the objective is to<br />

measure the performance of the public support<br />

or the performance of for instance an<br />

individual research institute. As will be discussed,<br />

finding a suitable reference group or<br />

counter factual situation to compare against<br />

is difficult when trying to measure the<br />

impact of public support. As pointed out by<br />

Nesset (2001) there are three possible<br />

counter factual cases;<br />

1) alternative R&D support,<br />

2) alternative use of public funds<br />

3) status quo.<br />

The first is creating a comparative analysis<br />

evaluating the effectiveness of the policy tool<br />

used, compared to other policy tools with the<br />

same set of receivers. This is clearly relevant,<br />

but not the kind of experiments that are<br />

granted social scientist. The second is an<br />

analysis of the alternative cost of the support,<br />

in terms of alternative use of the public<br />

money. An approach to this analysis is the use<br />

of an estimated alternative cost rate of public<br />

funds, that in Norway is estimated to 7%,<br />

however this approach easily leaves out the<br />

more intangible benefits of R&D like the<br />

building of a knowledge base <strong>and</strong> R&D network.<br />

In practise, the third option is used,<br />

constructing a comparison with status quo,<br />

i.e. the situation without the support. The main<br />

methodological approaches used to estimate<br />

the counter factual of the status quo is:<br />

1) User surveys, obtaining experimental data<br />

of the receivers perceived benefits of the<br />

supported R&D.<br />

2) Econometric analysis based on non-experimental<br />

data.<br />

3) Combinations of the two.<br />

The usefulness of the methods depends on<br />

the purpose of the study. However, neither<br />

method is unproblematic when it comes to<br />

measuring, <strong>and</strong> bias problems.<br />

In a comparative analysis of differences<br />

between receivers <strong>and</strong> non-receivers of<br />

public support it is preferable that the reference<br />

group has as similar characteristics<br />

as the “treated” group as possible to keep<br />

internal validity experiencing similar extraneous<br />

effects, since it is a proxy for what<br />

would happen without support (i.e. the<br />

counter factual situation). However, when<br />

the technology <strong>and</strong> market characteristics<br />

between the two groups are very similar,<br />

the benefits from the public supported<br />

R&D investments might spill over to the<br />

non-receivers, making it difficult to<br />

observe the difference between the two<br />

groups. This is creating a measuring problem,<br />

underestimating the effect of the<br />

public funding. Klette, Møen <strong>and</strong> Griliches<br />

(2000) call this a “catch 22” situation. The<br />

more successful the innovation, the more<br />

likely the spillover to competitors <strong>and</strong><br />

other firms that can use the new technology<br />

<strong>and</strong> the more difficult it is to observe<br />

additional benefits compared to the<br />

“counter factual situation”.<br />

There is also a problem of using nonreceivers<br />

as a reference group, due to selfselection.<br />

Usually, the firms or projects did<br />

not end up in the two groups by chance.<br />

The public funded projects were selected<br />

for support, <strong>and</strong> those who did not receive<br />

support, might not even have applied.<br />

Therefore the difference we observe in the<br />

two groups might result from inherit differences,<br />

which does not represent the difference<br />

from a situation without the support.<br />

This might create a selection bias problem.<br />

Experimental data obtained through survey<br />

based studies, may supplement non-experimental<br />

data with a richer data set that<br />

allows for alternative way of constructing<br />

reference groups <strong>and</strong> analysing additionality.<br />

To be able to obtain the richness in the<br />

data needed to describe complex concepts,<br />

like for instance behavioural additionality,<br />

non-experimental data has to be supplemented<br />

with experimental data through<br />

user surveys. Ordinal data allows the use of<br />

quantitative methods, like for instance LIS-<br />

REL, which are designed to h<strong>and</strong>le <strong>and</strong><br />

describe latent variables. An example of this<br />

method is presented in chapter 4.<br />

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2<br />

Since this is ordinal<br />

data we used a nonparametric<br />

test<br />

comparing the average<br />

score of research in<br />

the two groups<br />

Table A ><br />

Project content<br />

Average scores<br />

Contents of project - on a scale from 1-7<br />

Simple testing/measurements 2,8<br />

More advanced testing/measurements 3,5<br />

Other simple technical consulting 2,4<br />

Other<br />

more advanced technical consulting 3,4<br />

Studies/advising/problem-solving 4<br />

More advanced advising/analysis 3,7<br />

Product development 2,9<br />

Applied research 3,8<br />

Elements of basic research 2,1<br />

Survey data usually includes qualitative data<br />

that can give interesting observations about<br />

the effect of public funding on the project<br />

content <strong>and</strong> performance, observations that<br />

are not affected with the “spillover” problem<br />

since we are capturing a wider set of<br />

indicators than the pure economic effects,<br />

<strong>and</strong> are observing on a project level.<br />

However, usually survey data include only<br />

“treated” respondent, i.e. projects that have<br />

received support, which does not allow for a<br />

comparative analysis on a project level with<br />

similar projects that have not received support.<br />

Our data from customer inquiry of the<br />

Norwegian technological R&D institutes<br />

include both supported <strong>and</strong> non-supported<br />

projects, since the projects interviews upon<br />

was selected from the R&D institutes total<br />

project lists. In fact, the majority (75%) are<br />

non-supported. The total database which<br />

includes responses of both private firms <strong>and</strong><br />

public institutions <strong>and</strong> are representative for<br />

the customers of R&D institutes in Norway.<br />

Since the R&D institutes are quite specialised,<br />

most of the firms operate within<br />

the same industrial branch. They represent<br />

the buyers of R&D services, <strong>and</strong> fulfils the<br />

criteria of a similar reference group which<br />

gives us a unique opportunity to make a<br />

comparative analysis between supported<br />

<strong>and</strong> non-supported R&D projects. This can<br />

be illustrated by one of the most interesting<br />

indicators reported in the customer inquiries<br />

which is the content of research reported in<br />

the projects by the customers <strong>and</strong> the project<br />

leaders. This study is based on customer<br />

inquiries of 19 different Norwegian technological<br />

research institutes involving a total<br />

of 818 telephone interviews carried out by<br />

Møre Research. For the last 10 institutes, we<br />

extended the study with a smaller questionnaire<br />

h<strong>and</strong>ed out to the project leader or<br />

researcher at the institute that was working<br />

on the projects selected for customer interview.<br />

They were posed some parallel questions<br />

that gave us a second opinion on the<br />

work done on the project in addition to an<br />

indicator on the researchers’ awareness of<br />

the customer’s views. We received a total of<br />

391 answers to this postal inquiry.<br />

To improve the customer’s underst<strong>and</strong>ing of<br />

the research content question, <strong>and</strong> help<br />

them to recall the project we started out<br />

asking the customer to describe the content<br />

of the project indicated by different elements<br />

as listed in table A. The table shows<br />

the average customer score for all the institutes.<br />

It can be seen that Studies/ advising/<br />

problem-solving, More advanced advising/<br />

analysis <strong>and</strong> Applied research are the elements<br />

given the highest average score, <strong>and</strong><br />

Elements of basic research the lowest.<br />

In the next question, the customer was<br />

asked to rate the content of research in the<br />

project on a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is<br />

consulting service, 4 is applied research <strong>and</strong><br />

7 is leading edge research.What we found<br />

most interesting is the fact that projects<br />

receiving RCN support through UDR show a<br />

significant higher content of research, than<br />

the projects not receiving this public support<br />

2 (Figure 3.1). This is supported by the<br />

reports of the project leaders regarding the<br />

same projects (Figure 3.2)<br />

This confirms that projects with a higher content<br />

of research are selected for public funding<br />

through the UDR programme. However,<br />

this may also indicate that the marginal benefit<br />

of public support of projects within the<br />

R&D institutes is a heightening of the level of<br />

research within the research institutes. Without<br />

the UDR support, the overall research content<br />

in the institute portfolios of projects will<br />

decrease. We found that the willingness to<br />

pay for long term projects with a high content<br />

of research was low among the institute customers.<br />

Without the public support there is<br />

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Figure 3.1 ><br />

Customers report: content of research in public supported vs. privately financed projects.<br />

45<br />

<strong>40</strong><br />

Public supported through RCN (Average score: 4,5)<br />

Fully funded by customers (Average score: 3,3)<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

1<br />

Consulting<br />

service<br />

2 3 4<br />

Applied<br />

Research<br />

5 6 7<br />

Leading-edge<br />

Research<br />

Figure 3.2 ><br />

Customers report: content of research in public supported vs. privately financed projects.<br />

45<br />

<strong>40</strong><br />

Employees answers - public supported projects<br />

Employees answers - Non supported projects<br />

35<br />

30<br />

25<br />

20<br />

15<br />

10<br />

5<br />

0<br />

1<br />

Consulting<br />

service<br />

2 3 4<br />

Applied<br />

Research<br />

5 6 7<br />

Leading-edge<br />

Research<br />

reason to believe that share of consulting<br />

service in the project portfolio will increase.<br />

The observed additionality within the public<br />

supported projects confirms this hypothesis.<br />

38% of the projects were fully additional<br />

(would not have realized the project without<br />

support). In 48% of the projects, the support<br />

affected the size or progress of the project.<br />

Only 12% reported that they would have carried<br />

out the project without changes if they<br />

did not receive support. This indicate that the<br />

public support through UDR is giving an<br />

incentive to project realisation <strong>and</strong> to increase<br />

the R&D content of the projects. As illustrated<br />

in figure 3.3 the marginal effect on the institute’s<br />

R&D profile may be an important input<br />

to the R&D infrastructure over time.<br />

If firms are constrained by their R&D capability<br />

through lack of R&D absorptive capacity,<br />

R&D networks may be a cost-effective way of<br />

importing knowledge <strong>and</strong> increasing the<br />

skills of the staff. This is one of the intentions<br />

behind the UDR programme. Table B illustrate<br />

indicators of behavioural additionality<br />

regarding R&D absorptive capacity based on<br />

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Table B ><br />

Behavioural additionality; indicator of change in R&D absorptive capacity<br />

Average scores:<br />

What is your firm’s overall assessment of the consequences Customer: Customer:<br />

of the co-operation with the institute regarding: Public supported Non-supported<br />

projects<br />

projects<br />

New knowledge, technology development 5,18 4,65 *<br />

Developing the skills of /motivating the staff 5,06 4,56 *<br />

The * indicate significant difference in average scores between supported <strong>and</strong> non-supported projects.<br />

Figure 3.3 ><br />

the R&D institute data. The public supported<br />

firms report a significantly higher average<br />

rating of knowledge import through the cooperation<br />

with the institute using a nonparametric<br />

test. However, this can also<br />

reflect the self-selection problem. The companies<br />

selected for support may carry a<br />

higher R&D orientation <strong>and</strong> absorptive<br />

capacity which enables them to draw larger<br />

benefits from the co-operation with the R&D<br />

institute supporting the hypothesis that to<br />

be able fully to make use of the research, you<br />

have to be engaged in research yourself<br />

possible scenarios<br />

R&D content<br />

(Cohen <strong>and</strong> Levinthal, 1989). This illustrates<br />

the measuring problems related to behavioural<br />

additionality, <strong>and</strong> furter work regarding<br />

the identification of indicators <strong>and</strong><br />

how they are interlinked needs to be done.<br />

To identify the most important indicators,<br />

further work related to market failure<br />

regarding firm behaviour in R&D would be<br />

useful.<br />

As can be seen from figure 3.4 when evaluating<br />

the quality of the institute’s work, value<br />

for money <strong>and</strong> whether the project has had<br />

an effect on competitive position are among<br />

the lowest rated on a scale from 1 (not at<br />

all/poor) to 7 (substantial/outst<strong>and</strong>ing).<br />

Leading edge<br />

research<br />

Applied<br />

Consulting<br />

service<br />

With<br />

public support<br />

Without<br />

public support<br />

Time<br />

Also, when looking at the customers’ overall<br />

evaluation of the institute in figure 3.5<br />

<strong>and</strong> 3.6 the productive value of the co-operation<br />

<strong>and</strong> the economic motives for using<br />

the institutes are not ranked high compared<br />

to indicators of knowledge transfer. The<br />

fact that we have not interviewed upon<br />

projects elder than three years, may be part<br />

Figure 3.4 ><br />

Average score project related questions, 19 institutes<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

Ability to<br />

communicate /<br />

co-operate<br />

Underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

the customers<br />

requirements<br />

Knowledge,<br />

results-tranfer<br />

Quality of the<br />

scientific work<br />

Speed of work /<br />

efficiency<br />

Value for money<br />

/ profitability<br />

On the whole<br />

Has the project contributed<br />

to the improvement<br />

of competitive position<br />

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Figure 3.5 ><br />

Average score institute related questions, 19 institutes<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

Contribution to new<br />

knowledge,<br />

technology development<br />

Contribution to product<br />

development<br />

Developing the skills<br />

of the staff<br />

Contribution to the productive<br />

value of the firm<br />

(competitiveness)<br />

Total judgement<br />

Figure 3.6 ><br />

Average score institute related questions, 19 institutes<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

Well equipped More cost-effective<br />

laboratory/facilities than doing it<br />

in-house<br />

The institute itself<br />

takes initiatives<br />

that are useful for<br />

the customer<br />

Strategically<br />

important R&Dcompetence<br />

for<br />

the customer<br />

Prefer to keep a<br />

small in-house<br />

department<br />

(Outsourcing)<br />

Joint industry<br />

projects (low cost<br />

way of looking at<br />

long term issues)<br />

Offers services<br />

relevant to<br />

customers need<br />

of the reason why economic results are<br />

given a low rating as the outcome of cooperation<br />

with the institute.However, the<br />

overall rating of the institute is based on<br />

the customer’s total experience with the<br />

institute, <strong>and</strong> may therefore include their<br />

experience of elder projects. Also, the fact<br />

that 73% are returning customers, support<br />

our believes that the customers benefit considerably<br />

from their co-operation with the<br />

R&D institutes, <strong>and</strong> that these benefits<br />

exceeds the short term economic benefits.<br />

However, that 70% did not consider other<br />

offers can both indicate a monopolistic situation,<br />

or that the customers are satisfied<br />

with earlier experiences.<br />

><br />

4. AN ECONOMETRIC APPROACH FOR<br />

ESTIMATING A CONDITIONAL R&D<br />

SUPPORT MODEL<br />

4.1 Introduction<br />

The problems - <strong>and</strong> thus challenges - connected<br />

to the evaluation of public R&D policy<br />

are many <strong>and</strong> large. First, the main concepts<br />

(additionality <strong>and</strong> external effects) are<br />

difficult to grasp because they are not<br />

directly observable – i.e., they are latent variables.<br />

Both concepts are multidimensional,<br />

<strong>and</strong> each dimension should probably be<br />

measured by more than one observable indicator.<br />

Second, the effects are based on a<br />

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counter-factual situation, where we try to<br />

compare the outcome of public R&D support<br />

with a hypothetical situation with no support.<br />

We therefore have to “construct” the<br />

counter-factual by using a quasi-experimental<br />

design.<br />

Both survey analyses based on ”subjective”<br />

data <strong>and</strong> microeconometric analyses based<br />

on ”objective” registered data have been<br />

employed in order to measure additionality<br />

effects of R&D support. The main objections<br />

raised against analyses within the former<br />

approach are problems connected to strategic<br />

answers, lack of a structural approach,<br />

<strong>and</strong> lack of control groups. The microeconometric<br />

approach, on the other h<strong>and</strong>, has<br />

mainly been criticised for using inadequate<br />

matching control groups in the case of selection<br />

biases. By combining the strengths of<br />

both approaches we may, however, overcome<br />

some of these objections. To do so, we<br />

outline a structural evaluation model based<br />

on a quasi-experimental design, where the<br />

problems connected to matching control<br />

groups are focused. The data to be fitted by<br />

such a model is constructed by linking R&D<br />

survey panel data at the project level with<br />

official registered R&D <strong>and</strong> industry panel<br />

data at the firm level. The survey data typically<br />

include indicators of R&D-attitudes <strong>and</strong><br />

R&D cooperation both between firms <strong>and</strong><br />

R&D institutions <strong>and</strong> among different firms,<br />

as well as various expectational (forwardlooking)<br />

indicators. These indicators will<br />

mainly serve the purpose of being control<br />

variables in the econometrical panel data<br />

model to be estimated.<br />

4.2 The fundamental causality problem<br />

A fundamental problem with any evaluation<br />

of public policy is to determine the causal<br />

ordering. Causality isconnected to explanations<br />

which necessitates an underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

of the underlying economic structure. Three<br />

criteria must be met in order to give such a<br />

causal explanation:<br />

1) The correlation <strong>and</strong> control criterion:<br />

there must be significant correlation<br />

between the cause <strong>and</strong> the effect variables<br />

after controlling for other possible<br />

covariates.<br />

2) The time criterion: the cause variable<br />

must precede the effect variable.<br />

3) The invariance criterion: the effect-model<br />

must have a structure which is reasonable<br />

invariant with respect to changes over<br />

time as well as structural changes in the<br />

marginal cause-model.<br />

The last criterion is the most problematic<br />

one, <strong>and</strong> often overlooked in the traditional<br />

evaluation literature. In order to make conditional<br />

inference (efficient estimation) for a<br />

given set of parameters of interest without<br />

loss of information, a cause variable must be<br />

weakly exogenous- i.e., the parameters of<br />

interest are variation free with respect to<br />

changes in the exogenous variables. If the<br />

parameters of interest in addition are invariant<br />

for changes in policy ( i.e., structural<br />

changes in the marginal cause-model), the<br />

cause variable is also “super exogenous”.<br />

Super exogeneity may be tested according<br />

to a procedure proposed by Engle <strong>and</strong><br />

Hendry (1993): A simple marginal model for<br />

the supposed exogenous variable is estimated.<br />

If we need variables (e.g., dummies<br />

for important changes in policy) to stabilize<br />

this marginal model, we can test for invariance<br />

of the parameters of the conditional<br />

model by including these variables <strong>and</strong> test<br />

for their significance. If these variables have<br />

no impact in the conditional model <strong>and</strong> the<br />

cause variable is also weakly exogenous, the<br />

super exogeneity condition is fulfilled. In<br />

order to conduct such a test within our<br />

approach we thus need a marginal model of<br />

the public R&D support determination.<br />

4.3 Construction of<br />

the counter-factual<br />

The effect of R&D support is in the mainstream<br />

econometrical analysis represented<br />

by the difference in performance between<br />

supported <strong>and</strong> non-supported firms. The<br />

group of non-supported firms thus acts as<br />

a control group. Both traditional ”nonstructural”<br />

estimation models <strong>and</strong> structural<br />

estimation models, e.g., Euler equations,<br />

are employed.3 The effects of public<br />

R&D support are analysed with respect to<br />

both privately financed R&D (input) <strong>and</strong><br />

pay-off (output). Klette et. al. (2000)<br />

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review five different studies within this<br />

approach. They conclude that all the studies<br />

except for the Norwegian ones show<br />

positive <strong>and</strong> statistical significant effects<br />

on output. According to the Norwegian<br />

analyses of high-tech firms (reported in<br />

Klette <strong>and</strong> Møen (1998a <strong>and</strong> 1998b)), the<br />

effect of support on total factor productivity<br />

is significantly negative. But when looking<br />

at a broader set of measures, they are<br />

not able to find any systematic difference<br />

in performance between supported <strong>and</strong><br />

non-supported firms. All the analyses show<br />

positive effects of R&D support on private<br />

R&D. But in a more comprehensive review<br />

of the empirical evidence accumulated<br />

over the past 35 years, David et. al. (2000)<br />

conclude that ”..[The] findings overall are<br />

ambivalent <strong>and</strong> the existing literature as a<br />

whole is subject to the criticism that the<br />

nature of the ”experiment(s)” that the<br />

investigators envisage is not adequately<br />

specified.” Typically,”objective” cross-section<br />

or panel data in such analyses will<br />

include both support-receiving firms <strong>and</strong><br />

firms not even applying for support, neither<br />

of them constituting r<strong>and</strong>om samples.<br />

This non-r<strong>and</strong>om nature of the data may<br />

be due to both administrative <strong>and</strong> selfselection<br />

biases, the latter being the far<br />

most difficult case to cope with.<br />

4.4 A tentative causal model of long term<br />

effects from R&D support<br />

To be able to estimate effects of public R&D<br />

support we must distinguish different additionality<br />

effects as well as external effects.<br />

At the same time we must take account of<br />

possible feedback effects from output to<br />

both private R&D investment <strong>and</strong> the firm’s<br />

decision of applying for R&D support. This<br />

dem<strong>and</strong>s a simultaneous, structural evaluation<br />

model. Such a model is presented in<br />

figure 4.1. In this figure the circles represents<br />

unobservable latent variables while<br />

the arrows indicate the causal effects<br />

between them.<br />

R&D support will in this model be influenced<br />

by the support receiver’s ex ante R&D<br />

attitude. This variable serves the purpose of<br />

being a control variable to reduce the selectivity<br />

bias problem. R&D support is dependent<br />

on how the Research council selects<br />

projects that are support-worthy. In our<br />

model this is simply represented by a multidimensional<br />

variable called “criteria <strong>and</strong><br />

other conditions”. The criteria for support<br />

are described in the council’s guidance documents<br />

for evaluation <strong>and</strong> ranging of projects,<br />

<strong>and</strong> will necessarily partly be based on<br />

subjective evaluations, e.g., expectations<br />

with respect to risk <strong>and</strong> additionality. Other<br />

conditions may be more objective aspects<br />

like age <strong>and</strong> size of the firm. However, R&D<br />

support may also be influenced by past<br />

experiences <strong>and</strong> results (output) of earlier<br />

supported projects – i.e., there is an arrow<br />

from output to R&D support. R&D support<br />

has a direct effect on private R&D investment<br />

as well as an indirect effect via<br />

changes in R&D orientation. The direct<br />

effect may be classified as the degree of<br />

“project input additionality” while the indirect<br />

effect will express the degree of<br />

“behavioural additionality”. Private R&D<br />

investment will also be influenced by “other<br />

conditions” like cash flow, sales, <strong>and</strong> so on.<br />

Included in “other conditions” are variables<br />

affecting marginal return (X) <strong>and</strong> marginal<br />

cost of capital (Y) of the R&D investment.<br />

Both private R&D investment <strong>and</strong> the firm’s<br />

R&D-orientation (e.g., R&D cooperations)<br />

can influence the “common R&D capital”,<br />

which may have an effect on output via<br />

internalized knowledge spillovers. Output is<br />

of course also influenced by “other conditions”,<br />

<strong>and</strong> will probably feed back to private<br />

R&D investments via effects on the<br />

marginal return (X).<br />

The model in figure 4.1 is complicated. To<br />

achieve a better grips with the model we<br />

therefore breaks it down into a partial additionality<br />

model which may be analysed separately.<br />

In this partial model we exclude the<br />

common R&D capital <strong>and</strong> the output variables<br />

to avoid the long term feedback effects.<br />

We can thus test this model on a cross-section<br />

of firm/project data. The model must accordingly<br />

be regarded as a model estimating only<br />

short term effects of public R&D-support.<br />

In figure 4.2 a combined structural <strong>and</strong> measurement<br />

model for input- <strong>and</strong> behavioural<br />

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Figure 4.1 ><br />

A tentative causal model of effects from R&D support<br />

OTHER COND.<br />

OTHER COND.<br />

SELECT<br />

CRITERIA AND<br />

OTHER COND.<br />

R&D SUPPORT<br />

PRIVATE R&D<br />

INVESTMENTS<br />

OUTPUT<br />

(PRODUCT-<br />

EX ANTE<br />

R&D-ATTITUDE<br />

R&D<br />

ORIENTATION<br />

“COMMON”<br />

R&D<br />

Self-selection<br />

Project-input additionality<br />

Multidimensional latent variables<br />

(vector of explanatory variables)<br />

Behavioural additionnality<br />

Knowledge spilovers<br />

Unidimensional latent variables<br />

X = vector of variables influencing marginal return (MR) of the R&D investment<br />

Y = vector of variables influencing marginal cost of capital (MCC) of the R&D investment<br />

Figure 4.2 ><br />

A structural <strong>and</strong> measurement model of input <strong>and</strong> behavioural additionality<br />

I 1<br />

I 7<br />

I 5<br />

SELECT<br />

I I<br />

I 8<br />

9<br />

R&D SUPPORT<br />

PER EMPLOYEE<br />

EX ANTE<br />

CRITERIA AND<br />

R&D-ATTITUDE<br />

OTHER COND.<br />

I 2<br />

3<br />

I 10<br />

I 11<br />

R&D<br />

ORIENTATION<br />

FIRM SIZE<br />

I 4<br />

PRIVATE R&D<br />

INVESTMENT<br />

I 6<br />

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Table 3.1 ><br />

Estimated coefficients <strong>and</strong> fit statistics<br />

Cause – effect st<strong>and</strong>ardised t-value*<br />

coefficient<br />

Criteria <strong>and</strong> other cond.<br />

• Expected input-additionality R&D support per employee 0.21 2.79<br />

• (Age of the firm) -1 R&D support per employee 0.37 2.70<br />

• Expected risk R&D support per employee - -<br />

Firm size R&D support per employee -0.09 -2.89<br />

Ex ante R&D attitude R&D support per employee - -<br />

R&D support per employee R&D orientation 0.11 1.64<br />

Ex ante R&D attitude R&D orientation 0.43 4.39<br />

Firm size private R&D investments 0.04 0.54<br />

R&D support per employee private R&D investments -0.22 -3.76<br />

R&D orientation private R&D investments 0.73 7.48<br />

χ 2 (26) = 31.80* RMSEA = 0.032*<br />

Marks: RMSEA - Root Mean Square Error of Approximation – is a test for good fit adjusted for the degrees of freedom.<br />

RMSEA < 0.05 indicates good fit. See e.g., Browne & Cudeck (1993).<br />

* based on robust estimation (corrected for non-normality)<br />

• Indicates that the coefficient is set to zero (is not significantly different from zero when freely estimated,<br />

<strong>and</strong> improves the fit by zero restriction)<br />

additionality is illustrated. The squares represent<br />

observable indicators (I 1 -I 11 ) which fill<br />

the latent variables (circles) with “empirical<br />

content”. The model is formulated stochastically,<br />

i.e., residuals are also estimated. The<br />

residuals are indicated by open arrows<br />

directed at the squares <strong>and</strong> the circles representing<br />

endogenous latent variables.<br />

In Nesset (2001) such a model is estimated<br />

on data from a survey among Norwegian<br />

firms in 1996. The sample consists of 181<br />

firms receiving R&D support in the User<br />

Oriented Research Schemes in 1993-95.<br />

Most of the questions in this survey (indicators)<br />

are formulated as 7-point Likert-scale<br />

indicators, while some as e.g., R&D support<br />

<strong>and</strong> firm size are measured on a continuous<br />

scale.The latent variable Ex ante R&D attitude<br />

is measured by three indicators (attitude<br />

towards R&D-collaboration with other<br />

firms; attitude towards R&D-collaboration<br />

with R&D institutes; attitude towards R&D<br />

in general as a strategy for long term survival),<br />

while R&D orientation is measured<br />

by two indicators (to what extent the firm<br />

has changed its behaviour from short term<br />

to long term R&D orientation; to what<br />

extent the firm is willing to engage in<br />

larger <strong>and</strong> more resilient R&D projects). The<br />

><br />

parameters of the model are estimated by<br />

LISREL 8.30 (Sörbom, DuToit <strong>and</strong> DuToit<br />

(2000)). The fit of the estimated model is<br />

good according to a large set of tests. Table<br />

3.1 shows the main results.<br />

A main result from this analysis is that R&D<br />

support per employee (support intensity)<br />

has a significant negative effect on private<br />

R&D efforts. An explanation for this result<br />

might be that higher support intensity to a<br />

certain extent crowds out internal R&D<br />

efforts due to lack of R&D absorptive capacity,<br />

while less support intensity is more complementary<br />

to internal R&D efforts.<br />

5. EMPIRICAL FINDINGS<br />

OF RCN FUNDING SYSTEM<br />

Regretfully a unique identification number<br />

was not registered among the receivers of<br />

RCN within their system until 1999. However,<br />

through matching on names <strong>and</strong> addresses<br />

with the firm register at the Norwegian register<br />

authority <strong>and</strong> manual quality check on<br />

each firm performed by Møre Research we<br />

have managed to obtain a match with 853<br />

unique firm identification codes for 50% of<br />

the projects (1536). We will continue this<br />

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Figure 5.2 ><br />

Risk classification of firms receiving RCN support compared to average risk classification of Norwegian firms (Central Bank of<br />

Norway). Projects ended 1993.<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

Project ended 1993 - Low risk<br />

Project ended 1993 - High risk<br />

Norway - Low risk projects<br />

Norway - High risk projects<br />

60<br />

50<br />

<strong>40</strong><br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

1993<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000<br />

Figure 5.3 ><br />

Risk classification of firms receiving RCN support compared to average risk classification of Norwegian firms (Central Bank of<br />

Norway). Projects ended 1994.<br />

100<br />

90<br />

80<br />

70<br />

Project ended 1994 - Low risk<br />

Project ended 1994 - High risk<br />

Norway - Low risk projects<br />

Norway - High risk projects<br />

60<br />

50<br />

<strong>40</strong><br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000<br />

work to hopefully increase the match.<br />

Figure 5.1 shows how the funding is distributed<br />

among 853 identified firms receiving<br />

support from RCN. One interesting aspect<br />

about this figure is the fact that when<br />

adding up the funding of these 853 firms<br />

<strong>and</strong> looking at the distribution, we find that<br />

10% of the firms have received 58% of the<br />

total RCN funding. We also find that this<br />

distribution is consistent over time. The 10<br />

firms with the largest share of funding are<br />

large well known Norwegian firms.<br />

Figure 5.1 <strong>and</strong> 5.2 illustrate the development<br />

in risk classification of firms receiving<br />

RCN support compared to average risk classification<br />

of Norwegian firms. The two figures<br />

illustrate this difference related to<br />

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Figure 5.1 ><br />

Share of RCN support<br />

6%<br />

35%<br />

58%<br />

The 10% firms with the largest share of total RCN support during the period<br />

The <strong>40</strong>% firms with the medium share of total RCN support during the period<br />

The 50% firms with the smallest share of total RCN support during the period<br />

firms with projects that ended in 1993 <strong>and</strong><br />

1994 respectively. The risk classification system<br />

is based on accounting statistics with<br />

focus on developments inearnings <strong>and</strong> the<br />

share of long term debt based on the risk<br />

classification system of the Central Bank of<br />

Norway. The figures indicate that among<br />

the firms that received support to projects<br />

ended in 1993 <strong>and</strong> 1994, the share of low<br />

risk is increasing while the share of high<br />

risk is decreasing compared to the overall<br />

development within Norwegian firms. In<br />

other word, there is a tendency that the<br />

firms that have received support show a<br />

more positive development in risk classification<br />

than what is the average of<br />

Norwegian firms.<br />

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REFERENCES<br />

Bagozzi, R.P. <strong>and</strong> Y.Yi (1988): “On the<br />

Evaluation of Structural Equation Models”,<br />

Journal of the Academy of Marketing<br />

Science, Spring,Vol. 16, No. 1, 74-94.<br />

Bollen, K.A. (1989): Structural Equations<br />

with Latent Variables, John Wiley & Sons,<br />

Inc.New York.<br />

Browne,M.W. <strong>and</strong> R.Cudeck (1993): ”Alternative<br />

ways of assessing model fit”, in Bollen,<br />

K.A. <strong>and</strong> J.S.Long (eds): Testing Structural<br />

Equation Models, Sage Newbury Park, CA.<br />

Brown, Marylin A., Curlee R<strong>and</strong>all T.,Elliott,<br />

Steven R. (1995), “Evaluating technology<br />

innovation programs; the use of comparison<br />

groups to identify impacts” Research <strong>Policy</strong><br />

24,1995 pp.669-684<br />

Buisseret, T.J., Cameron,H.M; Georghiou, L.,<br />

(1995) “What difference does it make<br />

Additionality in the public support of R&D in<br />

large firms”, IJTM, Vol. 10, Nos 4/5/6,<br />

Evaluation of Research <strong>and</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

Cohen,W.M., Levinthal, D.A, (1989), “<strong>Innovation</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> learning:The two faces of R&D”,<br />

The Economic Journal, no. 99, pp.569-596<br />

David, P.A., B.H. Hall, <strong>and</strong> A.A. Toole (2000):<br />

”Is public R&D a complement or substitute<br />

for private R&D A review of the econometric<br />

evidence”.Research <strong>Policy</strong> 29, 497-529.<br />

Fazio,R.H. 1989, On the Power <strong>and</strong><br />

Functionality of Attitutes, Attitute, Structure<br />

<strong>and</strong> Function: A.R. Pratkanis, S. J. Breckler,<br />

A.G. Greenwald. Hillsdale, New Jersey:<br />

Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Publishers<br />

Georghiou, L. (1998) “Issues in the<br />

Evaluation of <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Technology<br />

<strong>Policy</strong>” Evaluation Vol 4(1), 1998<br />

Griliches Z. (1979), ”Issues in assessing the<br />

contributions of Research <strong>and</strong> development<br />

to productivity growth”, Bell Journal of<br />

Economics 10 (1), pp. 92-116<br />

Nesset, Erik, (2001): “Does the level of commercial<br />

R&D support make any difference”<br />

Mimeo, Aalesund University College,<br />

Norway.<br />

Hervik, Groth, (1996); “Customer Inquiry -<br />

Norwegian Building <strong>and</strong> Construction<br />

Institutes”, Report - Research Council of<br />

Norway<br />

Hervik, A. Rye, M (1997-2000), “Customer<br />

Inquiry”, Møre Research, Working paper no.<br />

M9904,M9905,M9906,M0010,M0011,M0012,<br />

<strong>and</strong> M0013<br />

Hervik, A., (1997); “Evaluation of User<br />

Oriented Research in Norway- The<br />

Estimation of long run economic impacts”,<br />

OECD Proceedings: <strong>Policy</strong> Evaluation in<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Technology – Towards best<br />

practices. OECD, 1997<br />

Heckman, J. (1979): ”Sample selection bias<br />

as a specification error”, Econometrica 46,<br />

931-961.<br />

Heckman, J.J., H. Ichimura, J. Smith <strong>and</strong> P.E.<br />

Todd (1998): ”Characterizing selection bias<br />

using experimental data”. Econometrica 66,<br />

1017-1098.<br />

Hervik, A. og L. Bræin (2001): ”Mål og resultatstyring<br />

i NFR/IE. Analyser av PROVIS. Før<br />

og etterundersøkelser.” Arbeidsrapport<br />

M0108, Møreforsking Molde.<br />

Jöreskog, K.G., S. Du Toit, <strong>and</strong> M. Du Toit<br />

(2000): LISREL8: New Statistical Features.<br />

Chicago: Scientific Software International.<br />

Kauko, K. (1996): ”Effectiveness of R&D subsidies<br />

– a sceptical note on the empirical<br />

literature”. Research <strong>Policy</strong> 25, 321-323.<br />

Klette, T.J. <strong>and</strong> J. Møen (1998a): ”From<br />

growth theory to technology policy – coordination<br />

problems in theory <strong>and</strong> practice”,<br />

Nordic Journal of Political Economy (forthcoming).<br />

Klette, T.J. <strong>and</strong> J. Møen (1998b): ”R&D<br />

investment responses to R&D subsidies:<br />

A theoretical analysis <strong>and</strong> a microeconometric<br />

study”, Mimeo, presented at NBER<br />

Summer Institute 1998.<br />

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Klette, T.J., J. Møen, <strong>and</strong> Z. Griliches (2000):<br />

”Do subsidies to commersial R&D reduce<br />

market failures Microeconometric evaluation<br />

studies”. The economics of technology<br />

policy, a special issue of Research <strong>Policy</strong>.<br />

Research <strong>Policy</strong> Vol. 29 (4-5) pp. 471-495<br />

Olsson, U.H., S.V. Troye <strong>and</strong> R.D. Howell<br />

(1999): ”Theoretic Fit <strong>and</strong> Empirical Fit: The<br />

Performance of Maximum Likelihood versus<br />

Generalized Leased Squares Estimation in<br />

Structural Equation Models”, Multivariate<br />

Behavioural Research 34, no 1, 31-59.<br />

Lynch, Chakravarti, Mitra, 1991: Contrast<br />

effect in consumer judgements: changes in<br />

mental Representations or in the anchoring<br />

of Rating scales Journal of consumer<br />

research 18, p. 248-98)<br />

Rye, Mette(2002); Evaluating impacts of<br />

public support to commercial R&D projects -<br />

can we trust verbal reports of additionality;<br />

Forthcoming in: Evaluation.<br />

RCN (2001): “Det norske forsknings- og innovasjonssystemet<br />

– statistikk og indikatorer<br />

2001” The research council of Norway, 2001.<br />

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<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

MEASURING<br />

‘RELATIVE EFFECTIVENESS’ –<br />

CAN WE COMPARE INNOVATION<br />

POLICY INSTRUMENTS<br />

ERIK ARNOLD<br />

AND<br />

PATRIES BOEKHOLT<br />

Technopolis Group<br />

Erik Arnold is the co-founder <strong>and</strong> managing<br />

director of Technopolis, <strong>and</strong> has been active<br />

in R&D evaluation for almost 20 years. He<br />

has worked on over 50 R&D/innovation programme<br />

evaluations internationally, including<br />

national IT programmes such as the<br />

Alvey programme in the UK, the national<br />

Industrial IT programme in Sweden <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Irish national telecommunications programme.<br />

Trained at SPRU, he was for 5 years<br />

a university researcher in science policy <strong>and</strong><br />

for 6 years a management consultant <strong>and</strong><br />

project leader at Booz.Allen & Hamilton,<br />

where he focused on the management of<br />

technology-based companies.<br />

Patries Boekholt is founder <strong>and</strong> director of<br />

Technopolis BV in Amsterdam. Before joining<br />

Technopolis she worked for the TNO<br />

Centre for Technology <strong>Policy</strong> Studies since<br />

1989. She has over ten years of experience<br />

working on Research, Technology <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> policies in various countries <strong>and</strong><br />

for international organisations such the<br />

European Commission <strong>and</strong> the OECD.<br />

This includes evaluation studies, strategic<br />

advice, international comparative, benchmark<br />

studies <strong>and</strong> improving policy implementation.<br />

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><br />

1. INTRODUCTION<br />

Lots of people ‘know’ that comparing the<br />

relative effectiveness of innovation policy<br />

instruments is easy to do, <strong>and</strong> that this can<br />

most usefully be done using cost-benefit<br />

analysis. One thing these people tend to<br />

have in common is that they have never<br />

actually tried to do the measurement<br />

involved in those comparisons. Their belief<br />

that such comparisons are feasible <strong>and</strong><br />

meaningful is therefore based not in practice<br />

but in theory: specifically, in the assumptions<br />

of mainstream economics. Therefore, if<br />

we want to move innovation policy analysis<br />

<strong>and</strong> evaluation away from concern with the<br />

‘mission impossible’ of comparative costbenefit<br />

analysis <strong>and</strong> on to a more tractable<br />

<strong>and</strong> useful mix of approaches, we have to<br />

tackle theory as well as practice.<br />

In this paper, we show that different<br />

theoretical perspectives imply different things<br />

about the feasibility <strong>and</strong> usefulness of comparing<br />

innovation policy instruments. The lack<br />

of major practical achievements internationally<br />

supports the idea that monetary comparisons<br />

of effectiveness are problematic.<br />

Our shifting underst<strong>and</strong>ing of innovation<br />

processes <strong>and</strong> their links to socio-economic<br />

well being suggests the need to shift some<br />

of our attention in evaluation <strong>and</strong> policy<br />

development towards the systems level.<br />

We conclude that, in the real world, it is<br />

more realistic to think of evaluation <strong>and</strong><br />

policy analysis as helping us continually to<br />

improve the performance of innovation<br />

systems in a somewhat ad hoc <strong>and</strong> pragmatic<br />

way, rather than imagining we can<br />

optimise at the overall level.<br />

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><br />

1<br />

See Christopher<br />

Freeman, Technology<br />

<strong>Policy</strong> <strong>and</strong> Economic<br />

Performance: Lessons<br />

from Japan, London:<br />

Frances Pinter, 1987;<br />

Bengt-Åke Lundvall,<br />

National Systems of<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong>: Towards a<br />

Theory of <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> Interactive<br />

Learning, London:<br />

Pinter, 1992; RR<br />

Nelson, National<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> Systems,<br />

New York: Oxford<br />

University Press, 1993<br />

2<br />

This is generally<br />

called a National <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

System in the<br />

literature – essentially<br />

because the key authors<br />

are researchers on<br />

questions to do with<br />

economic innovation.<br />

This is a very unhelpful<br />

name, since all three<br />

words are misleading.<br />

In fact, such systems<br />

can be regional <strong>and</strong><br />

international as well<br />

as national. They incorporate<br />

the whole of<br />

knowledge production<br />

<strong>and</strong> consumption,<br />

not just economic<br />

innovation.<br />

2. WHAT KIND OF EFFECTIVENESS<br />

What we mean by ‘effectiveness’ in the context<br />

of innovation policy – <strong>and</strong> what kind of<br />

effectiveness it is important to underst<strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> measure – depends strongly on which set<br />

of theoretical spectacles we choose to wear.<br />

Over the past ten years or so, there has been<br />

a revolution – a ‘paradigm shift’ – in the way<br />

we underst<strong>and</strong> the relationship between<br />

research, innovation <strong>and</strong> socio-economic<br />

development. Conventional, neo-classical<br />

economics viewed firms, in effect, as<br />

autonomous <strong>and</strong> rational robots using perfect<br />

information. In the context of technological<br />

change, much of the traditional, neoclassical<br />

framework has been superseded<br />

during the 1990s, through a convergence of<br />

evolutionary economics (which stresses firms<br />

as ‘learning organisations’) <strong>and</strong> research on<br />

the innovation process.<br />

This new National Research <strong>and</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

Systems (NRIS 1 ) 2 approach stresses the idea<br />

that firms <strong>and</strong> other economic actors have<br />

‘bounded rationality.’ This makes knowledge,<br />

learning <strong>and</strong> institutions key to overall<br />

economic performance. In the new view,<br />

economic actors are no longer autonomous<br />

robots, but are deeply interwoven into the<br />

economic fabric. The unit of analysis is no<br />

longer only the individual firm but also the<br />

‘system’ of networks within which firms operate.<br />

National economic performance is explained<br />

as the performance of this total system.<br />

A second key idea, which stems from the<br />

central role of learning, is that of historical<br />

path dependence. What a company or institution<br />

can do today depends upon what it<br />

could do yesterday 3 <strong>and</strong> what it has learnt in<br />

the meantime 4 . Another implication of path<br />

dependence is co-evolution among institutions<br />

such as funding agencies, which strive<br />

to improve their performance within the<br />

existing institutional division of labour. As a<br />

result, they adapt to each other’s presence<br />

<strong>and</strong> different National Research <strong>and</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

Systems develop different institutional<br />

ways to achieve similar ends.<br />

Exhibit 1 indicates some of the differences<br />

among the core assumptions of the neoclassical<br />

<strong>and</strong> NRIS approaches. Most neoclassical<br />

economists would object to this characterisation.<br />

They would rightly point out that<br />

much of twentieth century microeconomics<br />

devoted itself to refining these core assumptions<br />

(which derive, essentially, from a simplified<br />

view of a special case: trading corn in<br />

agricultural markets) <strong>and</strong> taking account of<br />

imperfect information, imperfect competition<br />

<strong>and</strong> so on. But this is the central point.<br />

Just as the Copernican hypothesis that the<br />

sun <strong>and</strong> all the heavenly bodies go round the<br />

earth can be protected by adding epicycles to<br />

their orbits, so the assumptions of neoclassical<br />

economics can successively be refined to<br />

improve the fit with reality. However, the<br />

description that results is complex <strong>and</strong> messy.<br />

In contrast, the NRIS approach offers the<br />

simplicity <strong>and</strong> elegance that attract us to<br />

theories. If the sun goes round the earth, we<br />

can lose all those inconvenient epicycles <strong>and</strong><br />

some of the rather odd consequences that<br />

we get if we combine Copernicus with more<br />

recent astronomical observations!<br />

Exhibit 1 ><br />

Some Core Assumptions of Neoclassical <strong>and</strong> NRIS Approaches<br />

And they are only<br />

‘systems’ in the sense<br />

of many things being<br />

System<br />

behaviour<br />

Neoclassical<br />

Generally predictable<br />

Can be derived from micro level<br />

NRIS<br />

Not fully deducible from micro level<br />

Time <strong>and</strong> place dependent<br />

connected together.<br />

They are not systems<br />

in the sense that their<br />

behaviour can readily<br />

be predicted <strong>and</strong><br />

Interactions<br />

Rational, with perfect capabilities<br />

<strong>and</strong> information<br />

Factors <strong>and</strong> actors are substitutable<br />

Rational with imperfect capabilities<br />

<strong>and</strong> information<br />

Learning, path dependency, co-evolution,<br />

hence actors are not substitutable<br />

controlled, or planned<br />

in the old soviet<br />

sense.<br />

Actors<br />

Rational robots<br />

No history<br />

Boundedly rational, imperfectly capable<br />

Have history<br />

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Measuring ‘relative effectiveness’ – Can we compare innovation policy instruments<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

Exhibit 2 ><br />

Implications of Theoretical Perspectives for Comparisons<br />

Across different<br />

categories of<br />

instruments<br />

Across different<br />

time horizons<br />

Across different<br />

NRIS<br />

Neoclassical core assumptions<br />

Unproblematic, since instruments<br />

are substitutable <strong>and</strong> both costs<br />

<strong>and</strong> benefits can be monetarised<br />

Can be done to some extent.<br />

Economic actors act in response to<br />

short run economic opportunities,<br />

but there can also be long run<br />

effects. The length of the ‘long<br />

run’ is not given, <strong>and</strong> may vary<br />

Unproblematic, as all NRIS follow<br />

the same set of general economic<br />

laws<br />

NRIS<br />

Instruments have different purposes.<br />

Many can therefore not be substituted<br />

for each other.<br />

Actors act both for reasons of short<br />

run economic advantage <strong>and</strong> in order<br />

to secure ‘softer’, long run benefits<br />

such as learning. Comparability of<br />

benefits can therefore vary over time<br />

Achievable benefits may vary among<br />

NRIS, depending on initial conditions<br />

at the start of the intervention<br />

3<br />

Nathan Rosenberg,<br />

Perspectives on<br />

Technology, Cambridge<br />

University Press, 1976<br />

4<br />

Bengt Åke Lundvall<br />

(ed), National Systems<br />

of <strong>Innovation</strong>:<br />

Towards a Theory of<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

Interactive Learning,<br />

London: Pinter, 1992<br />

5<br />

Charles Edqvist (ed),<br />

Systems of<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong>, London:<br />

Frances Pinter, 1997<br />

6<br />

Rodrigo Arocena <strong>and</strong><br />

Judith Stutz, ‘Looking<br />

at national systems of<br />

innovation from the<br />

South,’ Industry <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Innovation</strong>, Vol 7, No 1,<br />

June 2000, pp 55-75<br />

For many purposes we do well to cling to<br />

the achievements of mainstream economics.<br />

It is far better articulated than the NRIS<br />

approach. Like Newtonian physics, it lets us<br />

do comparatively simple sums, <strong>and</strong> it works<br />

as long as we underst<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> steer clear of<br />

its limitations. Unlike in Newtonian physics,<br />

however, we are rather more likely to trip<br />

over these limitations in our everyday lives –<br />

not least in innovation policy making.<br />

Our choice of theory matters, not only<br />

because some theories fit the facts better<br />

than others, but also because – in a policy<br />

making context – theories are normative.<br />

Neoclassical economics pushes us towards<br />

policies <strong>and</strong> regulations that make the<br />

world behave more like the economic textbook<br />

description, making money the measure<br />

of all things <strong>and</strong> treating policies <strong>and</strong><br />

policy instruments as subsitutable. Neoclassical<br />

systems are capable of being optimised,<br />

using a common set of instruments.<br />

As Edqvist argues 5 “the notion of optimality<br />

is absent from the systems of innovation<br />

approaches. Hence, comparisons between<br />

an existing system <strong>and</strong> an ideal system<br />

are not possible.” The NRIS approach is<br />

nonetheless normative, in the sense that it<br />

claims that certain system characteristics –<br />

such as strong network links between<br />

actors – are likely to improve performance.<br />

6 An NRIS world requires a differentiated<br />

set of policy instruments to improve<br />

performance.<br />

><br />

What do these two theoretical perspectives<br />

then imply about whether comparisons of<br />

innovation policy instruments are feasible or<br />

meaningful As Exhibit 2 indicates, different<br />

theoretical perspectives lead to different<br />

answers.<br />

3. WHAT DOES EVALUATION TELL US<br />

Finance ministries tend to be run by mainstream<br />

economists, who wear neoclassical<br />

spectacles. They want to know about the<br />

cost-effectiveness of policy instruments,<br />

which is a question we all (as tax payers)<br />

care about. Often, however, their neoclassical<br />

spectacles can blind them to important<br />

characteristics of the NRIS world. They ask<br />

questions which make neoclassical sense but<br />

are naïve in NRIS terms.<br />

The body of evaluation literature dealing<br />

with innovation policy is immense. There is<br />

neither time nor space to do it justice here.<br />

Some ‘stylised facts’ which emerge from that<br />

literature include<br />

• A large variety of intervention types exists<br />

• There is policy learning: different NRIS imitate<br />

each others’ interventions, so there<br />

are trends – <strong>and</strong> also fashions<br />

• Well-managed interventions tend to<br />

achieve their medium-term aims – even if<br />

we rarely know much about their sideeffects<br />

(displacement, for example, or<br />

dead weight)<br />

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Measuring ‘relative effectiveness’ – Can we compare innovation policy instruments<br />

7<br />

Patries Boekholt,<br />

Maureen Lankhuizen,<br />

Erik Arnold, John<br />

Clarke, Jari Kuusisto,<br />

Bas de Laat, Paul<br />

Simmonds, Susan<br />

Cozzens, George<br />

Kingsley <strong>and</strong> Ron<br />

Johnston, An<br />

International Review<br />

of Methods to<br />

Measure Relative<br />

Effectiveness of<br />

Technology <strong>Policy</strong><br />

Instruments,<br />

Amsterdam:<br />

Technopolis, 2001<br />

• Many of these aims <strong>and</strong> achievements<br />

relate to learning at the level of actors <strong>and</strong><br />

networks<br />

• Short-term economic benefits can be difficult<br />

to identify, especially where research<br />

is involved<br />

• More generally, benefits of different interventions<br />

can appear with different time<br />

lags following the intervention<br />

<strong>Policy</strong> makers generally hope to establish a<br />

positive correlation between the use of government<br />

programmes <strong>and</strong> the effect on for<br />

instance innovation behaviour, R&D expenditure,<br />

productivity, competitiveness, export<br />

position, <strong>and</strong> employment. This effect<br />

should be established at the private level<br />

(those directly benefiting from government<br />

support) <strong>and</strong> at the public level (the effect<br />

beyond those directly involved, whether<br />

economic or social).<br />

We can see that usually impacts are defined<br />

in terms of direct outputs of a government<br />

instrument such as the change in the level of<br />

R&D expenditure, or the number of patents<br />

registered, commercial exploitations of project<br />

results. Second order effects have been<br />

measured at the level of the direct participants<br />

of technology programmes <strong>and</strong><br />

described in terms of commercial returns of<br />

products which had input from the support<br />

programme, new business opportunities,<br />

etc. Few evaluation studies have measured<br />

third order effects on the wider economy<br />

<strong>and</strong> society.<br />

To establish the cost effectiveness of a policy<br />

programme requires aggregating the<br />

impact on single actors (micro-data), to the<br />

sector (meso-data) or even economy wide<br />

level (macro-data). Techniques used to<br />

aggregate this information have their own<br />

methodological challenges <strong>and</strong> drawbacks.<br />

The international evaluation community<br />

acknowledges that methods <strong>and</strong> tools<br />

developed to date are far from perfect.<br />

The most commonly used effectiveness <strong>and</strong><br />

cost-benefit analysis methods used are<br />

• Micro-level case studies <strong>and</strong> in depth interviews<br />

which results are aggregated for the<br />

wider population of programme users<br />

• Large scale telephone <strong>and</strong> postal surveys<br />

which ask participants to make self-assessments<br />

of achieved results <strong>and</strong> effects on<br />

criteria such as turnover, export <strong>and</strong><br />

employment<br />

Cost-benefit studies suffer from some key<br />

methodological problems, which the evaluation<br />

expert community summarises as<br />

• The attribution problem: how can you isolate<br />

the effect of a policy instrument on<br />

the performance of one firm or a group of<br />

firms, given the many additional factors<br />

that influence that performance<br />

• The time lag between research, innovation<br />

<strong>and</strong> economic effects for those directly<br />

involved in the programme <strong>and</strong> even more<br />

for those not participating in the programme.<br />

Years can go by before a commercial<br />

return of investment can be achieved<br />

at the individual firm level. The effects of<br />

technology support programmes should be<br />

measured short, medium <strong>and</strong> long term.<br />

The data on the medium <strong>and</strong> long-term<br />

effects are usually lacking. There are few<br />

programmes that have a sufficient long history<br />

to be able to analyse effects in the<br />

longer term, which many experts <strong>and</strong> practitioners<br />

estimate at 20 years. (Norway’s<br />

user-directed R&D programmes are unusual<br />

in that their effects on participating<br />

firms have been investigated at periods up<br />

to ten years after project completion.)<br />

• The quantification of the many qualitative<br />

effects that are included in the objectives<br />

of the programme such as networking,<br />

improving the absorptive capacity <strong>and</strong><br />

competences of firms<br />

In a recent study 7 for the Dutch Ministry of<br />

Economic Affairs, we found that in most of<br />

the benchmark countries considered, policy<br />

makers are not convinced that the empirical<br />

basis for the current cost-benefit analysis<br />

methods is solid enough to use this as the<br />

sole approach to decide upon the effectiveness<br />

<strong>and</strong> usefulness of certain individual<br />

programmes. The uncertainty of the direction<br />

of the many causal linkages in the innovation<br />

process, prohibit solid conclusions on<br />

the exact impact of the public funded<br />

contribution.<br />

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<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

Impact assessments are regularly undertaken<br />

in the USA, Australia, <strong>and</strong> Norway.<br />

They are used incidentally in Canada,<br />

Finl<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> by the European Commission.<br />

Germany, France, New Zeal<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> the UK<br />

hardly ever use these more quantitative<br />

evaluation approaches to assess the effectiveness<br />

of technology <strong>and</strong> innovation policy<br />

instruments.<br />

While present quantitative methods – especially<br />

cost-benefit analysis – have severe limitations<br />

at the level of explaining the effects<br />

of single programmes or interventions, they<br />

do have a useful contribution to make<br />

in combination with more qualitative<br />

methods. The reality is that, while we have<br />

many tools available to us in conducting<br />

R&D evaluations, none of them works all<br />

that well on its own. It is important to use a<br />

combination of methods in any evaluation<br />

<strong>and</strong> to test for consistency between the findings<br />

emerging from each. Only then can we<br />

reasonably be confident that our overall<br />

evaluation findings are trustworthy.<br />

Second, we often have a prejudice in favour<br />

of findings <strong>and</strong> conclusions that can be<br />

expressed in numbers. Responsible use of<br />

quantitative effectiveness measurement<br />

includes analysis of the sources <strong>and</strong> sizes of<br />

potential errors <strong>and</strong> a discussion of the<br />

methodological difficulties involved, in<br />

order to help the reader interpret the numbers.<br />

If this is not done, many readers are<br />

inclined to treat as ‘hard’ numbers that are<br />

very ‘soft’ indeed.<br />

Third, quantification <strong>and</strong> this systematic <strong>and</strong><br />

honest analysis of potential sources of error<br />

involve tight discipline in experimental<br />

design <strong>and</strong> documentation. In our experience,<br />

qualitative research designs can often<br />

benefit from such increased discipline, so that<br />

incorporating a quantitative aspect can help<br />

raise the quality of the overall evaluation.<br />

Last, but not least, some quantitative effectiveness<br />

evaluation is now being conducted<br />

within the context of tighter programme<br />

planning <strong>and</strong> monitoring processes, providing<br />

a feedback loop in a larger system of<br />

policy development <strong>and</strong> implementation.<br />

The case of the Research Council of Norway<br />

provides a useful example. Other systematic<br />

approaches include the ROAME (Rationale,<br />

Objectives, Assessment, Monitoring, Evaluation)<br />

scheme used by the UK civil service <strong>and</strong><br />

the Logical Framework approach now<br />

adopted by SENTER in the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>and</strong><br />

parts of the European Commission. This<br />

systematisation of planning <strong>and</strong> evaluation<br />

is likely to improve our collective ability<br />

to reach goals, not least by improving the<br />

quality of goal definition.<br />

Our comparative study found very few<br />

examples of relative effectiveness measurement<br />

in the countries under review (Exhibit<br />

3). We need to distinguish here between<br />

those attempts that have compare the<br />

degree to which different instruments have<br />

contributed to government objectives or<br />

targets <strong>and</strong> attempts where a comparison is<br />

made on cost effectiveness in terms of public<br />

rates of return on investment. The few<br />

attempts we have found concentrated on<br />

the former rather than the latter type of<br />

comparison.<br />

Where comparisons have been made they were<br />

• Part of a systems analysis, where the comparative<br />

effectiveness measure was done to<br />

help decide the optimal policy mix in relation<br />

to the key objectives of ministries.<br />

Individual instruments were compared on<br />

the basis of their contributions to these<br />

general objectives. The systems of instruments<br />

were analysed: whether they<br />

overlapped, whether gaps in the policy<br />

portfolio existed, <strong>and</strong> what the relative<br />

appreciation was of these programmes by<br />

their users. The relative effectiveness measurement<br />

was not made on the basis on best<br />

performance in terms of rate of return on<br />

public investment, although ex-post evaluations<br />

provided strategic information<br />

• More an element of an ex-ante strategic<br />

policy formulation process than an ex-post<br />

evaluation exercise based solely on cost<br />

benefit analyses<br />

• Based on a mix of evaluation <strong>and</strong> assessment<br />

tools<br />

• Focused on a limited set of programmes<br />

with more or less similar objectives<br />

93


Measuring ‘relative effectiveness’ – Can we compare innovation policy instruments<br />

Exhibit 3 bis ><br />

Effectiveness assessment in the benchmark countries <strong>and</strong> the EU<br />

Qualitative<br />

assessment of<br />

effectiveness<br />

Output<br />

measurement<br />

quantitative<br />

analysis<br />

Outcome<br />

measurement<br />

quantitative<br />

analysis<br />

Quantitative<br />

assessment<br />

wider economic<br />

impact<br />

Cost-benefit<br />

analysis<br />

(C-BA)<br />

Comparative<br />

analysis on basis<br />

of performance<br />

indicators<br />

Australia<br />

Canada<br />

Finl<strong>and</strong><br />

France<br />

Germany<br />

New Zeal<strong>and</strong><br />

Netherl<strong>and</strong>s<br />

Norway<br />

UK<br />

USA<br />

EU<br />

Note: Full (black) squares indicate that this kind of assessment is undertaken in this country; Half (grey) squares<br />

indicate that this kind of assessment is undertaken in this country, but does not have a major emphasis; Empty<br />

(white) squares indicate that this kind of activity is not undertaken in this country<br />

Our study identified a number of objections<br />

<strong>and</strong> drawbacks from the perspectives of policy<br />

practitioners <strong>and</strong> evaluators<br />

• The time lag on effects differs from programme<br />

to programme. There is not a single<br />

moment in time when the ultimate<br />

effects can be compared between more<br />

than one instrument<br />

• Given the attribution problem, there is a<br />

risk of double counting the financial effect<br />

of various policy measures used simultaneously<br />

by companies. The more instruments<br />

are included in the comparison the more<br />

difficult it will be to define control groups<br />

• The variation in risk levels of different<br />

policy instruments where some low risk<br />

programmes have many incremental <strong>and</strong><br />

short term effects whereas high risk programmes<br />

have fewer but potentially more<br />

radical effects in the longer term.<br />

Comparing the two in the medium term<br />

would always favour the low risk programme<br />

<strong>and</strong> therefore lead to a certain<br />

risk averseness of public action, whereas<br />

the ‘market failure’ justification assumes<br />

that government acts when risks are too<br />

high for the private sector<br />

• The failure to quantify the ‘softer’ effects<br />

that governments want to achieve in<br />

changing the behaviour of the target<br />

groups in the current cost benefit analyses<br />

• Possible changes in the context of the<br />

‘problem’ that a government action wants<br />

to address. Even though an instrument<br />

performed perfectly well in terms of costbenefit<br />

analysis, it could be that the context<br />

of the firms <strong>and</strong> the innovation system<br />

has changed drastically in the meantime,<br />

making the same instrument ineffective in<br />

the future. This would argue against using<br />

ex-post cost benefit analysis as the sole<br />

input for policy decisions<br />

• Effectiveness measurements typically<br />

measure only some of the effects of programmes.<br />

In particular, cost-benefit analyses<br />

tend to focus on the private returns to<br />

intervention rather than the social returns<br />

or ‘externalities,’ which normally justified<br />

the intervention in the first place, but<br />

which are harder to measure. Because the<br />

ratio between the measured <strong>and</strong> unmeasured<br />

effects of individual programmes is<br />

not known, different cost-benefit measures<br />

are typically incommensurable <strong>and</strong><br />

cannot validly be compared<br />

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Measuring ‘relative effectiveness’ – Can we compare innovation policy instruments<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

8<br />

Ken Arrow ,<br />

‘Economic Welfare<br />

<strong>and</strong> the Allocation of<br />

Resources for<br />

Invention,’ in Richard<br />

Nelson (Ed.) The Rate<br />

<strong>and</strong> Direction of<br />

Inventive Activity,<br />

Princeton University<br />

Press, 1962; see also<br />

Richard Nelson,<br />

‘The simple economics<br />

of basic scientific<br />

research,’ Journal<br />

of Political Economy,<br />

1959, vol 67,<br />

pp 297-306<br />

9<br />

His argument is,<br />

however, conceptually<br />

flawed.It simply<br />

assumes that there is<br />

under-investment in<br />

basic research compared<br />

to an imagined<br />

welfare-economic<br />

optimum. It makes this<br />

assumption because it<br />

implicitly accepts the<br />

‘linear model’ account<br />

of the role of science<br />

><br />

as causing economic<br />

innovation <strong>and</strong><br />

development. In fact,<br />

no one has observed<br />

or calculated what<br />

such an optimum<br />

would look like<br />

10<br />

Erik Arnold <strong>and</strong><br />

Ken Guy, ‘Diffusion<br />

policies for IT: the way<br />

forward,’ OECD/ICCP<br />

Expert group on the<br />

economic implications<br />

of Information<br />

Technologies, Paris:<br />

OECD, 1991<br />

• <strong>Policy</strong> instruments should be seen in the<br />

context of their role in the innovation system<br />

<strong>and</strong> the specific objectives <strong>and</strong> target<br />

groups they address. You can not compare<br />

on one parameter, i.e. effectiveness alone.<br />

As long as the basic methodological problems<br />

surrounding effectiveness measurement of<br />

single programmes are not solved, the same<br />

problems will affect any relative effectiveness<br />

measurement comparing more programmes.<br />

Given these methodological difficulties <strong>and</strong><br />

policy objections, we have found only three<br />

instances where some form of relative effectiveness<br />

measurement has been conducted.<br />

The use of relative effectiveness measurement,<br />

tried in only a small number of countries<br />

suggests that<br />

• This should always be done in the context<br />

of how the policy portfolio addresses the<br />

different issues in the innovation system<br />

• It should not be based on merely ex-post<br />

evaluations using cost-benefit techniques.<br />

The methodological problems of using<br />

these techniques on single programmes prevent<br />

a robust outcome of any comparative<br />

approach. Those that have engaged in these<br />

activities have used a mix of methods including<br />

expert views <strong>and</strong> foresight activities<br />

4. INNOVATION POLICY IN A SYSTEMS<br />

PERSPECTIVE<br />

The idea of ‘market failure’ leading to<br />

under-investment in research has been the<br />

principal rationale for state funding of R&D 8<br />

in the post-War period. Of course, governments<br />

had been funding research long<br />

before the economics profession produced a<br />

reason. Arrow is generally credited with<br />

describing the three major sources of market<br />

failure which – from a neo-classical perspective<br />

– make it useful for government to<br />

fund research<br />

• Indivisibility, because of the existence of<br />

minimum efficient scale<br />

• Inappropriability of the profit stream from<br />

research, leading to a divergence between<br />

public <strong>and</strong> private returns on investment.<br />

This results from two essential (<strong>and</strong> economically<br />

efficient) freedoms that scientific<br />

researchers have: namely to publish<br />

<strong>and</strong> to change jobs<br />

• Uncertainty, namely divergences in the<br />

riskiness of research respectively for private<br />

<strong>and</strong> public actors<br />

Arrow’s argument was particularly relevant<br />

to more ‘basic’ (<strong>and</strong>, by implication, generally<br />

applicable) forms of knowledge because<br />

capitalists’ inability to monopolise the<br />

results of such research meant they would<br />

be least likely to invest in it. 9<br />

More recent developments in theory do not<br />

invalidate but extend the neo-classical idea<br />

of market failure. The market failure<br />

approach assumes away key deficiencies of<br />

real companies, not least what we many<br />

years ago called ‘capability failures’ 10 as well<br />

as failures in systems. We can think of these<br />

failures as belonging to four types<br />

• Capability failures 11 . These amount to<br />

inadequacies in companies’ ability to act in<br />

their own best interests, for example<br />

through managerial deficits, lack of technological<br />

underst<strong>and</strong>ing, learning ability<br />

or ‘absorptive capacity’ 12 to make use of<br />

externally generated technology<br />

• Failures in institutions 13 . Not only companies<br />

but also other social institutions such<br />

as universities <strong>and</strong> research institutes,<br />

patent offices <strong>and</strong> so on need to work well<br />

if the NIS is to facilitate innovation <strong>and</strong><br />

growth. Rigid disciplinary orientation in<br />

universities <strong>and</strong> consequent inability to<br />

change with changes in knowledge would<br />

be an example of such an institutional failure.<br />

Failure to provide adequate investment<br />

in knowledge institutions would be<br />

another<br />

• Network failures. These relate to problems<br />

in the interaction among actors in the<br />

innovation system, <strong>and</strong> can themselves be<br />

of several types<br />

- Inadequate amounts <strong>and</strong> quality of interlinkages,<br />

as where there is low trust<br />

among companies or where universities<br />

are isolated from their social context<br />

- ‘Transition failures’ <strong>and</strong> ‘lock-in’ failures,<br />

where clusters or innovation systems fail or<br />

take on board new technological opportunities<br />

or remain locked into old ones 14<br />

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Measuring ‘relative effectiveness’ – Can we compare innovation policy instruments<br />

11<br />

For analysis, see<br />

Erik Arnold <strong>and</strong> Ben<br />

Thuriaux, Developing<br />

Firms’ Technological<br />

Capabilities, report to<br />

OECD, Brighton:<br />

Technopolis, 1997,<br />

which may be downloaded<br />

from www.<br />

technopolisgroup.com<br />

12<br />

W Cohen <strong>and</strong> D<br />

Levinthal, ‘Absorptive<br />

capacity: a new perspective<br />

on learning<br />

<strong>and</strong> innovation,’<br />

Administrative Science<br />

Quarterly, No 35,<br />

1990, pp 128 - 152<br />

13<br />

This is similar to the<br />

idea of ‘hard institutional<br />

failure’ discussed<br />

by Bo Barlsson<br />

<strong>and</strong> Staffan Jacobsson,<br />

‘In search of useful<br />

public policies: Key<br />

lessons <strong>and</strong> issues for<br />

policy makers,’ in Bo<br />

Carlsson (ed)<br />

><br />

Technological Systems<br />

<strong>and</strong> Industrial<br />

Dynamics, New York,<br />

Kluwer Academic<br />

Publishers, 1997.<br />

Their ‘soft institutional<br />

failures’ correspond to<br />

part of our ‘framework<br />

failures’<br />

14<br />

Keith Smith, ‘Economic<br />

infrastructures <strong>and</strong><br />

innovation systems,’<br />

in Charles Edqvist<br />

(ed), Systems of<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong>: Technologies,<br />

Institutions <strong>and</strong><br />

Organisations,<br />

London: Cassel, 1997<br />

- Various problems in industry structure,<br />

such as too intense competition or<br />

monopoly, which stifle innovation, or the<br />

absence of key complementarities (such<br />

as when a cluster’s development is stifled<br />

by the lack of a crucial type of producer) 15<br />

• Framework failures. Effective innovation<br />

depends partly upon regulatory frameworks,<br />

health <strong>and</strong> safety rules etc as well as<br />

other background conditions, such as the<br />

sophistication of consumer dem<strong>and</strong>, culture<br />

<strong>and</strong> social values 16 . Deficiencies in these<br />

frameworks can have a negative effect on<br />

innovation <strong>and</strong> economic performance<br />

These failures justify state intervention not<br />

only through the funding of basic science,<br />

but more widely in ensuring that the<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> System performs as a whole –<br />

always provided that the state is actually<br />

capable of reducing failure. Because systems<br />

failures <strong>and</strong> performance are highly<br />

dependent upon the interplay of characteristics<br />

in individual systems, there can be no<br />

simple rule-based policy as is possible in relation<br />

to the static idea of market failure 17 .<br />

Rather, a key role for state policy making is<br />

‘bottleneck analysis’ – continuously identifying<br />

<strong>and</strong> rectifying structural imperfections.<br />

5. EVALUATION AT A SYSTEMS LEVEL<br />

The R&D evaluation community does not have<br />

an opportunity to dodge the issue of systems<br />

evaluation. Without evidence, it is not possible<br />

to operationalise the systemic underst<strong>and</strong>ings<br />

emerging from newer theory. <strong>Policy</strong> makers<br />

have read the new books, <strong>and</strong> are increasingly<br />

asking about the systems level. (In Sweden, the<br />

prioritisation of the systems view has gone so<br />

far that the new agency responsible for funding<br />

technological development <strong>and</strong> absorptive<br />

capacity in called the Swedish Agency for<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> Systems – VINNOVA.) Increasingly,<br />

R&D funders are moving from single-point<br />

interventions relating to individual research<br />

projects or companies to network <strong>and</strong> cluster<br />

interventions. There is an increasingly explicit<br />

desire to evaluate policies <strong>and</strong> portfolios as well<br />

as individual programmes – partly in order to<br />

underst<strong>and</strong> systems effects but also in part to<br />

reduce the ‘evaluation tax’ on funding activity.<br />

Exhibit 4 sketches what we mean by a<br />

‘National Research <strong>and</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong> System’:<br />

namely, all the actors <strong>and</strong> activities in the<br />

economy which are necessary for industrial<br />

<strong>and</strong> commercial innovation to take place<br />

<strong>and</strong> to lead to economic development.<br />

The current orthodoxy is that economic<br />

well-being is founded on a well-functioning<br />

NRIS, in which not only the actors shown in<br />

Exhibit 4, but also the links between them,<br />

perform well. In contrast to earlier views,<br />

which focused on entrepreneurs as individual<br />

heroes, innovation <strong>and</strong> learning are<br />

now seen more as network or collective<br />

activities.<br />

We can underst<strong>and</strong> systems of research <strong>and</strong><br />

innovation in much the same way as we<br />

underst<strong>and</strong> sub-atomic physics: not by<br />

observing the whole system at once, but by<br />

looking at individual pieces <strong>and</strong> – through a<br />

mixture of experiment <strong>and</strong> conjecture – figuring<br />

out how they relate to each other.<br />

Evaluation does not get easier as we move<br />

from the project <strong>and</strong> programme levels<br />

towards considering sub-systems <strong>and</strong> systems.<br />

The scale <strong>and</strong> complexity of the phenomena<br />

mean that we often cannot treat<br />

them in as much detail as is possible when<br />

we operate at a smaller scale. Tactics for<br />

dealing with this include using methods to<br />

reach judgements at rather aggregated<br />

levels (such as modified peer review of programme<br />

portfolios) <strong>and</strong> increased, explicit<br />

use of theory <strong>and</strong> best practice as benchmarks<br />

against which to judge performance.<br />

We can use theory <strong>and</strong> experience-based<br />

ceteris paribus assumptions to hold constant<br />

certain system characteristics while successively<br />

investigating sub-systems. Evaluation,<br />

like the policy making process, becomes<br />

increasingly evolutionary, no longer seeking<br />

an overall optimum. (To think in optimisation<br />

terms remains more useful at the project/programme<br />

levels.)<br />

Evaluation therefore becomes in a certain<br />

sense less rigorous (because it is less complete)<br />

as we move to higher levels in the<br />

innovation system. This means we must build<br />

evaluation systems <strong>and</strong> frameworks that can<br />

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Measuring ‘relative effectiveness’ – Can we compare innovation policy instruments<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

Exhibit 4 ><br />

Major Components of a National Research <strong>and</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong> System<br />

Dem<strong>and</strong><br />

Consumers (final dem<strong>and</strong>)<br />

Producers (intermediate dem<strong>and</strong>)<br />

➐<br />

➐<br />

Framework Conditions<br />

Financial environment; taxation <strong>and</strong> incentives;<br />

propensity to innovation <strong>and</strong> entrepreneurship; mobility<br />

➐<br />

❷<br />

Industrial System<br />

❷<br />

Education<br />

<strong>and</strong> Research System<br />

Political System<br />

Large companies<br />

➐<br />

Mature SMEs<br />

➐<br />

❷<br />

New,<br />

technology-based firms<br />

➛<br />

➛❿<br />

➛<br />

Intermediaries<br />

Research institutes;<br />

Brokers<br />

❿<br />

➛❿<br />

❿<br />

Professional education,<br />

training<br />

Higher education<br />

<strong>and</strong> research<br />

Public sector research<br />

➛<br />

➛<br />

Government<br />

Governance<br />

RTD policies<br />

➐<br />

➐<br />

❷<br />

Banking,<br />

venture capital<br />

IPR<br />

<strong>and</strong> information<br />

Infrastructure<br />

Information <strong>and</strong><br />

business report<br />

❷<br />

St<strong>and</strong>ards<br />

<strong>and</strong> norms<br />

Source: Erik Arnold <strong>and</strong> Stefan Kuhlman<br />

15<br />

Franco Malerba<br />

‘Public policy <strong>and</strong><br />

industrial dynamics:<br />

An evolutionary perspective,’<br />

in Charles<br />

Edqvist (ed), Systems<br />

of <strong>Innovation</strong>:<br />

Technologies,<br />

Institutions <strong>and</strong><br />

Organisations,<br />

London: Cassel, 1997<br />

16<br />

Smith, Ibid<br />

17<br />

Johan Hauknes <strong>and</strong><br />

Lennart Norgren,<br />

Economic Rationales<br />

of Government<br />

Intervention in<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Supply of <strong>Innovation</strong>-<br />

Related services,<br />

STEP Report 08 1999,<br />

Oslo: STEP Group,<br />

downloadable from<br />

www.step.no<br />

operate with an imperfect evidence base <strong>and</strong><br />

which therefore involve a mixture of systemic<br />

<strong>and</strong> micro evaluation. Micro work is done<br />

sometimes to follow up issues identified at<br />

the systems level but often still to provide the<br />

traditional benefits of such evaluation: learning;<br />

accountability; quality control.<br />

As Exhibit 5 illustrates, changing the focus<br />

from lower to higher levels of aggregation in<br />

the innovation system implies a shift in the<br />

types of methods that are appropriate. While<br />

traditional, quality-oriented peer review evaluation<br />

remains extremely important at the<br />

level of projects, this methods needs increasing<br />

modification for use at higher levels. As<br />

higher levels of aggregation, the notion of<br />

‘peer review’ in a strict sense breaks down.<br />

‘Peers’ are peers in the sense that they are the<br />

scientific equals of those whose work they<br />

judge. At the programme level <strong>and</strong> above, it<br />

would probably be more correct to speak of<br />

‘expert review’ by people who qualify as<br />

‘peers’ on the project level. Equally, at high<br />

system levels, less <strong>and</strong> less of the evaluation<br />

problem is amenable to expert or peer judgement.<br />

There is a corresponding increase in<br />

the relative importance of socio-economic<br />

methods at higher system levels.<br />

At all levels, the job of evaluation is to ask<br />

1. Are we doing the right thing<br />

(appropriateness)<br />

2. What are the results of our action<br />

(impacts)<br />

3. Could we do it better (effectiveness)<br />

As we move up the systems hierarchy, too,<br />

so the balance among the traditional<br />

evaluation questions shifts. To some<br />

degree, good evaluations tend always to<br />

question assumptions made at higher<br />

policy levels. That is, they raise issues about<br />

appropriateness. However, at lower system<br />

levels, evaluations tend to deal with<br />

actions which implement policies, <strong>and</strong><br />

therefore to place more effort on impacts<br />

<strong>and</strong> effectiveness than on the more fundamental<br />

question of appropriateness. For<br />

example, an evaluation of a mechanical<br />

engineering R&D programme is more likely<br />

to find that there are gaps in the population<br />

of users served than to challenge the<br />

principle that such a programme is needed.<br />

Evaluation at higher system levels is more<br />

likely to produce a challenge to policy,<br />

because the evaluators have to analyse<br />

some of the same systemic problems as<br />

policy makers. For example, an evaluation<br />

of a research council can rapidly lead to<br />

questioning of national research policy.<br />

What, then, are the roles of evaluation in a<br />

complex systems policy world We see<br />

broadly three: support to the policy making<br />

97


Measuring ‘relative effectiveness’ – Can we compare innovation policy instruments<br />

Exhibit 5 ><br />

Appropriate Evaluation Methods at Different System Levels<br />

System<br />

Portfolio<br />

Programme<br />

Project<br />

Peer review<br />

<strong>and</strong> modified<br />

peer review<br />

Socio-economic methods<br />

* Scientometrics<br />

* Surveys<br />

* Case studies<br />

* Micro- <strong>and</strong> macro-economics<br />

* Comparative study, best practice analysis<br />

* Growing use of non-R&D specific methods, eg cluster analysis<br />

Balance of Appropriate Methods<br />

process; quality assurance; <strong>and</strong> providing<br />

accountability.<br />

Support to the policy making process<br />

involves different types of bottleneck<br />

analysis<br />

• One relates to new <strong>and</strong> existing NIS<br />

performance indicators, which provide<br />

policy puzzles. For example, ‘If we are<br />

spending more on R&D than any other<br />

country in the world, why is our GDP per<br />

person declining’<br />

• A second involves responding to more ad<br />

hoc policy problems. ‘The research community<br />

seems unhappy with the way we<br />

organise research funding. Should we<br />

reform the funding institutions’ Other<br />

examples would be include evaluations of<br />

- Networks: industrial clusters or districts,<br />

university-industry relations, the role of<br />

research institutes in the NIS<br />

- Framework conditions: the effects of tax<br />

law on research funding, intellectual<br />

property rights <strong>and</strong> innovation<br />

• The third is routine review of sub-systems<br />

of the NIS, such as evaluations of<br />

- Institutions: research councils, technology<br />

development agencies, universities,<br />

research institutes, technology-transfer<br />

organisations, change agencies<br />

- Areas of knowledge: national positions<br />

in various basic sciences <strong>and</strong> developing<br />

technologies<br />

It is clear from these examples that, at the<br />

systems level, the act of evaluation converges<br />

><br />

with the provision of the evidence base<br />

needed for policy making. (Evaluative activities<br />

at this level deal with specific institutions,<br />

fields, etc in a specific time <strong>and</strong> place.<br />

In parallel, research goes on to provide general<br />

evidence upon which to base policymaking.<br />

Inevitably, the categories overlap.)<br />

Quality assurance <strong>and</strong> accountability are<br />

partly supported by these systemic types of<br />

evaluation. But the fact that these higherlevel<br />

questions are tackled does not abolish<br />

the need for more ‘routine’ forms of evaluation<br />

at portfolio, programme <strong>and</strong> projects<br />

levels. Regular evaluation (<strong>and</strong> meta-evaluation)<br />

at these levels not only supports their<br />

operation but also provides a stream of inputs<br />

into higher-level policy making <strong>and</strong> the generation<br />

of systems-level evaluation questions.<br />

CONCLUSIONS<br />

A number of important conclusions follow<br />

from the theoretical shift <strong>and</strong> the practice<br />

described in this paper.<br />

• Even though they may be attainable in<br />

theory, accurate, scientifically defensible<br />

impact assessments of innovation policy<br />

instruments seem to be beyond our reach<br />

• It follows from this that comparisons<br />

among attempted assessments are likely to<br />

be misleading<br />

• If we accept the NRIS view of non-substitutability<br />

of instruments, then comparisons<br />

will not in any case help much. The<br />

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Measuring ‘relative effectiveness’ – Can we compare innovation policy instruments<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

natural policy implication of a comparison<br />

of rates of return to different instruments<br />

is that the state should invest where the<br />

return is highest. In the NRIS view, this is<br />

about as sensible as trying to drive faster<br />

by throwing away your car <strong>and</strong> buying a<br />

bigger engine<br />

• If we introduce sustainability as an additional<br />

impact criterion for innovation<br />

policy, we need to widen our current concept<br />

of the innovation system. This would<br />

mean for instance adding other framework<br />

conditions (e.g. environmental regulation)<br />

<strong>and</strong> organisations in the pictuce.<br />

Underst<strong>and</strong>ing this wider complexity is<br />

a joint challenge for innovation <strong>and</strong><br />

environemental policy analysts.<br />

We conclude that the economics-inspired<br />

desire to optimise based on rates of return<br />

has to be given up. Rather, in the NRIS view,<br />

we can take our inspiration from manufacturing<br />

engineering. We are all familiar with<br />

the idea of kan-ban, or ‘just in time’ manufacturing.<br />

Generally, we think of this as a<br />

way to substitute information <strong>and</strong> logistics<br />

for stock. Reducing stocks reduces work-inprogress<br />

capital requirements <strong>and</strong> thereby<br />

saves production cost. But the most<br />

interesting aspect of kan-ban is not stock<br />

reduction. It is the fact that reducing stock<br />

stresses the production system, exposing<br />

weaknesses <strong>and</strong> bottlenecks. This tells you<br />

where to direct engineering effort. Having<br />

cleared one bottleneck, you take away more<br />

stock <strong>and</strong> look for the next. In this way, the<br />

productive system itself guides the engineering<br />

interventions. Combined with creative<br />

use of the intelligence of those who<br />

work in the production system, we attain a<br />

process of continuous improvement, or kaizen.<br />

None of this removes the opportunity<br />

or need for occasional radical innovations<br />

<strong>and</strong> restructuring, though these are typically<br />

followed by more normal periods of<br />

renewed incremental improvement. What<br />

the manufacturing engineering analogy<br />

offers us, however, is a vision of the way we<br />

can work in piecemeal ways to improve the<br />

NRIS, without needing complete knowledge<br />

or falling into the trap of imagining that we<br />

can plan everything.<br />

99


100


Part 3<br />

COUNTRY CASES<br />

The following country case studies demonstrate<br />

the wide variety of initiatives that are<br />

developed to stimulate innovation for environmental<br />

sustainability, depending on different<br />

development paths <strong>and</strong> different<br />

institutional settings. They illustrate the<br />

importance of a broad range of (complementary)<br />

options in the achievement of the<br />

overall goal.<br />

The Danish study by Jesper Holm et al refers<br />

to evidence from sector specific case studies<br />

on development of new institutional practices<br />

<strong>and</strong> capacity building <strong>and</strong> the development<br />

of green products on the basis of the<br />

win-win philosophy of the predominant<br />

model of ‘ecological modernisation’. It was<br />

possible to start to integrate environmental<br />

<strong>and</strong> business development policies <strong>and</strong> to<br />

create an interactive ‘green’ responsiveness<br />

from business to new regulations <strong>and</strong> programmes<br />

starting from a company focussed<br />

policy view. The success of these reflective<br />

learning processes is based on the interfacing<br />

of different actors <strong>and</strong> the presence of a<br />

social component that enhances the change<br />

in business behaviour.<br />

The Dutch EET programme, presented by<br />

Corine van As <strong>and</strong> René Wismeyer, is an<br />

example of a mission-oriented approach,<br />

coordinating the efforts of three Ministries.<br />

It aims to stimulate breakthroughs in<br />

themes put forward by government to<br />

achieve sustainable development. The latest<br />

version stresses the transition to sustainability<br />

by systemic innovation as the distinctive<br />

objective of funding.<br />

In contrast, the new programme of stimulation<br />

of sustainable environmental technology<br />

development in Fl<strong>and</strong>ers, presented by Paul<br />

Zeeuwts, is an example of a bottom-up<br />

approach, linked to generic technology <strong>and</strong><br />

innovation funding programmes. The aim is<br />

to stimulate a shift in innovation behaviour<br />

towards more environmental benefits in all<br />

projects, by selectivity <strong>and</strong> financial incentives.<br />

The paper by Hans-Guenther Schwarz gives<br />

an account of the Austrian programme on<br />

Technologies for <strong>Sustainable</strong> development,<br />

in particular the two thematic sub-programmes<br />

on the House <strong>and</strong> the Factory of<br />

Tomorrow. They are not limited to technology<br />

development but include the necessary<br />

complements of demonstration projects <strong>and</strong><br />

knowledge dissemination. The integration<br />

of multiple goals <strong>and</strong> multiple types of innovation<br />

is a characteristic of the programme<br />

design. As in the other cases evaluation<br />

therefore is a rather complex issue.<br />

101<br />

3


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<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

GREEN INNOVATION<br />

BETWEEN CORPORATE REFLEXIVITY AND SECTOR INTEGRATED<br />

ENVIRONMENT & TECHNOLOGY POLICIES<br />

JESPER HOLM,<br />

OLE ERIK HANSEN<br />

AND<br />

BENT SØNDERGÅRD.<br />

Department of Technology, Environment <strong>and</strong> Social Studies,<br />

www.teksam.ruc.dk, Roskilde University<br />

Jesper Holm is an Associate Professor in<br />

Environmental regulation at the dep. of<br />

Environment, Technology <strong>and</strong> Social Studies,<br />

Roskilde University Denmark. He has done<br />

international research in the impacts on<br />

markets <strong>and</strong> business from environmental<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> political strategies. Secondly he<br />

has given focus to issues of democracy <strong>and</strong><br />

the environment.<br />

103


Between corporate reflexivity <strong>and</strong> sector integrated<br />

environment & technology policies<br />

><br />

1<br />

The dogma or story<br />

line of ecological<br />

modernisation is, in<br />

short, that current<br />

industrial societies<br />

may be guided,<br />

through the prevailing<br />

institutions of markets,<br />

politics <strong>and</strong> cultures,<br />

towards reconciliation<br />

with nature in<br />

a sum plus game<br />

(Hajer 1995, Gouldson<br />

& Murphy 1997).<br />

2<br />

The paper summarises<br />

the Danish results<br />

from an international<br />

two-year study of<br />

policy stimuli <strong>and</strong><br />

environmental innovation<br />

The study<br />

Towards an<br />

Integration of<br />

Environmental <strong>and</strong><br />

Ecology-oriented<br />

Technology <strong>Policy</strong>.<br />

Stimulus <strong>and</strong><br />

Response in<br />

Environment Related<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> Networks<br />

(ENV1NNO) was funded<br />

by the Target<br />

Socio-Economic<br />

Research Pro-gramme,<br />

EU. The project includes<br />

partners from<br />

Austria, Spain,<br />

Germany, the<br />

Netherl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>and</strong> UK<br />

1. INTRODUCTION<br />

An ecological modernisation effort has characterised<br />

environmental policy in many northern<br />

European states since beginning of the 90’ties.<br />

Ecological modernisation is a current belief<br />

system among institutions in the industrialliberal<br />

world, holding that economic development<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental protection are<br />

compatible, <strong>and</strong> focuses on the positive role<br />

of green corporate managers <strong>and</strong> consumers.<br />

Environmental corporate management<br />

regimes, cleaner technology programmes,<br />

<strong>and</strong> institutional greening may be<br />

seen as some of the core elements in this<br />

dominant discourse. 1<br />

The targeting of corporate behaviour in ecomodernistic<br />

environmental policy schemes<br />

has often stimulated <strong>and</strong> rested upon environmental<br />

policy co-ordination with business-<br />

<strong>and</strong> technology policy. Subsequent<br />

institutional transitions following these attempts<br />

have sought to promote eco-modernisation<br />

by enhancing <strong>and</strong> stabilising environmental<br />

communication on the market, in<br />

business chains etc.<br />

It is obvious that the environmental-technological<br />

outcomes from the corporate<br />

focus in eco-modernistic efforts differs<br />

from the perhaps more promising outcomes<br />

from the radical belief systems such<br />

as structural change, industrial transition or<br />

strategies of dematerialization like Factor<br />

10. But eco-modernistic market, institutional<br />

<strong>and</strong> management focus is still predominant,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the general political focal<br />

point of the sovereignty of the single firm<br />

is ever growing. Thus, it is important to<br />

recognise the actual outcomes <strong>and</strong> restrictions<br />

from these company-focused efforts,<br />

<strong>and</strong> to address what may be learned<br />

regarding policy options.<br />

><br />

The paper takes up the issue by looking at<br />

failures <strong>and</strong> successes in a rather advanced<br />

eco-modernistic policy milieu - Danish experiences<br />

at policy (macro), sector-institutional<br />

(meso)<strong>and</strong> corporate (micro) levels. Thus it<br />

might serve as an extreme case exploring<br />

options <strong>and</strong> thresholds for green innovations<br />

by eco-modernistic approaches, in<br />

countries with a liberal democracy, polycentric<br />

network culture, a fair amount of<br />

SME´s <strong>and</strong> a mixed economy. At the policy<br />

level we have analysed how the macro-policy<br />

frameworks conditions- co-ordination<br />

<strong>and</strong> discursive integration between environmental<br />

<strong>and</strong> business/technology policy in<br />

general <strong>and</strong> related to selected manufacturing<br />

sectors. At a sector level we have<br />

analysed the institutional milieu for industries,<br />

environmental competencies, perceptions<br />

<strong>and</strong> communication within R&D units,<br />

trade organisations, municipal administrations<br />

etc. Lastly, at the corporate level we<br />

have studied the interactive responses to the<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> institutional outputs among<br />

selected industries embedded in various networks.<br />

Attention has been paid to identification<br />

of the institutional development,<br />

business responses <strong>and</strong> shifts in environmental<br />

perceptions <strong>and</strong> performances. 2.<br />

The paper examines how the general sector-integrated<br />

environmental policy <strong>and</strong><br />

the targeted policy programmes have<br />

installed specific institutional <strong>and</strong> discursive<br />

formations within four industries: textile,<br />

electronics, food <strong>and</strong> construction. In a<br />

dynamic perspective we look at how systemic<br />

competencies <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

perceptions are reproduced <strong>and</strong> produced<br />

within the industries, resulting in a selective<br />

milieu that favours specific paths of<br />

technology development. These processes<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental performance are studied<br />

using a bottom-up approach exploring the<br />

interpretative responses to environmental<br />

<strong>and</strong> technological policy programmes<br />

among firms <strong>and</strong> network stakeholders.<br />

2. THE GENERAL POLICY FRAMEWORK<br />

FOR CORPORATE ENVIRONMENTAL<br />

INNOVATION – THE INTERLINKAGE<br />

BETWEEN ENVIRONMENTAL POLICY<br />

(EP) AND TECHNOLOGY POLICY (TP)<br />

If we take a rough look at how the interlinkage<br />

or crossover between Environmental<br />

<strong>Policy</strong> (EP) <strong>and</strong> Technology <strong>Policy</strong> (TP) has<br />

developed in Denmark we may conclude the<br />

following stages:<br />

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1972-84:Consensus oriented building of<br />

guiding environmental st<strong>and</strong>ards in close<br />

consultation with Danish industrial trades,<br />

balancing environmental requirements to<br />

available purification <strong>and</strong> dilution techniques.<br />

Subvention schemes were launched<br />

for the industries having difficulties in complying<br />

with purification dem<strong>and</strong>s. The period<br />

was characterised by no specific technological<br />

innovation focus <strong>and</strong> no specific EP focus<br />

in the emerging TP. An exemption though<br />

was a subsidy scheme from 1981 for investments<br />

in renewable energy technologies.<br />

1985-91:Technology pushes by strategic coorientation<br />

of TP <strong>and</strong> EP. Improving the technological<br />

capacity options among Danish subcontractors<br />

to public <strong>and</strong> private purification<br />

infrastructure, balanced by increasing<br />

dem<strong>and</strong>s to environmental protection.<br />

Strategic environmental modernisation by<br />

stressing the competitive advantages that<br />

might emerge from a Danish environmental<br />

front running. Research <strong>and</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />

(R&D) in TP programs in environmental oriented<br />

topics. R&D EP programs in cleaner<br />

technology <strong>and</strong> recycling related to processes<br />

<strong>and</strong> waste. A new risk- <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

oriented concern in TP was launched with the<br />

1986 act on Environment <strong>and</strong> Genetic<br />

Engineering, which b<strong>and</strong>ed all experiments<br />

with genetically modified organisms (GMO)<br />

unless they were given a dispensation.<br />

1992-2000: An institutionalisation of<br />

technology orientation of EP in acts <strong>and</strong><br />

orders occurred. Strategic systems export<br />

became a new orientation for the support of<br />

developing Danish environmental infrastructure,<br />

institutionalised in various aid<br />

programs under both ministries. New R&D<br />

programs were started in cleaner technology<br />

changes towards environmental management<br />

(EMAS), technology diffusion <strong>and</strong><br />

design support for cleaner products.<br />

Enhanced green public procurement <strong>and</strong><br />

market pull policies were given priority.<br />

Finally new TP <strong>and</strong> EP schemes for creating<br />

new green jobs have been initiated at the<br />

end of the period. There have been developed<br />

a general discursive environmental coorientation<br />

of TP, but only very few specific<br />

strategic initiatives have been launched.<br />

Enhanced administrative co-ordination since<br />

1998. Currently, June 2002 a new liberalconservative<br />

government has made a radical<br />

restructuring effort on environmental policy,<br />

including cuts in cleaner product <strong>and</strong><br />

process subsidies, deregulation <strong>and</strong><br />

enhanced voluntary policies. The results in<br />

the public sphere <strong>and</strong> on the market are not<br />

yet foreseeable but even more stress are put<br />

to the eco-modernistic belief in corporate<br />

self-determination <strong>and</strong> green markets.<br />

The integration between EP <strong>and</strong> TP has<br />

developed in an institutional framework<br />

with the following characteristics:<br />

• Denmark has up until end of 2001 a relatively<br />

strong Ministry of the Environment <strong>and</strong><br />

Energy (MEE). The ministry has managed to<br />

establish an eco modernistic discourse as a<br />

part of the general policy of the government.<br />

Strategies <strong>and</strong> support schemes for<br />

cleaner technologies have become a part of<br />

the Ministry’s competence. The Ministry has<br />

established <strong>and</strong> has been involved in policy<br />

networks with branch organisations, private<br />

firms <strong>and</strong> other actors in order to influence<br />

the technology <strong>and</strong> business policies.<br />

Furthermore, the Ministry has had many programmes<br />

focusing on the development <strong>and</strong><br />

diffusion of technology. Thereby the Ministry<br />

has been an important actor in the development<br />

of the technological infrastructure.<br />

• The Ministry of Business <strong>and</strong> Industry (MBI)<br />

has also in recent years become a strong<br />

Ministry <strong>and</strong> business related research <strong>and</strong><br />

technology policy is a part of the Ministry’s<br />

competence area. Business policy <strong>and</strong> technology<br />

policies have been consensus oriented<br />

<strong>and</strong> branch organisations <strong>and</strong> private<br />

firms have played an important role<br />

in the formulation of new policies.<br />

• The technological infrastructure is an important<br />

result of the consensus-oriented business<br />

<strong>and</strong> technology policy. This infrastructure combines<br />

consultative work <strong>and</strong> business related<br />

technology research financed by the<br />

Government. A big part of the money used for<br />

integrated EP <strong>and</strong> TP efforts is canalised<br />

through the infrastructure or is used to develop<br />

the basic competencies in the local R&D units.<br />

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• There is a vertical division of labour<br />

between the state level, the county level<br />

<strong>and</strong> the municipals. Counties <strong>and</strong> municipalities<br />

have a big part of the responsibility for<br />

the implementation of as well EP <strong>and</strong> TP.<br />

Therefore, there can be big regional variations<br />

according to the degree to which local<br />

authorities trie to make for example cleaner<br />

technologies an important part of the regulation.<br />

Likewise, there have been established<br />

regional Technological Information<br />

Centres in order to support the development,<br />

adaptation <strong>and</strong> diffusion of new<br />

technologies especially in SME’s. Also<br />

business policy institutions are established<br />

on the local or regional level in order<br />

to attract enterprises or in order to<br />

strengthen networking in the local business<br />

community.<br />

These institutional characteristics mean<br />

that there are different arenas for the<br />

interaction between TP <strong>and</strong> EP. At the<br />

governmental level both the MEE <strong>and</strong> the<br />

MBI have tried to integrate environment<br />

<strong>and</strong> technology from different perspectives.<br />

Both ministries have emphasised that it is<br />

not a hostile relation. At some occasions<br />

from the end-eighties the ministries have<br />

formulated a common strategy <strong>and</strong> they<br />

have administered programmes for the<br />

development of environmentally friendly<br />

technologies in collaboration. But most of<br />

the technology oriented EP activities have<br />

been administered by the MEE, whereas the<br />

environment oriented TP elements has been<br />

administered by the MBI.<br />

It is important to notice that EP is a<br />

rather strong policy area while TP must<br />

be seen as a weak area. In recent years,<br />

the development of new smart technologies<br />

<strong>and</strong> new materials has been seen<br />

as the cornerstone in the development<br />

of a more environmentally friendly <strong>and</strong><br />

sustainable production. On the other, technology<br />

policy is traditionally a weak area<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental concern is normally not<br />

understood, as an important element of TP.<br />

The technological capability to enhance<br />

competitiveness has been the important<br />

part of TP.<br />

><br />

3. CASE STUDY APPROACH<br />

The object of our case studies has been to<br />

examine how the transition of the environmental<br />

regulation have induced corporate<br />

reflection in the Danish bakery, textile finishing,<br />

electro plating <strong>and</strong> insulation industry.<br />

The aim has been to analyse the content of<br />

this transition, focusing on how new institutional<br />

structures <strong>and</strong> environmental perceptions<br />

have developed within the industry <strong>and</strong><br />

how they have been interpreted <strong>and</strong> influenced<br />

the environmental activities at the<br />

manufacturing level. The analytic endeavour<br />

does have a normative motive - the process is<br />

observed <strong>and</strong> analysed with the aim to assess<br />

<strong>and</strong> develop a better underst<strong>and</strong>ing of which<br />

policy options we can have in relation to the<br />

development of environmentally more<br />

friendly production schemes<br />

The interface between policy programs <strong>and</strong><br />

the enterprises in the industry is at the centre<br />

of the analysis. On the one h<strong>and</strong> the<br />

cases raises the question, how policy programs<br />

are communicated to the enterprises<br />

<strong>and</strong> how they may succeed to install ecological<br />

modernisation <strong>and</strong> innovative<br />

responses in the industry. On the other<br />

h<strong>and</strong> the cases raise the question, how<br />

these stimuli (changed institutional framework<br />

<strong>and</strong> communicated perceptions of<br />

environment) have been reflected <strong>and</strong><br />

interpreted by the enterprises within their<br />

strategic scheme The basic tenet of the<br />

case studies is that the study of the<br />

processes of interaction, studied as institutional<br />

<strong>and</strong> enterprise practices, are vital to<br />

develop the means of profound environmental<br />

transition of the industrial production.<br />

To obtain this, we have integrated two<br />

lines of analysis; an analysis of the institutional<br />

development concerning the environmental<br />

transition of the industry sectors,<br />

<strong>and</strong> an analysis of the processes at the<br />

enterprises reflecting the changes in their<br />

milieu. The case studies have focused on a<br />

meso level within the institutional regulatory<br />

complex of Danish textile, insulation,<br />

bakery <strong>and</strong> electro plating industries: how<br />

the policy programs have supported specific<br />

institutional <strong>and</strong> discursive formations, <strong>and</strong> (in<br />

a dynamic perspective) how systemic compe-<br />

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><br />

tencies <strong>and</strong> environmental perception have<br />

been produced. Here a profound number of<br />

varying constellations of R&D institutions,<br />

trade associations, labour unions, green<br />

NGO´s etc. has been examined in order to<br />

identify main drivers <strong>and</strong> their success in institutionalising<br />

their preferences in a certain eco<br />

modernistic development.The aim has been<br />

to specify the resulting selective milieu that<br />

favours specific paths of technology development<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental actions. At a micro<br />

level the impacts of this conditioning milieu is<br />

studied from a bottom-up perspective:<br />

Exploring how firms in networks reflect upon,<br />

interpret <strong>and</strong> perform technology in response<br />

to the environmental policy programmes.<br />

4. CASE SELECTIONS<br />

The point of departure for the selection of<br />

case studies was:<br />

1. There had to be inputs from the policy side,<br />

<strong>and</strong> there had to be some form of crossover<br />

between Environmental <strong>Policy</strong> (EP) <strong>and</strong><br />

Environmental Technology <strong>Policy</strong> (ETP).<br />

2. In four cases an environmentally innovative<br />

output (technological, network) had to be at<br />

h<strong>and</strong>, whereas one case had to be a failure.<br />

3. The focus was on the end users, not on the<br />

inventors of new process-technology for<br />

purchasing.<br />

Although it is not possible to make statistical<br />

generalisations from five case studies, we<br />

decided that in order to cover different<br />

aspects of EP/ETP crossover it was important<br />

to have a large degree of variation in our<br />

cases on the input side, the output side <strong>and</strong><br />

the mediation. Furthermore, it was important<br />

to select cases from branches of industry<br />

that are important part of the production<br />

<strong>and</strong> consumption structure or have a<br />

considerable amount of environmental<br />

impact. The criteria resulted in five case<br />

studies in four branches of industry (construction,<br />

food, textile <strong>and</strong> electronics). We<br />

chose to make some kind of direct comparison<br />

of a failure innovation <strong>and</strong> a success<br />

innovation in the textile industry.<br />

The textile industry is relatively important in<br />

Denmark, there has been several integrated<br />

EP/ETP programmes addressing the industry,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the industry’s environmental impact is<br />

well known, <strong>and</strong> there is a national user-producer<br />

network linked to international production<br />

facilities. Our aim was to examine<br />

Figure 1 ><br />

Case Study Characteristics<br />

COMPANY<br />

RETAIL CHAIN, BAKERY<br />

Kvickly/Superbrugsen<br />

All products in bakeries turned<br />

into organic<br />

Eco-labelling, R&D subvention<br />

TEXTILE:<br />

Soedahl Design<br />

Heavy metal- <strong>and</strong> toxic substance<br />

free colouring<br />

R&D programs in EP, rules,<br />

TP competence schemes<br />

Trade discussions, local<br />

enforcement of EP, NGO<br />

DTI, textile R&D units,<br />

regulatory<br />

TEXTILE:<br />

Danish Colour Design<br />

New no-low VOC containing<br />

paints<br />

R&D subvention programs,<br />

working health regulation<br />

Pressure from unions, local<br />

enforcement of rules<br />

DTI, business, trade organisation,<br />

regulatory<br />

Change<br />

EP/ETP policies<br />

Mediation<br />

Public debates, GMO discourses<br />

Networks<br />

Supplier networks, green NGO´s<br />

Impacts<br />

COMPANY<br />

Changed not only products of<br />

72 shops but the whole market<br />

ELECTROPLATING<br />

Printline<br />

Lowered emittants,<br />

new market profiles<br />

New network constructions<br />

CONSTRUCTION:<br />

Dansk Naturisolering<br />

Lower emission of VOC´s,<br />

improved working conditions,<br />

new technology path, cost gains,<br />

new st<strong>and</strong>ards<br />

Change<br />

EP/ETP policies<br />

Mediation<br />

Networks<br />

Impacts<br />

Finishing: Closed loop, ion-exchange<br />

R&D programs in EP, rules, regional ambient<br />

water quality plans, voluntary regulation<br />

Local enforcement, trade consultancy<br />

R&D from TP policies, trade, consultancies<br />

Reduced emissions of heavy metals from waste<br />

water, reduced water consumption<br />

Environmental monitoring (product development)<br />

Innovator TP programs, subvention of R&D<br />

Network (Center contracts)<br />

Co-operation, marked driven. Pressure from unions<br />

Research institutions, unions<br />

<strong>Development</strong> of environmental technologies<br />

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how the same regulatory <strong>and</strong> institutional<br />

frame produced different innovative outputs.<br />

Likewise, the construction industry has<br />

a national network, very important environmental<br />

impacts <strong>and</strong> there have been different<br />

kinds of environmental oriented technology<br />

programmes addressing the industry.<br />

Furthermore, the industry is characterised<br />

with an institutional framework making<br />

shifts in technological paths very difficult. An<br />

important aspect of the environmentally oriented<br />

development of the industry is the<br />

social movement for ecological housing. The<br />

food industry is also characterised by a<br />

national network <strong>and</strong> the importance of a<br />

social movement for organic food. In this<br />

case, however, the eco-labelling scheme has<br />

framed the industry <strong>and</strong> supported the production<br />

of organic food. The fourth industry,<br />

electronics, is in many aspects different from<br />

the others. There have not been specific programmes<br />

targeting the industry, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Danish production is linked to an international<br />

production chain setting the st<strong>and</strong>ards<br />

for as well product <strong>and</strong> production technologies.<br />

Therefore, this case is very important<br />

because it demonstrate some of the linkages<br />

between national policies focusing on the<br />

implementation of new technology paths in<br />

industries fully dependent of their ability to<br />

comply with international st<strong>and</strong>ards.<br />

The selection of companies, the focal innovations,<br />

the relevant ETP/EP policies, the mediators,<br />

the network <strong>and</strong> the impact analysed<br />

is summarised in figure 1. We presumed that<br />

the way policies may cause impacts on corporate<br />

behaviour are varying a lot, depending<br />

on both the input side, the side of the<br />

respondents <strong>and</strong> their form of mediation.<br />

Whereas others may focus on the type of<br />

firms or polices as dependent variables we<br />

tended to focus on the institutional, discursive<br />

<strong>and</strong> regulatory dynamics in the relationships<br />

between market <strong>and</strong> state. Therefore,<br />

we focused on the following points in the<br />

five case studies:<br />

1. How was the crossover between EP/ETP<br />

communicated Institutionally (service,<br />

R&D), discursively, rules, rules enforcement,<br />

funds <strong>and</strong> aid schemes.<br />

><br />

2. Within the case: which were the main<br />

institutions, organisations <strong>and</strong> networks<br />

that used <strong>and</strong> interpreted the EP/ETP communication<br />

3. How were the rules <strong>and</strong> the EP/ETP communication<br />

interpreted by case-companies<br />

<strong>and</strong> their regulatory, R&D, <strong>and</strong> business<br />

networks<br />

4. How were these inputs influencing the<br />

technological innovations that were at<br />

stake within the companies<br />

5. Did the EP/ETP inputs have any innovative<br />

impacts on the constellation of actors<br />

within the firm’s networks<br />

6. What kind of innovations in relation to<br />

the ambitions of the EP/ETP policies, mediation<br />

forms <strong>and</strong> corporate conditions<br />

were the result of the innovation process.<br />

In our opinion this focusing of the analyses<br />

has made it possible to come up with some<br />

results of general importance according the<br />

communication <strong>and</strong> the institutionalisation<br />

of the EP <strong>and</strong> the ETP. Additionally the consequences<br />

for the specific configuration of<br />

networks surrounding the innovations, the<br />

radicality of the innovations from a technological<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental point of view,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the grade of success <strong>and</strong> failure.<br />

5. EP-TP POLICY AND REGULATION AND<br />

CORPORATE RESPONSES: FINDINGS<br />

In our perspective the institutional learning<br />

process within the Danish industries have<br />

shown a green responsiveness. This can be<br />

seen as an interplay between a national ecological<br />

modernisation strategy, a construction<br />

of policy programmes <strong>and</strong> institutions<br />

directed towards the industry <strong>and</strong> enterprises<br />

responding to the programmes by their own<br />

strategic interpretation of the programmes.<br />

This interaction has established a dynamic<br />

learning process with the construction of new<br />

actors, the establishing of a new technological<br />

selection environment, <strong>and</strong> the building of<br />

new competencies within the enterprises <strong>and</strong><br />

their network. We have identified two types<br />

of industrial responsiveness: the environmen-<br />

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tal learning of integrating environmental concern<br />

into management, <strong>and</strong> secondly the construction<br />

of new ecological or green products<br />

as a respond to general eco-discourses <strong>and</strong><br />

ecological movements<br />

The incremental learners<br />

Within the environmental regulation of the<br />

textile industry a wastewater track of development<br />

has been dominating, giving fewer<br />

impulses to other paths of development such<br />

as more radical substitution schemes <strong>and</strong> optimising<br />

material flow (reducing the materials<br />

suspended in waste water). Thus it was here<br />

we found our failure case, were the technological<br />

trajectory of a certain membrane technology<br />

filter was pushed as the solution.<br />

The targeted cleaner technology program<br />

within the textile industry, alternative insulation<br />

<strong>and</strong> Electro plating has produced<br />

knowledge resources concerning cleaner<br />

technologies. Technological options, that<br />

offer substantial reduction in the consumption<br />

of water, chemicals, heavy metals <strong>and</strong><br />

energy <strong>and</strong> reduces the discharge of suspended<br />

material in the waste water, is documented<br />

<strong>and</strong> is accessible in the environmental<br />

knowledge network.<br />

The implementation of the cleaner technology<br />

program within the industries has been<br />

based on a strategy program brought forward<br />

by the stakeholders in the industry <strong>and</strong><br />

the related network of knowledge institutions.<br />

This has focussed <strong>and</strong> strengthened<br />

the program, but it has also produced a closure<br />

in terms of actors involved <strong>and</strong> in terms<br />

of the environmental perception in the program<br />

<strong>and</strong> industry. The program has been<br />

technology oriented <strong>and</strong> focussed on wastewater,<br />

spills <strong>and</strong> single substances. However,<br />

the program has also conditioned a learning<br />

Figure 2 ><br />

EP stage characteristics <strong>and</strong> various impacts<br />

EP stages<br />

Permits<br />

1986-<br />

Cleaner Technology<br />

1991-<br />

Environmental<br />

Management<br />

systems 1995-<br />

Product oriented<br />

1997-<br />

Construction<br />

of actors<br />

Comm<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

control oriented<br />

regulators,<br />

reactive firms<br />

Closed corporate network<br />

of actors<br />

(Knowledge institutions,<br />

proactive branch<br />

organisation, proactive<br />

firms focusing on winwin<br />

technologies)<br />

Proactive firms with<br />

enhanced capacity to<br />

control the process<br />

operations<br />

Proactive firms actively<br />

trying to construct new<br />

markets for environmentally<br />

friendly products.<br />

Corporate institution<br />

focusing on eco-labelling,<br />

new stakeholders from for<br />

example retail industries<br />

Technology<br />

paths<br />

Reduction of over<br />

consumption,<br />

reuse of water,<br />

cleaning<br />

technologies<br />

Technology push –<br />

development of -<br />

winwin technologies<br />

combining cost reduction<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

improvements<br />

Environmental management<br />

systems,<br />

chain management<br />

<strong>and</strong> documentation<br />

of environmental<br />

performance<br />

Product <strong>and</strong> life cycle<br />

orientation<br />

Competencies<br />

in knowledge<br />

network<br />

Knowledge of<br />

wastewater <strong>and</strong><br />

hazardous chemicals<br />

in environmental<br />

agencies<br />

Construction of new<br />

technologies in knowledge<br />

institutions,<br />

capacity building in<br />

business network<br />

Supply chain management<br />

in business<br />

network<br />

Chain <strong>and</strong> market<br />

oriented, development<br />

of instruments for environmental<br />

documentation<br />

Competencies<br />

in firm<br />

Water reduction<br />

<strong>and</strong> reuse of<br />

water<br />

Lack of ownership to<br />

cleaner technologies,<br />

no focus on competence<br />

building<br />

Supply management<br />

system<br />

eco-labelling, ability to<br />

communicate <strong>and</strong> document<br />

environmental performance<br />

Strategic<br />

interpretation<br />

in firms<br />

Environmental<br />

action as cost<br />

Win-win perspective<br />

focusing on cost reduction,<br />

reactive response<br />

to public dem<strong>and</strong>s<br />

Competitive<br />

advantages related<br />

to environmental<br />

documentation <strong>and</strong><br />

‘green cotton’<br />

concept<br />

Win-win perspective<br />

focusing on new business<br />

opportunities environmentally<br />

friendly products<br />

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environment & technology policies<br />

process. New schemes on eco-management,<br />

eco-design <strong>and</strong> product development are<br />

currently being taken up within the industries.<br />

The environmental regulation <strong>and</strong> the<br />

resources produced in the cleaner technology<br />

programs highly influenced the way the<br />

enterprises have dealt with their environmental<br />

problems. It has influenced how they<br />

defined their problem, <strong>and</strong> it has influenced<br />

the solutions that were considered, it has<br />

influenced their decision to implement or<br />

not <strong>and</strong> it has greatly influenced their final<br />

choice of technologies.<br />

The textile <strong>and</strong> electronics industries have<br />

been object to a number of targeted programs<br />

<strong>and</strong> regulatory initiatives aimed at<br />

supporting an environmental upgrading of<br />

the industry. Parts of these programs have<br />

directly addressed the task to spur <strong>and</strong><br />

define an environmental innovative behaviour<br />

in the industry. Taken all together they<br />

have defined a changed playing field, which<br />

has influenced the pace <strong>and</strong> the direction of<br />

environmental innovations in the industry.<br />

The construction sector has kicked of later<br />

but resembles the development path in<br />

regulation <strong>and</strong> industry response.<br />

Consensus <strong>and</strong> close co-operation among<br />

the main actors in the textile, electronics<br />

<strong>and</strong> partly construction industry (the trade<br />

organisations, the knowledge institutions,<br />

DEPA, the municipalities <strong>and</strong> counties, <strong>and</strong><br />

national R&D institutions) have characterised<br />

the programs <strong>and</strong> regulatory initiatives<br />

within the industries. The fact, that the<br />

trade organisations have adopted a strategy<br />

of restructuring of the branch, which has<br />

included an environmental modernisation as<br />

a strategic option, has paved the way to<br />

environmental initiatives in the industry. In<br />

general, the programs <strong>and</strong> initiatives have<br />

benefited of this consensus <strong>and</strong> co-operation.<br />

It has contributed to the consistency in<br />

the programs <strong>and</strong> initiatives <strong>and</strong> has<br />

enabled concerted action on the framework<br />

program of cleaner technology, introduction<br />

of environmental management, the elaboration<br />

criteria to eco-labelling, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

product-oriented program.<br />

The outcome of the programs <strong>and</strong> initiatives<br />

has been a high environmental awareness<br />

in the industry. Environmental considerations<br />

are now integrated in the search<br />

<strong>and</strong> decision processes of the enterprises.<br />

Throughout the process a group of frontrunners<br />

has participated actively – <strong>and</strong><br />

have in this process developed their environmental<br />

perception, i.e. the problems<br />

addressed <strong>and</strong> the horizon of solution<br />

strategies. Adoption of technological solutions<br />

may have been limited, but they have<br />

participated in a collective learning<br />

process, in which they have moved from<br />

good housekeeping <strong>and</strong> substitution, to<br />

environmental management systems, to<br />

product oriented <strong>and</strong> to LCA <strong>and</strong> ecolabelling<br />

schemes. A change of the way<br />

enterprises reflects environment may show<br />

to be the main achievement of the program.<br />

Looking at the Danish textile finishing<br />

industry, the construction sector industry,<br />

<strong>and</strong> the electronics industry the environmental<br />

<strong>and</strong> technological policy programmes<br />

has led to a wide incremental<br />

introduction of cleaner technology. In this<br />

process a selective milieu of the industry has<br />

been produced:<br />

a) Within the Danish technology programme<br />

a stable constellation of consultants<br />

<strong>and</strong> research institutions have<br />

formed a interwoven net of competencies<br />

on textile dyeing processes,<br />

b) The industry <strong>and</strong> (local) environmental<br />

authorities have developed a high degree<br />

of consensus on environmental perception<br />

(e.g. regulatory score-system of the<br />

environmental load of dyes based on a<br />

common prioritisation). The industry <strong>and</strong><br />

the produced constellation of actors have<br />

been bound together in a specific environmental<br />

perception.<br />

c) A progression in the systemic competencies<br />

were build up within this network. In<br />

a dynamic learning process the sector as a<br />

whole has gone through the stages of dissemination<br />

of information, development<br />

<strong>and</strong> diffusion of technology, introduction<br />

of environmental management <strong>and</strong> product<br />

oriented strategies.<br />

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The construction of new ecological or<br />

green products<br />

Concerning the second type of industrial<br />

responsiveness, the construction of new ecological<br />

or green products, we have found a<br />

radical approach inventing or co-shaping<br />

new green markets. Within the construction<br />

<strong>and</strong> in the bakery sector we have traced a<br />

number of bottom-up initiatives among<br />

green lifestyle promoters, green consumers<br />

<strong>and</strong> political movements that have formed<br />

the discursive <strong>and</strong> pragmatically background<br />

for new green entrepreneurs. Thus it were<br />

these groups that formed the front running<br />

organic movement in the 1970´s that pawed<br />

the way for an incremental institutionalisation<br />

during the 1980´s – the organic<br />

labelling scheme that confirmed <strong>and</strong> normalised<br />

organic food. The same type of<br />

movement occurred in the 80´s <strong>and</strong> 90´s<br />

within the housing sector, <strong>and</strong> a number of<br />

ecological housings <strong>and</strong> constructions<br />

pupped up during 1982-1997, before an<br />

institutional response took place.<br />

The Ministry of Food has been innovative in<br />

taking over the various private labels on the<br />

marginal green markets in order to establish<br />

a state guaranteed green market. By time<br />

the health, drinking water, <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

regulation from the Ministry of Food <strong>and</strong><br />

the Ministry of Environment <strong>and</strong> Energy<br />

have benefited from this market based<br />

recognition of organic food. They have been<br />

able to use the precautionary principle by<br />

ruling <strong>and</strong> giving subventions for the<br />

enlargement of organic manufactured fields<br />

in Denmark. The normalisation <strong>and</strong> stabilisation<br />

policies have together with solid supports<br />

for organic agriculture formed the<br />

business model opportunity for the retail<br />

chain Kvickly to establish their 100% organic<br />

bakeries. Thus, the transition could take<br />

place as organic flour <strong>and</strong> sugar was on the<br />

market, whereas Kvickly could pass impetuses<br />

for subcontractors on margarine,<br />

marzipan, chocolate etc. to make an organic<br />

switch. Secondly the knowledge networks<br />

<strong>and</strong> R&D institutions within the food sector<br />

provided the necessary primary insights to<br />

make the organic transition. The market stabilisation<br />

of organic foods have discoursively<br />

institutionalised an alternative to all negative<br />

risk connotations in the food sector:<br />

GMO´s, straw shortens, penicillin, pollution<br />

of ground water etc.<br />

The construction sector has gone through a<br />

parallel development, but the Ministry of<br />

City & Housing has been very late responsive<br />

to these development paths, <strong>and</strong> has been<br />

hesitant to leave a co-dependency upon the<br />

major construction, housing <strong>and</strong> construction<br />

material industries. Regulatory it has<br />

been the Ministry of Environment <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Ministry of Food that has been issuing subvention<br />

schemes for radical innovations in<br />

construction technologies <strong>and</strong> materials. In<br />

fact these extra-construction/housing policy<br />

sectors have been able to avoid the path<br />

dependency <strong>and</strong> technological trajectory<br />

that the Ministry of City <strong>and</strong> Housing have<br />

been locked in. Of special interest is that<br />

labour unions <strong>and</strong> occupational health<br />

interests have been major forces in pushing<br />

forward a need for finding technological<br />

alternatives with both an occupational<br />

health <strong>and</strong> an environmental benefit. By the<br />

gradual articulation of a joint <strong>and</strong> coherent<br />

eco-health discourse within housing <strong>and</strong><br />

construction a stabile front has been met by<br />

a responsive policy that has issued R&D, subvention<br />

schemes <strong>and</strong> eco-st<strong>and</strong>ards for ecological<br />

housing <strong>and</strong> construction materials.<br />

New green entrepreneurs have on this background<br />

of state supported R&D been able to<br />

penetrate the regulative, economic <strong>and</strong><br />

technological barriers to alternative, ecological<br />

housing technology. The result has been<br />

new materials <strong>and</strong> knowledge that have<br />

kicked off a number of local ecological housing<br />

projects.<br />

The latter type of policy responsiveness to<br />

green social movements <strong>and</strong> discourses has<br />

been important for the second wave of entrepreneurs<br />

who have dared to form new<br />

technological innovations <strong>and</strong> profiles.<br />

The most obvious strength of Danish EP has<br />

been that it has developed in quite a responsive<br />

way, enabling the MEE to take up new<br />

environmental problems <strong>and</strong> initiatives from<br />

research results, public debates <strong>and</strong> business<br />

technology options at very short warning.<br />

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environment & technology policies<br />

The consensus policy style is, according to<br />

general evaluation studies of Danish EP<br />

(Andersen 1995, 1997, Christiansen 1996,<br />

Holm 1999, Mortensen 1999, Nielsen 1997,<br />

Wallace 1995), both strength <strong>and</strong> a weakness.<br />

A strength, because industrial trades<br />

are open to communicating on technological<br />

options <strong>and</strong> to participating in finding<br />

environmental protection measures they<br />

may benefit from. There is a practical capacity<br />

for co-ordinating consulting <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

monitoring with R&D initiatives in<br />

cleaner substitutes or technologies, which<br />

have established effective feedback mechanisms<br />

between the DEPA, the political system,<br />

research <strong>and</strong> networking. The weakness<br />

is that the minister <strong>and</strong> DEPA very often<br />

have hesitated to enforce legal <strong>and</strong> binding<br />

rules that industry strongly opposes. A<br />

weakness is also the risks of falling into technological<br />

trajectories, which fit to what<br />

industrial suppliers of environmental equipment<br />

offer.<br />

General findings<br />

><br />

The first finding of general importance<br />

relates to the often experienced ambiguity<br />

of EP <strong>and</strong> TP communication <strong>and</strong> institutionalisation.<br />

The industry cases in mind here are<br />

from textile industry where the local authorities<br />

have enforced dem<strong>and</strong>s upon the firms<br />

that have forwarded traditional end-of-pipe<br />

technologies, on the expense of cleaner<br />

technology options for reducing hazardous<br />

chemicals. The other case is the construction<br />

sector, where mineral wool insulation has<br />

been favoured by the public rules on construction,<br />

by the R&D institutions <strong>and</strong> by<br />

occupational health regulation. But at the<br />

same time new programs for alternative<br />

insulation from other ministries have made<br />

a brake trough. One may consider it as an<br />

advantage that several technology paths are<br />

being stimulated, but on the other h<strong>and</strong> it<br />

may leave firms confused when they try to<br />

be innovative adjusting to public dem<strong>and</strong>s.<br />

The best case in mind here is our electronics<br />

case where a perceived market advantage in<br />

converting to a non-led silver technology<br />

has withered away from lack of public<br />

enforcement of a phasing out heavy metal<br />

strategy. The same picture, though somewhat<br />

successful, may be the case in our<br />

Danish Colour Design case, where the weak<br />

market pull in non-toxic dying partly is due<br />

to hesitating public regulation on ecofriendly<br />

clothing.<br />

The second general conclusion is that communication<br />

<strong>and</strong> institutionalisation vary<br />

a lot. Among successful environmental cases<br />

there is a constructive co-appearance<br />

between communicated environmental perceptions,<br />

institutional configuration, prohibitions,<br />

subventions etc. But this does not mean<br />

that there has to be a pre-planned co-ordination<br />

of policy inputs, a genuine EP <strong>and</strong> ETP<br />

fusion. What is of importance is that there is<br />

some kind of shared discursive horizon which<br />

the diverse inputs relate to – e.g. an eco-modernistic<br />

community perception. Plus the fact<br />

that the co-existence of the various incitements<br />

<strong>and</strong> rules actually do stimulate the<br />

entrepreneur into innovative processes.<br />

The third general conclusion is that the different<br />

policy-inputs in all cases have stimulated<br />

an open interpretation of scale <strong>and</strong><br />

scope of what is to be innovated. From here<br />

it is the institutional embeddedness of the<br />

focal firm in value chains, user-producer networks<br />

<strong>and</strong> relations to R&D institutions that<br />

determines the way inputs are transformed<br />

into innovative processes. Thus, it is vital<br />

what the network of the focal firm may<br />

offer in innovative solutions.<br />

Fourthly, the state driven environmental<br />

innovation by R&D schemes, purchasing<br />

policies, labelling etc. is of outmost importance<br />

for the establishment of a new technological<br />

path, when a deeply institutionalised<br />

technological path controlled by few<br />

“dinosaurs” is the case. The enhancement of<br />

new insulation materials <strong>and</strong> methodologies<br />

depended upon basic research stimuli <strong>and</strong><br />

policy stimuli for new entrepreneurs.<br />

6. CONCLUDING ON ECOLOGICAL<br />

MODERNISATION POLICES<br />

AND STUDIES<br />

The aim of the paper was to analyse the<br />

dynamic interplay between:<br />

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1. The establishment of a societal discourse<br />

on ecological modernisation<br />

2. The construction of policies <strong>and</strong> policy<br />

integration between the Ministry of<br />

Business <strong>and</strong> Industry <strong>and</strong> the MEE in order<br />

to facilitate ecological modernisation<br />

3. The set up of new institutions in some<br />

important branches of industry<br />

4. The practices of firms in order to carry out<br />

environmentally sound innovations through<br />

networking, interpreting policis <strong>and</strong> using<br />

institutional features.<br />

In relation to the discourse of ecological<br />

modernisation we note that the perspective<br />

of win-win has been established as the way<br />

to underst<strong>and</strong> the interplay of environment<br />

<strong>and</strong> economy. Furthermore we note that this<br />

discourse has led to change of policies <strong>and</strong><br />

to the establishment of new policies. As well<br />

in the MBI as in the MEE it was reflected<br />

how to set the agenda in relation to ecological<br />

modernisation. From the perspective of<br />

the MBI ‘Environment’ has been seen as an<br />

element in a strategy to secure international<br />

competitiveness for Danish firms <strong>and</strong> the<br />

national economy, thus the market is seen as<br />

the prime ‘driver’. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, from<br />

the perspective of the MEE there has been a<br />

focus on environmental capacity building in<br />

order to support a transition of the environmental<br />

behaviour of the companies. These<br />

two different focuses in relation to ecological<br />

modernisation result in significant differences<br />

in relation to the institution building<br />

<strong>and</strong> the constellations of actors.<br />

On the other h<strong>and</strong>, a very important conclusion<br />

of the studies is that institution building<br />

in order to support ecological modernisation<br />

has to be understood as a reflective<br />

learning process. In a top-town perspective<br />

we note that policies have resulted in a long<br />

range of institutional transitions in the studied<br />

sectors. The programmes have resulted<br />

in capacity building <strong>and</strong> new ways to support<br />

innovative conduct. In relation to this<br />

process there have been established learning<br />

processes based on as well internal as<br />

external interpretations of strengths <strong>and</strong><br />

weaknesses on the existing configurations.<br />

This conclusion has to be seen in relation to<br />

the marked differences concerning as well<br />

the form of institutional development as the<br />

characteristics of the involved actors.<br />

A common horizon for the four studied sectors<br />

is that there have been developed a<br />

dominant technology trajectory in connection<br />

with the sector specific capacity building,<br />

establishing of st<strong>and</strong>ards <strong>and</strong> so on. This<br />

trajectory has cognitively framed interpretations<br />

among the stakeholders in the sector<br />

whereby a certain choice of technology <strong>and</strong><br />

environmental performance of the companies<br />

have been fostered. Another common<br />

aspect is that the development of new technologies<br />

is seen as the way to reduce environmental<br />

consequences of the production<br />

or related to the product. Then there are distinct<br />

differences between the sectors that<br />

result in substantially different dynamics<br />

<strong>and</strong> thereby give some important insights<br />

concerning how the discourse of environmental<br />

modernisation’s results in the<br />

change of industrial practices.<br />

An important starting point for policy considerations<br />

is the characterisation of the technological<br />

change, i.e. whether it represents a<br />

radical break with the technology path in the<br />

sector. This concerns as well the degree of<br />

change in relation to the substituted technology<br />

as it concerns how the innovation fits into<br />

the existing technological system. The not to<br />

surprising conclusion is that changes not representing<br />

a radical break with existing trajectories<br />

are easier to realise because of a strategic<br />

selectivity in the technological system. A<br />

somewhat less trivial conclusion from the<br />

study of the most radical innovation, the transition<br />

to organic bakery, is that the radical<br />

innovation is preconditioned by an interaction<br />

of a range of simultaneous processes. A<br />

dominant company with the capacity to construct<br />

its own markets <strong>and</strong> a central role in the<br />

value chain is staging the transition process in<br />

combination with a sector specific capacity<br />

building <strong>and</strong> institutionalisation process in<br />

relation to organic food. Furthermore, there is<br />

a support from other social actors especially<br />

the consumers. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, companies<br />

that lacks these preconditions have severe difficulties<br />

to stage radical transitions in spite of<br />

environmentally related capacity building <strong>and</strong><br />

dem<strong>and</strong>s from regulation.<br />

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environment & technology policies<br />

This could be read as if market is the most<br />

important driver, but the case studies show<br />

that the existence of a market is a necessary<br />

but not sufficient condition. Furthermore, it<br />

would be wrong to consider the market an<br />

external variable. The cases show that the<br />

markets are constructed in a social process.<br />

For example in electronics it was difficult to<br />

transform an incremental innovation to a<br />

commercial success because regulation could<br />

not deliver the promised market for lead<br />

free circuits.In the textile industry the innovation<br />

was realised in an interplay with a<br />

niche market for ‘green cotton’ established<br />

as an element of a business strategy, while<br />

the failed innovation did not succeed<br />

because it was in no way related to the business<br />

strategy of the firm. Organic bread was<br />

an extensive construction of a market based<br />

on an established market for organic food.<br />

And lastly, the case in the construction<br />

industry is an example of an innovation that<br />

is integrated in a niche market for ecological<br />

building supported by a social movement.<br />

The market as a necessary but not sufficient<br />

condition is also illustrated by the building<br />

<strong>and</strong> textile cases. In both cases the innovation<br />

was established in an interaction with<br />

the customer or the consumer. In the first<br />

example it is a business to business relation<br />

to a company with a green market niche. In<br />

the second case it is a social movement. The<br />

first innovation is from a technological point<br />

of view not especially radical. Nevertheless,<br />

there is a very limited diffusion of the innovation.<br />

Although the second innovation<br />

from a technical point of view very easily can<br />

substitute an existing product, it is slightly<br />

more radical because it confronts established<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ards in the industry. Therefore,<br />

it is situated as a niche product. Thus it can<br />

be concluded that the diffusion of radical<br />

innovations <strong>and</strong> more radical breaks with<br />

existing trajectories, presupposes: an institutional<br />

learning process, support of green<br />

markets, capacity building among a web of<br />

R&D, political <strong>and</strong> entrepreneurial networks<br />

for enacting new technology paths.<br />

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><br />

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SUSTAINABILITY RESEARCH<br />

IN AUSTRIA<br />

THE AUSTRIAN PROGRAM<br />

ON TECHNOLOGIES FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT<br />

HANS-GÜNTHER SCHWARZ<br />

Department of Technology, Environment <strong>and</strong> Social Studies,<br />

www.teksam.ruc.dk, Roskilde University<br />

Hans-Günther Schwarz is responsible for<br />

research on technologies for sustainable<br />

development & environmental technologies<br />

in Austria; Energy <strong>and</strong> Environmental<br />

Technologies, Austrian Federal Ministry of<br />

Transport, <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Technology.<br />

He is currently building up <strong>and</strong> managing the<br />

sub programme “Factory of Tomorrow” in the<br />

framework of the Austrian Programme on<br />

Technologies for <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong>.<br />

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1. OVERVIEW<br />

The Austrian Program on Technologies for<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong> is a five-year<br />

research <strong>and</strong> technology program. It initiates<br />

<strong>and</strong> supports trend setting research <strong>and</strong><br />

development projects <strong>and</strong> the implementation<br />

of exemplary pilot projects.<br />

The program pursues clearly defined<br />

emphases, selects projects by means of tendering<br />

procedures <strong>and</strong> is characterized by<br />

networking between individual research<br />

projects <strong>and</strong> by accompanying project management.<br />

Currently two subprograms are in<br />

operation:<br />

• Subprogram “Building of Tomorrow”<br />

• Subprogram “Factory of Tomorrow”<br />

A third subprogram entitled “Energy Systems<br />

of Tomorrow” will start in late 2002.<br />

Project proposals are currently accepted in<br />

German language only.<br />

“Building of Tomorrow” refers to residential<br />

<strong>and</strong> office buildings that feature the following<br />

improvements as compared to the<br />

present practice in Austria:<br />

• Improved energy efficiency over the whole<br />

life cycle<br />

• Pronounced use of renewable sources of<br />

energy, in particular solar energy<br />

• Increased use of renewable raw materials<br />

<strong>and</strong> efficient use thereof<br />

• Increased consideration of service <strong>and</strong> use<br />

aspects for the benefit of users of residential<br />

<strong>and</strong> office buildings<br />

• Costs comparable to those of conventional<br />

building designs<br />

The subprogram “Factory of Tomorrow”<br />

addresses the trade <strong>and</strong> industry as well as<br />

service enterprises that produce <strong>and</strong> provide<br />

products of tomorrow using materials of<br />

tomorrow to meet tomorrow’s needs. The<br />

following aspects have to be taken into consideration:<br />

• Aiming at zero-waste <strong>and</strong> zero-emission<br />

technologies <strong>and</strong> methods of production<br />

• Increased use of renewable raw materials<br />

for materials <strong>and</strong> products<br />

• Increased use of renewable sources of<br />

energy in the production process <strong>and</strong> in<br />

the enterprise as a whole<br />

• <strong>Development</strong> of new partnerships <strong>and</strong> cooperations<br />

as well as in-house models<br />

for further training <strong>and</strong> participation of<br />

employees in order to achieve these objectives.<br />

Other subprograms are in preparation.<br />

The Austrian Program on Technologies for<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong> has been developed<br />

at the Federal Ministry of Transport,<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> Technology (BMVIT) in cooperation<br />

with a network of experts <strong>and</strong> is<br />

being implemented with the assistance of<br />

the “Austrian Industrial Research Promotion<br />

Fund”. Individual subprograms are being<br />

attended by “umbrella-managements”.<br />

2. INTRODUCTION<br />

Only an economy based on the principles of<br />

sustainability will be able to secure our prosperity<br />

<strong>and</strong> quality of life in the long run.<br />

This, however, requires a radical reduction in<br />

the consumption of resources, which, in<br />

turn, can be achieved only by a fundamental<br />

change in our way of life <strong>and</strong> our economy.<br />

In addition to an appropriate political<br />

framework <strong>and</strong> increased awareness in consumer<br />

behaviour the economy itself will be<br />

an important factor in sustainable development.<br />

The Austrian Program on Technologies<br />

for <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong> aims<br />

at supporting the economy with future-oriented<br />

innovations <strong>and</strong> developments.<br />

It is a well known fact that an orientation<br />

towards sustainability not only contributes<br />

to a relief of the environment, it also opens<br />

up completely new opportunities for the<br />

economy. For, saving on energy <strong>and</strong> raw<br />

materials also means developing considerably<br />

smarter <strong>and</strong> more efficient solutions<br />

<strong>and</strong> products to meet our needs.<br />

3. OBJECTIVES OF THE PROGRAM<br />

• New opportunities for the economy<br />

• Economical use of natural resources<br />

• Consolidation of Austria’s position in the<br />

field of technology<br />

• Positive effects on the economy <strong>and</strong> on<br />

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employment achieved through<br />

- Strengthening of R&D competence<br />

- Interdisciplinarity <strong>and</strong> networking<br />

- Diffusion <strong>and</strong> application of R&D Results<br />

4. WHY “SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT”<br />

A linear continuation of the present development<br />

of industrialized nations would<br />

cause growing global inequality at the<br />

expense of future generations (e.g. greenhouse<br />

effect). Therefore, fundamental<br />

changes in our way of life <strong>and</strong> economic system<br />

are imperative. On an international<br />

scale, there is general agreement that the<br />

concept of sustainability is a constituent element<br />

of future-oriented research <strong>and</strong> development<br />

<strong>and</strong> that research will play a key<br />

role in this area. In addition to innovation in<br />

the field of technology, structural <strong>and</strong> social<br />

innovation will be of great importance.<br />

5. GUIDING PRINCIPLES<br />

OF SUSTAINABILITY<br />

In a preparatory phase, a set of guiding principles<br />

of Sustainability was selected by an<br />

expert group. The principles also serve as criteria<br />

for the international jury when evaluating<br />

project proposals for the different calls<br />

for tenders:<br />

• Orientation towards benefit <strong>and</strong> need<br />

• Efficient use of resources<br />

• Use of renewable resources<br />

• Multiple use <strong>and</strong> recycling<br />

• Flexibility <strong>and</strong> adaptability<br />

• Fault tolerance <strong>and</strong> risk precaution<br />

• Securing employment, income <strong>and</strong> quality<br />

of life<br />

6. WHAT ACTIVITIES WILL BE SUPPORTED<br />

BY THE PROGRAM<br />

• Generation of innovative approaches <strong>and</strong><br />

project definitions<br />

• Activities focusing on fundamental research<br />

• Applied research <strong>and</strong> development<br />

• Networking <strong>and</strong> cooperation between<br />

individual projects<br />

• Support for implementation (promotion,<br />

trainings, etc.)<br />

• Pilot <strong>and</strong> demonstration projects<br />

7. SUBPROGRAM<br />

BUILDING OF TOMORROW<br />

What is the Building of Tomorrow<br />

The “Building of Tomorrow” makes use of<br />

the two most important developments in<br />

solar <strong>and</strong> energy efficient building: the passive<br />

house <strong>and</strong> the low energy solar building<br />

method. For the purposes of the “Building<br />

of Tomorrow” subprogram, these energy<br />

centred innovations are exp<strong>and</strong>ed to take in<br />

ecological, economical <strong>and</strong> social concerns<br />

(see graphic).<br />

The “Buildings of Tomorrow” are residential<br />

<strong>and</strong> office buildings, <strong>and</strong> differ from current<br />

building practice in Austria by fulfilling the<br />

following criteria:<br />

• higher energy efficiency throughout the<br />

whole life-cycle of the building<br />

• greater use of renewable energy sources,<br />

especially solar energy<br />

• greater use of sustainable raw materials,<br />

<strong>and</strong> efficient use of materials<br />

• increased consideration of user needs <strong>and</strong><br />

services.<br />

However, the costs are comparable with<br />

conventional building methods<br />

Goal of the subprogram<br />

The subprogram’s goal is the development<br />

<strong>and</strong> market diffusion of components, prefabricated<br />

building parts <strong>and</strong> building methods<br />

which correspond to the above criteria<br />

<strong>and</strong> to the main principles of sustainable<br />

development.<br />

Combining all of these dem<strong>and</strong>s is very challenging.<br />

Conflicts of aims can arise which<br />

need somehow to be reconciled. On the<br />

other h<strong>and</strong>, when social, economic <strong>and</strong> ecological<br />

aims can be integrated, the chances<br />

of success for the concept are vast. The key<br />

to realising this goal lies in innovation - not<br />

only technological but social, technological<br />

<strong>and</strong> institutional innovation.<br />

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User <strong>and</strong> service aspects<br />

Low energy solar house<br />

Renewable energy sources<br />

Passive house<br />

Energy efficiency<br />

Building<br />

of Tomorrow<br />

Ecological building<br />

materials <strong>and</strong> systems<br />

Renewable raw materials,<br />

building ecology<br />

Comparable costs<br />

It is precisely in the combination of all these<br />

criteria that the chance arises to make technological<br />

leaps which actually have a high<br />

market potential.<br />

After careful consideration of over-development<br />

of the countryside, l<strong>and</strong> use <strong>and</strong> mobility<br />

dem<strong>and</strong>s, priority has been given to multiple<br />

dwellings, rather than single family homes.<br />

8. STRUCTURE OF THE SUBPROGRAM<br />

The “Building of Tomorrow” subprogram<br />

has a planned duration of five years. It comprises<br />

the following elements, which build<br />

on each other logically.<br />

• Generation, preparation <strong>and</strong> dissemination<br />

of know-how in order to support the<br />

technology development process in a way<br />

that focuses on the project’s aims<br />

• Concept-led technology <strong>and</strong> component<br />

development<br />

• <strong>Development</strong> of innovative building concepts<br />

for residential <strong>and</strong> office buildings<br />

• Setting up <strong>and</strong> evaluating demonstration<br />

projects<br />

• Market diffusion of the “Buildings of<br />

tomorrow”<br />

The current call for tenders concentrates on<br />

the first three elements of the subprogram,<br />

<strong>and</strong> considers especially the projects that<br />

have already been financed or supported by<br />

the programme.<br />

In subsequent calls for tenders, demonstration<br />

buildings will be set up <strong>and</strong> evaluated,<br />

although concept-led technology <strong>and</strong> component<br />

development will continue. In order<br />

Collection <strong>and</strong> dissemination<br />

of relevant knowledge<br />

<strong>and</strong> experiences<br />

Concept-led technology<br />

<strong>and</strong> component<br />

development<br />

<strong>Development</strong><br />

of innovative<br />

building concepts<br />

Setting up <strong>and</strong><br />

evaluating demonstration<br />

projects<br />

Disseminating the results,<br />

market diffusion of the<br />

“Building of Tomorrow”<br />

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to focus future calls effectively, the<br />

“Building of Tomorrow” subprogram will<br />

draw strongly on the results of the call topic<br />

“innovative building concepts”.<br />

The close of the programme will involve<br />

activities to disseminate the results <strong>and</strong> to<br />

support the market diffusion of the<br />

“Building of Tomorrow”.<br />

9. SUBPROGRAM FACTORY OF TOMORROW<br />

What is the “Factory of Tomorrow”<br />

The “Factory of Tomorrow” aims at zerowaste,<br />

zero-emission production, <strong>and</strong><br />

produces <strong>and</strong> provides products <strong>and</strong> services<br />

of tomorrow using materials of tomorrow to<br />

meet tomorrow’s needs. Thus, the “Factory<br />

of Tomorrow” will aspire to generate maximum<br />

benefit with minimum consumption of<br />

resources <strong>and</strong> minimum environmental<br />

impact. The subprogram “Factory of<br />

Tomorrow” focuses on innovative development<br />

in the following fields:<br />

• <strong>Sustainable</strong> technologies <strong>and</strong> innovations<br />

in production processes<br />

• Use of renewable raw materials<br />

• Products <strong>and</strong> services<br />

• In addition to technological topics, projects<br />

dealing with ecological, economic,<br />

social, <strong>and</strong> structural problems are invited<br />

within the scope of the subprogram.<br />

The program addresses<br />

• Companies<br />

• Researchers <strong>and</strong> research institutions<br />

• Consulting <strong>and</strong> service companies<br />

How are the calls for tenders organized<br />

Each year there is an invitation of tenders on<br />

a specific topic. The projects submitted will<br />

be evaluated by an international jury. More<br />

detailed information about the tenders can<br />

be obtained at www.fabrikderzukunft.at.<br />

“New partnerships”, cooperations <strong>and</strong><br />

networks should be developed within the<br />

different fields of activity. Improved staff<br />

qualification <strong>and</strong> better quality of work<br />

through participative processes <strong>and</strong> the use<br />

of information <strong>and</strong> communication technologies<br />

are pivotal concerns in this context.<br />

In addition to technological aspects the<br />

objectives of sustainability also comprise<br />

economic <strong>and</strong> social issues.<br />

10. THE FIRST CALL FOR TENDERS 2000<br />

The subprogram ”Factory of Tomorrow“ was<br />

initiated in the year 2000. The first call for<br />

tenders was based on a rather broad definition<br />

of the range of topics covered by the<br />

subprogram. This stage resulted in 20 projects<br />

from various thematic fields, which received<br />

funds amounting to a total of some € 2.54<br />

million. More than 100 institutions participated<br />

as partners in these 20 projects.<br />

Information on the contents <strong>and</strong> objectives<br />

of the research projects currently under way<br />

as well as contact persons can be found at<br />

www.fabrikderzukunft.at.<br />

11. THE SECOND CALL FOR TENDERS 2002<br />

The second call for tenders in 2002 concentrates<br />

on topics in the fields “Material Use of<br />

Renewable Raw Materials” <strong>and</strong> “Technologies<br />

<strong>and</strong> Innovative <strong>Development</strong>s in Production<br />

Processes”.<br />

Targeted projects are the results of which<br />

can be further developed into concrete<br />

demonstration <strong>and</strong> pilot projects within the<br />

duration of the subprogram, <strong>and</strong> that may<br />

serve as model projects demonstrating the<br />

feasibility of a sustainable economy in<br />

practice. These so-called “lighthouses”<br />

should also serve as role models on an<br />

international scale.<br />

The third call for tenders aims to further pursue<br />

topics of the second call <strong>and</strong> advance them<br />

towards technology development projects.<br />

A special accompanying measure of the second<br />

call for tenders consists in a contest<br />

focusing on “Intelligent Applications for<br />

Renewable Raw Materials”; distinctions will<br />

be awarded to already realized, trend-setting<br />

“Factory of Tomorrow” projects in the field<br />

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of “Renewable Raw Materials”, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

projects will also be presented to the public.<br />

12. EVALUATION CRITERIA OF THE<br />

INTERNATIONAL JURY<br />

In addition to the “Guiding Principles of<br />

Sustainability” the following criteria will be<br />

taken into account<br />

• Contribution to the overall goal<br />

• Scientific excellence<br />

• Technical novelty <strong>and</strong> level of innovation<br />

• Appropriateness, clarity <strong>and</strong> consistency of<br />

the method<br />

• Professional aptitude <strong>and</strong> managerial skill<br />

• Quality of the presentation of possible<br />

barriers to implementation<br />

• Integration of several thematic aspects of<br />

the subprogram<br />

For “General <strong>and</strong> Economy-Oriented Basic<br />

Research”<br />

• Quality of the exploitation strategy<br />

• Potential benefit<br />

For “<strong>Development</strong> of Technologies<br />

<strong>and</strong> Components”<br />

• Market potential<br />

• Cofinancing quota<br />

• Balanced <strong>and</strong> complementary consortium<br />

• Potential for implementation of planned<br />

cooperation<br />

• Overall contribution to Austria’s national<br />

economy<br />

Activities supported by the subprogram<br />

“Factory of Tomorrow”<br />

• Generation of innovative approaches <strong>and</strong><br />

project definitions<br />

• Activities focusing on fundamental research<br />

• In-process research <strong>and</strong> actor-oriented issues<br />

• Feasibility concepts <strong>and</strong> comprehensive<br />

strategies<br />

• Applied research <strong>and</strong> development<br />

• Networking <strong>and</strong> cooperation between<br />

individual projects<br />

• Support for the implementation, coordination<br />

of projects, networking <strong>and</strong> dissemination<br />

activities<br />

• Pilot <strong>and</strong> demonstration projects<br />

Program management <strong>and</strong> sponsor<br />

Austrian Federal Ministry of Transport,<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong>, <strong>and</strong> Technology<br />

Division of Energy <strong>and</strong> Environmental<br />

Technologies<br />

Contact: Michael Paula (head of unit)<br />

Hans-Günther Schwarz<br />

(email: hans-günther.schwarz@bmvit.gv.at)<br />

13. SUPPORT AND INFORMATION<br />

Umbrella - Management Building of<br />

Tomorrow:<br />

Austrian Society for Environment <strong>and</strong><br />

Technology (ÖGUT)<br />

Mrs. Manuela Schein<br />

Holl<strong>and</strong>strafle 10/46<br />

A-1020 Vienna, Austria<br />

phone: +43 (0) 1 315 63 93<br />

E-mail: office@hausderzukunft.at<br />

Umbrella - Management Factory of Tomorrow:<br />

TRUST CONSULT<br />

Management Consultancy Ltd.<br />

Mrs. Birgit Reiss<br />

Lothringerstrasse 16<br />

A-1030 Vienna, Austria<br />

phone: +43 (0)1 712 17 07-313<br />

E-mail: office@fabrikderzukunft.at<br />

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14. EXAMPLES<br />

Building of Tomorrow results from projects<br />

funded through the sub-program <strong>and</strong> from<br />

the two project competitions new building<br />

of tomorrow <strong>and</strong> old building / retrofit of<br />

tomorrow<br />

Apartment building Oelzbuendt (Dornbirn,<br />

Vorarlberg)<br />

Three-storied residential building constructed<br />

in wood designed as passive house<br />

Row houses in Batschuns (Vorarlberg)<br />

The first row houses in passive house st<strong>and</strong>ard<br />

in Austria<br />

Multi-family-villa constructed in wood<br />

(Feldkirch/Tosters, Vorarlberg)<br />

South-orientation, excellent insulation <strong>and</strong><br />

glazing <strong>and</strong> a ventilation system with heat<br />

recovery result in the building’s excellent<br />

energy performance.<br />

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15. “FACTORY OF TOMORROW”<br />

results from projects funded through the sub-program “green bio-refinery”<br />

fossil raw materials<br />

* crude oil<br />

* natural gas<br />

oil<br />

refinery<br />

products / commodities<br />

* fuels / combustibles<br />

* chemical base materials<br />

* basic materials (plastics)<br />

renewable raw materials<br />

* field crops<br />

* forest plants<br />

* biomass from waste<br />

* green biomass<br />

(grass, trefoil, lucerne,...)<br />

green<br />

bio-refinery<br />

products / commodities<br />

* fuels / combustibles (ethyl alcohol)<br />

* chemical base materials (organic acids)<br />

* basic materials (bioplast materials)<br />

* food-products (oils, starch products,...)<br />

ref.: Wachter, M<strong>and</strong>l, Kromus, Narodoslawsky, Interrim Report Green Bio-Refinery, Vienna, 2002<br />

Introduction Hans-Günther Schwarz<br />

grass, trefoillucerne,...<br />

proteins,<br />

animalfeed<br />

dilactide,<br />

ethyllactate,<br />

amine lactate,...<br />

silo<br />

proteinseparation<br />

separation of<br />

lactic acid<br />

juice<br />

press<br />

cake<br />

fibre<br />

pulping<br />

heat, powder<br />

biogasplant<br />

insulation, gardening, construction materials (additive),...<br />

separation of<br />

special materials<br />

value added products<br />

(chlorophyl, flavouring substances)<br />

ref.: Wachter, M<strong>and</strong>l, Kromus, Narodoslawsky, Interrim Report Green Bio-Refinery, Vienna, 2002<br />

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STIMULATION OF<br />

SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGY<br />

DEVELOPMENT<br />

IN THE NETHERLANDS:<br />

THE EET PROGRAMME<br />

CORINE VAN AS AND RENÉ WISMEIJER<br />

Project officers at the E.E.T. programme office<br />

Corine van As (1971) holds a degree in<br />

Environmental Sciences of Wageningen<br />

Universiteit (Netherl<strong>and</strong>s). For several years<br />

she worked in the field of metal industry<br />

<strong>and</strong> the environment.<br />

Since 1999 she has worked as a programme<br />

officer for the E.E.T. programme office in the<br />

field of renewable energy, <strong>and</strong> with special<br />

focus on improving the management of<br />

projects.<br />

René Wismeijer (1961) holds a degree in<br />

Environmental Chemistry from the Free<br />

University of Amsterdam. He worked for<br />

several years for the Dutch Ministry of the<br />

Environment in the field of soil protection.<br />

Since 1997 he works as a programme officer<br />

for the E.E.T. Programme Office in the field<br />

of renewable energy <strong>and</strong> programme monitoring<br />

<strong>and</strong> evaluation<br />

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in the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s: the E.E.T. Programme<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

><br />

><br />

1. INTRODUCTION<br />

The Dutch EET programme (Economy,<br />

Ecology <strong>and</strong> Technology) supports strategic<br />

middle to long-term research <strong>and</strong> development.<br />

One of the main goals is a sustainable<br />

economic development. The market launch<br />

of the project results should be between 5 or<br />

20 years after the project-start.<br />

Three Ministries finance the EET programme:<br />

the Ministry of Economic Affairs,<br />

the Ministry of Spatial planning, Housing<br />

<strong>and</strong> the Environment <strong>and</strong> the Ministry of<br />

Education, Culture <strong>and</strong> Science. Every year<br />

approximately EUR <strong>40</strong> million is granted.<br />

This paper will give an introduction to the<br />

EET programme. It will explain the background<br />

<strong>and</strong> the outlines of the programme,<br />

<strong>and</strong> gives some project examples <strong>and</strong> project<br />

results. Furthermore, developments on policy<br />

level are described.<br />

2. BACKGROUND<br />

In 1995 the EET programme was announced<br />

in a policy document named “Knowledge on<br />

the move” by the Ministry of Education,<br />

Culture <strong>and</strong> Science <strong>and</strong> the Ministry of<br />

Economic Affairs.<br />

This policy document states that technological<br />

innovations can build a bridge between economy<br />

<strong>and</strong> the environment. To achieve both<br />

substantial economic <strong>and</strong> ecological benefits,<br />

technological breakthroughs are necessary.<br />

The speed of regular, autonomic technology<br />

development (incremental) is not fast enough.<br />

Favourable conditions have to be created in<br />

order to achieve these breakthroughs.<br />

The EET programme should initiate strategic<br />

long-term research <strong>and</strong> should mobilise<br />

knowledge of industry, universities <strong>and</strong><br />

technological institutes, by subsidising R&D<br />

projects.<br />

The EET programme started off in 1996. The<br />

programme is executed by the EET<br />

Programme Office, which is a partnership<br />

between Novem <strong>and</strong> Senter.<br />

In the policy document “Environment <strong>and</strong><br />

Economy” (1997) the principles of the EET<br />

programme are further specified. The complete<br />

integration of environmental aspects<br />

into the development of new processes,<br />

products or services should lead to the disconnection<br />

of economic growth <strong>and</strong> pressure<br />

on the environment.<br />

As a result, the EET budget was raised <strong>and</strong><br />

the programme was exp<strong>and</strong>ed with socalled<br />

‘embryonic projects’. These are<br />

smaller feasibility projects that should lower<br />

the threshold for multiyear EET projects.<br />

In this period of time, the Ministry of<br />

Housing, Spatial Planning <strong>and</strong> the Environment<br />

entered the EET programme by contributing<br />

to it.<br />

A striking feature of the scheme is the<br />

emphasis laid on co-operation. Practice<br />

shows that companies or researchers on<br />

their own do not create breakthroughs. Cooperation<br />

is an absolute precondition for<br />

the development <strong>and</strong> nurturing of complex<br />

technologies.<br />

In the Netherl<strong>and</strong>s there’s a wide range of<br />

schemes to stimulate technological innovations.<br />

It varies from tax incentives until<br />

schemes for specific sectors e.g. ICT. The figure,<br />

which is a simplification of reality, illustrates<br />

the position of the EET programme.<br />

The EET programme focuses on system<br />

innovations <strong>and</strong> process innovations.<br />

Process innovations are defined as a radically<br />

re-engineering of production processes.<br />

Process innovations go beyond reengineering.<br />

System innovations are<br />

innovations that can radically change the<br />

social infrastructure, production chains <strong>and</strong><br />

consumer behaviour (examples are the use<br />

of renewable energy instead of energy from<br />

fossil sources <strong>and</strong> the use of renewable<br />

natural resources). System innovations<br />

require an integral approach in which various<br />

parties from a wide vision on sustainable<br />

development may find each other. The combination<br />

of experience <strong>and</strong> insights of<br />

people in business, the government, social<br />

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Position EET programme<br />

Transitions<br />

Systeminnovations<br />

Changes in social<br />

infrastructure<br />

Technological or<br />

processinnovation<br />

Processoptimization<br />

5 20<br />

Time (y)<br />

Shemes<br />

EIA<br />

MIA<br />

M&T<br />

TS...<br />

EET...<br />

><br />

institutions <strong>and</strong> science. The EET programme<br />

only stimulates the technological component<br />

of system innovations.<br />

3. OUTLINES OF THE PROGRAMME<br />

Goal<br />

Goal of the EET programme is to stimulate<br />

large long-term projects, aiming at technological<br />

breakthroughs. These breakthroughs<br />

are intended to lead to substantial economic<br />

<strong>and</strong> ecological benefits.<br />

This should reinforce both the competitiveness<br />

of the Dutch industry <strong>and</strong> the Dutch<br />

knowledge infrastructure.<br />

Themes<br />

The EET programme focuses on five environmental<br />

themes:<br />

1. Renewable raw materials<br />

2. <strong>Sustainable</strong> energy sources<br />

3. <strong>Sustainable</strong> industrial production<br />

processes<br />

4. Traffic <strong>and</strong> transport<br />

5. Eco design.<br />

These themes are selected because they<br />

offer solutions for the main environmental<br />

problems as signalled in the Dutch National<br />

Environmental <strong>Policy</strong> Plans.<br />

Target groups<br />

EET is especially aimed at<br />

- (large) companies<br />

- technological research institutes<br />

- universities<br />

- SME (small to medium-sized enterprises)<br />

- intermediates<br />

Execution<br />

EET subsidies are granted on the basis of a<br />

competitive tender procedure. The budget<br />

put out to tender every eight months is EUR<br />

23 million of which EUR 1.1 million is reserved<br />

for ‘embryonic projects’ (one year feasibility<br />

projects). Accidental budget increases occur.<br />

On average EUR <strong>40</strong> million a year is granted.<br />

In each such eight-month period proposals<br />

for multiyear projects <strong>and</strong> for one-year<br />

‘embryonic projects’ can be submitted. The<br />

latter are pre studies in the case that the<br />

uncertainty about a new technology is so<br />

great that a full project proposal for a multiyear<br />

project is not feasible yet.<br />

In the case of multiyear project proposals<br />

the EET scheme provides for both an advisory<br />

round <strong>and</strong> a qualification round. The<br />

advisory round is intended to make a first<br />

selection of projects <strong>and</strong> to improve the proposals.<br />

In the case of one-year embryonic<br />

projects there is no official advisory round,<br />

only the qualification round.<br />

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An external EET Advisory Committee<br />

appointed by the three Ministries assesses<br />

the proposals <strong>and</strong> makes recommendations<br />

regarding the form <strong>and</strong> content of the<br />

project. On the basis of their advice the coordinator<br />

of the project makes a final proposal<br />

for the qualification round. In this<br />

round, the EET Advisory Committee ranks<br />

all the proposals in order of quality: the<br />

extent to which they contribute to the<br />

objectives of EET<br />

Subsidies are then granted in ranked order<br />

until the funds are exhausted.<br />

The EET Programme Office plays an important<br />

role in advising organisations regarding<br />

new proposals.<br />

The subsidy percentage is highest for fundamental<br />

research remote from the market:<br />

62,5%. This reduces to <strong>40</strong>% for industrial<br />

research directed at the development of<br />

new processes, products <strong>and</strong> services <strong>and</strong><br />

25% for pre-competitive development.<br />

Assessment criteria<br />

The assessment criteria for new projects<br />

focus at economy, ecology, technology <strong>and</strong><br />

collaboration.<br />

Each assessment criterion comprises approximately<br />

twenty subcriteria, of which some<br />

examples are given below:<br />

Economy<br />

On what scale will the project lead to economic<br />

effects, such as profits, turnover, scale<br />

of the market, cost savings, etc. This has to<br />

be expressed in millions of Euro.<br />

Ecology<br />

On what scale will the project lead to ecological<br />

effects This has to be quantified,<br />

e.g. in Peta Joules, kilograms etc. Will the<br />

project contribute substantially to solving<br />

major environmental problems<br />

Technology<br />

Will the project lead to a technological<br />

breakthrough Is the proposal a new development<br />

Collaboration<br />

Is there collaboration between the knowledge<br />

sector <strong>and</strong> the industry Will the collaboration<br />

lead to a successful project <strong>and</strong> a<br />

successful market launch Is there enough<br />

commitment from the industrial partners<br />

For economic <strong>and</strong> ecological effects, risk<br />

(chance of success) <strong>and</strong> reward (potential<br />

impact) are distinguished. There is a tendency<br />

towards rewarding high risk/high<br />

reward projects better than low risk projects,<br />

since these projects are best in line<br />

with the overall EET goal.<br />

At the start of the project a collaboration<br />

agreement is required to ensure collaboration<br />

between industry <strong>and</strong> knowledge institutes.<br />

The agreement describes the terms<br />

on which co-operation take place <strong>and</strong><br />

arranges the distribution of knowledge <strong>and</strong><br />

exploitation rights.<br />

Monitoring <strong>and</strong> evaluation<br />

For monitoring <strong>and</strong> evaluation in order to<br />

measure the outcome of the projects <strong>and</strong> to<br />

improve the EET programme, ‘input <strong>and</strong><br />

outcome performance indicators’ are used.<br />

Input indicators describe the input into the<br />

R&D activity in terms of various resources.<br />

Typical parameters are R&D costs, public<br />

funding, type of technology, type of the<br />

companies participating, etc.<br />

The outcome indicators describe the outcome<br />

that is realised or expected from a<br />

project. These indicators include data of<br />

new products, processes, services or methods,<br />

new companies, applied new technologies,<br />

increased turnover, export, employment,<br />

ecological effects (e.g. the decrease<br />

in emissions of pollutants), etc.<br />

The input performance indicators are<br />

mostly collected from the project proposal.<br />

A st<strong>and</strong>ard form is used for the collection of<br />

the outcome performance indicators. By<br />

means of this form the project co-ordinator<br />

must report the current insights on the<br />

expected outcome of the project every six<br />

months <strong>and</strong> after completion of the project.<br />

The st<strong>and</strong>ard form is an annex along with<br />

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the half-yearly progress reports <strong>and</strong> the final<br />

report.<br />

Though relatively simple, the outcome indicators<br />

currently used give reasonable indications<br />

for the expected outcome. Yet, at this<br />

moment the EET Programme Office is investigating<br />

if indicators can be developed that<br />

give more reliable results on the expected<br />

outcome (see Chapter six). An important<br />

condition is that these indicators must be<br />

relatively easy to determine, since the workload<br />

for the project co-ordinator should be<br />

kept at a minimum.<br />

Eco-design<br />

19%<br />

Renewable<br />

resources<br />

21%<br />

Themes<br />

Transport<br />

9% <strong>Sustainable</strong> energy<br />

16%<br />

Participants<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong><br />

industrial processes<br />

42%<br />

><br />

4. PROJECT CHARACTERISTICS AND<br />

EXAMPLES<br />

Universities 20%<br />

Other<br />

4%<br />

SME 27%<br />

Characteristics<br />

There is no such thing as an average EET<br />

project. Nevertheless, based on statistics, an<br />

average (multiyear) EET project can be<br />

described by the following characteristics:<br />

number of project partners: 5<br />

Mostly a consortium comprises the whole<br />

chain of knowledge providers, <strong>and</strong> suppliers<br />

<strong>and</strong> customers (see figure ‘participants’<br />

below, for participation in EET per target<br />

group).<br />

duration of the project: 5 years<br />

costs <strong>and</strong> subsidy: The total mean costs are<br />

EUR 4 million per project of which half is<br />

subsidised (EUR 2 million).<br />

time-to-market: The time-to-market for<br />

most projects is between 7 <strong>and</strong> 10 years.<br />

type of project: The major part of EET projects<br />

fits into the scope of the‘sustainable industrial<br />

production processes’ theme (about <strong>40</strong>%).<br />

The ‘traffic <strong>and</strong> transportation’ theme is least<br />

represented (see figure ‘themes’).<br />

Examples<br />

Some examples of EET projects:<br />

Mega Wind Turbines<br />

The development of 5 to 6 Mega Watt offshore<br />

wind turbines.<br />

Research centres<br />

21%<br />

Companies<br />

21%<br />

All-PP<br />

The development of polypropylene, reinforced<br />

with polypropylene, instead of reinforced<br />

with other fibres.<br />

Eco drive<br />

The development of an optimised power<br />

train comprising a combustion engine, continuous<br />

variable transmission <strong>and</strong> flywheel<br />

for passenger vehicles.<br />

Food preservation<br />

The development of a competitive process<br />

to ensure longer shelf life using ultra high<br />

pressure.<br />

Signature analysis<br />

Prognosis of the lifetime of xerox machines<br />

on the base of changes in behaviour of<br />

electromechanical modules.<br />

Micro-algae<br />

Combined production of fine chemicals <strong>and</strong><br />

energy from micro-algae.<br />

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><br />

5. RESULTS<br />

The programme office evaluates the expected<br />

results of the EET programme on a<br />

regular basis, every two years. The most<br />

recent evaluation was in 2000, based on the<br />

first six tenders (53 projects).<br />

As the EET programme supports projects of<br />

which the expected market-introduction lies<br />

at least five years ahead, hardly any results<br />

(products, processes, services etc) have<br />

entered the market yet. That is why we are<br />

discussing expected results here.<br />

Currently, nearly one hundred multiyear<br />

projects received EET subsidy <strong>and</strong> about 70<br />

‘embryonic projects’ started off. Only a few<br />

EET projects have been completed.<br />

With each tender the EET Programme Office<br />

receives a sufficient number of project proposals.<br />

The quality of the proposals shows a<br />

gradual increase. The scores given by the<br />

Advisory Committee measure this.<br />

About 60% of the embryonic projects result<br />

in an EET project. This is according to the<br />

original intention of these projects. These<br />

one-year projects especially meet with the<br />

needs of research institutes <strong>and</strong> SME in the<br />

research-field.<br />

If all EET projects succeed, this would lead to<br />

an expected increase in turnover <strong>and</strong> cost<br />

reductions of EUR 10 billion. Experts of the<br />

53 evaluated projects estimated that about<br />

10% of the projects will succeed, which<br />

would lead to an economic effect of approximately<br />

EUR 1 billion, compared to subsidies<br />

amounting to EUR 0.13 billion.<br />

A substantial contribution to ecological<br />

aspects is estimated, especially in the fields<br />

of climate (CO 2 emissions), acidification, soil<br />

degradation caused by decrease of thegroundwatertabel,<br />

<strong>and</strong> NOx. In case of<br />

100% success of the projects, this could lead<br />

to an abatement of the above mentioned<br />

environmental problems with resp. approximately<br />

10%, 25%, 45% <strong>and</strong> 5%.<br />

EET projects are highly innovative regarding<br />

><br />

technology. Most projects are aimed at<br />

process innovation <strong>and</strong>/or the technology<br />

component of system innovations. Until the<br />

year 2000 67 patens were submitted.<br />

It should be stated again that the results<br />

mentioned above were based on a 2000<br />

survey – since then three more tenders have<br />

been put out.<br />

6. RECENT AND FUTURE<br />

DEVELOPMENTS<br />

Horizon explorations<br />

In the so-called Horizon Explorations it is<br />

investigated every two years if the ecological<br />

ambitions (themes) of the EET programme<br />

are still in accordance with the<br />

major environmental problems, <strong>and</strong> if<br />

adjustments are necessary in the programme<br />

execution to increase the impact of<br />

EET subsidies.<br />

The last horizon exploration was carried out<br />

in 2001 by a consultancy firm. One of its conclusions<br />

was that the themes were still in<br />

accordance with the topical major environmental<br />

problems. Recommendations have<br />

been made to make minor changes in the<br />

evaluation criteria, so that there will be<br />

more focus on:<br />

- system innovations for sustainability rather<br />

than eco efficiency,<br />

- high risk/high reward, <strong>and</strong><br />

- non-technological activities, such as business<br />

planning, Lifetime Cycle Analysis <strong>and</strong><br />

competitive technology analysis.<br />

In addition it was recommended to increase<br />

the efforts on monitoring by developing a<br />

new monitoring system, named “long-term<br />

impact monitoring”. The objective is to<br />

have a more reliable view on the contribution<br />

of both individual projects <strong>and</strong> the<br />

overall programme to sustainability, at the<br />

start, during en after completion. This monitoring<br />

system should have more advanced<br />

performance indicators compared to the<br />

ones currently used. The indicators must be<br />

applicable on ecology, economy, technology,<br />

the transition to sustainability, community<br />

added value, technology <strong>and</strong> collabora-<br />

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tion between industries, research institutes<br />

<strong>and</strong> universities.<br />

The assessment criteria have been changed<br />

according to the recommendations. No decision<br />

has been made yet on developing the<br />

“long-term impact monitoring system”. The<br />

EET Programme Office has been asked to<br />

investigate the options <strong>and</strong> the feasibility.<br />

This investigation will be performed in the<br />

second half of 2002.<br />

Evaluation of the programme<br />

A consultancy firm currently evaluates the<br />

effectiveness of the EET programme. Almost<br />

thirty subjects of investigation are formulated.<br />

Two of the main subjects are:<br />

- Does the EET programme contribute to a<br />

change of company investments <strong>and</strong> a<br />

direction of R&D towards innovation<br />

towards sustainability (e.g. influence on<br />

investment decisions, influence on the<br />

organisation structure of R&D <strong>and</strong> influence<br />

on technology strategy),<br />

- Does the integration of fundamental<br />

research, industrial research <strong>and</strong> pre-competitive<br />

development <strong>and</strong> the collaboration<br />

between companies, research institutes<br />

<strong>and</strong> universities lead to a better<br />

chance of a successful market introduction<br />

or to an improvement in speed or quality<br />

of R&D.<br />

Preliminary results show that the scheme is<br />

effective in the way that it stimulates the<br />

type of projects that was aimed at at the<br />

start. Since none of the projects has reached<br />

the market yet it is hard to determine the<br />

effects on economy <strong>and</strong> ecology. The EET<br />

programme has made a clear contribution<br />

to the formation of new collaborations <strong>and</strong><br />

networks of excellence in the field of sustainability<br />

<strong>and</strong> has led to in increase in<br />

awareness that collaboration benefits both<br />

the knowledge institutes <strong>and</strong> the companies.<br />

Participants are positive about the<br />

objectives <strong>and</strong> outlines.<br />

The technological institutes <strong>and</strong> to a lesser<br />

extent the universities play a large role in<br />

the projects. These groups make over fifty<br />

percent of the total project costs <strong>and</strong> in<br />

quite a lot of the cases they are the initiators<br />

of the projects. This “dominance” by<br />

the technological institutes is seen as undesirable<br />

by the consultancy firm that evaluates<br />

the EET programme. They interpret it<br />

in the way that the majority of the projects<br />

are so called “technology push”. For these<br />

project there is some concern about the<br />

chances of a successful market introduction.<br />

It is recommended to take more effort<br />

into increasing the role of the industrial<br />

parties <strong>and</strong> to extend the share of business<br />

development (including a technology<br />

implementation plan) within the projects.<br />

The dominance of the knowledge sector<br />

doesn’t come as a surprise. On average the<br />

time to market for an EET project is 8 years<br />

or more. Furthermore it is possible to divide<br />

EET projects in two or more project phases<br />

of at least 2 years each. For each phase a<br />

separate apply for subsidy must be submitted.<br />

Most of the EET projects are still in the<br />

first phase, this means that the emphasis is<br />

on fundamental research. In this phase of<br />

fundamental research companies are reluctant<br />

to take a leading role because of the<br />

high risk. In the second phase, when there is<br />

more confidence in the technology <strong>and</strong> the<br />

business opportunities, we see an increase in<br />

the share of the industries <strong>and</strong> often they<br />

take the lead.<br />

Within companies you see a change from a<br />

central research organisation to research<br />

steered by the business units. For their innovation<br />

process companies are more dependent<br />

on third parties like the technological<br />

institutes <strong>and</strong> universities. At that point<br />

the EET programme fits in perfectly.<br />

Companies participating within the EET<br />

projects have recognised that sustainable<br />

enterprise also is a precondition for the<br />

continuity of a business.<br />

The evaluation mainly focuses on the<br />

programme results so far. But also recommendations<br />

will be made on the necessity to<br />

make adjustments within the scope of the<br />

latest developments in Dutch policy on<br />

sustainability (e.g. the 4th National Environmental<br />

<strong>Policy</strong> Plan).<br />

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The results of the evaluation will be<br />

reported in July 2002.<br />

<strong>Policy</strong><br />

The 4th National Environmental <strong>Policy</strong> Plan<br />

was presented in 2001 (NEPP4). The plan outlines<br />

the Dutch government's environmental<br />

strategy up to the year 2030 both in a<br />

national <strong>and</strong> an international context. Seven<br />

important environmental problems have<br />

been identified. To solve these problems<br />

‘transition to sustainability’ was introduced to<br />

the government’s strategy. Solving the major<br />

environmental problems requires system<br />

innovations: in many cases this can take the<br />

shape of a long drawn-out transformation<br />

process comprising technological, economic,<br />

socio-cultural <strong>and</strong> institutional changes.<br />

The concept of transition is definitely not new.<br />

What is new, however, is the use of the concept<br />

of transitions to describe broad social changes<br />

<strong>and</strong> to explain their mutual connection.<br />

At this moment 4 action plans for transitions<br />

are being prepared:<br />

• sustainable energy supply<br />

• sustainable mobility<br />

• sustainable agriculture<br />

• sustainable use of biodiversity <strong>and</strong> natural<br />

resources<br />

The striving towards sustainable development<br />

raises the question whether transitions<br />

can be managed in such a way that economic,<br />

ecological <strong>and</strong> social goals are met in one<br />

concerted process. In order to explore the<br />

possibilities of transition management the<br />

Ministry of Environment committed a<br />

research project on this subject in the course<br />

of the NEPP4 process. Thus it was found that<br />

managing transitions requires in the first<br />

place a thorough analysis of the actors<br />

involved. This analysis should explicit the perspectives<br />

of the various actors, on which one<br />

transition objective is based. The transition<br />

objective should be described in such a manner<br />

that it is considered as a shared perspective.<br />

Moreover the transition objective should<br />

be reachable via various transition paths,<br />

which makes it attractive for various actors.<br />

Transition management describes the concerted<br />

actions of all relevant parties sharing<br />

a common perspective.<br />

In transition management, the following<br />

principles are important:<br />

• long term goals are leading for short term<br />

policies<br />

• thinking in terms of multi-domain, multiactor<br />

<strong>and</strong> multi-level is required<br />

• learning processes should be organised<br />

• improvement <strong>and</strong> system change should<br />

be combined<br />

• a large number of options should be kept<br />

open<br />

Transition management is not a blueprint,<br />

but a model for development focused on<br />

learning, experimenting <strong>and</strong> innovation.<br />

Transition management tries to combine<br />

public <strong>and</strong> private interests by creating conditions<br />

(e.g. prices that tell the truth) that<br />

direct innovation to sustainability<br />

Recent developments in policy <strong>and</strong> society<br />

have led to several initiatives within the<br />

Ministry of Economic Affairs to give sustainability<br />

a more prominent place in their policy.<br />

One of the examples is the institution of a<br />

project team that will develop new visions <strong>and</strong><br />

strategies on technological innovations for<br />

sustainable development. Yet, it is too early to<br />

say what consequences the outcome of these<br />

initiatives may have on the incentive schemes<br />

for ‘innovations towards sustainability’.<br />

The view towards innovations in the<br />

Netherl<strong>and</strong>s is based on a cyclic innovation<br />

model. Characteristics of this model are:<br />

- innovation on boundaries between disciplines<br />

- thinking multi- & interdisciplinary<br />

- innovation is result of influencing developments<br />

in technology, science, society <strong>and</strong><br />

market<br />

What should <strong>and</strong> can the government do to<br />

promote innovation towards sustainability<br />

In the first place provide a clear <strong>and</strong> consistent<br />

vision on the direction of sustainable<br />

development. This vision should give the<br />

boundary conditions <strong>and</strong> long term perspective,<br />

<strong>and</strong> must give companies <strong>and</strong> knowl-<br />

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edge infrastructure the opportunity to find<br />

the most effective <strong>and</strong> efficient way to reach<br />

these goals. Providing the right conditions<br />

for sustainable development includes a<br />

good legislation <strong>and</strong> transparent competitive<br />

markets. This also includes that environmental<br />

costs are shown in the prices of products<br />

so these become visible for customers.<br />

The keys to successful innovations are cooperation<br />

<strong>and</strong> networks. Often new partnerships<br />

must be started in order to react in<br />

a flexible manner to the changing dem<strong>and</strong><br />

of society. The government needs to stimulate<br />

R&D <strong>and</strong> co-operation between the<br />

different partners in the innovation<br />

process. The Dutch government now has<br />

the task to melt together the insights of<br />

NEPP4 on transitions <strong>and</strong> system innovations<br />

with visions concerning incentives<br />

towards sustainability.<br />

National Initiative for <strong>Sustainable</strong><br />

<strong>Development</strong><br />

Another initiative from the Dutch government<br />

to be mentioned is NIDO, the Dutch<br />

National Initiative for <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong><br />

established in 1999.<br />

NIDO’s aim is to make a quantum leap<br />

forward in sustainable development.<br />

By acting as a spur to new development,<br />

NIDO can help organisations to fulfil their<br />

ambitions with regard to sustainable development.<br />

The Dutch government believes<br />

that major advances can be made if firms,<br />

government bodies, scientists <strong>and</strong> civil-society<br />

organisations are prepared to pool<br />

their resources <strong>and</strong> expertise. The job of<br />

NIDO, as an independent trailblazer, is to<br />

bring the various parties together <strong>and</strong> to<br />

enable each of them to find its own particular<br />

route towards sustainable development<br />

(www.nido.nu).<br />

><br />

Epilogue<br />

As described above the EET programme is<br />

reviewed on a regular base <strong>and</strong> in various<br />

ways in relation to its effectiveness <strong>and</strong> its<br />

accordance with the topical developments<br />

in policy, market <strong>and</strong> society.<br />

Until now, six years from the start, the<br />

formula of the EET programme still is effective<br />

<strong>and</strong> only minor adjustments have been<br />

made in the way of execution. Examples are<br />

the introduction of the embryonic projects<br />

<strong>and</strong> the small changes made in the assessment<br />

criteria.<br />

These regular reviews by the Programme<br />

Office, the Ministries <strong>and</strong> third parties, will<br />

be continued to make sure the connection<br />

with topical developments in policies, market<br />

<strong>and</strong> society will remain to guarantee<br />

that the main objective of the EET<br />

programme, ‘breaking through to sustainability’,<br />

will be realised.<br />

MORE INFORMATION<br />

If you wish more information, feel free to<br />

contact EET Programme Office through our<br />

web site www.eet.nl or through our secretariat,<br />

phone number +31 30 2393 436.<br />

Publications available in English:<br />

- Breaking through to sustainability – innovation,<br />

co-operation, knowledge-building<br />

in joint service of economy <strong>and</strong> environment;<br />

published by EET; December 2000.<br />

- <strong>Innovation</strong> for sustainability – technology<br />

meets the market; published by EET on the<br />

occasion of the EET conference on March<br />

13th <strong>and</strong> 14th, 2002.<br />

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FLANDERS’ NEW SCHEME<br />

OF INNOVATION SUBSIDIES<br />

FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT<br />

PAUL ZEEUWTS<br />

President <strong>IWT</strong>-Vla<strong>and</strong>eren<br />

Paul Zeeuwts is Civil Engineer since 1971,<br />

Master in Economic Science since 1975 <strong>and</strong><br />

holds a Bachelor Degree in Philosophy<br />

(1972), all from the Catholic University of<br />

Leuven.<br />

He started his professional career as a consultant<br />

at the Office for industrial promotion<br />

(Dienst voor Nijverheidsbevordering).<br />

He became project leader in very different<br />

subjects in the energy field, industrial sector<br />

studies (glass, chemical, electricity, cokes,<br />

refineries, etc.), industrial policy, etc.<br />

In 1985 he was transferred to the Research<br />

Service of the Flemish administration (Dienst<br />

Onderzoek).<br />

For two years he became manager in the private<br />

sector, dealing with 'Third party financing'<br />

in energy conservation.<br />

From '88 till '91 he was head of the Cabinet<br />

of the Secretary of State on Science <strong>Policy</strong>.<br />

On 24 July 1991 he was nominated President<br />

of <strong>IWT</strong>.<br />

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1. CONTEXT1.<br />

Context<br />

At the start of the new Flemish Government<br />

in 1999 the general option was taken to<br />

organize subsidies schemes for R&D <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> on a horizontal basis, not specific<br />

for technology domains or sectorial issues. In<br />

the Belgian context innovation policy is a<br />

regional matter. As for Fl<strong>and</strong>ers the following<br />

schemes are in application:<br />

- R&D subsidies for company projects in general,<br />

eventually in collaboration with universities<br />

or research centres.<br />

- A subsidy scheme for SME’s (<strong>Innovation</strong><br />

Studies <strong>and</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong> projects).<br />

scheme or regulation, which could be directly<br />

of use for the scheme that was ambitioned.<br />

Three main issues were:<br />

- The identification of technology projects<br />

that could be considered as having an<br />

innovation goal focused on sustainable<br />

development.<br />

- The determination of an ambition level<br />

towards sustainable development, which<br />

would be sufficient to justify extra incentives.<br />

- The kind of extra incentives that would be<br />

feasible to be worthwhile within the general<br />

objectives of the scheme.<br />

- Projects of long-term strategic basic research<br />

at universities <strong>and</strong> research centres.<br />

- Technology diffusion projects at technical<br />

schools for higher education.<br />

- A scheme for clusters of companies with<br />

projects in the fields of innovation stimulation<br />

<strong>and</strong> synergies, technology assistance<br />

<strong>and</strong> collective research.<br />

- PhD <strong>and</strong> post-doctoral grants in applied<br />

research.<br />

The new Flemish Government as a result was<br />

not in favour to launch specific programs in<br />

the field of <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong>,<br />

Environmental technology or Energy savings<br />

<strong>and</strong> renewables. Instead it was in favour of<br />

integrating the goals of <strong>Sustainable</strong><br />

<strong>Development</strong> in general subsidy schemes.<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong> goals were however<br />

restricted to their ecological dimensions<br />

(environment <strong>and</strong> energy).<br />

In 2001, <strong>IWT</strong> was given the task to elaborate a<br />

regulation to tackle these general objectives<br />

in practical terms. The <strong>IWT</strong>-proposal was accepted<br />

by the Flemish Government on May 3rd of<br />

2002 <strong>and</strong> has been introduced since then.<br />

The general outlines of this regulation are<br />

further developed.<br />

International bench marking didn’t procure a<br />

><br />

2. THE DEFINITION OF TECHNOLOGY<br />

INNOVATION PROJECTS<br />

CONTRIBUTING TO A SUSTAINABLE<br />

DEVELOPMENT SUSTAINABLE<br />

DEVELOPMENT IS A NOTION WITH<br />

VERY DIFFERENT DIMENSIONS<br />

(AGENDA 21 E.A.).<br />

The option was taken to start with a scope<br />

limited to the ecological dimension of ‘sustainable<br />

development’. A broader ambition<br />

will be analysed within the next two years.<br />

Anyhow, the objective of the Flemish<br />

Government was from the beginning in<br />

1999 limited to the ecological dimension.<br />

Following 7 innovation objectives were<br />

selected to characterize projects as “potentially<br />

contributing to sustainable development”:<br />

1. Savings of raw materials<br />

2. Energy savings<br />

3. Reduction of emissions<br />

4. Reduction of waste <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

nuisance (ex. noise, smell, light,<br />

electro-magnetic waves, etc …)<br />

5. Use of renewable energy <strong>and</strong> raw<br />

materials<br />

6. Recycling <strong>and</strong> re-use<br />

7. Enhancing life cycle of products <strong>and</strong><br />

processes<br />

Having at least one of these innovation<br />

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objectives is a necessary condition to be considered<br />

as projects entering the scheme.<br />

3. THE AMBITION LEVELS IN THE<br />

POTENTIAL RESULTS OF INNOVATION<br />

3.1 In general terms, the importance of a<br />

technological innovation for its environmental<br />

impact has to be linked to its<br />

exploitation potential. The technological<br />

performance on itself is not really meaningful<br />

if the related new technology is<br />

not sufficiently diffused through commercial<br />

exploitation. It is preferable to<br />

favour technology with rather limited<br />

environmental improvements per unit of<br />

product or service but with broad commercial<br />

potential (e.g. large series of<br />

products, wide application) than technology<br />

with huge environmental performances<br />

but with a very limited<br />

exploitation potential. Anyhow, all technology<br />

projects supported by <strong>IWT</strong> are<br />

assessed not only on the criterion of<br />

their scientific or technological quality<br />

but also on the criterion of their<br />

exploitation potential<br />

3.2 The ambition level of a project is considered<br />

contributing to the SD-goals in its<br />

technological environmental performance<br />

as “sufficiently high” with an innovation<br />

objective, which is the primary<br />

goal of the project.<br />

What is “sufficiently high”<br />

This has to be situated in the kind of<br />

project. For projects of strategic basic<br />

research with exploitation potential in<br />

the middle or long term, eco-efficiency<br />

improvements have to be in order of at<br />

least 75% (rather “break-through” technologies;<br />

factor 4 or 5). For projects with<br />

a rather short-term exploitation goal,<br />

typically company projects, the eco-efficiency<br />

improvement should reach at<br />

least 50% (factor 1,5; reduction of environmental<br />

impact at least 30%). Both<br />

targets are set in comparison with the<br />

actual performance of technology today.<br />

And in any case, the eco-efficiency levels<br />

of the actual Best Available Technology<br />

(BAT) should be improved.<br />

If these objectives are assessed to be<br />

realistic <strong>and</strong> feasible, the project is considered<br />

as “potentially contributing to a<br />

sustainable development”.<br />

3.3 Different cases could be less clear in the<br />

sufficient ambition level in relation to<br />

the SD-goals:<br />

- Projects can have different innovation<br />

objectives with an improvement of<br />

environmental impacts as one of them.<br />

The environmental goal could be<br />

important or marginal in comparison<br />

with the overall innovation objectives.<br />

- Projects can have a more limited ambition<br />

level in eco-efficiency improvement<br />

but with an important commercial<br />

potential <strong>and</strong> as a result an important<br />

improvement on the environment in<br />

comparison with the actual (industrial)<br />

situation they could substitute.<br />

In these cases a more in-depth analysis is<br />

requested from applicants in order to be<br />

assessed as “projects potentially contributing<br />

to SD”.<br />

The methodology in this approach has<br />

been elaborated in close collaboration<br />

with VITO (Vlaamse Instelling voor<br />

Technologisch Onderzoek, a research<br />

centre in Mol (Fl<strong>and</strong>ers) specialised in<br />

energy <strong>and</strong> environmental technologies).<br />

The methodology proposed is the ECOpoints<br />

approach (ECO-indicator 1999)<br />

closely linked to the LCA-approach(*). The<br />

environmental improvements (as the negative<br />

effects) of the new technology have<br />

to be compared <strong>and</strong> measured in terms of<br />

ECO-points in comparison to the (industrial)<br />

situation that would be substituted<br />

(“reference situation”). Not only per<br />

“unit” but also in relation to the scenarios<br />

of commercial diffusion over a period of<br />

10 years after commercial introduction.<br />

The average expected ECO-points<br />

improvement has than to be “monetarised”,<br />

assuming that on average 1<br />

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ECO-point = 3 . This gives us a (rough)<br />

magnitude of the ecological externalities<br />

ambitioned with a technological <strong>and</strong><br />

commercial successful innovation.<br />

If the ratio of these calculated externalities<br />

related to the total subsidies applied<br />

for, exceed a factor 4, than the project<br />

also can be assessed as sufficiently “contributing<br />

potentially to SD”.<br />

3.4 Overview of the assessment procedures<br />

The procedures described before result<br />

in the following procedure scheme in<br />

order to assess if a project is considered<br />

as contributing to SD or not.<br />

4. EXTRA INCENTIVES FOR<br />

SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT<br />

Two incentive mechanisms are introduced<br />

for projects considered as being potential<br />

contributors to SD. A pre-condition is in any<br />

case that the projects can be considered as<br />

sufficiently good in relation to the other<br />

assessment dimensions (essentially the scientific/<br />

technological quality of the project<br />

<strong>and</strong> the exploitation potential of its results).<br />

Indeed, it would not be acceptable to subsidize<br />

qualitatively poor projects even if they<br />

aim to contribute to SD.<br />

4.1 The mechanism of “priority projects”.<br />

In subsidy schemes where a high level of<br />

subsidies (80% - 100%) is foreseen a subsidy<br />

bonus is not realistic (strategic basic<br />

research at universities; technology diffusion<br />

projects at technical schools for<br />

higher education, etc…). Instead, a<br />

mechanism of “positive discrimination”<br />

in the selection is put forward. This<br />

implies that given the budgetary constraints<br />

for the program a project earmarked<br />

as “contributing to SD” can<br />

obtain a subsidy even if otherwise it<br />

would have been ranked as “good” but<br />

not supported given the overall budget.<br />

This treatment of “positive discrimination”<br />

is however limited to a quota that<br />

should be reached for SD-projects (as a<br />

% of the overall budget). These quotas<br />

are fixed per program <strong>and</strong> increases<br />

gradually over the years.<br />

This mechanism of “priority projects” is also<br />

applicable in programmes with a lower level<br />

of subsidies, in particular to company projects<br />

of R&D. Details on this mechanism would<br />

bring us too far within this contribution.<br />

4.2 A subsidy bonus<br />

Essentially for company projects of R&D<br />

a subsidy bonus of 10% is given if the<br />

project is assessed as “potentially contributing<br />

to SD”. This is compatible with<br />

the R&D-subsidy regulation based upon<br />

the EC-guidelines.<br />

This bonus could also be applied to a<br />

part of the project if this has specific SDgoals<br />

on itself.<br />

A feasibility study linked at an R&D-project,<br />

aiming at SD-goals can also be supported<br />

(50% subsidy; max. 10% of the overall project-budget).<br />

<strong>Innovation</strong> studies in the SMEscheme<br />

can include LCA <strong>and</strong> Ecodesign<br />

studies up to 50% of the overall budget.<br />

Project proposal with potential contribution<br />

to SD applying for SD incentive<br />

Y<br />

Condition 1: <strong>Innovation</strong> goal<br />

primarily focused on SD-objectives, cfr.2<br />

N<br />

Condition 2:<br />

Sufficient eco-efficiency<br />

ambition level; cfr. 3.2<br />

N<br />

Evt. Condition 3:<br />

Ecopoints improvements<br />

in / subsidies > 4; cfr.3.3<br />

Y<br />

Y<br />

Project considered as having a sufficient potential contribution to SD<br />

Project not considered as SD-contributor<br />

SD-incentive (cfr.4)<br />

No SD-incentive<br />

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5. EVALUATION OF THE <strong>IWT</strong>-PROJECT<br />

PORTFOLIO IN THE PAST<br />

5.1 Projects with SD-goals as considered in<br />

this scheme are not new, of course. The<br />

project portfolios of recent years have<br />

been screened within this respect.<br />

In the period October 1997 - September<br />

2000 subsidized company projects<br />

account for about 16% projects that<br />

could (roughly) be considered as SD-projects<br />

within the new scheme. The following<br />

characteristics for these projects can<br />

be analysed:<br />

SD-projects in relation to their ecological<br />

goals<br />

Preventive technology 74%<br />

Reduction of resource use 70%<br />

Environmental<br />

or process monitoring 7%<br />

SD-projects in relation to their<br />

technological ambition<br />

Incremental optimalisation<br />

of products or processes 19%<br />

Product innovation 48%<br />

Process innovation 52%<br />

System innovation 11%<br />

SD-projects in relation to the ecological<br />

impact <strong>and</strong> goals<br />

Ecological impact High (1) Limited (2)<br />

1. Savings in raw materials 19% 26%<br />

2. Energy savings 4% 41%<br />

3. Reduction of emissions 37% 33%<br />

4. Reduction of waste a.o. 0% 30%<br />

5. Renewable energy 4% 4%<br />

6. Recycling <strong>and</strong> re-use 11% 0%<br />

7. Enhancing Life cycle 7% 4%<br />

(1)<br />

More than 30% improvement<br />

(2)<br />

10% to 30% improvement<br />

5.2 In other programmes <strong>and</strong> schemes the<br />

following proportions of SD-earmarked<br />

projects in the portfolios could be<br />

noted, although the SD-definitions were<br />

taken into account in a more qualitative<br />

manner:<br />

- Strategic Basic Research at universities:<br />

20% (2000 - 2001)<br />

- Technology diffusion from Technical<br />

Higher education: 22% (2000 - 2001)<br />

><br />

6. SOME GENERAL COMMENTS<br />

6.1 An “exclusion criterion” has also been<br />

defined: if a project could lead in commercial<br />

exploitation (or project execution)<br />

to (major) problems with actual or<br />

future environmental requirements every<br />

subsidy will be denied.<br />

A more restrictive approach, excluding<br />

for instance subsidies for potential commercialisation<br />

leading to more energy or<br />

raw material consumption, was considered<br />

problematic in application.<br />

6.2 No distinction has been made for ‘endof-the-pipe’<br />

technologies or for projects<br />

aiming at meeting future environmental<br />

requirements. If the technological innovation<br />

is leading to a sufficient high positive<br />

impact it is considered as having a<br />

potential contribution to SD.<br />

6.3 “Window dressing” in project description<br />

could be the case on the SD issue.<br />

However, this is not essentially different<br />

for the issues of scientific/ technological<br />

or exploitation potential in the project<br />

description.<br />

A qualitative assessment <strong>and</strong> a good control<br />

on execution of R&D-activities is the<br />

core responsibility of the subsidy agency<br />

in all aspects of the supported projects.<br />

6.4 It must be clear that a shift of technologies<br />

towards a more sustainable development<br />

cannot be the result of a subsidy<br />

policy for R&D <strong>and</strong> technological innovation<br />

on itself.<br />

A broader set of policy instruments has<br />

to be developed, essentially in the fields<br />

of environmental legislations, economical<br />

<strong>and</strong> fiscal instruments, etc… <strong>Innovation</strong><br />

policy could only be part of an<br />

overall policymaking towards SD. But it<br />

can be one of the signals that the (only)<br />

future for companies <strong>and</strong> for society is in<br />

a <strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong>.<br />

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SUMMARY<br />

TOWARDS POLICY-INTEGRATION<br />

PATRIES BOEKHOLT<br />

Technopolis<br />

The summary by Patries Boekholt attempts<br />

to draw some conclusions referring back to<br />

the objectives of the conference, namely to<br />

see whether a closer integration of innovation<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> environmental policy on<br />

the overlap of innovation for sustainable<br />

development, is feasible. The effectiveness<br />

of innovation policies appears to be difficult<br />

to measure. We do know that individual<br />

policy instruments can not change the<br />

whole innovation system, but the right policy<br />

portfolio possibly could. Environmental<br />

policies have demonstrated some effectiveness<br />

in changing behaviour in addressing<br />

focussed technological challenges. The challenge<br />

now is to extend these more targeted<br />

approaches towards a systemic change<br />

process affecting the broader business community.<br />

We will need further policy innovations<br />

in the field of policy integration.<br />

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><br />

><br />

1. THE AMBITIONS OF<br />

THE CONFERENCE<br />

Government institutions <strong>and</strong> policies are<br />

urged to make ‘policy innovations’ in order<br />

to contribute to environmentally sustainable<br />

growth. Yet do we know whether today’s<br />

innovation policies really make a difference<br />

Has the innovation policy community been<br />

able to demonstrate the ‘additionality’ of<br />

innovation policies of the last decades The<br />

Fl<strong>and</strong>ers 2002 Conference of the Six<br />

Countries Programme (6CP) debated these<br />

two interdependent questions: what has<br />

innovation policy really achieved so far <strong>and</strong><br />

how could it possibly contribute to stimulating<br />

environmental sustainability And what<br />

can the innovation policy community learn<br />

from the achievements of environmental<br />

technology policies, in order to give its mainstream<br />

policy instruments a greener focus<br />

All these were very ambitious questions that<br />

the conference aimed to address in two days.<br />

The conference was one of the first attempts<br />

to see whether a closer integration between<br />

the two worlds is feasible <strong>and</strong> as such<br />

offered the opportunity for ‘a first flirtation’.<br />

The audience of the conference came<br />

from both communities: practitioners <strong>and</strong><br />

policy makers dealing with innovation policy<br />

<strong>and</strong> those dealing with environmental policies.<br />

Over a hundred people attended the<br />

conference. The following paper gives an<br />

overall summary of the presentations <strong>and</strong><br />

discussions during the conference. Without<br />

aiming to be comprehensive, the paper<br />

highlights some of the key issues that were<br />

debated. For more detailed accounts of the<br />

contributions we refer to the papers in these<br />

proceedings.<br />

2. SETTING THE SCENE: IS INNOVATION<br />

POLICY READY FOR A CLOSER<br />

INTEGRATION WITH<br />

ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY<br />

The opening session of the conference set<br />

the scene of the discussion for the following<br />

two days. Whereas innovation policy focuses<br />

on economic well being, environmental policy<br />

focuses on environmental well being.<br />

How can these two seemingly conflicting<br />

objectives meet in order to achieve both A<br />

mix of speakers was chosen with the first<br />

speaker (Ken Guy) spanning the bridge<br />

between innovation <strong>and</strong> environmental policy<br />

issues, the next speaker (George Heaton)<br />

looking at the issues from an environmental<br />

perspective <strong>and</strong> the third keynote (Luke<br />

Georghiou) adding to the debate from the<br />

innovation policy perspective.<br />

In the words of the first key note speaker,<br />

we are addressing the area where innovation<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental policy overlap,<br />

which can be called <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> for<br />

<strong>Sustainable</strong> <strong>Development</strong>. One even smaller<br />

component of this overlap area is<br />

Environmental Technology <strong>Policy</strong>: policies to<br />

stimulate the development of new technologies<br />

<strong>and</strong> processes that help reduce<br />

emissions <strong>and</strong> pollution or save energy. How<br />

this overlapping area is positioned <strong>and</strong><br />

whether it needs widening up is one issue of<br />

debate. The merger of the two domains was<br />

compared with an arranged marriage. “That<br />

they are not an obvious love-match should<br />

be clear after 30 years of parallel co-existence<br />

accompanied by little interaction”<br />

(George Heaton).<br />

The lessons from the environmental policy<br />

perspective is that the end-of-pipe solutions,<br />

which are sought for in current policies, are<br />

not sufficient to tackle the serious problems<br />

that the world is faced with today. In addition,<br />

focusing environmental technology<br />

policy only on those companies in the environmental<br />

industry has a limited impact on<br />

the business sector as a whole. The polluting<br />

industries must be addressed as well. The<br />

public sector could have used the opportunity<br />

of regulatory st<strong>and</strong>ards in a more visionary<br />

way than has been the case so far. Both<br />

environmental <strong>and</strong> innovation policy are in<br />

need for more strategic knowledge about<br />

the development of technologies in the<br />

future.<br />

Remains the question whether innovation<br />

policy has really made a difference<br />

In terms of evaluators <strong>and</strong> policymakers this<br />

is translated in whether policies have addi-<br />

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tionality (what would have happened without<br />

the public support or what has happened<br />

thanks to this support) <strong>and</strong> impact.<br />

Current thinking on additionality identifies<br />

three manifestations: input, output <strong>and</strong><br />

behavioural additionality. All three are difficult<br />

to measure due to problems how to<br />

attribute an effect to a policy intervention,<br />

time lags <strong>and</strong> so on. Particularly the behavioural<br />

additionality is meaningful since policies<br />

aim to have a lasting effect on firm<br />

behaviour <strong>and</strong> competence levels. The<br />

importance of bringing about behavioural<br />

change, in particular improvement of capabilities<br />

<strong>and</strong> skills, is one of the key lessons<br />

from a vast amount of studies on public<br />

incentives. But showing that this has indeed<br />

occurred is not an easy task.<br />

The three keynote speakers confirmed that<br />

we are dealing with two policy worlds, that<br />

are starting to acknowledge they need each<br />

other, in order to have a greater impact on<br />

sustainable economic growth. We have seen<br />

from the contributions of the country cases<br />

that attempts are being made to combine<br />

the two policy domains in integrated instruments.<br />

What came back in all presentations<br />

<strong>and</strong> the discussions was the certitude that<br />

we need to address the policy challenges in<br />

relation to the innovation system: not one<br />

policy instrument can have an impact on this<br />

system, but the right portfolio of policies<br />

could have. If the innovation system consists<br />

of various boxes with for instance the business<br />

sector in one <strong>and</strong> the research organisations<br />

in another, the policy challenges are<br />

to form linkages between the different components<br />

that constitute the innovation systems.<br />

Addressing the innovation <strong>and</strong> sustainability<br />

issues for each of the boxes<br />

separately is not sufficient. From a system<br />

perspective one could begin by questioning<br />

what capabilities <strong>and</strong> incentives are needed<br />

for engagement in sustainable innovation.<br />

This asks for strategic intelligence to analyse<br />

which weak nodes in the system could be<br />

‘repaired’ <strong>and</strong> if so whether the state has a<br />

role to play.<br />

An additional barrier in bridging the innovation<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental policy domains<br />

are the institutional barriers that we can<br />

><br />

find in most countries, where the walls<br />

between the responsible departments are<br />

still high, <strong>and</strong> much is to be done to develop<br />

integrated policy approaches.<br />

3. DO INNOVATION POLICIES MAKE<br />

A DIFFERENCE<br />

We can roughly say that Europe has witnessed<br />

one to two decades of innovation<br />

policy with a wide variation of instruments<br />

aiming to achieve, among others, higher levels<br />

of private R&D investment, more collaboration<br />

between industry <strong>and</strong> public<br />

research organisations, a greater absorptive<br />

capacity of small firms <strong>and</strong> better access to<br />

advice on innovation. The second parallel<br />

sessions in the conference addressed the<br />

question: after years of innovation policy<br />

instruments: do we know what difference<br />

they have made Have they been able to<br />

achieve their objectives<br />

The contributions in this conference came<br />

up with a mixed picture:<br />

1 Yes innovation policy has made a difference,<br />

as is shown by many evaluation studies.<br />

Several presentations showed examples<br />

of evidence from evaluations that<br />

public R&D instruments have made a<br />

difference. Jon Hekl<strong>and</strong> from Norway<br />

explained how the Norwegian evaluation<br />

system is gradually improving the underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

of the additionality of Norwegian<br />

instruments. There seems to be a positive<br />

effect on the R&D activity <strong>and</strong> business<br />

performance. What is more difficult to<br />

capture is the effect on behaviour <strong>and</strong> the<br />

soft factors involved in innovation. Mette<br />

Rye’s presentation showed that public<br />

incentives have a positive effect on the<br />

type of activities business perform: evaluations<br />

show that publicly funded R&D projects<br />

have a higher research component<br />

than privately sponsored R&D projects.<br />

Tom Poot’s contribution was based on a<br />

study of R&D collaborations between firms<br />

<strong>and</strong> between firms <strong>and</strong> research organisations.<br />

It showed that there is a positive correlation<br />

between firms entering in S&T<br />

collaborations, often stimulated by public<br />

incentives, <strong>and</strong> their economic perform-<br />

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Summary<br />

><br />

ance. It also showed that the public funding<br />

of these collaborations has added<br />

value.<br />

2 We can also argue that the impact of public<br />

incentives has been minimal if we look<br />

at a longer time span: in the years 1993-<br />

1998 the proportion of government<br />

support for the Business Expenditure in<br />

R&D (BERD) in OECD countries has gone<br />

down, whereas private R&D investment<br />

went up in this period with 35%, as Luke<br />

Georghiou pointed out<br />

3 The main line of discussion was however<br />

that there is a lot that we do not know<br />

about the effect of innovation policies on<br />

innovation <strong>and</strong> competitiveness. There are<br />

still fundamental methodological problems<br />

in measuring socio-economic impacts.<br />

So we can not say with great certainty<br />

which policy instruments work best. Erik<br />

Arnold’s presentation highlighted that:<br />

- The ‘soft’ factors of innovation are crucial<br />

for economic success<br />

- When assessing the success of policy<br />

instruments, the effect on behavioural<br />

additionality needs to be taken on<br />

board, yet we are not capable of measuring<br />

these<br />

- Thus, if we take input <strong>and</strong> output additionality<br />

concepts as the main test<br />

whether innovation policy works it will<br />

lead to a very narrow definition of what<br />

works<br />

Again it was stressed that it is not sufficient<br />

to look at individual instruments, but how<br />

the policy mix works in relation to the innovation<br />

system. Members of the audience<br />

also stressed that this should not be limited<br />

to innovation policy instruments alone, but<br />

also include general framework conditions<br />

necessary for a knowledge based economy.<br />

4. WHAT CAN INNOVATION POLICY<br />

LEARN FROM ENVIRONMENTAL<br />

TECHNOLOGY POLICIES<br />

Environmental technology policy for years<br />

has had an approach to technology which<br />

aimed at incremental improvements,<br />

addressing specific environmental bottlenecks,<br />

with today’s best available technology.<br />

Some speakers in the conference, particularly<br />

René Kemp <strong>and</strong> Jesper Holm’s contributions,<br />

pleaded for a more systemic<br />

approach to address urgent environmental<br />

problems such as global climate change. This<br />

requires better integration of both policy<br />

realms.<br />

It appears that innovation <strong>and</strong> environmental<br />

technology policies are not that different<br />

in their effect. Evaluations show similar patterns<br />

of additionality, when measured by surveys<br />

of programme participants. One of the<br />

key challenges in environmental technology<br />

policy is finding the right balance between<br />

programmes that support incremental innovations<br />

(the safe route) <strong>and</strong> more integrated<br />

approaches that push radical paradigm shifts<br />

(the risky route). But extremely so than with<br />

‘traditional’ innovations, addressing the<br />

behavioural factor is even more important.<br />

In the debate with the audience a point that<br />

came up was how to define who are the<br />

drivers for sustainable solutions Where is<br />

the market that will act as a catalyst for these<br />

changes. Has enough been done to involve<br />

consumers in acting as drivers It has often<br />

been public dem<strong>and</strong> or public regulations<br />

that served as the driving force. But it was<br />

questioned whether this is sufficient to support<br />

the more radical changes that are necessary<br />

to address long term environmental<br />

problems. Kemp suggested transition management<br />

as an effort to work step by step<br />

towards more radical systems innovations,<br />

based on visions of goals that society wants<br />

to achieve. In the audience debate such a<br />

planned approached was questioned in<br />

terms of finding the right stakeholders to<br />

bring such a process further.<br />

The conference gave the floor to a number<br />

of practical examples of policy measures<br />

which are already in place, <strong>and</strong> which combine<br />

both innovation <strong>and</strong> sustainability as a<br />

goal. These were:<br />

• The German Green Technology Programmes<br />

of the Ministry of Education <strong>and</strong><br />

Science (BMBF) presented by Karl-Ulrich<br />

Voss. These are programmes that aim to<br />

reach mostly traditional industries to<br />

improve competitiveness by introducing<br />

environmental processes <strong>and</strong> products<br />

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Summary<br />

<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES > >> <strong>40</strong><br />

• The Austrian example of Technologies for<br />

sustainable development presented by<br />

Hans-Günther Schwarz of the Austrian<br />

Ministry for Industry. This programme aims<br />

to create a number of green projects with<br />

a high visibility <strong>and</strong> demonstration effect.<br />

Examples are the Green Factory<br />

• The Dutch Economy <strong>and</strong> Ecology <strong>and</strong><br />

Technology programme that supports R&D<br />

projects to develop innovative environmentally<br />

friendly products <strong>and</strong> processes<br />

• The Flemish initiative by <strong>IWT</strong>, presented by<br />

Paul Zeeuwts, to include a green label as<br />

an additional bonus in their mainstream<br />

R&D support instruments. This initiative<br />

will be launched shortly.<br />

The policy practitioners stressed that a key<br />

challenge is to convince the mainstream<br />

companies of the potential benefits (cost<br />

reduction, customer satisfaction, …) of<br />

greener production processes. Another feature<br />

was that most of these instruments,<br />

with the exception of the <strong>IWT</strong> initiative, are<br />

not well integrated in mainstream innovation<br />

policy development. They usually function<br />

as a policy niche with little interaction<br />

><br />

with other R&D <strong>and</strong> innovation policy<br />

instruments. There is a definite lacking sense<br />

of urgency with the ‘mainstream’ innovation<br />

policy makers, of the pressing environmental<br />

problems that we face. So from their<br />

side there are few incentives to also take on<br />

board the effects of their policies on the<br />

environment.<br />

5. OPEN QUESTIONS FOR THE FUTURE<br />

The conference debates revealed that the<br />

two policy spheres have different foci in relation<br />

to the business sector. If the two are to<br />

enter a marriage they would have to find<br />

ways in addressing more similar target<br />

groups. <strong>Innovation</strong> policy usually aims at the<br />

business sector as a whole, in particular those<br />

firms that have the willingness <strong>and</strong> capability<br />

to conduct some form of innovation.<br />

Although innovation policy instruments can<br />

be sectorally or technologically focused, dissemination<br />

to a wider business (<strong>and</strong> research)<br />

community is usually the objective. Another<br />

way of influencing innovation behaviour <strong>and</strong><br />

efforts is setting technical st<strong>and</strong>ards.<br />

Different target groups <strong>and</strong> mechanisms of the two policy spheres<br />

145


Summary<br />

Environmental technology policy on the<br />

other h<strong>and</strong>, mostly focuses on a sub-set of the<br />

business community, e.g. that part of the private<br />

sector that develops <strong>and</strong> sells products<br />

or processes that help sustain the environment.<br />

These instruments have more problems<br />

reaching the wider business communities,<br />

since it requires a much greater effort to<br />

change mindsets of the private sector, if the<br />

economic gains are not immediately evident.<br />

Environmental technology policies have<br />

relied strongly on regulation to change<br />

behaviour of the larger group of firms. This<br />

difference in focus of the two domains is illustrated<br />

in Exhibit 1 below. If innovation policy<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental policy are really to integrate,<br />

<strong>and</strong> if the two want to address the<br />

more systemic changes, more should be done<br />

to reach the business sectors not directly<br />

operating on the environmental technology<br />

markets.<br />

Up to now little has been done in both<br />

spheres to change behaviour by influencing<br />

(consumer) dem<strong>and</strong>. Environmental technology<br />

policy can show some examples where<br />

public dem<strong>and</strong> has stimulated sustainable<br />

solutions (transport, construction, ekolabelling).<br />

In the conference debate it was<br />

put forward that more could be done here.<br />

The challenge of merging innovation <strong>and</strong><br />

environmental technology policies is to<br />

widen the scope of public supported innovations<br />

by setting additional incentives. The<br />

limited number of practical examples does<br />

not yet give us a wide pool of experience, to<br />

show how this can be done best.<br />

And as was stated in one of the debates: we<br />

have to keep in mind that a green development<br />

is only one societal objective, alongside<br />

creating of jobs <strong>and</strong> economic growth.<br />

This tension between objectives will not simply<br />

vanish by breaking down the walls of<br />

bureaucracy.<br />

><br />

6. CONCLUSIONS:<br />

ACHIEVEMENTS OF THE CONFERENCE<br />

The conference is one of the first attempts<br />

to bring together the ‘traditional’ innovation<br />

policy <strong>and</strong> the environmental technology<br />

policy communities.<br />

We can not expect that it has already contributed<br />

to the ‘marriage plans’, but at the<br />

least it has facilitated a first flirtation. There<br />

are still many questions raised during the<br />

conference, that remain to be dealt with:<br />

• How do we create a ‘sense of urgency’<br />

with innovation policy makers regarding<br />

sustainability problems Sustainability is<br />

not high on the policy agenda <strong>and</strong> still<br />

asks for more ‘mainstreaming’.<br />

• The institutional barriers in the public sector<br />

are a major impediment. There is a<br />

need for innovation of policy making<br />

• The debates pointed out that we need<br />

strategic intelligence to underst<strong>and</strong> how<br />

to change mindsets in businesses. But what<br />

type of intelligence is this exactly<br />

• Some have argued that environmental policies<br />

do not take sufficient account of the<br />

market forces <strong>and</strong> the competitive environment<br />

of the business sector. Will the marriage<br />

between the two enhance the market<br />

orientation of sustainability policies<br />

• The incremental approach of most environmental<br />

technology programmes is not<br />

sufficient to address the pressing issues.<br />

Environmental policy experts argue that<br />

we need paradigm shifts. But how to bring<br />

about such a radical shift in mind sets<br />

How does this relate to the innovation system<br />

approach which innovation experts<br />

tend to apply. And what does it mean for<br />

policy implementation<br />

The Panel debate at the end of the conference<br />

took up most of these challenging<br />

questions, for which an hours discussion is<br />

barely sufficient. The Six Countries programme<br />

organisers have taken it upon them<br />

to continue the discussion on the theme of<br />

integrated policy approaches, reflected in<br />

the programme for the autumn conference<br />

in Germany (see.6cp.org).<br />

146


REEDS VERSCHENEN BIJ HET <strong>IWT</strong>-OBSERVATORIUM<br />

VTO-STUDIES:<br />

1/ Het Vlaams Innovatiesysteem: een nieuw statistisch beleidskader<br />

1annex/ Theoretische en empirische bouwstenen van het ‘Vlaams Innovatie Systeem’<br />

2/ Innovatiestrategieën bij Vlaamse industriële ondernemingen<br />

3/ Octrooien in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren: technologie bekeken vanuit een strategisch perspectief<br />

Deel 1: Octrooien als indicator van het technologiesysteem<br />

4/ De impact van technologische innovaties op jobcreatie en jobdestructie in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren<br />

5/ Strategische verschillen tussen innovatieve KMO’s : Een kijkje in de zwarte doos<br />

6/ Octrooien in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren: technologie bekeken vanuit een strategisch perspectief<br />

Deel 2: Analyse van het technologiel<strong>and</strong>schap in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren<br />

7/ Diffusie van belichaamde technologie in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren: een empirisch onderzoek op basis<br />

van input/outputgegevens<br />

7 annex/ Methodologische achtergronden bij het empirisch onderzoek naar de Vlaamse<br />

technologiediffusie<br />

8/ Schept het innovatiebeleid werkgelegenheid<br />

9/ Samenwerking in O&O tussen actoren van het “VINS”<br />

10/ Octrooien in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren: technologie bekeken vanuit een strategisch perspectief<br />

Deel 3: De internationale technologiepositie van Vla<strong>and</strong>eren aan de h<strong>and</strong> van octrooi<br />

posities<br />

Deel 4: Sporadische en frequent octrooierende ondernemingen : profielen<br />

11/ Technologiediffusie in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren. Enquêteresultaten - Product- en diensteninnovatie:<br />

evolutie 1992-1994-1997<br />

12/ Technologiediffusie in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren. Enquêteresultaten - Hoogtechnologische producten:<br />

evolutie 1992-1994-1997<br />

13/ Technologiediffusie in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren. Enquêteresultaten - Procesautomatisering:<br />

evolutie 1992-1994-1997<br />

14/ Technologiediffusie in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren. Methodologie en vragenlijst<br />

15/ Financiering van innovatie in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren. Het aanbod van risicokapitaal.<br />

16/ Product- en diensteninnovativiteit van Vlaamse ondernemingen. Enquêteresultaten 1997<br />

17/ Adoptie van procesautomatisering en informatie- en communicatietechnologie in<br />

Vla<strong>and</strong>eren. Enquêteresultaten 1997<br />

18/ Performantieprofiel en typologie van innoverende bedrijven in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren. Waarin verschillen<br />

innoverende bedrijven van niet-innoverende bedrijven. Enquêteresultaten 1997<br />

19/ De werkgelegenheidsimpact van innovatie: is de aard van de innovatie-strategie belangrijk<br />

20/ Samenwerking in O&O tussen actoren van het “VINS”<br />

Deel 2: Samenwerking in een aantal specifieke technologische disciplines


<strong>IWT</strong>-STUDIES:<br />

21/ Clusterbeleid: Een innovatie instrument voor Vla<strong>and</strong>eren<br />

Reflecties op basis van een analyse van de automobielsector<br />

22/ Benchmarken en meten van innovatie in KMO’s<br />

23/ Samenwerkingsverb<strong>and</strong>en in O&O en kennisdiffusie<br />

24/ Financiering van innovatie in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren. De venture capital sector in internationaal<br />

perspectief<br />

25/ De O&O-inspanningen van de bedrijven in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren - De regionale uitsplitsing van<br />

de O&O-uitgaven en O&O-tewerkstelling in België 1971-1989<br />

26/ De O&O-inspanningen van de bedrijven in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren - Een perspectief vanuit de<br />

enquête voor 1996-1997<br />

27/ Identificatie van techno-economische clusters in Vla<strong>and</strong>eren op basis van input-outputgegevens<br />

voor 1995<br />

28/ The Flemish innovation system: an external viewpoint<br />

29/ Geïntegreerd innovatiebeleid naar KMO’s toe. Casestudie: Nederl<strong>and</strong><br />

30/ Clusterbeleid als hefboom tot innovatie<br />

31/ Resultaten van de O&O-enquête bij de Vlaamse bedrijven<br />

32/ ‘Match-mismatch’ in de O&O-bestedingen van Vlaamse en Belgische bedrijven in termen<br />

van de evolutie van sectoriële a<strong>and</strong>elen<br />

33/ ‘Additionaliteit’- versus ‘substitutie’-effecten van overheidssteun aan O&O in bedrijven in<br />

Vla<strong>and</strong>eren: een econometrische analyse aangevuld met de resultaten van een kwalitatieve<br />

bevraging<br />

34/ Het innovatiebeleid in Ierl<strong>and</strong> als geïntegreerd element van het ontwikkelingsbeleid: van<br />

buitenl<strong>and</strong>se investeringen naar ‘home spun growth’<br />

35/ ICT Clusters in Fl<strong>and</strong>ers: Co-operation in <strong>Innovation</strong> in the New Network Economy<br />

36/ Het fenomeen spin-off in België<br />

37/ KMO-innovatiebeleid levert toegevoegde waarde aan Vlaamse bedrijven<br />

38/ Technology watch in Europa: een vergelijkende analyse<br />

39/ ICT-Monitor Vla<strong>and</strong>eren: Eindrapport van een haalbaarheidsstudie


WHAT IS THE <strong>IWT</strong><br />

The Institute for the promotion of innovation through science <strong>and</strong> technology<br />

in Fl<strong>and</strong>ers (<strong>IWT</strong>-Vla<strong>and</strong>eren) is an autonomous public body, established by the<br />

Flemish government in 1991 to support industrial R&D in Fl<strong>and</strong>ers. For this <strong>IWT</strong><br />

has various sources of finance through which financial assistance totalling euro<br />

200 millions is provided annually.<br />

It also provides services to Flemish companies in the area of technology transfer,<br />

partner search, preparation of projects under European programmes, etc.<br />

Through these activities <strong>and</strong> others <strong>IWT</strong> is developing into a knowledge centre<br />

for R&D <strong>and</strong> innovation in Fl<strong>and</strong>ers.<br />

WHAT IS THE <strong>IWT</strong>-OBSERVATORY<br />

The <strong>IWT</strong>-Observatory (<strong>Innovation</strong> - Science - Technology) is a division of <strong>IWT</strong>-Vla<strong>and</strong>eren which<br />

focuses on policy support through policy indicators <strong>and</strong> policy studies. The <strong>IWT</strong>-Observatory organises<br />

technology surveys <strong>and</strong> collects indicators on the R&D <strong>and</strong> innovation activities of companies in<br />

Fl<strong>and</strong>ers.<br />

The most important task of the <strong>IWT</strong>-Observatory, however, is the organisation of innovation studies,<br />

with support from external research groups, for the purpose of deepening knowledge of the Flemish<br />

innovation system, bench-marking against foreign (policy) experience, introduction of new insights<br />

from innovation theory, <strong>and</strong> providing access to data from specialised surveys <strong>and</strong> databases. Until<br />

the end of 1998 the <strong>IWT</strong>-Observatory was known as the Vlaams Technologie Observatorium (VTO).

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