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loss model - Bosna RE

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Simple Stochastic Model for Large Losses<br />

Fictitious Example for Green Card XL Reinsurance<br />

• Reinsurance for 3 layers:<br />

1. Layer: 200.000 EUR xs 200.000 EUR<br />

2. Layer: 600.000 EUR xs 400.000 EUR<br />

3. Layer: unlimited xs 1.000.000 EUR.<br />

• Data:<br />

new contract period: 2009<br />

same portfolio for 10 years<br />

<strong>loss</strong> history for the years 1999 – 2008:<br />

complete list of all <strong>loss</strong>es above 100.000 EUR.<br />

What is the price for reinsurance?<br />

Problem: We do not know the future <strong>loss</strong>es.<br />

5

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