Asia-Pacific Climate Change Forum 2013 - Asia Pacific Adaptation ...
Asia-Pacific Climate Change Forum 2013 - Asia Pacific Adaptation ...
Asia-Pacific Climate Change Forum 2013 - Asia Pacific Adaptation ...
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<strong>Asia</strong>-<strong>Pacific</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>Forum</strong> <strong>2013</strong><br />
18-20 March <strong>2013</strong>, Incheon, Rebublic of Korea<br />
T. Chuluun, Ph.D., Director General<br />
Department of Green Development Policy & Planning<br />
Ministry of Environment and Green Development
Measuring sustainable development<br />
• & climate compatible development<br />
• Tackling global risks<br />
“Green civilization” strategy of Mongolia<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> compatible development of the<br />
Mongolian Gobi<br />
• Introduction of adaptation technologies for SD<br />
• Carbon sequestration by rangelands
<strong>Climate</strong> compatible development with triple<br />
wins for mitigation, adaptation & development<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> resilient Co-benefits<br />
development<br />
<strong>Climate</strong><br />
compatible<br />
development<br />
Low carbon<br />
development
Impact<br />
Likelihood<br />
Over next 10 years<br />
Global Economic<br />
<strong>Forum</strong> Report<br />
Major systemic<br />
financial failure<br />
Food shortage crises<br />
Water supply crises<br />
Chronic fiscal imbalances<br />
Severe income disparity<br />
Rising greenhouse gas emissions<br />
<strong>Climate</strong> change is<br />
beoynd planetary<br />
boundary
SUSTAINABILITY INDEX<br />
SI = F(Wealth, Environment, Equity)<br />
Environment (CO2 emission per capita, in reverse way)<br />
Equity (Gini coefficient)<br />
Equity & Environmental Index<br />
actual value − minimum value<br />
= 1 −<br />
maximum value − minimum value<br />
Sustainability Index = (Wealth * Environment * Equity) 1/3<br />
Chuluun, PUP, London and Outreach, 27 March 2012, page 4.
Ranking of countries by<br />
Sustainability Index 2011
Rank by Sustainability Index:<br />
economic, environmental & social<br />
HDI-2011 Rank Country<br />
1 Norway<br />
2 Australia<br />
3 Netherlands<br />
4 United States<br />
5 New Zealand<br />
6 Canada<br />
7 Ireland<br />
8 Liechtenstein<br />
9 Germany<br />
10 Sweden<br />
SI-2011 rank Country<br />
1 Sweden<br />
2 Denmark<br />
3 Norway<br />
4 Japan<br />
5 Malta<br />
6 Iceland<br />
7 Austria<br />
8 Germany<br />
9 Slovakia<br />
10 Finland
GREEN<br />
CIVILIZATION<br />
Political<br />
Governance for<br />
sustainability<br />
Economic<br />
Green<br />
economy<br />
Equity &<br />
poverty<br />
eradication<br />
Social<br />
<strong>Climate</strong><br />
compatible<br />
development<br />
Chuluun, MEGD<br />
Environmental<br />
Cultural<br />
Natural-cultural heritage<br />
Mongolia -<br />
an open<br />
complex<br />
adaptive<br />
system
Vulnerability assessment methodology<br />
<strong>Climate</strong><br />
change factor<br />
Drought<br />
Drought+zud<br />
Ecological<br />
Vulnerability<br />
Human<br />
factor<br />
Pasture use<br />
Socio-Economic<br />
Vulnerability<br />
Social-ecological<br />
vulnerability
1970<br />
1974<br />
1978<br />
1982<br />
1986<br />
1990<br />
1994<br />
1998<br />
2002<br />
2006<br />
Ecological vulnerability<br />
1970-1990 1991-2008<br />
0.60<br />
Long-term ecological<br />
0.50<br />
vulnerability dynamics 0.40<br />
in Mongolia 0.30
Social-ecological vulnerability of<br />
pastoral systems in Mongolia<br />
Bayan-<br />
Ulgii<br />
Uvs<br />
Hovd<br />
Zavhan<br />
Huvsgul<br />
Arhangai<br />
Bulgan<br />
Selenge<br />
Tuv<br />
Hentii<br />
Dornod<br />
Govi-Altai<br />
Baynahong<br />
or<br />
Uvurhangai<br />
Dundgovi<br />
Dornogovi<br />
Suhbaatar<br />
W<br />
N<br />
S<br />
E<br />
Umnugovi<br />
LEGEND<br />
< 0.25<br />
0.26 - 0.35<br />
0.36 - 0.45<br />
0.46 - 0.55<br />
0.56 <<br />
No data<br />
Social-ecological vulnerability = ecological vulnerability + poverty indexes (UNDP)<br />
Chuluun, T. 2011. Land degradation and desertification in Mongolia.<br />
Background paper for the Mongolia Human Development Report 2011.
From Nomadic Civilization to Green Civilization<br />
Globally Important Agricultural Heritage System<br />
World/National Natural & Cultural Heritage Site<br />
<strong>Adaptation</strong> Technologies
Bayarlalaa!<br />
Gamza hamida!
Global “bright”<br />
future is an<br />
emergent<br />
property!
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