ATEAM partnersWageningen University (WU), Wageningen, The Netherlands– Rik Leemans (co-coordinator), Frits MohrenCentre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle & Evolutive (CEFE), Montpellier,France – Sandra LavorelEidgenössische Technische Hochschule Zürich (ETH),Zürich, Switzerland – Harald BugmannMax Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry (MPI-BGC),Jena, Germany – I. Colin PrenticeLund University (LU), Lund, Sweden – Martin SykesUniversité Catholique de Louvain (UCL), Louvain-Ia-Neuve,Belgium – Mark RounsevellCentre de Recerca Ecològica i Aplicacions Forestals(CREAF), Barcelona, Spain – Santi SabatéInstitute of Arable Crops Research (RES), Rothamsted,United Kingdom – Pete Smith (now at University ofAberdeen)University of Southampton (SOTON), Southampton,United Kingdom – Nigel W. ArnellUniversidad de Castilla-La Mancha (UCLM), Toledo, Spain– José Manuel MorenoEuropean Forest Institute (EFI), Joensuu, Finland– Timo KarjalainenATEAMAdvancedTerrestrialEcosystemAnalysis andModellingCoordinating InstitutePotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research,Potsdam, GermanyWolfgang Cramer (project leader)Dagmar Schröter (scientific co-ordinator)The founding of PIK in 1992 arose out of the growingneed of decision-makers for scientific information on theconsequences of global change. PIK promotes managementstrategies for sustainable development by studyingthe complex interactions between earth-system componentsand society.PIK contributes actively to programmes such as the InternationalGeosphere-Biosphere Programme (IGBP), theMillennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) and the IntergovernmentalPanel on Climate Change (IPCC).www.pik-potsdam.de/ateam/ATEAM subcontractors:Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE), Helsinki, Finland– Timothy CarterLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de I’Environnement(LSCE), Paris, France – Pierre FriedlingsteinSilsoe Research Institute (SRI), Bedford, United Kingdom– Eric AudsleyTyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University ofEast Anglia (UEA), Norwich, United Kingdom– Mike HulmeUniversity of Sheffield (US), Sheffield, United Kingdom– F. lan WoodwardUniversity of Georgia (UGA), Athens, Georgia, USA– Bruce BeckFor more information contact: Dagmar Schröter,tel. +49 331 288 2639, Dagmar.Schroeter@pik-potsdam.deVisit our ATEAM website atwww.pik-potsdam.de/ateam/A project funded by the EU and led by the PotsdamInstitute for Climate lmpact Research.Project No. EVK2-2000-00075, 5th FrameworkProgramme of the European Commission, 2001 – 2003.Global change – Global change includes changes inclimate, atmospheric composition (e.g. CO 2 concentration),in deposition of nitrogen (and othersubstances), biodiversity and land use.
The ATEAM projectEcosystems provide a number of vital services for Europeanpeople and society. Global environmental changes such asclimate change, land use change and atmospheric pollutioncan have large effects on these ecosystem services. Forexample, the capacity of European ecosystems to providefresh water, agricultural products, biodiversity and recreationalopportunities is likely to be affected by global change.Many people and organisations in Europe have a directinterest in the successful functioning and well-being ofecosystems. The ATEAM project is concerned with the risksthat global change poses to the interests of these stakeholders.By assessing the vulnerability of ecosystem servicesto global change ATEAM will support stakeholders intheir decision-making and will promote the sustainableuse of ecosystem services.The vulnerability assessment itself is based on comprehensivestate-of-the-art databases and the application ofnumerical simulation models. Future conditions are exploredusing a range of scenarios which are generatedwith the aim of testing several policy options.The ATEAM stakeholder dialogueATEAM initiates a dialogue that crosses the boundariesbetween economic, social and scientific spheres. This dialoguebrings together decision-makers and scientists toidentify the most important ecosystem services in Europein a process of mutual learning. ATEAM involves managersand decision-makers from the agricultural, forestry,energy, water, nature conservation, recreation and tourismStakeholders – people and organisations whohave an interest in information on ecosystemservices and their vulnerability to global change.Stakeholders for ATEAM include natural resourcemanagers, planners and decision-makers, bothwithin the private and the public sector.www.pik-potsdam.de/ateam/The map on the left depicts the total terrestrial carbon pools in Europe (1980, kg Cm -2 ). Themap on the right shows carbon emission and uptake (g Cm -2 ) between the years 1980 – 1989(by LPJ-DGVM). ATEAM will produce maps for future scenarios up to the year 2100. Thesemaps can serve as direct input into decision-making on greenhouse-gas reduction strategies.Red shades: carbon emission; green shades: carbon uptake.sectors, as well as scientists whose work focuses onmodelling the effects of global change on these sectors. Along-term collaboration will help scientists to deliver moremeaningful information to stakeholders. The partnershipbetween stakeholders and scientists reflects a new era ofsustainable environmental management.ATEAM productsATEAM will produce Europe-wide maps of vulnerability ofthose ecosystem services that are relevant to stakeholders.A comprehensive ecosystem modelling framework will beapplied to produce plausible future scenarios based onvarious possible socio-economic developments. These mapswill be fundamental for ‘if-then-analyses’.For example, under certain climatic and socio-economicscenarios Southem European ecosystems might turn intoan important carbon source (see maps above, for illustrationonly). Such information is important regarding Europeancommitments under the Kyoto Protocol. Similar mapswill be developed for timber production, water resourcesand other ecosystem services.In workshops and by means of a continuous dialogue, stakeholdersand scientists will generate and review suchmaps to ensure and improve their value to managers anddecision-makers. ATEAM’s target is both to promotesustainable environmental management and to assessbusiness opportunities.Examples of ecosystem services are......biodiversity(shown here:Vanessa atalanta),...agriculturalproducts,...recreationalopportunities.Ecosystem services – Ecosystem services are theconditions and processes through which ecosystems,and the organisms that make them up,sustain and fulfil human life.Vulnerability – Vulnerability is the degree towhich an ecosystem service is sensitive to globalchange combined with the degree to which thesector that relies on this service is unable tocope with the changes.Ecosystems may absorband store CO 2 for sometime, and they mayprovide substitutes forfossil fuels in energyproduction.The red grouse (Lagopuslagopus scoticus) acts as asymbol for intact wildlifeand is therefore suitablefor marketing huntingholidays and whiskies.A fossil-fuel drivenpower plant contributesto climate change byproducing CO 2.The frequency andintensity of floods mayincrease as a result ofclimate and land usechange – ecosystemsmay be managed toalleviate the effects.