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NCB Capital Research DepartmentJune 2009Economic ResearchDr Jarmo T Kotilainej.kotilaine@ncbc.<strong>com</strong>Equity ResearchPravin L Rajendranp.rajendran@ncbc.<strong>com</strong>Farouk Miahf.miah@ncbc.<strong>com</strong>Ahmed Al-Qahtaniah.alqahtani@ncbc.<strong>com</strong>Tariq Al-Alaiwatt.alalaiwat@ncbc.<strong>com</strong>Reem Al Khalifar.alkhalifa@ncbc.<strong>com</strong>ProductionMartin K Arokiarajm.raj@ncbc.<strong>com</strong>Saudi Arabia FactbookGateway <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> KingdomPlease refer <strong>to</strong> last page for important disclaimerWe look for more


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KSA ECONOMY AND NATION 5Outlook and direction 6Gulf renaissance 6KSA remains an attractive proposition 6Oil price a short-term concern 7Global recessionary fears 9Economic performance 10Strong hydrocarbons fundamentals 15Beyond oil 18International trade 22SAUDI STOCK EXCHANGE 25His<strong>to</strong>ry and overview 26The leading GCC equity market 26Market <strong>com</strong>position 29Market regulation and supervision 32Execution of trades 32Tadawul’s performance in 2008 33Comparison with Global Emerging Markets 35SECTOR PERFORMANCE 37-107COMPANY PROFILES 109-259Contents


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KSA: Economy and NationSearching growth beyond oil• Capital – Riyadh• Population – 28.1mn (July 2008E)• Land area – 2.3m sq km• Climate – Hot and dry with mild winters• Language – Arabic• Currency – Saudi Riyal (SR) 1 = 20 qirsh = 100 halalas. The Saudi Riyal (SR) ispegged <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> US Dollar (USD) at <strong>the</strong> rate of USD1=SR 3.745• Nominal GDP 2007 – USD381.5bn• Nominal GDP 2008E – USD467.5bn• Time – GMT + 3:00 Hrs• Fiscal year – Calendar year (January – December)• Tadawul (s<strong>to</strong>ck market) market capitalization – USD246.5bn (as on 31 December2008)• Oil reserves – 264.3bn barrels; nearly 25% of <strong>the</strong> world’s proven oil reserves


Outlook and directionA Gulf renaissanceRapid growth pushes GCCfur<strong>the</strong>r up <strong>the</strong> global economicladder; <strong>the</strong> region had <strong>the</strong>eighth-largest GDP in <strong>the</strong>emerging world in 2007Rapid economic growth over <strong>the</strong> past few years has made <strong>the</strong> Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)region an increasingly significant bloc in global emerging markets. The GCC’s nominal GDP hastripled in value since 2002 and is expected <strong>to</strong> have exceeded USD1trn in 2008. High oil pricesin 2003-2007 fueled <strong>the</strong> expansion of <strong>the</strong> regional economy at an average annual rate of 7.4%in real terms. This marked a dramatic acceleration over <strong>the</strong> 1998-2002 average of 2.5% andwent hand in hand with <strong>the</strong> strategy <strong>to</strong> invest <strong>the</strong> petrodollar windfall in sustainabledevelopment. Diversification and greater global integration established <strong>the</strong>mselves as key<strong>the</strong>mes of Government policy. Infrastructure spending emerged as a particular priority,particularly in <strong>the</strong> areas of transportation, water desalination, and energy. At <strong>the</strong> same time, <strong>the</strong>investment environment underwent a dramatic improvement as ambitious regula<strong>to</strong>ry reformscame <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>plement <strong>the</strong> region’s traditional macroeconomic stability.After a string of golden years, when talk of a super-cycle began <strong>to</strong> generate expectations of <strong>the</strong>irreversibility of <strong>the</strong> boom, <strong>the</strong> near-term outlook has changed <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong>ly. The intensifyingeconomic turmoil globally led <strong>to</strong> a sharp fall in oil prices, significantly tighter credit conditions,and lower confidence. According <strong>to</strong> April-09 IMF projections, Middle East is expected <strong>to</strong> grow by2.5% and 3.5% in 2009 and 2010 respectively. We expect that <strong>the</strong> Saudi economy will almostcertainly not exceed 1.0% real growth in 2009; and <strong>the</strong> IMF now projects a 0.9% real decline inGDP. However, higher oil prices should push growth back <strong>to</strong> trend in 2010. The situation in <strong>the</strong>rest of <strong>the</strong> GCC will be largely <strong>com</strong>parable, with Kuwait and <strong>the</strong> UAE (particularly Dubai)especially hard hit.KSA remains an attractive propositionKSA’s strategy ofdiversification is streng<strong>the</strong>ningits business climateThe Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) is by far <strong>the</strong> largest economy in <strong>the</strong> Middle East. Itaccounts for nearly half of <strong>the</strong> GCC’s GDP and more than a third of <strong>the</strong> Middle East and NorthAfrica GDP. As <strong>the</strong> world’s largest producer and exporter of oil, KSA has been a leadingbeneficiary of buoyant crude prices in recent years, earning approximately USD548.5bn from oilexports during 2003–07. Saudi authorities have also endorsed <strong>the</strong> need <strong>to</strong> capitalize on <strong>the</strong>windfall <strong>to</strong> foster economic diversification and sustainable growth. The authorities haveanchored <strong>the</strong>se steps in greater global integration, not least <strong>the</strong> country’s accession <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> WTOin Dec 05. This move has encouraged foreign investment in various sec<strong>to</strong>rs such astele<strong>com</strong>munications, banking, infrastructure, <strong>to</strong>urism, metals, and mining. Liberalization of <strong>the</strong>tele<strong>com</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r resulted in <strong>the</strong> entry of new <strong>com</strong>panies in KSA’s fixed-line telephone and mobilesegments. The Saudi Government fur<strong>the</strong>r raised <strong>the</strong> ceiling on foreign ownership in domesticbanks <strong>to</strong> 60% from 40% in 2007 and opened <strong>the</strong> insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> greater foreign investment.The Saudi authorities have taken impressive steps <strong>to</strong> create an attractive business climate and<strong>the</strong> progress <strong>to</strong> date has been recognized by external observers and foreign inves<strong>to</strong>rs alike.The World Bank has identified Saudi Arabia as a leading reformer globally and <strong>the</strong> Kingdomhas risen from 67th <strong>to</strong> 16th position in <strong>the</strong> World Bank’s Ease of Doing Business Index inless than three years. It is now <strong>the</strong> highest-ranked Middle Eastern country. The improvedbusiness environment has triggered an unprecedented FDI boom in recent years. At home, <strong>the</strong>development of <strong>the</strong> financial sec<strong>to</strong>r has facilitated ambitious investments by Saudi corporationsand significantly boosted <strong>the</strong> role of non-oil sec<strong>to</strong>rs as well as private entrepreneurship in <strong>the</strong>economy. These efforts have in turn fueled rapid growth with <strong>the</strong> country’s real GDP expandingJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK6


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONat a CAGR of 5.0% in 2002-2007. GDP growth in 2008 accelerated <strong>to</strong> 4.2% from <strong>the</strong> previousyear’s 3.5%, despite a sharp slowdown in <strong>the</strong> second half of <strong>the</strong> year.KSA’s impressive economicprofile is supported by threemain fac<strong>to</strong>rs• Regula<strong>to</strong>ry andinstitutional reforms• Large petrodollar reserves• Strong demographicprofileThe progress of regula<strong>to</strong>ry and institutional reforms has <strong>com</strong>plemented <strong>the</strong> established robustmacroeconomic health of KSA. Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA), <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s centralbank, has been highly successful in ensuring price stability, while fiscal policy has built oncautious assumptions about <strong>the</strong> oil price. For years, <strong>the</strong> Saudi Government has used its largelyoil-driven surpluses <strong>to</strong> pay down <strong>the</strong> country’s external and public sec<strong>to</strong>r debt burden, whichwas accumulated during <strong>the</strong> period of low oil prices of 1980s and 90s. Domestic Governmentdebt in 2008 declined <strong>to</strong> 13.5% of GDP, <strong>com</strong>pared with a peak of 119% in 1999.Although Saudi Arabia was a key beneficiary of <strong>the</strong> global imbalances that accumulated during<strong>the</strong> recent boom, it was relatively successful in preventing <strong>the</strong> mounting surpluses from derailingits macroeconomic stability. The greatest source of concern was <strong>the</strong> takeoff in inflation in 2006-2008, partly because <strong>the</strong> dollar peg limited SAMA’s au<strong>to</strong>nomy in countering <strong>the</strong> price pressures.O<strong>the</strong>rwise, with some 90% of budget revenues <strong>com</strong>ing from oil, <strong>the</strong> petrodollar windfall largelytranslated in<strong>to</strong> large fiscal surpluses, which peaked at SR590bn, or 33.7% of GDP in 2008,<strong>com</strong>pared with a surplus of 12.5% of GDP in 2007. The reserves amassed by SAMA and o<strong>the</strong>rentities have placed <strong>the</strong> Saudi economy well, preparing it <strong>to</strong> wea<strong>the</strong>r even severe economicturbulence in <strong>the</strong> near future. SAMA’s net foreign assets reached SR1,702bn at <strong>the</strong> end of Nov08 from SR1,171bn in 2007.An important driver of <strong>the</strong> attractiveness of <strong>the</strong> Saudi economy is its sheer size and regionalimportance. For instance, with a market-cap of USD246.5bn as on 31 Dec 08, Tadawulaccounts for more than 45% of GCC’s aggregate market capitalization. From <strong>the</strong>perspective of inves<strong>to</strong>rs, <strong>the</strong> Kingdom boasts <strong>the</strong> largest market in <strong>the</strong> region – a youngpopulation of just under 30 million – and some of <strong>the</strong> largest corporate houses. Major newinfrastructure projects with increased private-sec<strong>to</strong>r participation are under way, particularly inpower, water, housing, transport, roads, and railways.Oil price a short-term concernOil prices went on a rollercoasterride, <strong>to</strong>uching <strong>the</strong> peakof USD147 per barrel and <strong>the</strong>ndropping <strong>to</strong> USD40 per barrelduring 2008Until recently, <strong>the</strong> rally in oil prices seemed almost uns<strong>to</strong>ppable with especially emerging marketdemand – typically less price sensitive due <strong>to</strong> price controls and subsidies – looking extremelyrobust. None<strong>the</strong>less, since an all-time high of USD147 per barrel of oil in July 08, <strong>the</strong> oil marketdynamic had experienced a <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong> reversal. Heightened levels of uncertainty about <strong>the</strong>extent and duration of <strong>the</strong> global crisis have weighed on market sentiment. As a result, oil pricestemporarily dipped below <strong>the</strong> USD40 mark. However, recent months have been characterizedby a relative stabilization and even a recovery of <strong>the</strong> oil price.Slow replacement andchallenging <strong>to</strong>pographies foroil extraction point <strong>to</strong>wards apossible rebound in oil pricesEven if we see a relatively severe and drawn-out global economic crisis, we believe that <strong>the</strong> oilmarket downturn will be limited in duration. A number of structural fac<strong>to</strong>rs are pointing <strong>to</strong> rapidlytightening markets. In <strong>the</strong> current environment, insufficient investments are being made in<strong>to</strong> oilproduction globally <strong>to</strong> replace <strong>the</strong> production lost from mature fields, which are currentlydeclining at <strong>the</strong> rate of 5% or more a year. The International Energy Agency (IEA) recentlyfound that even with stable demand for oil up <strong>to</strong> 2030, production capacity would have <strong>to</strong> beincreased by 45mn barrels per day. Problematically, much of <strong>the</strong> new production is in areas thatare remote and in challenging geographic or climatic conditions. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> reserves are for<strong>the</strong> most part controlled by national oil <strong>com</strong>panies who may be swayed by <strong>the</strong>ir controllingGovernments’ desire <strong>to</strong> affect <strong>the</strong> price outlook.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK7


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONWhile any uptrend in oil pricesin <strong>the</strong> future will benefit KSA…Even with <strong>the</strong> multitude of projects on energy conservation and alternative energy sources, areturn <strong>to</strong> sustainable global growth is only possible if oil production can grow at a more or less<strong>com</strong>parable rate as <strong>the</strong> real economy. The current investment environment is significantlyjeopardizing that prospect and raising <strong>the</strong> risk of a swift oil price rebound once <strong>the</strong> extent ofdemand destruction be<strong>com</strong>es better unders<strong>to</strong>od and <strong>the</strong> economic situation begins <strong>to</strong> stabilize.KSA is well positioned <strong>to</strong> capitalize on this reversal. The Kingdom holds approximately a quarterof <strong>the</strong> world’s <strong>to</strong>tal proven oil reserves, approximately 264.2bn barrels. These reserves areestimated <strong>to</strong> be sufficient <strong>to</strong> last for 70-80 years at <strong>the</strong> 2007 production rate of 8.7mn barrels perday (bpd). KSA also remains one of <strong>the</strong> few producers which are in a position <strong>to</strong> act as agenuine swing producer with a number of new fields <strong>com</strong>ing on line.In <strong>the</strong> longer term, oil prices are expected <strong>to</strong> remain firm, driven by anticipated growth indemand, especially from emerging markets. The IEA projects an average oil price ofUSD100/b (in real 2007 dollar terms) between 2008 and 2015. Considering this fac<strong>to</strong>r and <strong>the</strong>ongoing economic diversification, KSA’s GDP is expected <strong>to</strong> grow at a healthy rate.… growing contribution of <strong>the</strong>non-oil sec<strong>to</strong>r due <strong>to</strong>Government’s sustained focuson diversification makes longtermoutlook positiveKSA’s non-hydrocarbon economy has benefited enormously from <strong>the</strong> favorable economicenvironment in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom and Government-supported structural reforms. The country’s nonoilsec<strong>to</strong>r, which <strong>com</strong>prises around 46% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal real GDP, continued <strong>to</strong> experience stronggrowth (4.2%) in 2008. In recent years, <strong>the</strong> growth in contribution <strong>to</strong> Saudi GDP from <strong>the</strong> non-oilsec<strong>to</strong>r has been consistently ahead of <strong>the</strong> hydrocarbons sec<strong>to</strong>r. By 2010, its share of GDP isexpected <strong>to</strong> reach 49%. Major sec<strong>to</strong>rs driving growth are banking, insurance, transport,tele<strong>com</strong>munications, retail, and construction and building materials. In 2008, <strong>the</strong> transport and<strong>com</strong>munications sec<strong>to</strong>r experienced <strong>the</strong> highest growth at 11.4% and <strong>the</strong> non-oil industrialsec<strong>to</strong>r and construction sec<strong>to</strong>r expanded by 5.4% and 4.1% respectively.Even though many sec<strong>to</strong>rs of <strong>the</strong> Saudi economy will encounter short-term turbulence due <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> global downturn, <strong>the</strong>ir longer-term outlook remains positive. The key near-term risk for <strong>the</strong>Saudi real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r is <strong>the</strong> possible though fairly manageable risk of regional contagion from<strong>the</strong> weakened real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong> UAE. The banking sec<strong>to</strong>r remains in generally robus<strong>the</strong>alth, given <strong>the</strong> conservative stance taken by SAMA as <strong>the</strong> regula<strong>to</strong>r as well as <strong>the</strong> limitedexposure of Saudi banks <strong>to</strong> global markets. None<strong>the</strong>less, it is clear that <strong>the</strong> rapid creditexpansion of recent years will not continue, partly because of <strong>the</strong> economic slowdown andpartly due <strong>to</strong> more restrictive lending practices by banks. Saudi banks adopted a selectivelending approach in <strong>the</strong> last two quarters, mainly <strong>to</strong> keep loan-<strong>to</strong>-deposit ratios within a SAMAprescribed limit of 85% during 4Q-08 and <strong>to</strong> position <strong>the</strong>mselves for a likely increase in NPLsfollowing a sharp reversal of a robust boom. However, <strong>the</strong>ir well provisioned NPLs, adequatecapital and internationally low loan <strong>to</strong> deposit ratios (as high as 140% in <strong>the</strong> UAE, for instance)continues <strong>to</strong> give <strong>the</strong>m an advantage in <strong>the</strong> region.Low penetration, coupled wi<strong>the</strong>asing regulations, is likely <strong>to</strong>provide a thrust <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> financialservices and tele<strong>com</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>rsGoing forward, <strong>the</strong> financial sec<strong>to</strong>r outlook is strong owing <strong>to</strong> below-average penetration levelsby regional and global standards, healthy capital adequacy ratios, and relaxation of foreignownership rules. Elements of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r remain significantly underdeveloped, most notablymortgages and debt capital markets. Mortgages have been a key driver of banking sec<strong>to</strong>rgrowth in mature markets and <strong>the</strong> impending passage of proper legislation will create <strong>the</strong> basisfor <strong>the</strong>ir expansion in Saudi Arabia as well. The gradual maturation of <strong>the</strong> sukuk market shouldsustain <strong>the</strong> emergence of debt capital as a third pillar of <strong>the</strong> Saudi capital markets.Similar structural fac<strong>to</strong>rs will foster convergence-driven growth in o<strong>the</strong>r sec<strong>to</strong>rs. For instance,low broadband and Internet penetration, along with favorable demographics, will continue <strong>to</strong>JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK8


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONpropel growth in <strong>the</strong> tele<strong>com</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r. Most importantly, <strong>the</strong> Government’s <strong>com</strong>mitment <strong>to</strong>economic diversification remains unwavering and <strong>the</strong> process will thus benefit from a continuedinfusion of public funds. The Government is encouraging privatization and public-privatepartnerships and plans <strong>to</strong> invest USD300bn in infrastructure development between 2008 and2010. Enormous public investments are being made and planned in expanding and modernizingkey sec<strong>to</strong>rs such as education and healthcare.A particularly important driver of longer-term growth in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom is <strong>the</strong> dynamic demographicprofile. The population of KSA has grown at a CAGR of 2.7% since 2004 while privateconsumption grew at a CAGR of 13%. Nearly 70% of KSA’s <strong>to</strong>tal population is below <strong>the</strong>age of 30. The prosperity and aspirations of this population are steadily growing. According <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> IMF, KSA’s per capita nominal GDP grew from USD8,065 in 1999 <strong>to</strong> USD15,724 in 2007and is expected <strong>to</strong> grow <strong>to</strong> just under USD28,000 by 2012. A growing workforce and increasingpurchasing power, in turn, are expected <strong>to</strong> drive housing demand, domestic consumption andpersonal finances higher. Private consumption as a percentage of nominal GDP is set <strong>to</strong>increase from 28.3% in 2007 close <strong>to</strong> 50% during <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>ing decade, which would mark animportant paradigm shift for <strong>the</strong> Saudi economy.Global recessionary fears, falling oil prices hitKSA boursesExternal demand shock, alongwith implications for <strong>the</strong> oilprice and liquidity, hasfundamentally changed <strong>the</strong>mood in <strong>the</strong> Saudi capitalmarketsThe Saudi market, having initially decoupled from <strong>the</strong> Western markets, during <strong>the</strong> first year of<strong>the</strong> credit crunch, experienced a sharp correction in <strong>the</strong> second half of 2008. In <strong>the</strong> course of<strong>the</strong> year, <strong>the</strong> Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) fell by 56.5%, due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> spillover effects of globalrecession and in particular <strong>the</strong> subdued sentiment caused by <strong>the</strong> sharply lower oil price. Thecorrection was broad-based with every sec<strong>to</strong>r index yielding negative returns.In <strong>the</strong> wake of <strong>the</strong> correction, which in fact resumed a longer downturn from <strong>the</strong> market’seuphoric his<strong>to</strong>ric peak in February 2006, valuations of most KSA equities were at or near <strong>the</strong>ir15-year lows. The P/E multiple contracted from 27.6 in May 2006 <strong>to</strong> 20.8 on 1 January 2008and 10.7 on 28 December 2008. TASI’s 12-month trailing P/E declined by 49.0% in 2008. Themultiple represents a 47% discount on its 15-year weekly average of 19.8x.Exhibit 1: Saudi market valuations12%Real GDP CAGR 2008 - 201010%8%6%4%2%GCC (ex KSA)ChinaRussiaIndiaThailandS.KoreaMorrocoKSABrazilArgen inaMexicoKSA 09/05, 33.00%0x 5x 10x 15x 20x 25x 30x 35x 40xForward P/ESource: NCBC Research, Bloomberg, IMFJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK9


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONLooking ahead, however, when <strong>the</strong> global business cycle turns, KSA can easily be one of <strong>the</strong>first <strong>to</strong> benefit considering its strong position in <strong>the</strong> global oil sec<strong>to</strong>r. Hence, although KSA has alower expected economic growth rate and a higher P/E valuation vis-à-vis its GCC peers, webelieve that <strong>the</strong> market provides attractive investment opportunities.Economic performanceDuring <strong>the</strong> extraordinary economic boom of 2003–07, <strong>the</strong> KSA economy expanded at a CAGRof 15.5% in nominal terms and at a CAGR of 4.3% in real terms, primarily driven by strong oilrevenues and <strong>the</strong> Government’s diversification initiatives. The non-oil sec<strong>to</strong>r grew at a realaverage annual rate of 4.9% during 2003–2007. In 2008, nominal GDP expanded by 22.0% <strong>to</strong>SR1,753bn, backed by strong and broad-based growth of 34.9% in <strong>the</strong> oil sec<strong>to</strong>r and 8.0% in<strong>the</strong> non-oil sec<strong>to</strong>r. In real terms, GDP grew 4.2% in 2008. Following a sharp correction in 2009,real GDP growth is likely <strong>to</strong> return <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> range of 3–4.5% in <strong>the</strong> medium term.Exhibit 2: Average nominal GDP growth rate (%) 05 – 08E353025201510Exhibit 3: Annual % change in real GDP and per capita GDP864205-20Euro AreaJapanUKUSBrazilMiddle-EastRussiaIndiaChinaKSA-42000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008% change in real GDP % change in per capita real GDPSource: IMF – World Economic Outlook, April 2009, Middle East includes KSA Source: IMF – World Economic Outlook, April 2009KSA’s robust growth performance, also by international standards, has his<strong>to</strong>rically taken place inan environment of exceptional price stability. The Kingdom experienced average annual deflationof 1.0% during <strong>the</strong> 1990s followed by a period of flat prices in <strong>the</strong> range of 0 <strong>to</strong> 1% during 2002-05.Thereafter, however, <strong>the</strong> situation began <strong>to</strong> change markedly. KSA’s Consumer Price Index (CPI)increased by 6.5% in December 2007 and reached a peak of 11.1% in July 2008. This increasewas led by a surge in oil prices which generated huge trade and current account surpluses, a risein FDI, high international <strong>com</strong>modity prices (including food prices), and depreciation of <strong>the</strong> USDollar (<strong>to</strong> which <strong>the</strong> Saudi Riyal is pegged). With <strong>the</strong> dramatically changed economic environment,<strong>the</strong> inflationary pressures have begun <strong>to</strong> abate however. Inflation fell back <strong>to</strong> 9.0% in December2008 and fur<strong>the</strong>r declined <strong>to</strong> 5.2% in April 2009 on account of <strong>the</strong> steep decline in food and<strong>com</strong>modity prices and <strong>the</strong> recent streng<strong>the</strong>ning of <strong>the</strong> US Dollar. The expected fur<strong>the</strong>r easing ofinflationary pressure will provide <strong>the</strong> Saudi authorities with an opportunity <strong>to</strong> use monetary <strong>to</strong>olsmore effectively <strong>to</strong> support growth and liquidity in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom.Despite inflationary pressures,Saudi Arabia did not abandon<strong>the</strong> Riyal’s Dollar pegDespite inflationary pressures hovering around an average level of 10.0% in 2008, <strong>the</strong> Riyal’s peg<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> US Dollar forced SAMA <strong>to</strong> follow <strong>the</strong> US monetary policy and cut interest rates. A strongmacro environment, <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r with negative real interest rates, fueled credit growth by 25.8% YTDby Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008. However, SAMA’s move <strong>to</strong> hike bank reserve requirements (from 9% in January2008 <strong>to</strong> 13% in May 2008) helped curb liquidity, and consequently M3 grew by 14.1% YTD.JUNE 2009 SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK 10


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONThe dramatic change in <strong>the</strong> economic environment in <strong>the</strong> second half of <strong>the</strong> year led SAMA <strong>to</strong>quickly reverse its stance. It reduced statu<strong>to</strong>ry reserve requirements twice (in Oc<strong>to</strong>ber andNovember 2008) back <strong>to</strong> 7%. This move enabled <strong>the</strong> banks <strong>to</strong> utilize about SR20bn of depositsfor lending which were held with SAMA. The Government also deposited USD2.5bn and anequivalent amount in Saudi Riyals with banks. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, SAMA expressed willingness <strong>to</strong>inject up<strong>to</strong> SR150bn deposits in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> system and reduced key interest rates.SAMA adopted aggressivemonetary policies <strong>to</strong> counter<strong>the</strong> liquidity crunchSAMA reduced <strong>the</strong> repo rate four times between Oct and Dec 08 from <strong>the</strong> level of 5.5%, atwhich it had s<strong>to</strong>od since February 2007. On 19 Jan 09, <strong>the</strong> Central Bank lowered repo rates50bp <strong>to</strong> 2% and reverse repo rate 75bp <strong>to</strong> 0.75%, which resulted in SAIBOR declining 46bp <strong>to</strong>1.38% on <strong>the</strong> same day. The reverse repo rate also declined from 4.25% in December 2007 <strong>to</strong>0.75% by January 2009. It was fur<strong>the</strong>r lowered by 25bp <strong>to</strong> 0.5% on 14 April 2009.Thesemeasures are likely <strong>to</strong> enhance <strong>the</strong> liquidity position of domestic banks and help curb interbankinterest rates that peaked in Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008. Currently, interbank interest rates for Saudi Riyalstands at 0.88% (18 May 2009). However, this is not expected <strong>to</strong> bring about a significantincrease in corporate lending, as banks have be<strong>com</strong>e more cautious in <strong>the</strong> environment ofheightened uncertainty.Exhibit 4: Inflation and interest rate (%)121086420-21999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008InflationShort and medium term interest rateSource: EIUThe sharp reversals of monetary policy stand in marked contrast <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> record year that 2008proved <strong>to</strong> be in fiscal policy terms. In spite of <strong>the</strong> pronounced slowdown of <strong>the</strong> economy during<strong>the</strong> second half of <strong>the</strong> year, <strong>the</strong> high oil prices until July translated in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> largest-ever budgetsurplus in <strong>the</strong> country’s his<strong>to</strong>ry. Actual Government revenues in <strong>the</strong> course of 2008 rose <strong>to</strong>SR1,100bn against <strong>the</strong> budgeted SR450bn (144% higher). Government expenditures reachedSR510bn in 2008, 24% higher than <strong>the</strong> budgeted figure for <strong>the</strong> year.A huge budget surplusprovides plenty of room for <strong>the</strong>Saudi Government <strong>to</strong> engage infiscal easingThe overall fiscal surplus attained SR590bn in 2008, which was more than three times <strong>the</strong> 2007figure of SR178.5bn and 14.75 times higher than <strong>the</strong> budgeted surplus of SR40bn. This enabled<strong>the</strong> Saudi Government <strong>to</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r reduce outstanding debt levels and streng<strong>the</strong>n officialreserves. Domestic Government debt, having peaked at 119.0% of GDP in 1999, continued <strong>to</strong>trend down from 18.7% <strong>to</strong> 13.5% of GDP. Government deposits with SAMA increased fromSR517bn in December 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR1,082bn in Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008. In addition, KSA’s net foreignassets increased <strong>to</strong> SR1,689.7bn in Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008 from SR1,171.0bn in December 2007. KSA’sconservative policy in investing its reserves cushioned it against fall in global equity markets inJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK11


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTION2008. However, investment in<strong>com</strong>e from <strong>the</strong>se assets is expected <strong>to</strong> fall in 2009, as interestrates on foreign deposits and securities drop.Exhibit 5: Budget balance and public debt(USD bn)250200150100500-501999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008140120100806040200-20PercentagePublic debt (USD bn)Budget balance as % of GDPBudget balance (USD bn)Public debt as % of GDPSource: Ministry of Finance (KSA), EIUWhile overall public sec<strong>to</strong>r debt has declined markedly in recent years, Government borrowinghas in relative terms be<strong>com</strong>e more reliant on external borrowing. External borrowings, <strong>to</strong>talingUSD42.3bn, accounted for 19.9% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal public debt in 1999 and <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> domesticborrowing of USD169.8bn. However, 2007 saw a reversal of <strong>the</strong> traditional dominance ofdomestic borrowing, with <strong>the</strong> proportion of external borrowing increasing <strong>to</strong> 60.7% of <strong>to</strong>tal debt.Short-term debt grew from USD19.6bn (46.4% of <strong>to</strong>tal external debt) in 1999 <strong>to</strong> USD35.8bn(37.6% of <strong>to</strong>tal external debt) in 2007.Exhibit 6: External debt(USD bn)706050403020102826242220181614% of GDP01999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 200712External debt (USD bn) Short term debt (USD bn) External debt (% of GDP)Source: EIUThe favorable debt situationprovides an additional sourceof <strong>com</strong>fort <strong>to</strong> inves<strong>to</strong>rsMost domestic Government debt has been raised through bond issues subscribed <strong>to</strong> by localbanks. KSA enjoys a strong credit rating, which was recently upgraded in recognition of <strong>the</strong>macroeconomic strength of <strong>the</strong> country, which fur<strong>the</strong>r boosted <strong>the</strong> substantial debt repaymentsin recent years. This has improved KSA’s profile as an investment destination and, among o<strong>the</strong>rthings, significantly enhanced <strong>the</strong> ability of <strong>the</strong> Saudi corporate sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> raise funds.JUNE 2009 SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK 12


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONExhibit 7: Sovereign debt ratingS & P Moody’s FitchCountryRating Outlook Rating Outlook Rating OutlookGCCBahrain A Stable A2 Negative A+ StableKuwait AA Stable Aa2 Stable AA StableOman A Stable A2 Stable N/A N/AQatar AA Stable Aa2 Stable N/A N/AKSA AA Stable A1 Positive AA StableUAE AA Stable Aa2 Stable AA StableRegion (ex-GCC)Egypt BBB- Stable Ba1 Negative BBB- NegativeJordan BBB Stable Baa3 Stable N/A N/AMorocco BBB Stable Ba1 Stable BBB StableBRICChina A+ Stable A1 Stable AA StableIndia BBB- Stable Ba2 Stable BBB- StableBrazil BBB+ Stable Ba1 Stable BBB- StableRussia BBB+ Negative Baa1 Stable BBB NegativeArgentina B- Stable B3 Stable B- N/ASouth Africa A+ Negative A2 Stable A NegativeThailand A Negative Baa1 Negative A NegativeVietnam BB+ Negative Ba3 Negative BB NegativeIndonesia BB+ Stable Ba3 Stable BB StableKorea A+ Stable A2 Stable AA NegativeMalaysia A+ Stable A3 Stable A+ StableMexico A+ Stable Baa1 Stable A- NegativeSource: S&P, Moody’s, and FitchEconomic fundamentals of KSA<strong>com</strong>pare favorably with o<strong>the</strong>rGCC marketsThe strong credit rating is matched by favorable assessments of Saudi <strong>com</strong>petitiveness. The2008-2009 World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) <strong>report</strong> finds KSA <strong>to</strong> bea regional leader.Exhibit 8: KSA’s <strong>com</strong>petitive position in GCCGlobal<strong>com</strong>petitivenessindexBasicrequirementsEfficiencyenhancersInnovation andsophisticationfac<strong>to</strong>rsRank Score Rank Score Rank Score Rank ScoreQatar 26 4.83 21 5.50 31 4.53 35 4.14KSA 27 4.72 34 5.21 45 4.35 37 4.09UAE 31 4.68 17 5.67 29 4.64 38 4.09Kuwait 35 4.58 39 5.12 52 4.19 52 3.82Bahrain 37 4.57 28 5.31 46 4.32 54 3.76Oman 38 4.55 31 5.25 61 4.09 48 3.87Source: World Economic Forum, The Global Competitiveness Report 2008-20092009 budget is marked by anexpansionary fiscal stance anda <strong>com</strong>mitment <strong>to</strong> sustainablegrowthThe 2009 budget, unveiled on 22 Dec 08, continues <strong>the</strong> tradition of fiscal prudence, although, inrecognition of <strong>the</strong> growing economic weakness, it proposes deficit spending for <strong>the</strong> first timeafter a series of surpluses since 2002. Reflecting <strong>the</strong> unfavorable oil price outlook, <strong>the</strong> budgetforesees revenues of SR410bn, 9% lower than <strong>the</strong> 2008 budgeted revenue (SR450bn) and63% lower than <strong>the</strong> 2008 actual revenues (SR1,100bn). The Government is estimated <strong>to</strong> havebased its budget on an average annual oil price forecast of approximately USD40 a barrel.However, <strong>to</strong> show its <strong>com</strong>mitment <strong>to</strong> support <strong>the</strong> economy, <strong>the</strong> Government announcedJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK13


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONspending of SR475bn, 16% higher than <strong>the</strong> 2008 budgeted expenditure of SR410bn, thusimplying a fiscal deficit of SR65bn. Of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal spending, a remarkably high 47% is expected <strong>to</strong>be capital expenditure, emphasizing <strong>the</strong> Government’s willingness <strong>to</strong> improve criticalinfrastructure and <strong>to</strong> continue <strong>to</strong> boost non-oil sec<strong>to</strong>r growth in <strong>the</strong> short run.Budget spending prioritizeseducation, healthcare, andinfrastructureThe Government has increased its spending on education and manpower <strong>to</strong> SR122bn, or25.7% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal spending. Key projects include <strong>the</strong> construction of 1,500 new schools, alongwith <strong>the</strong> renovation of 2,000 o<strong>the</strong>rs. The budget fur<strong>the</strong>r provides for <strong>the</strong> establishment of aPrincess Norah University for women, as well as a Medical City at Riyadh’s King SaudUniversity. Healthcare and social services were allotted SR52bn (10.6% of <strong>the</strong> spending) <strong>to</strong> beused <strong>to</strong> build hospitals and primary care centers. Apart from developing social infrastructure, <strong>the</strong>Government also announced higher spending on physical infrastructure such as transport andtele<strong>com</strong>munication (SR19.2bn for road construction, ports, airports, railroad developments andnew postal services) and water, agriculture and infrastructure (SR35.4bn <strong>to</strong> finance industrialcities in Jubail and Yanbu).Exhibit 9: KSA - 2009 budget sec<strong>to</strong>ral new appropriations of <strong>to</strong>tal USD126.7bnO<strong>the</strong>rs32%Education26%Health & social affairs11%Specialized CreditInstitution16%Water, agriculture &infrastructure7%Municipalty services4%Transporta ion &tele<strong>com</strong>munica ion4%Source: Ministry of Finance, Government of KSAJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK14


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONStrong hydrocarbons fundamentalsCapitalizing on its vastreserves, KSA plans <strong>to</strong> increaseits oil production capacityKSA holds approximately 25% of <strong>the</strong> world’s <strong>to</strong>tal proven oil reserves and is <strong>the</strong> world’s leadingproducer. KSA’s known oil reserves are expected <strong>to</strong> be sufficient for approximately 70–80 years.At an average price of USD96.6 per barrel in 2008, <strong>the</strong>se reserves are worth USD25.5trn. Evenassuming that prices revert <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir 2000-2007 average of USD43.75 per barrel due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>current economic crisis, <strong>the</strong> value of <strong>the</strong> reserves would amount <strong>to</strong> USD11.6trn, which isapproximately equal <strong>to</strong> more than 20 times <strong>the</strong> current annual Government expenditure.• KSA has <strong>the</strong> world’s largest oil reserves (25% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal); fourth largest natural gasreserves (252.6 trillion cubic feet)• It is <strong>the</strong> world’s leading producer of crude oil; accounting for around 31% of OPEC’sproduction• KSA is undertaking projects <strong>to</strong> expand its oil production capacity <strong>to</strong> 12.5mn bpd by 2010• Outlook for 2009 remains bleak due <strong>to</strong> weak crude oil demand and oil price softness• To counter falling oil prices in <strong>the</strong> short-term, KSA lowered its oil output <strong>to</strong> about 8.1mnbpd in January 2009, in line with <strong>the</strong> OPEC’s decision <strong>to</strong> cut production• Long-term growth s<strong>to</strong>ry remains intact; Asian markets will be <strong>the</strong> key growth driverSaudi Arabia is increasingly <strong>the</strong> only real swing producer in <strong>the</strong> oil market, accounting for 31%of OPEC's <strong>to</strong>tal production target. Current investment plans look <strong>to</strong> boost this position fur<strong>the</strong>r.KSA is planning <strong>to</strong> increase its production capacity <strong>to</strong> 12.5mn bpd by 2010 from <strong>the</strong> currentcapacity of 10.8mn bpd. As of December 2008, projects worth USD152bn were underway in <strong>the</strong>oil, gas and petrochemicals sec<strong>to</strong>rs, a substantial proportion of <strong>the</strong> aggregate project pipeline ofUSD492bn. The <strong>com</strong>pletion of <strong>the</strong>se projects will enable <strong>the</strong> Kingdom <strong>to</strong> achieve its desiredtarget.Exhibit 10: World proven crude oil reserves by region (mn barrels)2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007North America 27,167 26,954 26,243 26,579 26,699 25,914Latin America 117,528 117,045 118,700 118,141 123,717 134,691Eastern Europe 118,350 121,954 124,451 128,597 129,056 129,049Western Europe 18,081 17,656 16,810 16,716 15,372 15,110Middle East 730,102 735,083 739,136 742,688 743,858 741,566Africa 102,064 112,345 113,264 117,458 117,572 119,572Asia & Pacific 38,441 38,442 38,763 39,000 38,857 38,282Total world 1,151,734 1,169,480 1,177,466 1,189,178 1,195,130 1,204,182OPEC 895,639 904,575 910,754 918,295 927,435 939,016KSA 262,790 262,730 264,310 264,211 264,251 264,209KSA as world % 22.8 22.5 22.5 22. 22.1 21.9Source: OPEC – ABS 2007Exhibit 11: Comparative estimate of remaining life of oil reserves of <strong>to</strong>p five countriesProven oil reserves(bn barrels)Daily oil production(mn barrels)Estimated remaininglife of reserves (years)KSA 264.21 8.82 67.91IR Iran 136.15 4.03 93.16Iraq 115.00 2.18 155.97Kuwait 101.50 2.57 104.54United Arab Emirates 97.80 2.53 90.83Source: OPEC – ABS 2007, U.S. – EIAJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK15


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONDespite diversification efforts,<strong>the</strong> Saudi economy remainsprimarily dependent onhydrocarbonsIn spite of <strong>the</strong> ongoing diversification efforts, <strong>the</strong> Saudi economy looks certain <strong>to</strong> remain heavilyreliant on oil for <strong>the</strong> foreseeable future. The contribution of <strong>the</strong> oil sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> country’s GDPincreased from 33.5% in 1999 <strong>to</strong> 54.5% in 2006. It contributed almost 82.5% (USD88bn) <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>budget revenues of USD106.67bn in 2007. With oil prices plummeting since last year andprojections of demand destruction still being revised upward, <strong>the</strong> near-term outlook for <strong>the</strong> oilprice is weak. Latest IEA figures forecast a 1 mbd drop in global oil consumption in 2009 <strong>to</strong> 84.8mbd. Moreover, OPEC, which pumps approximately 40% of <strong>the</strong> world's oil, cut output by 4.2mnbpd during <strong>the</strong> second half of 2008 in a bid <strong>to</strong> counter falling prices, <strong>the</strong> largest-ever such cut. Inline with <strong>the</strong> OPEC decision, Saudi Arabia lowered its oil output <strong>to</strong> about 8.1mn bpd in Jan 09.Despite production cuts by <strong>the</strong> OPEC since September 2008, it has failed <strong>to</strong> raise oil prices <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> level sought by <strong>the</strong> members, as <strong>the</strong> global recession erodes demand. The average price in<strong>the</strong> first quarter of 2009 was USD43.32 per barrel, which was 56.0% lower than a year earlier.While production cuts are certain <strong>to</strong> be implemented <strong>to</strong> a degree, enforcing discipline has beena persistent problem for OPEC members in <strong>the</strong> past, which may limit <strong>the</strong> impact of <strong>the</strong> cuts onprices.Exhibit 12: KSA - crude oil production (mn barrels)4,000103,00082,000641,000201999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Total crude oil productionDaily crude oil production (RHS)0Source: SAMAWeak crude oil demand andprice likely <strong>to</strong> depress KSAeconomy in 2009, but asignificant pick-up expected in2010Going forward, oil prices will be critically dependent on <strong>the</strong> demand outlook. Beyond 2010, <strong>the</strong>market outlook will be determined above all by emerging markets, with China, India and <strong>the</strong>Middle East expected <strong>to</strong> account for 80% of incremental oil demand up <strong>to</strong> 2030, according<strong>to</strong> IEA estimates. Demand from Asian emerging economies is set <strong>to</strong> double from <strong>the</strong> 14.8mnbpd level in 2004 <strong>to</strong> 29.8mn bpd in 2030. Growth in o<strong>the</strong>r key emerging regions is likely <strong>to</strong>exceed 70% over <strong>the</strong> same period. With a number of mature oil fields around <strong>the</strong> worlddeclining, <strong>the</strong> oil market is likely <strong>to</strong> be fairly tight, which should sustain higher oil prices,<strong>the</strong>mselves a precondition for additional investment in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r.Emerging economies <strong>to</strong> define<strong>the</strong> dynamics of oil demandgrowthKSA’s oil export market is dominated by Asia and <strong>the</strong> Far East, North America, and WesternEurope. The share of Asia and <strong>the</strong> Far East has been steadily increasing. The importance of <strong>the</strong>Asian market will be a key driver of <strong>the</strong> likely expansion of Saudi production and exports in <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>ing years.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK16


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONExhibit 13: KSA’s exports of crude oil by destination (mn barrels)YearNorthAmericaSouthAmericaWestEuropeMiddleEastAfricaAsia &Far East Oceania Total1999 534.20 26.95 454.33 68.97 73.66 921.77 7.80 2,087.682000 577.17 22.47 483.80 60.44 79.45 1,044.67 14.38 2,282.382001 560.06 36.76 405.86 57.44 64.62 1,067.98 10.38 2,203.102002 488.80 22.08 343.12 49.46 68.36 942.89 14.18 1,928.892003 596.92 23.84 434.86 72.69 96.34 1,149.87 6.33 2,380.852004 558.38 22.32 459.56 95.45 88.74 1,251.06 11.26 2,486.772005 530.93 23.79 440.67 112.87 86.02 1,435.34 1.62 2,631.242006 534.50 23.78 374.80 109.48 79.01 1,440.63 3.52 2,565.722007 571.78 22.34 306.04 113.06 71.76 1,453.23 2.95 2,541.16Source: OPEC, SAMAKSA is also well positioned <strong>to</strong> benefit from <strong>the</strong> growing interest in natural gas, driven by pollutionconcerns and efficiency considerations. KSA possesses gas reserves of 252.6 trillion cubic feetand ranks fourth in <strong>the</strong> world after Russia, Iran and Qatar.Exhibit 14: KSA – gas statistics2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Reserves (trillion scf) 227,946 234,673 238,492 241,323 243,648 252,607 257,954Number of discovered fields 12 12 13 14 14 - -Gas production (bn cu m) 57 61 68 76 81 85 -Gas consumption (‘000s barrels) 305,080 327,008 339,796 376,140 416,897 422,905 436,960Source: Ministry of Petroleum and Mineral Resources, Govt. of KSAKSA <strong>to</strong> witness strong growthin domestic natural gasdemand from utilities andindustryDomestically, Saudi Arabia uses gas for electricity generation, water desalination, and as apetrochemical feeds<strong>to</strong>ck. Gas thus plays a critical role in <strong>the</strong> ongoing and projecteddiversification ventures in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. Saudi Arabia's natural gas demand is expected <strong>to</strong> reach14.5bn cubic feet-a-day (cf/d) over <strong>the</strong> next 25 years, <strong>com</strong>pared with around 5.5bn cf/d atpresent. Though Saudi Aramco plans <strong>to</strong> increase <strong>the</strong> exploration of gas, <strong>the</strong> growth in naturalgas output under <strong>the</strong> current expansion plans may in fact fail <strong>to</strong> meet <strong>the</strong> soaring demand.Moreover, since much of KSA’s gas production is associated with oil production, <strong>the</strong> cut in oiloutput <strong>to</strong> support prices could lead <strong>to</strong> disruptions in natural gas supply for <strong>the</strong> industrial andutility sec<strong>to</strong>r.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK17


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONUSD347.3bn during <strong>the</strong> period 2003-2008, benefiting from <strong>the</strong> country’s strong economicgrowth, <strong>the</strong> government’s focus on economic diversification, massive investments and low creditpenetration. Going forward, <strong>the</strong> low penetration of financial services in KSA – loans-<strong>to</strong>-GDPratio of 41.6% in KSA, <strong>com</strong>pared with more than 80% in <strong>the</strong> UAE and Bahrain – underscores<strong>the</strong> potential for growth in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r. Additionally, <strong>the</strong> anticipated growth in population and <strong>the</strong>introduction of a <strong>com</strong>prehensive regula<strong>to</strong>ry framework for mortgages are likely key catalysts forlong-term credit growth in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom.Moreover, <strong>the</strong> liberalization of <strong>the</strong> insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r and regulations mandating mo<strong>to</strong>r and healthinsurance are expected <strong>to</strong> boost expenditure on insurance. KSA is one of <strong>the</strong> most under-insuredmarkets in <strong>the</strong> GCC with insurance penetration rates (gross written premium <strong>to</strong> GDP ratio) at only0.6% in 2007 against UAE’s (1.9%), Oman (1.1%) and Qatar (0.9%). This indicates that <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>rhas potential for exponential growth going forward.Manufacturing, financial andconstruction sec<strong>to</strong>rs possesconsiderable convergencepotentialThe Saudi tele<strong>com</strong>munications sec<strong>to</strong>r continues <strong>to</strong> be among <strong>the</strong> lucrative markets in <strong>the</strong> GCCdue <strong>to</strong> low broadband and Internet penetration as well as favorable demographics. At <strong>the</strong> sametime, <strong>the</strong> rising population, a growing hotel and <strong>to</strong>urism industry and higher personal disposablein<strong>com</strong>e levels are important structural fac<strong>to</strong>rs fuelling demand in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s real estatemarket. This along with <strong>the</strong> establishment of a proper regula<strong>to</strong>ry framework for mortgages and<strong>the</strong> planned development of <strong>the</strong> six economic cities is likely <strong>to</strong> support growth in <strong>the</strong> constructionsec<strong>to</strong>r over <strong>the</strong> long term. Overall, <strong>the</strong> manufacturing, financial and construction sec<strong>to</strong>rs arelikely <strong>to</strong> be <strong>the</strong> prime growth drivers, going forward. We expect <strong>the</strong>se sec<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong> expand at aCAGR of 9.5-13% in 2008-2010.Favorable demographic profile,an important chapter in KSA’sgrowth s<strong>to</strong>ryKSA’s population was more than 24.9mn in 2007, with average annual growth of approx 2.5%over <strong>the</strong> period 1999-2007. In 2008, <strong>the</strong> population is estimated <strong>to</strong> have grown 2.3% <strong>to</strong>24,807,273 individuals. Of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal, approximately 73% are Saudi nationals. Population growthis set <strong>to</strong> remain robust in <strong>the</strong> medium term at 3% pa, driven in part by a continued influx ofexpatriates linked economic liberalization and growth.Exhibit 16: KSA’s population and y-o-y change in population482.7Population (million)43383328232.62.52.4Y-o-y change in popula ion (%)181999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2010 2015 2020 2025 20302.3Population in millionY-o-y change in population(%)Source: EIUIn 2007, KSA’s working age population was 14.5mn (58.5% of <strong>to</strong>tal) with 59.4% of <strong>the</strong>population in <strong>the</strong> age group of 15-64. At <strong>the</strong> same time, approximately 42% of <strong>the</strong> population fellin<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> 0–15 age group. KSA’s demographic profile will thus ensure a steady supply of newentrants in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> labor force, but <strong>the</strong> young population also highlights <strong>the</strong> importance ofJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK19


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONappropriate policies <strong>to</strong> ensure that <strong>the</strong> workforce is educated and trained. The large share of <strong>the</strong>working-age population and favorable employment prospects should continue <strong>to</strong> boost percapita GDP significantly, which in turn indicates <strong>the</strong> substantial opportunities for consumptiondrivendemand and growth.Exhibit 17: Population pyramid (estimated)Saudi Arabia: 201080+75-7970-74Male65-69Female60-6455-5950-5445-4940-4435-3930-3425-2920-2415-1910-145-90-42.5 2 0 1 5 2 0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 10 15 20 25Population (in mn)MaleSaudi Arabia: 203080+75-7970-7465-6960-6455-5950-5445-4940-4435-3930-3425-2920-2415-1910-145-90-4Female2 5 2.0 1 5 2 0 0.5 0.0 0 0 0 5 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 5Population (in mn)Source EIU, Central Department of Statistics and Information of Saudi ArabiaRecent developments suggest that <strong>the</strong> Government’s efforts <strong>to</strong> boost employment have started<strong>to</strong> yield results — <strong>the</strong> absolute number of economically active people has increased, while <strong>the</strong>unemployment rate has <strong>com</strong>e down.Exhibit 18: Labor force and unemploymentLabor force (millions)6 56 36.15 95.75 55 35.11412108642Unemployment rate (%)4 91999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Labor forceUnemployment rate - <strong>to</strong>talUnemployment rate - SaudiUnemployment rate - non-Saudi0Source: EIUWTO accession hasencouraged foreign investmentand created investmen<strong>to</strong>pportunities in many sec<strong>to</strong>rsKSA joined <strong>the</strong> WTO on 11 Dec 05, after more than a decade of negotiations. The SaudiGovernment has taken a number of important steps <strong>to</strong> align various policies with WTOregulations. To accelerate liberalization fur<strong>the</strong>r, KSA Government launched <strong>the</strong> 10 x 10 mission(<strong>to</strong> position KSA among <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p 10 of <strong>the</strong> world's most <strong>com</strong>petitive nations by 2010 in 2005).The Kingdom has opened up a wide range of sec<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong> foreign investment. These includebanking, insurance, wholesale, retail and franchise distribution services, tele<strong>com</strong>municationsservices, and <strong>the</strong> IT sec<strong>to</strong>r. The WTO accession is an important anchor <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> broader reform,which led <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> World Bank recognizing <strong>the</strong> Kingdom as one of <strong>the</strong> world's <strong>to</strong>p ten reformers in2006-07. KSA is currently ranked 16th in <strong>the</strong> World Bank's Ease of Doing Business 2009 index.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK20


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONThe significantly improved business climate, along with <strong>the</strong> Most Favored Nation (MFN) statusobtained in connected with WTO accession, resulted in FDI worth USD18.3bn flowing in<strong>to</strong> KSAin 2006, <strong>the</strong> highest among <strong>the</strong> GCC countries. FDI fur<strong>the</strong>r grew by 33% <strong>to</strong> USD24.3bn in 2007.Energy and <strong>com</strong>modities-related investments accounted for a majority of this figure. O<strong>the</strong>rfac<strong>to</strong>rs contributing <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> unprecedented growth in FDI include <strong>the</strong> removal of minimum capitalrequirements for foreign inves<strong>to</strong>rs, a reduction in <strong>the</strong> corporate tax rate from 45% <strong>to</strong> 20%, and<strong>the</strong> opening of <strong>the</strong> inland transport, wholesale and retail distribution systems <strong>to</strong> foreigninves<strong>to</strong>rs. Through <strong>the</strong> Saudi Arabian General Investment Authority (SAGIA), <strong>the</strong> Government ispromoting private sec<strong>to</strong>r investments in <strong>the</strong> areas of education, energy, health, information and<strong>com</strong>munication technology (ICT), life sciences, and transportation.Congenial businessenvironment provides a strongdraw <strong>to</strong> foreign investmentDue <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> ongoing liberalization measures, SAGIA forecasts FDI inflows of up <strong>to</strong> USD900bnover <strong>the</strong> next ten years in<strong>to</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>rs such as energy, power, financial services, and real estate.Exhibit 19: Improvements after WTO accessionValueAnnual percentage change2007 2000-2007 2006 2007Merchandise tradeMerchandise exports, fob (USD mn) 234,200 17 17 11Marchandise imports, c.i.f. (USD mn) 90,217 17 17 29Share in world <strong>to</strong>tal exports 1.68 Share in world <strong>to</strong>tal exports 0.63Commercial services tradeCommercial services exports (USD mn) 7,912 7 9 8Commercial services imports (USD mn) 30,560 16 34 58Share in world <strong>to</strong>tal exports 0.24 Share in world <strong>to</strong>tal imports 0.99Source: Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008, WTOPrivatization policy andinitiatives likely <strong>to</strong> boost <strong>the</strong>Government’s revenuesAno<strong>the</strong>r key tenet of economic policy is efforts <strong>to</strong> foster private entrepreneurship. The SupremeEconomic Council (SEC), established in 1999, formulates and moni<strong>to</strong>rs economic developmentpolicies in order <strong>to</strong> accelerate <strong>the</strong> privatization program announced by KSA Government in1994. In 2002, <strong>the</strong> SEC formally endorsed a privatization strategy that aims <strong>to</strong> improveeconomic efficiency, boost <strong>com</strong>petitiveness, increase private sec<strong>to</strong>r investment, and attractdomestic and foreign inves<strong>to</strong>rs. These initiatives fur<strong>the</strong>r promise <strong>to</strong> expand <strong>the</strong> revenue base of<strong>the</strong> Government budget by creating additional in<strong>com</strong>e streams such as privatization proceeds.In pursuit of its objectives, <strong>the</strong> SEC initially focused on creating a <strong>com</strong>prehensive regula<strong>to</strong>ry andinstitutional framework for <strong>the</strong> reforms. The Government set up <strong>the</strong> Communications andInformation Technology Commission, <strong>the</strong> Saudi Electricity Regula<strong>to</strong>ry Authority, and <strong>the</strong> SaudiOrganization for Industrial Estates and Technology Zones, <strong>to</strong> regulate <strong>the</strong> relevant sec<strong>to</strong>rs.Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> Council of Ministers issued a list of 22 targeted economic activities andGovernment services <strong>to</strong> be privatized. The selection of <strong>the</strong>se activities is based on <strong>the</strong>ircontribution <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> national economy, particularly in terms of generating employmen<strong>to</strong>pportunities for KSA nationals, and <strong>the</strong> readiness of particular <strong>com</strong>panies for privatization. Theprivatization process is fur<strong>the</strong>r driven by <strong>the</strong> frequent inadequacy of services provided by publicenterprises as well as <strong>the</strong> absorptive capacity of <strong>the</strong> capital market. Privatization targets includeaviation, railroads, roads, industrial cities services, and several municipal, social, agricultural,and medical services. Among <strong>the</strong> main steps approved <strong>to</strong> date by The Ministerial PrivatizationCommittee was <strong>the</strong> 2002 IPO of a 30% stake in STC, followed by <strong>the</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r divestment of a50% stake held by <strong>the</strong> Public Investment Fund in 2003.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK21


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONInternational tradeRecent years have been marked by a steadily increasing integration of Saudi Arabia in <strong>the</strong>global economy. Total exports jumped by 32.0% <strong>to</strong> USD278.9bn in 2007, supported by high oilprices and <strong>the</strong> various economic diversification initiatives. Imports grew from USD69.8bn in2006 <strong>to</strong> USD90.3bn in 2007, buoyed by <strong>the</strong> oil price-fueled boom. Oil exports accounted for <strong>the</strong>majority of KSA’s <strong>to</strong>tal exports, while engineering products (machinery, electric appliances andequipment) constitute <strong>the</strong> leading category of imports. The strength of <strong>the</strong> hydrocarbons marketallowed KSA <strong>to</strong> record a trade surplus of USD148.3bn in 2007. Official estimates put <strong>to</strong>talexports of goods and services in 2008 at USD326.9bn. Non-oil exports of goods are expected<strong>to</strong> account for a still relatively modest USD30.7bn of this. Total imports of goods and servicesare expected <strong>to</strong> reach USD162.7bn.Exhibit 20: International trade(USD bn)35030025020015010050100%80%60%40%20%01999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080%Total exports fobCrude oil as % of <strong>to</strong>tal exportsTotal imports cifMachinery as % of <strong>to</strong>tal importsSource: Ministry of Finance, Government of KSA , SAMA, EIUKSA’s major export destinations in 2007 included Japan (17.7% of <strong>to</strong>tal exports), <strong>the</strong> U.S(15.9%), South Korea (9.1%), China (7.2%), Taiwan (4.7%) and Singapore (4.5%). Oil exportsform <strong>the</strong> major <strong>com</strong>ponent of KSA’s <strong>to</strong>tal exports, while o<strong>the</strong>r products include barley, dates,dairy products, flowers, chemicals, and plastic products. Since Japan and <strong>the</strong> US are <strong>the</strong> twomost important export destinations, an economic slowdown in those countries will inevitablyadversely affect KSA’s exports.The picture is similar on <strong>the</strong> import side. In 2007, <strong>the</strong> U.S accounted for 12.3% of <strong>to</strong>tal importsfollowed by Germany (8.6%), China (7.9%), Japan (7.3%), <strong>the</strong> United Kingdom (4.9%), Italy(4.8%), and South Korea (4.1%). Over <strong>the</strong> past two years, China has quickly established itselfas an important import partner of KSA. Machinery and electrical equipment, transport equipmentand base metals, in that order, are <strong>the</strong> three leading import categories, accounting for 60% of<strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK22


OUTLOOK AND DIRECTIONExhibit 21: Major export partners (% of <strong>to</strong>tal exports)25%Exhibit 22: Major import partners (% of <strong>to</strong>tal imports)2020%1615%1210%85%40%1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007Japan USA South Korea China01999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007USA Germany China JapanSource: SAMA, EIUSource: SAMA, EIUCurrency and exchange ratesKSA follows a fixed exchange rate policy under which <strong>the</strong> Saudi Riyal is pegged <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> USD at<strong>the</strong> exchange rate of USD1=SR3.745. The CPI-based Real Effective Exchange Rate (100 in1997) fell sharply from 99.28 in 1999 <strong>to</strong> 82.22 in 2007. This dented <strong>the</strong> purchasing power of <strong>the</strong>Saudi Riyal and contributed <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> onset of inflationary pressures in 2007. This led <strong>to</strong> growingpressures on GCC Governments <strong>to</strong> drop <strong>the</strong> peg and <strong>to</strong> consider measures such as tradeweightedexchange rates. This was indeed <strong>the</strong> course taken by Kuwait when it de-linked <strong>the</strong>Dinar from <strong>the</strong> USD in May 07. Among o<strong>the</strong>rs, <strong>the</strong> Arab Monetary Fund advocated <strong>the</strong> idea ofde-pegging in December 07. However, recent statements from various GCC Governmentssuggest that such steps are unlikely in <strong>the</strong> near term, not least because of <strong>the</strong> abatinginflationary pressures and <strong>the</strong> recent recovery in <strong>the</strong> standing of <strong>the</strong> greenback. Instead, <strong>the</strong>focus appears <strong>to</strong> have shifted <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> goal of adopting a shared currency at <strong>the</strong> beginning of <strong>the</strong>2010s, even if <strong>the</strong> project remain fraught with political tensions and technical delays. The Dollarpeg will probably remain <strong>the</strong> most logical instrument of exchange rate coordination up <strong>to</strong> thatpoint, while <strong>the</strong> introduction of <strong>the</strong> GCC single currency will create an opportunity <strong>to</strong> review <strong>to</strong>exchange rate regime for <strong>the</strong> region as a whole.Exhibit 23: CPI based Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER)105100959085801999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008ESource: SAMA, EIUJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK23


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Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck ExchangeCorners<strong>to</strong>ne of GCC Equity Markets


His<strong>to</strong>ry and overviewThe leading GCC equity marketTadawul’s operational systemswere far ahead of its timesShares were first offered <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> public in KSA in 1954 and by <strong>the</strong> end of 1975, <strong>the</strong> number ofpublic <strong>com</strong>panies had reached 14. In 1984, <strong>the</strong> Ministry of Finance and National Economy, <strong>the</strong>Ministry of Commerce, and SAMA formed a Ministerial Committee <strong>to</strong> oversee <strong>the</strong> developmentand regulation of <strong>the</strong> s<strong>to</strong>ck market. The country’s <strong>com</strong>mercial banks, which were responsible forshare trading, established <strong>the</strong> Saudi Share Registration Company (SSRC) in 1984. The newentity provided centralized trading facilities for joint s<strong>to</strong>ck <strong>com</strong>panies along with <strong>the</strong> clearing andsettlement of all transactions. Au<strong>to</strong>mated clearing and settlement was introduced in 1989followed by <strong>the</strong> launched of <strong>the</strong> Electronic Securities Information System (ESIS) a year later. A<strong>com</strong>prehensive modern infrastructure for securities trading, clearing and settlements, Tadawul,was set up in Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2001.A modern, <strong>com</strong>prehensiveregula<strong>to</strong>ry framework wascreated simultaneously with <strong>the</strong>Capital Market AuthorityThe establishment of Tadawul was backed up by a <strong>com</strong>mitment <strong>to</strong> establish world-classstandards for <strong>the</strong> institutional architecture and regulation of <strong>the</strong> new market. Tadawul wasplaced under <strong>the</strong> supervision of <strong>the</strong> newly established Capital Market Authority (CMA) whoseoperations are governed by <strong>the</strong> 2003 Capital Market Law. Reporting directly <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> King, <strong>the</strong>CMA enjoys financial, legal and administrative independence. Many of <strong>the</strong> practices adopted byTadawul were in line with or even ahead of international standards (e.g. dematerialization andsame day clearing and settlement since 1990). A special dispute resolution mechanism existsfor <strong>the</strong> capital markets.The state-owned Tadawul became a joint s<strong>to</strong>ck <strong>com</strong>pany -- Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange (Tadawul)Company -- in March 2007, with a capital of SR1.2bn (USD320mn). Tadawul is managed by aBoard of nine members – <strong>the</strong> Governor of SAMA, two members, one each from <strong>the</strong> Ministry ofFinance and National Economy and <strong>the</strong> Ministry of Commerce, four from licensed brokerages, andtwo from listed <strong>com</strong>panies. Electronic trading in Tadawul was upgraded by <strong>the</strong> Nordic exchangeopera<strong>to</strong>r OMX in 2007.Between 1999 and 2007, <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market experienced almost uninterrupted growth due <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> country’s strong economic performance which in turn drove rapid earnings growth. The TASIsurged by 451% from 2,029 at <strong>the</strong> end of 1999 <strong>to</strong> 11,176 at <strong>the</strong> end of 2007. Total market capincreased from USD61.1bn in 1999 <strong>to</strong> USD246.9bn at <strong>the</strong> end of 2008, while <strong>the</strong> number oftransactions grew from 0.5mn <strong>to</strong> 52.1mn. The <strong>to</strong>tal number of shares traded rose more thanhundred-fold from 0.5bn <strong>to</strong> 59.7bn. Returns from <strong>the</strong> index increased at a CAGR of 60.1% fromJan 03 <strong>to</strong> Dec 08, as surging oil prices translated in<strong>to</strong> higher revenues.Market corrected substantiallyin 2006 due <strong>to</strong> negativesentiment and increased riskaversionThe performance of <strong>the</strong> market during this decade has been marked by considerable volatility. Aparticularly robust boom culminated in 2006 with high liquidity levels, backed by seemingly everincreasingoil prices, and by foreign inves<strong>to</strong>rs (primarily from developed countries) wanting <strong>to</strong>benefit from <strong>the</strong> attractive interest rate differential. Though Tadawul imposed restrictions onshare dealings by foreign inves<strong>to</strong>rs, participation in open-end mutual funds was allowed.Although corporate earnings continued <strong>to</strong> grow, <strong>the</strong> pace was ultimately insufficient <strong>to</strong> sustain<strong>the</strong> market rally. In value terms, shares traded in <strong>the</strong> last quarter of 2006 fell by almost 49% in<strong>com</strong>parison <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> same period in 2005. Increasing interest rates in developing countriesreduced <strong>the</strong> attractiveness of <strong>the</strong> Saudi equity market for foreign inves<strong>to</strong>rs as well as <strong>the</strong>irappetite for risk, which <strong>the</strong>y had until <strong>the</strong>n willingly ignored in <strong>the</strong>ir quest for higher returns. Theeffects of an overvalued market and of foreign money leaving were felt by <strong>the</strong> GCC in late 2005JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK26


HISTORY AND OVERVIEWand by <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market in early 2006. Consequently, <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market witnessed amassive correction in 2006, with <strong>the</strong> TASI shedding 52.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> end 2006 at 7,933. Thecorrection helped re-align valuations <strong>to</strong> underlying fundamentals.TASI rose by 451% in 1999-2007, before correcting again in2008, with corporateprofitability under stressTASI regained traction in 2007 and jumped 40.8% <strong>to</strong> 11,176, primarily fueled by high oil pricesand attractive valuations of Saudi s<strong>to</strong>cks. Oil prices grew by 60.42% from 29 Dec 06 (USD55.95per barrel) <strong>to</strong> 28 December 2007 (USD89.76 per barrel). However, in 2008, TASI lost significantground, as <strong>the</strong> global economic crisis slowly gripped KSA equity markets. The second half of2008 belied all expectations of <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s relatively closed domestic market protecting <strong>the</strong>economy from <strong>the</strong> global downturn and dashed <strong>the</strong> previously popular decoupling <strong>the</strong>ory.Matching <strong>the</strong> crash of 2006, share values in KSA dropped by 56.5% in 2008, reflecting fears ofa global recession. This resulted largely from panic selling by retail inves<strong>to</strong>rs who continue <strong>to</strong>account for approximately 92% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal turnover on Tadawul. The oil price crash and flight ofliquidity particularly depressed <strong>the</strong> Petrochemical and Banking & Financial Services sec<strong>to</strong>rs,respectively, two heavyweight sec<strong>to</strong>rs accounting for over 70% of TASI’s <strong>to</strong>tal capitalization.Their losses during <strong>the</strong> year were 66.5% and 55.5% respectively. Concerns over KSA banks’sub-prime exposure arising from write-downs by banks elsewhere in <strong>the</strong> region fur<strong>the</strong>r dentedinves<strong>to</strong>r confidence in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom, in spite of reassurances by <strong>the</strong> authorities. The s<strong>to</strong>ckexchange’s market capitalization fell by 52.5% <strong>to</strong> SR925bn while <strong>the</strong> number of transactionsreached 59,683mn. In addition, TASI’s 12M trailing P/E multiple contracted by 49.0% during2008.Exhibit 24: Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck exchange – summary statisticsYearTransactions(‘000s)Sharestraded (mn)Mkt cap(SR bn)Mkt cap(USD bn) TASIy-o-ychg. (%)1999 438 528 229 61.07 2,029 43.62000 498 555 254 67.73 2,258 11.32001 605 692 275 73.33 2,430 7.62002 1,034 1,736 280 74.67 2,518 3.62003 3,763 5,566 590 157.33 4,438 76.32004 13,320 10,298 1,149 306.40 8,206 84.92005 46,607 12,281 2,438 650.13 16,713 103.72006 96,096 74,440 1,226 326.93 7,933 (52.5)2007 65,670 61,732 1,946 518.93 11,176 40.92008 52,136 59,683 925 246.67 4,803 (57.0)% change 10 – year 70.1 69.1 16.8 16.8 10.0Source: Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck ExchangeSaudi retail inves<strong>to</strong>rs dominate trading on <strong>the</strong> Tadawul, accounting for 93.5% and 92.8% of <strong>to</strong>taltrades and turnover, respectively. Saudi corporate and mutual funds account for only 1.9% of<strong>to</strong>tal turnover. The market thus continues <strong>to</strong> differ markedly from its more established Westerncounterparts due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> relatively marginal role of institutional inves<strong>to</strong>rs.JUNE 2009 SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK 27


HISTORY AND OVERVIEWExhibit 25: Breakdown of number of tradesExhibit 26: Breakdown of turnoverMutual Fund0.8%Corporate2.0%GCC Citizens1.1%Non-GCCCitizens1.9%Foreigners0.1%Mutual Fund1.2%Corporate1.4%GCC Citizens0 9%Non-GCCCitizens1.9%Foreigners0.2%Individual94.1%Individual94.4%Source TadawulSource TadawulThe dominance of retail inves<strong>to</strong>rs remains a significant source of volatility on <strong>the</strong> Saudi equitymarket. Efforts are being made <strong>to</strong> foster inves<strong>to</strong>r education, transparency and <strong>the</strong> quality andavailability of research. None<strong>the</strong>less, international experience demonstrates that only a greaterrole assumed by institutional inves<strong>to</strong>rs can fundamentally ameliorate <strong>the</strong> situation.The domestic institutional inves<strong>to</strong>r base is gradually expanding thanks <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> expansion of <strong>the</strong>insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r and of mutual funds. While positive progress is likely and certain <strong>to</strong> profit fromfur<strong>the</strong>r de-regulation in <strong>the</strong> future, greater access by foreign inves<strong>to</strong>rs constituted ano<strong>the</strong>rpotential way of accelerating <strong>the</strong> process. In this regard, progress <strong>to</strong> date has been verygradual. In 2007, <strong>the</strong> CMA issued a regulation ensuring equality between KSA nationals andcitizens of o<strong>the</strong>r GCC countries with regard <strong>to</strong> investment and trading in <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market.SAMA’s guidelines for non-GCC citizens allowsinvestments only throughmutual funds or equity swapsAt present, non-resident non-GCC citizens are not allowed <strong>to</strong> directly trade in <strong>the</strong> Saudi equitymarket and can invest only through equity-based mutual funds or – as of 2008 -- through swapdeals. The mutual funds must be managed by a local fund manager. Such funds are supervisedby SAMA.Exhibit 27: Flow chart - Inflows in KSA through mutual fund routeNon-GCC inves<strong>to</strong>rs –Individuals, Natural EntitiesReturnsFunds flowEquity Mutual fundSaudi S<strong>to</strong>ck MarketReturnsSource: NCBC ResearchSwap deals point <strong>to</strong> greaterforeign participation once <strong>the</strong>market stabilizesUnder swap agreements, non-resident foreign inves<strong>to</strong>rs are allowed <strong>to</strong> buy s<strong>to</strong>cks through alicensed intermediary, who would technically be <strong>the</strong> owner of <strong>the</strong> shares. However, sharesbought through this arrangement would be for a maximum term of four years. The CMA mustbe notified of <strong>the</strong> details of such deals and be updated on a monthly basis. This developmentfailed <strong>to</strong> muster <strong>the</strong> level of foreign capital inflows expected, as inves<strong>to</strong>rs were not allowed <strong>to</strong>directly own a s<strong>to</strong>ck, with all <strong>the</strong> rights and entitlements associated with s<strong>to</strong>ck ownership.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK28


HISTORY AND OVERVIEWUltimately, foreign interest in <strong>the</strong> Saudi market is likely <strong>to</strong> grow steadily and fur<strong>the</strong>r liberalizingmeasures should gradually materialize. The eventual inclusion of Tadawul in some of <strong>the</strong> keyemerging market indices would make KSA an essential part of <strong>the</strong> portfolios of a wide range ofinternational inves<strong>to</strong>rs. The country will fur<strong>the</strong>r benefit from its statute as one of <strong>the</strong> largestemerging capital markets and home <strong>to</strong> an increasingly diverse economy with exceptional growthpotential.Market <strong>com</strong>positionTadawul is <strong>the</strong> dominant marketin <strong>the</strong> GCC, with <strong>the</strong> largestmarket capitalization and <strong>the</strong>highest liquidityWith a market capitalization of USD246.5bn as of 31 Dec 08, Tadawul is <strong>the</strong> largest GCC s<strong>to</strong>ckmarket accounting for 45.2% of <strong>the</strong> regional aggregate. It is <strong>the</strong> most liquid market in GCC withan average daily turnover of USD2.08bn in 2008. Tadawul’s market cap accounted for 6.4% of<strong>the</strong> MSCI Emerging Markets index at <strong>the</strong> end of 2007. KSA’s equity market delivered a Returnon Equity (RoE) of 24.1% when <strong>com</strong>pared with 16.7% by <strong>the</strong> MSCI Emerging Markets Indexand 18.9% by BRIC countries in 2007. However, post <strong>the</strong> credit crisis which began in 2008, <strong>the</strong>Saudi market has fallen by 56%, one of <strong>the</strong> sharpest corrections in <strong>the</strong> region.Exhibit 28: Market cap (USD bn) and index movement y-o-y (%)70060050040030020010001999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008105%85%65%45%25%5%-15%-35%-55%Market capS<strong>to</strong>ck index returns (RHS)Source: Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck exchange, NCBC ResearchThe adoption of a free-floatmethodology was a paradigmshift in Saudi indexingOn 5 April 2008, Tadawul became <strong>the</strong> first GCC market <strong>to</strong> introduce <strong>the</strong> free-float methodologyfor index calculation. Based on Tadawul's data on free float of shares, we estimate <strong>the</strong> free-floatmarket capitalization of <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market <strong>to</strong> be SR372bn (USD99.47bn) as on 31December 2008, which is 37.6% of <strong>the</strong> market cap calculated using <strong>the</strong> full-market capitalizationmethod.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK29


HISTORY AND OVERVIEWExhibit 29: Concentration of large cap <strong>com</strong>panies fall significantly1009084.8%8063.3%Cumulative weight (%)706050403048.5%45.6%60.9%82.9%2010Top 5 Firms Top 10 Firms Top 25 FirmsOld WeightNew WeightSource: NCBC ResearchIn this new structure, <strong>the</strong> number of sec<strong>to</strong>rs expanded from 8 <strong>to</strong> 15 2007 with individual subindicesfor each. As of 31 December 2008, <strong>the</strong> banking sec<strong>to</strong>r had maximum weight (31.1%) in<strong>the</strong> index, followed by petrochemical (25.6%) and tele<strong>com</strong> (14.5%). Following <strong>the</strong>implementation of <strong>the</strong> new system, Saudi Basic Industries Corp, Kingdom Holding, and SaudiKayan Petrochemical Company were <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p losers in terms of index weightage, while STC, AlRajhi Bank, Samba Financial Group and Saudi Electricity are <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p gainers.Banking and financial servicessec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>com</strong>panies have <strong>the</strong>greatest weight in <strong>the</strong> SaudimarketExhibit 30: Changes in <strong>to</strong>p 10 <strong>com</strong>paniesCompany Old rank New rankOldweights (%)Newweights (%)Saudi Basic Industries Corp. 1 1 25.8 16.7Saudi Tele<strong>com</strong> Co. 2 2 7.4 10.6Al Rajhi Bank 3 3 7.3 9.1Kingdom Holding Co. 4 8 4.1 3.2Samba Financial Group 5 4 4.0 5.0Saudi Electricity Co. 6 5 3.4 4.2SABB 7 6 3.1 3.5Riyadh Bank 8 7 2.9 3.4SAFCO 9 10 2.7 2.4Banque Saudi Fransi 10 9 2.7 2.7Arab National Bank 12 12 2.2 2.2Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Co 13 17 2.2 1.6Source: NCBC ResearchKSA <strong>the</strong> most active IPO market across <strong>the</strong> GCCLiberalizing reforms haveresulted in more <strong>com</strong>paniesgoing publicThe Saudi Government’s economic reforms and privatization efforts have been a key driver ofs<strong>to</strong>ck market development in recent years. A <strong>to</strong>tal of 13 <strong>com</strong>panies — three from <strong>the</strong> insurancesec<strong>to</strong>r, three from <strong>the</strong> industrial investment sec<strong>to</strong>r, two from <strong>the</strong> petrochemical industries sec<strong>to</strong>r,and one each from retail, agriculture, tele<strong>com</strong>, building and construction, and bank and financialservices sec<strong>to</strong>rs – went public in 2008, raising a <strong>to</strong>tal of SR36.4bn. This <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> 26<strong>com</strong>panies in 2007. Although, s<strong>to</strong>ck markets in KSA have recently undergone a deepcorrection, IPO activity remained high during much of 2008, <strong>com</strong>pared with o<strong>the</strong>r GCC peers.The Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange remained one of <strong>the</strong> world's busiest IPO markets, generatingUSD9.7bn in net proceeds in <strong>the</strong> first nine months of 2008.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK30


HISTORY AND OVERVIEWBased on offer size, <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p three IPOs in KSA were those of <strong>the</strong> shariah-<strong>com</strong>pliant <strong>com</strong>mercialIslamic bank Alinma Bank (USD2.8bn), <strong>the</strong> mining <strong>com</strong>pany Ma’aden (USD2.5bn), and <strong>the</strong>wireless service provider Zain (USD1.9bn). O<strong>the</strong>r major issues during <strong>the</strong> year included Al OthaimMarkets, <strong>the</strong> Saudi Rabigh Refining and Petrochemicals Co., Saudi Reinsurance Co., MohammadAl Mojil Group, and Methanol Chemical Co. The market capitalization of <strong>the</strong> offered <strong>com</strong>panies at<strong>the</strong> end of 2008 was SR66.67bn, representing 7.21% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal market capitalization.Number of IPO’s in KSAoutstrips o<strong>the</strong>r GCC marketsExhibit 31: Total IPOs in <strong>the</strong> GCC 2005–083025262015105041213106 643 3 3 33222 2 21 11002005 2006 2007 2008Saudi UAE Kuwait Qatar Oman BahrainSource: Zawya, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchAmong GCC member countries, KSA <strong>to</strong>pped <strong>the</strong> IPO list, followed by <strong>the</strong> UAE. Three<strong>com</strong>panies listed on <strong>the</strong> Kuwait exchange in 2008 as against one in 2007.Exhibit 32: Returns of <strong>com</strong>panies listed in 20080%-10%-20%-30%-40%-50%-60%-36%-52% -51% -52% -51% -52% -51% -49% -51% -49% -44%-52% -52% -50% -48%-52%-56%UCAAl SagrArabia InsuranceTrade Union CooperativeBUPAAlinmaHalwani Bro<strong>the</strong>rsZainAl OthaimSaudi ReCHEMANOLBCIPetro RabighMMGAstra IndustMA'ADENTASISource: Tadawul, NCBC ResearchAll newly listed <strong>com</strong>panies in2008 have outperformed <strong>the</strong>TASIAll <strong>com</strong>panies that listed on <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck exchange in 2008 have outperformed <strong>the</strong> TASIindex, which was down 56.5%. Of <strong>the</strong> new listings, Methanol Chemicals Company was <strong>the</strong> bestperformer; its IPO, priced at SR30 a share, was oversubscribed 6.01 times and <strong>the</strong> s<strong>to</strong>ckreturned 16.7% on <strong>the</strong> first day of listing. The <strong>com</strong>pany had a market capitalization ofSR1,344mn as on 31 December 2008.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK31


HISTORY AND OVERVIEWMarket regulation and supervisionThe Capital Market Authority (CMA) was established with <strong>the</strong> promulgation of <strong>the</strong> Capital MarketLaw in 2003 as <strong>the</strong> independent regula<strong>to</strong>r of <strong>the</strong> Saudi capital markets. It is vested with <strong>the</strong>authority <strong>to</strong> regulate and develop <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck exchange, <strong>to</strong> regulate and moni<strong>to</strong>r securitiesissuance and trading, and <strong>to</strong> protect inves<strong>to</strong>rs. The CMA is supported in its functions by <strong>the</strong>statu<strong>to</strong>ry objectives of <strong>the</strong> S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange which, among o<strong>the</strong>r things, is required <strong>to</strong>:• make listing requirements, trading rules and technical mechanisms fair, efficient andtransparent and provide information for securities listed on <strong>the</strong> exchange;• establish and enforce professional standards for brokers; and• conduct periodic review of <strong>com</strong>pliance by brokers <strong>to</strong> ensure financial security.The Capital Market Law, which was drafted with a view <strong>to</strong> incorporating international bestpractice standards, has been of critical importance for fostering high governance andtransparency standards in <strong>the</strong> Saudi market. It requires every joint s<strong>to</strong>ck <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>to</strong> submitquarterly and annual <strong>report</strong>s <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> CMA. The annual <strong>report</strong>s must be audited. All materialevents must be <strong>report</strong>ed <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> CMA, which has <strong>the</strong> authority <strong>to</strong> force a <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>to</strong> disclosepublicly any fur<strong>the</strong>r information it deems appropriate after review.Owning 5% or more voting shares by restricted purchase (buying exchange listed voting shares)or restricted offer (public offer of purchase of exchange listed voting shares) is considered asignificant step. The CMA is authorized <strong>to</strong> develop, issue, and/or change rules for such activity.If ownership rises <strong>to</strong> 50% or more, <strong>the</strong> CMA may force <strong>the</strong> owner <strong>to</strong> purchase <strong>the</strong> remainingshares at a price no more than <strong>the</strong> highest price paid by <strong>the</strong> owner during <strong>the</strong> previous 12months.Execution of tradesThe Tadawul settlement is doneon a T+0 basisTrading hours on <strong>the</strong> Tadawul are between 11:00am and 03:30pm from Saturday <strong>to</strong>Wednesday. The Tadawul trading system provides real-time information and permits settlemen<strong>to</strong>n a T+ 0 basis. A trading day is divided in<strong>to</strong> three different sessions – 10:00 am <strong>to</strong> 11:00 am(Open Order Maintenance – entering, amending or cancelling an order), 11:00 am <strong>to</strong> 03:30 pm(Open Trading – regular electronic trading process) and 03:30 pm <strong>to</strong> 04:30 pm (Pre-Close –cancellation of order while maintaining order validity, decrease in quantity without any pricechange). The different types of orders that can be placed on <strong>the</strong> Tadawul system are Hit, Take,Match, Market, Limit, Un-priced, Undisclosed Volume, All or None, Minimum Block andMinimum Fill.A Hit order is an order <strong>to</strong> sell all shares at current best price available, while a Take orderinvolves buying all shares at current best price available. A Match order creates an opposingorder <strong>to</strong> an existing order, whereas a Limit order sells a specified number of shares at a specificprice.An Un-priced order differs from a Market order as <strong>the</strong> pricing protection is not available. Toavoid <strong>the</strong> negative impact of large volumes, only a portion of some orders is displayed. This isachieved by placing an Undisclosed Volume order.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK32


HISTORY AND OVERVIEWThe All or None order refers <strong>to</strong> trading <strong>the</strong> entire volume. A Minimum Block consists of specifiedminimum volume for each trade, whereas a Minimum Fill order refers <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> minimum volumethat must be available for trading <strong>to</strong> take place.Orders may also exist for one day, current week, and current month or up <strong>to</strong> 30 days.As of 31 December 2008, <strong>the</strong>re were 32 brokerage firms operating on <strong>the</strong> exchange. Trading<strong>com</strong>missions charged by Tadawul are as follows.• The maximum <strong>com</strong>mission is 0.0012 of <strong>the</strong> trade value executed by <strong>the</strong> bank. Thecus<strong>to</strong>mer can negotiate a lower <strong>com</strong>mission with <strong>the</strong> bank. This <strong>com</strong>mission discount has<strong>to</strong> be agreed and documented in advance• Minimum <strong>com</strong>mission imposed is SR12 for any executed order equal or less thanSR10,000Tadawul provides inves<strong>to</strong>rs with deposi<strong>to</strong>ry services as well. All trades are in <strong>the</strong> dematerializedform. The dematerialization of shares can be executed by banks, <strong>the</strong> deposi<strong>to</strong>ry itself, orthrough certificate data processing for portfolios. The electronic system facilitates pledging ofshares, settlement (T+ 0 days) and clearing of shares by ownership transfer. It is a real timesystem which immediately reflects <strong>the</strong> effects of any corporate action (such as s<strong>to</strong>ck split andbonus issues) on an inves<strong>to</strong>r’s portfolio. The cash transfer is done electronically via SAMA'sRTGS system – SRIE.Tadawul’s performance in 2008After <strong>the</strong> 2006 correction and <strong>the</strong> recovery in 2007, <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market registered robustgrowth during <strong>the</strong> first half of 2008. Benefiting from <strong>the</strong> effects of escalating oil prices, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>panies on TASI performed favorably. However, <strong>the</strong> second half of 2008 saw a sell-off,mirroring global trends triggered by <strong>the</strong> ongoing financial crisis that s<strong>to</strong>ked fears of a recessionin <strong>the</strong> Saudi economy. The TASI index closed at a level of 4,802.9 points as on 31 December2008 (<strong>com</strong>pared with 11,176 in December 2007), while <strong>the</strong> Tadawul’s market cap plunged fromaround USD513.5bn at <strong>the</strong> end of 2007 <strong>to</strong> USD246.5bn as on 31 December 2008.Exhibit 33: Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market - average daily value (USD mn)and average daily volume (mn)Exhibit 34: Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market – average daily transactions(‘000s)9,0003004008,0007,0006,0005,0004,0002502001503503002502003,0001001502,0001,000-5002003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Avg. daily valueAvg. daily volume (RHS) (mn)1005002003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008Source Bloomberg, TadawulSource Bloomberg, TadawulBoth average daily volume and average daily transactions declined in 2008. The daily averagevalue of shares traded on TASI fell by 24.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR7.8bn in 2008. Despite <strong>the</strong> challengingJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK33


HISTORY AND OVERVIEWeconomic conditions, Tadawul was <strong>the</strong> most liquid market in GCC with an average dailyturnover of USD2.08bn in 2008. In terms of trading volumes, <strong>the</strong> petrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>r was <strong>the</strong>most active in 2008, experiencing margin growth led by record oil prices in <strong>the</strong> first half followedby plummeting end-products prices and severe loss of demand in <strong>the</strong> second.Exhibit 35: Pricing multiples – TASI302520151050Jun-06 Dec-06 Jun-07 Dec-07 Jun-08 Dec-08P/E multipleP/BV multipleSource: BloombergWith <strong>the</strong> downturn in <strong>the</strong> economic outlook and market performance alike, valuations in KSAhave declined sharply. Tadawul’s P/E, which at <strong>the</strong> start of May 2006 was 27.6x, decreased <strong>to</strong>22.2x on 30 December 2007, before reaching 10.7x on 28 December 2008. TASI’s 41% gainsregistered in 2007, as it recovered from <strong>the</strong> big crash of 2006, were wiped clean in 2008, whereit lost 56.5% of its value, as <strong>the</strong> oil bubble burst. TASI’s 12M trailing price-<strong>to</strong>-earnings (P/E) andprice-<strong>to</strong>-book value (P/BV) multiples contracted 49.0% and 59.2%, respectively, during 2008.However, <strong>the</strong> multiples have improved considerably in <strong>the</strong> quarter under review. From a low of11.2x on 03 March 09, <strong>the</strong> multiples are currently trading at a level of 18.4x (17 May 2009),translating in<strong>to</strong> a correction of approximately 65%. This rally is largely led by improved marketsentiments along with government support measures. Despite this correction, <strong>the</strong> market looksattractive on a 1-year forward P/E multiple; dropping from a high of 35.2x <strong>to</strong> 10.78x in 2008.Insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r was <strong>the</strong>Exhibit 36: Sec<strong>to</strong>r wise performance and returns in 2008worst performing sec<strong>to</strong>r in20080(2,000)(4,000)(6,000)(8,000)(10,000)(12,000)(14,000)(16,000)(18,000)Banks/financialPetrochemicalCementRetailEnergy/utilitiesAgri/foodTele<strong>com</strong>/ITInsuranceMulti invIndustrial invConstructionReal estateTransportMedia/publishingHotel/<strong>to</strong>urism0%-10%-20%-30%-40%-50%-60%-70%-80%Net change% changeSource: Tadawul, NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK34


HISTORY AND OVERVIEWThe Petrochemical and Banking and Financial Services sec<strong>to</strong>rs, two index heavyweightsaccounting for over 70% of TASI’s <strong>to</strong>tal capitalization, were most affected by <strong>the</strong> slump in oilprices and tight liquidity conditions, losing 66.5% and 55.5%, respectively, in 2008. Increasingdoubts over <strong>the</strong> Government’s ability <strong>to</strong> support funding growth in <strong>the</strong> non-oil sec<strong>to</strong>rs in light of<strong>the</strong> oil price crash and <strong>the</strong> consequent likelihood of a budget deficit sent o<strong>the</strong>r sec<strong>to</strong>rs also in<strong>to</strong>a tailspin in end-2008. The biggest loser of 2008, however, was <strong>the</strong> insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r, whichplummeted by 73.7%. This was followed by <strong>the</strong> Multi-investment sec<strong>to</strong>r, which crashed 67%, asits investments lost significant value, leading <strong>to</strong> capital erosion.Comparison with Global Emerging MarketsKSA has shown superiorgrowth from 2005 <strong>to</strong> 2007,faster than that of <strong>the</strong> emergingmarketsKSA’s GDP growth rate exceeded <strong>the</strong> global growth rate in 2005-2007. This is reflected in <strong>the</strong>superior returns from <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market, which increased at a CAGR of 34.72%, while thatfrom <strong>the</strong> MSCI Emerging Markets Index expanded at a CAGR of 17.95% during January 2003<strong>to</strong> December 2007. This trend continued in 2008 with KSA’s GDP growing at 4.2% <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> world GDP growth rate of 3.6%.Globally, <strong>the</strong> Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI), <strong>the</strong> FTSE 100, and <strong>the</strong> Nikkei 225 fell by33.8%, 32.0%, and 42.1%, respectively, in 2008. The MSCI Emerging Markets Free Index shed47.3%. Dubai and Russia were <strong>the</strong> worst hit, with <strong>the</strong>ir benchmark indices plummeting by72.4%. But <strong>the</strong> most populous emerging markets of China and India were not far behind with<strong>the</strong> Shanghai Composite and BSE Sensex losing 65.4% and 52.4%, respectively.Exhibit 37: Comparison – TASI v/s MSCI emerging markets index (% weekly return)10%5%0%-5%-10%-15%-20%-25%Feb-03 Sep-03 Apr-04 Nov-04 Jun-05 Jan-06 Aug-06 Mar-07 Oct-07 May-08 Dec-08TASIMSCI emerging marketSource: BloombergIn <strong>com</strong>parison <strong>to</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r globalmarkets, TASI’s performancewas weakIn a <strong>com</strong>parison of <strong>the</strong> TASI with <strong>the</strong> MSCI Emerging Markets Index, it is evident that <strong>the</strong> KSAmarket is clearly more volatile than emerging markets, on an average, since <strong>the</strong> marketcorrection began in <strong>the</strong> middle of 2008. An additional source of volatility in <strong>the</strong> Gulf was inves<strong>to</strong>rexpectations of currency revaluations against <strong>the</strong> backdrop of inflationary pressures in 2008.The ultimate reversal of <strong>the</strong> speculative inflows contributed <strong>to</strong> a far tighter money marketenvironment. In <strong>the</strong> last quarter of 2008, <strong>the</strong> 360-day price volatility jumped <strong>to</strong> 37.9 on 28December 08 from 25.0 on 07 September 08. In <strong>the</strong> medium term, global cues are likely <strong>to</strong>upset <strong>the</strong> market, which may struggle <strong>to</strong> regain sustainable stability. Moreover, with <strong>the</strong> SaudiRiyal pegged <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> US Dollar, it will be difficult for SAMA <strong>to</strong> shield KSA from developments in<strong>the</strong> US economy. However, in <strong>the</strong> long term, greater liberalization of foreign investment normsand a maturing market process should lower volatility levels.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK35


HISTORY AND OVERVIEWExhibit 38: Volatility <strong>com</strong>parison (360 day volatility)4540353025201510Jun-06 Sep-06 Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck indexMSCI emerging market indexSource: BloombergOverall, however, GCC markets have very low or negative correlation with o<strong>the</strong>r internationalmarkets as well as amongst <strong>the</strong>mselves. For <strong>the</strong> period Jan-06 <strong>to</strong> Dec-08, KSA had a dailycorrelation of 0.15 with MSCI World, 0.69 with MSCI GCC and 0.08 with India. This is in partdue <strong>to</strong> significant differences of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>ral breakdown of <strong>the</strong> GCC and o<strong>the</strong>r emergingmarkets. Low correlations offer significant diversification benefits <strong>to</strong> international inves<strong>to</strong>rs,<strong>the</strong>reby adding <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck exchange’s attractiveness. Moreover, GCC markets haveunderperformed emerging and developed markets. Hence, <strong>the</strong>y are now providing interestingabsolute and relative value propositions.Exhibit 39: MSCI EMExhibit 40: MSCI GCCIT11%Tele<strong>com</strong>12%U ilities3%Materials26%Industrials8%Cons Staples2%Financials24%Energy2%Energy19%Utilities1%Cons Staples4%Industrials10%Materials17%Tele<strong>com</strong>8%Financials53%Source MSCISource MSCIJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK36


Sec<strong>to</strong>r PerformanceThe Kingdom’s growth drivers


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Sec<strong>to</strong>rsPage No.Banking and Financials 40Petrochemicals 46Cement 49Retail 52Energy and Utilities 56Agriculture and Food 61Tele<strong>com</strong> and IT 65Insurance 69Multi Investment 74Industrial Investment 78Building and Construction 82Real Estate 87Transportation 93Media and Publishing 99Hotels and Tourism 103Sec<strong>to</strong>rs


Banking and FinancialsLeveraging <strong>the</strong> GCC growth s<strong>to</strong>rySaudi banks strongest in <strong>the</strong>GCC and have a stable outlookStrong macroeconomic conditions in KSA have fuelled <strong>the</strong> robust growth in <strong>the</strong> Saudi bankingsec<strong>to</strong>r in recent years. However, <strong>the</strong> Saudi economy witnessed dramatic changes in 2008.Negative global developments in 2H-08 affected <strong>the</strong> Saudi economy which had enjoyedbuoyant liquidity in 1H-08. In response, <strong>the</strong> Government which had earlier focused on curbinginflationary pressures directed its efforts <strong>to</strong> ensure adequate liquidity by relaxing monetarypolicy and announcing an expansionary budget for 2009. This coupled with healthy capitaladequacy ratios and well-provisioned balance sheets has ensured that even in <strong>the</strong> currentglobal credit crisis, <strong>the</strong> Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>r remains <strong>the</strong> strongest in <strong>the</strong> GCC and has a stableoutlook (Please refer <strong>to</strong> our Saudi Arabia Banking Quarterly <strong>report</strong>). Going forward, lowpenetration of banking services coupled with <strong>the</strong> anticipated growth in population and expectedintroduction of a mortgage law are <strong>the</strong> potential catalysts for long-term credit growth in KSA.The Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>com</strong>prises 20 banks—12 domestic and 8 foreign—that <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r havea network of 1,410 branches and 8,993 ATMs across KSA as on 31 December 2008. AlinmaBank, listed in June 2008, is expected <strong>to</strong> launch <strong>com</strong>mercial operations by <strong>the</strong> end of 2Q-09.Also, J.P. Morgan N.A. Chase Bank opened a branch in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom in November 2008.Moreover, two foreign banks—State Bank of India and National Bank of Pakistan—haveobtained licenses <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>mence business in KSA, but are yet <strong>to</strong> start operations.Exhibit 41: Key financials of Saudi banks (2008) – SRmn; network of branches and ATMsDomestic BanksForeign BanksEstablished as SaudiBanksJV withForeignPartnersGCC BanksNon- GCCBanks Branches ATMs AssetsLoans &advancesCus<strong>to</strong>merdeposits Net profitsNational Commercial Bank 275 1,484 221,802 107,909 171,822 2,031Samba Financial Group 65 476 178,891 98,147 134,228 4,454Al Rajhi Bank 425 2,266 164,930 144,758** 120,298 6,525Riyad Bank 201 2,027 159,653 96,430 105,056 2,639The Saudi Investment Bank 33 247 53,250 29,566 40,702 513Bank AlJazira 24 314 27,520 15,133 20,900 222Bank Albilad 61 420 16,052 10,157** 10,971 125SABB 68 452 131,661 80,237 98,522 2,920Banque Saudi Fransi 75 274 125,865 80,866 92,791 2,806Arab National Bank 131 842 121,307 74,662 92,743 2,486Saudi Hollandi Bank 43 169 61,436 38,017 43,012 1,224Emirate Bank 1 5Bank Muscat 1 3National Bank of Kuwait 1 2National Bank of Bahrain 1Gulf International Bank 2 12*Deutsche Bank 1BNP ParibasJ.P. Morgan Chase N.A. Bank 1Total 1,410 8,993 1,302,271 775,872 931,045 25,837Source: SAMA, Tadawul, Company data, NCBC ResearchNote: Financial statements of <strong>the</strong> banks are consolidated and include financial statements of its subsidiaries, including those located outside KSA. Total assets of NCB include assets ofnewly acquired bank -Turkiye Finans Katlim Bankasi A.S.* Four international banks namely, National Bank of Bahrain, Gulf International Bank, Deutsche Bank and BNP Paribas, operate 12ATMs across KSA. # Alinma Bank has not been included in <strong>the</strong> above table as it is yet <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>mence operations. The bank <strong>report</strong>ed <strong>to</strong>tal assets of SR15,556.4mn as of December 2008. **Islamic banks – Al Rajhi and Albilad’s – loans and advances amount include credit disbursed as well as investment in securities, as <strong>the</strong> banks’ financial statement provide a <strong>com</strong>binedamount under <strong>the</strong> heading net investments.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK40


BANKING AND FINANCIALSThe Saudi Banking sec<strong>to</strong>r has<strong>report</strong>ed impressive growth,increasing its banking assetsat a CAGR of 19% over 2003-08During 2003–07, <strong>to</strong>tal banking assets increased at a CAGR of 19.0% <strong>to</strong> SR1,302.3bn. Thesec<strong>to</strong>r ranked second among GCC peers in terms of <strong>to</strong>tal assets in 2008, after <strong>the</strong> UAE. The <strong>to</strong>pfour banks—National Commercial Bank (NCB), Samba Financial Group (Samba), Al Rajhi Bank(Al Rajhi), and Riyad Bank—controlled 55.7% of <strong>the</strong> country’s banking assets in 2008 <strong>com</strong>pared<strong>to</strong> 56.7% in 2007. NCB, <strong>the</strong> market leader in this sec<strong>to</strong>r for years lost ground in 2008, butmaintained its dominance, controlling 17.0% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal banking assets <strong>com</strong>pared with 19.4% in2007. Strong macroeconomic conditions led <strong>to</strong> robust growth in aggregate lending by <strong>the</strong>banking and non-banking financial sec<strong>to</strong>r, which expanded at 23.6% CAGR in 2003–08 <strong>to</strong>SR775.9bn while <strong>the</strong> cus<strong>to</strong>mer deposit base of <strong>the</strong>se <strong>com</strong>mercial banks increased at a CAGRof 18.3% during this period <strong>to</strong> SR931.0bn in 2008.During 2008, credit off-take was 25.2%, backed by increased demand from <strong>the</strong> corporatesegment. The liquidity environment remained robust in 1H-08 because of high oil prices and <strong>the</strong>strong macroeconomic environment. However, negative global developments in 2H-08, includingfalling oil prices affected <strong>the</strong> Saudi economy. As a result Saudi banks became more cautious on<strong>the</strong> lending front and credit off-take slowed <strong>to</strong> 2% in November 2008 from <strong>the</strong> September 2008levels, before declining <strong>to</strong> -1.3% MoM in December 2008. Going forward, <strong>the</strong> expectedintroduction of a mortgage law is likely <strong>to</strong> provide impetus <strong>to</strong> credit off-take in personal lending. EIUexpects lending <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> private sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> increase at 18.1% CAGR <strong>to</strong> SR1256bn during 2007-12.Exhibit 42: Market shares of Saudi banks in credit and cus<strong>to</strong>mer deposits, 200820%15%10%5%0%NCB Samba Al Rajhi RiyadBankCreditSIBC BJAZ Albilad SABB BSF ANB SHBCus<strong>to</strong>mer DepositsSource: NCBC Research, Company dataNote: NCB’s net loans and deposit s includes loans and deposits of Turkiye Finans Katlim Bankasi A.S; Al Rajhi and Albilad’s loans andadvances amount include credit disbursed as well as investment in securities..Significant growth opportunitiesexist in <strong>the</strong> Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>rdue <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> low penetration ofbanking services and expectedpopulation growthKSA’s banking sec<strong>to</strong>r is under-penetrated in terms of loan-<strong>to</strong>-GDP and deposit-<strong>to</strong>-GDP ratios<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> GCC peers. The country’s loan-<strong>to</strong>-GDP ratio grew <strong>to</strong> 42.5% in 2008 from 30.7% in2003, while its deposit-<strong>to</strong>-GDP ratio increased <strong>to</strong> 48.3% in 2008 from 45.0% in 2003. Thepenetration of banking services was quite low in <strong>the</strong> KSA (17,670 individuals per branch) in2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> Oman (6,329) and <strong>the</strong> UAE (6,874). This, along with <strong>the</strong> anticipatedgrowth in Saudi population, is likely <strong>to</strong> generate significant opportunities for Saudi banks <strong>to</strong>expand <strong>the</strong>ir branch network and tap <strong>the</strong> expected demand for financial services.Despite <strong>the</strong> low penetration, <strong>the</strong> Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>r is <strong>the</strong> largest in <strong>the</strong> GCC in terms ofmarket capitalization. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>r is <strong>the</strong> leader in <strong>the</strong> region in terms ofrevenue. As illustrated in Exhibit 44, Saudi banks trade at lower P/E ratios <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>irpeers in Kuwait and Bahrain.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK41


BANKING AND FINANCIALSExhibit 43: Revenue of GCC banks, 2005 – 2008 (USD mn) Exhibit 44: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC banks, 20086,00030%5,0004,0003,0002,0001,00002005 2006 2007 2008KSA Kuwait Qatar Oman UAE BahrainRoE (%)25%20%15%10%P/E5%4 6 8 10 12 14 16KSA Kuwait Qatar Oman UAE BahrainSource: Gulfbase, Reuters, Bloomberg, NCBC Research;The <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustiveSource: Gulfbase, Reuters, Bloomberg, NCBC Research;Size of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008As on 31 Dec 08, Al Rajhi had <strong>the</strong> largest market capitalization among <strong>the</strong> 11 listed banksconstituting <strong>the</strong> index (Exhibit 45). Though NCB is one of KSA’s leading banks, it is notmentioned in <strong>the</strong> table as it is a privately held entity. While Alinma Bank is yet <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>menceoperations, <strong>the</strong> bank was listed on <strong>the</strong> Tadawul in June 2008 after <strong>com</strong>pletion of <strong>the</strong> SR10.5bnInitial Public Offering (IPO).Exhibit 45: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details – public banks% weight in Indexas on Dec 2008*Avg. NIM (%),2005 – 2008*Avg. RoE (%),2005–2008*Alinma Bank (Alinma) 1.80 N/A N/AAl Rajhi Bank (Al Rajhi) 9.09 6.75 38.03Samba Financial Group (SAMBA) 4.99 3.56 31.11The Saudi British Bank (SABB) 3.50 3.37 30.99Riyad Bank (RIBL) 3.44 3.30 22.57Banque Saudi Fransi (Saudi Fransi) 2.74 2.73 29.89Arab National Bank (Arab National) 2.19 3.42 29.36The Saudi Investment Bank (SIBC) 0.81 2.39 20.13Saudi Hollandi Bank (Saudi Hollandi) 1.14 2.71 22.89Bank AlJazira (BJAZ) 0.49 2.96 29.77Bank AlBilad (AlBilad) 0.91 3.82 4.11Source: Bloomberg, Tadawul, Reuters, Company data, NCBC Research* start periods may differ based on availability of dataAverage net interest in<strong>com</strong>e ofSaudi banks increased 10.9%YoY <strong>to</strong> SR3057.6mn in 2008owing <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> expansion in <strong>the</strong>irloan booksExhibits 46 and 47 depict <strong>the</strong> performance of Saudi banks in terms of net interest in<strong>com</strong>e andnet interest margin during 2005 – 2008. For most part of 2008, net interest margins narroweddue <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> increased <strong>com</strong>petition for expanding deposit base. Moreover, from Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008onwards, interest rate cuts announced by SAMA contributed <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> overall narrowing of <strong>the</strong>margins. Although, banks’ margin contracted, expansion in loan books enabled <strong>the</strong> banks <strong>to</strong>increase <strong>the</strong>ir average net interest in<strong>com</strong>e 10.9% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR3057.6mn in 2008. Saudi Fransiand RIBL’s net interest in<strong>com</strong>es increased 22.8% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR2,821mn and 21.4% YoY <strong>to</strong>SR3,965mn, respectively, while SIBC was <strong>the</strong> only bank <strong>to</strong> <strong>report</strong> a decline of 3.4% YoY <strong>to</strong>SR1,019.9mn in 2008. However, with <strong>the</strong> exception of <strong>the</strong> Saudi Hollandi Bank, all bankswitnessed a contraction in <strong>the</strong>ir net interest margins over 2007 levels.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK42


BANKING AND FINANCIALSExhibit 46: Net Interest In<strong>com</strong>e of Banks, 2005 – 2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 47: Net Interest Margin (%) of Banks, 2005 – 200810,00088,0006,0004,0002,00002005 2006 2007 2008Al Rajhi SAMBA SABBRIBL Saudi Fransi Arab NationalSIBC Saudi Hollandi BJAZAlbilad64202005 2006 2007 2008Al Rajhi SAMBA SABBRIBL Saudi Fransi Arab NationalSIBC Saudi Hollandi BJAZAlbiladSource: Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSource: Tadawul, NCBC ResearchThe P/B multiple for all banks substantially declined in 2008 because of <strong>the</strong> meltdown in <strong>the</strong>Saudi markets. Despite this, Al Rajhi Bank continued <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>mand <strong>the</strong> highest P/B and RoEmultiples in 2007 and 2008.Exhibit 48: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 49: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 20083530SABBSAMBA3530SaudiHollandiArab NationalSABBRoE (%)25201510Saudi FransiRIBL Arab NationalBJAZSIBCSaudi HollandiAl RajhiRoE (%)25201510RIBLSAMBASaudi FransiAl Rajhi5P/BAlbilad03 4 5 6 7 85SIBCAlbiladBJAZP/B00.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008Islamic banks such as Al Rajhi, BJAZ, and Al Bilad are preferred by inves<strong>to</strong>rs which is evidentfrom high trading volumes as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> conventional peers (Exhibit 50).JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK43


BANKING AND FINANCIALSExhibit 50: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 20082,5002,4012,0001,5001,4731,6271,00050036697542157 194336900Al Rajhi SAMBA SABB RIBL SaudiFransiArabNationalSIBCSaudiHollandiBJAZAlbiladSource: Reuters, NCBC ResearchAs <strong>the</strong> Saudi riyal is pegged <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> US dollar, interest rates in KSA moved in line with <strong>the</strong> USFederal Reserve (US Fed) rate. Consequently, while interest rates reached <strong>the</strong>ir peak in 2H-08,<strong>the</strong>y have steadily declined in response <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> steps undertaken by SAMA <strong>to</strong> mitigate <strong>the</strong> impac<strong>to</strong>f <strong>the</strong> global financial crisis on <strong>the</strong> Saudi Banking sec<strong>to</strong>r. This is reflected in KSA’s reverse rateswhich have declined by 450bp from 5.0% (November 2007) <strong>to</strong> 0.50% (April 2009).Interest rates started increasing from June 08 owing <strong>to</strong> increasing demand for credit in <strong>the</strong>Kingdom. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, as <strong>the</strong> global financial system experienced liquidity crisis, interbankinterest rates peaked in 2008—<strong>the</strong> SAIBOR rate increased <strong>to</strong> 4.67% (on 12 Oc<strong>to</strong>ber, 2008) andLibor rate <strong>to</strong> 4.75% (13 Oc<strong>to</strong>ber, 2008). The global liquidity squeeze, coupled with nonavailabilityof finance from foreign banks, increased <strong>the</strong> demand for Saudi riyal loans.Consequently, Saudi banks became conservative / selective in financing <strong>the</strong> developmentprojects. This caused <strong>the</strong> cost of debt (in SAIBOR) over <strong>the</strong> Libor rate <strong>to</strong> increase <strong>to</strong> 194bp as of12 November 2008 (average spread in 2008 was 50bp).Steps taken by SAMA <strong>to</strong> boostliquidity has helped reduced <strong>the</strong>cost of debt from 194bp inNovember 2008 <strong>to</strong> 5bp in May2009In light of <strong>the</strong> worsening global economic scenario, SAMA started taking aggressive measures,such as frequent rate cuts and relaxing reserve requirements (beginning in Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008) <strong>to</strong>ensure adequate liquidity <strong>to</strong> meet domestic credit demand. As a result, <strong>the</strong> Repo rate declined<strong>to</strong> 2.0% in January 2009 from 5.5% in November 2007 and <strong>the</strong> statu<strong>to</strong>ry reserve requirementlimit declined <strong>to</strong> 7% in Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008 from 13% in May 2008 of demand deposits, which releasedSR20.4bn for banks <strong>to</strong> lend. In addition, SAMA guaranteed bank deposits and deposited fundsworth USD2.5bn and an equivalent amount in Saudi Riyal <strong>to</strong> ensure liquidity in both <strong>the</strong>currencies. The steps by SAMA are expected <strong>to</strong> help stabilize <strong>the</strong> financial sec<strong>to</strong>r while boostingliquidity and reducing loan costs. These steps have resulted in a decline in interbank interestrates from <strong>the</strong>ir 2008 peaks—<strong>the</strong> SAIBOR rate is at 0.88% and LIBOR at 0.83% as of 18 May2009 (Exhibit 51). Consequently, <strong>the</strong> cost of debt (in SAIBOR) over <strong>the</strong> LIBOR rate has <strong>com</strong>edown <strong>to</strong> 5bp as of 18 May 2009 (average spread of 19bp year-<strong>to</strong>-date).JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK44


BANKING AND FINANCIALSExhibit 51: Movement in interbank interest rates, Jan 03 – May 0976543210Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-0910008006004002000-200Spreads bps (RHS) SAIBOR (%, LHS) LIBOR (%, LHS)Source: Reuters, NCBC ResearchAlthough, Saudi banks have been less exposed <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> US sub-prime market <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> o<strong>the</strong>rGCC banks, a fall in <strong>the</strong> value of investments held, negatively impacted bot<strong>to</strong>m lines of <strong>the</strong>banks in 2008. Fitch Credit Ratings Agency, in a Dec 08 <strong>report</strong>, cited adverse impact of <strong>the</strong>global credit crisis on profitability and market capitalization as key reasons for lowering <strong>the</strong>standalone individual credit rating on eight Saudi banks. Six banks—Arab National, SaudiFransi, NCB, RIBL, SAMBA, and SABB—were downgraded by Fitch from “B” <strong>to</strong> “B/C”, while twobanks—Saudi Hollandi and SIBC—were downgraded from “B/C” <strong>to</strong> “C”. However, Fitchreaffirmed <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s banking industry status as <strong>the</strong> strongest in <strong>the</strong> GCC and maintained astable outlook on <strong>the</strong> banking sec<strong>to</strong>r underpinned by strong Government support.The Saudi Government, concerned about economic growth, has been taking aggressivemeasures since Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008 <strong>to</strong> sustain banking sec<strong>to</strong>r growth. To that end, <strong>the</strong> Ministry ofFinance announced an expansionary budget for 2009, with increased spending on <strong>the</strong>infrastructure sec<strong>to</strong>r and o<strong>the</strong>r social projects. In November 2008, <strong>the</strong> Saudi Governmentannounced plans <strong>to</strong> implement a SR1,500bn development and investment program in <strong>the</strong> oiland Government sec<strong>to</strong>rs over <strong>the</strong> next five years. We expect rising levels of governmentspending will drive overall economic growth, <strong>the</strong>reby boosting <strong>the</strong> banking sec<strong>to</strong>r. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore,introduction of a mortgage law is likely <strong>to</strong> provide impetus <strong>to</strong> credit off-take in personal lending.Outlook for <strong>the</strong> Saudi bankingsec<strong>to</strong>r remains positive in ligh<strong>to</strong>f <strong>the</strong> steps undertaken bySAMA <strong>to</strong> boost liquidity andcontinued government measuresIn addition, SAMA’s recent initiatives such as direct deposits with <strong>com</strong>mercial banks, reductionin key lending rates, and relaxation of reserve requirement limits reflect <strong>the</strong> Central Bank’swillingness <strong>to</strong> ease <strong>the</strong> monetary policy <strong>to</strong> ensure liquidity. In addition, SAMA’s willingness <strong>to</strong>inject up <strong>to</strong> SR150bn in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> banking system would help <strong>the</strong> Government keep liquidity a<strong>the</strong>althy levels. EIU expects <strong>to</strong>tal lending by <strong>the</strong> banking and non-banking financial sec<strong>to</strong>r inSaudi Arabia <strong>to</strong> remain strong, growing <strong>to</strong> SR1,695bn by 2012 and it estimates <strong>to</strong>tal bankingdeposits <strong>to</strong> increase at 10.1% CAGR during 2007-12, <strong>to</strong> SR964bn by 2012. Although,<strong>com</strong>petition <strong>to</strong> attract more deposits may put pressure on net interest margins of banks, <strong>the</strong>irexpanded loan books are likely <strong>to</strong> drive net interest in<strong>com</strong>e growth. Hence, despite <strong>the</strong> difficultglobal economic climate, we expect a positive outlook for Saudi banks in 2009, based on <strong>the</strong>irstrong balance sheets and expectations of continued Government support.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK45


PetrochemicalsCost advantage fuelling growthKSA’s petrochemical industry, concentrated mainly in <strong>the</strong> industrial cities of Jubail and Yanbu, isone of <strong>the</strong> heavy weight sec<strong>to</strong>rs of <strong>the</strong> KSA economy. The Saudi petrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>r hasgrown from one <strong>com</strong>pany (KSA Fertilizers) in 1965 <strong>to</strong> 13 listed <strong>com</strong>panies in 2008. At present,Saudi Basic Industries Co (SABIC) is <strong>the</strong> largest petrochemical <strong>com</strong>pany in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r with anestimated capacity of approximately 44mn <strong>to</strong>ns (mt) per annum (as of 2008). His<strong>to</strong>rically, robustdemand for petrochemical products has helped <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r sustain growth. Since inception, <strong>the</strong>Saudi petrochemicals industry has received several incentives from <strong>the</strong> Government; <strong>the</strong> mostimportant being low-cost raw material, giving KSA <strong>com</strong>panies an edge over <strong>the</strong>ir global peers.KSA operates from a position of significant strength in <strong>the</strong> GCC petrochemical industry,accounting for majority of <strong>the</strong> region’s petrochemical production. By 2010-end, KSA, whichholds close <strong>to</strong> 21% of <strong>the</strong> world’s proven oil reserves, is expected <strong>to</strong> meet around 13% of<strong>the</strong> global demand for petrochemical products, increasing from 8% in 2006. KSA alsopossesses gas reserves of 253 trillion cubic feet and ranks fourth in <strong>the</strong> world after Russia, Iranand Qatar. Natural gas produced in KSA is priced at USD0.75 per mmbtu, much lower than <strong>the</strong>global price of USD4-5 per mmbtu, and <strong>the</strong> Kingdom benefits from its low feeds<strong>to</strong>ck cost.Saudi petrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>renjoys an absolute feeds<strong>to</strong>ckadvantage, relatively youngcracker fleet and economies ofscaleTo capitalize on <strong>the</strong> feeds<strong>to</strong>ck advantage, GCC petrochemical players under<strong>to</strong>ok significantcapacity expansion plans. Total petrochemical projects worth USD114bn are currently underprogressor planned in <strong>the</strong> GCC, of which, 54% are in KSA (MEED Projects). Some of <strong>the</strong>seprojects are under renegotiation, due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> decline in <strong>com</strong>modity prices in 2H-08.Petrochemical <strong>com</strong>panies in KSA also enjoy a dual pricing system under <strong>the</strong> country’sagreement with <strong>the</strong> WTO. This has helped <strong>the</strong>se <strong>com</strong>panies <strong>to</strong> get superior prices for <strong>the</strong>irproducts in <strong>the</strong> international market, thus lifting overall profitability.However, <strong>the</strong> global petrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>r is currently facing a downtrend. Lower demand forpetrochemical products in both developed and developing nations has depressed utilizationrates. We believe that <strong>the</strong> Saudi petrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>r is on a better platform, <strong>com</strong>pared withglobal peers, due <strong>to</strong> its absolute feeds<strong>to</strong>ck advantage, relatively young cracker fleet, and anexpanded production base offering economies of scale.Exhibit 52 shows <strong>the</strong> 13 <strong>com</strong>panies <strong>com</strong>prising <strong>the</strong> petrochemical sub-index of TadawulExhibit 52: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight inIndex as onDec 2008*Avg. NPM (%),1Q05 – 4Q08*Avg. RoE (%),2005 – 2008*Saudi Basic Industries Corp (SABIC) 16.71 20.8 29.9KSA Fertilizers Co (SAFCO) 2.43 65.0 37.9Saudi Industrial Investment Group (SIIG) 0.49 33.7 14.5Sahara Petrochemical 0.24 NM 5.5Yanbu National Petrochemical Company (YANSAB) 0.90 NM 7.4Nama Chemicals 0.12 5.7 3.1Saudi International Petrochemical Co (Sipchem) 0.56 37.3 20.6National Industrialization Co (NIC) 0.65 17.4 15.4Alujain Corporation 0.08 NM (4.0)Advanced Polypropylene Company 0.24 12.6 7.0Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company 1.58 NM 1.1Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Co 1.47 NM (16.5)Chemanol 0.15 5.8 3.7Source: Bloomberg, Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange (Tadawul), Reuters* start period may differ based on availability of dataJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK46


PETROCHEMICALSThe <strong>com</strong>bined revenue of all <strong>the</strong> 13 <strong>com</strong>panies increased 26.2% YoY in 2008; SABIC,accounted for approximately 84% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal revenue of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r in 2008. SABIC <strong>report</strong>edrevenue growth of 20.8% YoY in 2008, largely supported by high petrochemical prices, in linewith <strong>the</strong> surge in crude oil prices in 1H-08. However, <strong>the</strong> average net profit of nine <strong>com</strong>paniesdeclined 12.1% YoY in 2008, with SABIC accounting for approximately 78.8% of <strong>the</strong> decline.Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical, Alujain, Sahara Petrochemical and Yanbu NationalPetrochemical <strong>report</strong>ed losses in 2008. SABIC’s net in<strong>com</strong>e declined 18.5% YoY in 2008.Led by slump in demand,operating rates fell <strong>to</strong> his<strong>to</strong>riclows while prices tanked4Q-08 experienced a major reversal in trend, led by sharp decline in demand for petrochemicalproducts, resulting in prices moving southwards. The ongoing economic slowdown is affectingindustrial activities worldwide, leading <strong>to</strong> demand for petrochemicals softening in key marketsand in turn lowering operating rates for <strong>the</strong> Saudi petrochemical players as well. SABIC’srevenue slid 37.7% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR24,714mn in 4Q-08. Revenue of NIC and SAFCO alsoplummeted 71.1% and 16.3% YoY, respectively, in 4Q-08. SABIC’s profit margin contracted by1,603bps YoY in 4Q-08 and its net profit dived 95.5% YoY. Net profit of NationalIndustrialization Company and Sipchem also declined sharply by 87.0% YoY and 86.5% YoY,respectively, in 4Q-08.The petrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>report</strong>ed net losses of SR271.5mn in 4Q-08 (<strong>com</strong>pared with a gain ofSR8.9bn in 4Q-07). Going forward, with petrochemical prices plummeting in <strong>the</strong> wake ofturbulent market conditions, <strong>the</strong> margins of <strong>the</strong> petrochemical <strong>com</strong>panies in KSA may remainunder pressure.Exhibit 53: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 54: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 200812,00010,0008,000160,000140,00010080606,000120,0004,000100,0002,000080,0002005 2006 2007 2008SAFCO SIIG SPC NamaSipchem NIC Chemanol SABIC *40200-20-402005 2006 2007 2008SABIC SAFCO SIIG SPCNama Sipchem NIC ChemanolSource: Reuters; Companies marked * are on secondary axis;Top eight <strong>com</strong>panies (operational on 01 January 2008) by market cap have been considered.Source: Reuters; SPC’s margin for 2008 is not included as it is not meaningful;Top eight <strong>com</strong>panies (operational on 01 January 2008) by mcap have been consideredThe price multiples of Saudi petrochemical <strong>com</strong>panies were at <strong>the</strong>ir peak during 2005. This wasdue <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> anticipated growth in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r because of lower feeds<strong>to</strong>ck costs and increasingdemand from developing countries. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> Government promoted foreigninvestments in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r through joint ventures in a bid <strong>to</strong> achieve capacity expansion andtechnological up-gradation. However, <strong>the</strong> multiples fell significantly in 2008 following a downturnin <strong>the</strong> global s<strong>to</strong>ck markets. In 2008, Nama Chemicals had <strong>the</strong> highest P/E multiple of 93.7xfollowed by Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Co. (85.2x). As illustrated below, SAFCO had <strong>the</strong>highest RoE (60.9%) and P/B multiple (2.8x) in 2008. SABIC’s RoE contracted 1,025bp <strong>to</strong>22.7% in 2008.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK47


PETROCHEMICALSExhibit 55: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 56: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 200860706040SAFCO5040SAFCORoE (%)20NICSipchemSIIGSABICRoE (%)3020SipchemSABICSPC APCP/BYanbu0Alujain-202 3 4 5 6 7100-10-20NICSIIGAPCKayanSPCYanbuRabigh0.5 1.5 2.5P/BSource: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008Saudi Kayan Petrochemical Company recorded <strong>the</strong> highest average daily trading volume in2007-08.Exhibit 57: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 200820,00019,49615,00010,0005,0004,7367241,924 1,1942,0025,0902,718 2,012 1,826 2,206 13,7575,9210SABICSAFCOSIIGSPCYanbuNamaSipchemNICAlujainAPCKayanRabighChemanolSource: Reuters Knowledge, TadawulThough oversupply situation islikely <strong>to</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r depressmargins, low cost structureremains a huge positiveWith hydrocarbon prices trending lower, <strong>the</strong> outlook for petrochemical prices also looks bleak.Moreover, as massive capacity expansion projects are in progress in <strong>the</strong> Middle East, <strong>the</strong>y areexpected <strong>to</strong> trigger an overcapacity situation once <strong>the</strong>y go on-stream in 2011-12. This, in turn,will likely depress utilization rates fur<strong>the</strong>r, exerting pressure on prices. We expect <strong>the</strong> Saudipetrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> experience margin erosion, although <strong>to</strong> a much lesser extent vis-à-visglobal peers, given access <strong>to</strong> cheap feeds<strong>to</strong>ck advantage and higher economies of scale.Moreover, in <strong>the</strong> long term, we expect demand <strong>to</strong> regain momentum once <strong>the</strong> global economyrecovers, with major growth <strong>com</strong>ing from <strong>the</strong> Asian countries, particularly China and India.Overall, although <strong>the</strong> outlook for 2009 remains negative based on declining demand and prices,as seen in 4Q-08, we believe that <strong>the</strong> long-term outlook for <strong>the</strong> Saudi petrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>ris positive owing <strong>to</strong> its feeds<strong>to</strong>ck advantage, joint venture opportunities with globalpeers, expanding production base, and proximity <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> high-growth Asian and MiddleEastern markets. However, allocation of low cost feeds<strong>to</strong>ck for <strong>the</strong> up<strong>com</strong>ing new productionfacilities would be a challenge for Saudi players.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK48


CementOversupply concernsThe Saudi cement sec<strong>to</strong>r has transitioned from a single <strong>com</strong>pany industry (Arabian Cement Co)in 1955 <strong>to</strong> one <strong>com</strong>prising twelve cement <strong>com</strong>panies with an estimated <strong>to</strong>tal production capacityof 44mn <strong>to</strong>ns as at <strong>the</strong> end of 2008. Currently, <strong>the</strong>re are twelve cement producers operating in<strong>the</strong> Kingdom. Of <strong>the</strong>se, four new cement plants—Riyadh Cement, Najran Cement, MadinaCement, and Western Cement—<strong>com</strong>menced production during 2008, and <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r produced3.7mt of cement in 2008 (please refer <strong>to</strong> our KSA Cement Monthly and Cement Quarterly).Cement price realizations fellfrom SR259 per <strong>to</strong>n in 3Q-08 <strong>to</strong>SR234 per <strong>to</strong>n in 4Q-08In June-08, <strong>the</strong> Saudi Government imposed restrictions on <strong>the</strong> export of cement/clinker <strong>to</strong>foreign countries, with <strong>the</strong> exception of Bahrain. As a result, cement production in <strong>the</strong> Kingdomdropped 4.6% YoY in 2H-08, as capacity buildup and export restrictions played spoilsport. Thisbuildup has led <strong>to</strong> a fall in cement production and higher inven<strong>to</strong>ry of clinker, which in turn havehad an impact on cement prices. Average price realization declined from SR259 per <strong>to</strong>n in 3Q-08 <strong>to</strong> SR234 per <strong>to</strong>n in 4Q-08.KSA dwarfs GCC peers in production capacity. Companies operating in KSA enjoy <strong>the</strong> benefi<strong>to</strong>f subsidized fuel (energy and fuel account for 30–40% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal production cost of cement<strong>com</strong>panies) which, in turn, lowers <strong>the</strong>ir cost of production, <strong>com</strong>pared with that of o<strong>the</strong>r cementproducers in <strong>the</strong> GCC region. Even though cement prices in KSA are not regulated, officialprices in <strong>the</strong> local market are determined by a mechanism since 1991. However, <strong>the</strong> SaudiGovernment does intervene occasionally <strong>to</strong> prevent large price fluctuations. Increased<strong>com</strong>petition <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> existing eight publicly traded players in <strong>the</strong> cement sec<strong>to</strong>r will see a spike inproduction, which will lead <strong>to</strong> excess capacity and likely bring down cement prices in <strong>the</strong> longerterm.Exhibit 58 indicates that KSA’s cement sec<strong>to</strong>r performed better than that of <strong>the</strong> entire region onrevenue during 2005–2008. The sec<strong>to</strong>r also fares well on RoE, with attractive P/E multiples.Exhibit 58: Revenue of GCC cement <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008(USD mn)2,500Exhibit 59: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,2008402,00030KSA1,500Oman1,000RoE (%)20Qatar50002005 2006 2007 2008KSA UAE Kuwait Oman Qatar10KuwaitUAEP/E00 10 20 30 40 50 60 70Source: Reuters;The <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustive.Source: Reuters, NCBC Research;Size of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008Of <strong>the</strong> twelve cement producers operating in KSA, eight are listed on Tadawul. Exhibit 60outlines <strong>the</strong> performance of <strong>the</strong> eight listed <strong>com</strong>panies.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK49


CEMENTExhibit 60: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in Indexas on Dec 2008*Avg. NPM (%),1Q-05 – 4Q-08*Avg. RoE (%),2005 – 2008*Saudi Cement Company 0.62 50.6 25.5Yamama Saudi Cement Co. Ltd 0.50 63.8 31.1Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Province Cement Co 0.71 63.5 31.6Yanbu Cement Co 0.44 56.5 25.6The Qassim Cement Co 0.39 72.0 29.9Eastern Province Cement Co 0.37 64.0 23.3Arabian Cement Co 0.27 45.3 20.1Tabuk Cement Co 0.19 55.5 20.3Source: Bloomberg, Tadawul: Company data;* start periods may differ based on availability of dataExports plunged 18.9% YoYdue <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> ban imposed by <strong>the</strong>government in June 2008Cement production by <strong>the</strong> twelve <strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong> KSA grew 8.6% YoY <strong>to</strong> 32.9mt, whereas<strong>the</strong>ir <strong>to</strong>tal domestic sales grew 11.4% YoY <strong>to</strong> 29.9mt during 2008. The <strong>com</strong>bined domestic salesof <strong>the</strong> eight listed cement <strong>com</strong>panies aggregated 26.6mt during 2008, declining 0.9% YoY from26.8mn <strong>to</strong>ns a year ago. Cement exports in KSA fell by 18.9% YoY <strong>to</strong> 2.8mn <strong>to</strong>ns during 2008.Eastern Cement (SR253 per <strong>to</strong>n), Yanbu Cement (SR253 per <strong>to</strong>n), Yamama Cement (SR251per <strong>to</strong>n) and Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Province Cement (SR250 per <strong>to</strong>n) were <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies having betterprice realization than <strong>the</strong> industry average, in 4Q-08.In 4Q-08, Tabuk Cement saw <strong>the</strong> largest decline in revenue in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r of 38.0% YoY <strong>to</strong>SR47.2mn, followed by Qassim Cement with 31% YoY decline <strong>to</strong> SR165.4mn. The decline inrevenue can be attributed <strong>to</strong> lower sales volumes and mounting pressure on cement pricesprimarily due <strong>to</strong> lackluster demand.Exhibit 61: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 62: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 200815001001200909008070600603005002005 2006 2007 2008Saudi Cement Yamamah Sou<strong>the</strong>rn ProvinceYanbu Cement Qassim Cement Eastern CementArabian Cement Tabuk Cement40302005 2006 2007 2008Saudi Cement Yamamah Sou<strong>the</strong>rn ProvinceYanbu Cement Qassim Cement Eastern CementArabian Cement Tabuk CementSource: Reuters, BloombergSource: Reuters, BloombergThe price multiples of cement <strong>com</strong>panies in KSA were at <strong>the</strong>ir peak during 2005. However, <strong>the</strong>multiples corrected significantly in 2008, similar <strong>to</strong> that in 2006, following <strong>the</strong> s<strong>to</strong>ck marketcorrection. As of 31 December 2008, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r’s P/E and P/BV multiple s<strong>to</strong>od at 8.3x and 1.9xrespectively, <strong>com</strong>pared with P/E and P/BV multiples of 16.5x and 6.2x respectively in 2007. Asillustrated below, Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Province Cement had <strong>the</strong> highest RoE (33.6%) and P/B multiples(2.8x) in 2008.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK50


CEMENTExhibit 63: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 64: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2008RoE (%)4540353025201510Yanbu CementEasternCementArabianCementQassimCementYamamahSou<strong>the</strong>rnProvinceSaudi CementTabuk CementP/B0 5 10 15 20RoE (%)40302010YamamahArabianCementYanbu CementQassimCementSaudi CementEasternCementTabuk CementSou<strong>the</strong>rnProvinceP/B0 1 2 3 4Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008Tabuk Cement had <strong>the</strong> highest average daily trading volumes in 2007-08.Exhibit 65: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 2008500489400409300227200121 123164180100980SaudiCementYamamahCementSou<strong>the</strong>rnProvinceYanbuCementQassimCementEasternCementArabianCementTabukCementSource: Reuters, TadawulNear-term demand fears andoversupply concerns couldimpact utilization rates andprice realizationsGoing forward, ongoing construction projects (including <strong>the</strong> construction of <strong>the</strong> six plannedeconomic cities), public infrastructure projects, and expansion projects in sec<strong>to</strong>rs such aspower, utilities, and petrochemicals are likely <strong>to</strong> help <strong>the</strong> cement industry in KSA sustain growth.Demand drivers for residential and <strong>com</strong>mercial construction, <strong>the</strong> two main segments of cementusage, are likely <strong>to</strong> remain intact. To cater <strong>to</strong> anticipated growth in demand, some of <strong>the</strong> cementproducers are enhancing production capacity. In addition, newly established cement <strong>com</strong>panieshave also <strong>com</strong>menced production. As a result, KSA’s <strong>to</strong>tal production capacity is set <strong>to</strong>increase. We estimate KSA’s cement production capacity <strong>to</strong> reach 55mn <strong>to</strong>ns by 2010.Consequently, both <strong>the</strong> demand and supply of cement seem positioned well in <strong>the</strong> long term.However, on doing a reality check on <strong>the</strong> execution of planned infrastructure projects, given <strong>the</strong>slowdown in economic activity and project financing, we believe that <strong>the</strong> expected supply ofcement could exceed <strong>the</strong> likely demand. It is feared that many of <strong>the</strong> projects (valued ~$600bn),planned and underway in Saudi Arabia, could face delays, or even be shelved. In <strong>the</strong> near term,this could hurt utilization rates, and consequently price realizations, as seen in 4Q-08. Should<strong>the</strong> KSA Government lift its export restrictions, we expect better prospects for <strong>the</strong> cementindustry.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK51


RetailBetting on increasing consumer base,spendingThe retail sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, <strong>the</strong> largest is <strong>the</strong> Middle East, is largely beingdriven by <strong>the</strong> growing population, higher per capita in<strong>com</strong>e and growing organized retail. Thetwo largest cities Riyadh and Jeddah drive <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s retail sec<strong>to</strong>r growth. Key players in<strong>the</strong> retail sec<strong>to</strong>r include Savola, Al Othaim, Fawaz Al-Hokair Group, Jarir Books<strong>to</strong>re, FitaihiGroup, Saudi Au<strong>to</strong>motive Services Company, and Carrefour.Favorable demographicscoupled with increasingpreference for internationalbrands, is likely <strong>to</strong> propelgrowthSupply of retail goods in KSA is still limited. Most supermarkets sell only food items. In addition,<strong>the</strong> Kingdom is not self-sufficient in terms of supply of retail goods, such as textiles, footwear,and furniture, and relies on imports from countries, including China, Europe, Italy, and <strong>the</strong> US.However, in spite of <strong>the</strong> increase in prices of imported goods, demand for <strong>the</strong>se products isrising primarily due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> increase in population and in<strong>com</strong>e levels. KSA’s retail sales wereestimated at around SR198.6bn (USD53bn) in 2008, more than half of GCC’s <strong>to</strong>tal retail salesof USD100bn in 2007. EIU forecasts retail sales <strong>to</strong> be close <strong>to</strong> SAR230bn in 2009 and expects<strong>the</strong> uptrend <strong>to</strong> continue, going forward. Non-food retail sales are expected <strong>to</strong> <strong>to</strong>uch SAR28.2bn.Saudi Arabia’s organized retail sec<strong>to</strong>r, which includes large retail chain opera<strong>to</strong>rs, hasregistered significant growth in <strong>the</strong> past two years, supported by <strong>the</strong> opening of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong>foreign investment in March 2007. The increased investment in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r helped large retail<strong>com</strong>panies <strong>to</strong> aggressively expand <strong>the</strong>ir retail operations in <strong>the</strong> country. However, <strong>the</strong>unorganized sec<strong>to</strong>r, including single-outlet operations, lagged large retailers in terms of growth,as <strong>the</strong>y were hampered by: a) limited availability of finance; and b) spike in purchase cost of<strong>com</strong>modities. Going forward, intensifying <strong>com</strong>petition in KSA’s retail sec<strong>to</strong>r is likely <strong>to</strong> trigger awave of consolidation, with giant retailers acquiring single-s<strong>to</strong>re outfits.Sales volume also grew steadily, driven by a rapidly growing population and increased spendingpower of consumers brought about by <strong>the</strong> rapid economic expansion. By <strong>the</strong> end of 2008, SaudiArabia’s <strong>to</strong>tal population was close <strong>to</strong> 24.8mn (according <strong>to</strong> General Statistics and InformationDepartment) and this figure is expected <strong>to</strong> reach 30.3mn in 2012 (Source: FAO, UN), supportinggrowth in this sec<strong>to</strong>r. Over 70% of <strong>the</strong> country’s population is in <strong>the</strong>ir twenties. The entry of thispopulation in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> country’s workforce, coupled with <strong>the</strong> increasing preference of consumers forinternational brands, is likely <strong>to</strong> propel growth in Saudi Arabia’s retail segment. In terms ofgoods, demand for textiles, clothing and footwear, furniture, and white goods is increasing with<strong>the</strong> rise in individual purchasing power. Modern retail formats such as hypermarkets andsupermarkets are be<strong>com</strong>ing increasingly popular.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK52


RETAILExhibit 66 indicates that Saudi retail sec<strong>to</strong>r performed better than o<strong>the</strong>r GCC countries onrevenue during 2005–9M-08. The sec<strong>to</strong>r also fares well on RoE and has higher P/E multiples(Exhibit 67).Exhibit 66: Revenue of GCC Retail <strong>com</strong>panies,2005–07 (USD mn)2,800Exhibit 67: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,20080.42,4002,0000.30.2Bahrain1,6001,200800ROE(%)0.1KSAP/E0-10 -5 0 5 10 15 20-0.1400Kuwait-0.202005 2006 2007 2008KSA Kuwait Bahrain-0.3-0.4Source: ReutersThe <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustive.Source: Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008Exhibit 68 indicates <strong>the</strong> performance of <strong>the</strong> eight listed <strong>com</strong>panies on <strong>the</strong> Tadawul. Abdullah Al-Othaim Market Company was listed in 2008.Exhibit 68: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in indexas on Dec 2008*Avg. NPM (%),1Q-05 – 4Q-08*Avg. RoE (%),2005 – 2008*Abdullah Al-Othaim* 0.1 2.3 N/ASaudi Au<strong>to</strong>motive Services Co 0.06 29.0 14.34National Agriculture Marketing Co 0.02 (2.5) (3.15)Ahmed H. Fitaihi Company 0.06 9.4 2.08Jarir Marketing Co 0.56 15.0 44.53Aldrees Petroleum & Transport Services Co 0.07 5.2 18.57Fawaz Abdulaziz AlHokair Company * 0.24 15.2 25.54Alkhaleej Training and Education Company * 0.05 11.0 N/ASource: Reuters, Tadawul* start periods may differ based on availability of dataRevenue of all retail <strong>com</strong>panies, except Alkhaleej, registered strong growth during 2008,supported by an increase in demand. The Fitaihi Group recorded <strong>the</strong> largest growth in revenue(62.4% YoY) <strong>to</strong> SR194.3mn and Abdullah Al Othaim Markets Co. <strong>report</strong>ed <strong>the</strong> highest revenueof SR2,915.3mn during 2008 among peers. Abdullah Al Othaim Markets Co. also posted <strong>the</strong>highest net in<strong>com</strong>e of SR67.1mn. Net profit margin of all <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies, except Fitaihi Groupand Abdullah Al Othaim Markets Co. fell during 2008. Net margin of AlHokair Co. contracted <strong>the</strong>most (1032bp YoY) during <strong>the</strong> year.In 4Q-08, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>bined revenue of all <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies grew 93.9% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR2,284mn. Jarir’srevenue grew by 51.5% YoY, <strong>the</strong> highest in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r, <strong>to</strong> SR668.8mn during <strong>the</strong> quarter. The<strong>to</strong>tal profit of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r increased 16.2% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR172.0mn while average profit margindropped 502bp <strong>to</strong> 8.3% in 4Q-08. National Agriculture Marketing Co. recorded <strong>the</strong> largestcontraction (1,919bp) in net margin during <strong>the</strong> quarter.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK53


RETAILExhibit 69: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 70: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 20085003,000201204003002001002,5002,0001,5001,000500100-1010080604020002005 2006 2007 2008SASCO National Agri Fitahi GroupAlHokair Company Alkhaleej Al OthaimJarir*Aldrees*-202005 2006 2007 2008National Agri Fitahi Group JarirAldrees AlHokair Company AlkhaleejAl Othaim SASCO *0Source: Reuters, BloombergCompanies marked * are plotted on secondary axis;Source: Reuters, BloombergCompanies marked * are plotted on secondary axis;Price multiples of Saudi retail <strong>com</strong>panies fell during 2006 following <strong>the</strong> s<strong>to</strong>ck market correction.In 2005, <strong>the</strong> price multiples were at <strong>the</strong>ir peak, supported by a growing economy, several IPOs,and a fast developing capital market. In 2008, <strong>the</strong> return on equity for all <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies, barringNational Agriculture Marketing Co., Ahmed H. Fitaihi Co. and Al Othaim, declined considerably.The average RoE of <strong>the</strong>se <strong>com</strong>panies was 9.5% in 2008, <strong>com</strong>pared with 21.6% in 2007. Jarirhad <strong>the</strong> highest ROE (54.0%) and <strong>the</strong> P/B multiple (2.0x) in 2008 (Exhibit 72).Exhibit 71: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 72: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2008RoE (%)60AlHokair50Jarir4030Alkhaleej20AldreesSASCO10National AgriP/B00 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3-10Fitahi GroupRoE (%)7060504030AlHokairAl Othaim20 AlkhaleejAldrees10SASCOFitahi Group00 1 2-10 National AgriJarirP/BSource: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK54


RETAILAs evident from Exhibit 73, Fitaihi Group has <strong>the</strong> highest average daily trading volume in 2007-08.Exhibit 73: Avg. daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (in 000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 20083,5003,2153,0002,735 2,7352,5002,2932,0001,8221,5001,000500092546263SASCO Thim'ar Fitahi Group Jarir Aldrees AlHokair Alkhaleej Al Othaim *Source: Reuters*Al Othaim trading started 14 July 2008The slowdown caused by <strong>the</strong> ongoing global financial crisis is affecting <strong>the</strong> KSA economy aswell. In <strong>the</strong> short term, we expect consumer spending, <strong>the</strong> single-largest growth driver for <strong>the</strong>retail sec<strong>to</strong>r, <strong>to</strong> be stagnant. Consequently, <strong>com</strong>panies selling high-end consumer durables arelikely <strong>to</strong> experience revenue growth slowdowns. However, in <strong>the</strong> long term, <strong>the</strong> demand forgoods is likely <strong>to</strong> be on an uptrend. With oil crashing, cost of production has eased. Added <strong>to</strong>that, growth in population is expected <strong>to</strong> result in more new houses being built in KSA. This isexpected <strong>to</strong> boost demand for electronic appliances, television sets, refrigera<strong>to</strong>rs, and washingmachines.Companies selling high endconsumer durables are likely <strong>to</strong>experience revenue growthslowdownsTo cater <strong>to</strong> growing demand, existing retail players are moving <strong>to</strong>ward consolidation andexpanding <strong>the</strong> number of outlets <strong>to</strong> enhance <strong>the</strong>ir profitability. Liberalization of <strong>the</strong> retail sec<strong>to</strong>rby <strong>the</strong> Saudi Government has created significant opportunities for foreign <strong>com</strong>panies. This islikely <strong>to</strong> affect <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>petitiveness of existing retail firms. Though <strong>the</strong> outlook for demand andsupply is favorable, <strong>the</strong> pricing outlook remains cloudy. The Government’s decision <strong>to</strong> introduceVAT on certain goods is likely <strong>to</strong> result in price escalation and in turn impact demand over <strong>the</strong>long term. With liberalization of <strong>the</strong> economy, <strong>the</strong> already fragmented retail space will likely seefur<strong>the</strong>r <strong>com</strong>petition, depressing margins of <strong>com</strong>panies. Never<strong>the</strong>less, in <strong>the</strong> long term, webelieve that <strong>com</strong>panies will see revenue growth because of favorable demographics and ananticipated rise in per-capita in<strong>com</strong>e in KSAJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK55


Energy and UtilitiesPrivatizing is <strong>the</strong> key <strong>to</strong> growthElectricity consumption in KSA has increased rapidly in recent years driven by a robustindustrial sec<strong>to</strong>r, growing population, and improvement in living standards. Moreover, lowertariffs fixed by <strong>the</strong> Government, hot wea<strong>the</strong>r conditions, and a surge in power-intensiveindustrial development also supported demand growth. KSA’s energy and utilities sec<strong>to</strong>rcurrently has only two listed <strong>com</strong>panies — Saudi Electricity Company (SECO) and National Gasand Industrialization Co. (NGIC). Both <strong>com</strong>panies are part-owned by <strong>the</strong> Government. Apartfrom <strong>the</strong>se two <strong>com</strong>panies, <strong>the</strong>re are few o<strong>the</strong>r state bodies that contribute <strong>to</strong> electricitygeneration. These include Saline Water Conversion Corporation (SWCC), Marafiq, and SaudiAramco. In addition, Tihama Power Generation Co. (a private entity owed by Saudi Oger Ltd.and International Power Plc), owns four plants.Electricity consumption percapita is expected <strong>to</strong> grow at4.1% over 2007-12, according<strong>to</strong> EIUElectricity consumption in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom increased at a 3.0% CAGR from 6,214 Kilowatt hour(kwh) per head in 2003 <strong>to</strong> 6,994 kwh per head in 2007. The EIU expects electricity consumptionin <strong>the</strong> Kingdom <strong>to</strong> increase <strong>to</strong> 8,556 kwh per head in 2012 (CAGR of 4.1% during 2007-12),backed by growth in <strong>the</strong> country’s industrial sec<strong>to</strong>rs and population.Exhibit 74: Per capita electricity consumption in Kwh, 2007A–2012E9,0008,4008,5567,8007,9398,2347,2007,3497,6466,6006,9946,0002007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012Source: EIU (<strong>report</strong> dated 29 August 2008)GCC countries are expected <strong>to</strong>spend almost USD217 bn onelectricity projects, of whichalmost 80% will be spent byKSA and <strong>the</strong> UAEA similar trend is visible across <strong>the</strong> GCC countries. To cater <strong>to</strong> growing demand, GCC countriesare targeting <strong>to</strong> expand installed capacity <strong>to</strong> 96,700 MW by 2010 from 59,700 MW in 2006.They are also enhancing <strong>the</strong> electricity transmission network that includes <strong>the</strong> setting up of GCCInterconnection Grids across <strong>the</strong> GCC <strong>to</strong> benefit from differences in peak electricity demand.The first phase of this grid is expected <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>mence operations in 2Q-09 and would link KSA,Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain while <strong>the</strong> second phase will link UAE and Oman. Total spending on<strong>the</strong> electricity projects is expected <strong>to</strong> aggregate USD217bn, of which approximately 80% is likely<strong>to</strong> be spent by KSA and <strong>the</strong> UAE (Exhibit 75).JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK56


ENERGY AND UTILITIESExhibit 75: Country wise distribution of electricity projects in GCC – <strong>to</strong>tal of USD217bnBahrainOmanKuwaitQatarUAESaudi Arabia0 20 40 60 80 100 120Source: ProLeads GlobalExhibit 76 indicates that KSA’s energy and utilities sec<strong>to</strong>r performed better than that of <strong>the</strong>entire GCC on revenue during 2005–9M-08. However, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r lags GCC peers in terms ofreturn on equity (Exhibit 77).Exhibit 76: Revenue of GCC energy & utilities <strong>com</strong>panies,2005 – 2008 (USD mn)6,0005,000Exhibit 77: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,200860504,0003,0002,000RoE (%)403020101,00002005 2006 2007 2008KSA Kuwait Qatar UAE00 5 10 15 20 25 30-10P/EKSA Kuwait Qatar UAESource: ReutersThe <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustive.Source: ReutersSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008KSA will need <strong>to</strong> increase itspower generating capacityfrom 35.9 GW in 2007 <strong>to</strong> 60.0GW in 2023 <strong>to</strong> meet risingelectricity demand, according<strong>to</strong> ECRAThough rising demand offers huge growth potential, underinvestment during <strong>the</strong> last decadehas resulted in power shortages in many regions in KSA. The Saudi Government is increasinglyseeking <strong>the</strong> participation of private players <strong>to</strong> over<strong>com</strong>e <strong>the</strong> possible supply crunch. According<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Saudi Electricity Company (SECO), <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s electricity sec<strong>to</strong>r had an installedgeneration capacity of 35.9 Gigawatt (GW) in 2007. Electricity and Cogeneration Regula<strong>to</strong>ryAuthority (ECRA) estimates that KSA would need <strong>to</strong> increase its power generating capacity <strong>to</strong>60,000 Megawatt (MW) by 2023, representing an increase of 1,600 MW per year.Currently, private sec<strong>to</strong>r investment in energy projects under development <strong>to</strong>tals USD79bn.According <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Energy Information Administration <strong>report</strong> (published in August 2008), KSAaims <strong>to</strong> attract private sec<strong>to</strong>r investment for up <strong>to</strong> 60 percent equity in integrated IndependentWater and Power Projects (IWPPs), with <strong>the</strong> remainder split between Public Investment FundJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK57


ENERGY AND UTILITIES(PIF) and SECO. Moreover, in a move <strong>to</strong>ward privatization of <strong>the</strong> power sec<strong>to</strong>r, ECRA plans <strong>to</strong>split SECO’s power generation assets in<strong>to</strong> four separate units before eventual privatization of<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany.Exhibit 78 depicts <strong>the</strong> performance of <strong>the</strong> two <strong>com</strong>panies listed on <strong>the</strong> Tadawul S<strong>to</strong>ckExchange. SECO dwarfs NGIC in terms of market capitalization with 4.17% share in <strong>the</strong> index,as on 31 December 2008.Exhibit 78: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in index ason Dec 2008*Avg. NPM (%),1Q-05 – 4Q-08*Avg. RoE (%),2005 – 2008*Saudi Electricity Co (SECO) 4.17 6.7 2.9National Gas & Industrialization Co (NGIC) 0.14 10.5 13.1Source: Bloomberg, Tadawul* start period may differ based on availability of dataSECO is a dominant player in<strong>the</strong> energy sec<strong>to</strong>r, controllingover 89% of <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’sgeneration capacitySECO enjoys a near monopoly in <strong>the</strong> electricity sec<strong>to</strong>r. SECO controlled over 89% of generationcapacity and 100% of <strong>the</strong> transmission and distribution network in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom in 2007.SECO’s revenue increased 11.1% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR5,126.2mn in 4Q-08. However, higher sales costresulted in SECO <strong>report</strong>ing a net loss of SR435.7mn in 4Q-08. NGIC’s revenue increased 2.8%YoY <strong>to</strong> SR378.3mn, whereas its profit margin contracted 236bp <strong>to</strong> 10.8% in 4Q-08. In 2008,SECO’s revenue increased 8.1% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR22,293.9mn and NGIC’s revenue increased 5.7%YoY <strong>to</strong> SR1,471.3mn. SECO’s net profit declined 30.8% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR1,074.8mn because ofhigher personnel and operating costs, whereas NGIC’s net profit increased 6.7% YoY <strong>to</strong>SR148.7mn in 2008.Exhibit 79: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 80: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 200824,0001,5001522,0001,40012920,0001,300618,0001,200316,0002005 2006 2007 2008SECO NGIC *1,100-2005 2006 2007 2008SECONGICSource: ReutersCompanies marked * are plotted on secondary axisSource: ReutersPricing multiples of both <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies peaked in 2005. In 2008, <strong>the</strong> decline in <strong>the</strong> pricingmultiples of <strong>the</strong>se <strong>com</strong>panies has been less severe vis-à-vis <strong>the</strong> TASI. However, SECO’s P/Emultiples of 35.9x in 2008 is much higher, <strong>com</strong>pared with NGIC’s multiple of 8.7x due <strong>to</strong>SECO’s positioning as a dominant player in <strong>the</strong> Saudi energy sec<strong>to</strong>r. Never<strong>the</strong>less, NGIC hadhigher RoE (14.3%) and P/B multiples (1.3x) in 2008.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK58


ENERGY AND UTILITIESExhibit 81: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 82: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 20081512NGIC1512NGICRoE (%)96RoE (%)963SECO3SECO00 1 P/B 2 300 1 P/B 2 3Source: Bloomberg, TadawulSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, TadawulSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap as on 31 Dec 2008Exhibit 83 indicates that SECO’s trading volumes are higher than that of NGIC.Exhibit 83: Avg. daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 20088,0007,5826,4004,8003,2001,6001,7080SECONGICSource: ReutersSince 2000, electricity tariffs have remained constant in KSA. However, increasing participationof <strong>the</strong> private sec<strong>to</strong>r is likely <strong>to</strong> result in <strong>the</strong> gradual introduction of market-based tariffs.Electricity & Cogeneration Authority’s (ECRA) approval of <strong>the</strong> proposed tariff changes is a keygrowth catalyst. This move is expected <strong>to</strong> provide relief <strong>to</strong> energy providers by ac<strong>com</strong>modating<strong>the</strong> cost of services <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> extent possible and offering sufficient revenue growth opportunitieswhile reducing <strong>the</strong> burden on low-in<strong>com</strong>e families. However, given <strong>the</strong> deteriorating consumerconfidence amid <strong>the</strong> ongoing economic crisis, implementation of this new tariff structure is likely<strong>to</strong> be muted.Electricity consumption isexpected <strong>to</strong> slowdown in 2009due <strong>to</strong> declining industrial andconstruction activity, but longterm is still intactGoing forward, Government’s initiatives <strong>to</strong> bring about economic growth (in <strong>the</strong> form ofadditional Government spending and rate cuts) with higher focus on energy-intensive industriesare likely <strong>to</strong> provide impetus <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> energy sec<strong>to</strong>r. Though declining industrial and constructionactivity could dent demand growth in 2009, significantly low per capita energy consumption in<strong>the</strong> Kingdom offers sufficient room for an upside in <strong>the</strong> long run. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> SaudiGovernment continues <strong>to</strong> encourage private sec<strong>to</strong>r investment in <strong>the</strong> energy sec<strong>to</strong>r, asprivatization will bring in <strong>the</strong> much-needed investment. The Pan-Arab GCC grid will alsoJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK59


ENERGY AND UTILITIESincrease <strong>the</strong> utilization rates of Saudi energy firms. However, we remain concerned on <strong>the</strong>timely <strong>com</strong>pletion of <strong>the</strong> power projects mainly due <strong>to</strong> shortage of skilled staff and high demandof power projects elsewhere in <strong>the</strong> GCC. For instance, Marafiq’s Jubail IWPP project (largest in<strong>the</strong> Middle East) has been delayed, whereas <strong>the</strong> earlier <strong>com</strong>pletion target date was 2009.Never<strong>the</strong>less, increasing participation of <strong>the</strong> private sec<strong>to</strong>r, coupled with planned capacityexpansions and favorable demand outlook, could be viewed as catalysts for industry growthgoing forward.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK60


Agriculture and FoodFulfilling demand through importsKSA is one of <strong>the</strong> largest importers of agricultural and food products in <strong>the</strong> world. The Kingdomimports agricultural products from Ukraine, Syria, Brazil, India, <strong>the</strong> US, European Union (EU),and Australia. KSA imported over SR25.5bn of agriculture products in 2008, up sharply 40%YoY. The agriculture sec<strong>to</strong>r in KSA contributed 3% of <strong>the</strong> GDP and employed around 12% of<strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal workforce in 2007. The prime reason for dependence on imports is <strong>the</strong> paucity of freshwater and arable land.Demand for agricultural, food, and food-related products continues <strong>to</strong> remain high, led by <strong>the</strong>growing population, making KSA <strong>the</strong> leading market in <strong>the</strong> Middle East for agricultural products.The Saudi Government is planning various initiatives ranging from loan and subsidy policies <strong>to</strong>boost agriculture activity in <strong>the</strong> region, while paying special attention <strong>to</strong> technological upgrading.In <strong>the</strong> recent 2009 state budget, <strong>the</strong> agriculture and water sec<strong>to</strong>rs were allocated SR35.4bn,which was <strong>the</strong> third largest amount of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal budget. Major portions of this amount areexpected <strong>to</strong> be spent on improving agricultural productivity, irrigation, silos, mills, desalination,roads, drainage, and provision of o<strong>the</strong>r incentives <strong>to</strong> farmers. Several water conservationprojects have also been flagged off.These Government initiatives and support have spurred private sec<strong>to</strong>r interest in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r withinvestments expected <strong>to</strong> reach SR181bn in 2009, after sharply surging in 2008. A <strong>to</strong>tal of about23% of this investment is mainly focused on agriculture related projects alone.As a result of <strong>the</strong> limited arableland and depleting fossil watersources, KSA is expected <strong>to</strong>increase its dependence onfood importsAlthough, of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal land area of 2,149,690 sq km in KSA, only a very small portion is arable,thousands of hectares of desert have now been transformed in<strong>to</strong> arable land using moderntechnology and equipment. However, of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal water required for agriculture, majority issourced from non-renewable aquifers. The Saudi Arabian Ministry of Agriculture (MOA)announced 12.5% per annum cut in wheat production from <strong>the</strong> spring of 2009 until <strong>the</strong> spring of2016, because of depleting fossil water within KSA. As a result, from 2009–2016, <strong>the</strong> Kingdomis expected <strong>to</strong> fulfill its wheat requirements by importing a similar percentage of wheat from <strong>the</strong>international market every year.Moreover, <strong>the</strong> US Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service expects <strong>the</strong> demandfor rice <strong>to</strong> increase in 2009 due <strong>to</strong> a rise in population and higher number of pilgrims visitingMecca. The Kingdom, <strong>the</strong> largest importer of rice from India, faced supply pressures in 2008,due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> ban on non-basmati rice exports from India. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> Saudi Governmentimplemented a new rice subsidy program on 5 Jan 08, under which, it subsidized rice imports at<strong>the</strong> rate of USD266.67 per metric <strong>to</strong>n and this is expected <strong>to</strong> help lower retail prices of highquality rice by up <strong>to</strong> 20% in KSA.Population growth, higherconsumer spending changes inlife style and eating habits arekey growth driversThe growing population base of Saudi Arabia and higher consumer spending are expected <strong>to</strong>drive demand for food. With increased focus on urbanization and industrialization and <strong>the</strong>growing influence of western lifestyles in KSA, <strong>the</strong> eating and living habits of <strong>the</strong> people havechanged dramatically. As a result, <strong>the</strong> number of supermarkets and fast food chains areexpected <strong>to</strong> rise in major urban areas of KSA. In <strong>the</strong> past ten years, majority of <strong>the</strong> US quickservicerestaurant franchises such as McDonald’s, Pizza Hut, Subway and KFC, as well asWestern-style supermarkets have entered <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. Local players in <strong>the</strong> fast food businessJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK61


AGRICULTURE AND FOODare Herfy, Al-Back, Tazaj, Dajen and Kudu. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong> rising number of foreign pilgrims islikely <strong>to</strong> increase per capita food consumption in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom.The Kingdom imports large quantities of agricultural <strong>com</strong>modities and food ingredients for itsgrowing food processing sec<strong>to</strong>r. Therefore, KSA levies only 5% import duty on <strong>the</strong> majority offoodstuffs imported. However, rice, food grains and fresh produce are exempted from importduty. Going forward, <strong>the</strong> KSA Government is phasing out cus<strong>to</strong>m duty and will introduce ValueAdded Tax (VAT), in line with <strong>the</strong> UAE Government’s plan. This development will most likelychange <strong>the</strong> country’s indirect tax system.KSA <strong>com</strong>panies <strong>com</strong>pare well with GCC peers on revenue parameters.Exhibit 84: Revenue of GCC agriculture <strong>com</strong>panies,2005–2008 (USD mn)700060005000Exhibit 85: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,2008,605040400030002000100002005 2006 2007 2008Kuwait Oman KSA Qatar UAEROE (%)3020100-5 0 5 10 15 20 25-10-20P/EKuwait KSA Qatar OmanSource: Gulfbase, ReutersThe <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustiveSource: Gulfbase, Reuters, BloombergSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008The 15 <strong>com</strong>panies that <strong>com</strong>prise <strong>the</strong> agriculture sub-index of <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange arelisted in Exhibit 86 along with <strong>the</strong>ir respective average net profit margins and average RoE.Almarai had <strong>the</strong> highest market weight as of December 2008, whereas Savola exhibited <strong>the</strong>best RoE (excluding Bishah).Exhibit 86: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in Indexas on Dec 2008Avg. NPM (%),1Q05 – 4Q08*Avg. RoE,2005 – 2008*Savola Group 1.31 13.5 23.6National Agriculture Development Co 0.21 10.1 8.7Qassim Agriculture Co 0.04 53.9 1.1Hail Agriculture Development Co 0.07 16.2 10.9Tabuk Agriculture Development Co 0.04 15.9 7.4Saudi Fisheries Co 0.05 (31.5) (19.4)Ash Shargiyah Agriculture Development 0.01 2.0 2.2Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co 0.05 25.5 9.9Bishah Agriculture Development Co** 0.04 NM 25.9Jazan Development Co 0.05 318.4 11.8Food Products Co 0.02 6.4 4.7Saudi Dairy & Foodstuff Co 0.06 3.1 5.1Almarai Company 1.65 17.6 -26.5Anaam International Holding Group Co 0.06 7.6 2.1Source: Bloomberg, Tadawul* start period may differ based on availability of data;** Performance up <strong>to</strong> 1Q-07JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK62


AGRICULTURE AND FOODThe <strong>com</strong>bined revenue of 14 <strong>com</strong>panies (excluding Bishah) increased 10.1% YoY in 2008,although earnings fell over 52.0% during <strong>the</strong> same period. The <strong>to</strong>p three <strong>com</strong>panies—SavolaGroup, Almarai Company, and National Agriculture Development Co—accounted forapproximately 95.3% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal revenue. Savola Group, <strong>the</strong> largest <strong>com</strong>pany in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r,accounted for around 63.2% of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r’s revenue. Almarai ranks second on revenue.Although growth in earnings has slowed down QoQ, sales across segments remained steadydue <strong>to</strong> strong domestic demand for food and related products. Most o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong>sec<strong>to</strong>r, including National Agriculture Development Company and Almarai, also recordedrevenue gains. Among <strong>the</strong> leading players in 4Q-08, Savola’s <strong>to</strong>p line declined 8.9% QoQ andNational Agriculture Development Co’s revenue fell 12.2%.Exhibit 87: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005-2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 88: Profitability (%) of Companies, 2005 – 20088001500025700600120002050090001540030020010060003000105002005 2006 2007 2008Hail Saudi Fisheries Halwani*Savola* NADEC Bishah **SADAFCO*Almarai*0-52005 2006 2007 2008Savola NADEC HailSADAFCO * Almarai HalwaniSource: Reuters, Gulfbase, BloombergCompanies marked * are plotted on secondary axis **up <strong>to</strong> 2006Source: Reuters, Gulfbase, BloombergAs indicated in Exhibits 89 and 90, <strong>the</strong> price multiples of Saudi agriculture and food <strong>com</strong>panieswere at <strong>the</strong>ir peak prior <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> 2006 correction in <strong>the</strong> Saudi market which resulted in multiplesdeclining significantly. The peer average of <strong>com</strong>panies in this sec<strong>to</strong>r s<strong>to</strong>od at 14.8x in FY-08.Savola, <strong>the</strong> largest amongst peers, traded at 14.3x.Exhibit 89: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 90: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2008ROE(%)3530252015105P/B00 5 10 15 20Savola GroupNational AgricultureHail AgricultureTabukAl Jouf AgricultureJazan DevelopmentFood ProductsSaudi Dairy & FoodstuffAlmaraiAnaamSource: Gulfbase, Reuters, NCBC ResearchNon meaningful values have been excludedSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007ROE(%)3530252015105P/B00 2 4 6 8 10 12Savola GroupNational AgricultureHail AgricultureTabukAl Jouf AgricultureJazan DevelopmentFood ProductsSaudi Dairy & FoodstuffAlmaraiAnaamHalwaniSource: Gulfbase, Reuters, NCBC ResearchNon meaningful values have been excludedSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK63


AGRICULTURE AND FOODExhibit 91: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan07 – Dec08600050004,7364,76340003,6473,586300020002,3552,1481,8071,7992,8192,559 2,715 1,5752,1781000360 3390SavolaNADECQassimHailTabukSaudiFisheriesAshshargiyahAl-JoufBishahJazanFoodSADAFCOAlmaraiAnaamHalwaniSource: Reuters, TadawulKSA is largely dependent on imports for its agriculture and food product requirements. TheGovernment is following a policy of conserving all its depleting fresh water resources whiledeveloping arable land in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. Going forward, imports of key inputs such as wheat,rice, barley, are likely <strong>to</strong> grow in tandem with <strong>the</strong> development of <strong>the</strong> economy. With KSA’saccession <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> WTO, <strong>the</strong>re has been an inflow of foreign participants, which increases<strong>com</strong>petition. In addition, <strong>the</strong> Government is phasing out cus<strong>to</strong>ms duty and introducing VAT.Favorable demographics such as rising population will be a key growth driver for this sec<strong>to</strong>r.Although efforts <strong>to</strong> develop desert in<strong>to</strong> arable land are underway, lack of agricultural land andwater resources will continue <strong>to</strong> increase imports of major foodstuffs. Thus, KSA is expected <strong>to</strong>remain a net importer of agriculture and food products.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK64


Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITFavorable demographics driving growthThe Saudi tele<strong>com</strong>munication sec<strong>to</strong>r has experienced robust growth in <strong>the</strong> past few years,largely driven by KSA’s young demographic profile (68% of <strong>the</strong> people are below <strong>the</strong> age of 30)and rising per capita in<strong>com</strong>e. Currently, <strong>the</strong> tele<strong>com</strong>munication sec<strong>to</strong>r index of <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ckExchange <strong>com</strong>prises four <strong>com</strong>panies—Saudi Tele<strong>com</strong> Co (STC), Etihad Etisalat Co (Mobily),Mobile Tele<strong>com</strong>munication Co. (Zain) and Etihad A<strong>the</strong>eb Tele<strong>com</strong> Company. STC enjoyed amonopoly in <strong>the</strong> fixed-line tele<strong>com</strong> service segment until recently, while Mobily and Zain<strong>com</strong>pete with STC in <strong>the</strong> mobile telephone service segment.KSA’s low penetration levelindicates significant room forgrowthIn 2008, <strong>the</strong> KSA Government granted licenses <strong>to</strong> Bahrain Tele<strong>com</strong>munication Co. (Batelco),Hong Kong’s PCCW Ltd (PCCW), and US’ Verizon Communications Inc (Verizon); with <strong>the</strong>irentry, STC’s monopoly in <strong>the</strong> fixed-line tele<strong>com</strong> segment has ended. Of <strong>the</strong> newly licensedplayers, Etihad A<strong>the</strong>eb Tele<strong>com</strong>munication Company <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong>d an IPO of SAR300mn inFebruary 2009, which was oversubscribed 3.5 times. The entry of new <strong>com</strong>panies is expected<strong>to</strong> accelerate <strong>the</strong> expansion of existing infrastructure and implementation of new technologyplatforms. However, with increased <strong>com</strong>petition owing <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> entry of new players such asMobily (in 2005) and Zain (in 2008) in wireless tele<strong>com</strong> segment, <strong>the</strong> average revenue per user(ARPU) of Saudi tele<strong>com</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r has seen a sharp decline in <strong>the</strong> past three years.Despite being one of <strong>the</strong> largest mobile markets in <strong>the</strong> GCC region, <strong>the</strong> country had a relativelylow mobile penetration (116%) and fixed-line penetration (16.8%) in 2007. During 1H-08, <strong>the</strong>Saudi tele<strong>com</strong>munication market recorded a mobile penetration rate of 123.3%. KSA’s fixed <strong>to</strong>mobile substitution has also increased significantly over <strong>the</strong> last three years. This dented <strong>the</strong>growth in new fixed-line subscriptions and hence restricted <strong>the</strong> growth in revenue from thissegment. In <strong>the</strong> operational fixed landline category, KSA had 4mn lines by <strong>the</strong> end of 2007,taking <strong>the</strong> fixed-line penetration level at 17%. Internet penetration grew <strong>to</strong> 26% in 2007, and isexpected <strong>to</strong> be a catalyst for growth in <strong>the</strong> tele<strong>com</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong> long term.Exhibit 92: Fixed-line and mobile subscribers (per 100population) in KSAExhibit 93: Broadband subscriber lines and internet users (per100 population) in KSA17.01601012016.5120890616.08060415.54023015.02003 2005 2007 2009E 2011EFixed-line subscribersMobile subscribers002003 2005 2007 2009E 2011EBroadband subscribersInternet users0Source: EIUSource: EIUThe sec<strong>to</strong>r continues <strong>to</strong> be among <strong>the</strong> lucrative markets in <strong>the</strong> GCC due <strong>to</strong> its low penetrationlevel <strong>com</strong>pared with o<strong>the</strong>r GCC peers, and favorable demographics. Saudi Arabia ranked fourthin terms of mobile penetration in GCC, with UAE being <strong>the</strong> first with 173%, followed by Qatarand Bahrain with 150.4% and 148.2% penetration levels in 2007 respectively. Moreover, fixed-JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK65


TELECOM AND ITline penetration stands at 17% vis-à-vis 19% in Bahrain and 30% in <strong>the</strong> UAE. KSA tele<strong>com</strong><strong>com</strong>panies are diversifying geographically as well, selectively targeting low mobile penetrationmarkets. STC has expanded in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Indian and Indonesian markets on similar lines. Mobilyalso has plans <strong>to</strong> invest INR700mn (approximately USD15.5mn) in India, where it already hasoperations, <strong>to</strong> capture <strong>the</strong> growing Indian Tele<strong>com</strong>munication sec<strong>to</strong>r. These steps are likely <strong>to</strong>alleviate <strong>the</strong> profitability concerns due <strong>to</strong> falling ARPU rate in KSA.KSA’s tele<strong>com</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r is <strong>the</strong> largest in GCC in revenue and has better return on equity also.However, KSA <strong>com</strong>panies have better return on equity than Kuwaiti <strong>com</strong>panies do.Exhibit 94: Revenue of GCC Tele<strong>com</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies,2005 – 2008 (USD mn)16,00014,00012,000Exhibit 95: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,2008403510,0008,0006,000RoE (%)30254,0002,00002005 2006 2007 2008Oman Bahrain UAE KSA Kuwait Qatar20P/E156 8 10 12KSA Qatar UAE Kuwait Oman BahrainSource: ReutersThe <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustive.Source: Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008The four tele<strong>com</strong>munication <strong>com</strong>panies of KSA—STC, Mobily, Zain, and A<strong>the</strong>eb—are listed on<strong>the</strong> TASI. STC is <strong>the</strong> largest <strong>com</strong>pany in KSA’s tele<strong>com</strong>munication sec<strong>to</strong>r with a market cap ofSR98.2bn as on 31 December 2008. Zain’s initial public offering came in 2008 and <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panylaunched <strong>com</strong>mercial services in August 2008. A<strong>the</strong>eb was listed in March 2009. The <strong>com</strong>panyhas not yet started operations and plans <strong>to</strong> launch <strong>com</strong>mercial services in 2009.Exhibit 96: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in indexas on Dec 2008*Avg. NPM (%)1Q05 – 4Q08*Avg. RoE,2005 – 2008*Saudi Tele<strong>com</strong> Co (STC) 10.62 33.8 35.4Etihad Etisalat Co (Mobily) 2.35 12.1 23.3Mobile Tele<strong>com</strong>munication Co. (Zain) 1.61 NA NASource: Bloomberg, Tadawul, Reuters* start periods may differ based on <strong>the</strong> availability of data; does not include Etihad A<strong>the</strong>ebMobily, which <strong>com</strong>menced mobile telephone services in early 2005, has performed creditably in<strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r. Mobily’s aggressive focus on <strong>the</strong> wireless Internet market has generated excellentreturns for <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany in <strong>the</strong> recent past as reflected in <strong>the</strong> 29.0% YoY rise in revenue and51.2% YoY increase in net profits during 4Q-08. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, STC recorded a 35.0% YoYrise in revenue for 4Q-08; however, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net profits declined 61.2% YoY for <strong>the</strong> sameperiod.For 2008, Mobily’s revenue grew 27.9% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR10.8bn and net profit shot up 51.2% YoY <strong>to</strong>SR2.1bn. During 2008, STC <strong>report</strong>ed 41.5% rise in revenue <strong>to</strong> SR47.4bn. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit declined 8.1% YoY because of <strong>the</strong> difference in exchange rates for <strong>the</strong>JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK66


TELECOM AND ITforeign investments worth SR2bn in 2008. This also had an adverse affect on <strong>the</strong> bot<strong>to</strong>m-linegrowth of KSA’s tele<strong>com</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r leading <strong>to</strong> a 1.9% YoY fall for 2008.Exhibit 97: Revenue of Companies, 2005 – 2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 98: Profitability (%) of Companies, 2005 – 200850,0004240,000352830,0002120,0001410,000702005 2006 2007 200802005 2006 2007 2008STCMobilySTCMobilySource: ReutersSource: ReutersAs of 31 December 2008, <strong>the</strong> P/E multiples of STC and Mobily were 8.9x and 10.4x,respectively. Similarly, <strong>the</strong> P/B multiples of STC and Mobily were 2.6x and 2.2x respectively.However, STC has a better return on equity (30.0%) <strong>com</strong>pared with Mobily (26.7%) in 2008.Exhibit 99: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 100: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2008404036STC36RoE (%)3228MobilyRoE (%)3228MobilySTC242420P/B4 5 6 720P/B1 2 3 4Source: Bloomberg, TadawulSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, TadawulSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap as on 31 Dec 2008JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK67


TELECOM AND ITZain started trading in 2008 and had <strong>the</strong> highest daily trading volumes (Exhibit 101).Exhibit 101: Avg. daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 200814,00012,00012,06010,0008,0006,0004,0002,0001,6131,0400STC Mobily ZainSource: ReutersInternet and broadbandservices, as well as value addedservices are <strong>the</strong> relativelyunexplored and key growthareas for <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>rThe tele<strong>com</strong>munication sec<strong>to</strong>r in KSA is emerging as one of <strong>the</strong> most <strong>com</strong>petitive markets in <strong>the</strong>region. With <strong>the</strong> liberalization of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r and entry of more players, <strong>com</strong>petition is likely <strong>to</strong>fur<strong>the</strong>r intensify, depressing <strong>the</strong> already falling ARPUs. Competition also would increasemarketing costs and promotion expenses. However, strong demand for mobile, reduction inhandset prices and tariffs, and increasing popularity of value-added services offered onmobile platforms, present a significant growth opportunity. We expect growth in cus<strong>to</strong>mer baseand average minutes of use <strong>to</strong> offset <strong>the</strong> effect on revenue of a fall in ARPU. Moreover, <strong>the</strong>uptake of Internet and broadband services is expected <strong>to</strong> increase due <strong>to</strong> a growing youngpopulation, and willingness <strong>to</strong> adopt new technologies. Although demand for wired Internet islikely <strong>to</strong> promote fixed-line connectivity we believe <strong>com</strong>panies would focus more on wirelessconnectivity, especially through mobiles, given <strong>the</strong>ir high penetration. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, investmentsin <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r are likely <strong>to</strong> increase with <strong>the</strong> opening up of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r and <strong>the</strong> entry of newplayers. Therefore, our outlook on growth in KSA’s tele<strong>com</strong>munication sec<strong>to</strong>r is positive.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK68


InsuranceLong term growth insuredThe insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r in KSA, which has <strong>the</strong> largest population in <strong>the</strong> GCC, has undergone asea change in <strong>the</strong> past few years. KSA’s insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r emerged stronger on <strong>the</strong> back ofeconomic growth, increased market liberalization, favorable demographics, and a shift inregula<strong>to</strong>ry patterns. According <strong>to</strong> Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA)’s survey 2006–07<strong>report</strong> , <strong>the</strong> Saudi insurance market registered robust growth of 24.0% YoY in 2007, with grosswritten premium increasing from SR6.9bn in 2006 <strong>to</strong> SR8.6bn in 2007. KSA was <strong>the</strong> secondlargest insurance market in <strong>to</strong>tal premium in <strong>the</strong> GCC in 2007.In June 2008, 42 insurance <strong>com</strong>panies operated in <strong>the</strong> Saudi market, 21 of which were fullylicensed <strong>to</strong> operate in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. In addition, eight have applied <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Ministry of Commerceand Industry for licenses. Increasing liberalization and implementation of positive regula<strong>to</strong>rychanges have led <strong>to</strong> a marked improvement in <strong>the</strong> investment climate in KSA’s insurance sec<strong>to</strong>rof late.Low insurance penetration andlow density relative <strong>to</strong> regionalmarkets indicate future growthpotentialWe believe <strong>the</strong> insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r in KSA is promising in <strong>the</strong> long term, given that insurancepenetration rates are very low and <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r is at a nascent stage. Although, insurancepenetration in KSA increased from 0.53% in 2006 <strong>to</strong> 0.61% in 2007, it remained one of <strong>the</strong> mostunder-penetrated markets in <strong>the</strong> GCC in 2007. The average insurance penetration level in <strong>the</strong>GCC (excluding Bahrain) in 2007 was 1.02. Insurance density (gross written premium percapita) in KSA was also <strong>the</strong> lowest in <strong>the</strong> GCC (excluding Bahrain).Exhibit 102: Insurance density and penetration – 2006 and 2007Insurance penetration (in % of GDP) Insurance density (per capita in USD)Country 2006 2007 2006 2007KSA 0.5 0.6 63 92Kuwait 0.7 0.6 227 257Oman 1.0 1.1 133 159Qatar 1.1 0.9 683 640UAE 1.7 1.9 585 812Source: Swiss Re SigmaHowever, new rules mandate insurance players <strong>to</strong> maintain gross premiums below 10x <strong>the</strong>ircapital and reinsure at least 30% of gross written premiums within <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. Companiesalso have <strong>to</strong> distribute 10% of net surplus from insurance operations <strong>to</strong> policyholders in line with<strong>the</strong> Mudarabah model of Islamic cooperative insurance. Hence, although <strong>the</strong> market is expected<strong>to</strong> expand in future, <strong>the</strong> legal framework might make if difficult for new players seeking entry in<strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> market.Buoyed by cultural fac<strong>to</strong>rs,Takaful insurance is gainingimportance in GCCThe GCC insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r has experienced exceptional growth over <strong>the</strong> past few years, drivenby improved business and legal environment and increasing maturity of <strong>the</strong> GCC economies.There has been a paradigm shift in <strong>the</strong> region’s appetite for insurance, which, in turn, hasattracted many foreign insurers and paved <strong>the</strong> way for consolidation among local players in <strong>the</strong>Saudi insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r. The GCC insurance market essentially relies on Takaful, an insuranceconcept based on <strong>the</strong> Islamic banking law, thus making insurance a more widely acceptableand accessible product. According <strong>to</strong> Swiss Re Sigma, KSA’s insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r is <strong>the</strong> largestgrowth market for Takaful products. KSA alone accounted for approximately 30% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>talgross premium market in <strong>the</strong> GCC (excluding Bahrain) in 2007.JUNE 2009 SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK 69


INSURANCEExhibit 103: Country wise distribution of gross premiums (USD mn) – 20074,0003,0002,0001,0000Kuwait Oman Qatar Saudi Arabia UAELifeNon-LifeSource: Swiss Re SigmaGiven it is a nascent industry, <strong>the</strong> Company for Co-operative Insurance (NCCI) is <strong>the</strong> onlydominant player operating in KSA. KSA leads o<strong>the</strong>r GCC insurance <strong>com</strong>panies on revenue(Exhibit 104). However, in terms of RoE and P/B multiple, Qatari insurance <strong>com</strong>panies rules <strong>the</strong>chart. KSA insurance <strong>com</strong>panies have moderate RoE and P/B multiples vis-à-vis <strong>the</strong>ir GCCpeers (Exhibit 105).Exhibit 104: Revenue of GCC Insurance <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008(USD mn)800Exhibit 105: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,2008252060015400RoE (%)1052000-5P/B02005 2006 2007 2008KSA Kuwait Qatar Bahrain UAE Oman-100.5 1 1.5 2 2.5KSA Kuwait Qatar Bahrain UAE OmanSource: ReutersThe list of <strong>com</strong>panies taken is not exhaustive. Only large players (based on market cap) ofeach country have been considered.Source: ReutersNote: We have taken P/B multiple as most of <strong>the</strong> GCC <strong>com</strong>panies reflect absurd P/E valuedue <strong>to</strong> investment losses in 2008.The list of <strong>com</strong>panies taken is not exhaustive. Only large players (based on market cap) ofeach country have been considered;Size of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008.In 2007, gross written premium in health insurance (36% of <strong>the</strong> insurance market) and mo<strong>to</strong>rinsurance (28%) <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r accounted for about 64% of <strong>the</strong> insurance market, <strong>com</strong>pared with60% in 2006. This growth was largely due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Saudi Government making mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance<strong>com</strong>pulsory for all and mandating employers <strong>to</strong> provide health insurance <strong>to</strong> expatriates. Energyinsurance, and Protection and Savings insurance were <strong>the</strong> fastest growing lines of business in2007 with YoY growth rates of 141% and 50%, respectively.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK70


INSURANCENon-life insurance <strong>to</strong> expandannually at 18.6% over 2007-12driven by health and mo<strong>to</strong>rinsuranceGoing forward, we expect <strong>the</strong> health insurance market <strong>to</strong> grow rapidly, buoyed by <strong>the</strong>Government’s decision of mandating employers <strong>to</strong> provide health insurance for expatriates. Themo<strong>to</strong>r insurance market is also expected <strong>to</strong> expand, with mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance being declared<strong>com</strong>pulsory. BMI expects <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal non-life insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> expand at 18.6% CAGR in 2007–12, backed by strength in <strong>the</strong> health and mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance sec<strong>to</strong>rs, coupled with increased nonlifepenetration. Meanwhile, <strong>the</strong> life insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r is projected <strong>to</strong> expand at 25.6% CAGR in2007–12 on population growth and expectations of a rise in density (premium per capita) fromUSD3.6 in 2007 <strong>to</strong> USD10 in 2012.The Tadawul has 21 listed insurance <strong>com</strong>panies, of which six were listed in 2008. Theseinclude: Arabia Insurance Cooperative Co. (paid-up capital of SR200mn); Trade UnionCooperative Insurance Co. (paid-up capital of SR250mn); Al-Sagr Cooperative InsuranceCompany (paid-up capital of SR200mn); Bupa Arabia for Cooperative Insurance Co. (paid-upcapital of SR400mn); Saudi Re for Cooperative Reinsurance Co. (paid-up capital of SR1bn);and United Cooperative Assurance Co. (paid-up capital of SR200mn). Four o<strong>the</strong>r insurance<strong>com</strong>panies have floated <strong>the</strong>ir IPO in April 2009. These include: Al Rajhi Co. for CooperativeInsurance (offering size of SR60mn); Weqaya for Takaful Insurance and Reinsurance Co.(offering size of SR80mn); ACE Arabia Cooperative Insurance Co. (offering size of SR40mn)and AXA Cooperative Insurance (offering size of SR80mn). NCCI continued <strong>to</strong> hold a dominantposition in KSA’s insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r with 0.18% and 16.0% weight by market capitalization on <strong>the</strong>Tadawul and <strong>the</strong> Tadawul Insurance index respectively, as on 31 December 2008.Exhibit 106: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% wt inindexAvg. NPM (%),1Q-05 – 4Q-08*Avg. RoE (%)2005 – 2008The Company for Co-operative Insurance (Tawuniya) 0.18 23.30 32.71Malath Co-operative Insurance and Reinsurance Co. (Malath) 0.11 (22.70)Mediterranean & Gulf Insurance and Reinsurance (Medgulf) 0.15 N/ASaudi Fransi Co-operative Insurance Co. (Allianz SF) 0.05 (11.35)Islamic Arab Insurance Co. (SALAMA) 0.04 (4.54)Saudi United Cooperative Insurance Co. (Walaa) 0.03 N/AArabian Shield Co-operative Insurance Co. 0.03 N/ASABB Takaful 0.04 (6.32)Sanad Insurance and Reinsurance Co-operative Co. 0.03 N/AThe Saudi Arabian Cooperative Insurance Co. (SAICO) 0.02 N/ASaudi Indian Company for Cooperative Insurance 0.05 (134.41)Gulf Union Co-operative Insurance Co. 0.03 N/AAlahli Takaful Company (ATC) 0.05 (171.73)Al-Ahlia Insurance Co. 0.03 (802.33)Allied Co-operative insurance group (ACIG) 0..02 N/AArabia Insurance Co-operative Co. (AICC) 0.03 N/ATrade Union Co-operative Insurance 0.03 N/AAl-Sagr Cooperative Insurance Co. 0.03 N/AUnited Co-operative Assurance (UCA) 0.08 N/ASaudi Re for Co-operative Reinsurance Co. 0.10 23.30Bupa Arabia for Co-operative Insurance Co. 0.05 (22.70)Source: Bloomberg, Tadawul, Company data:* start periods may differ based on availability of dataMany insurance players postedloss in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> investmentlosses and high operationalcosts resulting from inceptionSince <strong>the</strong> Saudi insurance market is still evolving, majority of <strong>the</strong> players registered losses in2008 except NCCI, Arabian Shield Co-operative Insurance Co., Gulf Union Co-operativeInsurance Co., and Al-Sagr Cooperative Insurance Co., which posted profits. NCCI has beenable <strong>to</strong> maintain profitability due <strong>to</strong> its dominant position in growing insurance segments such asmo<strong>to</strong>r insurance and health insurance. However, NCCI posted negative profitability in 4Q-08JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK71


INSURANCE(YoY), despite growth in revenue. In 2008, NCCI’s profits declined 87% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR67mn.Although, gross written premium and net premium earned grew 23% and 16% YoY respectively in2008, loss in investment portfolios and <strong>com</strong>petition from <strong>the</strong> recently licensed <strong>com</strong>panies impacted<strong>the</strong> bot<strong>to</strong>m line. Stringent Government regulations on investments such as limiting investment inequity <strong>to</strong> not more than 15% of <strong>to</strong>tal investments <strong>to</strong> limit downside risks associated with <strong>the</strong>volatility of <strong>the</strong> equity markets are helpful. Never<strong>the</strong>less, a weak financial market is likely <strong>to</strong> affect<strong>the</strong> value of <strong>the</strong>ir investment portfolio in <strong>the</strong> near term.Exhibit 107: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 108: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 20082,80050402,400302,00020101,6002005 2006 2007 200802005 2006 2007 2008Source: Tadawul, ReutersNCCI is <strong>the</strong> only dominant player operating in KSASource: Tadawul, ReutersNCCI is <strong>the</strong> only dominant player operating in KSAFollowing <strong>the</strong> Government’s decision <strong>to</strong> liberalize <strong>the</strong> insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r in 2006, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>rexperienced significant growth in 2007. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> Government’s phased introduction of<strong>com</strong>pulsory health insurance for expatriates in 2006 reflected positively on <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r index.However, plummeting equity markets in KSA in 2008 impacted <strong>the</strong> valuations of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>paniesin this sec<strong>to</strong>r. In 2008, P/B multiple contracted because of a weak equity market while P/Emultiples remained high mainly due <strong>to</strong> a steeper decline in earnings vis-à-vis <strong>the</strong> share price.For instance, as of 31 December 2008, NCCI’s P/B and P/E and multiple s<strong>to</strong>od at 1.6x and25.2x respectively, <strong>com</strong>pared with 4.1x and 14.3x respectively in 2007. As illustrated below,most of <strong>the</strong> KSA insurance <strong>com</strong>panies, barring NCCI and <strong>the</strong> Gulf Union Co-operativeInsurance Co., had negative RoE in 2008.Exhibit 109: P/E of NCCI, 2005–08RoE (%)40200-20-40NCCI (as on 31 Dec2008)Gulf UnionAl-AhliaWalaaMedgulfSAICOACIGMalathNCCI (as on 31 Dec2007)ATCSaudi IndianSALAMASABB TakafulAllianz SF0 2 P/B 4 6Source: Reuters, Bloomberg, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK72


INSURANCESaudi Re, followed by MEDGULF, had <strong>the</strong> highest daily trading volumes in 2007-08.Exhibit 110: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 20082,0001,5001,0005001,8061,8221,3771,104949 925 937 941781608 574 639 759 760 778 825 8986195082952020NCCIMalathMedgulfAllianz SFSALAMAWalaaArabian ShieldSABB TakafulSanad Ins.SAICOSaudi Indian Co.Gulf UnionATCAl-AhliaACIGAICCTrade UnionAl-SagrUCASaudi ReBupa ArabiaSource: BloombergKSA’s insurance industry is at an incipient stage and offers scope for exponential growth, goingforward. The sec<strong>to</strong>r is estimated <strong>to</strong> benefit largely from increasing liberalization, growingpopulation, and increasing awareness of insurance products.Although long term drivers arepositive, we hold a negativeoutlook on <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong>short termHowever, in <strong>the</strong> near term, a slowdown in business activities will have a negative impact ondemand for non-life insurance. As many <strong>com</strong>panies are listed recently and are at a nascentstage of development, <strong>the</strong>y are expected <strong>to</strong> incur higher selling and general administrationcosts, which would put pressure on <strong>the</strong>ir net in<strong>com</strong>e in 2009. In addition, unit-linked lifeinsurance products have lost <strong>the</strong>ir charm due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> plunging equity markets, which, in turn, isimpacting <strong>the</strong> overall growth of <strong>the</strong> insurance sec<strong>to</strong>r. Insurance <strong>com</strong>panies are likely <strong>to</strong>experience erosion in <strong>the</strong>ir capital values, as <strong>the</strong>y will record mark-<strong>to</strong>-market losses on <strong>the</strong>irinvestment portfolio. Hence, we remain cautious on <strong>the</strong> earnings prospects of insurance<strong>com</strong>panies in 2009, and thus hold a negative outlook on this sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong> near-term.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK73


Multi-investmentLight at <strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> tunnelThe multi-investment sec<strong>to</strong>r is made up of <strong>com</strong>panies that invest in projects across a widevariety of sec<strong>to</strong>rs. A handful of large diversified conglomerates currently operate in <strong>the</strong>Kingdom. They function mainly in sec<strong>to</strong>rs such as real estate, hospitality, industrialmanufacturing, and energy. Although <strong>the</strong> current global meltdown has severely impacted <strong>the</strong>sec<strong>to</strong>r, anticipated recovery in <strong>the</strong> medium term has a potential <strong>to</strong> provide a push <strong>to</strong> this sec<strong>to</strong>rGovernment support ofvarious sec<strong>to</strong>rs is likely <strong>to</strong>create multi-investmen<strong>to</strong>pportunitiesAt present, seven major <strong>com</strong>panies operate in <strong>the</strong> Saudi multi-investment sec<strong>to</strong>r, whose<strong>com</strong>bined turnover expanded at a staggering 113.2% CAGR between 2005 and 2007, owing <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> robust macroeconomic growth in KSA during that period.The Saudi Government has taken various initiatives such as reducing tax rates applicable <strong>to</strong>foreign-owned firms from 45% <strong>to</strong> 20% <strong>to</strong> encourage more foreign participation across sec<strong>to</strong>rs.Government-backed development of economic cities is expected <strong>to</strong> directly provide growthopportunities <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies operating in <strong>the</strong> real estate, hotels, and <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>rs. Suchinitiatives, coupled with KSA’s accession <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> WTO and expenditure of SR161.7bn that wasplanned in 2008 <strong>to</strong>wards various sec<strong>to</strong>rs, are likely <strong>to</strong> drive growth; multi-invest <strong>com</strong>paniesstand <strong>to</strong> benefit from <strong>the</strong> growth of <strong>the</strong>se sec<strong>to</strong>rs in <strong>the</strong> long term.Revenue of Saudi <strong>com</strong>panies surged in 2007, led by a growing economy, although <strong>the</strong>senumbers have fallen sharply in 2008. In <strong>the</strong> second half of 2008, KSA multi-investment<strong>com</strong>panies had begun feeling <strong>the</strong> pinch of lower RoEs <strong>com</strong>pared with GCC peers; both RoEsand PEs have entered negative terri<strong>to</strong>ry at <strong>the</strong> end of 2008.Exhibit 111: Revenue of GCC multi investment <strong>com</strong>panies,2005–2008 (USD mn)Exhibit 112: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,2008300025002000150010005000-500-1000-1500-2000-25002005 2006 2007 2008KSA UAE Kuwait Bahrain OmanROE (%)504030UAE20Oman10P/E0-10 -5 -10 0 5 10 15 20-20Bahrain-30KSA-40-50-60Kuwait-70Source: Gulfbase, Reuters, TadawulThe <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustiveSource: Gulfbase, Reuters, TadawulThe <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustiveSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK74


MULTI-INVESTMENTKingdom Holding Company (Kingdom) currently has <strong>the</strong> largest market weight, whereas Al-Ahsa Development Company’s profit margins were <strong>the</strong> highest.Exhibit 113: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in Indexon Dec 2008*Avg. NPM (%),1Q05 – 4Q08*Avg. RoE,2005 – 2008*Kingdom Holding Company (Kingdom) 3.20 NM NMAseer Trading, Tourism & Manufacturing Co (Aseer) 0.14 13.1 8.2Al-Ahsa Development Co (Al Ahsa for Dev.) 0.05 75.5 11.5Saudi Advanced Industries Co (Saudi Advanced) 0.05 28.3 2.3Saudi Arabia Refineries Co (SARCo) 0.09 66.8 6.5Saudi Industrial Services Co (SISCo) 0.07 NM NMAl-Baha Investment & Development Co (Al Baha) 0.02 NM NMSource: Bloomberg, Tadawul, Reuters and Gulfbase* start periods may differ based on availability of dataLeading players in terms of revenue in <strong>the</strong> Saudi multi-investment sec<strong>to</strong>r are Kingdom, Assirand Saudi Industrial Services Co. (SISCO). Kingdom is majority-owned (93.5%) by HH PrinceAlwaleed Bin Talal Bin Abdulaziz Al Saud and is one of <strong>the</strong> most diversified organizations inKSA. The <strong>com</strong>pany has business interests in banking, real estate, technology, hotels and<strong>to</strong>urism, media and tele<strong>com</strong>munications, healthcare, and education. Assir is involved inconstruction of agricultural projects, allocation of contracting works, and holds a large tradingportfolio. The <strong>com</strong>bined turnover of both <strong>com</strong>panies accounted for approximately 96% of <strong>the</strong>sec<strong>to</strong>r turnover in 2008.Most of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r have experienced robust growth between 2005 and 2007,with revenue expanding at 113.2% CAGR during <strong>the</strong> period, primarily attributable <strong>to</strong> overalleconomic growth and liberalization initiatives of <strong>the</strong> Saudi Government. However, owing <strong>to</strong>volatile investment portfolios, falling oil prices and <strong>the</strong> current unfavorable environment in <strong>the</strong>global equities space, this sec<strong>to</strong>r has experienced a sharp downturn in terms of value in <strong>the</strong> lastquarter of 2008. In 2008, revenue recorded growth of only 11.1% YoY, <strong>com</strong>pared with 332.0%YoY growth in 2007.Global crisis impact on <strong>the</strong>sec<strong>to</strong>r is expected <strong>to</strong> continuein <strong>the</strong> near-term futureAfter having grown at a CAGR of 48.8% in 2005-2007 and 148.1% YoY in 2007, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>rsuffered net losses in excess of SR30bn in 2008, led by <strong>the</strong> losses made by <strong>the</strong> leading players.These negative results were primarily due <strong>to</strong> huge annual losses incurred by <strong>the</strong> KingdomHolding Company, one of <strong>the</strong> biggest and worst losses in <strong>the</strong> his<strong>to</strong>ry of <strong>the</strong> region. Kingdomsuffered a loss of SR31bn in <strong>the</strong> last quarter alone and Assir suffered losses of SR212mn in 4Q-08, posting a loss for <strong>the</strong> second consecutive quarter. Al-Ahsa also recorded a loss of SR19mnin 4Q-08 and although Saudi Advanced Industries recorded a profit of SR2.1mn, it was down52.1% QoQ. The impact of <strong>the</strong> global crisis, clearly evident in <strong>the</strong> last quarter of 2008, is likely <strong>to</strong>continue in <strong>the</strong> near-term future.JUNE 2009 SAUDI ARABIA FACT BOOK 75


MULTI-INVESTMENTExhibit 114: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005–2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 115: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008200600012040001602000080120-2000-40004080-600040-8000-10000002005 2006 2007 2008-12000-14000-402005 2006 2007 2008Al-Ahsa Saudi Advanced Saudi RefineriesSaudi Industrial Al-Baha Kingdom*Assir*Assir Al-Ahsa Saudi AdvancedSaudi Refineries Saudi IndustrialSource: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, Reuters* Saudi Refineries FY08 ended April 08Companies marked * are plotted on secondary axisSource: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, Reuters*non meaningful values have been excludedCompanies operating in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r had significantly high price multiples in 2005, primarily due <strong>to</strong>anticipated growth prospects, supported by Government initiatives such as <strong>the</strong> planneddevelopment of economic cities across KSA. However, following a major correction in <strong>the</strong> Saudis<strong>to</strong>ck market, valuations have significantly corrected and now are at attractive levels, <strong>com</strong>paredwith 2005 and early 2006 levels. At <strong>the</strong> end of 2007, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r had high P/E and P/BV of 45.4xand 2.0x respectively. Both, P/E and P/BV multiples have declined in 2008 with most of <strong>the</strong>leading <strong>com</strong>panies posting losses for <strong>the</strong> year. Most <strong>com</strong>panies posted negative RoEs andP/BVs that have fallen from 2007 levels.Exhibit 116: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 117: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2008386028SaudiRefineries40200SaudiAdvancedAl AhsaSaudiRefineriesROE(%)188AseerAl AhsaROE(%)(20)(40)(60)AseerAl BahaP/BP/B(80)(2)(100)Kingdom(12)Kingdom0 1 2 3 4 5(120)(140)(2) (1) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7Source: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008JUNE 2009 SAUDI ARABIA FACT BOOK 76


MULTI-INVESTMENTExhibit 118 displays <strong>the</strong> daily trading volumes for 2007-08. According <strong>to</strong> current statistics,Kingdom Holding has <strong>the</strong> highest average daily volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks traded.Exhibit 118: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 20087,0006,0006,1045,0004,0003,769 3,6493,0002,0002,2642,572 2,6201,0006780Kingdom Assir Al Ahsa SAIC SARCO SISCO Al BahaSource: Reuters, TadawulMore losses expected in nearterm; hospitality and real estatecoupled with Governmentinitiatives likely <strong>to</strong> support longterm prospectsIn <strong>the</strong> near term, as evident from <strong>the</strong> results of some of <strong>the</strong> major <strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r in4Q-08, <strong>the</strong> multi-investment sec<strong>to</strong>r is likely <strong>to</strong> remain under pressure and may head <strong>to</strong>wardmore losses. However, with a growing economy presenting diverse opportunities, <strong>the</strong> medium<strong>to</strong>-longterm outlook remains positive. Fall in <strong>the</strong> prices of input <strong>com</strong>modities such as steel ando<strong>the</strong>r construction materials is likely <strong>to</strong> support <strong>the</strong> margins of construction <strong>com</strong>panies and helptap new construction projects. The sec<strong>to</strong>r, especially <strong>the</strong> real estate and hospitality industry, isexpected <strong>to</strong> benefit from higher infrastructure spending (e.g. development of economic citiesacross KSA), which in turn will positively impact multi investment <strong>com</strong>panies. Moreover,inves<strong>to</strong>r-friendly initiatives of <strong>the</strong> Government, including reduction in tax-rates for foreign firmsand liberalization, are likely <strong>to</strong> boost <strong>the</strong> economy in <strong>the</strong> long term, thus in turn enabling <strong>the</strong>multi-investment sec<strong>to</strong>r gain traction.JUNE 2009 SAUDI ARABIA FACT BOOK 77


Industrial InvestmentFacing <strong>the</strong> impact of economic slowdownand credit crisisCompanies in <strong>the</strong> Saudi industrial investment sec<strong>to</strong>r operate in a diversified stream ofbusinesses. These firms manufacture and distribute a range of products, includingpharmaceuticals, medical appliances, steel wire and wire related products, glass products,textiles, fertilizers, chemicals, and petrochemicals. According <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Ministry of Commerce andIndustry of KSA, in 2007, approximately 3,900 industrial units operated in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom,employing around 396,000 personnel (approximately 6% of <strong>the</strong> country’s workforce).The non-oil Industrial sec<strong>to</strong>r experienced strong growth during 2007 and 1H-08 and contributedaround 10% <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s GDP in 2007, primarily due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> increase in <strong>com</strong>modity prices.KSA’s entry in<strong>to</strong> WTO in December 2005 also encouraged diversification and foreign directinvestments in <strong>the</strong> country’s industrial sec<strong>to</strong>r. However, <strong>the</strong> credit crisis has adversely impacted<strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r in 2H-08 and led <strong>to</strong> a sharp decline in demand for industrial and building materials.As a result, <strong>com</strong>modity prices, including industrial and building materials, slumped during <strong>the</strong>period. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> liquidity crunch, engendered by a marked shift in foreign capitalinvestments, has <strong>com</strong>pounded <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r’s woes. As a result, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r is estimated <strong>to</strong> havegrown 5.4% YoY in 2008, <strong>com</strong>pared with 8.6% in 2007.With developed nations facing worsening recession and with emerging economies slowingdown, we expect demand for metals and <strong>com</strong>modities <strong>to</strong> remain subdued in <strong>the</strong> near-<strong>to</strong>-mediumterm. However, in <strong>the</strong> long term, <strong>the</strong> export of metal products, electrical goods, machinery andindustrial equipment, construction materials, wood products, and textiles and garments isexpected <strong>to</strong> increase due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Saudi Government’s thrust on development of <strong>the</strong> non-oilsec<strong>to</strong>rs.Lack of availability of financeand declining demand coulddelay announced expansionplansCompanies in <strong>the</strong> KSA industrial investment sec<strong>to</strong>r are initiating capacity expansion <strong>to</strong> leverage<strong>the</strong> growth potential. MAADEN plans <strong>to</strong> build an aluminum project worth USD10.5bn and SaudiPaper Manufacturing Company intends <strong>to</strong> double its capacity by setting up a second plant worthSR36mn with a production capacity of 25,000 <strong>to</strong>ns per year. MAADEN has, however,postponed its plans <strong>to</strong> construct an integrated aluminum plant worth USD10.5bn byapproximately three years after its partner Rio Tin<strong>to</strong> Alcan stepped out from <strong>the</strong> projectdue <strong>to</strong> a weak market. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore we remain concerned about capacity expansion projectsamid weak demand. Shortage of skilled technical workforce and rise in cost of raw materials in1H-08 have already delayed several capacity expansion projects. Going forward, decline indemand for building materials and reduced availability of capital are likely <strong>to</strong> fur<strong>the</strong>r delayprojects and could lead <strong>to</strong> cost overruns.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK78


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTFirms in KSA lag <strong>the</strong>ir GCC peers on RoE but have higher pricing multiples.Exhibit 119: Revenues of GCC industrial investment <strong>com</strong>panies,2005–08 (USD mn)50004500Exhibit 120: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,2008604000350050Kuwait3000250020001500RoE (%)4030Qatar100050002005 2006 2007 2008KSA Qatar UAE Kuwait20KSAUAEP/E100 4 8 12 16 20Source: ReutersThe <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustiveSource: Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008In 2H-08, three new <strong>com</strong>panies listed on <strong>the</strong> index—MAADEN, Basic Chemical Industries (BCI),and Astra Industrial Group. MAADEN is <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r’s largest <strong>com</strong>pany in market capitalizationwith 43.5% share in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r, followed by AlAbdulatif with 15.9% share, as on 31 December2008.Exhibit 121: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in Indexas on Dec 2008*Avg. NPM (%),1Q05 – 4Q08*Avg. RoE (%),2005 – 2008*Saudi Pharmaceutical Indust. Med. Appliances 0.16 15.3 5.4The National Co. for Glass 0.08 97.5 21.8Filing & Packing Materials Manufacturing Co 0.03 9.2 15.9National Metal Manufacturing and Casting Co 0.06 6.7 10.3MAADEN 1.07 50.8 1.8Saudi Chemical Company 0.14 12.4 17.3BCI 0.06 8.5 13.3Astra 0.20 17.4 12.8Saudi Paper Manufacturing Co 0.24 17.5 24.9AlAbdulatif Industrial Investment Co 0.39 14.8 20.2Saudi Industrial Export Co 0.03 6.6 13.9Source: Bloomberg , Tadawul, Gulfbase, Reuters* start periods may differ based on <strong>the</strong> availability of dataDuring 2005–08, <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal revenue of <strong>the</strong> eleven listed <strong>com</strong>panies increased at 39.0% CAGRand <strong>the</strong>ir average profit margin s<strong>to</strong>od at 23.3%. Revenue was up 39.7% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR7.5bn in2008, of which Saudi Chemical accounted for 20.5%, followed by AlAbdulatif with 15.2% andAstra Industrial Group with 13.2%. In 4Q-08, <strong>to</strong>tal revenue declined 0.7% <strong>to</strong> SR1.8bn, withSaudi Chemical, Saudi Pharmaceutical and Al Abdulatif contributing 26.1%, 16.1%, and 14.1%<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> decline respectively. Average net profit margin for <strong>the</strong> eleven listed <strong>com</strong>panies was10.66% in 4Q-08, although it was 17.54% for eight listed <strong>com</strong>panies in 4Q-07. During 2008,industrial investment sec<strong>to</strong>r recorded a 51.1% rise in net profits <strong>to</strong> SR1.2bn.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK79


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTExhibit 122: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 123: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 20081,000200050140800600400200180016001400120010008004030201012511095806502005 2006 2007 200860002005 2006 2007 200850ZOUJAJ FIPCO NMMCC SPMSIECO MAADEN BCI ASTRASPIMACO * SCCO * ALABDUL *SPIMACO FIPCO NMMCC SCCOSPM ALABDUL SIECO MAADENBCI ASTRA ZOUJAJ *Source: Bloomberg, ReutersCompanies marked * are plotted on secondary axisSource: Bloomberg, ReutersCompanies marked * are plotted on secondary axisThe pricing multiples of Saudi industrial investment <strong>com</strong>panies surged during 2007 following <strong>the</strong>2006 s<strong>to</strong>ck market correction. This was due <strong>to</strong> exceptional growth in <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck marketsupported by economic expansion, a developing capital market, privatization programs, andmore number of <strong>com</strong>panies tapping <strong>the</strong> capital market for funds. However, in 2008, P/Emultiples of <strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market plummeted, as <strong>the</strong> global economy sloweddown. In 2008, PE multiples averaged 17.6x, well below <strong>the</strong> 37.1x recorded in 2007. In <strong>the</strong>same period, P/BV ratio averaged 2.0x as against 4.1x in 2007. Average RoE declined 26bp <strong>to</strong>13.7% in 2008 from 13.9% in 2007.Exhibit 124: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 125: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2008303025ALABDULSPM25ZOUJAJSPMRoE (%)20151050SPIMACOSCCONMMCCSIECOFIPCO0 2 4 6 8P/BRoE (%)SCCO20BCIALABDUL15 ASTRASIECO10SPIMACONMMCC5MAADENP/B00 2 4 6Source: Bloomberg, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007*ZOUJAJ cannot be seen in <strong>the</strong> chartSource: Bloomberg, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008*FIPCO cannot be seen in <strong>the</strong> chartJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK80


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTMAADEN, a newly listed <strong>com</strong>pany, <strong>to</strong>pped <strong>the</strong> chart in terms of average daily volume traded.Exhibit 126: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 200825,00022,07920,00015,00010,0005,0001,409 1,112 9411,983 2,178 2178 2,6281,3312,016 2,3780SPIMACOZOUJAJFIPCONMMCCSCCOSPMALABDULSIECOMAADENBCIASTRASource: Bloomberg, ReutersGovernment’s thrust onmainstream industrialinvestment projects <strong>to</strong> fuelgrowthTo meet growing demand at home and abroad, <strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r are planning <strong>to</strong> addnew capacity or are in <strong>the</strong> midst of a capacity expansion. We expect <strong>the</strong> Government’s focus onincreasing non-oil export revenue <strong>to</strong> benefit exports of chemicals, metal products, electricalgoods, machinery and industrial equipment, construction materials, wood products, textiles andgarments in <strong>the</strong> medium-<strong>to</strong>-long term. However, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r is likely <strong>to</strong> face near-term challengesin <strong>the</strong> form of falling demand and tight liquidity. This would have a major impact on <strong>the</strong>expansion plans of <strong>com</strong>panies in this sec<strong>to</strong>r, leading <strong>to</strong> major projects ei<strong>the</strong>r being kept on holdor cancelled. The Government is likely <strong>to</strong> take steps <strong>to</strong> keep <strong>the</strong> mainstream industrialinvestment projects on track so that <strong>the</strong> overall growth of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r is not hindered.Never<strong>the</strong>less, inability <strong>to</strong> counter <strong>the</strong>se threats effectively could prevent <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r from realizingits full potential, going forward.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK81


Building and ConstructionHealthy pipeline remains key long-termdriverThe construction sec<strong>to</strong>r in KSA holds key importance <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> non-oil sec<strong>to</strong>r growth in KSA.KSA’s building and construction sec<strong>to</strong>r is involved in <strong>the</strong> manufacture and supply of floor tiles,gypsum and gypsum derivatives, <strong>com</strong>munication cables, copper rods, conduc<strong>to</strong>rs, accessories,pipes systems, welded and coated steel pipes. The sec<strong>to</strong>r also makes and supplies airconditioningsystems, process equipment, transmission and tele<strong>com</strong>munication <strong>to</strong>wers, vitrifiedclay pipes for sewage systems, <strong>com</strong>puter, telephone, and pilot cables, and modular buildings.Rapid economic development, huge petrodollar influx, shrinking average household size andrising in<strong>com</strong>e levels in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom in <strong>the</strong> last 2–3 years, has kept demand for residentialbuildings and infrastructure projects in an upswing. According <strong>to</strong> SAMA, construction activitygrew 9.9% YoY in 2007, contributing 4.6% <strong>to</strong> GDP in 2007 (<strong>com</strong>pared with 4.5% in 2006). Thissec<strong>to</strong>r employed 2.3mn workers as of 2007, accounting for 38.9% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal number ofworkers in <strong>the</strong> private sec<strong>to</strong>r. Moreover, The Industrial Development Fund in 2008 grantedSR24bn worth of loans <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> construction sec<strong>to</strong>r, which made up 32% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal loansapproved <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> various sec<strong>to</strong>rs. The Government expects <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> grow by 4.1% in 2008Long-term prospects for <strong>the</strong>sec<strong>to</strong>r remain positiveThe residential real estate segment, which accounts for approximately 75.0% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal realestate developments in KSA, is currently experiencing a supply shortage. Moreover, KingAbdullah in 2007 introduced 1,800 development and infrastructure projects in Riyadh at aninvestment of more than USD31bn. These projects span <strong>the</strong> residential, education, healthcare,water & power, housing, and tele<strong>com</strong>munications sec<strong>to</strong>rs. The growth in population has alsotranslated in<strong>to</strong> increased demand for infrastructure development, including <strong>the</strong> energy, waterand tele<strong>com</strong>munications sec<strong>to</strong>rs.Below are some statistics that support <strong>the</strong> construction sec<strong>to</strong>r’s long-term growth prospects:• 1.3mn housing units are required over <strong>the</strong> next seven years• Energy and electricity needs are growing, driven by rising population• 600 new fac<strong>to</strong>ries have been planned• Tele<strong>com</strong> and water sec<strong>to</strong>rs are growing• Tourism and transport needs are increasing• The King Abdullah Economic City (KAEC) and <strong>the</strong> Jazan Economic City (JEC) are aloneworth USD54.0bn and are part of similar projects being set up.However, hit by <strong>the</strong> current global credit crisis, development work on many of <strong>the</strong>se projects hastemporarily slowed down.The global crisis has led <strong>to</strong> asteep fall in value of contractsawarded in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom in 4Q-08.Within <strong>the</strong> GCC, economic growth his<strong>to</strong>rically has increased demand for residential, <strong>com</strong>mercialand infrastructural projects. KSA is expected <strong>to</strong> account for 8.0% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal USD118bninvestment in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r. However, construction activity across sec<strong>to</strong>rs in <strong>the</strong> GCC has slowedin 4Q-08, led by <strong>the</strong> global crisis impacting <strong>to</strong>p-line and bot<strong>to</strong>m-line growth of <strong>com</strong>panies. Realestate prices in <strong>the</strong> UAE have fallen and work on King Abdullah Economic City has lostmomentum, while construction of petrochemical facilities is also likely <strong>to</strong> slow down. Exhibit 127depicts <strong>the</strong> reducing value of contracts awarded <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> construction sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong> GCC in Q4JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK82


BUILDING AND CONTRUCTION2008. The UAE, <strong>the</strong> region’s largest market, has suffered a near 40.0% drop, highlighting <strong>the</strong>effects of <strong>the</strong> global crisis on development work across <strong>the</strong> region.Exhibit 127: GCC construction sec<strong>to</strong>r contracts awarded value in 2008 (USD bn)Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008 <strong>to</strong>talBahrain 0.39 0.49 0.44 0.72 2.04Kuwait 0.28 0.97 3.5 0.16 4.91Oman 0.17 0.5 4.9 0 5.57Qatar 5.97 6.6 0.75 0.4 13.72KSA 2.57 2.75 3.85 0.36 9.53UAE 23.4 21.2 23.3 14.1 82.00GCC 32.78 32.51 36.74 15.74 117.77Source: MEEDAt <strong>the</strong> listed <strong>com</strong>pany level, KSA has a large and diversified construction sec<strong>to</strong>r with strongrevenue growth his<strong>to</strong>rically, although <strong>to</strong>p lines have suffered in <strong>the</strong> current crisis. RoE has beenon par with GCC peers with a P/E range of around 20x.Exhibit 128: Revenues of GCC building and construction<strong>com</strong>panies, 2005–2008 (USD mn)6000Exhibit 129: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,200835500030UAE40003000ROE(%)2520KSA200015Oman100002005 2006 2007 2008KSA UAE Oman KuwaitKuwait10P/E5-10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70Source: Gulfbase, ReutersThe <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustive.Source: Gulfbase Reuters, The <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustiveSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK83


BUILDING AND CONTRUCTIONThe building and construction sec<strong>to</strong>r has a large number of private players with only 12 listed<strong>com</strong>panies. Profit margins were <strong>the</strong> highest for National Gypsum Company, whereasMohammad Al Mojil group had <strong>the</strong> highest market weight in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r.Exhibit 130: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in Indexas of Dec 2008*Avg. NPM (%),1Q05 - 4Q08*Avg. RoE (%),2005 - 2008*Saudi Ceramic Co 0.29 19.9 21.2National Gypsum Company 0.10 46.1 29.4Saudi Cable Company 0.22 5.9 18.4Saudi Industrial Development Co 0.03 NM NMSaudi Arabian Amiantit Co 0.22 2.3 7.8Arabian Pipes Company 0.15 16.0 18.6Zamil Industrial Investment Co 0.28 5.4 24.2AL-Babtain Power & Tele<strong>com</strong>munication Co 0.19 12.4 24.3Saudi Vitrified Clay Pipes Co 0.05 19.3 44.2Mohammad Al Mojil Group 0.48 23.9 16.4Middle East Specialized Cables Co 0.16 8.8 33.5Red Sea Housing 0.24 22.3 39.4Source: Bloomberg, Gulfbase, Reuters and Tadawul, Annual Report* start periods may differ based on availability of dataTotal revenue of <strong>the</strong> 12 listed <strong>com</strong>panies increased at 37.8% CAGR and profits grew at 72.6%CAGR in 2005–08. The rise in revenue was backed by growing demand created by <strong>the</strong> severalongoing infrastructure and industrial projects. For 2008, <strong>the</strong> revenue of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal sec<strong>to</strong>r grew27.5% YoY (<strong>com</strong>pared with 55.2% YoY growth in 2007), on an average. Moreover, net profitshowed an improvement of 17.7% YoY in 2008. Although <strong>the</strong> potential for construction activitiesis high in KSA, weakening sentiments for <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong> global market might restrict <strong>the</strong>upside potential of <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong> short-term. Demand for <strong>the</strong> construction of petrochemicalfacilities could see a downturn in <strong>the</strong> short term due <strong>to</strong> weak oil prices. This could adverselyimpact <strong>the</strong> revenue performance of building material providers.In 4Q-08, <strong>the</strong> average revenue of<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies declined 10.0%QoQ, while earnings plummeted75% QoQ.The global credit crisis has resulted in a slowdown in development work on many projects,which is evident in <strong>the</strong> 4Q-08 results of some of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies. In 4Q-08, <strong>the</strong> average revenueof <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies has declined 10.0% QoQ. The picture is grimmer with net profit, whichplummeted an average 75.0% QoQ. Exhibits 131 and 132 display <strong>the</strong> profitability and revenueof <strong>the</strong> 12 listed <strong>com</strong>panies until 4Q-08.Exhibit 131: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005–2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 132: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005–200850003540003025300020200015101000502005 2006 2007 2008Saudi CeramicsAmiantitZamilSpecialized CablesSaudi Cable Co.Al babatainRedseaMohamed Al Mojil02005 2006 2007 2008Saudi CeramicsAmiantitZamilSpecialized CablesSaudi Cable Co.Al babatainRedseaMohamed Al MojilSource: Gulfbase , Bloomberg, ReutersSource: Gulfbase , Bloomberg, ReutersJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK84


BUILDING AND CONTRUCTIONThe pricing multiples of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies in this sec<strong>to</strong>r indicate a mixed trend. Some of <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>panies experienced relatively flat multiples, while for o<strong>the</strong>rs it increased significantly in2005–06. This was due <strong>to</strong> exceptional growth in <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ck market, supported by agrowing economy, several IPOs, and a fast developing capital market. However, <strong>the</strong> pricingmultiples are currently at attractive levels, primarily due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> correction in <strong>the</strong> Saudi s<strong>to</strong>ckmarket. As of 2007, P/E was at 30.6x, while P/BV was at 4.7x. As depicted in Exhibit 55 and 56,pricing multiples have been on <strong>the</strong> decline in 2008, providing an attractive long-term investmen<strong>to</strong>pportunity. Mohamed Al Mojil recorded <strong>the</strong> highest RoE in 2008, while P/BV was <strong>the</strong> highestfor Saudi Ceramics.Exhibit 133: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 134: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2008ROE(%)55453525155-5RedseaArabian pipesSIDCSaudi CableCo.SpecializedCablesAl babatainGypsumZamil SaudiCeramicsAmiantitSaudi VitrifiedP/B0 2 4 6 8 10ROE(%)50403020100-10Saudi CableCo.AmiantitGypsumArabian pipesMohamed AlMojilSaudiVitrifiedZamilRedseaAl babatainSaudiCeramicsSpecializedCables0 1 2 3 4SIDCP/BSource: Bloomberg, Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008Exhibit 135 shows <strong>the</strong> average daily trading volume of <strong>the</strong> 12 <strong>com</strong>panies. Currently, SaudiIndustrial Development Co has <strong>the</strong> highest average daily trading volume.Exhibit 135: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 20083,0002,5002,5622,4612,0001,8161,5001,0001,0626967771,4797801,0937825004152410SCERCOSAACZIICMESCNGCOSVCPSCACOAPCOALBABTAIREDSEASIDCMMGSource: Reuters, TadawulJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK85


BUILDING AND CONTRUCTIONSaudi Aramco <strong>to</strong> award contracts only <strong>to</strong> Saudicontrac<strong>to</strong>rs or JVsSaudi Aramco plans a $60bn boost over five years (USD28bn for upstream investment andUSD32bn for downstream spending). The <strong>com</strong>pany has allocated $15bn <strong>to</strong> develop sevenprocess facility projects, nearly $6bn for six offshore facilities and a fur<strong>the</strong>r $6bn for tenmaintenance programs. Aramco will spend up <strong>to</strong> $3bn on plant improvements, pipelines, civilinfrastructure and electrical works for 121 projects. It is interesting <strong>to</strong> note is that media <strong>report</strong>sindicate that contracts will only be awarded <strong>to</strong> Saudi Contrac<strong>to</strong>rs or <strong>to</strong> international contrac<strong>to</strong>rsthat formed JVs with local contrac<strong>to</strong>rs.MMG and Arabian Pipes likely<strong>to</strong> benefit from contracts <strong>to</strong>local playersWhile most <strong>com</strong>panies <strong>to</strong> benefit from this would be private players, two listed <strong>com</strong>panies likely<strong>to</strong> gain are MMG and Arabian Pipes. MMG executes construction projects within <strong>the</strong> oil, gas andpetrochemical industry. The services also include maintenance and turnkey contracts, industrialcleaning and pre-<strong>com</strong>mission services, etc. The <strong>com</strong>pany delivers tailor-made constructionservices both onshore and offshore. Arabian Pipes Co (APC) manufactures high frequencywelded (HFW) steel pipes for <strong>the</strong> oil and gas, petrochemical, agricultural and constructionindustries.Expected credit tightening by banks <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> real estate developers in <strong>the</strong> short term amidincreased volatility in <strong>the</strong> market could slow <strong>the</strong> pace of construction activities in KSA. Shortageof skilled labor remains an issue and needs immediate attention. However, <strong>the</strong> long-termoutlook on <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r remains positive. The Saudi Government aims <strong>to</strong> encourage foreigninvestment in <strong>the</strong> building and construction sec<strong>to</strong>r in light of <strong>the</strong> steady outlook for economicgrowth. In <strong>the</strong> long run, <strong>the</strong> multibillion dollar projects for development of <strong>the</strong> six plannedeconomic cities and public infrastructure projects are likely <strong>to</strong> provide fur<strong>the</strong>r impetus <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>building and construction sec<strong>to</strong>r. Demand is also expected <strong>to</strong> be higher due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> growing<strong>to</strong>urism, transport, and tele<strong>com</strong>munication sec<strong>to</strong>rs, backed by rising population. These fac<strong>to</strong>rspoint <strong>to</strong>ward <strong>the</strong> long-term sustainability of <strong>the</strong> construction sec<strong>to</strong>r in KSA.Cost pressures mitigated byfalling material pricesKSA has been hit by <strong>the</strong> current global crisis with <strong>the</strong> IMF forecasting (April-09) a contraction inGDP of (0.9%) in 2009 as against growth of 4.6% in 2008. KSA’s building and constructionsec<strong>to</strong>r is also expected <strong>to</strong> be hit by <strong>the</strong> slowdown in development work in many projects across<strong>the</strong> country. However, steady demand from an increasing population (CAGR of 2.8% in <strong>the</strong> nextfive years according <strong>to</strong> IMF estimates) is likely <strong>to</strong> sustain <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong> long run. Moreover,cost pressure on margins is likely <strong>to</strong> moderate, led by falling oil prices and lower prices ofcopper, aluminum, and o<strong>the</strong>r construction materials.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK86


Real Estate and DevelopmentShaken but not stirredThe Saudi real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r, although shaken by <strong>the</strong> current global meltdown, continues <strong>to</strong>grow steadily, benefiting from growing demand for residential and <strong>com</strong>mercial properties. Risingpopulation, changing demographics, growing hotel and <strong>to</strong>urism industry and higher personaldisposable in<strong>com</strong>e are fuelling demand in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s residential markets.KSA’s real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r drivenby strong structuralfundamentalsSize of <strong>the</strong> average household is changing: There is a gradual trend <strong>to</strong>ward <strong>the</strong> Westernfamily life style of smaller (nuclear) family units. This is one of <strong>the</strong> by-products of urbanmigration. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> young population would marry and form new households. Thecurrent average household size in KSA is estimated <strong>to</strong> be 5.62. We estimate <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal householdsize <strong>to</strong> decline <strong>to</strong> 5.2 by 2015. While we expect <strong>the</strong> expat non-Saudi household size <strong>to</strong> remainconstant at 4.1, <strong>the</strong> household size of Saudi families would decline from approximately 6 atpresent <strong>to</strong> 5.8 by 2015. We have taken in<strong>to</strong> consideration <strong>the</strong> varying household sizes for eachregion while estimating expected changes for each region.Exhibit 136: Large variance in regional household size9876Size of household543210MadinahJoufArarHailJazanEasternProvinceQassimNajranAseerBahaTabukRiyadhMakkahOverall Saudi Non-SaudiSource: KSA Department of Statistics, NCBC ResearchWe are of <strong>the</strong> view that a declining household size will fuel demand for housing, creatingdemand for a large number of household units. Simultaneously <strong>the</strong> lower average householdsize and an improved affordability will also accelerate growth within <strong>the</strong> apartment segment.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK87


REAL ESTATE AND DEVELOPMENTExhibit 137: Household sizes forecast <strong>to</strong> fall <strong>to</strong> 5.2 by 2015765Size of household43210Overall Saudi Non-Saudi2004 2015ESource: KSA Department of Statistics, NCBC ResearchWe estimated a <strong>to</strong>tal incremental demand of over 1.3mn housing units by 2015 (representing anannual requirement of over 190,000 units over <strong>the</strong> next seven years). Our housing demandestimate would require an investment of over SR680bn (nearly $180bn) by 2015.New economic citiesThe Kingdom’s ambitiouseconomic city projects are animportant step in <strong>the</strong> ongoingeconomic transformationWith planned investments of more than USD60bn, KSA has begun constructing four integratedeconomic cities located on <strong>the</strong> Red Sea coast in <strong>the</strong> Western region of <strong>the</strong> Kingdom — KingAbdullah Economic City, Jazan (Jazan Economic City), Hail (Prince Abdul Aziz bin MousaedEconomic City), and Madinah (Knowledge Economic City). Two more ventures -- TabukEconomic City and Eastern Province Economic City -- are at <strong>the</strong> planning stage. According <strong>to</strong>projections by <strong>the</strong> Center for Studies and Research at <strong>the</strong> Eastern Province Chamber ofCommerce and Industry, <strong>the</strong> Kingdom's economic cities will contribute USD150bn <strong>to</strong> country'sannual GDP and create 1.3mn new jobs by 2020. King Abdullah Economic City (KAEC) alone isexpected <strong>to</strong> contribute one-tenth of <strong>the</strong> GDP of <strong>the</strong> construction sec<strong>to</strong>r. It is expected <strong>to</strong> house2,500 manufacturing <strong>com</strong>panies and be home <strong>to</strong> a 13.8 sq km seaport with <strong>the</strong> capacity <strong>to</strong>handle 10 million containers. The port will be one of <strong>the</strong> five largest in <strong>the</strong> world.The economic cities are a part of <strong>the</strong> ambitious "10×10" program, which aims <strong>to</strong> place SaudiArabia among <strong>the</strong> world’s <strong>to</strong>p ten <strong>com</strong>petitive investment destinations by 2010. Some of <strong>the</strong> keyfacts of <strong>the</strong>se economic cities are cited in <strong>the</strong> exhibit below.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK88


REAL ESTATE AND DEVELOPMENTExhibit 138: Economic cities – FactsParametersKing Abdullah EconomicCityJazan Economic CityPrince Abdul Aziz BinMousaed Economic City Knowledge Economic CityArea (mn sqm) 168 100 156 4.8Investment size (USD bn) 27 27 8 7Jobs 1mn 100,000 55,000 20,000Population 2mn 300,000 300,000 150,000ZonesFocusSource: SAGIASea port, industrial zone,central business district,water-front resort area,education zone andresidential zonesPorts, logistics, light industryand servicesIndustrial park (will occupy2/3 of <strong>the</strong> city), sea port,agriculture repackaging anddistribution, fisheries,business and cultural centre,health and education areasHeavy industries, lifestyle,agro industries and peopledevelopmentLogistics and transportationcentre, dry port, internationalairport, petrochemical andagriculture industries centre,business and knowledgecentre, mining centre andentertainment areaLogistics, agribusiness,minerals and constructionmaterialTaiba <strong>com</strong>plex, technologicaland administrative colleges,<strong>the</strong>me parks, business centre,residential and <strong>com</strong>mercialareas, passengers station,King Abdul Aziz MosqueKnowledge based industries,<strong>to</strong>urism and servicesExhibit 139: Six economic cities distributed throughout <strong>the</strong> countrySource: SAGIA, NCBC ResearchFalling prices and rising rentsOn <strong>the</strong> pricing front, in recent years, Saudi real estate firms have been enjoying <strong>the</strong> benefits ofescalating real estate prices led by growing demand-supply mismatch. However, <strong>the</strong> currentglobal crisis has bought prices under pressure. Real estate <strong>com</strong>panies in Jeddah recentlyslashed prices of new apartments and villas by 12.0% owing <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> global downturn. Moreover,<strong>the</strong> pace of development of many projects has slowed down in recent months, hit by <strong>the</strong> crisis.Although real estate priceshave been falling in <strong>the</strong>Kingdom, rental yields have stillbeen rising in certain pocketsIt is important <strong>to</strong> note that while prices have fallen, this is not necessarily true of rentals. Given<strong>the</strong> lack of a clearly defined mortgage regula<strong>to</strong>ry structure and low median in<strong>com</strong>es, <strong>the</strong> abilityof Saudis <strong>to</strong> purchase a property is reduced. This, <strong>com</strong>bined with <strong>the</strong> slowdown in propertysupply across <strong>the</strong> Kingdom, is resulting in a situation where rentals are actually increasing incertain pockets. Consequent <strong>to</strong> this, rental yields have been rising in certain areas of <strong>the</strong>Kingdom.The mortgage lawThe pending mortgage law, which will enable Saudis <strong>to</strong> avail amortized mortgages as opposed<strong>to</strong> long-term loans at rates of 3.5% <strong>to</strong> 5.0%, when passed, is likely <strong>to</strong> elicit demand from a widerJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK89


REAL ESTATE AND DEVELOPMENTsection of <strong>the</strong> population. Once approved, we expect this law <strong>to</strong> boost <strong>the</strong> real estate marketmore in <strong>the</strong> medium-<strong>to</strong>-long term, as currently only about 35% of Saudi families own homes withhome loans making up a paltry 2.0% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal GDP.The mortgage law would enablewider access <strong>to</strong> propertyownership, from <strong>the</strong> current lowrateWe believe that <strong>the</strong> mortgage law is likely <strong>to</strong> have four <strong>com</strong>ponents:a) Mortgage financing <strong>com</strong>ponentb) Registered mortgage <strong>com</strong>ponentThe mortgage financing <strong>com</strong>ponent is likely <strong>to</strong> focus on <strong>the</strong> financing and lending aspects of <strong>the</strong>mortgage. The registered mortgage <strong>com</strong>ponent is likely <strong>to</strong> be more focused on regula<strong>to</strong>ryaspects and collectability.Supply slowdownThe current sharp decline in oil prices coupled with <strong>the</strong> credit crisis has resulted in a slowdownin <strong>the</strong> real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong> entire region. Development work across many projects hasslowed or been put on hold, including <strong>the</strong> King Abdullah Economic City. Banks have shownreluctance <strong>to</strong> extend credit <strong>to</strong> many real estate <strong>com</strong>panies across <strong>the</strong> region. Moreover, inves<strong>to</strong>rsentiment <strong>to</strong>ward real estate in <strong>the</strong> region remains negative with prices in Dubai and Abu Dhabifalling 40% and 15% respectively from <strong>the</strong> highs of last year. Unlike o<strong>the</strong>r GCC markets,especially Dubai, that has characterized speculative excess, <strong>the</strong> KSA real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r hasbeen primarily driven by fundamentals. As a result, despite <strong>the</strong> prevailing negative sentiment,<strong>the</strong> current demand in <strong>the</strong> country remains steady and is causing a supply shortage in <strong>the</strong> low<strong>to</strong>-middlein<strong>com</strong>e space.UAE is <strong>the</strong> leader in <strong>the</strong> regionin terms of revenues, with KSA<strong>com</strong>panies also exhibitinglower ROE than GCC peers.Company performanceHis<strong>to</strong>rically, <strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong> real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r in KSA <strong>com</strong>pare well on revenue terms with<strong>the</strong>ir GCC peers, although <strong>the</strong> UAE has been <strong>the</strong> leader in <strong>the</strong> region. RoE levels of KSA<strong>com</strong>panies are lower than o<strong>the</strong>r GCC nations, although <strong>the</strong>y trade at relatively higher P/E’s.Exhibit 140: Revenues of GCC real estate development<strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008 (USD mn)900080007000Exhibit 141: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,200830UAE600050004000ROE (%)20Qatar3000200010KuwaitKSA100002005 2006 2007 2008KSA UAE Kuwait QatarP/E0-10 0 10 20 30 40Source: Gulfbase, Reuters, Bloomberg;The <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustive.Source: Gulfbase, Reuters, Bloomberg;Size of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008The sec<strong>to</strong>r is seeing <strong>the</strong> entry of new developers, who are forming alliances with Saudinationals. Emaar, <strong>the</strong> Economic City is a joint venture between Emaar Properties PJSC (a largeJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK90


REAL ESTATE AND DEVELOPMENTproperty developer in <strong>the</strong> UAE) and local inves<strong>to</strong>rs in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, in Oc<strong>to</strong>ber2008, Bayt Al-Mal Investment and Awan Real Estate Investment and Development Companysigned a deal worth SR7.5bn <strong>to</strong> implement a massive real estate project in Riyadh. Listed beloware <strong>the</strong> constituents of <strong>the</strong> real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r in KSA. Alarkan had <strong>the</strong> highest RoE, whereasaverage profit margins were <strong>the</strong> highest for Saudi Real Estate Co.Exhibit 142: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in Indexas on Dec 2008*Avg. NPM (%),1Q05 – 4Q08*Avg. RoE (%),2005 – 2008*Saudi Real Estate Co. 0.26 76.8 6.3Taiba Holding Co. 0.29 64.6 8.8Makkah Construction & Development Co. 0.42 72.3 7.1Arriyadh Development Co. 0.10 56.9 5.0Emaar The Economic City 0.82 NM NMJabal Omar Development Company 1.47 NM NMDar Alarkan Real Estate Development Co 1.74 41.4 19.6Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, Gulfbase and Tadawul: Annual Report;* start periods may differ based on availability of dataQ4-08 saw <strong>com</strong>panies postingrevenue declines of over 20%YoY.Total revenue of KSA’s real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r increased 38.4% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR6990.2mn in 2007,expanding at 96.9% CAGR during 2005-2008. This growth was an out<strong>com</strong>e of strong salesvolumes as well as higher average price realizations. However, in 2008, overall sec<strong>to</strong>r earningsdeclined 22.4% YoY and revenue fell 4.8% YoY. On an average, revenue and net profit ofSaudi Real Estate Co and Taiba Holding have declined 24.0% and 39.0% YoY respectively in2008.Exhibit 143: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005–2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 144: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005–200860070001005006000804003002001005000400030002000100060402002005 2006 2007 2008Saudi Real Estate Taiba Makkah002005 2006 2007 2008Saudi Real EstateTaibaMakkahArriyadhArriyadh Dar alarkan *Dar alarkanSource: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, ReutersCompanies marked * are plotted on secondary axisSource: Gulfbase, Reuters, Bloomberg*non meaningful values excludedThe price multiples of Saudi real estate development <strong>com</strong>panies were at <strong>the</strong>ir peak in 2005 due<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> euphoria surrounding <strong>the</strong> growth potential of <strong>the</strong>se <strong>com</strong>panies, with increasing demandand <strong>the</strong> announcement of <strong>the</strong> ‘Economic Cities’ project in late 2005. However, <strong>the</strong> multipleshave declined significantly since <strong>the</strong> s<strong>to</strong>ck market correction in 2006, with continuing downwardmomentum in 2008 led by <strong>the</strong> current crisis. At <strong>the</strong> end of 2008, <strong>the</strong> average P/E multiple ofKSA real estate <strong>com</strong>panies was 14.5x and P/BV was 1.0x, from P/E and P/BV levels of 30.9xand 1.8x respectively in 2007. In 2008, Dar Al Arkan had <strong>the</strong> highest RoE and Jabal Omar, anew entrant, recorded <strong>the</strong> highest P/BV.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK91


REAL ESTATE AND DEVELOPMENTExhibit 145: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 146: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 200830253525Dar alarkanROE(%)20151050MakkahArriyadhTaibaSaudi RealEstateDar alarkan0 1 2 3 4 5 6P/BROE(%)155TaibaMakkahSaudi RealEstateArriyadh-5JabalEmaar-150 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3P/BSource: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008Jabal Omar had <strong>the</strong> highest average daily trading volume in 2007-08.Exhibit 147: Avg. daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 200812,00010,90510,0008,0008,3766,0004,0002,0001,3991,7652,4943,7514,0470Saudi RealEstateTaiba Makkah Arriyadh Al Arkan Emaar Jabal OmarSource: Reuters, TadawulFavorable demographics, risingpopulation, development ofeconomic cities, and growing<strong>to</strong>urism <strong>to</strong> boost demandThe impact of <strong>the</strong> global crisis is evident in <strong>the</strong> latest financial results of <strong>com</strong>panies and hasslowed <strong>the</strong> pace of development of some economic cities, with private sec<strong>to</strong>r players being hithard in recent quarters. We however expect favorable demographics, rising population,increasing demand for development of <strong>the</strong> economic cities, growing <strong>to</strong>urism and hotel industryand public infrastructure projects <strong>to</strong> continue <strong>to</strong> boost demand for real estate development inKSA. Moreover, with prices being driven by demand and not speculation, <strong>the</strong> market is likely <strong>to</strong>remain shielded from a sudden flight of capital. The Government’s utilization of petrodollarsearned in <strong>the</strong> past few years <strong>to</strong> fund infrastructure development projects, coupled wi<strong>the</strong>xpansion initiatives by Saudi <strong>com</strong>panies, are likely <strong>to</strong> boost supply. Additionally, <strong>the</strong> expectedapproval of <strong>the</strong> mortgage law would fur<strong>the</strong>r boost housing demand by easing access <strong>to</strong>mortgage financing. Therefore, we expect a steady recovery in Saudi real estate prices, led by<strong>the</strong> growing demand for real estate development. This might also result in more new playersentering <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s real estate market, <strong>the</strong>reby increasing supply.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK92


TransportationSuffering due <strong>to</strong> low demandThe transportation sec<strong>to</strong>r in <strong>the</strong> GCC is currently witnessing a slowdown due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> decline indemand levels. In 2H-08, KSA’s Transportation sec<strong>to</strong>rs growth was severely affected by <strong>the</strong> fallin freight rates, decline in travel rate, and low demand for crude oil, which is <strong>the</strong> major export<strong>com</strong>modity. Although, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r is likely <strong>to</strong> face challenges in <strong>the</strong> short-term due <strong>to</strong> fallinginternational trade, <strong>the</strong> Government’s initiatives <strong>to</strong> improve transport-related infrastructure islikely <strong>to</strong> support <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r’s growth in <strong>the</strong> long term. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, KSA’s strategic location at<strong>the</strong> crossroads of Europe, Africa, and Asia gives it an unmatched advantage over o<strong>the</strong>rcountries in <strong>the</strong> GCC. Keeping this in mind, <strong>the</strong> Government of Saudi Arabia has estimated a<strong>to</strong>tal expenditure of SR19.2bn for transportation and tele<strong>com</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r for 2009.Declining international tradecontinues <strong>to</strong> dent freight ratesacross all modes oftransportationAir is <strong>the</strong> most preferred transport mode in KSA, with 38.5mn passengers travelling by airwaysin 2007.Exhibit 148: Usage of transport mode – 2007Marine transport3%Roadways14%Railway2%Air transport81%Source: SAMAAir transportLiberalization of aviation sec<strong>to</strong>rset <strong>to</strong> offer additionalinvestment opportunitiesBenefiting from <strong>the</strong> Government’s decision <strong>to</strong> liberalize <strong>the</strong> aviation sec<strong>to</strong>r in 2005, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>rcontinues <strong>to</strong> gain momentum. The Government is issuing licenses <strong>to</strong> private carriers <strong>to</strong> increase<strong>the</strong>ir participation. According <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> General Authority for Civil Aviation (GACA), <strong>to</strong>tal passengertraffic at <strong>the</strong> international and domestic airports increased 2.4% YoY <strong>to</strong> 38.5mn in 2007. KSAcurrently has 27 airports of which four are international.National Air Services (NAS), <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s first private sec<strong>to</strong>r airline, plans <strong>to</strong> invest aroundUSD4.14bn <strong>to</strong> boost its fleet from 60 in June 2008 <strong>to</strong> 142 by 2012. The Government has alsoinfused SR30bn <strong>to</strong> expand airports in Jeddah, Madinah and Tabuk. Moreover, GACA haslaunched USD1.5bn expansion program at <strong>the</strong> King Abdul Aziz International Airport (KAIA),Jeddah, <strong>to</strong> ac<strong>com</strong>modate A380s, <strong>the</strong> world’s largest aircraft. However, <strong>the</strong> air transportationsec<strong>to</strong>r in KSA has experienced a slowdown in <strong>the</strong> recent past due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> decline in passengertravel and <strong>the</strong> reduction in air cargo, heightened by <strong>the</strong> reduced demand for <strong>com</strong>modities.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK93


TRANSPORTATIONRoad transportRoad transport in KSA is Government-owned and largely driven by <strong>the</strong> growing population andintercity passenger/cargo movement. Huge investments in various projects and rapid growth oflarge cities have underlined <strong>the</strong> need for a more improved road transport system. Developmen<strong>to</strong>f road infrastructure is required <strong>to</strong> ease connectivity and help in transporting huge volumes ofmaterials <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> construction sites of <strong>the</strong>se projects. To improve <strong>the</strong> road transportinfrastructure, <strong>the</strong> Government invested over SR7.5bn on projects for asphalted roads in 2007.In <strong>the</strong> 2009 budget, <strong>the</strong> Government has allocated SR11.5bn for road construction projects,which would help in expanding <strong>the</strong> capacity of transportation sec<strong>to</strong>r.Rail transportExpanding population base andrising religious <strong>to</strong>urism offerssignificant opportunities forroad and rail transport in KSARail transport in KSA is managed by Saudi Railway Organization (SRO) and <strong>com</strong>prises twomain lines — Dammam-Abqaiq-Hofuf-Riyadh (499.1km) used by passengers and Riyadh-Hardd-Hofuf (555.9km) used by freight trains. Annually, <strong>the</strong> railway sec<strong>to</strong>r handles around850,000 passengers and 850mn <strong>to</strong>ns of cargo. The Kingdom is upgrading its rail network asdemand is expected <strong>to</strong> increase, particularly from Hajj and Umrah pilgrims. Exhibit 71 depictssignificant new projects approved by SRO.Exhibit 149: Projects approved by SROLength (km)Qualified consortiumsLandbridge project • •• Construction of 950 kmnew track betweenRiyadh and Jeddah• Construction of 115 kmnew line betweenDammam and Jubail• The project is expected<strong>to</strong> connect major cities,such as Jeddah,Riyadh, Dammam andJubail• Agility LogisticsConsortium• AlMuhaidib/ ACWAConsortium• Mada Consortium• Saudi BinladinConsortiumMakkah-Madinah Rail Link Project (MMRL)• Construction of 450 kmnew rail line betweenMakkah and Madinah• Construction of twopassenger stations inMakkah• Construction of onestation in Madinah• Estimated cost ofUSD5.3 bn• Al-Rajhi Consortium• The Saudi BinladinGroup• The Saudi Oger• The Saudi JapaneseConsortium• Al-SholahConsortium• OHL InternationalSource: Saudi Railways Organization (SRO)Completion of <strong>the</strong> Landbridge project is expected <strong>to</strong> streng<strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s position on both<strong>the</strong> regional and international transport maps. However, work on <strong>the</strong> USD5bn Landbridgeproject has still not started because <strong>the</strong> Governments of <strong>the</strong> GCC states could not agree onwhe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>to</strong> have one central or body six national regula<strong>to</strong>ry bodies for regulating <strong>the</strong> project.Ano<strong>the</strong>r important miles<strong>to</strong>ne in rail transport is <strong>the</strong> approval of tenders for <strong>the</strong> Makkah-MadinahRail Link Project (MMRL) <strong>to</strong> offer transportation solutions predominantly <strong>to</strong> Hajj and UmrahJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK94


TRANSPORTATIONpilgrims and <strong>com</strong>muters traveling between Makkah and Madinah. Completion of <strong>the</strong>se twoprojects would streng<strong>the</strong>n KSA’s rail network in <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>ing years.Marine transportKSA’s strategic location at <strong>the</strong>crossroads of Europe, Asia andAfrica offer significant upsidepotential for sea cargoIn <strong>the</strong> marine transport segment, <strong>the</strong>re are 21 large ports for marine transportation, which movearound 4mn twenty-foot equivalent units (TEUs) annually with around 12,000 ships visitingSaudi ports each year. The private sec<strong>to</strong>r plays an important role in <strong>the</strong> management, operationand maintenance of ports in KSA. King Abdullah Economic City, near Jeddah, and <strong>the</strong> JazanEconomic City, which are currently under construction, are expected <strong>to</strong> have <strong>the</strong>ir own ports.Saudi Development and Re-Export Company is likely <strong>to</strong> open its new terminal at Jeddah IslamicPort, in addition <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> South and Jeddah North container terminals, which handled 3.3mn TEUsin 2008. Red Sea Gateway Terminal is expected <strong>to</strong> increase <strong>the</strong> port's annual capacity <strong>to</strong> 5mnTEUs in 2009. With <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pletion of Landbridge project, connectivity <strong>to</strong> Jeddah and Dammam,would improve fur<strong>the</strong>r, providing impetus <strong>to</strong> marine transport in <strong>the</strong>se areas by changingregional shipment patterns. Since Jeddah is a major transportation hub on <strong>the</strong> Red Sea andDammam allows fur<strong>the</strong>r shipment <strong>to</strong> Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar, and Bahrain, <strong>the</strong> Landbridgeproject would provide a link between Jeddah and o<strong>the</strong>r GCC countries.However, <strong>the</strong> shipping freight rates reduced drastically in 4Q-08, <strong>com</strong>pared with 1H-08. Thefreight rates for Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCC) came down <strong>to</strong> USD63,500 per day in 4Q-08,<strong>com</strong>pared with USD100,000 per day in 1H-08. Similarly, <strong>the</strong> bulk cargo freight that grew fromaverage of USD106,918 per trip in 2007 <strong>to</strong> USD150,000 in 1H-08, subsequently fell <strong>to</strong>USD10,000-15,000 in 4Q-08.KSA’s transportation sec<strong>to</strong>r is an emerging one <strong>com</strong>pared with o<strong>the</strong>r GCC countries like <strong>the</strong>UAE and Kuwait, and hence, shows lower revenue. However, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r fares well on RoE.Exhibit 150: Revenues of GCC transportation,2005–08 (USD mn)7,0006,000Exhibit 151: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,200820Oman5,0004,0003,000RoE (%)15UAEKuwaitQatar2,0001,00010KSA02005 2006 2007 2008KSA UAE Kuwait Oman Qatar5P/E0 9 18 27 36 45Source: Gulfbase, ReutersThe <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustive.Source: Gulfbase, Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK95


TRANSPORTATIONNational Shipping Company is <strong>the</strong> largest <strong>com</strong>pany in <strong>the</strong> transport sec<strong>to</strong>r with SR5.2bn marketcapitalization as on 31 December 2008.Exhibit 152: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in index ason 31 Dec 08Avg. NPM (%),1Q05 – 4Q08*Avg. RoE,2005 – 2008*National Shipping Co. of Saudi Arabia 0.56 26.7 15.1Saudi Public Transport Co. 0.10 21.3 11.6Saudi Land Transport Co. 0.02 16.8 3.9United International Transportation Co Ltd 0.07 13.7 32.9Source: Bloomberg, Gulfbase, Reuters, Tadawul* start periods may differ based on availability of dataAs of 4Q-08, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r’s largest <strong>com</strong>pany, National Shipping Co. of Saudi Arabia (NSCSA)<strong>to</strong>pped <strong>the</strong> revenue list with SR652.4mn, which accounted for 63.3% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal sec<strong>to</strong>r’sturnover and a 55.9% YoY growth for <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany. Profitability margins for <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r in 4Q-08declined sharply, <strong>to</strong> an average of 15.9% (<strong>com</strong>pared with 27.0% in 4Q-07) because of largedeterioration in crude oil prices. During 2008, <strong>the</strong> transport sec<strong>to</strong>r of KSA had experienced29.8% YoY revenue growth <strong>to</strong> SR3.9bn and a net profit rise of 34.5% <strong>to</strong> SR865.7mn. In 2008,NSCSA registered a net profit growth of 75.2% YoY <strong>com</strong>pared with <strong>the</strong> previous year owing <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> rise in crude oil transport and general goods during first nine months of <strong>the</strong> year. Thesecond largest <strong>com</strong>pany in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r, Saudi Public Transport recorded a revenue growth of2.7% YoY in 2008, however, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s profits declined by 70.0% YoY due <strong>to</strong> rise inoperating expenses.Exhibit 153: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 154: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 20083,00050502,5002,0001,5001,0005004948474645403020100-1002005 2006 2007 2008NSCSA SAPTCO BUDGET SLTCO *44-202005 2006 2007 2008SLTCO BUDGET NSCSA SAPTCOSource: Reuters, BloombergCompanies marked * are plotted on secondary axisSource: Reuters, BloombergAs of 31 December 2008, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r’s P/E and P/BV multiple s<strong>to</strong>od at 16.1x and 1.2xrespectively, <strong>com</strong>pared with P/E and P/BV multiple of 30.9x and 3.7x respectively in 2007. Thisdecline can be attributed <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> fall in equity markets owing <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> global financial crisis. Theaverage RoE for <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r as of 2008 declined 120bp <strong>to</strong> 12.3%. As illustrated below, UnitedInternational Transportation Co Ltd (BUDGET) had <strong>the</strong> highest RoE (25.5%) and P/B multiple(1.9x) in 2008.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK96


TRANSPORTATIONExhibit 155: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 156: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2008363630302424NSCSABUDGETROE (%)18NSCSABUDGETROE (%)181212SLTCO6PBSAPTCO00 2 4 6 8 106SLTCOSAPTCO00 1 2PBSource: Bloomberg, TadawulSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, TadawulSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap as on 31 Dec 2008National Shipping Company had <strong>the</strong> highest average volume traded in 2007-08.Exhibit 157: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 20087,0006,0005,9705,0004,0003,7813,0002,7912,0001,0001,0600NSCSA SAPTCO SLTCO BUDGETSource: Bloomberg, ReutersLong-term outlook promisingon <strong>the</strong> back of growingdependency on KSA forsourcing global oil requirementGoing forward, <strong>the</strong> long-term fundamentals of <strong>the</strong> Saudi transportation sec<strong>to</strong>r remain strong.KSA’s oil exports are expected <strong>to</strong> grow <strong>to</strong> approximately 9.3 million barrels per day (mn b/d) by2012 from approximately 8.7mn b/d in 2008, according <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> data released by BusinessMoni<strong>to</strong>r International Limited‘s 4Q-08 KSA Oil & Gas <strong>report</strong>. This would give an impetus <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>growth of transportation sec<strong>to</strong>r of KSA in <strong>the</strong> long term. Rising infrastructural developmentactivities and construction of economic cities are set <strong>to</strong> boom inter-city and intra-citytransportation in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. Across all modes of transportation, <strong>the</strong> freight <strong>to</strong>nnage traffic inKSA is expected <strong>to</strong> grow at an average of 3.7% annually during <strong>the</strong> next five years, according <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> data released by <strong>the</strong> Saudi Arabia Freight Transport Report for 1Q-09. An expandingpopulation base and rising religious <strong>to</strong>urism also generate significant business opportunities for<strong>the</strong> firms engaged in road and rail transport in KSA.However, as seen in 4Q-08, declining international trade amid weakening consumer confidencecontinues <strong>to</strong> dent travel and freight rates across all modes of transportation, in <strong>the</strong> near-<strong>to</strong>mediumterm. Consequently, shipping <strong>com</strong>panies have been delaying <strong>the</strong>ir capacity expansionplans in an attempt <strong>to</strong> cope with <strong>the</strong> decline in demand for marine transportation, oversupplyJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK97


TRANSPORTATIONfears, and plunging freight charges. We believe that KSA’s aviation sec<strong>to</strong>r may be somewhatshielded due <strong>to</strong> significant contribution of religious <strong>to</strong>urism in <strong>the</strong> overall <strong>to</strong>urism industry.Never<strong>the</strong>less, sliding freight rates and weakening demand cloud <strong>the</strong> overall Saudi transportsec<strong>to</strong>r’s earnings visibility for 2009 and 2010. Delayed construction of <strong>the</strong> planned economiccities and industrial projects fur<strong>the</strong>r worsens our near-<strong>to</strong>-medium term outlook on <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r.However, with <strong>the</strong> onset of economic revival, <strong>the</strong> Government’s initiatives <strong>to</strong> streng<strong>the</strong>n its traderelations with o<strong>the</strong>r countries and encourage <strong>the</strong> participation of private sec<strong>to</strong>r are likely <strong>to</strong>provide a fillip <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK98


Media and PublishingOutlook bleak for conventional printmediaThe media and publishing sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>com</strong>prises <strong>com</strong>panies involved in publishing, printing andadvertising operations. Advertising primarily leans <strong>to</strong>ward print media (84% of <strong>to</strong>tal ad-spend)with TV, radio, cinema and outdoor advertising forming <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r revenue streams. Online andRadio advertising, which currently contribute <strong>to</strong> around 1% and 2% respectively of <strong>to</strong>taladvertising spend, have also seen considerable growth, with many <strong>com</strong>panies opting for lessexpensive web advertisements over traditional print advertisements. At present, <strong>the</strong> media andpublishing industry in KSA can be termed as under-developed, characterized by low advertisingspending on per capita basis. The industry, however, faces challenges through increased<strong>com</strong>petition from <strong>the</strong> Internet and anticipated decline in promotional activities by businesses in<strong>the</strong> current global meltdown.Ongoing economic downturn <strong>to</strong>weaken overall advertisementrevenues in 2009KSA’s media sec<strong>to</strong>r at present is dominated by Saudi Research and Marketing Group (SRMG),which also owns Saudi Printing and Packaging Company (SPPC). SRMG is majority-owned byKingdom Holding Company and heirs of Prince Ahmad Bin Salman Bin Abdulaziz Al Saud.Media <strong>com</strong>panies experienced healthy revenue growth primarily due <strong>to</strong> economic growth in <strong>the</strong>Kingdom, fuelled by <strong>the</strong> Government’s liberalization initiatives.The UAE and Kuwait experienced robust growth in <strong>the</strong> publishing, printing, and advertisingbusiness mainly benefiting from <strong>the</strong> greater freedom <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> press and economic development of<strong>the</strong> past few years. Ad spends in most of <strong>the</strong> GCC countries increased substantially during <strong>the</strong>first half of 2008, over <strong>the</strong> corresponding 2007 period. Advertising expenditure in <strong>the</strong> GCC grew23.7% YoY <strong>to</strong> USD3.77bn in 1H-08 from USD3.05bn. Ad spend in KSA was up 11.0% YoY <strong>to</strong>USD550mn in 1H-08. Going forward, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panies are likely <strong>to</strong> cut <strong>the</strong>ir advertising andmarketing expenditures due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> ongoing economic slowdown. The advertising spend in <strong>the</strong>Arab markets is expected <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>e down <strong>to</strong> an average of annual USD4bn (during 2009-13),<strong>com</strong>pared with USD10bn in 2008.Exhibit 158: Advertising expenditure in GCC (USD bn), 1H-08(USD bn)1.81.51.20.90.60.30.01.5769%0.9242%0.5524%0.3311%11% 0.15 0.120 051%2%Pan Arab UAE KSA Kuwait Qatar Oman BahrainExpenditure (LHS)% growth y-o-y (RHS)80%60%40%20%0%Source: NCBC Research, Company dataKSA’s media sec<strong>to</strong>r performed better than GCC peers did on revenue during 2005–2008. Thesec<strong>to</strong>r also fared well on RoE with attractive P/E multiple (Exhibit 159 and 160).JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK99


MEDIA AND PUBLISHINGExhibit 159: Revenues of GCC media <strong>com</strong>panies,2005 – 2008 (USD mn)Exhibit 160: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,200850025KSA40020300200RoE (%)1510QatarKuwait1005Bahrain02005 2006 2007 2008KSA Kuwait Qatar Bahrain0P/E0 5 10 15 20 25Source: ReutersSource: ReutersSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008SRMG has <strong>the</strong> highest weight in <strong>the</strong> index and SPPC is <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p performer in terms of averagenet profit margin and RoE.Exhibit 161: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in indexas on Dec 2008*Avg. NPM (%),1Q05 – 4Q08*Avg. RoE,2005 – 2008*Saudi Research And Marketing Group (SRMG) 0.26 22.6 22.6Saudi Printing & Packaging Co. (SPPC) 0.09 36.7 21.5Tihama Advertising & Public Relations Co. (Tihama) 0.03 16.7** 10.7**Source: Bloomberg, Tadawul, Reuters and Gulfbase* start period may differ based on availability of data** Figures for Tihama have been calendarized based on FY ending of SRMG and SPPCSlump in demand and increasein costs affected profitability in4Q-08Based on revenue, SRMG is <strong>the</strong> leading <strong>com</strong>pany operating in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r, followed by SPPCand Tihama. SPPC has <strong>the</strong> highest profitability among <strong>the</strong> three.In 2008, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r’s overall revenue grew 17.6% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR1,893mn. SRMG’s revenueincreased 20.4% YoY and SPPC’s revenue jumped 10.3% YoY in 2008. Tihama’s revenue wasup 13.9% YoY in 2008. However, <strong>the</strong> net profit margins for <strong>the</strong> three <strong>com</strong>panies contracted in4Q-08. This trend is expected <strong>to</strong> continue in <strong>the</strong> near term with <strong>com</strong>panies, especially in <strong>the</strong>Real Estate and Tourism sec<strong>to</strong>rs, reining in <strong>the</strong>ir advertising and marketing expenditures.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK100


MEDIA AND PUBLISHINGExhibit 162: Revenues of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 163: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008500140040400105030300700202001003501002005 2006 2007 2008SPPC Tihama SRMG *002005 2006 2007 2008SRMG SPPC TihamaSource: ReutersCompanies marked * are on secondary axisFigures for Tihama have been calendarized based on FY ending of SRMG and SPPCSource: ReutersFigures for Tihama have been calendarized based on FY ending of SRMG and SPPCIn 2008, <strong>the</strong> media and publishing sec<strong>to</strong>r’s average PE multiples contracted <strong>to</strong> 7.9x from 17.8xin 2007. This decline resulted largely from <strong>the</strong> s<strong>to</strong>ck market crash triggered by <strong>the</strong> ongoingglobal financial crisis. In <strong>the</strong> same period, P/BV ratio averaged 1.3x as against 3.2x in 2007. Ason 31 Dec 08, SPPC has better return on equity, at attractive multiples, <strong>com</strong>pared with peers. In2008, SRMG’s RoE decreased <strong>to</strong> 16.2% from 28.2% in 2007 and Tihama’s RoE increasednearly 136bp YoY <strong>to</strong> 14.2% in 2008.Exhibit 164: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 165: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2008353030SRMG25SRMGRoE (%)2520SPPCRoE (%)2015SPPCTihama1510Tihama2.5 3 P/B 3.5 410P/B50.5 1.0 1.5 2.0Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2007Source: Bloomberg, Reuters, Tadawul, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008Tihama leads on average traded volumes, followed by SPPC and SRMG.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK101


MEDIA AND PUBLISHINGExhibit 166: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s) , Jan 2007 – Dec 20082,5002,0001,9851,5001,0001,0785003240SRMG SPPC TIHAMASource: ReutersRobust demand growth fordigital media weakens <strong>the</strong>outlook for an alreadystruggling print media industryGoing forward, growth in KSA’s media and publishing sec<strong>to</strong>r is likely <strong>to</strong> be sluggish, marred byslowdown in business promotional activities, <strong>the</strong> growing popularity of <strong>the</strong> Internet, and stringentGovernment regulations. Driven by a young demographic profile (more than 45% of <strong>the</strong>population is under 20 years’ age), <strong>the</strong> popularity of <strong>the</strong> Internet is growing. Internet penetration,which currently stands at 22%, is likely <strong>to</strong> increase fur<strong>the</strong>r. This in turn will adversely impact <strong>the</strong>newspaper readership in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>com</strong>panies are likely <strong>to</strong> choose lessexpensive web advertisements over traditional paper advertisements. Although <strong>the</strong> long-termprospects of non-print media advertising business look promising, it is not likely <strong>to</strong> offset <strong>the</strong>impact of decline in revenue from conventional print media <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong>ly. In <strong>the</strong> near term <strong>to</strong>o, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>panies, particularly those in <strong>the</strong> real estate and <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>rs, are likely <strong>to</strong> cut back <strong>the</strong>iradvertising and marketing expenditures due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> ongoing economic slowdown. We, <strong>the</strong>refore,hold a negative outlook for <strong>the</strong> newspaper and magazine industry.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK102


Hotel and TourismReligious and business <strong>to</strong>urism keydriversThe KSA’s hotel and <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r has been energized by strong growth in intra-regional travelsupported by increase in expenditure on <strong>to</strong>urist infrastructure facilities. Of all <strong>the</strong> GCC countries,KSA holds <strong>the</strong> edge in religious <strong>to</strong>urism, with 5mn Muslim pilgrims from across <strong>the</strong> world visitingIslam’s two holiest sites—Mecca and Medina—each year.SAMA estimated <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r at around SR37.0bn in 2007, or 2.6% of KSA’s <strong>to</strong>tal GDPand 5.8% <strong>to</strong> non-oil GDP. As of 9M-08, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r was <strong>the</strong> most profitable one in <strong>the</strong> Kingdomwith a 102.6% YoY growth in profitability. The Saudi Government estimated wholesale, retail,restaurants and hotel industry <strong>to</strong> have grown 4.2% in 2008, <strong>com</strong>pared with 6.0% in 2007.Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, religious <strong>to</strong>urism accounted for 15.1% of domestic <strong>to</strong>urism and 73.2% of inbound<strong>to</strong>urism in 2007 in KSA. According <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Saudi Commission for Tourism (SCT), pilgrimsaccount for 51% of all <strong>the</strong> visi<strong>to</strong>rs in KSA, spending approximately SR10bn (USD2.67bn) eachyear. Hence, developing Haj infrastructure continues <strong>to</strong> remain a priority for <strong>the</strong> Government.Developing <strong>to</strong>urism has been apart of government’s long-termobjective of economicdiversificationThe development of KSA’s <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r also forms part of a larger plan <strong>to</strong> diversify <strong>the</strong>economy and create jobs for Saudi nationals. SAMA estimates <strong>the</strong> number of people employedin <strong>the</strong> country’s hotel and <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r in 2007 <strong>to</strong> be around 6.7mn or 5.1% of KSA’s <strong>to</strong>tallabor force. Ano<strong>the</strong>r positive for KSA’s <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r has been <strong>the</strong> SCT’s decision in 2006 <strong>to</strong>grant travel agencies <strong>the</strong> right <strong>to</strong> sponsor <strong>to</strong>urists. This move has helped in significantlyreducing <strong>the</strong> processing time for visas, <strong>the</strong>reby encouraging foreigners <strong>to</strong> enter <strong>the</strong> Kingdom.Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, in 2007, SCT implemented multiple-entry one-year business visas, <strong>the</strong>reby paving<strong>the</strong> way for growth in international <strong>to</strong>urism. According <strong>to</strong> EIU estimates, 9.4mn international<strong>to</strong>urists are likely <strong>to</strong> have visited KSA in 2008, <strong>com</strong>pared with 9.0mn in 2007.His<strong>to</strong>rically, Saudi nationals have preferred <strong>to</strong> travel within <strong>the</strong> country. Apart from domestic<strong>to</strong>urists, o<strong>the</strong>r Muslim nations such as Kuwait, <strong>the</strong> UAE, Egypt, Syria, and Pakistan, whichaccount for about 50% of KSA’s international <strong>to</strong>urism revenue, remain <strong>the</strong> key source marketsfor <strong>the</strong> country’s <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r.Exhibit 167: International <strong>to</strong>urist arrivals (% change over same period of <strong>the</strong> previous year)2017.31614.51210.4846.63.74.91.74.355.673.20World Europe Asia Americas Africa Middle East2006-07 2007-08 (Jan - Aug)Source: World Tourism OrganizationJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK103


HOTEL AND TOURISMSeparately, leisure <strong>to</strong>urism has failed <strong>to</strong> pick up in KSA for cultural and religious reasons,contributing a meager 2.1% <strong>to</strong> inbound <strong>to</strong>urism in 2007.To drive growth in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r, <strong>the</strong> KSA Government plans <strong>to</strong> increase <strong>the</strong> number of terminals atexisting airports and construct new airports, apart from liberalizing <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s airtransportation laws. Two new budget airlines, Sama and Nas Air, received licenses <strong>to</strong> operate in2007. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, according <strong>to</strong> Saudi Commission for Tourism and Antiquities (SCTA), 13projects related <strong>to</strong> his<strong>to</strong>rical city centers and popular markets are planned in KSA, aimed atdeveloping <strong>the</strong>se sites in<strong>to</strong> attractive <strong>to</strong>urist destinations. In June 2008, KSA’s Council ofMinisters approved <strong>the</strong> USD38.0bn <strong>to</strong>urism development project on <strong>the</strong> Red Sea coastline. Thisproject is in addition <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> USD10.0bn <strong>to</strong>urism development project at Al-Auqair on <strong>the</strong> Gulfcoast of KSA.Considerable investment inhotels by domestic andinternational hospitality brands<strong>to</strong> meet demandBecause of <strong>the</strong>se positive developments, <strong>the</strong> real estate and hospitality businesses in KSAhave also seen increased investment activity <strong>to</strong> meet <strong>the</strong> demand for hotel space from religiousas well as business travelers. In February 2008, Intercontinental Hotels Group signed afranchise development agreement with Siraj Capital Ltd <strong>to</strong> develop 12 Holiday Inn Expressproperties by 2013; and <strong>the</strong> Accor Group plans <strong>to</strong> expand its upper mid-range Novotel andlower-end Ibis brands.KSA’s hotel industry registered an average room occupancy rate of 62% during 1994-2007(HVS Research). In <strong>the</strong> GCC, <strong>the</strong> country lags <strong>the</strong> United Arab Emirates (73% average roomoccupancy rate in 1994-2007), Qatar (68%) and Bahrain (64%). The room occupancy rate inKSA increased 5% <strong>to</strong> 72% in 2007 from 67% in 2006, while UAE (84% in 2007) and Qatar (71%in 2007) registered flat growth. In Kuwait, room occupancy rate declined 7% <strong>to</strong> 58% in 2007from 65% in 2006. Bahrain experienced a 7% rise <strong>to</strong> 77% in 2007 from 71% in 2006. Theaverage room rate in KSA grew at 5% CAGR <strong>to</strong> USD183.5 in 1994-2007, <strong>com</strong>pared with 9% inBahrain (<strong>to</strong> USD249), 1% in Kuwait (<strong>to</strong> USD239), 13% in Qatar (<strong>to</strong> USD306), and 6% in <strong>the</strong>UAE (<strong>to</strong> USD248) during <strong>the</strong> same period. The average room rate in KSA was <strong>the</strong> lowest in <strong>the</strong>GCC.Exhibit 168 indicates <strong>the</strong> expected increase in <strong>the</strong> number of rooms in <strong>the</strong> Middle East over <strong>the</strong>next four years. UAE leads, but KSA, Qatar, and Egypt are expected <strong>to</strong> perform well.Exhibit 168: New supply by country (rooms over next 4 years)Bahrain5,784Egypt12,942JordanKuwaitLebanonOmanQatarSaudi ArabiaSyria6,8113,3292,0589,17211,4879,9151,585UAE90,5270 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000Source: World Tourism OrganizationJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK104


HOTEL AND TOURISMExhibit 169 depicts that KSA’s hotel and <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r is an emerging one, <strong>com</strong>pared witho<strong>the</strong>r GCC countries. The sec<strong>to</strong>r also lags GCC peers on RoE (Exhibit 170).Exhibit 169: Revenues of GCC hotel & <strong>to</strong>urism <strong>com</strong>panies,2005–08 (USD mn)500Exhibit 170: Comparison of RoE and P/E of GCC <strong>com</strong>panies,200840400Bahrain30300Kuwait200ROE (%)2010010KSA02005 2006 2007 2008Kuwait Oman Bahrain UAE KSAUAEPE00 10 20 30 40 50 60Source: ReutersThe <strong>com</strong>panies list is not exhaustiveSource: Reuters, NCBC ResearchSize of <strong>the</strong> bubble represents market cap. as on 31 Dec 2008As on 31 December 2008, Saudi Hotels & Resort Areas Co. (Saudi Hotels), with a market capof SR1.6bn, is <strong>the</strong> largest <strong>com</strong>pany in this sec<strong>to</strong>r.Exhibit 171: Sec<strong>to</strong>r details% weight in index ason Dec 2008*Avg. NPM (%),1Q05 – 4Q08*Avg. RoE,2005 – 2008*Saudi Hotels & Resort Areas Co 0.17 33.4 9.2Tourism Enterprises Co. (SHAMS) 0.02 (18.0) 0.3Source: Bloomberg, Tadawul, Gulfbase, Reuters* start period may differ based on availability of dataSaudi Hotels performed better than Tourism Enterprise Company (TECO) on revenue andprofitability, attributable <strong>to</strong> higher market share. In 2008, revenue of Saudi Hotels grew 10.6%YoY <strong>to</strong> SR291.9mn and net in<strong>com</strong>e surged 58.8% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR123.3mn. TECO’s revenue grew0.9% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR13.3mn and net in<strong>com</strong>e grew 25.7% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR2.7mn in 2008. In 4Q-08, SaudiHotels’ net in<strong>com</strong>e declined 1.7% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR33.8mn and TECO made a net loss of SR1.2mndue <strong>to</strong> reduced spending by local and foreign <strong>to</strong>urists.Exhibit 172: Revenue of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005-2008 (SR mn) Exhibit 173: Profitability (%) of <strong>com</strong>panies, 2005 – 2008204008015300401020005100-4002005 2006 2007 20080-802005 2006 2007 2008TECO SHARCO *SHARCOTECOSource: Reuters, Bloomberg, Companies marked * are plotted on secondary axisSource: Reuters, BloombergJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK105


HOTEL AND TOURISMIn 2008, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r’s P/B multiple averaged 1.7x in 2008. As of 2008, <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r’s average RoEs<strong>to</strong>od at 5.9% in 2008. As illustrated below, in 2008, Saudi Hotels had better RoE (11.4%) atattractive P/B multiple (1.2x) <strong>com</strong>pared with TECO.Exhibit 174: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 2007 Exhibit 175: Comparison of P/B and RoE, 200816161212SHARCOROE (%)84SHARCOTECOROE (%)840TECOPB00 2 4 6 8 10PB(4)0 1 2 3Source: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, TadawulSource: Gulfbase, Bloomberg, TadawulTECO, however, <strong>to</strong>pped <strong>the</strong> average trading volume chart in 2007-08.Exhibit 176: Average daily trading volume of s<strong>to</strong>cks (‘000s), Jan 2007 – Dec 20083,0002,5002,4282,0001,9601,5001,0005000SHARCOTECOSource: ReutersKSA government maintains infocus on developing <strong>to</strong>urisminfrastructure <strong>to</strong> support longterm demandGoing forward, we expect KSA <strong>to</strong> maintain focus on religious <strong>to</strong>urism (both domestic andinternational), <strong>the</strong> backbone of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r. The KSA Government has allocatedSR385bn for fortifying <strong>the</strong> overall infrastructure of <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r in its 2009 budget, a 10.9%rise <strong>com</strong>pared with <strong>the</strong> 2008 budget. The rapid development of infrastructure facilities,liberalization of airlines, capacity expansion at airports, and SCT’s easing of restrictions on nonreligiousvisas and introduction of multiple-entry one-year business visas will likely drive growthin KSA’s hotel and <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r. The World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC) expect KSA<strong>to</strong> attract 45.3mn <strong>to</strong>urists by 2020. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, WTTC also expects revenue from KSA’s<strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r <strong>to</strong> increase <strong>to</strong> USD56.1bn in 2016, driven largely by religious <strong>to</strong>urism. Thesefac<strong>to</strong>rs will also underpin growth in <strong>the</strong> hotel industry, with hotel revenue expected <strong>to</strong> grow 4%annually <strong>to</strong> reach SAR14.3bn by 2020.However, we expect <strong>the</strong> growth in <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r of KSA <strong>to</strong> be slow in <strong>the</strong> near-term asdiscretionary spending, and hence travel rate, take a hit in case of domestic as well as foreignJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK106


HOTEL AND TOURISM<strong>to</strong>urists. Moreover, lack of rapid infrastructure development has been limiting <strong>the</strong> growth ofreligious <strong>to</strong>urism in KSA. This has been forcing <strong>the</strong> Government <strong>to</strong> restrict <strong>the</strong> number of visasissued <strong>to</strong> avoid overcrowding during <strong>the</strong> annual Hajj pilgrimage. Given <strong>the</strong>se fac<strong>to</strong>rs, we have aneutral outlook for <strong>the</strong> near term on KSA’s hotel and <strong>to</strong>urism sec<strong>to</strong>r.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK107


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Company ProfilesListed <strong>com</strong>panies on <strong>the</strong> Tadawul


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Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsAl Rajhi Bank 112 PetrochemicalsSamba Financial 113 CementBanque Saudi Fransi 114 RetailArab National Bank 115 Energy and UtilitiesAlinma Bank 116 Agriculture and FoodRiyad Bank 117 Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITSABB 118 InsuranceSaudi Investment Bank 119 Multi InvestmentBank Al Jazira 120 Industrial InvestmentSaudi Hollandi Bank 121 Building and ConstructionBank Al Bilad 122 Real EstateTransportationMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESAl Rajhi BankAlso known asAl RajhiPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR67.5SR101.3bn ($27,036.0mn)1,500.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 93.0/40.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 130.06 34.7312m 130.23 34.77Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.21 1.23ReutersBloomberg1120.SERJHI ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 0 43 (23)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www.alrajhibank.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 17.8 27.3 12.9P/B (x) 6.5 7.4 3.1P/Sales (x) 19.0 22.8 9.9Div yield* (%) 0.8 1.8 6.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 11.35MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 17.80Free float (%)Free float 50.12Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders %)10080604020-Al Rajhi (RHS)Sulaiman Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 24.6Saleh Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 13.8General Organization for Social9.9Insurance (GOSI)Abdullah Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 5.9Source: NCBC ResearchAl Rajhi Bank (Al Rajhi), <strong>the</strong> third largest bank in Saudi Arabia in term of assets,was established in 1976. The bank is a full-fledged Islamic bank and offers Shariah<strong>com</strong>pliantbanking and investment products. It operates 19 branches in Malaysiaand has wholly owned subsidiaries in UK, British Virgin Islands and Jersey.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Sp. Com In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 5,677 6,843 7,722 8,494 10.0 14.4Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 7,751 9,510 9,321 10,575 13.5 10.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 5,633 7,302 6,450 6,525 1.2 5.0Assets SRmn 95,038 105,209 124,887 164,930 32.1 20.2Equity SRmn 12,878 20,180 23,606 27,032 14.5 28.0Investments SRmn 80,329 89,563 104,875 144,004 37.3 21.5Total Deposits SRmn 75,835 79,356 95,349 130,074 36.4 19.7Net Interest Margin % 6.8 7.1 7.0 6.1 -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % 20.4 20.6 26.1 26.3 - -ROE % 52.6 44.2 29.5 25.8 - -ROA % 6.5 7.3 5.6 4.5 - -Div Payout* % 34.5 13.7 50.4 77.5 - -EPS SR 3.8 4.9 4.3 4.3 1.2 5.0BVPS SR 8.6 12.8 14.9 18.0 20.8 28.0Source: Company, NCBC Research* Gross dividend is used in div yield calculations for Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>rSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net IncRetail Banking 38.8 49.9 Saudi Arabia 74.1Corporate Banking 33.3 22.8 GCC & Mid East 21.3Treasury 28.0 24.8 Eur,NA & O<strong>the</strong>rs 1.3Investment Banking 0.0 2.6 South East Asia 3.3Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Al Rajhi offers Shariah-<strong>com</strong>pliant retail banking, corporate bankingand treasury services <strong>to</strong> its cus<strong>to</strong>mers. The bank’s investment banking, assetmanagement and brokerage businesses are managed by its subsidiary, <strong>the</strong> Al RajhiFinancial Services Company. It has a presence in Europe and plans <strong>to</strong> expandaggressively in South East Asian and Chinese Islamic financing markets.• Financials: Al Rajhi’s investment portfolio grew 37.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR144.0 bn in 2008.The bank’s net interest margin, s<strong>to</strong>od at 6.1%, driven by 10.0% y-o-y growth in netspecial <strong>com</strong>mission in<strong>com</strong>e and low cost funding structure. Al Rajhi’s <strong>to</strong>tal operatingin<strong>com</strong>e grew 13.5% y-o-y in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> strong growth in net special <strong>com</strong>missionin<strong>com</strong>e. However, higher credit loss provisions during <strong>the</strong> period led <strong>to</strong> a sluggish1.2% y-o-y expansion in net in<strong>com</strong>e in 2008.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> bank announced a net profit ofSR1,732mn for 1Q-09, an increase of 8.1% y-o-y. In <strong>the</strong> same month, <strong>the</strong> bank wasawarded second banking license in Malaysia. In addition, Al Rajhi announced that i<strong>to</strong>pened six new branches in last 3 months, and that it is <strong>the</strong> first foreign Islamic bank<strong>to</strong> join <strong>the</strong> MEPS shared ATM Network. In Feb 2009, Al Rajhi Banking & InvestmentCorp., <strong>the</strong> overseas unit of Al Rajhi raised its paid-up capital <strong>to</strong> MYR1bn fromMYR600mn.JUNE 2009AL RAJHI BANK112


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESSamba FinancialAlso known asSAMBAPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR49.9SR44.9bn ($11, 992.0mn)900.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 86.5/38.2Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 22.23 5.9412m 35.87 9.58Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.99 0.68ReutersBloomberg1090.SESAMBA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (10) 25 (40)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www samba <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 16.1 22.5 10.4P/B (x) 5.5 6.1 2.3P/Sales (x) 19.5 21.8 9.1Div yield* (%) 2.6 1.6 3.5Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 5.57MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 9.32Free float (%)Free float 55.43Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000Jun-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10080604020-SAM BA (RHS)Public Investment Fund 22.9General Organization for SocialInsurance (GOSI)11.4Public Pension Authority (PPA) 10.2Ma'an Abdul Wahid Abdul Majeed Al 7.8SanaaSource: NCBC ResearchSamba Financial Group (Samba), <strong>the</strong> second largest bank in Saudi Arabia in termsof <strong>to</strong>tal assets, was incorporated in 1980 through <strong>the</strong> takeover of Citigroup’sbranches in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. The bank also operates in <strong>the</strong> UK, Pakistan and <strong>the</strong> UAEthrough its subsidiaries.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Sp. Com In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 3,508 4,301 4,944 5,061 2.4 13.0Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 5,828 7,273 7,196 7,012 (2.6) 6.4Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 4,018 5,210 4,808 4,454 (7.4) 3.5Assets SRmn 108,306 124,015 154,414 178,891 15.9 18.2Equity SRmn 12,906 15,300 17,845 19,846 11.2 15.4Advances SRmn 62,386 67,028 80,553 98,147 21.8 16.3Total Deposits SRmn 89,639 100,641 127,236 146,318 15.0 17.7Net Interest Margin % 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.2 - -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % 25.9 24.7 28.9 31.0 - -ROE % 34.9 36.9 29.0 23.6 - -ROA % 4.0 4.5 3.5 2.7 - -Div Payout* % 44.4 41.7 36.3 36.1 - -EPS SR 4.5 5.8 5.3 4.9 (7.4) 3.5BVPS SR 12.4 15.8 19.1 22.1 15.5 21.3Source: Company, NCBC Research * Gross dividend is used in div yield calculations for Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>rSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net IncRetail Banking 18.2 41.0 Saudi Arabia 84.2Corporate Banking 44.1 41.2 GCC & M.E 3.7Treasury 37.6 1.9 Europe 5.1Investment Banking 0.0 15.8 North America 5.8South East As 0.4O<strong>the</strong>r 0.7Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Samba’s core banking activities include retail banking, corporatebanking and treasury services. Samba Capital & Investment Management Co, <strong>the</strong>investment banking division, handles <strong>the</strong> asset management and brokerage servicesbusiness. The bank’s subsidiaries are Samba Fund Management, CrescentCommercial Bank Limited (68.4% stake) and Samba Real Estate Company.• Financials: Samba’s strong brand name, innovative product portfolio, and higherliquidity in Saudi Arabia enhanced its cus<strong>to</strong>mer deposits. Samba’s strong relationswith corporate clients resulted in <strong>the</strong> expansion of its credit portfolio by 21.8% y-o-y in2008. However, Net Special Commission In<strong>com</strong>e grew only 2.4% y-o-y in 2008primarily due <strong>to</strong> meager 0.5% y-o-y growth in <strong>to</strong>tal Special Commission In<strong>com</strong>e.Operating in<strong>com</strong>e declined due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> trading losses of SR623.1mn in 2008.• Recent developments: Samba’s net in<strong>com</strong>e increased 6% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR1.27bn for1Q-09. In March 2009, Samba launched ‘new generation’ online banking platform. InFebruary 2009, state-run Public Pension Agency bought 43.5mn shares for overSR1.6 bn, raising its stake in Samba <strong>to</strong> 15.1%. In December 2008, Fitch affirmed<strong>the</strong> bank’s Long-term IDR at ‘A+’ and downgraded Individual rating <strong>to</strong> 'B/C' from 'B'.JUNE 2009SAMBA FINANCIAL GROUP113


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESBanque Saudi FransiAlsoknown asBSFPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR43.0SR31.1bn ($8,303.9mn)723.2mn52 week range H/L (SR) 69.5/31.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 8.63 2.3112m 9.50 2.54Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.89 0.85ReutersBloomberg1050.SEBSFR ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (7) 19 (31)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www alfransi <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 15.5 24.0 9.0P/B (x) 5.0 5.8 1.8P/Sales (x) 23.1 28.4 9.0Div yield* (%) 1.6 1.6 3.1Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 3.80MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 54.66Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)80604020Saudi Fransi (RHS)Calyon Bank 31.1General Organization for SocialInsurance (GOSI)Rashid Al Abdul Rahman Al Rashid &SonsMohammed Ibrahim Mohammed AlEssaSource: NCBC Research-12.89.85.1Banque Saudi Fransi (BSF), an affiliate of Calyon of France, <strong>com</strong>menced operationsin December 1977 by taking over <strong>the</strong> branches of Banque Indosuez. The bank offersconventional and Islamic banking products through a network of 75 branches and274 ATMs in Saudi Arabia.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Sp. Com In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,706 2,017 2,296 2,821 22.8 18.3Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 3,094 3,939 3,701 4,406 19.0 12.5Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 2,216 3,007 2,711 2,806 3.5 8.2Assets SRmn 67,501 79,581 99,808 125,865 26.1 23.1Equity SRmn 7,185 9,405 11,241 14,069 25.2 25.1Advances SRmn 42,979 51,130 59,850 80,867 35.1 23.5Total Deposits SRmn 56,040 65,454 82,130 101,193 23.2 21.8Net Interest Margin % 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.6 - -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % 24.0 21.4 25.6 27.0 - -ROE % 33.4 36.3 26.3 22.2 - -ROA % 3.5 4.1 3.0 2.5 - -Div Payout* % 28.9 25.0 38.8 27.7 - -EPS SR 3.9 5.3 4.8 5.0 3.5 8.2BVPS SR 12.3 16.4 19.4 25.0 28.8 26.6Source: Company, NCBC Research* Gross dividend is used in div yield calculations for Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>rSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net IncRetail Banking 12.3 22.0 Saudi Arabia 91.1Corporate Banking 56.2 48.2 GCC & MENA 2.3Treasury 31.2 23.8 Eur & America 6.5O<strong>the</strong>r 0.2 6.0 Asia & o<strong>the</strong>rs 0.1Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: The bank’s core banking activities include retail banking, corporatebanking, and treasury services. BSF’s investment banking activities are conducted byCAAM Saudi Fransi (60.0% stake), Fransi Tadawul (99.0% stake), and Calyon SaudiFransi (45.0% stake). The bank also has an insurance JV with Allianz Group under<strong>the</strong> name Allianz Saudi Fransi Co. (32.5% stake). Sofinco Saudi Fransi managesBSF’s consumer finance activities. The bank also has a 27.0% stake in Syria-basedBanque BEMO Saudi Fransi.• Financials: BSF’s focus on corporate banking has enabled it <strong>to</strong> post 35.1% y-o-ygrowth in loan books in 2008. Net Special Commission In<strong>com</strong>e grew 22.8% y-o-y ledby 7.2% y-o-y growth in <strong>to</strong>tal Special Commission In<strong>com</strong>e and 6.3% y-o-y decline inSpecial Commission Expenses. However, net in<strong>com</strong>e grew marginally by 3.5% due <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> fall in fee based in<strong>com</strong>e and losses on investments amid weak market conditions.• Recent developments: In May 2009, BSF’s shareholders approved an increase inshare capital of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>to</strong> SYP3.75bn by issuing bonus and rights shares. InApril 2009, BSF announced net profit of SR741mn for 1Q-09, up 1.2% y-o-y. Thebank issued two bonus shares for seven held, increasing its paid-up capital <strong>to</strong>SR7.23bn in <strong>the</strong> same month. In December 2008, Fitch downgraded <strong>the</strong> bank’sIndividual rating <strong>to</strong> 'B/C' from 'B' and affirmed Long-term IDR rating at 'A'.JUNE 2009BANQUE SAUDI FRANSI114


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESArab National BankAlso known asANBPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR45.4SR29.5bn ($7,879.8mn)650.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 70.0/25.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 10.78 2.8812m 10.54 2.81Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.38 0.97ReutersBloomberg1080.SEARNB ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (1) 74 (27)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www anb.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 14.2 22.4 8.2P/B (x) 4.4 5.2 1.6P/Sales (x) 14.1 19.0 6.0Div yield* (%) 1.1 0.0 3.6Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 3.24MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 49.10Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)80604020Arab National (RHS)Arab Bank 40.0General Organization for Social 10.8Insurance (GOSI)Rashid Al Abdul Rahman Al Rashid & 9.9SonsAl Jabar Commercial Co. 5.6Source: NCBC Research-Arab National Bank (ANB), <strong>com</strong>menced operation in KSA in 1980 after <strong>the</strong> takeoverof Arab Bank PLC. It has a network of 131 branches and 842 ATMs, and operatesone branch in London. The bank holds 100.0% stake in Arab National InvestmentCo. and 20.0% stake in Saudi Travellers Cheque Co.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Sp. Com In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 2,189 2,525 2,904 3,354 15.5 15.3Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 3,142 3,855 3,956 4,128 4.3 9.5Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,828 2,505 2,461 2,486 1.0 10.8Assets SRmn 67,492 78,035 94,468 121,307 28.4 21.6Equity SRmn 6,062 7,980 10,525 12,671 20.4 27.9Advances SRmn 38,779 49,747 61,122 74,662 22.2 24.4Total Deposits SRmn 57,209 64,872 78,139 103,253 32.1 21.8Net Interest Margin % 3.4 3.6 3.5 3.2 - -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % 33.9 32.9 36.1 38.3 - -ROE % 33.7 35.7 26.6 21.4 - -ROA % 2.8 3.4 2.9 2.3 - -Div Payout* % 30.0 15.5 - 29.4 - -EPS SR 2.8 3.9 3.8 3.8 1.0 10.8BVPS SR 9.3 12.3 16.2 19.5 20.4 27.9Source: Company, NCBC Research * Gross dividend is used in div yield calculations for Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>rSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net IncRetail Banking 20.9 45.4 Saudi Arabia 95.6Corporate Banking 43.6 36.4 GCC & MENA 0.7Treasury 34.4 6.5 Eur & America 3.6Investment banking and O<strong>the</strong>r 1.0 11.7 Asia & o<strong>the</strong>rs 0.2Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Apart from core banking activities, ANB also offers investmentbanking, housing finance and heavy equipment leasing services through itssubsidiaries. ANIC handles investment-banking operations while SHL deals withhousing finance. ANB has also formed joint ventures with Ejara and a Dubai-based<strong>com</strong>pany for leasing equipment and plans <strong>to</strong> enter <strong>the</strong> insurance market with AIG.• Financials: ANB’s loan portfolio expanded 22.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR74.7bn in 2008. Thebank’s cus<strong>to</strong>mer deposits also recorded a significant 32.1% y-o-y expansion in <strong>the</strong>same period. Net Special Commission In<strong>com</strong>e grew 15.5% y-o-y from SR2.9bn in2007 <strong>to</strong> SR3.4bn in 2008, mainly due <strong>to</strong> 9.0% y-o-y fall in <strong>the</strong> Special CommissionExpenses. However, growth in operating in<strong>com</strong>e was lower due <strong>to</strong> investment lossesworth SR424.2mn in 2008. This coupled with higher depreciation charges causedmeager 1.0% rise in <strong>the</strong> bank’s net in<strong>com</strong>e in 2008.• Recent developments: In April 2009, ANB <strong>report</strong>ed a 3.4% y-o-y increase in netprofit <strong>to</strong> SR695mn for 1Q-09. In December 2008, Fitch affirmed <strong>the</strong> bank’s Long-termIDR rating at 'A' and downgraded <strong>the</strong> Individual rating <strong>to</strong> 'B/C' from 'B'. In September2008, SEI announced partnership with ANB Invest, a subsidiary of Arab NationalBank <strong>to</strong> provide investment solutions <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> inves<strong>to</strong>rs in Saudi Arabia.JUNE 2009ARAB NATIONAL BANK115


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESAlinma BankAlso known asDevelopment BankPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR13.4SR20.0bn ($5,347.1mn)1,500.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 21.0/10.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 441.85 117.999m 595.71 159.07Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.66 0.73ReutersBloomberg1150.SEALINMA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 9MAbsolute (%) 14 23 (20)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www alinma.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NA 42.7P/B (x) NA NA 1.1P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA 0.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 3.13MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 69.93Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)2015105-Alinma (RHS)Public Investment Fund 10.0General Organization for Social 10.0Insurance (GOSI)Public Pension Authority (PPA) 10.0Alinma Bank (Alinma), was established in March 2006 in accordance with a RoyalDecree with a share capital of SR15 bn. The bank plans <strong>to</strong> offer retail and corporatebanking services in accordance with Shariah-<strong>com</strong>pliant principles and is expected<strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>mence operations in 2Q-09.Company financials2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Interest In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn NM - -Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 823 - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 390 - -Assets SRmn 15,556 - -Equity SRmn 15,390 - -Advances SRmn 0.0 - -Deposits SRmn 0.0 - -Net Interest Margin % NM - -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % NM - -ROE % 2.53 - -ROA % 2.51 - -Div Payout % 0.0 - -EPS SR 0.26 - -BVPS SR 10.3 - -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008Source: Company, NCBC Research%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net Inc• Business brief: Alinma would be a full-fledged Islamic bank providing all <strong>the</strong> regularproducts and services associated with a <strong>com</strong>mercial bank. The bank plans <strong>to</strong> offersolutions related <strong>to</strong> financing projects through Ijara and Istisna contracts, short-termfinance, Murabah and Musharaka programs, and treasury services.• Financials: Alinma is expected <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>mence core operations from Q2 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany realized in<strong>com</strong>e from investment worth SR338.7mn, which drove its netin<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR390.0mn in 2008.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced 1Q-09 net profit ofSR109mn and that Alinma Investment Co. is <strong>to</strong> start <strong>the</strong> operations with a paid upcapital of SR250mn. In January 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced its plans <strong>to</strong><strong>com</strong>mence core operations in mid-2009 through 15 branches. The bank alsoannounced <strong>the</strong> plans <strong>to</strong> establish an investment <strong>com</strong>pany with a capital of SR1bn. InJune 2008, <strong>the</strong> bank’s s<strong>to</strong>ck debuted on <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange (Tadawul).Alinma had offered 70% stake or 1.5 bn shares through IPO in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom, having aface value of SR10, in April 2008. Moreover, in April 2008, Alinma signed anagreement with Saudi Computer Company Ltd. <strong>to</strong> design and deploy bankinginformation technology (IT) systems utilizing IBM’s expertise.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009ALINMA BANK116


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESRiyad BankAlso known asRIBLPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR24.0SR36.0bn ($9,612.8mn)1,500.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 41.3/18.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 22.75 6.0712m 23.91 6.39Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.63 0.79ReutersBloomberg1010.SERIBL ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (5) 21 (40)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www riyadbank.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 13.9 19.7 12.1P/B (x) 3.4 4.5 1.2P/Sales (x) 13.8 18.2 8.1Div yield* (%) 5.1 3.5 6.9Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 3.06MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap)Free float (%)Free float 38.04Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-R BL (RHS)Public Investment Fund 21.7General Organization for SocialInsurance (GOSI)21.6Mohd Ibrahim Mohammed Al Essa 10.1Al Nahla Commercial & Real Estate Co. 9.9SAMA 6.5Source: NCBC ResearchRiyad Bank (RIBL) is Saudi Arabia’s fourth largest listed bank, in terms of assetsize,with a market share of about 12.3%. Established in 1957, RIBL has a network of201 branches and 1900 multi-functions ATM’s. It also has international presencewith a branch in London, an agency in Hous<strong>to</strong>n, and an office in Singapore.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Sp. Com In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 2,672 2,926 3,266 3,947 20.8 13.9Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 4,195 4,886 5,168 5,248 1.6 7.8Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 2,837 2,909 3,011 2,639 (12.4) (2.4)Assets SRmn 80,079 94,016 121,351 159,653 31.6 25.9Equity SRmn 10,891 11,992 13,187 25,691 94.8 33.1Advances SRmn 45,606 52,183 67,340 96,430 43.2 28.4Total Deposits SRmn 65,892 77,359 102,130 126,269 23.6 24.2Net Interest Margin % 3.6 3.5 3.2 2.9 - -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % 34.0 33.0 35.0 41.0 - -ROE % 28.5 25.4 23.9 13.6 - -ROA % 3.7 3.3 2.8 1.9 - -Div Payout* % 58.8 71.2 68.9 82.7 - -EPS SR 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.8 (12.4) (2.4)BVPS SR 6.7 7.3 8.1 17.1 112.1 36.9Source: Company, NCBC Research* Gross dividend is used in div yield calculations for Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>rSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net IncRetail Banking 10.4 31.7 Saudi Arabia 87.3Investment and Brokerage 0.0 8.6 GCC & MENA 3.9Corporate Banking 51.4 69.9 Eur & America 8.4Treasury and Investment 37.7 (1.1) Asia & o<strong>the</strong>rs 0.4O<strong>the</strong>r 0.6 (9.1)Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: RIBL performs core-banking activities such as retail banking,corporate banking and treasury services. The bank offers a range of conventional andIslamic banking products <strong>to</strong> its cus<strong>to</strong>mers. RIBL also operates a wholly ownedinvestment banking subsidiary—Riyad Capital through which it provides assetmanagement, wealth management, corporate finance, and brokerage services.• Financials: RIBL <strong>report</strong>ed 43.2% y-o-y expansion in its credit portfolio in 2008 drivenby <strong>the</strong> robust demand for corporate credit in <strong>the</strong> country. As a result, net special<strong>com</strong>mission in<strong>com</strong>e grew 20.8% y-o-y. However, due <strong>to</strong> losses in trading activities,RIBL recorded a sluggish 1.6% y-o-y growth in <strong>to</strong>tal operating in<strong>com</strong>e. Higheroperating expenses, credit loss provisions and provisions for impaired assets dented<strong>the</strong> bank’s bot<strong>to</strong>m line in 2008.• Recent developments: RIBL’s 1Q-09 net profit declined 36.2% <strong>to</strong> SR441 mn due <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> decrease in its investments' values as a result <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> global economic crisis. RIBLsigned an agreement with UK based Royal & Sun Alliance in January 2009 <strong>to</strong> set upa joint venture– The Global Company for Cooperative Insurance with a paid upcapital of SR200 mn. In December 2008, Fitch affirmed Long-term IDR and Seniorunsecured debt at ‘A+’ and downgraded Individual rating <strong>to</strong> 'B/C' from 'B’.JUNE 2009RIYAD BANK117


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESSABBAlso known asThe Saudi British BankPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR50.8SR38.1bn ($10,163.6mn)750.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 78.5/36.4Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 9.04 2.4112m 6.55 1.75Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.65 0.86ReutersBloomberg1060.SESABB ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (10) 10 (45)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www sabb.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 14.8 21.0 11.5P/B (x) 4.7 5.1 2.8P/Sales (x) 17.1 17.5 10.1Div yield* (%) 3.3 2.7 1.8Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 2.80MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 32.85Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)15010050-SABB (RHS)HSBC Holdings Co. 39.9Al Olayan Saudi Investment Co. 16.9General Organization for Social 9.5Insurance (GOSI)Source: NCBC ResearchSABB (earlier The Saudi British Bank) is an affiliate of HSBC Group. The bank<strong>com</strong>menced operations in 1978 and offers conventional and Islamic products under<strong>the</strong> brand name SABB AMANAH. SABB operates 68 branches and 452 ATMs, twoseparate subsidiaries for investment banking and also offers insurance services.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Sp. Com In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,974 2,584 3,059 3,207 4.9 17.6Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 3,820 4,617 4,374 4,825 10.3 8.1Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 2,504 2,988 2,549 2,812 10.3 3.9Assets SRmn 65,928 77,189 98,213 131,661 34.1 25.9Equity SRmn 7,493 9,405 10,425 11,634 11.6 15.8Advances SRmn 40,847 42,450 62,001 80,237 29.4 25.2Total Deposits SRmn 52,584 61,430 79,893 108,747 36.1 27.4Net Interest Margin % 3.3 3.7 3.6 2.9 - -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % 31.6 30.4 32.7 34.0 - -ROE % 37.4 35.4 25.7 25.5 - -ROA % 4.0 4.2 2.9 2.4 - -Div Payout* % 32.5 50.2 57.5 20.5 - -EPS SR 4.2 5.1 4.3 4.7 7.9 3.9BVPS SR 11.5 14.1 15.9 19.4 21.8 19.0Source: Company, NCBC Research * Gross dividend is used in div yield calculations for Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>rSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net IncRetail Banking 18.3 17.3 Saudi Arabia 91.8Corporate Banking 44.4 51.2 Middle East 2.4Treasury 37.2 17.6 Europe 2.4Investment Banking 0.0 10.1 North America 3.4O<strong>the</strong>rs 0.1 3.7 O<strong>the</strong>r 0.1Source: NCBC Research, Reuters* Gross dividend is used in div yield calculations for Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>r• Business brief: SABB offers retail banking, corporate banking and treasury services.The bank also provides investment banking solutions through HSBC Saudi ArabiaLtd. (40.0% stake) which specializes in asset management and corporate financeservices. SABB offers brokerage and securities services through SABB Securities(100.0% stake) and Shariah <strong>com</strong>pliant insurance products through SABB Takaful(32.5% stake).• Financials: SABB enhanced its core banking activities over <strong>the</strong> years capitalizing onits established brand name, affiliation with HSBC, strong corporate relations and awide range of Islamic product offerings. The bank <strong>report</strong>ed a 29.4% y-o-y growth inloans. However, growth in Net Special Commission In<strong>com</strong>e was constrained due <strong>to</strong>23.0% y-o-y increase in Special Commission Expenses.• Recent developments: In May 2009, Standard & Poor's affirmed its strong rating ofSABB. In April 2009, SABB announced a 0.4% y-o-y growth in its 1Q-09 net profit <strong>to</strong>SR760mn. The bank raised its paid-up capital by 25% <strong>to</strong> SR7.5bn through <strong>the</strong>issuance of 1:4 bonus shares in March. In December 2008, Fitch affirmed <strong>the</strong> bank’sLong-term IDR rating and Senior unsecured debt rating at ‘A.JUNE 2009SABB118


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESSaudi Investment BkAlsoknown asSAIBPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR21.9SR9.9bn ($2,631.5mn)450.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 35.5/14.1Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 4.39 1.1712m 6.22 1.66Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.85 0.90ReutersBloomberg1030.SESIBC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 0 44 (36)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www saib.<strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 10.6 27.9 14.1P/B (x) 3.5 3.4 1.1P/Sales (x) 20.7 21.8 7.3Div yield* (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.35MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 1.34Free float (%)Free float 61.17Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)40302010-S BC (RHS)General Organization for Social 21.5Insurance (GOSI)Public Pension Authority (PPA) 17.3Saudi Oger Ltd. 8.5JPMorgan Chase Co. 7.4National Commercial Bank (NCB) 7.3Source: NCBC ResearchThe Saudi Investment Bank (SAIB) was established in 1976 in Riyadh <strong>to</strong> providemedium term finance <strong>to</strong> local <strong>com</strong>panies for industrial projects. In 1983, <strong>the</strong> bankamended its charter <strong>to</strong> carry out <strong>com</strong>mercial banking activities under <strong>the</strong> nameSAIB. SAIB has a network of 33 branches and 247 ATMs.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-07)Net Sp. Com In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 786 1,031 1,056 1,026 (2.8) 9.3Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,516 2,556 1,403 1,938 38.1 8.5Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,064 2,006 822 530 (35.5) (20.7)Assets SRmn 39,581 40,845 46,542 53,596 15.2 10.6Equity SRmn 5,307 6,001 6,770 6,609 (2.4) 7.6Advances SRmn 19,794 20,691 23,129 29,556 27.8 14.3Total Deposits SRmn 31,849 32,378 37,280 45,911 23.2 13.0Net Interest Margin % 2.3 2.6 2.5 2.1 - -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % 23.2 17.7 29.6 21.2 - -ROE % 23.9 35.5 12.9 8.0 - -ROA % 3.1 5.0 1.9 1.0 - -Div Payout* % 12.2 - - - - -EPS SR 2.4 4.5 1.8 1.2 (33.3) (20.6)BVPS SR 11.5 13.3 15.0 14.7 (2.0) 8.5Source: Company, NCBC Research * Gross dividend is used in div yield calculations for Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>rSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net IncRetail Banking 23.6 64.1 Saudi Arabia 91.5Corporate Banking 36.9 103.5 GCC/MENA 0.6Treasury & Capital Market 39.5 (95.8) Eur & America 7.9Investment Services & Brokerage 0.1 28.2 Asia & o<strong>the</strong>rs 0.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SAIB’s provides personal banking, corporate banking, investmentbanking, Islamic banking, and treasury services <strong>to</strong> its cus<strong>to</strong>mers. The bank’s servicesinclude local & international share trading, retail lending, Murabaha finance, AmericanExpress cards and Orix leasing services. SAIB established <strong>the</strong> SAIB AssetManagement Company in November 2007 <strong>to</strong> carry out conventional and Islamicasset management service.• Financials: SAIB recorded 27.8% y-o-y growth in its lending portfolio in 2008 due <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> massive investment boom prevailing in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom, especially during <strong>the</strong> firsthalf of 2008. The bank also recorded a robust growth of 23.2% y-o-y in deposits in<strong>the</strong> same period. Operating in<strong>com</strong>e grew 38.1% y-o-y in 2008; however, net in<strong>com</strong>edeclined 35.5% due <strong>to</strong> higher provision charges.• Recent developments: In April 2009, SAIB announced that its 1Q-09 net profitdeclined 6.6% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR241mn due <strong>to</strong> lower fees on banking activities. InDecember 2008, Fitch affirmed <strong>the</strong> bank’s Long-term IDR rating at ‘A-‘anddowngraded Individual rating <strong>to</strong> ‘C’ from ‘B/C’. In August 2008, BNP Paribas AssetManagement got approval <strong>to</strong> acquire 25.0% stake in <strong>the</strong> bank’s unit- SAIB AssetManagement.JUNE 2009SAUDI INVESTMENT BANK119


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESBank Al JaziraAlso known asBAJPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR21.6SR6.5bn ($1,730.3mn)300.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 41.0/13.3Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 15.96 4.2612m 18.29 4.88Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.15 1.12ReutersBloomberg1020.SEBJAZ ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 1 49 (46)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www baj.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 7.5 18.3 20.3P/B (x) 3.5 2.2 1.0P/Sales (x) 30.9 24.8 7.2Div yield* (%) 1.9 0.9 3.3Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.07MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 1.64Free float (%)Free float 73.63Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-BJAZ (RHS)Rashed Al Abdul Rahman Al Rashid 22.2and Sons CompanyAl Okhoah Union for development 6.5National Pakistani Bank 5.8Saleh Abdullah Mohammed Kamal 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchBank Aljazira (BJAZ) specializes in Islamic banking and investment products inSaudi Arabia. BJAZ was established in 1975, following <strong>the</strong> takeover of <strong>the</strong> SaudiArabian branches of National Bank of Pakistan. Headquartered at Jeddah, <strong>the</strong> bankoperates a network of 24 branches and 314 ATMs across KSA.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-07)Net Sp. Com In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 276 477 595 631 6.1 31.7Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,319 2,615 1,447 1,137 (21.4) (4.8)Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 874 1,974 805 222 (72.4) (36.7)Assets SRmn 14,169 15,713 21,564 27,520 27.6 24.8Equity SRmn 2,670 4,194 4,698 4,637 (1.3) 20.2Advances SRmn 6,911 6,271 9,879 15,133 53.2 29.9Total Deposits SRmn 10,973 11,091 16,364 22,267 27.7 26.6Net Interest Margin % 2.3 3.4 3.4 2.7 - -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % 24.7 24.0 46.2 69.6 - -ROE % 41.6 57.5 14.7 4.8 - -ROA % 7.0 13.2 4.3 0.8 - -Div Payout* % 7.7 13.9 16.8 67.5 - -EPS SR 2.9 6.6 2.7 0.7 (72.6) (37.7)BVPS SR 8.7 13.1 22.1 15.5 (30.0) 21.2Source: Company, NCBC Research * Gross dividend is used in div yield calculations for Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>rSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net IncRetail sec<strong>to</strong>r 9.3 10.7Corporate Sec<strong>to</strong>r 47.7 118.0Brokerage 2.0 41.5Treasury Sec<strong>to</strong>r 41.1 (70.2)Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: BJAZ offers Shariah-<strong>com</strong>pliant retail banking, corporate banking,and treasury services. The bank conducts its investment banking business through itssubsidiary AJC. The insurance business is managed by ATATC, which was also <strong>the</strong>first financial institution <strong>to</strong> launch an authorized Islamic life insurance program inSaudi Arabia.• Financials: BJAZ’s credit portfolio expanded 53.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR15.1bn in 2008.However, <strong>the</strong> banks net special <strong>com</strong>mission in<strong>com</strong>e grew only 6.1% y-o-y during2008, mainly due <strong>to</strong> 53.9% y-o-y growth in <strong>the</strong> special <strong>com</strong>mission expenses.Moreover, sluggish s<strong>to</strong>ck market conditions led <strong>to</strong> a 23.0% y-o-y decline in feein<strong>com</strong>eand investment and trading loss of SR68.4mn. This led <strong>to</strong> a 21.4% y-o-y fallin <strong>to</strong>tal operating in<strong>com</strong>e in 2008. BJAZ also witnessed higher operating expensesduring 2008 (up 18.0% y-o-y), which led <strong>to</strong> a 72.4% y-o-y fall in net in<strong>com</strong>e.• Recent developments: In April 2009, BJAZ obtained "ISO 9001" InternationalCertificate of Quality as <strong>the</strong> first fully Shari'ah <strong>com</strong>pliant bank in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom of SaudiArabia. The bank recorded a 33.3% year on year decline in 1Q 09 net profit <strong>to</strong> SR102mn. In December 2008, Fitch affirmed bank’s Long-term IDR rating at ‘A-‘ andIndividual rating at ‘C’. In April 2008, BJAZ raised its share capital <strong>to</strong> SR3.0bn fromSR2.25bn, through <strong>the</strong> issue of bonus shares.JUNE 2009BANK ALJAZIRA120


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESSaudi Hollandi BankAlsoknown asSHBPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009SR39.6Saudi Hollandi Bank (SHB), headquartered in Riyadh, was established in 1977 by<strong>the</strong> conversion of Algemene Bank Nederland (ABN) in<strong>to</strong> a JV bank. At present, <strong>the</strong>Mkt capSh. outstandingSR13.1bn ($3,497.4mn)330.8mnRBS led consortium holds a 39.9% stake in <strong>the</strong> bank. SHB offers both conventionaland Islamic products through a network of 43 branches and 169 ATMs across KSA.Key statisticsCompany financials52 week range H/L (SR) 52.0/25.2Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 3.58 0.9512m 2.77 0.74Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.50 0.86ReutersBloomberg1040.SEAAAL ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (14) 23 (34)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www shb.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 17.5 37.7 8.6P/B (x) 3.9 3.6 1.9P/Sales (x) 14.2 13.8 7.3Div yield* (%) 1.2 1.3 2.2Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.86MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 29.35Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,00080604020M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISaudi Hollandi (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)ABN Amro Co. 39.9Al Olayan Saudi Investment Co. 20.8General Organization for Social 9.6Insurance (GOSI)Source: NCBC Research-2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Sp. Com In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,014 1,180 1,200 1,445 20.4 12.6Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,718 1,947 1,776 2,111 18.9 7.1Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,052 953 439 1,224 179.0 5.2Assets SRmn 39,958 46,740 50,411 61,436 21.9 15.4Equity SRmn 3,467 4,258 4,547 5,715 25.7 18.1Advances SRmn 23,777 26,480 27,555 38,017 38.0 16.9Total Deposits SRmn 34,362 40,712 43,763 52,299 19.5 15.0Net Interest Margin % 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.7 - -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % 33.0 33.1 47.4 38.4 - -ROE % 33.1 24.7 10.0 23.9 - -ROA % 2.9 2.2 0.9 2.2 - -Div Payout* % 38.5 20.5 48.5 19.1 - -EPS SR 4.0 3.6 1.7 4.6 179.0 5.2BVPS SR 13.1 16.1 17.2 21.6 25.7 18.1Source: Company, NCBC Research* Gross dividend is used in div yield calculations for Saudi banking sec<strong>to</strong>rSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net IncRetail Banking 7.8 10.5 Saudi Arabia 97.5Corporate Banking 57.8 70.1 O<strong>the</strong>r GCC 1.7Treasury 34.4 17.1 Europe 0.5Investment Banking 0.0 2.3 O<strong>the</strong>r 0.2Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SHB’s core baking activities include retail banking, corporatebanking, and treasury services. The bank offers Van Gogh preferred bankingservices, such as domestic & international share trading services and mutual fundportfolios, <strong>to</strong> HNIs under its wealth management segment. In September 2007, SHBestablished a wholly owned subsidiary Saudi Hollandi Capital Company <strong>to</strong> offerinvestment-banking solutions.• Financials: SHB recorded 38.0% y-o-y expansion in its credit portfolio in 2008. Netspecial <strong>com</strong>mission in<strong>com</strong>e grew 20.4% y-o-y in 2008 mainly due <strong>to</strong> 10.1% y-o-ydecline in <strong>the</strong> Special Commission Expenses. The banks fee-based in<strong>com</strong>e, mainlyassociated with trade finance and o<strong>the</strong>r services, also recorded a healthy 46.2% y-o-ygrowth during <strong>the</strong> same period. SHB’s aggressive clean-up activities in 2008 led <strong>to</strong>reduced provision for credit loss provisioning in 2008, leading <strong>to</strong> a strong 179.0% y-o-y growth in net in<strong>com</strong>e.• Recent developments: SHB’s net profit increased 0.7% year on year <strong>to</strong> SR284.4 mnIn March 2009, SHB increased its paid-up capital by 25% <strong>to</strong> SR3.31bn throughissuance of bonus shares. In December 2008, Fitch affirmed <strong>the</strong> bank’s Long-termIDR rating at ‘A-‘and downgraded <strong>the</strong> Individual rating <strong>to</strong> 'C' from 'B/C’.JUNE 2009SAUDI HOLLANDI BANK121


BANKS AND FINANCIAL SERVICESBank AlBiladAlso known asAlBiladPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsJUNE 2009SR23.6SR7.1bn ($1,890.5mn)300.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 43.5/17.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 15.76 4.2112m 19.47 5.20Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.14 0.20ReutersBloomberg1140.SEALBI ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 4 13 (38)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (3) 32 (31)Website: www bankalbilad <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 67.0 166.6 67.1P/B (x) 3.9 3.9 2.6P/Sales (x) 33.2 22.6 14.5Div yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.79MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 6.42Free float (%)Free float 50.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-AL Bilad (RHS)Mohammed Ibrahim Mohammed Al 11.9SubaeiAbdullah Ibrahim Mohammed Al 11.1SubaeiFirst Investment Company 7.2Abdul Rahman Saleh Abdul Aziz Al 6.9RajhiAbdul Rahman Abdul Aziz Saleh Al 6.5RajhiSource: NCBC ResearchBank AlBilad (AlBilad), headquartered in Riyadh, was established in 2004 by amerger of eight money-exchange organizations. AlBilad’s wholly ownedsubsidiaries are AlBilad Brokerage & Securities Management Co., AlBiladInvestment Co. and AlBilad Real Estate Co.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Sp. Com In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 109 359 534 578 8.2 74.3Operating In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 171 655 779 875 12.3 72.5Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (98) 178 73 125 72.6 NMAssets SRmn 7,005 11,281 16,636 16,052 (3.5) 31.8Equity SRmn 2,899 3,024 3,104 3,213 3.5 3.5Investments SRmn 5,212 9,825 13,599 10,157 (25.3) 24.9Total Deposits SRmn 3,916 7,858 12,689 12,435 (2.0) 47.0Net Interest Margin % 3.3 4.2 4.1 3.8 - -Cost/In<strong>com</strong>e % 106.6 71.7 82.3 76.0 - -ROE % (6.8) 6.0 2.4 4.0 - -ROA % (1.4) 1.9 0.5 0.8 - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR (0.3) 0.6 0.2 0.4 72.6 NMBVPS SR 9.4 9.2 9.9 10.7 8.2 4.3Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Assets % Net Inc Breakup %Assets % Net IncIndividuals 13.9 13.2 Saudi Arabia 93.7Companies and Main Clients 44.5 111.1 GCC and MENA 5.4Treasury 12.9 (27.2) Europe 0.2Transfer, Inv Services & O<strong>the</strong>rs 28.8 2.9 Asia and o<strong>the</strong>r 0.7Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: AlBilad’s consumer services segment includes, AlBilad Net, AlBiladTadawul, AlBilad 24, local share investment, and credit cards. The corporate servicessegment offers a range of finance solutions such as Murabaha, Musharaka, Istisna’aand securitization finance. The investment-banking segment offers services such asAkar, Amwal, Asayel, Al-Murabih, and Al-Seef.• Financials: AlBilad’s investment portfolio declined 25.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR10.2bn in 2008.However, <strong>the</strong> net special <strong>com</strong>mission in<strong>com</strong>e managed <strong>to</strong> expand 8.2% y-o-y in2008. The bank also witnessed growth in fee-based in<strong>com</strong>e during <strong>the</strong> same period,which led <strong>to</strong> 12.3% y-o-y growth in <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal operating in<strong>com</strong>e. Higher operatingin<strong>com</strong>e coupled with reduced o<strong>the</strong>r G&A expenses led <strong>to</strong> a stronger rise in netin<strong>com</strong>e.• Recent developments: In April 2009, Albilad announced a decline of 56% y-o-y in itsnet in<strong>com</strong>e for 1Q-09 <strong>to</strong> SR22.4mn. In June 2008, <strong>the</strong> bank’s investment arm-AlBilad Investment Co. signed an agreement with Saudi Integrated Tele<strong>com</strong>Company (SITC) <strong>to</strong> be<strong>com</strong>e <strong>the</strong> latter’s IPO manager, financial consultant andcoverage entrepreneur. In May 2008, Pakistan-based United Bank Limited (UBL) andAlBilad signed an agreement for Electronic Home Remittance Facility at <strong>the</strong> UBLHead Office in Karachi, Pakistan.BANK ALBILAD122


Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsSABIC 124 PetrochemicalsSAFCO 125 CementSaudi Kayan 126 RetailNational Industrial 127 Energy and UtilitiesSaudi Industrial Investment 128 Agriculture and FoodSipchem 129 Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITRabigh Refining 130 InsuranceSahara Petrochemicals 131 Multi InvestmentYanbu National 132 Industrial InvestmentAdvanced Polypropylene 133 Building and ConstructionNama Chemicals 134 Real EstateAlujain Corporation 135 TransportationMethanol Chemicals 136 Media and PublishingHotels and Tourism


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESSaudi Basic IndustriesAlso knownasSABICPriceSR64.8Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt cap SR194.3bn ($51,869.2mn)Sh. outstanding3,000.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 153.3/33.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 754.24 201.4012m 681.72 182.04Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.87 1.13Reuters2010.SEBloombergSABIC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 37 77 (54)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www sabic.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 13.0 18.4 7.0P/B (x) 3.6 5.4 1.5P/Sales (x) 3.0 3.9 1.0Div yield (%) 3.8 1.8 5.8Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 9.99MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 30.73Free float (%)Free float 22.98Relative share price perf.11,0002009,0001507,0001005,000503,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISABIC (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Public Investment Fund 70.0Source: NCBC ResearchSABIC, established in 1976, is one of <strong>the</strong> leading petrochemical <strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong>world in terms of sales. The <strong>com</strong>pany produces basic chemicals-olefins, oxygenatesand aromatics-intermediates and polymers. SABIC also produces fertilizers (throughSAFCO, Ibn Al-Baytar, Al-Bayroni) and metals (through Hadeed, ALBA, GARMCO).Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 78,254 86,328 126,204 150,810 19.5 24.4EBITDA SRmn 35,701 37,005 48,653 46,643 (4.1) 9.3Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 19,160 20,294 27,022 22,030 (18.5) 4.8Assets SRmn 136,951 166,589 253,731 271,760 7.1 25.7Equity SRmn 62,341 72,883 91,154 102,933 12.9 18.2Total Debt SRmn 29,721 39,740 80,109 92,656 15.7 46.1Cash & Equiv SRmn 28,173 41,228 46,056 51,845 12.6 22.5EBITDA Mgn % 45.6 42.9 38.6 30.9 - -Net Mgn % 24.5 23.5 21.4 14.6 - -ROE % 33.8 30.0 32.9 22.7 - -ROA % 14.6 13.4 12.9 8.4 - -Div Payout % 48.0 49.3 33.3 40.9 - -EPS SR 47.9 8.1 9.0 7.3 (18.5) N/MBVPS SR 155.9 29.2 30.4 34.3 12.9 N/MSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008Petrochemicals 106.1 95.1Fertilizers 6.1 27.6Metals 9.8 22.8Corporate 4.5 101.0Eliminations (26.5) (146.4)Source: Company, NCBC Research%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net Inc• Business brief: SABIC has presence across <strong>the</strong> globe through its subsidiaries andassociates. It operates through its six interlinked divisions – Basic Chemicals,Intermediates, Polymers, Specialty Products, Fertilizers, and Metals. In 2008, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany’s <strong>to</strong>tal production s<strong>to</strong>od at 55mn metric <strong>to</strong>ns.• Financials: SABIC posted 19.5% y-o-y revenue growth in 2008 <strong>to</strong> reach SR150.8bn.However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>e declined by 18.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR22.0bn owing <strong>to</strong>reduced petrochemical demand and sharp fall in realizations.• Recent developments: In 1Q-09, SABIC <strong>report</strong>ed a loss of SR973.9mn (1Q08: netprofit of SR6.9bn) due <strong>to</strong> fall in petrochemical demand and prices coupled with agoodwill write-down of SR1.2bn. In May 2009, SABIC signed a MOU with Sipchem,under which SABIC will provide ethylene <strong>to</strong> Sipchem in return of carbon monoxidefrom <strong>the</strong> latter. In context, SABIC will build SR12bn worth of petrochemical projects inJubail. Under its restructuring initiatives, SABIC has laid off 1,600 jobs globally andhalted operations at high-cost facilities. Its subsidiary, YANSAB is set <strong>to</strong> beoperational in 2Q-09. SABIC-Sinopec 50:50 owned project producing 1mn <strong>to</strong>ns ofethylene derivatives annually in Tianjin (China) is set <strong>to</strong> start operations in Nov 2009.JUNE 2009SAUDI BASIC INDUSTRIES124


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESSaudi Arabia FertilizersAlsoknownasSAFCOPriceSR110.3Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR27.6bn ($7,359.8mn)Sh. outstanding250.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 272.5/63.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 58.04 15.5012m 126.32 33.73Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.04 1.09Reuters2020.SEBloombergSAFCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 3 22 (54)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www safco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 19.8 18.0 5.0P/B (x) 4.8 6.6 2.8P/Sales (x) 12.5 11.3 4.3Div yield (%) 4.8 2.5 14.5Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 2.46MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 7.36Free float (%)Free float 39.96Relative share price perf.11,0003009,0002007,0005,0001003,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISAFCO (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 42.9General Org. for Social Insurance 13.9Source: NCBC ResearchSaudi Arabia Fertilizers Company (SAFCO), established in 1965 is engaged inproducing ammonia and urea. The <strong>com</strong>pany markets its products in Asia, America,Australia, Africa and o<strong>the</strong>r middle-east countries apart from domestic market. SaudiBasic Industries Corp. (SABIC) holds 42.9% stake in SAFCO.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,824 1,831 3,516 5,243 49.1 42.2EBITDA SRmn 1,178 1,183 2,471 4,594 85.9 57.4Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,100 1,151 2,209 4,530 105.1 60.3Assets SRmn 6,207 6,674 8,153 9,850 20.8 16.6Equity SRmn 4,788 4,739 6,014 8,034 33.6 18.8Total Debt SRmn 695 1,240 975 826 (15.2) 5.9Cash & Equiv SRmn 304 594 1,572 3,918 149.2 134.4EBITDA Mgn % 64.6 64.6 70.3 87.6 - -Net Mgn % 60.3 62.9 62.8 86.4 - -ROE % 24.4 24.2 41.1 64.5 - -ROA % 19.2 17.9 29.8 50.3 - -Div Payout % 76.4 95.5 45.3 71.7 - -EPS SR 27.5 5.8 11.0 18.1 N/M N/MBVPS SR 119.7 23.7 30.1 32.1 N/M N/MSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncAmmonia & Urea 100 N/A Asia 34Melamine & Sulfuric Acid N/A N/A America 26Australia 21Saudi Arabia 13Africa/Middle East 6Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SAFCO has a urea production capacity over 2.27mn <strong>to</strong>ns per annum(tpa), majority of which is exported. Urea is a key material used in nitrogen fertilizersacross <strong>the</strong> globe. The <strong>com</strong>pany also manufactures 2.1mn tpa of ammonia as anintermediate raw material for producing urea. SAFCO has a sulphuric acid productioncapacity of 130,000 tpa. The <strong>com</strong>pany is also constructing SAFCO V, a new fertilizerplant in Jubail, which is expected <strong>to</strong> increase its urea capacity by 1.5mn tpa andammonia capacity by 1.2mn tpa in 2011.• Financials: In 2008, SAFCO <strong>report</strong>ed a robust year-on-year growth of 49.1% in its<strong>to</strong>p line <strong>to</strong> SR5,242.6mn benefiting from higher fertilizer prices during <strong>the</strong> year.Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, its net in<strong>com</strong>e grew 105.1% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR4,530.3mn.• Recent developments: SAFCO declared its 1Q-09 results on April 11, 2009. Netin<strong>com</strong>e declined 27.4% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR525.0mn in 1Q-09 due <strong>to</strong> lower fertilizer prizes. InAugust 2008, SAFCO s<strong>to</strong>pped production at its Dammam plant <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>ply with <strong>the</strong>Royal decree enforcing environmental regulations. In July 2008, SAFCO signed adeal with Hadeed (SABIC’s wholly owned subsidiary) <strong>to</strong> establish a steel plant with acapacity of 1.7mn tpa.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FERTIZERS CO125


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESSaudi Kayan Petro.Also known asSaudi KayanPriceSR13.2Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR19.7bn ($5,267.0mn)Sh. outstanding1,500.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 27.3/8.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 103.74 27.7012m 111.80 29.85Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.09 1.11Reuters2350.SEBloombergKAYAN ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 19 30 (48)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www saudikayan.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 2.5 0.9P/Sales (x) NA NM N/MDiv yield (%) NA NM NMSaudi Kayan Petrochemical Company (Kayan) was established by SABIC (35%stake) and Al Kayan Petrochemical (20%) in 2007 for setting up a petrochemical<strong>com</strong>plex, worth about SR38bn, in Jubail Industrial City. The plant has annualinstalled capacity of approximately 6mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of petrochemical products.Company financials2007 # 2008*YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 0 0 - -EBITDA SRmn (100) 0 - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 323 494 - -Assets SRmn 15,714 22,402 - -Equity SRmn 15,323 15,494 - -Total Debt SRmn 0 5,815 - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 10,765 3,522 - -EBITDA Mgn % - - - -Net Mgn % - - - -ROE % - - - -ROA % - - - -Div Payout % - - - -EPS SR 0.22 0.33 - -BVPS SR 10.2 10.3 - -Source: Company, NCBC Research* 2008 figures represents <strong>the</strong> financial performance for 19 months period ending Dec 31, 2008#2007 figures represents <strong>the</strong> financial performance for 6 months period ending Dec 31, 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.89MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 4.16Free float (%)Free float 42.81Relative share price perf.11,000309,000207,000105,0003,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIKayan (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Saudi Basic Industries Corporation 35.0Kayan Petrochemical Company 20.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: The <strong>com</strong>plex is believed <strong>to</strong> be <strong>the</strong> world's largest integratedpetrochemical <strong>com</strong>plex, involving manufacturing of specialized chemicals such aspolycarbonate, bisphenol A, ace<strong>to</strong>ne and ethanolamines apart from ethylene,polyethylene, propylene and ethylene glycols. Production is expected <strong>to</strong> begin by late2010. The engineering, procurement & construction work is 71% <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong> by 1Q-09.• Financials: Since Kayan is yet <strong>to</strong> start operations, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany has limited financialhis<strong>to</strong>ry. The <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a non-operational profit (from investments) ofSR494.1mn for 19 months period ending Dec 31, 2008.• Recent developments: Kayan declared its 1Q-09 results on April 15, 2009. Itrecorded a net loss of SR6.3mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a non-operational profit ofSR95.6mn in 1Q-08. The Board of Direc<strong>to</strong>rs appointed Mr. Taha Bin Abdullah AlKuwaiz in place of Mr. Ahmed Bin Omar Abdullatif <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> board on March 3, 2009. InDecember 2008, Kayan signed an USD533mn financing contract with Saudi IndustrialDevelopment Fund for <strong>the</strong> construction of its petrochemical <strong>com</strong>plex in Jubail. SaudiBasic Industries (SABIC) has also said that it would provide help in case of any gap infunding for this project.JUNE 2009SAUDI KAYAN PETROCHEMICAL126


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESNational IndustrialAlso known asNIC, TasneePricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR21.7SR10.0bn ($2,669.4mn)460.7mn52 week range H/L (SR) 42.8/10.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 20.75 5.5412m 27.39 7.31Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.29 1.41ReutersBloomberg2060.SENIC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 42 68 (45)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www nic.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NM 26.4 10.0P/B (x) 2.1 2.9 0.8P/Sales (x) NM 2.4 0.6Div yield (%) NM 2.0 6.8Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.76MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 4.18Free float (%)Free float 78.58Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)NIC (RHS)5040302010-Al Sha'er Trade, Industries and 12.3ConstructionGulf Investment Corporation 7.9Kingdom Holding Company 6.2Al Olayan Saudi Investment Co 6.1Swicorp Co. 5.8Source: NCBC ResearchNational Industrialization Company (Tasnee) was established in Riyadh in 1985 <strong>to</strong>support <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’s industrial. In 2007, Tasnee acquired LyondellBasell’sworldwide titanium business and in 2008, it purchased Australia's BemaxResources Ltd. and International Titanium Powder (ITP).Company financials2006* 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 3,241 7,227 10,037 38.9 -EBITDA SRmn 1,183 1,538 1,756 14.2 -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 693 661 601 (9.1) -Assets SRmn 10,357 24,237 30,423 25.5 -Equity SRmn 5,567 5,939 7,318 23.2 -Total Debt SRmn 2,568 12,175 16,103 32.3 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 1,401 2,230 3,614 62.1 -EBITDA Mgn % 36.5 21.3 17.5 - -Net Mgn % 21.4 9.1 6.0 - -ROE % - 11.5 9.1 - -ROA % - 3.8 2.2 - -Div Payout % 33.7 52.9 68.0 - -EPS SR 3.0 1.89 1.47 N/M -BVPS SR 23.9 17.0 15.9 N/M -Source: Company, NCBC Research* 2006 figures represents <strong>the</strong> financial performance for 9 months period ending Dec 31, 2006.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakdown %Rev % Net IncIndustrial 75.6 N/A Europe 27 N/APetrochemical 33.0 N/A GCC 25 N/AHead Office and o<strong>the</strong>rs 2.6 N/A Asia 21 N/AAdjustment (11.2) N/A America 19 N/AO<strong>the</strong>rs 8 N/ASource: Company NCBC Research• Business brief: Tasnee enjoys global presence with Europe contributing 27%, GCC- 25%, Asia - 21%, America - 19%, and O<strong>the</strong>rs - 8% <strong>to</strong> its 2007 revenues. Through itsaffiliates, TASNEE offer a wide range of products including polypropylene, titaniumdioxide, au<strong>to</strong>motive batteries, polycarbonate sheets, and car<strong>to</strong>n packaging. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s industrial services unit provides services such as waste management andquality inspection. In 2006, TASNEE, in a JV with Sahara Olefins and Basell, formedSaudi Ethylene and Polyethylene Co. (SEPC) with a capacity of 1mn <strong>to</strong>ns per annum(TPA) ethylene cracker, and 400,000 TPA of low and high density polyethylene each.• Financials: Revenues grew 38.9% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR10,037.1mn in 2008. However, <strong>the</strong> netin<strong>com</strong>e declined 9.1% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR600.9mn in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> an increase in <strong>the</strong> cost ofgoods sold, operating expenses as well as financial expenses.• Recent developments: Tasnee <strong>report</strong>ed a loss of SR25.8mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong>a profit of SR148.0mn a year ago. SEPC <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong>d experimental operations at itsethylene <strong>com</strong>plex in March 2009 and would be followed by <strong>com</strong>mercial productionshortly. In Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008, Cristal, Tasnee’s subsidiary, received <strong>the</strong> U.S. authority’sapproval for acquisition of ITP for SR412.5mn.JUNE 2009NATIONAL INDUSTRIALIZATION127


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESSaudi Industrial Invt.Alsoknown asSIIGPriceSR17.1Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR7.7bn ($2,054.7mn)Sh. outstanding450.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 43.3/9.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 17.69 4.7212m 39.68 10.60Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.15 1.17Reuters2250.SEBloombergSIIG ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 20 65 (54)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www.siig.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 13.6 34.6 92.7P/B (x) 2.7 4.8 0.9P/Sales (x) 5.1 10.4 2.1Div yield (%) 2.8 0.7 0.0Saudi Industrial Investment Group (SIIG) was established in 1996 in Riyadh. The<strong>com</strong>pany primarily focuses on investment opportunities in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom’spetrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>r. SIIG has entered in<strong>to</strong> a joint venture with Chevron Phillips. I<strong>to</strong>perates through two subsidiaries - Saudi Chevron Phillips and Jubail Chevron Phillips.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,159 1,574 1,459 2,139 46.6 22.7EBITDA SRmn 466 618 474 168 (64.6) (28.8)Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 415 587 437 49 (88.9) (51.0)Assets SRmn 3,201 4,421 4,964 8,646 74.2 39.3Equity SRmn 2,327 2,913 3,126 5,197 66.3 30.7Total Debt SRmn 629 1,091 1,372 2,731 99.1 63.1Cash & Equiv SRmn 469 603 749 2,703 260.9 79.3EBITDA Mgn % 40.2 39.3 32.5 7.9 - -Net Mgn % 35.8 37.3 30.0 2.3 - -ROE % 19.6 22.4 14.5 1.2 - -ROA % 15.8 15.4 9.3 0.7 - -Div Payout % - 38.3 25.7 0.0 - -EPS SR 11.5 2.6 1.9 0.11 N/M N/MBVPS SR 64.5 12.9 13.9 11.5 N/M N/MSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncIndustrial Development 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.52MSCI Saudi (domestic) 11.81Free float (%)Free float 88.53Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)SIIG (RHS)5040302010-Public Pension Authority 10.6Ali Abdullah Ibrahim Al Jufaly 6.3Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Saudi Chevron Phillips has an installed capacity of 1.2mn metric<strong>to</strong>nnes/year (MTA) and produces benzene, cyclohexane and mo<strong>to</strong>r gas. JubailChevron Phillips <strong>com</strong>menced operations in 2H-08. The facility produces styrene,propylene and mo<strong>to</strong>r gas. In 2007, SIIG entered in<strong>to</strong> a third joint venture (JV) withNational Chevron Phillips (Chevron) <strong>to</strong> manufacture adipic acid and nylon. Under thisJV, both <strong>com</strong>panies are setting up SR18.0bn petrochemical <strong>com</strong>plex, which isscheduled <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>mence operations by 2011.• Financials: In 2008, sales grew 46.6% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR2,139.0mn. However, net profitdeclined 88.9% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR48.8mn due <strong>to</strong> fall in petrochemical prices coupled with anincrease in <strong>the</strong> cost of goods sold, operating expenses and financial expenses.Consequently, net margin contracted <strong>to</strong> 2.3% in 2008 from 30.0% in 2007.• Recent developments: According <strong>to</strong> SIIG’s estimates, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany has incurred aloss of SR38.7mn in <strong>the</strong> first four months of 2009 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net profit ofSR193.0mn in <strong>the</strong> same period a year ago. In 1Q-09, SIIG <strong>report</strong>ed a loss ofSR50.5mn against a profit of SR137.4mn in 1Q-08. In December 2008, SIIG signedan agreement for SR3bn loan from <strong>the</strong> public Investment Fund for its third project. InJanuary 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany discontinued operations for 25 days at its Saudi ChevronPhillips (joint venture) facility due <strong>to</strong> maintenance purposes.JUNE 2009SAUDI INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENT GROUP128


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESSipchemAlso known asSIPCHEMPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR20.8SR6.9bn ($1,851.4mn)333.3mn52 week range H/L (SR) 46.5/12.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 28.83 7.7012m 35.99 9.61Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.07 1.13ReutersBloomberg2310.SESIPCHEM ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 17 32 (51)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www sipchem <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 13.4 20.9 9.6P/B (x) 2.7 4.1 1.0P/Sales (x) 4.9 8.1 3.0Div yield (%) 0.0 1.6 6.3Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.27MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 4.67Free float (%)Free float 82.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Sipchem (RHS)5040302010-Zamil Group Holding Company 10.2National Manufacturing Holding Co. 8.3Public Pension Agency 7.7Al Olayan Financial Company 6.3Source: NCBC ResearchSaudi International Petrochemical Company (Sipchem), established in 1999, was <strong>the</strong>first <strong>to</strong> set-up methanol and butanediol plants in KSA. The <strong>com</strong>pany invests inpetrochemical and chemical businesses and currently operates through its 2affiliates – International Methanol Co. (IMC) and International Diol Co. (IDC).Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 726 1,334 1,528 1,709 11.8 33.0EBITDA SRmn 539 956 1,091 1,151 5.5 28.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 325 494 594 537 (9.6) 18.2Assets SRmn 4,428 5,262 7,750 10,833 39.8 34.7Equity SRmn 1,912 2,406 2,997 4,965 65.7 37.5Total Debt SRmn 1,918 1,813 2,623 3,726 42.0 24.8Cash & Equiv SRmn 1,164 1,507 1,562 2,581 65.2 30.4EBITDA Mgn % 74.3 71.7 71.4 67.4 - -Net Mgn % 44.8 37.0 38.9 31.4 - -ROE % 24.5 22.9 22.0 13.5 - -ROA % 9.2 10.2 9.1 5.8 - -Div Payout % - - 33.7 60.2 - -EPS SR 10.83 3.29 2.97 1.66 N/M N/MBVPS SR 63.7 16.0 15.0 14.9 N/M N/MSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncPetrochemicals 100.0 Asia 57Europe 27Middle East 15US 1Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Sipchem, through its subsidiaries, has a wide geographical presencewith Asia accounting 57%, Europe-27%, Middle East-15% and US-1% of <strong>to</strong>tal sales.IMC produces close <strong>to</strong> 1mn tpa of methanol. IDC produces 75,000 tpa of butanediol.Sipchem is constructing an acetyl <strong>com</strong>plex <strong>com</strong>prising of a carbon monoxide plant,an acetic acid unit and a vinyl acetate monomer facility.• Financials: Sipchem’s revenues increased 11.8% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR1,708.6mn while netin<strong>com</strong>e plunged 9.6% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR536.8mn in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> fall in demand and pricerealizations during 4Q08. Net margin contracted 746 bps y-o-y <strong>to</strong> 31.4% in 2008.• Recent developments: Sipchem’s net profit fell 87% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR29.2mn in 1Q-09 due<strong>to</strong> demand retreat and fall in prices. In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany signed a contract withSaudi Basic Industries Cooperation (SABIC), under which <strong>the</strong> latter will provideethylene <strong>to</strong> Sipchem while it will provide carbon monoxide <strong>to</strong> SABIC. Sipchem plans <strong>to</strong>set up two plants (polyvinyl acetate and ethylene vinyl acetate) in Jubail at an initial cos<strong>to</strong>f SR3bn. In line with this, Sipchem entered in<strong>to</strong> an agreement with ExxonMobil <strong>to</strong> uselatter’s technology for <strong>the</strong> production of ethylene vinyl acetate. In February 2009,Sipchem secured loan of SR1.35bn from Saudi Public Investment fund for constructionof <strong>the</strong> Acetyl <strong>com</strong>plex in Jubail industrial city, which is expected <strong>to</strong> start in mid-2009.JUNE 2009SAUDI INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY129


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESRabigh RefiningAlso known asPetro RabighPriceSR29.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR25.4bn ($6,783.4mn)Sh. outstanding876.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 64.5/13.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 126.13 33.6812m 206.69 55.19Raw Beta 6m 1yr1.71 1.24Reuters2380.SEBloombergPETROR APrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 16 64 (48)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www petrorabigh <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A N/A N/MP/B (x) N/A N/A 1.5P/Sales (x) N/A N/A 2.1Div yield (%) N/A N/A 0.0Rabigh Refining and Petrochemical Co. (Petro Rabigh), established in 2005 atRabigh is a joint venture between Saudi Aramco and Sumi<strong>to</strong>mo Chemical (a Japanbasedfirm). The USD10bn project, has an annual production capacity of 18.4mn<strong>to</strong>nnes of refined petroleum products and 2.4mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of petrochemical products.Company financials2006* 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn - - 6,543 - -EBITDA SRmn (260) (423) (1,029) N/M -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (175) (423) (1,256) N/M -Assets SRmn 11,171 26,961 47,911 77.7 -Equity SRmn 2,450 5,953 9,264 55.6 -Total Debt SRmn 6,769 19,444 31,569 62.4 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 2,080 186 1,534 725.0 -EBITDA Mgn % N/M N/M (15.7) - -Net Mgn % N/M N/M (19.2) - -ROE % (7.1) (10.1) (16.5) - -ROA % (1.6) (2.2) (3.4) - -Div Payout % - - - - -EPS SR (0.2) (0.7) (1.5) N/M -BVPS SR 2.8 6.8 10.6 55.6 -Source: Company, NCBC Research* 2006 figures are for 16 months period ending December 31, 2006Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.05MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) N/AFree float (%)Free float 18.55Relative share price perf.11,000809,000607,000405,000203,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIPetro Rabigh (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Aramco 37.5Sumi<strong>to</strong>mo Chemical Company 37.5Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Aramco is expected <strong>to</strong> supply 400,000 barrels of crude oil, 95mncubic feet (mcf) of ethane and about 15,000 barrels of butane on a long-term fixedpricebasis <strong>to</strong> Petro Rabigh. Sumi<strong>to</strong>mo provides technological and marketingexpertise. The plant is equipped with sophisticated olefin and ethane cracker. The<strong>com</strong>pany is targeting Europe and Asia (mainly China) for exports of its end products.• Financials: The Company recorded SR6,543.3mn as revenues in 2008. However, itregistered SR1,256.2mn loss in its bot<strong>to</strong>m line <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a loss of SR422.6mn in2007. This is due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> decline in demand and prices for <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s products in4Q-08 and expenses related <strong>to</strong> its under-construction petrochemical facility.• Recent developments: Petro Rabigh <strong>report</strong>ed a net loss of SR28.7mn in 1Q-09<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss of SR82.1mn a year ago. In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany made itsfirst export shipment of 19,200 metric <strong>to</strong>ns of monoethylene glycol <strong>to</strong> China. Earlier inApril 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany had announced that its Rabigh <strong>com</strong>plex is in <strong>the</strong> final stagesfor start up and <strong>the</strong> ethane cracker and refining facilities have started operations.Moreover, Saudi Aramco and Sumi<strong>to</strong>mo Chemical have signed a MoU for doing afeasibility study for <strong>the</strong> expansion of this facility, under which an additional 30 mcf/dayof ethane and 3mn <strong>to</strong>ns/annum of naphtha will be used. The contract for <strong>the</strong>engineering work is likely <strong>to</strong> be awarded in June 2009.JUNE 2009RABIGH REFINING130


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESSahara PetrochemicalAlso knownasSPCOPriceSR24.5Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR4.6bn ($1,226.6mn)Sh. outstanding187.5mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 49.5/10.4Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 15.54 4.1512m 19.98 5.33Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.24 1.25Reuters2260.SEBloombergSPC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 57 94 (44)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www saharapcc.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 27.1 N/M N/MP/B (x) 2.2 4.2 1.3P/Sales (x) N/M N/M N/MDiv yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0Sahara Petrochemical Company (SPC) was established in 2004 by Al Zamil Group.SPC develops, owns and operates production facilities through joint ventures witho<strong>the</strong>r <strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong> petrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>r. SPC has been working on two projects– Al Waha Petrochemical Company and Saudi Ethylene and Polyethylene Company.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn - - - - - -EBITDA SRmn (6) (14) (12) (39) NM NMNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 319 165 (5) (41) NM NMAssets SRmn 2,305 2,479 3,048 4,721 54.9 27.0Equity SRmn 2,260 1,983 1,950 1,769 (9.3) (7.8)Total Debt SRmn 0 0 542 2,222 310.3 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 2,003 812 81 453 458.2 (39.1)EBITDA Mgn % N/M N/M N/M N/M - -Net Mgn % N/M N/M N/M N/M - -ROE % 16.6 7.8 (0.3) (2.2) - -ROA % 16.5 6.9 (0.2) (1.1) - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR 10.6 1.1 (0.0) (0.2) NM NMBVPS SR 75.3 13.2 12.5 9.4 NM NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncBasic Chemical Manufacturing 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.92MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 5.41Free float (%)Free float 90.00Relative share price perf.11,000609,000407,000205,0003,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISPC (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Al Zamil Group Holding Company 7.5Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Al Waha has a production capacity of 460,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes per annum(tpa) of propylene, which would serve as an input for production of 450,000 tpa ofpolypropylene. Saudi Ethylene and Polyethylene Co. (SEPC) has a productioncapacity of 1mn tpa ethylene cracker, and 800,000 tpa of polyethylene. Trialoperations at SEPC facility <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong>d in March 2009 and would be followed by<strong>com</strong>mercial production shortly.• Financials: SPC’s investment in<strong>com</strong>e declined 79.8% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR3.4mn in 2008while <strong>the</strong> operating expenses increased 2.3 times y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR41.1mn. Consequently,<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany incurred a net loss of SR41.1mn in 2008 as against SR5.1mn loss in2007.• Recent developments: In 1Q-09, SPC recorded a loss of SR14.2mn <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> aloss of SR6.7mn a year ago. In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany appointed Mr. Esam Himdyas managing direc<strong>to</strong>r and Mr. Saleh Bahamdan as chief executive officer. On May 11,2009, Al Waha started trial operations at its petrochemical facility. SEPC <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong>dexperimental operations at its ethylene <strong>com</strong>plex in March 2009. In November 2008,Tasnee and Sahara Olefins Co. (SPC’s subsidiary) signed a contract with Rohm andHaas (USA) for <strong>the</strong> establishment of an acrylic acid plant with annual productioncapacity of 250,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes. The plant is expected <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>e on-stream in 2011.JUNE 2009SAHARA PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY131


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESYanbu NationalAlso known asYANSABPriceSR27.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR15.2bn ($4,055.4mn)Sh. outstanding562.5mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 64.5/12.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 41.66 11.1212m 54.27 14.49Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.39 1.20Reuters2290.SEBloombergYANSAB ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 28 66 (55)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www.yansab <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 99.2 N/M N/MP/B (x) 2.4 5.2 1.5P/Sales (x) N/M N/M N/MDiv yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0Yanbu National Petrochemicals Company (Yansab), with <strong>the</strong> majority stake ownedby Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (55%) was established in 2006 <strong>to</strong> set-up afour mn <strong>to</strong>nnes/year petrochemical <strong>com</strong>plex in <strong>the</strong> Yanbu industrial city.Company financials2006 # 2007* 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn - - - - -EBITDA SRmn (49) (83) (26) N/M -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 140 110 (26) N/M -Assets SRmn 7,082 15,309 18,677 22.0 -Equity SRmn 5,753 5,723 5,697 (0.4) -Total Debt SRmn - 8,166 11,797 44.5 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 822 1,694 1,033 (39.0) -EBITDA Mgn % - - - - -Net Mgn % - - - - -ROE % 2.4 N/M (0.4) - -ROA % 2.0 N/M (0.2) - -Div Payout % - - - - -EPS SR 0.2 0.2 (0.0) N/M -BVPS SR 10.2 10.2 10.1 (0.4) -Source: Company, NCBC Research* 2007 figures represents <strong>the</strong> financial performance for 23 months period ending Dec 31, 2007# 2006 figures represents <strong>the</strong> financial performance for 11 months period ending Dec 31, 2006Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.90MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 2.89Free float (%)Free float 26.51Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)80604020YANSAB (RHS)SABIC 51.0General Organization for Social 9.2Insurance (GOSI)Source: NCBC Research-Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Once fully operational <strong>the</strong> approximately SR18bn <strong>com</strong>plex isexpected <strong>to</strong> produce ethylene (1,300 thousand <strong>to</strong>nnes/year—KTA), Propylene (400KTA), Polypropylene (400 KTA), Polyethylene—low-density and high-density—(400KTA each), Mono, Di and Tri Ethylene Glycol (770 KTA, <strong>to</strong>tal), Benzene (170 KTA),Butene -1 (65 KTA), Butene -2 (50 KTA), Methyl Tertiary Butyl E<strong>the</strong>r (20 KTA) andBenzene Toluene Xylene (70 KTA). Operations are expected <strong>to</strong> <strong>com</strong>mence in 2Q-09,with pre-<strong>com</strong>missioning of several units under-progress.• Financials: As Yansab is in pre-operating stage for <strong>the</strong> fiscal period underconsideration, all revenues and expenses are non-operational in nature. The<strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed net loss of SR25.6mn in 2008 while it <strong>report</strong>ed a net profit ofSR109.9mn for <strong>the</strong> 23 months period ending December 31, 2007. Although <strong>the</strong>operating expenses declined, <strong>the</strong> absence of any non-operating in<strong>com</strong>e led <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> fallin bot<strong>to</strong>m line in 2008.• Recent developments: Yansab’s net loss widened <strong>to</strong> SR8.2mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared<strong>to</strong> SR6.6mn a year ago due <strong>to</strong> higher corporate expenses. The <strong>com</strong>pany expectsoperations at its petrochemical <strong>com</strong>plex <strong>to</strong> start in 2Q-09, according <strong>to</strong> anannouncement on March 11, 2009. In January 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany informed that <strong>the</strong>construction work has reached final phase, with 93% <strong>com</strong>pletion by 2008 end.JUNE 2009YANBU NATIONAL132


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESAdvanced Polyprop.Alsoknown asAPPCPriceSR24.4Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR3.4bn ($919.2mn)Sh. outstanding141.4mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 62.5/12.2Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 43.03 11.4912m 56.63 15.12Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.41 1.13Reuters2330.SEBloombergAPPC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 6 65 (50)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www appc.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/M N/M 10.4P/B (x) N/M 4.8 1.3P/Sales (x) N/M N/M 1.5Div yield (%) N/M 0.0 0.0Advanced Polypropylene Company (APPC), based in Dammam, was established in2005 <strong>to</strong> develop a SR3bn integrated propane dehydrogenation and polypropylene<strong>com</strong>plex in Jubail Industrial City. This facility having annual production capacity <strong>to</strong>produce 450,000<strong>to</strong>nnes of polypropylene <strong>com</strong>menced <strong>com</strong>mercial production in 2008.Company financials2006* 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn - - 1,459 - -EBITDA SRmn 2 (1) 366 N/M -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 2 2 210 9,615.5 -Assets SRmn 1,815 2,545 3,507 37.8 -Equity SRmn 1,415 1,416 1,617 14.2 -Total Debt SRmn 272 1,070 1,713 60.0 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 361 89 216 143.8 -EBITDA Mgn % N/M N/M 25.1 - -Net Mgn % N/M N/M 14.4 - -ROE % 0.1 0.2 13.9 - -ROA % 0.1 0.1 6.9 - -Div Payout % - - - - -EPS SR 0.0 0.0 1.5 N/M -BVPS SR 10.0 10.0 11.4 14.2 -Source: Company, NCBC Research; 2006 figures are for 15 months period ending December 31, 2006Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.49MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 4.52Free float (%)Free float 63.11Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)80604020-APPC (RHS)Dar Chemicals 15.9Islamic Development Bank Fund 9.0National Polypropylene Company 7.9[NPPC]Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: APPC has an annual production capacity of 450,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes ofpolypropylene. Polypropylene is used in several applications such as <strong>the</strong> manufactureof fabrics, moldings, pipes and furniture. The <strong>com</strong>pany has appointed VinmarInternational (Hous<strong>to</strong>n), Mitsubishi Corp. and Domo (Gent-Zwijnaarde, Belgium) <strong>to</strong>offtake <strong>the</strong> output from this <strong>com</strong>plex. Major part of <strong>the</strong> production would be shippedvia <strong>the</strong> ports of Dammam, Jeddah, and Al Jubail.• Financials: APPC <strong>com</strong>menced <strong>com</strong>mercial operations in August 2008. The <strong>com</strong>panyrecorded revenues of SR1,459.2mn in 2008. It registered a net profit of SR210.1mnin 2008 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a non-operational profit of SR2.2mn in 2007.• Recent developments: APPC declared its 1Q-09 results on April 8, 2009. APPCrecorded a net in<strong>com</strong>e of SR42.9mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a loss of SR48,718 in 1Q-08. APPC’s general meeting on March 02, 2009 approved <strong>the</strong> change in <strong>com</strong>pany'sname <strong>to</strong> Advanced Petrochemicals Co. In August 2008, APPC started <strong>com</strong>mercialproduction at its new propylene and polypropylene plants with a production capacityof 450,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes per year of polypropylene.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009ADVANCED POLYPROPYLENE133


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESNama Chemicals CoAlsoknown asNAMAPriceSR11.7Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.5bn ($399.8mn)Sh. outstanding128.5mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 28.8/7.4Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 63.41 16.9312m 57.94 15.47Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.23 1.27Reuters2210.SEBloombergNAMA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 26 40 (53)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www nama <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 82.7 72.3 N/MP/B (x) 2.3 2.7 0.7P/Sales (x) 4.6 4.8 1.8Div yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0Nama Chemicals Company (NAMA) was established in 1992. The <strong>com</strong>panydevelops, owns, and operates industrial projects within <strong>the</strong> chemical andpetrochemical sec<strong>to</strong>rs. NAMA functions via its affiliates - Arabian Alkali Company(55,000mta capacity) and Jubail Chemical Industries Company (60,000mta capacity).Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 293 395 513 622 21.2 28.6EBITDA SRmn 17 40 50 27 (46.8) 17.1Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 30 22 34 (68) (298.0) (231.4)Assets SRmn 1,087 1,115 1,751 2,545 45.4 32.8Equity SRmn 686 784 922 1,557 69.0 31.4Total Debt SRmn 193 254 696 800 15.0 60.6Cash & Equiv SRmn 172 94 82 487 497.9 41.5EBITDA Mgn % 5.7 10.0 9.8 4.3 - -Net Mgn % 10.2 5.6 6.6 (10.9) - -ROE % 4.4 3.0 4.0 (5.4) - -ROA % 2.9 2.0 2.4 (3.1) - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR 2.3 0.3 0.4 (0.7) N/M N/MBVPS SR 52.8 11.6 12.0 12.1 N/M N/MSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008Epoxy, Caustic Soda 100.0%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.33MSCI Saudi (domestic)N/AFree float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,000309,000207,000105,0003,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASINAMA (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Ahmed Hamad Al Gosa bi Co. 7.4Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Arabian Alkali is one of <strong>the</strong> largest caustic soda producers in <strong>the</strong>Middle East. JANA produces epoxy resins and markets <strong>the</strong>m under <strong>the</strong> brand namesof RAZEEN and ARALDITE. NAMA is currently setting up <strong>the</strong> Hassad PetrochemicalsCompany that will manufacture different types of chemicals <strong>to</strong> supply both <strong>the</strong>subsidiaries.• Financials: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany‘s sales increased 21.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR621.8mn.However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a net loss of SR67.5mn in 2008. This was due <strong>to</strong> anincrease in <strong>the</strong> cost of goods sold and higher selling, general and administrativeexpenses.• Recent developments: NAMA declared its 1Q-09 result on April 21, 2009, <strong>report</strong>inga loss of SR32.4mn in 1Q-09 against a net profit of SR12.3mn a year earlier. OnMarch 4, 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced that <strong>the</strong> experimental operations at itsSR1bn Hassad plant would <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong> soon. In January 2009, NAMA’s subsidiary,JANA received a SR210mn loan from <strong>the</strong> Saudi Industrial Development Fund. Theloan amount will be used for <strong>the</strong> expansion of <strong>the</strong> epoxy fac<strong>to</strong>ry in order <strong>to</strong> double itsproduction capacity <strong>to</strong> 120,000 <strong>to</strong>ns per annum by end of 2011. In November 2008,<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany hiked its capital <strong>to</strong> SR1,285.2mn from SR765mn through a rights issue.JUNE 2009NAMA CHEMICALS COMPANY134


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESAlujain CorporationAlso known asAlujainPriceSR19.6Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.4bn ($362.2mn)Sh. outstanding69.2mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 51.5/9.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 20.97 5.6012m 21.66 5.78Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.33 1.35Reuters2170.SEBloombergALCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 26 93 (60)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 (52)Website: www alujaincorporation.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/M N/M N/MP/B (x) 2.1 5.1 1.5P/Sales (x) N/M N/M N/MDiv yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0Alujain Corporation (ALCO), an industrial investment firm, was established in 1991and promoted by Xenel Industries (one of <strong>the</strong> oldest conglomerates in <strong>the</strong>Kingdom). The <strong>com</strong>pany’s investments include 57.4% stake in NationalPetrochemical Co. (NatPet) and a 93.1% stake in Arab Pesticide Co. (MOBEED).Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn - - - - - -EBITDA SRmn (4) (7) (57) (59) N/M N/MNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 3 0 (40) (65) N/M (367.5)Assets SRmn 702 713 2,747 3,229 17.5 66.1Equity SRmn 691 703 651 515 (20.8) (9.2)Total Debt SRmn - - 1,612 2,123 31.7 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 110 64 226 150 (33.6) 74.1EBITDA Mgn % N/M N/M N/M N/M - -Net Mgn % N/M N/M N/M N/M - -ROE % 0.5 0.1 (5.9) (11.2) - -ROA % 0.5 0.0 (2.3) (2.2) - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR 0.2 0.0 (0.6) (0.9) N/M N/MBVPS SR 49.9 20.4 9.4 7.5 N/M N/MSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncIndustrial Development 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.26MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 4.42Free float (%)Free float 85.09Relative share price perf.11,000609,000407,000205,0003,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIALCO (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Safra Company 14.9Khalid Abdul Rahman Saleh Al Rajhi 9.9Source: NCBC ResearchSource: NCBC Research• Business brief: ALCO predominantly invests in <strong>the</strong> Saudi petrochemical, energy,mining and metals sec<strong>to</strong>r. The <strong>com</strong>pany transferred its Alfasel propylene productionfacility <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Teldene Polypropylene project, promoted by associate NatPet, in May2006. NatPet owns a SR2.3bn propylene-polypropylene plant, with 400,000 <strong>to</strong>nnesper annum (TPA) capacity. The <strong>com</strong>pany also signed contracts with SABIC andNoble Group for <strong>the</strong> offtake of production.• Financials: Since ALCO was not operational in 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany does not <strong>report</strong>any sales revenues. In 2008, ALCO’s in<strong>com</strong>e from o<strong>the</strong>r sources declined 51.2% y-oy<strong>to</strong> SR11.0mn. This coupled with an increase in <strong>the</strong> operating expenses led <strong>to</strong> a netloss of SR65.1mn in 2008 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a loss of SR39.6mn in 2007.• Recent developments: ALCO declared its 1Q-09 results on April 20, 2009, <strong>report</strong>inga loss of SR10.8mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> SR13.1mn loss a year ago. In April 2009,<strong>the</strong> polypropylene plant owned by NatPet started operations. The plant is currentlyrunning at a utilization rate of 73% and is likely <strong>to</strong> reach full capacity by end of May2009. In February 2009, ALCO increased its stake in MOBEED <strong>to</strong> 93.1% from 25%earlier. The <strong>com</strong>pany also signed an agreement with Safra Co. <strong>to</strong> maintain andoperate MOBEED's facilities. The Board of Direc<strong>to</strong>rs appointed Mr. Maa<strong>to</strong>uk HasanAhmad and Mr. Khalid Abdulrazzak Al Nafisi <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> board in 2009.JUNE 2009ALUJAIN CORPORATION135


PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRIESMethanol ChemicalsAlsoknown asChemanolPriceSR13.8Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.7bn ($442.8mn)Sh. outstanding120.6mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 16.9/9.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 44.94 12.006m 43.40 11.59Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.96 N/AReuters2001.SEBloombergCHEMANOL ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 6MAbsolute (%) 11 23 18Market (%) 6 32 19Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 27 59 40Website: www chemanol.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A N/A 35.2P/B (x) N/A N/A 1.0P/Sales (x) N/A N/A 2.4Div yield (%) N/A N/A 0.0Methanol Chemicals Company (Chemanol), established in 1989, is a manufacturerof formaldehyde, methanol and derivatives, hexamine, resins and superplasticizers. The <strong>com</strong>pany exports about 83% of its products <strong>to</strong> more than 50countries including UK, France, Germany, South Africa, USA, Canada, and Japan.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 312 376 461 571 23.7 22.3EBITDA SRmn 65 72 61 73 19.7 3.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 40 45 25 38 54.9 (1.3)Assets SRmn 427 957 1,301 2,640 102.9 83.5Equity SRmn 182 653 678 1,390 105.0 97.0Total Debt SRmn 180 235 546 1,149 110.3 85.3Cash & Equiv SRmn 24 185 73 379 417.1 152.8EBITDA Mgn % 21.0 19.1 13.2 12.8 - -Net Mgn % 12.7 11.8 5.4 6.7 - -ROE % 23.8 10.6 3.7 3.7 - -ROA % 10.3 6.4 2.2 1.9 - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR N/A 1.0 0.4 0.5 N/M N/ABVPS SR N/A 14.5 11.3 11.5 N/M N/ASource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.19MSCI Saudi (domestic)N/AFree float (%)Free float 50.00Relative share price perf.8,0007,0006,0005,0004,0003,000Sep-08 Nov-08 Jan-09 M ar-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)18141062Chemanol (RHS)Abdullah & Abdul Aziz Kanoo Co. 11.2Zamil Group Holding Co. 11.2Mazen Khalifa Al Ahiq Al Nuaimi & 7.5SonsMohammed Jalal & Sons Co. 5.0Al Mazrooe Holding Co 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Chemanol produces and supplies methanol formaldehyde and itsderivatives for use across different industries such as agricultural, pharmaceutical,paper manufacturing and construction. The <strong>com</strong>pany came out with an Initial PublicOffering (IPO) on <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange in August 2008 in order <strong>to</strong> finance anexpansion plan involving investment of approximately SR2bn. The <strong>to</strong>tal productioncapacity of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany is 484,600 <strong>to</strong>ns of methanol formaldehyde, derivatives ando<strong>the</strong>r methanol-based products per year. By 2009, Chemanol expects <strong>to</strong> have <strong>to</strong>talinstalled capacity of 1mn <strong>to</strong>ns.• Financials: Chemanol’s revenues grew by 23.7% <strong>to</strong> SR570.7mn in 2008, while netin<strong>com</strong>e rose 54.9% <strong>to</strong> SR38.2mn. Hence, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net margin has shownimprovement of 130 basis points y-o-y and s<strong>to</strong>od at 6.7% in 2008. Moreover, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany’s cash balance increased from SR73.4mn in 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR379.4mn in 2008;as <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany raised capital through issuance of equity shares in August 2008.• Recent developments: Chemanol declared its 1Q-09 results on April 12, 2009. Netin<strong>com</strong>e declined 37.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR5.0mn in 1Q-09. In November 2008, Chemanolannounced <strong>the</strong> appointment of Mr. Khaled Al Rabiah as <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany's chiefexecutive officer (CEO). In August 2008, Chemanol announced its IPO of 50%shares, which adds up <strong>to</strong> 60.3mn shares at <strong>the</strong> offer price of SR12.0 per share.JUNE 2009METHANOL CHEMICALS COMPANY136


Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsSaudi Cement 138 PetrochemicalsYamama Cement 139 CementSou<strong>the</strong>rn Cement 140 RetailQassim Cement 141 Energy and UtilitiesYanbu Cement 142 Agriculture and FoodEastern Cement 143 Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITArabian Cement 144 InsuranceTabuk Cement 145 Multi InvestmentIndustrial InvestmentBuilding and ConstructionReal EstateTransportationMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


CEMENTSaudi CementAlso known asSCCPriceSR58.5Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR6.0bn ($1,593.3mn)Sh. outstanding102.0 mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 129.5/45.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 6.72 1.7912m 7.05 1.88Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.09 0. 90Reuters3030.SEBloombergSACCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (18) 17 (54)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (6) 19 (44)Website: www saudicement <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 15.8 18.9 9.3P/B (x) 4.1 4.7 2.0P/Sales (x) 8.4 9.5 4.6Div yield (%) 3.7 3.9 6.2Saudi Cement Company (SCC) was established in 1955 <strong>to</strong> produce and trade incement products. SCC runs two plants–at Hofuf and Ain Dar– with an annualinstalled capacity of 6.0mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of cement at <strong>the</strong> beginning of 2008. In <strong>the</strong> sameyear, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany produced 5.4mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of cement and 6.4 mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of clinker.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,116 1,200 1,362 1,260 (7.5) 4.1EBITDA SRmn 604 745 789 713 (9.7) 5.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 484 638 686 621 (9.5) 8.7Assets SRmn 2,211 2,705 3,861 4,540 17.6 27.1Equity SRmn 1,970 2,422 2,739 2,848 4.0 13.1Total Debt SRmn - - 695 1,208 73.9 NMCash & Equiv SRmn 290 75 272 31 (88.4) (52.3)EBITDA Mgn % 54.1 62.1 58.0 56.6 - -Net Mgn % 43.4 53.1 50.4 49.3 - -ROE % 24.2 29.0 26.6 22.2 - -ROA % 22.8 26.0 20.9 14.8 - -Div Payout % 75.8 57.6 74.3 57.4 - -EPS SR 23.7 6.3 6.7 6.1 (9.5) -BVPS SR 96.6 23.7 26.9 27.9 4.0 -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncCement Manufacturing 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.15MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 12.85Free float (%)Free float 86.42Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)15010050Saudi Cement (RHS)General Organization for Social 8.5Insurance (GOSI)Khaled Abdul Rahman Saleh Al Rajhi 7.9Public Pension Authority (PPA) 5.0Source: NCBC Research-Source: Company NCBC Research• Business brief: SCC has been losing ground in <strong>the</strong> domestic market. This isprimarily due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> rising <strong>com</strong>petition in Central Saudi Arabia and <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’sfocus on <strong>the</strong> export markets. Consequently, SCC is not <strong>the</strong> largest cement selling<strong>com</strong>pany in Saudi Arabia despite being <strong>the</strong> largest cement producer in <strong>the</strong> country. In2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s share in <strong>the</strong> country’s <strong>to</strong>tal production has fallen <strong>to</strong> 16.3% from17.4% in <strong>the</strong> previous year. SCC also has a 36% equity stake in United CementCompany, Bahrain, and holds ano<strong>the</strong>r 33.3% stake in Cement Product Industry Co.Ltd., which meets <strong>the</strong> cement packaging requirements of SCC and its partner<strong>com</strong>panies.• Financials: SCC’s revenues decreased 7.5% y-o-y during 2008 <strong>to</strong> SR1,259.6 mn.This could be mainly attributed <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> ban on cement exports, implemented in SaudiArabia during June 2008. EBITDA margin s<strong>to</strong>od at 56.6% in 2008, a 136 basis pointsdecline y-o-y. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net margin has also slid marginally <strong>to</strong> 49.3% in 2008from 50.4% in <strong>the</strong> previous fiscal year.• Recent developments: SCC’s Q109 net profit declined 12.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR152 mn as<strong>the</strong> government had introduced a ban on cement exports <strong>to</strong> ease supply bottlenecks.In April 2009, SCC announced <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>mencement of <strong>com</strong>mercial operations of twonew production lines with a <strong>com</strong>bined annual output of 6.6 mn <strong>to</strong>ns.JUNE 2009SAUDI CEMENT COMPANY138


PricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR39.3SR5.3bn ($1,416.7mn)135.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 76.8/28.1Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 9.21 2.4612m 15.50 4.14Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.70 0.89ReutersBloomberg3020.SEYACCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (5) 20 (48)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (6) 19 (44)Website www.yamamacement <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 17.6 17.4 7.5P/B (x) 5.5 5.4 1.6P/Sales (x) 11.2 10.7 4.1Div yield (%) 2.5 3.2 5.9Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.04MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 11.23Free float (%)Free float 87.65Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)80604020Yamamah Cement (RHS)Prince Sultan Mohammed Saud 9.7AlKabeer Al SaudGeneral Organization for Social 7.1Insurance (GOSI)Public Pension Authority (PPA) 5.0-CEMENTYamama Saudi Cem.Alsoknown asYSCCYamama Saudi Cement Company (YSCC) was founded in Riyadh in 1961 by LatePrince Mohammad Bin Saud Al-Kabir. YSCC <strong>com</strong>menced production with a meagercapacity of 0.9mn <strong>to</strong>nnes pa. However, in 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s cement sales s<strong>to</strong>od a<strong>to</strong>ver 4.0mn <strong>to</strong>nnes in <strong>the</strong> domestic market and 0.3mn <strong>to</strong>nnes in <strong>the</strong> export market.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 791 950 1,186 1,123 (5.3) 12.4EBITDA SRmn 528 646 826 809 (2.1) 15.3Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 501 601 731 611 (16.5) 6.8Assets SRmn 2,706 3,128 3,604 3,589 (0.4) 9.9Equity SRmn 1,576 1,939 2,365 2,841 20.1 21.7Total Debt SRmn 710 761 581 563 (3.2) (7.5)Cash & Equiv SRmn 565 260 441 643 45.9 4.4EBITDA Mgn % 66.8 68.0 69.7 72.0 - -Net Mgn % 63.3 63.3 61.7 54.4 - -ROE % 34.3 34.2 34.0 23.5 - -ROA % 13.6 20.6 21.7 17.0 - -Div Payout % 53.9 44.9 55.4 44.2 - -EPS SR 55.7 4.5 5.4 4.5 (16.5) -BVPS SR 175.2 16.4 17.5 21.0 20.1 -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncCement Production 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: YSCC’s cement production accounted for 13.3% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal cementproduction in Saudi Arabia for 2008. This was a moderate decline from 15.4%<strong>report</strong>ed in 2007. The <strong>com</strong>pany also holds stake in <strong>com</strong>panies such as SudaniKuwaiti Holding Co (6.67%), Kafaa for Steel Company (6.00%), Industrialization andEnergy Services Co (5.62%), and Arabian Shield Cooperative Insurance Co (5.00%).• Financials: Company’s sales declined 5.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR1,122.9 mn. YSCC’s EBITDAmargin, which s<strong>to</strong>od at 72.0% in 2008, has witnessed improvement as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong>FY05. However, <strong>the</strong> net margin has been declining over <strong>the</strong> past 3 years, and s<strong>to</strong>odat 54.4% in 2008.• Recent developments: In April 2009, YSCC announced a 36% y-o-y fall in Q109 netprofit <strong>to</strong> SR125.9mn mainly due <strong>to</strong> lower sales volume during <strong>the</strong> period as well as aperiodic maintenance on some of its main production lines. In August 2008, YamamaCement announced that it is likely <strong>to</strong> be<strong>com</strong>e a founding partner in Hail Cement Co.,a joint s<strong>to</strong>ck <strong>com</strong>pany under establishment. In late 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany acquired 5%stake in Hail Cement Company for SR60 mn.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009YAMAMA SAUDI CEMENT139


CEMENTSou<strong>the</strong>rn CementAlso known asSPCCPriceSR60.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR8.4bn ($2,243.0mn)Sh. outstanding140.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 84.5/45.1Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 4.56 1.2212m 5.93 1.58Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.40 0.65Reuters3050.SEBloombergSOCCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (5) 15 (27)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (6) 19 (44)Website: www spcc <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 16.4 17.4 8.2P/B (x) 4.7 5.2 2.8P/Sales (x) 10.0 10.6 5.0Div yield (%) 5.5 5.2 10.7Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Province Cement Company (SPCC) is one of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p three cementproducers in KSA. Established in 1978, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany operates three productionfacilities in Jizan, Bisha and Tihama with a <strong>com</strong>bined capacity <strong>to</strong> produce over 6mn<strong>to</strong>nnes of cement each year. In 2008, SPCC sold nearly 4.9mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of cement.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,024 1,026 1,155 1,298 12.4 8.2EBITDA SRmn 690 688 769 864 12.4 7.8Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 615 624 704 791 12.4 8.8Assets SRmn 2,230 2,491 2,648 2,749 3.8 7.2Equity SRmn 1,973 2,201 2,345 2,360 0.6 6.2Total Debt SRmn - - - - - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 678 27 33 64 95.7 (54.5)EBITDA Mgn % 67.4 67.0 66.6 66.6 - -Net Mgn % 60.0 60.8 60.9 60.9 - -ROE % 31.8 29.9 31.0 33.6 - -ROA % 28.4 26.4 27.4 29.3 - -Div Payout % 387.3 89.7 89.5 88.5 - -EPS SR 4.4 4.5 5.0 5.7 12.4 8.8BVPS SR 14.1 15.7 16.7 16.9 0.6 6.2Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncCement Production 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.85MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 7.59Free float (%)Free float 45.37Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10080604020-Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Cement (RHS)Public Investment Fund 37.4General Organization for Social 13.0Insurance (GOSI)Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SPCC has been able <strong>to</strong> maintain its domestic market share in 2008despite <strong>the</strong> streng<strong>the</strong>ning <strong>com</strong>petition. In terms of sales volumes, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany held15.5% share in <strong>the</strong> domestic cement market, slightly lower than 2007. The <strong>com</strong>panyholds 5.62% stake in Industrialization and Energy Services Company.• Financials: SPCC’s cement sales volumes for FY08 increased by 6.7% whichcaused 12.4% y-o-y rise in revenues <strong>to</strong> SR1,297.9 mn. EBITDA margin rose <strong>to</strong> 66.6%in 2008, thus remaining at <strong>the</strong> same level as in 2007. Net margin has remainedconsistent at almost nearly 61% in <strong>the</strong> past three fiscal years.• Recent developments: In April 2009, SPCC announced a 15% y-o-y decline inQ109 net profits <strong>to</strong> SR200.2mn. Capital Market Authority (CMA) fined <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany inDecember 2008 because it disclosed <strong>the</strong>ir nine-month and semi-annual results ofFY08 before submitting <strong>the</strong>m for review. In <strong>the</strong> recent past, SPCC <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong>d capacityexpansions at its plants. In 2007, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany stated that its new Tihama Cementfac<strong>to</strong>ry <strong>com</strong>menced operations with a daily production capacity of 5,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes ofclinker.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009SOUTHERN CEMENT140


CEMENTQassim CementAlso known asQCCPriceSR115.3Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR5.2bn ($1,384.8mn)Sh. outstanding45.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 188.3/73.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 11.54 3.0812m 13.74 3.67Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.78 1.01Reuters3040.SEBloombergQACCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 2 41 (38)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (6) 19 (44)Website: www qcc <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 22.1 15.1 7.0P/B (x) 5.4 5.3 2.1P/Sales (x) 12.8 9.6 4.4Div yield (%) 3.0 3.5 9.9Qassim Cement Company (QCC) was founded in 1976 in Buraydah, which lies in <strong>the</strong>central region of KSA, 330 km northwest of Riyadh. Commercial production startedin 1981 with <strong>the</strong> opening of a 2,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes per day clinker facility. In 2008, QCCproduced 3.22 mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of cement and 3.38 mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of clinker.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 494 543 847 820 (3.2) 18.4EBITDA SRmn 329 365 609 597 (1.9) 22.0Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 282 316 540 517 (4.4) 22.4Assets SRmn 1,631 1,755 2,059 2,270 10.2 11.7Equity SRmn 1,188 1,295 1,523 1,724 13.1 13.2Total Debt SRmn 219 219 242 244 0.5 3.6Cash & Equiv SRmn 196 224 207 336 62.5 19.7EBITDA Mgn % 66.7 67.1 71.9 72.8 - -Net Mgn % 57.0 58.1 63.8 63.0 - -ROE % 24.5 25.4 38.3 31.8 - -ROA % 20.6 18.6 28.3 23.9 - -Div Payout % 73.5 65.6 52.5 69.6 - -EPS SR 31.3 7.0 12.0 11.5 (4.4) -BVPS SR 132.0 28.8 33.9 38.3 13.1 -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncCement Production 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.63MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 7.02Free float (%)Free float 53.94Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)20015010050Qassim Cement (RHS)Public Investment Fund 23.3General Organization for Social 17.5Insurance (GOSI)Public Pension Authority (PPA) 5.0-Source: Company, NCBC ResearchBusiness brief: QCC has held a steady share in <strong>the</strong> domestic cement market for manyyears. In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany accounted for 10% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal cement sales in <strong>the</strong> Kingdomfrom 9.1% in 2005. Of late, QCC had started exporting some of its products <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>neighboring countries. However, <strong>the</strong> ban on cement exports, implemented in 2008, islikely <strong>to</strong> impact <strong>com</strong>pany’s export revenuesFinancials: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s sales decreased 3.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR 820.2 mn in linewith <strong>the</strong> sluggish revenue outlook in <strong>the</strong> industry. Company’s’ <strong>to</strong>tal sale volumes fell 7.6%y-o-y <strong>to</strong> 3.2mn <strong>to</strong>nnes in 2008. Net in<strong>com</strong>e margin declined by 80 basis points <strong>to</strong> 63% y-oydue <strong>to</strong> poor sales performanceRecent developments: In April 2009, QCC announced a 5.4% y-o-y decline in Q109 netprofits <strong>to</strong> SR151.5mn mainly due <strong>to</strong> decline in <strong>the</strong> cement prices. QCC’s proposal ofbuilding a new gypsum plant in <strong>the</strong> Al Asyah area was rejected by Al Asyah Municipality inSeptember 2007. The council had voted unanimously against granting <strong>the</strong> license as <strong>the</strong>plant is <strong>to</strong>o close <strong>to</strong> residential area and could cause health problemsSource: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009QASSIM CEMENT COMPANY141


CEMENTYanbu CementAlso known asYCCPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR49.0SR5.1bn ($1,373.8mn)105.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 83.3/34.2Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 7.17 1.9112m 6.22 1.66Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.92 0.79ReutersBloomberg3060.SEYNCCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (0) 3 (40)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (6) 19 (44)Website: www.yanbucement.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 14.8 15.0 7.3P/B (x) 3.6 4.3 1.7P/Sales (x) 9.0 8.5 3.7Div yield (%) 6.2 5.3 10.3Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.61MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 6.96Free float (%)Free float 52.62Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10080604020-Yanbu Cement (RHS)Sulaiman Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 23.7General Organization for Social 11.7Insurance (GOSI)Public Investment Fund 10.0Abdullah Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 5.8Source: NCBC ResearchJeddah-based Yanbu Cement Company (YCC) was established in 1977 through aplant with an initial production capacity of 3,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes of clinker per day at RasBaridi near Yanbu on <strong>the</strong> west coast of Saudi Arabia. The <strong>com</strong>pany produced 4.3and 3.6 mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of cement and clinker respectively in 2008.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 779 843 1,171 1,094 (6.6) 12.0EBITDA SRmn 548 602 776 680 (12.4) 7.4Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 454 512 661 560 (15.3) 7.3Assets SRmn 2,243 2,250 2,563 2,600 1.4 5.0Equity SRmn 1,942 2,085 2,324 2,356 1.4 6.6Total Debt SRmn 114 15 19 14 (25.8) (50.6)Cash & Equiv SRmn 89 43 38 132 251.9 14.3EBITDA Mgn % 70.4 71.4 66.3 62.2 - -Net Mgn % 58.2 60.7 56.5 51.2 - -ROE % 22.9 25.4 30.0 23.9 - -ROA % 20.8 22.8 27.5 21.7 - -Div Payout % 92.6 92.2 79.5 75.0 - -EPS SR 21.6 4.9 6.3 5.3 (15.2) -BVPS SR 18.5 19.9 22.1 22.4 1.4 -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncCement Manufacturing 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: YCC is engaged in <strong>the</strong> production and marketing of cement and itsderivatives. The <strong>com</strong>pany has been losing its position in <strong>the</strong> domestic cementmarket—it was <strong>the</strong> largest seller of cement in Saudi Arabia during 2003 and 2004.The Company’s market share, (in terms of sales volumes), in <strong>the</strong> domestic markethas slid <strong>to</strong> 14.4% in 2008 from 17.3% in 2007. YCC also has a subsidiary (Yanbu AlShuaiba Paper Products) that produces paper bags for <strong>the</strong> retail sales of cement.• Financials: Company’s cement sales declined 6.6% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR1,093.5 mn in 2008.This was mainly due <strong>to</strong> 7.6% y-o-y decline in <strong>the</strong> sales volumes <strong>to</strong> 4.3 mn <strong>to</strong>nnes.Consequently, EBITDA margin declined by 410 basis points <strong>to</strong> reach 62.2% in 2008.• Recent developments: In April 2009, YCC announced a 10% y-o-y decline in itsQ109 net profits <strong>to</strong> SR151.8mn mainly due <strong>to</strong> a decline in sales during <strong>the</strong> period. InJuly 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced <strong>the</strong> expansion of clinker capacity by 3 mn <strong>to</strong>n onRed Sea coast with a <strong>to</strong>tal cost of SR1.7 bn ($453.3 mn). YCC signed a contractwith Sinoma of China for setting up <strong>the</strong> cement plant within 30 months. YCC hasalso entered in<strong>to</strong> a contract with M/s Pillard of Germany <strong>to</strong> upgrade <strong>the</strong> burning ands<strong>to</strong>rage systems of some of its old kilns.JUNE 2009YANBU CEMENT COMPANY142


PricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR45.8SR3.9bn ($1,051.7mn)86.0 mn52 week range H/L (SR) 85.0/37.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 5.63 1.5012m 7.17 1.92Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.42 0.68ReutersBloomberg3080.SEEACCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (3) 12 (45)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (6) 19 (44)Website: www.eastern-cement.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 13.4 14.1 8.0P/B (x) 3.3 3.6 1.8P/Sales (x) 7.9 8.3 4.3Div yield (%) 5.7 6.7 7.4Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.60MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 6.54Free float (%)Free float 68.06Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10080604020-Eastern Cement (RHS)Public Pension Authority (PPA) 10.6Public Investment Fund 10.0General Organization for Social 10.0Insurance (GOSI)CEMENTEastern CementAlso known asEPCCEastern Cement Co. (EPCC) was established in 1982 with a capacity of 7,000 <strong>to</strong>nnesof clinker per day at Khursaniyah (Dammam). EPCC expanded its plant capacity byadding new production lines, producing as much as 3.1mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of cement in2008. EPCC has been regularly exporting cement <strong>to</strong> neighboring countries.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 552 773 924 799 (13.5) 13.1EBITDA SRmn 341 502 600 511 (14.8) 14.4Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 299 456 541 429 (20.7) 12.8Assets SRmn 2,000 2,215 2,496 2,201 (11.8) 3.2Equity SRmn 1,695 1,833 2,114 1,875 (11.3) 3.4Total Debt SRmn 166 202 185 155 (16.2) (2.3)Cash & Equiv SRmn 312 602 628 253 (59.8) (6.8)EBITDA Mgn % 61.8 65.0 64.9 63.9 - -Net Mgn % 54.2 59.0 58.6 53.7 - -ROE % 18.9 25.8 27.4 21.5 - -ROA % 16.7 21.6 23.0 18.3 - -Div Payout % 21.6 77.0 95.3 59.4 - -EPS SR 23.2 5.2 6.3 5.0 (20.7) -BVPS SR 131.4 21.3 24.6 21.8 (11.3) -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008Source: Company, NCBC Research%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncSaudi Arabia 81 NARest of World 19 NA• Business brief: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany held 8.5% market share (in terms of salesvolumes) in <strong>the</strong> Saudi Arabian cement market as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> 8.8% in 2007. Thedecrease in production declined <strong>com</strong>pany sales in 2008—export volumes almosthalved <strong>to</strong> 0.56 mn <strong>to</strong>nes. However, domestic sales volumes increased 7.5% <strong>to</strong> 2.5mn <strong>to</strong>nnes. EPCC owns 50% stake in Brainsa, 30% stake in Arabian Yemeni CementCompany, Yemen, and 5.4% stake in Industrialization and Energy ServicesCompany.• Financials: Revenues for FY08 fell by 13.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR798.8 mn. The net profit forFY 08 declined by 20.7% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR429.3 mn. Fall in sales could be mainly due <strong>to</strong>export ban implemented in 2008. Accordingly, EBITDA margin fell by 98 bps <strong>to</strong> 63.9%in FY08• Recent developments: In April 2009, EPCC announced a 37% y-o-y decline inQ109 net profits <strong>to</strong> SR97mn. In July 2007, a unit of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany, Arabian YemeniCement Company, signed an agreement for a $125mn loan with <strong>the</strong> IMF for installingan electricity station and o<strong>the</strong>r facilities at a plant in eastern Yemen.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009EASTERN PROVINCE CEMENT CO.143


PriceSR46.5Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR3.7bn ($993.3mn)Sh. outstanding80.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 83.3/29.2Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 5.10 1.3612m 8.64 2.31Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.70 0.79Reuters3010.SEBloombergARCCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (1) 37 (43)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (6) 19 (44)Website www.arabiacement.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 14.5 19.6 7.7P/B (x) 2.9 4.2 1.1P/Sales (x) 6.5 10.6 2.7Div yield (%) 5.0 3.6 9.7CEMENTArabian CementAlso known asArabian CementArabian Cement Company (ACC) was <strong>the</strong> first <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>to</strong> start cement productionin Saudi Arabia (1959). ACC mainly produces portland cement, Portland pozzolancement, sulfate-resistant cement and ready mix concrete. ACC <strong>report</strong>ed productionof 2.7 mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of cement and 2.4 mn <strong>to</strong>nnes of clinker in 2008.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 687 748 722 917 27.1 10.1EBITDA SRmn 397 421 436 400 (8.2) 0.3Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 331 334 392 322 (18.0) (1.0)Assets SRmn 1,751 1,810 2,366 3,647 54.2 27.7Equity SRmn 1,630 1,647 1,841 2,236 21.5 11.1Total Debt SRmn - - 282 1,060 275.5 NMCash & Equiv SRmn 57 1 117 451 287.1 99.7EBITDA Mgn % 57.7 56.3 60.4 43.6 - -Net Mgn % 48.1 44.6 54.3 35.0 - -ROE % 21.7 20.4 22.5 15.8 - -ROA % 19.9 18.7 18.8 10.7 - -Div Payout % 72.5 71.9 71.4 75.0 - -EPS SR 27.6 5.6 5.6 4.0 (28.2) -BVPS SR 135.8 27.5 26.3 27.9 6.3 -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncCement Production 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.59MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 7.29Free float (%)Free float 71.15Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10050Arab Cement (RHS)Sulaiman Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 11.8National Commercial Bank (NCB) 11.3Abdul Aziz Abdullah Sulaiman Al 7.1SulaimanAbdullah Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 5.7Public Pension Authority (PPA) 5.1Source: NCBC Research-Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: ACC, <strong>the</strong> oldest cement <strong>com</strong>pany in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom, produced 8.3% of<strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal cement production in Saudi Arabia in 2008, 100 basis points lower than <strong>the</strong>contribution <strong>report</strong>ed in 2007. The <strong>com</strong>pany has a cooperation agreement withItalcementi <strong>to</strong> establish a cement plant in Labuna, in western Saudi Arabia by 2010.ACC also has operations in Bahrain and Jordan through its subsidiaries.• Financials: ACC’s revenues increased 27.1% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR 917.3 mn in FY 08.However, its EBITDA margin declined considerably <strong>to</strong> 43.6% in FY 08, as <strong>com</strong>pared<strong>to</strong> 60.4% in FY 07. Net margin declined <strong>to</strong> 35.0% in FY 08 from 54.3% in FY 07, whilenet in<strong>com</strong>e declined 18.0% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR 321.5 mn in FY 08.• Recent developments: In May 2009, ACC announced plans <strong>to</strong> launch its first plan<strong>to</strong>utside Saudi Arabia, <strong>to</strong> be based in Jordan, with an annual production capacity of 2mn <strong>to</strong>nnes by 1Q-10. In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced its net profit for 1Q-09,which declined 10% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR103.8mn. In January 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany raisedSR500mn through a right issue that increased <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s capital <strong>to</strong> SR800mn.The proceeds from <strong>the</strong> issue would be utilized <strong>to</strong> finance <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s capacityexpansion in Rabigh plant and facilitate investments in greenfield projects in SaudiArabia and Jordan. ACC plans <strong>to</strong> invest $900 mn in projects, which is expected <strong>to</strong>more than double its annual production capacity <strong>to</strong> 7mn <strong>to</strong>nnes by 2010.JUNE 2009ARABIAN CEMENT COMPANY144


CEMENTTabuk CementAlso known asTCCPriceSR22.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR2.0bn ($528.7mn)Sh. outstanding90.0 mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 38.3/16.3Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 6.40 1.7112m 5.08 1.36Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.60 0.85Reuters3090.SEBloombergTACCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 0 17 (41)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (6) 19 (44)Website: www tcc-sa.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 13.4 17.2 11.4P/B (x) 3.5 3.7 1.7P/Sales (x) 7.6 11.1 6.1Div yield (%) 0.0 5.9 7.6Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.42MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 4.13Free float (%)Free float 94.69Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITabuk Cement (RHS)Founded in 1994, Tabuk Cement Company (TCC) is <strong>the</strong> smallest cement <strong>com</strong>pany inKSA in terms of market capitalization. In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany produced 1.1mn <strong>to</strong>nnesof cement at its plant located in <strong>the</strong> north-west region of <strong>the</strong> country. TCC’s strategiclocation enables it <strong>to</strong> cater <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> demand for cement in <strong>the</strong> nor<strong>the</strong>rn regions.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 304 380 341 291 (14.7) (1.5)EBITDA SRmn 219 276 263 196 (25.5) (3.7)Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 154 218 220 157 (28.9) 0.5Assets SRmn 1,035 1,154 1,366 1,226 (10.3) 5.8Equity SRmn 824 838 1,031 1,052 2.0 8.4Total Debt SRmn - - - - - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 9 10 3 2 - -EBITDA Mgn % 72.2 72.7 77.2 67.5 - -Net Mgn % 50.8 57.2 64.6 53.9 - -ROE % 18.9 26.2 23.6 15.1 - -ROA % 14.4 19.9 17.5 12.1 - -Div Payout % 90.4 0.6 102.0 86.1 - -EPS SR 11.1 3.1 2.5 1.7 (28.9) -BVPS SR 58.9 12.0 11.5 11.7 2.0 -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncSaudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: TCC held 3.9% market share of <strong>the</strong> domestic cement market in2008, (in terms of sales volumes), a decrease from 5.1% in 2007. The <strong>com</strong>pany hasa 3.37% stake in Industrialization & Energy Services Company, a support servicesand product manufacturing <strong>com</strong>pany catering <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> energy sec<strong>to</strong>r.• Financials: Sales fell 14.7% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR290.9 mn in 2008. This could be ascribed <strong>to</strong>a 15.1% y-o-y decline in <strong>the</strong> sales volumes <strong>to</strong> 1.2 mn <strong>to</strong>nnes. TCC <strong>report</strong>ed EBITDAmargin of 67.5% in 2008, a 971 basis points decline over <strong>the</strong> previous year. Declinedsales and higher expenses associated with revamping of <strong>the</strong> production line led <strong>to</strong> afall in <strong>the</strong> bot<strong>to</strong>m-line. Net in<strong>com</strong>e fell 28.9% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR156.8 mn in 2008.Consequently, <strong>com</strong>pany’s net margin s<strong>to</strong>od at 53.9% in 2008 from 64.6% in 2007.Top 5 shareholders (%)Khaled Saleh Abdul Rahman AlShethriSource: NCBC Research6.7• Recent developments: In April 2009, TCC announced a 33.8% decline in net profits<strong>to</strong> SR33.5mn driven by a decline in sales as well as cement prices during <strong>the</strong> period.In February 2007, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced plans <strong>to</strong> construct a new production linewith a daily capacity of 5,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes. On February 11, 2007, <strong>the</strong> Capital MarketAuthority agreed <strong>to</strong> increase TCC’s capital from SR700 mn <strong>to</strong> SR900 mn by issuingbonus shares.JUNE 2009TABUK CEMENT145


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Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsJarir Marketing 148 PetrochemicalsFawaz Abdulaziz Alhokair 149 CementAldrees Petroleum 150 RetailSaudi Au<strong>to</strong>motive 151 Energy and UtilitiesAhmed H Fitaihi Company 152 Agriculture and FoodAbdullah Al-Othaim 153 Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITNational Agriculture 154 InsuranceAlkhaleej Training 155 Multi InvestmentIndustrial InvestmentBuilding and ConstructionReal EstateTransportationMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


RETAILJarir Marketing CoAlso known asJARIRPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR177.3SR5.3bn ($1,419.9mn)30.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 205.0/135.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 10.79 2.8812m 10.32 2.76Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.51 0.56ReutersBloomberg4190.SEJARIR ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 8 15 (4)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 9 20 (16)Website: www jarirbookd<strong>to</strong>re.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 18.2 17.1 15.5P/B (x) 7.0 7.8 7.5P/Sales (x) 2.9 2.7 2.0Div yield (%) 2.7 5.1 5.2Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.04MSCI Saudi (domestic) -Free float (%)Free float 87.33Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Jarir (RHS)250200Jarir Commercial Investment Co. 12.0Mohd Abdul Rahman Nasser Al Aqeel 9.0Nasser Abdulrahman Nasser Al Aqeel 9.0Abdullah Abdulrahman Nasser Al 9.0AqeelAbdul Karim Abdul Rahman Nasser Al 9.0AqeelSource: NCBC Research15010050-Jarir Marketing Company (Jarir) was established in Riyadh in 1979. Jarir is engagedin <strong>the</strong> retail and wholesale trading of office & school supplies, infotainmentequipment, books, etc. Jarir is also involved in <strong>the</strong> acquisition of land andresidential & <strong>com</strong>mercial buildings.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,210 1,505 1,741 2,520 44.7 27.7EBITDA SRmn 188 261 289 368 27.4 25.0Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 176 243 276 333 20.5 23.6Assets SRmn 746 843 1,069 1,163 8.8 16.0Equity SRmn 510 633 609 687 12.8 10.5Total Debt SRmn 62 1 190 192 1.1 45.7Cash & Equiv SRmn 32 33 18 24 32.4 (8.5)EBITDA Mgn % 15.5 17.3 16.6 14.6 - -Net Mgn % 14.6 16.2 15.9 13.2 - -ROE % 41.8 42.6 44.5 51.4 - -ROA % 25.6 30.6 28.9 29.8 - -Div Payout % 59.9 49.3 86.9 81.1 - -EPS SR 29.4 8.1 9.2 11.1 20.4 (27.7)BVPS SR 84.9 21.1 20.3 22.9 12.7 (35.4)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncStationery Retail 87 Saudi Arabia 87Stationery Wholesale 13 Rest of Middle East 13Source: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Jarir’s business activities are divided in<strong>to</strong> four broad segments:School Supplies; Office Supplies; Computer Accessories and EntertainmentProducts; Books. Jarir’s fully owned subsidiaries include Jarir Egypt Financial LeasingCo., United Books<strong>to</strong>re (UAE), Jarir Trading Co. (UAE), United Company for OfficeSupplies and Stationeries (Qatar), and Jarir Books<strong>to</strong>re (Kuwait).• Financials: Jarir’s revenues grew at a CAGR of 27.7% during 2005-08, and <strong>report</strong>eda robust growth of 44.7% y-o-y in 2008. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDA increased 27.4% y-o-y in 2008. However, growth in cost of sales and operating expenses outpaced <strong>the</strong>growth in revenues during <strong>the</strong> year, leading <strong>to</strong> decline in EBITDA margins <strong>to</strong> 14.6% in2008. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>e in 2008 increased 20.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR332.8mn.• Recent developments: In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> co. increased its capital from SR300mn <strong>to</strong>SR400mn through issue of four bonus shares for every three shares held. In April2009, <strong>the</strong> co. <strong>report</strong>ed 10.0% y-o-y rise in <strong>the</strong> Q1 FY09 net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR107mn. InFebruary 2009, Jarir announced opening of a new books<strong>to</strong>re in Riyadh. In bothSeptember & December 2008, Jarir launched a new books<strong>to</strong>re in Dhahran (KSA). InSeptember 2008, Jarir entered in<strong>to</strong> a partnership with Western Digital Corporation forretailing <strong>the</strong> latter’s portable s<strong>to</strong>rage devices in Saudi. In July 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panyreceived <strong>the</strong> award for <strong>the</strong> most transparent co. in <strong>the</strong> BMG’s Transparency Award.JUNE 2009JARIR MARKETING CO148


RETAILFawaz Abdulaziz AlhokairPriceSR29.2Pricing / Valuation as May 27, 2009Mkt capSR2.0bn ($545.8mn)Sh. outstanding70.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 51.0/21.3Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 22.99 6.1412m 25.51 6.81Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.03 0.98Reuters4240.SEBloombergALHOKAIR ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 16 16 (38)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 9 20 (16)Website: www alhokair.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2007 2008 2009P/E (x) 16.2 18.9 8.0P/B (x) 5.2 4.2 1.9P/Sales (x) 2.7 2.4 0.9Div yield (%) 0.0 5.1 7.5Fawaz Abdulaziz AlHokair Company (AlHokair), established in 1990, is engaged inretail trading and real estate activities. AlHokair has also diversified in<strong>to</strong> food &entertainment, furniture, financial services, tele<strong>com</strong>, fitness & healthcare, andau<strong>to</strong>motive sec<strong>to</strong>rs.Company financials*2006 2007 2008 2009YoY(%)CAGR(%)(06-09)Net Revenues SRmn 1,294 1,481 1,584 1,888 19.2 13.4EBITDA SRmn 305 287 254 234 (8.0) (8.5)Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 246 247 201 202 0.5 (6.3)Assets SRmn 759 963 1,233 1,590 28.9 28.0Equity SRmn 527 774 905 863 (4.7) 17.9Total Debt SRmn 7 - 102 370 264.1 281.4Cash & Equiv SRmn 13 66 28 24 (12.2) 24.1EBITDA Mgn % 23.6 19.3 16.1 12.4 - -Net Mgn % 19.0 16.7 12.7 10.7 - -ROE % 52.4 38.0 24.0 30.9 - -ROA % 36.2 28.7 18.3 14.3 - -Div Payout % - - 95.6 60.5 - -EPS SR 6.2 6.2 2.9 2.9 0.5 (22.2)BVPS SR 7.5 11.1 12.9 12.3 (4.7) 17.9Source: Company, NCBC Research, *The <strong>com</strong>pany’s year ending is 31 st March.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncApparel S<strong>to</strong>res 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.18MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 1.29Free float (%)Free float 39.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)AlHokair (RHS)605040302010-Saudi Fas Holding Co. 49.0Fawaz Abdul Aziz Fahd Al Hokair 7.0Salman Abdul Aziz Fahd Al Hokair 7.0Abdul Hameed Abdul Aziz Fahd Al 7.0HokairSource: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: AlHokair operates more than 700 fashion s<strong>to</strong>res and is <strong>the</strong> retailfranchisee of over 40 global brands. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s product offerings include adultapparel, kids & teen fashion, footwear, eyewear, and accessories. AlHokair has twosubsidiaries – Al Waheeda Equipment Co. (95.0% stake) and Haifa Badai Al Kalamand Partners International Co. for Trading (95.0% stake).• Financials: AlHokair recorded 19.2% y-o-y growth in revenues <strong>to</strong> SR1,888.8mnduring FY 2009. However, <strong>the</strong> EBITDA margin declined <strong>to</strong> 12.4% in FY 2009 from16.1% in FY 2008 mainly due <strong>to</strong> 34.8% y-o-y increase in selling, general andadministrative (SG&A) expenses <strong>to</strong> SR629.9mn. AlHokair’s net in<strong>com</strong>e grew by ameager 0.5% y-o-y from SR201.4mn in FY 2008 <strong>to</strong> SR202.4mn in FY 2009;supported by in<strong>com</strong>e from associates of SR12.9mn.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany reached a final agreement <strong>to</strong>acquire Wehbi Commercial Co. for SR175mn. In February 2009, AlHokair announced<strong>the</strong> appointment of Simon Marshal as <strong>the</strong> new CEO of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany with effect fromMarch 2009. In January 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced that it has signed aMemorandum of Understanding with a Saudi retail <strong>com</strong>pany for buying some of <strong>the</strong>latter's assets having an approximate value of SR80-120mn.JUNE 2009ALHOKAIR149


RETAILAldrees PetroleumAlso known asAPTSCO. AldreesPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR27.4SR0.7bn ($182.9mn)25.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 45.0/17.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 22.72 6.0712m 14.17 3.78Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.93 1.01ReutersBloomberg4200.SEALDREES ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 4 17 (34)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 9 20 (16)Website: www aldreestransport.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 37.7 26.1 11.8P/B (x) 6.4 4.4 2.0P/Sales (x) 2.0 1.5 0.5Div yield (%) - 2.3 6.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.15MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 0.40Free float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Aldrees (RHS)Abdul Mohsen Mohammed Saad Al 8.5DreesHamad Mohammed Saad Al Drees 6.7Source: NCBC Research5040302010-Aldrees Petroleum & Transport Services Co. (Aldrees) has three main operations —petroleum, transport and Super 2 division (manages coffee, pastry and car-washingcenters). The <strong>com</strong>pany owns a 98% stake in Aldrees Sudan, which is engaged inmarine, land & air transportation.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 784 784 867 1,134 30.9 13.1EBITDA SRmn 51 51 74 93 25.5 22.5Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 39 41 50 53 4.7 10.3Assets SRmn 290 416 532 664 24.9 31.9Equity SRmn 204 245 296 317 7.1 15.8Total Debt SRmn - - 76 122 60.5 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 8 11 13 20 51.8 32.8EBITDA Mgn % 6.4 6.5 8.5 8.2 - -Net Mgn % 5.0 5.3 5.8 4.7 - -ROE % 19.5 18.4 18.6 17.2 - -ROA % 12.9 11.7 10.6 8.8 - -Div Payout % - - 59.52 71.0 - -EPS SR 9.8 2.1 2.5 2.1 (16.2) (40.1)BVPS SR 8.2 9.8 11.8 12.7 7.1 15.8Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncGas Stations 87.8 Saudi Arabia 100.0Transport 11.9Super 2 division 0.3Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Aldrees Petroleum division is engaged in <strong>the</strong> wholesale and retaildistribution of petrol products, with a network of 300 gas stations as of 2006, under<strong>the</strong> brand - ‘Petrol’. It also services contracts for fuel supply <strong>to</strong> government andprivate <strong>com</strong>panies. The Aldrees Transportation division operates and maintains afleet of trucks, trailers and tank trucks <strong>to</strong> transport goods within and outside SaudiArabia. The Super 2 division manages coffee and cake s<strong>to</strong>res under <strong>the</strong> brand –‘Super Café’ and car wash & car detailing under <strong>the</strong> brand –‘Super Wash’ locatedwithin <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s gas station network.• Financials: Aldrees recorded a robust 30.9% y-o-y growth in revenues during 2008.However, <strong>the</strong> EBITDA margin contracted 30 basis points y-o-y <strong>to</strong> 8.2% due <strong>to</strong> higheroperating expenses. Consequently, net in<strong>com</strong>e growth was contained <strong>to</strong> a meager4.7% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR52.8mn during <strong>the</strong> period.• Recent developments: The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit for 1Q-09 rose 11% y-o-y <strong>to</strong>SR13.8mn. In January 2009, Aldrees’s board elected Hamad Aldrees as its newchairman, Abdulmohsen Aldrees as <strong>the</strong> vice-chairman and re-elected AbdulilahAldrees as <strong>the</strong> Managing Direc<strong>to</strong>r (M.D.) of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany. In June 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panywon contract of SR232mn <strong>to</strong> supply petroleum materials for Nor<strong>the</strong>rn CementCompany and <strong>the</strong> transport beans for Soya Company.JUNE 2009ALDREES PETROLEUM150


RETAILSaudi Au<strong>to</strong>motiveAlso known asSASCOPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR14.9SR0.7bn ($179.0mn)45.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 21.3/9.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 36.07 9.6312m 27.03 7.22Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.06 1.21ReutersBloomberg4050.SESACO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 6 25 (22)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 9 20 (16)Website: www sasco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NM 36.0 14.6P/B (x) 3.1 2.9 1.3P/Sales (x) 7.0 6.3 2.4Div yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.15MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 0.73Free float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Ibrahim Mohammed Ibrahim Al-HadithiSource: NCBC ResearchSASCO (RHS)2520155-06.0Saudi Au<strong>to</strong>motive Services Company (SASCO), headquartered in Riyadh andestablished in 1982 provides a variety of services and utilities for cars, mo<strong>to</strong>ristsand travelers. SASCO owns specialized maintenance workshops in Saudi Arabia. Italso owns and manages supermarkets, rest areas and restaurants for travelers.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 153 166 192 214 11.8 11.9EBITDA SRmn 31 20 33 33 (1.9) 1.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 78 (10) 33 36 6.3 (23.0)Assets SRmn 538 433 481 469 (2.5) (4.5)Equity SRmn 477 374 422 413 (2.2) (4.7)Total Debt SRmn - - - - - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 111 76 36 73 105.7 (12.9)EBITDA Mgn % 20.2 12.2 17.4 15.3 - -Net Mgn % 50.8 (5.9) 17.4 16.6 - -ROE % 19.1 (2.3) 8.4 8.5 - -ROA % 16.6 (2.0) 7.3 7.5 - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR 26.7 (0.2) 0.7 0.8 6.6 NMBVPS SR 79.4 8.3 9.4 9.2 (2.2) NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncStations & Rest Area 87Au<strong>to</strong>mobile Club 13Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SASCO offers services such as car maintenance and repair, spareparts, car rescue, first aid, issuance of car test certificates, and international drivinglicenses. The <strong>com</strong>pany also runs a network of supermarkets, petrol pumps, housingfacilities, rest areas, restaurants, and o<strong>the</strong>r facilities across Saudi Arabia <strong>to</strong> servicemo<strong>to</strong>rists and travelers. In addition, SASCO is involved in creating clubs such as <strong>the</strong>Saudi Au<strong>to</strong>mobile Touring Association (SATA), which is concerned with mo<strong>to</strong>r sports.• Financials: SASCO recorded 11.8% y-o-y growth in revenues <strong>to</strong> SR214.3mn in 2008from SR191.7mn in 2007. However, <strong>the</strong> EBITDA margins of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany fell 210basis points in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> higher cost of sales as well as operating (S,G&A)expenses. Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany posted 6.3% y-o-y net in<strong>com</strong>e growth fromSR33.4mn in 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR35.5mn in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> an increase in investment in<strong>com</strong>eduring <strong>the</strong> year.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced its 1Q-09 resultswherein it <strong>report</strong>ed a y-o-y increase of 3.8% in net profit <strong>to</strong> SR 5.5mn, In March 2009,SASCO in partnership with NCB has announced 0% down-payment & low 4.99%interest scheme <strong>to</strong> Saudi cus<strong>to</strong>mers on purchase of Chevrolet and GMC.JUNE 2009SAUDI AUTOMOTIVE SERVICES COMPANY151


RETAILAhmed H. Fitaihi CoAlsoknown asFitaihiiPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR15.2SR0.8bn ($202.9mn)50.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 24.3/8.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 41.33 11.0412m 35.36 9.44Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.96 1.01ReutersBloomberg4180.SEAHFCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 19 31 (28)Market (%) 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 9 20 (16)Website: www.fitaihi <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 112.0 NM 27.5P/B (x) 2.0 2.8 0.9P/Sales (x) 11.1 14.8 2.7Div yield (%) - - -Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.13MSCI Saudi (domestic –small cap) 1.32Free float (%)Free float 78.73Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Fitaihi (RHS)Ahmed Hussain Ahmed Fitaihi 21.2Source: NCBC Research252015105-Ahmed H. Fitaihi Company (AHF), established in 1992, is engaged in <strong>the</strong> design,manufacture and wholesale & retail distribution of gems, jewelry and preciouss<strong>to</strong>nes. The <strong>com</strong>pany has two marketing subsidiaries - Marina B Creation Vadosand Marina B Geneve, which market its products across <strong>the</strong> globe.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 120 111 120 194 62.5 17.5EBITDA SRmn 19 13 13 34 169.6 20.6Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 9 11 1 19 2,208.1 27.8Assets SRmn 687 694 765 720 (5.9) 1.6Equity SRmn 627 627 637 560 (12.1) (3.7)Total Debt SRmn 28 37 87 71 (18.4) 36.4Cash & Equiv SRmn 250 32 15 14 (7.8) (61.8)EBITDA Mgn % 16.2 12.2 10.6 17.6 -Net Mgn % 7.7 10.0 0.7 9.9 - -ROE % 1.9 1.8 0.1 3.2 - -ROA % 1.6 1.6 0.1 2.6 - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR 2.9 0.3 0.0 0.4 1,815.7 (48.9)BVPS SR 196.2 16.5 15.3 11.2 (27.0) (61.5)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: AHF’s product portfolio includes precious s<strong>to</strong>nes, jewelry, consumerproducts, beauty products, kitchenware, lea<strong>the</strong>r products and clothing, accessories,perfumes, medical equipment, industrial parts, etc. The <strong>com</strong>pany has presence in <strong>the</strong>hospital industry through its 19.3% investment in International Medical Center and a5.7% stake in Dar Al Fouad Hospital. AHF also holds a 20% stake in Fitaihi Junior.The <strong>com</strong>pany owns two premium department s<strong>to</strong>res under <strong>the</strong> brand name "FITAIHI"in Jeddah and Riyadh, in addition <strong>to</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r outlets.• Financials: AHF’s revenues grew by 62.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR194.3mn in 2008. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDA margins increased by 700 basis points <strong>to</strong> reach 17.6% owing <strong>to</strong>higher revenues and lower operating (S,G&A) expenses. Driven by this and decreasein o<strong>the</strong>r non-operating expenses, <strong>the</strong> net in<strong>com</strong>e grew significantly from SR0.8mn in2007 <strong>to</strong> SR19.2mn in 2008.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed 26.6% y-o-y decline inQ1-09 net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR6.4mn. In August 2008, AHF’s subsidiary bought 5% stake inOriental Weavers Carpet Co. for EGP153mn. On May 07, 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panyannounced setting up of two <strong>com</strong>panies that will invest in real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r, each witha capital of SR100mn (USD26.6mn). In <strong>the</strong> same month, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’sshareholders gave approval <strong>to</strong> raise capital by 30% <strong>to</strong> SR500mn through a bonusissue of 1:3.34.JUNE 2009AHMED H.FITAIHI COMPANY152


RETAILAbdullah Al-OthaimAlso known asAl-OthaimPriceSR41.2Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.9bn ($247.5mn)Sh. outstanding22.5mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 86.0/23.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 13.15 3.5112m NA NARaw Beta 6m 1yr1.01 NAReuters4001.SEBloombergAOTHAIM ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 2 14 NAMarket (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 9 20 (16)Website: www othaimmarkets <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) - - 14.4P/B (x) - - 3.0P/Sales (x) - - 0.3Div yield (%) - - 3.8Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company (Al-Othaim), established in 1980, is asubsidiary of Saudi Arabia-based Al-Othaim Holding Company. The <strong>com</strong>pany is afood and consumer products retailer and wholesaler. AlOthaim also holds a 13.7%stake in AlOthaim Real Estate Investment and Development Company.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,452 1,823 2,320 2,915 25.6 26.1EBITDA SRmn 63 77 90 107 17.9 19.0Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 49 58 60 62 4.2 8.0Assets SRmn 461 598 784 1,081 37.8 32.8Equity SRmn 225 238 237 299 26.3 10.0Total Debt SRmn 3 95 110 285 159.5 344.5Cash & Equiv SRmn 44 22 18 27 48.1 (15.5)EBITDA Mgn % 4.4 4.2 3.9 3.7 - -Net Mgn % 3.4 3.2 2.6 2.1 - -ROE % 33.1 25.1 25.2 23.2 - -ROA % 13.9 11.0 8.7 6.7 - -Div Payout % - - 102.4 54.2 - -EPS SR - 2.6 2.7 2.8 4.2 -BVPS SR 10.0 10.6 10.5 13.3 26.3 10.0Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008NA%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncNAWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.11MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 51.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000Jul-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)A. Othaim M arkets (RHS)80706050403020Al Othaim Holding Company 49.0Abdullah Saleh Ali Al A<strong>the</strong>em 6.0Fahd Abdullah Al A<strong>the</strong>em 5.0Huda Abdullah Al A<strong>the</strong>em 5.0Abeer Abdullah Al A<strong>the</strong>em 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: AlOthaim primarily operates through four business modelshypermarkets, supermarkets, convenience s<strong>to</strong>res, and wholesale s<strong>to</strong>res. The<strong>com</strong>pany owns and operates a chain of 77 s<strong>to</strong>res spread across Riyadh region, northand Aseer. Al-Othaim also has ten warehouses provided with <strong>the</strong> latest dry and colds<strong>to</strong>rage facilities and ac<strong>com</strong>panied by a fleet of distribution vehicles. The <strong>com</strong>panyalso plans <strong>to</strong> open s<strong>to</strong>res in Jeddah and Medina by 2010.• Financials: During <strong>the</strong> period 2005-08, Al-Othaim’s revenues more than doubled,witnessing a robust CAGR of 26.1%. However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany has <strong>report</strong>eddeteriorating EBITDA margins over <strong>the</strong> years due <strong>to</strong> higher cost of sales. The trendcontinued in 2008 with <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ing a 25.6% y-o-y increase in revenuesfrom SR2,320.1mn in 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR2,914.9mn. In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDA margindeclined <strong>to</strong> 3.7%. Accordingly, Al-Othaim’s bot<strong>to</strong>m-line witnessed a modest growth of4.2% y-o-y from SR59.8mn in 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR62.3mn in 2008• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced its 1Q-09 resultswherein it <strong>report</strong>ed 30% y-o-y decline in net profit <strong>to</strong> SR16.4mn. In November 2008,<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany appointed CISCO for meeting <strong>the</strong> infrastructure needs of its<strong>com</strong>munication network. In June 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced its Initial Public Offerof 6.75mn shares at <strong>the</strong> price of SR40 per share and was listed on Tadawul under <strong>the</strong>Retail sec<strong>to</strong>r on July 14, 2008.JUNE 2009ABDULLAH AL-OTHAIM153


RETAILNational AgricultureAlsoknown asTHIMARPriceSR35.6Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.4bn ($95.1mn)Sh. outstanding10.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 39.4/10.3Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 62.82 16.7812m 32.85 8.77Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.95 1.43Reuters4160.SEBloombergTHIMAR ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 34 105 10Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 9 20 (16)Website: www.thimar <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NM 205.8 NMP/B (x) 4.9 5.9 1.8P/Sales (x) 4.2 4.4 1.0Div yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0National Agriculture Marketing Co (THIMAR), headquartered in Riyadh, is engagedin <strong>the</strong> production, procurement, processing and marketing of agricultural products,accessories, meat, and o<strong>the</strong>r supplies through its various dealers. The <strong>com</strong>panywas established in 1987 and holds a 100% stake in Wasmi Meat.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 84 104 122 146 20.0 20.1EBITDA SRmn (1) (7) 1 2 96.0 NMNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 2 (16) 3 (8) NM NMAssets SRmn 119 108 121 118 (2.5) (0.1)Equity SRmn 105 89 91 84 (8.5) (7.3)Total Debt SRmn - 5 2 NA NA NMCash & Equiv SRmn 2 18 3 2 (37.0) 5.4EBITDA Mgn % (1.3) (6.3) 0.7 1.2 - -Net Mgn % 2.9 (15.5) 2.1 (5.3) - -ROE % 2.4 (16.7) 2.8 (8.8) - -ROA % 2.2 (14.3) 2.2 (6.5) - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR 4.2 (1.6) 0.3 (0.8) NM NMBVPS SR 52.5 8.9 9.1 8.3 (8.4) NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.08MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 0.00Free float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08Aug-08Nov-08Feb-09M ay-09TASIThim'ar (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: THIMAR is primarily involved in <strong>the</strong> sale of agricultural and meatproducts <strong>to</strong> its clients, which include hotels, restaurants, and <strong>the</strong> military sec<strong>to</strong>r. Inaddition, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany provides services for <strong>the</strong> operation, management, andmarketing of agricultural projects. THIMAR is also involved in <strong>the</strong> wholesale and retailtrading of agricultural and meat products. In addition, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany grants creditfacilities <strong>to</strong> its cus<strong>to</strong>mers for payment within a month.• Financials: THIMAR has <strong>report</strong>ed consistent revenue growth over <strong>the</strong> previous yearswith a CAGR of 20.1% during 2005-08. Keeping in line with <strong>the</strong> trend, in 2008,revenues grew 20.0% y-o-y. Driven by revenue growth and decline in operating(SG&A) expenses, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed significant EBITDA growth of 96% y-o-yduring <strong>the</strong> year. This resulted in a 50 basis points increase in <strong>the</strong> EBITDA marginsduring 2008. However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany posted a net loss of SR7.7mn during 2008<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a profit of SR2.6mn in 2007, mainly due <strong>to</strong> investment losses as well asdecline in o<strong>the</strong>r in<strong>com</strong>e.• Recent developments: The <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a net loss of SR1.51mn in 1Q-09,<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a loss of SR 951,131 for <strong>the</strong> same period last year. In June 2008, AbdelSource: NCBC ResearchRahman Saleh Al Hadheef was appointed as chairman of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s Board ofDirec<strong>to</strong>rs.JUNE 2009NATIONAL AGRICULTURE MARKETING COMPANY154


RETAILAlkhaleej TrainingAlso known asAlkhaleejPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009SR48.1Mkt capSR0.7bn ($192.7mn)Sh. outstanding 15.0mKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 68.8/23.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 37.07 9.9012m 22.94 6.12Raw Beta 6m 1yr1.39 0.98ReutersBloomberg4290.SEALKHLEEJ ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 3 54 (23)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 9 20 (16)Website: www alkhaleej.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) - 36.7 11.0P/B (x) - 8.6 2.3P/Sales (x) - 4.4 1.3Div yield (%) - - 1.7Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.07MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 41.20Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Alkhaleej Trng (RHS)Abdul Aziz Rashid Abdul Rahman Al 20.3RashidAbdul Aziz Hamaad Nasser AlBulaihid13.3Ahmed Ali Ahmed Al Shedwy 13.3AlWaleed Abdul Razzaq Saleh Al 11.8DuraianAhmed Mohammed Salim Al Sirry 7.6Source: NCBC Research80604020-Alkhaleej Training and Education Company (Alkhaleej), was established in 1992 andconducts training programs in <strong>the</strong> fields of IT, electronics, English language, andadministrative and financial services. The <strong>com</strong>pany has more than 81 branches inSaudi Arabia and in more than 17 locations in <strong>the</strong> Middle East.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 213 242 301 346 14.9 17.5EBITDA SRmn 57 58 60 70 15.7 7.1Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 39 37 36 41 13.7 1.8Assets SRmn 178 236 302 357 18.4 26.1Equity SRmn 93 115 154 195 26.3 27.8Total Debt SRmn 25 42 45 89 100.7 53.9Cash & Equiv SRmn 12 8 26 34 29.7 41.1EBITDA Mgn % 26.6 23.8 20.0 20.1 - -Net Mgn % 18.2 15.3 12.0 11.8 - -ROE % 41.6 35.6 26.8 23.5 - -ROA % 21.8 17.9 13.4 12.4 - -Div Payout % 18.6 39.0 - 18.3 - -EPS SR 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.1 (12.6) (6.8)BVPS SR 9.3 11.5 15.4 19.5 26.3 27.8Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncComputer training 63.2Language schools 21.8O<strong>the</strong>r professional training 15.0Source: Company,NCBC Research• Business brief: Alkhaleej executes its training programs through its various divisionsincluding New Horizons Computer Learning Centers (<strong>the</strong> largest independent ITtraining <strong>com</strong>pany), Direct English Centers, Platinum Center for Advanced TrainingSolutions (provides advanced <strong>com</strong>puter courses); Takniat for Training, Business &Professional Development (specializes in management training); Kawader (employs<strong>the</strong> graduates of its programs) and E-Learning (provides more than 2000 coursesonline),• Financials: Alkhaleej has recorded a CAGR of 17.5% in revenues over <strong>the</strong> period2005-08 due <strong>to</strong> its established training franchise in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. The <strong>com</strong>pany’srevenues increased 14.9% y-o-y during 2008. The stable revenue growth caused <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDA margin <strong>to</strong> remain steady at 20.1%. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>erose 13.7% during 2008 <strong>to</strong> SR41.0mn in 2008.• Recent developments: For 1Q-09, <strong>the</strong> Company registered a decline in net profit of7% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR10.23mn. In March 2009, CMA approved Alkhaleej request <strong>to</strong> increaseits capital from SR100mn <strong>to</strong> SR150mn by issuing one bonus share for every two held.In July 2008, Alkhaleej bought 11% stake in Injuavon Global System for SR5mn. InJune 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany got <strong>the</strong> market regula<strong>to</strong>r’s approval <strong>to</strong> increase its capital <strong>to</strong>SR100mn through a bonus issue of 1:4.JUNE 2009ALKHALEEJ TRAINING155


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Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsSaudi Electricity 158 PetrochemicalsNational Gas 159 CementRetailEnergy and UtilitiesAgriculture and FoodTele<strong>com</strong> and ITInsuranceMulti InvestmentIndustrial InvestmentBuilding and ConstructionReal EstateTransportationMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


ENERGY AND UTILITIESSaudi ElectricAlso known asSECPriceSR9.9Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR41.2bn ($11,014.5mn)Sh. outstanding4,166.6mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 13.0/8.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 25.84 6.9012m 25.80 6.89Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.25 0.74Reuters5110.SEBloombergSECO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 4 5 (24)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 5 6 (23)Website: www se <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 39.3 43.2 35.9P/B (x) 1.1 1.3 0.8P/Sales (x) 2.7 2.9 1.7Div yield (%) 5.4 4.7 6.5Saudi Electricity Company (Saudi Electric) is <strong>the</strong> largest power genera<strong>to</strong>r in SaudiArabia. Established in 2000, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany engages in <strong>the</strong> generation, transmission,and distribution of electric power across <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. Saudi Electric was formed asa result of <strong>the</strong> consolidation of 10 regional electricity <strong>com</strong>panies.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 18,761 19,707 20,980 22,294 6.3 5.9EBITDA SRmn 6,995 7,447 7,701 7,626 (2.3) 2.4Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,483 1,379 1,424 1,075 (24.5) (10.2)Assets SRmn 117,563 127,208 136,510 145,156 6.3 7.3Equity SRmn 46,262 47,129 48,135 48,523 0.8 1.6Total Debt SRmn 8,341 9,757 19,764 20,142 69.2 58.9Cash & Equiv SRmn 1,008 4,201 5,589 800 (85.7) (7.4)EBITDA Mgn % 37.3 37.8 36.7 34.7 - -Net Mgn % 7.9 7.0 6.8 5.0 - -ROE % 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.2 - -ROA % 1.3 1.1 1.1 0.8 - -Div Payout % 196.7 211.5 204.8 233.3 - -EPS SR 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 (24.5) (10.2)BVPS SR 11.1 11.3 11.6 11.6 0.8 (1.6)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment H12008 Geographic H12008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncSaudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.59MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 2.62Free float (%)Free float 17.28Relative share price perf.11,000159,000107,0005,00053,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISaudi Electricity (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Government of Saudi Arabia 74.3ARAMCO 6.9Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SEC monopolizes <strong>the</strong> generation, transmission, and distribution ofelectricity <strong>to</strong> residential, industrial, <strong>com</strong>mercial, and agricultural cus<strong>to</strong>mers in <strong>the</strong>Kingdom. The Co. also exports and imports energy, and invests in various Saudipower projects. SEC served approx. 5.2mn subscribers and <strong>report</strong>ed a <strong>to</strong>tal availablecapacity of 36,949 MW at <strong>the</strong> end of 2007.• Financials: SEC’s revenues increased 6.3% y-o-y in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> rising demand ledby economic growth; however, <strong>the</strong>re was substantial decline in net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong>SR1,074.8 mn from SR1,424.1 mn in 2007, mainly due <strong>to</strong> higher cost of sales. .• Recent developments: In May 2009, SEC signed a SR82mn contract for setting upof a fuel transportation pipeline from Saudi Aramco distribution station <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> Jizanpower plant. During <strong>the</strong> same month, SEC awarded a SR224mn contract <strong>to</strong> SaudiServices for Electro Mechanic Works Co. for <strong>the</strong> construction of 380kV cables. SECalso signed two contracts <strong>to</strong>taling SR409mn with Saudi Co. for Electrical andMechanical Ltd. and Mohammed Al-Ajimi Corp. <strong>to</strong> install and extend cables. In April2009, SEC <strong>report</strong>ed a net loss of SR771mn for <strong>the</strong> 1Q-09, <strong>the</strong> same as <strong>the</strong>corresponding quarter last year. In March 2009, KSA’s Electricity and CogenerationAuthority announced plans <strong>to</strong> split SEC in<strong>to</strong> four independent power generation<strong>com</strong>panies <strong>to</strong> encourage privatization in <strong>the</strong> sec<strong>to</strong>r.JUNE 2009S A U D I E L E C T R I C I T Y C O M P A N Y158


ENERGY AND UTILITIESNational GasAlso known asGASCOPriceSR23.4Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.8bn ($468.6mn)Sh. outstanding75.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 32.5/14.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 12.89 3.4412m 18.13 4.84Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.50 1.00Reuters2080.SEBloombergNGIC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 10 14 (19)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 5 6 (23)Website: www.gasco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 21.7 18.6 8.7P/B (x) 2.4 2.3 1.4P/Sales (x) 1.8 1.9 0.9Div yield (%) 3.1 4.3 8.6National Gas & Industrialization Company (GASCO) was founded in 1963 as a resul<strong>to</strong>f merger of two <strong>com</strong>panies. GASCO is engaged in filling, refilling and distributionof liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), designing and execution gas networks; sellingand installing gas tanks and gas cylinders.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,281 1,340 1,392 1,471 5.7 4.7EBITDA SRmn 107 122 145 116 (19.8) 2.6Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 175 111 139 149 6.7 (5.2)Assets SRmn 1,600 1,270 1,494 1,297 (14.1) (7.1)Equity SRmn 1,207 992 1,140 941 (14.0) (6.7)Total Debt SRmn 3 - - - - (100.0)Cash & Equiv SRmn 1 5 19 46 136.0 226.3EBITDA Mgn % 8.4 9.1 10.4 7.9 - -Net Mgn % 13.6 8.3 10.0 10.1 - -ROE % 15.0 10.1 13.1 14.0 - -ROA % 11.0 7.8 10.1 10.7 - -Div Payout % 81.7 67.3 80.7 75.0 - -EPS SR 2.3 1.5 1.9 2.0 6.7 (5.2)BVPS SR 16.1 13.2 15.2 13.1 (14.0) (6.7)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment H12008 Geographic H12008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncReal Estate Construction Engg Services 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.27MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 2.41Free float (%)Free float 68.95Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)40302010Gas&Industrialization (RHS)Saeed Ali Ghadran Al Ghamdi 11.9Public Investment Fund 10.9General Organization for Social 6.1InsuranceSource: NCBC Research-Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: GASCO sells LPG gas cylinders across KSA (in sizes of 26.5 litersand 52.5 liters). The <strong>com</strong>pany also provides various types of gas tanks and relatedaccessories. About 350 carriers of GASCO have a capacity of 40,000 liters each,while <strong>the</strong> remaining 42 have a capacity ranging from 11,000–23,000 liters each. Thefilling plants are located in Riyadh, Jeddah, Dammam, Al Madinah, Taif, Bureidah andKhamis Mushait. The <strong>com</strong>pany also designs and implements gas networks for retailand industrial cus<strong>to</strong>mers.• Financials: On a y-o-y basis, GASCO’s sales increased by 5.7% in 2008, while netin<strong>com</strong>e rose 6.7% due <strong>to</strong> increase in investment in<strong>com</strong>e. However, higher cost ofsales led <strong>to</strong> decline in EBIDTA margins <strong>to</strong> 7.9% in 2008 from 10.4% in 2007. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDA was down <strong>to</strong> SR116.0 mn in 2008 from SR144.7 mn in 2007.• Recent developments: In May 2009, GASCO signed a MoU for <strong>the</strong> setting up of anatural gas distribution station in Hail by 2011 for a <strong>to</strong>tal cost of SR100mn. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit for <strong>the</strong> 1Q-09 decreased 57% y-o-y <strong>to</strong>, SR12.5mn. In January2009, Abdullah Al-Ali Al-Naim was appointed as <strong>the</strong> Chairman of <strong>the</strong> Board ofDirec<strong>to</strong>rs. In July 2008, Saudi Arabia’s Council of Ministers approved <strong>the</strong> proposal of<strong>the</strong> Saudi Economic Council <strong>to</strong> maintain GASCO’s distribution of gas derivatives for afur<strong>the</strong>r five years.JUNE 2009N A T I O N A L G A S159


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Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsSavola Group 162 PetrochemicalsAlmarai Company 163 CementNational Agriculture 164 RetailHail Agriculture 165 Energy and UtilitiesQassim Agriculture 166 Agriculture and FoodJazan Development 167 Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITSaudi Dairy & Foodstuff 168 InsuranceAl-Jouf Agriculture 169 Multi InvestmentFood Products 170 Industrial InvestmentAnaam International 171 Building and ConstructionHalwani Bro<strong>the</strong>rs 172 Real EstateSaudi Fisheries 173 TransportationTabuk Agriculture 174 Media and PublishingAsh Sharqiyah Development 175 Hotels and Tourism


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESSavola GroupAlso known asSavolaPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR23.1S11.6bn ($3,084.1mn)500.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 38.3/16.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 24.35 6.5012m 31.64 8.45Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.99 1.13ReutersBloomberg2050.SESAVOLA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 0 38 (38)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www savola <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 15.3 14.6 59.8P/B (x) 2.9 2.5 1.8P/Sales (x) 1.9 1.7 0.9Div yield (%) 2.1 3.1 4.1Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.96MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 2.74Free float (%)Free float 75.73Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)40302010SAVOLA Group (RHS)Mohammed Ibrahim Mohammed Al 11.9EssaAbdullah Mohammed Abdullah Al 8.7RabeahGeneral Organization for Social 9.3InsuranceAl-Muhaid b Co. 8.4Source: NCBC Research-Savola Group is a leading retailer of foods in <strong>the</strong> Middle East region, withoperations extending as far as North Africa and Central Asia. The group’s businessinterests are divided in<strong>to</strong> two segments: Savola Foods Sec<strong>to</strong>r (edible oils, sugarand foods) and Savola Retail Sec<strong>to</strong>r (retail outlets, real estate and plastics).Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 6,857 9,097 10,410 13,795 32.5 26.2EBITDA SRmn 657 745 826 990 19.8 14.6Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,202 1,149 1,230 202 (83.5) NMAssets SRmn 8,117 11,275 11,590 14,527 25.3 21.4Equity SRmn 2,985 6,084 7,157 6,550 (8.5) 29.9Total Debt SRmn 2,562 2,395 1,903 4,709 147.4 22.5Cash & Equiv SRmn 265 2,894 335 544 62.5 27.0EBITDA Mgn % 9.6 8.2 7.9 7.2 - -Net Mgn % 17.5 12.6 11.8 1.5 - -ROE % 47.6 25.3 18.6 3.0 - -ROA % 16.8 11.8 10.8 1.5 - -Div Payout % 29.9 32.6 45.7 247.1 - -EPS SR 40.1 3.1 3.3 0.4 (87.7) NMBVPS SR 99.5 16.2 19.1 13.1 (31.4) NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc/(Loss) Breakup %Rev % Net Inc/(Loss)Food Manufacturing 58 0 Saudi Arabia 73Retail 36 76 Iran 12Plastics 6 24 Egypt 10Rest 5Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Savola enjoys a leading position in edible oils and sugar retailing viaits 79 retail outlets spread across <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. The group operates through affiliatesincluding Afia International (95% stake), Azizia Panda United (80%), and UnitedSugar Co. (65%). It has diversified in<strong>to</strong> real estate with stakes in United PropertiesCo. (100%) and Kinan Intl. Real Estate Development Co. (30%) amongst o<strong>the</strong>rs.• Financials: During 2008, Savola’s sales were up 32.5% y-o-y from SR10,410mn in2007 <strong>to</strong> SR 13,795mn in 2008. EBITDA margins recorded a decline of 70 basis points<strong>to</strong> 7.2% in 2008 from 7.9% in 2007 due <strong>to</strong> higher cost of sales and operatingexpenses during <strong>the</strong> period. Higher operating expenses coupled with lowerinvestment in<strong>com</strong>e also led <strong>to</strong> a 83.5% y-o-y decline in net in<strong>com</strong>e from SR1,230mnin 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR202.4mn in 2008.• Recent developments: In April ’09, Savola upped stake in Almarai Co., SavolaFoods Co. and Afia Egypt <strong>to</strong> 29%, 90% and 99.8%, spending SR500mn, SR167mnand SR65mn, respectively. In <strong>the</strong> same month, Savola released 1Q-09 result,<strong>report</strong>ing 22.8% y-o-y decline in net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR193mn. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panyannounced <strong>to</strong> hike its annual edible oil refining capacity <strong>to</strong> 0.4mn <strong>to</strong>nnes by <strong>the</strong> endof 2009. In March ‘09, Savola reiterated its expansion plans and looks <strong>to</strong> open 12new s<strong>to</strong>res in 2009. In Jan 09, Savola got approval <strong>to</strong> set up a sugar fac<strong>to</strong>ry in Egypt.JUNE 2009SAVOLA GROUP162


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESAlmarai CompanyAlso known asAlmaraiPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. OutstandingKey statisticsSR144.5SR15.8bn ($4,205.7mn)109.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 185.0/110.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 21.82 5.8312m 33.36 8.91Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.59 0.98ReutersBloomberg2280.SEALMARAI ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 1 (5) (5)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www.almarai.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 16.1 19.6 16.8P/B (x) 4.0 4.3 4.2P/Sales (x) 2.7 3.5 3.0Div yield (%) 5.6 2.1 2.5Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.47MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 1.41Free float (%)Free float 41.72Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)20015010050-Almarai (RHS)HH Prince Sultan Mohammed Saud 30.2Al Kabir Al SaudSavola Group 27.9Omran Mohammed Al Omran and 5.7CompanySource: NCBC ResearchAlmarai Company, based in Riyadh, is engaged in <strong>the</strong> production and distribution ofa range of dairy and food products as well as beverages. The <strong>com</strong>pany, establishedin 1976, sells products through its own retail outlets under several strong brandssuch as ALMARAI and ALYOUM.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 2,146 2,757 3,770 5,030 33.4 32.8EBITDA SRmn 559 709 1,096 1,440 31.3 37.1Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 386 465 667 910 36.4 33.1Assets SRmn 2,976 3,768 6,336 8,181 29.1 40.1Equity SRmn 1,429 1,894 3,053 3,617 18.5 36.3Total Debt SRmn 1,111 1,388 2,592 3,644 40.6 48.6Cash & Equiv SRmn 42 67 138 247 78.7 80.9EBITDA Mgn % 26.0 25.7 29.1 28.6 - -Net Mgn % 18.0 16.9 17.7 18.1 - -ROE % 30.3 28.0 27.0 27.3 - -ROA % 14.4 13.8 13.2 12.5 - -Div Payout % - 89.9 40.8 41.9 - -EPS SR 19.3 2.2 6.1 8.4 36.4 NMBVPS SR 71.4 9.1 28.0 33.2 18.5 NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008Breakup %Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncFresh Dairies 49.2 Saudi Arabia 68.7Cheese and Butter 20.4 O<strong>the</strong>r GCC 30.0Bakery Products 10.2 O<strong>the</strong>r countries 1.3Dairy Products 9.9Fruit Juices 9.6O<strong>the</strong>r products 0.6Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Almarai’s portfolio <strong>com</strong>prises fresh and long-life dairy products (suchas milk, natural and fruit yoghurts, cream and evaporated milk), several fruit juiceflavors, cheese and butter, bakery products, and o<strong>the</strong>r items such as <strong>to</strong>ma<strong>to</strong> pasteand jams. The <strong>com</strong>pany has a leading 27% market share in <strong>the</strong> GCC dairy market. Ithas a 59% milk market share in KSA• Financials: Almarai’s revenues increased 33.4% on y-o-y basis <strong>to</strong> SR5,029.9mn in2008 from SR3769.8mn in 2007. However, <strong>the</strong> EBITDA margin contracted 50 basispoints y-o-y <strong>to</strong> 28.6% in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> higher operating (S,G&A) expenses. Revenuegrowth supported 36.4% y-o-y increase in net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR910.3mn in 2008.• Recent developments: In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany agreed on a share swap dealwith Hail Agricultural Development Co. (HADCO) wherein <strong>the</strong> latter’s shareholderswill receive 1 share of Almarai for 5 shares in HADCO. In April 2009, Almarai<strong>report</strong>ed a 21.7% y-o-y growth in <strong>the</strong> 1Q-09 net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR197.4mn. In March2009, Almarai announced <strong>to</strong> enter <strong>the</strong> infant formula milk market with an investmen<strong>to</strong>f SR650mn. In Feb 2009, Almarai announced a JV with PepsiCo Inc. for investing indairy and juice processors in Asia, Africa and Middle East.JUNE 2009 ALMARAI COMPANY 163


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESNational AgricultureAlsoknown asNADECPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR38.4SR2.3bn ($615.2mn)60.0 mn52 week range H/L (SR) 45.3/23.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 18.67 4.9812m 13.66 3.65Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.84 1.08ReutersBloomberg6010.SENADEC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 12 12 (12)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www nadec.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 19.7 22.0 23.6P/B (x) 1.6 2.4 1.8P/Sales (x) 1.9 2.3 1.4Div yield (%) 3.5 - 2.4Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.26MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 2.71Free float (%)Free float 50.04Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-NADEC (RHS)Public Investment Fund 20.0Suleiman Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 19.7Saleh Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 11.4Abdullah Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 8.3Riyad Mohammed Abdullah AlHumaidanSource: NCBC Research7.5National Agriculture Development Company (NADEC) <strong>com</strong>menced operations in1981 with a 20% government stake. The <strong>com</strong>pany focuses on agriculturalproduction, food processing and distribution. NADEC operates in three businesssegments – agricultural, dairy and juice products, all sold under <strong>the</strong> NADEC brand.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 703 852 1,083 1,339 23.6 24.0EBITDA SRmn 142 183 196 258 31.6 22.0Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 58 81 116 80 (30.5) 11.6Assets SRmn 1,270 1,368 1,900 2,414 27.0 23.9Equity SRmn 942 977 1,064 1,060 (0.4) 4.0Total Debt SRmn 57 103 445 922 107.0 153.6Cash & Equiv SRmn 27 4 17 18 7.1 (12.3)EBITDA Mgn % 20.2 21.4 18.1 19.3 - -Net Mgn % 8.2 9.5 10.7 6.0 - -ROE % 6.3 8.5 11.3 7.6 - -ROA % 4.9 6.2 7.1 3.7 - -Div Payout % 77.2 69.8 - 56.0 - -EPS SR 7.8 2.2 2.8 1.3 (52.5) NMBVPS SR 126.5 25.9 25.9 17.7 (31.9) NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncDairies, Fresh & Canned vegetables 70 Saudi Arabia 100Wheat, Corn & Pota<strong>to</strong>es farming 30Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: The Company offers a wide range of products under each of itsoperating segments. Under its agricultural segment, NADEC offers manufacturedproducts such as <strong>to</strong>ma<strong>to</strong> paste, grains, vegetables, fruits, fodder, olives and honey.The dairy product segment offers long-life products (including cheese and milk),deserts and special products. The juice segment offers a range of fresh and long-lifejuices in different size containers.• Financials: NADEC’s revenues have shown consistent growth with 23.6% y-o-ygrowth in 2008 and a CAGR of 24.0% during 2005-08. Driven by higher sales,NADEC’s EBITDA also grew 31.6% y-o-y. However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>etumbled 30.5% in 2008 largely due <strong>to</strong> higher interest expenses during <strong>the</strong> year. TheROE of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany fell <strong>to</strong> 7.6% while ROA also declined <strong>to</strong> 3.7% in 2008.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany recorded a net loss of SR4.4mnfor 1Q-09 vs. SR4.1mn net profit in 1Q-08. In February 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany won aninitial court ruling over a land dispute against Saudi Aramco. In November ’08,NADEC announced <strong>to</strong> enhance focus in <strong>the</strong> GCC region due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> growing demandand signed a long-term contract with UAE based Planet Nutrition. In April 2008, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany announced, its shareholders approval of one-for-two bonus shares thusmaking capital <strong>to</strong> 600 mn Saudi riyals from 400 mn Saudi riyals.JUNE 2009NATIONAL AGRICULTURE164


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESHail AgricultureAlso known asHADCOPriceSR27.4Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.8bn ($219.5mn)Sh. outstanding30.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 29.4/13.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 22.79 6.0912m 19.49 5.20Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.94 1.11Reuters6030.SEBloombergHAACO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 7 30 7Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www hadco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 29.7 19.9 9.8P/B (x) 2.0 2.3 1.3P/Sales (x) 2.9 3.1 1.6Div yield (%) 1.8 1.5 2.4Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.18MSCI Saudi (domestic –small cap) 1.0Free float (%)Free float 99.99Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASIHail Agriculture (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Saleh Abdulaziz Al Rajhi and Co. 6.0Source: NCBC ResearchHail Agriculture Development Company (HADCO) headquartered in Hail, wasestablished in 1982. In Nov.08, Almarai offered <strong>to</strong> buy HADCO through a share swaparrangement, which is pending for shareholders’ and regula<strong>to</strong>ry approvals. The<strong>com</strong>pany markets diversified agricultural products under <strong>the</strong> brand ‘HADCO’.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 244 283 333 395 18.7 17.5EBITDA SRmn 72 86 112 132 18.0 22.3Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 31 28 51 65 26.7 27.9Assets SRmn 516 577 621 619 (0.4) 6.3Equity SRmn 397 414 451 495 9.7 7.6Total Debt SRmn - 41 45 20 (55.0) NMCash & Equiv SRmn 24 15 31 10 (68.2) (25.9)EBITDA Mgn % 29.7 30.5 33.7 33.5 - -Net Mgn % 12.7 9.9 15.4 16.4 - -ROE % 8.1 6.9 11.8 13.7 - -ROA % 6.5 5.1 8.5 10.5 - -Div Payout % 48.4 53.6 29.3 23.1 - -EPS SR 5.2 0.9 1.7 2.2 26.7 NMBVPS SR 66.2 13.8 15.0 16.5 9.7 NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncPoultry 59.0 33.1Agriculture 41.0 66.9Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: HADCO operates through two main divisions—Agriculture andPoultry—over an area of 35,000 hectares. Under <strong>the</strong> Agriculture segment, HADCOgrows various products including wheat; yellow corn; alfalfa; palm trees producingdates and grapes. Under <strong>the</strong> Poultry segment, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany operates six poultryfarms, and has an annual capacity of 215,000 hens and 31mn eggs.• Financials: HADCO’s revenues increased 18.7% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR394.9mn in 2008 drivenby growth in <strong>the</strong> Agriculture and Poultry segment. Driven by this, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’sEBITDA grew 18.0% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR132.3mn. However, EBITDA margins declined 20basis points y-o-y <strong>to</strong> 33.5% in 2008 mainly due <strong>to</strong> higher operating (S,G&A andamortization) expenses.• Recent developments: In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany agreed on a share swap dealwith Almarai Co. wherein <strong>the</strong> formers’ shareholders will receive 1 share of Almarai for5 shares in HADCO. In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced 73.0% y-o-y decline 1Q-09 net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR4.9mn. In February 2009, HADCO entered in<strong>to</strong> a rental contractwith Ministry of Agriculture for a 28.5 mn sq meter land in Hail primarily aimed atexpansion of poultry business. HADCO announced, in February 2009, plans <strong>to</strong> investin farming activity in Sudan. In November 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany appointed a financialand legal advisor <strong>to</strong> evaluate Saudi based Al Marai Company bid <strong>to</strong> take over <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany through a share swap of 1:6 shares for HAIL’s shareholders.JUNE 2009HAIL AGRICULTURE165


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESQassim AgricultureAlso known asGACOPriceSR12.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($159.5mn)Sh. outstanding50.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 15.5/6.4Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 47.05 12.5612m 26.77 7.15Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.99 1.24Reuters6020.SEBloombergQAACO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 11 35 (22)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: NAValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NM NM NMP/B (x) 2.6 2.8 0.9P/Sales (x) 16.0 23.1 4.3Div yield (%) NA NA NAWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.13MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.96Free float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,000209,000157,000105,00053,000-M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASI Qassim Agriculture (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Qassim Agriculture Co. (GACO) was established in 1985 and is headquartered inQassim. The <strong>com</strong>pany invests in agricultural businesses and lives<strong>to</strong>ck. With <strong>the</strong>acquisition of <strong>the</strong> Al Bandaria Group, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany made an entry in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> yogurtsegment.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 37 66 49 88 79.6 33.2EBITDA SRmn 10 16 13 1 (91.2) (50.9)Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 72 (55) (3) 0 NM (84.1)Assets SRmn 567 504 498 574 15.2 0.4Equity SRmn 464 407 404 406 0.3 (4.4)Total Debt SRmn 10 8 6 6 2.3 (17.1)Cash & Equiv SRmn 11 52 12 2 (86.2) (46.8)EBITDA Mgn % 25.5 24.0 26.2 1.3 - -Net Mgn % 191.3 (83.2) (5.8) 0.3 - -ROE % 17.4 (12.5) (0.7) 0.1 - -ROA % 14.7 (10.2) (0.6) 0.1 - -Div Payout % NA NA NA 0.0 - -EPS SR 7.2 (1.1) (0.1) 0.0 NM (90.7)BVPS SR 46.4 8.1 8.5 8.1 (4.9) (44.1)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWheat & Corn Farming 71 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Dates Production 26Dairies Production 3Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: GACO’s main business line involves investment in agriculturalproducts and lives<strong>to</strong>ck. In addition, GACO produces 2,500 <strong>to</strong>ns of dates, 25,000 <strong>to</strong>nsof corn, and 42,000 <strong>to</strong>ns of wheat annually. GACO is also a distribu<strong>to</strong>r of dates anddairy products. To meet its internal requirements, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany also invests in <strong>the</strong>construction of cooling s<strong>to</strong>res; transportation; and import of fodder, cereals, andagricultural equipment. GACO has invested approximately SR20mn in Saudi based<strong>com</strong>panies.• Financials: GACO’s revenues grew significantly by 79.6% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR88.4mn in 2008.However, its EBITDA tumbled 91.2% during <strong>the</strong> year due <strong>to</strong> increased cost of sales,resulting in EBTIDA margin of 1.3% in 2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> 26.2% in 2007. GACO’sbot<strong>to</strong>m-line of SR0.3mn turned in<strong>to</strong> positive terri<strong>to</strong>ry in 2008, after two consecutive yearof losses, driven by higher o<strong>the</strong>r non-operating in<strong>com</strong>e during <strong>the</strong> year.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed 80.0% y-o-y decline in1Q-09 net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR0.1mn. In December 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong>dacquisition of Al Bandariah Group for SR153.6mn. On July 02, 2008, GACO receivedSource: NCBC Researchsix-year Murbaha facility worth SR 75mn ($20 mn) from Al Rajhi Bank for buyingproperty in Medina and Mekkah. On June 30, 2008, <strong>the</strong> Company announced itsplans <strong>to</strong> begin a new SR250mn (USD66.7 mn) poultry project.JUNE 2009QASSIM AGRICULTURE CO.166


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESJazan DevelopmentAlso known asJAZADCOPriceSR12.8Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($170.9mn)Sh. outstanding50.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 18.5/7.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 28.04 7.4912m 17.90 4.78Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.74 1.16Reuters6090.SEBloombergGIZACO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 29 42 (29)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www jazadco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 8.9 87.4 23.4P/B (x) 1.5 1.6 0.7P/Sales (x) 64.8 46.6 11.1Div yield (%) 4.1 2.0 5.4Jazan Development Co. (JAZADCO), headquartered in Gazan was established in 1993<strong>to</strong> conduct agriculture and aquaculture activities in KSA. JAZADCO’s subsidiariesinclude Solenda Aquaculture (U.K.) with a 50% stake, Jannat Agricultural InvestmentCompany (25% stake) and Tabuk Fisheries Company (20% stake).Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 19 19 27 42 55.3 30.1EBITDA SRmn (4) 1 4 0 (87.9) NMNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 69 137 14 20 39.0 (33.8)Assets SRmn 451 836 795 723 (9.0) 17.0Equity SRmn 422 805 769 675 (12.1) 16.9Total Debt SRmn - - - 20 - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 3 445 110 83 -24.6 191.5EBITDA Mgn % (19.2) 3.5 13.1 1.0 - -Net Mgn % 362.0 732.4 53.3 47.7 - -ROE % 19.8 22.3 1.8 2.7 - -ROA % 17.8 21.2 1.8 2.6 - -Div Payout % 18.3 36.6 175.1 126.0 - -EPS SR 13.7 2.7 0.3 0.4 39.0 NMBVPS SR 84.4 16.1 15.4 13.5 (12.1) NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.14MSCI Saudi (domestic)N/AFree float (%)Free float 98.79Relative share price perf.11,000209,000157,000105,00053,000-M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASI Jazan Development (RHS)Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: JAZADCO provides a range of products under its two operatingsegments—agriculture and aquaculture. The agriculture segment owns and operatesa farm cultivated with tropical fruits such as figs, mangos, guavas, and bananas,while <strong>the</strong> aquaculture segment operates a shrimp farming project. JAZADCO sells itsproducts across Saudi Arabia and exports <strong>to</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC)and European countries.• Financials: JAZADCO’s revenues grew 55.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR41.6mn in 2008. However,EBITDA margins contracted by 12.1 percentage points <strong>to</strong> 1% in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> massiverise in cost of sales during <strong>the</strong> year. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net profitregistered an increase of 39.0% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR19.8mn in 2008.Top 5 shareholders (%)Khaled Saleh Abdul Rahman AlShethrySource: NCBC Research5.1• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany recorded 98.6% y-o-y decline in1Q-09 net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR0.07mn. In February 2009, JAZADCO signed contract worth$41 mn for <strong>the</strong> sale of shrimp. In January 2009, Al-Khabeer Merchant FinanceCorporation signed an agreement with JAZADCO for setting up a SR400mn realestate fund for <strong>the</strong> Jazan Economic City project. In November 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panystarted experimental operation of SR35.6mn bottling fac<strong>to</strong>ry project in Jazan with anannual capacity of 46mn liters. In March 2008, JAZADCO announced that it hadsigned an agreement with Tabuk Fisheries Company (Saudi), under which each<strong>com</strong>pany would acquire a 23.06% stake in Fjord Marin (Turkey).JUNE 2009JAZAN DEVELOPMENT CO167


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESSaudi Dairy & FoodstuffPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR27.5SR0.9bn ($238.7mn)32.5mn52 week range H/L (SR) 43.8/15.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 11.33 3.0212m 17.66 4.72Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.86 1.24ReutersBloomberg2270.SESADAFCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 1 45 (21)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www.sadafco.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2007 2008 2009P/E (x) 43.1 10.1 27.3P/B (x) 3.1 1.1 1.6P/Sales (x) 2.0 0.6 0.8Div yield (%) 2.2 8.6 0.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.12MSCI Saudi (domestic)N/AFree float (%)Free float 58.21Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-SADAFCO (RHS)United Industries Company 30.1Al Samih Trading Company 11.6Global Investment House 8.9Source: NCBC ResearchJeddah-based Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company (SADAFCO) <strong>com</strong>mencedoperations in 1977 focusing on dairy products. The <strong>com</strong>pany later diversified itsproduct line by entering in<strong>to</strong> joint ventures with food <strong>com</strong>panies. SADAFCO nowhas a portfolio <strong>com</strong>prising more than 100 products sold under <strong>the</strong> SAUDIA brand.Company financials2006 2007 2008 2009YoY(%)CAGR(%)(06-09)Net Revenues SRmn 825 769 878 922 5.0 3.8EBITDA SRmn 52 93 104 102 (2.3) 24.8Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (25) 35 56 29 (48.9) NMAssets SRmn 770 732 764 711 (6.9) (2.6)Equity SRmn 455 488 515 502 (2.4) 3.3Total Debt SRmn 139 22 6 1 (80.2) (79.2)Cash & Equiv SRmn 60 105 83 50 (39.8) (5.9)EBITDA Mgn % 6.3 12.2 11.9 11.0 - -Net Mgn % (3.0) 4.5 6.4 3.1 - -ROE % (5.0) 7.4 11.2 5.6 - -ROA % (3.0) 4.6 7.5 3.9 - -Div Payout % - 93.2 87.0 0.0 - -EPS SR (0.8) 1.1 1.7 0.9 (48.9) NMBVPS SR 14.0 15.0 15.8 15.5 (2.4) 3.3Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncLong Shelf Life UHT 69.8 GCC 100.0 100.0Ice-creams 8.9Toma<strong>to</strong> paste 7.3Cheeses 5.6Juices & Flavored Milk 5.2Snacks & Canned Peas/beans 2.9O<strong>the</strong>r Dressings 0.4Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: The <strong>com</strong>pany operates through five main segments—milk, juices,snacks, ice cream, and o<strong>the</strong>r foodstuffs. Under <strong>the</strong> milk segment, SADAFCO offerscus<strong>to</strong>mers a wide range of milk packs and milk shakes. The ice cream segment sellsa number of ice cream flavors, while <strong>the</strong> snacks segment includes a few types ofcrispies. The o<strong>the</strong>r foodstuffs segment produces <strong>to</strong>ma<strong>to</strong> paste and hummus.• Financials: SADAFCO‘s revenue grew 5.0% on y-o-y basis <strong>to</strong> SR922.3mn for <strong>the</strong>year ended March 2009. However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDA margin declined <strong>to</strong> 11.0%as rise in cost of sales and administrative expenses surpassed <strong>the</strong> revenue growth.Net profit declined 48.9% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR28.7mn in FY09. The fall in <strong>the</strong> net in<strong>com</strong>e wasmainly due <strong>to</strong> increase in cost of sales, administrative expenses as well as <strong>the</strong> losseson investment in<strong>com</strong>e.• Recent developments: In April 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany sold land in Riyadh for SR20mn,making a profit of SR15.4mn.JUNE 2009SAUDI DAIRY & FOODSTUFF168


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESAl-Jouf AgricultureAlso known asJADCOPriceSR28.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($149.5n)Sh. Outstanding20.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 38.5/15.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 9.75 2.6012m 15.51 4.14Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.06 1.19Reuters6070.SEBloombergJADCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 1 38 (21)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www.aljouf <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 18.4 16.7 7.6P/B (x) 1.8 2.0 0.9P/Sales (x) 4.0 4.5 2.0Div yield (%) 0.0 1.2 2.4Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.12MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 0.91Free float (%)Free float 95.20Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASIJouff Agriculture (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Al-Jouf Agriculture Development Co. (ALJOUF) was established in 1988. The<strong>com</strong>pany is headquartered in Al Jouf and is engaged in processing, sellingagricultural, and lives<strong>to</strong>ck products. ALJOUF sells its products across Saudi Arabiaand in <strong>the</strong> neighboring states through a network of channels and marketing outlets.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 145 174 189 213 12.5 13.6EBITDA SRmn 41 84 95 96 1.3 32.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 11 38 52 55 6.3 68.8Assets SRmn 393 489 507 545 7.5 11.5Equity SRmn 318 380 430 472 9.8 14.1Total Debt SRmn - 11 1 6 459.0 NMCash & Equiv SRmn 8 37 12 28 129.5 51.2EBITDA Mgn % 28.3 48.0 50.3 45.3 - -Net Mgn % 7.9 21.8 27.3 25.8 - -ROE % 3.7 10.9 12.7 12.2 - -ROA % 3.0 8.6 10.4 10.4 - -Div Payout % 0.0 0.0 19.4 18.2 - -EPS SR 2.8 1.9 2.6 2.7 6.3 NMBVPS SR 79.4 19.0 21.5 23.6 9.8 NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 1H 08 Geographic 1H 08%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncGrain, Fruits and Vegetables 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: ALJOUF’s core activity <strong>com</strong>prises processing and marketingagricultural and animal products. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s product portfolio includes pota<strong>to</strong>es(table and manufacturing) and pota<strong>to</strong> seeds, onion and onion seeds, fruits such aspeaches, plums, apples and almonds. In addition, <strong>the</strong> portfolio includes products suchas olive oil, bee honey, wheat and barley, and alfalfa fodder for lives<strong>to</strong>ck and fodderdealers. ALJOUF has expanded its product profile by including milk production andprocessing (under <strong>the</strong> brand AL-SAFWA DAIRIES), and sheep breeding & fattening.• Financials: ALJOUF’s revenues have shown consistent growth with a CAGR of13.6% during 2005-08 and a 12.5% y-o-y growth in 2008 <strong>to</strong> SR212.8mn. However,<strong>the</strong> EBITDA of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany grew by a meager 1.3% due <strong>to</strong> increase in cost of salesand o<strong>the</strong>r operating expenses during <strong>the</strong> year resulting in a 500 basis pointscontraction in EBITDA margins.• Recent developments: The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>e in 1Q-09 grew 79% y-o-y <strong>to</strong>SR13.8mn. In Feb 2009, ALJOUF announced <strong>to</strong> convert itself in<strong>to</strong> a holding<strong>com</strong>pany. The new entity is expected <strong>to</strong> have three firms under its control. In JanSource: NCBC Research2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced two contracts <strong>to</strong> provide clover crop worth SR61 mn.In Nov 2008, Al JOUF recognized strategic plans <strong>to</strong> venture in<strong>to</strong> new activities,primarily aimed at reducing its reliance on wheat. In April 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s Boardapproved <strong>to</strong> hike <strong>the</strong> capital of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>to</strong> SR250 mn through 1:4 bonus issue.JUNE 2009AL-JOUF AGRICULTURE169


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESFood Products CoAlso known asWafra, Wafra FoodProducts CompanyPriceSR22.8Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.5bn ($121.8mn)Sh. outstanding20.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 28.5/8.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 61.12 16.3212m 35.05 9.36Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.46 1.26Reuters2100.SEBloombergFPCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 7 70 (9)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www.wafrah.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 140.2 103.3 15.8P/B (x) 4.8 4.9 1.3P/Sales (x) 13.3 11.9 2.9Div yield (%) 0 0 0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.10MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.65Free float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,00030207,0005,000103,000-M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASIFood (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Riyadh-based Food Products Company was established in 1989 <strong>to</strong> provide Saudifamilies with high quality food products. It is one of <strong>the</strong> leading food manufacturing<strong>com</strong>panies, concentrating on <strong>the</strong> processing, marketing, distribution, and export ofvalue added foodstuffs. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s target markets are Asia and <strong>the</strong> Middle East.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 50 54 65 76 16.4 14.7EBITDA SRmn 9 11 19 18 (3.3) 25.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (48) 5 8 14 87.3 NMAssets SRmn 128 175 183 186 1.8 13.2Equity SRmn 100 149 158 170 7.6 19.2Total Debt SRmn 8 6 3 0 (100.0) NMCash & Equiv SRmn 2 3 7 5 (21.7) 32.3EBITDA Mgn % 18.2 20.4 29.0 24.1 - -Net Mgn % (95.3) 9.4 11.6 18.7 - -ROE % (36.2) 4.1 4.9 8.6 - -ROA % (29.9) 3.4 4.2 7.7 - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR (11.9) 0.3 0.4 0.7 87.3 NMBVPS SR 25.1 7.4 7.9 8.5 7.6 (30.3)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncCereals, Pasta, Frozen products 100.0 GCC Countries 100.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: The <strong>com</strong>pany’s recognized brand name is WAFRA. The <strong>com</strong>panyhas a 10.0% stake in Jannat Agricultural Investment Co. The operations of FoodProducts Company can be classified in<strong>to</strong> four segments, with a state-of-<strong>the</strong>-art plantfor each segment. The different plants are as follows: meat fac<strong>to</strong>ry (offers beef andchicken burgers, kebabs, frankfurters, etc.), vegetable fac<strong>to</strong>ry (offers frozen frenchfries, pota<strong>to</strong> wedges, and varieties of peanuts), pasta fac<strong>to</strong>ry (produces a wide rangeof pasta under its various brands), and breakfast cereals (supplies corn flakes,frosted flakes, and rice crispies).• Financials: Food Products Company’s sales increased 16.4% on y-o-y basis <strong>to</strong>SR75.6mn in 2008 driven by <strong>the</strong> expansion in marketing outlets. However, <strong>the</strong> rise incost of raw materials led <strong>to</strong> a 3.3% y-o-y decline in <strong>the</strong> EBITDA <strong>to</strong> SR18.2mn. Thisresulted in EBITDA margins falling 590 basis points <strong>to</strong> 24.1% in 2008. Never<strong>the</strong>less,<strong>the</strong> substantial increase in o<strong>the</strong>r non-operating in<strong>com</strong>e during <strong>the</strong> year helped <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> grow 87.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR14.1mn.• Recent Developments: The <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed 3.0% y-o-y decline in 1Q-09 netSource: NCBC Researchin<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR 2.8mn. In March 2009, Saudi agricultural <strong>com</strong>panies established aconsortium, which included Food Products Co., <strong>to</strong> direct $40mn worth of investmentsin Africa’s food production.JUNE 2009FOOD PRODUCTS CO.170


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESAnaam InternationalPriceSR45.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.5bn ($131.0mn)Sh. outstanding10.9mnAnaam International, headquartered in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia was established in1982. The <strong>com</strong>pany is involved in import and wholesale trade of frozen food,production of animal feed, investment in industrial projects and trade of lives<strong>to</strong>ckand patents services. The <strong>com</strong>pany has fac<strong>to</strong>ries and plants at Jouf and Qassim.Key statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 85/24.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 2.16 0.5812m 2.37 0.63Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.16 1.35ReutersBloomberg4061.SEANAAM ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 14 36 (30)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: NAValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/M N/M 77.9P/B (x) 21.7 17.2 3.2P/Sales (x) 19.7 22.4 3.7Div yield (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.10MSCI Saudi (domestic)N/AFree float (%)Free float 89.40Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10080604020-Anaam Holding (RHS)HH Prince Abdullah Bin Turki Abdul 10.7Aziz Al SaudPrice Mishal Abdullah Turki Al Saud 6.8Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 164 120 88 103 16.8 (14.3)EBITDA SRmn (12) (18) 9 9 (7.9) NMNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (35) (317) (6) 5 NM NMAssets SRmn 703 245 247 248 0.2 (29.4)Equity SRmn 559 109 115 120 3.8 (40.2)Total Debt SRmn 30 30 25 22 (11.7) (10.4)Cash & Equiv SRmn 3 42 29 15 (49.7) 68.1EBITDA Mgn % (7.2) (15.2) 10.6 8.4 - -Net Mgn % (21.6) (264.1) (7.1) 4.7 - -ROE % (6.1) (95.0) (5.6) 4.2 - -ROA % (4.8) (66.9) (2.5) 2.0 - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR (1.5) (2.6) (0.6) 0.4 NM NMBVPS SR 23.3 0.9 10.6 11.0 3.8 (22.2)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncTrucking and Transportation 1100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Anaam International is involved in import, export, supply, trade,transportation and breeding of lives<strong>to</strong>ck in Saudi Arabia. The <strong>com</strong>pany also tradesin marine equipment and o<strong>the</strong>r activities related <strong>to</strong> production and transportation ofmeat, management and operation of slaughter houses, processing of meat import,wholesale trade of frozen food, production of animal feed and investment inindustrial projects. The <strong>to</strong>tal production capacity of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany is 66,000 <strong>to</strong>ns ofanimal feed per year.• Financials: Anaam’s revenues increased 16.8% on y-o-y basis <strong>to</strong> SR103.1 mn in2008 driven by increased demand for its products. However, <strong>the</strong> EBITDA fell 7.9%y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR8.6 mn resulting in EBITDA margins contracting by 220 basis points.This was a result of a substantial rise in cost of sales, Conversely, its net in<strong>com</strong>eincreased <strong>to</strong> SR4.9mn in 2008 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a loss of SR6.3mn in 2007 mainly due<strong>to</strong> increase in in<strong>com</strong>e from subsidiaries as well as decline in o<strong>the</strong>r non-operatingexpenses.• Recent Developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a net loss of SR2.7mnfor 1Q-09 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> net profit of SR4.5mn in <strong>the</strong> same period of <strong>the</strong>Source: NCBC Researchprevious year. In July 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany issued a bank guarantee of SR21.8mn <strong>to</strong>release <strong>the</strong> lien of mortgage on its lands in <strong>the</strong> Saudi Al Jouf Province.JUNE 2009ANAAM INTERNATIONAL HOLDING171


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESHalwani Bro<strong>the</strong>rs Co.PriceSR40.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.1bn ($305.2mn)Sh. outstanding28.6mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 40.0/14.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 57.40 15.336m 58.29 15.57Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.78 NAReuters6001.SEBloombergHB ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 61 96 NAMarket (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www.halwani.<strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A N/A 15.4P/B (x) N/A N/A 1.2P/Sales (x) N/A N/A 0.8Div yield (%) N/A N/A 7.29Halwani Bro<strong>the</strong>rs Company (HB), headquartered in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia wasestablished in 1952. It is engaged in production, marketing and distribution of foodproducts within and outside Saudi Arabia. It has over 26 brands and 15 fac<strong>to</strong>riesand plants in Saudi Arabia and Egypt.Company financials2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(06-08)Net Revenues SRmn 517 551 758 37.4 21.1EBITDA SRmn 66 61 79 29.1 9.4Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 39 33 38 14.4 (0.9)Assets SRmn 424 438 647 47.4 23.4Equity SRmn 254 267 485 81.2 38.0Total Debt SRmn 45 51 66 27.4 20.2Cash & Equiv SRmn 34 15 188 1143.4 134.9EBITDA Mgn % 12.7 11.0 10.4 - -Net Mgn % 7.5 6.0 5.0 - -ROE % 15.3 12.8 10.1 - -ROA % 9.2 7.7 7.0 - -Div Payout % - - 112.3 - -EPS SR 9.7 1.7 1.3 (19.9) NMBVPS SR 63.6 13.4 17.0 26.9 NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.11MSCI Saudi (domestic)N/AFree float (%)Free float 44.49Relative share price perf.7,0005,0003,000Oct-08TASIM ar-09Top 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-H B (RHS)Dalat Industrial Investment Co 55.5Mohammed Abdulhamid Mahmoud 6.9HalwaniSource: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: HB is involved in production of cheese, ice-cream, frozen andprocessed meat, jams, grains, juices, dates and halawa and manufacture of tissues.It has production capacity of 12,200 <strong>to</strong>ns of Tahina per year, 20,100 <strong>to</strong>ns of Halwaper year, 22,950 <strong>to</strong>ns of meat per year, 3,000 <strong>to</strong>ns of cheese per year, 3,348 <strong>to</strong>ns ofArabic sweets per year, 4,500 <strong>to</strong>ns of dairy products per year and 9,996 <strong>to</strong>ns of jamper year.• Financials: HB’s revenues increased 37.4% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR757.5mn in 2008. However,<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDA margin declined 60 basis points y-o-y <strong>to</strong> 10.4% due <strong>to</strong>increase in cost of sales. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>e recorded a 14.4% y-o-y growthfrom SR33.3mn in 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR38.2mn in 2008.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany recorded 60.4% y-o-y decline in1Q-09 net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR12.5mn. In September 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany sought a loanfrom Saudi Industrial Development Fund for building an industrial <strong>com</strong>plex in Jeddahfor SR380mn. In July 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced its initial public offering for8.57mn shares at SR20 each that will boost its capital <strong>to</strong> SR285.7mn. The IPOreceived a huge response from <strong>the</strong> public and was oversubscribed over 9 times.JUNE 2009HALWANI BROTHERS CO172


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESSaudi Fisheries CoAlso known asAlasmakPriceSR53.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.1bn ($283.0mn)Sh. outstanding20.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 61.0/14.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 102.41 27.3512m 49.69 13.27Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.07 1.44Reuters6050.SEBloombergSFICO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 18 61 4Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www mcdc <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/M N/M N/MP/B (x) 7.2 6.9 3.0P/Sales (x) 16.2 12.4 4.0Div yield (%) NA NA NASaudi Fisheries Company, based in Dammam, <strong>com</strong>menced operations in 1981. The<strong>com</strong>pany has national as well as international recognition in seafood manufacturingand distribution under its flagship brand ALASMAK. Saudi Fisheries manufactures<strong>the</strong> products at its own processing plants and delivers <strong>the</strong>m using its own fleet.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 82 98 106 123 15.9 14.5EBITDA SRmn (30) (16) (23) (12) NM NMNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (39) (29) (31) (24) NM NMAssets SRmn 162 261 227 203 (10.2) 7.9Equity SRmn 102 221 190 166 (12.8) 17.8Total Debt SRmn 20 - - NA NA NACash & Equiv SRmn 2 12 3 2 (28.9) 10.4EBITDA Mgn % (37.3) (16.2) (21.4) (9.7) - -Net Mgn % (47.2) (29.5) (29.0) (19.8) - -ROE % (32.0) (17.9) (14.9) (13.7) - -ROA % (22.3) (13.7) (12.6) (11.3) - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR (19.2) (1.7) (1.5) (1.2) (20.6) NMBVPS SR 25.4 11.0 9.5 8.3 (12.8) (31.1)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 1H 08 Geographic 1H 08%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncAquaculture and Fishing 100.0 100.0 GCC Countries 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.09MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.471Free float (%)Free float 38.49Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)80604020Saudi Fisheries (RHS)Public investment Fund 40.0HH Sheikh Mete’eb Bin Abdul Aziz Al 21.5SaudSource: NCBC Research-Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Saudi Fisheries derives its revenues from four operating segments:value-added products (production capacity of 2,000 <strong>to</strong>ns), individually quick frozen orIQF products (capacity of 1,000 <strong>to</strong>ns), fish products and a novel product calledAlasmak Tuna. The value-added segment <strong>com</strong>prises of fish sticks, fish burgers,shrimp nuggets, king shrimp and golden crispy shrimp; <strong>the</strong> IQF segment <strong>com</strong>prises ofIQF shrimp in retail packs; offerings under fish products include fresh, frozen whole,gutted, steaks, chunks, and fillets. The <strong>com</strong>pany-owned chain of retail shops and fishservice counters handles <strong>the</strong> distribution process.• Financials: Saudi Fisheries has his<strong>to</strong>rically <strong>report</strong>ed losses despite a consistent <strong>to</strong>plinegrowth, primarily due <strong>to</strong> its high input costs. During 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a15.9% y-o-y growth in revenues <strong>to</strong> SR122.7mn. However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s bot<strong>to</strong>m-linecontinued <strong>to</strong> depict dismal performance, with a net loss of SR24.3mn during <strong>the</strong> year.Never<strong>the</strong>less, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed lower losses as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> previous yearmainly due <strong>to</strong> reduced cost of sales and administrative and overhead expenses.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results andposted a net loss of SR4.0mn in 1Q-09 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss of SR4.2mn in <strong>the</strong>same period of <strong>the</strong> previous year. In December 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s Board adjustedits rights issue re<strong>com</strong>mendation from 20mn shares <strong>to</strong> 47.4mn shares at <strong>the</strong> price ofSR10.3 per share.JUNE 2009SAUDI FISHERIES CO173


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESTabuk AgricultureAlso known asTADCOPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR27.8SR0.6bn ($148.5mn)20.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 44.0/14.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 41.21 11.0012m 26.64 7.11Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.31 1.22ReutersBloomberg6040.SETAACO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 17 49 (30)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www tadco-agri.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 28.7 54.6 15.3P/B (x) 1.9 2.9 1.0P/Sales (x) 5.0 7.8 2.1Div yield (%) 2.7 0.9 2.8Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.09MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.51Free float (%)Free float 72.50Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-Tabuk Agriculture (RHS)Abdullah Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 25.0Source: NCBC ResearchTabuk Agriculture Development Company (TADCO), headquartered in Tabuk, wasestablished in 1983, focusing on agricultural production, food processing anddistribution. TADCO range of products include fruits, vegetables, forage products,grains and seeds, and processed products such as olive oil and honey.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 130 150 146 172 18.0 9.7EBITDA SRmn 37 46 47 51 9.3 11.0Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 42 26 21 24 13.6 (17.7)Assets SRmn 461 448 448 435 (3.0) (1.9)Equity SRmn 317 387 391 370 (5.4) 5.2Total Debt SRmn 7 6 5 4 (20.0) (17.0)Cash & Equiv SRmn 69 50 19 4 (78.4) (61.2)EBITDA Mgn % 28.6 30.5 32.0 29.6 - -Net Mgn % 32.5 17.4 14.2 13.7 - -ROE % 12.5 7.4 5.3 6.2 - -ROA % 9.4 5.8 4.6 5.3 - -Div Payout % 47.3 76.6 48.2 42.4 - -EPS SR 10.6 1.3 1.0 1.2 13.6 NMBVPS SR 79.2 19.3 19.5 18.5 (5.4) NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncFruit and Vegetable 41.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0Wheat and Barley 36.7Animal Food Production 20.8O<strong>the</strong>r Food Manufacturing 1.6Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: TADCO produces 20,000 MT of onions, 150,000 MT of tablepota<strong>to</strong>es, 58,000 MT of wheat and more than 1mn MT of Alfalfa each year. The<strong>com</strong>pany also grows 7,000 MT of grapes, peaches, apricots, pears and plumsannually. TADCO is actively involved in environment protection, water resourcemanagement and human resource development.• Financials: TADCO’s revenues increased 18.0% on y-o-y basis <strong>to</strong> SR171.8mn in2008. Driven by revenues, EBITDA grew 9.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR50.9mn during <strong>the</strong> year.Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>e increased 13.6% <strong>to</strong> SR23.6mn in <strong>the</strong> sameperiod.Recent developments: In May 2009, TADCO entered in<strong>to</strong> a memorandum ofunderstanding (MoU) with Jannat Agricultural Investment Co. and <strong>the</strong> Arab Authority forAgricultural Investment and Development (AAAID) <strong>to</strong> set up an agricultural investmentsubsidiary outside <strong>the</strong> Kingdom. In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed 48% y-o-y decline in1Q-09 net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR10.0mn. In March 2009, Saudi agricultural <strong>com</strong>panies establisheda consortium, which included TADCO, <strong>to</strong> direct $40mn worth of investments in Africa’sfood production.JUNE 2009TABUK AGRICULTURE174


AGRICULTURE & FOOD INDUSTRIESAsh Sharqiyah Dev.Also known asSHADCOPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR44.0SR0.3bn ($88.1mn)7.5mn52 week range H/L (SR) 48.0/11.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 37.47 10.0012m 22.36 5.97Raw Beta 6m 3yr2.03 1.37ReutersBloomberg6060.SEASACO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 22 119 4Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 21 (22)Website: www asharqiyah <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 840.0 141.2 NMP/B (x) 3.7 4.1 1.3P/Sales (x) 7.9 9.0 2.6Div yield (%) NA NA NAWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.07MSCI Saudi (domestic)Free float (%)Free float 99.97Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Sep-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-Eastern Agriculture (RHS)Asharqiyah Agriculture Development Company (ASH SHARQIYAH) was establishedin 1986. The <strong>com</strong>pany provides meat and agricultural products, carries outagricultural projects, rehabilitation of land and irrigation works. ASH SHARQIYAHowns stakes Al Hassa Food Industries, United Dairy Farms and Pure Breed Poultry.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 56 53 54 51 (4.1) (3.8)EBITDA SRmn 11 11 17 21 24.9 39.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 11 1 3 (12) NM NMAssets SRmn 143 146 144 133 (7.3) (3.4)Equity SRmn 113 114 117 104 (11.4) (4.3)Total Debt SRmn 10 12 10 11 16.9 8.4Cash & Equiv SRmn 0 4 1 1 (34.4) 295.9EBITDA Mgn % 19.7 21.5 31.9 41.5 - -Net Mgn % 18.9 0.9 6.4 (24.2) - -ROE % 9.7 0.4 3.0 (11.3) - -ROA % 7.9 0.3 2.4 (9.0) - -Div Payout % NA NA NA - - -EPS SR 7.0 0.1 0.5 (1.7) NM NMBVPS SR 75.4 13.8 15.7 13.8 (12.2) (57.2)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncMeat & Dairy Cattle 46.9 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Wheat & Corn Farming 27.5Grains Wholesale 22.4Milk & Dairies Wholesale 3.0O<strong>the</strong>r Farm Products 0.3Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: ASH SHARQIYAH is involved in <strong>the</strong> production and marketing ofwheat, barley and fodder crops such as alfalfa and Rhodes grass, wheat and barleystraw and pota<strong>to</strong>es. Under its Animal Husbandry Project, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany produces andmarkets 14.5mn litres of milk annually. O<strong>the</strong>r projects undertaken include calf andsheep breeding, production of bio-fertilizers and honey production.• Financials: ASH SHARQIYAH’s revenue dipped 4.1% y-o-y in 2008 <strong>to</strong> SR51.3mn,after <strong>report</strong>ing near <strong>to</strong> flat growth in 2007. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a netloss of SR12.4mn in 2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> net in<strong>com</strong>e of SR3.4mn in 2007. This wasmainly due <strong>to</strong> a substantial increase in cost of sales and lower o<strong>the</strong>r in<strong>com</strong>e.• Recent Developments: In 1Q-09, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a net profit of SR0.5mn as<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> net loss of SR2.5mn in <strong>the</strong> same period of <strong>the</strong> previous year.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009ASH SHARQIYAH DEVELOPMENT COMPANY175


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Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsSaudi Tele<strong>com</strong> 178 PetrochemicalsEtihad Etisalat 179 CementZain KSA 180 RetailEtihad A<strong>the</strong>eb 181 Energy and UtilitiesAgriculture and FoodTele<strong>com</strong> and ITInsuranceMulti InvestmentIndustrial InvestmentBuilding and ConstructionReal EstateTransportMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


TELECOMMUNICATIONSaudi Tele<strong>com</strong>Also known asSTCPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR50.5SR101.0bn ($26,969.3mn)2,000.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 71.3/33.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 39.83 10.6412m 74.79 19.97Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.77 0.77ReutersBloomberg7010.SESTC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 7 41 (21)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 20 (27)Website: www stc.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 12.9 13.9 8.6P/B (x) 4.8 4.7 2.6P/Sales (x) 4.9 4.9 2.1Div yield (%) 6.9 6.0 7.6Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 3.72MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 6.26Free float (%)Free float 16.44Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)STC (RHS)Public Investment Fund 70.0General Organization for Social 6.9Insurance - Saudi ArabiaPublic Pension Authority 6.6Source: NCBC Research80604020-Saudi Tele<strong>com</strong> (STC) was established in 1998 as Saudi Arabia’s sole tele<strong>com</strong>opera<strong>to</strong>r and is still <strong>the</strong> only integrated opera<strong>to</strong>r in Saudi Arabia and provideslandline, mobile, and internet services. Apart from Saudi Arabia, STC has itsoperations in Indonesia, India, South Africa and Kuwait.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 32,540 33,786 34,458 47,445 37.7 13.4EBITDA SRmn 17,198 16,484 16,716 20,289 21.4 5.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 12,527 12,786 12,038 11,467 (4.7) (2.9)Assets SRmn 44,744 46,122 68,811 99,909 45.2 30.7Equity SRmn 32,855 34,154 35,876 37,766 5.3 4.8Total Debt SRmn - - 13,580 31,908 135.0 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 4,005 2,909 7,618 8,064 5.8 33.8EBITDA Mgn % 52.9 48.8 48.5 42.8 - -Net Mgn % 38.5 37.8 34.9 24.2 - -ROE % 39.3 38.2 34.4 31.1 - -ROA % 28.8 28.1 20.9 13.6 - -Div Payout % 83.1 89.9 83.3 65.4 - -EPS SR 6.2 6.4 6.0 5.7 (5.0) (2.7)BVPS SR 16.4 17.1 17.9 18.9 5.6 5.1Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment %Rev Geographic 20082007 2008 Breakup %Rev % Net IncWireless Tele<strong>com</strong>munication 73.0 66.0 - -Wired Tele<strong>com</strong>munication 27.0 34.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: STC generates its revenue from <strong>the</strong> wireless and <strong>the</strong> wire-linesegments and has five business divisions—Al Hatif, Al Jawal, Saudi Data, Saudinet,and STC Online. Al Hatif offers landline <strong>com</strong>munication, public telephones, prepaidcards, and business services. STC’s mobile operations are under <strong>the</strong> Al Jawal brand.Saudi Data mainly provides data solutions <strong>to</strong> businesses. Saudi Net is Saudi Arabia’sfirst ISP while STC Online offers electronic bill payment services• Financials: STC’s revenues increased 37.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) <strong>to</strong> SR47.4bn in2008. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDA margins declined 570 basis points from 48.5% in 2007<strong>to</strong> 42.8% in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> increase in selling, general and administration expenses. Asa result, net profit declined 4.7% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR11.5bn in 2008 from SR12bn in 2007 thatwas adversely impacted by foreign exchange loss.• Recent developments: In May 2009, STC entered in<strong>to</strong> a partnership with Dilithiumfor offering mobile video solutions <strong>to</strong> its cus<strong>to</strong>mers. STC’s net profit for 1Q-09declined 18% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR 2.49bn due <strong>to</strong> foreign currency fluctuations. In April 2009,STC launched its unified international roaming service utilizing strategic partnershipswith mobile services providers. In March 2009, Bahrain’s Tele<strong>com</strong>municationsRegula<strong>to</strong>ry Authority announced that STC had fulfilled all <strong>the</strong> requirements for <strong>the</strong>mobile license it had won in January 2009 for a bid of BD86.7mn.JUNE 2009SAUDI TELECOM178


TELECOMMUNICATIONEtihad Etisalat CoAlso known asMobilyPriceSR36.4Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR25.5bn ($6,803.7mn)Sh. outstanding700.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 45.8/21.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 32.35 8.6412m 42.42 11.33Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.75 1.00Reuters7020.SEBloombergEEC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (4) 5 (16)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 20 (27)Website: www.mobily.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 37.1 26.6 10.4P/B (x) 5.7 6.2 2.2P/Sales (x) 4.2 4.4 2.0Div yield (%) 0.0 0.7 2.4Etihad Etisalat Company (Mobily), <strong>the</strong> second largest mobile opera<strong>to</strong>r in SaudiArabia in terms of market value, was established in 2004 by UAE-based EmiratesTele<strong>com</strong>munications Corporation (Etisalat). The <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>com</strong>menced operationsin 2005, providing public wireless tele<strong>com</strong>munication services.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,662 6,183 8,440 10,795 27.9 86.6EBITDA SRmn (60) 2,125 3,239 3,794 17.2 NMNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (1,167) 700 1,380 2,092 51.6 NMAssets SRmn 16,204 17,689 19,881 27,192 36.8 18.8Equity SRmn 3,833 4,533 5,913 9,754 65.0 36.5Total Debt SRmn 8,948 9,440 8,923 9,790 9.7 3.0Cash & Equiv SRmn 185 548 703 1,264 79.7 89.7EBITDA Mgn % (3.6) 34.4 38.4 35.1 - -Net Mgn % (70.3) 11.3 16.3 19.4 - -ROE % (30.5) 16.7 26.4 26.7 - -ROA % (7.2) 4.1 7.3 8.9 - -Div Payout % - - 18.1 25.1 - -EPS SR (2.1) 1.4 2.8 3.0 NM NMBVPS SR 7.70 9.10 11.80 13.9 NM NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWireless Tele<strong>com</strong>munication 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 3.33MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 1.35Free float (%)Free float 58.48Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-M obily (RHS)Etisalat - UAE 27.4General Organization for Social 11.2Insurance - Saudi ArabiaSource: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Mobily offers Global System for Mobile <strong>com</strong>munications (GSM), 3Gsystem, and 3.5G technology (services such as video calling, live television,video/audio on demand, high speed Internet and multiplayer gaming). The <strong>com</strong>pany’sservices and products also include voice service, mobile internet, billing and payment,credit transfer, Kalemni, Mobily Hawwel, Mobily Al Hilal (news) and Mobily Ranan.Mobily markets its products via four functional lines—channel distribution, corporate &VIP sales, flagship s<strong>to</strong>res, and <strong>com</strong>mercial support. Currently, it has a subscriberbase of 11.1mn, representing around 39% of KSA’s mobile market.• Financials: Mobily’s revenues grew 27.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) <strong>to</strong> SR10.8bn in FY08mainly due <strong>to</strong> rise in demand for mobile broadband services and expanding cus<strong>to</strong>merbase. The net profits for FY08 amounted <strong>to</strong> SR2.1bn, a y-o-y rise of 51.6%.Improvement in net margin was also helped by lower interest expenses.• Recent developments: Mobily’s net profit for 1Q-09 increased 47% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR480mn on <strong>the</strong> back of rising demand in broadband and wholesale sales. In April2009, Mobily <strong>com</strong>menced a branch in Hail with an investment of SR250mn. In March2009, Mobily announced <strong>the</strong> allocation of SR1bn for developing its 3.75G networkand signed a SR435mn contract with Mo<strong>to</strong>rola for enhancing its GSM coverage inSaudi. In January 2009, Mobily signed a SR200mn deal with Etihad A<strong>the</strong>eb Tele<strong>com</strong><strong>to</strong> enhance <strong>the</strong> latter’s data transmission capacity.JUNE 2009 ETIHAD ETISALAT CO 179


TELECOMMUNICATIONZain KSAAlso known asZAINPriceSR12.1Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR16.9bn ($4,523.4mn)Sh. outstanding1,400.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 28.0/10.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 188.78 50.4112m 272.34 72.72Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.69 0.86Reuters7030.SEBloombergZAINKSA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 13 15 (52)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 20 (27)Website: www.sa.zain.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A N/A NMP/B (x) N/A N/A 1.3P/Sales (x) N/A N/A 29.5Div yield (%) N/A N/A -Mobile Tele<strong>com</strong>munications Company Saudi Arabia (ZAIN KSA), a member ofMobile Tele<strong>com</strong>munications Group (Zain), Kuwait, was established in 2007 in SaudiArabia <strong>to</strong> provide wireless tele<strong>com</strong>munications services. ZAIN KSA offersmultimedia applications such as video calling and content services.Company financials2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 505 - -EBITDA SRmn (1,242) - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (2,278) - -Assets SRmn 26,665 - -Equity SRmn 11,722 - -Total Debt SRmn 13,176 - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 584 - -EBITDA Mgn % NM - -Net Mgn % NM - -ROE % (19.4) - -ROA % (8.5) - -Div Payout % - - -EPS SR (1.6) - -BVPS SR 8.4 - -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.71MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 3.88Free float (%)Free float 45.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)302010-Zain (RHS)Mobile Tele<strong>com</strong>munications Company 25.0Faden Commercial & Real Estate 6.8EstablishmentSaudi Plastics 6.8Public Pension Authority 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: ZAIN KSA is <strong>the</strong> third mobile opera<strong>to</strong>r in KSA and offers multimediaapplications, classic and value-added voice messaging and data services. The<strong>com</strong>pany launched <strong>com</strong>mercial services in August 2008 and has added 2mn activesubscribers (approx. 7% market share) between August-December 2008. ZAIN KSAplans <strong>to</strong> build its own network by 2010 and is targeting positive EBITDA in 2010.• Financials: ZAIN KSA recorded revenues of SR505.2mn in 2008. However, during<strong>the</strong> year, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany incurred a loss of SR1,242.4mn and SR2,278.2mn at <strong>the</strong>EBITDA and bot<strong>to</strong>m line, respectively. The operational loss was due <strong>to</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> newlylaunched operations of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany.• Recent developments: In May 2009, ZAIN KSA announced that it has tied up with19 mobile phone opera<strong>to</strong>rs in 6 countries for roaming services. The <strong>com</strong>pany posteda net loss of SR765.4mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss of SR2.28bn in <strong>the</strong> 4Q-08.In March 2009, ZAIN KSA announced plans <strong>to</strong> expand its private network <strong>to</strong> 13 citiesacross KSA and expects <strong>to</strong> reach 85% of <strong>the</strong> inhabited areas by <strong>the</strong> end of 2009. InMarch 2009, Zain Group’s CEO Dr Saad Al Barrak was appointed <strong>the</strong> CEO of ZAINKSA after <strong>the</strong> resignation of Dr. Marwan Al-Ahmadi. In September 2008, ZAIN Groupraised additional capital of USD4.49bn increasing <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal Zain shares <strong>to</strong> 4.28bn with<strong>to</strong>tal shareholders equity amounting <strong>to</strong> USD6.42bn.JUNE 2009ZAIN KSA180


TELECOMMUNICATIONEtihad A<strong>the</strong>ebAlso known asATHEEBPriceSR17.9Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.8bn ($478.0mn)Sh. outstanding100.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 20.1/13.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m N/A N/A12m N/A N/ARaw Beta 6m 3yrNA NAReuters7040.SEBloombergEAT ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 3 N/A N/AMarket (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 4 20 (27)Website: www.go.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A N/A N/AP/B (x) N/A N/A N/AP/Sales (x) N/A N/A N/ADiv yield (%) N/A N/A N/AEtihad A<strong>the</strong>eb Tele<strong>com</strong>munications Company (ATHEEB), a joint venture betweenKSA-based A<strong>the</strong>eb Trading Co., Al-Nahla Trading Co. and Traco Group and BahrainTele<strong>com</strong>, was established in 2008 <strong>to</strong> provide fixed and wireless tele<strong>com</strong>municationsservices in KSA.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn - - - - - -EBITDA SRmn - - - - - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn - - - - - -Assets SRmn - - - - - -Equity SRmn - - - - - -Total Debt SRmn - - - - - -Cash & Equiv SRmn - - - - - -EBITDA Mgn % - - - - - -Net Mgn % - - - - - -ROE % - - - - - -ROA % - - - - - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR - - - - - -BVPS SR - - - - - -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.12MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 30.50Relative share price perf.6,400215,800195,200174,600154,0001321-M ar 22-Apr 26-M ayTASIA<strong>the</strong>eb (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)A<strong>the</strong>eb Group 16.1Bahrain Tele<strong>com</strong> 15.0Al Nahla Group 13.7Traco Group 5.8General Orgn. For Social Insurance 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: ATHEEB was set up <strong>to</strong> build, operate, and maintain <strong>the</strong> second fixedline tele<strong>com</strong>munication network in KSA. The <strong>com</strong>pany aims <strong>to</strong> provide innovative andhigh technology solutions, such as video services, Internet telephony, and broadbandinternet, apart from voice telephone <strong>com</strong>munications and data services. ATHEEBobtained a fixed telephony license for SR5mn and a 3.5GHz frequency spectrum forSR520mn. Batelco is likely <strong>to</strong> provide technical services and expertise <strong>to</strong> ATHEEB.The <strong>com</strong>pany plans <strong>to</strong> launch <strong>com</strong>mercial services in 2009.• Financials: N.A.• Recent developments: In May 2009, Wipro Ltd signed a partnership agreement withATHEEB for deploying an end-<strong>to</strong>-end IT solutions and <strong>the</strong> underlying infrastructure<strong>com</strong>ponents. In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> Communications and Information TechnologyCommission awarded ATHEEB license for fixed-line tele<strong>com</strong> operations in Saudi. InJanuary 2009, ATHEEB floated 30mn shares at SR10 each in an IPO, which wasoversubscribed by 3.5 times. In January 2009, it signed a SR200mn contract withEtihad Etisalat Co. <strong>to</strong> expand its data transmission capacity. In March 2008, ATHEEBsigned contracts worth USD333mn with Mo<strong>to</strong>rola (for WiMax technology), ChinabasedZTE Corp. (for Core Network solutions) and India-based Wipro (for IT services)for executing <strong>the</strong> first phase of its network infrastructure plan in KSA.JUNE 2009 ETIHAD ATHEEB 181


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Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsTawuniya 184 PetrochemicalsMalath Cooperative 185 CementSABB Takaful 186 RetailSaudi Re 187 Energy and UtilitiesAl Sagr Company 188 Agriculture and FoodMedgulf 189 Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITBUPA Arabia 190 InsuranceAlahli Takaful 191 Multi InvestmentSaudi IAIC Cooperative 192 Industrial InvestmentTrade Union Cooperative 193 Building and ConstructionSanad Insurance 194 Real EstateSaudi United 195 TransportSaudi Fransi Cooperative 196 Media and PublishingGulf Union Cooperative 197 Hotels and TourismArabia Insurance 198United Cooperative Assurance 199Saudi Indian 200Arabian Shield Cooperative 201Saudi Arabian Cooperative 202Al-Ahlia Insurance 203Allied Cooperative 204


INSURANCETawuniyaAlso known asTawuniyaPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR41.3SR2.1bn ($551.4mn)50.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 97.5/24.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 12.86 3.4312m 10.66 2.85Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.37 0.93ReutersBloomberg8010.SETAWUNIYA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (8) 33 (50)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www tawuniya.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 11.1 14.3 25.3P/B (x) 3.0 4.1 1.6P/Sales (x) 4.1 4.8 1.1Div yield (%) 9.5 6.7 6.1Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.25MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 53.62Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10080604020-Tawuniya (RHS)Public Pension Authority 23.5General Organization for SocialInsuranceSource: NCBC Research22.8The Company for Cooperative Insurance, widely known as Tawuniya wasestablished in Riyadh in 1986. NCCI provides both Islamic and conventional generaland family insurance services. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s subsidiaries include, UnitedInsurance Company and Cooperative Real Estate Investment Company.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn 838 997 1,095 1,272 16.1 14.9Total Revenues SRmn 1,218 1,289 1,564 1,602 2.4 9.6Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 313 468 525 67 (87.2) (40.1)Assets SRmn 4,164 4,252 5,308 5,097 (4.0) 7.0Equity SRmn 1,686 1,756 1,847 1,073 (41.9) (14.0)Investments SRmn 1,671 1,717 1,863 1,081 (42.0) (13.5)Technical Reserves SRmn 869 1,596 2,392 2,783 16.4 47.4Combined Ratio % 107.5 90.9 100.9 110.1 - -Net Mgn % 25.7 36.3 33.6 4.2 - -ROE % 25.4 27.2 29.1 4.6 - -ROA % 8.5 11.1 11.0 1.3 - -Div Payout % 478.8 106.8 95.3 153.8 - -EPS SR 6.3 9.4 10.5 1.3 (87.2) (40.1)BVPS SR 33.7 35.1 36.9 21.5 (41.9) (14.0)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008Source: Company, NCBC Research%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncNA NA Saudi Arabia 100.0• Business brief: NCCI’s product portfolio falls under two broad categories – retail andcorporate. The retail segment includes mo<strong>to</strong>r vehicle, medical, fire & property andmiscellaneous & accident insurance, while <strong>the</strong> corporate segment offers mo<strong>to</strong>rvehicle, medical, fire & property, casualty, engineering, marine, aviation and energyinsurance services. To aid its insurance services, NCCI has entered in<strong>to</strong> agreementwith international re-insurers such as Munich Re.• Financials: NCCI’s net premium earned grew 16.1% yoy during 2008. Consequently,<strong>to</strong>tal revenues also increased by 2.4% yoy. The <strong>com</strong>pany has been able <strong>to</strong> grow itspremium due <strong>to</strong> its dominant position in growing insurance segments such as mo<strong>to</strong>rinsurance and health insurance. However, NCCI's investment portfolio sufferedlosses of SR110.75 mn, which led <strong>to</strong> an 87.2% yoy reduction in net in<strong>com</strong>e in 2008.• Recent developments: NCCI declared its 1Q-09 results on April 20, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit surged 9.9% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR26.0mn during <strong>the</strong> quarter. Cashdividend of SR2 per share was approved in <strong>the</strong> annual general meeting held in March2009. In February 2008, NNCI entered in<strong>to</strong> an agreement with Bahrain KuwaitInsurance Company (Manama) and Al-Ain Ahlia Insurance Co. (UAE) <strong>to</strong> market‘Manasik’ for health care insurance <strong>to</strong> foreign pilgrims.JUNE 2009THE COMPANY FOR CO-OPERATIVE INSURANCE184


INSURANCEMalath CooperativeAlso known asMalath InsurancePricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR31.2SR0.9bn ($249.9mn)30.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 114.8/19.4Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 75.89 20.2612m 80.21 21.42Raw Beta 6m 2yr0.80 0.65ReutersBloomberg8020.SEMALATH ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 6 40 (60)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www malath <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 16.2 4.2P/Sales (x) NA NM 22.1Div yield (%) NA NA NAMalath Cooperative Insurance and Reinsurance Company (Malath) was establishedin 2006. Headquartered in Riyadh, Malath is <strong>the</strong> second insurance <strong>com</strong>pany (afterNational Company for Cooperative Insurance (NCCI)) <strong>to</strong> be listed on <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ckExchange. Besides general insurance, it provides facultative reinsurance products.Company financials2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn 2 27 - -Total Revenues SRmn 3 44 - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (17) (39) - -Assets SRmn 330 447 35.5 -Equity SRmn 283 233 (17.7) -Investments SRmn 275 144 (47.6) -Technical Reserves SRmn 13 122 879.0 -Combined Ratio % NM 263.4 - -Net Mgn % NM NM - -ROE % (6.1) (15.0) - -ROA % (5.2) (19.9) - -Div Payout % NA NA - -EPS SR (0.6) (1.3) - -BVPS SR 9.4 7.8 (17.7) -Source: Company, NCBC Research, figures for FY2007 are from April- December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.10MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 2.85Free float (%)Free float 47.48Relative share price perf.11,0001509,0001007,000505,0003,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIM alath Insurance (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Malath is engaged in general insurance, medical care insurance andfacultative inward reinsurance activities. The <strong>com</strong>pany derives its premium in<strong>com</strong>emainly from mo<strong>to</strong>r, medical, property, aviation, marine cargo & hull, energy,engineering, and o<strong>the</strong>r lines of business based on market conditions.• Financials: Company earned net insurance premium of SR27.4mn during 2008. Thiscoupled with earnings from reinsurance and underwriting activities enabled Malath <strong>to</strong>record <strong>to</strong>tal revenues of SR44.2mn in <strong>the</strong> same period. However, as <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany isa new establishment, it incurred high operating expenses, which caused net loss ofSR38.7mn in 2008.• Recent developments: Malath declared its 1Q-09 results on April 18, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany recorded a net profit of SR2.1mn during 1Q-09 against a loss of SR3.1mnin <strong>the</strong> corresponding quarter a year ago. The Board of Direc<strong>to</strong>rs appointed Mr. Ali BinSulaiman Al Ayed as new Chief Executive Officer with effect from July 1, 2008. Mr. AlAyed replaced Mr. Ibrahim Abdul Shaheed who had resigned in February 2008.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009MALATH INSURANCE185


INSURANCESABB TakafulAlso known asSaudi BritishBank TakafulPriceSR115.3Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.2bn ($307.7mn)Sh. outstanding10.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 158.5/20.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 38.19 10.2012m 31.20 8.33Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.55 1.00Reuters8080.SEBloombergSABBT ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 21 58 65Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www sabbtakaful.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 21.0 6.5P/Sales (x) NA NM 5.9Div yield (%) NA NA NASABB Takaful was established in 2007 at Riyadh as an associate <strong>com</strong>pany of SABBand HSBC. SABB Takaful conducts activities through SABB’s establisheddistribution network (over 70 branches) and direct sales team across Saudi Arabia.SABB offers all its insurance products in <strong>com</strong>pliance with shariah law.Company financials2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn 5 53 - -Total Revenues SRmn 6 57 - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (45) (4) - -Assets SRmn 79 185 135.5 -Equity SRmn 55 51 (7.7) -Investments SRmn 59 28 (53.6) -Technical Reserves SRmn 6 91 1,444.7 -Combined Ratio % NM 100.6 - -Net Mgn % (728.1) (6.4) - -ROE % (80.4) (6.8) - -ROA % (56.7) (2.8) - -Div Payout % NA NA - -EPS SR (4.5) (0.4) - -BVPS SR 5.5 5.1 (7.7) -Source: Company, NCBC Research, figures for FY2007 are from May – December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.09MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.33Free float (%)Free float 35.00Relative share price perf.11,0002009,0001507,0001005,000503,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISABB Takaful (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)SABB 32.5HSBC Holding Co. 31.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SABB Takaful offers Family, General, Corporate and Group Takafulproducts. Under <strong>the</strong> Family Takaful segment, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany provides cover foreducation, savings, single contribution, retirement <strong>to</strong> provide individuals with financialsupport. General Takaful provides cover for everyday risks during travel, home, andpersonal accident. Corporate Takaful provides cover for marine cargo, <strong>com</strong>mercialfire protection, and solutions for SMEs.• Financials: SABB Takaful’s revenues grew <strong>to</strong> SR56.6mn in 2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong>SR6.1mn in 2007 (May – December 2007). As a result, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a netloss of only SR3.6mn in 2008 against a loss of SR44.6mn in 2007. Company’s <strong>to</strong>talasset base increased 135.5% yoy <strong>to</strong> SR185.0mn and technical reserves substantiallyincreased <strong>to</strong> SR91.0mn in 2008 from SR5.9mn in 2007.• Recent developments: SABB Takaful <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009.The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net loss surged <strong>to</strong> SR5.7mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss ofSR4.5mn in 1Q-08. In March 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany received <strong>the</strong> award of Best TakafulProvider from Euromoney magazine. In February 2009, SABB Takaful entered in<strong>to</strong> anagreement with Saudi Arabian Airlines Co. <strong>to</strong> provide insurance products.JUNE 2009SABB TAKAFUL186


INSURANCESaudi Re for Coop. ReinsPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR12.0SR1.2bn ($320.4mn)100.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 19.3/7.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 36.23 9.6812m 26.02 6.95Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.87 0.82ReutersBloomberg8200.SESAUDIRE ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 3 19 (35)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www saudi-re.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NA 34.0P/B (x) NA NA 0.9P/Sales (x) NA NA NMDiv yield (%) NA NA NASaudi Re headquartered in Riyadh is a first cooperative reinsurance <strong>com</strong>pany ofSaudi Arabia, established in May 2008. It provides life and non-life Sharia-<strong>com</strong>pliantreinsurance products under <strong>the</strong> purview of The Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency(SAMA) for treaty and facultative types of reinsurance in all classes of business.Company financials2008*YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn - - -Total Revenues SRmn - - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 26 - -Assets SRmn 1,033 - -Equity SRmn 1,026 - -Investments SRmn 1,012 - -Technical Reserves SRmn 1 - -Combined Ratio % NM - -Net Mgn % NM - -ROE % 2.5 - -ROA % 2.5 - -Div Payout % - - -EPS SR 0.3 - -BVPS SR 10.3 - -Source: Company, NCBC Research* 2008 figures are for 8 months period ending December 31, 2008Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.11MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,000209,000157,000105,00053,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISaudi Re (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Ahmed Hamad Al Gosa bi and Co 5.0Jordan Islamic Finance Bank 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: NCBC Research• Product profile: Saudi Re offers a wide range of insurance related products such asmarine insurance (hull and cargo), engineering insurance (machinery breakdown,contrac<strong>to</strong>r’s risks), mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance and insurance for third party liability.• Financials: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany posted a net profit of SR25.9mn in 2008, which isprimarily attributable <strong>to</strong> in<strong>com</strong>e from o<strong>the</strong>r sources partially offset by high general andadministrative expenses. Total asset base as on 2008 was SR1,033.3mn, while <strong>the</strong>shareholder’s equity s<strong>to</strong>od at SR1,025.5mn• Recent developments: Saudi Re <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 20, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany recorded a net profit of SR0.1mn in 1Q-09. Corresponding figures for <strong>the</strong>year-ago period are not available. In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced that it couldproceed with its Takaful life insurance portfolio, after receiving <strong>the</strong> license from SaudiArabian Monetary Agency (SAMA). In Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008, Standard and Poor’s assigned aBBB+ rating <strong>to</strong> Saudi Re, citing stable outlook. In August 2008, Saudi Re became <strong>the</strong>first <strong>com</strong>pany in Saudi Arabia <strong>to</strong> receive a Reinsurance license by Saudi ArabianMonetary Agency. In March 2008, Saudi Re offered 40mn shares (40% of <strong>the</strong> capital)<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> public. The issue was oversubscribed by more than three times.JUNE 2009SAUDI RE FOR COOPERATIVE REINSURANCE COMPANY187


INSURANCEAl Sagr CompanyAlso Known asAl Sagr SaudiPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR51.0SR1.0bn ($272.4mn)20.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 55.8/9.3Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 52.33 13.9712m 26.84 7.17Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.09 0.92ReutersBloomberg8180.SESAGR ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 25 83 84Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www alsagrsaudi.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NA 96.8P/B (x) NA NA 1.2P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NAAl Sagr Company for Cooperative Insurance (Sagr Insurance) started operations inSaudi Arabia in 1983 as a branch of Al Sagr National Insurance Co. (ASNIC), Dubai.Headquartered in Al Khobar, Sagr Insurance operates via its three branches inDammam, Riyadh and Jeddah.Company financials2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn - - -Total Revenues SRmn - - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 3 - -Assets SRmn 208 - -Equity SRmn 203 - -Investments SRmn 185 - -Technical Reserves SRmn - - -Combined Ratio % - - -Net Mgn % - - -ROE % 1.2 - -ROA % 1.2 - -Div Payout % - - -EPS SR 0.1 - -BVPS SR 10.1 - -Source: Company, NCBC Research, financials for FY 2008 are from February- December 2008.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.10MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 42.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)605040302010-Sagr Insurance (RHS)Al Saqar National Insurance Co. 26.0Arabian RedLand Industrial Services 5.0Abdullah Rasheed Al Rasheed & 5.0Sons Co.Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Sagr Insurance offers a wide range of products <strong>to</strong> its cus<strong>to</strong>mers thatinclude fire and general insurance (property, engineering, liability and miscellaneous),marine insurance (cargo and hull), mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance, life insurance and medicalinsurance services. The <strong>com</strong>pany also provides jewelry merchant insurance andhotel/furnished apartments—blanket insurance. In addition, Sagr Insurance providesreinsurance services —<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany has Reinsurance Treaties with eight re-insurersin <strong>the</strong> Middle East and Europe. They include ALLIANZ RE (Germany), CONVERIUM(Germany), ODYSSEY RE (France), TAKAFUL RE (UAE), and B.E.S.T. RE (Tunis).• Financials: Sagr Insurance <strong>report</strong>ed net in<strong>com</strong>e of SR2.5mn in 2008. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s<strong>to</strong>tal assets s<strong>to</strong>od at SR208.0mn in 2008, while <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal equity was SR202.5mn.• Recent developments: Sagr Insurance <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 20, 2009.The <strong>com</strong>pany recorded a net profit of SR0.7mn in 1Q-09. Corresponding figures for<strong>the</strong> year-ago period are not available. In February 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany received finalapproval from <strong>the</strong> General Secretariat of <strong>the</strong> Council of Health Insurance <strong>to</strong> operate in<strong>the</strong> field of medical insurance. The purchase of SR29.5mn insurance portfolio (as ofDecember 31, 2006) of Al Sagr (Bahrain) Saudi Insurance Company was approved in<strong>the</strong> annual general meeting held in February 2009. In addition <strong>to</strong> this, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panywill also purchase 15% of <strong>the</strong> 2007 and 2008 portfolio.JUNE 2009AL SAGR COMPANY188


INSURANCEMedgulfAlso known asMedgulf SaudiPriceSR20.8Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.7bn ($444.3mn)Sh. outstanding80.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 35.5/13.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 17.00 4.5412m 12.34 3.29Raw Beta 6m 2yr0.88 0.94Reuters8030.SEBloombergMEDGULF ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (9) 22 (22)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www medgulf <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 5.4 1.7P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NAMediterranean & Gulf Insurance & Reinsurance Co. (MEDGULF) is a subsidiary of<strong>the</strong> Medgulf Group, a leading insurance and reinsurance <strong>com</strong>pany in <strong>the</strong> MiddleEast operating in Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Lebanon, Turkey, Jordan, UAE, and UK.Established in 2006, it currently operates through its offices in Jeddah and Khobar.Company financials2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn NA NA - -Total Revenues SRmn NA NA - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 7 (3) NM -Assets SRmn 807 807 (0.1) -Equity SRmn 807 791 (1.9) -Investments SRmn 758 773 2.0 -Technical Reserves SRmn NA NA - -Combined Ratio % NA NA - -Net Mgn % NA NA - -ROE % 0.8 (0.3) - -ROA % 0.8 (0.3) - -Div Payout % NA NA - -EPS SR 0.09 (0.03) - -BVPS SR 10.1 9.9 (1.9) -Source: Company, NCBC Research, figures for FY2007 are from April- December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.08MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap)Free float (%)Free float 22.57Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)40302010MEDGULF (RHS)Mediterranean and Gulf Insuranceand Reinsurance – Bahrain32.0Saudi Investment Bank 21.1Source: NCBC Research-Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: MEDGULF offers various insurance products such as aviationinsurance, banker’s blanket bonds, burglary insurance, contrac<strong>to</strong>r’s all risk insurance,credit insurance, employer’s liability insurance, fidelity guarantee insurance, marinecargo and hull insurance, and mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance. The <strong>com</strong>pany also providesinsurances for fire and allied perils, life, medical, personal accident, product andprofessional liability, property all-risk, public liability, workmen’s <strong>com</strong>pensation, (cashin transit and in vault). MEDGULF offers a one-s<strong>to</strong>p solution by providing insuranceand reinsurance services along with risk management and third party administration.• Financials: MEDGULF <strong>report</strong>ed net loss of SR2.5mn in 2008 due <strong>to</strong> poorperformance of investment portfolio and increased G&A expenses in Q4-08. Therewas also a year-on-year marginal decline in <strong>to</strong>tal assets and shareholders’ equity,which aggregated <strong>to</strong> SR806.5mn and SR790.8mn respectively in 2008.• Recent developments: MEDGULF declared its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit plunged 66.8% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR1.3mn during <strong>the</strong> quarter. In April2009, Mr. Nahmeh Sabbagh’s appointment <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s board was approved in<strong>the</strong> annual general meeting. The Company’s shares were listed on <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ckExchange on May 8, 2007, at SR42 against <strong>the</strong> issue price SR10.JUNE 2009MEDGULF189


INSURANCEBupa Arabia for Coop InsPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR20.1SR0.8bn ($214.7mn)40.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 30.8/8.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 29.45 7.8612m 21.42 5.72Raw Beta 6m 1yr1.33 1.19ReutersBloomberg8210.SEBUPA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (3) 28 (29)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www bupame.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NA NMP/B (x) NA NA 1.2P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NABUPA Arabia is a medical insurance <strong>com</strong>pany established in Jeddah in 2008 byacquiring Bupa Middle East (BME). BME which has been providing health insurancesince 1997 is a joint venture between Nazer Group and BIOL, a fully ownedsubsidiary of U.K. - based BUPA (The British United Provident Association).Company financials2008*YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn - - -Total Revenues SRmn - - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (2) - -Assets SRmn 393 - -Equity SRmn 390 - -Investments SRmn 352 - -Technical Reserves SRmn - - -Combined Ratio % - - -Net Mgn % - - -ROE % (0.4) - -ROA % (0.4) - -Div Payout % - -EPS SR (0.0) - -BVPS SR 9.7 - -Source: Company, NCBC Research* 2008 figures are for 8 months period ending December 31, 2008Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.07MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)40302010Bupa Arabia (RHS)BUPA Middle East Holding 22.5BUPA Investments Limited 15.0Modern Software Solutions for5.0Computer ServicesNadher Holding Group 5.0Asas Health Care Company 5.0Source: NCBC Research-Source: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: BUPA’s cus<strong>to</strong>mized healthcare plans have been divided in<strong>to</strong> BUPADirect and BUPA Corporate Health Care Scheme. BUPA Direct targets <strong>com</strong>panieswith 10 <strong>to</strong> 50 employees with three main schemes - Executive, Classic and Essential.BUPA Corporate Health Care Scheme targets <strong>com</strong>panies with over 50 employees.• Financials: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany incurred a net loss of SR1.7mn in 2008, mainlydue <strong>to</strong> high general and administrative expenses partially offset by in<strong>com</strong>e frominvestments. Total asset base as on 2008 was SR392.5mn, while <strong>the</strong> shareholder’sequity s<strong>to</strong>od at SR389.9mn• Recent developments: BUPA <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany recorded a net profit of SR1.8mn in 1Q-09. Corresponding figures for <strong>the</strong>year-ago period are not available. In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced that it hasentered in<strong>to</strong> a contract with <strong>the</strong> office of Dr. Mohammed Ali, according <strong>to</strong> which, <strong>the</strong>latter will provide financial and investment consulting services <strong>to</strong> BUPA. In February2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany received Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency (SAMA)’s approval <strong>to</strong>proceed with its operations in health insurance. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, in February 2009, Mr.Pablo Juan and Mr. Anthony Cabrelli were appointed <strong>to</strong> BUPA’s board. In June2008, Saudi British Bank selected BUPA as a health insurance provider <strong>to</strong> itsemployees for <strong>the</strong> subsequent three years.JUNE 2009BUPA ARABIA FOR COOPERATIVE INSURANCE190


INSURANCEAlahli Takaful Co.Also known asATC, Alahli TakafulPriceSR149.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.5bn ($397.9mn)Sh. outstanding10.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 149.0/24.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 52.40 13.9912m 28.82 7.69Raw Beta 6m 2yr0.13 0.72Reuters8130.SEBloombergATC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 83 137 55Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www alahlitakaful.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 15.4 5.2P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NAAlAhli Takaful Company (ATC), established in 2006, is a joint venture betweenNational Commercial Bank, FWU AG, VHV, International Financial Corporation and asmall share owned by local inves<strong>to</strong>rs. Headquartered in Jeddah, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panyprovides a range of insurance products and services based on Islamic principles.Company financials2007* 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-07)Net Insurance Premium SRmn - - - -Total Revenues SRmn - - - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (2) (10) - -Assets SRmn 95 95 (0.5) -Equity SRmn 94 83 (11.8) -Investments SRmn 94 72 (23.4) -Technical Reserves SRmn - 2 - -Combined Ratio % - 140.5 - -Net Mgn % - NM - -ROE % (2.0) (11.4) - -ROA % (2.0) (10.6) - -Div Payout % - - -EPS SR (0.2) (1.0) - -BVPS SR 9.4 8.3 (11.8) -Source: Company, NCBC Research; * Figures for FY 2007 are from July- December 2007Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.09MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.38Free float (%)Free float 26.45Relative share price perf.11,0002009,0001507,0001005,000503,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIATC (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)National Commercial Bank 30.0FWU Group 13.1International Finance Corporation 13.1VHV Vermogensanlage 7.5Source: NCBC ResearchSource: NCBC Research• Business brief: ATC’s insurance products include special programs for savings,retirement, and education. The Company’s “AlAhli Takaful and Savings Program”intends <strong>to</strong> match each individual’s lifestyle and fulfill saving requirements for variouspurposes such as retirement, children’s education, marriage, etc. The schemeprovides maturity as well as death benefits.• Financials: Despite recording gross premium written of SR6.4mn, ATC’s netpremium earned was only SR42 thousand during 2008. The Company’s <strong>to</strong>tal assetsaggregated <strong>to</strong> SR94.8mn, while shareholder’s equity <strong>to</strong>taled SR83.1mn at <strong>the</strong> end of2008. Technical reserves of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany at <strong>the</strong> end of 2008 s<strong>to</strong>od at SR2.6mn.• Recent developments: ATC <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net loss declined <strong>to</strong> SR0.6mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss ofSR1.4mn in 1Q-08. In February 2008, ATC’s Board of Direc<strong>to</strong>rs (BOD) appointed Mr.Omar Hashem Khalifti as <strong>the</strong> Chairman, <strong>the</strong>reby succeeding Mr. Mohammed OmarKassem Al-Esayi. On August 18, 2007, ATC listed at SR109.7 against <strong>the</strong> issue priceof SR10 on <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange. The <strong>com</strong>pany's IPO was oversubscribed 11.1times.JUNE 2009ALAHLI TAKAFUL191


INSURANCESaudi IAIC Co-op.Also known asSaudi SalamaPriceSR64.5Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($172.2mn)Sh. outstanding10.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 230.0/22.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 59.47 15.8812m 42.42 11.33Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.75 1.85Reuters8050.SEBloombergSALAMA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 14 73 (66)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www salama <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 11.8 5.4P/Sales (x) NA NA 4.4Div yield (%) NA NA NASaudi IAIC Cooperative Insurance Company (SALAMA) was established in 2006.The Jeddah-based <strong>com</strong>pany markets its products under <strong>the</strong> SALAMA brand.SALAMA is engaged in providing general insurance solutions in <strong>com</strong>pliance withIslamic Shariah and is a subsidiary of <strong>the</strong> UAE-based Islamic Arab Insurance Co.Company financials2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn NA 72 - -Total Revenues SRmn NA 76 - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (13) (20) - -Assets SRmn 111 251 126.5 -Equity SRmn 83 61 (25.8) -Investments SRmn 103 64 (38.0) -Technical Reserves SRmn NA 134 - -Combined Ratio % NA 114.5 - -Net Mgn % NA (26.8) - -ROE % (16.2) (28.2) - -ROA % (12.1) (11.3) - -Div Payout % NA NA - -EPS SR (1.3) (2.0) - -BVPS SR 8.3 6.1 (25.8) -Source: Company, NCBC Research, figures for FY 2007 are from May- December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.06MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap)Free float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)25020015010050-SALAMA (RHS)Arab Islamic Insurance Company 30.0Bin Dawood & sons Commercial Co. 5.0Al Sha'er Trade, Industries and5.0ConstructionCooperative Group Company for 5.0Trade & ConstructionSource: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SALAMA’s products are broadly classified in<strong>to</strong> three segments—health, mo<strong>to</strong>r and general insurance. The health insurance segment offers individualand corporate health care cover. The mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance segment offers <strong>com</strong>prehensiveand third party liability insurance cover. The general insurance segment providescover for fire & property, personal accident, marine, engineering, and aviation.• Financials: SALAMA <strong>report</strong>ed revenues of SR76.1mn in 2008 primarily driven bypremium in<strong>com</strong>e. However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>e declined <strong>to</strong> SR20.4mn mainlydue <strong>to</strong> loss on investment. SALMA’s equity and investments also declined by 25.8%and 38.0% <strong>to</strong> SR61.4mn and SR64.1mn respectively.• Recent developments: SALAMA <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit dived 86.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR1.6mn during <strong>the</strong> quarter. On April 30,2009, Mr. Shehzad Hafiz Mousaed was appointed as <strong>the</strong> General Manager after <strong>the</strong>resignation of Mr. Khaled Salem Barboud. In November 2008, SALAMA announcedstrategic alliance with NCB Capital <strong>to</strong> promote Sharia <strong>com</strong>pliant insurance solutions.In Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced launch of its new mo<strong>to</strong>r claim center inJeddah, which would enable it <strong>to</strong> provide value-added services <strong>to</strong> its clients.JUNE 2009SAUDI IAIC CO-OPERATIVE INSURANCE COMPANY192


INSURANCETrade Union Co-op.Also Known asTUCIC, TUICPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR24.4SR0.6bn ($162.9mn)25.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 31.5/9.3Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 39.73 10.6112m 19.73 5.27Raw Beta 6m 1yr1.21 1.35ReutersBloomberg8170.SETRDUNION ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (9) 54 (12)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www tui-sa.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NANMP/B (x) NA NA1.3P/Sales (x) NA NA46.4Div yield (%) NA NA0.0Trade Union Cooperative Insurance & Reinsurance Company (Trade Union) wasestablished in 2007 as a Saudi-based insurance <strong>com</strong>pany. The <strong>com</strong>pany isheadquartered in Al Khobar and is registered with <strong>the</strong> Council of CooperativeHealth Insurance (CCHI).Company financials2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn 0 - -Total Revenues SRmn 7 - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (2) - -Assets SRmn 262 - -Equity SRmn 248 - -Investments SRmn 257 - -Technical Reserves SRmn 0 - -Combined Ratio % NM - -Net Mgn % NM - -ROE % (1.0) - -ROA % (0.9) - -Div Payout % 0.0 - -EPS SR (0.1) - -Book Value Per Share SR 9.9 - -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.06MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 42.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,00040307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09Source: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Trade Union’s product portfolio includes property insurance (fire andallied perils), liability insurance (general and product), marine insurance (hull, cargoand land transit), crime insurance (burglary, <strong>com</strong>puter fraud), engineering insurance(machinery breakdown, contrac<strong>to</strong>r’s risks), mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance (<strong>com</strong>mercial or heavyvehicles), and personal lines (household <strong>com</strong>prehensive, personal accident, newvehicle warranty). Additionally, Trade Union provides medical and life insuranceproducts as well as reinsurance services led by Swiss Reinsurance Co. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s medical treaty is secured by Reinsurance Company Munich Re.TASITrade Union (RHS)• Financials: The <strong>com</strong>pany recorded revenues of SR6.9mn in 2008, driven byTop 5 shareholders (%)United Commercial Insurance Co. 22.3Al Ahlia Insurance Company 10.0investment and o<strong>the</strong>r in<strong>com</strong>e. However, since <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany started its coreoperations in March 2008 only, it incurred high operating expenses, which led <strong>to</strong> a netloss of SR2.4mn. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s <strong>to</strong>tal asset base as on 2008 was SR261.5mn, while<strong>the</strong> shareholder’s equity s<strong>to</strong>od at SR247.6mn.• Recent developments: Trade Union <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009.Source: NCBC ResearchThe <strong>com</strong>pany recorded a net profit of SR0.8mn in 1Q-09. Corresponding figures for<strong>the</strong> year-ago period are not available. The Company’s year-end date has beenfinalized <strong>to</strong> December 31 in <strong>the</strong> EGM held in March 2009.JUNE 2009TRADE UNION COOPERATIVE193


INSURANCESanad InsuranceAlso known asSANADPriceSR34.4Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.7bn ($183.7mn)Sh. outstanding20.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 58.5/9.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 46.61 12.4512m 22.20 5.93Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.09 0.97Reuters8090.SEBloombergSANAD ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (38) 103 1Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www sanad.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 6.2 1.4P/Sales (x) NA NA 86.4Div yield (%) NA NA 0.0Sanad Insurance & Reinsurance Cooperative Company (SANAD) was established in2006. The <strong>com</strong>pany provides a diverse range of car, general, health, property andmarine insurance and reinsurance services. It also has plans <strong>to</strong> expand productportfolio <strong>to</strong> cover insurance for agriculture, airlines, ships, petrol and power.Company financials2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn NA 3 - -Total Revenues SRmn NA 3 - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (9) (16) - -Assets SRmn 191 221 15.6 -Equity SRmn 191 175 (8.4) -Investments SRmn 186 173 - -Technical Reserves SRmn NA 22 - -Combined Ratio % NA 343.9 - -Net Mgn % NA NM - -ROE % (4.7) (8.9) - -ROA % (4.7) (7.9) - -Div Payout % NA 0.0 - -EPS SR (0.5) (0.8) - -Book Value Per Share SR 9.5 8.7 (8.4) -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.06MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.61Free float (%)Free float 40.0Relative share price perf.11,000609,000407,0005,000203,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISANAD (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Al Khazna Insurance Co. 15.0Saudi Continental Insurance Co. 10.0Ramat Marketing and Distribution Co. 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SANAD provides fire, travel, medical, mo<strong>to</strong>r, property, marine andengineering insurance products. The <strong>com</strong>pany also offers insurance against generalaccidents. In addition, SANAD offers life insurance products and reinsuranceservices.• Financials: The <strong>com</strong>pany recorded revenues of SR2.8mn in 2008. However, sinceSANAD is a recently established <strong>com</strong>pany, it continued <strong>to</strong> incur high operatingexpenses, which led <strong>to</strong> a net loss of SR16.2mn in 2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> SR9.0 mn in2007. SANAD’s <strong>to</strong>tal asset base as on 2008 was SR221.1mn while <strong>the</strong> shareholder’sequity s<strong>to</strong>od at SR175.0mn.• Recent developments: SANAD <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 20, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net loss surged <strong>to</strong> SR4.8mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss of SR0.9mnin 1Q-08. In May 2008, Al Khazna Insurance Co. acquired a 15.0% stake in SANAD,through buying 3mn shares for SR96.8mn. In <strong>the</strong> same month, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panyappointed Mr. Ahmad Bin Abdullah Al Akili as <strong>the</strong> new chairperson <strong>to</strong> replace Mr.Abdullah Bin Yahia Al Muallimi. In addition, Mr. Azman Daya was appointed as <strong>the</strong>new CEO.JUNE 2009SANAD INSURANCE194


INSURANCESaudi UnitedAlso known asWala’a InsurancePriceSR31.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($165.6mn)Sh. outstanding20.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 39.4/9.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 31.73 8.4712m 16.78 4.48Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.90 1.24Reuters8060.SEBloombergWALAA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (4) 74 3Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www.walaa.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 6.7 1.6P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NASaudi United Cooperative Insurance Company (Walaa Insurance) was established atAl-Khobar in 2006 and specializes in business risks and government agencies. The<strong>com</strong>pany markets its products and services under <strong>the</strong> WALAA brand and operatesthrough its branches in Riyadh, Jeddah, Hofouf, and Makah.Company financials2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn NA NA - -Total Revenues SRmn NA NA - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (13) (2) - -Assets SRmn 188 187 (0.3) -Equity SRmn 187 181 (3.3) -Investments SRmn 186 182 (1.9) -Technical Reserves SRmn NA NA - -Combined Ratio % NA NA - -Net Mgn % NA NA - -ROE % (6.9) (1.1) - -ROA % (6.9) (1.1) - -Div Payout % NA NA - -EPS SR (0.6) (0.1) NM -BVPS SR 9.4 9.1 (3.3) -Source: Company, NCBC Research, figures for FY 2007 are from July - December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.06MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap)Free float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000JUNE 2009M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-Walaa Insurance (RHS)International General Insurance Co -Jordan10.5Abdullah Mohammed Taleb Hakim 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: NCBC Research• Business brief: Walaa offers its products through four broad categories. The assets& earnings insurance segment offers a cover against property & businessinterruption. The liabilities segment covers employers, public, products, &professional risks. Under <strong>the</strong> employees segment, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany offers life, personalaccident, and healthcare insurance products. Under <strong>the</strong> goods on <strong>the</strong> move segment,Walaa offers ocean cargo and inland transit insurance products.• Financials: The Company incurred a net loss of SR2.0mn during 2008. Walaa’s <strong>to</strong>talassets s<strong>to</strong>od at SR186.9mn and shareholders equity at SR181.0mn at <strong>the</strong> end of2008.• Recent developments: Walaa <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany incurred a loss of SR2.3mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a loss of SR0.3mn in 1Q-08. In February 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany received <strong>the</strong> Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency(SAMA)'s approval on offering 30 insurance products for 6 months. The <strong>com</strong>pany hasalready received Council of Cooperative Health Insurance's approval <strong>to</strong> issueinsurance policies in August 2008. In February 2009, Walaa also obtained SAMA’sapproval on Mr. Suleiman Bin Abdulaziz Al Tawijri’s appointment <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’sboard. In January 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany appointed Mr. Andrew Martin Chweinhauser asnew Chief Executive Officer.WALAA INSURANCE195


INSURANCESaudi Fransi Coop.Also known asALLIANZ SFPriceSR81.8Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.8bn ($218.3mn)Sh. outstanding10.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 111.0/25.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 60.08 16.0412m 37.97 10.14Raw Beta 6m 2yr0.22 0.90Reuters8040.SEBloombergALLIANZ ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 16 25 (9)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website:Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 13.7 6.3P/Sales (x) NA NA 54.4Div yield (%) NA NA NASaudi Fransi Cooperative Insurance Company (ALLIANZ SF), formerly known asInsaudi Insurance Company, was established in 2006 in Riyadh. The Company is asubsidiary of Banque Saudi Fransi (member of <strong>the</strong> Calyon Group) and AssurancesGenerales de France (member of <strong>the</strong> Allianz Group).Company financials2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn NA 7 - -Total Revenues SRmn NA 8 - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (16) (14) - -Assets SRmn 104 210 101.8 -Equity SRmn 84 66 (21.3) -Investments SRmn 100 72 (28.2) -Technical Reserves SRmn NA 58 - -Combined Ratio % NA 16.3 - -Net Mgn % NA NM - -ROE % (18.8) (18.8) - -ROA % (15.2) (9.0) - -Div Payout % NA NA - -EPS SR (1.6) (1.4) - -BVPS SR 8.4 6.6 (21.3) -Source: Company, NCBC Research, figures for FY 2007 are from July- December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.06MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap)Free float (%)Free float 31.00Relative share price perf.11,0001509,0001007,000505,0003,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIALLIANZ SF (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Banque Saudi Fransi 32.5AGF International Co. 16.2SNI Holding Co. 16.2Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: ALLIANZ SF offers multiple insurance solutions through two mainsegments- individual and corporate. Under <strong>the</strong> individual solutions segment, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany provides Shariah <strong>com</strong>pliant insurance products including individual financialplanning (for education, protection, and retirement), family in<strong>com</strong>e protection, life anddisability insurance, and corporate solutions assurance. The corporate solutionssegment offers insurance cover against fire, general accident, construction/erectionengineering, marine cargo and employee <strong>com</strong>pensation.• Financials: The Company earned net premium of SR7.1mn in 2008, howeverincurred a net loss of SR14.2mn over <strong>the</strong> same period due <strong>to</strong> significant general andadministrative expenses. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s shareholder equity and investments alsodeclined y-o-y by 21.3% and 28.2% respectively.• Recent developments: The <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009.The <strong>com</strong>pany recorded a loss of SR3.3mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a loss of SR3.7mnin <strong>the</strong> year ago period. In December 2008, ALLIANZ SF appointed Mr. Samir BinMohammed on <strong>the</strong> Board of Direc<strong>to</strong>rs (BOD) <strong>to</strong> replace Mr. Abdulaziz Al Mechaalwho resigned in February 2008. During Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced itsplan <strong>to</strong> raise capital through issuance of new preference shares worth SR100 mn.The <strong>com</strong>pany has not disclosed fur<strong>the</strong>r details.JUNE 2009SAUDI FRANSI COOPERATIVE INSURANCE196


INSURANCEGulf Union Co-opAlso known asGulf UnionPriceSR26.9Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($158.0mn)Sh. outstanding22.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 38.0/10.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 44.81 11.9612m 20.57 5.49Raw Beta 6m 1yr1.39 1.28Reuters8120.SEBloombergGULFUNI ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (25) 66 (4)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: NAValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM 163.7P/B (x) NA 6.7 1.4P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NAGulf Union Cooperative Insurance Company (Gulf Union) was established in by <strong>the</strong>Gulf Union Insurance and Projects Management Holding Company. It offers Shariah<strong>com</strong>pliantinsurance products and serves clients in Saudi Arabia as well as clients ofits sister <strong>com</strong>pany - Gulf Union Insurance and Risk Management Company.Company financials2007* 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn - - - -Total Revenues SRmn - - - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (22) 2 - -Assets SRmn 208 208 (0.2) -Equity SRmn 198 195 (1.5) -Investments SRmn 203 175 (14.0) -Technical Reserves SRmn - - - -Combined Ratio % - - - -Net Mgn % - - - -ROE % (11.0) 0.9 - -ROA % (10.5) 0.8 - -Div Payout % - - -EPS SR (1.0) 0.1 - -BVPS SR 9.0 8.9 (1.5) -Source: Company, NCBC Research* Figures for FY 2007 are from August- December 2007Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.05MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.41Free float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIGulf Union (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Gulf Union Insurance Company 23.5Source: NCBC ResearchSource: NCBC Research• Business brief: Gulf Union is engaged in cooperative insurance and reinsuranceactivities excluding protection and savings insurance. The Company’s productportfolio includes insurance for property, liability, mo<strong>to</strong>r, individual, health, and o<strong>the</strong>rrelated cooperative insurance activities. Apart from Dammam, Gulf Union hasbranches in Jeddah, Khobar, and Riyadh.• Financials: The Company recorded a net profit of SR1.7mn during 2008 benefitingfrom higher investment in<strong>com</strong>e, as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> net loss of SR21.9mn in 2007. GulfUnion’s <strong>to</strong>tal assets aggregated <strong>to</strong> SR207.5mn, while shareholder’s equity <strong>to</strong>taledSR195.2mn at <strong>the</strong> end of 2008.• Recent developments: Gulf Union <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit plunged 94.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR31,957 in 1Q-09. In May 2009, MrAhmed Ali Ahmed Al- Shadwi’s appointment <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s board was approved in<strong>the</strong> annual general meeting. The Company appointed Abdullah Al Nasser as a ChiefExecutive Officer, with effect from November 16, 2008. On September 11, 2007, GulfUnion’s shares were listed on <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange at SR109.75 against <strong>the</strong>issue price of SR10. The Company’s IPO was oversubscribed 4.9 times.JUNE 2009GULF UNION197


PriceSR28.4Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($151.7mn)Sh. outstanding20.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 37.3/9.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 24.49 6.5412m 13.99 3.74Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.73 1.08Reuters8160.SEBloombergAICC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (12) 17 (3)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: NAValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NA NMP/B (x) NA NA 1.5P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NAINSURANCEArabia InsuranceAlso known asAICCArabia Insurance Cooperative Company (AICC) was established in 2007 and isheadquartered in Riyadh. AICC operates in partnership with Lebanon-based ArabiaInternational Insurance Company (AIIC) and Jordan-based Jordan InsuranceCompany (JIC). The <strong>com</strong>pany has acquired <strong>the</strong> Saudi assets of AIIC and JIC.Company financials2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn - -Total Revenues SRmn - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (27) - -Assets SRmn 177 - -Equity SRmn 171 - -Investments SRmn 169 - -Technical Reserves SRmn - - -Combined Ratio % - - -Net Mgn % - - -ROE % (15.7) - -ROA % (15.1) - -Div Payout % - -EPS SR (1.3) - -BVPS SR 8.5 - -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.05MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIAICC (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Arab Holding Co. 19.2Jordanian Insurance Co. 12.2Arab Supply and Trading (ASTRA) 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: AICC is engaged in insurance and reinsurance activities andservices across Saudi Arabia. The <strong>com</strong>pany offers several insurance productsincluding mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, medical insuranceand general accidents insurance. AICC intends <strong>to</strong> take advantage of growthopportunities provided by <strong>the</strong> manda<strong>to</strong>ry health and mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance laws in <strong>the</strong>Kingdom. The <strong>com</strong>pany also plans <strong>to</strong> expand <strong>the</strong> market for Takaful life policies andinvestment products.• Financials: The <strong>com</strong>pany recorded net loss of SR26.8mn in 2008, driven by highgeneral and administrative expenses. Total asset base as on 2008 was SR177.0mn,while <strong>the</strong> shareholder’s equity s<strong>to</strong>od at SR170.8mn.• Recent developments: AICC <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany recorded a net loss of SR2.9mn in 1Q-09. Corresponding figures for <strong>the</strong>year-ago period are not available. In January 2009, Mr.Mohammad Saad SobhiKhabbaz was appointed <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany's general manager, replacing Mr. SamirFaddoul Faddoul. The <strong>com</strong>pany received Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency's approvalon this appointment in March 2009.JUNE 2009ARABIA INSURANCE COOPERATIVE COMPANY198


INSURANCEUnited Coop. AssurancePricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR28.2SR0.6bn ($150.6mn)20.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 38.5/16.2Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 36.09 9.649m 29.22 7.80Raw Beta 6m 9mReutersBloomberg0.92 0.998190.SEUCA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 9MAbsolute (%) 0 40 20Market (%) 6 32 (34)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (21)Website: www uca.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NA NMP/B (x) NA NA 3.7P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NAUnited Cooperative Assurance Company (UCA) is engaged in insurance businesswithin KSA. In 2007, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany was established in Jeddah as a separate entity ofUCA Insurance Co. of Bahrain. UCA provides all forms of Insurance andReinsurance except Protection and Savings Insurance.Company financials2008*YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-07)Net Insurance Premium SRmn - - -Total Revenues SRmn - - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (10) - -Assets SRmn 207 - -Equity SRmn 190 - -Investments SRmn 206 - -Technical Reserves SRmn 0.0 - -Combined Ratio % NM - -Net Mgn % NM - -ROE % (5.4) - -ROA % (4.9) - -Div Payout % - - -EPS SR (0.5) - -BVPS SR 9.5 - -Source: Company, NCBC Research* 2008 figures are for 7 months period ending December 31, 2008Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.05MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-Jun-08 Oct-08 Jan-09 M ay-09TASIU C A (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)UCA Insurance Company 32.5Faisaliah Holding Group 5.0Civil Works Company 5.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: UCA offers a wide range of insurance products such as engineering(contrac<strong>to</strong>r’s risks, machinery and plant & equipment used for construction), medical,personal accident and protection, mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance and marine cargo.• Financials: The Company recorded net loss of SR10.2mn in 2008, driven by highgeneral and administrative expenses. Total asset base as on 2008 was SR206.8mn,while <strong>the</strong> shareholder’s equity s<strong>to</strong>od at SR189.8mn• Recent developments: UCA <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany recorded a net profit of SR0.4mn in 1Q-09. Corresponding figures for <strong>the</strong>year-ago period are not available. In March 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany offered 8mn shares <strong>to</strong><strong>the</strong> public, representing 40.0% of <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal capital. The issue was oversubscribed byeight times.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009UNITED COOPERATIVE ASSURANCE CO199


INSURANCESaudi Indian Co.Also known asSIICO, SAUDI INDIANPriceSR55.5Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($148.2mn)Sh. outstanding10.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 117.8/19.3Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 52.17 13.9312m 42.41 11.33Raw Beta 6m 2yr2.49 1.29Reuters8110.SEBloombergSIICO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 9 60 1Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www saudi-indianinsurance <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 12.2 5.3P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NASaudi Indian Company for Co-operative Insurance (Saudi Indian) was established in2007 by New India Assurance Company, Life Insurance Corporation of India (Intl)and Fawaz Abdulaziz Al Hokair and Company. It is headquartered in Riyadh andprovides financial security <strong>to</strong> individuals, <strong>com</strong>mercial establishments and o<strong>the</strong>rs.Company financials2007* 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn - 1 - -Total Revenues SRmn - 1 - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (12) (7) -Assets SRmn 96 104 8.4 -Equity SRmn 88 79 (9.8) -Investments SRmn 93 68 (26.4) -Technical Reserves SRmn - 13 - -Combined Ratio % - - - -Net Mgn % - - - -ROE % (14.0) (8.8) - -ROA % (12.8) (7.3) - -Div Payout % - -EPS SR (1.2) (0.7) - -BVPS SR 8.8 7.9 (9.8) -Source: Company, NCBC Research* figures for FY2007 are from September 2006- December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.05MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap)Free float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)15010050Saudi Indian (RHS)New India Assurance Company 10.6Life Insurance Corporation of India 10.2Life Insurance Co. (Global) 10.2Ahmad Mohammed Abdulrahman Al 5.0Sheikh EstablishmentKhalid Abdul Aziz Bin Selmah Trading 5.0EstablishmentSource: NCBC Research-Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Saudi Indian’s product profile is segregated in<strong>to</strong> two broadcategories: life insurance and non-life insurance. Under its life insurance segment,<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany offers various plans related <strong>to</strong> protection and savings, such as TakafulInsurance Plan, Participating Endowment Plan, Cash Back Plan, and Money Back &Protect Lifelong. Under <strong>the</strong> non-life insurance segment, Saudi Indian provides fireinsurance, mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance, engineering insurance, health insurance and o<strong>the</strong>rmiscellaneous products including personal accident, burglary and fidelity guarantee.• Financials: The Company incurred a net loss of SR7.3mn in 2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong>SR12.3mn in 2007 (from September 2006- December 2007). Saudi Indian’s <strong>to</strong>talassets aggregated <strong>to</strong> SR103.8mn, while shareholder’s equity <strong>to</strong>taled SR79.1mn at<strong>the</strong> end of 2008.• Recent developments: Saudi Indian <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009.The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net loss surged <strong>to</strong> SR5.0mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss ofSR0.7mn in 1Q-08. The <strong>com</strong>pany has received approval from The Council ofCooperative Health Insurance <strong>to</strong> implement health insurance plans in KSA, as per <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany’s announcement in April 2009. In July 2008, Saudi Indian received licensefrom <strong>the</strong> Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency <strong>to</strong> start operations.JUNE 2009SAUDI INDIAN200


INSURANCEArabian Shield Co-opAlsoknown asArabian ShieldPriceSR27.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.5bn ($144.2mn)Sh. outstanding20.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 35.3/10.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 32.35 8.6412m 15.62 4.17Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.08 0.90Reuters8070.SEBloombergSHIELD ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (12) 46 (8)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www arabianshield.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM 184.0P/B (x) NA 6.6 1.4P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NAArabian Shield Cooperative Insurance Company (Arabian Shield) was established in2007 with headquarters at Riyadh and <strong>com</strong>menced operations in January 2008.Arabian Shield is engaged in cooperative insurance and reinsurance activities. The<strong>com</strong>pany is a subsidiary of Arabian Shield Insurance Company, based in Bahrain.Company financials2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn NA NA - -Total Revenues SRmn NA NA - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (5) 2 - -Assets SRmn 204 202 (1.2) -Equity SRmn 195 196 0.8 -Investments SRmn 204 202 (1.0) -Technical Reserves SRmn NA NA - -Combined Ratio % NA NA - -Net Mgn % NA NA - -ROE % (2.7) 0.8 - -ROA % (2.6) 0.7 - -Div Payout % NA NA - -EPS SR (0.3) 0.1 - -BVPS SR 9.7 9.8 0.8 -Source: Company, NCBC Research, figures for FY 2007 are from May- December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.05MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.33Free float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIArabian Shield (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Arabian Shield Insurance Company 30.0Bahrain National Holding Company 15.0Yamama Saudi Cement Company 5.0Al Oba kan Group for Investment 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: NCBC Research• Business brief: Under <strong>the</strong> Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency’s control andsupervision, Arabian Shield provides a variety of insurance products and services.These are general insurance (including property, mo<strong>to</strong>r, marine, engineering, liability,accident, and airplane), medical insurance (for individuals, <strong>com</strong>panies andestablishments), and energy insurance.• Financials: Arabian Shield recorded net earnings of SR1.5mn in 2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared<strong>to</strong> net loss of SR5.2mn in 2007 (from May- December 2007). The <strong>com</strong>pany’s <strong>to</strong>talasset base at <strong>the</strong> end of 2008 was SR201.8mn while <strong>the</strong> shareholder’s equity s<strong>to</strong>odat SR196.3mn.• Recent developments: Arabian Shield <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009.The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit slumped 77.4% <strong>to</strong> SR0.4mn in 1Q-09. In May 2008, <strong>the</strong>Company announced <strong>the</strong> appointment of Mr. Joseph Reso <strong>to</strong> replace Mr. NizarMohammed Al-Sa'ai in <strong>the</strong> Board of Direc<strong>to</strong>rs. On June 26, 2007, Arabian Shield’sshares were listed on <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange with an opening price of SR62.0,which represented a 520% increase over its issue price of SR10.0.JUNE 2009ARABIAN SHIELD201


INSURANCESaudi Arabian Co-opAlsoknown asSAICO SaudiPriceSR57.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($152.2mn)Sh. outstanding10.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 89.5/14.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 53.29 14.2312m 30.65 8.18Raw Beta 6m 1yr1.28 1.42Reuters8100.SEBloombergSAICO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 10 65 (15)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www.saicoins <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 15.0 2.5P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NASaudi Arabian Cooperative Insurance Company (SAICO), established in 2007, offersShariah <strong>com</strong>pliant insurance services across Saudi Arabia. SAICO is a subsidiary ofBahrain based Saudi Arabian Cooperative Insurance Company, which has a 30%stake in <strong>the</strong> former.Company financials2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn NA NA - -Total Revenues SRmn NA NA - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (6) (4) - -Assets SRmn 105 94 (10.4) -Equity SRmn 94 90 (3.9) -Investments SRmn 102 91 (10.9) -Technical Reserves SRmn NA - - -Combined Ratio % NA - - -Net Mgn % NA - - -ROE % (6.8) (4.0) - -ROA % (6.1) (3.7) - -Div Payout % NA - - -EPS SR (0.6) (0.4) - -BVPS SR 9.4 9.0 (3.9) -Source: Company, NCBC Research, figures for FY207 ate from August- December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.05MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap)Free float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10080604020-SAICO (RHS)Saudi Arab Insurance Co - Bahrain 30.0Al Wa'lan Car Co. 5.0Erad Holding 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SAICO, catering <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> insurance needs of <strong>the</strong> Saudi Arabianpopulation, aims <strong>to</strong> carry out insurance activities in all related fields excludingprotection and saving insurance.• Financials: SAICO’s <strong>to</strong>tal assets aggregated SR94.1mn, while shareholder’s equity<strong>to</strong>taled SR89.9mn at <strong>the</strong> end of 2008. The <strong>com</strong>pany incurred a net loss of SR3.7mnin <strong>the</strong> same period as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> SR6.4mn from August- December 2007.• Recent developments: SAICO <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 19, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net loss surged <strong>to</strong> SR2.2mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss of SR0.8mnin 1Q-08. In May 2009, Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency granted an approval <strong>to</strong>SAICO <strong>to</strong> launch five new insurance products. In March 2009, Dr. George Chahinehas been appointed as a member on <strong>the</strong> board, and is awaiting <strong>the</strong> AGM’s approval.In November 2008, SAICO appointed Dr. Saud Abdullah Al Ammary on <strong>the</strong> Board ofDirec<strong>to</strong>rs (BOD) <strong>to</strong> replace Mr. Saleh Khalaf Al-Khalaf who resigned in June 2008. OnSeptember 3, 2007, SAICO’s shares were listed on <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange atSR109.75 per share, an increase of more than 1000% over its issue price of SR10.00per share.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIAN CO-OPERATIVE INSURANCE COMPANY202


INSURANCEAl-Ahlia Insurance CoPriceSR56.5Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($150.9mn)Sh. outstanding10.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 104.0/14.1Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 45.64 12.1912m 38.51 10.28Raw Beta 6m 1yr1.54 1.47Reuters8140.SEBloombergAlahlia AbPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 9 65 5Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www.alahlia.<strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NA NMP/B (x) NA 11.9 2.9P/Sales (x) NA NA 149.1Div yield (%) NA NA NAAl-Ahlia Insurance Company (Al-Ahlia) was established in 2007 by <strong>the</strong> NationalInsurance Company of Egypt and several Saudi inves<strong>to</strong>rs. Al-Ahlia is headquarteredin Riyadh and offers Islamic Sharia-<strong>com</strong>pliant cooperative insurance andreinsurance services in <strong>the</strong> Kingdom.Company financials2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance premium SRmn - - - -Total Revenues SRmn - 2 - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn - (15) - -Assets SRmn 113 107 (5.2) -Equity SRmn 100 83 (17.0) -Investments SRmn 100 101 - -Technical Reserves SRmn - 0 - -Combined Rtaio % - - - -Net profit margin % - - - -ROE % - (16.7) - -ROA % - (13.9) - -Div Payout % - 0.0 - -EPS SR - (1.5) - -BVPS SR 10.0 8.3 (17.0) -Source: Company, NCBC Research, figures for 2007 are from July- December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.05MSCI Saudi (domestic)N/AFree float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,0001509,0001007,000505,0003,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIAl-Ahlia (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Al Ahlia Insurance Co. - Egypt 18.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Al-Ahlia offers a range of general insurance products, which includefire insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, mo<strong>to</strong>r insurance, moneyinsurance, engineering insurance, medical insurance, medical malpractice insurance,fidelity insurance and liability insurance.• Financials: Al-Ahlia’s <strong>to</strong>tal revenues were SR1.6mn in 2008; however, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panyincurred a net loss of SR15.3mn because of high general and administrativeexpenses. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s assets aggregated SR106.9mn, while shareholder’s equitys<strong>to</strong>od at SR83.0mn as of 31 December 2008.• Recent developments: Al-Ahlia <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net loss rose <strong>to</strong> SR4.1mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss of SR0.5mn in1Q-08. In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced that Saudi Arabian Monetary Agency(SAMA) has granted it a temporary approval for ten products including marine,property, fire, transportation, and glass insurance. Previously in April 2009, <strong>the</strong> SAMAapproved some of Al-Ahlia’s products, including car and medical insurance whilegeneral and health insurance product portfolio was approved in March 2009. OnOc<strong>to</strong>ber 06, 2007, Al-Ahlia was listed on <strong>the</strong> Saudi S<strong>to</strong>ck Exchange at SR82.2 pershare as against <strong>the</strong> issue price of SR10.0. The public issue was oversubscribed 7.9times.JUNE 2009AL-AHLIA INSURANCE CO203


INSURANCEAllied Co-operativeAlso known asACIG, Saudi ACIGPriceSR63.8Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($170.2mn)Sh. outstanding10.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 117.0/15.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 58.50 15.6212m 45.41 12.13Raw Beta 6m 1yr1.00 1.40Reuters8150.SEBloombergACIG ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (35) 60 19Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) (2) 48 (26)Website: www acig.<strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NM NMP/B (x) NA 10.9 3.2P/Sales (x) NA NA NADiv yield (%) NA NA NAAllied Cooperative Insurance Group (ACIG) was incorporated in 2007 through <strong>the</strong>acquisition of <strong>the</strong> Saudi assets and client portfolio of its parent <strong>com</strong>pany, ACIGBahrain. ACIG, based in Jeddah, offers Islamic Shariah-<strong>com</strong>pliant insurance andreinsurance products in Saudi Arabia.Company financials2007* 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Insurance Premium SRmn - - - -Total Revenues SRmn - - - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (5) (20) - -Assets SRmn 94 78 (17.2) -Equity SRmn 92 71 (23.5) -Investments SRmn 91 74 (19.1) -Technical Reserves SRmn - - - -Combined Ratio % - - - -Net Mgn % - - - -ROE % (5.1) (24.8) - -ROA % (5.0) (23.4) - -Div Payout % - - - -EPS SR (0.5) (2.0) - -BVPS SR 9.2 7.0 (23.5) -Source: Company, NCBC Research; * figures for FY2007 are from July- December 2007.Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.06MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 0.29Free float (%)Free float 40.00Relative share price perf.11,0001509,0001007,0005,000503,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIA CIG (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Islamic Development Bank 20.0Allied Coop Ins. Group Bahrain 20.0Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: ACIG offers a range of insurance products. Under its marineinsurance segment, it offers marine cargo insurance and inland transit insurance. TheMedical Insurance segment offers four product lines for all types of clients, from <strong>the</strong>office <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> fac<strong>to</strong>ry floor. The Mo<strong>to</strong>r Insurance segment provides third-party liabilityprotection, personal accident cover (for drivers and passengers) and <strong>com</strong>prehensive’own damage’ options. The General Insurance segment provides money insurance,fidelity insurance, personal accident insurance, public liability insurance, workmen’s<strong>com</strong>pensation insurance, and medical malpractice insurance.• Financials: During 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a net loss of SR20.2mn. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s assets also decreased <strong>to</strong> SR78.2mn at <strong>the</strong> end of 2008; whileshareholders equity aggregated <strong>to</strong> SR70.5mn.• Recent developments: ACIG <strong>report</strong>ed its 1Q-09 results on April 20, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net loss widened <strong>to</strong> SR5.6mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss ofSR0.6mn in 1Q-08. In May 2009, ACIG entered in<strong>to</strong> a contract with Netways <strong>to</strong> link<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany's point of sales through a network.JUNE 2009ALLIED COOPERATIVE INSURANCE GROUP204


Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsKingdom Holding 206 PetrochemicalsAsser Trading 207 CementSaudi Arabia Refineries 208 RetailSaudi Industrial Services 209 Energy and UtilitiesSaudi Advanced Industries 210 Agriculture and FoodAl-Ahsa Development 211 Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITAl Baha Investment 212 InsuranceMulti InvestmentIndustrial InvestmentBuilding and ConstructionReal EstateTransportMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


MULTI-INVESTMENTKingdom Holding CoAlsoknown asKHCPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR5.2SR32.4bn ($8,663.6mn)6,300.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 10.8/3.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 37.13 9.9112m 22.26 5.94Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.48 0.91ReutersBloomberg4280.SEKINGDOM ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 3 29 (50)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 28 (45)Website: www.kingdom.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A 65.1 NMP/B (x) N/A 1.5 1.4P/Sales (x) N/A 15.7 6.2Div yield (%) NA NA NAWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.44MSCI Saudi (domestic –small cap) 0.96Free float (%)Free float 6.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)15105Kingdom (RHS)HH Prince AlWaleed Talal Abdul AzizAl SaudSource: NCBC Research-95.0Kingdom Holding Company (Kingdom) was established in 1996. Kingdom primarilyfocuses on banking and financial services, real estate, hotels & hotel managementsec<strong>to</strong>rs. Headquartered in Riyadh it has holdings in retail, food & entertainment,healthcare, technology, media & tele<strong>com</strong>munications, au<strong>to</strong>motive, and o<strong>the</strong>r sec<strong>to</strong>rs.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,167 4,650 5,001 4,771 (4.6) 59.9EBITDA SRmn 217 998 888 (2,023) (13.7) 52.4Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,382 968 1,210 (29,911) NM NMAssets SRmn 68,191 92,440 78,508 50,715 (36.8) (10.1)Equity SRmn 61,365 65,660 51,221 21,615 (57.8) (29.4)Total Debt SRmn 4,280 17,628 18,131 17,614 (2.9) 60.2Cash & Equiv SRmn 1,072 2,478 2,329 1,893 (18.7) 20.9EBITDA Mgn % 18.6 21.5 17.8 (42.4) - -Net Mgn % 118.4 20.8 24.2 (627.0) - -ROE % 2.4 1.5 2.1 (138.4) - -ROA % 2.2 1.2 1.4 (59.0) - -Div Payout % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - -EPS SR 0.2 0.2 0.2 (4.8) NM NMBVPS SR 9.7 10.4 8.1 3.4 (57.8) (29.4)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncEquity 27.3 69.8 Saudi Arabia 100 100Hotels 65.3 30.1Real Estate & Domestic 7.4 0.1Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Kingdom, with initial activities in <strong>the</strong> construction, housingdevelopment, and educational projects, enhanced its stake across sec<strong>to</strong>rs in anumber of Saudi Arabian, Middle Eastern and international <strong>com</strong>panies. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s portfolio consists of premium brands such as Apple, Time Warner,Samba, Citigroup, Pepsi, Walt Disney and Hewlett-Packard. Kingdom has madeinvestments in <strong>the</strong> domestic health, education and social services sec<strong>to</strong>rs. The<strong>com</strong>pany is also a private equity player in Saudi Arabia and in developing markets in<strong>the</strong> Middle East, Africa and Asia.• Financials: Kingdom’s revenues declined 4.6% year-on-year y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR4,770.8 mnin 2008. The <strong>com</strong>pany recorded a negative EBITDA in 2008 and recorded a net lossof SR29,911 mn in 2008 mainly due <strong>to</strong> decline in <strong>the</strong> investment in<strong>com</strong>e.• Recent developments: Kingdom’s 1Q 09 net profit declined 83.4% year on year <strong>to</strong>SR50.2 mn due <strong>to</strong> smaller dividend payments from its portfolio <strong>com</strong>panies as well as aslump in its hotel business. In April 2009, Fairmont Raffles Hotels International, in whichKHC has a controlling stake, was put up for sale for up <strong>to</strong> USD450 mn. In March 2009,<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany reduced its stake in Savola Group Co. <strong>to</strong> less than 5%, acquired a 30%stake worth USD20 mn in Buildworks through its subsidiary, Zephyr Africa ManagementCompany and sold its 50% holding in Four Season Hotel in Geneva.JUNE 2009KINGDOM HOLDING COMPANY206


MULTI-INVESTMENTAseer TradingAlso known asAseerPriceSR14.5Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.8bn ($489.4mn)Sh. outstanding126.4mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 37.3/8.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 32.90 8.7812m 34.98 9.34Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.11 1.24Reuters4080.SEBloombergATTMCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 6 31 (58)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 28 (45)Website: www aseercorp.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 14.6 20.5 NMP/B (x) 2.4 1.6 0.5P/Sales (x) 3.0 3.6 0.7Div yield (%) 2.3 5.1Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.21MSCI Saudi (domestic –mid cap) 2.52Free float (%)Free float 50.08Relative share price perf.11,0009,00040307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIAseer (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Dalat Al Baraka Holding Co. 49.9Aseer Trading, Tourism and Manufacturing Company (Aseer), established in 1975and headquartered in Abha (Southwest of Saudi), is an investment holding<strong>com</strong>pany with interests in five sec<strong>to</strong>rs – food, petrochemicals, real estate, buildingmaterials and construction, and financial services.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,217 1,378 1,482 1,742 17.5 12.7EBITDA SRmn 131 132 134 155 16.0 5.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 247 281 261 (431) NM NMAssets SRmn 2,547 2,766 4,073 3,276 (19.6) 8.8Equity SRmn 1,967 1,699 3,356 2,316 (31.0) 5.6Total Debt SRmn 115 551 158 246 55.5 28.7Cash & Equiv SRmn 53 81 132 251 89.8 68.5EBITDA Mgn % 10.8 9.5 9.0 8.9 - -Net Mgn % 20.3 20.4 17.6 (24.8) - -ROE % 12.6 16.5 10.3 (18.2) - -ROA % 9.7.6 10.6 8.6 (13.2) - -Div Payout % 48.5 N/M - -EPS SR 19.8 3.5 2.1 (3.4) NM NMBVPS SR 157.4 20.1 26.5 18.3 (31.0) 5.6Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncAgriculture 8.2 Saudi Arabia 100 100Manufacturing 71.8Investment 20.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Aseer operates in a wide range of businesses and holdsinvestments in diverse projects including agricultural, cement, printing & publishing,and energy-related projects. The <strong>com</strong>pany operates in <strong>the</strong> travel and <strong>to</strong>urism industryand owns stakes in resorts and hotels. The <strong>com</strong>pany holds investments in DallahIndustrial Investment Company, Al Us<strong>to</strong>ol Arabia Real Estate Development Co. Ltd,Al Khawatem Trading & Contracting Co. Ltd., Al Nasrah International Real EstateDevelopment Co. Ltd. and Al Mawajed International Real Estate Development Co.Aseer has a network of six branches, which are located in Al Madinah, Riyadh, WadiDawaser, Jeddah, Hail and Al Jaouf. The <strong>com</strong>pany owns 95% stake in DallahIndustrial Investment Company and 50.4% stake in National Packaging ProductsCompany.• Financials: Aseer’s revenues and profits have shown relatively stable growth over<strong>the</strong> years. On a y-o-y basis, revenues grew 17.5% <strong>to</strong> SR1,741.8mn. However, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany incurred a net loss of SR431.2mn during 2008 due <strong>to</strong> loss on investments.• Recent developments: In April 2009, Aseer <strong>report</strong>ed 1Q 09 net profit of SR12.9 mnSource: NCBC Research<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss of SR77.2 mn in 1Q 08.JUNE 2009ASEER TRADING207


PriceSR57.5Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.9bn ($230.3mn)Sh. outstanding15.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 80.8/37.3Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 38.75 10.3512m 41.84 11.17Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.32 1.05Reuters2030.SEBloombergSARCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 30 34 (18)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 28 (45)Website: www almasafi <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2007 2008 TTMP/E (x) 133.2 8.8 NMP/B (x) 4.3 1.5 NMP/Sales (x) 105.6 NM NMDiv yield (%) 0.4 1.4 NMMULTI-INVESTMENTSaudi Arabia Refin.Also known asSARCOThe Saudi Arabia Refineries Company (SARCO), established in Jeddah in 1959,invests in <strong>com</strong>mercial and industrial projects in and outside Saudi Arabia. The<strong>com</strong>pany principally invests in petroleum refining, transportation services, andhydraulic projects.Company financials2006 2007 2008 8M-08YoY*(%)CAGR(%)(06-08)Net Revenues SRmn 7 14 1 9 - NMEBITDA SRmn 5 11 (2) 7 - NMNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 4 11 99 8 - 426.4Assets SRmn 498 351 609 229 - 10.6Equity SRmn 483 331 597 212 - 11.1Total Debt SRmn - 8 0 0 - NACash & Equiv SRmn 6 1 43 47 - 159.7EBITDA Mgn % 69.7 84.4 (251.5) 81.4 - -Net Mgn % 54.1 79.3 15465.1 90.5 - -ROE % 0.6 2.6 21.3 3.7 - -ROA % 0.6 2.5 20.6 3.4 - -Div Payout % NA 55.9 15.2 94.3 - -EPS SR 0.9 1.8 16.7 0.5 - NMBVPS SR 120.8 55.1 99.5 14.1 - (9.3)Source: Company, NCBC Research * The <strong>com</strong>parable 8M figure for FY2008 are not availableSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment H109 Geographic H109%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.19MSCI Saudi (domestic –small cap) 1.10Free float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10080604020-SARCO (RHS)HH Mete'eb Bin Abdul Aziz Al Saud 7.3HH Prince Khalid Turki Abdul Aziz 5.0Turki Al SaudSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Currently, SARCO owns stakes in Arabian Salfonates Company(34%), Arabian Tankers Company (27%), Saudi Industrial Investment Group (3.33%),Tabuk Cement and Riyad Bank. SARCO generates in<strong>com</strong>e from: (i) its stakes in <strong>the</strong>earnings of o<strong>the</strong>r <strong>com</strong>panies; and (ii) capital gains on <strong>the</strong> sale of its investments.• Financials: SARCO <strong>report</strong>ed revenues of SR8.7mn and net profit of SR7.9mn during8M-08. The <strong>com</strong>pany also recorded impressive net margin of 90.5% while EBITDAmargin was 81.4%. The <strong>com</strong>pany paid a dividend of SR0.5 per share, with a dividendpayout of 94.3%. EPS for 8M-08 was SR0.5.• Recent developments: In April 2009, SARCO <strong>report</strong>ed net profit of SR0.08 mn for1Q 09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net profit of SR98.6 mn in 1Q 08. In December 2008, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany increased its capital from SR60mn <strong>to</strong> SR150mn, through an issue of 2.5bonus shares for every share held.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA REFINERIES CO208


PricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR12.4SR0.8bn ($224.2mn)68.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 24.0/7.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 36.84 9.8412m 32.65 8.72Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.11 1.17ReutersBloomberg2190.SESISCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 14 33 (44)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 28 (45)Website: www.sisco <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 258.8 NM NMP/B (x) 3.1 3.3 0.9P/Sales (x) 17.8 12.9 4.7Div yield (%) NA NA NAWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.15MSCI Saudi (domestic –small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 79.42Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)252015105-SISCO (RHS)Xenel Industrial Co 20.5MULTI-INVESTMENTSaudi Indl ServicesAlso known asSISCOSaudi Industrial Services Company (SISCO) established in 1988, undertakes largescaleinvestments in KSA’s infrastructure sec<strong>to</strong>r on a built-operate-transfer and buil<strong>to</strong>perate-ownmodel. SISCO has business interests in water desalination anddistribution, development of industrial estates, free zone ports and support services.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 74 74 108 135 25.5 22.2EBITDA SRmn 7 15 37 34 (17.4) 71.1Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 13 5 (5) (24) NM NMAssets SRmn 635 619 703 1,893 155.0 44.2Equity SRmn 454 430 426 722 59.7 16.6Total Debt SRmn 99 97 181 855 372.8 105.5Cash & Equiv SRmn 198 68 54 718 1,234.8 53.8EBITDA Mgn % 8.7 19.5 36.4 24.0 - -Net Mgn % 17.4 6.9 (4.9) (17.9) - -ROE % 3.0 1.2 (1.2) (3.4) - -ROA % 2.4 0.8 (0.8) (1.8) - -Div Payout % N/A N/A N/A N/A - -EPS SR 0.3 0.1 (0.7) (0.4) NM NMBVPS SR 11.4 10.8 11.3 10.6 NM NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncGas Stations and Maintenance 27 Saudi Arabia 100 100Restaurants and Housing Services 0Water Distillation 52Sea Front Project 0Re-Export Projects 21Headquarter 0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: The <strong>com</strong>pany’s affiliate, Support Services Operations Co. (97%owned) provides ancillary services such as building and car maintenance, catering,gas stations in Industrial estates. Saudi Trade & Export Development Co. (76%owned), operates a Free Zone at Jeddah Islamic Sea port on a BOT basis. KindasaWater Services (60% owned) operates a 14,000 cubic meter/day (m3/d) desalinationplant and water distribution network. International Water Distribution Co. (50%owned) is engaged in building & operating water distribution networks within <strong>the</strong> KSA.• Financials: In 2008, SISCO registered a 25.5% y-o-y increase in sales <strong>to</strong>SR135.3mn due <strong>to</strong> increase in demand for <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany's products. However, netloss increased from SR5.2mn in 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR24.2mn mainly due <strong>to</strong> increase inoperating expenses.• Recent developments: In April 2009, SISCO <strong>report</strong>ed a 1Q 09 net profit of SR0.7Source: NCBC Researchmn <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss of SR0.3 mn in 1Q 08. September 2008, SISCO’s affiliateAljabr Talke signed a SR100mn deal with National Industrialization Co. for providinglogistics services.JUNE 2009SAUDI INDUSTRIAL SERVICES209


PriceSR13.6Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($156.3mn)Sh. outstanding43.2mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 24.3/8.2Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 41.46 11.0712m 22.93 6.12Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.12 1.16Reuters2120.SEBloombergSAIC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 3 23 (42)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 28 (45)Website: www.saic <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/M 91.4 21.8P/B (x) 6.2 1.7 0.6P/Sales (x) N/M 64.2 17.3Div yield (%) N/A N/A 5.0MULTI-INVESTMENTSaudi Advanced IndsAlsoknown asSAIOSaudi Advanced Industries Co. (SAIC) is involved in participation, development andpromotion of industrial projects under The Economic Offset Program organized by <strong>the</strong>Ministry of Defense and Aviation. SAIC encourages U.S, U.K and French firms <strong>to</strong>collaborate with Saudi <strong>com</strong>panies <strong>to</strong> establish high-tech plants in diversified industries.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR (%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 5 2 22 25 14.9 71.3EBITDA SRmn 5 2 20 22 10.9 58.6Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 3 0 16 20 27.6 79.7Assets SRmn 103 168 822 894 8.7 105.7Equity SRmn 100 124 820 704 (14.2) 91.9Total Debt SRmn - - - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 2 1 401 1 (99.7) (11.6)EBITDA Mgn % 106.9 100.4 87.9 84.8 (3.5) (7.4)Net Mgn % 67.6 17.7 70.2 78.0 11.0 4.9ROE % 3.5 0.4 1.9 2.6 - (9.3)ROA % 3.4 0.3 1.9 2.3 - (12.0)Div Payout % N/A N/A N/A 1.1 - -EPS SR 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 27.6 79.7BVPS SR 2.3 2.9 19.0 16.3 (14.2) 91.9Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.13MSCI Saudi (domestic –small cap) 1.05Free float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,000309,000207,0005,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISaudi Advanced (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Khalid Saleh Abdul Rahman Al Shethry 9.6Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SAIC has investments in Al Salam Aircraft Co. (10% stake), GulfSalt Co. (4.6% stake), Industrialization & Energy Services Co. (3.4%), ArabianIndustrial Fibers Co. (1.5% stake), and Yanbu National Petrochemicals Co. Moreover,<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany enters in<strong>to</strong> contracts with o<strong>the</strong>r firms <strong>to</strong> develop new technologyoriented<strong>com</strong>panies.• Financials: SAIC’s <strong>to</strong>tal revenue increased 14.9% on y-o-y basis <strong>to</strong> SR25.5mn in2008 primarily due <strong>to</strong> increase in in<strong>com</strong>e from investment in Islamic Murabaha. Netin<strong>com</strong>e in 2008 increased 27.6% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR19.9mn due <strong>to</strong> significant decrease infinance charges. This helped a 7.8 percentage points improvement in net marginsform 70.2% in 2007 <strong>to</strong> 78.0% in 2008• Recent developments: In April 2009, SAIC <strong>report</strong>ed a 40.7% increase in 1Q 09net profit <strong>to</strong> SR6.2 mn. In Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008, SAIC acquired a 20% stake in NPS Bahrainfor Oil & Gas Wells Services WLL, an oil and gas exploration and production<strong>com</strong>pany, for SR 375mn.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009SAUDI ADVANCED INDUSTRIES210


MULTI-INVESTMENTAl-Ahsa DevelopmentAlsoknown asADCPriceSR12.6Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.6bn ($164.9mn)Sh. outstanding49.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 23.6/7.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 46.14 12.3212m 30.27 8.08Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.50 1.19Reuters2140.SEBloombergAADC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 14 1 (42)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 28 (45)Website: www.ahsa-dev <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 20.4 41.6 NMP/B (x) 3.2 2.8 1.1P/Sales (x) 81.3 81.1 NMDiv yield (%) N/A N/A N/AAl-Ahsa Development Company (AADC) was established in 1993 by Royal decree,<strong>to</strong> undertake investment activities in <strong>the</strong> industrial and service sec<strong>to</strong>rs of SaudiArabia, particularly in <strong>the</strong> region of Al-Ahsa. AADC has business interests in foods,textiles, and medical services sec<strong>to</strong>rs.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 31 18 18 0 (100.0) (100.0)EBITDA SRmn 2 (3) (1) (6) (100.0) 100.0)Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 96 71 35 (56) (100.0) (100.0)Assets SRmn 726 792 727 558 (23.2) (8.4)Equity SRmn 451 456 521 397 (22.7) (3.7)Total Debt SRmn 257 313 168 131 (28.1) (22.2)Cash & Equiv SRmn 2 6 3 6 (55.6) (2.4)EBITDA Mgn % 6.4 (15.2) (6.6) NM - -Net Mgn % 304.1 397.7 194.3 NM - -ROE % 21.2 15.6 6.6 (14.1) - -ROA % 13.2 9.4 4.5 (10.1) - -Div Payout % N/A N/A N/A N/A - -EPS SR 13.9 1.7 0.8 (1.2) NM NMBVPS SR 10.5 10.6 12.1 8.2 (32.3) (7.9)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.14MSCI Saudi (domestic –small cap) 1.44Free float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)252015105-Al Ahsa for Dev. (RHS)Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: AADC’s affiliate - Al-Ahsa Medical Services Co. (30% Stake),manages a modern 220 bed hospital in <strong>the</strong> Al-Ahsa region, Al-Ahsa Food ServicesCo. (50% Stake) a JV with Eastern Agriculture Development Co. with a capacity of5,000 <strong>to</strong>ns of data processing, is engaged in production of date molasses vinegar,dates pest and <strong>com</strong>pressed dates. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s affiliate, Saudi Japanese TextileCo. (82% Stake, produces syn<strong>the</strong>tic fiber used in <strong>the</strong> production of dress material.Currently, AADC is in <strong>the</strong> process of setting up an aluminum foil fac<strong>to</strong>ry, a cementplant, and a National University in Al-Ahsa.• Financials: AADC’s did not record any revenue in 2008. The <strong>com</strong>pany recorded anegative EBITDA of SR5.9mn in 2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> negative SR1.7mn in 2007owing <strong>to</strong> decline in revenues coupled with increase in SG&A expenses. AADCincurred a net loss of SR56.2mn as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> net in<strong>com</strong>e of SR34.5mn in 2007mainly due <strong>to</strong> decline in revenues and investment in<strong>com</strong>e.• Recent developments: In March 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced that it signed aSource: NCBC Researchmemorandum of understanding with a Chinese <strong>com</strong>pany, <strong>to</strong> make it a partner in <strong>the</strong>ADC’s aluminum and gypsum plants. In December 2008, <strong>the</strong> Board of AADCapproved a one-for-seven bonus share issue, which increased <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s capitalby 14% <strong>to</strong> SR490 mn with 49mn outstanding shares.JUNE 2009AL-AHSA DEVELOPMENT CO211


MULTI-INVESTMENTAl-Baha InvestmentAlsoknown asAl-bahaPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR21.6SR0.3bn ($86.3mn)15.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 24.2/7.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 71.72 19.1512m 30.06 8.03Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.57 1.27ReutersBloomberg4130.SEABDICO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 35 78 6Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 28 (45)Website: NAValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NM NM NMP/B (x) 4.8 4.3 1.3P/Sales (x) 148.9 295.8 742.5Div yield (%) 0 0 0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.07MSCI Saudi (domestic –small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)252015105-Al Baha (RHS)Al-Baha Investment & Development Co (Al-baha) was established in 1992 <strong>to</strong> developand operate projects in <strong>the</strong> Al-Baha province. It is engaged in a wide range of industrial,<strong>com</strong>mercial, agricultural activities and has plans <strong>to</strong> expand beyond <strong>the</strong> region. Al-baha’sinvestments include a 95% stake in <strong>the</strong> Al-Baha Marble & Granite Company.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 3 3 2 - (87.3) (59.4)EBITDA SRmn 2 2 (3) (5) NM NMNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (4) (4) (13) (15) NM NMAssets SRmn 102 141 147 119 (10.8) 8.9Equity SRmn 63 102 123 105 (4.5) 23.3Total Debt SRmn 5 7 9 - NM NMCash & Equiv SRmn 5 4 41 28 (31.2) 83.4EBITDA Mgn % 69.3 62.4 NM NM - -Net Mgn % NM NM NM NM - -ROE % (6.3) (4.8) (11.9) (14.3) - -ROA % (4.3) (3.3) (9.3) (21.6) - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR (0.3) (0.3) (0.9) (0.4) NM NMBVPS SR 27.8 9.1 8.2 6.9 (4.5) 23.3Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncMain Center 0 52Poultry Farms 74 30Lea<strong>the</strong>r Fac<strong>to</strong>ry 2 11Telfrik Project 25 7Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Al-baha is involved in wholesale & retail trading and industrialprojects including construction. The <strong>com</strong>pany also operates refrigeration s<strong>to</strong>res aswell as repairs and maintenance workshops; and develops animal and agriculturalproducts. In addition, Al-baha owns and reclaims agricultural land for use in newprojects. It also constructs, maintains, and operates public utilities including tramwaysand develops recreational and <strong>to</strong>urist facilities including parks and <strong>to</strong>urist villages.• Financials: In FY08, Al-Baha’s <strong>to</strong>tal revenue decreased 87.3% on y-o-y basis <strong>to</strong>SR0.226mn primarily due <strong>to</strong> decrease in demand for <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany's core productsand services. Net loss decreased <strong>to</strong> SR6.6mn from SR13.3mn in 2007 because ofdecrease in operating in<strong>com</strong>e and <strong>the</strong> increase in provisions.• Recent developments: In April 2009, Al-Baha <strong>report</strong>ed a 1Q 09 net loss of SR1.2mn. In January 2008, Al-baha entered in<strong>to</strong> an alliance with Al-Khabeer FinancialAdvisors <strong>to</strong> enhance <strong>the</strong> performance of its investments. Moreover, Al-baha’s BoardSource: NCBC Researchof Direc<strong>to</strong>rs approved <strong>to</strong> increase <strong>the</strong> share capital <strong>to</strong> SR1bn from SR150mn.JUNE 2009AL-BAHA INVESTMENT212


Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsSaudi Arabian Mining 214 PetrochemicalsSaudi Chemical 215 CementSaudi Pharmaceutical 216 RetailAl Abdullatif Industrial 217 Energy and UtilitiesSaudi Paper Manufacturing 218 Agriculture and FoodNational Company for Glass 219 Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITAstra Industrial Group 220 InsuranceBasic Chemical Industries 221 Multi InvestmentSaudi Industrial Export 222 Industrial InvestmentNational Metal 223 Building and ConstructionFiling and Packaging Materials 224 Real EstateTransportMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTAlsoSaudi Arabian Miningknown asMAADENPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR14.8SR13.7bn ($3,655.5mn)925.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 32.0/9.9Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 216.58 57.839m 223.38 59.65Raw Beta 6m 9m1.18 0.89ReutersBloomberg1211.SEMAADEN ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 17 30 NAMarket (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www maaden.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NA 48.4P/B (x) NA NA 0.6P/Sales (x) NA NA 21.4Div yield (%) NA NA 0.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.22MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 39.83Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000Jul-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)MA'ADEN (RHS)Public Investment Fund 50.0General Organization for Social 5.7Insurance (GOSI)Public Pension Authority 5.0Source: NCBC Research40302010-Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Ma'aden), established in 1997, is engaged inexploration and production of metal and non-metal ores. The <strong>com</strong>pany has fiveoperating gold mines in KSA and a number of new projects. In 2008, Maaden wentpublic and raised SR10.5 bn reducing <strong>the</strong> government’s holding from 100% <strong>to</strong> 55%.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008 YoY (%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 278 350 244 460 88.5 18.3EBITDA SRmn 74 98 (13) 1 NM NMNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 216 318 199 203 2.16 -1.9Assets SRmn 5,659 6,038 5,848 21,358 268.9 56.2Equity SRmn 5,413 5,731 5,484 16,188 198.7 44.6Total Debt SRmn - - - 820 NM NMCash & Equiv SRmn 2,626 182 596 4,145 595.6 16.0EBITDA Mgn % 26.5 28.0 (5.4) 0.27 - -Net Mgn % 77.6 90.9 81.6 43.2 - -ROE % 4.0 5.7 3.6 1.2 - -ROA % 3.8 5.4 3.3 0.95 - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR 5.4 8.0 5.0 0.2 - -BVPS SR 135.3 143.3 137.1 17.7 - -Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncGold 93.3 47.8Phosphate 0.0 (2.07)O<strong>the</strong>rs (mainly investment in<strong>com</strong>e) 6.7 54.3Source: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Ma'aden’s Mahd Ad Dahab mine produced 58,256 ounces of gold in2007. Its Sukhaybarat plant has a rated capacity of 600,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes per annum (tpa).Fur<strong>the</strong>r, <strong>the</strong> Co. is jointly developing its SR13.0bn worth Phosphate Project withSABIC and SR20.9bn worth Aluminum Project. The Co.’s phosphate project, planned<strong>to</strong> <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong> in 2010, is likely <strong>to</strong> yield 3mn metric <strong>to</strong>ns of diammonia phosphatewhereas <strong>the</strong> aluminum project is scheduled <strong>to</strong> <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong> by 2015.• Financials: Company‘s revenue increased 88.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR460.2mn despite <strong>the</strong>decline in sales volume as <strong>the</strong> average selling price doubled in 2008 <strong>com</strong>pared with2007. Net in<strong>com</strong>e, however, did not increase proportionally with revenue due <strong>to</strong>higher mining costs as well as non-recurring expenses related <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> IPO in 2008.• Recent developments: In May 2009 Ma’aden announced that it would proceed with<strong>the</strong> construction of a new aluminium smelter after <strong>the</strong> cost of <strong>the</strong> project fell <strong>to</strong>USD8Bn from USD10bn whiel Dubai Aluminium Co. also expressed an interest injoining <strong>the</strong> project. Ma’aden’s net profit for 1Q-09 <strong>report</strong>ed a fall of 47% y-o-y <strong>to</strong>SR18mn. The decline in net profit was due <strong>to</strong> provisions taken <strong>to</strong> pay zakat (Islamictaxes). Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, Ma'aden also signed a technology transfer agreement withAluminium Pechiney and an agreement with Rio Tin<strong>to</strong> Alcan. In February 2009,Ma'aden Infrastructure signed a deal of USD48 mn with Azmeel Contracting andConstruction Corp. for <strong>the</strong> construction of 500 residential units.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIAN MINING COMPANY214


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTSaudi Chemical Co.Also known asSCCPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR29.5SR1.9bn ($498.2mn)63.2mn52 week range H/L (SR) 53.3/17.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 51.06 13.6312m 56.16 15.00Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.98 1.12ReutersBloomberg2230.SESCCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 0 34 (30)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www saudichemical <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 12.9 20.5 6.6P/B (x) 2.3 2.6 1.2P/Sales (x) 1.9 1.9 0.9Div yield (%) 3.3 0.0 0.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.40MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 1.21Free float (%)Free float 96.97Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Source: NCBC ResearchNov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09SCC (RHS)605040302010-Saudi Chemical Company (SCC) is engaged in blasting services, production and sale ofexplosives and de<strong>to</strong>na<strong>to</strong>rs for civil and military use. In 2004, SCC entered <strong>the</strong> seismicexplosives market serving <strong>the</strong> oil and gas exploration sec<strong>to</strong>r. Its subsidiary Sitcopharmasupplies medical and surgical equipment <strong>to</strong> hospitals and medical centers.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 954 1,015 1,230 1,537 24.9 17.2EBITDA SRmn 159 180 171 226 32.1 12.5Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 110 148 112 201 79.9 22.3Assets SRmn 1,347 1,447 1,658 2,024 22.1 14.6Equity SRmn 699 847 896 1,096 22.4 16.2Total Debt SRmn 100 25 138 119 (13.8) 6.0Cash & Equiv SRmn 51 86 166 166 (0.1) 48.6EBITDA Mgn % 16.6 17.8 13.9 14.7 - -Net Mgn % 11.5 14.6 9.1 13.1 - -ROE % 17.1 19.1 12.8 20.2 - -ROA % 8.4 10.6 7.2 10.9 - -Div Payout % 42.7 0.0 0.0 - -EPS SR 10.4 2.3 1.8 3.2 77.8 NMBVPS SR 11.1 13.4 14.2 17.3 21.8 NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc/loss Breakup %Rev % Net IncPharmaceutical 84.2 51.2Explosives 15.8 49.5Ammonium Nitrate 0.0 (0.3)Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business Brief: SCC's products include Prilex, a blasting agent mainly used forfissured sedimentary rocks and underground applications; Kemulex, an emulsionexplosive suitable for worksites with wet holes and underwater blasting; Sanel, a nonelectricshock tube designed for bench and trench blasting; explosives packing;electric de<strong>to</strong>na<strong>to</strong>rs; de<strong>to</strong>nating cords and blasting machines.• Financials: SCC’s revenue has increased consistently over <strong>the</strong> past three years.Top-line increased 24.9% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR1,537.0mn in 2008. Net in<strong>com</strong>e grew almost79.9% y-o-y in 2008 mainly due <strong>to</strong> decline in o<strong>the</strong>r expenses and higher o<strong>the</strong>rrevenues. Consequently, net margin improved <strong>to</strong> 13.1% in 2008 from 9.1% in 2007.• Recent developments: In April 2009, SCC announced a 97% y-o-y increase in itsQ109 net profits <strong>to</strong> SR67mn. On March 10, 2009, GlaxoSmithKline terminated itsPanadol distribution agreement with SITCO, a 99%-owned subsidiary of SCC.Sitcopharma was awarded SR352mn contract <strong>to</strong> supply pharmaceutical products forhospitals in KSA, as per <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s announcement in November 2008. In June2008, SCC acquired 15% stake in Mawarid Trading Co. and 50% stake in Al DawaaMedical Services Co. through its subsidiary, Saudi International Trading Co.JUNE 2009SAUDI CHEMICAL COMPANY215


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTSaudi Pharma.Also known asSPIMACOPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR35.0SR2.1bn ($560.7mn)60.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 62.0/19.4Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 11.07 2.9512m 24.82 6.63Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.14 1.28ReutersBloomberg2070.SESPIMACO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 6 41 (38)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www.spimaco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 29.4 30.0 11.2P/B (x) 1.5 1.3 1.1P/Sales (x) 4.2 4.6 1.7Div yield (%) 1.9 2.5 6.1Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.31MSCI Saudi (domestic)NAFree float (%)Free float 65.03Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)-M ay-09SP M ACO (RHS)Arab Company for Drug Industries and 20.0Medical AppliancesPublic Pension Authority (PPA) 13.0Source: NCBC Research80604020Saudi Pharmaceutical Industries & Medical Appliances Corporation (SPIMACO)manufactures medicines and medical appliances for local and international markets.The <strong>com</strong>pany’s annual production capacity includes 3mn liters of liquid medicines,550mn tablets, 12mn tubes of cream and ointment, aseptic drops, and penicillin.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 649 728 798 872 9.3 10.3EBITDA SRmn 124 129 129 142 10.3 4.8Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 96 105 122 132 8.5 11.2Assets SRmn 2,466 2,402 3,357 1,937 (42.3) (7.7)Equity SRmn 2,048 1,995 2,884 1,406 (51.2) (11.8)Total Debt SRmn - - - 40 - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 120 131 170 63 (63.2) NMEBITDA Mgn % 19.0 17.7 16.2 16.3 - -Net Mgn % 14.8 14.4 15.3 15.2 - -ROE % 5.3 5.2 5.0 6.2 - -ROA % 4.4 4.3 4.2 5.0 - -Div Payout % 62.4 57.1 73.9 68.4 - -EPS SR 8.0 1.8 2.0 2.2 8.0 (35.1)BVPS SR 170.6 33.2 48.0 23.3 (51.4) (48.5)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncPharmaceutical and Medical Mnfg. 97.1Investments 2.9Source: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: SPIMACO <strong>com</strong>menced production in 1990 with six products. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s products include Zimax, Formit, Pro<strong>to</strong>n, Famocid 10, Cortimax, SapoffenPlus and Glaze. Through its state-of-<strong>the</strong>-art facility, <strong>the</strong> Al-Qassim Plant, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany’s portfolio increased <strong>to</strong> 768 registered products marketed in over 14countries in 2006. SPIMCO offers oral solids, oral liquids, dry powders, injectables,ointments, creams and supposi<strong>to</strong>ries.• Financials: SPIMACO’s revenues have grown consistently in <strong>the</strong> last few years due<strong>to</strong> expansion of <strong>the</strong> sales force and its innovative product line. On a yearly basis,revenues grew 9.3% and net in<strong>com</strong>e rose 8.5% in 2008. Company’s net margin slidmarginally <strong>to</strong> 15.2% in 2008 mainly due <strong>to</strong> rise in interest expenses.• Recent developments: SPIMACO’s net profit for 1Q-09 increased 4.4% y-o-y <strong>to</strong>SR42.70mn. In February 2009, Dr. Hussein Al Kahtani, VP Marketing and Sales,was appointed as <strong>the</strong> CEO of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany. In November 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany won acontract from Ministry of Health for SR102.1mn for <strong>the</strong> supply of medicines <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>Gulf Cooperation Council. The <strong>com</strong>pany announced <strong>to</strong> liquidate its fully owned unitSaudi Dawa'akoum Co. during <strong>the</strong> same month. In June 2008, Spimaco acquired5.83 million new shares of National Industrialization Co. or Tasnee for SR104.94mn;<strong>the</strong>reby increasing its <strong>to</strong>tal stake <strong>to</strong> 5.25%.JUNE 2009SAUDI PHARMACEUTICALS & MEDICAL APPLIANCES216


PriceSR41.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR3.3bn ($889.5mn)Sh. outstanding81.3mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 80.0/35.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 36.30 9.6912m 39.68 10.59Raw Beta 6m 2yr0.44 0.59Reuters2340.SEBloombergALABDUL ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 2 (0) (20)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www carpets.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA 22.3 18.0P/B (x) NA 4.0 3.0P/Sales (x) NA 4.2 3.2Div yield (%) NA 2.2 0.0INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTAl Abdullatif Indl.Also known asAIICAl-Abdullatif Industrial Investment Company (Al Abdullatif), established in 1981,ranks among <strong>the</strong> largest carpet manufacturers in <strong>the</strong> world. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s fullyintegrated operations—from fiber extrusion <strong>to</strong> finishing—gives it a <strong>com</strong>parativeadvantage in <strong>the</strong> timely and cost-effective execution of orders.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 748 861 1,066 1,139 6.8 15.1EBITDA SRmn 237 265 288 282 (2.1) 6.1Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 173 192 200 201 0.6 5.1Assets SRmn 1,087 1,172 1,312 1,534 17.0 12.2Equity SRmn 719 911 1,111 1,215 9.3 19.1Total Debt SRmn 257 152 63 218 245.2 (5.5)Cash & Equiv SRmn 149 116 75 35 (53.7) (38.3)EBITDA Mgn % 31.6 30.8 27.0 24.8 - -Net Mgn % 23.2 22.3 18.8 17.7 - -ROE % 21.1 23.5 19.8 17.3 - -ROA % 16.2 17.0 16.1 14.1 - -Div Payout % 48.7 0.0 - -EPS SR 3.1 3.0 3.1 2.5 (19.5) (7.7)BVPS SR 13.1 14.0 17.1 15.0 (12.5) 4.6Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.24MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 1.61Free float (%)Free float 32.00Relative share price perf.11,000009,00080607,000405,000203,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIAlAbdullatif (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Al Abdul Latif Holding Group 60.0Amr Sulaiman Saleh Al Abdul Latif 5.8Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Al Abdullatif’s manufactures three kinds of carpets — tufted, woven,and non-woven; primarily made from syn<strong>the</strong>tic fibers. The <strong>com</strong>pany exports <strong>the</strong>secarpets <strong>to</strong> more than 25 countries. The color pigment division provides variousshades of color for <strong>the</strong> production of carpets and blankets. The paper tube divisionprovides paper tubes of different sizes and thicknesses for <strong>the</strong> winding of carpets andyarn. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s five fully owned affiliates provide backward integration support<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany.• Financials: In 2008, Al Abdullatif’s sales grew 6.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) <strong>to</strong>SR1,138.9mn. However, net in<strong>com</strong>e remained nearly flat at SR201.3mn in 2008 as<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> SR200.1mn in 2007. This was largely due <strong>to</strong> higher cost of sales andadministrative expenses in 2008. There was also a significant decline in cash balanceas <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany invested heavily in fixed assets.• Recent developments: Al Abdullatif’s net profit for <strong>the</strong> 1Q-09 decreased 49.53% y-oy<strong>to</strong> SR 26.01mn. In September 2008, Al Abdullatif announced <strong>the</strong> acquisition of 27%stake in Red Sea Cables Co.; which is under establishment and has a capital ofSR370mn. In March 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany increased its capital <strong>to</strong> SR812.5mn throughissuance of bonus shares.JUNE 2009ALABDULLATIF INDUSTRIAL217


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTSaudi Paper MnfgAlso known asSPM,Saudi Paper GroupPriceSR57.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.7bn ($456.6mn)Sh. outstanding30.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 75.5/43.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 16.10 4.3012m 21.37 5.71Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.50 1.07Reuters2300.SEBloombergSPM ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 3 10 (15)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www.saudipaper.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 19.5 22.1 26.3P/B (x) 4.3 4.8 5.0P/Sales (x) 3.7 4.1 4.4Div yield (%) 0.9 1.0 1.3Saudi Paper Manufacturing Company (SPM) is one of <strong>the</strong> few integrated paper<strong>com</strong>panies in <strong>the</strong> MENA region. SPM engages in recycling of waste paper,production of tissue rolls from recycled paper and conversion of rolls in<strong>to</strong>consumer products such as paper napkins, <strong>to</strong>wels, facial and <strong>to</strong>ilet paper.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 331 366 444 505 13.9 15.2EBITDA SRmn 104 101 117 125 6.2 6.2Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 68 69 83 85 2.6 7.4Assets SRmn 456 526 628 1,138 81.2 35.6Equity SRmn 240 309 382 448 17.4 23.1Total Debt SRmn 158 176 192 589 206.3 55.0Cash & Equiv SRmn 19 39 27 38 38.4 26.0EBITDA Mgn % 31.5 27.5 26.5 24.7 - -Net Mgn % 20.7 18.8 18.6 16.8 - -ROE % 30.2 25.0 23.9 20.4 - -ROA % 15.4 14.0 14.3 9.6 - -Div Payout % - 17.5 21.8 35.4 - -EPS SR 68.4 2.9 3.4 2.8 (17.9) (65.4)BVPS SR 240.2 12.9 15.9 14.9 (6.0) (60.4)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.19MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.78Free float (%)Free float 49.90Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)80604020-SPM (RHS)HH Prince Abdullah Bin Musaed Bin 50.0Abdul Aziz Al SaudRa’ed Bin Abdul Rahman Bin Abdul 8.4Aziz Al Mesha’alFal<strong>com</strong> Financial Services Co. 7.7Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: SPM has three tissue paper processing plants with an aggregatecapacity of 70,000 <strong>to</strong>ns/year. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s wholly owned subsidiary Saudi PaperConverting Co. (SPCC) converts tissue rolls in<strong>to</strong> branded consumables, which are<strong>the</strong>n distributed through wholesale and retail channels. Saudi Recycling Co. (SRC)collects waste paper, which serves as feed for SPM’s downstream de-inking plants.Al-Madar Trading Co. was set up in <strong>the</strong> UAE <strong>to</strong> collect waste paper from internationalsources. SPM is currently expanding its tissue production and conversion facilities.• Financials: In 2008, SPM registered net profit of SR84.8mn on <strong>to</strong>tal revenues ofSR505.3mn, representing year-on-year (y-o-y) increase of 2.6% and 13.9%respectively. The lower growth in <strong>the</strong> net profit is mainly attributable <strong>to</strong> higher inputcosts, and higher o<strong>the</strong>r expenses.• Recent developments: In April 2009, SPM announced its results for 1Q-09 andregistered a net profit increase of 0.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR22.62mn. In March 2009, SPMunder<strong>to</strong>ok a production expansion at its Dammam plant through an investment ofSR300mn <strong>the</strong>reby increasing production by 79% <strong>to</strong> 125,000 <strong>to</strong>ns annually. In April2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany hiked its capital by 25% <strong>to</strong> SR300mn through <strong>the</strong> issuance ofbonus shares. In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany under<strong>to</strong>ok initiatives <strong>to</strong> expand its business inBahrain, Morocco, Algeria, and Jordan.JUNE 2009SAUDI PAPER MANUFACTURING218


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTNational Co for GlassAlsoknown asZOUJAJPriceSR33.9Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.8bn ($226.3mn)Sh. outstanding25.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 85.0/22.3Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 20.96 5.6012m 20.77 5.55Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.93 1.13Reuters2150.SEBloombergZOUJAJ ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 2 20 (57)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www.zoujaj-glass <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 22.9 20.1 10.7P/B (x) 3.0 3.6 1.7P/Sales (x) 14.4 15.2 6.7Div yield (%) 1.8 1.6 5.2Weightage (%)National Company for Glass Industries (Zoujaj) owns two glass container fac<strong>to</strong>ries,one each in Riyadh and Dammam. Zoujaj has stakes (45% each) in Saudi GuardianInternational Float Glass and Guardian RAK; a joint venture with Guardian Industries.These facilities manufacture float glass for au<strong>to</strong>motive and construction applications.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 88 77 106 109 2.1 7.3EBITDA SRmn 36 31 46 44 (5.0) 7.2Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 130 48 80 68 (15.8) (19.5)Assets SRmn 418 458 501 488 (2.6) 5.3Equity SRmn 387 367 443 428 (3.3) 3.4Total Debt SRmn 4 53 25 25 1.2 89.4Cash & Equiv SRmn 7 16 3 17 525.0 36.2EBITDA Mgn % 40.7 40.8 43.6 40.6 - -Net Mgn % 148.0 62.9 75.6 62.4 - -ROE % 39.0 12.8 19.9 15.5 - -ROA % 35.8 11.0 16.8 13.7 - -Div Payout % 15.4 41.3 31.1 55.6 - -EPS SR 32.5 2.4 3.2 2.7 (16.1) (56.3)BVPS SR 96.8 18.4 17.7 17.1 (3.6) (43.9)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncGlass Container Manufacturing 100 Saudi Arabia 84.0Rest of <strong>the</strong> World 16.0TASI (free float weight) 0.16MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 1.25Free float (%)Free float 83.76Relative share price perf.11,0001009,00080607,000405,000203,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIZoujaj (RHS)Source: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Zoujaj’s plants in Riyadh and Dammam, which have a productioncapacity of 92,000 metric <strong>to</strong>ns per year, manufacture glass containers for <strong>the</strong> foodand beverage industry. Saudi Guardian International Float Glass Co has a float glassproduction capacity of 220,000 <strong>to</strong>ns per year, while Guardian RAK has a capacity of700 <strong>to</strong>ns per day. In addition, Guardian RAK is planning <strong>to</strong> implement a hi-tech glasscoating technology <strong>to</strong> expand its float glass offerings <strong>to</strong> regional cus<strong>to</strong>mers.• Financials: Revenues grew 2.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) <strong>to</strong> SR108.5mn in 2008. Due <strong>to</strong>higher o<strong>the</strong>r expenses and sluggish growth in revenues, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>e in2008 declined 15.8% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR67.7mn. Zoujaj’s net profit margin declined <strong>to</strong> 62.4%in 2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> 75.6%, a year ago.Top 5 shareholders (%)Riyadh Mohammed Abdullah AlHumaidan14.4• Recent developments: In April 2009, Zoujaj announced a 19% y-o-y decline in Q109net profits <strong>to</strong> SR20.6mn. In September 2007, Zoujaj <strong>com</strong>menced <strong>the</strong> production offloat glass at Guardian RAK.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009NATIONAL CO. FOR GLASS219


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTAstra Indl GroupAlso known asAstraPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR30.2SR2.2bn ($597.7mn)74.1mn52 week range H/L (SR) 48.5/18.3Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 21.12 5.646m 35.55 9.49Raw Beta 6m 9m1.49 1.21ReutersBloomberg1212.SEASTRA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 6 38 NAMarket (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www astraindustrial <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NA 9.8P/B (x) NA NA 1.3P/Sales (x) NA NA 1.8Div yield (%) NA NA 2.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.16MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 31.11Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Astra Indust (RHS)5040302010-Arab Supply and Trading Corporation 43.8Mohammed Nejir Saqer Al Utaibi 8.0Astra Industrial Group (Astra), operates in healthcare, chemical, engineering,agricultural and home furnishing industries. Its subsidiaries are Tabuk PharmaceuticalManufacturing Co., Astra Polymer Compounding, Astra Industrial Complex Co,International Building Systems Fac<strong>to</strong>ry Co and Arabian Co. for Comforts and Pillows.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008 YoY (%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 558 704 850 991 16.5 21.1EBITDA SRmn 128 181 216 199 (8.1) 15.8Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 99 156 197 185 (6.3) 23.2Assets SRmn 829 920 1,120 1,743 55.6 28.1Equity SRmn 500 649 828 1,438 73.7 42.2Total Debt SRmn 142 84 44 2 (96.1) (77.1)Cash & Equiv SRmn 97 66 43 525 1,131.3 75.8EBITDA Mgn % 22.9 25.8 25.4 20.0 - -Net Mgn % 17.7 22.2 23.2 18.6 - -ROE % 19.7 27.2 26.7 16.3 - -ROA % 12.0 17.8 19.3 12.9 - -Div Payout % - - - 20.1 - -EPS SR 1.3 2.1 2.7 2.5 (6.3) 23.2BVPS SR 6.7 8.8 11.2 19.4 73.7 42.2Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncMedicines 48.9Chemicals 29.9Engineering & Construction 16.9O<strong>the</strong>r 4.3Source: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Astra’s broad product portfolio include a range of generic andunder-licensed pharmaceutical products; additives and <strong>com</strong>pounds used in <strong>the</strong>production of plastic products, fertilizers, agricultural pesticides, insecticides andfungicides; pillows, bed sheets, and mattress pads. The group also constructs metalbasedpre-engineered industrial buildings and steel structures.• Financials: The <strong>com</strong>pany‘s revenues increased 16.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR990.7 mn in 2008.However, net in<strong>com</strong>e decreased 6.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR184.5 mn. This could be attributed<strong>to</strong> higher input costs in 2008. Net margin s<strong>to</strong>od at 18.6% in 2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong>23.2% in 2007.• Recent developments: In April 2009, Astra announced its results for 1Q-09 andregistered a net profit decline of 17% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR49.2mn. In August 2008, Astraoffered 22.24mn shares (30% of <strong>the</strong> capital) <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> public. In <strong>the</strong> same month, AstraPolymer entered in<strong>to</strong> a joint venture agreement with a Swiss chemical <strong>com</strong>pany, CibaHolding AG, <strong>to</strong> produce and sell antioxidant blends in <strong>the</strong> Middle East.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009ASTRA INDUSTRIAL GROUP220


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTBasic Chemical Inds.Alsoknown asBCIPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR34.6SR0.8bn ($203.3mn)22.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 120.0/18.1Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 36.89 9.859m 36.27 9.68Raw Beta 6M 1yr1.28 1.15ReutersBloomberg1210.SEBCI ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 13 48 NAMarket (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www bci.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA NA 13.2P/B (x) NA NA 1.7P/Sales (x) NA NA 1.1Div yield (%) NA NA 2.1Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.13MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 78.64Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000Jun-08 Sep-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)15010050-BCI (RHS)Ali Al Abdullah Al Tamimi Co. 21.3Abdul Aziz Muhana Abdul Aziz9.1AlmoaibedAbdullah Muhana Abdul Aziz9.1AlmoaibedMohammed & Abdul Rahman Al Saad 7.0Al Buwardi Co.Nour Mehanna Abdulaziz Almaibd 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchBasic Chemical Industries (BCI) incorporated in 1973, is <strong>the</strong> largest privately ownedchemical <strong>com</strong>pany in KSA. Activities of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany include production and sale ofchemicals through its subsidiaries including Saudi Water Treatment, Arabian Polyol,National Adhesive, Basic Chemicals National, Chemical Marketing and Distribution.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 322 352 424 494 16.5 15.4EBITDA SRmn 66 76 92 95 4.2 12.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 36 37 48 40 (18.1) 3.5Assets SRmn 467 485 516 531 3.0 4.4Equity SRmn 224 261 285 305 6.9 10.8Total Debt SRmn 142 125 108 93 (13.9) (13.3)Cash & Equiv SRmn 19 47 38 35 (6.1) 23.3EBITDA Mgn % 20.6 21.5 21.6 19.3 - -Net Mgn % 11.1 10.4 11.4 8.0 - -ROE % 16.0 15.1 17.8 13.4 - -ROA % 7.7 7.7 9.7 7.6 - -Div Payout % 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.8 - -EPS SR 3.6 3.7 2.2 1.8 (18.1) (20.4)BVPS SR 22.4 26.1 13.0 13.8 6.9 (14.8)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncChlorine Alkalies Chemicals 19.1 Saudi Arabia 69.3Maintenance and Washing Chemicals 15.3 O<strong>the</strong>r Countries 30.7Polyurethane Chemicals 20.5Adhesive Chemicals 39.2O<strong>the</strong>r Chemicals 5.9Source: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: BCI produces variety of chemicals such as liquefied chlorine gas,hydrochloric acid, caustic soda, Polyurethane (Polyol), adhesives, calcium chloride,water treatment chemicals, laundry and jani<strong>to</strong>rial products. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s plant islocated in <strong>the</strong> First Industrial Zone in Dammam city, which has an annual productioncapacity of 71,560 <strong>to</strong>ns.• Financials: BCI’s revenues grew 16.5% year-on-year (y-o-y) <strong>to</strong> SR494.2mn in 2008.The <strong>com</strong>pany has shown consistent growth in revenues over <strong>the</strong> last three years. In2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>e fell by 18.1% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR39.6mn. Consequently, netmargin declined <strong>to</strong> 8.0% in 2008 from 11.4% in 2007.• Recent developments: In May 2009, BCI increased its capital by 25% fromSR220mn <strong>to</strong> SR275mn, through issue of five bonus shares for four shares held. InApril 2009, BCI announced its results for 1Q-09 with a net profit increase of 87% y-oy<strong>to</strong> SR12.9mn. In June 2008, BCI came out with an IPO of 6.6mn sharesrepresenting 30% of its <strong>to</strong>tal capital. The IPO valued at SR198mn, was oversubscribedby more than nine times.JUNE 2009BASIC CHEMICAL INDUSTRIES221


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTAlsoSaudi Indl Export Coknown asSIECPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR48.9SR0.5bn ($141.0mn)10.8mn52 week range H/L (SR) 56.0/15.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 47.27 12.6212m 26.43 7.06Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.48 1.38ReutersBloomberg4140.SESIECO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 51 50 23Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www siec.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 83.2 136.5 20.7P/B (x) 8.4 8.4 2.5P/Sales (x) 4.5 4.6 0.4Div yield (%) 0.7 0.0 3.7Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.12MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.51Free float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)S ECO (RHS)605040302010-Ibrahim Oudah Abdullah Al Oudah 5.9Source: NCBC ResearchSaudi Industrial Export Co (SIECO) is a trading <strong>com</strong>pany engaged in <strong>the</strong> export, importand distribution of agro goods, industrial products and bulk <strong>com</strong>modities. The <strong>com</strong>panywas established in 1990. SIECO is represented by its associates across <strong>the</strong> globe andhas exported over 10 million <strong>to</strong>ns of domestic products <strong>to</strong> more than 40 markets.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 229 220 220 709 222.6 45.9EBITDA SRmn 7 2 5 22 379.5 48.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 32 12 7 14 92.6 -23.3Assets SRmn 150 163 164 147 (10.3) (0.5)Equity SRmn 130 118 121 119 (1.3) (3.0)Total Debt SRmn 12 27 16 0 (100.0) (100.0)Cash & Equiv SRmn 10 82 80 98 23.7 113.6EBITDA Mgn % 2.8 0.7 2.0 3.0 - -Net Mgn % 13.8 5.4 3.4 2.0 - -ROE % 28.0 9.6 6.2 11.9 - -ROA % 22.8 7.6 4.5 9.2 - -Div Payout % 0.0 60.4 0.0 76.9 - -EPS SR 22.0 1.7 0.7 1.3 92.6 (60.8)BVPS SR 90.6 16.4 11.2 11.0 (1.3) (50.5)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncSource: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: SIECO trades bulk food products including rice, maize, sugar andedible oils; fertilizers, minerals, chemicals and petrochemicals; iron, steel and o<strong>the</strong>rmetals; air conditioners, trucks and cables. The <strong>com</strong>pany also provides a number ofservices <strong>to</strong> its suppliers and cus<strong>to</strong>mers including guaranteed payments, arm-lengthmarketing, financing, and logistics for land and sea transport. SIECO is investing indistribution channels and warehousing facilities <strong>to</strong> reach more manufacturers andcus<strong>to</strong>mers.• Financials: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s revenues more than tripled <strong>to</strong> SR709.1mn as<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> SR219.8mn in 2007. EBITDA margin increased almost 100 basis points(bps) <strong>to</strong> 3.0% in 2008. Despite 92.6% yearly growth in <strong>the</strong> net in<strong>com</strong>e, <strong>com</strong>pany’s netmargin fell <strong>to</strong> 2.0% in FY08, a 136 bps decline over <strong>the</strong> same period last year. Thiscould be attributable <strong>to</strong> input cost pressures, provisions and absence of investmentin<strong>com</strong>e in 2008. SIECO incurred losses of SR6.8mn in 4Q-08 alone due <strong>to</strong> massivedip in <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p-line.• Recent developments: In April 2009, SIECO announced that it posted a net loss ofSR1.4mn during Q109 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net profit of SR3.1mn, a year earlier. InAugust 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany bought 3.85% stake in Warehousing And AuxiliaryServices Co. for SR11.0mn. In January 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany signed a memorandum ofunderstanding (with 6-month maturity) <strong>to</strong> buy 80% stake (SR40.0mn) in PrivateLabora<strong>to</strong>ries Company through a share swap.JUNE 2009SAUDI INDUSTRIAL EXPORT CO222


PriceSR27.8Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.7bn ($189.7mn)Sh. outstanding25.6mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 66.3/16.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 62.49 16.6912m 67.38 17.99Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.08 1.11Reuters2220.SEBloombergNMMCC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 16 15 (53)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www.natmetalco <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 50.7 42.6 12.6P/B (x) 3.1 3.5 1.6P/Sales (x) 3.2 3.0 1.1Div yield (%) 0.0 1.9 1.8INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTNational MetalAlso known asNATMETAL,MAADANIYAHNational Metal Mfg & Casting (Maadaniyah) is a manufacturer of steel wire and o<strong>the</strong>rwire products. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s plants are equipped with modern machinery for wiredrawing, stranding, galvanizing, and fastener manufacturing. The plant has testingfacilities for chemical, mechanical, and spectrometric analyses.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 203 285 369 500 35.4 35.0EBITDA SRmn 31 37 58 64 11.1 26.8Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 19 18 26 44 69.9 31.4Assets SRmn 230 439 452 544 20.4 33.3Equity SRmn 148 296 317 340 7.4 32.1Total Debt SRmn 50 84 66 80 21.8 17.2Cash & Equiv SRmn 10 29 12 14 12.4 11.7EBITDA Mgn % 15.4 12.9 15.6 12.8 - -Net Mgn % 9.6 6.3 7.0 8.8 - -ROE % 14.1 8.1 8.5 13.4 - -ROA % 8.6 5.4 5.8 8.8 - -Div Payout % 79.4 23.2 - -EPS SR 7.8 1.1 1.3 2.2 71.0 NMBVPS SR 59.0 18.2 15.4 16.6 8.1 NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.10MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 1.01Free float (%)Free float 64.53Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10080604020-M aadaniyah (RHS)National Manufacturing Company 35.4Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Maadaniyah has an annual production capacity of 10,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes(castings), 6,000 units (axles), and 75,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes (wire). The <strong>com</strong>pany specializes in<strong>the</strong> manufacture of low relaxation PC strands, high/low- galvanized steel, carbonwires & strands, mattress spring wires, fasteners, welding wires, and steel nails.These products are utilized by various sec<strong>to</strong>rs including construction, appliances,electrical cable, building systems, and steel fabrication.• Financials: Maadaniyah’s <strong>to</strong>p-line increased 35.4% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR500.3mn in 2008.This is attributable <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> continuous expansion of <strong>the</strong> production capacity of Al-Jubeilwires plant and <strong>the</strong> additional sales resulting from <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s merger in 2006 withArabian Axles Foundries and Spare Parts Co. Company’s net profit grew 69.9% y-o-y<strong>to</strong> SR44.1mn, and net margin improved <strong>to</strong> 8.8% in 2008 against 7.0% in 2007.• Recent developments: In April 2009, Maadaniyah announced a 94% y-o-y decline inQ109 net profits <strong>to</strong> SR1.0mn. In February 2009, <strong>the</strong> Capital market Authorityapproved <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s bonus issue of 1:4 shares for increasing its capital <strong>to</strong>SR255.6mn. In January 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced its plan <strong>to</strong> establish a centerfor upgrading <strong>the</strong> production facilities of plastics products at an initial cost of overUSD26.7mn. The <strong>com</strong>pany plans <strong>to</strong> raise its annual production capacity ofspecialized wires at <strong>the</strong> Al Jubail wire plant <strong>to</strong> more than 110,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes from 80,000<strong>to</strong>nnes. Maadaniyah is also closing down some of its secondary plants.JUNE 2009NATIONAL METAL223


INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENTAlso known asFiling & Pkg MaterialsFIPCOPriceSR58.8Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.4bn ($107.9mn)Sh. outstanding6.9mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 77.5/25.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 14.00 3.7412m 20.57 5.49Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.28 1.08Reuters2180.SEBloombergFIPCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 20 63 (18)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 29 (33)Website: www.fipco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 36.9 41.4 17.3P/B (x) 5.7 6.7 3.1P/Sales (x) 3.4 4.1 1.7Div yield (%) 1.8 0.6 3.5Filing & Packing Materials Manufacturing Company (FIPCO) is engaged in <strong>the</strong>production of bags and o<strong>the</strong>r woven polypropylene packaging products for industrialand agricultural use. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s production facilities located in Riyadh cover anarea of 75,000 square meters. FIPCO manufactures over two mn jumbo bags annually.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 124 132 145 178 22.6 12.7EBITDA SRmn 20 22 22 25 14.6 7.3Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 10 12 15 18 20.7 21.8Assets SRmn 94 120 122 139 14.3 13.8Equity SRmn 84 79 90 96 6.9 4.9Total Debt SRmn 0 12 6 11 107.3 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 5 6 3 18 590.5 50.6EBITDA Mgn % 16.1 16.7 14.9 13.9 - -Net Mgn % 7.8 9.3 10.0 9.9 - -ROE % 12.3 15.2 17.1 18.8 - -ROA % 10.3 11.5 12.0 13.5 - -Div Payout % 85.0 66.8 23.7 60.0 - -EPS SR 7.06 1.80 2.11 2.5 20.7 NMBVPS SR 60.7 11.5 13.1 14.0 6.9 NMSource: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.08MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) NAFree float (%)Free float 85.32Relative share price perf.11,000809,000607,000405,000203,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIF PCO (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Fal<strong>com</strong> Financial Services Co. 14.6Source: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Products include jumbo bags with capacities ranging from 500 <strong>to</strong>2,000 kilograms, container liners used in dry cargo shipping and sling bags indifferent sizes. FIPCO also produces leno bags for fresh vegetable and fruit packing,cable fillers for electrical cable manufacturers, fabrics for fire retardant, tents andlumber protection, strapping band used for boxes, agriculture and baler twines forgreen houses and grass baling use.• Financials: FIPCO registered 22.6% y-o-y increase in sales <strong>to</strong> SR177.8mn in 2008.However, <strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDA margin s<strong>to</strong>od at 13.9% in 2008, a 100 bps decline as<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> previous fiscal year. Net in<strong>com</strong>e increased 20.7% y-o-y <strong>to</strong>SR17.5mn and net margin declined marginally <strong>to</strong> 9.9% in 2008 from 10.0% in 2007.• Recent developments: In April 2009, FIPCO announced a 64% y-o-y increase inQ109 net profits <strong>to</strong> SR7.2mn. In February 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany entered in<strong>to</strong> a loanagreement worth SR11.4mn with Saudi Industrial Development Fund <strong>to</strong> set up a newline for <strong>the</strong> production of polypropylene cement bags.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009FILING & PACKING MATERIALS224


Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsSA Amiantit 226 PetrochemicalsZamil Industrial 227 CementAl-Babtain Power 228 RetailSaudi Cable Company 229 Energy and UtilitiesSaudi Ceramic Company 230 Agriculture and FoodMohammad Al Mojil 231 Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITArabian Pipes 232 InsuranceNational Gypsum 233 Multi InvestmentME Specialized Cable 234 Industrial InvestmentRed Sea Housing 235 Building and ConstructionSaudi Industrial 236 Real EstateSaudi Vitrified Clay 237 TransportMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONSA Amiantit CoAlso known asAmiantit Group,SAACPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR22.3SR2.6bn ($686.2mn)115.5mn52 week range H/L (SR) 55.5/14.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 46.80 12.5012m 34.19 9.13Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.55 1.34ReutersBloomberg2160.SESAAC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 10 37 (52)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www.amiantit.<strong>com</strong>/en/default.phpValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NM 61.3 8.6P/B (x) 2.1 3.0 1.4P/Sales (x) 1.0 1.3 0.5Div yield (%) - - 2.8Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.48MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 2.45Free float (%)Free float 82.73Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Amiantit (RHS)Al Mawarid Investment Co Ltd 15.4HH Price Khalid bin Abdullah Bin 7.4Abdul Rahman Al SaudAbdullah Saleh Abdullah Al Bassam 5.8Source: NCBC Research604020-Saudi Arabian Amiantit Company (SAAC) was established in 1968 <strong>to</strong> manufacturepipes for <strong>the</strong> local market. Since <strong>the</strong>n, SAAC has diversified its product line <strong>to</strong>include rubber polymer, plastic, fiberglass materials, s<strong>to</strong>rage tanks, chemicals andvarious types of pipes with manufacturing facilities across <strong>the</strong> globe.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 2,493 2,660 3,102 4,024 29.7 17.3EBITDA SRmn 170 297 498 760 52.4 64.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (9) 21 64 235 267.1 NMAssets SRmn 3,587 3,661 4,061 4,478 10.3 7.7Equity SRmn 1,166 1,196 1,320 1,487 12.6 8.4Total Debt SRmn 1,306 1,279 1,527 1,559 2.1 6.1Cash & Equiv SRmn 109 71 202 329 63.0 44.4EBITDA Mgn % 6.8 11.2 16.1 18.9 - -Net Mgn % (0.3) 0.8 2.1 5.8 - -ROE % (0.4) 1.8 5.1 16.8 - -ROA % (0.4) 0.6 1.7 5.5 - -Div Payout % - - - 24.5 - -EPS SR (0.1) 0.2 0.6 2.0 263.8 NMBVPS SR 10.1 10.4 11.4 12.9 12.6 8.4Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncPipes Manufacturing 89.2 100.9 Saudi Arabia 53.2 NATechnical Pipe Development 2.3 (1.4) Europe 36.1 NAWater Management 8.5 0.5 O<strong>the</strong>rs 10.7 NASource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SAAC’s core business activities <strong>com</strong>prise of <strong>the</strong> manufacturing andsale of pipe systems, ownership and sale of pipe technologies, provision of watermanagement, consultancy and engineering services, and manufacturing and supplyof polymer products. SAAC has 30 pipe system manufacturing plants, six technology<strong>com</strong>panies, four materials suppliers, and eight supply and engineering subsidiaries.• Financials: SAAC became profitable in 2006 after incurring losses in 2004 and 2005.After registering a healthy performance in 2007, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany recorded a robust29.7% y-o-y growth in revenues <strong>to</strong> SR4,024.4mn in 2008. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDAwas up 52.4% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR759.6 mn causing expansion in EBITDA margins <strong>to</strong> 18.9%in 2008. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net profits also witnessed a significant 267.1% y-o-y growthon <strong>the</strong> back of a substantial increase in investment in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>the</strong>reby expanding netmargins <strong>to</strong> 5.8% in 2008.• Recent developments: SAAC’s net in<strong>com</strong>e increased 5.0% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR48.0mn in1Q-09. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s stake in Arabian Ductile Iron Pipe Co. (SADIP) rose <strong>to</strong> 100%after its 99% owned subsidiary acquired a 5% stake in SADIP for SR11mn in April2009. Earlier in March 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany had increased its stake in SADIP <strong>to</strong> 95%for SR16mn. SAAC also announced its plan <strong>to</strong> set up of a fully owned unit in Bahrainworth SR230mn, for manufacture of pipes, fiberglass tubes and engineering services.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIAN AMIANTIT COMPANY226


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONZamil IndustrialAlso known asZIICPriceSR53.5Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR2.4bn ($642.9mn)Sh. outstanding45.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 125.0/36.4Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 11.23 3.0012m 13.65 3.64Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.35 1.26Reuters2240.SEBloombergZIIC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 1 25 (50)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www ziic.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 16.9 20.0 11.4P/B (x) 4.4 4.6 2.5P/Sales (x) 1.1 1.1 0.6Div yield (%) 2.1 1.6 2.6Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.41MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 1.28Free float (%)Free float 75.61Relative share price perf.11,0001409,0001057,000705,000353,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIZIIC (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Zamil Group Holding Company 19.9Al Amanah Saudi Equity Fund 5.0Source: NCBC ResearchZamil Industrial Inv. Co. (ZIIC), established in 1998 and headquartered in Dammam, is aninternational manufacturing & fabrication group as well as <strong>the</strong> market leader in <strong>the</strong>Middle East. ZIIC owns two steel building plants (Egypt and Vietnam) and two airconditioning plants (Climatech, Austria, and GeoClima, Italy).Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 2,370 2,868 3,681 4,550 23.6 24.3EBITDA SRmn 208 290 361 454 25.9 29.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 106 192 206 225 9.2 28.4Assets SRmn 2,219 2,943 3,965 5,371 36.0 34.4Equity SRmn 588 742 892 1,028 15.2 20.5Total Debt SRmn 169.3. 138 105 2,862 2,647.7 156.9Cash & Equiv SRmn 131 162 187 201 7.9 15.3EBITDA Mgn % 8.8 10.1 9.8 9.9 - -Net Mgn % 4.5 6.7 5.6 4.9 - -ROE % 19.7 28.8 25.2 23.4 - -ROA % 5.2 7.4 6.0 4.8 - -Div Payout % - 35.2 32.7 30.0 - -EPS SR 2.4 4.3 4.6 5.0 8.7 27.7BVPS SR 13.1 16.5 19.8 23.0 16.1 20.8Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncIron Manufacturing 62.0 Saudi Arabia 55.8Air Conditioning Manufacturing 34.5 Asia 11.3Glass Manufacturing 3.4 Africa 9.1Main Unit 0.1 Europe 1.9O<strong>the</strong>rs 21.9Source: Company, NCBC Research,• Business brief: ZIIC exports <strong>to</strong> over 80 markets globally and has manufacturingplants and offices in 55 countries. The <strong>com</strong>pany offers a range of products—airconditioning, pre-engineered steel buildings, process equipment, transmission<strong>to</strong>wers, processed architectural glass, and o<strong>the</strong>r solutions—<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> global constructionindustry. ZIIC operates through Zamil Air Conditioners (ZAC), Zamil Steel Inds. (ZSI),Zamil Glass Industries (ZGI), and Arabian Fiberglass Insulation Co. Ltd (AFICO)• Financials: ZIIC’s revenues increased 23.6% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR4,549.6mn in FY08.However, increase in minority interest and lower o<strong>the</strong>r in<strong>com</strong>e led <strong>to</strong> a lower rise in<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net in<strong>com</strong>e. Leverage has increased substantially led by <strong>the</strong> growth inlong-term debt <strong>to</strong> SR963.2mn in 2008 from SR37.2mn in 2007.• Recent developments: ZIIC’s net profit grew 4.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR52.5mn in 1Q-09benefiting from improvement in sales. In May 2009, 3Com Corporation won <strong>the</strong>contract <strong>to</strong> provide network infrastructure <strong>to</strong> ZIIC. In Dec 2008, Armacell Zamil MiddleEast Co., a joint venture (JV) between ZIIC and Armacell International Holdingstarted a new facility in Dammam for manufacturing rubber insulation products. ZIICannounced 51:49 JV with New Delhi Tele-Towers Pvt. Ltd. in November 2008 with acapital of SR75.0mn. The deal involves supply of tele<strong>com</strong> <strong>to</strong>wers and o<strong>the</strong>r services.JUNE 2009ZAMIL INDUSTRIAL INVESTMENT COMPANY227


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONAl-Babtain PowerAlso known asAl BabtainPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR41.4SR1.7bn ($447.7mn)40.5mn52 week range H/L (SR) 85.5/33.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 42.36 11.3112m 26.68 7.12Raw Beta 6m 2yr0.73 1.02ReutersBloomberg2320.SEALBABTAI ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 5 (10) (41)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www.al-babtain <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 20.4 22.8 13.4P/B (x) 4.3 5.2 3.5P/Sales (x) 2.3 2.6 1.7Div yield (%) 1.9 2.5 1.6Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.38MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 1.09Free float (%)Free float 99.97Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)10080604020-AL Babtain (RHS)Al-Babtain Power & Tele<strong>com</strong>munication Company (Al-Babtain) provides outdoorlighting, transmission & distribution (T&D), and testing station services <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong>power sec<strong>to</strong>r. In addition, it designs, manufactures, and installs steel <strong>to</strong>wers for <strong>the</strong>tele<strong>com</strong>munications sec<strong>to</strong>r. Al-Babtain was established in 1955 in Riyadh.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 543 672 836 1,013 21.2 23.1EBITDA SRmn 88 119 149 210 41.0 33.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 66 76 96 131 36.3 25.8Assets SRmn 717 850 991 1,416 43.0 25.5Equity SRmn 314 359 423 499 17.8 16.7Tot Debt SRmn 256 221 328 602 83.4 33.0Cash & Equiv SRmn 19 17 20 68 238.1 53.7EBITDA Mgn % 16.2 17.7 17.9 20.8 - -Net Mgn % 12.1 11.2 11.5 12.9 - -ROE % 21.9 22.5 24.6 28.1 - -ROA % 10.3 9.6 10.4 10.8 - -Div Payout % - 39.3 56.2 20.9 - -EPS SR 2.4 2.8 3.6 4.8 33.3 26.0BVPS SR 11.6 13.3 15.7 18.4 17.2 16.6Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncLighting & Poles 45.4Towers and Steel Structures 24.2Design, Supply & Installation 30.4Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Al-Babtain’s T&D portfolio <strong>com</strong>prises transmission <strong>to</strong>wers up <strong>to</strong> 500kV, monopoles up <strong>to</strong> 230 kV, and distribution poles up <strong>to</strong> 33 kV. The <strong>com</strong>pany’ssubsidiary Al-Babtain LeBLANC Tele<strong>com</strong>munication (51% stake) is a joint venturewith LeBLANC provides turnkey solutions for implementing structural steel <strong>to</strong>wers <strong>to</strong>utilities and <strong>the</strong> oil & gas, tele<strong>com</strong>, and broadcasting sec<strong>to</strong>rs. The steel galvanizingplant—one of <strong>the</strong> largest in <strong>the</strong> region—provides hot dip galvanizing services <strong>to</strong> makesteel products corrosion-resistant and protect <strong>the</strong>m from early damage. Al-Babtain’smanufacturing facilities are located in Riyadh and Cairo• Financials: Al-Babtain’s <strong>to</strong>p-line grew 21.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR1012.7mn in 2008. Animpressive expansion in EBITDA margin helped net margin <strong>to</strong> grow <strong>to</strong> 12.9% in 2008.Cash and cash equivalents rose substantially mainly due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> presence of cashcollateral worth SR50.0 mn.• Recent developments: The <strong>com</strong>pany announced its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009.Net profit slumped 25.1% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR31.1mn in 1Q-09. On April 1, 2009, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany issued 1:2 bonus shares. In March 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany appointed eight newSource: NCBC Researchmembers <strong>to</strong> its board of direc<strong>to</strong>rs. In June 2008, Al-Babtain signed a contract worthSR242.7 mn with National Contracting Co. Ltd. <strong>to</strong> supply galvanized power<strong>to</strong>wers with a capacity of 380 kilovolts.JUNE 2009AL-BABTAIN POWER228


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONSaudi Cable CoAlso known asSCC GroupPriceSR26.6Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR2.0bn ($539.8mn)Sh. outstanding76.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 88.0/17.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 89.18 23.8112m 70.98 18.95Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.22 1.20Reuters2110.SEBloombergSCACO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 17 34 (66)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www saudicable.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 25.7 17.4 8.1P/B (x) 3.6 4.5 1.8P/Sales (x) 1.6 1.4 0.6Div yield (%) - 1.2 2.8Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.37MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 6.68Free float (%)Free float 81.21Relative share price perf.11,000909,000707,000505,000303,00010M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISCC (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Xenel Industrial Co. 16.6Source: NCBC ResearchSaudi Cable Company (SCC), established in 1976 by Xenel Industries, is engaged in<strong>the</strong> manufacturing of cables and related products for applications in <strong>the</strong> energy andtele<strong>com</strong>munications sec<strong>to</strong>rs. The <strong>com</strong>pany serves cus<strong>to</strong>mers in over 60 countriesthrough ten manufacturing units based in three countries.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,185 1,596 3,143 3,495 11.2 43.4EBITDA SRmn 87 175 448 490 9.5 77.8Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 0 101 249 249 (0.1) 1,033.4Assets SRmn 1,344 2,054 2,700 3,440 27.4 36.8Equity SRmn 547 721 965 1,094 13.4 26.0Total Debt SRmn 510 705 786 1,539 95.8 44.5Cash & Equiv SRmn 32 54 69 123 77.5 56.0EBITDA Mgn % 7.4 10.9 14.3 14.0 - -Net Mgn % 0.0 6.3 9.0 7.1 - -ROE % 0.0 15.9 33.5 24.2 - -ROA % 0.0 5.9 11.9 8.1 - -Div Payout % - - 20.2 22.7 - -EPS SR - 1.3 3.7 3.3 (11.9) NMBVPS SR 7.2 9.5 12.7 14.4 13.4 26.0Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 1H 08 Geographic 1H 08%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncCopper Wire 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SCC’s products include high voltage (HV) underground cables up <strong>to</strong>400 kV, HV transmission lines and conduc<strong>to</strong>rs up <strong>to</strong> 500 kV, and optical fiber countduct cables. SCC’s services also include <strong>the</strong> integration and transformation of lowpressure, oil filled HV cables <strong>to</strong> cross-linked HV cable systems. The <strong>com</strong>pany alsooffers turnkey solutions for designing, engineering, testing, and installing networks in<strong>the</strong> energy and tele<strong>com</strong>munications sec<strong>to</strong>rs. SCC has a manufacturing capacity of6mn core kilometers of metallic telephone lines, 20,000 shea<strong>the</strong>d kilometers of opticalfiber cables, 140,000 <strong>to</strong>ns of aluminum and copper rods, and 85,000 <strong>to</strong>ns of powercables and conduc<strong>to</strong>rs.• Financials: On a y-o-y basis, SCC’s revenues grew 11.2% <strong>to</strong> SR3,494.9 mn.However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit was flat at SR249.0 mn in 2008 mainly due <strong>to</strong>increase in investment losses and provisions for doubtful debts. The <strong>com</strong>pany’sEBITDA however was up 9.5% y-o-y growth <strong>to</strong> SR490.4 mn.• Recent developments: SCC’s net profit plunged 45.0% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR46.3mn in 1Q-09.In May 2009, SCC entered in<strong>to</strong> SR250mn worth agreements with contrac<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong>supply cables. The <strong>com</strong>pany also won a SR130mn contract from <strong>the</strong> Ministry ofElectricity and Water <strong>to</strong> develop electricity grids in Bahrain. In November 2008, SCCwon a SR200 mn contract for <strong>the</strong> supply of super high voltage cables. In July 2008,SCC announced that it has acquired a 55% stake in Alemsan Aydinlatma San Tic Sti,a Turkey based manufacturer of cables.JUNE 2009SAUDI CABLE COMPANY229


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONSaudi Ceramic CoAlso known asPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR99.0SR2.5bn ($660.9mn)25.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 172.0/70.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 11.59 3.1012m 17.23 4.60Raw Beta 6m 3yr0. 90 1.05ReutersBloomberg2040.SESCERCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 1 23 (29)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www.saudiceramics <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 16.6 21.3 15.0P/B (x) 2.8 4.4 3.7P/Sales (x) 3.1 4.4 3.1Div yield (%) 4.0 2.3 2.3Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.35MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 4.48Free float (%)Free float 63.62Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Ceramic (RHS)180140100General Organization for Social 15.9InsuranceSaleh Abdul Aziz Saleh Al Rajhi 14.3Fal<strong>com</strong> Financial Services Co 6.8Public Investment Fund 5.4Source: NCBC Research6020Saudi Ceramic Company was initially set-up <strong>to</strong> manufacture sanitary ware products.Currently, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany also produces and sells ceramic wall and floor tiles, electricwater heaters and ceramic road markers as well as operate 26 showrooms in KSA.Saudi Ceramic, established in 1977, is headquartered in Riyadh.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 425 500 615 857 39.4 26.3EBITDA SRmn 137 146 178 NA NA NANet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 84 93 128 178 39.5 28.6Assets SRmn 778 1,026 1,284 1,559 21.5 26.1Equity SRmn 504 546 613 724 18.1 12.8Total Debt SRmn 158 326 499 NA NA NACash & Equiv SRmn 7 14 21 25 21.4 57.1EBITDA Mgn % 32.3 29.2 29.0 NA - -Net Mgn % 19.6 18.6 20.7 20.8 - -ROE % 17.1 17.8 22.0 26.6 - -ROA % 11.9 10.3 11.0 12.5 - -Div Payout % 59.8 67.0 49.0 35.1 - -EPS SR 3.3 3.7 5.1 7.1 39.5 28.7BVPS SR 20.2 21.8 24.5 29.0 18.1 12.8Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncCeramic tiles manufacturing 77.3 88.8 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Heaters/Boilers 22.7 11.2Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Saudi Ceramics has an annual production capacity of 23 mn sqm ofporcelain and ceramic tiles, 1.8mn pieces of sanitary ware, 950,000 pieces of electricwater heaters and 1.2mn pieces of ceramic road markers. Apart from <strong>the</strong> domesticmarket, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany exports its products <strong>to</strong> more than 45 countries. Saudi Ceramicsinvestment portfolio includes a 15.8% stake in Natural Gas Distribution Company.• Financials: Saudi Ceramics performed well over <strong>the</strong> years as booming constructionsec<strong>to</strong>r helped demand growth. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s sales increased 39.4% y-o-y in 2008.The net in<strong>com</strong>e of <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany also grew 39.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR177.9mn. While <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany’s net margins improved marginally <strong>to</strong> 20.8% in 2008, <strong>the</strong> ROE and ROAimproved <strong>to</strong> 26.6% and 12.5% respectively.• Recent developments: The <strong>com</strong>pany announced its 1Q-09 results on April 11, 2009.The net in<strong>com</strong>e increased 7.9% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR41.0mn in 1Q-09. In Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008, SaudiCeramics announced it would proceed with its SR300mn expansion in 2009, boostingits tile production capacity <strong>to</strong> 50mn square meters. In <strong>the</strong> same month, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panyreceived a loan of SR57mn from Saudi Industrialization Development Fund for plantexpansion for tenure of 6 years. In June 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced it wasconsidering setting up of a fac<strong>to</strong>ry along Riyadh-Alkharj Highway with a productioncapacity of 21mn square meters of floor tiles.JUNE 2009SAUDI CERAMIC COMPANY230


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONMohammad Al MojilAlso known asMMGPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR32.8SR4.1bn ($1,094.8mn)125.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 104.3/28.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 75.28 20.1012m 132.11 35.28Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.97 1.25ReutersBloomberg1310.SEMMG ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 24 21 (51)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www almojilgroup.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A N/A 6.6P/B (x) N/A N/A 2.3P/Sales (x) N/A N/A 1.3Div yield (%) N/A N/A 2.3Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.26MSCI Saudi (domestic)N/AFree float (%)Free float 28.35Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)MMG (RHS)100Mohammad Hamad Abdul Karim Al 50.0MoajilAdel Mohammed Hamad Al Moajil 5.0Al Moajil Holding Co. 5.0Al Moajil Limited Investment Co. 5.0Mohammed Hamad Al MoajilInvestment Co.5.0Source: NCBC Research80604020Mohammad Al Mojil Group Company (MMG) executes <strong>the</strong> construction projectswithin oil, gas and petrochemical industry. The services include maintenance andturnkey contracts, industrial cleaning and pre-<strong>com</strong>mission services, etc. The<strong>com</strong>pany delivers <strong>the</strong> tailor-made construction services both onshore and offshore.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 466 894 1,955 3,345 71.1 92.9EBITDA SRmn 102 246 640 850 32.9 102.8Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 81 208 549 666 21.3 101.7Assets SRmn 552 1,293 2,225 3,669 64.9 88.0Equity SRmn 402 881 1,295 1,901 46.9 67.9Total Debt SRmn - - 200 500 150.0 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 20 106 63 86 35.7 61.7EBITDA Mgn % 21.9 27.6 32.7 25.4 - -Net Mgn % 17.4 23.3 28.1 19.9 - -ROE % 20.2 32.4 50.4 41.6 - -ROA % 14.7 22.5 31.2 22.6 - -Div Payout % - - - 14.9 - -EPS SR 1.2 2.6 4.7 6.7 42.2 77.5BVPS SR 3.5 10.1 13.6 19.0 40.0 75.1Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008Source: Company, NCBC Research%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net Inc• Business brief: MMG is involved in construction, contracting, maintenance andsupplying equipments for <strong>the</strong> petrochemical, oil and gas projects, civil andelectromechanical services for refineries, power plants, cement fac<strong>to</strong>ries and waterdesalination plants. The <strong>com</strong>pany has production capacity of 1400 dia inches of steel,1,600 dia inches of stainless steel and 3000 dia inches of steel pipes per day. Inaddition, it has <strong>the</strong> capacity <strong>to</strong> produce 2,000 <strong>to</strong>ns of structural steel per month andowns 19 vessels.• Financials: MMG’s revenues increased 71.1% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR3,345.0 mn in 2008.However, its EBITDA margin contracted y-o-y <strong>to</strong> 25.4% in 2008 from 32.7% in 2007.The net profit grew at a lower rate of 21.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR665.5mn. Consequently, <strong>the</strong>net margin contracted <strong>to</strong> 19.9% in FY 08 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> 28.1% in FY 07.• Recent developments: MMG’s net profit declined 96% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR5.4mn in 1Q-09.In May 2009, MMG signed a letter of intent (LoI) with Saudi Polymers Co. forconstruction of <strong>the</strong> latter’s Jubail project for SR88.8mn. In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’sgeneral assembly approved <strong>the</strong> 1:4 bonus share issue. In March 2009, MMG enteredin<strong>to</strong> a contract with Eastern Petrochemical Co. (SABIC’s subsidiary) worth SR200mn, for <strong>the</strong> latter’s Jubail project. In February 2009, MMG signed a LoI with ArabianJGC Co. <strong>to</strong> construct <strong>the</strong> ethylene plant worth SR408.7mn. In December 2008, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany appointed Fahd bin Ali al-Raqtan as its CEO.JUNE 2009MOHAMMAD AL MOJIL231


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONArabian Pipes CoAlso known asAC, APC,AnabibPriceSR36.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.1bn ($302.8mn)Sh. outstanding31.5mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 129.5/26.4Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 52.48 14.0112m 39.38 10.52Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.41 1.27Reuters2200.SEBloombergAPCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 23 13 (66)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www arabian-pipes.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 23.7 20.1 12.0P/B (x) 3.5 3.9 2.0P/Sales (x) 3.0 3.9 1.7Div yield (%) - 1.9Arabian Pipes Co (APC) manufactures high frequency welded (HFW) steel pipes for oil &gas, petrochemical, agricultural and construction industries. The <strong>com</strong>pany wasestablished in 1991 and has its headquarters and manufacturing facility in Riyadh. APCexports its products <strong>to</strong> Sudan, Yemen, Egypt, Nigeria, Iran, and o<strong>the</strong>r Gulf countries.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY CAGR (%)(%) (05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 476 594 640 812 27.0 19.5EBITDA SRmn 89 90 158 146 (7.6) 17.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 78 75 126 117 (6.6) 14.7Assets SRmn 962 1,263 1,474 1,635 10.9 19.3Equity SRmn 441 516 642 712 10.9 17.3Tot Debt SRmn 434 673 749 883 17.9 26.8Cash & Equiv SRmn 30 41 17 19 10.4 (14.2)EBITDA Mgn % 18.8 15.1 24.7 18.0 - -Net Mgn % 16.3 12.7 19.6 14.4 - -ROE % 19.3 15.8 21.7 17.3 - -ROA % 10.2 6.8 9.2 7.5 - -Div Payout % - - 37.6 - - -EPS SR 2.5 2.4 4.0 3.7 (6.7) 14.7BVPS SR 14.0 16.4 20.4 22.6 10.9 17.3Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 1H 08 Geographic 1H 08%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncPipes and Fittings 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.22MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 1.90Free float (%)Free float 85.82Relative share price perf.11,0001409,0001057,000705,000353,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIAPC (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)A Q Al Muhaidib and Sons Group 13.8Al Wusata Financial Company 5.2Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: APC’s product line includes–line-pipe applications (for long distancetransportation of oil & gas), structural applications (for construction), general purposeapplications (industrial water and irrigation), standard pressure applications(transmission of different types of fluids), and casting applications (mainly for oil, gasand water well casings). The <strong>com</strong>pany's products are coated with anti-corrosives <strong>to</strong>improve durability.• Financials: APC <strong>report</strong>ed a revenue growth of 27.0% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR812.2 mn in 2008.However, higher input costs, administrative and marketing expenses and decline ino<strong>the</strong>r revenues constrained <strong>the</strong> growth in <strong>the</strong> net in<strong>com</strong>e, which slid 6.6% y-o-y <strong>to</strong>SR117.3 mn. Consequently, net margin slid <strong>to</strong> 14.4% in 2008 from 19.6% in 2007.• Recent developments: APC’s net profit dived 85.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR5.6mn in 1Q-09. InApril 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany appointed seven new members <strong>to</strong> its board of direc<strong>to</strong>rs.Saudi Arabia's Human Resources Development Fund acquired 7.3% stake in APC inApril 2009. In April 2008, Arabian Pipes Company won a deal worth SR21.3 mn <strong>to</strong>supply electric resistance welded pipes <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> petroleum and gas field in Egypt.JUNE 2009ARABIAN PIPES COMPANY232


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONNational Gypsum CoAlsoknown asGypsumPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR45.4SR1.4bn ($383.9mn)31.7mn52 week range H/L (SR) 82.0/27.2Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 7.51 2.0112m 33.84 9.04Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.97 0.98ReutersBloomberg2090.SENGCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 3 23 (30)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www.gypsco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 17.8 25.4 8.5P/B (x) 4.7 4.6 1.8P/Sales (x) 8.9 10.8 3.7Div yield (%) 3.1 3.3 8.3Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.17MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 2.16Free float (%)Free float 53.97Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Al Manafa Investment and RealEstate Development Co.Theneyan Fahd Theneyan AlTheneyan10080604020Gypsum (RHS)34.510.3National Gypsum Company, established in 1959, is a leading producer of high qualitygypsum products. The <strong>com</strong>pany has several plants in Riyadh, Dammam and Yanbu,manufacturing gypsum plaster, plaster board, spray gypsum, and agriculturalgypsum. National Gypsum holds a 33.3% stake in Qatar Saudi Gypsum.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 269 257 223 260 16.4 (1.1)EBITDA SRmn 149 148 113 133 17.6 (3.6)Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 131 128 95 112 18.4 (5.0)Assets SRmn 486 548 597 602 0.8 7.4Equity SRmn 459 489 528 539 2.0 5.5Total Debt SRmn - 25 39 39 0.0 NMCash & Equiv SRmn 3 10 8 6 (32.9) 21.8EBITDA Mgn % 55.5 57.7 50.8 51.3 - -Net Mgn % 48.7 49.9 42.5 43.2 - -ROE % 33.5 27.1 18.7 21.1 - -ROA % 28.1 24.8 16.6 18.7 - -Div Payout % 72.6 55.6 83.5 70.5 - -EPS SR 4.1 4.1 3.0 3.5 18.2 (4.9)BVPS SR 11.4 13.1 14.1 17.0 20.5 14.2Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 1H 08 Geographic 1H 08%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncGypsum products manufacturing 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Source: NCBC Research• Business brief: National Gypsum has an annual production capacity of 450,000<strong>to</strong>nnes of gypsum plaster, 12mn square meters of plaster board, 48,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes ofspray gypsum and Fixing Plaster, 0.5mn square meters of gypsum ceiling tiles and30,000 <strong>to</strong>nnes of gypsum powder. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s investment portfolio includes a2.9% stake in Transgulf Investment Co.• Financials: National Gypsum <strong>report</strong>ed a decline in sales and profitability for both2006 and 2007; however, it registered a 16.4% y-o-y increase in <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>p-line in 2008.The <strong>com</strong>pany’s margins also expanded marginally during 2008 with EBITDA margingrowing <strong>to</strong> 51.3% and net margin increasing <strong>to</strong> 43.2%. This was mainly due <strong>to</strong> lowercost of sales during <strong>the</strong> period.• Recent developments: The Company announced its 1Q-09 results on April 11,2009. The net in<strong>com</strong>e increased 1.0% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR28.9mn in 1Q-09. In 2007, NationalGypsum increased its share capital <strong>to</strong> SR316.6 mn from SR237.5 mn, by granting 4-for-3 bonus shares for every share held. As a result, <strong>the</strong> <strong>to</strong>tal number of shares s<strong>to</strong>odat 31.66 mn <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> earlier 23.75mn.Source: NCBC ResearchJUNE 2009NATIONAL GYPSUM COMPANY233


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONME Specialized CableAlsoknown asMESCPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR36.6SR1.5bn ($390.9mn)40.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 113.3/24.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 38.93 10.4012m 34.21 9.13Raw Beta 6m 1yr1.43 1.22ReutersBloomberg2370.SEMESC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 12 35 (66)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www.mesc.<strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A 17.9 16.8P/B (x) N/A 6.2 2.9P/Sales (x) N/A 2.4 1.1Div yield (%) N/A 0.6 3.2Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.16MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) N/AFree float (%)Free float 47.97Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)15010050-MESC (RHS)Abdul Aziz Mohammed Sulaiman Al 26.6NamlahMohamad Ali Abdullah Al Suwailem 15.3Lama Ismail Fawzi Abu Khadhra 10.0Mansoor Adbul Aziz Mohamad Ka’aky 8.4Source: NCBC ResearchME Specialized Cable (MESC), manufactures system, industrial & instrumentation andpower & control cables. Since inception in <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany has added a wide range ofproducts. After <strong>the</strong> acquisition of JNC Cable in 2003 and its partnership with Fujikurain 2007, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany made inroads in <strong>the</strong> low and medium voltage power cables.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 277 648 1,103 1,308 18.6 67.9EBITDA SRmn 50 148 235 245 4.5 70.4Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 38 84 150 88 (41.1) 32.5Assets SRmn 246 846 1,246 1,615 32.3 88.4Equity SRmn 113 324 435 507 16.6 64.7Total Debt SRmn 71 301 470 836 78.0 127.5Cash & Equiv SRmn 2 31 91 54 (39.9) 196.8EBITDA Mgn % 18.0 22.9 21.3 18.7 - -Net Mgn % 13.8 13.0 13.6 6.8 - -ROE % 40.3 38.4 39.6 16.4 - -ROA % 16.3 19.5 14.4 5.8 - -Div Payout % - - 10.7 54.5 - -EPS SR 1.2 2.6 4.7 2.2 (53.2) 22.4BVPS SR 3.5 10.1 13.6 12.7 (6.6) 53.7Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008Source: NCBC Research%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncSaudi Arabia 51.8 132.2Jordan 45.7 (35.7)UAE 2.4 3.5• Business brief: The <strong>com</strong>pany’s products are categorized in<strong>to</strong> instrumentation andprocess control cables. These are used in indoor, outdoor and control roomapplications, system cables, (data and telephone cables) and power cables (used inapplications requiring greater electrical or electromagnetic protection). Additionally,MESC markets specialized cables for harsh environment applications, such as <strong>the</strong>hydrocarbon industry. Its production capacity is about 10,000 <strong>to</strong>ns of copper/annually• Financials: MESC’s <strong>to</strong>tal revenues increased 18.6% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR1.3bn. Net in<strong>com</strong>edecreased 41.1% <strong>to</strong> SR88.4mn due <strong>to</strong> rise in finance costs, losses from investments infinancial securities, o<strong>the</strong>r expenses and higher administrative and marketing expenses.While o<strong>the</strong>r expenses rose 110.5% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR127.1 mn, administrative and marketingexpenses increased 26.5% YoY <strong>to</strong> SR75.5 mn In 2008, <strong>the</strong> EBITDA margin declined byabout 3 percentage points <strong>to</strong> 18.7%• Recent developments: MESC announced its 1Q-09 results on April 21, 2009. Netprofit for <strong>the</strong> quarter plunged 47.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR26.0mn. In April 2009, MESCannounced that it has signed a contract worth SR21.6mn <strong>to</strong> construct a fac<strong>to</strong>ry in RasAl Khaimah. The new fac<strong>to</strong>ry will start operations by 2009 end. In December 2008,MESC won a SR132 mn order from <strong>the</strong> Saudi Electricity Company (SEC). Under <strong>the</strong>agreement, MESC will supply different kinds of cables <strong>to</strong> SEC in 2009.JUNE 2009ME SPECIALIZED CABLE234


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONRed Sea HousingAlso known asRed SeaPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR67.3SR2.0 bn ($538.7mn)30.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 140.0/48.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 25.64 6.8512m 36.02 9.62Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.19 1.13ReutersBloomberg4230.SEREDSEA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (3) 8 (33)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www rsh <strong>com</strong> saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 13.7 17.6 10.3P/B (x) 4.7 3.9 3.3P/Sales (x) 4.0 3.0 2.0Div yield (%) 2.6 2.9 4.7Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.14MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 1.17Free float (%)Free float 29.96Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Red Sea (RHS)150100Al Dabbagh Holding Co 51.0Mumtaz Foods Co. 5.0The National Scientific Company LTD 5.0Tejariah for Marketing Services and 5.0AgenciesSource: NCBC Research50-Red Sea Housing Services Company was established in Jeddah in 1967. Theobjective was <strong>to</strong> replicate <strong>the</strong> American manufactured housing model in SaudiArabia. The <strong>com</strong>pany later diversified in<strong>to</strong> manufacturing and propertymanagement, setting up its first manufacturing facility in 1983.Company financials*2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 422 431 690 1,145 65.9 39.5EBITDA SRmn 104 131 159 285 79.6 39.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 98 125 117 217 85.8 30.4Assets SRmn 266 489 772 1,012 31.1 56.1Equity SRmn 154 367 529 685 29.5 64.3Total Debt SRmn 5 4 36 99 177.6 170.5Cash & Equiv SRmn 101 193 37 123 229.2 6.8EBITDA Mgn % 24.7 30.3 23.0 24.9 - -Net Mgn % 23.2 29.0 16.9 19.0 - -ROE % 75.5 48.0 26.1 35.8 - -ROA % 39.1 33.1 18.5 24.3 - -Div Payout % 49.7 36.0 51.3 48.4 - -EPS SR 3.3 4.2 3.9 7.2 48.0 30.5BVPS SR 5.2 12.2 19.5 22.8 17.1 64.3Source: Company, NCBC Research* Financial year changed from March <strong>to</strong> December in 2007Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncOil & Gas / Construction - NA Saudi Arabia 22.3 34.9Mining - NA UAE 38.9 13.0Govt. and Multilateral Organizations - NA Africa 35.0 51.5Manufacturing & Selling 84.4 67.0 Asia - -Rent 15.6 33.0 Middle East - -O<strong>the</strong>r Foreign 3.8 0.7Source: NCBC Research• Business brief: With three manufacturing facilities located in Dubai, Jubail, andAccra (Ghana), Red Sea Housing has <strong>the</strong> capability <strong>to</strong> manufacture 920 squaremeters of quality housing a day - which represents an annual production capacity of335,000 square meters. The <strong>com</strong>pany serves all types of housing requirements -<strong>com</strong>mercial and residential, temporary and permanent. Red Sea Housing offersspecial services <strong>to</strong> oil & gas, and mining <strong>com</strong>panies• Financials: In 2008, Red Sea Housing’s <strong>to</strong>tal revenues increased 65.9% y-o-y <strong>to</strong>SAR1,145.1 mn. Net in<strong>com</strong>e increased 85.8% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SAR217.1 mn led by a declinein selling, general, and administration expenses. Fur<strong>the</strong>r, o<strong>the</strong>r in<strong>com</strong>e rose 38.8% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR4.9 mn in 2008. Interest expense more than tripled <strong>to</strong> SR6.7 mn in 2008.• Recent developments: MESC announced its 1Q-09 results on April 19, 2009. Netprofit for <strong>the</strong> quarter grew 3.0% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR58.0mn. In August 2008, Red SeaHousing announced its formation of a new subsidiary in Libya. In July 2008, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany won a contract worth SR76.7mn <strong>to</strong> process, deliver and install 1,100residential units for Australia Company.JUNE 2009RED SEA HOUSING235


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONSaudi IndustrialAlso known asSIDCPriceSR11.1Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.4bn ($118.0mn)Sh. outstanding40.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 19.0/6.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 28.14 7.5112m 17.01 4.54Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.34 1.16Reuters2130.SEBloombergSIDC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 12 32 (39)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www sidc.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/M 85.6 N/MP/B (x) 4.6 2.8 1.3P/Sales (x) 2.3 4.4 1.2Div yield (%) - - -Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.10MSCI Saudi (domestic)N/AFree float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,000209,000157,000105,00053,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISIDC (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Source: NCBC ResearchSaudi Industrial (SIDC), established in 1992, invests in <strong>the</strong> industrial sec<strong>to</strong>r of KSA.In 1997, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany made its first investment by setting up a ceramic plant inYanbu Industrial City. Since <strong>the</strong>n, SIDC has made several investments in diverseindustries such as spring mattresses and polyester fibers.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 438 430 232 250 8.1 (17.0)EBITDA SRmn 11 18 17 17 2.1 17.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (29) (19) 12 (5) NM NMAssets SRmn 657 630 619 478 (22.7) (10.1)Equity SRmn 205 214 363 235 (35.1) 4.8Total Debt SRmn 284 213 120 112 (6.5) (26.6)Cash & Equiv SRmn 14 11 21 24 18.4 20.4EBITDA Mgn % 2.4 4.2 7.4 6.9 - -Net Mgn % (6.6) (4.5) 5.1 (1.9) - -ROE % (11.1) (9.2) 4.1 (1.6) - -ROA % (4.4) (3.0) 1.9 (0.9) - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR (0.7) (0.5) 0.3 (0.1) NM NMBVPS SR 5.1 5.4 9.1 5.9 (35.1) 4.7Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncSponge and matrices 88.9 88.5 Not availableSanitary wares 11.2 (20.6)O<strong>the</strong>rs 0.0 32.1Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SIDC operates through its affiliates. Saudi Ceramic Plant (100%stake), located in Yanbu Industrial City, produces ceramic sanitary ware (annualcapacity of 500,000 pieces) as well as acrylic bathtubs and shower trays (annualcapacity of 100,000 pieces). Arabian Spring and Sponge Mattresses Mfg. Co. (50%stake), formerly known as Sleep High, is a leading manufacturer of spring mattresses.SIDC also has a minority stake in Arabian Industrial Fibers Co. (1.6% stake) whichproduces aromatics (725 kilo <strong>to</strong>ns annually (KTA)), terephathalic acid (350 KTA), andpolyester (150 KTA)• Financials: SIDC’s revenues increased 8.1% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR250.4 mn in 2008. AlthoughSIDC recorded an EBITDA of SR17.4mn, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany incurred a loss of SR4.7mn in2008 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a profit of SR11.8mn in 2007. This was mainly due <strong>to</strong> substantialreduction in o<strong>the</strong>r non-operating in<strong>com</strong>e and higher minority interest during <strong>the</strong> year.• Recent developments: SIDC <strong>report</strong>ed a net loss of SR2.8mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong>a loss of SR1.2mn a year ago. In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced that it hasdefaulted on repayment of <strong>the</strong> debt it owed <strong>to</strong> Saudi Industrial Development Fund andhas received a final warning from <strong>the</strong> Ministry of Finance <strong>to</strong> settle it. In January 2009,<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced plans <strong>to</strong> increase financial guarantees <strong>to</strong> SME businesses<strong>to</strong> USD400,000.JUNE 2009SAUDI INDUSTRIAL236


BUILDING & CONSTRUCTIONSaudi Vitrified ClayAlso known asSVCPPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR44.0SR0.7bn ($176.2mn)15.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 89.8/23.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 11.81 3.1512m 15.41 4.11Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.17 1.01ReutersBloomberg2360.SESVCP ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (5) 5 (48)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 8 19 (53)Website: www.svcp-sa <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A 37.9 10.6P/B (x) N/A 8.4 2.3P/Sales (x) N/A 7.6 1.9Div yield (%) N/A 1.8 6.8Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.08MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.50Free float (%)Free float 55.67Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)SVCP (RHS)10080604020-Abdul Latif Al Essa Co 15.6HH Prince Faisal Bin Abdul Aziz 15.0Faisal Al SaudSaad Saud Ibrahim Al Sayari 13.3Al Riyadh Investment Co 5.5Source: NCBC ResearchSaudi Vitrified Clay Pipes Co. (SVCP), established in 1977, is a multinational <strong>com</strong>panyinvolved in <strong>the</strong> production and wholesale trade of glazed vitrified clay pipes, fittings andaccessories for sewage and drainage systems. The <strong>com</strong>pany caters not only <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> localmarket but also <strong>to</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r Arab countries, <strong>the</strong> Far East and Europe.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 186 211 215 258 20.1 11.6EBITDA SRmn 53 58 49 53 8.0 (0.2)Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 54 50 43 47 8.0 (5.0)Assets SRmn 158 255 333 443 33.0 41.0Equity SRmn 65 155 196 211 8.0 48.2Total Debt SRmn - 27 61 153 150.6 -Cash & Equiv SRmn 26 74 11 13 21.0 (20.9)EBITDA Mgn % 28.7 27.5 22.8 20.5 - -Net Mgn % 29.2 23.4 20.1 18.0 - -ROE % 83.6 45.0 24.6 22.8 - -ROA % 34.7 24.0 14.7 12.0 - -Div Payout % - - 69.5 72.6 - -EPS SR 3.6 3.3 2.9 3.1 7.6 (5.0)BVPS SR 4.3 10.3 13.1 14.1 8.0 48.2Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncClay pipes 100.0 100.0 Not availableSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SVCP manufactures vitrified clay pipes (ranging from 100 mm <strong>to</strong>1200mm) and jacking pipes (150mm <strong>to</strong> 1000mm). These pipes are used for domesticand industrial sewage systems as well as for s<strong>to</strong>rm water disposal. The main featuresof <strong>the</strong>se pipes are <strong>the</strong>ir strength, durability, and resistance <strong>to</strong> chemicals contained insewage and drainage water. SVCP has a state-of-<strong>the</strong>-art 56,000-square-meterfacility in Riyadh with an annual production capacity of 100,000 <strong>to</strong>ns• Financials: SVCP’s <strong>to</strong>tal revenue increased 20.1% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR257.9 mn in 2008.The increase in revenue was offset by a 23.4% y-o-y rise in cost of sales <strong>to</strong> SR188.9mn. During <strong>the</strong> year, <strong>the</strong> net in<strong>com</strong>e increased 8.0% <strong>to</strong> SR46.5 mn. The growth in netin<strong>com</strong>e was constrained by substantial increase in selling and distribution expenses,and higher financial expenses. The administration and marketing expenses grew27.1% in FY08 <strong>to</strong> SR16.1 mn. Total debt for <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany saw a significant rise <strong>to</strong>SR153.3 mn. The net margin contracted <strong>to</strong> 18.0% in FY 08 from 20.1% in FY 07.• Recent developments: The <strong>com</strong>pany announced its 1Q-09 results on April 20, 2009.Net profit for <strong>the</strong> quarter dived 22.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR9.2mn. In September 2008, SVCPbegun experimental production at its new plant that would increase its productioncapacity by 70% <strong>to</strong> 170,000 <strong>to</strong>ns per annum. The <strong>com</strong>pany expects <strong>to</strong> start<strong>com</strong>mercial production at <strong>the</strong> plant soon.JUNE 2009SAUDI VITRIFIED CLAY237


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Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsDar Al Arkan 240 PetrochemicalsJabal Omar 241 CementMakkah Construction 242 RetailEmaar Economic City 243 Energy and UtilitiesTaiba Holding 244 Agriculture and FoodArriyadh Development 245 Tele<strong>com</strong> and ITSaudi Real Estate 246 InsuranceMulti InvestmentIndustrial InvestmentBuilding and ConstructionReal EstateTransportMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENTDar Al ArkanAlso known asDAAR, Dar AlArkanPriceSR26.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR18.7bn ($4,998.7mn)Sh. outstanding720.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 43.7/17.2Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 55.89 14.9212m 74.86 19.99Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.75 0.87Reuters4300.SEBloombergALARKAN ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 11 19 (39)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 19 (39)Website: www alarkan.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A 19.8 6.8P/B (x) N/A 3.6 1.4P/Sales (x) N/A 8.1 2.9Div yield (%) N/A 4.1 -Dar Al Arkan Real Estate (Dar Al Arkan) is engaged in <strong>the</strong> purchase of real estateand land as well as <strong>the</strong> construction of <strong>com</strong>mercial and residential properties. DarAl Arkan is also engaged in car sales and trading of electrical <strong>to</strong>ols, paints, andbuilding materials. The <strong>com</strong>pany, headquartered in Riyadh, was established in 1994.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 4,197 4,353 4,926 5,611 13.9 10.2EBITDA SRmn 1,874 2,071 2,313 2,694 16.5 12.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 1,776 1,814 2,009 2,356 17.3 9.9Assets SRmn 10,824 11,682 18,374 20,164 9.7 23.0Equity SRmn 10,418 10,612 11,000 11,737 6.7 4.1Total Debt SRmn - 414 6,400 7,635 19.3 NACash & Equiv SRmn 526 184 3,347 717 (78.6) 10.9EBITDA Mgn % 44.7 47.6 46.9 48.0 - -Net Mgn % 42.3 41.7 40.8 42.0 - -ROE % 22.4 17.3 18.6 20.7 - -ROA % 21.0 16.1 13.4 12.2 - -Div Payout % 91.2 89.3 80.7 - - -EPS SR 3.3 3.4 3.7 3.3 (12.0) (0.2)BVPS SR 19.3 19.7 20.4 16.3 (20.0) (5.5)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment H108 Geographic H108%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncReal estate development 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 1.89MSCI SaudiN/AFree float (%)Free float 45.24Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Dar Al Arkan (RHS)5040302010-Khalid Abdullah Shelash Al Shelash 9.1Al Arkan Development Co. 8.4Manazel Development Co. 7.9Yousef Abdullah Shelash AL Shelash 7.7Hadhlool Saleh Mohammed Al6.9HadhloolSource: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Dar Al Arkan has constructed more than 2,300 residential units anddeveloped 9 mn square meters of land since inception. The <strong>com</strong>pany is currentlydeveloping a number of residential projects such as Shams Alriyadh, Al Qasr, and Al-Tilal. The <strong>com</strong>pany aims <strong>to</strong> construct 65,000 residential units by 2009. Dar Al Arkanalso offers pre-sales, after-sales, and funding services <strong>to</strong> its cus<strong>to</strong>mers.• Financials: Dar Al Arkan’s <strong>to</strong>p line and bot<strong>to</strong>m line have grown over <strong>the</strong> last fiveyears due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> steady demand for housing from <strong>the</strong> expanding population in SaudiArabia. Despite <strong>the</strong> global crisis in 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a revenue growth of13.9% and a net profit growth of 17.3% y-o-y. During <strong>the</strong> same period, EBITDA andnet profit margins were strong at 48.0% and 42.0% respectively; keeping in line with<strong>the</strong> trend over <strong>the</strong> past 3-4 years.• Recent developments: In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> Board of Direc<strong>to</strong>rs re<strong>com</strong>mended a 50%capital increase <strong>to</strong> SR10.8 bn by issuing one bonus share for every two held. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s revenues grew 0.3% year on year <strong>to</strong> SR1.3 bn while its net profit declined6.2% year on year <strong>to</strong> SR 424.5 mn in 1Q 09. In Oct 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced itsplans <strong>to</strong> enter a 5-year partnership with various <strong>com</strong>panies <strong>to</strong> develop KhozamPalace area (Jeddah) at a cost of SR50 bn. In Sept 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany got approvalfor a SR1.8 bn (one-for-three share) bonus issue.JUNE 2009DAR AL ARKAN240


PricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR19.1SR12.8bn ($3,415.3mn)671.4mn52 week range H/L (SR) 28.3/14.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 35.42 9.4612m 58.15 15.53Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.43 0.68ReutersBloomberg4250.SEJOMAR ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 3 1 (25)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 19 (39)Website: www jabalomar <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/A N/A N/MP/B (x) N/A N/A 2.0P/Sales (x) N/A N/A N/ADiv yield (%) N/A N/A N/AWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.92MSCI SaudiN/AFree float (%)Free float 32.20Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)302010Jabal Omar (RHS)Jabal Omar Establishment 50.6Makkah Construction and5.0Development Co.Source: NCBC Research-REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENTJabal OmarAlso known asJabal Omar,JODCJabal Omar Development Company (Jabal Omar) is engaged in <strong>the</strong> real estatedevelopment in <strong>the</strong> Jabal Omar Area. The <strong>com</strong>pany buys, builds, develops, manages,rents, leases and sells land and properties, in cooperation with local and internationalsubcontrac<strong>to</strong>rs. The <strong>com</strong>pany headquartered in Mecca was established in 2006.Company financials2008*YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn - - -EBITDA SRmn (93) - -Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (53) - -Assets SRmn 6,704 - -Equity SRmn 6,661 - -Tot Debt SRmn - - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 946 - -EBITDA Mgn % N/A - -Net Mgn % N/A - -ROE % (0.8) - -ROA % (0.8) - -Div Payout % - - -EPS SR (0.1) - -BVPS SR 9.9 - -Source: Company, NCBC Research;* 2008 figures are for 14 months period ending December 2008Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment H108 Geographic H108%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncReal estate development 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Jabal Omar builds ac<strong>com</strong>modation for pilgrims visiting Mecca, whichincludes residential <strong>to</strong>wers, hotels, <strong>com</strong>mercial centers, as well as roads and parkingfacilities. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s major project, <strong>the</strong> Jabal Omar project is expected <strong>to</strong> be<strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong>d in 2010. The project includes two five-star hotels, six three-star hotels, 20-s<strong>to</strong>rey residential buildings <strong>to</strong> ac<strong>com</strong>modate 100,000 people, <strong>com</strong>mercial centers,shops & showrooms, roads, tunnels, a central transport station, parking facility for12,000 vehicles and prayer facilities for 220,000 worshipers.• Financials: The <strong>com</strong>pany has not yet started generating revenues. In 14 monthsperiod ending December 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany recorded SR72.4mn as investmentin<strong>com</strong>e. However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a net loss of SR52.6mn during <strong>the</strong> period.• Recent developments: In May 2009, Jabal Omar assigned Al Rajhi Financialservices <strong>to</strong> arrange financing for its Jabal Omar real estate project worth USD3 bn. InApril 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany terminated <strong>the</strong> deal with Jadwa Investment Company signedin July 2008. In Q1 09, Jabal Omar posted a loss of SR4.1 mn. In July 2008, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany announced its plans <strong>to</strong> construct an SR400 mn electricity distribution stationin Makkah. The <strong>com</strong>pany also signed a SR12.4 bn financing agreement with JadwaInvestment for a real estate project in Makkah.JUNE 2009JABAL OMAR241


REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENTMakkah ConstructionAlsoknown asMCDCPriceSR27.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR4.5bn ($1,188.3mn)Sh. outstanding164.8mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 44.8/18.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 12.29 3.2812m 35.18 9.39Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.37 0.99Reuters4100.SEBloombergMCDCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (5) 10 (26)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 19 (39)Website: www mcdc <strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2007 2008 TTMP/E (x) 41.5 34.5 22.4P/B (x) 2.3 1.4 1.1P/Sales (x) 26.1 22.4 15.3Div yield (%) 2.9 3.2 0.0Makkah Construction & Development Co. (MCDC) established in 1989 <strong>to</strong> developareas around <strong>the</strong> Holy Mosque in Makkah. The <strong>com</strong>pany is engaged in <strong>the</strong>redevelopment of <strong>the</strong> Holy Haram Area. MCDC has established <strong>the</strong> residential and<strong>com</strong>mercial <strong>com</strong>plex including <strong>the</strong> Jabal Omar and Jabal Khandama Project.Company financials (year end- April)2006 2007 2008 9M-09YoY(%)CAGR(%)(06-08)Net Revenues SRmn 77 274 272 227 8.9 87.5EBITDA SRmn 66 210 237 193 4.2 89.1Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 178 173 177 185 13.2 (0.3)Assets SRmn 2,607 3,460 4,618 4,202 21.9 33.1Equity SRmn 2,165 3,157 4,234 4,018 28.7 39.9Total Debt SRmn 126 - - - - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 36 125 114 NA NA 79.2EBITDA Mgn % 85.6 76.5 87.1 84.8 - -Net Mgn % 230.2 63.0 65.1 81.5 - -ROE % 8.2 6.5 4.8 5.2 - -ROA % 6.9 5.7 4.4 4.8 - -Div Payout % - 119.6 111.7 - - -EPS SR 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 13.2 (0.3)BVPS SR 13.1 18.8 25.7 24.4 36.4 39.9Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncReal Estate Construction Engg Services 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.83MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 0.06Free float (%)Free float 83.49Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Makkah (RHS)5040302010-Saudi Bin Laden Group 10.9Mohammed Salah Hamza Sairafi 6.4Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: MCDC is involved in real estate (investment, construction anddevelopment), property management, and hotel management. The <strong>com</strong>pany holds100% stake in Makkah Hil<strong>to</strong>n & Towers (<strong>the</strong> 1,400-room hotel) and Makkah ShoppingCenter (a three-s<strong>to</strong>ry 451 unit shopping center). MCDC is <strong>the</strong> biggest stakeholder in<strong>the</strong> Jabal Omar Development Company. The Jabal Omar Project is spread across230,000 square meters and includes hotels, <strong>com</strong>mercial centers and prayer facilitiesfor over 200,000 people.• Financials: In 9M-09, ending January 2009, MCDC’s net margins were 81.5%showing an improvement over 9M-08 levels of 78.4%. EBIDTA margins declined <strong>to</strong>84.8% from 88.6% in 9M-08 due <strong>to</strong> increase in operating expenses. At SR227.0 mn,sales in 9M-09 grew 8.9% relative <strong>to</strong> SR208.4 in 9M-08. Earnings improved 13.2% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> register SR185mn in <strong>the</strong> nine month period ended January 2009.• Recent developments: In May 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced a 16.7% y-o-yincrease in its FY 2009 net profit <strong>to</strong> SR221.0 mn. In Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008, MCDC appointedSource: NCBC ResearchMr. Abdulfattah Abdulshakour Fida as <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany's general manager <strong>to</strong> replace Mr.Mamdouh Qari Abdullah Tashkindi.JUNE 2009MAKKAH CONSTRUCTION242


REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENTAlsoEmaar Economic Cityknown asEEC,Emaar ECPriceSR10.2Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR8.6bn ($2,303.7mn)Sh. outstanding850.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 26.5/7.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 155.87 41.6212m 135.08 36.07Raw Beta 6m 2yr1.10 1.03Reuters4220.SEBloombergEMAAR ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 15 26 (54)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 19 (39)Website: www kingabdullahcity.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) N/M 735.3 NMP/B (x) 1.6 2.3 0.9P/Sales (x) N/A N/A 74.9Div yield (%) N/A N/A -Emaar <strong>the</strong> Economic City (Emaar EC) was started in Sep.’06 by Emaar Properties as ajoint venture with Saudi inves<strong>to</strong>rs <strong>to</strong> undertake <strong>the</strong> development of SR100bn KingAbdullah Economic City. The mega project is part of <strong>the</strong> Saudi government’s plan <strong>to</strong>attract foreign investments by providing incentives and tax breaks <strong>to</strong> inves<strong>to</strong>rs.Company financials2006(14Weeks) 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(06-08)Net Revenues SRmn - - 102 NA NAEBITDA SRmn - (157) (375) NM NANet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (13) 26 (292) (1,211.1) NMAssets SRmn 8,637 8,748 9,532 9.0 5.1Equity SRmn 8,456 8,483 8,191 (3.4) (1.6)Tot Debt SRmn - - - NA NACash & Equiv SRmn 4,574 640 2,219 246.8 (30.4)EBITDA Mgn % NA NA (368.9) - -Net Mgn % NA NA (287.5) - -ROE % (0.2) 0.3 (3.5) - -ROA % (0.1) 0.3 (3.2) - -Div Payout % - - - - -EPS SR (0.0) 0.0 (0.3) (1,211.1) NMBVPS SR 9.9 10.0 9.6 (3.4) NMSource: Company, NCBC Research; figures for 2006 are from September – December 2006Segment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncProperty development 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.58MSCI Saudi (domestic – large cap) 1.37Free float (%)Free float 30.00Relative share price perf.11,000309,000207,0005,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIEmaar E .C (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Modern Daim Real Estate 20.0ME Royal Capital Co. 9.4Emaar Middle East 5.8ME Hollandi 5.8ME Strategic Investments 5.8Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: KAEC, <strong>the</strong> single largest private sec<strong>to</strong>r-led project (168 mn squaremeters) in <strong>the</strong> GCC region, has six key <strong>com</strong>ponents – <strong>the</strong> sea port, industrial zone, centralbusiness district, resort district, educational zone and residential <strong>com</strong>munities. In earlyJanuary 2009, Emaar EC signed a deal worth SR120 mn with Freyssinet Saudi Arabia, <strong>to</strong>construct a school in <strong>the</strong> Esmeralda area of <strong>the</strong> King Abdullah Economic City• Financials: Emaar EC <strong>report</strong>ed revenues of SR101.6 mn for <strong>the</strong> first time in 2008.After a net profit of SR26.3 mn in 2007, it incurred net losses of SR292.0 mn in 2008led by increase in operating expenses and decline in investment in<strong>com</strong>e. Moreover,since Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008, work on <strong>the</strong> KAEC has slowed down led by <strong>the</strong> global crisis.EBITDA, ROA and ROE have all been in <strong>the</strong> red in 2008.• Recent developments: Emaar Properties recorded net loss of SR62.3 mn in 1Q 09<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> net loss of SR19.3 mn in 1Q 08 due <strong>to</strong> an increase in operating costsand a decline in <strong>the</strong> in<strong>com</strong>e from deposits. In April 2009, The Saudi Arabian GeneralInvestment Authority (Sagia) and EEC signed a memorandum of understanding(MoU) with sanofi-aventis <strong>to</strong> set up an entity in KAEC, <strong>the</strong> largest private sec<strong>to</strong>rdevelopment in Jeddah. In March 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced that <strong>the</strong> sale of itsresidential units in <strong>the</strong> Economic City achieved a return of more than SR2 bn. InFebruary 2009, SAMA canceled <strong>the</strong> license granted <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany's subsidiary,Emaar Financial Services.JUNE 2009EMAAR ECONOMIC CITY243


REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENTTaiba Holding CoAlso known asTaibaPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR17.8SR2.7bn ($713.0mn)150.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 34.5/13.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 9.63 2.5712m 13.36 3.57Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.67 1.13ReutersBloomberg4090.SETIRECO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 2 13 (47)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 19 (39)Website: www taiba.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 27.8 13.6 16.5P/B (x) 1.0 1.8 0.9P/Sales (x) 17.0 10.6 9.6Div yield (%) 5.0 4.2 8.5Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.41MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 5.24Free float (%)Free float 68.98Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Taiba (RHS)Mohammed Ibrahim Mohammed AlEssaGeneral Organization for SocialInsuranceSource: NCBC Research40302010-16.66.9Taiba Holding Co (Taiba) owns, manages, and invests in real estate, hotels, hospitals,and resorts. The <strong>com</strong>pany also constructs, manages, and markets properties. Taibaundertakes electromechanical, agricultural, industrial, architectural, and miningprojects. Taiba was established in September 1988 and is headquartered in Medina.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 153 174 504 277 (45.0) 21.9EBITDA SRmn 80 98 413 164 (60.2) 30.0Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 136 106 393 160 (59.3) 5.5Assets SRmn 1,513 3,091 3,632 3,568 (1.8) 33.1Equity SRmn 1,287 2,848 2,980 2,899 (2.7) 31.1Total Debt SRmn 9 7 34 5 (85.3) (16.6)Cash & Equiv SRmn 18 142 66 287 331.8 146.2EBITDA Mgn % 52.1 56.3 81.9 59.2 - -Net Mgn % 89.1 61.0 78.0 57.8 - -ROE % 11.2 5.1 13.5 5.4 - -ROA % 9.3 4.6 11.7 4.4 - -Div Payout % 132.1 139.2 57.3 140.5 - -EPS SR 0.9 0.7 2.6 1.1 (59.3) 5.5BVPS SR 8.6 19.0 19.9 19.3 (2.7) 31.1Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncReal estate 91.4 NA Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Tourism 5.5 NAConstruction and maintenance 2.9 NAConsulting, training and advertising 0.3 NASource: Company, NCBC Research• Product profile: Taiba’s core focus is <strong>the</strong> real estate sec<strong>to</strong>r and it is a major developer in<strong>the</strong> central area surrounding <strong>the</strong> Holy Prophet's mosque. Taiba has subsidiaries andassociate <strong>com</strong>panies, which include TACOMA (involved in projects in <strong>the</strong> central area),ARAC (<strong>to</strong>urism activities), Al Aqeeq Real Estate Dev. Co (AQEEQ), TAWD (propertymanagement and marketing), Arabian Resort Areas and Quality Horizons. The <strong>com</strong>panyhas a 20% stake in <strong>the</strong> Knowledge Economic City, Medina.• Financials: Although Taiba’s revenues grew consistently from 2005-2007, 2008revenues witnessed a fall led by <strong>the</strong> global meltdown. In 2008, on y-o-y basis,revenues fell 45.0% and net profit fell 59.3%. EBITDA margins depleted <strong>to</strong> 59.2%from 81.9% levels in 2007. In 2008, ROA fell <strong>to</strong> 4.4% in 2008 from 11.7% in 2007,while ROE fell <strong>to</strong> 5.4% from 13.5% in 2007• Recent developments: In April 2009, Taiba announced a 71.1% year on yeardecline in its 1Q 09 net profit <strong>to</strong> SR 13.9 mn, In December 2008, Taiba announced a50% strategic alliance with Dallah Al-Baraka Group <strong>to</strong> develop <strong>the</strong> Ejaba area in Al-Madina Al-Monawara. The <strong>com</strong>pany sold its stake of 7 mn shares in Oasis FiberglassCompany <strong>to</strong> its subsidiary Alzira. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced <strong>the</strong>postponement of IPO’s of two of its subsidiaries in December 2008.JUNE 2009TAIBA HOLDING COMPANY244


REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENTArriyadh DevelopAlso known asARDCOPriceSR13.0Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.3bn ($347.1mn)Sh. outstanding100.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 24.8/8.7Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 21.13 5.6412m 25.34 6.77Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.88 1.17Reuters4150.SEBloombergADCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 28 35 (43)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 19 (39)Website: www.ardco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 30.7 34.7 12.2P/B (x) 1.4 1.8 0.7P/Sales (x) 17.5 19.2 6.9Div yield (%) 2.6 2.0 5.2Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.29MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 2.97Free float (%)Free float 99.97Relative share price perf.11,000309,000207,0005,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASI Arriyadh Development (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Emaar Arabian Shield Investment Co. 9.6Adyar Holding Co. 7.4Source: NCBC ResearchArriyadh Development Company (ARDCO) is engaged in <strong>the</strong> construction of<strong>com</strong>mercial, office and residential buildings as well as <strong>com</strong>plexes for <strong>the</strong> purpose ofsale, lease or management. ARDCO also develops public parks, <strong>to</strong>urist <strong>com</strong>pounds andparking lots. The <strong>com</strong>pany, headquartered in Riyadh, was established in 1994.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 106 110 128 140 9.8 9.7EBITDA SRmn 69 71 83 94 13.4 10.9Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 62 63 71 80 12.8 9.0Assets SRmn 1,551 1,536 1,577 1,565 (0.8) 0.3Equity SRmn 1,347 1,355 1,377 1,405 2.0 1.4Total Debt SRmn - - - - NA NACash & Equiv SRmn 12 5 22 163 632.2 NMEBITDA Mgn % 64.9 64.5 65.0 67.1 - -Net Mgn % 58.1 57.0 55.5 57.0 - -ROE % 4.7 4.7 5.2 5.7 - -ROA % 4.1 4.1 4.5 5.1 - -Div Payout % - 79.6 70.7 63.3 - -EPS SR 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 12.4 8.8BVPS SR 13.5 13.6 13.8 14.0 2.0 1.4Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncCommercial & Institutional Const 95.8 97.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Land Subdivision 4.2 3.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: ARDCO has been involved in residential projects such as SunriseCities and <strong>com</strong>mercial projects such as Attameer Trading Center, ArriyadhTransportation Center, Technical Service City, Riyadh Hills and Riyadh Car Auction(project in used car selling). The <strong>com</strong>pany has also been engaged in <strong>the</strong>development of market areas such as Batha Meat & Vegetable Market, RiyadhWholesale & Retail Market and Riyadh Vegetable & Fruits Market.• Financials: Despite <strong>the</strong> current global crisis, on y-o-y basis, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s revenuesincreased 9.8% in 2008. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit grew by 12.8% y-o-y in 2008.ARDCO has <strong>report</strong>ed a CAGR of 9.7% in revenues since 2005 led by steady growthin sales and rising population driving demand for housing. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> net profitmargin has also been maintained between 55-58% over <strong>the</strong> years.• Recent developments: In April 2008, ARDCO announced 18% y-o-y growth in Q109 net profit <strong>to</strong> SR22 mn. In November 2007, ARDCO announced that Urbis-JHD(Australia) had entered <strong>the</strong> previously signed SR6.3 mn contract <strong>to</strong> develop <strong>the</strong> Al-Dahira project in Riyadh. The o<strong>the</strong>r parties <strong>to</strong> this contract include RetirementInstitution, <strong>the</strong> Public Institution for Social Security, Saudi Maakaliyeh Center, SaudiReal Estate Company, Dar Al Arkan Real Estate Development Company, FAS SaudiHolding Company, and Solidere International.JUNE 2009ARRIYADH DEVELOPMENT COMPANY245


REAL ESTATE DEVELOPMENTSaudi Real EstateAlso known asSRECOAkariaPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR24.0SR2.9bn ($767.4mn)120.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 47.3/16.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 23.35 6.2412m 13.17 3.52Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.16 1.20ReutersBloomberg4020.SESRECO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (7) 28 (40)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 11 19 (39)Website: www sreco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 36.5 35.6 16.9P/B (x) 1.3 2.0 0.8P/Sales (x) 24.0 25.3 10.5Div yield (%) 2.2 2.0 5.1Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.20MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 1.90Free float (%)Free float 30.64Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Real Estate (RHS)5040302010-Public Investment Fund 64.5Source: NCBC ResearchSaudi Real Estate (SRECO) was established in 1976 in Riyadh. The <strong>com</strong>pany owns landfor building, developing, constructing residential and <strong>com</strong>mercial buildings. SRECOalso engages in <strong>the</strong> trading of construction materials and <strong>the</strong> sale or lease of equipmentfor <strong>the</strong> same. The <strong>to</strong>tal constructed area by SRECO exceeds 800,000 square meters.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 179 169 243 225 (7.3) 8.0EBITDA SRmn 138 109 153 133 (12.1) NMNet In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 139 111 173 140 (19.0) 0.4Assets SRmn 1,551 3,110 3,269 3,235 (1.0) 27.8Equity SRmn 1,397 3,003 3,120 3,085 (1.1) 30.2Total Debt SRmn - - - - - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 18 15 2 4 109.5 (39.9)EBITDA Mgn % 77.3 64.8 63.1 59.2 - -Net Mgn % 77.6 65.8 71.2 62.2 - -ROE % 10.3 5.0 5.6 4.5 - -ROA % 9.1 4.8 5.4 4.3 - -Div Payout % 34.7 81.1 69.5 85.8 - -EPS SR 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.2 (19.0) 0.5BVPS SR 11.6 25.0 26.0 25.7 (1.1) 30.2Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct/ Business segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncLand sales 38.5 N/A Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Leases 60.4 N/AMaintenance revenue 1.0 N/AO<strong>the</strong>r real estate revenue 0.1 N/ASource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SRECO is one of <strong>the</strong> pioneers in shopping center construction inGCC. The <strong>com</strong>pany has constructed a number of shopping centers in Riyadh andDammam. It has developed housing and office <strong>com</strong>plexes, and executed a number ofprojects outside <strong>the</strong> Kingdom such as Saudi embassies in some GCC countries.SRECO owns a 15% stake in United Arab Glass Co., about 2.8% in Modern Rafiq forReal Estate Development Co and 9.48% stake in Knowledge Economic City (KSA).• Financials: SRECO’s sales have been on <strong>the</strong> decline in 2008 led by <strong>the</strong> global crisis.In 2008, sales were down 7.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR225.0 mn. EBIDTA margins were 59.2%in 2008, showing a substantial decline from <strong>the</strong> past trend (margins of over 77% in2005). Net profit margins also contracted <strong>to</strong> 62.2% as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> 71.2% in 2007,while net in<strong>com</strong>e fell 19.0% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR139.9 mn in 2008.• Recent developments: In April 2009, SRECO announced a 9.3% year on year increasein <strong>the</strong> 1Q 09 net profit <strong>to</strong> SR31.0 bn. In December 2008, SRECO acquired a 9.48% stakein Knowledge Economic City (7,865,000 shares at a price of SR10 per share). In Nov.’08,SRECO announced a strategic alliance with UK’s Atkins Co. <strong>to</strong> construct a SR24mnresidential and <strong>com</strong>mercial project in Jeddah. In <strong>the</strong> same month, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany alsoannounced joint ventures with PM Group Ireland and PFS Group Singapore <strong>to</strong> providereal estate consultancy and asset management services, respectively.JUNE 2009SAUDI REAL ESTATE246


Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsNational Shipping 248 PetrochemicalsSaudi Public Transportation 249 CementUnited International 250 RetailSaudi Transport and Investment 251 Energy and UtilitiesAgriculture and FoodTele<strong>com</strong> and ITInsuranceMulti InvestmentIndustrial InvestmentBuilding and ConstructionReal EstateTransportMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


TRANSPORTNational ShippingAlso known asNSCSAPriceSR17.3Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR5.4bn ($1,450.9mn)Sh. outstanding315.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 36.3/13.4Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 69.14 18.4612m 110.38 29.47Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.56 1.13Reuters4030.SEBloombergNSCSA ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 2 5 (46)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 5 12 (43)Website: www nscsa.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 12.3 20.3 6.9P/B (x) 1.7 1.7 1.0P/Sales (x) 3.1 4.6 2.0Div yield (%) 4.4 4.0 9.1Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.81MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap) 8.37Free float (%)Free float 66.76Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIShipping (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Public Investment Fund 28.1Source: NCBC ResearchNational Shipping Company of Saudi Arabia (NSCSA), established in 1979, isengaged in providing marine transport services primarily <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> oil & gas andchemical sec<strong>to</strong>rs. Additionally, NSCSA provides liner (general cargo), shipmanagement, and container s<strong>to</strong>rage and repair services.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,602 1,651 1,703 2,595 52.3 17.4EBITDA SRmn 685 649 634 1,188 87.3 20.1Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 434 410 388 750 93.1 20.0Assets SRmn 4,834 5,997 7,797 9,819 25.9 26.6Equity SRmn 2,601 3,005 4,660 5,091 9.2 25.1Total Debt SRmn 1,665 2,372 2,432 4,007 64.7 34.0Cash & Equiv SRmn 300 197 191 226 18.4 (9.1)EBITDA Mgn % 42.7 39.3 37.2 45.8 - -Net Mgn % 27.1 24.8 22.8 28.9 - -ROE % 18.4 14.6 10.1 15.4 - -ROA % 9.3 7.6 5.6 8.5 - -Div Payout % - 54.9 81.1 63.0 - -EPS SR 10.9 1.8 1.2 2.4 93.1 (39.7)BVPS SR 65.0 13.4 14.8 16.2 9.2 (37.1)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Op Inc Breakup %Rev % Op IncCrude Oil 43.48 57.75 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0General Cargo 28.67 24.12Petrochemicals 27.85 18.13Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: In <strong>the</strong> beginning of 2008, NSCSA had a fleet of 29 ships, (11 oiltankers, 11 chemical tankers and 4 general cargos). The <strong>com</strong>pany is likely <strong>to</strong> add sixVLCCs <strong>to</strong> its existing fleet by 2009. NSCSA operates its chemical tankers through its80% subsidiary, National Chemical Carriers. The <strong>com</strong>pany is expected <strong>to</strong> have a <strong>to</strong>talof about 50 VLCCs and chemical tankers by 2011. Along with transportation, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany offers ship management services for its own vessels through its whollyowned subsidiary, Mideast Ship Management.• Financials: In 2008, NSCSA’s sales increased 52.3% year-on-year; while net in<strong>com</strong>egrew 93.1% during <strong>the</strong> same period. Fac<strong>to</strong>rs such as increase in crude oiltransportation and general cargo freight and deployment of new fleet of oil tankerscontributed <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> growth in revenue.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed a 12.7% year on yeardecline in <strong>the</strong> 1Q 09 net profit <strong>to</strong> SR151.1 mn. In <strong>the</strong> same month, NSCSA signed aSR1.05 bn Murabaha contact with <strong>the</strong> General Investment Fund, <strong>to</strong> finance <strong>the</strong>construction of eight oil transporters. In March 2009, NSCSA announced its plans <strong>to</strong>extend its network <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> US (<strong>the</strong> port of Charles<strong>to</strong>n, in South Carolina). In <strong>the</strong> samemonth, NCC sold off three of its chemical tankers <strong>to</strong> a Norwegian <strong>com</strong>pany andrealized a profit of SR27mn. NCC also leased out three VLCCs <strong>to</strong> Old DominionFreight Line, Inc in Norway.JUNE 2009THE NATIONAL SHIPPING CO248


TRANSPORTSaudi Public Tpt Co Alsoknown asSAPTCOPriceSR8.9Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.1bn ($295.4mn)Sh. outstanding125.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 15.3/6.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 34.72 9.2712m 27.73 7.41Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.49 0.98Reuters4040.SEBloombergSAPTCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 11 11 (38)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 5 12 (43)Website: www saptco.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 54.2 23.4 29.5P/B (x) 1.5 1.5 0.6P/Sales (x) 3.1 3.0 1.2Div yield (%) 3.3 2.9 7.0Saudi Public Transportation Company (SAPTCO) provides bus transport servicesfor domestic as well as international travel <strong>to</strong> neighboring countries such as Egypt,Syria, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Yeman, Sudan and Lebanon. The<strong>com</strong>pany headquartered in Riyadh has about 161 local and international agents.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 636 693 732 767 4.7 6.4EBITDA SRmn 185 218 190 154 (19.1) (6.0)Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 123 40 94 30 (67.9) (37.9)Assets SRmn 1,463 1,734 1,909 1,810 (5.2) 7.4Equity SRmn 1,107 1,433 1,489 1,414 (5.0) 8.5Tot Debt SRmn - - 114 63 (44.6) 553.6Cash & Equiv SRmn 67 229 167 410 145.5 83.3EBITDA Mgn % 29.1 31.4 26.0 20.1 - -Net Mgn % 19.7 45.5 12.8 3.9 - -ROE % 11.7 24.8 6.4 2.1 - -ROA % 8.8 19.7 5.1 1.6 - -Div Payout % 48.9 176.3 66.7 207.6 - -EPS SR 6.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 (67.9) (66.0)BVPS SR 55.4 14.3 11.9 11.3 (5.0) (41.1)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncSaudi Arabia 100 100Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.21MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 2.01Free float (%)Free float 83.63Relative share price perf.11,000209,000157,000105,00053,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASISAPTCO (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Public Investment Fund 15.7Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SAPTCO has a fleet of 2,714 buses and its operations consist of 579daily scheduled trips connecting 362 cities, <strong>to</strong>wns and villages across <strong>the</strong> Kingdom.SAPTCO provides intra-city and inter-city transport services across Saudi Arabia alongwith international transport services <strong>to</strong> 10 neighboring countries. The <strong>com</strong>pany providescontract and charter transportation services <strong>to</strong> schools, colleges and o<strong>the</strong>r groups.SAPTCO also provides VIP services in select routes and special transport services <strong>to</strong>Mecca and Medina during <strong>the</strong> Hajj and Umrah seasons. Additionally, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panyprovides advertising space on its buses; optimizing on its wide presence across cities.• Financials: SAPTCO has shown consistent growth in its revenues since 2003. In2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s revenues increased 4.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) from SR732.4mnin 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR766.5mn in 2008. However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed net in<strong>com</strong>e ofSR30.1mn; registering a y-o-y decline of 67.9% in 2008.• Recent developments: In May 2009, SAPTCO singed a MOU with Saudi ArabianGeneral Investment Authority <strong>to</strong> study <strong>the</strong> plan of providing regular transportationservices <strong>to</strong> Saudi economic cities. In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany recorded a net loss ofSource: NCBC ResearchSR9.0 mn for 1Q 09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a net loss of SR5.2 mn in 1Q 08. In Oc<strong>to</strong>ber 2008,SAPTCO signed a 5-year contract of SR50mn with a local advertising <strong>com</strong>pany forproviding advertisements on 300 buses owned by <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany.JUNE 2009SAUDI PUBLIC TRANSPORT CO249


TRANSPORTUnited InternationalAlso known asBudget Saudi,UniTrans, UITCPriceSR56.5Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR1.0bn ($276.1mn)Sh. outstanding18.3mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 107.0/30.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 17.09 4.5612m 20.15 5.38Raw Beta 6m 1yr1.04 0.91Reuters4260.SEBloombergBUDGET ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) (4) 40 (46)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 5 12 (43)Website: www budgetsaudi.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) - 28.7 8.2P/B (x) - 7.4 1.9P/Sales (x) - 5.7 1.5Div yield (%) - 1.2 4.6United International Transportation Co. (Budget Saudi) is <strong>the</strong> largest car rental<strong>com</strong>pany in <strong>the</strong> MENA region. The <strong>com</strong>pany is a franchisee of Budget International,and operates more than 14,500 vehicles <strong>com</strong>prising of luxury, 4x4, full size,intermediate, <strong>com</strong>pact and economy cars.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 340 392 397 473 19.1 11.6EBITDA SRmn 218 264 251 320 27.6 13.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 67 71 78 84 7.3 7.6Assets SRmn 429 547 683 729 6.7 19.3Equity SRmn 183 254 303 356 17.4 24.8Tot Debt SRmn 116 154 241 248 2.8 28.6Cash & Equiv SRmn 11 21 16 10 (35.8) (2.8)EBITDA Mgn % 64.1 67.3 63.2 67.7 - -Net Mgn % 19.8 18.1 19.7 17.8 - -ROE % 45.5 32.5 28.1 25.5 - -ROA % 18.1 14.5 12.7 11.9 - -Div Payout % 0.0 0.0 35.1 38.2 - -EPS SR 112.2 3.9 4.3 4.6 7.3 (65.6)BVPS SR 305.1 13.9 16.6 19.4 17.4 (60.1)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.10MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.87Free float (%)Free float 43.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Budget Saudi (RHS)150100Al Zahid Holding Group 39.5Abdul Elah Abdullah Mahmood Ali 14.3ZahidMohammed Abdullah Mahmood Zahid 9.2Source: NCBC Research50-Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: ISO certified Budget Saudi provides various services such as short termand long term car rentals; chauffeur driven cars; CorpRate Program (a corporate clien<strong>to</strong>rientedservice with preferential rates and value additions such as faster reservations andflexible billing); Budget Express (a loyalty program for members). The <strong>com</strong>pany alsoprovides Hajj & Umrah services for visi<strong>to</strong>rs, pilgrims and locals; Lodge and Drive(ac<strong>com</strong>modation along with car rental); Premier Limousine Service (chauffeur drivenluxury vehicles); and au<strong>to</strong>motive maintenance (maintenance facilities including satelliteworkshops). Budget Saudi is also engaged in <strong>the</strong> sales of used cars.• Financials: Budget Saudi has displayed consistent performance with revenues andnet profit growing at a CAGR of 11.6% and 7.6%, respectively, during 2005-2008. In2008, revenues grew 19.1% from SR396.6mn in 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR472.5mn. Net profitmargins were 17.8% showing a slight decline as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> 2007. The <strong>com</strong>pany’scash balance also declined by 35.8% due <strong>to</strong> dividend payment in 2008.• Recent developments: In April 2009, Budget Saudi <strong>report</strong>ed a 4.6% year on yearincrease in its 1Q 09 net profit. In November 2008, Budget Saudi canceled aMemorandum of Understanding <strong>to</strong> buy Morocco's Groupe Finance.<strong>com</strong> due <strong>to</strong>current global economic slowdown.JUNE 2009UNITED INTERNATIONAL250


TRANSPORTSaudi Tpt and InvAlso known asMubarradPriceSR24.1Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.4bn ($115.8mn)Sh. outstanding18.0mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 31.5/10.2Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 42.75 11.4212m 21.61 5.77Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.30 1.21Reuters4110.SEBloombergSLTCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 43 67 (22)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 5 12 (43)Website: www..mubarrad.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NM 55.3 20.0P/B (x) 4.0 4.0 1.3P/Sales (x) 14.2 16.2 4.6Div yield (%) - - -Saudi Transport and Investment Company (Mubarrad) is engaged in <strong>the</strong> landtransport business across Saudi Arabia and <strong>the</strong> Gulf Cooperation Councilcountries. Mubarrad has recently forayed in<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> purchase and sale of land as wellas construction, management and operation of buildings.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 44 46 47 49 4.8 3.1EBITDA SRmn 10 13 15 16 4.2 16.3Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 14 (8) 14 11 (18.1) (6.6)Assets SRmn 339 196 219 225 2.8 (12.8)Equity SRmn 288 160 188 166 (11.6) (16.7)Total Debt SRmn - - - 32 - -Cash & Equiv SRmn 15 6 4 6 55.4 (24.2)EBITDA Mgn % 22.1 28.9 31.9 31.7 - -Net Mgn % 30.9 (16.5) 29.3 22.9 - -ROE % 5.0 (3.4) 7.8 6.3 - -ROA % 4.1 (2.8) 6.6 5.0 - -Div Payout % 105.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 - -EPS SR 3.8 (0.4) 0.8 0.6 (18.1) (45.4)BVPS SR 79.9 8.9 10.4 9.2 (11.6) (51.3)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncWeightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.10MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 0.74Free float (%)Free float 99.99Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIM ubarrad (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: Mubarrad owns a fleet of more than 1,000 vehicles (including truckheads, reefer trailers, reefer trucks, flat trucks for dry transport, and trailers for bulktransport.) for carrying all types of general and industrial cargo. It also runs <strong>the</strong>Express Parcel Services throughout Saudi Arabia. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, it constructs,manages and leases cold s<strong>to</strong>res and trailers.• Financials: Mubarrad’s <strong>to</strong>p line continued <strong>to</strong> grow in 2008 by 4.8% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> reachSR48.7mn; keeping in line with <strong>the</strong> trend since 2005; registering a CAGR of 3.1%. In2008, Mubarrad’s net profit fell by 18.1% from SR13.6mn in 2007 <strong>to</strong> SR11.2mn in2008 mainly due <strong>to</strong> decline in investment in<strong>com</strong>e. Consequently, net margin s<strong>to</strong>od at22.9% in 2008 as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> 29.3% in 2007.• Recent developments: In April 2009, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>ed 73.0% y-o-y decline inQ1 FY09 net in<strong>com</strong>e <strong>to</strong> SR348.0mn. In September 2008, Mubarrad signed twocontracts worth SR33.1 mn <strong>to</strong> buy trucks and refrigeration units <strong>to</strong> boost its fleetcapacity. In February 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced <strong>the</strong> approval of EGM for <strong>the</strong>development of hotels, <strong>com</strong>mercial <strong>com</strong>plexes and hospitals. During <strong>the</strong> same month,<strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany changed its name from Saudi Land Transport Company <strong>to</strong> SaudiTransport and Investment Company as it started investing its surplus funds ininvestment portfolios.JUNE 2009SAUDI TRANSPORT AND INVESTMENT CO251


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Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsSaudi Research 254 PetrochemicalsSaudi Printing 255 CementTihama Advertising 256 RetailEnergy and UtilitiesAgriculture and FoodTele<strong>com</strong> and ITInsuranceMulti InvestmentIndustrial InvestmentBuilding and ConstructionReal EstateTransportMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


MEDIA AND PUBLISHINGSaudi ResearchAlso known asSRMGPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR33.0SR2.6bn ($704.9mn)80.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 46.0/22.0Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 4.11 1.1012m 3.70 0.99Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.21 0.90ReutersBloomberg4210.SERESEARCH ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 7 10 (25)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 12 14 (24)Website: www srmg <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 21.6 12.0 10.5P/B (x) 5.0 3.4 1.7P/Sales (x) 5.1 4.2 1.8Div yield (%) 2.7 5.1 6.8Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.36MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 60.45Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-SRMG (RHS)Kingdom Holding Company 29.9HH Prince Faisal Ahmad Bin Salman 6.8Al SaudMohammed Hussain Ali Al Amudy 5.6General Organisation for Social 5.2Insurance (GOSI)Source: NCBC ResearchSaudi Research and Marketing Group (SRMG) is a leading publishing group basedin Riyadh. Established in 1988, SRMG’s subsidiaries include Saudi Research andPublishing Company, Saudi Distribution Company, Saudi Specialized PublishingCompany (SSPC) and Al Khaleejiah Advertising and Public Relations Company.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 1,063 1,161 1,113 1,342 20.6 8.1EBITDA SRmn 254 323 285 312 9.5 7.1Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 181 276 393 226 (42.4) 7.8Assets SRmn 1,398 1,785 2,187 2,259 3.3 17.4Equity SRmn 926 1,195 1,401 1,376 (1.8) 14.1Total Debt SRmn 123 148 121 218 80.4 20.9Cash & Equiv SRmn 117 179 461 141 (69.4) 6.3EBITDA Mgn % 23.9 27.8 25.5 23.2 - -Net Mgn % 17.0 23.8 35.3 16.9 - -ROE % 21.1 26.0 30.3 16.3 - -ROA % 13.4 17.3 19.8 10.2 - -Div Payout % - 58.0 61.0 71.4 - -EPS SR 2.3 3.5 4.9 2.8 (42.4) 7.8BVPS SR 11.6 14.9 17.5 17.2 (1.8) 14.1Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncAdvertising 11.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Printing 24.0Publishing 50.9Distr bution 13.9O<strong>the</strong>r 0.22Source: NCBC Research; <strong>the</strong> product segmental break up is before excluding eliminations.• Business brief: SRMG is engaged in four key activities—publishing, advertising,printing, and distribution. The publishing segment is involved in research andmarketing operations. The advertising segment mainly deals with <strong>the</strong> production andmarketing of audiovisual media. The printing segment prints newspapers, magazines,books, and journals in various languages.• Financials: SRMG’s revenues increased 20.6% y-o-y during 2008. However, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany’s EBITDA margin declined 2.3 percentage points <strong>to</strong> 23.2% in <strong>the</strong> sameperiod due <strong>to</strong> increased cost of sales and S&G expenses. Consequently, net in<strong>com</strong>ealso declined 42.4% denting <strong>the</strong> net margins.• Recent developments: SRMG announced its 1Q-09 results on April 19, 2009. Itsnet profit plunged 64.7% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR20.5mn due <strong>to</strong> lower advertising revenue onaccount of slowdown in <strong>the</strong> financial and real estate sec<strong>to</strong>rs. In March 2009, Mr.Tarek Bin Abdulkarim Al Kain was appointed SRMG's vice-chief executive officer. In<strong>the</strong> same month, SRMG increased its stake in Al Maktaba S<strong>to</strong>res from 51% <strong>to</strong> 100%for consideration of SR40mn, primarily aimed at improving specialized educationalcontent. In December 2009, SRMG announced transformation from a specializedlimited liability <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>to</strong> a closed joint s<strong>to</strong>ck <strong>com</strong>pany (holding).JUNE 2009SAUDI RESEARCH254


MEDIA AND PUBLISHINGSaudi PrintingAlso known asSPPCPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR17.5SR1.1bn ($280.4mn)60.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 30.5/11.8Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 7.53 2.0112m 6.84 1.83Raw Beta 6m 1yr0.69 0.90ReutersBloomberg4270.SESPPC ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 1 (11) (40)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 12 14 (24)Website: www sppc.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NA 18.0 5.6P/B (x) NA 3.5 1.1P/Sales (x) NA 6.7 1.8Div yield (%) NA 2.4 10.8Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.11MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 47.50Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)SPPC (RHS)Saudi Research and Marketing Group 42.0Alfiqriah Marketing and Advertising 10.5Holding CompanySaudi Research Marketing Group 7.0Al Mosanafat Scientific Holding 7.0Source: NCBC Research40302010-Saudi Printing and Packaging Company (SPPC) (formerly Madina Printing andPublishing Company) was established in 1963. A subsidiary of Saudi Research andMarketing Group, SPPC is engaged in a variety of <strong>com</strong>mercial and package printingand production and has five print houses and a production area of 1.0 mn sq mts.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 245 312 370 465 25.6 23.7EBITDA SRmn 83 114 118 123 4.5 14.2Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 68 114 137 151 9.5 30.3Assets SRmn 416 814 858 1,068 24.6 36.9Equity SRmn 329 619 701 792 12.9 34.0Total Debt SRmn 3 63 35 36 2.0 121.7Cash & Equiv SRmn 14 103 22 17 (26.0) 6.9EBITDA Mgn % 33.7 36.6 31.8 26.5 - -Net Mgn % 27.7 36.4 37.1 32.4 - -ROE % 21.5 23.9 20.8 20.2 - -ROA % 17.8 18.4 16.4 15.6 - -Div Payout % - - 43.7 60.0 - -EPS SR 1.1 1.9 2.3 2.5 9.5 30.3BVPS SR 5.5 10.3 11.7 13.2 12.9 34.0Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncPrinting 68.5 Saudi Arabia 100 100Head Office & Investments 31.5Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SPPC offers integrated print production solutions from pre-pressdesigning and printing <strong>to</strong> post-printing binding and packaging. The <strong>com</strong>pany has acapacity of 5,000 magazine copies/hour, 150,000 newspaper copies/hour and bookprinting capacity of 6.5 copies/hour and 10 car<strong>to</strong>n sheet per hour. SPPC also hasexclusive printing rights for its parent <strong>com</strong>pany and for <strong>the</strong> Saudi Research andPublishing Company. The <strong>com</strong>pany’s publications include, Sayidaty, Arrajol, AlEqtisadiah, Almajalla and Arab News.• Financials: SPPC registered a strong revenue growth of 25.6% y-o-y in 2008. Higherinput costs resulted in a y-o-y contraction of 5.3 percentage points in <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’sEBITDA margin over <strong>the</strong> same period. SPPC’s net in<strong>com</strong>e increased 9.5% as<strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> previous year. SPPC’s net margins were well above EBITDA margins in2007 and 2008 as <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany recorded significant non-operating in<strong>com</strong>e duringboth <strong>the</strong> periods.• Recent developments: SPPC announced its 1Q-09 results on April 19, 2009. The<strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit dived 48.1% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR15.7mn during 1Q-09. In November2008, SPCC acquired Saudi Arabia-based Al Aoun Fac<strong>to</strong>ry for Commercial Labelsand Flexible Packaging for SR90mn. In August 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany sold its 40% stakein Abu Dhabi-based United Printing and Publishing (UPP) for $31.3mn (SR117.4mn).JUNE 2009SAUDI PRINTING255


MEDIA AND PUBLISHINGTihamaAlso known asTAPRCOPricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR35.2SR0.5bn ($141.0mn)15.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 39.5/12.6Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 54.77 14.6212m 35.93 9.59Raw Beta 6m 3yr1.79 1.39ReutersBloomberg4070.SETAPRCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 46 80 5Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 12 14 (24)Website: www tihama <strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2007 2008 2009P/E (x) 32.6 16.5 10.2P/B (x) 3.0 2.0 1.3P/Sales (x) 5.3 3.4 2.2Div yield (%) 1.8 3.3 -Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.12MSCI Saudi (domestic – mid cap)Free float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)Tihama (RHS)5040302010-Tihama Advertising & Public Relations Co. (TAPRCO) was established in 1983. The<strong>com</strong>pany operates Egyptian Satellite Channel, <strong>the</strong> Al-Hayat newspaper, andKolness magazine. TAPRCO operates via its subsidiaries: <strong>the</strong> Tihama DistributionCompany, United Journalists, Intermarkets Riyadh and Ad Art Medyan.Company financials2006 2007 2008 2009YoY(%)CAGR(%)(06-09)Net Revenues SRmn 117 120 137 142 3.7 6.5EBITDA SRmn 10 17 20 17 (15.7) 20.4Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 12 19 28 30 7.3 35.8Assets SRmn 275 298 338 354 4.7 8.7Equity SRmn 194 211 226 239 5.8 7.2Total Debt SRmn 2 3 1 2 216.5 (3.8)Cash & Equiv SRmn 21 36 85 99 16.5 68.9EBITDA Mgn % 8.3 14.2 14.7 11.9 (2.7) 13.0Net Mgn % 10.2 16.1 20.5 21.2 0.7 27.5ROE % 6.2 9.5 12.8 12.9 0.1 27.6ROA % 4.6 6.7 8.8 8.7 (0.1) 24.0Div Payout % - 58.4 53.5 - - -EPS SR 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.0 7.3 35.8BVPS SR 12.9 14.1 15.0 15.9 5.8 7.2Source: Company, NCBC Research; The <strong>com</strong>pany’s year ending is in MarchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2008 Geographic 2008%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncAdvertising 68.0 Saudi Arabia 100% 100%Book S<strong>to</strong>res 32.0Source: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: TAPRCO’s operations can be categorized in<strong>to</strong> three segments—media, public relations (PR), and o<strong>the</strong>r services. The media segment <strong>com</strong>prises ofnewspapers, magazines, outdoor advertising, and a satellite television channel. ThePR segment includes press files and promotional information services. O<strong>the</strong>r servicessegment involves video production and distribution of Arabic and American films in<strong>the</strong> Middle East. TAPRCO also operates in Cairo, Dubai, London, and Paris.• Financials: TAPRCO’s revenues increased 3.7% y-o-y in 2009. EBITDA marginsdeclined <strong>to</strong> 11.9% in <strong>the</strong> same period as <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> 14.7% a year ago. This is due<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> higher growth in cost of sales and SG&A expenses. However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>panycould record a net margin of 21.2% in 2009 (20.5% in 2008) primarily due <strong>to</strong> higherinterest in<strong>com</strong>e arising from associate <strong>com</strong>panies. Consequently, net profit surged7.3% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR30.1mn during 2009.• Recent developments: In May 2009, TAPRCO was chosen as <strong>the</strong> representative ofPromax, a public relations firm based in Ne<strong>the</strong>rlands, in Saudi Arabia. In FebruarySource: NCBC Research2009, TAPRCO opened a new library of size 700 meters in Eastern region(Dammam) for <strong>to</strong>tal cost of SR4mn.JUNE 2009TIHAMA256


Company Page No. Banking and FinancialsSaudi Hotels and Resort 258 PetrochemicalsTourism Enterprise 259 CementRetailEnergy and UtilitiesAgriculture and FoodTele<strong>com</strong> and ITInsuranceMulti InvestmentIndustrial InvestmentBuilding and ConstructionReal EstateTransportMedia and PublishingHotels and Tourism


PricePricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSh. outstandingKey statisticsSR30.0SR2.1bn ($552.8mn)69.0mn52 week range H/L (SR) 43.5/18.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 13.20 3.5312m 16.54 4.42Raw Beta 6m 3yr0.85 0.99ReutersBloomberg4010.SESHARCO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 15 27 (17)Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 21 26 (9)Website: www saudi-hotels.<strong>com</strong>.saValuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) 57.6 25.6 12.8P/B (x) 2.0 2.4 1.2P/Sales (x) 7.0 7.5 5.4Div yield (%) 1.7 1.4 5.2Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.24MSCI Saudi (domestic – small cap) 1.30Free float (%)Free float 52.68Relative share price perf.11,0009,0007,0005,0003,000M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASITop 5 shareholders (%)5040302010-Hotels (RHS)Mohammed Ibrahim Mohammed Al 22.4EssaPublic Investment fund 16.6General Organization for Social 6.5InsuranceSource: NCBC ResearchHOTELS AND TOURISMSaudi Hotels & ResortAlso knownasSHARACOSaudi Hotels & Resorts Areas Co. (SHARCO) was founded in 1979. The <strong>com</strong>panyowns and operates many resorts, hotels, and o<strong>the</strong>r projects like Ajyad Makkah Hotel,Sahara Airport Hotel, Al-Rawda Toys City, Al-Khaleej Village, Al-Andalus luxuriousvillas, Future Homes "Diplomatic Quarter", Riyadh Marriott Hotel and few o<strong>the</strong>rs.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 181 220 264 294 11.3 17.5EBITDA SRmn 73 92 123 141 15.4 24.7Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn 80 27 78 123 58.4 15.6Assets SRmn 1,496 1,434 1,535 1,953 27.2 9.3Equity SRmn 799 771 820 1,348 64.4 19.1Total Debt SRmn 57 61 58 53 (9.0) (2.8)Cash & Equiv SRmn 11 30 39 26 (33.2) 32.4EBITDA Mgn % 40.3 41.8 46.4 48.1 - -Net Mgn % 44.0 12.1 29.4 41.9 - -ROE % 10.3 3.4 8.9 9.1 - -ROA % 5.3 2.9 5.1 6.3 - -Div Payout % - 97.1 35.4 66.67 - -EPS SR 8.0 0.8 1.6 1.8 13.8 (39.3)BVPS SR 79.8 15.4 16.4 19.5 18.9 (37.4)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncHotel and Resorts revenues 83.4 N/A Saudi Arabia 100.0 N/ARental Revenue 7.1 N/AProperty management 6.0 N/AReal Estate development 3.2 N/AInvestments 0.3 N/ASource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: SHARCO engages in activities such as construction, ownership,investment and management of hotels, real estate, resorts and entertainmentcenters. The <strong>com</strong>pany <strong>report</strong>s its revenues under <strong>the</strong> following business heads—hospitality, real estate, resorts, and entertainment. Saudi Hotels & Resorts alsodevelops, divides, and rents land owned by <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany.• Financials: The <strong>com</strong>pany has registered a CAGR of 17.5% for <strong>the</strong> period 2005-08and <strong>report</strong>ed 11.3% y-o-y revenue growth <strong>to</strong> SR293.9mn in 2008. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong><strong>com</strong>pany’s net profit increased by a significant 58.4% y-o-y <strong>to</strong> SR123.0mn in 2008due <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> expansion in gross and operating margins as well a substantial decreasein minority interests.• Recent developments: The <strong>com</strong>pany‘s net profit has increased 5.6% <strong>to</strong> SR28.2mnin 1Q-09. In April 2009, SHARCO announced that it has received a license <strong>to</strong>manage and operate a hotel in Mekkah, which is expected <strong>to</strong> be <strong><strong>com</strong>plete</strong>d in twoyears. In June 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany signed an agreement for <strong>the</strong> sale of plots of landsand buildings owned in <strong>the</strong> village of East Gulf region for SR485.8mn. In <strong>the</strong> samemonth, Jenan Real Estate Co. and Al Rashid Co. bought SHARCO’s Al KhaleejVillage project in Dammam for SR500mn.JUNE 2009SAUDI HOTELS AND RESORTS258


HOTELS AND TOURISMTourism Enterprise CoAlso knownasShamsPriceSR36.4Pricing / Valuation as on May 27, 2009Mkt capSR0.4bn ($98.7mn)Sh. outstanding10.2mnKey statistics52 week range H/L (SR) 39.1/9.5Avg daily turnover (mn) SR US$3m 95.20 25.4212m 35.55 9.49Raw Beta 6m 3yr-0.48 1.26Reuters4170.SEBloombergTECO ABPrice perform (%) 1M 3M 12MAbsolute (%) 39 23 23Market (%) 6 32 (39)Sec<strong>to</strong>r (%) 21 26 (9)Website: www palmbeach-resort.<strong>com</strong>Valuation multiples2006 2007 2008P/E (x) NM NM NMP/B (x) 6.0 6.8 2.2P/Sales (x) 41.5 37.3 10.7Div yield (%) 0 0 0Tourism Enterprises Co. (TECO) was established in 1991 <strong>to</strong> construct and manage<strong>to</strong>urist projects. Headquartered in Dammam Saudi Arabia, TECO has soleownership of <strong>the</strong> Palm Beach Resort® since its establishment in 1995. TECO offersvisi<strong>to</strong>rs sports and recreational facilities, conference facilities, cabanas and suites.Company financials2005 2006 2007 2008YoY(%)CAGR(%)(05-08)Net Revenues SRmn 10 10 13 15 11.1 15.5EBITDA SRmn 4 3 5 3 (29.9) (5.2)Net In<strong>com</strong>e SRmn (1) (8) 2 (0) NM (32.7)Assets SRmn 97 90 79 79 (1.1) (6.8)Equity SRmn 81 73 73 73 (0.1) (3.3)Total Debt SRmn 5 2 - 0 - (100.0)Cash & Equiv SRmn 18 19 3 4 17.5 (41.9)EBITDA Mgn % 41.1 27.6 36.0 22.7 - -Net Mgn % (10.9) (80.5) 16.0 1.7 - -ROE % (1.3) (11.6) 2.9 .34 - -ROA % (1.1) (9.4) 2.7 .31 - -Div Payout % - - - - - -EPS SR (0.5) (0.8) 0.2 (0.03) (114.8) (60.6)BVPS SR 39.7 7.1 7.2 7.2 (0.1) (43.5)Source: Company, NCBC ResearchSegment-wise business analysisProduct segment 2007 Geographic 2007%Rev % Net Inc Breakup %Rev % Net IncHotels and Resort 100.0 100.0 Saudi Arabia 100.0 100.0Weightage (%)TASI (free float weight) 0.08MSCI Saudi (domestic)N/AFree float (%)Free float 100.00Relative share price perf.11,000409,000307,000205,000103,000-M ay-08 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-09 M ay-09TASIShams (RHS)Top 5 shareholders (%)Source: NCBC ResearchSource: Company, NCBC Research• Business brief: The Palm Beach Resort stretches up <strong>to</strong> 1,300 meters with 165 firstclassChalets, more than 100 Suites and Cabanas overlooking <strong>the</strong> Arabian Gulf. Thesports and <strong>the</strong> recreational facilities includes a ladies sports club with swimming pool,men's sports and fitness center, football, tennis, basketball and squash courts, asauna and steam bath, a swimming pool for children, gardens for families and a 24-hour security service.• Financials: In 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany’s <strong>to</strong>tal revenues increased 11.1% y-o-y. However,it <strong>report</strong>ed a net loss of SR0.3 million in 2008 mainly due <strong>to</strong> a decline in gross profitcoupled with lower in<strong>com</strong>e from o<strong>the</strong>r sources.• Recent developments: The <strong>com</strong>pany announced its 1Q-09 results on April 19, 2009.TECO recorded a gain of SR0.1mn in 1Q-09 <strong>com</strong>pared <strong>to</strong> a loss of SR0.2mn in <strong>the</strong>year ago period. On February 03, 2008, <strong>the</strong> <strong>com</strong>pany announced <strong>the</strong> failure of apreviously signed agreement of <strong>the</strong> merger of Tourism Enterprises Co. with ArabianCommercial Projects for Travel Company, Al Qafila for Toursim and Travel, andPlage Remal Resort.JUNE 2009TOURISM ENTERPRISE CO259


Kindly send all mailing list requests <strong>to</strong> research@ncbc.<strong>com</strong>Brokerage sales Roger Yeoman +966 2646 5724 r.yeoman@ncbc.<strong>com</strong>+966 565 076 302 (mobile)Brokerage websitewww.alahlitadawul.<strong>com</strong> / www.alahlibrokerage.<strong>com</strong>Corporate websitewww.ncbc.<strong>com</strong>IMPORTANT INFORMATIONThe authors of this document hereby certify that <strong>the</strong> views expressed in this document accurately reflect <strong>the</strong>ir personal views regarding <strong>the</strong> securitiesand <strong>com</strong>panies that are <strong>the</strong> subject of this document. The authors also certify that nei<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong>y nor <strong>the</strong>ir respective spouses or dependants (if relevant)hold a beneficial interest in <strong>the</strong> securities that are <strong>the</strong> subject of this document. 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Nei<strong>the</strong>r this document nor any copy hereof may be distributed in any jurisdiction outside <strong>the</strong> Kingdom of SaudiArabia where its distribution may be restricted by law. Persons who receive this document should make <strong>the</strong>mselves aware, of and adhere <strong>to</strong>, any suchrestrictions. By accepting this document, <strong>the</strong> recipient agrees <strong>to</strong> be bound by <strong>the</strong> foregoing limitations.NCB Capital is authorised by <strong>the</strong> Capital Market Authority of <strong>the</strong> Kingdom of Saudi Arabia <strong>to</strong> carry out dealing, as principal and agent, andunderwriting, managing, arranging, advising and cus<strong>to</strong>dy, with respect <strong>to</strong> securities under licence number 37-06046. NCB Capital’s registered office isat 25th Floor, Al-Faisaliyah Tower, King Fahad Road, P.O. Box 22216, Riyadh 11495, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.JUNE 2009SAUDI ARABIA FACTBOOK

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