10.07.2015 Views

Wind Power in Estonia - Elering

Wind Power in Estonia - Elering

Wind Power in Estonia - Elering

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

3,00%2,50%2,00%1,50%1,00%0,50%0,00%900 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800Figure 18: Curtailment as a function of <strong>in</strong>stalled w<strong>in</strong>d power capacity <strong>in</strong> 2016, basedon the <strong>Estonia</strong>n Flexibility scenario with 1800 MW w<strong>in</strong>d powerSimilar figures can be made for the other scenarios and sensitivity analyses. InTable 5 the maximum w<strong>in</strong>d power capacity <strong>in</strong> <strong>Estonia</strong> is summarised for curtailmentlevels of 0.1%, 5% and 20%.Table 5: Maximum w<strong>in</strong>d power capacity <strong>in</strong> <strong>Estonia</strong> with different levels of curtailmentand with different capacity of the <strong>in</strong>terconnector between <strong>Estonia</strong> and F<strong>in</strong>land.With Estl<strong>in</strong>k 1 With Estl<strong>in</strong>k 1 and 2Normal Dry year Wet year NordBalt0.1% 575 MW 1100 MW 1050 MW 900 MW 850 MW5.0% 1250 MW 2050 MW 2150 MW 2100 MW 2175 MW20% 2000 MW 3200 MW 3300 MW 3200 MW 3400 MW7.2 Limits due to forecast errorsAs shown <strong>in</strong> Chapter 5 and 6 forecast errors do not imply technical constra<strong>in</strong>tson the level of w<strong>in</strong>d power capacity <strong>in</strong> <strong>Estonia</strong>, but they might create costs <strong>in</strong>order to ensure sufficient reserves to cover for less w<strong>in</strong>d power productionthan expected or costs to curtail w<strong>in</strong>d power if w<strong>in</strong>d power production arebigger than expected and no other measures are available. The cost of balanc<strong>in</strong>gload and w<strong>in</strong>d power forecast errors is calculated to 4.4 to 4.8 EUR/MWhw<strong>in</strong>d power production.44 | <strong>W<strong>in</strong>d</strong> <strong>Power</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Estonia</strong>, 13-05-2010

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!