On the way to a new good climate agreement? : Ingeborg ... - Zero

  • No tags were found...

On the way to a new good climate agreement? : Ingeborg ... - Zero

Status for the COP15 process:On the way to a new goodclimate agreement?Ingeborg GjærumNatur og UngdomYoung Friends of the Earth Norway

What is a good agreement?• Fair and ambitious– Keeps temperature well below 2C– Burdensharing:• Historic responsibility• Economic strength to contribute

Main issues• Mitigation– How big reductions – done by who?• Finance– Adaptation og mitigation in non-annex 1countries• What kind of agreeement?– How big reductions – done by who?

2C ?GloballyAnnex INon-Annex I2020Emissions shouldpeak by 2000-201525-40 % reductionfrom 1990-levelSubstantial deviationfrom referancescenario in Latin-America, the MiddleEast, East-Asia andcentral Asia205050-85 % reductionfrom 2000-level80-95 % recutionfrom 1990-levelSubstantial deviationfrom referencescenario in all regions

Proposed targets forAnnex 1-countries


What will the consequenses be?Kilde: Rogelj, Hare, Nabel, Macey, Schaeffer, Markmann og Meinshausen. ”Halfway toCopenhagen, no way to 2C” Nature Reports Climate Change (2009) doi:10.1038/climate.2009.57

Finance• Enormous needs ( > $160 billions/year)• Good discussions on how to do it, butwho will put money on the table?• Disagreement on management andcontrol• ”Double counting”?

What kind of agreement?• Bali: ”Agreed outcome”• Possibilities:– Changes in the Kyoto protocol– A new protocol in addition to or as areplacement to Kyoto– Less binding decisions in addition toor as a replacement to Kyoto

Summary• Mitigation targets for Kyoto-countries?• What about the US?• How big loopholes will there be?• What actions are the developingcountries going to do?• How – and not least – how much aredeveloping countries going to pay?• What should be done to stopdeforestation?• How binding will the agreement be?

We have everything weneed exceptpolitical willAl Gore

More magazines by this user
Similar magazines