The tables below show data from the first Economist/Yougov poll ...

economist

The tables below show data from the first Economist/Yougov poll ...

The tables below show data from the first Economist/YouGov poll, which will now run weekly until the

election in November. YouGov, a British pollster, has recruited an online panel of 10,000 Americans,

which will grow to 20,000 over the course of the poll.

Week 1

Fieldwork: 5-6 July

2004

Sample size: Total: 2115

Registered to vote: 1753

”Will definitely vote”: 1573

MoE: =/- 2% Sample drawn from a recruited panel and weighted to be representative of the US over 18 population

Suppose the election for President were being held TODAY. Who would you vote for? George W. Bush, the Republican; John F

Kerry, the Democrat; Ralph Nader, an independent candidate, or someone else?

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

George Bush 44% 44% 45% 49% 38% 26% 43% 46% 55% 7% 93%

John Kerry 43% 43% 45% 40% 45% 58% 43% 40% 37% 83% 3%

Ralph Nader 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 0%

Someone else 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 7% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1%

Would not vote 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0%

Donʼt know 6% 6% 5% 4% 9% 6% 8% 8% 2% 4% 2%

As of now, what do

you think you are

most likely to end up

doing on November

2?

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Vote for George W

Bush

46% 46% 46% 51% 40% 26% 44% 49% 56% 8% 94%

Vote for John F Kerry 46% 46% 49% 42% 50% 65% 46% 43% 37% 85% 3%

Vote for Ralph Nader 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 3% 2% 4% 4% 0%

Vote for someone else 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2%

Not vote at all 2% 1% 0% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 0%

Republicans

Republicans


In general, are you

satisfied or dissatisfied

with the way

things are going in the

United States at this

time?

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Satisfied 36% 38% 40% 41% 30% 17% 36% 38% 46% 8% 75%

Dissatisfied 57% 56% 56% 54% 61% 69% 57% 57% 50% 88% 19%

Donʼt know 7% 6% 4% 5% 9% 15% 7% 5% 4% 4% 6%

Do you approve or

disapprove of the way

President George W.

Bush is handling his

job as president?

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Approve 42% 44% 46% 48% 36% 23% 41% 45% 56% 9% 90%

Disapprove 51% 51% 52% 46% 56% 67% 52% 50% 40% 87% 7%

Donʼt know 7% 5% 3% 5% 8% 10% 7% 6% 5% 5% 3%

Who would you prefer

to be in control of the

Congress after the

next election?

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans

Democrats 44% 46% 47% 41% 46% 52% 46% 41% 36% 100% 0%

Republicans 36% 39% 41% 44% 29% 21% 34% 39% 50% 0% 100%

Donʼt know 20% 14% 11% 15% 25% 27% 21% 20% 14% 0% 0%


ISSUES SUMMARY

(details follow below)

1. How would you rate the current quality of each of the following?

2. How would you rate George W. Bushʼs handling of each of the following issues since he became President?

3. How do you think George W Bush would handle each of these issues over the next four years if he is re-elected President on November

2?

4. �

2?

This table uses just those registered to vote as the base (1753)

Summary figure =

excellent/good minus

poor/very poor

[ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ] [ 4 ]

The economy -4% -9% -2% 1%

Health insurance -55% -38% -17% 5%

Public education -31% -21% -9% 4%

The environment -9% -17% -10% 13%

Race relations -3% -7% -2% 6%

Conduct of war in Iraq -21% -15% -7% -18%

Conduct of war on

terror

-10% -4% -2% -16%

Taxes -34% -18% -12% -16%

Federal budget deficit -57% -38% -24% -8%

Relations with allies -25% -20% -8% 8%

Same sex marriage -51% -23% -15% -15%

Crime -25% -8% -5% -6%

The economy [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ] [ 4 ]

Excellent 3% 10% 13% 4%

Good 29% 26% 26% 25%

Fair 32% 18% 14% 28%

Poor 25% 21% 16% 16%

Very poor 11% 24% 25% 12%

Donʼt know 0% 1% 5% 15%

Health insurance [1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 1% 2% 5% 5%

Good 10% 16% 24% 26%

Fair 23% 24% 17% 28%

Poor 30% 22% 16% 15%

Very poor 36% 34% 30% 11%

Donʼt know 0% 2% 6% 15%


Public education [1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 1% 4% 7% 4%

Good 16% 21% 25% 26%

Fair 35% 28% 20% 28%

Poor 28% 21% 16% 14%

Very poor 20% 25% 25% 12%

Donʼt know 0% 1% 6% 16%

The environment [1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 3% 4% 6% 5%

Good 25% 23% 26% 29%

Fair 35% 26% 20% 29%

Poor 25% 15% 13% 12%

Very poor 12% 29% 29% 9%

Donʼt know 1% 3% 7% 17%

Race relations [1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 1% 5% 7% 4%

Good 26% 25% 27% 24%

Fair 42% 29% 23% 32%

Poor 19% 16% 14% 11%

Very poor 11% 21% 22% 11%

Donʼt know 1% 4% 7% 17%

Conduct of war in Iraq [1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 7% 13% 16% 4%

Good 23% 23% 22% 16%

Fair 18% 12% 12% 24%

Poor 18% 16% 14% 17%

Very poor 33% 35% 31% 21%

Donʼt know 1% 1% 6% 17%

Conduct of war on

terror

[1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 9% 17% 19% 5%

Good 24% 21% 21% 17%

Fair 23% 18% 14% 25%

Poor 19% 15% 14% 17%

Very poor 24% 27% 28% 21%

Donʼt know 1% 1% 5% 16%

Taxes [1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 2% 8% 10% 4%

Good 14% 20% 21% 19%

Fair 33% 24% 21% 24%

Poor 28% 17% 14% 16%

Very poor 22% 29% 29% 23%

Donʼt know 1% 2% 5% 15%


Federal budget deficit [1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 0% 2% 5% 4%

Good 8% 15% 21% 21%

Fair 24% 24% 17% 28%

Poor 28% 19% 16% 16%

Very poor 37% 36% 34% 17%

Donʼt know 2% 4% 7% 16%

Relations with allies [1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 2% 6% 9% 9%

Good 18% 22% 25% 25%

Fair 33% 22% 18% 24%

Poor 21% 16% 15% 12%

Very poor 24% 32% 27% 14%

Donʼt know 1% 2% 6% 15%

Same sex marriage [1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 4% 14% 15% 5%

Good 6% 14% 15% 16%

Fair 17% 13% 14% 23%

Poor 19% 16% 12% 13%

Very poor 42% 35% 33% 23%

Donʼt know 11% 8% 11% 21%

Crime [1] [2] [3] [4]

Excellent 1% 5% 7% 3%

Good 15% 22% 24% 17%

Fair 40% 32% 25% 36%

Poor 23% 17% 15% 13%

Very poor 18% 18% 21% 13%

Donʼt know 2% 6% 8% 19%


How would you rate

the current quality of

each of the following?

The economy

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 3% 3% 4% 4% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 1% 7%

Good 27% 29% 30% 35% 20% 18% 23% 28% 45% 6% 60%

Fair 32% 32% 32% 30% 35% 40% 32% 34% 22% 36% 24%

Poor 25% 25% 24% 20% 30% 32% 27% 25% 17% 39% 7%

Very poor 11% 11% 11% 10% 13% 3% 14% 11% 12% 18% 2%

Donʼt know 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 4% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Health insurance in

America

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2%

Good 9% 10% 10% 12% 6% 7% 8% 8% 14% 2% 20%

Fair 23% 23% 24% 24% 22% 31% 22% 21% 22% 12% 39%

Poor 30% 30% 29% 30% 30% 29% 29% 32% 29% 32% 25%

Very poor 36% 36% 35% 32% 39% 26% 38% 38% 33% 54% 13%

Donʼt know 2% 0% 0% 1% 2% 7% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1%

Public education

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2%

Good 16% 16% 17% 16% 16% 16% 14% 17% 19% 9% 27%

Fair 35% 35% 34% 36% 34% 44% 33% 35% 34% 34% 35%

Poor 27% 28% 28% 28% 27% 24% 28% 27% 29% 31% 23%

Very poor 19% 20% 19% 18% 21% 10% 23% 20% 18% 26% 13%

Donʼt know 1% 0% 0% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans


How would you rate

the current quality of

each of the following?

(cont.)

The environment

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 2% 3% 3% 4% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% 5%

Good 23% 25% 26% 27% 19% 11% 19% 27% 36% 7% 47%

Fair 36% 35% 36% 35% 37% 42% 38% 34% 28% 34% 35%

Poor 25% 25% 23% 22% 29% 38% 25% 24% 20% 37% 9%

Very poor 12% 12% 12% 12% 13% 6% 14% 12% 14% 20% 3%

Donʼt know 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 1% 0%

Race relations

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2%

Good 24% 26% 28% 27% 20% 20% 22% 24% 30% 11% 45%

Fair 42% 42% 41% 40% 43% 44% 39% 45% 42% 43% 37%

Poor 20% 19% 19% 18% 22% 23% 22% 18% 18% 27% 11%

Very poor 11% 11% 10% 10% 12% 3% 14% 11% 11% 17% 4%

Donʼt know 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 8% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1%

The conduct of the

war in Iraq

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 6% 7% 7% 8% 3% 3% 5% 6% 10% 0% 15%

Good 21% 23% 24% 25% 17% 8% 20% 22% 31% 4% 48%

Fair 19% 18% 17% 19% 19% 18% 19% 21% 16% 11% 26%

Poor 19% 18% 17% 17% 20% 27% 20% 16% 13% 26% 6%

Very poor 34% 33% 33% 29% 38% 37% 34% 34% 29% 58% 5%

Donʼt know 2% 1% 1% 1% 3% 7% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans


How would you rate

the current quality of

each of the following?

(cont.)

The conduct of the

war on terrorism

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 8% 9% 10% 11% 5% 4% 7% 9% 13% 1% 20%

Good 22% 24% 25% 24% 21% 12% 23% 25% 23% 7% 46%

Fair 24% 23% 21% 26% 23% 24% 25% 25% 21% 21% 24%

Poor 20% 19% 19% 18% 22% 31% 17% 18% 20% 29% 6%

Very poor 24% 24% 24% 21% 27% 23% 27% 22% 22% 41% 3%

Donʼt know 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 6% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%

Taxes

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 0% 0% 4%

Good 13% 14% 15% 15% 11% 13% 12% 12% 19% 4% 29%

Fair 33% 33% 34% 34% 31% 40% 33% 30% 32% 30% 37%

Poor 28% 28% 28% 27% 28% 24% 29% 31% 22% 34% 20%

Very poor 22% 22% 20% 21% 24% 10% 23% 24% 27% 30% 9%

Donʼt know 3% 1% 1% 1% 4% 11% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1%

The federal budget

deficit

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1%

Good 7% 8% 8% 8% 5% 6% 6% 6% 9% 1% 16%

Fair 23% 24% 25% 25% 22% 16% 22% 24% 30% 8% 45%

Poor 28% 28% 28% 28% 29% 30% 31% 29% 19% 33% 23%

Very poor 37% 37% 36% 36% 38% 31% 35% 39% 41% 56% 11%

Donʼt know 5% 2% 2% 3% 7% 18% 4% 2% 2% 2% 4%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans


How would you rate

the current quality of

each of the following?

(cont.)

Relations with Americaʼs

allies around the

world

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 0% 2% 2% 2% 0% 4%

Good 17% 18% 19% 18% 16% 11% 19% 17% 19% 4% 36%

Fair 33% 33% 32% 33% 33% 28% 35% 34% 33% 23% 44%

Poor 21% 21% 22% 22% 21% 20% 19% 25% 21% 30% 11%

Very poor 24% 24% 25% 24% 24% 31% 24% 22% 25% 41% 4%

Donʼt know 3% 1% 1% 1% 4% 10% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1%

Marriage between

people of the same sex

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 2% 6%

Good 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 9% 7% 7% 4% 5% 9%

Fair 17% 17% 17% 16% 18% 18% 19% 15% 18% 18% 15%

Poor 19% 19% 19% 18% 19% 32% 17% 19% 13% 23% 13%

Very poor 41% 42% 42% 43% 40% 26% 41% 44% 49% 42% 44%

Donʼt know 12% 11% 12% 12% 13% 12% 13% 11% 13% 9% 13%

Crime

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 1% 0% 1% 2%

Good 14% 15% 16% 18% 10% 15% 13% 13% 16% 6% 27%

Fair 39% 40% 42% 42% 35% 40% 37% 37% 44% 39% 42%

Poor 24% 23% 23% 21% 27% 25% 27% 26% 14% 27% 18%

Very poor 19% 18% 16% 15% 23% 8% 19% 21% 25% 25% 9%

Donʼt know 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 12% 3% 2% 1% 3% 1%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans


How would you rate

George W. Bushʼs

handling of each of

the following issues

since he became President?

The economy

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 8% 10% 11% 13% 4% 4% 6% 10% 14% 0% 23%

Good 25% 26% 27% 28% 21% 12% 24% 23% 40% 4% 54%

Fair 20% 18% 17% 18% 23% 22% 21% 24% 12% 18% 17%

Poor 20% 21% 20% 17% 22% 25% 21% 19% 13% 33% 4%

Very poor 24% 24% 25% 22% 26% 22% 27% 23% 21% 44% 2%

Donʼt know 3% 1% 0% 1% 4% 15% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1%

Health insurance in

America

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 0% 6%

Good 14% 16% 16% 17% 11% 8% 14% 14% 19% 2% 34%

Fair 24% 24% 24% 25% 23% 15% 24% 24% 30% 10% 40%

Poor 23% 22% 21% 22% 24% 27% 23% 25% 15% 29% 13%

Very poor 33% 34% 35% 32% 34% 24% 34% 34% 34% 57% 6%

Donʼt know 4% 2% 1% 2% 7% 23% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2%

Public education

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 4% 4% 5% 4% 3% 3% 4% 4% 3% 1% 9%

Good 19% 21% 21% 21% 17% 10% 18% 20% 27% 4% 42%

Fair 30% 28% 27% 31% 28% 21% 30% 30% 35% 21% 36%

Poor 21% 21% 21% 22% 20% 27% 19% 23% 17% 30% 8%

Very poor 23% 25% 25% 21% 26% 22% 27% 21% 18% 43% 3%

Donʼt know 4% 1% 1% 1% 6% 17% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans


How would you rate

George W. Bushʼs

handling of each of

the following issues

since he became

President?(cont.)

The environment

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 3% 4% 4% 5% 2% 1% 3% 4% 4% 0% 8%

Good 21% 23% 24% 25% 17% 9% 19% 22% 34% 5% 46%

Fair 27% 26% 25% 26% 27% 21% 28% 29% 25% 18% 34%

Poor 16% 15% 15% 16% 16% 15% 17% 18% 12% 24% 6%

Very poor 28% 29% 30% 25% 30% 34% 30% 25% 25% 51% 3%

Donʼt know 5% 3% 2% 2% 7% 19% 4% 2% 0% 2% 2%

Race relations

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 4% 7% 2% 0% 10%

Good 23% 25% 26% 28% 18% 14% 20% 21% 42% 5% 50%

Fair 30% 29% 28% 30% 30% 26% 29% 34% 27% 25% 30%

Poor 16% 16% 16% 15% 18% 12% 18% 18% 12% 26% 4%

Very poor 20% 21% 21% 19% 22% 21% 25% 17% 16% 39% 2%

Donʼt know 6% 4% 4% 4% 9% 24% 5% 3% 1% 4% 4%

The conduct of the

war in Iraq

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 12% 13% 14% 15% 8% 4% 10% 12% 20% 1% 29%

Good 21% 23% 23% 23% 19% 12% 19% 23% 32% 5% 45%

Fair 14% 12% 11% 13% 15% 10% 17% 15% 9% 8% 17%

Poor 16% 16% 15% 14% 18% 22% 18% 15% 7% 25% 4%

Very poor 35% 35% 36% 33% 36% 39% 35% 33% 32% 62% 4%

Donʼt know 3% 1% 0% 1% 4% 15% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans


How would you rate

George W. Bushʼs

handling of each of

the following issues

since he became

President?(cont.)

The conduct of the

war on terrorism

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 15% 17% 19% 20% 10% 7% 14% 17% 22% 1% 37%

Good 21% 21% 21% 21% 21% 12% 20% 24% 24% 6% 40%

Fair 18% 18% 16% 17% 18% 17% 20% 17% 17% 19% 15%

Poor 17% 15% 15% 17% 16% 20% 18% 15% 13% 24% 5%

Very poor 27% 27% 28% 24% 30% 29% 28% 26% 23% 49% 2%

Donʼt know 2% 1% 0% 1% 4% 14% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1%

Taxes

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 7% 8% 9% 10% 5% 3% 7% 8% 10% 0% 19%

Good 18% 20% 20% 23% 14% 7% 17% 20% 27% 3% 41%

Fair 25% 24% 24% 24% 27% 29% 26% 25% 21% 21% 28%

Poor 18% 17% 16% 16% 20% 15% 19% 20% 14% 25% 7%

Very poor 27% 29% 29% 25% 29% 25% 29% 26% 27% 49% 4%

Donʼt know 4% 2% 1% 2% 6% 21% 2% 2% 0% 1% 1%

The federal budget deficit

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 0% 0% 5%

Good 13% 15% 16% 15% 11% 6% 11% 14% 23% 1% 33%

Fair 24% 24% 24% 25% 23% 15% 26% 24% 24% 10% 41%

Poor 20% 19% 19% 18% 22% 18% 22% 22% 13% 27% 11%

Very poor 35% 36% 37% 37% 34% 31% 35% 35% 39% 61% 7%

Donʼt know 6% 4% 3% 3% 9% 28% 4% 2% 1% 2% 4%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans


How would you rate

George W. Bushʼs

handling of each of

the following issues

since he became

President?(cont.)

Relations with Americaʼs

allies around the

world

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 5% 6% 7% 6% 4% 3% 5% 6% 6% 0% 13%

Good 21% 22% 23% 23% 18% 10% 20% 22% 29% 5% 45%

Fair 23% 22% 21% 24% 23% 13% 26% 23% 25% 14% 32%

Poor 16% 16% 15% 16% 17% 17% 15% 20% 12% 24% 6%

Very poor 31% 32% 33% 29% 33% 40% 32% 27% 27% 56% 3%

Donʼt know 4% 2% 1% 2% 6% 17% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%

Marriage between people of the same sex

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 12% 14% 15% 14% 11% 8% 11% 16% 13% 2% 29%

Good 14% 14% 15% 16% 11% 11% 11% 15% 19% 5% 25%

Fair 15% 13% 12% 14% 15% 10% 17% 14% 13% 9% 17%

Poor 16% 16% 15% 16% 15% 19% 14% 17% 15% 21% 10%

Very poor 34% 35% 35% 31% 36% 36% 37% 31% 29% 56% 11%

Donʼt know 10% 8% 8% 9% 11% 17% 9% 7% 11% 6% 9%

Crime

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% 5% 3% 5% 3% 1% 10%

Good 20% 22% 23% 24% 16% 11% 18% 21% 28% 3% 44%

Fair 33% 32% 32% 35% 31% 31% 32% 34% 35% 32% 32%

Poor 18% 17% 17% 17% 18% 13% 17% 19% 19% 26% 6%

Very poor 18% 18% 17% 14% 21% 11% 23% 18% 13% 31% 4%

Donʼt know 8% 6% 6% 5% 11% 30% 7% 4% 3% 6% 4%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans


How do you think George W Bush would handle each of these issues over the next four years if he is re-elected President on November

2?

The economy

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 12% 13% 14% 16% 8% 7% 10% 11% 22% 1% 31%

Good 24% 26% 27% 28% 21% 11% 24% 26% 31% 4% 51%

Fair 16% 14% 12% 14% 17% 16% 17% 17% 8% 15% 10%

Poor 17% 16% 16% 16% 18% 19% 16% 18% 18% 28% 4%

Very poor 24% 25% 27% 22% 26% 26% 27% 24% 18% 47% 1%

Donʼt know 7% 5% 4% 4% 10% 21% 7% 4% 3% 5% 3%

Health insurance in America

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 4% 5% 4% 6% 1% 12%

Good 22% 24% 26% 26% 18% 13% 20% 22% 35% 3% 52%

Fair 18% 17% 16% 19% 17% 10% 21% 20% 15% 10% 24%

Poor 17% 16% 16% 17% 18% 21% 16% 19% 15% 27% 5%

Very poor 29% 30% 32% 27% 32% 29% 32% 29% 25% 55% 3%

Donʼt know 8% 6% 5% 5% 11% 24% 7% 5% 4% 5% 4%

Public education

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 7% 7% 8% 7% 6% 5% 6% 7% 8% 1% 16%

Good 23% 25% 26% 27% 19% 13% 22% 22% 36% 5% 50%

Fair 23% 20% 20% 23% 22% 16% 23% 25% 20% 18% 24%

Poor 16% 16% 16% 16% 16% 18% 14% 18% 15% 25% 5%

Very poor 24% 25% 26% 22% 26% 27% 27% 22% 18% 47% 1%

Donʼt know 8% 6% 4% 5% 11% 21% 7% 5% 3% 4% 4%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans

How do you think George W Bush would handle each of these issues over the next four years if he is re-elected President on November

2? (cont.)

The environment

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 5% 6% 6% 6% 4% 3% 5% 6% 6% 1% 13%

Good 24% 26% 27% 28% 20% 12% 21% 24% 39% 4% 53%

Fair 21% 20% 19% 21% 21% 15% 23% 23% 15% 16% 23%

Poor 14% 13% 13% 14% 14% 13% 14% 16% 13% 21% 5%

Very poor 28% 29% 30% 26% 29% 35% 28% 26% 23% 53% 2%

Donʼt know 8% 7% 5% 5% 12% 21% 9% 6% 3% 5% 4%

Republicans


Race relations

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 6% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 7% 1% 15%

Good 25% 27% 28% 29% 21% 15% 21% 25% 41% 5% 54%

Fair 24% 23% 22% 25% 24% 24% 24% 27% 21% 23% 21%

Poor 15% 14% 14% 14% 15% 7% 15% 16% 15% 24% 3%

Very poor 22% 22% 23% 20% 23% 27% 25% 19% 14% 42% 1%

Donʼt know 9% 7% 5% 5% 12% 21% 9% 6% 3% 6% 5%

The conduct of the war in Iraq

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 14% 16% 18% 19% 10% 7% 12% 15% 26% 1% 36%

Good 20% 22% 22% 22% 18% 12% 20% 21% 26% 4% 42%

Fair 13% 12% 11% 13% 14% 7% 15% 16% 7% 10% 13%

Poor 14% 14% 13% 14% 15% 14% 14% 14% 15% 21% 3%

Very poor 31% 31% 33% 28% 33% 41% 32% 29% 23% 58% 2%

Donʼt know 8% 6% 4% 5% 10% 19% 7% 5% 4% 5% 4%

Republicans

Republicans

How do you think George W Bush would handle each of these issues over the next four years if he is re-elected President on November

2? (cont.)

The conduct of the

war on terrorism

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 17% 19% 20% 21% 12% 8% 14% 19% 26% 2% 41%

Good 20% 21% 22% 21% 18% 12% 20% 22% 21% 6% 38%

Fair 15% 14% 12% 16% 14% 9% 16% 16% 15% 13% 13%

Poor 14% 14% 14% 13% 15% 18% 15% 14% 11% 23% 3%

Very poor 27% 28% 29% 24% 30% 35% 28% 24% 23% 52% 1%

Donʼt know 7% 5% 3% 4% 10% 18% 7% 4% 4% 4% 4%

Taxes

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 9% 10% 11% 11% 6% 5% 7% 10% 13% 1% 23%

Good 20% 21% 22% 22% 17% 13% 20% 20% 24% 4% 43%

Fair 21% 21% 19% 22% 21% 18% 20% 23% 22% 16% 23%

Poor 15% 14% 14% 14% 16% 17% 16% 16% 10% 23% 4%

Very poor 28% 29% 30% 26% 29% 27% 29% 27% 27% 51% 3%

Donʼt know 7% 5% 4% 5% 10% 20% 8% 4% 3% 5% 4%

Republicans

Republicans


The federal budget deficit

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 6% 0% 12%

Good 19% 21% 22% 21% 17% 10% 18% 19% 25% 1% 45%

Fair 18% 17% 17% 20% 16% 8% 20% 20% 17% 9% 26%

Poor 17% 16% 15% 17% 17% 17% 16% 19% 17% 23% 8%

Very poor 33% 34% 35% 32% 33% 33% 34% 32% 32% 61% 3%

Donʼt know 9% 7% 5% 6% 13% 28% 9% 5% 3% 5% 6%

Republicans

How do you think George W Bush would handle each of these issues over the next four years if he is re-elected President on November

2? (cont.)

Relations with Americaʼs

allies around the

world

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 8% 9% 10% 9% 7% 6% 7% 8% 10% 1% 19%

Good 24% 25% 26% 28% 20% 12% 22% 26% 34% 4% 51%

Fair 19% 18% 18% 20% 18% 9% 22% 21% 16% 16% 21%

Poor 15% 15% 14% 15% 16% 20% 16% 15% 13% 24% 3%

Very poor 27% 27% 29% 24% 29% 34% 27% 25% 22% 51% 1%

Donʼt know 7% 6% 4% 5% 10% 20% 7% 4% 5% 5% 4%

Marriage between

people of the same sex

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 13% 15% 16% 15% 12% 11% 12% 14% 17% 2% 30%

Good 14% 15% 15% 16% 12% 7% 13% 17% 18% 3% 29%

Fair 15% 14% 13% 15% 14% 13% 16% 15% 11% 12% 16%

Poor 13% 12% 12% 13% 13% 11% 13% 12% 15% 19% 6%

Very poor 32% 33% 35% 31% 34% 38% 34% 31% 27% 56% 9%

Donʼt know 13% 11% 10% 11% 15% 20% 13% 10% 13% 9% 10%

Crime

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 6% 7% 7% 7% 5% 6% 5% 6% 8% 1% 15%

Good 23% 24% 25% 26% 19% 15% 21% 24% 29% 4% 48%

Fair 25% 25% 24% 27% 23% 22% 26% 27% 22% 25% 24%

Poor 15% 15% 14% 14% 16% 11% 13% 16% 19% 23% 5%

Very poor 21% 21% 22% 19% 24% 20% 24% 20% 17% 40% 2%

Donʼt know 10% 8% 7% 7% 13% 25% 10% 6% 4% 7% 6%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans


How do you think JOHN F KERRY would handle each of these issues over the next four years if he is elected President on November

2?

The economy

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 5% 2% 1% 7% 0%

Good 23% 25% 26% 26% 21% 26% 21% 22% 30% 42% 7%

Fair 28% 28% 29% 30% 26% 24% 29% 30% 24% 32% 26%

Poor 15% 16% 16% 18% 12% 10% 14% 17% 18% 2% 31%

Very poor 12% 12% 13% 14% 11% 4% 13% 15% 12% 3% 24%

Donʼt know 19% 15% 12% 10% 27% 31% 19% 15% 15% 13% 13%

Health insurance in America

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 7% 5% 3% 5% 10% 1%

Good 24% 26% 27% 25% 23% 26% 22% 23% 30% 40% 11%

Fair 28% 28% 29% 31% 25% 25% 29% 30% 23% 31% 27%

Poor 14% 15% 15% 17% 11% 7% 15% 16% 15% 4% 28%

Very poor 11% 11% 11% 12% 10% 5% 9% 13% 14% 3% 21%

Donʼt know 19% 15% 12% 10% 27% 30% 19% 15% 14% 13% 13%

Public education

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 6% 5% 3% 2% 8% 0%

Good 25% 26% 28% 28% 22% 25% 22% 24% 33% 41% 13%

Fair 28% 28% 29% 30% 26% 28% 28% 30% 23% 32% 27%

Poor 13% 14% 14% 15% 11% 6% 13% 15% 14% 4% 25%

Very poor 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 7% 12% 13% 12% 3% 22%

Donʼt know 19% 16% 13% 11% 27% 28% 21% 16% 15% 12% 13%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans

How do you think JOHN F KERRY would handle each of these issues over the next four years if he is elected President on November

2? (cont.)

The environment

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 5% 5% 6% 5% 5% 8% 6% 4% 2% 10% 1%

Good 27% 29% 31% 32% 22% 22% 26% 27% 34% 41% 18%

Fair 28% 29% 29% 28% 27% 28% 27% 29% 25% 29% 29%

Poor 11% 12% 11% 13% 10% 8% 12% 13% 10% 3% 20%

Very poor 9% 9% 9% 10% 8% 5% 9% 9% 11% 3% 17%

Donʼt know 20% 17% 14% 12% 29% 29% 21% 17% 18% 14% 15%

Republicans


Race relations

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 3% 1% 8% 1%

Good 23% 24% 26% 25% 20% 24% 20% 24% 25% 34% 14%

Fair 31% 32% 32% 34% 28% 29% 30% 31% 36% 34% 30%

Poor 11% 11% 11% 13% 10% 6% 11% 15% 9% 4% 20%

Very poor 10% 11% 11% 11% 10% 4% 11% 10% 13% 4% 19%

Donʼt know 21% 17% 15% 12% 29% 34% 22% 17% 16% 16% 16%

The conduct of the war in Iraq

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% 3% 4% 10% 0%

Good 16% 16% 18% 17% 16% 27% 15% 13% 15% 31% 3%

Fair 23% 24% 25% 24% 23% 24% 22% 24% 22% 34% 12%

Poor 17% 17% 17% 20% 13% 11% 16% 19% 19% 7% 30%

Very poor 20% 21% 22% 23% 16% 7% 19% 24% 22% 4% 42%

Donʼt know 20% 17% 14% 12% 28% 26% 22% 16% 18% 15% 13%

Republicans

Republicans

How do you think JOHN F KERRY would handle each of these issues over the next four years if he is elected President on November

2? (cont.)

The conduct of the

war on terrorism

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 6% 3% 4% 10% 0%

Good 16% 17% 18% 16% 16% 25% 15% 15% 14% 32% 2%

Fair 24% 25% 24% 25% 22% 25% 23% 25% 22% 34% 13%

Poor 17% 17% 18% 20% 14% 10% 16% 16% 23% 6% 30%

Very poor 20% 21% 21% 24% 16% 10% 19% 25% 21% 4% 42%

Donʼt know 19% 16% 13% 11% 27% 25% 22% 16% 16% 14% 12%

Taxes

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 6% 4% 2% 3% 8% 0%

Good 18% 19% 21% 17% 18% 19% 18% 15% 19% 34% 4%

Fair 24% 24% 23% 23% 24% 30% 23% 24% 17% 36% 11%

Poor 15% 16% 16% 18% 13% 11% 15% 18% 16% 6% 26%

Very poor 21% 23% 24% 27% 15% 7% 19% 24% 30% 3% 46%

Donʼt know 19% 15% 12% 10% 27% 28% 20% 16% 14% 13% 12%

Republicans

Republicans


The federal budget deficit

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 5% 4% 3% 1% 7% 0%

Good 19% 21% 22% 21% 17% 19% 19% 15% 25% 36% 4%

Fair 27% 28% 29% 30% 24% 26% 27% 27% 26% 34% 23%

Poor 15% 16% 15% 17% 14% 14% 14% 19% 13% 7% 27%

Very poor 16% 17% 17% 18% 13% 4% 15% 19% 21% 4% 32%

Donʼt know 20% 16% 13% 11% 28% 32% 21% 16% 15% 13% 14%

Republicans

How do you think JOHN F KERRY would handle each of these issues over the next four years if he is elected President on November

2? (cont.)

Relations with Americaʼs

allies around the

world

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 8% 9% 10% 9% 8% 12% 9% 6% 8% 18% 1%

Good 24% 25% 27% 25% 24% 33% 21% 23% 28% 42% 9%

Fair 23% 24% 24% 26% 21% 15% 25% 27% 18% 20% 26%

Poor 12% 12% 12% 14% 10% 7% 11% 13% 16% 3% 24%

Very poor 13% 14% 14% 15% 11% 6% 12% 15% 17% 3% 28%

Donʼt know 19% 15% 12% 10% 27% 25% 21% 16% 13% 13% 13%

Marriage between

people of the same sex

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 6% 5% 4% 1% 7% 2%

Good 16% 16% 17% 15% 16% 21% 16% 12% 18% 29% 6%

Fair 22% 23% 22% 23% 21% 24% 21% 24% 18% 30% 13%

Poor 12% 13% 12% 14% 10% 11% 11% 12% 14% 7% 18%

Very poor 22% 23% 24% 26% 18% 12% 21% 25% 27% 6% 46%

Donʼt know 24% 21% 19% 17% 31% 26% 25% 23% 22% 21% 16%

Crime

Total Registered

to

vote

Definite

to vote

Male Female 18-24 25-44 45-64 65+ Democrats

Excellent 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 4% 2% 1% 5% 0%

Good 16% 17% 18% 16% 16% 21% 16% 13% 17% 27% 7%

Fair 33% 36% 36% 39% 28% 25% 32% 36% 38% 40% 30%

Poor 13% 13% 13% 14% 12% 14% 12% 15% 11% 5% 24%

Very poor 12% 13% 13% 15% 10% 5% 12% 15% 16% 4% 24%

Donʼt know 22% 19% 17% 13% 31% 32% 24% 19% 16% 19% 15%

Republicans

Republicans

Republicans


Half-way through the fieldwork, Senator John Kerry announced his running mate. The results below are for the 1192 of the sample

who were questioned before the announcement.

Assuming that George W Bush keeps Dick Cheney as his Vice Presidential running mate, how would you vote if John Kerry chose,

as HIS running mate, each of the following:

Effect

Senator Hillary +8

Clinton

Senator John Edwards +8

Senator John McCain +6

Congressman Dick 0

Gephardt

Senator Joseph Biden -2

Senator Bob Graham -3

Governor Mark -3

Warner

Senator Bill Nelson -4

Robert Rubin -5

Governor Tom Vilsack -5

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