was run for 1 Jan 2006 to 31 Dec 2010. At each time step,100-member ensembles <strong>of</strong> model states were generated byperturbing meteorological forcing data (random butcorrelated errors added to precipitati<strong>on</strong>, shortwave radiati<strong>on</strong>and air temperature) and a small subset <strong>of</strong> modelparameters. Assimilati<strong>on</strong> performance <strong>of</strong> AWRA-L inlumped-catchment mode was based <strong>on</strong> comparing estimatedand observed streamflow for each catchment. As expected,assimilati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> streamflow gave best fit to <strong>the</strong>se observati<strong>on</strong>s(Nash-Sutcliff scores 0.5 – 0.8). Simultaneous assimilati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong>both streamflow and SM achieved nearly identical results tothat <strong>of</strong> streamflow al<strong>on</strong>e - whilst improving agreement withAMSR-E SM. This suggests that SM can be assimilatedwithout degrading streamflow estimati<strong>on</strong>, with <strong>the</strong> potential<strong>of</strong> benefiting estimati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r water balance comp<strong>on</strong>ents(this needs to be investigated fur<strong>the</strong>r). Preliminaryexaminati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> gridded SM assimilati<strong>on</strong> results showedthat AWRA-L estimates agree c<strong>on</strong>siderably better with <strong>the</strong>AMSR-E SM data than <strong>the</strong> open loop simulati<strong>on</strong>s. A moredetailed evaluati<strong>on</strong> is planned which involves comparis<strong>on</strong>s<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> SM fields against surface SM m<strong>on</strong>itoring networks,and comparis<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> analysed model storage andvegetati<strong>on</strong> states against independent GRACE-derivedstorages and MODIS/AVHRR vegetati<strong>on</strong> data, respectively.Future work will also evaluate alternative soil moisture datastreams, e.g. SMOS, SMAP, ASAR and ASCAT. We envisagedthat dynamic assimilati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> satellite data into AWRA-L willresult in better spatial and temporal representati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>models water balance comp<strong>on</strong>ents for <strong>the</strong> Australianc<strong>on</strong>tinent.Rezaie Boro<strong>on</strong>, HassanLinking Groundwater Quality and Quantity: AnAssessment <strong>of</strong> Satellite-Based GroundwaterStorage Anomalies From GRACE Against GroundMeasurements <strong>of</strong> C<strong>on</strong>taminants in CaliforniaRezaie Boro<strong>on</strong>, Hassan 1 ; Fisher, Josh B. 21. Geosciences and Envir<strong>on</strong>ment, California StateUniversity, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA2. Water & Carb<strong>on</strong> Cycles Group, JPL, Pasadena, CA, USAGroundwater primarily supports agriculture inCalifornia, as well as sustains a wide diversity <strong>of</strong> ecosystemsand c<strong>on</strong>sumptive use, but pumping is occurring faster thanreplenishment. At <strong>the</strong> same time, c<strong>on</strong>taminants from pointand n<strong>on</strong>-point sources including fertilizers and pesticides areinfiltrating into <strong>the</strong> groundwater, becoming increasinglyc<strong>on</strong>centrated as water is extracted. We compared space-basedobservati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong> groundwater anomalies from California’sSan Joaquin Valley (SJV) using <strong>the</strong> Gravity Recovery andClimate Experiment (GRACE) against measurements <strong>of</strong> 42organic and inorganic chemicals from 41667 wells in SJVfrom 2003 to 2010. Preliminary results show str<strong>on</strong>gcorrelati<strong>on</strong>s with groundwater depleti<strong>on</strong> against increasingchlorine (r2=0.78), bor<strong>on</strong> (r2=0.88), and but negligibleagainst decreasing benzene (r2=0.03). The results are <strong>the</strong>first to link space-based groundwater quantity withgroundwater quality.Rhines, AndrewTropical Loading Patterns Associated withAtmospheric Rivers: Lagrangian Diagnosis andProspects for <strong>Remote</strong> Detecti<strong>on</strong>Rhines, Andrew 11. Earth and Planetary Sciences, Harvard University,Cambridge, MA, USAAtmospheric Rivers (ARs, also known as tropicalmoisture export events) c<strong>on</strong>stitute an important and illunderstoodbranch <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> hydrologic cycle. Theirclimatological characteristics in midlatitudes have beenexplored in previous studies (e.g., Zhu and Newell [1998],Ralph et al. [2004], and o<strong>the</strong>rs), and while ARs are clearlyc<strong>on</strong>nected to precipitati<strong>on</strong> extremes, little attenti<strong>on</strong> has beenpaid to <strong>the</strong>ir tropical origins. Basic questi<strong>on</strong>s remainunanswered: Is <strong>the</strong> water vapor present in filaments <strong>of</strong> moisttropical air in ARs dynamically important, or is it simplyadvected by an existing midlatitude system? What role dotropical SSTs play in <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong> ARs? Does ENSOmodulate <strong>the</strong>ir frequency, <strong>the</strong>ir typical locati<strong>on</strong>, or both? Inthis study, I generate a Lagrangian climatology <strong>of</strong> tropicalmoisture export from NCEP reanalyses, and illustrate <strong>the</strong>role played by tropical moisture anomalies in setting <strong>the</strong>characteristics <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se events. Focusing <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> Pacific sectorand ARs near North America, I find that that sub-annualvariability from SST anomalies, annual variability from <strong>the</strong>seas<strong>on</strong>al movement <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> ITCZ, and inter-annual variabilityfrom ENSO all str<strong>on</strong>gly influence tropical moisture exportin important ways. The frequency and strength <strong>of</strong> PacificARs is found to depend mainly <strong>on</strong> SSTs in <strong>the</strong> warm pool,while <strong>the</strong> influence <strong>of</strong> ENSO up<strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> distributi<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong>tropical SST anomalies c<strong>on</strong>trols <strong>the</strong>ir locati<strong>on</strong>. Both factorsare important for <strong>the</strong> predicti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> extreme rainfall eventsal<strong>on</strong>g <strong>the</strong> west coast <strong>of</strong> North America. The str<strong>on</strong>gcorresp<strong>on</strong>dence between filamentary tropical moistureexport and satellite-based water vapor soundings elicitscomparis<strong>on</strong> between <strong>the</strong> modeled climatology and satelliteimagery <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se events. I characterize <strong>the</strong> degree to which<strong>the</strong> Lagrangian and satellite diagnostics are in agreement,and where <strong>the</strong>ir complementary properties might lead tomore robust event detecti<strong>on</strong>.Richey, Alexandra S.Quantifying Water Stress Using Total WaterVolumes and GRACERichey, Alexandra S. 1 ; Famiglietti, James S. 1, 21. Civil and Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Engineering, University <strong>of</strong>California - Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA2. Earth Systems Science, University <strong>of</strong> California - Irvine,Irvine, CA, USAWater will follow oil as <strong>the</strong> next critical resource leadingto unrest and uprisings globally. To better manage thisthreat, an improved understanding <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> distributi<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong>water stress is required today. This study builds up<strong>on</strong>previous efforts to characterize water stress by improving124
oth <strong>the</strong> quantificati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> human water use and <strong>the</strong>definiti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> water availability. Current statistics <strong>on</strong> humanwater use are <strong>of</strong>ten outdated or inaccurately reportednati<strong>on</strong>ally, especially for groundwater. This study usesremote sensing to improve <strong>the</strong>se estimates. We use NASA’sGravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) toisolate <strong>the</strong> anthropogenic signal in water storage anomalies,which we equate to water use. Water availability hastraditi<strong>on</strong>ally been limited to “renewable” water, whichignores large, stored water sources that humans use. Wecompare water stress estimates derived using ei<strong>the</strong>rrenewable water or <strong>the</strong> total volume <strong>of</strong> water globally. We use<strong>the</strong> best-available data to quantify total aquifer and surfacewater volumes, as compared to groundwater recharge andsurface water run<strong>of</strong>f from land-surface models. The workpresented here should provide a more realistic image <strong>of</strong>water stress by explicitly quantifying groundwater, definingwater availability as total water supply, and using GRACE tomore accurately quantify water use.Rittger, Karl E.Assessment <strong>of</strong> Viewable and Canopy AdjustedSnow Cover from MODISRittger, Karl E. 1 ; Painter, Thomas H. 2 ; Raleigh, Mark S. 3 ;Lundquist, Jessica D. 3 ; Dozier, Jeff 11. Bren School <strong>of</strong> Env. Science, Univ <strong>of</strong> Calif- Santa Barbara,Santa Barbara, CA, USA2. Jet Propulsi<strong>on</strong> Laboratory, California Institute <strong>of</strong>Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA3. Civil and Envir<strong>on</strong>mental Engineering, University <strong>of</strong>Washingt<strong>on</strong>, Seattle, WA, USACharacterizati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> snow is critical for understandingEarth’s water and energy cycles. The cryosphere’s resp<strong>on</strong>se t<strong>of</strong>orcings largely determines Earth’s climate sensitivity tochanges in atmospheric compositi<strong>on</strong>, and <strong>on</strong>e-fifth <strong>of</strong>Earth’s populati<strong>on</strong> depends <strong>on</strong> snow or glaciers for waterresources. Maps <strong>of</strong> snow from MODIS have seen growing usein investigati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong> climate, hydrology, and glaciology, but<strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> rigorous validati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> different snow mappingmethods compromises <strong>the</strong>se studies. We examine threewidely used MODIS snow products: <strong>the</strong> “binary” (i.e. snowyes/no) global snow maps, MOD10A1 binary, that relies <strong>on</strong><strong>the</strong> normalized difference snow index (NDSI); a regressi<strong>on</strong>basedMODIS fracti<strong>on</strong>al snow product, MOD10A1fracti<strong>on</strong>al, that relies <strong>on</strong> an empirical relati<strong>on</strong>ship withNDSI; and a physically-based fracti<strong>on</strong>al snow product,MODSCAG, that relies <strong>on</strong> spectral mixture analysis. Wecompare <strong>the</strong>m to maps <strong>of</strong> snow obtained from LandsatETM+ data to evaluate viewable snow cover. The assessmentuses 172 images spanning a range <strong>of</strong> snow and vegetati<strong>on</strong>c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s, including <strong>the</strong> Colorado Rocky Mountains, <strong>the</strong>Upper Rio Grande, California’s Sierra Nevada, and <strong>the</strong> NepalHimalaya. MOD10A1 binary and fracti<strong>on</strong>al fail to retrievesnow in <strong>the</strong> transiti<strong>on</strong>al periods during accumulati<strong>on</strong> andmelt while MODSCAG c<strong>on</strong>sistently maintains its retrievalability during <strong>the</strong>se periods. Fracti<strong>on</strong>al statistics show <strong>the</strong>RMSE for MOD10A1 fracti<strong>on</strong>al and MODSCAG are 0.23and 0.10 averaged over all regi<strong>on</strong>s. MODSCAG performs <strong>the</strong>most c<strong>on</strong>sistently through accumulati<strong>on</strong>, mid-winter andmelt with median differences ranging from –0.16 to 0.04while differences for MOD10A1 fracti<strong>on</strong>al range from –0.34to 0.35. MODSCAG maintains its performance over all landcover classes and throughout a larger range <strong>of</strong> land surfaceproperties. Estimating snow cover in densely vegetated areasfrom optical remote sensing remains an outstandingproblem. We use a network <strong>of</strong> ground temperature sensorsto m<strong>on</strong>itor daily snow presence in <strong>the</strong> Sierra Nevada in threesites with varying forest canopy density. For MODSCAG, weestimate snow cover under <strong>the</strong> canopy using standardmethods, adjusting with <strong>the</strong> daily fracti<strong>on</strong>al vegetati<strong>on</strong> from<strong>the</strong> MODSCAG algorithm. These adjustments are superiorto static maps such as <strong>the</strong> Nati<strong>on</strong>al Land Cover Datasetbecause both fracti<strong>on</strong>al vegetati<strong>on</strong> and fracti<strong>on</strong>al snow covervary as a functi<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> MODIS view angle and seas<strong>on</strong>.MOD10A1 viewable snow cover is compared directly to <strong>the</strong>field data without vegetati<strong>on</strong> correcti<strong>on</strong>s because <strong>of</strong> itssizeable overestimates in forested areas. Characterizingviewable snow cover by spectral mixing is more accurate thanempirical methods based <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> normalized difference snowindex, both for identifying where snow is and is not and forestimating <strong>the</strong> fracti<strong>on</strong>al snow cover within a sensor’sinstantaneous field-<strong>of</strong>-view. Estimating canopy adjustedsnow cover should rely <strong>on</strong> our best estimates <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> viewablesnow cover to produce reliable and defendable results.Ascertaining <strong>the</strong> fracti<strong>on</strong>al value is particularly important inmountainous terrain and during spring and summer melt.Rodell, Mat<strong>the</strong>wIntegrating Data from GRACE and O<strong>the</strong>rObserving Systems for Hydrological Research andApplicati<strong>on</strong>sRodell, Mat<strong>the</strong>w 1 ; Famiglietti, James S. 2 ; McWilliams, EricB. 3 ; Beaudoing, Hiroko K. 1, 4 ; Li, Bailing 1, 4 ; Zaitchik,Benjamin F. 5 ; Reichle, Rolf H. 6 ; Bolten, John D. 11. Hydrological Sciences Laboratory, NASA/GSFC,Greenbelt, MD, USA2. Earth System Science, UC Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA3. Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University <strong>of</strong>Maryland, College Park, MD, USA4. Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University<strong>of</strong> Maryland, College Park, MD, USA5. Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University,Baltimore, MD, USA6. Global Modeling and Assimilati<strong>on</strong> Office, NASA/GSFC,Greenbelt, MD, USAThe Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE)missi<strong>on</strong> provides a unique view <strong>of</strong> water cycle dynamics,enabling <strong>the</strong> <strong>on</strong>ly space based observati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong> water <strong>on</strong> andbeneath <strong>the</strong> land surface that are not limited by depth.GRACE data are immediately useful for large scaleapplicati<strong>on</strong>s such as ice sheet ablati<strong>on</strong> m<strong>on</strong>itoring, but <strong>the</strong>yare even more valuable when combined with o<strong>the</strong>r types <strong>of</strong>observati<strong>on</strong>s, ei<strong>the</strong>r directly or within a data assimilati<strong>on</strong>system. Here we describe recent results <strong>of</strong> hydrological125
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esilience to hydrological hazards a
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Alfieri, Joseph G.The Factors Influ
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Montana and Oregon. Other applicati
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accuracy of snow derivation from si
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seasonal trends, and integrate clou
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a single mission, the phrase “nea
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climate and land surface unaccounte
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further verified that even for conv
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underway and its utility can be ass
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Courault, DominiqueAssessment of mo
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used three Landsat-5 TM images (05/
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storage change solutions in the for
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Famiglietti, James S.Getting Real A
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can be thought of as operating in t
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mission and will address the follow
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Gan, Thian Y.Soil Moisture Retrieva
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match the two sets of estimates. Th
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producing CGF snow cover products.
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performance of the AWRA-L model for
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