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2012 AGU Chapman Conference on Remote Sensing of the ...

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Xie, PingpingGauge - Satellite Merged Analyses <strong>of</strong> LandPrecipitati<strong>on</strong>: A Prototype Algorithm INVITEDXie, Pingping 1 ; Xi<strong>on</strong>g, An-Yuan 21. NOAA/NCEP, Camp Springs, MD, USA2. CMA Nati<strong>on</strong>al Meteorological Informati<strong>on</strong> Center,Beijing, ChinaA prototype algorithm has been developed to createhigh-resoluti<strong>on</strong> precipitati<strong>on</strong> analyses over land by merginggauge-based analysis and CMORPH satellite estimates. Atwo-step strategy is adopted to remove <strong>the</strong> bias inherent in<strong>the</strong> CMORPH satellite precipitati<strong>on</strong> estimates and tocombine <strong>the</strong> bias-corrected satellite estimates with <strong>the</strong> gaugeanalysis, respectively. First, bias correcti<strong>on</strong> is performed for<strong>the</strong> CMORPH estimates by matching <strong>the</strong> cumulatedprobability density functi<strong>on</strong> (PDF) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> satellite data withthat <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> gauge analysis using co-located data pairs over aspatial domain <strong>of</strong> 5olat/l<strong>on</strong> centering at <strong>the</strong> target grid boxand over a time period <strong>of</strong> 30-days ending at <strong>the</strong> target date.The spatial domain is expanded, wherever necessary overgauge sparse regi<strong>on</strong>s, to ensure <strong>the</strong> collecti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> sufficientnumber <strong>of</strong> gauge – satellite data pairs. The bias-correctedCMORPH precipitati<strong>on</strong> estimates are <strong>the</strong>n combined with<strong>the</strong> gauge analysis through <strong>the</strong> optimal interpolati<strong>on</strong> (OI)technique, in which <strong>the</strong> bias-corrected CMORPH is used as<strong>the</strong> first guess while <strong>the</strong> gauge data is used as <strong>the</strong>observati<strong>on</strong>s to modify <strong>the</strong> first guess over regi<strong>on</strong>s withstati<strong>on</strong> coverage. Error statistics are computed for <strong>the</strong> inputgauge and satellite data to maximize <strong>the</strong> performance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>high-resoluti<strong>on</strong> merged analysis <strong>of</strong> daily precipitati<strong>on</strong>. Crossvalidati<strong>on</strong>tests and comparis<strong>on</strong>s against independent gaugeobservati<strong>on</strong>s dem<strong>on</strong>strate feasibility and effectiveness <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>c<strong>on</strong>ceptual algorithm in c<strong>on</strong>structing merged precipitati<strong>on</strong>analysis with substantially removed bias and significantlyimproved pattern agreements compared to <strong>the</strong> input gaugeand satellite data. Details about <strong>the</strong> implementati<strong>on</strong> strategyand global applicati<strong>on</strong>s will be reported at <strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>ference.Xu, BinHourly Gauge-satellite Merged Precipitati<strong>on</strong>Analysis over ChinaXu, Bin 1 ; Yoo, Soo-Hyun 2 ; Xie, Pingping 2 ; Xi<strong>on</strong>g, An-Yuan 11. CMA Nati<strong>on</strong>al Meteorological Informati<strong>on</strong> Centre,Beijing, China2. NOAA Climate Predicti<strong>on</strong> Center, Washingt<strong>on</strong>, DC, USAAs part <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> collaborati<strong>on</strong> between ChinaMeteorological Administrati<strong>on</strong> (CMA) Nati<strong>on</strong>alMeteorological Informati<strong>on</strong> Centre (NMIC) and NOAAClimate Predicti<strong>on</strong> Center (CPC), a new system is beingdeveloped to c<strong>on</strong>struct hourly precipitati<strong>on</strong> analysis <strong>on</strong> a0.25olat/l<strong>on</strong> grid over China by merging informati<strong>on</strong>derived from gauge observati<strong>on</strong>s and CMORPH satelliteprecipitati<strong>on</strong> estimates. Foundati<strong>on</strong> to <strong>the</strong> development <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> gauge-satellite merging algorithm is <strong>the</strong> definiti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>systematic and random error inherent in <strong>the</strong> CMORPHsatellite precipitati<strong>on</strong> estimates. In this study, we quantify155<strong>the</strong> CMORPH error structures through comparis<strong>on</strong>s againsta gauge-based analysis <strong>of</strong> hourly precipitati<strong>on</strong> derived fromstati<strong>on</strong> reports from a dense network over China, andcombine <strong>the</strong> gauge analysis with <strong>the</strong> bias-correctedCMORPH through <strong>the</strong> optimal interpolati<strong>on</strong> (OI) techniqueusing <strong>the</strong> error statistics defined in this study. First,systematic error (bias) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CMORPH satellite estimatesare examined with co-located hourly gauge precipitati<strong>on</strong>analysis over 0.25olat/l<strong>on</strong> grid boxes with at least <strong>on</strong>ereporting stati<strong>on</strong>. The CMORPH exhibits biases <strong>of</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>alvariati<strong>on</strong>s showing over-estimates over eastern China, andseas<strong>on</strong>al changes with over-/under-estimates duringwarm/cold seas<strong>on</strong>s. The CMORPH bias presents rangedependency.In general, <strong>the</strong> CMORPH tends toover-/under-estimate weak / str<strong>on</strong>g rainfall. The bias, whenexpressed in <strong>the</strong> form <strong>of</strong> ratio between <strong>the</strong> gaugeobservati<strong>on</strong>s and <strong>the</strong> CMORPH satellite estimates, increaseswith <strong>the</strong> rainfall intensity but tends to saturate at a certainlevel for high rainfall. Based <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> above results, a prototypealgorithm is developed to remove <strong>the</strong> CMORPH biasthrough matching <strong>the</strong> PDF <strong>of</strong> original CMORPH estimatesagainst that <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> gauge analysis using data pairs co-locatedover grid boxes with at least <strong>on</strong>e reporting gauge over a 30-day period ending at <strong>the</strong> target date. The spatial domain forcollecting <strong>the</strong> co-located data pairs is expanded so that atleast 5000 pairs <strong>of</strong> data are available to ensure statisticalavailability. The bias-corrected CMORPH is <strong>the</strong>n comparedagainst <strong>the</strong> gauge data to quantify <strong>the</strong> remaining randomerror. The results showed that <strong>the</strong> random error in <strong>the</strong> biascorrectedCMORPH is proporti<strong>on</strong>al to <strong>the</strong> smoothness <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> target precipitati<strong>on</strong> fields, expressed as <strong>the</strong> standarddeviati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> CMORPH fields, and to <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>spatial domain over which <strong>the</strong> data pairs to c<strong>on</strong>struct <strong>the</strong>PDF functi<strong>on</strong>s are collected. An empirical equati<strong>on</strong> is <strong>the</strong>ndefined to compute <strong>the</strong> random error in <strong>the</strong> bias-correctedCMORPH from <strong>the</strong> CMORPH spatial standard deviati<strong>on</strong>and <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> data collecti<strong>on</strong> domain. An algorithm isbeing developed to combine <strong>the</strong> gauge analysis with <strong>the</strong> biascorrectedCMORPH through <strong>the</strong> optimal interpolati<strong>on</strong> (OI)technique using <strong>the</strong> error statistics defined in this study. Inthis process, <strong>the</strong> bias-corrected CMORPH will be used as <strong>the</strong>first guess, while <strong>the</strong> gauge data will be utilized asobservati<strong>on</strong>s to modify <strong>the</strong> first guess over regi<strong>on</strong>s withgauge network coverage. Detailed results will be reported at<strong>the</strong> c<strong>on</strong>ference.

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