ABSTRACTSlisted by name <strong>of</strong> presenterAdachi, AhoroRainfall estimati<strong>on</strong> and detecti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> hazardousc<strong>on</strong>vective cells with a dual-polarized C-band radarAdachi, Ahoro 1 ; Kobayashi, Takahisa 1 ; Yamauchi, Hiroshi 1 ;Onogi, Shigeru 21. Meteorological Satellite and Observati<strong>on</strong> SystemDepartment, Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba,Japan2. Physical Meteorology Department, MeteorologicalResearch Institute, Tsukuba, JapanLocal heavy rainfalls in urban area are drawing attenti<strong>on</strong>in Japan because many people have been injured or even diedrecently due to flush floods associated with local heavyc<strong>on</strong>vective rainfalls. Horiz<strong>on</strong>tal distributi<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong> rainfall havebeen estimated from c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al wea<strong>the</strong>r radarobservati<strong>on</strong>s using <strong>the</strong> so-called Z-R relati<strong>on</strong>ship. Althoughthis relati<strong>on</strong>ship is relatively accurate for stratiform rain, thismethod is unreliable for c<strong>on</strong>vective precipitati<strong>on</strong>, whichproduces heavy rainfall. It is well known that dual-polarizedradars can improve <strong>the</strong> accuracy <strong>of</strong> rainfall estimati<strong>on</strong>, and<strong>the</strong> accuracy <strong>of</strong> dual-polarized radar rainfall productsimproves with increasing rain intensity (Bringi andChandrasekar 2001). One key applicati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> dual-polarizedradars at <strong>the</strong> operati<strong>on</strong>al frequency bands (S, C, and X) is <strong>the</strong>radar-based rainfall input to hydrological models (e.g.,Krajewski and Smith 2002, and Bringi et al. 2011). A variety<strong>of</strong> rain-rate algorithms that uses <strong>the</strong> dual-polarized radardata have been proposed in <strong>the</strong> literature. Variables obtainedby <strong>the</strong> dual-polarized radars include radar reflectivity factor(Zhh), differential propagati<strong>on</strong> phase (dp) and differentialreflectivity (Zdr). Because <strong>the</strong> differential reflectivity (Zdr)measured with C-band radar is more sensitive to largeraindrops associated with heavy rainfalls than is radarsoperating at o<strong>the</strong>r frequencies because <strong>of</strong> Mie scatteringres<strong>on</strong>ance effect, <strong>the</strong> rain intensity estimated from <strong>the</strong>differential reflectivity (Zdr) and radar reflectivity factor(Zhh) measured with <strong>the</strong> dual-polarized C-band radar at <strong>the</strong>Meteorological Research Institute (MRI) in Tsukuba, Japanis used in <strong>the</strong> present study to analyze a local heavy rainfallevent that occurred <strong>on</strong> 7 July 2010 as a case study. Theestimate <strong>of</strong> rainfall using data from <strong>the</strong> MRI C-pol radar in<strong>the</strong> local heavy rainfall event is compared against two opticaldisdrometers (PARSIVEL) located at about 30 km and 60 kmaway from <strong>the</strong> radar, respectively, with time intervals <strong>of</strong> 2minutes. Results show that <strong>the</strong> rainfall intensity estimatedfrom <strong>the</strong> Zdr and Zhh agrees well with <strong>the</strong> disdromterobservati<strong>on</strong>s and is more reliable than that estimated from<strong>the</strong> Z-R relati<strong>on</strong>ship. Moreover, <strong>the</strong> so-called high Zdrcolumn, a large differential reflectivity regi<strong>on</strong> was clearlyanalyzed al<strong>of</strong>t about 10 minutes prior to <strong>the</strong> local heavyrainfall <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> ground, suggesting that <strong>the</strong> differentialreflectivity observed with dual-polarized C-band radar canbe a good index to detect subsequent heavy precipitati<strong>on</strong>events <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> ground in advance.Adeaga, OlusegunEstimati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> Terrestrial Water Storage for waterresources system managementAdeaga, Olusegun 11. Geography, University <strong>of</strong> Lagos, Lagos, NigeriaExtreme hydrological events have c<strong>on</strong>tinued to poseserious threats to mankind with unique challenges to globalsocio-ec<strong>on</strong>omic development and growth as aftermath. Suchchallenges demands for better understanding anddevelopment <strong>of</strong> an integrated water resources system withcapacity to accommodate <strong>the</strong> varied extreme events andexpected modificati<strong>on</strong> in water resources quantity andavailability at varied spatio-temporal level. The system is also<strong>of</strong> importance since water remains <strong>the</strong> fundamental linkbetween <strong>the</strong> climate system, human society and <strong>the</strong>envir<strong>on</strong>ment. Unfortunately, suitable water resourcesassessment scheme has been greatly affected by pressure <strong>of</strong>ec<strong>on</strong>omic stringency through insufficient budget allocati<strong>on</strong>and varied neglect <strong>of</strong> water resources assessmentinfrastructure. Vital informati<strong>on</strong> required in mosthydrological analysis for <strong>the</strong> purpose <strong>of</strong> water resourcesplanning are <strong>the</strong>refore in paucity, except for a fewcatchments. Intensive studies <strong>on</strong> hydrological processes andmechanisms have <strong>the</strong>refore being neglected for a l<strong>on</strong>gtimewith reported cases <strong>of</strong> stati<strong>on</strong> neglect while in most cases,<strong>the</strong> level and accuracy <strong>of</strong> available dataset is notcommensurate with present water developmental needs,especially in <strong>the</strong> developing countries. Paucity <strong>of</strong> groundbasedhydrological data has resulted in poor understanding<strong>of</strong> hydrologic resp<strong>on</strong>se processes and its spatio-temporalvariability within drainage basins. Hence, Proper estimati<strong>on</strong><strong>of</strong> space-based Terrestrial Water Storage data will go a l<strong>on</strong>gway to provide adequate indices needed for achievingappropriate lead time informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> extreme hydrologicalevents magnitude, intensity, occurrence and o<strong>the</strong>r waterrelated hazards. Such informati<strong>on</strong> will also play animportant supportive decisi<strong>on</strong> role in resolving practicalwater resource management and planning sinceprecipitati<strong>on</strong> is invaluable as a source <strong>of</strong> renewablefreshwater. In this paper, terrestrial water storage estimati<strong>on</strong>was carried-out using 3-hourly TRMM Rainfall estimate andGRACE terrestrial water storage data in order to estimateavailable surface water distributi<strong>on</strong> and its variability as wellas <strong>the</strong> uncertainty quantificati<strong>on</strong> for <strong>the</strong> period 2001 to2010, in Nigeria. This is necessary since adequate knowledge<strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> distributi<strong>on</strong> and quantificati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> terrestrial waterand its storage will be helpful as a measure towardsaddressing disaster preventi<strong>on</strong> and water management in <strong>the</strong>data scare regi<strong>on</strong>. The regi<strong>on</strong> is also characterizes with lowdensehydro-meteorological gauging network and little or no28
esilience to hydrological hazards and is highly susceptible toseas<strong>on</strong>al and spatial rainfall variability and increasingextreme hydrological events. The estimates also provide basicspatially-based indices towards estimating <strong>the</strong> hydrologicalextreme lead time informati<strong>on</strong> and <strong>the</strong> appropriateness <strong>of</strong><strong>the</strong> available water resources system and adaptati<strong>on</strong> schemewithin <strong>the</strong> regi<strong>on</strong>, in <strong>the</strong> 21st century and bey<strong>on</strong>d.Adler, Robert F.Status and Future <strong>of</strong> a Real-time Global Flood andLandslide Estimati<strong>on</strong> System Using SatelliteRainfall Informati<strong>on</strong> and Hydrological ModelsAdler, Robert F. 1 ; Wu, Huan 1 ; Kirschbaum, Dalia 2 ; H<strong>on</strong>g,Yang 31. 5825 University Research Court, University <strong>of</strong> Maryland,College Park, MD, USA2. NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA3. University <strong>of</strong> Oklahoma, Norman, OK, USAOver <strong>the</strong> last several years systems have been running inreal-time to estimate <strong>the</strong> occurrence <strong>of</strong> floods and landslides(see trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov and click <strong>on</strong> “Floods andLandslides”). These systems use 3-hr resoluti<strong>on</strong> compositerainfall analyses (TRMM Multi-satellite Precipitati<strong>on</strong>Analysis [TMPA]) as input into a hydrological model thatcalculates water depth at each grid (at 0.25 degree latitudel<strong>on</strong>gitude)over <strong>the</strong> tropics and mid-latitudes. In additi<strong>on</strong>, asimple landslide algorithm using a static landslidesusceptibility map in c<strong>on</strong>juncti<strong>on</strong> with rainfall Intensity-Durati<strong>on</strong> (I-D) thresholds based <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> TMPA data is usedto estimate locati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong> high probability <strong>of</strong> landslideoccurrence. These calculati<strong>on</strong>s can provide informati<strong>on</strong>useful to nati<strong>on</strong>al and internati<strong>on</strong>al agencies inunderstanding <strong>the</strong> locati<strong>on</strong>, intensity, timeline and impact<strong>on</strong> populati<strong>on</strong>s <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se significant hazard events. The status<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se flood calculati<strong>on</strong>s will be shown by case studyexamples and a statistical comparis<strong>on</strong> against a global floodevent database. The flood validati<strong>on</strong> study indicates thatresults improve with l<strong>on</strong>ger durati<strong>on</strong> (> 3 days) floods andthat <strong>the</strong> statistics are impacted by <strong>the</strong> presence <strong>of</strong> dams,which are not accounted for in <strong>the</strong> model calculati<strong>on</strong>s. Acomparis<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> landslide calculati<strong>on</strong>s with a new globallandslide inventory indicates a general over-estimati<strong>on</strong>, butgeneral agreement <strong>on</strong> statistics <strong>of</strong> geographic locati<strong>on</strong>,seas<strong>on</strong>al variati<strong>on</strong>s and inter-annual differences. Limitati<strong>on</strong>sin <strong>the</strong> flood and landslide calculati<strong>on</strong>s that are related to <strong>the</strong>satellite rainfall estimates include space and time resoluti<strong>on</strong>limitati<strong>on</strong>s and underestimati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> shallow orographic andm<strong>on</strong>so<strong>on</strong> system rainfall. The current quality <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se floodand landslide estimati<strong>on</strong>s is at <strong>the</strong> level <strong>of</strong> being useful, but<strong>the</strong>re is a potential for significant improvement, mainlythrough improved and more timely satellite precipitati<strong>on</strong>informati<strong>on</strong> and improvement in <strong>the</strong> hydrological modelsand algorithms being used. NASA’s Global Precipitati<strong>on</strong>Measurement (GPM) program should lead to betterprecipitati<strong>on</strong> analyses utilizing space-time interpolati<strong>on</strong>sthat maintain accurate intensity distributi<strong>on</strong>s al<strong>on</strong>g withmethods to disaggregate <strong>the</strong> rain informati<strong>on</strong>. Higherresoluti<strong>on</strong> flood models with accurate routing and regi<strong>on</strong>alcalibrati<strong>on</strong>, and <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> satellite soil moisture retrievalsshould advance <strong>the</strong> state-<strong>of</strong>-<strong>the</strong>-art. Landslide algorithmswill be improved by a higher resoluti<strong>on</strong> susceptibility map,<strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> soil moisture informati<strong>on</strong>, and regi<strong>on</strong>allyvariableI-D thresholds. The use <strong>of</strong> forecast precipitati<strong>on</strong> to augment<strong>the</strong> satellite-observed rainfall estimates and extrapolate <strong>the</strong>flood estimates for 1-5 day forecasts will also be discussed.Adler, Robert F.The Global Precipitati<strong>on</strong> Measurement (GPM)Missi<strong>on</strong>: Overview and U.S. Science StatusINVITEDHou, Arthur Y. 1 ; Adler, Robert F. 21. NASA Goddard SFC, Greenbelt, MD, USA2. University <strong>of</strong> Maryland, College Park, College Park, MD,USAThe Global Precipitati<strong>on</strong> Measurement (GPM) Missi<strong>on</strong>is an internati<strong>on</strong>al satellite missi<strong>on</strong> that will unify andadvance precipitati<strong>on</strong> measurements from a c<strong>on</strong>stellati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong>microwave sensors to provide next-generati<strong>on</strong> globalprecipitati<strong>on</strong> products for research and applicati<strong>on</strong>s.Building up<strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> success <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S.-Japan TropicalRainfall Measuring Missi<strong>on</strong>, <strong>the</strong> Nati<strong>on</strong>al Aer<strong>on</strong>autics andSpace Administrati<strong>on</strong> (NASA) <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> United States and <strong>the</strong>Japan Aerospace and Explorati<strong>on</strong> Agency (JAXA) will deployin 2014 a GPM “Core” satellite carrying a Ku/Ka-band DualfrequencyPrecipitati<strong>on</strong> Radar (DPR) and a c<strong>on</strong>ical-scanningmulti-channel (10-183 GHz) GPM Microwave Imager (GMI)to establish a new standard for precipitati<strong>on</strong> measurementsfrom space. For global coverage, GPM relies <strong>on</strong> satelliteprovided by a c<strong>on</strong>sortium <strong>of</strong> internati<strong>on</strong>al partners thatinclude France, India, Europe, Japan, and <strong>the</strong> United States.In additi<strong>on</strong> to <strong>the</strong> DPR and GMI, <strong>the</strong> GPM c<strong>on</strong>stellati<strong>on</strong>comprises <strong>the</strong> following sensors: Special Sensor MicrowaveImager/Sounder instruments <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S. DefenseMeteorological Satellite Program satellites, <strong>the</strong> AdvancedMicrowave Scanning Radiometer-2 <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> GCOM-W1satellite <strong>of</strong> JAXA, <strong>the</strong> Multi-Frequency Microwave ScanningRadiometer and <strong>the</strong> microwave humidity sounder <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>Indo-French Megha-Tropiques satellite, <strong>the</strong> MicrowaveHumidity Sounder (MHS) <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> Nati<strong>on</strong>al Oceanic andAtmospheric Administrati<strong>on</strong> (NOAA)-19, MHS instruments<strong>on</strong> MetOp satellites launched by <strong>the</strong> European Organisati<strong>on</strong>for <strong>the</strong> Exploitati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> Meteorological Satellites, <strong>the</strong>Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong>Nati<strong>on</strong>al Polar-orbiting Operati<strong>on</strong>al Envir<strong>on</strong>mental SatelliteSystem (NPOESS) Preparatory Project, and ATMSinstruments <strong>on</strong> <strong>the</strong> U.S. Joint Polar Satellite Systemsatellites. The current generati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> global rainfall productsuses observati<strong>on</strong>s from a network <strong>of</strong> uncoordinated satellitemissi<strong>on</strong>s using a variety <strong>of</strong> merging techniques. GPM willprovide “next-generati<strong>on</strong>” inter-calibrated globalprecipitati<strong>on</strong> products characterized by: (1) more accurateinstantaneous precipitati<strong>on</strong> measurement (especially forlight rain and cold-seas<strong>on</strong> solid precipitati<strong>on</strong>), (2) intercalibratedmicrowave brightness temperatures from29
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presents challenges to the validati
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long period time (1976-2010) was co
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has more improved resolution ( ) to
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in the flow over the floodplain ari
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fraction of the fresh water resourc
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to determine the source of the wate
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hydrologists, was initially assigne
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Sturm et al. (1995) introduced a se
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calendar day are then truncated and
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climate associated with hydrologica
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California Institute of Technology
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egion in Northern California that i
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Moller, DelwynTopographic Mapping o
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obtained from the Fifth Microwave W
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a constraint that is observed spati
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groundwater degradation, seawater i
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approach to estimate soil water con
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Norouzi, HamidrezaLand Surface Char
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Painter, Thomas H.The JPL Airborne
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Pavelsky, Tamlin M.Continuous River
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interferometric synthetic aperture
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elevant satellite missions, such as
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parameter inversion of the time inv
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ground-based observational forcing
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Selkowitz, DavidExploring Landsat-d
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Shahroudi, NargesMicrowave Emissivi
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well as subsurface hydrological con
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Sturm, MatthewRemote Sensing and Gr
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Sutanudjaja, Edwin H.Using space-bo
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which can be monitored as an indica
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tools and methods to address one of
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Vanderjagt, Benjamin J.How sub-pixe
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Vila, Daniel A.Satellite Rainfall R
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and landuse sustainability. In this
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Wood, Eric F.Challenges in Developi
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Xie, PingpingGauge - Satellite Merg
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Yebra, MartaRemote sensing canopy c
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used. PIHM has ability to simulate