Download the presentation slides - Stanlib

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Download the presentation slides - Stanlib

Growth in M3 money supply%y/y30M3 grew by 8.2%y/y in January 2011. Market was expecting +8.5%y/y252015105090 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11


Growth in private credit%y/y28252219161310741Private sector credit grew by +5.0%y/y in January 2011. Market was expecting+5.9%y/y-290 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11


Jan 2011Jan-11SA growth in private sector creditIncluding vs Excluding the investments category%m/m0.90.7Excluding investments0.50.30.1-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.7Including investments


02030405060708091011SA monthly growth in private sector credit%m/m, 3-month average, excluding investments2.62.42.22.01.81.61.41.21.00.80.60.40.20.0-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.8-1.0


-5.0-3.0-1.01.03.05.07.09.011.013.015.017.019.006FMAMJJASOND07FMAMJJASOND08FMAMJJASOND09FMAMJJASOND10FMAMJJASOND11R billionSA monthly growth in mortgage credit


Growth in mortgage lending%y/y333027242118151296301999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


Growth in Asset-Based Finance%y/y302724Asset based Finance21181512963094 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11


Rate of growth in consumer credit%y/y30272421Consumer creditNow at +7.5%y/y181512963095 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11


SA consumer creditR billion, month-on-month, 3-month moving average-2-1012345678910111213141516172006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011


04050607080910SA growth in individual credit card debt%y/y5550454035302520151050-5-10


04050607080910SA monthly growth in individual credit card debtR billion2.52.01.51.00.50.0-0.5-1.0-1.5-2.0


Growth in Other Loans and Advances%y/y4035302520151050Other Loans &Advances GrowthNow at 6.9%y/y-5-1094 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11


8182838584868887899291909394979695999820002001200320022004200620052007200820102009SA household debt servicing costs as % of disposable income%16141210864


South Africa Repo Rate vs Prime Interest Rate%18171615Prime rate14131211109Repo rate876501 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11

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