3 years ago

presentation slides - INFORMS NY

presentation slides - INFORMS NY

Avoid over-fitting /

Avoid over-fitting / overtorture...because ...We should not act as Mark Twainsays: “Get your facts first, and then you candistortthem as much as you please.”Instead, in Sherlock Holmes’ words: “Inever guess. It is a capital mistake to theorizebefore one has data. Insensibly one begins totwist facts to suit theories, instead of theoriesto suit facts”. (A Scandal in Bohemia).— 50 —

Let us not be in haste …Method comparison by way of twoexamples does not imply generalmethod superiority.There are many examples in theliterature in which logistic regressionperformed better.— 51 —

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