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The North American and Northeastern US Natural Gas Markets

The North American and Northeastern US Natural Gas Markets

The

The current Wood Mackenzie View…4 NA Export Facilities; a 6-yearRamp-up to 6.8 Bcfdwww.woodmac.comReflects political andmarket constraints• US approvals – to apoint; so long asgas is inexpensive• Longer term,increased Asiansupply options• Our view is closestto EIA’s “SlowRamp” viewImpact on gas pricesare likely to be limited(

www.woodmac.comWill Oil and Natural Gas Ever Get Together Again in North America? UnlikelyAverage price WTI Crude Oil:• 2011-15: $92.11Oil and Gas Commodity Price Forecasts• 2016-20: $97.60Plentiful exploration and reservoirperformance risk in this oil outlooklonger term, in contrast to US gas.Avg Henry Hub (real):• 2012: $2.6845.0040.0035.0030.0000• 2013-15: $4.01• 2016-20: $5.10• 2021-30: $5.882011 1$ / mmbtu25.0020.0015.00Average WTI Oil to Henry Hub GasDifferential10.00$2011/mmbtu5.002000-2010 3.82-2012 14.832013-2020 11.36(5.00)2000200220042006200820102012201420162018202020222024202620282030WTI 1% GC No. 2 HH WTI-Henry Spread WTI/Henry Ratio2021-2030 13.27© Wood Mackenzie 13Delivering commercial insight

Breanne Dougherty, Wood Mackenzie, "North American Natural Gas
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