Deepening Integration in SADC - Fes-botswana.org

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Acknowledgements The team that undertook the present study would like to thank all national entities for their indispensable support in every stage of this work, especially the reference group made up of Mr. Luis Sitoi (National Director) and Ms. Cerina B. Mussá (Deputy National Director) from the National Directorate of International Relations of the Ministry of Industry and Trade, Mr. M. Piaraly Juthá, National Director of Planning from the Ministry of Planning and Development, Dr. Suleimane, Professor at Eduardo Mondlane University (UEM) – Economics Faculty and Faculty of Agronomy and Forestry Engineering and National Director of Studies and Policy Analysis in the Ministry of Planning and Development, to Dr. Gilead Isaac Mlay, Professor of Agronomy and Forestry Engineering Faculty of Eduardo Mondlane University (UEM) and Dr Valdemar de Sousa, member of the Administrative Board of Bank of Mozambique. We thank the current SADC Executive Secretary, Dr. Tomás Salomão, the representative of Mozambique’s metal industry, H.E. the Deputy Labour Minister as well as all respondents from Business and Non-State Actors for their interviews. We would also like to thank our language editor, translator and interviewer Mr. Evaristo Cumbane for his relentless efforts and dedication without which this study would not have been concluded. Our special thanks and appreciation go to the Friedrich Ebert Foundation for its unconditional support for this important study that aims to determine macroeconomic conditions and performance within SADC countries geared up for regional integration. 5
Table of Contents Preface.......................................................................................... 3 Acknowledgement....................................................................... 5 Part 1: Macroeconomic Policies and their Impact in Mozambique List of Tables....................................................................................10 List of Figures.................................................................................. 11 List of Abbreviations........................................................................ 12 Executive Summary...................................................................... 15 Sumario Executivo........................................................................33 1 Introduction.......................................................................... 43 2 RISDP Goals and Objectives................................................. 45 2.1 Poverty Reduction......................................................... 45 2.2 Economic and Social Development................................ 45 2.3 Free Trade Area and Custom Union............................... 48 2.4 Common Market and Monetary Union.......................... 48 3 Macroeconomic Convergence and SADC Policy.................. 51 3.1 MOU on Macroeconomic Convergence......................... 51 3.2 Finance and Investment Protocol (FIP)............................ 52 3.3 Trade Protocol............................................................... 52 3.4 Labour Market Policies.................................................. 54 4 Macroeconomic Stability Indicators.................................... 57 4.1 Inflation........................................................................ 57 4.2 External Debt................................................................ 58 4.3 Current Account.......................................................... 59 4.4 Other indicators............................................................ 59 5 Mozambique’s Macroeconomic Convergence Programme..... 63 5.1 Basic Elements and Targets............................................ 63 5.2 Mozambique’s Basic Macroeconomic Policy Framework... 68 5.3 Government Approach to Sequencing.......................... 74 5.4 Macroeconomic Convergence Problem Areas................ 76 5.5 Social Impact of the Policy Framework........................... 77 6 Detailed Assessment of Macroeconomic Convergence Programme in Mozambique................................................. 79 6
Page 1 and 2: Regional Integration in Southern Af
Page 3 and 4: 2 Impressum Published by Friedrich
Page 5: South Africa’s international trad
Page 9 and 10: 10 10 Concluding Concluding Remarks
Page 11 and 12: List of Tables Table 1: SADC Countr
Page 13 and 14: List of Abbreviations ACP Africa Ca
Page 15 and 16: SQAM Standards, Quality, Acreditati
Page 17 and 18: five-year period. The Government Pr
Page 19 and 20: Despite these substantial achieveme
Page 21 and 22: Labour Market Policy Framework In v
Page 23 and 24: This made it possible to bring down
Page 25 and 26: Domestic Domestic Savings Savings (
Page 27 and 28: Net Net Net Primar Primary Primar P
Page 29 and 30: Gender Gender Equality Equality and
Page 31 and 32: Lack Lack of of Economic Economic D
Page 33 and 34: The SADC ambitious goals and object
Page 35 and 36: Assegurar o desenvolvimento económ
Page 37 and 38: população vivendo abaixo da linha
Page 39 and 40: objectivos da integração regional
Page 41 and 42: linha com os compromissos assumidos
Page 44 and 45: 1 Introduction O n 25 June 1975, Mo
Page 46 and 47: 2 RISDP Goals and Objectives 2.1 Po
Page 48 and 49: 3. To ensure equitable and sustaina
Page 50: implementation of the Trade Protoco
Page 53 and 54: Liberalising exchange controls on c
Page 55 and 56: products will be duty-free tradable
Page 58 and 59:
4 Macroeconomic Stability Indicator
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4.3 Current Account The SADC overal
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As illustrated in Table 5.5, in 199
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Keeping inflation at low and stable
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We will focus our analyses on the m
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Central Bank resources as one of th
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Table able 9: 9: Mozambique Mozambi
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Still in the context of fiscal poli
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Additionally, among the variables t
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5.4 Macroeconomic Convergence Probl
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tend to increase ownership of long
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Despite this structure of the econo
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Figur Figure Figur e 2: 2: Composit
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Figur Figure Figur e 4: 4: Mozambiq
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Table 14 presents GDP growth rates
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Table able 16: 16: Gover Government
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Mozambique has made remarkable prog
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Real exchange rates may change due
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infrastructure will improve, the wo
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products only beginning this year (
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"two stage" transformation nature.
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Table able 19: 19: Partner Partner
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As for imports, the use by our impo
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force behind the build up of debt.
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AGOA African Growth and Opportunity
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kinds, which kept goods produced in
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egarded as the prime suspects for t
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6.16 Impact of WTO Rules The open-e
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Creating structures to facilitate t
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6.18 Analysis of Labour Market Tren
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Table able 23: 23: Companies Compan
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With the operationalisation of vari
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Cost-benefit analysis could help th
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GNP per Capita/GNI per Capita (in U
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7.1 Analytical Tools Used for Socia
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The main challenges in the fight ag
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High education costs (despite the a
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Eskom and EDM (Mozambique Power Gen
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lowest HDI (0.379). This low level
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agricultural products leave conside
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side deficiencies, such as poor lev
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Where L represents labour allocatio
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Import penetration in this sector i
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ability to import duty free. A comp
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ates have been declining in real te
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progress and reforms might be neces
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may also occur when there is displa
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Static gains tend to focus on the i
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Constitution making, democratic ele
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monetary policies, financial market
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To meet SADC requirements and sell
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Mozambique (2004). Removing Obstacl
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162
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List of Tables Table 1: Type of Bus
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Table 48: % Have You Attended Works
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60% of Non-State Actors are from Ci
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In general the survey allows an ana
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actividade, são muito favoráveis.
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A constituição de parcerias entre
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Data Collections To facilitate the
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62.5% of the companies inquired and
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while four of those strengthen slig
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producers, only answers from Busine
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The regional integration in SADC wi
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186
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188
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Figur Figure Figur e 3 3 -T -Type -
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Table able 5 5 -T -Type -T ype of o
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Table able able 10 10 10 - - Shar S
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Table able 14 14 - - % % of of Main
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Table able 26 26 - - Annual Annual
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Table able 32 32 - - T TType T ype
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Table able 38 38 - - Par Par Partic
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Table able able 42 42 - - % % If If
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Table able 44 44 - - % % Most Most
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Table able 47 47 - - % % Is Is Regi
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214
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216 Copies of this publication can
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