Daily Trading Report 07 January 2012 - EMC

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Daily Trading Report 07 January 2012 - EMC

Daily Trading ReportTrading Date: 07 Jan 2012Daily Trading Report07 January 2012


Daily Trading ReportTrading Date: 07 Jan 2012Figure 1: System Demand vs USEP$/MWh700600500400300200100System DemandUSEPSaturday, 07 Jan 2012MW5500500045004000350001 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 453000SaturdayEnergy Price ($/MWh)Ranking Demand (MW)Daily average 262.30 16 out of 457 Daily averagePrevious day 194.23 Previous dayChange 35.0% ChangeDaily Max 597.85 Daily MaxDaily Min 180.61 Daily Min47195108-7.6%52604025SaturdayRanking71 out of 457CCGT Market shareDaily average 88.3%Previous day 85.7%Change 2.6%SaturdayRanking14 out of 457Ranking denotes the relative position of the market parameter since 1 Jan 2003.DisclaimerThis reportis prepared and provided for general information purposes only. Information in this Report was obtained or derived from sources thatthe Energy Market Company Pte Ltd (EMC) considers reliable. All reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate andopinions fair and reasonable at time of printing. EMC does not represent that information in this Report is accurate or complete and it should notbe relied upon as such. In particular, in presentation of charts, certain assumptions were made which may not be stated therein. As such, EMCassumes no fiduciary responsibility or liability for any construction or interpretation you may take based on the information contained nor for anyconsequences, financial or otherwise, from transactions where information in this Report may be relied upon. You should make your ownappraisal and should consult, to the extent necessary, your own professional advisors to ensure that any decision made based on the informationin this Report is suitable for your circumstances. If you have any specific queries about this Report or its contents, you should contact us atinfo@emcsg.com.Page 1 of 4


Daily Trading ReportTrading Date: 07 Jan 2012Ancillary PricesFigure 2: Primary Reserve Price$/MWh Saturday, 07 Jan 20126.005.004.003.002.001.000.001 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45Figure 3: Secondary Reserve Price$/MWh Saturday, 07 Jan 20122.001.801.601.401.201.000.800.600.400.200.001 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45Primary Reserve Price ($/MWh)Secondary Reserve Price ($/MWh)Daily averagePrevious dayChangeMaxMin0.720.023500.0%4.850.02Daily averagePrevious dayChangeMaxMin0.940.17452.9%1.890.27Figure 4: Contingency Reserve PriceFigure 5: Regulation Price$/MWh300.0Saturday, 07 Jan 2012$/MWh Saturday, 07 Jan 2012300250.0250200.0200150.0150100.010050.0500.01 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 4501 5 9 13 17 21 25 29 33 37 41 45Contingency Reserve Price ($/MWh)Daily averagePrevious dayChangeMaxMinRegulation Price ($/MWh)47.32 Daily average0.63 Previous day7391.4%262.72ChangeMax0.54 Min108.6377.8539.5%249.583.86Page 2 of 4


Daily Trading ReportTrading Date: 07 Jan 2012300250200150100500Figure 6: Seven Days of Daily USEP vs Daily Demand$/MWhSystem Demand (MW)USEP ($/MWh)Saturday, 07 Jan 2012MW5500500045004000350030001-Jan-12 2-Jan-12 3-Jan-12 4-Jan-12 5-Jan-12 6-Jan-12 7-Jan-12Figure 7: Seven Days of Generation by Type%1008097 97CCGT ST GT8586 88 86Saturday, 07 Jan 20128860402003 315 14 12 14 121-Jan-12 2-Jan-12 3-Jan-12 4-Jan-12 5-Jan-12 6-Jan-12 7-Jan-12Figure 8: Seven Day Summary of Trading DataEnergy Price ($/MWh)Daily AverageDaily MaximumDaily MinimumDemand (MW)Daily AverageDaily MaximumDaily MinimumSunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday1-Jan-12 2-Jan-12 3-Jan-12 4-Jan-12 5-Jan-12 6-Jan-12 7-Jan-12198.04 196.26 204.81 193.15 190.67 194.23 262.30513.48 341.09 338.24 226.47 216.64 223.78 597.85162.06 165.62 165.98 166.17 166.87 170.96 180.614341 4425 5068 5117 5099 5108 47194683 4891 5868 5931 5854 5914 52603899 3805 3897 3984 4017 3991 4025Reserve & RegulationPrice ($/MWh)Primary 0.94 0.61 0.040.02 0.01 0.020.72Secondary 1.51 0.69 0.240.19 0.08 0.170.94Contingency 18.85 13.14 8.560.81 0.62 0.63 47.32Regulation 62.57 62.99 82.40 81.92 83.34 77.85 108.63Reserve & RegulationRequirement (MW)Primary 209 206 185185 185 188206Secondary 257 254 250250 247 250265Contingency 498 501 515517 534 538538Regulation 83 83 8383 83 8383Generation (MW)STCCGTGT151 152 742728 632 7345554209 4295 4351 4414 4491 4398 41861 0 00 0 00Page 3 of 4


Daily Trading ReportTrading Date: 07 Jan 2012Figure 9: Trading Data by PeriodPeriodUSEP($/MWh)DemandForecast(MW)CCGTGeneration(MW)STGeneration(MW)GTGeneration(MW)1 $195.80 4436 3741 71602 $223.56 4348 3714 65403 $217.88 4322 3695 64604 $201.10 4225 3617 62605 $207.70 4168 3640 54606 $193.33 4113 3604 52607 $189.07 4075 3576 51608 $183.97 4047 3548 51609 $180.66 4029 3544 502010 $180.61 4025 3544 498011 $183.95 4051 3547 521012 $193.31 4118 3605 531013 $197.64 4176 3654 541014 $195.75 4168 3652 534015 $199.04 4206 3683 541016 $243.44 4500 3935 586017 $195.91 4689 4174 537018 $232.75 4867 4320 570019 $245.42 5017 4360 681020 $503.07 5153 4467 711021 $597.85 5235 4539 715722 $503.34 5247 4562 711023 $536.38 5260 4563 714924 $523.53 5253 4563 714225 $503.40 5229 4544 711126 $503.32 5193 4508 711027 $337.18 5151 4481 696028 $336.92 5148 4477 696029 $336.92 5142 4472 696030 $264.87 5106 4460 671031 $238.38 5090 4444 671032 $235.48 5061 4415 671033 $232.75 5017 4382 659034 $228.73 4977 4386 616035 $228.73 4945 4417 552036 $211.81 4910 4393 541037 $197.85 4883 4365 541038 $209.64 4956 4439 541039 $218.13 5019 4503 541040 $218.07 5008 4492 541041 $207.93 4954 4457 521042 $198.58 4930 4473 481043 $195.00 4904 4587 341044 $198.59 4837 4610 251045 $197.90 4717 4579 161046 $192.46 4623 4485 161047 $187.69 4543 4403 161048 $185.09 4437 4297 1610Note:These USEP prices may be subject to change, pending the full completion of price finalisation checks.Page 4 of 4

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