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Game Theory with Applications to Finance and Marketing

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game tree again, <strong>and</strong> so on <strong>and</strong> so forth. Because we are given a finiteextensive game <strong>with</strong> perfect information, the above procedure willeventually reach the beginning of the game tree, thereby determiningan equilibrium path, which by definition is a pure strategy SPNE. Thisprocedure is usually referred <strong>to</strong> as Kuhn-Zermelo algorithm. Observethat if no two terminal nodes give any player the same payoff, the obtainedSPNE is unique.Example 4: Every NE in the extensive game depicted in section 30 isalso an SPNE.Example 5: Chen is the owner-manager of a firm. The debt due oneyear from now has a face value equal <strong>to</strong> $10. The <strong>to</strong>tal assets in placeworth only $8. But, just now, Chen found an investment opportunity<strong>with</strong> NPV=x > 1, which does not need any extra investment otherthan the current assets in the firm. Chen comes <strong>to</strong> his credi<strong>to</strong>r <strong>and</strong>asks the latter <strong>to</strong> reduce the face value of debt by $1. He claims (heis really bad) that he will not take the investment project unless thecredi<strong>to</strong>r is willing <strong>to</strong> reduce the face value as he wants.(i) Suppose x > 2. Show that there is an NE in which the credi<strong>to</strong>ragrees <strong>to</strong> reduce the face value of debt <strong>and</strong> Chen makes the investment.(ii) Show that the NE in (i) is not an SPNE, because it involves incrediblethreat from Chen.(iii) How may your conclusion about (ii) change if x ∈ (1, 2]?(iv) Define bankruptcy as a state where the firm’s net worth drops<strong>to</strong> zero. In case of (iii), conclude that Chen’s company has not gonebankrupt.39. Example 5 shows that in a dynamic game, only SPNEs are reasonableoutcomes among NEs. Now we apply the procedure of backward induction<strong>to</strong> solve the SPNE for the Stackelberg game. First, consider thesubgame starting <strong>with</strong> firm 2’s decision. A subgame is distinguishedby firm 1’ choice of q 1 . Given q 1 , firm 2 has infinite possible strategiesq 2 (·), but which one is the best? Of course, the profit maximizingstrategy is the best, <strong>and</strong> henceq 2 = 1 − q 1.221

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