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6<br />

filipino globe news<br />

November 2006<br />

Remittances seen topping US$21b<br />

Robust demand for healthcare workers to drive explosive growth in deployment, says TUCP<br />

DANTE VINO in Manila<br />

Peso expected<br />

to gain more<br />

strength from<br />

Christmas rush<br />

If trends continue, the annual remittances<br />

of overseas Filipino<br />

workers will hit US$21.4 billion<br />

by 2010, or double the US$10.7<br />

billion last year, the Trade Union<br />

Congress of the Philippines (TUCP)<br />

said.<br />

“We foresee migrant worker remittances<br />

increasing by at least 100<br />

per cent over the next five years,<br />

barring a global economic shock,”<br />

former senator and TUCP general<br />

secretary Ernesto Herrera said.<br />

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas statistics<br />

show OFW remittances expanded<br />

at an annual average compounded<br />

rate of 16 per cent from<br />

2001 to 2005. Herrera said the annual<br />

double-digit growth rate is sustainable<br />

due to the continued robust<br />

demand for semi-skilled and highly<br />

skilled Filipino workers.<br />

Remittances reached US$6.04 billion<br />

in 2001; US$6.88 billion in 2002;<br />

US$7.58 billion in 2003; US$8.55<br />

billion in 2004; and US$10.7 billion<br />

in 2005. As a rule, any amount<br />

that grows at a compounded annual<br />

rate of at least 15 per cent doubles<br />

every five years.<br />

Herrera cited three key remittance<br />

growth drivers in the years ahead.<br />

These are:<br />

• The ageing of 77.5 million “baby<br />

boomers” (those born between<br />

1946 to 1964) in the US, which has<br />

spurred demand for foreign healthcare<br />

workers, including nursing<br />

home staff. The oldest baby boomers<br />

are turning 60 this year;<br />

• Soaring energy prices that have<br />

boosted the economies of oil-producing<br />

countries in the Middle<br />

East that, in turn, have stepped<br />

up hiring of foreign workers in<br />

industries such as construction,<br />

travel and tourism and oil and<br />

gas exploration, development and<br />

production;<br />

• Rapid globalisation that has<br />

increased the need for multinational<br />

corporations to retain highly<br />

qualified, experienced and Englishspeaking<br />

Filipino business and production<br />

managers.<br />

The US is the Philippines’ biggest<br />

source of remittances. Inflows<br />

from OFWs based in US<br />

grew by US$1.51 billion or 31<br />

per cent, from $4.91 billion in<br />

2004 to US$6.42 billion last year.<br />

About US$6.61 billion from<br />

North America, including $190 million<br />

from Canada, accounted for 62<br />

per cent of all remittances.<br />

The Middle East is the third<br />

biggest source of remittances at<br />

US$1.42 billion in last year, behind<br />

Europe (US$1.44 biliion).<br />

Hong Kong, home to more than<br />

120,000 OFWs, accounted for<br />

US$360 million of the estimated<br />

US$1.1 billion from Asia-Pacific,<br />

including Japan, Korea, Australia,<br />

Singapore, Malaysia and Taiwan.<br />

RAUL ACEDRE in Manila<br />

A surging peso is expected to pick<br />

up more steam after record remittances<br />

in the first nine months<br />

helped drive it to a 4-1/2-year high<br />

It is trading at just under P50 to<br />

the US dollar after touching a fresh<br />

high of P49.99, its strongest level<br />

since 2002, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas<br />

said.<br />

The currency is expected to stay<br />

on the strong side of trading for<br />

the rest of the<br />

year. The peso’s<br />

strength leaves<br />

room for the<br />

BSP to cut interest<br />

rates, which<br />

could push up<br />

the US dollar/<br />

Tetangco peso exchange<br />

rate. But most<br />

economists say any such cut would<br />

be taken by the market as an opportunity<br />

to buy back the peso.<br />

“I think there will be very little<br />

effect on the strength of the peso,”<br />

one economist said. It has had time<br />

to consolidate its gains.”<br />

Improved economic fundamentals<br />

and strong inflows of overseas<br />

remittances have combined to power<br />

the peso to levels not seen since<br />

more than four years ago.<br />

OFWs have sent home more than<br />

US$9 billion in the first nine months<br />

of the year, just under the the $10.7<br />

billion for all of last year, and within<br />

sight of the US$11 billion expected<br />

for this year.<br />

“There’s every reason to believe<br />

that the target for this year will be<br />

achieved,” BSP governor Amando<br />

Tetangco said. “This has implications<br />

on the continuing strength of<br />

the peso and on exchange rates.”<br />

THE STARS COME OUT<br />

A Philippne Airlines jet looks like part of the Christmas<br />

decor at the NAIA terminal. The airport is decking itself out<br />

for the holidays just before an expected surge of overseas<br />

Filipino workers returning home for Christmas.<br />

NAIA officers warned over ‘discourteous’ behavior after Luli fiasco<br />

RAUL ACEDRE in Manila<br />

NAIA personnel have been told to<br />

treat all passengers courteously and<br />

fairly, regardless of their nationality.<br />

Executive Secretary Eduardo Ermita<br />

issued the reminder after an<br />

incident in which the President’s<br />

daughter, Evangeline Lourdes “Luli<br />

Arroyo” reportedly got a boorish<br />

treatment from an immigration officer.<br />

Edgardo Padlan has been suspended<br />

by his superiors at the Immigration<br />

Bureau pending an investigation.<br />

Ermita was reacting to the incident<br />

in which Arroyo was reportedly told<br />

off by Padlan after she complained<br />

about a foreigner being allowed to<br />

jump the queue. Padlan reportedly<br />

snapped at Arroyo: “Hindi ka ba<br />

marunong maghintay?” (Don’t you<br />

know how to wait?)<br />

“I called the attention of the public<br />

servants there (NAIA), dahil siyempre,<br />

kahit siguro hindi anak ng<br />

presidente could make that observation<br />

and call the attention of the immigration<br />

personnel,” Ermita said.<br />

“Hindi naman tama … what he<br />

had done at the expense of a Filipino,<br />

parang nagpapakita lamang sila<br />

na para bang binibigyan ng pabor<br />

ang mga foreigner,” Ermita said.

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