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6<br />
filipino globe news<br />
November 2006<br />
Remittances seen topping US$21b<br />
Robust demand for healthcare workers to drive explosive growth in deployment, says TUCP<br />
DANTE VINO in Manila<br />
Peso expected<br />
to gain more<br />
strength from<br />
Christmas rush<br />
If trends continue, the annual remittances<br />
of overseas Filipino<br />
workers will hit US$21.4 billion<br />
by 2010, or double the US$10.7<br />
billion last year, the Trade Union<br />
Congress of the Philippines (TUCP)<br />
said.<br />
“We foresee migrant worker remittances<br />
increasing by at least 100<br />
per cent over the next five years,<br />
barring a global economic shock,”<br />
former senator and TUCP general<br />
secretary Ernesto Herrera said.<br />
Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas statistics<br />
show OFW remittances expanded<br />
at an annual average compounded<br />
rate of 16 per cent from<br />
2001 to 2005. Herrera said the annual<br />
double-digit growth rate is sustainable<br />
due to the continued robust<br />
demand for semi-skilled and highly<br />
skilled Filipino workers.<br />
Remittances reached US$6.04 billion<br />
in 2001; US$6.88 billion in 2002;<br />
US$7.58 billion in 2003; US$8.55<br />
billion in 2004; and US$10.7 billion<br />
in 2005. As a rule, any amount<br />
that grows at a compounded annual<br />
rate of at least 15 per cent doubles<br />
every five years.<br />
Herrera cited three key remittance<br />
growth drivers in the years ahead.<br />
These are:<br />
• The ageing of 77.5 million “baby<br />
boomers” (those born between<br />
1946 to 1964) in the US, which has<br />
spurred demand for foreign healthcare<br />
workers, including nursing<br />
home staff. The oldest baby boomers<br />
are turning 60 this year;<br />
• Soaring energy prices that have<br />
boosted the economies of oil-producing<br />
countries in the Middle<br />
East that, in turn, have stepped<br />
up hiring of foreign workers in<br />
industries such as construction,<br />
travel and tourism and oil and<br />
gas exploration, development and<br />
production;<br />
• Rapid globalisation that has<br />
increased the need for multinational<br />
corporations to retain highly<br />
qualified, experienced and Englishspeaking<br />
Filipino business and production<br />
managers.<br />
The US is the Philippines’ biggest<br />
source of remittances. Inflows<br />
from OFWs based in US<br />
grew by US$1.51 billion or 31<br />
per cent, from $4.91 billion in<br />
2004 to US$6.42 billion last year.<br />
About US$6.61 billion from<br />
North America, including $190 million<br />
from Canada, accounted for 62<br />
per cent of all remittances.<br />
The Middle East is the third<br />
biggest source of remittances at<br />
US$1.42 billion in last year, behind<br />
Europe (US$1.44 biliion).<br />
Hong Kong, home to more than<br />
120,000 OFWs, accounted for<br />
US$360 million of the estimated<br />
US$1.1 billion from Asia-Pacific,<br />
including Japan, Korea, Australia,<br />
Singapore, Malaysia and Taiwan.<br />
RAUL ACEDRE in Manila<br />
A surging peso is expected to pick<br />
up more steam after record remittances<br />
in the first nine months<br />
helped drive it to a 4-1/2-year high<br />
It is trading at just under P50 to<br />
the US dollar after touching a fresh<br />
high of P49.99, its strongest level<br />
since 2002, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas<br />
said.<br />
The currency is expected to stay<br />
on the strong side of trading for<br />
the rest of the<br />
year. The peso’s<br />
strength leaves<br />
room for the<br />
BSP to cut interest<br />
rates, which<br />
could push up<br />
the US dollar/<br />
Tetangco peso exchange<br />
rate. But most<br />
economists say any such cut would<br />
be taken by the market as an opportunity<br />
to buy back the peso.<br />
“I think there will be very little<br />
effect on the strength of the peso,”<br />
one economist said. It has had time<br />
to consolidate its gains.”<br />
Improved economic fundamentals<br />
and strong inflows of overseas<br />
remittances have combined to power<br />
the peso to levels not seen since<br />
more than four years ago.<br />
OFWs have sent home more than<br />
US$9 billion in the first nine months<br />
of the year, just under the the $10.7<br />
billion for all of last year, and within<br />
sight of the US$11 billion expected<br />
for this year.<br />
“There’s every reason to believe<br />
that the target for this year will be<br />
achieved,” BSP governor Amando<br />
Tetangco said. “This has implications<br />
on the continuing strength of<br />
the peso and on exchange rates.”<br />
THE STARS COME OUT<br />
A Philippne Airlines jet looks like part of the Christmas<br />
decor at the NAIA terminal. The airport is decking itself out<br />
for the holidays just before an expected surge of overseas<br />
Filipino workers returning home for Christmas.<br />
NAIA officers warned over ‘discourteous’ behavior after Luli fiasco<br />
RAUL ACEDRE in Manila<br />
NAIA personnel have been told to<br />
treat all passengers courteously and<br />
fairly, regardless of their nationality.<br />
Executive Secretary Eduardo Ermita<br />
issued the reminder after an<br />
incident in which the President’s<br />
daughter, Evangeline Lourdes “Luli<br />
Arroyo” reportedly got a boorish<br />
treatment from an immigration officer.<br />
Edgardo Padlan has been suspended<br />
by his superiors at the Immigration<br />
Bureau pending an investigation.<br />
Ermita was reacting to the incident<br />
in which Arroyo was reportedly told<br />
off by Padlan after she complained<br />
about a foreigner being allowed to<br />
jump the queue. Padlan reportedly<br />
snapped at Arroyo: “Hindi ka ba<br />
marunong maghintay?” (Don’t you<br />
know how to wait?)<br />
“I called the attention of the public<br />
servants there (NAIA), dahil siyempre,<br />
kahit siguro hindi anak ng<br />
presidente could make that observation<br />
and call the attention of the immigration<br />
personnel,” Ermita said.<br />
“Hindi naman tama … what he<br />
had done at the expense of a Filipino,<br />
parang nagpapakita lamang sila<br />
na para bang binibigyan ng pabor<br />
ang mga foreigner,” Ermita said.